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Authors requiring further information regarding Elsevier’s archiving and manuscript policies are encouraged to visit: http://www.elsevier.com/copyright Author's personal copy Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Earth-Science Reviews j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / e a r s c i r ev Review The problem of isotopic baseline: Reconstructing the diet and trophic position of fossil animals Michelle M. Casey a,⁎, David M. Post b a b Yale University, Department of Geology and Geophysics, P.O. Box 208109, New Haven, CT, 06520–8109, USA Yale University, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Osborn Memorial Laboratory, New Haven, CT, 06520–8106, USA a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 8 February 2010 Accepted 13 February 2011 Available online 22 February 2011 Keywords: nitrogen carbon food web time averaging vertebrate invertebrate a b s t r a c t Stable isotope methods are powerful, frequently used tools which allow diet and trophic position reconstruction of organisms and the tracking of energy sources through ecosystems. The majority of ecosystems have multiple food sources which have distinct carbon and nitrogen isotopic signatures despite occupying a single trophic level. This difference in the starting isotopic composition of primary producers sets up an isotopic baseline that needs to be accounted for when calculating diet or trophic position using stable isotopic methods. This is particularly important when comparing animals from different regions or different times. Failure to do so can cause erroneous estimations of diet or trophic level, especially for organisms with mixed diets. The isotopic baseline is known to vary seasonally and in concert with a host of physical and chemical variables such as mean annual rainfall, soil maturity, and soil pH in terrestrial settings and lake size, depth, and distance from shore in aquatic settings. In the fossil record, the presence of shallowing upward suites of rock, or parasequences, will have a considerable impact on the isotopic baseline as basin size, depth and distance from shore change simultaneously with stratigraphic depth. For this reason, each stratigraphic level is likely to need an independent estimation of baseline even within a single outcrop. Very little is known about the scope of millennial or decadal variation in isotopic baseline. Without multi-year data on the nature of isotopic baseline variation, the impacts of time averaging on our ability to resolve trophic relationships in the fossil record will remain unclear. The use of a time averaged baseline will increase the amount of error surrounding diet and trophic position reconstructions. Where signal to noise ratios are low, due to low end member disparity (e.g., aquatic systems), or where the observed isotopic shift is small (≤1‰) the error introduced by time averaging may severely inhibit the scope of one's interpretations and limit the types of questions one can reliably answer. In situations with strong signal strength, resulting from high amounts of end member disparity (e.g., terrestrial settings), this additional error maybe surmountable. Baseline variation that is adequately characterized can be dealt with by applying multiple end-member mixing models. © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Contents 1. 2. 3. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1. Two end-member mixing model . . . . . . . . . . . Materials and methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1. Sample collection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2. Sample preparation and stable isotopic analysis . . . . Results and discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1. Hypothetical food web. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.2. Terrestrial ecosystems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.2.1. Sources of variation in terrestrial carbon . . . 3.2.2. Sources of variation in terrestrial nitrogen . . 3.2.3. Terrestrial baseline issues in the fossil record . 3.3. Aquatic ecosystems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3.1. Sources of variation in aquatic carbon . . . . 3.3.2. Sources of variation in aquatic nitrogen . . . 3.3.3. Aquatic baseline issues in the fossil record . . ⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 763 229 3126; fax: +1 203 432 3134. E-mail address: [email protected] (M.M. Casey). 0012-8252/$ – see front matter © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2011.02.001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132 133 133 133 133 134 134 136 136 136 137 137 139 140 141 Author's personal copy 132 3.4. Diagenesis . . 3.5. Guidelines for 4. Conclusions . . . . Acknowledgements . . . References . . . . . . . M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 . . . . . . . . . . estimating baseline . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1. Introduction Stable isotopes are powerful tools for investigating the flow of energy or material through biological systems such as food webs, because isotopic compositions record information about both source and processing of that material (Peterson and Fry, 1987). Variation in the distribution of isotopic signatures of organic and inorganic materials sets up an isotopic baseline, which can be used to trace the dietary sources of organisms. The process of biological fractionation modifies this isotopic baseline, during which organisms differentially use naturally occurring stable isotopes to build organic tissues. The relatively small biological fractionation of carbon (b1‰) after photosynthesis makes δ13C useful for tracing the identity and relative contribution of different diet sources (Deniro and Epstein, 1978; Post, 2002b; McCutchan et al., 2003). The biological fractionation of nitrogen is relatively large (~3.4‰) making δ15N useful for calculating the trophic position of consumers (Deniro and Epstein, 1981; Vander Zanden and Rasmussen, 2001; Post, 2002b; McCutchan et al., 2003; Caut et al., 2009). In modern systems, stable isotopic signatures are used extensively to reconstruct organismal diets and trophic positions, calculate food-chain length, determine the path of material through food webs, and examine niche partitioning between species (Peterson and Fry, 1987; Post et al., 2000; Post, 2002a; Bearhop et al., 2004; Takimoto et al., 2008; Walters and Post, 2008). Because stable isotopic signatures of organisms are integrated among dietary sources consumed at different times of the day or seasons, these methods complement direct observations like gut content analysis which records only short time periods preceding capture and are available only for common, easily captured taxa (Peterson and Fry, 1987; Post, 2002b; McCutchan et al., 2003; Layman and Post, 2008). Another advantage of stable isotopic methods is their ability to capture the natural complexity of trophic interactions, such as trophic omnivory, often missing in simple food chain models (Post, 2002b). For this reason, stable isotopic trophic methods are now widely applied to both fossil and living organisms in terrestrial, lacustrine, and marine settings. In the field of archeology, stable isotope methods have been applied to the problem of determining human diet in the past. Archeologists have used the difference in δ13C between C3 plants and maize, a C4 plant, to identify the onset of agriculture in human civilizations (Van der Merwe and Vogel, 1978). This technique was further developed to examine dietary differences between social classes (Schurr, 1992), test for links between agricultural intensification and economic or cultural complexity (Schurr and Schoeninger, 1995), and track population migration (Ambrose and Deniro, 1986; Sealy and Van der Merwe, 1986; Pate, 1995). Subsequent archeological analyses have used the difference in the isotopic baseline of carbon and nitrogen between terrestrial and marine systems to track marine supplementation in the diets of ancient humans (Tauber, 1981; Schoeninger et al., 1983) or changes in nitrogen isotopic signature to determine the age of weaning (Schurr, 1998). Archeologists and paleontologists have applied this technique to vertebrate organisms to investigate the relative contribution of C3 and C4 plants to diet (Wang et al., 1994; Macfadden and Cerling, 1996), niche separation (MacFadden et al., 2004; Feranec and MacFadden, 2006; Fricke and Pearson, 2008), age of weaning (Rountrey et al., 2007), and . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 143 144 144 144 trophic structure (Ostrom et al., 1993) in organisms ranging from dinosaurs to mammals. Modern ecologists have successfully employed stable isotopic methods to tackle long-standing questions within ecology. One particularly lucrative application of stable isotopes is the use of δ15N signature to calculate food-chain length in a variety of settings. Foodchain length, or the number of trophic levels between primary producers and top predators within an ecosystem, is of immense importance to a number of issues within trophic ecology including the productivity of fisheries, the effects of trophic cascades on ecosystems, and the bioaccumulation of toxins (Vander Zanden et al., 1999; Post, 2002a; Vander Zanden and Fetzer, 2007; Takimoto et al., 2008; Walters and Post, 2008). δ15N derived estimates of food-chain length provide a robust method for testing competing hypotheses for variation in food-chain length, including resource availability, ecosystem size, and disturbance (Post, 2002a; Vander Zanden and Fetzer, 2007; Takimoto et al., 2008; McHugh et al., 2010). Application of this method to fossil record could provide valuable information on the nature of food-chain length in ecosystems before anthropogenic disturbance, or the response of food-chain length to large scale disturbances such as rapid climate changes or extinction events which are difficult to recreate experimentally in modern settings. Another successful application of stable isotopes to a long standing ecological question was the use of multiple stable isotope tracers to examine the fate of salt marsh primary productivity in marine food webs. The extremely productive salt marsh plant Spartina alterniflora does not appear to support upper trophic levels directly through grazing, but indirectly as the dominant source of the detritus. The presence of multiple potential food sources (e.g., phytoplankton, salt marsh detritus, benthic algae, and upland organic matter) made it impossible to determine the ultimate source of detrital material using the isotopic signature of carbon alone. Peterson et al. (1985) were able to use a combination of carbon, nitrogen, and sulfur stable isotopes to demonstrate that a large proportion of the diet of ribbed mussels was, in fact, derived from Spartina detritus. The simultaneous application of multiple isotopic tracers detailed above has allowed researchers to map the flow of energy through ecosystems in a quantitative manner that was previously impossible. Utilization of this method in the fossil record could further resolve issues of energy flow through different types of ecosystems (Mae et al., 2007) or changes in energy flow resulting from