BRIEFING PAPER Number 7291, 28 September 2015 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda By Jon Lunn Emma Downing Lorna Booth Inside: 1. Introduction 2. The goals in a nutshell 3. The road to the SDGs 4. A transformational agenda? 5. UK policy 6. Bibliography www.parliament.uk/commons-library | intranet.parliament.uk/commons-library | [email protected] | @commonslibrary Number 7291, 28 September 2015 Contents Summary 3 1. Introduction 4 2. The goals in a nutshell 5 3. 3.1 3.2 The road to the SDGs Preparing the ground for negotiations (2011-14) The 2015 negotiating process 6 6 8 4. 4.1 4.2 4.3 15 15 17 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 A transformational agenda? Overview Will there be enough money – and who should provide it? Are the monitoring and accountability and follow-up mechanisms strong enough? Will there be genuine ‘ownership’? Has climate change been effectively integrated? Are the goals and targets the right ones? Does a ‘goal-based approach’ work? 5. 5.1 5.2 5.3 UK policy Statements during 2014 Statements during the 2015 negotiating process EU dimensions 28 28 29 32 6. Bibliography 34 20 21 22 23 25 Appendix 1 Sustainable development: history of an idea 39 Appendix 2 Achieving the MDGs: performance assessment 44 Cover page image copyright: Jon Lunn 2 3 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda Summary On 25 September 2015, following a negotiating process lasting four years, UN Member States attending an extraordinary Summit of the UN General Assembly on the post-2015 development agenda agreed the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) – 17 goals, with 169 associated targets for human development, to be achieved by 2030. The rallying cry throughout the negotiations was ‘leave no one behind’. The SDGs are the successors to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) – eight goals with 18 associated targets for human development, which were agreed in 2001, most of which were to be achieved by 2015. These goals are contained within a final outcome document adopted at the Summit called “Transforming our World. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”. The intergovernmental negotiating process to agree the SDGs began in earnest at the beginning of 2015. However, this was the culmination of three years of prior endeavour involving a wide range of actors. including: a UN System Task Team established by the UN Secretary-General; a High-level Panel, also established by the Secretary-General and cochaired by the British Prime Minister, David Cameron; and an Open Working Group with a mandate from the 2012 UN Conference on Sustainable Development (Rio+20). Civil society, including the private sector, was involved in the process throughout. All in all, the approach was much more inclusive than was the case with the MDGs. The extraordinary Summit was the second of three major UN conferences taking place in 2015, all of which are of critical importance in agreeing the parameters of the post-2015 development agenda. In July, an international conference on financing for development was held in Addis Ababa. This conference was meant to lay the foundations for successfully funding the implementation of the SDGs. Views differ markedly over how well it met this challenge. In December, governments will meet in Paris in search of an effective global agreement to tackle climate change for the post-2020 period at the UN. Evidence from the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change shows that all of the proposed SDGs could be affected by climate change. The SDGs can be expected to have an important role in shaping the sustainable development policies of the UK Government (and the Devolved Administrations) over the period to 2030. The as yet unanswerable question is how far this will extend beyond rhetoric to substance. During the course of the negotiations, the UK Government expressed concern that 17 goals was too many and that this could undermine effective communication and implementation. On the face of it, these concerns do not appear to have strongly influenced the negotiations. A relevant consideration is the fact that the EU has competence on development issues and has negotiated on behalf of Member States, including the UK. Number 7291, 28 September 2015 4 1. Introduction On 25 September 2015, following a negotiating process that lasted four years, what was reportedly the largest gathering of world leaders in history came together at an extraordinary Summit of the UN General Assembly on the post-2015 development agenda and agreed the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) – 17 goals, with 169 associated targets for human development, to be achieved by 2030. 1 The rallying cry throughout the negotiations was ‘leave no one behind’. The SDGs are the successors to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) – eight goals with 18 associated targets for human development, which were agreed in 2001, most of which were to be achieved by 2015. These goals are contained within a final outcome document adopted at the Summit called “Transforming our World. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”. 2 As the title of the final outcome document indicates, the SDGs are intended to be a central part of a wider post-2015 development agenda. This agenda gives equal weight to ‘means of implementation’, including how meeting the goals will be financed, and a revitalisation of the ‘global partnership for development’ which was launched under the MDGs – but which is widely accepted to have been only partially successful. 1 2 The UK delegation at the Summit was headed by the Prime Minister, David Cameron, and the Secretary of State for International Development, Justine Greening. “Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Outcome document for the UN Summit to adopt the Post-2015 Development Agenda”, advance unedited version Rallying cry: Leave no one behind 5 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda 2. The goals in a nutshell Below is a table of the 17 SDGs that the Summit formally adopted: Goal 1 End poverty in all its forms everywhere Goal 2 End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition, and promote sustainable agriculture Goal 3 Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages Goal 4 Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote life-long learning opportunities for all Goal 5 Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls Goal 6 Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all Goal 7 Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable, and modern energy for all Goal 8 Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all Goal 9 Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation Goal 10 Reduce inequality within and among countries Goal 11 Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable Goal 12 Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns Goal 13 Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts Goal 14 Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development Goal 15 Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss Goal 16 Promote peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all and build effective, accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels Goal 17 Strengthen the means of implementation and revitalize the global partnership for sustainable development Number 7291, 28 September 2015 6 3. The road to the SDGs The intergovernmental negotiating process to agree the SDGs began in earnest at the beginning of 2015. However, this was the culmination of three years of prior endeavour. 3.1 Preparing the ground for negotiations (2011-14) In 2001, the global community signed up to the MDGs, a set of international goals for human development, most of which were to be achieved by 2015. As 2015 approached, attention turned to what should replace them. UN Task Team and public consultations In January 2012, a UN System Task Team on the Post-2015 development agenda was established by the UN Secretary-General. The Team was made up of more than 60 UN agencies and international organisations. Co-chaired by the Department of Economic and Social Affairs and the United Nations Development Programme, the Task Team provided analytical thinking and inputs to the post-2015 process. The UN also conducted extensive public consultations about the post-2015 development agenda. The High-level Panel In July 2012, the UN Secretary-General established a High-level Panel (HLP) to explore the post-2015 development agenda. UK Prime Minister David Cameron co-chaired this process with President Ellen JohnsonSirleaf of Liberia, and President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono of Indonesia. The 2012 UN Conference on Sustainable Development Simultaneously, efforts were underway to establish a set of ‘Sustainable Development Goals’ (SDGs). In 1992, eight years before the MDGs were launched, the UN held a major conference on sustainable development in Rio de Janeiro. 3 In June 2012, on the twentieth anniversary of that conference, the UN Conference on Sustainable Development (Rio+20) took place. At this conference, separately from the post-2015 process outlined above, it was agreed to establish SDGs. The Rio+20 ‘outcome document’ stated that an Open Working Group (OWG) would be created with a view to drawing up these SDGs. 4 It said that the goals should be: action-oriented, concise and easy to communicate, limited in number, aspirational, global in nature and universally applicable to all countries, while taking into account different national realities, 3 4 Its formal title was the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED), 1992. It is better known as the ‘Earth Summit’. For further background, see Appendix 1, “Sustainable development: history of an idea” “The Future We Want’, UN Resolution A/RES/66/288, 27 July 2012 Rio+20 conference sets out what the SDGs should embody 7 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda capacities and levels of development and respecting national policies and priorities. 5 Drawing the threads together: the Open Working Group The HLP presented its report on the nature of the post-2015 development framework in May 2013. The report recommended 12 “illustrative goals”. 6 The HLP’s report was then taken up by the OWG established on the basis of the Rio+20 outcome document. The OWG was formally tasked with integrating the MDG successor goals with the process to establish the SDGs. The Rio+20 outcome document specified that the OWG would consist of thirty geographically representative members (nominated by UN Member States via the five UN Regional Groups). The OWG was established in January 2013. Each seat in the Group was shared by 1-4 Member States. These country teams were able to decide themselves how they would be represented in the OWG meetings. The OWG was co-chaired by Kenya (H.E. Mr. Macharia Kamau) and Hungary (H.E. Mr. Csaba Körösi). In 2012, the UN Secretary-General had appointed Amina Mohammed of Nigeria as his Special Adviser on Post-2015 Development Planning. She served as an ex-officio member of the HLP and worked closely with the OWG. The OWG identified 16 focus areas ranging from poverty reduction, to health, education, gender, corruption, governance, economic issues and issues of sustainability and climate change. 7 The OWG was mandated to report back to the UN General Assembly during its 68th session (with a final deadline of September 2014). September 2014: the UN General Assembly endorses draft SDGs as the basis for negotiation In July 2014, the OWG published proposals for a “set of goals that consider economic, social and environmental dimensions to improve people’s lives and protect the planet for future generations”. The Working Group proposed 17 SDGs to be attained by 2030, each with a number of associated targets (169 in total). For each goal, some of the targets focused on the ‘means’ by which they were to be achieved, others focused on the desired ‘ends’. 8 The proposals included a range of new ‘stand-alone’ goals – for example, on achieving gender equality, combating climate change and promoting peaceful and inclusive societies. Amina Mohammed argued that the proposed SDGs should be considered as “floors” rather than “ceilings” when the time came for individual countries to set their targets. 9 5 6 7 8 9 “The Future We Want”, UN Resolution A/RES/66/288, 27 July 2012 “A New Global Partnership: The Report of the High-Level Panel of Eminent Persons on the Post-2015 Development Agenda”, May 2013, pp. 30-31. “Working document for 5-9 May session of the Open Working Group”, n.d Under the MDG framework, the targets focused principally on the ‘ends’. E. Stuart, “5 things needed to turn the SDGs into reality”, Devex.com, 29 July 2015 The Open Working Group publishes its proposals in July 2014 Number 7291, 28 September 2015 8 The UN General Assembly agreed in September 2014 that the SDG proposals should be the “main basis” for the inter-governmental negotiating process. In his December 2014 ‘synthesis report on the post-2015 agenda’, “The Road to Dignity by 2030: Ending Poverty, Transforming All Lives and Protecting the Planet”, Ban ki-Moon, the UN Secretary-General, indicated that the 17 goals should be retained but rearranged in a “focussed and concise manner”. 10 He also suggested that this might involve organising them into six “essential elements” as below: Source: “The Road to Dignity by 2030”, p20 3.2 The 2015 negotiating process The final, intergovernmental, phase of negotiations began in January 2015. Two main blocs, often with markedly different approaches to many issues, emerged during the course of the negotiations: Western donors, including the US, UK and EU; and the Group of 77 ‘developing world’ countries, plus China (henceforth G77/China). 