Seasonal Variation of the South Equatorial Current Bifurcation off the Australian Coast Zhaohui Chen and Lixin Wu Physical Oceanography Laboratory, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China Abstract Role of ITF and islands in the east of Coral Sea in modulating SEC Ab Seasonal variation of the South Equatorial Current (SEC) bifurcation off the Australian coast in the upper Southwest Pacific is investigated based on observations and a 1.5-layer non-linear reduced gravity model. The mean SEC bifurcation latitude (SBL) integrated over the upper thermocline is around 17.5°S, almost 2° south of the position predicted by the Sverdrup theory. In terms of its seasonal variation, the SBL reaches the southernmost position in June/July and the northernmost position in November/December, with southnorth migration (Ab) of 2.5°, which is over twice larger than its counterpart in the North Pacific. It is found that, in addition to linear Rossby wave dynamics, the large SEC Ab attributes to the existence of Indonesian Throughflow (ITF) and islands in the east of Coral Sea. A series of numerical experiments indicate that the seasonally varying ITF could enhance the Ab by 0.5°, while the islands could reduce it by 1°, comparing with the model runs without the islands. This suggests the islands obstacle and the seasonal pulse from ITF play explicit roles in modulating SEC Ab, which are all absent in the NEC bifurcation issue in the North Pacific. A simple expression of the seasonal bifurcation involving the wind stress forcing in conjunction with baroclinic adjustment is proposed under the framework of linear Rossby wave dynamics. It is found that the seasonal variation of the bifurcation latitude is predominantly controlled by the spatial pattern of the seasonally varying wind forcing, while the baroclinic adjustment only determines Ab. This expression works well in reproducing the seasonal cycles of the SEC/NEC bifurcation under different spatial wind forcing in both hemispheres, and it provides a simple way to understand the critical role of local wind forcing in amplifying the south-north migration of the SBL off the Australian coast in comparison with the NEC bifurcation. FIG 3 (a) Seasonal cycle of the SBL in the control run (red), with ITF closed (blue), and tropical South Pacific wind forcing with ITF closed (green). (b) The seasonal evolution of the bifurcation latitude shift (Ctrl Run minus Close ITF, blue) and ITF transport in the Ctrl Run (red). FIG 4 (a) Seasonal cycle of the SBL in the control run (red) and sensitivity run without the islands east of Coral Sea (blue). (b) Same as (a) but for the cases with the ITF closed. To clarify why SEC Ab exhibits larger than NEC Ab, we performed sensitivity experiments using a 1.5-layer, non-linear, reduced gravity model to investigate the role of ITF and islands in modulating the SEC Ab. If the ITF is closed, the SBL would shift equatorward by over 2° (Fig. 3a) and the Ab would be reduced by about 0.5°, which could be attributed to the seasonally varying ITF (Fig. 3b). Further experiments show that the islands will be obstacles to the SEC inflow by ‘island rule’, leading to the northward shift of the bifurcation latitude (Fig. 4) and the reduction in Ab (about 1°) compared with the case where no islands exist (Fig. 4a). If ITF is closed, as shown in Fig. 4b, Ab has no significant change, implying a farther south bifurcation will inevitably be influenced by the northern tip of New Caledonia. A simple bifurcation expression Seasonal variation of the SBL off the Australian coast FIG 1 Seasonal variation of the SBL derived from the satellite altimetry SSH data (black), the geostrophic flow averaged in the upper 400 m (red) derived from the WOD T/S data, and the meridional flow averaged in the upper 410 m from the ECCO2 product (blue). The pluses denote individual bifurcation latitude estimated from the SSH data and the shaded bars denote the standard deviation range. The dashed lines represent mean values. The mean SBL integrated over the upper 400 m is located between 17.5 ºS and 17.8 ºS based on the calculations from WOD 09 and ECCO2, but 15.5 ºS from the 20-year altimetry SSH data analysis (Fig. 1). This 2ºdifference is largely due to the poleward tilting of the SEC bifurcation with an increasing depth. In terms of the seasonal variation, it moves to the southernmost position in June/July and the northernmost position in November/December, with south-north migration of 2.5º, which is over twice larger than its counterpart, i.e., NEC bifurcation off the Philippines in the North Pacific (Fig. 2). c) FIG 5 (a) Seasonal cycle of the NEC/SEC bifurcation latitude derived from the model runs, in which only tropical wind stress forcing is considered. (b) Same as (a) but for the linear Rossby model forced by wind stress curl. (c) (c) Annual migration of the zero line as a function of longitude. If we eliminate the impacts of the islands and ITF, it is shown in Fig. 5a, b that SEC Ab is still larger than NEC Ab. To explain their difference, we propose a simple bifurcation expression under the framework of linear Rossby wave dynamics: the seasonal bifurcation is regarded as the overall response to the south-north migration of the zero curl line integrated over the basin. Suppose the wind forcing is expressed by a sinusoidal function, and it F (t ) A sin(t ) indicates the zero line reaches its southernmost position in March: As in Fig. 5c, the forcing exhibits a spatial-dependent form (L indicates the basin width; k describes zonal level of the forcing) cos(t ) 2 1 2 a baroclinic adjustment coefficient, where a is transit years of Rossby wave. R(t ) A cos( t ) e cos( t 2 a ) sin( t ) e sin( t 2 a ) 2 ( / k ) 1 k k 1 k Response to westernmost wind forcing (x=0) with 3-month lag 1 k Response to easternmost wind forcing (x=L) with 3-month lag A Y (t ) cos(t ) e cos(t 2 a) MeanLat (curl ) 2 ( / k ) 1 NP A=13/2,k=1.5 SP A=22/2,k=0.5 www.PosterPresentations.c om The overall response at the WB is the integration over the entire basin (from 0 to L), we have: 1 k RESEARCH POSTER PRESENTATION DESIGN © 2011 x kL The response of the western boundary to wind forcing at any x x kL point can be regarded as the time-lag response due to baroclinic r ( x, t ) Ae cos(t ) 2 c Rossby wave propagation (c is the phase speed of Rossby waves) Damping Coefficient FIG 2 Seasonal cycle of the NEC/SEC bifurcation latitude derived from WOD geostrophic flow, satellite altimetry SSH data, and ECCO2 product. F ( x, t ) Ae NP Peak Month: 9 SP Peak Month: 8 Suppose the mean curl is at 15°N/15°S Cr=0.16m/s LNP 120° LSP 130° Response to non-zonal wind forcing due to the dependence of A on longitude (x), but it is very small (high-order terms).
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