Remote Sensing of Environment 91 (2004) 153 – 159 www.elsevier.com/locate/rse Observing the coupling effect between warm pool and ‘‘rain pool’’ in the Pacific Ocean Ge Chen *, Chaoyang Fang, Caiyun Zhang, Yong Chen Ocean Remote Sensing Institute, Ocean University of China, 5 Yushan Road, Qingdao 266003, China Received 1 July 2003; received in revised form 19 February 2004; accepted 21 February 2004 Abstract Traditionally, the tropical zone is known as the ‘‘heat reservoir’’ of the ocean and the ‘‘firebox’’ of the atmosphere. The western equatorial Pacific has been identified as both the warmest portion of the heat reservoir, named ‘‘warm pool’’ (WP), and the hottest portion of the firebox where a huge amount of precipitation-induced latent-heat release is accumulated. The latter mirrors a fact that the western tropical Pacific is also the wettest area on the globe, termed ‘‘rain pool’’ (RP), where the maximum annual precipitation is observed. The accumulation of continuous satellite data has reached a point that decade-long simultaneous observations of many important geophysical parameters have become available in recent years. One such example is the availability of a concurrent dataset of sea surface temperature, oceanic precipitation, and sea surface wind field for 1993 – 2002 derived from NOAA/AVHRR (Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer), TOPEX/TMR (TOPEX Microwave Radiometer), and ERS-1,2/QuikSCAT, respectively. In the present study, this dataset is used to demonstrate and investigate the coupling and covarying effects of the Pacific WP and RP, leading to a number of interesting findings on their structural similarity, locational shift, phase lag, and evolutional coherency in association with the development of and the vacillation between El Niño and La Niña events. D 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Keywords: Warm pool; Rain pool; Pacific Ocean 1. Introduction In recent decades, tropical Pacific has become one of the focused regions for scientific studies of climate variability and global change. It has been identified as the originating area of the El Niño-La Niña phenomenon, which affects more than half of the world’s population. The geophysical background behind this is perhaps the fact that tropical Pacific is an area of most intensive air –sea interaction on the globe. It is understood that in the tropics, the ocean and the atmosphere are closely coupled, with the precipitation system providing a major linking mechanism. The atmosphere’s impact on the ocean is exerted through winds, which get most of their energy from the release of latent heat by precipitation. An estimated two-thirds of this precipitation fall in the tropics. The atmosphere, in turn, responds strongly to the distribution of sea surface temperature * Corresponding author. Tel.: +86-532-2033196; fax: +86-5322032424. E-mail address: [email protected] (G. Chen). 0034-4257/$ - see front matter D 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.rse.2004.02.010 (SST) anomalies. This happens because the tall, heavily raining cloud systems grow rapidly over regions of warm SST anomalies and are considerably suppressed where the SSTs are colder. In addition, rainfall also acts as a significant buoyancy input to the sea surface which stabilizes the mixed layer, and feeds back to the SST via lensing effect. The western Pacific warm pool (WP), defined as the oceanic areas with SSTs>28 jC (e.g., Ho et al., 1995) or 29 jC (e.g., McPhaden & Picaut, 1990), holds the warmest seawaters in the world. It spans the western areas of the equatorial Pacific to the eastern Indian Ocean, and is in fact the largest heat reservoir of the global ocean. On the other hand, of all the various atmospheric phenomena that characterize the tropical region, the most vivid feature is perhaps the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), or the meteorological equator, which is also referred to as the atmosphere’s ‘‘firebox’’. Over three-fourths of the firebox energy come from precipitation-related latent heat release as a result of dramatic convective cloud activities along the ITCZ. A particularly important and active part of the firebox is again located in the western Pacific region (including the maritime continent), where the maximum annual precipitation on the 154 G. Chen et al. / Remote Sensing of Environment 91 (2004) 153–159 globe is observed. This ‘‘wettest’’ oceanic area, which is called ‘‘rain pool’’ (RP) for simplicity, acts as the strongest heat