11 The negotiations took place with two crucial Summits on the horizon: 10 11 “The Road to Dignity by 2030: Ending Poverty, Transforming All Lives and Protecting the Planet”, Synthesis Report by the UN Secretary-General, Ban ki-Moon, December 2014 This is not to suggest that there was a total identity of views within these blocs. Other countries aligned themselves on a case-by-case basis. Ban Ki-Moon’s six “essential elements” 9 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda • • July 2015. Addis Ababa. International conference on financing for development. Objective: agreeing a framework for funding the successful implementation of the SDGs. September 2015. UN General Assembly (New York). Summit to adopt the post-2015 development agenda, including the SDGs. Addis Ababa. July 2015 – International conference on financing for development 12 In March 2015, a ‘zero draft’ of the ‘Addis Ababa Accord’, as the outcome document of the financing for development conference was originally called, was published. 13 Revised drafts were periodically circulated during the course of the subsequent negotiations. The conference took place on 13-16 July 2015. By consensus, it agreed a final outcome document known as the ‘Addis Ababa Action Agenda’ (AAAA). 14 Over 11,000 people attended the conference, including 18 heads of state and government, ministers and representatives from governments, non-governmental and UN organisations, plus the media. A major sticking point: international tax cooperation There were several issues on which agreement could not be fully reached – for example, on international cooperation to combat tax avoidance, where OECD countries fought successfully to prevent discussions on the issue taking place within the UN through an intergovernmental tax body in future – but ultimately ways were found to avoid holding up an overall deal. 15 Box 1: International Institute for Sustainable Development’s overview of the concrete outcomes of the conference “In support of the AAAA, a number of significant partnerships were launched during FfD3, including: the Addis Tax Initiative, which will support strengthening domestic tax systems; the Global Financing Facility in Support of Every Woman Every Child, which brings together countries, donors and the private sector; and the Commission on Financing Global Education. […] The AAAA includes three main sections on: a global framework for financing development post-2015; action areas; and data, monitoring and follow-up. The second section on action areas includes seven sub-sections on: domestic public resources; domestic and international private business and finance; international development cooperation; international trade as an engine for development; debt and debt sustainability; addressing systemic issues; and science, technology, innovation (STI) and capacity building. 12 13 14 15 This is the third such international conference (FfD 3), following on from those in Monterrey (FfD 1, 2002 ) and Doha (FfD 2, 2008). Zero draft of the Addis Ababa Accord, 16 March 2015 The Agenda has quickly become known for short as the ‘A4’. For the full text of the final outcome document, see the Addis Ababa Action Agenda (AAAA), A/CONF.227/L.1, 15 July 2015. For a while it looked as if the tax issue might derail the entire conference. “From Addis to New York: what does the FfD summit imply for the SDGs?”, devex.com, 23 July 2015. However, OXFAM’s Winnie Byanyima has said that “the tax issue will not go away”. W. Byanyima, “How can we make 2015 a turning point for development?”, World Economic Forum blog, 17 August 2015 Number 7291, 28 September 2015 10 The AAAA comprises a number of concrete deliverables, such as: a technology facilitation mechanism (TFM), which will be officially launched at the post-2015 Summit in September 2015 and which comprises a UN inter-agency task team and a multi-stakeholder forum on STI for the SDGs, as well as an online platform; a global infrastructure forum to improve alignment and coordination among established and new infrastructure initiatives, multilateral and national development banks, UN agencies, and national institutions, development partners and the private sector; an Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) Forum on Financing for Development (FfD) follow-up that will discuss the follow-up and review of the FfD outcomes and the means of implementation (MOI) of the post-2015 development agenda; and an inter-agency Task Force convened by the UN SecretaryGeneral to report annually on progress in implementing the FfD outcomes and the post2015 Means of Implementation. […] In addition, based on the AAAA, official development assistance (ODA) providers reaffirm their respective commitments, including the commitment by many developed countries to achieve the target of 0.7% of ODA/Gross National Income (GNI), and 0.15 to 0.20% of ODA/GNI to least developed countries (LDCs).” 16 Agreement on a “new social compact to provide social protection and essential public services for all” also received considerable media and civil society attention. 17 However, no specific funds were allocated to it. A new social compact UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said at the end of the conference: The Addis Ababa Action Agenda is a major step forward in building a world of prosperity and dignity for all. It revitalizes the global partnership for development, establishes a strong foundation for implementation of the post-2015 development agenda, and points the way for all stakeholders for smart investments in people and the planet where they are needed, when they are needed and at the scale they are needed. The conference in Addis Ababa was the first of three milestones in the year 2015. Member States have now passed this first hurdle. Now we must work even harder for a successful Summit on sustainable development in September in New York and for a meaningful agreement on climate change in December in Paris. Let us keep ambition high and work to realize the great potential of 2015 to be a year of transformation in leaving no one behind and ensuring lives of dignity for all. 18 Official participants largely echoed this view. Others were less positive in their assessment. For example, Oxfam argued that the outcome “does not amount to adequate or appropriate Means of Implementation” for the post-2015 development agenda “as it fails to secure sufficient and accountable public finance while giving unconditional support for private sector involvement in development.”19 The International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED) described the overall reaction to the AAAA as “mixed”. It also noted the “lack of concrete commitments”, particularly on climate finance, and 16 17 18 19 “FfD3 Concludes with Adoption of Addis Ababa Action Agenda”, IISD, 16 July 2015 Briefing Note on the AAAA, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, July 2015. “Secretary-General Praises Adoption of Addis Ababa Action Agenda at Development Financing Conference as ‘Major Step Forward’ towards Prosperous World”, UN Press Release, 16 July 2015 “OXFAM recommendations for the final draft of the outcome document for the UN summit to adopt the post-2015 development agenda”, Lack of concrete commitments? Too much reliance on the private sector? 11 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda expressed the hope that this would be rectified at the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) meeting in Paris in December. 20 The Women’s Working Group on Financing for Development argued that the AAAA was a step backward from previous conferences on financing for development with regard to women’s human rights, saying that it underplayed “systemic issues” that affect women in particular, did not acknowledge women’s unpaid work, and viewed gender equality and women’s empowerment too narrowly through the prism of “economic growth, performance and productivity”. 21 New York. September 2015 – Summit to adopt the post-2015 development agenda Negotiations on the document to be considered by heads of state and government at the September Summit continued at senior official level during 2015. In April 2015, Ban Ki-Moon issued a report on the processes and institutions needed to support the transition from the MDGs to the SDGs. 22 In June 2015, a ‘zero draft’ of the outcome document of the UN Summit to adopt the post-2015 development agenda was published. 23 A revised version, intended to be the “draft for adoption” at the September Summit, was published on 26 July. 24 Although there had been some minor changes to the targets as they were set out in the June zero-draft, the draft for adoption retained the OWG’s 17 goals and 169 targets. It fully endorsed the outcome of the Addis conference. 25 On 2 August, following some last-minute changes to the text, a “finalised text for adoption” was agreed. 26 This was the text that heads of state and government considered in New York between 25 and 27 September. 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 A. Norton, “Why universality is a taxing agenda”, IIED blog, 20 July 2015 Women’s Working Group on Financing for Development, “Reaction to the Outcome Document of the Third International Conference on Financing for Development: Addis Ababa Action Agenda”, 17 July 2015 “Managing the transition from the MDGs to the SDGs: what it will take”, 26 April 2015 Zero draft of “Transforming our world by 2030: A new agenda for global action” , 2 June 2015 “Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Outcome document for the UN Summit to adopt the Post-2015 Development Agenda: Draft for Adoption”, 26 July 2015 “Two-Week Session to Finalize Post-2015 Agenda Kicks Off”, IISD, 20 July 2015; “Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Outcome document for the UN Summit to adopt the Post-2015 Development Agenda: Finalised text for adoption”, 2 August 2015 “UN finalizes 2030 agenda for sustainable development”, IISD, 2 August 2015 Finalised draft for adoption agreed in August Number 7291, 28 September 2015 12 The text was agreed unaltered at the Summit and became the final outcome document, “Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”. 27 The final outcome document begins with a Preamble and Declaration, which are intended to communicate accessibly to the wider world the vision, principles and commitments embodied by the new SDGs. Both are viewed as crucial in establishing the public legitimacy and resonance of the goals and targets that have been agreed. The Preamble contains a statement about five interlinked and integrated “areas” for action that are “of critical importance to humanity and the planet”. These areas have quickly become known by the shorthand of the ‘5P’s’: 28 Box 2: The 5Ps People We are determined to end poverty and hunger, in all their forms and dimensions, and to ensure that all human beings can fulfil their potential in dignity and equality and in a healthy environment. Planet We are determined to protect the planet from degradation, including through sustainable consumption and production, sustainably managing its natural resources and taking urgent action on climate change, so that it can support the needs of the present and future generations. Prosperity We are determined to ensure that all human beings can enjoy prosperous and fulfilling lives and that economic, social and technological progress occurs in harmony with nature. Peace We are determined to foster peaceful, just and inclusive societies which are free from fear and violence. There can be no sustainable development without peace and no peace without sustainable development. Partnership We are determined to mobilize the means required to implement this Agenda through a revitalised Global Partnership for Sustainable Development, based on a spirit of strengthened global solidarity, focussed in particular on the needs of the poorest and most vulnerable and with the participation of all countries, all stakeholders and all people. The interlinkages and integrated nature of the Sustainable Development Goals are of crucial importance in ensuring that the purpose of the new Agenda is realised. If we realize our ambitions across the full extent of the Agenda, the lives of all will be profoundly improved and our world will be transformed for the better. The Declaration contains the following statement of commitment by UN Member States: 2. On behalf of the peoples we serve, we have adopted a historic decision on a comprehensive, far-reaching and people-centred set of universal and transformative Goals and targets. We commit ourselves to working tirelessly for the full implementation of this Agenda by 2030. We recognize that eradicating poverty in all its 27 28 “Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Outcome document for the UN Summit to adopt the Post-2015 Development Agenda”, advance unedited version F. Dodds, “So what did we end up with after the negotiations in July for Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”, blog.felixdodds.net, 5 August 2015 13 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda forms and dimensions, including extreme poverty, is the greatest global challenge and an indispensable requirement for sustainable development. We are committed to achieving sustainable development in its three dimensions —economic, social and environmental —in a balanced and integrated manner. We will also build upon the achievements of the Millennium Development Goals and seek to address their unfinished business. 3. We resolve, between now and 2030, to end poverty and hunger everywhere; to combat inequalities within and among countries; to build peaceful, just and inclusive societies; to protect human rights and promote gender equality and the empowerment of women and girls; and to ensure the lasting protection of the planet and its natural resources. We resolve also to create conditions for sustainable, inclusive and sustained economic growth, shared prosperity and decent work for all, taking into account different levels of national development and capacities. 4. As we embark on this great collective journey, we pledge that no one will be left behind. Recognizing that the dignity of the human person is fundamental, we wish to see the Goals and targets met for all nations and peoples and for all segments of society. And we will endeavour to reach the furthest behind first. The document then sets out the goals and targets before moving on to a section on the “Means of Implementation” and a “revitalized Global Partnership for Development”. The last section addresses follow-up and review of implementation. In addition to the 17 goals and 169 targets that have been agreed, there will eventually also be a series of linked global, regional, national and sectoral indicators. 29 A ”global indicator framework” is due to be completed by March 2016. 30 The hope is that these indicators will strengthen capacities to concretely measure progress in implementing the goals over the period to 2030. Completing the agenda: the UNFCCC meeting, December 2015 Looking ahead, it is hoped that future efforts to implement the new SDGs will be helped by the achievement of an effective global agreement to tackle climate change for the post-2020 period at the UNFCCC meeting in Paris in December 2015. Representatives of 196 countries will attempt to reach an agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions with the aim of limiting a global temperature increase to below 2oC. If this Conference of the Parties (COP 21) is successful it will be the first time, from 2020 onwards, that both developed and developing countries will commit to tackling greenhouse gas emissions 29 30 The MDGs had accompanying indicators. The UN reported progress against 60 indicators each year, doing so at global and regional/geographic levels. See Millennium Development Goals, targets and indicators, 2015: statistical tables. “Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Outcome document for the UN Summit to adopt the Post-2015 Development Agenda”, advance unedited version, para 75. An ‘Inter-agency and Expert Group on SDGs Indicators (IAEG-SDGs) is leading work on this framework. Global indicators to be agreed by March 2016 Number 7291, 28 September 2015 14 There is a strong momentum for agreement to be reached as a successor to the Kyoto Protocol. World leaders visibly failed to reach a satisfactory agreement at the Copenhagen COP in 2009. The lessons learned from this failure have resulted in a great deal of preparatory work in advance of the Paris meeting. Countries had an informal deadline of 31 March 2015 to submit their own targets –their Intended National Designated Contributions (INDCs). The EU, the US, Switzerland, Norway, Mexico, Russia and Gabon did so. These countries represent 29 % of global emissions. By 24 September 2015, 72 countries representing 67% of global emissions had submitted their INDCs. 31 There is yet to be clarity regarding how these commitments will be monitored and verified. 31 Climate Home, Paris tracker – who has pledged what for 2015 UN climate pact, 24 September 2015 15 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda 4. A transformational agenda? 4.1 Overview During the negotiations leading up to the September UN summit to adopt the post-2015 development agenda, many stakeholders called for the new agenda to be ‘transformational’ in character. Inevitably, there were many different interpretations of what transformation should involve. In addition, while all parties to the negotiations agreed that the SDGs should reflect an approach which went beyond the focus of the MDGs on poverty reduction and aid, there was often not complete consensus as to what this should mean. 32 While far from completely monolithic in their views, Western donors and the G77/China formed the main blocs in the negotiations. Broadly speaking, Western donors favoured market-friendly, multistakeholder approaches to the way forward, in which public and private actors cooperate closely. Critics argued that this bloc was too keen to evade the particular responsibilities of developed countries in advancing the post-2015 agenda. The G77/China bloc sought to emphasize intergovernmental cooperation, in which state sovereignty is safeguarded and governments have more latitude to intervene in the economy in ways that suit their particular circumstances. Critics argued that this bloc too often sought to wriggle out of its responsibilities and sometimes wanted to minimise the genuine participation of other stakeholders, including their own citizens. These divergent approaches framed ongoing debate about how to get the balance right between ‘universality’ and ‘differentiation’ in the post2015 development agenda. Western donors tended to emphasize the importance of universality, reflecting the principle that the SDGs are global in nature and apply to all. 33 However, the G77/China wanted to make sure that the idea of differentiation –– that is, the right of national governments to adapt the SDGs to specific contexts and realities on the ground, and the particular responsibility of developed countries to take a lead – was properly acknowledged. 34 32 33 34 According to a 2011 study by Action Aid, over the previous decade, aid dependency had fallen by a third on average in the poorest countries. D. Green, S. Hale, M. Lockwood, “How can a post-2015 agreement drive real change? Revised edition”, OXFAM discussion papers, November 2012 For a useful discussion of this issue, see A. Knoll, S. Grosse-Puppendahl and J. Mackie, “Universality and differentiation in the post-2015 development agenda”, ECPDM discussion paper 173, February 2015 For an assessment of the “sustainability challenges” facing the developed world in the context of the SDGs, see Stakeholder Forum, “Universal Sustainable Development Goals: understanding the transformational challenge for developed countries”, May 2015 The debate over universality and differentiation Number 7291, 28 September 2015 16 To this end, the G77/China advocated the principle of ‘Common but differentiated responsibilities’ (CBDR), which is now well-established in international environmental law. However, developed countries questioned whether the principle should apply beyond the environmental sphere. In the negotiations, they preferred to talk rather in terms of “shared responsibility”. 35 Squaring such circles was never going to be straightforward, but acceptable compromises were usually eventually found. For example, the principle of CBDR was reaffirmed in relation to the environment, but reference was also made in the final outcome document to shared responsibility. 36 This debate will undoubtedly continue into the implementation phase. Now that a deal has been done, the key question becomes: what will its impact be over the next 15 years? While this question cannot be answered with any certainty ahead of time, it is at least possible to anticipate possible scenarios. In April 2015, the Catholic Fund for Overseas Development (CAFOD) and the NGO coalition Beyond 2015 published a report in which they said that the most likely outcome is either a “paper agreement” or “business as usual”. 37 Below are the four possible outcomes it identified: 35 36 37 • ‘The Train Wreck’ – in this scenario, no goals are agreed, meaning there is nothing to implement. This represents failure for the UN system and has profoundly negative results for UN-led multilateralism. While this scenario is plausible, it is unlikely due to the amount of political capital invested in the post-2015 process by member states and the UN. However, COP15 in 2009 shows that political investment does not necessarily result in agreement. • ‘The Paper Agreement’ – this situation sees a potentially ‘transformative’ package of goals agreed but lacks strong ownership, with weak implementation and accountability mechanisms resulting in little impact. This scenario is probable but undesirable as it delivers no real change. • ‘Business As Usual’ – in this scenario, a mediocre set of goals and targets are agreed, representing an ‘MDG+’ agenda, with mixed implementation and accountability mechanisms. Some member states take up the challenge but overall progress is patchy. This scenario is also highly probable, based on analysis of current trends. • ‘A Transformative Agenda’ – in the ideal scenario, ambitious goals are underpinned by strong implementation and accountability mechanisms. While this is by far the most preferable option, it will be the most challenging to achieve. “Earth Negotiations Bulletin”, IISD, 28 June 2015. The principle of CBDR is contained within the 1992 Rio Declaration on Environment and Development. For CBDR see para 12; for shared responsibility see para 36. CAFOD and Beyond 2015, “What if? Mapping scenarios to the end of 2015”, April 2015 Future prospects of the SDGs 17 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda In the run-up to the Summit, Felix Dodds, an activist and expert on sustainable development issues, argued that the Preamble (see section 3.2 above) in the final outcome document paves the way for a genuinely “transformational agenda” because it acknowledges the interlinkages between the actions to be undertaken in different sectors. 38 The SDGs – a good basis for action or not? Elizabeth Stuart at the Overseas Development Institute was a bit more sanguine. While acknowledging that the SDGs are a “political marvel”, she said: The goals are not – sadly – a technical marvel: the frequently clumsy phrasing, and their sheer number, do not readily translate into an action plan. In their raw form, it’s hard to see how they will inspire people to rise up and demand that their governments deliver on their promise. […] In reality, no one knows what will happen with the goals, and what does happen will look different in every country. Some governments, and some campaigners, will inevitably focus on specific issues, just as with the MDGs. But however they play out in practice a combined effort to reach them will leave the world a much better place in 2030. 39 At present, perhaps the most can be said is that, while the ‘train wreck’ scenario has been avoided, prospects for the SDGs hover tantalisingly between the other three scenarios identified by Beyond 2015 and CAFOD. It may well be that elements of all three prove accurate in relation to different parts of the post-2015 development agenda by the time it ends in 2030. A crucial point to recognise in assessing future prospects is that – as was the case with the MDGs – the SDGs are not legally binding. Successful implementation therefore depends entirely on political commitment. This section briefly surveys some key challenges faced in the successful implementation of the September 2015 deal. 4.2 Will there be enough money – and who should provide it? These were major concerns during the negotiations on the post-2015 development agenda. It had been acknowledged by many that there had not been enough money to implement the MDGs properly. There are widespread fears that the same problem will occur with regard to the SDGs between now and 2030. While truly reliable figures are hard to find, it is widely accepted that the cost of the SDGs will exceed the current global development aid budget by some way. 40 38 39 40 F. Dodds, “So what did we end up with after the negotiations in July for Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”, blog.felixdodds,net, 5 August 2015 E. Stuart, “Governments adopt the SDGs next week. Then what?”, Overseas Development Institute, 17 September 2015 European Scrutiny Committee, “The EU and the post-2015 development agenda”, 1st report, 2015-16, HC 342-I, 21 July 2015 “In reality, no-one knows what will happen with the goals…” Number 7291, 28 September 2015 18 These concerns were discussed at the international conference on financing for development, held in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia on 13-16 July 2015. It agreed a final outcome document known as the ‘Addis Ababa Action Agenda’ (AAAA). 41 Given that the final outcome document from the September 2015 Summit did little more than endorse the AAAA, it is the latter on which we must focus when it comes to money matters. The AAAA itself was not specific about the exact sums of money needed to meet the post-2015 development agenda, focusing much more on the “concrete policies and actions” that could help to achieve that agenda. 42 Several commentators argued at the time that “the lack of clear financing commitments […] does not augur well for September’s SDG summit.” 43 The Addis document included generalised calls for developed countries to meet the UN’s 0.7% aid target, which most have signally failed to do. Indeed, the total amount of aid to Least Developed Countries has been declining in recent years. The wider political and economic context may continue to make it difficult for developed country governments to increase aid spending in real terms over the next 15 years. Oxfam was largely negative about the outcome on this score: […] there was no re-commitment on developed countries’ decades-old promises on aid (with the exception of the European Union’s commitment to deliver this by 2030, 15 years after its agreed delivery date), and no recognition that building resilience against climate change will demand extra resources over and above aid budgets. There was a welcome focus on the need for developing countries to raise their own resources to tackle poverty, but not enough was done to re-balance global financing rules – particularly taxation rules – to help this happen. 44 The Addis outcome document brought into the frame new actors which, it is hoped, can help to bridge what most observers expect will be a significant ‘funding gap’ – most notably, domestic and international private business and finance. 45 41 42 43 44 45 For the full text of the final outcome document, see the Addis Ababa Action Agenda (AAAA), A/CONF.227/L.1, 15 July 2015. This is the third such international conference (FfD 3), following on from those in Monterrey (FfD 1, 2002 ) and Doha (FfD 2, 2008). AAAA, p19 “From Addis to New York: what does the FfD summit imply for the SDGs?”, devex.com, 23 July 2015 W. Byanyima, “How can we make 2015 a turning point for development?”, World Economic Forum blog, 17 August 2015 AAAA, p12. Combating tax avoidance and illicit financial flows, and mobilising remittances more effectively, are viewed as other potentially important ways of bridging the funding gap. A lack of clear financing commitments? 19 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda Western donors and parts of civil society have been increasingly keen to look ‘beyond aid’, with a key new source of finance (in contrast to the MDGs) being the private sector, both on its own and through PublicPrivate Partnerships. By contrast, the G77/China and other parts of civil society have wanted to see developed countries continue to take most of the strain through increased provision of official aid. 46 Looking ‘beyond aid’? Numerous commentators have been critical of the “financialisation” of development through the post-2015 agenda, including the SDGs, through the increased mobilisation of private finance. Some observers have claimed that in reality the private sector “is not well placed to fill the gap”. 47 Others have argued that going too far down this road could leave many people in developing countries more vulnerable to volatile commercial pressures and could in some situations even lead to the permanent loss of assets – for example through ‘land grabs’. Critics also assert that privately funded infrastructure projects all too often cost more than purely publicly funded projects. 48 In addition, concerns have been expressed about a new debt crisis in the developing world, as countries borrow directly from international capital markets. 49 Supporters counter by saying that this is far too negative a view of the role of private finance, adding that, without bringing it in much more than in the past, the resources for the post-2015 development agenda will simply be insufficient. There will be disappointment among some ‘Southern’ and international NGO stakeholders that key issues which could have generated significant additional funds for development over the next 15 years such as trade mispricing, migration and illegal movements of capital did not feature more prominently in the final Addis outcome document. 50 Nonetheless, the overall assessment of many commentators was that the Addis outcome document was a “good foundation” on which to build. 51 46 47 48 49 50 51 Some delegates argued that a better phrase than ‘beyond aid’ is ‘aid and beyond’. “The Addis Agreement: a good foundation, now time to build”, Overseas Development Institute, 15 July 2015 “From Addis to New York: what does the FfD summit imply for the SDGs?”, devex.com, 23 July 2015 “Goalfest in Addis”, Africa Confidential, 24 July 2015 S. Brooks, “Private finance and the post-2015 development agenda”, Open Democracy, 23 May 2015 C. Melamed, “What global partnership for post-2015?”, Overseas Development Institute, 14 November 2013 R. Greenhill and P. Carter,“The Addis Agreement: a good foundation, now time to build”, Overseas Development Institute, 15 July 2015 Some key issues neglected? Number 7291, 28 September 2015 20 4.3 Are the monitoring and accountability and follow-up mechanisms strong enough? It is widely acknowledged that the mechanisms established to track and reinforce progress in achieving the MDGs were rudimentary or nonexistent. Follow-up and review was voluntary – and extremely patchy. 52 While the September 2015 Summit establishes a much stronger shared political commitment on the part of member states, not everybody is confident that enough has been done to overcome the inadequacies of the system that operated under the auspices of the MDGs. The top political mechanism identified by the summit is the High-Level Political Forum on Sustainable Development, established in 2012, which is the “main UN platform providing political leadership and guidance on sustainable development issues at the international level.” It meets every four years at the level of Heads of State and Government under the auspices of the General Assembly and every year at ministerial level under the auspices of the UN Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC), whose president convenes the HPLF. 53 After every meeting, a Declaration will be issued. The UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) acts as its secretariat. Every year it will consider a ‘Global Sustainable Development Report’, one of whose tasks will be to bring together scientific and policy information. 54 The HPLF has no enforcement powers, reflecting the fact that – like the MDGs – the SDGs are not legally binding. Much will therefore depend on whether political and moral suasion is more effectively deployed under the SDGs to bring such mechanisms meaningfully to life. This will involve incentives; what is less clear is whether and if so how it could also involve forms of sanction. These political mechanisms will be supported by a range of existing UN bodies and regional and national mechanisms. Non-state actors will also have opportunities to contribute feedback. For some observers, it may be that the apparent heavy reliance on preexisting mechanisms comes worryingly close to putting “new goals in old boxes.” 55 One such observer called during the negotiations for greater institutional innovation, including the creation of a coordination body for the chairs and presidents of governing bodies throughout the UN system. 56 Alternatively, some are happy with the reliance on what already exists, worrying that a move towards a more elaborate ‘architecture’ would 52 53 54 55 56 S. Kindornay and S. Twigg, “Establishing a workable follow-up and review process for the SDGs” Overseas Development Institute, April 2015 The HPLF last met on 26 June to 8 July 2015. This was at ministerial level. S. Kindornay and S. Twigg, “Establishing a workable follow-up and review process for the SDGs” Overseas Development Institute, April 2015 H. Gleckman, “New goals, new outcomes and getting out of old boxes”, International Institute for Sustainable Development, 12 May 2015 H. Gleckman, “New goals, new outcomes and getting out of old boxes”, International Institute for Sustainable Development, 12 May 2015 New goals in old boxes? 21 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda prove too complicated and ineffective, thereby ‘setting the SDGs up to fail’. Some also worry whether these mechanisms will manage effectively to capture both global and national progress. An important point of contention during the intergovernmental negotiations was whether follow-up and review processes should be voluntary. The G77/China bloc favoured this approach. By contrast, Western donors wanted a significant degree of obligation and standardisation. In the end, a voluntary approach was agreed, although some principles were set down for these processes in the final text. 57 4.4 Will there be genuine ‘ownership’? The MDGs were heavily ‘top-down’ in design, with developing countries being invited to take part in consultation and decision-making about their implementation largely after they had already been decided. 58 From the very start, the post-2015 development agenda was intended to be different. The language used in the final outcome document of the September summit appears crystal clear. It states: “We the Peoples” are the celebrated opening words of the UN Charter. It is “We the Peoples” who are embarking today on the road to 2030. Our journey will involve Governments as well as Parliaments, the UN system and other international institutions, local authorities, business and the private sector, the scientific and academic community, civil society – and all people. Millions have already engaged with, and will own, this Agenda. It is an Agenda of the people, by the people and for the people – and this, we believe, will ensure its success. 59 The negotiating process was certainly much more inclusive and broadbased, with the role of multiple stakeholders (including civil society groups and the private sector) fully acknowledged. The final text stresses that effective implementation of the SDGs will be based on a “revitalised Global Partnership”. Nonetheless, in the final analysis, it was governments that reached agreement in September 2015, and during the negotiations, G77/China priorities were often markedly different from those of the Western donors. These differences could well resurface between now and 2030. Some assert that the agreements reached on the post-2015 development agenda continue to reflect the greater power and capacity in such negotiations of Western donors. They point to the July 2015 Addis conference on financing for development, when OECD countries 57 58 59 “Green, yellow, red: The state of the debate around the post-2015 development agenda”, Global Policy Watch, 6 July 2015 Arguably, there were some examples of genuine national ownership of the MDGs – for example, Thailand’s “MDG-plus model.” D. Green, S. Hale, M. Lockwood, “How can a post-2015 agreement drive real change? Revised edition”, OXFAM discussion papers, November 2012 “Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Outcome document for the UN Summit to adopt the Post-2015 Development Agenda”, advance unedited version, para 52 “We the peoples” on the road to 2030 Number 7291, 28 September 2015 22 successfully opposed discussions to combat tax avoidance by international companies taking place through the UN in future. They argue that this shows that developed countries were still not “prepared to give developing countries an equal voice in global decision-making.” However, others have countered that doing it through the UN simply would not work. 60 Some ‘Southern’ stakeholders may argue that the negotiations failed ultimately to ‘de-colonize’ the process. 61 Others will be critical that the process did not really move away from Western donor ideas of “grand developmentalism” by adopting an approach much more attuned to “what people actually want or need, and not what national governments or global institutions think that the people need or want.” 62 We have often seen in the past that, when the degree of convergence of interest between development partners is superficial, joint ownership of agendas can founder. Only time will tell how deep the convergence of interests declared at the September 2015 Summit goes. We can probably expect a nuanced picture, with some developing countries (and regions) demonstrating a meaningful commitment to the post-2015 development agenda and others giving it lip-service but not much more. 4.5 Has climate change been effectively integrated? There is general agreement that climate change will add to the costs of achieving the post-2015 goals in developing countries. By some estimates, if no action is taken on climate change, the additional costs of the impacts could amount to seven per cent of African GDP by 2100. 63 According to the IIED, evidence from the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change shows that every one of the SDGs “could be affected by climate change, either directly or indirectly”. It goes on to claim that the world’s 48 Least Developed Countries “are particularly vulnerable to climate impacts.” 64 Such statements leave people wondering whether climate change might render achieving the SDGs impossible. 65 Goal 13 in the final outcome document is to “take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts”. The document acknowledges that the UNFCCC is the forum which takes the lead on climate change, but notes that global warming risks undermining gains in tackling 60 61 62 63 64 65 R. Greenhill, “From Addis to New York: what does the FfD summit imply for the SDGs?”, devex.com, 23 July 2015 “Post-2015 development agenda and SDGs: perspectives of the South Centre”, October 2013, p15 A. Bayo Ogunrotifa, “Grand developmentalism: MDGs and SDGs in sub-Saharan Africa”, Pambazuka Newsletter, 29 May 2015 “Will climate change render the SDGs impossible?”, IIED blog, 19 June 2015 “Will climate change render the SDGs impossible?”, IIED blog, 19 June 2015 “Will climate change render the SDGs impossible?”, IIED blog, 19 June 2015 Could climate change make the SDGs impossible? 23 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda poverty, with its adverse impacts undermining the ability of all countries to achieve sustainable development. 66 This view was supported by the great majority of stakeholders. However, during the SDG negotiating process there was debate about whether there should be a stand-alone goal or integration of climate change issues across the goals. In a December 2014 report, the House of Commons Environmental Audit Committee recommended that there should be a separate climate change goal. 67 Christian Aid told the Committee that having a climate goal was the only way of ensuring visibility and prioritisation and clearly connecting action on climate change to poverty eradication. 68 In its response to the Committee’s report, the UK Government indicated that it favoured a “visible integration” of climate change across the SDGs, and did not explicitly support or reject having a separate climate change goal. 69 There is evidence in the final outcome document of climate change as a cross-cutting theme. The SDGs on energy, resilience, sustainable cities and sustainable consumption and production all offer key points of integration with the climate change goal. The final outcome document also gives an undertaking to boost resilience in relation to climate-related hazards like flooding and drought and reaffirms a commitment to mobilise US$100 billion of finance a year by 2020 to help the world’s poor green their economies and adapt to climate impacts. 4.6 Are the goals and targets the right ones? Apart from neglecting climate change, many were critical of the MDGs for focusing too narrowly on poverty reduction and making progress in social sectors such as health and education. The MDGs were felt to have failed adequately to address a host of issues, including economic growth, inequality, gender equality and promoting peace. The September 2015 Summit to adopt the post-2015 development agenda agreed a significant expansion in the number of goals and targets by comparison with the MDG framework. This was with a view to ensuring that the agenda was transformative. In turn, this reflected a majority belief that an integrated and multi-dimensional approach would prove a more fruitful way forward. 66 67 68 69 RTCC, Countries agree Post-2015 UN Sustainable Development Goals, 3 August 2015 Seventh report of the Environmental Audit Committee, Connected World: Agreeing ambitious Sustainable Development Goals in 2015, December 2014 Ibid para 22 Environmental Audit Committee Press Release, Government rejects focus on tackling inequalities in Sustainable Development Goals, 12 February 2015 Climate change as a cross-cutting theme Number 7291, 28 September 2015 24 However, several countries – including the UK (see below) – argued at points during the intergovernmental negotiations that an overambitious agenda would only set the SDGs up to fail. But, with G77/China bloc to the fore, efforts to reduce the overall number of goals and targets were defeated. An over-ambitious agenda? Amongst the new ‘stand-alone’ goals introduced were those on: • achieving gender equality and empowering women and girls (Goal 5) • promoting “sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth” (Goal 8) • reducing inequality “within and among countries” (Goal 10) • taking “urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts” (Goal 13) • promoting “peaceful and inclusive societies” (Goal 16) Some civil society voices will likely worry that the adoption of a significant number of new stand-alone goals could be undermined further down the line by renewed attempts to prioritise some of the goals more than others. This fear may have informed several responses to the proposed simplification by the UN Secretary-General, in his December 2014 synthesis report, of the prospective goals into “six essential elements” (see section 1.4). Critics viewed the idea as undermining the integrity of the goals. 70 Nonetheless, some may be thinking that eventually the international community will have to return to the issue of how to distil the goals down to their essence. In this context, it is worth noting that the preamble sets out five “areas of critical importance for people and the planet” in which four of the six original ‘essential elements’ appear again: people, planet, prosperity and partnership – now supplemented by peace. The ‘elements’ of justice and dignity do not feature in this list of ‘areas’. These ‘areas’ have quickly become known in the jargon as the ‘5P’s’. 71 It is generally accepted that the targets have a particularly crucial role to play in shaping the year-on-year priorities and plans of national governments, subject to them having the flexibility to prioritise those most relevant to their circumstances. Some analysts view the 169 targets that have been adopted as far too numerous to be useful in practice, complaining that many of them are insufficiently precise and over-ambitious. 72 Bjorn Lomborg has 70 71 72 See, for example: “Gender equality and women and girls empowerment: considerations for the Post-2015 agenda”, Women’s Major Group, February 2015 For a graphic representation of the 5P’s that bears a striking resemblance to the Secretary-General’s ‘elements’, see F. Dodds, “Very nice graphic for the 5Ps in the preamble to ‘Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”, blog.felixdodds.net, 16 August 2015 See, for example, J. Vandemoortele, “A dispassionate look at the Sustainable Development Goals”, Post2015 blog, 27 August 2015 The six elements and the 5Ps 25 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda disparagingly called them “a giant pile of targets” and criticised them for reflecting the “favourite projects” of every country and interest group involved in the SDG negotiating process. 73 In the run-up to the Summit, an expert panel convened by the Copenhagen Consensus Center advocated instead (without success) for a maximum of 19 targets, claiming that meeting these targets would at least double the “social benefits per dollar spent”, by comparison with the 169 targets agreed. 74 Other stakeholders have expressed concerns, both during the negotiations and post-adoption, about specific targets. For example, some of those strongly in favour of a stand-alone goal on gender equality will likely feel that “sexual and reproductive dimensions” have been privileged in the targets over “economic and redistributive dimensions”, with those socio-economic rights that are consistent with a market-led approach to development (for example, property inheritance or opening a bank account) featuring disproportionately. 75 Concerns about specific targets The international NGO Saferworld argued during the negotiations that Target 16.a, which commits to “building capacities at all levels […] to prevent violence and combat terrorism and crime”, should not be included because it “encourages coercive approaches to security”. 76 However, its call ultimately went unheeded. 4.7 Does a ‘goal-based approach’ work? While there are certainly major differences in approach to that taken in relation to the MDGs, the post-2015 development agenda has retained the goals-based framework. Few commentators have rejected the retention of this framework entirely. The majority view is that such goals and targets have proven helpful in the context of implementing the MDGs, pointing to the many areas where substantial progress has been made towards achieving them. A definitive MDG performance scorecard will not be available for a year or so after 2015 because it will take time for governments to provide the final information needed. However, a performance assessment can be found in Appendix 2. It is important to note that, in practice, year-on-year measurement of progress will be made against the targets and indicators rather than the goals. As with the MDGs, assessing progress towards the SDGs will rely heavily on good quality data, which is sometimes in short supply, although the final text agreed at the September UN Summit did include 73 74 75 76 B. Lomborg, “Promises to keep. Crafting better development goals”, Foreign Affairs, November/December 2014 F. Kydland, T. Schelling and N. Storey, “Nobel Laureate’s guide to smarter global targets”, Copenhagen Consensus Center, 2015 N. Kabeer, “Tracking the gender politics of the Millennium Development Goals: struggles for interpretative power in the international development agenda”, Third World Quarterly, No. 2, 2015, p391 “Zero or hero? What does the ‘zero draft’ of the world’s new development framework do for peace?”, Saferworld, June 2015 See Appendix 2 for an MDG performance assessment Number 7291, 28 September 2015 26 important pledges to strengthen the capacity of developing countries in this respect. Some have argued that we cannot really know what difference the MDGs have made unless we undertake an assessment of what would have happened if they had not existed. They say that this research has not really been done. It is claimed that only once it has been can we say with high confidence what the impact of the MDGs have been. 77 What would have happened if the MDGs had never existed? A recent study found that while over half of the countries it looked at had used the MDGs as planning and monitoring tools, doing so did not increase the probability of a country actually increasing its health budget. 78 While such counterfactual analysis cannot be definitive, this is an important argument. It also points us to another dilemma – which is how to define whether something has ‘worked’. The ‘official goals’ of an initiative may not give us the full story in terms of what is really going on. Analysts have argued that we need to go beneath the surface and examine deeper trends in the global political economy that the MDGs – and, in future, the SDGs – may be helping to entrench. Some analysts have articulated a fundamental critique of the MDG-type approach on the grounds that such goals are little more than fig-leaves for the entrenchment of a ‘neo-liberal’ global order in which governments are emasculated and markets unrestrained. 79 This critique may come to be extended to the SDGs too. Others have countered that such views are rather simplistic. 80 More broadly, there are those that feel that the MDGs and SDGs embody an overly technocratic and unrealistic approach to development. Green, Hale and Lockwood argued in 2012 that […] too much of the debate is being conducted in a political vacuum, dominated by overly theoretical policy analyses of what could ideally be developed. It’s the messy business of power and politics that will really determine what happens to poverty, equality, essential services and sustainability over the next few decades. 81 77 78 79 80 81 M. Lockwood, “What have the MDGs achieved? We don’t really know…”, From Poverty to Power blog, 31 August 2012; D. Green, S. Hale, M. Lockwood, “How can a post-2015 agreement drive real change? Revised edition”, OXFAM discussion papers, November 2012 D. Green, “Have the MDGs affected developing country policies and spending? Findings of new 50 country study”, From Poverty to Power blog, 24 July 2015 See, for example: S. Amin, “The Millennium Development Goals: A Critique from the South”, Monthly Review, March 2006 D. Hulme, “Governing Global Poverty? Global Ambivalence and the Millennium Development Goals”, University of Manchester, May 2009 D. Green, S. Hale, M. Lockwood, “How can a post-2015 agreement drive real change? Revised edition”, OXFAM discussion papers, November 2012 Are the SDGs too technocratic and apolitical? 27 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda Many civil society activists would agree that success will be more about “confronting the power relationships and vested interests that keep the poor where they are […]”. 82 Green, Hale and Lockwood went on to stress that addressing whether development goals and targets ‘work’ requires addressing the political and economic context in which they have been designed and implemented, concluding: In terms of the ‘how’ of development, there has been increased attention to systems thinking, complexity and change, with development portrayed as an emergent, inherently unpredictable and discontinuous process. It is not currently clear whether and how this new thinking is compatible with a linear ‘goals, targets, indicators’ approach […] There is a strong argument that supporting development has to be more nimble and opportunistic; actors need to get better at thinking on their feet and making it up as they go along, rather than simply implementing grand plans.” For those that support a ‘goals and targets’ approach, global and national action cannot be effectively coordinated and compared without simplifying definitions and measures that inevitably do some violence to complex realities: the challenge, therefore, is to find the best (or less bad) definitions and measures, which should reflect an appropriate balance between “achievability and ambition.” 83 Some analysts have gone so far as to propose a single number – perhaps akin to the Gini Coefficient which measures inequality – that could crystallise a country’s overall progress in meeting the post-2015 goals. One such proposal has been for a “multidimensional poverty indicator”. 84 But no such ‘super-number’ has arisen out of the SDG process to date. 82 83 84 K. Watkins, “Leaving no one behind – it won’t be easy”, Post-2015 blog, 21 July 2015 E. Stuart, “5 things needed to turn the SDGs into reality”, Devex.com, 29 July 2015 S. Alkire and A.Sumner, “Multidimensional poverty and the post-2015 MDGs”, Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative, March 2013 Getting the balance right between “achievability and ambition” Number 7291, 28 September 2015 28 5. UK policy The two main British political parties have both supported the objective of agreeing a new generation of goals and the SDGs can be expected to play an important role in shaping the sustainable development policies of the UK Government (and the Devolved Administrations) over the period to 2030. 85 The as yet unanswerable question is how far this will extend beyond rhetoric to substance. 5.1 Statements during 2014 In July 2014, the Secretary of State for International Development, Justine Greening, called for economic growth, governance, rule of law, tackling corruption, peace and stability, and putting women and girls first to be included in the post-2015 development goals. 86 Speaking in September 2014 about the 17 proposed SDGs approved by the UN General Assembly as the basis for final negotiations, the Prime Minister, David Cameron, expressed concern about the number of goals, saying: “There are too many to communicate effectively. There’s a real danger they will end up sitting on a bookshelf, gathering dust.” 87 In its 2013 report on the subject, the International Development Committee took a similar view. 88 In evidence to the Commons Environmental Audit Committee in late 2014, Justine Greening said that the Prime Minister would ideally like there to be ten goals. A December 2014 report by the Committee called upon the UK Government not to seek to reduce the number of goals because to do this: would inevitably be to omit key aspects of the sustainable development framework after 2015, potentially including those relating to environmental sustainability. That would be a mistake. 89 85 86 87 88 89 In this connection, it is worth noting that, while international Development is a reserved matter, the Scottish Government has a £9 million international development programme overseen by Humza Yousaf, Minister for External Affairs and International Development. There has been a multi-stakeholder ‘Scottish Working Group on the Sustainable Development Goals’. In July, First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said that Scotland was “one of the first nations on Earth to publically sign up to these goals and provide international leadership on reducing inequality across the globe.” See: Scottish Business in the Community, “Scotland among first countries to adopt UN Sustainable Development Goals”, 20 July 2015 Justine Greening, “New poverty goals must focus on peace, jobs and justice”, DFID press release, 7 July 2014 “UN begins talks on SDGs, ‘carrying the hopes of millions and millions’”, Guardian, 24 September 2014 House of Commons International Development Committee, “Post-2015 Development Goals”, HC 657, 2012-13, January 2013, paras 81-84 House of Commons Environmental Audit Committee, “Connected world: agreeing ambitious sustainable development goals in 2015”, HC 452, 2014-15, December 2014, paras 47-53 UK Government concerns about too many goals 29 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda 5.2 Statements during the 2015 negotiating process During the intergovernmental negotiations that began in January 2015, the UK Government sought to build support for “ambitious, sound and implementable goals and targets” to underpin the post-2015 development agenda. 90 In March 2015, Justine Greening said in a speech: At the moment the UN’s working group have come up with a very long, unwieldy list of goals and targets that will be very hard for countries to work with, and there is a real risk we’re going to try to focus on everything and end up achieving nothing. 91 In terms of the July 2015 financing for development conference in Addis Ababa, the UK was a strong supporter of the ‘beyond aid’ agenda. In a speech in the same month, Justine Greening argued: […] while aid is still necessary, it’s not sufficient either for the next development ‘leap’ in its scale or in its nature. When it comes to scale, there are more players on the development scene than ever before – the private sector, donors, philanthropists, professional organisations – all playing key roles. […] And more sources of finance: aid has gone from being around twice as large as remittances and foreign direct investment in 1991 to being around one fifth of FDI and a third of remittances in 2012. The nature of aid is changing too. What we call traditional aid – the really important work we’re doing building schools, vaccinating children, better sanitation – all of that continues to be absolutely fundamental. But ultimately it’s jobs, it’s inclusive growth for women and men, and it’s enterprise that will defeat poverty for good. 92 By way of reiterating this stance, at the conference the UK Government announced additional capital – the first for 20 years – for CDC (formerly known as the Commonwealth Development Corporation), the UK’s development finance institution, for investment in businesses in some of the poorest countries in Africa and South Asia. 93 90 91 92 93 European Scrutiny Committee, “The EU and the post-2015 development agenda”, HC219-xxviii, 2014-15, January 2015 “UK aid in 2015: The progress so far and the priorities ahead”, 10 March 2015 “Changing world, changing aid: Where international development needs to go next”, 2 July 2015 £735m of new capital is to be invested through the CDC over three years. “UK boosts support for businesses to create jobs in the world’s poorest places”, UK Government press release, 16 July 2015 Greening endorses going ‘beyond aid’ Number 7291, 28 September 2015 30 Justine Greening also launched the Addis Tax Initiative at the conference. Its aim is to increase domestic resource mobilisation through increasing the capacity of developing countries to raise tax. 94 The EU issued a response to the outcome document agreed at the Addis conference (see below). The UK Government did not issue its own response at the time, but with the UN Summit only ten days away, on 15 September 2015 Justine Greening gave oral evidence to the International Development Committee’s inquiry on the SDGs and had this to say: The outcome from Addis, this Addis Ababa Action Agenda, was a ground-breaking outcome […] I do not think, five to ten years ago, we could have even got close to the outcome we did, because it included all the sources of finance that we needed to look at in the round again. 95 UK support for building the tax capacity of developing countries Greening: the Addis outcome was “ground-breaking” Stance on the 2 August final draft In the same evidence, Justine Greening downplayed the fact that the number of SDGs set out in the finalised draft for adoption agreed on 2 August 2015 was greater than the UK had earlier called for, saying: We will be very happy to not only celebrate the achievement of the MDGs in New York, but also ratify this new set of global goals […] On the fact that there are more goals, we have been in an incredibly complicated, challenging negotiation. In the end, we ended up with 17. Having said that, did it include the areas that the UK was very keen to have put in place? Yes, and I am delighted with that. 96 Responding to a House of Lords debate on the SDGs on 17 September 2015, DFID Minister Baroness Verma She said that the UK considered the SDGs to be a major step forward from the MDGs because they were universal and comprehensive and underpinned by the principles of ‘leaving no-one behind”. For the UK, she said that this meant that “no target should be considered met unless it had “been achieved by all segments of society”. 97 She confirmed that DFID will be the lead department in coordinating the UK’s international implementation of the SDGs, adding that, although the global indicators against which the agenda will be measured will not be ready until next year, DFID is thinking now about how to implement the agenda and that the global goals will be the starting point for all DFID’s future work. Baroness Verma said that the SDGs will also be built into DFID’s strategic objectives and will inform current reviews under way of bilateral and multilateral aid. DFID will also encourage all its partners to plan and report against the goals. 98 94 95 96 97 98 A. Norton, “Why universality is a taxing agenda”, IIED blog, 20 July 2015. See also Addis Tax Initiative - Declaration Sustainable Development Goals 2nd evidence session, HC 337, Q44, published 17 September 2015. Evidence given by Rt Hon Justine Greening MP Sustainable Development Goals 2nd evidence session, HC 337, Q42, published 17 Septe mber 2015. Evidence given by Rt Hon Justine Greening MP HL Deb 17 September 2015 cc.1994-1998 HL Deb 17 September 2015 cc.1994-1998 UK thinking on implementing the SDGs 31 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda Baronness Verma indicated that the UK was already compliant with many of the SDGs and that the UK Government was working closely with the Cabinet Office and the Office for National Statistics to determine how progress could be coordinated and measured more effectively. She added that, in July 2015, the Chief Secretary to the Treasury and the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster wrote to all relevant departments asking how they would approach the implementation of the goals. 99 Remarks by David Cameron at the Summit Addressing the summit on 27 September, the Prime Minister said: Achieving these Goals will take action, not words. I’m proud that the UK has met our 0.7% commitment, and I call on others to follow. This is so important for a number of reasons. When times are darkest – like for the millions of Syrians forced from their homes – aid can offer hope. And we know that wellspent long-term aid works wonders. It’s no coincidence that malaria deaths in Africa have fallen dramatically in recent years it’s a direct result, in part, of our investment. But honouring our aid commitments isn’t just the right thing to do. It’s in all our interests to address the deepest causes of instability and insecurity in the world today. So today I say to my fellow world leaders from developed countries: We’ve been making promises on aid for years. Now, let us deliver on those promises. The world is watching. Let’s be candid. Eradicating extreme poverty isn’t just something that developed country governments can do. There’s a deep responsibility on the leaders of all countries. 100 Parliamentary developments As already noted, the International Development Committee is currently holding an inquiry on the SDGs. 101 The European Scrutiny Committee has decided that EU policy and action on the post-2015 development agenda (see below) will be discussed in European Committee B on a date to be confirmed soon after the 2015 party conference season. 102 There was a House of Commons backbench business debate on the SDGs on 10 September 2015. 103 The CPA UK is engaged with the SDGs. On its website, it has announced that it will: host 3 Regional Workshops in Africa, Asia and the Caribbean on Sustainability, Energy and Development in Autumn 2015 as part of a larger International Parliamentary Project aiming to empower 99 100 101 102 103 HL Deb 17 September 2015 cc.1994-1998 “PM calls on world leaders for more aid spending and more accountability”, UK Government press release, 27 September 2015 International Development Committee, “Sustainable Development Goals inquiry” webpage European Scrutiny Committee, “The EU and the post-2015 development agenda”, 1st report, 2015-16, HC 342-I, 21 July 2015 HC Deb 10 September 2015 cc603-44 “Now, let us deliver on those promises. The world is watching” Number 7291, 28 September 2015 32 parliamentarians to engage with the UN's Sustainable Development Goals and the new development agenda from 2016 – 2030. The International Parliamentary Conference on Sustainability, Energy and Development, to be held in Westminster in spring 2016 will then build on outputs from the Regional Workshops to present a Global Toolkit as a resource for Parliamentarians in their engagement with the new SDGs, encouraging Parliaments in their role as key stakeholders in the implementation of these targets. 104 The British group of the Inter-Parliamentary Union, of which there is a British group, is +engaged with the SDGs too. Its’ parent body, the Inter-Parliamentary Union convened the Fourth World Conference of Speakers of Parliament, which issued a Declaration, “Placing democracy at the service of peace and sustainable development: Building the world the people want” at the close of the conference on 2 September 2015. 105 5.3 EU dimensions The UK has sought to influence the EU’s common negotiating position so that it is consistent with its key priorities. Reflecting the fact that the EU has competence in development cooperation and humanitarian aid, it has been leading negotiations on the post-2015 development agenda on behalf of Member States, including the UK. 106 In December 2014, the Foreign Affairs and Environment Councils agreed Conclusions “on a transformative post-2015 agenda”. The Conclusions welcomed the July 2014 OWG report and the December 2014 synthesis report by the UN Secretary-General. There was no discussion of the need to reduce the number of goals, although the Conclusions did call for “well-defined indicators” and targets that have a “transformative impact”. 107 In a January 2015 letter to the European Scrutiny Committee, UK ministers broadly welcomed the December 2014 Conclusions but recognised that: an EU position may require compromise or may not be reached in certain areas and will therefore need to ensure sufficient flexibility for both the EU and Member States to play a constructive role in “CPA UK to host Regional Workshops on Sustainability, Energy and Development”, 5 August 2015 105 British Group of the Inter-Parliamentary Union; “Placing democracy at the service of peace and sustainable development: Building the world the people want”, 2 September 2015 106 The European Scrutiny Committee elaborates further: “The EU’s competence in development cooperation and humanitarian aid is a specific form of shared competence commonly referred to as a parallel competence. The treaties define the nature and scope of the EU’s competence as follows: ‘In the areas of development cooperation and humanitarian aid, the Union shall have competence to carry out activities and conduct common policy: however the exercise of that competence shall not result in Member States being prevented from exercising theirs’ (Article 4(4) TFEU).” European Scrutiny Committee, “The EU and the post-2015 development agenda”, 1st report, 2015-16, HC 342-I, 21 July 2015 107 “Council conclusions on a transformative post-2015 agenda”, General Affairs Council, 16 December 2014 104 EU has competence on development issues 33 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda negotiations without prejudicing existing competence/representation arrangements. 108 In late May 2015, The European Council agreed Conclusions on “A New Global Partnership for Poverty Eradication and Sustainable Development after 2015”. 109 Intended to “complement” the December 2014 Conclusions, they set out the “guiding principles” and “key components” of the new global partnership and strongly informed the EU’s negotiating position at the financing for development conference in Addis Ababa in July 2015. UK ministers told the European Scrutiny Committee that the Government welcomed the Council Conclusions. 110 At the Addis conference, the EU reaffirmed its commitment to achieve the UN’s 0.7% aid target by 2030 at the latest, with 0.2% to go to Least Developed Countries. 111 Following the conclusion of the Addis conference, the EU Commissioner for International Cooperation and Development, Neven Mimica, said: I welcome this accord, which puts in place very robust foundations to support the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) that will be agreed in September in New York and the climate agreement to be adopted in December in Paris. 