Review Questions Following the formation of NAFTA, what was expected to happen to wages of unskilled labor relative to wages of skilled labor in Mexico and in the United States as U.S. outsourcing occurred? Both should fall The table gives U.S. and Indian labor requirements (hours per unit of output) needed in each of four activities to produce the final product. If trade costs are zero, which operations will the United States outsource to India? assembly operations, component production, and office services The table gives U.S. and Indian labor requirements (hours per unit of output) needed in each of four activities to produce the final product. Suppose that “trade costs” represent 25% of wage costs in India. Now which operations will the United States outsource to India? assembly operations only What is the root of the apparent contradiction in Paul Samuelson's statements regarding the benefits of trade and the results of the theories discussed in the book? Answer in this lecture. Lecture09Spring09 Page 1 Wednesday, April 15, 2009 15:13 Lecture09Spring09 Page 2 Gains from outsourcing Focus on two of the n steps: Research&Development and Components Manufacturing. No outsourcing With Outsourcing Price of final good? P * Y (Total Cost) Who gains? Skilled workers: Unskilled workers: Can continued outsourcing be bad? (Samuelson 2004) Lecture09Spring09 Page 3 Samuelson didn't compare trade to non‐trade… Samuelson compared two different trade equilibria. Lecture09Spring09 Page 4 Chapter 8: Import tariffs under perfect competition Previously: Gains/Losses from Trade: Why tax imports (good economic reasons)? The WTO: Established as General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in 1947. Provisions: 1. A nation must extend the same tariffs to all trading partners that are WTO members (Most favored nation clause) 2. Tariffs may be imposed in response to dumping Lecture09Spring09 Page 5 3. Countries should not limit the quantity of goods and services that they import 4. Countries should declare export subsidies: benefits for firms that product goods specifically for export 5. Countries can temporarily raise tariffs for certain products. Lecture09Spring09 Page 6 Trade and Surplus: perfect competition Autarky Equilibrium P PA PW QS QA QD Q Lecture09Spring09 Page 7 What if trade opens up and PW < PA? P PW PA PA PW QS QA QD Q QD-QS Qimports What if trade opens up and PW > PA? PW P PW PA PA QD QA QS Q If PW < PA, consumers will demand more than sellers are willing to Lecture09Spring09 Page 8 QS-QD Qexports supply, which creates an import demand If If PW > PA, Sellers will supply more than consumers demand, which creates an export supply. Lecture09Spring09 Page 9 Import Tariffs and Surplus: small countries Small Country assumption: PW is not affected by a tariff by the home country. Why? There are plenty of other importing countries Result: Perfectly elastic foreign Export supply curve: PW PA QD-QS Qimports Price consumer pays = import price + tariff P P=PW+t PW Q S P P P=PW+t Lecture09Spring09 Page 10 S P P P=PW+t PW X D M Q Conclusion: Import tariffs will lower surplus in a small country Lecture09Spring09 Page 11 M,X Import tariffs for big countries Small country assumption: If importing country does not buy the goods at world market prices, foreign sellers will just supply elsewhere: Result: Perfectly elastic export supply curve. Big country: Importing country's actions do affect world market conditions. Result: upward sloping export supply curve. S P P X PW D M Q Gains and losses from Tariffs Conclusion: Small importing countries pay all the incidence of an import tax: Lower surplus due to deadweight loss Big importing countries make foreign suppliers pay part of the tax: terms of trade gains offset deadweight loss Lecture09Spring09 Page 12 M,X Optimal Tariff Tariffs are always bad for small countries: optimal tariff is zero Tariffs are sometimes good for big countries: what is the optimal tariff? X+t Effects of a small increase in tariff: X M M,X Lecture09Spring09 Page 13 X+t+dt Gain in Government revenue due to tariff increase: X+t X dP t Loss in non‐Govt Surplus dP* M dM Total change in welfare due to small tariff increase: M Lecture09Spring09 Page 14 M,X The optimal tariff, expressed as a percent of the foreign export price, is = 1/elasticity of the foreign export supply curve. Example: Tariffs for steel products: Product Actual Tariff Elasticity of export supply Alloy steel flat rolled products 0.30 0.27 Iron and steel bars 0.15‐0.30 0.80 Ferrous waste 0 17 Iron and steel tubes 0.13‐0.15 90 Lecture09Spring09 Page 15 Test of this theory? Multifibre Arrangement: Lecture09Spring09 Page 16 2004 Import Quotas: Quantity restriction on imports S P P PA PW X D M Q Welfare Effects of a Quota resulting in import price of P2 versus a tariff that results in an import price of P2 Consumer surplus: Producer Surplus: Government revenue Splitting up the Quota Rents Quota License: Permits to import the quantity allowed under the quota system Lecture09Spring09 Page 17 M,X Quota auction: Auction off the quotas Voluntary export restraint (VER) Lecture09Spring09 Page 18 Review Questions Suppose that the free-trade price of a ton of steel is €500. Finland, a small country, imposes a €60-per-ton specific tariff on imported steel. With the tariff, Finland produces 300,000 tons of steel and consumes 600,000 tons of steel. What is the purpose of this €60-per-ton tariff? Who will gain and who will lose as a result Finland's €60 tariff on imported steel? Suppose that the €60 tariff caused Finnish production of steel to increase by 100,000 tons and Finnish consumption of steel to fall by 100,000 tons. What is the value of Finland's welfare loss due to the tariff? Suppose that the €60 tariff caused Finnish production of steel to increase by 100,000 tons and Finnish consumption of steel to fall by 100,000 tons. What is the value of Finland's welfare loss due to the tariff? What will happen to the Finnish price of steel if Finnish demand increases and the tariff remains at €60? Lecture09Spring09 Page 19
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