Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Ecosystem Services journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecoser Threats to food production and water quality in the Murray–Darling Basin of Australia Jonathan E. Holland a,n,1, Gary W. Luck b,2, C. Max Finlayson b a b EH Graham Centre, Charles Sturt University, Wagga Wagga, NSW, Australia Institute for Land, Water and Society, Charles Sturt University, Albury, NSW, Australia art ic l e i nf o a b s t r a c t Article history: Received 5 September 2014 Received in revised form 9 January 2015 Accepted 22 February 2015 We analyse how salinity, acidity and erosion threaten the ecosystem services of food production and the regulation of water quality in the Murray–Darling Basin, Australia’s most important food producing region. We used the Drivers-Pressures-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework, to show that each of these threats undermines the functioning of the Basin’s agro-ecosystems and the two major ecosystem services (four other ecosystem services are briefly considered). These threats are driven by natural processes (e.g. rainfall) and anthropogenic activity (e.g. land clearing), and this leads to pressures exerted by hydrology, nutrient cycles and wind. Satisfactory information is available on the state of acidity and wind erosion, but information on the state of water erosion and salinity is inadequate. The impact of these threats on food production was primarily by reducing crop yield, while the impacts on water quality were to increase sediment, salt and nutrient loads. Management responses were either adaptive or mitigative; the former targets impacts while the latter focuses on drivers and pressures. Most management responses involved trade-offs between ecosystem services, although some synergies were found. Scale and spatial variability strongly influence the selection of responses. Understanding the mechanisms underpinning land degrading threats and the associated relationships allows better assessment on impacts to ecosystem services. & 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Acidification Erosion Salinity Land degradation Trade-offs DPSIR Contents 1. 2. 3. n Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 Review study area and approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 2.1. Study area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 2.2. Ecosystem services approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 2.3. The drivers-pressures-state-impacts-response (DPSIR) framework. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 2.4. Management responses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 Evaluation of threats to ecosystem services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 3.1. Salinity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 3.1.1. Salinity drivers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 3.1.2. Salinity pressures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3.1.3. Salinity state . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3.1.4. Salinity impacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3.2. Acidity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3.2.1. Acidity drivers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 3.2.2. Acidity pressures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 3.2.3. Acidity state . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 3.2.4. Acidity impacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 Correspondence to: 14 Dalton Street, Wagga Wagga 2650, NSW, Australia. Tel.: þ 61 2 6938 1948; fax: þ 61 2 6938 1809. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (J.E. Holland), [email protected] (G.W. Luck), mfi[email protected] (C. Max Finlayson). 1 EH Graham Centre, Charles Sturt University, Locked Bag 588, Wagga Wagga 2678, NSW, Australia. 2 Institute for Land, Water and Society, Charles Sturt University, PO Box 789, Albury 2640, NSW, Australia. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2015.02.008 2212-0416/& 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 56 J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 3.3. Erosion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 3.3.1. Erosion drivers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 3.3.2. Erosion pressures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 3.3.3. Erosion state . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 3.3.4. Erosion impacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 4. Management responses to land degrading threats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 4.1. Adaptive management responses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 4.2. Mitigatory management responses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 5. Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 5.1. Trade-offs and synergies in ecosystem services from management responses for salinity, acidity and erosion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 5.2. Future priorities for research of land degrading threats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 5.3. Implications for policy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 1. Introduction Degradation of the world’s ecosystems in addition to global population growth will challenge humanity’s capacity to feed itself (FAO, 2010). The maintenance of the essential ecosystem services (ES) that support human wellbeing will also be threatened (MA, 2005; Molden, 2007). Developing countries, in particular, suffer the consequences of food restrictions (ABARES, 2011) and the loss of ES (Boelee et al., 2011). However, the responsibility of feeding humanity and providing ES is shared by all nations; a responsibility that requires substantial advances in ecosystem and agricultural sciences to support policy (Spiertz, 2010). Many agro-ecosystems are severely affected by acidification, salinity and erosion. Globally, approximately 10% of irrigated land is affected by salinity (Tanji and Kielen, 2002), up to 30% of topsoils are affected by acidity (Sumner and Noble, 2003), and around 56% (1100 M ha 1) and 28% (550 M ha 1) of soils are affected by water and wind erosion, respectively (Oldeman, 1994). These processes threaten crucial ES such as the provision of food and water (Keating and Carberry, 2010). There is currently insufficient understanding of how these threats effect the delivery of ES in agricultural landscapes (MA, 2005). Australia’s Murray–Darling Basin (MDB) is globally important for food production and is ecologically rich. The MDB produces 39% of Australia’s food and fibre (ABS, 2008) of which approximately 60% is exported (DAFF, 2010). The agricultural practices in the MDB include extensive cattle and sheep grazing, dryland and irrigated mixed farming, and intensive irrigated agriculture, dairying and horticulture. The MDB supports more than 30,000 wetlands of which 16 are listed as wetlands of international importance (Ramsar sites) (DEWHA, 2008), and over 35 threatened or near threatened bird species (Garnett et al., 2011). Agricultural activities dominate land use in the Basin and tensions arise when agricultural practices impact on land or water resources, or when environmental policies threaten agricultural practices (Pittock and Finlayson, 2011). The MDB is therefore an ideal location to study the threats that salinity, acidity and erosion pose to ES. In this review, we demonstrate how salinity, acidity and erosion threaten food production and water quality in the MDB. A Drivers-Pressures-State-Impacts-Response (DPSIR) framework (Smeets and Weterings, 1999) was used to analyse the relationships between these threats and the provision of ES. The DPSIR framework was chosen because it is suited to assess large-scale environmental change (Feld et al., 2010). We describe the natural and anthropogenic processes associated with each threat. The DPSIR framework was used to identify biophysical links between the causes of these threats, how they change the state of the environment and the consequences of those changes. We show that management responses to these threats often lead to tradeoffs between ES. Finally, we suggest how to assess threats to ES, and outline requirements for further research on threats and management responses. 