EAGE Workshop on Dead Sea Sinkholes Causes, Effects & Solutions Field Guidebook 23 September 2012 - This field guidebook is sponsored by the Arab Center for Engineering Studies (ACES) - www.eage.org 23-25 September 2012 Amman, Jordan Prepared by: Professor Najib Abou Karaki, Scientific President of Honor, Dean of the Faculty of Sciences, University of Jordan Dr Damien Closson, Signal and Image Centre, Royal Military Academy of Belgium Acknowledgements: Geert Janssen (Keller Grundbau GmbH), Honey Barba (EAGE) and colleagues for their support throughout. This field guidebook is sponsored by the Arab Center for Engineering Studies (ACES). Cover: Jordan River entering the Dead Sea (3/19/2010, source: the Web) 2 This field book is sponsored by the Arab Center for Engineering Studies (ACES) Company Profile Arab Center for Engineering Studies (ACES) was established in Amman-Jordan in the year 1983 as a geotechnical and materials testing engineering organization. Today, ACES provides a complete range of specialized engineering services which include, additionally, quality control of projects, special studies, environmental studies and testing, and land and marine surveying. All of ACES work is built around its commitment to deliver the best value for its clients in terms of responsiveness, consistency, quality and practical solutions. ACES main goal is to partner with its clients, understand and exceed their expectations. ACES has a network of fourteen sister companies situated in eight countries. These sister companies are located in Amman, Aqaba, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Al-Ain, Doha, Muscat, Jeddah, Riyadh, Al-Khobar, Ramallah, Gaza, Khartoum and Sana’a. ACES also undertakes projects in other countries including Azerbaijan, Syria, Kuwait, Iraq, Angola, Djibouti, and Morocco, among others. ACES has carried out thousands of projects for its clients in the Middle East and elsewhere. All ACES’ projects, regardless of the size, are approached with the expertise, technology and equipment required to meet the client’s needs. In 2009, ACES has established four highly specialized Regional Centers of Excellence (RCE) to enhance its leadership and competitive position in its markets of operation. The four RCEs are geophysical studies, pile testing and instrumentation, pavement studies and evaluation, and land and marine surveying. ACES quality culture has been inspired by its leadership and has been systemized and imbedded in all internal processes and operations. ACES quality management system has been built in accordance with the requirements of ISO 9001-2008, ISO/IEC 17025-2005, ISO 14001-2004, OHSAS 18001-2007 and principles of business excellence. In addition, the quality system provides general policies and procedures to demonstrate ACES ability to consistently provide services that meet customers and applicable regulatory requirements. ACES - Amman - Jordan Street: Ibrahim Qatan Street Building No. 33 Phone: +962-6-5810777 Fax: +962-6-5812777 E-mail: [email protected] 3 Awards ACES is proud to have been recognized for its commitment to quality and excellence by winning each and every total quality and excellence recognition award in the markets where it operates. Winning these distinguished and prestigious awards reflects our pursuit to reach advanced levels of performance excellence through continuous improvements and has aided in ACES being recognized as a benchmark of high quality services, management and business excellence. A selection of recent awards won by ACES includes: •King Abdullah II Award for Excellence (2009) Award in Service Sector (Small and Medium Size Organizations) - Amman, Jordan •Best Accredited Laboratory (2007) Accreditation Center - Dubai Municipality, Dubai, UAE •Sheikh Khalifa Excellence Award (2003 - 2004) Quality Appreciation Certificate - Abu Dhabi, UAE •Sheikh Khalifa Excellence Award (2001 - 2002) Quality Appreciation Certificate - Abu Dhabi, UAE •King Abdullah II Award for Excellence (2000) Award in Service Sector (Small and Medium Size Organizations) - Amman, Jordan •Dubai Quality Award (2000) Certificate of Appreciation - Dubai, UAE Certificates & Accreditations In its commitment to providing high quality services ACES has built its quality management system in accordance with the requirements of ISO 9001-2008, ISO/IEC 170252005, ISO 14001-2004, OHSAS 18001-2007 and principles of business excellence. 4 5 Preface This Field guide is prepared to give an overview of the environmental degradation related to the Dead Sea level lowering along the Jordanian coastal zones. The guide follows the route from Amman to Aqaba via the Dead Sea (route 40 until the Jordan valley, then route 65 until Ghor Mazra’a). Seven stops have been selected to highlight the various facets of the problem, to provide an overview of the geotechnical issues, to discuss on the expected trends, and the relationship with the active tectonic setting. This survey will enrich the discussions and presentations of the next two days (24-25 September 2012). Environmental conditions along the Dead Sea coast The Dead Sea is a hypersaline terminal lake located in a pull-apart basin, which is one of the major components of the Jordan Dead Sea Transform fault system (Abou Karaki 1987). It is the lowest place on Earth with an elevation of 426 m bMSL in 2012. Most of the Dead Sea coastal areas are over complex faulted zones related to the Dead Sea pull-apart basin. This zone is prone to earthquakes and soil liquefaction. Most of the area is characterized by highly karstic and fractured rock formations that are genetically connected with faults. Karstic conduits extend from the land into the sea, and the prevailing seaward-sloping rock strata. A steep escarpment characterizes the morphology. The difference in the elevation between the lake and the highlands to the East is more than 1210 m over a horizontal distance of 15 km. Hot and sulphur springs can be found in many places. Due to the maximum level of the lake at about 180m bMSL in the Pleistocene, marine/saline sediment deposits are the direct causes of the observed high salinity of some springs adjacent to the shore. The groundwater discharging along the Dead Sea escarpment shows a variety of chemical compositions and Electrical Conductivity (EC) values (Salameh and Hammouri 2008). The water discharges from different aquifers such as, Upper Cretaceous limestones, Lower Cretaceous sandstones, Permo-Triassic limestones, sandstones and siltstones and Cambrian Ordovician limestone and sandstones. From Wadi Ibn Hammad (southern Dead Sea) northwards the groundwater chemistry starts to change gradually; the EC values increase to 1,500–2,000 µS/cm in Zara area (Middle Dead Sea) to 2,000–3,000 µS/cm in Zerka Ma’in area (northern Dead Sea) and to 5,000–8,000 µS/cm further north in Suweimeh area. Climate conditions range from semi-arid to arid. The average annual temperature is 24°C (Figure 1). Precipitation varies from 100mm/yr in the north to 70mm/yr in the south. The potential evaporation rate is about 2500mm/yr. The vegetation is very sparse. Only briars and some brackish water tolerant plants (Tamarisk) grow. The agriculture is limited on small fields of fruit-tree plantations and tomato fields. 