natural or anthropogenic ecosystem alterations. While not an exhaustive list, the above examples demonstrate the breadth of questions that can be addressed by stable isotopic methods, some of which, like the ratio of C3 to C4 plants comprising diet, have been widely and readily applied to fossil taxa while others, such as food-chain length, have not. All of the above examples could not be satisfactorily addressed without the use of stable isotopic techniques and none of these applications could be performed without an accurate estimation of isotopic baseline or end members for mixing models. In particular, the salt marsh example highlights the utility of multiple stable isotope tracers to examine food webs that contain multiple potential sources of dietary carbon. Both aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems commonly contain at least two distinct carbon sources (e.g., littoral and pelagic producers in aquatic systems; C3 and C4 plants in terrestrial systems) each with distinct δ13C and δ15N signatures. Therefore, to accurately estimate the trophic position of an Author's personal copy M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 organism which feeds on multiple food sources, one must account for the isotopic difference of the sources and the proportion of the organism's diet each source constitutes. This is accomplished by employing multiple end-member mixing models (Phillips, 2001) which use n isotopic tracers to obtain an estimate of source partitioning for n + 1 sources before calculating trophic position. For the sake of simplicity, we will discuss the commonly used two endmember mixing model of Post (2002b). Increasingly complicated models are necessary to deal with concentration-dependent mixing of isotopic tracers (Phillips and Koch, 2002), uncertainty in source isotopic signature (Phillips and Gregg, 2001), and systems including more than n + 1 sources (Phillips and Gregg, 2003; Moore and Semmens, 2008; Parnell et al., 2010). 1.1. Two end-member mixing model By assuming that carbon and nitrogen move through the food web with similar stoichiometry, mass-balance mixing models calculate the contribution of each source to a mixture, in this case an organism's diet (Moore and Semmens, 2008). The following two end-member mixing model requires measurements of the δ15N and δ13C signatures of (1) the organism of interest and (2) the base of both food webs (e.g., littoral and pelagic primary producers) or organisms which serve as reliable proxies (Post, 2002b): 15 15 15 trophic position¼ λ þ ðδ Nsc −½δ Nbase1 α þ δ Nbase2 ð1−αÞÞ=Δn ð1Þ where λ is the trophic position of the baseline proxy taxa (e.g., primary producers = 1); δ15Nsc is the nitrogen signature of the secondary consumer in question; δ15Nbase1 is the nitrogen signature of the first baseline proxy organism; δ15Nbase2 is the nitrogen signature of the second baseline proxy organism; α is the proportion of the secondary consumer's diet derived from base1; and Δn is the mean trophic fractionation or discrimination per trophic transfer. The mean Δn is approximately 3.4‰ (Deniro and Epstein, 1981; Minagawa and Wada, 1984; Vander Zanden and Rasmussen, 2001; Post, 2002b; McCutchan et al., 2003; Vanderklift and Ponsard, 2003; Barnes et al., 2007). α is calculated using δ13C as: 13 13 13 13 α ¼ ½δ Cbase2 −ðδ Corg þ Δc torg Þ=ðδ Cbase2 −δ Cbase1 Þ ð2Þ where δ13Corg is the carbon signature of the secondary consumer of interest, Δc is the trophic fractionation of δ13C, torg is the trophic position of the organism of interest, δ13Cbase1 is the carbon signature of the baseline proxy organism for base1, and δ13Cbase2 equals the carbon signature of the baseline proxy organism for base2. The trophic fractionation of δ13C is typically assumed to be 0‰ thus removing the term Δctorg (Deniro and Epstein, 1978; Vander Zanden and Rasmussen, 2001; Post, 2002b; McCutchan et al., 2003; Barnes et al., 2007; Caut et al., 2009). A number of other factors besides diet and trophic position can affect the measured isotopic signatures of organisms and the amount of individual variation within a species (Gannes et al., 1997; McCutchan et al., 2003; Martinez del Rio et al., 2009). Observed differences between the whole body isotopic signature, or that of bulk diet, and specific tissues can be due to compositional differences (Tieszen and Farge, 1993; Gannes et al., 1997) or isotopic routing (Schwarcz, 1991; Martinez del Rio et al., 2009; Kelly and Martinez del Rio, 2010). Isotopic routing occurs when the building blocks of certain tissues are assimilated exclusively from a single food source (Schwarcz, 1991). This process can confound dietary interpretations by creating tissues whose isotopic signature does not reflect that of the organism's bulk diet (Gannes et al., 1997; Martinez del Rio et al., 2009). Compositional differences can be related to differences in tissue type (e.g., muscle versus mantle tissue in molluscs) or 133 differences in lipid content. Because lipids are depleted in 13C relative to carbohydrates and proteins, variations in lipid content can greatly impact the carbon isotopic signature of organisms with essentially the same diet (McConnaughey and McRoy, 1979; Post et al., 2007). Uncertainty can be introduced by analytical error, though careful attention to laboratory methodologies have been shown to markedly reduce error (Jardine and Cunjak, 2005; Coplen et al., 2006; Mill et al., 2008). These caveats are discussed extensively elsewhere and are not the focus of this paper. Finally, when working with fossil organisms one must consider problems regarding the indigeneity of isotopic signatures which may have been altered by diagenesis. Considerable work has been conducted in this area for fossil molluscs (Serban et al., 1988; Macko et al., 1991; Engel et al., 1994; Qian et al., 1995) and vertebrates (Ostrom et al., 1990, 1994). For more information on dealing with diagenesis see Section 3.4 below. Each of these issues can influence the reliability of the baseline or end member used to estimate diet or trophic position. Here we synthesize a combination of published and original data from modern ecosystems to outline and discuss problems of baseline and end member variation unique to paleontology. To do so, we will tackle the following issues: 1) What are the causes and magnitudes of baseline and end member variation in modern ecosystems? 2) What sources of baseline and end member variation are of greatest concern in the fossil record? 3) How does baseline and end member variation introduce error into our estimates of diet and trophic position of fossil organisms? 4) How can we account for baseline and end member variation in our estimates of diet and trophic position? And finally, 5) In what situations is the problem of baseline and end member variation insurmountable for paleontological studies? Admittedly, the number of complications increases when extending modern stable isotopic methods into the fossil record, but so too do the number of compelling opportunities to explore trophic interactions on timescales and within contexts not available to modern ecologists. The fossil record provides a natural laboratory for examining the replicated effects of large-scale physical, climatic, and anthropogenic changes on factors like diet, trophic position, food-chain length, and energy or material flow through food webs. 2. Materials and methods While the bulk of the data presented in this review comes from the published literature, a small amount of original data has been included for the unique insights it affords the study of baseline variation across multiple years in a single study locality, season, and set of test organisms. 2.1. Sample collection Living bivalves and gastropods were collected from the same Milford, CT beach at the end of August in 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009. Species found include Mercenaria mercenaria (quahogs), Littorina littorea (periwinkles), Ilyanassa obselta (mud snails), Geukensia dessimus (ribbed mussels), Mytilus edulis (blue mussels), Neverita duplicata (northern moon snail), and Urosalpinx cincera (oyster drills). 2.2. Sample preparation and stable isotopic analysis Live animals were frozen in a − 60 °F freezer and thawed prior to dissection. Whole body soft tissues were removed from the shells, cleaned in deionised water, and digestive tracts squeezed to remove undigested particles. Soft tissues were then dried in a 40 °C oven for 3 to 5 days and ground using a porcelain mortar and pestle. Whole body samples were weighed out to 1 mg and placed in tin capsules. All samples were analyzed on a Thermo Finnigan DeltaPlus Advantage with Costech EA at the Yale Institute for Biospheric Studies (YIBS) Earth Systems Center for Stable Isotopic Studies (ESCSIS). The Author's personal copy 134 M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 standard deviation of replicated animal standards (trout) within a tray ranged between 0.02‰ and 0.24‰ for δ13C and 0.01‰ and 0.04‰ for δ15N. All isotopic signatures are expressed in standard per mil notation: δX ¼ ½ðRsample =Rstandard Þ−1 1000 ð3Þ Standard reference is Pee Dee Belemnite for carbon and the atmosphere for nitrogen. Carbon isotopic signatures of all animals were lipid corrected after Post et al. (2007) using the following relationship between C:N ratio and δ13C change due to lipid content: 13 13 δ Ccor ¼ δ Cuncor þ 0:99 ½C=Nratio−2:5 ð4Þ Trophic position was estimated using the two end-member mixing model of (Post, 2002b) detailed above with a Δn value of 3.4‰. 3. Results and discussion 3.1. Hypothetical food web We start our discussion of baseline with a hypothetical example of an extremely simplified terrestrial African ecosystem with C3 trees and shrubs and C4 grasses forming the base of the food web. In general, C3 plants have an average δ13C value of −27‰ and range from −20‰ to − 35‰, while C4 plants average around −12‰ but range from −11 to − 15‰ (Dawson et al., 2002). In this example (Fig. 1a), C3 browse has a δ13C value of − 28‰ and the C4 grasses have a δ13C value of −15‰. Antelopes, which are mixed grazers and browsers, feed on both types of primary producers equally (50:50 diet or α = 0.5) giving them an intermediate δ13C signature of − 21.5‰ assuming no trophic fractionation of carbon. Changes in this value could yield valuable information on the changing dietary proportion of the antelope's diet coming from C3 versus C4 plants (α) resulting from behavioral, environmental, or evolutionary variation. For instance, if the antelope switched to feed exclusively on C3 plants (100:0 diet or α = 1.0), then its δ13C signature should be −28‰ (Fig. 1a). Feeding on the antelope are carnivorous lions and omnivorous jackals. We assume that the omnivorous jackals feed equally on antelopes and the berries and fruits of C3 plants giving them a δ13C signature of − 24.75‰. We further assume that they do not eat C4 plants so that changes in the value of δ13C reflect changes in the dietary proportions of C3 plants and meat. The carnivorous lions feeding exclusively on antelopes would have a δ13C signature of −21.5‰, again assuming no trophic fractionation of carbon. Changes in this value could result from the lions feeding on additional types of prey or from