2. Review study area and approach 2.1. Study area The MDB occupies approximately 1 million km2 of south-eastern Australia. It contains many different soils and landforms. Its climate ranges from subtropical in the north (latitude 261S) to temperate in the south (latitude 371S) (Fig. 1). Rainfall is summer dominant in the north and winter dominant in the south, and varies from below 200 mm year 1 on the western plains to over 1000 mm year 1 close to the Great Dividing Range in the east. The long-term average annual rainfall in the MDB is 530,618 GL, but most (94%) evaporates or is transpired (ABS, 2008). Temperatures have distinct seasonality, but are generally cooler in the south and warmer in the north and west. The basin contains Australia’s three longest rivers, which supply 65% of Australia’s irrigated land and 2 million people with fresh water (ABS, 2008). Agriculture is a very large consumer of water in the MDB, however the absolute amount of water use fluctuates greatly between years. For example, in 2005/06 agriculture used 7720 GL which corresponded to 23% of the long-term water availability (ABS, 2008), while in comparison 3564 GL was consumed in 2009/10 (ABS, 2011). The streams and rivers of the MDB are highly regulated; a series of dams and weirs are used to manage water to meet the conflicting needs of irrigators and the environment and to mitigate floods (ABS, 2011). Land use within the MDB mirrors land capability. The intensity of dryland agriculture is governed by rainfall; extensive sheep and cattle grazing occurs on the northern and western plains while the centre of the basin is dominated by broad-acre dryland mixed farming. Irrigated agriculture (including cropping and dairy farming) occurs near rivers on alluvial “river flats” and on the plains in areas supplied by canals (Fig. 1). The economic return per hectare of irrigated land is much greater than from dry land. In 2000/01, irrigated land occupied 1.7% of the Basin and returned $AU 1.25 billion or $AU 674 ha 1, while dryland agriculture returned only $AU 2.48 billion from 82% of land area at just $AU 29 ha 1 (Bryan et al., 2009a). The major change in land use in the MDB over the past 150 years has been the clearing of native vegetation for agriculture. Such changes in land use have an enduring effect, while less extensive but significant changes are triggered by commodity market prices. For example, the area of the MDB which was irrigated increased by 22% between 1996/97 and 2000/01 (Bryan et al., 2009b), while the area of fruit and nut production (including apples, oranges and almonds) J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 57 Fig. 1. The location of the Murray–Darling Basin, Australia and the distribution of major land use activities. Data source: ABARE-BRS (2010). Table 1 The association between management responses and specific DPSI components for salinity, acidity and erosion with the subsequent effect on ecosystem services. Threat Ecosystem services Management response Management response type DPSI target Effect on ecosystem services Salinity Salinity/ acidity Acidity Erosion Salinity Acidity Erosion Salinity/ erosion Erosion Salinity Water quality Food production Planting trees Growing tolerant plants Mitigative Adaptive Food production Water quality Soil quality Soil quality Soil quality Air quality Applying lime Restricted grazing Protecting native vegetation Applying selected manures Adopting minimal tillage Planting trees Adaptive Mitigative Mitigative Adaptive Adaptive Mitigative Pressure (hydrology) Impact (salt/acid sensitivity) State (soil pH) Driver (land use) Pressure (hydrology) State (soil properties) Impact (soil carbon) Driver (land use) Reducing salt load Increasing plant growth for crops or fodder Increasing crop growth Reducing turbidity Reducing spread of salinization Maintaining soil nutrient levels Maintaining soil carbon levels Increasing interception Air quality Timber production Timber production Genetic resources Restricted grazing Spatially planned reforestation Adaptive Mitigative State (soil loss) Pressure (hydrology) Reducing dust storm index Increased timber production Spatially planned reforestation Mitigative Driver (land use) Increased timber production Establishing conservation areas Mitigative Driver (land use) Adaptive State (plant diversity) Maintaining plant and animal genetic diversity Maintaining plant genetic diversity Acidity/ erosion Salinity/ erosion Acidity Genetic resources Utilisation of native grasses for grazing increased by 14%, and the area of cotton decreased by 37% between 2000/01 and 2005/06 (ABS, 2008; Watson et al., 2014). 2.2. Ecosystem services approach The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA, 2005) defined an ecosystem as “a dynamic complex of plant, animal and microorganism communities and their non-living environment interacting as a functional unit” (p. 27) and ES as “the benefits that humans obtain from ecosystems” (p. 27). We adopt these definitions in this review. The conceptual framework outlined by the UK National Ecosystem Assessment (UK NEA, 2011) is used to define the ES that are delivered within the MDB. This framework clearly separates ecosystem processes, intermediate services and final services that deliver goods for human consumption (Fisher et al., 2008). For example, primary production is an ecosystem process that includes pollination (an intermediate service) in food production (a final ES) to produce stone fruit (a good). We primarily focus on two ES - producing food (a provisioning service) and maintaining water quality (a regulating service). Four other ES are summarised in Table 1 because of their 58 J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 particular relevance to the threats covered in our study. These four services are air quality and soil quality (regulating services), timber and forest products (provisioning service), and genetic resources (provisioning service). Our study also takes into account other ES indirectly; for example, some aspects of hazard regulation are covered because it is closely related to the erosion threat or the control of it, while climate regulation, which is highly influential for each selected threat, is one of the major drivers (Fig. 2). Limited information about these services makes a more in-depth treatment difficult. 2.3. The drivers-pressures-state-impacts-response (DPSIR) framework The DPSIR framework (Smeets and Weterings, 1999) was applied to assess how the selected threats affected the delivery of the ES. DPSIR identifies cause-effect relationships, and evaluates the consequence of management actions or responses within an individual component and on the whole system (Rounsevell et al., 2010). We used the DPSIR framework because it allows more than one threat to be evaluated at once. The drivers of environmental change may be natural or anthropogenic and may act directly or indirectly (MA, 2005). The drivers are the source of threats and they develop pressures on the state of a variable or variables that qualify and quantify the condition of an ecosystem. The state of the ecosystem changes in response to these pressures. Here, we define the state as an indicator of “the abiotic condition of soil, air and water, as well as the biotic condition (biodiversity) at ecosystem/habitat, species/community and genetic level” (EEA, 2007; p. 13). In turn, the ecosystem’s altered state leads to impacts on the level or nature of the ES it delivers. Ecosystems can react positively or negatively to impacts and we define impacts as a direct consequence of a change in the state. Response may be needed, as either a policy directive or changed management to minimise negative impacts or maximise positive ones (Rounsevell et al., 2010). In Australia, the DPSIR framework has been used to assess how pressures and impacts have threatened and disturbed wetlands in Queensland (Lynch, 2011), and in State of the Environment reporting by the Queensland and Victorian state governments (CES, 2005; EPA Qld, 2008). However, its use in scientific studies of Australian land degradation has been limited. to change the state. It involves new activities carried out within the prevailing state of the ecosystem. Examples of adaptive management are growing salt or acid tolerant crops to improve yield or quality (see solid arrows in Fig. 2, Table 1). An exception is the adaptive management of acidity by applying lime which alters the state (soil pH), but not its drivers (see dashed arrow in Fig. 2) (Table 1). On the other hand, mitigatory responses aim to ‘improve’ the state of the environment to a level that will maintain or improve ES. They target the drivers or pressures of change. For example, to manage salinity by changing land use in salt donor catchments from annual crops and pastures to trees significantly changes the hydrology (acting as a pressure) and delivery of salt to streams (Table 1). A management response to erosion might involve modifying land use (a driver) such as restricted grazing management to improve water quality (Table 1). Mitigatory management responses are undertaken with a long-term outlook and are generally more expensive than adaptive responses. While the original trigger for action may be an impact on food production or water quality, mitigatory management practices are implemented to reduce impact indirectly via drivers or pressures (Fig. 2). A variety of management responses are required to deal with the threats from salinity, acidity and erosion to agro-ecosystems. Nature-based responses such as planting trees or protecting native vegetation may be suitable for several different ES (Table 1). We present a broad range of ES and their associated management response in Table 1 (including food production, timber and forest products and genetic resources—provisioning services; and water quality, air quality and soil quality—regulating services) to illustrate the wide-ranging impacts caused by these threats. 