engine of the global atmosphere. The warm pool, along with the rain pool, is believed to play a critical part in shaping the global climate. Moreover, they have taken on a special significance in El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) studies since 1990s, following the recognition of their close links to the onset and termination of El Niño and La Niña events (e.g., McPhaden & Picaut, 1990; Spencer, 1993). Many previous studies have addressed climate-related issues in such a context. Among them, Bjerknes (1969) is perhaps the first who demonstrates that the basin-scale SST difference between the huge WP in the western Pacific and upwelling cold water of the eastern equatorial Pacific is a fundamental determinant of the circulation and precipitation regimes of the tropical Pacific. Rasmusson and Arkin (1993) present an idealized representation of the time/space hierarchal relationship among several modes of tropical precipitation variability in the equatorial belt of the eastern Indian Ocean– western Pacific sector (see their Fig. 5), and discuss their connection with underlying SST pattern. As they point out, for example, the changes in equatorial SSTs in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific during the ENSO cycle exercise strong control on the annual cycle of precipitation. Also, they suggest that the primary precipitation pattern of the Madden –Julian intraseasonal oscillation can be broadly described as an east –west oscillation around the region of high SST associated with the west Pacific– Indian Ocean monsoon. More recently, scientists are able to track and analyze the entire evolution of the 1997 – 1999 El Niño/La Niña with unprecedented details using both field (e.g., McPhaden, 1999) and satellite data (e.g., Quartly et al., 2000). A major advancement of these studies is the complete recording of a full cycle of the ENSO oscillation with at least 100-year return extremes via a ‘‘troika’’ of SST, wind field, and rainfall. The purpose of the present study is to further illustrate and investigate the coupling effect between the oceanic warm pool and the atmospheric rain pool in terms of spatial similarity and temporal coherency. These are thought to be essential for the understanding of ENSO mechanism in particular, and air – sea interaction in general. 2. Satellite data A decade-long simultaneous dataset of NOAA/AVHRR (Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer), TOPEX/ TMR (TOPEX Microwave Radiometer), and ERS-1,2/ QuikSCAT spanning January 1993 through December 2002 and covering 50jS 50jN, 100jE 290jE has been compiled, on the basis of which 120 collocated fields of 1 1j monthly SST, rain rate, and wind velocity are obtained and described, respectively. (1) The SST data are extracted from a NOAA/NASA Oceans Pathfinder Product called ‘‘Equal Angle Best SST’’, which has a spatial resolution of 9 km and a temporal resolution of 8 days (Vazquez et al., 1998). In the equal-angle projection there is an equal number of pixels in both the longitude and latitude directions. The 9-km dataset consists of data with 4096 pixels in the east – west direction (longitudinal) and 2048 pixels in the north –south direction (latitudinal). This product retains, after a series of statistical tests, only high quality pixels. All versions of the Pathfinder SST algorithm are based on the NOAA/National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Service (NESDIS) nonlinear SST operational algorithm (Kilpatrick et al., 2001). An optimal interpolation is performed to reconstruct the SST dataset with a 1 1j spatial grid and a 1-month time interval. (2) The TOPEX/Poseidon mission offers the first opportunity to observe rain cells over the ocean simultaneously by a dual-frequency radar altimeter (TOPEX) and a three-frequency radiometer (TMR). A joint index is proposed to quantify the effects of rain on TOPEX altimeter and TMR radiometer (Chen et al., 1997). The oceanic precipitation is derived using a semi-analytical algorithm based on coincident TOPEX/TMR GDR (Geophysical Data Record) data provided by AVISO (AVISO, 1996). Technical aspects of the TOPEX/TMR-based rain algorithms as well as comparisons between TOPEX/TMR and other precipitation climatologies, such as GPCP (Global Precipitation Climatology Project, Huffman et al., 1997), can be found in Chen et al. (1997, 2003) and Quartly et al. (1999). (3) The gridded mean wind fields are retrieved from satellite scatterometers onboard ERS-1 (01/1993-05/1996), ERS-2 (06/1996-12/ 2000), and QuikSCAT (01/2001-12/2002) (CERSAT, 2002a,b). In order to reconstruct gap-filled and averaged synoptic wind fields from discrete observations over a given time period, a statistical interpolation is performed using an objective analysis (Bentamy et al., 1999). The method is based on a minimum variance scheme related to the kriging technique which is widely used in geophysical studies. 