PEDESTRIAN CROSSING BEHAVIOUR AT SIGNALISED CROSSINGS Xu Hao Sonal Ahuja Majid Adeeb Tom van Vuren Mott MacDonald Ltd, UK Michael G. H. Bell Imperial College London, UK Suku Phull Department for Transport, UK 1. INTRODUCTION This paper presents the findings from the stated preference survey section of the research project that tested the propensity of pedestrians to comply with signals when crossing signalised crossing at intersections and stand-alone crossings(away from an intersection). The study was sponsored by the Department for Transport UK and involved a research team that includes academics from the Transport Research Unit at Imperial College and transport planners and researchers from Mott MacDonald Ltd. The survey also investigated pedestrian perceptions of safety, level of signal clarity and confusion and other factors that influence levels of compliance at signalised crossings. The survey also observed and recorded the actual behavior of pedestrians who took part in the interviews. The crossing behavior of the general total pedestrian population at each site was observed by a video recording. The video survey data has yet to be analysed and it is anticipated that the results will be utilised for further research and a potential microsimulation model. At this stage pedestrian behaviour and preferences have not yet been evaluated to explain particular different pedestrian crossing situations (e.g.: pelican and puffin crossings). User preference under hypothetical crossing situations/scenarios has been identified through the application of a Stated Preference survey technique. 2. BACKGROUND Most town centres have heavy pedestrian flows. Traffic signal control has sought to minimise vehicular delays, sometimes with priority for public transport, while pedestrian flows have been fitted around the vehicular flow demands. A typical example of this is the staggered pedestrian crossing, © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 1 which splits the pedestrian crossing movement into two, allowing the green time lost to vehicles to be minimised at the expense of delay incurred by pedestrians who (if they comply) wait on a traffic island. This raises two issues: • Significant numbers of pedestrians fail to comply with the detour and delay involved in a staggered pedestrian crossing, leading to unsafe crossing behaviour. • Where the primary function of a junction is to allow pedestrians to cross, local authorities may well wish to shift priority from vehicles to pedestrians. In order to identify junctions where priority should be shifted to pedestrians it is necessary to understand the crossing behaviour of pedestrians and their perceptions of different crossing types as well as the effect of age, gender, crossing with/without luggage or children. The use of particular pedestrian crossing facilities could then be estimated. This requires the development of a conceptual model before optimising parameters. However, there is at present an inadequate understanding of pedestrian crossing behaviour, and in particular how attractive or otherwise different types of pedestrian crossing are perceived to be. This in turn depends on how different types of crossing are used, and in particular how compliant pedestrians are to the intended crossing routes and signals. Recently the DfT has promoted the installation of ‘Puffin’ pedestrian crossings which aim to decrease ambiguity for pedestrians and vehicles. This research looks at how people respond to different types of signalised pedestrian crossings such as pelican, puffin and toucan which take varying degrees of pedestrian priority into account. The paper is structured as follows: In Section 2, a literature review is presented. The implications from the literature review help to determine the influential factors which would affect pedestrian crossing behaviour and their compliance with signals. Following the literature review, the research objectives and methodology are described in Section 3. In Section 4, the data collection is discussed, including survey site selection, description and the summary of the field work. The discrete choice modelling analysis and crossing behaviour forecast is discussed in Section 5. Finally, Section 6 summarises the conclusions and suggested future work intrinsic to this study. 