changes in the δ13C of antelopes. The δ13C values of C3 and C4 plants are not constant, however, in nature. The δ13C signature of plants is affected by a myriad of factors including water stress, soil moisture, humidity, irradiance, temperature, nitrogen availability, salinity, and the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere (Dawson et al., 2002). Variation in the δ13C values at the base of the food web propagate up through all of the trophic levels and might be incorrectly attributed to changes in diet or climate by researchers only measuring the δ13C signature of their organisms of interest. This is why it is so important to measure all three variables in equation 2 (δ13Corg, δ13Cbase1, and δ13Cbase2) either directly or by using proxies, especially when comparing across ecosystems or ecological gradients. Failure to account for differences in baseline can result in erroneous interpretations and a reduced signal to noise ratio (Phillips and Gregg, 2001; Post et al., 2007). We examine these effects in detail by returning to the hypothetical example (Fig. 1). In the original example (Fig. 1a), the disparity of the two end members (or the difference between δ13C values of C3 and C4 plants) is relatively large—13‰. An antelope with 100% of its diet coming from C3 plants has a δ13C signature of − 28‰ versus an antelope which feeds equally on C3 and C4 plants has a δ13C signature of −21.5‰ (Fig. 1a). In this large end-member disparity scenario, a 50% change in diet leads to a change of −6.5‰ in δ13Corg, while a 10% shift in diet would yield a 1.3‰ difference in δ13Corg. As the isotopic signatures of the end members vary within their established ranges, Fig. 1. Hypothetical food web showing carbon isotopic compositions of C3 and C4 plants, herbivorous antelopes, omnivorous jackals, and carnivorous lions. a: Large end member disparity scenario in which C3 and C4 plants differ by 13‰. b: Small end member disparity scenario in which C3 and C4 plants differ by 5‰. Author's personal copy M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 the end-member disparity increases and decreases. A decrease in end member disparity will decrease the change in δ13Corg expected for a given change in α, or dietary proportion, decreasing the ability to resolve changes in α relative to background noise (Phillips and Gregg, 2001; Post et al., 2007) caused by analytical error, variation in lipid content, etc. Consider an expanded example involving a fundamentally similar food web where C3 and C4 plants have δ13C values of −20‰ and − 15‰, respectively, giving it an end-member disparity of only 5‰. In this example, the 50% change in dietary fraction (same as above) results in a change of the δ13C signature from −17.5‰ to −20‰ (Fig. 1b), a difference of only − 2.5‰. A 10% change in dietary fraction would result in only 0.5‰ change in δ13C which can be very difficult to discern within the limits of standard analytical error (typically 0.2–0.4‰ for δ13C). Failure to account for changes in isotopic baseline can also lead to erroneous interpretations when comparing animals from different locations or times. For example, the difference in δ13C between the 50:50 diet antelope in the first example where end member disparity was large (Fig. 1a) and the 100:0 diet antelope in the second, small end member disparity example (Fig. 1b), is only 1.5‰. If one used the end member values from the Fig. 1a example (C3 = −28‰, C4 =−15‰) to calculate the dietary proportion (α) of the 100:0 diet antelope from Fig. 1b, then the +1.5‰ difference would be incorrectly calculated as a 12% increase in the proportion of C4 plants in the antelope's diet (α =0.38) rather than the true 50% dietary increase in C3 plants (α =1.0). Not only would the magnitude of the change be drastically underestimated, but also the sign of the change would be the opposite of our expectation for an increase in the consumption of C3 plants. Researchers run the risk of encountering this problem any time they use the same baseline value for multiple samples from different locations or across millions of years. Mixed diets make it important to use a multiple end-member mixing model to calculate trophic position, because simply assuming that nitrogen signature is a perfect index of trophic position can be misleading. For example, the C3 and C4 plants in our hypothetical food 135 web (Fig. 2) have different δ15N signatures. The C3 browse has a δ15N value of 10.5‰. If we assume that the antelope is consuming 100% C3 plant material, the food web is actually a single-source food chain (Fig. 2a). In a single-source food chain, the nitrogen signature of any given trophic level is easily predicted by simply adding Δn (which we assume to be 3.4‰) to every full trophic level increase: herbivorous antelope = 13.9‰, omnivorous jackal = 15.6‰, and carnivorous lion = 17.3‰. If instead we assume the antelope consumes equal portions C3 and C4 plant material and the C3 and C4 plants have different δ15N signatures (e.g., C4 grasses have a δ15N value of 3‰, Fig. 2b) then nitrogen signatures of upper trophic levels depend on the proportion of the diet each source constitutes (α) and Δn. The difference in δ15N between C3 and C4 plants in the multiple-source example (Fig. 2b) is 7.5‰ (or roughly equal to two trophic levels worth of nitrogen variation). The values in this example are based on observed values from the work of Shearer et al. (1983). An antelope with a diet of 50:50 C3 and C4 plants would have a δ15N signature of 10.15‰. This change in antelope signature would propagate up through the food web changing the jackal's nitrogen signature to 13.73‰, and the lion's nitrogen signature to 13.55‰. The resulting difference in the nitrogen signature of the jackal from 15.6‰ in the single-source example to 13.73‰ in the multiple-source food web could be attributed incorrectly to a decrease in trophic position of the jackal and an increase in the proportion of plants in the diet without proper consideration of baseline. Application of the two end member mixing model described above to this situation would accurately calculate the omnivorous jackal's trophic position as 2.5 in both cases. If the δ15N values of the primary producers in Fig. 2b were reversed (C3 = 3.0‰, C4 = 10.5‰) the 50:50 diet antelope would retain the same δ15N value of 10.15‰ but the δ15N value of the jackal would become 9.98‰. In this example the δ15N value of the jackal is lower than that of the antelope even though the jackal occupies a higher trophic position. Not only is δ15N not trophic position in these examples, but the rank order of animals based solely on δ15N values may not properly correspond to the trophic hierarchy. Fig. 2. Hypothetical food web showing nitrogen isotopic compositions of C3 and C4 plants, herbivorous antelopes, omnivorous jackals, and carnivorous lions. a: Single source food web. b: Multiple source food web. Author's personal copy 136 M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 3.2. Terrestrial ecosystems The example above demonstrates the necessity of measuring the carbon and nitrogen isotopic signatures of all carbon sources at the base of the food web in order to quantify the absolute values, disparity, and variation of dietary end members. Baseline issues were first recognized in aquatic systems where researchers have invested more time and energy determining their causes and effects. Here we summarize the available literature exploring the causes of isotopic variation in carbon and nitrogen in modern terrestrial ecosystems (Table 1) to help infer decisions about end member disparity and baseline. Then we place this review of modern ecosystems into the context of the unique problems this variation poses when working in the fossil record. 3.2.1. Sources of variation in terrestrial carbon Differences in the carboxylation reactions between the C3 and C4 photosynthetic pathways create differences in the δ13C signatures of C3 and C4 plants (O'Leary, 1981; O'Leary, 1988; Marshall et al., 2007), Table 1 Factors known to affect the isotopic composition of terrestrial baselines. A factor is positively correlated with isotopic signature if an increase in that factor leads to an increase (enrichment) in δ15N or δ13C values. Factor Terrestrial carbon Stomatal density Branch length Canopy height Leaf size Leaf thickness Salinity Correlation Reference − Hultine and Marshall (2000) + Panek and Waring (1995) + + + − Yoder et al. (1994) Geber and Dawson (1990) Vitousek et al. (1990) (Bowman et al., 1989; Sandquist and Ehleringer, 1995) (Dawson et al., 2002; Swap et al., 2004) (Stewart et al., 1995; Williams and Ehleringer, 1996; Schulze et al., 1998; Van de Water et al., 2002; Swap et al., 2004; Liu et al., 2005; Roden et al., 2005; Schulze et al., 2006) Welker et al. (1993) Ehleringer et al. (1986) (Bowman et al., 1989; Hogberg et al., 1993; Guehl et al., 1995) (Ehleringer and Cooper, 1988; Chen et al., 2005, 2007a,b) (Knight et al., 1995; Sparks and Ehleringer, 1997; Cordell et al., 1999; Hietz et al., 1999; Van de Water et al., 2002; De Lillis et al., 2004; Townsend-Small et al., 2005; Li et al., 2007) (Beerling et al., 1993; Bettarini et al., 1995; Berry et al., 1997; Polley et al., 2002; Aranjuelo et al., 2008) Humidity − Mean annual − rainfall Temperature Irradiance Nitrogen availability Soil moisture − + + Elevation + CO2 − + Terrestrial nitrogen Nitrogen − fixation Denitrification + Ammonia + volatilization Nutrient + availability Temperature + Aridity + pH + Rainfall − Soil maturity/ depth Clay content + Altitude + Land use + + (Deniro and Hastorf, 1985; Ambrose, 1991) (Shearer and Kohl, 1986; Ambrose, 1991) (Shearer and Kohl, 1986; Ambrose, 1991) Swap et al. (2004) (Bate, 1981; Granhall, 1981; Ambrose, 1991) (Bate, 1981; Granhall, 1981; Ambrose, 1991) Ambrose (1991) (Shearer et al., 1978; Mariotti et al., 1980; Ambrose, 1991; Swap et al., 2004) (Shearer and Kohl, 1986; Vitousek et al., 1989; Ambrose, 1991) (Shearer and Kohl, 1986; Vitousek et al., 1989; Ambrose, 1991) (Shearer et al., 1978; Mariotti et al., 1980; Ambrose, 1991; Swap et al., 2004) Aranibar et al. (2008) which have a mean δ13C of −27‰ and −12‰, respectively (Dawson et al., 2002). There is considerable variation around these means with C3 plants exhibiting more variation than C4 plants (Schulze et al., 1998). For example, in Namibia, C3 plants range between −26.04‰ and −21.28‰ while C4 plants range between −13.9‰ and − 12.2‰ (Schulze et al., 1976). Within leaves, the δ13C signature is controlled by the amount of available CO2 and the δ13C of atmospheric CO2. Increases in the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere from the burning of fossil fuels have caused plant, animal, and atmospheric δ13C values to decline (Bettarini et al., 1995; Ehleringer and Cerling, 1995; Cerling and Harris, 1999; Williams et al., 2001; Long et al., 2005). The availability of CO2 within the leaf controls the amount of discrimination that takes place, lower concentrations of CO2 lead to less discrimination and more positive δ13C values. The discrimination against 13C by the enzyme Rubisco during carboxylation sets the fractionation factor for C3 plants while the ratio of intercellular to atmospheric CO2 concentrations determines the extent to which