3. Spatial similarity of the Pacific WP and RP Previous studies have revealed that the interannual variabilities of the western Pacific WP (e.g., Ho et al., 1995; McPhaden & Picaut, 1990) and RP (e.g., Joyce & Arkin, 1997; Spencer, 1993) are both characterized by a zonal oscillation of their central positions, with the eastern and western extrema being reached during El Niños and La Niñas, respectively. It can therefore be anticipated that geographical correlations between the WP and RP may be better illustrated by their behaviors during El Niño and La Niña years. For the period of our data duration (1993 – 2002), the years 1993, 1994, 1997, and 2002 are dominated by El Niños, whereas La Niñas prevail during 1999 and 2000. The annual average rain rate and SST of the Pacific Ocean for the El Niño and La Niña years are shown in Fig. 1a– d, respectively. Several striking characteristics can be identified from the four sub-plots. First, both the WP and the RP exhibit a two-core structure in the El Niño mode (as G. Chen et al. / Remote Sensing of Environment 91 (2004) 153–159 155 Fig. 1. Averaged oceanic precipitation (in mm/day) of the Pacific for the composite (a) El Niño (1993, 1994, 1997 and 2002), and (b) La Niña (1999 and 2000) years during 1993 – 2002. (c) and (d) are similar maps but for SST (in jC). The two-core structures of RP and WP are marked with white arrows in (a) and (c). The boundaries of the WP in (c) and (d) are depicted by thick contours corresponding to 28 jC. indicated with the white arrows in Fig. 1a and c, respectively), in contrast to a well-defined single-core pool in the La Niña mode (Fig. 1b and d). Second, the WP and the RP share a double-tongue pattern at their eastern edges in the La Niña mode (Fig. 1b and d), but it becomes less obvious in the El Niño mode, especially for the WP (Fig. 1a and c). Third, a systematic zonal migration of approximately 30j is observed for the centers of both the WP and the RP from El Niño (in the east) to La Niña (in the west). Fourth, a westward shift of about 20j is found for the RP with respect to the WP, and this displacement seems to be of little change from El Niño to La Niña. In summary, it is clear that the WP and the RP are well correlated, an overall similarity exists in their spatial patterns, and these patterns shift apart in space but vary coherently with time. Naturally, several interesting questions arise: (1) Why do the WP and the RP bear a similar spatial pattern? (2) Why is the RP shifted westward with respect to the WP? (3) Why does the WP and hence the RP oscillate zonally on interannual time scales? The answer to the first question is straightforward in principle: The WP and the RP are dynamically and thermodynamically coupled. The WP waters are warm enough to drive heat and moisture high into the atmosphere, and the ability of the atmosphere to hold water vapor increases nonlinearly with temperature. The atmospheres laden with heat and moisture from sensible heating and surface evaporation over the WP converge to form a zone of increased mean convection, cloudiness, and hence precipitation. Therefore, the existence of an atmospheric counterpart of the oceanic WP with correlated spatial structure can be expected. Specifically, the split of the WP and hence the RP into two cores during El Niños is likely to be a surface manifestation of the formation of a cooling zone in the subsurface upper ocean near 160jE (see, e.g., the bottom panel of Fig. 2 in Webster & Palmer, 1997). To answer the second question, the rotation of the earth is a principal factor to consider. As discussed earlier, large amounts of heat and water vapor are transferred to the atmosphere over the WP region. The rising air moves somewhat independently of the earth’s surface since there is little or low friction between the earth’s surface and the atmosphere. Moreover, as the WP is basically located near the equator, meridional deflection due to the Coriolis effect is negligible. The RP is therefore left to the west of the WP as the earth rotates toward the east. Also recall that although this region coincides