3. LITERATURE REVIEW The use of a stated preference technique in estimating pedestrian compliance probabilities is a novel approach to this particular area of study but the survey design has explored and benefited from intensive literature research Considerable research has been undertaken in the very recent years addressing the problem of pedestrian crossing behaviour, such as Hamed © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 2 (2001); Sisiopiku and Akin (2003); Zeeduk and Kelly (2003); Keegan and O’Mahony (2003); Ahuja (2007), etc. Beyond the pedestrian crossing behavioural problem, studies on pedestrian perceptions and attitudes towards facilities for pedestrians are reported in the literature. Among them recent studies by Hine (1996), Hine and Russell (1996) and Russell and Hine (1996) published the impact of traffic on behaviour and perceptions of safety by pedestrians. Another study by Tanaboriboon and Jing (1994) reported the attitudes of pedestrians in Beijing, China, towards the sufficiency of crossing facilities and the willingness of pedestrians to use them. The study compared signalised intersection pedestrian crossings to overpass and underpass counterparts and concluded that users preferred the signalised crossings to the overpass or underpass crossings. The authors also reported that the levels of compliance with pedestrian signals at two study locations were 70% and 57%. Rouphail (1984) performed a user compliance and preference study on marked stand-alone crossings in downtown Columbus, Ohio. The preference study indicated that users perceived the un-signalised marked stand-alone crossings to be unsafe. However, the same crossings were rated highest with respect to crossing convenience. Pedestrian crossing compliance rates at the signalised and unsignalised stand-alone crossings were about 85%. Similar crossing compliance studies were carried out in Europe. Pedestrian push buttons at signalised crossings are commonly used to regulate pedestrian crossing demand and to decrease conflicts between pedestrians crossing and vehicles passing through designated crossings; hence, to increase safety. Pedestrians are supposed to register their demand manually by activating the push-button when they wish to cross a street in a conflictfree phase; however, they frequently do not do so (Carsten et al., 1998). Davies (1992) observed pedestrian compliance with the pushbutton installed at signalised crossings in the UK and presented that more than half of the pedestrians did not activate the push button to cross. The compliance with the device was 49% in a small town, while in London the rate was 27%. In another location in Toulouse, push button compliance was as low as 18% (Levelt, 1992). Jacobs, Sayer, and Downing (1981) compared road user behaviour at traffic signals, uncontrolled pedestrian crossings and priority junctions in a number of cities in developing countries with similar observations in Great Britain. Ahuja et al (2007) made a comparison study between two cities (Birmingham, UK and San Francisco, USA) to identify any differences in pedestrian behaviour and perceptions around signalised traffic intersections. Sisiopiku and Akin (2003) present findings from an observational study of pedestrian behaviour at various urban crosswalks and a pedestrian user survey which sought pedestrian perceptions of various pedestrian facilities in a divided urban boulevard located next to a large university campus, Michigan State University. It was found that un-signalised stand-alone crossings were preferred by pedestrians (83% reported a preference to cross) and also showed high crossing compliance rate of pedestrians (71.2%). © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 3 Besides previous studies covering general pedestrian crossing behaviour, some studies focused on the crossing behaviour of particular. Bernhoft (2003) carried out a risk perception and behaviour study of elderly pedestrians in Denmark. The analysis indicates that the elderly observe and comply with pedestrian crossings, signalised intersections and cycle paths significantly more than do other groups. They are more likely to feel that it is dangerous to cross the road where these facilities are missing. Furthermore, elderly pedestrians find the presence of a sidewalk very important on their route whereas the control group more often chooses the fastest route. Zeedyk and Kelly (2003) intended to observe unobtrusively the behaviours of adult-child pairs as they crossed at pedestrian crossings with signal control. Results showed that the adults observed provided reasonably good models of pedestrian behaviour, but that they rarely treated the crossing events as an opportunity to teach children explicitly about road safety. The only gender difference to emerge revealed that adults were more likely to hold girls’ hands than boys’ hands. No differences were observed in relation to the (estimated) age of child. To sum up, through the literature review the following influential factors which can affect pedestrian compliance with pedestrian signals are revealed: • • • • • • Infrastructure of the pedestrian crossing facilities (physical