that fractionation is expressed. The CO2 concentration in leaves is controlled by the relative rates of supply, or the opening of the leaf stomata, and demand, or net assimilation (Farquhar et al., 1982; Brugnoli et al., 1988). Opening of leaf stomata can lead to evaporation and water loss so stomatal conductance is also affected by the plant's water use (Swap et al., 2004). The δ13C signature of leaves can, therefore, be impacted by a myriad of factors (see Table 1) that affect water usage, supply, transport or loss (Dawson et al., 2002). For example, the δ13C signature of leaves becomes more negative with morphological changes including increasing stomatal density (Hultine and Marshall, 2000), decreasing branch length (Panek and Waring, 1995), decreasing canopy height (Yoder et al., 1994), decreasing leaf size (Geber and Dawson, 1990), and decreasing leaf thickness (Vitousek et al., 1990). The δ13C signature of leaves is negatively correlated with environmental factors such as salinity (Bowman et al., 1989), humidity (Dawson et al., 2002; Swap et al., 2004), mean annual rainfall (Swap et al., 2004), and temperature (Welker et al., 1993) and positively correlated with irradiance (Ehleringer et al., 1986), nitrogen availability (Bowman et al., 1989; Hogberg et al., 1993; Guehl et al., 1995), and soil moisture (Ehleringer and Cooper, 1988). Genetic factors can also influence plant δ13C (Dawson et al., 2002). The fact that not all of these factors are independent means that the δ13C values of plants may or may not correlate strongly with environmental characteristics (e.g., altitude, latitude, temperature, and rainfall) in a predictable manner (Comstock and Ehleringer, 1992). A number of good studies exist which detail the shift in δ13C along different types of gradients in different geographical areas (for a good review see Marshall et al., 2007). 3.2.2. Sources of variation in terrestrial nitrogen Unlike δ13C, the photosynthetic pathway of a plant does not determine its δ15N signature. Instead the nitrogen signature of plants is controlled by the balance of atmospheric fixation, denitrification, and volatilization of ammonia within the soil (Shearer and Kohl, 1986; Ambrose, 1991; Evans, 2007). As a result, the disparity in nitrogen signatures of terrestrial plants is smaller than that for carbon and complicated by the fact that the mean isotopic signatures are not consistent. Aranibar et al. (2008) found the nitrogen signatures of C3 plants in Africa ranged between ~ 9.5‰ and ~ 3.5‰ while the nitrogen signatures of C4 plants ranged between ~ 6.0‰ and ~ 3.0‰. Not only do these ranges overlap, but the plant type with the greatest nitrogen signature was not consistent (C3 N C4 in 4 of 6 cases versus C3 b C4 in 2 of 6 cases). Ambrose (1991) and Shearer et al. (1983) highlight the large among-habitat variation in the δ15N signatures of plants ranging from +3.0‰ to +13.0‰. In general, nitrogen fixers have lower δ15N values than non-fixers (Deniro and Hastorf, 1985; Ambrose, 1991). Denitrification and volatilization of ammonia increase nitrogen enrichment in soils (Shearer and Kohl, 1986; Ambrose, 1991). Increased nutrient availability also increases nitrogen enrichment (Swap et al., Author's personal copy M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 3.2.3. Terrestrial baseline issues in the fossil record Using the modern mean isotopic signatures of C3 and C4 plants for trophic or diet analysis in the fossil record is problematic because it may not accurately reflect the mean isotopic values of the plants from the time and place which you are studying. This could be due to any number or combination of factors listed above. In particular, large shifts in the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere that have occurred over geologic time have impacted the δ13C values of past plants and animals. The change in atmospheric composition from the 1960s to the late 1990s resulted in a ~0.8‰ decrease in the δ13C of the atmosphere, a ~1.4‰ decrease in the δ13C signature of plants, and a ~1.0‰ decrease in δ13C signature of primary consumers such as wildebeest (Cerling and Harris, 1999). While the consequences of this change in CO2 concentration are potentially large and wide-ranging, this increase is small relative to the magnitude of past changes in the atmospheric concentration of CO2 (Royer et al., 2007). Long et al. (2005) and Cerling and Harris (1999) have explicitly addressed the need to correct for anthropogenically induced variation in atmospheric δ13C for samples which span ~130 years but it is also important to control for much larger natural variations in atmospheric δ13C over geologic timescales when working with fossil taxa. Furthermore, the mean isotopic value of C3 and C4 plants for a given geographical area or time period may not be sufficient to accurately resolve the diets and trophic positions of fossil animals because variation around those means decreases the signal to noise ratio and makes patterns more difficult to resolve as demonstrated in the first example food web (Fig. 1). Both of these problems could be overcome through the application of a multiple end member mixing model and an accurate estimate of isotopic baseline. Averaging over time and space of fossil deposits is another important concern. The transport and accumulation of animal remains by predators, scavengers, or rivers mix together animals from large geographic areas and long time spans (Behrensmeyer, 1991). Scavengers can transport remains several kilometers (Behrensmeyer, 1991) potentially mixing individuals from multiple habitats along numerous ecological gradients relevant to isotopic signature (e.g., openness, altitude, rainfall, nutrient availability, etc.). Modern estimates of time averaging for fluvial fossil deposits range from 102 to 104 years (Behrensmeyer, 1982). Astronomically driven climate change operates on the scale of 104–106 years (Hays et al., 1976) sometimes causing extreme change in less than 10,000 years (Berger, 1988). These changes in climatic regime could affect numerous factors regulating the isotopic signature of plants listed above (e.g., temperature, rainfall, soil moisture, and floral composition). This means that the isotopic baseline may differ not only from fossil locality to locality but from organism to organism within a single deposit. Whereas time averaging within deposits is problematic, the time averaging that occurs within organisms, due to the spatial and temporal integration of dietary signatures into bones, helps mitigate the variation seen on short timescales (e.g., seasonal or yearly) but will not be sufficient to alleviate problems associated with the mixing of individuals on millennial times scales. Often, interesting paleoecological questions involve comparison of diet or trophic characteristics of animals across habitats or geographic regions. In some cases it is necessary to combine specimens from different latitudes, altitudes, or habitats in order to reach acceptable sample sizes due to rareness of a particular taxon or a dearth of fossiliferous localities of a given age. Accounting for differences in baseline is crucial to avoid misinterpretations when comparing the isotopically derived diets or trophic positions of individuals from multiple locations (see example above) in the modern (Post et al., 2000; Post, 2002b). The isotopic baseline is likely variable enough to warrant separate measurements of isotopic baseline from multiple locations within a single time slice no matter how well resolved. One needs to account for differences in baseline in each new locality (even within the same time period) and each new time period (even within the same locality). It may be very difficult to account for isotopic baseline in deposits with large amounts of time averaging due to the difficulty of identifying a reliable proxy (see discussion of proxies below). If reliable proxies cannot be identified, the result will be uncertainty surrounding the signal to noise ratio of a given data set. When end member disparity is high, as is the case for the difference in δ13C between C3 and C4 plants in most terrestrial environments, and the observed change in isotopic signature is large (N1‰), signal strength can be assumed to be high and a moderate amount of noise introduced through baseline variation may be acceptable (Fig. 3). Where the signal to noise ratio is low, analyzing a large number of samples may be necessary to resolve trophic relationships. Where the observed change in isotopic signature is small (b1‰) and the amount of noise introduced through baseline variation is uncertain, there will be limited scope for resolving dietary and trophic differences. 3.3. Aquatic ecosystems Carbon isotopic signature cannot be reliably used to distinguish plants using C3, C4, or CAM photosynthetic pathways in aquatic systems as it is in terrestrial systems (Keeley and Sandquist, 1992). 16 14 End member disparity (‰) 2004). Plants with nutrient demands which exceed supply show little to no nitrogen discrimination (Marshall et al., 2007). These processes are influenced by numerous environmental variables. Hot, arid soils inhibit atmospheric N fixation (Bate, 1981; Granhall, 1981; Ambrose, 1991) and are characterized by more open nutrient cycling (Swap et al., 2004) resulting in higher δ15N values. Conversely, nitrogen signatures decrease with increasing rainfall (Shearer et al., 1978; Mariotti et al., 1980; Ambrose, 1991; Swap et al., 2004) and in cooler, moister soils due to increased N fixation and mineralization rates (Ambrose, 1991). High pH accelerates ammonia volatilization, increasing δ15N values. Soil δ15N also increases with increasing soil maturity or depth, increasing clay content relative to sand or silt (Shearer and Kohl, 1986; Vitousek et al., 1989; Ambrose, 1991), increasing altitude (Shearer et al., 1978; Mariotti et al., 1980; Ambrose, 1991; Swap et al., 2004), and increasing intensity of land use such as cattle grazing (Aranibar et al., 2008). These environmental factors may also affect Δn. The δ15N signature of herbivores decreases with increasing rainfall more than would be expected if the parallel pattern in plants was the sole cause (Heaton et al., 1986; Sealy et al., 1987; Ambrose, 1991) however the mechanism for this change in Δn remains unclear. 137 25 50 12 10 100 8 6 50 25 4 150 200 100 300 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 400 9 10 Noise (‰) Fig. 3. The percent error introduced into a two-end member mixing model (isoclines) as a function of the amount of analytical noise (stemming from failure to account for lipid content or variation in end member signatures) and the end member disparity. Percent error was calculated from 100 Δδ13C / (δ13Cbase1 × δ13Cbase2). Redrawn from Post et al., 2007. Author's personal copy 138 M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 Instead, the δ13C signatures of aquatic plants are dictated by differences in boundary layer effects between littoral and pelagic primary producers in lakes and estuaries (France, 1995a,b) or between pools and riffles in streams (Finlay et al., 2002). Due to the high diffusion resistance of CO2 in water, littoral plants are effectively using a finite pool of dissolved CO2 from within the boundary layer. Reduced turbulence surrounding littoral plants leads to thicker boundary layers, decreased discrimination, and enriched δ13C values (Keeley and Sandquist, 1992; France, 1995a) creating similar patterns in both streams (riffles versus pools) and estuaries (nearshore versus open water). The average enrichment of littoral primary producers relative to pelagic primary producers is approximately 7‰ in lakes and 6‰ in marine systems (France, 1995a). In aquatic systems the end member disparity in a given ecosystem, or the amount of littoral enrichment, is relatively constant (Fig. 4) while the absolute isotopic values of littoral and pelagic primary producers are highly variable among localities (Post, 2002b) and influenced by numerous physical and chemical factors (Table 2). This is in contrast to terrestrial ecosystems where the global mean isotopic signatures of C3 and C4 plants was constant and end member disparity was determined by observed variation around those means. Differences in isotopic baseline are generally more problematic in aquatic systems than in terrestrial systems. First, the end member disparity, or signal strength, is smaller in aquatic systems (~ 6–7‰) compared with terrestrial systems (~15‰). Second, the global ranges of carbon isotopic signature for littoral and pelagic plants overlap entirely, though the two end members do not overlap within most single lake ecosystems. For instance, Post (2002b) found that in any single lake the mean difference between littoral and pelagic was ~6–7‰, but that the δ13C signature varied between −14‰ and −28‰ for littoral producers and −20‰ and −34‰ for pelagic producers among lakes. This is also true of in nearshore marine settings where littoral producers varied between −5‰ and −29‰ with a mean value of −17‰ and pelagic producers varied between −17‰ and −31‰ with a mean of −22‰ (France, 1995a). Pelagic producers range between −10‰ and −31‰ in the open ocean (Degens et al., 1968). Finally, Vander Zanden and Rasmussen (1999), working in lakes in Canada, found evidence for a third isotopically distinct food source where the littoral baseline = −23.8‰, the pelagic baseline= −28.4‰, and the profundal baseline= −30.5‰. Aquatic ecosystems also show great variability in the isotopic baseline of nitrogen. The δ15N signature of freshwater particulate organic matter (POM) ranges globally between −2.5‰ and 13.6‰ (Post, 2002b; Gu, 2009). In the marine realm, δ15N values of POM range between approximately −3‰ and +10‰ with rare values of ≥20‰ (Owens, 1987). Post (2002b) shows the δ15N signatures of unionid mussels from Keuka Lake and Cross Lake in New York (Fig. 5). The δ15N -10 Littoral 13C base -15 -20 -25 -30 -35 100 Pelagic 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 Lake Area (ha) Fig. 4. The relationship between lake size and δ13C value for both pelagic and littoral primary producers from 25 lakes in eastern North America. Absolute isotopic values are extremely variable while disparity of littoral and primary producers remains relatively constant at ~ 4–8‰. Redrawn from Post, 2002b. Table 2 Factors known to affect the isotopic composition of the aquatic baselines. A factor is positively correlated with isotopic signature if an increase in that factor leads to an increase (enrichment) in δ15N or δ13C values. Factor Correlation Reference Aquatic carbon Size ? Growth rate (seasonality) Concentration DIC p C O 2 atmosphere Temperature − (Gearing et al., 1984; Rau et al., 1990; Wainwright and Fry, 1994) (Wienke and Fisher, 1990; Fry and Wainright, 1991) (Smith and Walker, 1980; Goericke and Fry, 1994) − (Fogel and Cifuentes, 1993) + + Light intensity + Lake size Depth Latitude Aquatic nitrogen Growth rate (seasonality) Concentration DIN Denitrification + − − (Sackett et al., 1965; Rau et al., 1991; MacLeod and Barton, 1998; Rullkötter, 2006; Michener and Kaufman, 2007) (Wienke and Fisher, 1990; MacLeod and Barton, 1998) (Post, 2002b; Bade et al., 2004; Gu, 2009) (Rau, 1978; Rau, 1980; Fry and Wainright, 1991) (Rau et al., 1982; Rau et al., 1990) + Gu (2009) − (Miyake and Wada, 1967; Wu et al., 1997) + Nitrification Nitrogen fixation Anthropogenic input ± − Temperature + Depth ± Connection to ocean + Latitude Light intensity Number of trophic levels Distance offshore/ salinity Lake size + + − (Owens, 1987; Bickert, 2006; Montoya, 2007; Gu, 2009) (Lehmann et al., 2004; Syvaranta et al., 2008) (Hoering and Ford, 1960; Delwiche and Steyn, 1970; Montoya, 2007) (Cabana and Rasmussen, 1996; Carpenter et al., 1998; Vander Zanden and Rasmussen, 1999; Jennings and Warr, 2003; Anderson and Cabana, 2005; Savage, 2005; Leavitt et al., 2006; Xie et al., 2007) (MacLeod and Barton, 1998; Jennings and Warr, 2003) (Mullin et al., 1984; Checkley and Entzeroth, 1985; Owens, 1987; Checkley and Miller, 1989; Altabet and Small, 1990; Montoya et al., 1992; Wu et al., 1997; Post, 2002b; Jennings and Warr, 2003) (Owens, 1987; Bilby et al., 1996; Ben-David et al., 2004; Michener and Kaufman, 2007) Gu (2009) MacLeod and Barton (1998) (Minagawa and Wada, 1984; Fry, 1988; Montoya, 1994; Wu et al., 1997) (Wu et al., 1997; Jennings and Warr, 2003) + − + (Gu et al., 1994; Post, 2002b; Gu et al., 2006; Gu, 2009) signatures of unionid mussels in Cross Lake are approximately 7‰ (roughly equal to two trophic levels) higher than those in Keuka Lake even though they are both primary consumers and occupy the same trophic level. Without accounting for baseline, the mussels in Cross Lake appear to be eating fish when compared to the mussels from Keuka Lake. This example highlights the importance of accounting for baseline differences when comparing among environments, even those within a single region or climatic regime. Furthermore, because of the difference in number of sources, source identity, and the amount of isotopic disparity between sources among aquatic systems mussels and snails may not always be the most suitable baseline proxies available. It may be necessary to take a few pilot samples in order to determine the best means of accounting for baseline in each system (Michener and Kaufman, 2007). It is also important to consider the amount of temporal and spatial variability your baseline proxies must account for given the organism of interest and natural history of each individual system (Post, 2002b). Author's personal copy M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 15 Unionid Mussels Projected Predator δ15N (‰) 13 ~1 trophic level 11 ~1 trophic level 9 7 Keuka Cross Fig. 5. δ15N values for unionid mussels from Keuka Lake and Cross Lake in New York State. A hypothetical predatory fish for Keuka Lake is projected ~ 3.4‰ (1 trophic level) above the filter feeding mussels yet remain ~ 3.4‰ below the mussels from Cross Lake. 3.3.1. Sources of variation in aquatic carbon The δ13C value of aquatic organic matter within the photic zone is dictated by the isotopic signature of the dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) pool and the extent to which that pool is utilized (Degens et al., 1968). The dominant form of DIC present in aquatic ecosystems is determined by pH and alkalinity (Stumm and Morgan, 1981). In ocean and stream settings, DIC is composed primarily of HCO− 3 (N90%) and dissolved CO2 (b10%) (Bickert, 2006). In lakes with lower pH, DIC can be composed entirely of CO2. Aquatic plants use mainly dissolved CO2 though some species have the ability to utilize HCO− 3 through active transport (Keeley and Sandquist, 1992; Schulte et al., 2003). Changes in the proportion of HCO− 3 and CO2 in the boundary layer, which is a function of the pH; total carbon level; photosynthetic rate and amount of turbulence can influence the use of HCO− 3 by plants (Keeley and Sandquist, 1992). There are three sources of aquatic DIC: dissolved atmospheric CO2, the products of terrestrial weathering, and remineralized organic matter. Two types of organic matter can be remineralized: in situ production which has little net affect on the δ13C value of DIC and introduced terrestrial material such as leaf litter or dissolved organic carbon (DOC) which can substantially alter the δ13C value of DIC, especially in small lakes (Post, 2002b). The higher the concentration of DIC, the more fully fractionation can be expressed and the more negative the δ13C values of organic matter become (Smith and Walker, 1980; Fogel and Cifuentes, 1993; Goericke and Fry, 1994). HCO− 3 derived from the terrestrial dissolution of limestone has as δ13C value of approximately +1‰, while dissolved CO2 has a δ13C value of − 7‰ when derived from the atmosphere and ≤−27‰ when derived from the respiration of organic matter (Keeley and Sandquist, 1992). Decreases in the δ13C of the atmosphere, such as those seen over the last 50 years (Cerling and Harris, 1999), have led to decreases in the δ13C of aqueous CO2 and of DIC overall (Nozaki et al., 1978; Druffel and Benavides, 1986; Bohm et al., 1996). There will be a time lag between the atmospheric change in δ13C and the equilibration of aquatic DIC depending on the turnover time of body of water, with equilibration being reached quickly in small basins (Bohm et al., 1996). This time lag could be even longer in littoral or infaunal species which are dependent on sediment turnover rates (Moens et al., 2002). Differences in relative contribution of each source determine the δ13C value of DIC among ecosystems (Wachniew and Rozanski, 1997). The relative proportion of each of these sources within a given ecosystem can be affected by physical factors such as basin hydrology and size. For example, the δ13C of both littoral and pelagic producers decrease with decreasing lake size (Post, 2002b; Bade et al., 2004). This difference likely reflects increased amount of primary production fuelled by re-mineralized terrestrial organic matter (e.g., leaf litter and DOC) in small lakes relative to large lakes (Post, 2002b). Water temperature determines the solubility of CO2 resulting in increased 139 CO2 concentrations at colder temperatures (Michener and Kaufman, 2007). The δ13C of DIC in the open ocean is fairly uniform at approximately 0‰ (Sackett and Moore, 1966; Sherr, 1982; Kroopnick, 1985). Unlike open ocean systems, the isotopic signatures of near shore and estuary systems are more variable and are affected by terrestrial inputs, in which the δ13C of DIC can vary between −5‰ and −10‰, and the presence of a littoral food web (Michener and Kaufman, 2007). The extent to which the DIC pool is utilized strongly impacts the isotopic signature of aquatic organic matter and the remaining DIC pool. In marine systems, the isotopic signatures of benthic macroalgaes and diatoms become less depleted due to CO2 limitation experienced during periods of rapid growth (Deuser, 1970; Wienke and Fisher, 1990; Fry and Wainright, 1991). Changes in the rate or extent of DIC utilization translate into changes in the isotopic signature of the DIC pool and aquatic primary producers. Photosynthetic depletion of CO2 during the day and respiratory addition at night leads to a steady enrichment of 12C through the course of the season. For example, the δ13C of DIC in the Colorado de Mesa pool, CA, USA, shifted from −15.5‰ in the early spring to − 21.2‰ in the late spring (Keeley and Sandquist, 1992). Marine systems