The use of TOMS and MODIS to identify dust storm source areas: the Tokar Delta (Sudan) and the Seistan Basin (south west Asia) ben hickey, andrew s. goudie Abstract Two major Northern Hemisphere source regions for dust storm generation are the Seistan basin on the borders between Iran and Afghanistan, and the Tokar delta region on the Red Sea coast of Sudan. MODIS images of these two areas clearly show the locations from which dust plumes are derived, and TOMS permits the tracing of such dust plumes. e Seistan basin is an arid basin of internal drainage with active deflation of lake and deltaic sediments. e Tokar delta is a large alluvial system produced by the Baraka River, and is also in an arid area. Both areas are active in the summer months, display the importance of topographic funneling of wind, and contribute substantially to the formation of dust clouds over northern Pakistan and the Red Sea respectively. key words: Dust, TOMS, MODIS, Afghanistan, Sudan 1. Introduction Dust storms, dust raising events that reduce visibility to less than 1 km, are common phenomena in many drylands. !ey are important because they have numerous implications for human societies, cause substantial erosion and deflation of desert surfaces, are an important control on soil development, can have an impact on regional and global climates, and are a major component of biogeochemical systems. !e largest and most persistent sources of desert aerosol are located in the Northern Hemisphere, especially in hyper-arid regions and in proximity to major closed depressions (Washington et al. 2003; Prospero et al. 2002). In this paper we use two main types of remote sensing, TOMS (the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer) and MODIS (the Moderate Imaging Spectroradiometer) to identify two particular hot spots of deflation and dust generation: the Tokar Delta in Sudan and the Seistan Basin in south west Asia. 38 ben hickey — andrew s. goudie 2. The Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) !e Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) began taking measurements using the NIMBUS 7 satellite in 1978. Since 1996, TOMS, which provides daily coverage of most of the Earth’s surface, has been carried on the Earth Probe satellite. TOMS can detect dust in the largest UV wavelengths (340–380 nm), and the amount of dust in the atmosphere can be expressed in terms of an Aerosol Index (AI), with the most positive values representing the highest dust loadings (Herman et al. 1997; Hsu et al. 1999). TOMS detects absorbing aerosols over land surfaces as well as water and so enables the observation of large dust events over the continents and the tracing of the movement of large plumes over the oceans. A limitation of TOMS is that it is not an effective means of detecting dust activity below an altitude of 1–2 km (Mahowald, Dufresne 2004). On the other hand, various studies have provided evidence of a good correlation between ground climatological data and TOMS AI for dust storm distribution (e.g. Chiapello et al. 1999; Goudie, Middleton 2000). TOMS data are available from http://toms.gsfc.nasa.gov/aerosols/aerosols. html. !ey have been used to study dust storm generation at quite local scales (see, for example, Bryant 2003). 3. The Moderate Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) !e MODIS instruments are carried aboard the Earth Observing System (EOS) Terra and Aqua polar orbiting satellites. !e high spatial and spectral resolution of MODIS enhances the visibility of airborne dust over land and water, allowing for detailed analysis of dust activity at selected hotspot areas (Ichoku et al. 2004). Good images are presented on the Visible Earth web site (http://visibleearth.nasa.gov). 4. The Seistan Basin !e Seistan (Sistan) Basin (Figure 1) is located on the border between southeastern Iran and western Afghanistan (lat. 31.3° N, long. 61.4° E). Within this region lies the Hamoun lakes complex. !ese shallow lakes (e.g. Hamun-i-Sabari, Hamun-eHelmand, Hamun-e-Puzak and Gaud-i-Zirch), which are fed by the Helmand River, have from time to time been more extensive than today, covering an area ranging from 2,000–4,000 km², but equally they have a history of almost complete desiccation. For example, when the British Commissioners were there in 1872, the Hamoun lakes were dry, whereas when they were visited by members of the Russo-Afghan Boundary Commission in 1885/6 they formed an immense lake (Curzon 1892). Maps of their extent at the start of the twentieth century appear in Tate (1909) and show large bodies of water. A Landsat image for November 1976 indicates