layout; such as refuge island, guard rail, etc.); Age ; Crossing status (unaccompanied or accompanied): if crossing with children or with heavy luggage, pedestrians may show different crossing behaviour; Travel purpose (destination): shopping, home-to-work, school, etc; Traffic conditions; Wait time for “Green” All these factors were considered in the study to understand pedestrian crossing behaviour at signalised pedestrian crossings. One of the biggest lacunae in past work has been that none of the studies have been able to determine what causes people to take risk and not comply with the red signal and their perception towards risk taking tendencies at signals. In addition most traffic models assume total compliance at signals which is unrealistic and leads to incorrect evaluation of pedestrian transport schemes. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 4 4. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES AND METHODOLOGY 3.1 Research Objectives The objectives of this study are to improve the understanding of pedestrian crossing behaviour at microscopic level. Such work will feed into the development of traffic signal control mechanisms which can account for pedestrian crossing preference in determining optimum settings. It should also help in modelling pedestrians more accurately at signalised crossing points while taking their behaviour and traffic conditions into account. 3.2 Methodology 3.2.1 Survey Approach In order to collect a comprehensive set of data the study was divided into two main parts; Part One a programme of face-to face interviews and Part Two comprising video surveys, running concurrently. Part one, the main part of the study, concentrated on non-compliance such as pedestrian behaviour during “red” or “blackout/flashing green” phases. For the “Pedestrian Green“signal phase the survey measured the incidence of: pedestrians crossing within the designated crossing area, running across the intersection and walking diagonally across the intersection. The response of pedestrians to the green signal going out was captured by video camera to facilitate detailed observation and analysis in due course. The face-to-face interviews investigated perceptions, reasons behind compliance and non-compliance and also trade offs between crossing scenarios and the perception of safety using a stated preference game. The last section of the main survey also recorded respondents’ actual behaviour and their observed profile. The second part consisted of video surveys of each location on the survey day. The purpose of this survey was to collect revealed preference data as input for a future forecast model. The face-to-face survey form is contained in Appendix 1. The questions investigated various elements of behaviour: first of all, questions about actual pedestrian crossing behaviour were presented to respondents, including “where did they cross?”, “did they observe pedestrian signals?” etc. Some attitudinal questions were also asked, such as perceived maximum waiting time, attitudes to different pedestrian signal sequences, etc. The results from the first part of the survey are beyond the scope of this paper and can be found in the project report submitted to the DfT. The second part of the questionnaire was the stated preference survey. The results from this study are the main focus of this paper and have been presented in detail. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 5 To investigate choice behaviour under hypothetical situations (particularly when introducing some new attributes or new applications of pedestrian crossings), a stated preference (SP) approach has proven to be successful in transportation studies (Louviere et al., 2000). The advantages of the SP methods for this project are: It allows the modelling of new alternatives, attributes or variations in the attributes of existing ones; The degree of correlation and variation between attributes of different signal control applications (or pedestrian facilities) may be controlled. The stated preference games presented in the survey are binary choice in nature. Stated Preference Survey The purpose of using a stated preference technique in this study was to investigate pedestrian compliance in different pedestrian crossing situations (such as signal settings, traffic volume, crossing alone/with luggage/with children, etc.). When comparing with the revealed preference data obtained from the first part of the survey, the SP data captures a broader array of preference-driven behaviours in different pedestrian crossing situations. Variations of attributes of a given pedestrian crossing facility are quite limited in current applications, while SP data are particularly rich in their attribute trade-offs