6 Figure 1: A - Precipitation from 1990 to 2000. B – Temperature from 1990 to 2001. Data from the Ministry of Water and Irrigation, south Shuna climate gauging station. Causes of the Dead Sea level lowering The Jordan River is the main tributary of the Dead Sea. For the Israelis, the Palestinians and the Jordanians, its basin is of immense importance as they withdraw large percentages of their fresh water from it. The exploitation of this limited resource is enmeshed in the complexities of the Arab-Israeli conflicts. The stalemate remains as illustrated by the 2009-2011 feasibility study of the Red Sea - Dead Sea Canal to pipe Red Sea water into the Dead Sea. When the downward trajectory of the Dead Sea level was first noticed in the 1960s, competition between the Arabs and the Israelis for scarce water resources was such that it led to hostilities on a number of occasions. After the 1967 war, the Israelis doubled their access to fresh water resources at the expense of the Arabs. To partially compensate for the losses, the Jordanian Authorities implemented a program to recover all waters available in their territory. Since then, the Dead Sea level has been dropping at an increasing rate: from about 60 cm/yr in the 1970s up to 1 m/yr in the 2000s. The magnitude of the shoreline withdrawal depends on the local bathymetry. In 2012, it can reach several kilometers in the southern part. From about the mid-1980s, sinkholes appeared more and more frequently over and around the emerged mudflats and saltflats. Strong subsidence and landslides also affect some segments of the coast. In the 1990s, the ground collapses started threatening and impeding the industrial development of the Arab Potash Company. In 2012, several thousand sinkholes attest that the degradation of the Dead Sea coast is worsening and that an early warning system should be set up rapidly. 7 Table of Content Arab Center for Engineering Studies (ACES) 3 Preface 6 Table of content 8 Introduction 9 STOP 1 [lat: 31.757604°; long: 35.581309°]: Sweimeh - Tamarisk groves area 13 STOP 2 [lat: 31.750137°; long: 35.591548°]: Sweimeh - Holiday Inn resort 19 STOP 3 [lat: 31.719465°; long: 35.589639°]: Wadi Mukheira - Marriott Hotel 21 STOP 4 [lat: 31.466469°; long: 35.572689°]: Wadi Mujib 23 STOP 5 [lat: 31.313456°; long: 35.530737°]: Ghor Al Haditha 26 STOP 6 [lat: 31.259864°; long: 35.401476°]: Arab Potash, dike 18 32 STOP 7 [lat: 31.358529°; long: 35.483978°]: Arab Potash, dike 19 37 Discussion 41 Conclusions 43 References 44 8 Introduction The hyper-saline Dead Sea sits in a closed depression which straddles over Lebanon, Syria, West Bank, Jordan, Israel, and Egypt. It is the deepest emerged place on Earth at 426 m below the mean sea level (2012). Ordinarily, the terminal lake level fluctuates according to the rain falling into the basin, especially in the northern mountainous parts (1200 mm/yr) where are located the springs of the Jordan River, the main feeder. Over the Dead Sea surface, about 80 x 15 km, the rainfall is 70 mm/yr while the evaporation is 2 m/yr. The stability of these arid conditions allowed for the development of an original salt karst in the gravely-muddy shores, especially in the sub-horizontal salty-marls of the Lisan peninsula. The Dead Sea margins have recorded the variations of the climate in the region, of the plate tectonic activities along the Jordan – Dead Sea Transform faulted zone (Figure 2), and of the humans’ proliferation. Figure 2: the Dead Sea and the Jordan – Dead Sea Transform faulted zone (adapted from http://exact-me.org/overview/p0809.pdf) 9 Climate and tectonics are slow variables acting on the hydro-geological system as demonstrated by the reliable information on the Quaternary level fluctuations. However, in 2007, Salameh and Farajat have shown that, some 10 kyr ago, an important lava flow reduced the size of the drainage basin from 157,000 km² to the present-day 43,000 km². This major amputation led to a very rapid and significant lake level drop, from about -180 m to -390 m. The anthropogenic factor had noticeably impacted on the Dead Sea water balance during the 20th century. From the 1950s onward, the lake level is rather determined by the industrial/agricultural needs of the increasing population in Israel, Palestine and Jordan than the rainfall. In 2012, about 16 M people living in and outside the Dead Sea drainage basin are consuming 90% of the fresh waters that move toward the terminal lake. Only 60 years ago, they were less than 2 M. The water level is (nearly) continuously recorded since 1899. From 1900 to the mid-1930s, it was around -392 m (Figure 3) before a 2 m drop happened. It coincided with a major inflection in the curve of the basin population. From the 1940s to the mid-1950s, the level stabilized at -395 m. In the 1950s, the Arabs and the Israelis embarked on a race to collect the waters of the Jordan River. In 1955 the Johnston Unified Water Plan was adopted by Jordan, Lebanon, Syria and Israel until the 1967 war. During that period of 12 years, a new sharp drop in the Dead Sea level occurred. In the 1960s, the Israelis constructed the 85 km long National Water Carrier to provide water to the populations living in the coastal plains along the Mediterranean Sea and the northern Negev as well. In parallel, the Jordanians completed the 110 km long King Abdullah Canal (aka East Ghor Canal). At the end of the 1960s, the level stabilizes at -399 m. Since then, the rate in the level drop is increasing, ranging from 60 cm/yr in the 1970s up to 1 m/yr in the 2000s. Three events took places in the opposite sense during the rainy winters of 1980, 1992 and 2003. The observed increasing rate is a far consequence of the 1967 war: on the one hand, the Israelis occupied the Golan Heights and Mt. Hermon, doubling their domestic water resources (Rogers 2004); on the other hand, the Arabs lost a free access to the Jordan River. It led the Jordanian authorities to conduct an extensive program of dams’ construction which has further aggravated the shortage of water feeding the Dead Sea. In 1994, a new water allocation plan was agreed as part of the Israel-Jordan Treaty of Peace, and in September 2002, at the United Nations world summit, Israel and Jordan announced that they would join forces the build a 310 km long canal connecting the Red Sea to the Dead Sea. A two years feasibility study was performed between 2009 and 2011 (Schittekat 2008; Halgand et al 2011). In 2012, the realization of this canal is still hypothetical. Even if an agreement was actually done between the stakeholders, a decade would be necessary before the Dead Sea level starts to rise. In being optimistic, the surface shrinkage will not end before (at least) the next two decades. 