SSC04-II-5 University-Class Satellites: From Marginal Utility to 'Disruptive' Research Platforms Michael Swartwout Washington University in St. Louis 18th Annual AIAA/USU Conference on Small Satellites Logan, UT 10 August 2004 University Satellites: Student Satellites Have Not Marginal Utility or Disruptive? Changed The World (!) • Students (by definition) don’t know how to build satellites • Professional payloads & launch providers don’t trust studentbuilt satellites (and shouldn’t) • Missions constrained by the academic cycle (and turnover) • Student-built satellites are usually low-capability, highmargin spacecraft without compelling payloads Swartwout The Hypothesis University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? Advances in electronics technology could enable universities to serve (or disrupt) the satellite community by demonstrating new components and missions on short-development-cycle, highrisk “university-class” spacecraft. Universities have not exploited their inherent strengths: enthusiasm, inexperience and tolerance for risk (e.g. “freedom to fail”). Swartwout The Hypothesis University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? Advances in electronics technology could enable universities to serve (or disrupt) the satellite community by demonstrating new components and missions on short-development-cycle, highrisk “university-class” spacecraft. Universities have not exploited their inherent strengths: enthusiasm, inexperience and tolerance for risk (e.g. “freedom to fail”). Swartwout Def. 1: University-Class Satellite University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? • Working definition – Self-contained device with independent communications, command & control – Untrained personnel (i.e. students) have key roles in design, fabrication, integration and operations – Training is at least as important as the rest of the mission • Excluded (by definition) – Many, many satellites with strong university participation (especially as science PI) – Most Amateur satellites • Exclusion does not imply lack of educational or disruptive value! Swartwout Def 2: Disruptive Technology University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? • Definition (courtesy our conference organizers) – Fundamentally alters the way in which a task is performed – Examples: cell phones & electronic mail – For spacecraft: not only a shift in mission from big to small, but a shift in how a mission is approached at all • How do you find disruptive technologies? – Test bold and risky ideas – Impose unreasonable constraints • Why bother to be disruptive? – Altruistic: Enable new kinds of missions and services – Self-serving: Move universities from the margins Swartwout Def. 3: Freedom to Fail University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? • Experimental failure is a fundamental (necessary?) element of the university experience • Universities have the freedom to try bold or risky concepts – Main mission objectives: learning & training – A failed vehicle is not a failed mission • Not a freedom to be stupid! Swartwout Review of University-Class Missions University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? • 50 university-class spacecraft since 1981 – 30 since 2000 – 12 more by the end of 2004 (mostly CubeSats) • 28 universities in 15 countries – Only 9 schools have flown multiple missions – That number may grow in the next two years • Most (40) were under 55 kg • About 1/4 (13) experienced significant failures • Only half (24) were technology/science missions – 16 of those built by 10 universities with significant government sponsorship Swartwout University Satellites: So Why Aren’t University-Class Marginal Utility or Disruptive? Spacecraft “Disruptive”? • They can’t afford (or don’t want) to be disruptive – Education goals can be met without a “real” payload – Want to fly? Then design & build it the normal way! • They can’t compete with the big boys – Traditionally-built student satellites should always underperform compared to professional spacecraft – Universities can afford to fail, but mission sponsors cannot • They burn out – Most education-only missions are the school’s first (and last) – Successful programs become professional (e.g. Surrey) – The rest stick with standard practice to win launches Swartwout The Things You Do For Launch: Two Schools of Thought • CubeSat approach: University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? Go tiny, use collective bargaining – Hordes of 1-kg spacecraft in 3-pack launchers – Launch costs: about $100,000/Cube – If these next few work, there will be a lot more CubeSats (there may be a lot more, regardless) • Everyone else: Government sponsorship – In the U.S. (civilian): University Nanosat class (30 kg, AFRL/NASA) – Outside the U.S.: “Flagship” universities (Tsinghua, Technical University of Berlin, University of Rome, KACST, etc.) Swartwout Recipe for a Disruptive University-Class Spacecraft Good Good Mission Mission = Credible Credible Spacecraft Spacecraft University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? + Disruptive Disruptive Idea Idea Ingredients Very Common Short Large Comm. Common Very Small Launch Protocols / Duration Operational Mission Margins Spacecraft Interface Stations Objectives Fast & Easy to Build Easy to Launch Easy to Operate Compelling, Risky/Novel Mission 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Swartwout Disruptive: OPAL (Stanford) • University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? Orbiting Picosat Automated Launcher – Started 1995, Launched January 2000 – 23 kg “mothership” for 6 picosats – Operational until June 2002 • Disruptive Act #1: Proof-of-concept for DARPA/Aerospace picosats – Led to PICOSAT flights on MightySat 2.1 – Led to DARPA MEPSI • Stanford SSDL Cal Poly Disruptive Act #2: CubeSat Program – 10 cm3, 1 kg spacecraft – Cal Poly P-POD (3-CubeSat launcher) – Explosion of school spacecraft building • 25 schools launched university-class spacecraft (1981-2003) • 