accommodating a wider range of attributes that can be built into the experiment, allowing model estimates from SP data to be more robust than based on the RP data solely(Swait, Louviere and Williams, 1994). At this stage pedestrian behaviour and preferences have not yet been evaluated to explain particular different pedestrian crossing situations (e.g., pelican and puffin crossings). By, introducing the SP survey tool in this study, user preferences under hypothetical crossing situations have been identified. In the literature review of this project, some key factors that may influence pedestrian crossing behaviour have been discussed. In previous studies, characteristics of pedestrian (e.g., whether the pedestrian is accompanied by child/children or with luggage when he/she crosses), was regarded as the most important factor. Therefore, in the SP survey, the attribute of “characteristics of pedestrian” was selected as the primary factor. The relevant level for this attribute include, alone, with luggage and with child/children. Secondly, because in reality some sites’ signals are set at “blackout” or “flashing green” stage, and in order to identify pedestrian crossing behaviour under different pedestrian signal settings, “signal status” was used as a variable in the SP survey. Two levels were allocated for this attribute: “Red” and “Blackout/Flashing Green”. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 6 The third attribute in the SP survey is “traffic volume”. Since the study has focused on the combination of vehicular traffic and pedestrians at and around signalised intersections, “traffic volume” may influence pedestrian behaviour (compliance) and perceptions. Previous studies also focused on this factor when looking at pedestrian compliance around the signalised intersection. In most cases it has been observed that when traffic volume is low, most people tend to cross on ‘red’. This behaviour however, may not be true if pedestrian mobility is impaired or children are accompanied. For a broader comprehension of this particular factor three levels of traffic volumes and conditions - vehicles stopped, low traffic and high traffic - were identified and offered as an attribute. Finally, a factor related to the layout of the pedestrian crossing, the “refuge island” was introduced in the stated preference game. Here the term “refuge island” does not distinguish between the types - those which are part of a staggered and those where pedestrians are not required to stop. Pedestrian behaviour and compliance may be different where a refuge island is provided. Two levels, “Yes”(refuge island exists) and “No”(refuge island does not exist), were designed for this attribute (See Table 1). Table 1 Attributes and Levels of SP Survey Levels 0 Attributes Characteristics of Alone Pedestrians Signal status Red man With luggage With child/children Blackout/flashing green -- Traffic volume Vehicles stop Low High Refuge island No Yes 1 2 -- The SP games are binary-choice experiments. Each respondent was presented with 9 binary choice situations by show cards. The respondent was asked to choose one alternative he/she preferred (i.e., the situation in which they would be more likely to cross) in each situation. An example of a SP show card is presented below (Table 2). Table 2 Example of SP Show Card Situation A Status of Signal: Red Traffic Volume: Low Refuge Island: No Situation B Status of Signal: Blackout/flashing green Refuge Island: Yes O I would more likely cross in situation A O I would more likely cross in situation B All the surveys were administered by face-to-face interview that helped maintaining the accuracy of the data and monitoring the response rate. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 7 Revealed Preference Survey Besides the stated preference surveys employed in this study, actual pedestrian crossing behaviour was also investigated during the interviews. This enabled to compare the crossing behaviour and pedestrian compliance with different crossing situations between reality and the hypothetical scenarios presented in the SP game. 3.2.2 Discrete Choice Modelling A widely adopted approach for discrete choice analysis is the logit model (Ben-Akiva and Lerman, 1985), which is used for modelling a choice from a set of mutually exclusive and exhaustive alternatives. It is based on the Random Utility Theory (RUT) by McFadden (1981), which assumes that the decision-maker chooses the alternative with the highest utility among the set of alternatives. The utility of an alternative is determined by a utility function, consisting of independent attributes of the alternative concerned and relevant parameters. RUT considers that the analyst does not include the whole range