3. Evaluation of threats to ecosystem services In this section, we present a DPSIR framework (Fig. 2) developed to describe the natural and anthropogenic drivers that exert a range of pressures that change, by different mechanisms, the state of agro-ecosystems. A change in state is measured as the level of, or trend in some quantity (such as a biophysical indicator) that indicates salinity, acidity and/or erosion. We then report the impacts of these changes on the two selected ES. 2.4. Management responses 3.1. Salinity We classify responses as either adaptive or mitigatory. Adaptation is about coping with a threat while still providing an adequate level of ES (Rounsevell et al., 2010). Adaptive management recognises that the state of the environment has changed for the worse, but it does not try 3.1.1. Salinity drivers The natural, biophysical drivers of salinity are climate and weather. Salinity is also strongly driven by land use and anthropogenic land use change (Fig. 2). These drivers operate over many temporal and spatial Fig. 2. The DPSIR framework applied to salinity (S), acidity/acidification (A) and erosion (E) (NB. the solid arrows apply to all threats, but the dashed arrow only applies to acidity). J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 scales. Annual and seasonal variability in weather affects transient salinity locally. However, at longer time frames, it has been found that changes in the amount of groundwater recharge can largely be explained by the amount of rainfall received (Petheram et al., 2002). The major anthropogenic driver for salinity in Australia has been the introduction of farming systems that use less water than the native vegetation they replaced; increasing recharge to groundwater, salt mobilisation, and therefore, salinity (Haron and Dragovich, 2010; Zhang et al., 2001). This is because most agricultural crops are annuals while native vegetation was largely perennial. Annual plant species have highly seasonal water requirements, but native woody species use water throughout the year (Dunin, 2002). Land use changes have driven the salinisation of rainfed (Charman and Murphy, 2007) and irrigated land where reduced evapotranspiration is exacerbated by adding irrigation water (Tanji and Kielen, 2002). The area or proportion of changed land use is a convenient indicator of the anthropogenic driver of salinity. The consideration of the driving effects from different land-use types is important, although this should not ignore the potentially strong effect of the management regime that is in place. In our study area (the MDB), the dominant biophysical factor influencing the management of salinity is plant water use. For example, Crosbie et al. (2007) showed that the strategic establishment and placement of a tree belt can reduce the volume of saline discharges. Additional discussion on the role and effect of management responses is provided in Section 4. 3.1.2. Salinity pressures Pressures related to salinity are predominantly hydrological (Fig. 2). Introducing irrigation or imposing annual dryland farming systems can exert local pressures with the water table rising and mobilising stored salt (Petheram et al., 2002). These pressures can be transmitted over long distances; therefore, irrigated land can be salinised by salt imported in the irrigation water that originated elsewhere (Tanji and Kielen, 2002). The hydraulic loading of the land surface, measured as the amount of rainfall, flooding or irrigation, can dramatically change the hydrology and thus the pressure on salinity to develop. The drought experienced in eastern Australia over the 10 years from 1999 is one reason for the fall in salinity levels in the MDB (MDBA, 2010a). For example, in September 2008 the salinity level at Morgan, South Australia, a key river salinity monitoring point, fell below the target level for the first time since records began. Rainfall and flooding from 2010 through to 2012 across the MDB was higher than in previous years (Giles, 2012) and is predicted to increase the risk of flood recession salinity where accumulated salt is mobilised following flooding (MDBA, 2010a). Salinity pressures vary significantly in time and space; however, hydrological changes can be used to approximate the state of salinity. 3.1.3. Salinity state The state of salinity can be measured as the Electrical Conductivity (EC) of streams or groundwater (Fig. 2). The area of the MDB affected by salinity has not been measured recently, although previous surveys provide an indication of the extent of saline conditions. Groundwater quality was last assessed in the MDB in 1988. Broad classes of fresh, brackish or salty showed that almost half (48%) of the MDB’s groundwater was saline (Fig. 3) (Williams et al., 1994). In 1999, more than 5 million tonnes of salt were mobilised over the MDB (MDBC, 1999). Trends in stream salinity between 1985 and 1994 were used to calculate the salt output/input ratio for all catchments across the MDB (Jolly et al., 2001). Jolly et al. showed that salt was mobilised in the upper catchment areas and stored in mid-catchment irrigation districts from where it could be remobilised later. The state of soil salinity is best measured by the electrical conductivity (EC) of its saturated extract (ECse) since it accounts for the moisture holding 59 properties of the soil (Hazelton and Murphy, 2007). Despite sparse knowledge of the state of salinity in the MDB, there is a good understanding of the likely impacts from salinity on ES. 3.1.4. Salinity impacts The impact of salinity on food production occurs via reduced plant growth, and the impact on water quality through substantial increases in salt content (Fig. 2). Salt may reduce water uptake by plants through an osmotic effect or injure transpiring leaves; although some plants can tolerate salinity better than others (Munns, 2005). The specific impact of salinity differs between crops, but it is well established that annual crops such as wheat are susceptible to salinity resulting in reduced grain yields (Nuttall et al., 2003). The threshold level at which yield or productivity starts to decline and the rate of decline with increasing salinity above this threshold has been measured for common agricultural plants (Maas and Hoffman, 1977). These relationships were developed under artificial conditions in ‘sand tanks’ and did not account for additional stresses from waterlogging or drought. This combination of stresses is important in pastures (Bennett et al., 2009b). Horticultural crops have a similarly variable tolerance to salinity depending on variety and rootstock. Not only the quantity but also quality of products may be affected by salinity; both positive and negative impacts may occur simultaneously; for example, increasing salinity reduced citrus yield and juice content, but increased fruit sugar levels (Grieve et al., 2007). It is more common for a general decline in quality with increasing salinity; for example, irrigating grape vines with saline water increased the pH and sodium content of grape juice, which reduces wine quality (Stevens et al., 2011). Some salts in the stream waters of the MDB are more damaging than others (NaCl is more negative than Ca2 þ or SO24 salts). The source of the most damaging salts may be found by measuring changes in stream chemistry in space and time or relating stream chemistry to hydrology (Conyers et al., 2008). Perhaps the most difficult aspect of predicting salinity impacts is the variable time lag after changes in pressures (e.g. rainfall) (Rancic et al., 2009). 3.2. Acidity 3.2.1. Acidity drivers Hydrology and land use change are the most significant drivers of soil acidification (Fig. 2). Climate has been recognised as a soil forming factor (Jenny, 1941), which drives weathering processes that acidify soils. Climate also drives natural acidifying processes such as the leaching of HCO3 , the replacement of CO2 with organic acids and the net gain in H þ ions from the transformation of N. Rainfall is the most important driving component of climate. A link between the rainfall and soil acidity has been observed in southern NSW (Chartres et al., 1990; Scott et al., 2007). Clear rainfall-soil pH trends have also been found across the whole of Australia (de Caritat et al., 2011). Such spatial relationships also correspond with gradients in vegetation cover, N fixation and nitrate leaching, all of which are associated with acidification processes (Kemmitt et al., 2006). Overall, it is climates with the highest rainfall that most strongly drive acidification. Changing land use can also drive acidity strongly. Converting native vegetation to agricultural use, particularly to pasture, is the change most associated with acidification (Scott et al., 2000). Land use is never a solitary driving factor and past (and current) management practices play a role in determining the importance of land use as a driver. For instance, the application of limestone is a common management response to increase agricultural productivity (Conyers et al., 2003). Furthermore, the drivers of climate and land use change often operate simultaneously to form acidifying pressures. 