15 schools will launch CubeSats by the end of 2004; 14 first-timers • About 50 university CubeSat programs internationally Swartwout Not Disruptive: Sapphire (Stanford) University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? • Sapphire – Started 1994, Finished 1998 – Launched September 2001 (USNA/STP) – 20 kg – Still operational Stanford SSDL • Traditional University-Class Mission – Student selected payloads: THD detectors, digital camera, voice synthesizer – After-the-fact payloads: autonomous operations, amateur radio digipeating, student training Swartwout Might Be Disruptive: Bandit WUSTL University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? • Inspector spacecraft – Experiment on Akoya (University Nanosat 3 - AFRL/NASA) – 1 kg “flying camera” – Repeatable docking – Autonomous operations – Image-based navigation • Possible disruption – Autonomous operations – Useful missions on extremely small platforms – Useful space engineering research on university-class spacecraft WUSTL Swartwout Conclusions University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? • University-class spacecraft – Excellent teaching tools, occasional research tools – Short-cycle, “disposable” spacecraft are an opportunity for universities to exercise their freedom to fail – Suggestion: choose and choose wisely! • Manage flight-safety risk, tolerate mission risk • Predicting the future… – Most likely disruption: the small satellite industry itself – Keep an eye on CubeSats • This was an engineering discussion; what about universities on the science side? Swartwout Acknowledgments University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? • Christopher Kitts, Freddy Pranajaya, James Cutler, Brian Engberg, Jonathan Chow • The design teams for all 50 university-class spacecraft (and counting!) • Launch providers (e.g. Space Test Program) • Any errors in university-class satellite descriptions or classification are mine Swartwout SSC04-II-5 University-Class Satellites: From Marginal Utility to 'Disruptive' Research Platforms Michael Swartwout Washington University in St. Louis 18th Annual AIAA/USU Conference on Small Satellites Logan, UT 10 August 2004 University-Class Missions, 1981-2000 Launch 1981 1984 1985 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1994 1996 1997 1997 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1999 1999 1999 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 Spacecraft UoSAT-1 (UO-9) UoSAT-2 (UO-11) NUSAT WeberSAT (WO-18) TUBSAT-A KITSAT-1 (KO-23) KITSAT-2 (KO-25) TUBSAT-B BremSat UNAMSAT-B (MO-30) Falcon Gold RS-17 TUBSAT-N TUBSAT-N1 Techsat 1-B (GO-32) PO-34 PANSAT SO-33 SEDSAT Sunsat (SO-35) DLR-TUBSAT KITSAT-3 ASUsat 1 Falconsat 1 JAWSAT (WO-39) Opal (OO-38) JAK Louise Thelma Still operational Primary School(s) University of Surrey (UK) University of Surrey (UK) Weber State, Utah State University (USA) Weber State (USA) Technical University of Berlin (Germany) Korean Advanced Institute of Science and Technology Korean Advanced Institute of Science and Technology Technical University of Berlin (Germany) University of Bremen (Germany) National University of Mexico US Air Force Academy Russian high school students Technical University of Berlin (Germany) Technical University of Berlin (Germany) Technion Institute of Technology (Israel) Naval Postgraduate School (USA) University of Alabama, Huntsville (USA) University of Stellenbosch (South Africa) Technical University of Berlin (Germany) Korean Advanced Institute of Science and Technology Arizona State University (USA) US Air Force Academy Weber State, USAFA Stanford University (USA) Santa Clara University (USA) Santa Clara University (USA) Santa Clara University (USA) Semioperational Nonoperational University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? Mission Primary Mass Duration Mission (kg) (months) Type 52 98 Science 60 249 Comm 52 20 Tech 16 97 Comm 35 159 Comm 49 78 Tech 48 98 Comm 40 1 Tech? 63 12 Science 10 0.03 Comm 18 1 Tech 3 2 Edu 9 46 Tech 3 20 Tech 70 52 Science 70 68? Comm 41 12? Tech 64 23 Comm 45 63 Science 110 63 Tech 6 0.03 Edu 52 1 Edu 191 1? Tech 23 29 Tech 0.2 0 Edu 0.5 0 Science 0.5 0 Science Premature loss of operations (or severely degraded operations) Swartwout University-Class Missions, 2000-2004 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2001 2001 2001 2002 2002 2002 2003 2003 2003 2003 2003 2003 2003 2003 2004 2004 2004 Tsinghua-1 SO-41 Saudisat 1A SO-42 Saudisat 1B UNISAT 1 TiungSAT-1 (MO-46) Munin PCSat 1 (NO-44) Sapphire (NO-45) Maroc-TUBSAT Kolibri-2000 SO-50 Saudisat 1C UNISAT 2 AAU Cubesat CanX-1 CUTE-1 DTUsat XI-IV MOST QuakeSat STSAT-1 Naxing-1 (NS-1) UNISAT 3 SaudiSat 2 Still operational Tsinghua University (China) King Abdulaziz City for Science & Technology (Saudia Arabia) King Abdulaziz City for Science & Technology (Saudia Arabia) University of Rome "La Sapienza" (Italy) ATSB Umeå University / Luleå University of Technology (Sweden) US Naval Academy Stanford, USNA, Washington University (USA) Technical University of Berlin (Germany) Space Research Institute (Russia) King Abdulaziz City for Science & Technology (Saudia Arabia) University of Rome "La Sapienza" (Italy) University of Aalborg (Denmark) University of Toronto (Canada) Tokyo Institute of Technology (Japan) Technical University of Denmark University of Tokyo (Japan) University of Toronto (Canada) Stanford University (USA) Korean Advanced Institute of Science and Technology Tsinghua University (China) University of Rome "La Sapienza" (Italy) KACST (Saudia Arabia) Semioperational Nonoperational 50 10 10 12 50 6 12 20 47 21 10 17 1 1 1 1 1 60 3 100 25 12 15? University Satellites: Marginal Utility or Disruptive? 48? 40? 40? ?? 40 3 35 35 34 2 17? 18? 2 0 13 0 13 13 13 9? 4 1 1 Edu Comm Comm Edu Edu/Science Science Comm Edu Science Edu Comm Edu Edu Edu Edu Edu Edu Science Science Tech Tech Tech Comm? Premature loss of operations (or severely degraded operations) Swartwout
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