10 Figure 3: Dead Sea water level from 1900 to 2012 (Arab Potash Company). Between 19131927, gaps in the data collection exist. An environmental deterioration of the shore lands matches the Dead Sea surface shrinkage throughout the widening of the coastal plain. The lake level drop has undermined the stability of the geomorphic systems around the Dead Sea and triggered a chain of reactions, impacting the coastal area in the form of extensive (up to 3.5 km) exposure of mudflats/saltflats, exposure of steep slopes leading to landslides, and rapid increase of areas affected by karst features such as sinkholes and uvalas (e.g. Closson and Abou Karaki, 2009). The newly exposed zones are seepage surfaces. Various and complicated erosion patterns are developing. Over time, channeling, gulling and head cut migration are occurring. Intensive incision of streams and gullies is propagating upstream towards the infrastructures, causing damages to the roads, bridges, earthen dikes, and the hotels/recreation areas. Seven stops (Table 1, Figure 4) have been selected to highlight the various facets of the problem, to provide an overview of the geotechnical issues, to discuss on the expected trends, and the relationship with the active tectonic setting. This survey will enrich the discussions and presentations of the next two days (24-25 September). 11 Figure 4: location of the stops. Table 1: Field trip time frame and the seven thematic stops 12 STOP 1 [lat: 31.757604°; long: 35.581309°] : Sweimeh - Tamarisk groves area Figure 5 locates two hectometric landslides areas affecting the northern Dead Sea coast (white arrowheads). The ribbon of light grey color corresponds to the lands that emerged between 1973 and 2000. Practically, Figure 5 illustrates the seaward displacement of the shoreline three decades before the first landslide hit the coast. The upper and lower limits of this ribbon are the contour lines of ~397m bMSL and ~416m bMSL (Closson and Abou Karaki, 2010). Figure 5: location map of the two hectometric landslides affecting the northern Dead Sea coast (Suweimeh area). Background: Landsat image (2000). UTM, WGS84, coordinates in kilometers. The white line corresponds to Route 65. Landslide n°1 (Figure 6) affects an area between elevations 400m bMSL (top) and 421 m bMSL (toe). It is an active, retrogressive and enlarging landslide. Year after year, the surface of rupture is extending in the direction opposite to the movement of the displaced material. Its velocity is slow [~1.6m/yr] (Truden and Varnes 1996). While the upper part clearly shows slumps landforms, the lower part is mostly characterized by earthflow deformations. The higher springs-level was located at 406m bMSL in May 2008. 13 Figure 6: point of view towards the north. In the foreground, sapping and slipping landforms characterize headward gully erosion; the background presents a complex landslide combining slump and earthflow features (see Figure 7). The affected area shows several amphitheatres, each one originated on a set of springs or in a place that concentrate(s/d) groundwater. Amphitheatres developed through backward erosion piping phenomenon. Water flows through the pores of the soil. Erosion is caused only by intergranular flow causing excessive seepage forces at an exit face. These seepage forces cause a boil condition or particle detachment at an exit face. In the upper part, slump is large and complex. Material moved as a unit with displacements along curved slip planes. Tilted masses moved backward into the slope. Material of the toe presents pancake-shaped zone of liquefied material. Slumps could occur over a saturated zone ~10-15m below. Investigations indicated a significant amount of water coming down with the slide (Figure 7). Figure 7: the upper part of the landslide presents rotational earthslides moving downhill with minimal deformation along a concave failure plane. In the lower part, pancake-shaped zone of liquefied material attest that earthflows move at varying rates depending on factors such as slope angle and flow composition. The landslide contains numerous springs where welldeveloped vegetation exist. The area of the earthflows is completely devegetated. 14 The lower part is an earthflow. It is a thick, sticky fluid, probably flowing over a specific layer of clay. Landform are characterized by a mass of broken and disrupted soil, and raised, lumpy terrain (Figure 8). Figure 8: looking from the toe towards the headscarp, details of the central area. The white arrowhead indicates a pancake-shaped zone of liquefied material. Material kept soft and lubricated by the water supply from the porous and permeable sediments. Landslide n°1 developed in material consisting of thin-bedded, silty-clayed layers of a darkbrown to ochre color at the surface and a bright grey to black color within the sequences. Single persistent limy or evaporitic white layers which occasionally show an orange-red to russet color are intercalated. The whole formation is rich in organic material indicated by the black color of the clay and the organic smell. Very significant is the appearance of autochthonous grown halite-crystals. The salt-crystals appear as single crystals or are to be found as accumulated crystals within a nest. This formation has a thickness of more than 20 meters and is terraced by the retreat of the Dead Sea. These successive beach erosion scarps represent progressive levels of the Dead Sea drawdown. They are visible from the former 1960’ shoreline to the present coast. The single terrace steps have thickness of less than one meter and further away from the present-day shoreline the thickness grows up to two meters. The different height of the steps inform on the speed of retreat of the Dead Sea to the recent water level. 15 Landslide n°2 is probably the first event of this kind along the Dead Sea coast. It dates back to September 6th, 1999. It destroyed more than one hundred meters of a resthouse beach (Figure 9). Probably dreading the negative impact over the development of touristic resorts along the coast, Jordanian Authorities minimized the significance of this incident and its causal factors by suggesting that a sanitation problem was the triggering element: “Biltaji (Jordanian Tourism Minister at that period) said the concerned authorities will deal with the landslide in cooperation with the Ministry of Tourism. He said no one was at the resthouse when the landslide occurred on Monday (6th September 1999) and no material damage was caused. He said the resthouse was ordered closed due to its violation of public health safety rules. He gave no further details. (…)” (Jordan Times, 1999). It was a very rapid landslide [3m/min to 5m/sec] (Truden and Varnes 1996). During a decade, it was inactive (Figure 10 A). However, one has to mention that a decametric sinkhole appeared in 2003 over the main scarp. In May 2007, a wall built to hide this scarp partly collapsed, letting visible seepage of brine (Figure 9B). In May 2008, three salty springs were observed in the zone of accumulation. The “Holiday Inn” was built from 2006 to 2009 at the same place of the destroyed “Social Security” beach area (Figure 9). In May 2009, the front beach was totally destroyed by sinkholes (Figure 11). On August 11, 2012, a new landslide occurred (see Figure 12), destroying the front beach. This event, expected for years, underlines the urgent need of an Early warning system. Figure 9: collapse of the “Social Security” front beach, 9th September 1999. (Photo provided by Pr. Najib Abou Karaki) 16 B Figure 10: former “Social Security” front beach observed nine years later. Seepage was still apparent and destroyed a wall. 17 Figure 11: Metric sinkholes destroyed the Holiday Inn front beach in May 2009 (Photo © Najib Abou Karaki) Figure 12: Holiday Inn beach as seen in August 12, 2012. A tractor sliced into the lake. Its roof is still visible (snapshot of a video taken by the owner and provided to Pr. Najib Abou Karaki). 