that there was a large amount of water in the basin, whereas in September 1987 the basin was once again dry. !e basin was wet in September 1998. Now, however, due to a run the use of toms and modis to identify dust storm source areas Fig. 1 The location of the Hamoun Lakes and the Seistan basin. of drought years and water abstraction from the Helmand, the lakes have all but disappeared (as they had in 1902) exposing large areas of lake bed and the delta of the Helmand, to wind erosion. In the 1990s and 2000s the silt-laden Helmand experienced substantial declines in water flow, with a major drought being experienced between 1999 and 2003. In 2001, for example, the river ran at 98 % below its annual average and failed to reach the Hamoun lakes altogether. In addition, the damming of the Helmand by the Ar- 39 40 ben hickey — andrew s. goudie Fig. 2a Landsat images of the Hamoun Lake region taken in 1976 (from Partow 2003). the use of toms and modis to identify dust storm source areas Fig. 2b Landsat images of the Hamoun Lake region taken in 2003 (from Partow 2003). 41 42 ben hickey — andrew s. goudie qhandab and Kajaki dams and the abstraction of water for irrigation since the 1970s have contributed to low inputs from that river. LANDSAT images [http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/study/Hamoun/] show the difference in water and vegetation in the Hamoun region between 1976 and 2003. Water and vegetation have largely disappeared, exposing silty, salt flats (Figure 2). In addition to possessing a lake regime that fluctuates almost yearly between being wet or dry, the area is characterized by very rapidly altering river courses and depocentre locations for the Helmand River delta (Rawlinson 1873). !e Helmand also carries a very large silt load, which McMahon (1906, p. 218) found on occasions ‘to be as much as one part silt to 127 parts of water, a figure which very few rivers in the world can surpass’. !e Hamoun region is one with an arid climate. !e hottest and driest months occur from June to August (Figure 3). !e mean annual precipitation at Zahedan is only 82 mm. In addition the area is affected by the high velocity Bad-i-sad-o-bist roz (‘wind of 120 days’) (Middleton 1986), particularly in May, June and July. Early travelers to the region (e.g. Huntington 1905) have described the ferocity of the dust generating winds. McMahon (1906, p. 224), for example, wrote: ‘It sets in at the end of May or the middle of June, and blows with appalling violence, and with little or no cessation, till about the end of September. It always blows from one direction, a little west of north, and reaches a velocity over 70 miles an hour. It creates a pandemonium of noise, sand and dust.’ He noted that it had le6 old irrigation canal beds, which are more resistant than surrounding sediment, standing above the level of the surrounding land, and that there were wind scour features some 6 m or so deep. !ese winds are associated with high level pressure building across Uzbekistan, giving rise to a pressure gradient across the mountain ranges north of Afghanistan. !is creates the strong winds which flow through mountain passes to the Hamoun lowlands. Fig. 3 Monthly mean temperatures and rainfall for Zahedan, Iran. the use of toms and modis to identify dust storm source areas 5. The Tokar Delta, Sudan !e Tokar Delta, fed by the Baraka River, is located on the Red Sea coast of Sudan, approximately 170 km south of Port Sudan at lat. 18.5° N and long. 37.7° E. !e climate of the region is arid, with little rainfall between March and September (Figure 4). !e mean annual total is 74 mm. Strong haboobs blow from the end of Fig. 4 Monthly mean temperature and rainfall for Tokar, Sudan. Fig. 5 The location of the Tokar Delta, Sudan (from Cressman et al. 1999). 43 44 ben hickey — andrew s. goudie May onwards. !ese ‘may persist for days on end without a lull and cover the delta with a dust pall which effectively curbs all outdoor activities’ (Tothill 1948, p. 709). !e Delta (Figure 5) consists of alluvial silts produced by floodwater coming from the Red Sea hills and Eritrean Highlands, and at its widest spreads for some 80 km either side of the main Baraka channel. In all it covers 2,150 km². !e silt load of the Baraka is very high, with its waters carrying as much as 10.6 % of their weight as suspended silt (Tothill 1948, p. 708). Inland from the Delta there is a major gap (ca. 110 km wide) in the Red Sea hills, which may serve to channel high velocity winds into the area. 6. The overall pattern of dust activity in the Middle East and southwest Asia Figure 6 shows the annual