60 J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 Fig. 3. The area of groundwater salinity within the Murray–Darling Basin classified as fresh, brackish and saline using data from Williams et al. (1994). 3.2.2. Acidity pressures Acidification pressures are applied through the major nutrient cycling pathways (Fig. 2). Any change to the C, N and S cycles significantly affect the rate of soil acidification (Bolan and Hedley, 2003). Overall, the cycling of N is more important than that of other nutrients (such as C and S) on land used for agricultural activities in terms of acidifying potential (Helyar et al., 1990). Each land use is associated with a particular level of consumption and flow of nutrients. The nature and level of nutrient cycling determines the pressure that is applied. In contrast to salinity, all these nutrient cycling pressures are in-situ and not external to where acidification develops. Mineralization and oxidation produce protons (Hþ ions) and increase acidifying pressure. Examples include the mineralization of organic N to nitrate and adding N fertilizers to crop or pasture production systems leading to oxidation of NH4þ to NO3 (which generates H þ ions). Removing agricultural products (e.g. hay or grain) also removes nutrients and transfer anions; the net effect is to uncouple the H þ balance. Likewise, increased acidification pressure can come from grazing and the deposition of manure transfers anions to “stock camps” which change the distribution of nutrients (Condon et al., 2004). Other acidifying land use factors include stocking rate and pasture species (especially a high proportion of legumes) (Scott et al., 2000). Increasing levels of soil organic matter cause an acidifying pressure as the breakdown of organic N releases protons when carbonic acid is formed from CO2 (Bolan and Hedley, 2003). Applying fertilizer does not always increase pressure, using calcium nitrate as the source of nitrogen can moderate acidification (Bolan and Hedley, 2003). Hence, the selection of fertilizer type and its rate of application will influence the level of pressure applied. 3.2.3. Acidity state The state for acidity is reflected in the soil pH, soil nutrient deficiencies/toxicities and the nitrate content of water (Fig. 2). In 2001, it was estimated that between 18 and 19 million ha of land in NSW had acidic soil (Dolling et al., 2001). In soil the critical level is typically defined as a pH (CaCl2) o5.5 for the top soil 0–10 cm depth. Over time, soils across NSW have become more acidic (Fenton and Helyar, 2007), and within the MDB soils have acidified as more land has been used for agriculture (Lockwood et al., 2003). Acidity affects up to half of Australia’s agriculturally productive soils (McKenzie and Dixon, 2006). Within the MDB there is a significant area (114,350 km2 or 11%) of acidic soils where the surface soil field pH is o5.5 (Fig. 4; de Caritat and Cooper, 2010). Indicators of acidic soil include elevated J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 61 Fig. 4. The soil field pH for surface soils (0 to 10 cm) in the Murray–Darling Basin. Data from de Caritat and Cooper (2010). levels of Al and Mn, while it is common that plant available levels of soil P are lower (Conyers et al., 1991). Soil acidification is increasing in several catchments within the MDB and is considered to be widespread in the farmlands of southern Australia (SoE, 2011). On agricultural soils acidification processes have been observed to be associated with nitrification and nitrate leaching which pose a risk to water quality. Consequently, the nitrate content of water in streams or groundwater supplies has been found to increase as a result of acidification and nitrate-N can also be used as another state measure of acidity (Ridley et al., 2003). The ANZECC (2000) water quality guidelines have set the maximum trigger value at 30 μg L 1 for nitrate-N in freshwater ecosystems such as rivers and wetlands. 3.2.4. Acidity impacts Soil acidity is a global issue reducing crop yields and constraining agricultural production, and affects 17% of natural ecosystems (Bouwman et al., 2002). The major impacts of acidity are on crop yield/quality for food production and nutrient content for water quality (Fig. 2). In the MDB, several studies have reported negative effects of soil acidity on crop (food) production, particularly in southern NSW. For example, acidic soil significantly reduces the yield of wheat (Conyers et al., 2003) and pasture (Li et al., 2006). Increasing soil acidity on the South West Slopes of NSW reduced the number of palatable species and feed quality of pastures (Li et al., 2003). Grain quality as measured by protein content is lower on acidic soils (Mullen et al., 2006). Ridley et al. (2001) found that annual pastures grown on acidic soils receiving no N fertilizer lost up to 33 kg N ha 1 year 1 in both surface runoff and subsurface flow. Given the large area of acidic soils (i.e. pH o5.5) within the MDB (see Fig. 4) there is significant potential for acidity to have a major effect on water quality. Since acidity reduces plant growth and cover in specific areas, other impacts have been reported such as increased sedimentation (Cumming and Walker, 1981). Thus, soil acidification can reduce water quality by two different means; (i) by increasing turbidity, and (ii) by increasing nutrient concentrations (such as P and N) (Scott et al., 2000). There are a number of impacts that arise from soil acidity with negative effects on food production and water quality within the MDB (as described above) and many other agro-ecosystems across the globe. 3.3. Erosion 3.3.1. Erosion drivers Erosion, is “the wearing away of the earth’s surface” (Rosewell et al., 2007), p. 14), and shares the drivers of climate and land use with salinity and acidity (Fig. 2). Water and wind erosion are separate physical processes but share common drivers in climate and specific combinations of weather conditions, particularly the 62 J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 interaction between rainfall intensity and hydrological balance. Soil type and its parent material (geology) and the slope of land strongly influence water erosion processes (Morgan, 2005). The effect of rainfall on the level of wind erosion has been observed in the MDB; for example, from 1971 to 1980 low wind erosion activity corresponded with greater than average rainfall, while from 2000 to 2005 there was active wind erosion during drought conditions (McTainsh et al., 2007). The negative relationship between wind erosion and rainfall is largely due to the effect that moisture levels have on vegetation cover, but other factors such as stocking rate are also important. Changes in land use are major drivers of erosion, especially activities that involve reducing ground cover (e.g. forest clearing) (Prosser and Abernethy, 1999). Intense agricultural activity is a major land use driver of erosion; for example, the total suspended sediments from horticulture ( 3000 mg L 1) were 10 times greater than from the grazing of native pastures ( 300 mg L 1) (Bartley et al., 2012). Cropping land has, in general, much higher erosion rates (up to 84 times greater) than pasture (Edwards and Zierholz, 2007; Wallbrink et al., 2003). The type and density of vegetation affects soil stability and is equally important for water and wind erosion, especially on susceptible soils (Rosewell et al., 2007). Consequently, the effect of a given land-use type as a driver is dependent upon the management of a given area of land. How, when and where vegetation cover is managed, such as via stocking rate (Lilley and Moore, 2009), strongly influences the nature of land use as a driver (see Section 4). 3.3.2. Erosion pressures Erosion pressures are applied through hydrology and/or the wind (Fig. 2). The main hydrological process is runoff and this is strongly influenced by rainfall pressure. There are many hydrological factors that determine sediment production and deposition including antecedent soil water content, raindrop impact and soil infiltration rate (Rose, 2004). Dry soils are also more susceptible to the detachment and lifting of soil particles by wind (saltation). The temporal and spatial patterns of wind erosion correspond with those in rainfall, which governs not only soil water content but plant growth and ground cover too. The hydrological condition influences rainfall so that dry periods increase the erosion pressure, while wet or moist conditions reduce the pressure. Hydrology is not completely dominant and works with wind to exert pressure on where and when wind erosion occurs. 