18 STOP 2 [lat: 31.750137°; long: 35.591548°]: Sweimeh - Holiday Inn resort The base level of a river is the lowest point to which it can flow, often referred to as the 'mouth' of the river. For large rivers, sea level is usually the base level, but a large river or lake is likewise the base level for tributary streams. Indeed, the Dead Sea is a terminal lake since there is no outlet. Terminal lakes (or endorheic lakes) are bodies of water that do not flow into the sea. All rivers and streams erode toward their “ultimate” base level. If a base level is lowering constantly as it is the case of the Dead Sea, series of new base levels replaces the past ones. As a result, the streams’ velocity increases, it leads to river bed erosion (Figure 13) and a gradient downstream from the past base level is increasing too. Figure 13: Depth of entrenchment increases with distance from the receding base level. Picture acquired in May, 2009. (Photo © Najib Abou Karaki) Incision is a common response of alluvial channels that have been disturbed such that they contain excess amounts of flow energy or stream power relative to the sediment load. Channel incision results in higher and often steeper stream banks. If sufficient down cutting occurs, stream banks can become susceptible to mass failure resulting in channel widening (Figure 14 & 15). Reaches of unstable banks can supply enormous quantities of sediment to the flow, potentially damping rates and magnitudes of degradation depending on whether the bank sediments are coarse-or fine-grained (Figure 13 & 18). 19 Figure 14: lateral widening by sliding. 1) exposure of the sea bed and divergent flow in channels,; 2) entrenchment with widening by preference; 3) entrenchment and appearance of tensile cracks; 4) deep entrenchment and widening of tensile cracks; 5) development of planar failure planes; 6) and sliding. (Adapted from Shapira et al., 2005). Figure 15: lateral widening by toppling. 1) exposure of the sea bed and divergent flow in channels,; 2) entrenchment with widening by preference; 3) development of tensile cracks in high banks; 4) collapse of bank; 5 & 6) toppling. (Adapted from Shapira et al., 2005). 20 STOP 3 [lat: 31.719465°; long: 35.589639°]: Wadi Mukheira - Marriott Hotel Base level is also significant for subsurface drainage. A drop in the base level is one of the prerequisite for the formation of (salt) karst topography, i.e. a network of sinkholes (e.g. Figure 16 & 17) and caverns that can develop as unsaturated groundwater (with respect to salt) enlarges fissures (by solution) caused by e.g. an earthquake in sediments whose matrix is filled with Dead Sea salt. A B Figure 16: A. Former Ambassador of Belgium Marc Schouttete de Tervaeren and Prof. Najib Abou Karaki are posing next to a decametric gravel hole close to the Marriott Hotel, April 2004. Since 2010, this sinkhole does not exist anymore. It affected the steep bank of an ephemeral stream. B. Same place view from a different angle to see the Marriott hotel. White arrowheads locate the opposite steep bank. (Photo © Damien Closson). 21 The basements of the bridges of the Dead Sea Route 65 act as a hard layer of rock and thus form a knick point or temporary base level (until it will be cut through by a receding waterfall during flash flood events). This temporary base level becomes also the source of a “young” stream (geologically speaking). Figure 17: differential compaction and cavities of various sizes are developing along many segments of the coastal zones. In Sweimeh, they are revealed by failure in new constructions. October, 2011. (Photo © Najib Abou Karaki) With the Dead Sea level drop, it is higher and higher (1 m/yr) relative to the lake level. This results in a high stream gradient. Erosion proceeds rapidly (Figure 18) due to the energy of the rapidly moving water. The topography becomes rugged. Over the river banks, failure development is related to shear stress of the flowing stream (undercutting and transport of failed material). Figure 18: Depth of entrenchment increases with distance from the receding base level. Picture acquired on May, 2009. (Photo © Najib Abou Karaki) 22 STOP 4 [lat: 31.466469°; long: 35.572689°]: Wadi Mujib A large part of Central Jordan is drained by the Wadi Mujib basin. This river developed a canyon (fourth deepest in the World) through the Moab plateau, the eastern shoulder of the Dead Sea Rift. Intense subsidence of the base level at the Dead Sea (pull-apart basin) is the main cause for the high rate of Pliocene/Pleistocene fluvial incision. The Holocene fluvial incision is stimulated by the drying of the climate characterized by a high variability of the yearly precipitation amounts (mean: <=100 mm/year for the canyon and the E-SE of the Mujib basin, while <350 mm/year over the plateau areas) and of the rainfall distribution that is concentrated in a few events. During such events, surface runoff causes sheet- and gully erosion over the affected areas. This results in mud streams through the canyon with a high competence. The mouth of the Wadi Mujib was navigable with a flat-bottomed boat into the 1950s (Figure 19 & 20). In 2012, the river pours into the Dead Sea about 900 m to the west. The current size of the delta is approximately 1200 m by 900 m (Figure 21). Figure 19 & 20: Wadi Mujib Mouth in the 1950s (Champdor, 1958) 23 Figure 21: delta of the Wadi Mujib in early 2000s. In the Wadi Mujib delta, the rates of incision are excessively high, almost equivalent as those of the receding Dead Sea (Figure 22). The rates of widening are also very high. These are fundamentally fast rates at this particular narrow location with respect to stability of the bridge. This observation explains the damages recorded and the heavy works to control the situation (Figure 23). For years, river bed incision and lateral widening by undercutting are causing damages to the basement of the bridge. Figure 22: magnitude of entrenchment with distance from shore, northern Dead Sea, West Bank (Shapira et al., 2005). 24 Figure 23: a) lateral widening by undercutting 1) exposure of the sea bed and divergent flow in channels; 2) entrenchment with widening by preference; 3) continued entrenchment; 4) initial mechanism of lateral widening, tension cracks occur, continued vertical entrenchment and initial undercutting; 5) advanced undercutting, widening of tensile cracks and formation of overhanging cliffs; 6) block failure and inclination. (Adapted from Shapira et al., 2005). b) Collapsed protection wall due to lateral widening by undercutting, 09/09/2007 (Photo © Damien Closson). 25 STOP 5 [lat: 31.313456°; long: 35.530737°]: Ghor Al Haditha Sinkholes At regional scale, Ghor Al Haditha occupies the northern part of a graben situated between the Ed Dhira basin and the Lisan (Figure 24). It is crossed by a set of N-S trending faults: Ghor Mazra’a, Ghor Safi, and West Dhira (Diabat, 2005). This graben is also crossed obliquely by a set of NNE trending structural features, i.e. an alignment of sinkholes six kilometers long, a major lineament over geological maps, topographic ruptures delineating a sagging area at Birkat el Haj, and joints affecting the eastern side of the Lisan karstic zone. Figure 24: Ghor Al Haditha is confined between two N-S trending left-lateral strikeslip faults. Faults and lineaments have been reproduced from 1:50,000 geological maps. Based on the results of geophysical surveys, Ghor Mazra’a and Ghor Safi faults have been extended seawards (Table 3). 