pattern of dust storm activity in the Middle East and southwest Asia as derived from TOMS. Broadly speaking there appear to be four main areas with high dust loadings (i.e. AI values greater than 1.3): (i) An area in eastern Sudan and over the southern part of the Red Sea. !is includes the Tokar Delta region, which has an AI value of 1.7 located just offshore. (ii) !e south and east of Arabia. (iii) !e south of Afghanistan and the west of Pakistan down to the Makran coast. !is includes the Seistan Basin, where AI values of 1.6 are detected. (iv) !e !ar Desert of northwest India and Pakistan. Two of these areas have been discussed elsewhere – (ii) by Goudie, Middleton (2002) and (iv) by Goudie, Middleton (2000). 7. Case Study: the Seistan Basin Figure 7 is an example of a MODIS image of a dust storm event over the Seistan basin. !is image, recorded by the Terra satellite on 23rd September 2003, clearly shows long plumes of dust coming off the dry lake beds pictured in the Landsat image (see Figure 2). From this, it appears that the dry lake beds serving as point sources for the dust storm are located specifically in the northern half of Lake Sabari and at separate points on the northern boundary of Lake Puzak. Comparison with other MODIS images reveals that these dry lake beds repeatedly provide the source material for dust storms in this region. Dense plumes of dust originating from the dry lake beds can be seen to travel in a south/southwest direction along the Iran–Afghanistan border for hundreds of kilometers before moving eastward over Pakistan. !e plumes initially extend in a narrow swath immediately downwind from the source region before spreading out laterally as dust is lo6ed up into the troposphere. !e dust plumes remain well defined until reaching the Chagai the use of toms and modis to identify dust storm source areas Fig. 6 Annual pattern of dust storm activity (1998–2000) in the Middle East and Southwest Asia, derived from TOMS (Ai values × 10). Hills, which straddle the border between the Pakistan and Afghanistan. Here, the elevated topography (seen more easily in a SeaWifs image of a separate dust event recorded on 18tʰ May 2001, see Figure 8) appears to break up the plume flow, causing the dust to disperse to the south and west. !e orientation of the Chagai Hills and Seistan Mountains further to the west appear to channel the dust plume east over the Registan desert plains in Afghanistan. !e MODIS image of September 23rd 2003 can be compared with the TOMS AI values at the same period (Figure 9). !e TOMS image for 22ⁿd September (Figure 9a) shows no great concentration of dust in the upper atmosphere close to the source region, with all AI values below 1.1. Small concentrations of dust are present in the atmosphere on the Pakistan coast and Indus plains. !e TOMS image for 23rd September (Figure 9b) shows a significant spread of atmospheric dust approximately 45 46 ben hickey — andrew s. goudie Fig. 7 MODIS Image of dust storm in Afghanistan for 23rd September 2003. Fig. 8 SeaWifs image of dust storm in Afghanistan for 18th May 2001. the use of toms and modis to identify dust storm source areas 130 km southeast of the source region. With the dust being carried by northerly winds, the disturbed dust was expected to appear visible south of the source. !ere appears to be no dust in the upper atmosphere for 130 km around the source itself. !is can perhaps be explained by the fact that TOMS is unable to detect aerosol concentrations at surface level. It is likely that dust will initially be transported further away from its source. !e highest concentrations of dust (AI = 1.5) appear to be concentrated just north of the Chagai Hills. !e TOMS dust plume is spread parallel to the Pakistan border, with the majority of the dust remaining north of the Chagai Hills. However, some dust appears to have moved south over the mountains, reaching as far south as lake Hamoun-i-Mashkel (28.3° N, 62.9° E). !e TOMS data compare well with the MODIS satellite image recorded on the same date. In the MODIS image, several narrow dust plumes can be seen originating from the dry lake beds in the Seistan basin and from additional point sources further to the north. !e dust blows southeast to the Chagai Hills with some passing over the high terrain moving south. !is is in agreement with the description of dust movement detailed by TOMS with both images showing a large area of high dust concentration on the north side of the Chagai Hills. !e TOMS image also shows dust activity has increased along the Pakistan coast although this is too distant to be linked to the Seistan dust event. By 24tʰ September (Figure 9c) TOMS data show a huge increase in atmospheric dust loading, in terms of both intensity and spatial distribution. !e dust plume has spread out to cover much of Pakistan and southern Afghanistan. Average AI values within the plume now exceed 1.5, reaching a maximum value of 3.2 over the Pakistan coast. Significant values (AI > 1.1) are also present over much of eastern Pakistan. Comparison with the relief map for this region reveals a good correlation between low relief and the path taken by the most concentrated parts of the dust plume. !e most intense part of the plume appears to follow a path eastward along the Chagai hills before moving south through the valleys of the Siahan range in Pakistan. Having blown south to the Pakistan coast the dust then accumulates over the Gulf of Oman. It is not clear from the TOMS image to what extent dust activity on the Pakistan coast is contributing to the peak concentrations observed in this region. However, there is a clear spread of peak AI values corresponding to high dust concentrations in the atmosphere that can be traced back to the source region. !ere is also a noticeable absence of any dust activity in the Baluchistan province of western Pakistan, an area approximately 100,000 km² in size. !is is most likely due to the fact that this area is shielded from dust flow by the high mountains of the Siahan range to the east and the Chagai hills to the north. !e TOMS image for September 25tʰ (Figure 9d) shows that dust in the upper atmosphere is now largely restricted to a concentrated area above the Makran coast of Iran and Pakistan. Although the spread of dust has contracted and peak AI values have dropped to below 2.5, the area of high dust loading is still significantly large (approximately 160,000 km²). !e only dust activity to appear outside the concentrated zone is located in the northeast of Pakistan and appears to relate to a distinctly separate dust source. 47 48 ben hickey — andrew s. goudie Fig. 9 a b c d e f The TOMS AI values × 10 for 22nd–27th September 2003. the use of toms and modis to identify dust storm source areas Table 1 Seasonality of dust storms in the Hamoun Lakes region of Afghanistan, 2002–3. Time of year Number of major dust events recorded by MODIS Dec, Jan, Feb 1 Mar, Apr, May 2 Jun, Jul, Aug 9 Sep, Oct, Nov 2 By 26tʰ September (Figure 9e), three days a6er the dust plume first formed, there is no longer any significant dust present in Afghanistan close to the source region. Most of the dust above the Pakistan coast has dissipated and the spots of high dusts concentrations have disappeared. Maximum AI values have dropped from 2.1 to 1.3 over the last 24 hours. !e dust over the Makran coast appears to have moved northeast, with greater concentrations (AI > 1.5) now visible over northeastern Pakistan. !e final TOMS image in this sequence for 27tʰ September (Figure 9f) shows that there are no longer any significant levels of dust remaining in the upper troposphere. Aerosol Index values have dropped to below 1.1 throughout Afghanistan and Pakistan. !e only dust present at all can be seen in northeast Pakistan close to where peak values were recorded 24 hours previously. By looking at the dates of all MODIS images taken of dust storms in this region from 2001–2003, it is possible to get an idea of the seasonal nature of the dust storms observed in the Hamoun Lake region (assuming all dust storm events have been recorded by MODIS) (Table 1). It appears from the above data that most dust storm activity in the Seistan basin occurs during the summer months of June, July and August during which nine of the fourteen recorded dust events took place. No dust activity was observed during the winter months of January and February. !is substantially confirms the picture determined by analysis of climatological data for Zabol (Iran), which shows that June, July and August are the three main dust storm months (Middleton 1986, Table 1). 8. Case study: the Tokar Delta !e nature of dust storms blowing from the Tokar Delta was studied using daily TOMS AI data (Figure 14). In order to compare the results of TOMS with other satellite imagery, data were selected over a time period for which several MODIS satellite images were recorded: the 21st–30tʰ June, 2003 (Figures 10, 11, 12, 13). For every TOMS map (Figure 14) AI values between 4.5 and 5.5 appear as grey and represent moderate levels of dust loadings in the atmosphere. Higher dust levels (> 5.5) appear as a dark tone. !e exact locations of the highest TOMS AI values have been labeled on each daily TOMS map created in order to help trace the movement of the most concentrated part of the dust plume. !e first map made using TOMS data for 21st June (Figure 14) shows two distinct dust clouds over the Middle East. !e first appears over land immediately west of 49 50 ben hickey — andrew s. goudie Fig. 10 MODIS image of Tokar Delta dust plume, 21st June 2003. the Tokar Delta trending southwest-northeast in agreement with expected surface wind flow direction in this area for this time of year. Peak AI values recorded over the Red Sea reach 6.9. !e dust appears to be moving south over the Red Sea, with no significant dust levels recorded north of Port Sudan either on land or over sea. Comparison with the MODIS image recorded over this area on the same date (Fig- the use of toms and modis to identify dust storm source areas Fig. 11 MODIS image of Tokar Delta dust plume, 25th June, 2003. Fig. 12 MODIS image of Tokar Delta dust plume, 26th June, 2003. 51 52 ben hickey — andrew s. goudie Fig. 13 MODIS image of Tokar Delta dust plume, 30th June, 2003. ure 10) helps to confirm the direction of dust movement with dust clearly visible trailing south for several hundred kilometers. !e second dust cloud seen by TOMS over the southeast Arabian Peninsula appears to be separate from the dust movement visible over the Red Sea and is therefore unlikely to have originated from the Tokar Delta region. the use of toms and modis to identify dust storm source areas On 22ⁿd June (Figure 14b), TOMS shows a significant increase in dust levels over much of the Red Sea south of Tokar. An intense dust cloud where AI values reach 8.6 now exists over the southern Red Sea and parts of Eritrea and Yemen. In total the intense dust covers an area of 251,000 km². High but less intense dust levels can be seen near Tokar. !ere is also notably less dust west of Tokar now than the previous day. Moderate dust indicated by AI values above 4.0 can be seen extending east and then north up to latitude 29° N over Saudi Arabia. By 23rd June (Figure 14c) dust levels have dropped significantly with AI values falling below significant levels almost everywhere. Some moderate dust loading remains over the coast of Eritrea, where AI values have dropped to 5.2. !e TOMS image for 24tʰ June (Figure 14d) shows the dust cloud of highest intensity to have moved approximately 670 km to the southeast over Somalia and the Gulf of Aden. In total since 21st June dust emanating from the Tokar Delta has traveled some 1,450 km from its source. !e dust cloud has now increased in intensity to AI 5.8. Much lower dust values (AI of 4.0–5.0) trail back north toward Tokar. A moderate AI value is picked up over Tokar, suggesting a relatively weak dust event at the source. On 25tʰ June TOMS records lower levels of dust in the upper troposphere (Figure 14e). Dust distribution is similar for that seen on 21st June. !ere is no longer any noticeable dust over the southern Red Sea east of Tokar, where AI values peak at 4.5. Low levels of dust can also be seen running southwest of Tokar for at least 300 km. !e TOMS data for 25tʰ June can be compared with the MODIS image recorded on the same date (Figure 11). Although it is difficult to identify dust movement over land in this image, MODIS clearly shows strong dust plumes emanating from the Tokar Delta and also from a source approximately 150 km further north along the coast near Port Sudan. Dust from these sources can be seen blowing out most of the way across the Red Sea, moving in a direction curving south in agreement with the geometry of the dust plume shown by TOMS. !e MODIS image recorded on 26tʰ June (Figure 12) shows that dust activity along the Sudan coast has significantly increased, with dust blowing into the Red Sea from several sources all along the coast as far north as Dunqunab. !e single most productive dust source still appears to be the Tokar Delta with its plume extending out into the Red Sea for over 250 km. !e sustained productivity of dust plumes along the Sudan coast over 25tʰ and 26tʰ June is reflected by TOMS data for June 26tʰ which shows a massive increase in dust intensity over much of the Red Sea, with the highest AI values approaching 8.0 recorded further north of Tokar (Figure 14f), east of Mecca in Saudi Arabia and all the way down to the Gulf of Aden. AI values have jumped to more than 7.0 for virtually the entire Red Sea, reaching a peak of 8.1 northeast of Tokar, where several dust plumes appear to merge as seen by MODIS. !e highest concentrations of dust, whilst extending south to the Gulf of Aden, appear to be restricted to the atmosphere above the Red Sea with the exception of