with a minimum wind of the world’s oceans, the speed is non-zero (see, e.g., Fig. 1 of Chen et al., 2002) and the prevailing direction is usually toward west (except for the bursts of westerlies during the initial phase of an El Niño episode, see Fig. 4a below). This adds to the earth’s rotational effect in further shifting the RP toward west. Besides these, the RP may also be ‘‘locked’’ to the vicinity of the maritime continent via a sort of ‘‘anchoring effect’’ which has not been entirely understood. A very recent study by McBride et al. (2003) suggests that ‘‘boomerang-shaped’’ SST anomalies are ‘‘upstream’’ rather than being collocated with the maritime continent rainfall. A mechanism has been hypothesized whereby the interannual variability of maritime continent rainfall is simply a downstream response to the boomerang sea surface temperature pattern. This might be a new clue for interpreting the WP/ RP shift, although its validity needs to be further explored. As far as the third question is concerned, it is widely accepted that the best known mode of SST variability in the tropical Pacific is associated with the ENSO phenomenon (Lau, 1997). In fact, the zonal migration of the western 156 G. Chen et al. / Remote Sensing of Environment 91 (2004) 153–159 Pacific WP and its overlying convection are fundamental to ENSO (McPhaden & Picaut, 1990). This migration has generally been attributed to wind-driven zonal current advection. To help understand its mechanism, the SST and precipitation anomalies for the composite El Niño and La Niña years relative to their respective decadal climatologies are shown in Fig. 2. Several notable features are easily identifiable in the four panels of Fig. 2. First, a dipole-like pattern exists for the El Niño precipitation anomaly (Fig. 2a). This is found to switch to a sign-opposite dipole for the La Niña mode (Fig. 2b). A close inspection of Fig. 2a and b reveals that the maximum rain anomaly during the warm events is located slightly west of the minimum rain anomaly during the cold events, as is also found by Hoerling et al. (1997, see their Fig. 5). Second, the SST anomalies between El Niños and La Niñas are also anticorrelated (Fig. 2c and d), with extremely large positive values observed along the west coast of Peru under El Niño mode. Third, despite an overall spatial similarity with a systematic zonal shift between the corresponding precipitation and SST anomalies, the locations of their positive maxima are totally separated under El Niño mode, with the precipitation anomaly peaked around the dateline, whereas the SST anomaly peaked along the Peruvian coast. This, according to Hoerling et al. (1997), is primarily due to the nonlinearity of the thermodynamic control on deep convection, as also illustrated by Berg et al. (2002) with satellite observed differences between east and west Pacific rainfall systems over relatively cold or warm SSTs. Another interesting feature to be noted is that the change of sign near 170jE on the map of SST anomaly (Fig. 2a) coincides with the core of the precipitation anomaly at the equator (Fig. 2c). This might be more than just a coincidence, but a satisfactory explanation is not readily available. Nevertheless, it is clear that a kind of teleconnection exists between the peak intensities of SST and rainfall anomalies, although they are geographically uncorrelated. Accordingly, the WP movement in the central western Pacific is found to be largely in phase with the evolution of SST anomaly in the southeastern Pacific. Bearing in mind the distribution of and the relationship between precipitation and SST anomalies, we now return to the third question raised above. According to McPhaden and Picaut (1990), warm SST anomalies in central and eastern tropical Pacific generate anomalous deep atmospheric convection fed by convergence of surface winds. This surface convergence leads to a considerable weakening of the trade winds west of the warm SST anomalies. The ocean responds rapidly to this weakening: Surface currents locally accelerate eastward, and large-scale equatorial Kelvin and Rossby waves radiate out from the directly forced region to reinforce and spread the warm SST anomaly across the basin. This positive feedback loop continues to grow until easterly trade winds return to their full strength. The entire process may last for 12 – 18 months during which a cycle of zonal oscillation of the WP and RP is completed. 