1962 and 2006 shorelines delineate the surface that appeared due to the recent lowering of the Dead Sea level. They derive from satellite images. Ghor Al Haditha is a plain with a maximum elevation of 370m in its eastern part. Black dots indicate the location of the sinkholes that appeared between 1991 and 2008. The inventory is based on repeated field surveys, aerial photographs and high resolution satellite images interpretation. 26 The faults of the Dead Sea pull-apart basin are almost N-S oriented. However, the Jordan Dead Sea transform faulted zones is NNE trending at continental scale. The direction N24°E of the sinkholes lineament is compatible with one of the main structural direction in the southern Dead Sea area. Major recent activity in this direction is given by the focal mechanism of the mb=5.1 earthquake of 23 April 1979 (mechanism established by Arieh et al. 1982). This agreement supports a tectonic origin of the sinkholes alignment. It is interpreted as a hidden fault. The damaged zone is 6000m long and about 600m wide. In a recent past, results of geological and geophysical investigations revealed that sinkholes are caused by large caverns in a buried salt layer (Bataneh et al, 2002). The development of sinkholes is triggered by progressive lowering of the Dead Sea level. Different models explaining the phenomenon have been developed. However, until now, no one explains the sinkholes spatial distribution. The works carried out in Ghor Al Haditha suggest that the spatial distribution of most sinkholes (and consequently caverns) is linked to underground fractures caused by regional tectonic movements, one recent example of which is the 23rd April 1979 earthquake. Inside the lineament, sinkholes appeared in clusters separated by unaffected spaces. Based on the shape of the clusters and the relative proximity between each collapses, thirteen minor alignments have been individualized. Some of them suggest rotation of ground material while the others described an en-echelon system. The sinkholes distribution at Ghor Al haditha suggested that the activity of the West Dhira fault is relatively higher than the one of Ghor Safi fault. The monitoring and the mapping of sinkholes (Figure 25) from the beginning of the 1990s provided information of sub-surface discontinuities related to the structural setting. In the frame of an early warning system, such results could support the work of decision makers and engineers in the economical development of the area. Figure 25: example of metric sinkhole occurring in an interval of four months (Photo © Damien Closson) 27 Landslides While landslides observed in Stops 1 & 2 occurred along the shore, those in the southern Dead Sea appeared several hundred meters inland (Figure 26) but always in areas that were covered by the Dead Sea four decades ago. Figure 26: location map of two hectometric landslides affecting the southern Dead Sea coast. The ribbon of light grey color corresponds to the lands that emerged from 1973 (~397m bMSL) to 2000 (~416m bMSL). In 2008 the level is ~421m bMSL. Background: Landsat image (2000). UTM, WGS84, coordinates in kilometers. The white line corresponds to the Dead Sea main road. Landslide n°3 is affected by sinkholes and strong subsidence since the end of the 1990s. It appeared slowly at the toe of Wadi Mutayl alluvial fan between 1998 and 2003. It is always active but slow (Truden and Varnes 1996), and its dynamic nature is attested by multiple geomorphic features (Figure 27, 28 29, 30). The ground is made of fine/coarse-grained silica, sand and pebble size gravel with thin intercalations of laminated marl. 28 In the sinkholes affecting the area, the gravels are visible in cross bearing graded bedding. These deposits are characterized by a shallow aquifer which is one of the primary sources to supply domestic, agriculture, and industrial water. The water in the alluvial aquifer has historically been fresh and suitable for most potable uses. Figure 27: the picture on the left shows a graben developed along the main scarp (coord. UTM 741360; 3461250 – see Figure 28) and cutting the road between the salt factory and the DS main road. On the right, the scheme shows a hypothetic cross-section with some elements of explanation for the development of the landslide. (Photo & sketch © Damien Closson) Figure 28: Ikonos image acquired in 2006 showing the landslide 3 area. Scarps are well visible on the right side. Craters that punctuate this zone are indeed sinkholes. In May 2008, multiple ground failures and collapses led to abandon the “Numeira mixed Salts & Mud Company” (around 30 employees) to avoid incidents. 29 particularly thick layer of salt was found some 25-30m in the underground (Taqieddin et al 2000). This layer is probably the same found in several places along the western coast too and dated by Yechieli et al. (1993) between 11,315 ± 80 and 8,440 ± 95 years BP (around 10000BP). This particular salt deposit could result from a sudden reduction of the Dead Sea watershed due to a volcanic eruption (Salameh and Al-Farajat 2007). Scheme [1999] illustrates the situation at the end of the 1990s. Subsidence and sinkholes can be explained by the dissolution of the 10000 years old salt layer by unsaturated water with respect to salt. Drastic changes in the hydrogeological setting are a consequence of the rapid Dead Sea level (base level) lowering. As a result, new springs appear in unexpected places. They created well apparent decametric amphitheaters few years apart. The Numeira salt factory was safe at that moment but the road connecting the production site to the Dead Sea main road was cut off by major cracks. Figure 29: Scheme [Mid-1990s] presents the panoramic view of the area until the end of the 1990s. Elevation ranges from 395m bMSL at the Numeira salt factory to 410m bMSL over the mudflat. The landscape is the one of the contact between the alluvial fan of Wadi Mutayl and the mudflat resulting of the DS level lowering. Fresh water is present in the area and allows the development of natural vegetation along the margin of the alluvial fan. The subsurface is essentially made of alluviums, clay, and marl. During a survey in the mid-1990s, in Ghor Al Haditha, a Scheme [2009] shows that the affected area grew bigger in the direction of the salt factory while the very first failures enlarge drastically. The strong subsidence created a closed depression that is partly filled with water coming from the two springs. The lake grew up until an outlet has naturally been created (at 410m bMSL), probably after a phase of overflow during winter 2004-2005. Lateral erosion took place rapidly in this fragile environment. 