of factors influencing the choice and introduces a random error to account for them. The random aspect is represented by decomposing the utility into two components: a systematic term and an error term. The former can be observed but the later one indicates all unknown factors that could influence decision makers’ choices. Therefore the individual relative utility function can be written as: U in = Vin + ε in = ∑ β imn X imn +ε in (1) where: Uin: the utility of alternative i for individual n; Vin: systematic term of attributes related to alternative i for individual n; βimn: coefficients to be estimated; Ximn: deterministic variables (attributes); εin: a random disturbance term. ‘m’ is used to distinguish different variables “X”, say X1 and X2 The multinomial logit (MNL) model can be written as: β X expV exp ∑ = j Pin = j β X V ∑ exp ∑ exp ∑ imn in imn jn 1 imn (2) imn 1 Because Equation (2) represents the individual choice probability, it can be aggregated and used to forecast market share of different alternatives, for example by using sample enumeration (DfT, 2004). The advantages of the MNL are that it is relatively easy to estimate, the coefficients are easy to interpret and the forecasts are generally quite robust. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 8 5. DATA COLLECTION 4.1 Site Selection and Description The site selection process considered certain key objectives of the study. Intensive desk research and discussions within the survey team determined the final survey locations. In the last decade emphasis has been placed on pedestrian priority over vehicles at signalised junctions in the main town centres and pedestrian intensive areas. Pelican crossing have become the main pedestrian crossing application across the UK. In recent years, an improvement to the pelican crossing has been introduced by puffin crossing. The puffin crossing provides positive signalling - i.e. there is no “blackout” or “flashing sequence” and drivers are held on a red signal while pedestrians are crossing. The puffin crossing also has the ability to extend the crossing period and cancel unwanted demands (request to cross). Another difference between puffin crossing and pelican crossing is the location of the pedestrian signal. Pedestrian signals are placed on the nearside to encourage pedestrian to look at the approaching traffic to their nearest point of conflict whilst having the signal in their field of view. Whereas Pelican pedestrian signals are placed on the opposite side of the road. The location of the pedestrian crossing area is another consideration in the site selection. We looked at two different situations: pedestrian crossings at junctions and stand-alone pedestrian crossings. Factors of pedestrian crossing layout and infrastructure (such as “refuge island”, guard rail, stagger, etc.) also influence pedestrian crossing behaviour and preferences. Therefore, all sites also included differences in these features. In addition to the factors above, and in order to encompass pedestrian behavioural heterogeneity and homogeneity, different cities were considered, selecting three locations: Birmingham, Leamington Spa and London. The details for each selected site are described in the following section: Birmingham The study area in Birmingham consisted of two sub-locations in the city centre. One is situated around the Bullring Shopping Centre/Moor Street Train Station/New Street Station. Around Bullring and Moor Street, pedestrian crossings and pelican crossings. The pedestrian crossings close to New Street Station generally have near side pedestrian signals. The second location in Birmingham is situated at the junction of Great Charles Queensway/Newhall Street featuring a signalised intersection with a far side pedestrian signal. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 9 Leamington Spa The selected sites are located in the town centre, alongside the Parade. In total four pedestrian crossings were studied; a mixture of puffin crossings, signals with near side facility and detection. Wandsworth Road London In addition to Birmingham and Leamington Spa, two locations were selected in London; one in Wandsworth Road, located south of the River Thames, which is close to Vauxhall mainline and underground stations. Among the eight selected pedestrian crossings, seven are puffin crossings and nearside facilities at junctions including one toucan crossing. Camden Town London The second location in London was Camden Town; located alongside Camden High Street, from Camden Town underground station to Mornington Crescent underground station. The famous Camden Market is situated in this area; hence there are intense pedestrian flows and demands at signalised crossing, particularly on weekends. Most of the signals here are either puffin crossings or signals with pedestrian facilities (far side pedestrian signals). 