4. Covariation of the Pacific WP and RP: an extraordinary case The 1997 – 1998 El Niño event, which is by far the strongest in recorded history (McPhaden, 1999), provides an excellent opportunity to examine the synchronized zonal migration of the WP and RP. In doing so, time-longitude diagrams of rain rate and SST at the equator are plotted for 1993– 2002, as shown in Fig. 3a and b, respectively. It can be seen that the dateline serves roughly as a dividing line between two characteristic regimes. East to the dateline, cold features of SST and dry features of precipitation appear Fig. 2. Oceanic precipitation and SST anomalies corresponding to Fig. 1 with respect to a 10-year climatology from 1993 to 2002. G. Chen et al. / Remote Sensing of Environment 91 (2004) 153–159 157 Fig. 3. Time/longitude diagram of (a) rain rate (in mm/day) and (b) SST (in jC) along the equator (averaged between 5jS and 5jN) derived from TOPEX/TMR and NOAA/AVHRR, respectively. The blue and white arrows in (a) and (b) depict eastward propagations of the RP and the WP, respectively. The yellow arrow in (a) depicts westward propagation of a dry zone associated with the South Pacific marine desert. The pink arrow in (b) depicts westward propagation of the South Equatorial Current. The dashed curves are duplicates of those with the same color at the corresponding location in the other panel. The vertical dashed lines in (a) and (b) indicate the dateline. to propagate westward consistently with a regular seasonal fluctuation in intensity (see the pink and yellow arrows in Fig. 3a and b). The cold SST propagation can be traced to the South Equatorial Current which is driven by the southeast trade winds and flows westward along the immediate south of the equator, and further back to the Peru Current which transports the upwelled cold water from south to north along the Peruvian coast. On the other hand, the propagation of a low precipitation zone is a manifestation of the annual migration of the South Pacific marine desert (see also Fig. 1a and b). The two propagations, though somewhat coherent in time, are based on different mechanisms. As a result, the centers of the dry and cold features are well separated (230jE versus 270jE), with the former propagating at a speed twice that of the latter. Note that the annual migration of the dry zone (and hence the South Pacific marine desert) is more irregular than the cold tongue in terms of propagation speed and direction. In fact, the dry zone is relatively stable in its location during 1998, while moving westward in 1999 and eastward in 2001. West to the dateline, however, the evolution of SST and precipitation is dominated by largescale interannual variabilities. The warm and wet cores of the WP and RP are found to wander zonally from year to year with a weak annual cycle in their intensities. Noticeably, coherent trans-Pacific propagations are observed for both the WP and the RP from early 1996 to early 1998 (see the white and blue arrows in Fig. 3a and b). These energetic motions progress eastward overwhelmingly and suppress, to a large extent, the inherent seasonality in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific during 1997 (see the blue box in Fig. 3b). Meanwhile it can be recognized that the RP is characterized by a series of local maxima on its way to the east (Fig. 3a), owing to the intermittent nature of rainfall and the sampling scheme of TOPEX altimetry. In contrast, the WP migrates eastward continuously as a whole with a declining strength (Fig. 3b). The speed of the cross-basin translation increases gradually from west ( f 0.12 m/s) to east ( f 0.36 m/s) with an average value of approximately 0.23 m/s, which is roughly comparable to the advection speed of the geostrophic zonal current (0.35 –0.4 m/s) produced by the equatorial 158 G. Chen et al. / Remote Sensing of Environment 91 (2004) 153–159 Kelvin waves (Boulanger & Durand, 2001). These Kelvin waves are excited by the bursts of westerlies in the western Pacific, and may potentially lead to the onset of an El Niño event. Again, the zonal displacement between the two parallel arrow curves (blue and white) in Fig. 3 is worth noting. This implies a phase lag of about 50 – 60 days between the ENSO warm event and the corresponding rainfall peak during 1996 – 1998. Interestingly, and perhaps also surprisingly, a return journey of the WP and RP related features is not seen. Instead, a sudden termination of the propagation in the eastern Pacific is followed by an immediate restoration of the climate conditions in the western