30 Figure 29: Completely destroyed Numeira Salt Factory, May 2009 (Photo © Damien Closson) Landslide n°4 is active but very slow (Truden and Varnes 1996). It developed inside a former salt evaporation pond of the Arab Potash Company built at the end of the 1990. The dike of this production unit (6.35 km long by 2.7 km maximum width) was set up over a wide wavecut platform that slowly emerged from the 1960s. The soft foundation is made of subhorizontal layers of laminated evaporites (gypsum, aragonite, calcite and anhydrite) and mudstone. This saltpan was destroyed during filling operation in March 22, 2000. Radar interferometry techniques applied to ERS satellite images have shown that the collapsed dike segment (more than 1.6 km) was over a place suffering the strongest rate of subsidence for the whole Dead Sea area (Closson et al 2003). In 2005, sinkholes and springs of brackish water were found in the extension of the remaining dike. After the major incident of 2000, the whole remaining part of the dike recorded tens of decimetric fractures and sinkholes of small extension (Closson 2005, closson et al 2007). Decametric landslides affected the slope of a specific dike segment, two kilometers east of the destroyed part, in a place where strong subsidence had also been recorded. These facts attested that the geological causal factors at the origin of the dike collapse were always active. In 2007, from interferograms created with Envisat images, it was shown that subsidence was stronger than before in the northern part of the Lisan. By comparison with inteferograms generated from ERS images, the area affected by subsidence was also wider than before and encompassed the place occupied by landslide n°4. In 2005, two dike failures 500m apart belonging to landslide n°4 were already apparent (Closson 2005). The shape of the main scarp became clearly visible only from 2007. In its present configuration, landslide n°4 is of the confined type, i.e. the upper part undergoes relevant deformation whereas the toe is more or less stable. 31 STOP 6 [lat: 31.259864°; long: 35.401476°]: Arab Potash, dike 18 The Arab Potash Company and the Dead Sea sinkholes The multi-facetted salt karst issue becomes more complex when tackling the problems faced by the Arab Potash Company at the Lisan Peninsula. Here, collapses have a significant economic impact (Closson, 2005). The Lisan is a massive salt layer situated between the east and west coasts. The sub-horizontal Lisan gypsiferous marl deposits overcome the largest salt diapir of the entire Dead Sea basin. Its top is about 120 m below the ground level (Al Zoubi and Ten Brink, 2001). In the upper part, an original salt karst developed centuries before the onset of sinkholes above mentioned (Closson et al., 2007). Until 1978 the Dead Sea consisted of two sub-basins separated by the Lisan Peninsula and connected by the Lynch Strait. Between 1978 and 1981, the southern basin and the Strait have gradually emerged. Over the next 20 years, these areas were largely covered by salt evaporation ponds. On the western coast, the Dead Sea Works built saltpans in the shallow southern basin already in the 1960s with lot of technical difficulties leading to costly lawsuits between the builders and the contractors. Nowadays, salts that settle to the bottom of these saltpans cause a rise in water level of about 20 cm per year. The situation here is the reverse of the northern basin one. Despite this, sinkholes also exist along the ancient shores. They affect mainly the west coast. A single backfilled collapse was located during a survey in May 2005 near Safi, Jordan. The lowering of the lake level discovered an abrasion platform up to 3 km-wide around the Lisan peninsula. Arab Potash Company started planning saltpans over this gently inclined virgin space already in the mid-1980s. In the 1990s, the Company built two major production units over the western side of the Lisan: saltpans SP-0A and SP-0B (Table 2), both encompassed by compacted earth dams over 10 meters high and numbered to 18 for SP-0A and 19-20 for SP-0B (Figure 30). Saltpan # Dike # Crest (m) Bottom (m) Length (m) Volume (m3) Building (year) Cost (M $) Repair (M $) SP-0A 18 -392 -405 m 13000 95 1995-97 32 > 16 M $ -392 -400 to 407 38 (Djavid and Mahammadi 2011) 19 SP-0B 20 8300 76 3297 1998-99 Table 2: main characteristics of Arab Potash Company saltpans covering the Lisan Peninsula 32 Figure 30: Southern Dead Sea area. Red lines represent two particular sinkholes lineaments discussed in the text. Composition of SRTM data, Landsat image 1972/09/15, and ISS027 Photographs 2011/03/30 Saltpan SP-0A/dike 18 In October 1992, three years before the building of SP-0A, a 1.6 km-long lineament gathering about 70 sinkholes (Figure 31) appeared across a road that should have turned into the future dike 18 (Taqieddin et, 2000; Knight 1993; Knill, 1993; Tapponnier, 1993). The perimeter of SP-0A was modified accordingly to get around the hazardous zone. In 1995-1997, the construction of the dike encountered serious difficulties in terms of the stability of foundations and in 1997 a sinkhole even pierced the bottom of SP-0A. Nevertheless, the pond entered in service that year. The collapse was located just a hundred meters of dike 18. A jetty was built from the dike to the collapsed site in order to seal it (Closson et al., 2007). However, since that time, fill in operations are carried out regularly and a road sign placed at the entrance of the jetty still warns of falling into a sinkhole. 33 In 2001, the dike was seriously damaged and forced security engineers to empty SP-0A almost entirely. The production unit went back to service only five years later, in September 2006, after the rehabilitation of its 13 km dike for 16 M $, half the price of the basin (Table 2). However, field surveys carried out in 2004, 2005, 2007, 2008, and 2009 have shown that if the rehabilitation work (consisting in the setting up of a wide seepage berm and the enlargement of the dike itself) had actually increased the stability of the dike, they failed to stop the cause of problems. Many cracks and backfilled sinkholes were located. Dike 18 is constantly threatened by cracks and sinkholes (Abou Karaki et al. 2005; Closson et al., 2009). For example, in the second half of July 2008, a 400 m long dike segment was enlarged to increase its safety factor. In fact, its width has tripled since 1997. Finally, in early 2011, the Arab Potash Company has launched a bid to fill natural underground cavities with cement and thus protect a fragile segment of dike 18... Figure 31: aerial view of the sinkholes in front of Arab Potash Company’s dike 18, 2010 (Modified photo, original © Eidi Levinne) Sinkholes alignments complement the information related to the structural setting. The lineament of Figure 31 displays the directions N 24 E and N 66 E. Results obtained with spaceborne radar interferometric techniques have shown similar orientations in many places in the Lynch Strait. This agreement supports the idea of a unique structure having about four kilometers long, half kilometer width. Its zigzagging shape is characteristic of deformations taking place between strike slip faults. Indeed, it is interesting to note the similarity between the tectonic pattern displayed in the southern Lynch strait (Figure 31) and the one of the six kilometers long sinkholes lineament in Ghor Al Haditha few kilometers eastward (Figure 24, 30). It had been shown that the direction of the sinkholes distribution in Ghor Al Haditha is compatible with the fault plane deduced from the focal mechanism of the most important instrumental earthquake located in the Lisan area in the past decades: i.e. the Mb =5.1 (N 20 E ± ¬5 deg) earthquake of 23 April 1979. The focal mechanism had been established by Arieh et al, 1982. 