show similar seasonal patterns with enriched δ13C values during the photosynthesis-dominated spring versus depleted values in the respirationdominated fall (Rullkötter, 2006) and enriched values in the dry season relative to depleted rainy season values which are due to increased delivery of freshwater and terrestrial organics (Simenstad and Wissmar, 1985; Conkright and Sackett, 1986). The seasonal range of phytoplankton δ13C values can be as high as 6‰, from − 19‰ to −25‰ (Wainwright and Fry, 1994). Factors related to growth rates, such as temperature, light, nutrient availability, and latitude, also affect the δ13C values of plants and the remaining DIC pool. Low rates of primary productivity in low nutrient, or oligotrophic, lakes allow ample time for replacement of CO2 into the boundary layer of aquatic plants and lead to depleted δ13C values in aquatic plants (Keeley and Sandquist, 1992). In eutrophic settings where rates of productivity are extremely high, discrimination against 13 C may be reduced when diffusion cannot replace CO2 fast enough. However, high carbon levels in eutrophic lakes may offset this process (Keeley and Sandquist, 1992). High temperatures are positively correlated with 13C enriched plants in both freshwater (MacLeod and Barton, 1998) and marine (Sackett et al., 1965) settings. Increased light intensity has been shown to correlate with 13C enriched values of macroalgaes (Wienke and Fisher, 1990; MacLeod and Barton, 1998). High latitude primary producers show depleted δ13C values relative to low latitude producers likely due to some combination of increased dissolved CO2 concentration, decreased light intensity, availability of trace elements, and decreased growth rates (Rau et al., 1982; Rau et al., 1990). The δ13C value of phytoplankton is affected by physical factors that impact fractionation or limit phytoplankton access to certain DIC pools. Temperature dictates the δ13C of organic matter by influencing fractionation such that phytoplankton have more depleted values at lower temperatures (e.g., −20‰ to −22‰ temperate phytoplankton and −26‰ arctic phytoplankton) (Rau et al., 1991). Species specific differences in cell geometry, membrane permeability, and potentially even cell size affect the amount of 13C discrimination exhibited by phytoplankton (Gearing et al., 1984; Rau et al., 1990; Wainwright and Fry, 1994; Popp et al., 1998; Burkhardt et al., 1999). Differences in the species composition between water masses (Fontugne and Duplessy, 1978) or seasonally within a water mass (Gearing et al., 1984) translate into differences in the δ13C signature of phytoplankton. The δ13C signatures of producers and consumers reflect changes in the dominant DIC source with depth. Isotopic signatures are increasingly depleted with increasing depth both in stratified lakes (Rau, 1978; Rau, 1980; Vander Zanden and Rasmussen, 1999) and in marine settings (Fry and Wainright, 1991). Author's personal copy 140 M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 Aquatic organisms may feed on detritus or use forms of dissolved organic carbon (DOC). Though the DOC pool is very large, containing between 90 and 95% of all carbon in water (Benner, 2002), it typically makes up a very small portion of an organism's diet, on the order of 1– 10% (Ferguson, 1982). It is difficult to impossible for many organisms to utilize DOC including large organisms due to surface area to volume constraints, freshwater organisms since DOC uptake is a sodium dependent process (Wright and Manahan, 1989), and arthropods due to their chitinous exoskeleton (Anderson and Stephens, 1969). DOC uptake may constitute a significant portion of the diets of small organisms or those with large surface area to volume ratios. Larval forms of many invertebrates can derive as much as 100% of their dietary needs from dissolved organic matter (Shilling and Manahan, 1990). Globally, open marine DOC ranges over approximately 4‰, from −19.6‰ to −23.6‰ (Bauer, 2002). In a single region marine DOC is fairly constant seasonally and over short distances (Fry et al., 1998). The δ13C signature of marine DOC is negatively correlated with salinity due to the input of depleted terrestrial material from freshwater (Bauer, 2002). This results in higher variability of marine DOC near shore which range from −20‰ to −29‰ (Bauer, 2002) and within estuaries which range between − 24.6‰ and − 31.9‰ (Raymond and Bauer, 2001). The bulk DOC pool that gets measured is defined operationally and is therefore extremely heterogeneous with respect to age and compound identity, only ~12–15% of which has been characterized chemically (Benner, 2002). Since we know relatively little about what makes up the DOC pool and which constituents organisms are using, there may be more consistent bias in the carbon isotopic signature than the numbers quoted above suggest. 3.3.2. Sources of variation in aquatic nitrogen The δ15N value of aquatic organic matter from the photic zone is determined by the isotopic signatures of the various sources of dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN), both autochthonous and allochthonous, and the extent to which the pool is utilized (Wada, 1980; Altabet et al., 1991; Voss et al., 1996). Allochthonous sources of DIN included riverine input (often incorporating enriched agricultural NH3) and N2 fixation (Jennings and Warr, 2003). Fixed nitrogen has a depleted δ15N signature (0 to + 2‰) (Hoering and Ford, 1960; Delwiche and Steyn, 1970; Brandes and Devol, 2002). Allochthonous DIN is made up of the by-products of remineralized organic matter. Nitrification and denitrification play an important role in influencing the isotopic composition of DIN (Gu, 2009). Nitrification may result in either enriched or depleted DIN depending on which by-products are assimilated by phytoplankton (Lehmann et al., 2004; Syvaranta et al., 2008) while denitrification results in enriched DIN (Owens, 1987). The allochthonous sources are linked to autochthonous processes. For instance, the depleted organic matter formed by nitrogen fixation must pass through the nitrification pathway (remineralized NH+ 4 ) in order to affect the δ15N signature of nitrate (Montoya, 2007) which is the dominant from of DIN in the oceans (Liu and Kaplan, 1989; Sigman et al., 1997; Sigman et al., 2000). In some systems the anaerobic oxidation of ammonium (anammox) may also play a small role in influencing the isotopic composition of DIN (Bickert, 2006). Remineralization can transform the products of in situ productivity or imported organic matter. In lakes and streams, imported organic matter commonly has a terrestrial isotopic signature, but imported marine organic matter can be common in lakes with connections to the ocean or populations of anadramous fish (Owens, 1987; Bilby et al., 1996; Ben-David et al., 2004; Walters et al., 2009). The relative contribution of these sources determines the δ15N value of DIN. Numerous factors (Table 2) affect which of the above processes are dominant in a given system. Lake size has a considerable impact on the isotopic composition of the littoral baseline in lakes (Post, 2002b) such that small lakes are 3.1‰ depleted relative to medium-size lakes and 3.7‰ more depleted than large lakes (Gu, 2009). The reduced surface area to volume ratio in large lakes decreases the importance of the terrestrial contribution relative to small lakes (Gu et al., 1994; Post, 2002b; Gu et al., 2006). There may also be an increased contribution of nitrogen fixing producers in small lakes (Gu et al., 1994, 2006). Differences in the input of anthropogenic nitrogen between lakes can vary greatly (Carpenter et al., 1998; Anderson and Cabana, 2005; Savage, 2005; Vander Zanden et al., 2005; Leavitt et al., 2006; Xie et al., 2007). Cabana and Rasmussen (1996) showed that 68% of the observed difference in δ15N value among unionid mussels could be explained by differences in the density of human population in the watershed. The relative importance of terrestrial input also plays a role in determining the isotopic signature in marine systems. The concentrations of isotopically enriched riverine ammonia and nitrate are negatively correlated with salinity (Vanbennekom and Wetsteijn, 1990) and salinity is negatively correlated with marine δ15N (Jennings and Warr, 2003), especially in estuaries. Even in the fully saline open ocean, the δ15N signatures of NO− 3 and suspended organic matter (SPOM) are negatively correlated with distance from shore (Wu et al., 1997). In lakes there is a positive relationship between the δ15N signature of littoral producers and the log of lake depth (Post, 2002b). This is due to the predominance of denitrification and ammonification in the suboxic profundal zones of stratified lakes and marine settings which results in an enriched inorganic nitrogen pool (Wada and Hattori, 1978; Macko and Estep, 1984; Owens, 1987; Vander Zanden and Rasmussen, 1999). The same process operates in suboxic marine bottom waters where water column denitrification leads to pronounced fractionation (Bickert, 2006; Montoya, 2007). In addition, the top of the water column becomes depleted due to the remineralisation and assimilation of depleted NH3 at the surface (Mullin et al., 1984; Checkley and Miller, 1989) and deeper waters become enriched due to the rapid sinking of enriched fecal pellets and detritus to the seafloor (Checkley and Entzeroth, 1985; Altabet and Small, 1990; Montoya et al., 1992). The more trophic steps within an ecosystem, the more enriched the fecal pellets of the animals at the top trophic levels (Minagawa and Wada, 1984; Fry, 1988; Montoya, 1994). However, in oxic marine settings or areas of coastal upwelling this trend is reversed, with bottom waters becoming increasingly depleted with depth as the concentration of NO− 3 increases (Wu et al., 1997; Jennings and Warr, 2003). These high concentrations of NO− 3 are the product of remineralized depleted ammonia, which occurs in situ in oxic settings or is delivered from the deep ocean through upwelling (Owens, 1987; Wu et al., 1997; Jennings and Warr, 2003). The amount of isotopic discrimination exhibited by phytoplankton is dictated by species composition (Wada and Hattori, 1978; Montoya, 1994; Montoya, 2007), the growth rate of the phytoplankton community (Gu, 2009), and the extent to which the DIN pool is used (Miyake and Wada, 1967; Wu et al., 1997). In marine settings there is an inverse relationship between the δ15N value of particulate organic matter (POM) and the concentration of DIN (Miyake and Wada, 1967; Wu et al., 1997). In lakes, the relationship between DIN concentration and δ15N of POM is unclear with evidence supporting a positive correlation, a negative correlation, and no clear relationship (Gu, 2009 and references therein). This discrepancy arises from the fact that most marine systems are nitrogen limited whereas freshwater systems are predominately phosphorous limited (Elser et al., 1990; Gu, 2009). Nitrogen limitation is important because the growth rate of phytoplankton also influences their fractionation of nitrogen. Faster growth leads to greater utilization of the DIN pool, decreased fractionation, and enriched δ15N signatures (Wada and Hattori, 1978; Owens, 1987; Gu, 2009). Where nitrogen is