“He not busy being born is busy dying.” - Bob Dylan, It’s Alright, Ma (I’m Only Bleeding) Clifford Ochs University of Mississippi 21 June 2016 LMRCC Annual Meeting June 21-22, 2016 Ducks Unlimited Headquarters, Memphis There are known knowns. These are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns. That is to say, there are things that we know we don't know. But there are also unknown unknowns. There are things we don't know we don't know. - D. Rumsfeld (2002) There are known knowns. P. Hartfield 2014 There are known knowns. P. Hartfield 2014 H. Fisk There are known knowns. Baker et al. (1991) LMR floodplain backwaters provide critical ecosystem functions and services • Habitat complexity biodiversity • High biological productivity – river subsidies? • Nutrient sequestration – importance to GOM? NO3-N (mg/L) 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 • Floodwater storage AND they are more critical than ever but endangered! 0.0 0 30 60 90 Days post-connection with river 6 LMR-backwater structure and functional relationships respond to variation in hydrological connection. 21 June 2008 (HG = 10m) 14 - 10 year averages from 1900 data from Rivergages Helena gage (m) 12 10 8 6 6 September 2008 (HG = 1m) 4 2 0 D J F M A M J J A S O N D J 27 September 2008 (HG = 8m) At high stage height and connection, the river delivers sediments and nutrients to BWs. In the BWs, brown turns to green. Nutrients Production Production Modoc In backwaters, brown green Quapaw chute Mellwood 400 350 250 200 14 12 10 8 150 6 100 4 50 2 0 0 Stage height (m) Chl a (mg/m3) 300 River Quapaw Modoc Mellwood 9 Connected river oxbows are a nursery for high biological production of all trophic levels O. Pongruktham Effects of Connection on LMR Backwater Lakes Shorter HRT High Turbidity High Nutrients Low algal biomass & production Diatoms dominant High connection with river MORE RESET AT HIGH RIVER STAGE Nutrient depletion N-limitation of GPP River Stage Prolonged isolation LESS Low connection with river Pongruktham and Ochs 2015 Longer HRT Low Turbidity High Nutrients High algal biomass & production Crytomonad algae dominant What is the fate of lake production? Nutrients Production Production Biomass “Cross-Feeding” model: Role of BWs in river floodplain system MRB LMR: soils N&P Cross-feeding Backwater production HOWEVER – Oxbow lakes can and do fill! Sedimentation disconnection lake infilling Pauline Dieras (2013) 14 Smoky Hill River (Kansas and Colorado) White River (Indiana) Pauline Dieras (2013) Factors affecting lake infilling process • Land use in watershed – High soil erosion in river valley sediment capture in lakes • Lake shape – Oxbows are long and narrow = High [shoreline/lake SA] • Lake productivity – organic matter sedimentation summer hypolimnetic anoxia • Tree encroachment 16 Is there evidence for loss of lakes within LMR levees? Horseshoe Lake Mellwood Lake Desoto Lake Old River Lake Evidence for loss of lakes within LMR levees? LMR cutoffs Hardin Worthington Glasscock Cut-off Date 1942 AVG Rate of change in SA (%) -0.6 1933 1933 -5.5 -1.1 Assessment period: 1948-1984 (Shields 1989) Change in mean depth in comparison bendway sites on TTW = 0.6 ft/yr (SD = 1.8) (n = 14; period of observation = 3-10 years Evidence for loss of lakes within LMR levees? Hudson et al. 2008 Lake infilling rates depend on location Embanked lakes = 67.7% filled (avg, n=16) Not embanked lakes = 37% filled (n=8) Hudson et al. 2008 Evidence for loss of lakes within LMR levees? Desoto August 2014 Mellwood Nov 2007 Mud flats at downstream oxbow lake entrances In other words…. Anthropogenic alterations have virtually halted the formation of new oxbow lakes in the [Yazoo] basin, and accelerated the natural aging process, as increased soil erosion and sediment deposition threaten to fill the lakes at high rates. - Goetz et al. (2015). Environ. Biol. Fish. 98 What is the long-term prognosis if embanked floodplain lakes no longer form but still fill? “He not busy being born is busy dying.” There are known unknowns. • At current sedimentation rates, how long can remaining BW lakes stay connected to the river channel? • Do rates or pattern of lake infilling vary in time, or river reach? • What are the effects of occasional extreme events, large floods or droughts, on sedimentation processes? • What would be the river ecosystem consequences of further loss of connectivity to these lakes? Should we put the remaining LMR floodplain lakes on life support? How? Should we put remaining LMR floodplain lakes on life-support? How? • Re-meandering? • To weir or not to weir? • Dredging? To-Dos for research and management 1. Adopt a long-term view (>20 yrs) of system geomorphic and environmental change. 2. Assess and Predict – rates and patterns of lake terrestrialization processes – river system structure-function relationships and services (present, anticipated) 3. Evaluate management strategies to maintain LMR-floodplain connectivity while reducing lake infilling. Summary 1. In a meandering river system, oxbow lakes are regularly born, and regularly die. Birthing is by river meandering, death is by sediment infilling. Older lakes are replaced by a younger generation of lakes. This is a natural process. 2. In a levee constrained river system, natural oxbow lake formation ceases - although lakes can originate as cut-offs while sedimentation and lake filling can continue. Lake Birth ≈ Death Lake Birth < Death Summary 3. To conserve functional attributes of large lowland river ecosystems, and their biodiversity, connected lake habitats are essential. 4. River system management must determine the potential for oxbow lake infilling, and for breakage in hydrological connectivity with the river. 5. Manage for connectivity over the long-term. There are unknown unknowns. Modern flood management of large rivers is fundamentally an experimental science, carried out by large government agencies in trial and error operations that initiate extensive geomorphic change with long lasting environmental consequences. - Hudson et al. 2008 Acknowledgements • • • • Angie Rodgers – LMRCC US ACE ERDC Ecohydraulics project F. Doug Shields Pauline Dieras https://www.google.com/search?q=Pauline+Dieras&ie=utf-8&oe=utf8#q=Pauline+Dieras+dissertation+oxbows
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