3.3.3. Erosion state The state of water and wind erosion can both be measured directly by the amount of soil lost, indirectly as sediment yield or as the consequence of that loss either as amount of soil in the water (its turbidity) or in the air (the dust storm index) (Fig. 2). Water erosion varies throughout the MDB (Lu et al., 2006). For example, the Northern Tablelands of NSW yield between 10–25 t sediment ha 1 year 1 which is much greater than the central and western parts of the MDB where rates are o0.1 t sediment ha 1 year 1. The large spatial variation in the hill-slope sediment delivery ratio modelled by Bui et al. (2011) means that it is difficult to estimate the state of water erosion for the whole of the MDB. Water erosion studies have produced widely ranging estimates of the change in sediment flux caused by European settlement (and the associated changes in land use). For example, in the Upper Murrumbidgee catchment Olley and Wasson (2003) report that current sediment yield estimates are 250,000 t year 1 which is 100 times higher than before European settlement (and the introduction of intensive grazing), but estimated to be half the sediment yield during the 1850–1900 period. Stream turbidity may identify where and when erosion is occurring, but not to quantify it. Estimating the change in the state of erosion is difficult, as increased erosion may be disconnected from sediment load. For example, an increase in erosion by 370% resulted in only 150% more sediment in the Murrumbidgee catchment (Verstraeten and Prosser, 2008). The turbitity of the MDB’s waterways have been recently rated as ‘very poor’ and ‘poor’ following national guidelines (Sinclair Knight Merz, 2011). Wind erosion occurs in the western, more arid and flatter parts of the MDB, and large areas have been identified where wind erosion is severe (Smith and Leys, 2009). This is confirmed by modelled wind erosion estimates from 2009 (Fig. 5) (Butler and Pudmenzky, 2011). Observations of wind erosion for 430 years have shown that there have been active periods where visibility is significantly restricted (this may be 4640 g ha 1 year 1) and relatively inactive periods when no wind erosion has been recorded (McTainsh et al., 2010). Regular observations of dust in the MDB have been made to inform modelling of wind erosion activity in DustWatch, which is a national monitoring program (DustWatch, 2012). State measures of erosion (such as sediment yield or the dust storm index) describe the area where and the time when a threat is active, which can assist in the estimation of the impact caused. 3.3.4. Erosion impacts Soil loss diminishes the resource base to grow plants to produce food, provide shelter for stock and habitat for native animals. Erosion has had significant negative effects on agricultural production and the environment in the MDB, especially during the later stages of the 19th century and first half of the 20th century (Scott, 2001). The impact of erosion on crop productivity is greatest in the early stages of erosion (for all soil types), however the long-term effects vary with soil type and location (Bui et al., 2011). The degree of impact also depends on the depth of the top soil and the continuing erosion rate. Erosion reduces crop production because organic carbon and nutrients are lost with the soil loss (e.g. P bound to sediment) (Rosewell et al., 2007). Edwards (1993) reported that crop yields were reduced by up to 52% in the Central West of NSW owing to erosion and that losses were greater on land used for summer crops than for winter crops. The off-site impacts of erosion are from the flow of sediments which reduce water quality or in the case of wind erosion, air quality. Soil water erosion transports sediment with nutrients (Bui et al., 2011; Edwards, 1993) and the transport of nutrients (e.g. N and P) bound to eroded sediments is well documented in the MDB (Lane et al., 2008; Smith et al., 2010; Wallbrink et al., 2003). Hence, the loss of top soil (i. e. 0–5 cm depth) has a significant impact on both soil fertility and water quality. The ecological impact of sediment in the Murrumbidgee river is reduced production (photosynthesis) of organisms such as phytoplankton, because of lower light transmission and smothering highly productive biofilm algae (Lovett et al., 2007). In addition, Lovett et al. (2007) reported that sediment transport often increases nutrient loads which foster eutrophication or algal blooms. This significant water quality impact has implications for the food web of riverine ecosystems and illustrates the broader effect of erosion within agroecosystems. 4. Management responses to land degrading threats Management responses are the final component of the DPSIR framework and provide options to cope with the impact of threats (Fig. 2). A sound response requires understanding of the interactions between drivers, pressures and impacts, and can include policies or government programs. This review focuses on just the biophysical mechanisms to facilitate change to maintain the ES of food production and water quality; policies to enable these changes are not considered. Due to the widespread nature of salinity, acidity and erosion across the MDB, there is a particular need to know when, where and which management practice(s) should be implemented. The incidence and severity of these threats varies greatly in time and space, however J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 63 Fig. 5. The modelled wind erosion rate (mg m 1 s 1) of the soil surface in 2009 for the Murray–Darling Basin. Data were sourced from Butler and Pudmenzky (2011). continuous measurement is very expensive. Consequently, the state can be assessed by indicators or direct measurement taken less frequently and following when/where a significant impact occurs, or at a set time interval. It is recognised that for all of the threats considered there is a maximum level to which adaptive management responses can be applied, and a range of conditions where adaptive responses perform well; however, above a given level (e.g. very high salinity) a mitigative response is required. Because adaptive responses are targeted at the state or impacts (Fig. 2), they typically require significantly lower levels of resources (capital, labour) compared to mitigatory responses which are directed to pressures or drivers (Fig. 2). Adaptive responses are more nature-based interventions than mitigatory responses and aim to allow the ecosystem to function closer to its’ existing status. Furthermore, the consideration of the scale and spatial variability of the threat is critical for optimal selection and application for each management response. Thus, while a risk of mismatch between the scale of the threat and management response exists (Pelosi et al., 2010), the use of Fig. 2 to clearly identify the driver, pressure, state or impact in the decision making process should improve the selection of the management responses listed below. 4.1. Adaptive management responses Adaptive management strategies employed to cope with increasing salinity include the use of salt tolerant plants (halophytic plants such as saltbush) (Collard et al., 2011) and crop varieties with high salt tolerance (Munns, 2005). Alternatively, changing to annual crops with higher salinity tolerance (e.g. from wheat to barley) may be sufficient to deal with salinity on a given parcel of land. As a response to salinity, these adaptive practices offer opportunities to maintain food production, but are unlikely to improve water quality. Modified irrigation practices offer the possibility to manage salinity by leaching salts from the soil as a means to maintain food production (Duncan et al., 2008). Targeting the salinity threat is more than just identifying the potential responses, and the best results require careful spatial placement of management actions. Strategically locating management responses can improve their effect on the impact target (i.e. water quality) (Nordblom et al., 2010). The simplest and most common adaptive management for acidity is to grow acid tolerant species (Hayes et al., 2008). Some native plants can adapt to acidic conditions using a mechanism known as ‘biological pumping’ where cations from the subsoil are balanced by anions from a plant; Tighe et al. (2009) found field evidence of this mechanism in a semi-arid region with invasive native scrub. Liming is the most common way to manage the acidity of agricultural soils and it differs from other adaptive responses because it changes the state (Fig. 2). Applying lime raises the soil pH by changing the nutrient