34 It shows that the system mainly functions in left-lateral shear, NNE trending, with a normal component (Figure 33). This focal mechanism can be considered as representative of all mechanisms calculated on a fault plane compatible with the general direction of the Jordan Dead Sea Transform fault system for the east coast of the Dead Sea area. By far, the lineament of sinkholes in Ghor Al Haditha is the longest alignment of collapses that can be seen along the Dead Sea shore up to now. It gathers about 90% of the sinkholes affecting the eastern coast. With its four kilometers length, the complex structure made of sinkholes and subsidence affecting the Lynch strait is the second one in importance in the whole Dead Sea area. Therefore this lineament is as relevant as the one of Ghor Al Haditha in the understanding of the causal factor(s) at the origin of the sinkholes along the Dead Sea shore. Figure 32 compares the sinkholes areas of the Lynch strait and of Ghor Al Haditha. At a first glance, the number of sinkholes affecting the Lynch strait is higher than the one of Ghor Al Haditha. Indeed, the difference is probably not so important because Ghor Al Haditha is a farming area and many sinkholes have been filled to avoid incidents. The missing information is however confined inside the damaged zone. The comparison at the same scale clearly shows that the features inside the ellipse (Figure 32) have a distribution compatible with the one of the sinkholes lineament in Ghor Al Haditha. A second remarkable similarity is the zigzagging shape along the lineaments. Hence, based on these two main geometric characteristics, one can postulate that the causal mechanism at the origin of the sinkholes and subsidence inside the ellipse could be the same one as the one which produced the lineament of Ghor Al Haditha: i.e. the earthquake of 23 April 1979. The U.S. Geological Survey provides Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) data about this event located in the southern Dead Sea basin (Lat: 31.1910, Lon: 35.5290, Depth: 15 km). Figure 33 superimpose PGA values over a Landsat image depicting the landscape in 2002. The sinkholes lineaments of the Lynch strait and of Ghor Al Haditha (and two epicenters of 13 April 2008) have been reproduced in order to get an overview of the situation. The main affected zones (PGA = 0,18 and PGA = 0,16) are outside the area under the influence of the Dead Sea lowering. The most remarkable feature in this zone is the salt collapse of Birkat el Haj. The surface characterized by PGA = 0,12 encompasses new emerged lands and the affected places represented by the two lineaments (white color) of the Lynch strait and of Ghor al Haditha. It is also the area where the two epicenters are located. Based on the global distribution of the sinkholes along the Dead Sea shore, if one considers the surfaces characterized by PGA = 0,08 and 0,12, then more than 80% of the whole Dead Sea sinkholes are collected. This observation supports the idea that the earthquake of 23 April 1979 is one of the elements that have noticeably contributed to the appearance of the Dead Sea sinkholes and subsidence. The other elements are a specific salt layer at the origin of the voids leading to ground collapses and the shifting of the Dead Sea water / fresh water interface seaward. 35 Figure 32: comparison at the same scale of the distribution of sinkholes in the Lynch strait area and in Ghor Al Haditha. The ellipse points the area having recorded the most important deformation during a monitoring with ALOS Palsar images in 2007-2008. Figure 33: shake map of the ML 5.1 earthquake, 23 April 1979. Peak Ground Acceleration contours have been computed by the U.S. Geological Survey. The focal mechanism had been established by Arieh et al, 1982. The locations of the two earthquakes of 13 April 2008 have been provided by the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre. 36 STOP 7 [lat: 31.358529°; long: 35.483978°]: Arab Potash, dike 19 Saltpan SP-0B/dike 19-20 The 38 M$ SP-0B production unit was built in 1998-99 and came into service in early 2000. However, a kilometric segment of dike 19 collapsed during fill-in operation on March 22 at around 4:30 PM and 56 million cubic meters of Dead Sea brine pumped during the last two months poured out into the terminal lake in 30 minutes (Figure 34, 35). Figure 34: Landsat acquired the 10/03/2000 and 03/04/2000, before and after the collapse (22/03/2000) of Arab Potash Company’s dike 19. 37 Figure 35: dike 19 destroyed area (Photo © Damien Closson) It is informative to note that legal proceedings ensued between Arab Potash and all parties involved in the construction (Tabal, 2008). On 30 September 2003 the tribunal constituted in accordance with the contract issued its Final Award, exonerating the builders from any liability for the collapse and dismissing all of Arab Potash Company’s claims. On 16 October 2003, the Jordanian government which was major shareholder of Arab Potash sold nearly one-half of its 52.883% interest in Arab Potash to a Canadian company. On 29 October 2003, Arab Potash applied to the Jordanian Court of Appeal to have the Final Award annulled and won. The builders appealed to the Jordanian Court of Cassation, which upheld the Court of Appeal’s judgment on 16 January 2007. Then, the builders instituted a proceeding at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes, the builders alleging that Arab Potash Company has acted in violation of a specific bilateral agreement. On May 12, 2010, the tribunal ordered “that the ongoing Jordanian court proceedings in relation to the Dike 19 dispute be immediately and unconditionally terminated, with no possibility to engage further judicial proceedings in Jordan or elsewhere on the substance of the dispute” (International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes or ICSID, Case No. ARB/08/2). In parallel to that legal proceedings, it is important to note that the ruins of the abandoned dike 19 and 20 exhibit each year an increasing number of cracks, sinkholes and decametric to hectometric landslides. Some fractures have become impassable by car without using a footbridge. These damages show a growing instability that is consistent with the observations performed elsewhere. But despite its costly setback, Arab Potash requested a “Comparative Risk Analysis for Reconstruction of a Partially Failed Dike System” (Djavid and Mahammadi, 2011) in which the authors propose two alternatives for the reconstruction of the failed facility… 38 Causes of the collapse From a synthetic aperture radar differential interferometry (D-InSAR) technique applied to the European Remote Sensing (ERS) satellite images, several authors have shown that at least since 1992, the recent emerged platform surrounding the Lisan Peninsula is affected by several kilometric subsidence features most probably fault-bounded (e.g. Closson et al., 2003). The two highest active deformation fields were observed along the northern part of the Lisan Peninsula (Figure 36). The widest structure coincides geographically with the collapsed zone of Salt Evaporation Pond dike 19 in March 22, 2000. Four years after this incident, field observations have confirmed the very high instability of this area. Indeed, the remaining dyke has been strongly affected by continuing subsidence as supported by decimetric cracks crosscutting perpendicularly the whole dyke, metric road collapses that could be related to sinkholes and decametric landslides affecting numerous segments of the saltpan. Almost all features are placed, precisely, in the most vulnerable parts that have been previously mapped with space geodetic techniques. Moreover, according to the safety engineers of the APC, these fractures appeared months to years after the rapid emptying of the pond. Consequently, they are not related to the decompression or the likely isostatic movement directly posterior to the incident. Figure 36: geographic coincidence between strong subsidence features and dike 19 collapse (from Closson et al, 2003). 