Pacific, suggesting that the onset and demise of the El Niños are probably of different nature, rather than being two subsequent phases of a single process governed by a sole mechanism. To further understand the coupling between SST and rainfall in the equatorial Pacific, time-longitude diagrams of zonal and meridional wind velocity are examined (Fig. 4). The zonal wind along the equator is dominated by westerlies in the western and eastern Pacific, while by easterlies in the central Pacific. A violation of this basic pattern is observed in 1997 during which period the westerly over the warm pool region intensifies significantly and meanwhile propagates eastward until 200jE (Fig. 4a). This is consistent with the result of McPhaden (1999) who finds that the strongest surface westerly winds and deep convection are apparent only over waters warmer than about 29 jC. As a result, ocean currents forced by these westerlies advect warm water eastward near the equator, increasing the areal extent of the warm pool (Fig. 3b). A positive feedback between westerly wind forcing and warm pool expansion is maintained throughout 1997. As far as the meridional component of the wind field is concerned, the equatorial Pacific is largely controlled by southerly to the east of the dateline. The only exception during the 10-year period is found in the first few months of 1998 when northerly prevails in almost the entire equatorial Pacific (Fig. 4b). More importantly, it should be noted that the termination of the enhanced westerlies is followed immediately by the occurrence of a meridional wind reversal. It may therefore be argued that the onset of the 1997 – 1998 El Niño is accompanied by anomalous intensification and migration of westerlies from west to central Pacific, while the demise of the event is associated with a sudden reversal of meridional wind from southerly to northerly along the equatorial Pacific. Fig. 4. Time/longitude diagram of (a) zonal and (b) meridional component of sea surface wind speed along the equator (averaged between 5jS and 5jN) derived from ERS-1, -2 and QuikSCAT, respectively. Positive (negative) winds are westerly (easterly) and southerly (northerly) in (a) and (b), respectively. The vertical dashed lines in (a) and (b) indicate the dateline. G. Chen et al. / Remote Sensing of Environment 91 (2004) 153–159 5. Concluding remarks During the past two decades or so, it has become a general consensus that the tropical Pacific serves, in many aspects, as the ‘‘heart’’ of the ocean/atmosphere system from which the pulse of the globe can be best taken. In this context, the western Pacific WP and RP may act as the ‘‘ventricle’’ and ‘‘atrium’’ which are inherently coupled with each other. Consequently, it is obvious that the WP and the RP are critical to the geophysical ‘‘health’’ of our planet. In this study, taking the advantage of unprecedented decade-long simultaneous satellite observations, the coupling effects between the Pacific WP and RP are illustrated and analyzed on the basis of composite SST and rain rate scenarios corresponding to the El Niño and La Niña modes. Our results indicate that the RP mirrors the WP nicely in terms of spatial structure, at least in a climatological sense. Their geographical locations, however, are found to shift by some 20j with the RP displaced to the west. The covarying behavior of the WP and RP is clearly demonstrated by the coherent trans-Pacific propagations of their central locations with a phase lag of about 50 –60 days during the 1997 –1998 El Niño event. The atmospheric convection, the oceanic advection, the earth’s rotation, and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation are thought to be mainly responsible for the observed characteristics. Finally, we would like to conclude by arguing that simultaneous observation and joint analysis of tropical Pacific SST and precipitation, as well as other geophysical parameters such as wind, wave and sea level, in a ‘‘pool’’ context might be an effective and efficient approach toward a better characterization and further understanding of the global air – sea interaction in general, and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation in particular. Acknowledgements This work is cosponsored by the Natural Science Foundation of China (Project No.: 40025615), the National High-Tech Project on Ocean Monitoring Technology (Project No.: 2001-AA63-3060), and the Teaching and Research Award Program for Outstanding Young Teachers in Higher Education Institutions of MOE, PRC. The authors are grateful to the anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments and constructive suggestions. References AVISO. (1996). AVISO user handbook: Merged TOPEX/POSEIDON products, AVI-NT-02-101-CN (3rd ed.). Toulouse, France, 196 pp. Bentamy, A., Queffeulou, P., Quilfen, Y., & Katsaros, K. (1999). Ocean surface wind fields estimated from satellite active and passive microwave instruments. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 37, 2469 – 2486. Berg, W., Kummerow, C., & Morales, C. A. (2002). Differences be- 159 tween east and west Pacific rainfall systems. Journal of Climate, 15, 3659 – 3672. Bjerknes, J. (1969). Atmospheric teleconnections from the equatorial Pacific. Monthly Weather Review, 97, 820 – 829. Boulanger, J. -P., & Durand, E. (2001). Role of non-linear oceanic processes in the response to westerly wind events: New implications for the 1997 El Niño onset. Geophysical Research Letters, 28, 1603 – 1606. CERSAT. (2002a). CERSAT user manual: Mean wind fields (MWF Product), volume 1, ERS-1, ERS-2 and NSCAT. Plouzané, France: C2-MUTW-05-IF, Version 1.0. CERSAT. (2002b). CERSAT user Manual: QuikSCAT scatterometer mean wind field products, Volume 2. Plouzané, France: C2-MUT-W-03-IF, Version 1.0. Chen, G., Chapron, B., Tournadre, J., Katsaros, K., & Vandemark, D. (1997). Global oceanic precipitation: A joint view by TOPEX and the TOPEX microwave radiometer. Journal of Geophysical Research, 102, 10457 – 10471. Chen, G., Ezraty, R., Fang, C., & Fang, L. (2002). A new look at the zonal pattern of the marine wind system from TOPEX measurements. Remote Sensing of Environment, 79, 15 – 22. Chen, G., Ma, J., Fang, C., & Han, Y. (2003). Global oceanic precipitation derived from TOPEX and TMR: Climatology and variability. Journal of Climate, 16, 3888 – 3904. Ho, C. R., Yan, X. -H., & Zheng, Q. (1995). Satellite observations of upper-layer variability in the western Pacific warm pool. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 76, 669 – 679. Hoerling, M., Kumar, A., & Zhong, M. (1997). El Niño, La Niña, and the nonlinearity of their teleconnections. Journal of Climate, 10, 1769 – 1786. Huffman, G. J., Adler, R. F., Arkin, P., Chang, A., Ferraro, R., Gruber, A., Janowiak, J., McNab, A., Rudolf, B., & Schneider, U. (1997). The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) combined precipitation dataset. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 78, 5 – 20. Joyce, R., & Arkin, P. A. (1997). Improved estimates of tropical and subtropical precipitation using the GOES precipitation index. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 14, 997 – 1011. Kilpatrick, K. A., Podestá, G. P., & Evans, R. (2001). Overview of the NOAA/NASA advanced very high resolution radiometer Pathfinder algorithm for sea surface temperature and associated matchup database. Journal of Geophysical Research, 106, 9179 – 9197. Lau, N. -C. (1997). Interactions between global SST anomalies and the midlatitude atmospheric circulation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 78, 21 – 33. McBride, J. L., Haylock, M. R., & Nicholls, N. (2003). Relationships between the maritime continent heat source and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation phenomenon. Journal of Climate, 16, 2905 – 2914. McPhaden, M. J. (1999). Genesis and evolution of the 1997 – 98 El Niño. Science, 283, 950 – 954. McPhaden, M. J., & Picaut, J. (1990). El Niño-Southern Oscillation displacements of the western equatorial Pacific warm pool. Science, 250, 1385 – 1388. Quartly, G. D., Srokosz, M. A., & Guymer, T. H. (1999). Global precipitation statistics from dual-frequency TOPEX altimetry. Journal of Geophysical Research, 104, 31489 – 31516. Quartly, G. D., Srokosz, M. A., & Guymer, T. H. (2000). Changes in oceanic precipitation during the 1997 – 98 El Niño. Geophysical Research Letters, 27, 2293 – 2296. Rasmusson, E. M., & Arkin, P. A. (1993). A global view of large-scale precipitation variability. Journal of Climate, 6, 1495 – 1522. Spencer, R. W. (1993). Global oceanic precipitation from the MSU during 1979 – 1991 and comparisons to other climatologies. Journal of Climate, 6, 1301 – 1326. Vazquez, J., Perry, K., & Kilpatrick, K. (1998). NOAA/NASA AVHRR Oceans Pathfinder sea surface temperature data set user’s reference manual, Version 4.0. JPL Publication D-14070. Webster, P. J., & Palmer, T. N. (1997). The past and the future of El Niño. Nature, 390, 562 – 564.
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz