October 18, 2013 [email protected] | 312.347.3888 5347.38 Market Overview Late Wednesday financial media reported rumors of an instant agreement in Congress on a Continuing Resolution (CR), so observing Wednesday’s surge in US Stock Indices and the CR Position traders indeed bought Stocks on the Opens in Sydney Tokyo Shanghai. Soon after the Shanghai Open China’s Ministry of Commerce (MOC) reported Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for September as having increased Year on Year (YoY) less than analysts’ expectations but significantly more than FDI YoY increase for August or data dispelling fears among market participants of foreigners’ excluding China consequent to enormous surge in Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (SHIBOR) in Third Quarter (3Q), which data confirming foreign interest in China still obscured by preponderant events in Washington did not instigate Daytraders to agitate in either markets generally or even Forex Pair especially impacted by China’s economy AUD/$. Toward the end of the Asian Session US House passed House Resolution (HR) 2775 named “Continuing Appropriations Act” or the HR providing funding for federal operations without a US Budget, which HR President Barack Obama immediately signed into law; which event expected by most market participants did not induce Position traders yet to participate in markets generally so soon before the end of the Asian Session. On the Frankfurt Open Position traders immediately bought Forex generally thus pushing Major Pairs to Trading Session Highs and Gold thus pushing it to Multi Week Highs but sold Crude Oil thus pushing it gradually to Multi Month Lows. After the London Open UK’s Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported Retail Sales for September as having increased Month on Month (MoM) more than both analysts’ expectations and also Sales MoM decrease for August or data confirming ONS’ robust monthly Employment data reported just prior day, which robust data though obscured by events in Washington traders for the most part ignored. About middle of European Session independent German economic research institute ZEW reported its proprietary Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany in October as significantly greater than both analysts’ expectations and also Indicator for September or data refuting recent tepid and mixed German data, which usually moving robust data though still obscured by events in Washington traders for now ignored. Before the US Stock Market Open Labor Department (DOL) reported weekly Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance as significantly greater than analysts’ expectations but significantly less than prior week’s Claims or data still erratic on account of some States’ computer problems, which data erratic and unreliable traders ignored. On the Stock market Open Position traders immediately bought S&P but sold Crude Oil, but Position traders observing no aggressive Shorting of Treasuries despite passage of CR gradually liquidated Short Position thereby pushing Treasuries higher. Traders pushed S&P to Record Closing High, and Forex Closed near Session Highs. Upcoming Reports 10/18 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Retail Sales Industrial Production Consumer Price Index (CPI) www.lakefrontfutures.com China China China Canada 1 [email protected] | 312.347.3888 Financials E-Mini S&P S&P had a high of 1728.75 and a low of 1706.25. S&P's OI Report Thursday described Wednesday small OI increase with very large price increase on moderate Volume. Thursday S&P traded much higher to new Record Highs on moderately small Volume. R2 R1 PP S1 S2 1743.50 1735.50 1721.00 1713.00 1698.50 Last 24 hours www.lakefrontfutures.com 2 [email protected] | 312.347.3888 Precious Metals Gold Gold had a high of 1324.2 and a low of 1273.7. Gold's OI Report Thursday described Wednesday small OI decrease with moderate price increase on moderately large Volume. Thursday Gold traded extremely much higher on extremely large Volume. R2 R1 PP S1 S2 1357.5 1340.2 1307 1289.7 1256.5 Last 24 hours Silver Silver had a high of 22.20 with a low of 21.10. Silver’s OI Report Thursday described Wednesday moderately large OI decrease with small price increase on very small Volume. Thursday Silver traded moderately higher on moderately large Volume. R2 R1 PP S1 S2 22.85 22.40 21.75 21.30 20.65 Last 24 hours Disclaimer This brief statement does not disclose all of the risks and other significant aspects of trading in futures and options. In light of the risks, you should undertake such transactions only if you understand the nature of the contracts (and contractual relationships) into which you are entering and the extent of your exposure to risk. Trading in futures and options is not suitable for many members of the public. You should carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you in light of your experience, objectives, financial resources and other relevant circumstances. Futures and options trading involve substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for everyone. 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