39 In 2011-2012, Sarmap (Gold Sponsor) performed a global processing of all archived data acquired over the Lisan peninsula. In Figure 37 are presented partial results dedicated to the mapping of the strain fields associated with damages to dikes 19 and 20. Practically, the localization of dikes failures collected during various surveys have been compared in a geographical information system with a database of the average velocity of the ground calculated from 60 radar images acquired between June 1992 and June 2010 (ERS 1, ERS 2, and Envisat). The movements have been determined by differential radar interferometry techniques – “SBAS” module of Sarscape software (Sarmap SA, 2010 – Gold Sponsor). The computation of the average velocity, acceleration, and vertical displacements with a density of 2800 measurements/km² describe precisely and accurately the karst dynamics. This approach is suitable to dike safety (Figure 37). Several fissured zones in kilometric embankment dams of the Arab Potash solar evaporation system have been identified owing to the detection of subsidence related to salty marls consolidation and uplift linked to artesian water pressure. Also evidenced are diverse uplift and subsidence features in relation with the tectonics of the underlying diapir. Figure 37: evaluation of the results of the feasibility study [Djavid M. and Mohammadi (2011) Comparative Risk Analysis for Reconstruction of a Partially failed Dike System, PPSDC, 16, 3, 130-143] in light of the last twenty years subsidence history computed with SBAS approach. 40 Discussion The diachronic analysis of the ground deformations in specific sites (e.g. Closson et al 2011) led to the hypothesis that the land degradation is related to the rate at which the underground water is flowing toward the lake to compensate for the lowering (see also Salameh and ElNaser, 1999). Figure 38 does not indicate the type of media in which the water is flowing. Hence, the sketches should be adapted from a place to another along the coast. Three identical sets of three simplified sketches highlight various facets of the coastal degradation from the 1990s to present. The water level drop is increasing, passing from 60-80 cm/yr at the beginning of the 1990s to more than 1 m/yr at present. Observations done in several places along the coast led to the assumption that the position of the interface between fresh/saline waters is moving seawards while the water table is pushed above the Dead Sea level, creating a seepage surface. Arrows of various sizes depict the speeds at which the water should move. Figure 38: Conceptual model of the land degradation along the Dead Sea coast. Hypothesis based on observations in Ghor Al Haditha and the Lisan Peninsula from 1992 to 2012. 41 The positions of the interface and of the water table in sketches “1990s” derives from Salameh and El-Naser (2000). Sketches “2000s” results from observations of sinkholes and springs below the lake level, at the beginning of the 2000s (e.g. Closson 2005; Closson et al. 2007; Closson and Abou Karaki 2009). Several studies of the sinkholes affecting the emerged areas led to two explanatory models: dissolution of a specific salt layer and flushing model. Applied to the submarine sinkholes, these models require unsaturated or fresh water circulating below the Dead Sea level. Submarine sinkholes, as seen in Figure 39, illustrate that, by an effect of communicating vessels, the lowering of the lake level induces a massive displacement of the groundwater to compensate for that lowering. This problem had been tackled and quantified by Salameh and El-Naser (1999). Sketches of the series “2000s” and “2010s” also result from observations of seepage surfaces, showing that the water table is pushed above the Dead Sea level. Sketches “2010s” are supported by independent observations. Since about 2010, the number of submarine sinkholes is increasing drastically. They can be easily detected over very high resolution images (Closson et al. 2012) as shown in Figure 39. Figure 39: subset of a GeoEye image acquired on August 17th, 2011. The area is located north of Ghor Al Haditha. The transparency of the shallow water allowed the detection of tens of submarine sinkholes. Figure 39 supports the arrows of various sizes depicting the speeds at which the water is moving. The sinkholes’ size is decreasing from the shoreline toward the sea. This illustrates the gradient of speed. Less energy is available close to the interface for the development of sinkholes because the fresh water cannot circulate at high speed. In Figure 4, the interface is situated about one hundred meters seawards. 42 The interpretation of past high resolution images and aerial photographs have shown that such clusters of sinkholes were absent between 1999 and 2006 (based on the available data) and probably before. This argument also support the dynamic of the system depicted in Figure 38. The last argument supporting the conceptual model (Figure 38) is based on the evolution of the diameters of the sinkholes. At Ghor Al Haditha, the size of the sinkholes is increasing drastically (Figure 40). Until the mid-2000s, the sinkholes of Ghor Al Haditha were systematically refilled to allow agriculture. During the last 7 years, the number and the size of the sinkholes increased (e.g from 18 m to 153 m). This fact support the idea that more energy is available to create bigger cavities that moves upward to generate wider sinkholes. Figure 40: subset of a WorldView 2 image acquired December 15th 2011. The areas of Ghor Al Haditha affected before mid-2000s do not present evidence of sinkholes. Conclusions The degradation of the Dead Sea coastal environment is characterized by series of successive steps as depicted in Figure 38. Items such as the size of the sinkholes, their number, and their location are key factors to assess regularly. They are indicators of the energy mobilized for the deterioration of the land. Regarding an early warning system to manage the human activities is such an environment, techniques such as spaceborne radar interferometry and airborne Lidar are suited. The integration of these data into a geographic information system and their diachronic analysis are an effective ways to reveal system’s trends to dissipate energy through erosion-degradation processes. 43 References Abou Karaki N, 1987. 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