4.2 Fieldwork After a set of consecutive and successful pilots the main fieldwork started on 28th February 2008 and ended on 22nd March 2008. The survey period spanned a 7 hour period from 9:30 till 17:00. Based on experience of the initial pilot the expected response rate was about 4-5 interviews per enumerator per hour. During this survey period, a sample of 899 completed surveys was achieved. The sample size by site is illustrated in Table 3 below. The continuous adverse weather conditions hindered the targeted sample size in Camden Town. Table 3 Summary of the Field Work Location Sub Location Sample Birmingham Bullring/New Street Station Great Charles Street 350 Leamington Spa Town Centre 198 Wandsworth Road 208 Camden Town 74 London Survey Dates Weekdays Weekends th Feb Sat 1st Mar Thu 28 2008 2008 Wed 5th Mar Sat 8th Mar 2008 2008 th Thu 13 Mar Sat 15th Mar 2008 2008 Thu 20th Mar Sat 22nd Mar 2008 2008 © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 10 6. MODELLING PEDESTRIAN CROSSING BEHAVIOUR 5.1 Model Estimations The MNL model was estimated by ALOGIT 4.0. First of all, estimated coefficients of the full data set were obtained. As illustrated in Table 4, in general the sign and size of estimates are statistically valid and sensible. Two dummy variables “characteristics of pedestrians” are negative, which means that compared with the base (“cross alone”), the presence of these two dummies decreased the individual utility of crossing the road. Therefore the individual probability also decreased. Dummy variable 2 (“with child/children”) is more negative than dummy variable 1 (“with luggage”), indicating that when pedestrians are accompanied by child/children, they are less likely to cross. Variables Table 4 Model Estimation of Full Data Estimation Parameters 1. Characteristics of Pedestrians Dummy variable 1: with luggage Dummy variable 2: with child/children Base: cross alone 2. Status of Ped Signal (Dummy variable) – Blackout/flashing green: Base: Red 3. Refuge island (Dummy variable): Base: No Likelihood with cons: Rho-squared w.r.t. cons: No. of observations: t-ratios -0.4867 -1.6753 -10.41 -23.47 0.891 20.49 0.3403 10.94 -3108.4591 0.1898 5883 The estimation for status of pedestrian signal is positive when compared with the base (“Red”), means that pedestrians are more likely to cross when the pedestrian signal is “Blackout/flashing green”. Similarly, the estimation for “refuge island” also can reflect pedestrian perception toward different crossing layouts. When a refuge island existed, pedestrians are found more likely to cross the road, since they perceive that the presence of a “refuge island” (a mid way shelter) enhances safety. All estimations are statistically significant when checking t-statistics of the estimated coefficients. The Rho-squared value is used to check the goodness of model fit. From the SP results a value of 0.1898 shows a reasonable model fit (normally rho squared values ranging between 0.2 and 0.4 are viewed as good model fits). 5.2 Measuring Pedestrian Crossing Behaviour Pedestrian crossing behaviour has been measured by hypothecated attributes such as various signal statuses with and without refuge islands. Pedestrian crossing probabilities are calculated based on the estimated coefficients in Section 5.1 and are presented at aggregate level. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 11 Tables 5 to 8 list pedestrian crossing probabilities by categorising different crossing facilities. Four classifications of pedestrian crossings are applied in the crossing behaviour forecast, according to the various pedestrian crossings: • • • • Signalised junction with far side pedestrian signal Stand-alone pelican crossing Signalised junction with near side pedestrian signal(puffin) Stand-alone puffin crossing In addition, the following factors were considered in the crossing behaviour forecast analysis so as to check the heterogeneity and homogeneity of different groups of respondents. • • • • Infrastructure of pedestrian crossing;(crossing with or without a ”refuge island”) Number of Pedestrian(single or two or more adults) Signal status;(“Red” or “Blackout/Flashing Green”) Pedestrian characteristics.