112 On 25 September, the European Commission welcomed the adoption of the SDGs. 113 108 109 110 111 112 113 “The EU and the post-2015 development agenda”, European Scrutiny Committee, HC219-xxviii, 2014-15, 25 January 2015 “A New Global Partnership for Poverty Eradication and Sustainable Development after 2015”, European Council, 26 May 2015 European Scrutiny Committee, “The EU and the post-2015 development agenda”, 1st report, 2015-16, HC 342-I, 21 July 2015 “Statement by Commissioner for International Cooperation and Development Neven Mimica following the adoption of the “Addis Ababa Action Agenda” by the Third International Conference on Financing for Development”, European Commission press release, 16 July 2015 “Statement by Commissioner for International Cooperation and Development Neven Mimica following the adoption of the “Addis Ababa Action Agenda” by the Third International Conference on Financing for Development”, European Commission press release, 16 July 2015 “European Commission welcomes new 2030 United Nations Agenda for Sustainable Development”, European Commission, 25 September 2015 EU reaffirms its commitment to 0.7% at Addis conference Number 7291, 28 September 2015 34 6. Bibliography Journals, articles and reports Africa Confidential “Goalfest in Addis”, 24 July 2015 Y. Akyüz, “Post-2015 development agenda and SDGs: perspectives of the South Centre”, South Centre, October 2013 S. Alkire and A. Sumner, “Multidimensional poverty and the post-2015 MDGs”, Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative, March 2013 S. Amin, “The Millennium Development Goals: A Critique from the South”, Monthly Review, March 2006 M. Batalla, “Green, yellow, red: The state of the debate around the post-2015 development agenda”, Global Policy Watch, 6 July 2015 A. Bayo Ogunrotifa, “Grand developmentalism: MDGs and SDGs in subSaharan Africa”, Pambazuka Newsletter, 29 May 2015 S. Brooks, “Private finance and the post-2015 development agenda”, Open Democracy, 23 May 2015 W. Byanyima, “How can we make 2015 a turning point for development?, World Economic Forum blog, 17 August 2015 CAFOD and Beyond 2015, “What if? Mapping scenarios to the end of 2015”, April 2015 P. Carter, “If the SDGs are to ‘leave no-one behind’, donors should get serious about social protection”, Overseas Development Institute blog, 9 September 2015 F. Dodds, “So what did we end up with after the negotiations in July for Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”, blog.felixdodds.net, 5 August 2015 F. Dodds, “Very nice graphic for the 5Ps in the preamble to ‘Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”, blog.felixdodds.net, 16 August 2015 L. Ford, “UN begins talks on SDGs, ‘carrying the hopes of millions and millions’”, Guardian, 24 September 2014 H. Gleckman, “New goals, new outcomes and getting out of old boxes”, International Institute for Sustainable Development, 12 May 2015 Global Land Indicators Initiative, “Land Rights: An Essential Global Indicator for the Post-2015 SDGs”, 2 September 2015 D. Green, “Have the MDGs affected developing country policies and spending? Findings of new 50 country study”, From Poverty to Power blog, 24 July 2015 35 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda D. Green, S. Hale, M. Lockwood, “How can a post-2015 agreement drive real change? Revised edition”, OXFAM discussion papers, November 2012 R. Greenhill, “From Addis to New York: what does the FfD summit imply for the SDGs?”, devex.com, 23 July 2015 R. Greenhill and P. Carter, “The Addis Agreement: a good foundation, now time to build”, Overseas Development Institute, 15 July 2015 J. Gurin and L. Manley, “Open Data for Sustainable Development”, World Bank, August 2015 C. Helder, “Evaluation Beyond 2015: Implications of the SDGs for Evaluation”, World Bank, 15 September 2015 House of Lords Library, “Sustainable Development Goals: Parliamentary Perspectives”, 10 September 2015 C. Hoy, “Millennium Development Goals: success stories and ‘unfinished business’”, Development Progress blog, 17 September 2015 D. Hulme, “Governing Global Poverty? Global Ambivalence and the Millennium Development Goals”, University of Manchester, May 2009 International Institute for Sustainable Development, “Will climate change render the SDGs impossible?”, 19 June 2015 International Institute for Sustainable Development, “Earth Negotiations Bulletin”, 28 June 2015. International Institute for Sustainable Development, “FfD3 Concludes with Adoption of Addis Ababa Action Agenda”, 16 July 2015 International Institute for Sustainable development, “Two-Week Session to Finalize Post-2015 Agenda Kicks Off”, 20 July 2015 International Institute for Sustainable Development, “UN finalizes 2030 agenda for sustainable development”, 2 August 2015 N. Kabeer, “Tracking the gender politics of the Millennium Development Goals: struggles for interpretative power in the international development agenda”, Third World Quarterly, No. 2, 2015 [available from the Library on request] C. Kenny, “The MDG report: taking far more credit than is due”, Center for Global Development, 7 July 2015 S. Kindornay and S. Twigg, “Establishing a workable follow-up and review process for the SDGs” Overseas Development Institute, April 2015 A. Knoll, S. Grosse-Puppendahl and J. Mackie, “Universality and differentiation in the post-2015 development agenda”, ECPDM discussion paper 173, February 2015 F. Kydland, T. Schelling and N. Storey, “Nobel Laureate’s guide to smarter global targets”, Copenhagen Consensus Center, 2015 M. Lockwood, “What have the MDGs achieved? We don’t really know…”, Poverty to Power blog, 31 August 2012 Number 7291, 28 September 2015 36 B. Lomborg, “Promises to keep. Crafting better development goals”, Foreign Affairs, November/December 2014 C. Melamed, “What global partnership for post-2015?”, Overseas Development Institute, 14 November 2013 J. Vandemoortele, “A dispassionate look at the Sustainable Development Goals”, Post2015 blog, 27 August 2015 A. Norton, “Why universality is a taxing agenda”, IIED blog, 20 July 2015 Overseas Development Institute, “Projecting progress: reaching the SDGs by 2030”, flagship report, 21 September 2015 D. Osborn, A. Cutter, F. Ullah, “Universal Sustainable Development Goals: understanding the transformational challenge for developed countries, Stakeholder Forum, May 2015 Oxfam, “OXFAM recommendations for the final draft of the outcome document for the UN summit to adopt the post-2015 development agenda”, 22 July 2015 N. Risse and L. Wagner, “The Technology Facilitation Mechanism: Conceived in Rio, born in Addis”, International Institute for Sustainable Development, Policy Update No. 8, 10 September 2015 Saferworld, “Zero or hero? What does the ‘zero draft’ of the world’s new development framework do for peace?”, June 2015 Scottish Business in the Community, “Scotland among first countries to adopt UN Sustainable Development Goals”, 20 July 2015 E. Stuart, “5 things needed to turn the SDGs into reality”, Devex.com, 29 July 2015 E. Stuart, “Governments adopt the SDGs next week. Then what?”, Overseas Development Institute, 17 September 2015 M. Suzman, “Scoring goals for World United”, The World Today, August/September 2015 K. Watkins, “Leaving no one behind – it won’t be easy”, Post-2015 blog, 21 July 2015 Women’s Major Group, “Gender equality and women and girls empowerment: considerations for the Post-2015 agenda”, February 2015 World Centre for Sustainable Development (RIO+ Centre), “SDG blogs”, September 2015 Official sources UN “The Future We Want”, UN Resolution A/RES/66/288, 27 July 2012 “A New Global Partnership: The Report of the High-Level Panel of Eminent Persons on the Post-2015 Development Agenda”, May 2013 37 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda “The Road to Dignity by 2030: Ending Poverty, Transforming All Lives and Protecting the Planet”, Synthesis Report of Ban ki-Moon, UN Secretary-General, December 2014 United Nations Economic and Social Council, “Managing the transition from the MDGs to the SDGs: what it will take”, 26 April 2015 (Link expired) Addis Ababa Action Agenda (AAAA), A/CONF.227/L.1, 15 July 2015 (Link to website active, link to doc not working) The Addis Tax Initiative - Declaration, July 2015 “DESA briefing note on the Addis Ababa Action Agenda”, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, July 2015 “Lessons from MDGs ‘springboard for future UN agenda – Ban”, UN News Centre, 6 July 2015 “Secretary-General Praises Adoption of Addis Ababa Action Agenda at Development Financing Conference as ‘Major Step Forward’ towards Prosperous World”, UN Press Release, 16 July 2015 “Transforming our World: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Outcome document for the UN Summit to adopt the Post-2015 Development Agenda”, advance unedited version United Nations University, “17 days, 17 goals”, September 2015 (series of articles on each of the SDGs) Sustainable Development Summit 2015 (official website of the Summit) Friends of Governance for Sustainable Development Millennium Development Goals Report 2015 Rio Declaration on Environment and Development United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED, 1992) United Nations Sustainable Development Knowledge Platform UK DFID, “What are the global goals?”, news story, 21 September 2015 Environmental Audit Committee, “Connected world: agreeing ambitious sustainable development goals in 2015”, HC 452, 2014-15, December 2014 European Scrutiny Committee, “The EU and the post-2015 development agenda”, HC219-xxviii, 2014-15, January 2015 European Scrutiny Committee, “The EU and the post-2015 development agenda”, HC 342-i, 2015-16, 21 July 2015 International Development Committee, “The Post-2015 Development Goals”, HC 657, 2012-13, January 2013 International Development Committee, Sustainable Development Goals: first evidence session, HC 337, published 9 September 2015. Evidence given by Jonathan Glennie, Director of Policy and Research, Save the Number 7291, 28 September 2015 38 Children, Jamie Drummond, Co-Founder and Executive Director, ONE Campaign, and Melissa Leach, Director, Institute of Development Studies International Development Committee, Sustainable Development Goals 2nd evidence session, HC 337, published 17 September 2015. Evidence given by Rt Hon Justine Greening MP J. Greening, “New poverty goals must focus on peace, jobs and justice”, DFID press release, 7 July 2014 J. Greening “UK aid in 2015: The progress so far and the priorities ahead”, DFID press release 10 March 2015 J. Greening, “Changing world, changing aid: Where international development needs to go next”, DFID press release, 2 July 2015 “PM calls on world leaders for more aid spending and more accountability”, UK Government press release, 27 September 2015 EU "A decent life for all: ending poverty and giving the world a sustainable future", European Commission, 27 February 2013 “Council conclusions on a transformative post-2015 agenda”, General Affairs Council, 16 December 2014 “A New Global Partnership for Poverty Eradication and Sustainable Development after 2015”, European Council, 26 May 2015 “Statement by Commissioner for International Cooperation and Development Neven Mimica following the adoption of the “Addis Ababa Action Agenda” by the Third International Conference on Financing for Development”, European Commission press release, 16 July 2015 “European Commission welcomes new 2030 United Nations Agenda for Sustainable Development”, European Commission, 25 September 2015 Inter-Parliamentary Union Fourth World Conference of Speakers of Parliament, “Placing democracy at the service of peace and sustainable development: Building the world the people want”, 2 September 2015 Statistics and indicators Inter-agency and Expert Group on Sustainable Development Goal Indicators, “Open Consultation on the Global Indicator Framework”, August/September 2015 Millennium Development Goals, targets and indicators, 2015: statistical tables 39 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda Appendix 1 Sustainable development: history of an idea Sustainable development is an internationally recognised approach that seeks to simultaneously advance economic, social and environmental goals across generations and across the globe. In the UK Parliament, the cross-departmental House of Commons Environmental Audit Committee is tasked with ensuring that sustainable development is reflected in all Government activities and policy-making. The idea emerged and developed from the post-War environmental movement, itself evolving from Victorian concerns about the effects of industrialisation on the environment and people. However, it was only in the 1980s and 1990s that it started to become enshrined in UN and UK policy-making to bring development and environment agendas together for a more holistic approach to solving world problems of poverty and environmental degradation. The Brundtland Commission – a defining moment The 1972 UN Conference on the Human Environment, held in Stockholm, gave sustainable development its first major international recognition. The international community agreed that both development and the environment, hitherto addressed as separate issues, could be managed in a mutually beneficial way. But it was not until The World Commission on Environment and Development published its report “Our Common Future” in 1987 that sustainable development was popularised as a policy-making approach. 114 The Commission, chaired by Gro Harlem Brundtland 115 (and known as the Brundtland Commission), had been tasked by the UN Secretary General in 1983 with formulating a “global agenda for change” and investigating increasing international concerns that human activity was having severe and negative impacts on the planet and that the patterns of growth and development were unsustainable. Such concerns had been highlighted in the 1960s and 1970s in a stream of seminal publications such as Rachel Carson’s Silent Spring about the impact of pesticides (1962) and the Club of Rome’s Limits to Growth report (1972). 