cycles; with the amount of lime required determined by the soil’s buffering capacity (White, 2006). The liming of acid soil can increase cereal grain yields (Conyers et al., 2003) and both pasture and crop 64 J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 production benefit from liming (Evans and Scott, 2007). While liming can maintain or increase food production there is evidence that liming pastures has a negative impact on water quality (Ridley et al., 2001). Because of concerns about the environmental impacts of soil acidification, the Soil Conservation Service of NSW increased the scale of lime application by providing farmer subsidies (Scott et al., 2000). Typically lime application is done on a field by field basis, but these subsidies were provided in order to encourage more widespread use of lime and thus to minimise siltation of the new Pejar reservoir (Cumming and Walker, 1981). Adaptive management of erosion is based on protecting the soil surface, largely through modifying vegetation cover. The choice of crop type influences the likelihood and severity of soil water erosion. For example, cereal crops are superior to peas (Malinda, 1995) in minimising erosion and the loss of soil. In grazed landscapes, vegetation cover can be managed through manipulating stocking rates (Lilley and Moore, 2009). Conservation farming practices have been credited with reducing erosion from cropping land (Thomas et al., 2007). Freebairn et al. (2009) reported that the increased adoption of conservation tillage over an 18 year long study in southern Queensland corresponded with reduced sediment losses. Other practices which can also influence sediment deposition include vehicular traffic (Li et al., 2008), mulching (Dorahy et al., 2008) and the amount of stubble retained (Packer et al., 1992), because of the potential erosion pressure which can be caused. This is due to the effect on the soil surface (traffic) or through the protection of the soil surface (mulch, stubble). A thorough consideration of the scale and source of the erosion threat is required for applying adaptative management responses over a large study area such as the MDB. For instance, Bowmer (2011) reported that the localised benefits from stubble farming (in southern regions) are likely to be exceeded by erosion from gullies. Thus, the potential benefits from erosion management (in terms of reducing sediment losses) of gullies (a relatively small area) may be more important than an area protected by stubble (i.e. a larger cropped area). For wind erosion, there are few responses that are specifically targeted at this threat, however windbreaks are recommended in South Australia on light sandy soil types to protect crops against sandblasting (Bennell et al., 2007). The effectiveness and longevity of the adaptation management practices described above are limited and strongly relate to the land use; this in turn affects the extent that food production is maintained or water quality is protected. 4.2. Mitigatory management responses Salinity mitigation has focused largely on reducing groundwater rise and/or stream salt load through changing catchment hydrology (a pressure) by reducing recharge or via an engineering approach. Changes to catchment hydrology can be achieved by establishing land uses (drivers) that mimic the water-use patterns of pre-European settlement vegetation (Eberbach, 2003). In the MDB, land uses have been promoted that include trees or other woody perennials planted as alleys within crops or pastures, strategically located vegetation blocks or evenly spaced ‘woodlands’, and perennial pastures. The hydrological pressures associated with salinity involve complex upstream-downstream interactions. A catchment analysis of potential land-use changes on salt load by Nordblom et al. (2010) highlighted the significance of spatial placement for tree plantations (as a management response) and evaluated the subsequent effectiveness in mitigating against salinity. Engineering solutions implemented in irrigation areas include sub-surface drainage, groundwater pumping and aquifer depressurisation. These can minimise widespread or ‘diffuse’ salinisation; for example, the use of subsurface drainage to control the height of water tables (Hornbuckle et al., 2005). Alternative approaches deal with the disposal of dilute saline effluent. The practices involve effluent reuse on farms (Smith et al., 1996), evaporation basins at farm (SPPAC, 1989) or district scale (Ahmed et al., 2000) or the serial biological concentration (SBC) of salts which can be applied to treat discrete or point sources of salt (Khan et al., 2007). SBC involves the collection of water with relatively low salinity, which is then used to irrigate a series of increasingly salt tolerant plants. Drainage past the roots at each stage is collected and applied to the next, more salt-tolerant stage. Thus a large volume of dilute, difficult to dispose of effluent, is converted to a small volume of highly concentrated brine, which could be converted to salt. The SBC response involves a major intervention to land use (drivers) and hydrology (pressure) which is problematic from a practical and financial viewpoint. For example, Connor (2008) analysed the financial cost of an engineering project to pump saline water to evaporation ponds, and found that it would potentially take several decades until the benefits exceeded the costs. Major hydrological interventions that change the flow regime of a catchment such as dilution or environmental flows have been proposed as a mitigatory response to target salinity in the MDB (Goss, 2003; MDBA, 2010b). While mitigatory salinity management practices typically target land use (driver) or hydrology (pressures) (Fig. 2), at times they are also adaptive. Actions such as planting salt tolerant saltbush are an adaption to the enduring saline state (Seddon et al., 2009), but also have a mitigating effect by changing hydrology/water use. Lucerne and other perennial plant species have been used to manage the risk of salinity in pasture due to a hydrological change (Lefroy et al., 2005). Likewise, opportunistic summer forage cropping has been found to be effective in reducing deep drainage (Wang et al., 2008). It should be noted that both lucerne and summer forage cropping are financially beneficial to the farmer as they produce income. For all the mitigatory management responses given above, the best results will occur where the scale of the salinity threat is well matched to the drivers or pressures being targeted. Acidity is usually managed by adaptation; the mitigation of acidity has received much less attention. Land use and acidification rates are linked; land use intensity and net acid addition rate may predict areas at risk of acidification (Wilson et al., 2009). This was confirmed in southern NSW where cropping land and pasture land had different levels of surface soil acidity (Scott et al., 2007). While other drivers of acidity such as rainfall were important, this study concluded that land use dominated regional patterns of soil acidity. Consequently, farmers and land managers can change land use as a management response to mitigate acidification. In some locations, changing the land use to forestry is recommended, while elsewhere land retirement for recreational use (such as non-commercial land holdings or “hobby farms”) or crop rotations may be the best option (Scott et al., 2000). In a survey of crop rotations across southern Australia, Coventry et al. (2003) found that nutrient cycles, specifically either the N or C cycle, were an associated part of crop rotations that have the potential to increase the acidifying pressure. Modifying crop rotations can be considered as land use change; rotations which add excessive nitrogen will have an acidifying effect. There are several practices that can be applied to target nutrient cycle pressures, especially N losses. Responses include practices which reduce nitrate leaching, minimise product removal and maintain a sound nutrient balance (Peters et al., 2011). Nitrate leaching can be managed by reducing the amount of N fertilizer applied and by optimising the timing of application (Di and Cameron, 2002). Grazing management and in particular reducing the stocking rate can reduce acidification rates (Scott et al., 2000). In summary, mitigatory responses for acidity are focused on making changes to land use (a driver) or the nutrient cycle (a pressure). These practices aim to protect water quality or to maintain food production at a modified level. Management responses for acidity (both adaptative and mitigatory) are most typically introduced at the field scale. It remains a challenge to apply large scale responses (i.e. across many J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 landowners) that target acidity. Management responses that limit water erosion by hydrological means use engineering approaches such as terraces and waterways or bio-engineering with shelterbelts (Morgan, 2005). Changing tillage practices to increase infiltration and surface roughness can reduce runoff and erosion. Adopting no-tillage and conservation farming practices have reduced erosion and the associated soil loss from crop production systems (Freebairn et al., 2009; Thomas et al., 2007). Increasing vegetation cover is one way to mitigate both water and wind erosion. Vegetation cover can be maintained by halting the conversion of native vegetation to crop or pasture (Thornton et al., 2007), growing cover crops between the rows of grapes in vineyards (White, 2009) and stablizing vulnerable slopes with vegetative hedges (Truong and Scattini, 1990). Minor changes at the farm level may lead to significant benefits over a greater scale. A rotation could be changed to increase the duration of vegetation cover by growing a greater proportion of perennial pastures. Land use suitability criteria could be used to decide to not grow crops on land with a high risk of erosion. 