(with or without luggage/children) As illustrated in the Tables 5 and 6, pedestrian crossing probability is lower under “Red” than under “Blackout/flashing green” signal status. When a refuge island is introduced, pedestrian compliance with “Red” is estimated to be slightly lower than without “refuge island”. For a puffin crossing application, the pedestrian signal is designed differently from a pelican crossing. Only two signal stages for pedestrians are applied: “Red” and “Green” for a puffin crossing. Therefore, in Tables 7 and 8, only the signal status of “Red” was taken into account when the crossing behaviour was predicted. For pelicans, pedestrian propensity to cross on “Red” is higher with a “refuge island” than without. The results across the four tables indicate that the provision of a refuge island is an important factor for pedestrian safety, as it influences pedestrian crossing decisions and their compliance. The analysis has also taken into account of other key factors influencing pedestrian propensity of compliance at pedestrian signals. These factors relate to the characteristics of pedestrians (e.g. whether a pedestrian is accompanied by children, laden with heavy luggage, is with a group or alone). The compliance of two or more adults without luggage/children is the lowest, while pedestrians crossing alone with children are likely to be more compliant compared with all other pedestrian categories. In the following section the tables 7 and 8 present results from aggregated data but by location rather than by type of signals. As certain features such as “refuge island”, “blackout/flashing green” do not apply to every type of signals but are experienced by pedestrian on daily basis. Hence these features were presented to the respondents as hypothetical attributes. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 12 Table 5 Pedestrian Crossing Probabilities estimated from surveys conducted at Signalised Junctions with Far Side Pedestrian Signals Signalised Crossings with far side Pedestrian Signals Refuge Island Yes Signal Status Red Blackout No Red Blackout % 34.8% 65.2% 33.1% 66.9% No of Pedestrians Single adult 20% Two or more adults 14.8% Single adult 30% Two or more adults 35.2% Single adult 17.9% Two or more adults 15.2% Single adult 32.3% Two or more adults © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 % 34.6% Characteristics of Pedestrians % Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage 7.4% 7.2% 5.4% 5.5% 5.1% 4.2% 12% 10.5% 7.5% 14.1% 12% 9.1% 7.2% 6.5% 4.2% 4.9% 4.5% 5.8% 12.8% 10.7% With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children 8.8% 13.8% 11.9% 8.9% 13 Table 6 Pedestrian Crossing Probabilities estimated from survey conducted at Stand-alone Pelican Crossings Stand-alone Pelican Refuge Island Signal Status Yes Red % 36.2% No of Pedestrians % Single adult 20.6% Two or more adults 15.6% Flashing green 64.8% Single adult 28.5% Two or more adults 36.3% No Red 34.7% Single adult 14.9% Two or more adults 19.8% Flashing green 65.3% Single adult 31.1% Two or more adults 34.2% © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 Characteristics of Pedestrians Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage With children % 7.5% 7.3% 5.8% 5.6% 5.2% 4.8% 11.4% 10% 7.1% 14.5% 11.5% 10.3% 5.6% 5.1% 4.2% 6.6% 5.9% 7.3% 12.3% 10.2% 8.6% 13.6% 12% 8.6% 14 Table 7 Pedestrian Crossing Probabilities estimated from surveys conducted at Signalised Junctions with Nearside Pedestrian Signals (Puffin facilities) Signalised junctions with nearside pedestrian signals Refuge Island Yes No Signal Status Red % 36.8% Blackout/ flashing green 63.2% Red 33.2% Blackout/ flashing green 66.8% NB: The features “refuge island” and Blackout/Flashing Green” have tabulated results by location rather than signal type per se. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 No of Pedestrians Characteristics of % Pedestrians Single adult 14.1% Without luggage/children 5.1% With luggage 4.9 % With children 4.1% Two or more adults 22.7% Without luggage/children 8.8% With luggage 8.1% With children 5.8% Single adult 27.1% Without luggage/children 10.6% With luggage 10.1% With children 7% 14.9% Two or more adults 36.1% Without luggage/children With luggage 10.6% With children 10.6% Single adult 13.2% Without luggage/children 4.8% With luggage 4.6% With children 3.8% Two or more adults 20% Without luggage/children 8% With luggage 7.2% With children 4.8% Single adult 32.3% Without luggage/children 11.8% With luggage 10% With children 10.5% 13.9% Two or more adults 34.5% Without luggage/children With luggage 11.7% With children 8.9% been presented as hypothetical attributes and estimates represent cross % 15 Table 8 Pedestrian Crossing Probabilities estimated from surveys conducted at Stand-alone Puffin Crossings Stand-alone Puffin Refuge Island Yes Signal Status Red % 36.6% No of Pedestrians % Single adult 14.2% Two or more adults 22.4% Characteristics of Pedestrians Without luggage/children With luggage With children Without luggage/children With luggage % 4.9% 4.8% 4.5% 9% 8.3% With children 5.1% Without luggage/children 10.9% With luggage 9.8% With children 