significant high level dust distribution over the western Arabian Peninsula due east of Tokar. Comparison with the relief map for this region suggests that dust moving south over the Red 53 54 ben hickey — andrew s. goudie a b c d e f Fig. 14a–f The TOMS AI values × 10 for 21st–30th June, 2003. the use of toms and modis to identify dust storm source areas Sea is contained by the Asir Mountains flanking the coast of the Arabian Peninsula. !e Asir Mountains run from south of Mecca in Saudi Arabia to the town of Ibb in west Yemen with an average elevation of over 3,000 m. !e movement of dust over the western Arabian Peninsula can perhaps be explained by the lower levels of relief along the Red Sea coast north of Mecca where elevations drop to 500 m, over 2,500 m lower than the mountains further south. By 27tʰ June the high level of dust activity over the Red Sea has contracted to a smaller region closer to the Tokar Delta dust source (Figure 14g). AI values below 5.0 still persist over the southern Red Sea. However, peak AI values are now found only as far south as the border between Saudi Arabia and Yemen. !e higher TOMS AI values have now moved further north up the Red Sea. !is switch in peak dust concentration location as recorded by TOMS suggests a change in wind direction over the Red Sea from prevailing southerly to northerly winds together with a decline in recent dust storm activity on the coast of Sudan. TOMS data for 28tʰ June (Figure 14h) shows that dust loading in the atmosphere has reverted to extremely high intensities over most of the Red Sea and western Saudi Arabia, following the decline in dust concentrations observed on the 27tʰ. Peak AI values of 8.7, almost double the peak AI reading on 24tʰ June at the start of this series and the highest recorded values so far, are observed over the Red Sea east of the Tokar Delta source region. Average AI values of over 7.0 appear west of Tokar and extend as far south as the Gulf of Aden and east over much of Saudi Arabia. !e g h i j Fig. 14g–j The TOMS AI values × 10 for 21st–30th June, 2003. 55 56 ben hickey — andrew s. goudie total area covered by AI values exceeding 6.0 is now approximately 1,450,000 km² (of which 460,000 km² is in Arabia). Moderate dust levels can be seen moving away from the concentrated dust cloud into the Arabian Sea and north of Saudi Arabia into Iraq. !e TOMS AI data mapped for 29tʰ and 30tʰ June (Figures 14i and j) show a general repeat of the changes in dust activity seen over the previous two days. Briefly, AI values for 29tʰ June (peak AI of 6.9) have decreased notably from peak values the day before (AI of 8.7), only to increase markedly in both distribution and intensity once more the following day, 30tʰ June (peak AI of 7.7) where the highest AI values once again exceed an area of over 1,000,000 km². MODIS imagery for 30tʰ June shows several dust plumes blowing across from the Sudan coast toward the east and not directly south (Figure 13). !is is supported by the TOMS image for the same date showing more dust than usual over western Saudi Arabia. From these images it can be seen that the dust sources on the Sudan coast have remained fairly persistent over the last several days with dust productivity waxing and waning on a 48 hour cycle. As in the Seistan Basin, dust storm activity appears to be highly seasonal. MODIS images show June and July to be the main months for dust storm activity. !is is when the haboobs occur. 9. Conclusions In the Middle East and southwest Asia there are four main dust source regions as identified by high TOMS AI values. Two of these – the Seistan Basin and the Tokar Delta – appear to be very specific point sources, with the former being a desiccated lacustrine/deltaic area of aridity, into which winds are focused by topography from the north, and with the latter being a hyper-arid alluvial delta, located downwind from a major gap in the Red Sea Hills. Both areas are associated with rivers that carry an exceptionally high silt load, and both areas have a highly seasonal and vigorous dust regime which occurs in the dry, hot, windy summer months. Areas with high AI values (determined from TOMS) show a good correlation with MODIS images captured for the same dates and allows dust transport trajectories to be monitored. MODIS, on the other hand, is effective at identifying the precise sources of dust plumes. the use of toms and modis to identify dust storm source areas References Bryant, R.G. (2003): Monitoring hydrological controls on dust emissions: preliminary observations from Etosha Pan, Namibia. 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