5. Discussion We have reviewed the causes (drivers, pressures) and effects (state, impacts) of three land degrading threats (salinity, acidity and erosion) to the ES of providing food and managing water quality. We also examined options or solutions to respond to these threats. The causeeffect relationships and management responses we describe are generic and may be applied globally. We now evaluate the relationships and interactions between management responses and the two selected ES which can result in either trade-offs or synergies. Tradeoffs between ES occur when a management response increases the provision of one service while decreasing the provision of another service (Bennett et al., 2009a). In contrast, synergies develop when a management response results in the increased provision of two ES. It is inevitable that ‘winners’ or ‘losers’ emerge when attempting to deal with either salinity, acidity, erosion or other threatening processes. Finally, we discuss future priorities for developing a better understanding of threats to ES provision and indicate critical implications for related policy. 5.1. Trade-offs and synergies in ecosystem services from management responses for salinity, acidity and erosion Following the approach of Bennett et al. (2009a), we evaluated the nature of the relationships between management responses and key ES (Fig. 6). This allows detection of important attributes of these relationships: (i) the relative strength of the connection between the management response with the ES; (ii) the extent and type of the interaction between the ES; (iii) how both ES are directly affected; and (iv) whether a trade-off or synergy is likely to develop between the ES. To represent the ES in Fig. 6, we have given different impacts for food production and correspondingly different states for water quality. In sector 1 of Fig. 6 salt tolerant crops are grown on saline land. There is a direct positive effect on crop production, but no effect on either land salinity or water quality. This management response does not result in either a trade-off or synergy, it can be described as having a win-benign effect. A similar management response to acidity is the growing of acid tolerant crops. An example of a trade-off occurs with the application of limestone (CaCO3) to acidic soils, whereby pasture production may increase, but water quality decreases (Sector 2, Fig. 6). Because there is no interaction between the ES for Sectors 1 and 2 in Fig. 6, the ES connections are weak. Here, the dynamic nature of the response in biophysical agro-ecosystems ought to be considered; thus, determining the long-term residual benefits of applying limestone is critical (Conyers et al., 2003). Likewise, the state of the soil (see Section 65 3.2.3.) may be managed according to the desired level of service regulation (i.e. acceptable water quality), type of service provision (i.e. crop grown) and their combination. The strategic use of tree belts as a response to salinity illustrates the importance of understanding the interactions between the ES (Sector 3). Crosbie et al. (2007) reported that tree belts can have significant hydrological implications (a pressure) which in turn change the movement of salt. Here the management response has a single direct, positive relationship with the water quality ES and has the potential to increase crop production via a hydrological means (i.e. by reducing the extent of watertable rise). In this example, there are also positive effects on biodiversity (via landscape connectivity); thus Fig. 6 could be expanded to include other ES. This management response results in a synergy and has a win:win effect on the selected ES. An example of better-connected ES is given in Sector 4 where a modified irrigation (with a reduced leaching fraction) response is shown (Fig. 6). The strength of connection from crop production to salt load depends on the elapse of time: in the short term there are stronger effects on water quantity, while the water quality (e.g. salt load) effects develop over the long term (Herron et al., 2003). Moreover, in sector 3 and 4 of Fig. 6, we provide examples of how different management responses to the same threat result in contrasting ES interactions, although both responses are focused on influencing the pressure (hydrology). The nexus between water quality and quantity (water flow) has been described as the common hydrological trade-off for salinity management (Cocks, 2003). However, we show that this need not be the case. If irrigation is managed to minimise the leaching fraction and salt delivery to groundwater it is possible to increase crop production while reducing salt load (Sector 4, Fig. 6) (Thayalakumaran et al., 2007). Unfortunately, irrigation practices in the MDB often increased salt mobilisation and resulted in a trade-off with both crop production and salt load increasing (Duncan et al., 2008). Increased connections between ES occur in Sectors 5 and 6 (Fig. 6). The minimum tillage management response decreases both the erosion threat and the sediment load. There is a positive two-way interaction between the ES which retains more soil and increases crop production; thus, in the growing season the crop provides biomass which in turn enhances erosion control (Freebairn et al., 2009). Serial Biological Concentration (SBC) is an engineering solution that realises a synergy between the competing ES of crop production and water quality (Sector 6, Fig. 6). Of all the examples given, the SBC management response contains the most interactions between the ES and the response; it is the most complex and highest risk example given. It is difficult to successfully achieve SBC of salts, as either an incorrect choice of crop or hydrological leakage would turn the synergy (Table 2) to a trade-off between ES. It is worth noting that Khan et al. (2007) discussed hydrology and water table fluctuations in their assessment of SBC. Evaluating the MDB with the two selected ES is a useful manner in which to gauge the functional performance of this agro-ecosystem. 5.2. Future priorities for research of land degrading threats To better understand how the selected threats relate to ES, more attention must be paid to monitoring and assessment, and whole-of-systems research. Monitoring and assessment: There is a great need for improved assessment of the state of salinity and water erosion in the MDB. New data would enable the effect of these threats on ES to be better understood and also to assess the effectiveness of recent management responses. In comparison, the available information on acidity (soil pH) and wind erosion is better. Despite the amount of attention on salinity, the most recent state data are 410 years old (Jolly et al., 2001; MDBC, 1999; Williams et al., 1994). New surveys and data are needed on stream salinity (including salt 66 J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 Fig. 6. Examples of the relationships between management responses with two key ecosystem services (food production and water quality) and the connections between these ecosystem services for the threats of salinity (S), acidity (A) and erosion (E). (Solid arrows are positive effects, dashed arrows are negative effects and dotted arrows are positive interactions; with the circles for the ES the vertical arrows indicate an increasing (pointing up) or decreasing (pointing down) response, while the horizontal arrows indicate very little or no change. Crop production/yield and pasture production are used to indicate food production; salt load, nitrate level and sediment load are all measures of water quality.) Table 2 Management practice response examples, their corresponding trade-offs or synergies and ecosystem service interactions for the threats of salinity, acidity and erosion with key references. Sector Management response Threats targeted Trade-off or synergy Interactions between