7.7% Without luggage/children 14.7% Two or more adults 35% With luggage 11% With children 9.3% No Red 33.4% Single adult 13.1% Without luggage/children 4.7% With luggage 4.7% With children 3.7% 7.9% Two or more adults 20.3% Without luggage/children With luggage 7.1% With children 5.3% Single adult 34.5% Without luggage/children 12.4% Blackout 66.6% /flashing With luggage 10.6% green With children 11.5% Two or more adults 32.1% Without luggage/children 12.6% With luggage 10.8% With children 8.7% NB: The features “refuge island” and Blackout/Flashing Green” have been presented as hypothetical attributes and estimates represent cross tabulated results by location rather than signal type per se. Blackout /flashing green 63.4% © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 Single adult 28.4% 16 7. CONCLUSIONS This study focused on pedestrian crossing behaviour to examine the pedestrian compliance with signals under different crossing scenarios. The key findings can be summarised as follows: • The estimated probabilities show a comparatively higher propensity to start crossing during the “blackout/flashing green” phase than during “red”. • The provision of a “refuge island” gives a perception of safety but at the same time increases the tendency to take a risk by crossing on red. • There is a higher propensity to cross on red in the following conditions: o o o o • At non-designated areas In the age group under 30 years old If there are two or more adults in the group When without luggage/children Pedestrian compliance is slightly lower at puffin crossing facilities than at any of the other situations considered. This may be due the fact that puffin crossing a relatively recent development compared with existing farside pedestrian facilities, suggesting the need for publicity to raise awareness. 7. AREAS FOR FURTHER WORK Our work leads to a number of recommendations for further study. First of all, the analyses resulting from this work can feed into the development of a traffic signal control mechanism which takes into account pedestrian crossing behaviour when determining optimum settings. Some further suggested areas for future work include: • Further detailed analysis of the video (CCTV) RP data and correlating SP responses to RP data. • Investigation of the extent to which pedestrians understand the operation/ sequence of different traffic signal types. • Advice on an education programme on safer crossing and the use of roadside traffic signal infrastructure. • An awareness programme in schools educating children on puffin crossings. • Exploration of incentives for compliance. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 17 REFERENCES Ahuja, S., Chandra, A, van Vuren, T., and Bell, M. G.H. (2007) Pedestrian behaviour and their perceptions around signalised traffic intersections (a comparative study across two cities, Birmingham UK and San Francisco, USA), Proceedings of WCTR 2007 Conference, Berkeley, USA Ben-Akiva, M. and Lerman, S.R. (1985) Discrete Choice Analysis: Theory and Application to Travel Demand, The MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, US. 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(1984), "Mid-Block Crosswalks: A User Behavior and Preference Study," in Transportation Research Record 959, TRB, Washington, D.C., pp. 41-47 Russell, J. and Hine, J., (1996) “Impact of Traffic on Pedestrian Behaviour; Measuring the Traffic Barrier,” Traffic Engineering and Control, Vol. 37, No. 1, Jan. 1996, pp. 16-19 Sisiopiku, V.P., Akin, D. (2003), Pedestrian behaviour at and perceptions towards various pedestrian facilities: an examination based on observation and survey data, Transportation Research Part F, No. F6, pp. 249-274. Swait, J., Louviere, J. and Williams, M. (1994) A Sequential Approach to Exploiting the Combined Strengths of SP and RP Data: Application to Freight Shipper Choice. Transportation, 21:pp.135-152. Tanaboriboon,Y. and Jing,Q. (1994) Chinese Pedestrians and Their Walking Characteristics: Case Study in Beijing, Transportation Research Record 1441, 1626. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 18 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This project was sponsored by the Department for Transport. The data analyses were carried out by Xu Hao and Kokil Gupta, both at Mott MacDonald. The opinions in the paper are those of the authors alone, and may not be attributed to their respective employers. © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 19 Appendix 1 Survey Questionnaire © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 20 © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 21 © Association for European Transport and contributors 2008 22
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