limiting, an increase in the concentration of DIN will trigger higher rates of productivity. These opposing processes are further complicated by the unpredictable prevalence of nitrogen fixing bacteria in some eutrophic and oligotrophic systems (Estep and Vigg, 1985; Gu et al., 1996, 2006; Montoya, 2007). The mean seasonal δ15N of POM is Author's personal copy M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 3.3.3. Aquatic baseline issues in the fossil record The amplitude of seasonal variation in the isotopic composition of aquatic primary producers is relatively well known in modern environments. In modern isotopic studies, researchers use long lived organisms as baseline proxy taxa because they represent a weighted average of the isotopic values of the preceding months. This methodology avoids the baseline issues that would arise when comparing a long lived consumer of interest to an instantaneous snapshot of the isotopic values garnered from short lived primary producers at the base of the food web (Cabana and Rasmussen, 1996; Post, 2002b). This method will serve as a viable solution in the fossil record as well provided that reliable baseline proxy taxa be identified and utilized. In the fossil record, any estimate of the isotopic signature of an organism must be derived from hard parts such as shells or bones. The organic components of these hard parts integrate isotopic compositions over a much longer time frame than soft tissues, resulting in an isotopic signal that can represent years rather than months of the feeding ecology of the organism. To effectively choose baseline proxies for studies conducted in the fossil record one needs to know that nature of isotopic variation within aquatic ecosystems on a year to year or decadal scale. The amplitude of yearly variation for δ13C, as high as 6‰ (Wainwright and Fry, 1994), is large relative to the end member disparity in a given ecosystem, in lakes 6–7‰ (France, 1995b; Post, 2002b). This large amount of variability could be accounted for using baseline proxies from time averaged assemblages if the range and value of baseline isotopic signatures are consistent from year to year. In many cases, a small amount of time averaging smoothes out short term variability thus decreasing noise and allowing the clear identification of trends. If, however, the seasonal variability is not consistent from year to year, the time averaging inherent in shells and deposits will mask valuable signal. There is a dearth of modern data that spans multiple years so it is impossible to say how this amplitude of seasonal or yearly variation translates into year to year variation. Does the isotopic composition of aquatic producers move within the same ~6‰ range every year? Or do the absolute values of each year's range change dramatically? Fig. 6 shows the nitrogen and carbon isotopic signatures for baseline proxy organisms (the grazing snail L. littorea and filter feeding mussel G. dessimus) collected from the a single field locality within Long Island Sound at Milford, CT over the course of four years. This data shows a 6‰ shift between late summer values of baseline proxies from consecutive years (August 2007 and July 2008) which is propagated through the food web to higher trophic levels like the predatory naticid gastropod N. duplicata. These data point to potentially problematic amount of year to year variability in the isotopic composition of the DIC pool in estuarine systems such as Long Island Sound. Less variable offshore environments may show more amenable values of baseline variation. There is a critical need to conduct more modern and sub-fossil studies to document the magnitude of year to year variation at time periods long enough to address issues related to time-averaging in marine shell beds. Time averaging is typically minor in lacustrine deposits where it can range between months and 103 years, but typically ranges between 1 and 10 years (Cohen, 2003). Time averaging is much more severe in marine settings. For example, Wood et al. (2006) found bivalve shells at the surface that ranged in age from 0 to 2808 years old in modern sediments from the coast of Brazil. Fossilized assemblages of marine bivalves also show ranges in age on the scale of thousands of years regardless of the resolution of sampling intensity (Kowalewski et al., 1998). Another troubling aspect of time averaging is what Kowalewski et al. (1998) termed “cryptic time averaging”, or differences in the amount of time averaging exhibited by deposits that seemingly formed via identical geologic or environmental processes. This amount of age variability within a single unit could create a large problem when trying to use proxy taxa to estimate baseline isotopic composition. For proxy taxa to serve as a reliable approximation of baseline, they must faithfully represent the isotopic composition of the primary producers growing in the place and time that the organism of interest was growing. If the proxy organisms are hundreds or thousands of years older or younger than the organism of interest, their isotopic compositions may not be 15 2006 2007 2008 2009 14.5 Neverita 14 13.5 Neverita 13 Littoral 12.5 12 Pelagic δ15N (‰) significantly higher in eutrophic lakes (7.3‰) than in oligotrophic lakes (4.6‰), despite high amounts of variability (Gu, 2009). This is the opposite of marine systems where oligotrophic seas have enriched δ15N values compared to eutrophic seas due to differences in nitrogen recycling (Saino and Hattori, 1980; Minagawa and Wada, 1984; Checkley and Entzeroth, 1985). Seasonality affects species composition, growth rate, and the extent of DIN utilization simultaneously. Near Woods Hole, MA, the δ15N of POM varies between 7.5‰ and 12‰ over the course of the year, a range of 4.5‰ (Wainwright and Fry, 1994). Further offshore, near Georges Bank there was markedly less seasonal variability in δ15N signature (Wainwright and Fry, 1994). In a survey of published seasonal ranges for 36 lakes, Gu (2009) found seasonal amplitude (or the difference between the maximum δ15N signature and the minimum δ15N signature for an annual cycle) varied between 1.4‰ and 25.0‰. The value of the seasonal minimum can be controlled by nitrogen fixing bacteria (Gu, 2009), uptake of isotopically light DIN from external loading (Ostrom et al., 1998; Gu, 2009), or in situ nitrification (Syvaranta et al., 2008; Gu, 2009; Hadas et al., 2009). The value of the seasonal maximum is determined by high productivity or higher starting DIN isotopic composition (Gu, 2009). The seasonal variability in eutrophic lakes is large relative to that in oligotrophic lakes because a larger proportion of the POM in oligotrophic lakes is non-living organics so a large shift in the source of non-living organic particulates would be necessary to get a large seasonal shift in an oligotrophic setting (Gu, 2009). Additional physical factors such as temperature, light, and latitude affect the δ15N signature of primary producers. Temperature is positively correlated with δ15N values for littoral producers in lakes (MacLeod and Barton, 1998) and phytoplankton in marine settings (Jennings and Warr, 2003). Increased light conditions also lead to enriched δ15N values (MacLeod and Barton, 1998). Gu (2009) reported a slight, though not significant, increase in the δ15N composition of lakes with increasing latitude. However, the amplitude of seasonal variability increases with latitude due to the increased seasonality of factors like radiation and temperature at higher latitudes (Gu, 2009). 141 11.5 11 10.5 -20 -18 -16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 10 δ13C (‰) Fig. 6. Bi plot with δ13C values on the x-axis and δ15N values on the y-axis showing the pelagic baseline proxy Guekensia dessima (circles) and littoral baseline proxy Littorina littorea (squares) collected live from Long Island Sound each summer from 2006 to 2009 and predatory gastropods Neverita dulplicata (diamonds) collected live during the summers of 2007 and 2008. Author's personal copy M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 a 1 i ii iii iv Alpha 0.75 0.5 0.25 0 Individual Baselines Multi-Year Baseline b 3.5 i ii iii iv 3 Trophic Position applicable to the question, depending on the stability of that isotopic baseline over a thousand year long span. However, the same time averaged deposits may offer the best scenario in which to test the variability of baseline signatures on millennial timescales. Large accumulations of shells dated using amino acid racemization (e.g., Flessa et al., 1993; Kowalewski et al., 1998; Krause et al., 2010) provide the opportunity to target proxy taxa of known ages to examine the variability of isotopic signatures. Pooling measurements of baseline from multiple years before calculating trophic position can lead to change in either the absolute value of estimated trophic position or the variation (Fig. 7b and c). The dietary fraction (α) and trophic position of the predatory naticid gastropod N. dulplicata were calculated for two samples collected from Long Island Sound: 1) in August of 2007, n = 10 specimens; and 2) in August of 2008, n = 10 specimens. First, we estimated the mean and standard deviation of (α), or the proportion of the organism's diet derived from the pelagic food web, for each specimen using the baseline estimate of its respective year. The mean and standard deviation of alpha were plotted for 2007 specimens (Fig. 7a, i), and 2008 specimens (Fig. 7a, ii). The baseline estimates for the years 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009 were averaged together to create a multi-year baseline which we then used to recalculate alpha. The recalculated mean and standard deviation of alpha were plotted for all specimens (Fig. 7a, iii), and for just those from 2008 (Fig. 7a, iv). This process was repeated for trophic position (Fig. 7b) with the mean and standard deviations plotted for 2007 specimens (Fig. 7b, i), 2008 specimens (Fig. 7b, ii), all specimens using the multi-year baseline (Fig. 7b, iii), and just the 2008 specimens using the multiyear baseline (Fig. 7b, iv). Despite the observed biogeochemical shifts in the absolute values of δ13C and δ15N between snails collected in 2007 versus those collected in 2008 (Fig. 6), the mean and variation in dietary proportion and trophic positions for the two years are nearly identical (Fig. 7 i and ii). Increasing the number of years over which both taxa of interest and baseline proxies span (Fig. 7 iii) substantially increases the variation of observed dietary proportions and trophic positions. This range of estimated trophic positions changed from between 1.81 and 2.56 using the baseline from the appropriate time interval to between 1.68 and 3.03 using the multi-year baseline. While this amount of variability may be acceptable in some situations, it would completely obscure changes in degree of trophic omnivory such as those described by Kling et al. (1992) where the differences between lakes were just slightly larger than 1‰. The range in estimates of dietary proportion changed from 0 to 58% pelagic using the baseline from the appropriate time interval to between 0% and 97% pelagic using the multi-year baseline. The added variation reduces confidence in our ability