116 114 115 116 The World Commission on Environment and Development, Our Common Future, March 1987 Former Prime Minister of Norway and UN Special Envoy on Climate Change since 2007 The Club of Rome website describes the organisation as being established in 1968 as an informal association of independent leading personalities from politics, business and science, “men and women who are long-term thinkers interested in contributing in a systemic interdisciplinary and holistic manner to a better world. The Club of Rome members share a common concern for the future of humanity and the planet.” Number 7291, 28 September 2015 40 The Commission’s report described a solution to the problems of environmental degradation – sustainable development - and offered what has become the ‘classic’ definition of sustainable development: Humanity has the ability to make development sustainable to ensure that it meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. 117 The 1992 Rio ‘Earth Summit’ and beyond Sustainable development was the theme of the UN Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) held in Rio de Janeiro in 1992. This event is now commonly called the ‘Earth Summit’ and it marked the first international attempt to draw up strategies and action for moving towards a more sustainable pattern of development. Over 100 Heads of State, with representation from 178 national governments, attended the largest gathering of national leaders that the world had seen at that time. The Summit was also attended by representatives from a range of other organisations representing civil society. 118 The Rio Summit covered three main themes: biodiversity, climate change, and sustainable development. It resulted in legally binding conventions on the first two, but only an ‘action plan’, called Agenda 21, on sustainable development. The 1992 conference was followed by the Johannesburg World Summit on Sustainable Development (WSSD) in September 2002 and the UN Conference on Sustainable Development in Rio de Janeiro in June 2012 - 'Rio+20'. The Johannesburg Summit delivered three key outcomes: a political declaration, the Johannesburg Plan of Implementation, and a range of partnership initiatives. Key commitments included those on sustainable consumption and production, water and sanitation, and energy. At Rio+20 there was a firm commitment to develop new Sustainable Development Goals and to ensure that these were carried out jointly with the Post 2015 Development Goals, providing a key opportunity to frame climate change and poverty eradication targets with a sustainable development approach. This was widely welcomed. However, as the House of Commons Environmental Audit Committee noted in a 2013 report, the rest of the conclusions of the Summit disappointed many. The Committee noted that: There had been a lack of concrete agreement on key areas of the agenda, notably on the green economy. It pointed out that the commitments from Rio+20 challenged the UK, like all countries: to do more to promote a green economy, but effectively left it to individual countries to decide how strongly to embrace green economy principles. It concluded that while the UK Government 117 118 Our Common Future, para 27 Sustainable Development Commission, archived website, “History of SD” 41 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda has said that it is committed to a green economy, it still had to demonstrate this by producing an overarching strategy that actively drives its delivery. 119 UK strategy and policy In 1994, the UK became the first country to publish a national strategy as recommended at Rio. This kick-started the establishment of domestic policy machinery aimed at putting sustainable development principles into action, including with regard to the running of the Government estate. In November 1997, the Labour Government acted on a manifesto commitment and established the House of Commons Environmental Audit Committee (EAC). The EAC is charged with monitoring and auditing the contribution made by Government departments and agencies to environmental protection and sustainable development and related targets. In 1999, the sustainable development strategy was revised and in 2000 the independent Sustainable Development Commission (SDC) was established to advise the Government on integrating sustainable development into policy. A new strategy, the “UK Strategy for Sustainable Development: Securing the Future”, followed in March 2005, launched by the then Prime Minister Tony Blair. It remains in place today but has been reaffirmed and refreshed (see below). The strategy set out 5 principles for sustainable development (see Figure 1 below) aimed at ensuring a strong, healthy and just society while living within environmental limits, delivered by means of a sustainable economy, good governance and sound science. It stated that policies should respect all 5 principles and that any trade-offs should be made explicit. 120 119 120 Environmental Audit Committee, “Outcomes of the UN Rio +20 Earth Summit”, HC 200, 2013-14, June 2013 HM Government, “UK Strategy for Sustainable Development: Securing the Future”, Cm 6467, March 2005, para 4 Number 7291, 28 September 2015 42 Figure 1 The guiding principles of the UK Government Strategy for Sustainable Development (2005 and reaffirmed in 2011) Source: UK Strategy for Sustainable Development – Securing the Future (2005) as represented in the SDC Guidance for Sustainable Development Action Plans – Driving Change (2005) The strategy covers England and non-devolved issues and was accompanied by a UK Framework agreed across the Devolved Administrations, “One Future – Different Paths: The UK’s Shared Framework for Sustainable Development”, and a set of sustainable development indicators. 121 This package essentially set out the UK vision for sustainable development until 2020, with the UK’s devolved administrations establishing their own sustainable development strategies or schemes complementing the overall national strategy. A key commitment in the strategy was for all Government departments to have their own Sustainable Development Action Plans (SDAPs). The Strategy also gave the SDC a new ‘watchdog’ role across the UK to scrutinise and report on the Government’s progress against the strategy. 121 HM Government, One Future – Different Paths, March 2005 43 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda In February 2011, the Coalition Government published “Mainstreaming Sustainable Development – The Government’s Vision and what this means in practice”. 122 It described sustainable development as: […] making the necessary decisions now to realise our vision of stimulating economic growth and tackling the deficit, maximising wellbeing and protecting our environment, without negatively impacting on the ability of future generations to do the same. 123 The vision sets out how sustainable development is to be integrated into departmental business planning and progress, as set out in Annual Reports and Accounts, and provided for new Sustainable Development indicators. The SDC was abolished in 2011 on the grounds that sustainable development had been sufficiently mainstreamed, so progress made could be reported effectively by the Government itself. The most recent progress report on implementation of the 2011 vision, “Government progress in mainstreaming sustainable development”, was published in May 2013. 124 It noted that government departments had provided little detail on sustainable development within policy development in the 2011/12 reporting period and said that more guidance would be provided on this. 122 123 124 Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), Mainstreaming Sustainable Development – The Government’s Vision and what this means in practice”, February 2011 Defra, “Mainstreaming sustainable development – The Government’s vision and what it means in practice”, February 2011 Defra, Government progress in mainstreaming sustainable development”, May 2013 Number 7291, 28 September 2015 44 Appendix 2 Achieving the MDGs: performance assessment The MDG framework The MDG framework unveiled in 2001 comprised eight goals: Box 3: The Millennium Development Goals • • • • • • • • MDG 1 – Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger MDG 2 – Achieve universal primary education MDG 3 – Promote gender equality and empower women MDG 4 – Reduce child mortality MDG 5 – Improve maternal health MDG 6 – Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases MDG 7 – Ensure environmental sustainability MDG 8 – Develop a global partnership for development The verdict on the MDGs In July 2015, the UN published its final assessment report on the MDGs. While acknowledging there was still a long way to go, its tone was upbeat. Ban Ki-moon asserted that the MDGs had “worked at all levels”. 125 However, some argue that the UN has been much too generous in its assessment. 126 The Overseas Development Institute has argued that: While the world has made significant progress towards the MDGs, as illustrated in the recently released UN summary report, most haven’t been met […] some of the MDG targets are so far off track that, if current trends continue, the SDGs will expire in 2030 before the original MDG targets will be achieved. 127 The official data shows that targets have been met in areas such as extreme poverty and access to improved water sources. In September 2015 The World Health Organization (WHO) and UN Children's Fund (UNICEF) reported that the MDG target on malaria has been met. 128 Advances have been made in many other areas, even where targets have not been met – for example child and maternal death rates have fallen. There are however are several areas where little or no progress has been made – for example employment rates have fallen slightly and carbon emissions have risen. The series of charts overleaf shows changes since 1990 (the baseline year) for a selection of MDG indicators. 125 126 127 128 “Lessons from MDGs ‘springboard for future UN agenda – Ban”, UN News Centre, 6 July 2015 C. Kenny, “The MDG report: taking far more credit than is due”, Center for Global Development, 7 July 2015 C. Hoy, “Millennium Development Goals: success stories and ‘unfinished business’”, Development Progress blog, 17 September 2015 “World Achieves MDG Target on Malaria: WHO, UNICEF”, IISD, 17 September 2015 The UN said that the MDGs had: “galvanised the world to produce the most successful antipoverty movement in history, helped lift more than one billion people out of extreme poverty, made inroads against hunger and enabled more girls to attend school than ever before.”1 45 The Sustainable Development Goals and the post-2015 development agenda Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger % on less than $1.25 a day 1990 2015 % in employment % undernourished developing regions 1990 developing regions 2015 1990 2015 Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education % primary enrolment developing regions 1990 2015 % primary completed developing countries 1990 2015 Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower women % parliament seats held by women ratio girls to boys in primary 1990 2015 1990 2015 Goal 4: Reduce child mortality Millennium Development Goals under 5 mortality rate Selected indicators Target levels are shown with a horizontal marker where they exist. 1990 2015 Green border = Good progress, meeting any target. Amber border = Progress but any target is unlikely to be met. Red border = No progress or getting worse. Goal 5: Improve maternal health Figures are for the whole world unless otherwise specified, and are from the UN Millennium Development Goals Report 2015. maternal mortality Figures for 2015 are forecasts. 1990 2015 Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases HIV incidence rate 1990 2015 malaria incidence 1990 2015 Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability CO2 emissions 1990 % using improved drinking water 2015 1990 % using improved sanitation 2015 1990 2015 Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development % of developing exports duty free 1990 debt service as % of exports developing regions 2015 1990 2015 internet users as % of population 1990 2015 About the Library The House of Commons Library research service provides MPs and their staff with the impartial briefing and evidence base they need to do their work in scrutinising Government, proposing legislation, and supporting constituents. As well as providing MPs with a confidential service we publish open briefing papers, which are available on the Parliament website. Every effort is made to ensure that the information contained in these publically available research briefings is correct at the time of publication. Readers should be aware however that briefings are not necessarily updated or otherwise amended to reflect subsequent changes. If you have any comments on our briefings please email [email protected]. Authors are available to discuss the content of this briefing only with Members and their staff. If you have any general questions about the work of the House of Commons you can email [email protected]. Disclaimer This information is provided to Members of Parliament in support of their parliamentary duties. It is a general briefing only and should not be relied on as a substitute for specific advice. The House of Commons or the author(s) shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any loss or damage of any kind arising from its use, and may remove, vary or amend any information at any time without prior notice. BRIEFING PAPER Number 7291, 28 September 2015 The House of Commons accepts no responsibility for any references or links to, or the content of, information maintained by third parties. This information is provided subject to the conditions of the Open Parliament Licence.
© Copyright 2025 Paperzz