ecosystem services Reference 1a 1b 2a 3a 3b 4a 4b Growing tolerant crops Growing tolerant crops Liming Perennial vegetation (tree belts) Mulching Modified irrigation Change crop type None None Trade-off Synergy Synergy Synergy Synergy None None None Unidirectional, Unidirectional, Unidirectional, Unidirectional, Collard et al. (2011) Hayes et al. (2008) Conyers et al. (2003) Crosbie et al. (2007) Dorahy et al. (2008) Duncan et al. (2008) Carroll et al. (1997) 5a 6a Synergy Synergy Bidirectional, positive Bidirectional, positive Freebairn et al. (2009) Khan et al. (2007) 6b Minimum tillage Engineering works (serial biological concentration) Controlled grazing Salinity Acidity Acidity Salinity Erosion Salinity Salinity, acidity, erosion Erosion Salinity Erosion, acidity Synergy Bidirectional, positive 6b Stubble retention Erosion Synergy Bidirectional, positive Lilley and Moore (2009), Scott et al. (2000) Packer et al. (1992) a b positive positive positive positive These examples are illustrated in Fig. 6. These sector numbers would apply to these examples and have the same type of ES relationships/interactions. composition), groundwater salinity and the area of salinised soil. For water erosion, more data on sediment deposition and the erosion rates for different land use types across the MDB are required. Additional observations on sediment yields and associated nutrient loads would be useful to update and improve upon modelled estimates (Lu et al., 2006). Continued monitoring and assessment is required to provide up-to-date data to better understand the spatial and temporal changes from threats on the state and their associated impacts on key ES in the MDB. At the global level there is a great need to gather new data on the state for salinity, acidity and erosion to determine any changes since previous surveys or estimates (Oldeman, 1994; Sumner and Noble, 2003; Tanji and Kielen, 2002). This will allow the effect that these threats have on international food security to be assessed and any effects on the status of other vital ES to be realised. Furthermore, the application of DPSIR at any scale (from country to basin or catchment) enables the basis for a risk assessment to be developed of multiple threats for ES such as water quality, food or others. Whole-of-systems research: The commonality of and interaction between the drivers and pressures of the threats studied here is clearly shown by the DPSIR framework (Fig. 2). There have been very few studies in Australia that have investigated these interactions. The hypothesis of Conyers et al. (2008) linking soil acidity and the mobilisation of salts in the mid-Murrumbidgee river catchment provides a strong indication that major threats interact J.E. Holland et al. / Ecosystem Services 12 (2015) 55–70 at the landscape scale, but this requires further validation. In addition the relationship between soil acidity and erosion observed by Cumming and Walker (1981) has not been thoroughly studied over widespread areas of the MDB. This suggests that fundamental understanding on the causes of land degrading threats is limited. We found that a large number of management responses are well documented, but consider only a single threat or a single land use change. Interactions between management practices are poorly understood, especially where two or more threats are present. Research needs to consider the external effects of farm scale action and vice verse regional solutions need to consider the farm scale consequences of the land use changes they call for. Many studies that report on the impacts of threats have limited scope, (e.g. the effects of soil acidity on wool production (Li et al., 2006b), while providing no indication of the wider impacts on other aspects of production or the environment (including water quality and other ES). Hence, there is uncertainty on the aggregate impact of each threat at a large scale such as for the MDB. Also, there is a need to know the broader impact of salinity, acidity and erosion on other ES, especially climate regulating services (e.g. evapotranspiration which controls the amount of water vapour entering the atmosphere (UK NEA, 2011). It follows that the impacts on all ES at both the regional and global level need to be regularly (at least once per decade) determined due to significant recent changes in the drivers. The brevity of most studies misses the large temporal changes which drive agroecosystems. Long-term studies are needed to better quantify the drivers, pressures and state of salinity, acidity and erosion. Wholeof-systems research is invaluable for determining the impact on ES from specific and multiple threats and also unravelling the complexity of ES trade-offs. A whole systems approach is also advocated (called ‘ecological intensification’) by Hochman et al. (2013), with the aim of improving resource use efficiency and reducing the negative impacts from agricultural land use in Australia. Future studies on threats should be undertaken at a large scale over the long-term to improve the prediction of impacts on ES. 67 address multiple impacts are encouraged, although the spatial variability of land use makes this difficult. Nevertheless, some management responses such as controlled grazing or changing crop type (Table 2) can be implemented in different ways to target several different threats. Implementation of management responses should be encouraged where and when synergies are most likely, while the risk of trade-offs should be identified and decisions made according to the competing interests. In many cases trade-offs can not be avoided, but as this study has shown, by applying the DPSIR framework, relationships can be identified to estimate trade-offs or synergies. Bryan and Crossman (2013) outline the complexity in achieving efficient and desirable policy outcomes and concluded there is a need to account for the interactions between multiple ES for the management of agricultural land use. Nevertheless, when it comes to options that protect water quality there is often a need for incentives to change behaviour and for community involvement (Bowmer, 2014). The spatial distribution of different types of land managers is a significant challenge to policy development. Land tenure differences across the MDB create difficulties in accommodating the varied objectives with regard to ES. ES relationships with management responses should be used for the development of policy that accounts for ES provision at a range of scales. Further elucidation of ES relationships and interactions will ensure that policies are developed that encourage synergies rather than trade-offs. The assessment by Jones et al. (2013) of nitrogen impacts on ES show the importance of determining the net benefit in ES even though there may be uncertainty or difficulty with this calculation. In the same way policy measures to address landscape-scale threats such as salinity, acidity or erosion ought to work towards overall net benefits for ES and not try to pick single winners. Therefore, policy development for these threats must thoroughly account for the drivers, pressures and state (Fig. 2) and ES impacts, while acknowledging the temporal and spatial variability that characterise the agro-ecosystem. Acknowledgements 5.3. Implications for policy Previous programs to manage the agricultural and natural resource bases of the MDB have often been focused on a single threat e.g. Acid Soil Action (NSW Agriculture, 2000) or National Action Plan for Salinity and Water Quality (Commonwealth of Australia, 2000). We clearly show that threats interact and have multiple impacts on ES. Policy can focus on ES rather than on threats. However, multiple ES and their interactions must be considered. Policy should target specific end effects or impacts rather than selectively focusing on just some ES. For example, the MDB Basin Plan (MDBA, 2011) has focused on water supply as a provisioning ES at the expense of water quality as a regulating service. This leads to an unbalanced treatment of ES, which may not reflect the importance level of each ES. The DPSIR framework in Fig. 2 shows the shared drivers, pressures and impacts for salinity, acidity and erosion. Because there are two common drivers (climate and land use) between these threats, policy should recognise there are strong inter-relationships at the landscape scale and not just pay attention to a single threat. Awareness of the large variability that exists in the time scale over which different degradation processes operate is also needed. Nutrient cycling pressures are typically much faster than hydrological pressures. Thus, policy makers ought to note that the greatest difficulty and uncertainty lies in making estimates of future impacts from land degrading threats. Management responses vary significantly in their rate, effectiveness, cost and scale in targeting impacts. 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