to resolve the true trophic position or dietary proportion of fossil organisms. Using baseline estimated from multiple years to calculate trophic position or dietary proportion for organisms from just one year (2008) artificially increased the mean (Fig. 7, iv). For dietary proportion, the mean changed from 0.24 to 0.82 while mean trophic position changed from 2.27 to 2.71. We then calculated trophic position using several multiple-year baselines in which years were added sequentially (Fig. 7c). The absolute value of the change in trophic position, between the original value using the proper baseline and those calculated using a 2 year, 3 year, 4 year, and mismatched single year baseline are plotted with error bars representing their standard deviation. The magnitude and direction of the error introduced by applying multiple year baselines varies depending on the position of the year in question within the total range of observed values. For example, the error in estimates of trophic position increases as time averaging increases for snails from 2008 (Fig. 7c, gray squares) with the mismatched baseline yielding the highest error. The error for snails from 2007 (Fig. 7c, black squares) is highest at low levels of time averaging because the true baseline values for 2007 happen to be similar to the four year mean. This artificial time 2.5 2 1.5 1 c 1 Change in Trophic Position 142 Individual Baselines 2 yr 3 yr Multi-Year Baseline 4 yr Mismatch 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Fig. 7. Mean and standard deviation of parameter estimates for the predatory naticid gastropod Neverita dulplicata collected live from Long Island Sound in August 2007 (n = 10 specimens) and July 2008 (n = 10 specimens). a: α, or dietary fraction and b: trophic position— i: Using the 2007 baseline to for the snails collected in 2007 (black squares). ii: Using the 2008 baseline for the snails collected in 2008 (gray squares). iii: Using a pooled 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009 baseline for all snails (black circles). iv: Using the pooled 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009 baseline for just the 2008 snails (gray circles). c: absolute value of the difference between the original trophic position estimate and the revised value calculated using averaged multi-year (2, 3, or 4 years) or mismatched single-year baselines. Snails collected in 2008 = gray square, snails collected in 2007 = black squares. Error bars represent standard deviation of trophic position, where not visible error bars are smaller than the square. Trophic fractionation assumed to be 3.4‰ in all cases. averaging scenario is similar to the fossil record where there may be a limited number of specimens of the organism of interest (predator) and many specimens of the baseline proxy taxa. However, this artificial time averaging scenario spans only four years whereas the actual time averaging of fossil deposits are likely to span several hundred years. In such cases, the observed shift in mean trophic position may be either positive or negative. Until more data on the nature of baseline variation on millennial time scales is available, researchers should use extreme Author's personal copy M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 caution when using baseline proxy taxa to apply stable isotopic trophic methods in time averaged marine systems. Furthermore, averages of isotopic baseline derived from modern systems are not suitable for use in calculating diets or trophic positions in the fossil record. There are several sources of long-term variation in the isotopic composition of lakes and oceans that play out over geologic timescales. These include changes in the atmosphere, such as changing partial pressure of CO2 (Long et al., 2005); changes in the ocean, such as changing rates of ocean–atmosphere exchange controlled by water temperature or ocean circulation patterns (Shackleton, 1977; Broecker, 1982; Sarnethein et al., 1994; Bickert and Mackensen, 2003), changing rates of organic matter burial, changing net oceanic productivity (Berger and Vincent, 1986); and changes in the global carbon cycle, such as changing weathering rates on land and changing fluxes of gas from volcanic eruptions (Holser, 1997). These changes can have massive impacts on the isotopic composition and operate on timescales from 101 to 105 years or more. The presence of parasequences, or shallowing upward strata bounded by flooding surfaces, within aquatic deposits has important implications for the nature of changing isotopic baselines. In lacustrine environments, cycles of lake deepening and drying out can be driven by Milankovitch climatic variations (e.g., Olsen, 1986, 1990) and may result in substantial changes to lake size. In marine deposits, parasequence formation is driven by sea level fluctuations and leads to the formation of sequences (Van Wagoner et al., 1988). This means that moving stratigraphically up or down within a single core or outcrop, several of the important driving factors in determining baseline isotopic composition are changing simultaneously. In marine settings, moving through parasequences means changes in depth. But as one moves through sequences, depth and distance from shore are changing in tandem (Van Wagoner et al., 1988). Changes in depth and distance from shore may correlate with additional changes in terrestrial input of DIC and DIN, salinity, presence of bottom water oxygen which controls remineralisation pathways, and light. In lacustrine settings, lake size, depth, position in the littoral/profundal continuum, and presence or absence of stratification may be changing concurrently as large, rift basin lakes periodically dry out (Olsen, 1986). These changes highlight the importance of measuring baseline independently for each stratigraphic horizon at which specimens of target species are collected and analyzed. 3.4. Diagenesis Diagenesis, as it affects the indigeneity of isotopic signatures, is of great concern when working with fossilized organisms. To date, the work in this area has centered on amino acid specific isotopic analysis of molluscs (Serban et al., 1988; Macko et al., 1991; Engel et al., 1994; Qian et al., 1995) and vertebrates (Ostrom et al., 1990, 1994). These authors have compared the stable isotope values of the different enantiomers of various amino acids in order to test for isotopic contamination. Where the isotopic compositions of both enantiomers match, the signature is deemed indigenous. Where the isotopic value of the parent enantiomer, or that formed only in living tissues, does not match the isotopic value of the daughter enantiomer, the sample has likely been contaminated. In spite of these concerns, indigenous signals are demonstrated to have been preserved for long periods of time. For example, shell matrix proteins that make up the organic matrix of mollusk shells can become encased within mineral crystals (Crenshaw, 1980). Mineral encased proteins can be preserved in shells as old as Middle Miocene (Hare and Abelson, 1968). 3.5. Guidelines for estimating baseline It is important to account for baseline in some manner when constructing food webs or calculating trophic positions and diet. This 143 can be done in a few ways: 1) by directly measuring carbon and nitrogen signatures of primary producers (Aurioles-Gamboa et al., 2009), 2) by measuring the carbon and nitrogen signatures of proxy organisms (Cabana and Rasmussen, 1996; Post, 2002b), or 3) by measuring the δ15N signature of a phylogenetically related or ecologically similar organism whose feeding ecology is well constrained (Post, 2003). Measuring the primary producers directly can be difficult or impossible in the fossil record and will yield only a brief snapshot of baseline due to seasonal changes in isotopic signature and the shorter turnover rates of primary producers relative to secondary consumers (Post, 2002b; Gu, 2009). Good proxy taxa are primary consumers which derive as much of their energy as possible from a single food source, and integrate nutrients into their tissues over time scales comparable to secondary consumers of interest (Cabana and Rasmussen, 1996; Vander Zanden et al., 1999; Post, 2002b). Cabana and Rasmussen (1996) and Post (2002b) have suggested using filterfeeding mussels as a proxy for the base of the pelagic food web and surface-grazing snails as a proxy for the base of the littoral food web in aquatic systems. These taxa are good temporal integrators and adequately reflect the spatial variability of the primary producers on which they feed in both lacustrine (Post, 2002b) and marine systems (Fig. 6). This isotopic congruence makes the proxy method good for food web reconstructions involving multiple, phylogenetically diverse taxa or those comparing food webs from different ecosystems, habitats, or localities. Obligate browsers or grazers could potentially serve as appropriate terrestrial proxy taxa, but this method needs further testing in terrestrial systems. If, however, there is only a single organism of interest one may use the isotopic signatures of another closely related population from the same location to account for baseline differences (option 3 above). Examples include Kling et al.'s (1992) work on copepods and Post's (2003) work on largemouth bass. Post (2003) used a single cohort of largemouth bass from a single lake to evaluate trophic position shifts based on the δ15N signatures of piscivorous versus non-piscivorous individuals. This was possible because, aside from the presence or absence of fish, the diets of the piscivorous and non-piscivorous individuals were virtually identical. Changes in the δ15N signature of largemouth bass could therefore reliably be interpreted as variation in Δn or trophic position. Because variation in Δn is normally distributed, Post (2003) was able to look for individuals that deviated from that normal distribution and identify those with a higher trophic position. This method will not work properly where no phylogenetically or functionally similar taxon or population is available, where the diet of the comparison taxon is substantially different or not well constrained, or where research questions dictate the comparison of multiple functionally or phylogenetically unrelated taxa (e.g., Post et al., 2000). Regardless of method, the isotopic baseline needs to be accounted for within each location and each time period where fossils are collected due to the myriad of factors controlling isotopic signature listed above. The natural history of the system of interest will dictate the method which is most suitable and no one method is appropriate in all cases. Time averaging affects each of these methods for estimating baseline. Measuring baseline using proxy taxa (option 2) in time averaged deposits will create a baseline estimate with a large amount of variation because of the high number of proxy taxa spanning potentially long time intervals. This will add error to the estimates of trophic position (Fig. 7). However, this method may be preferable to using an ecologically or phylogenetically related taxon (option 3) when the organism of interest and its relative are rare within the deposit. When the probability of specimen preservation is low, resulting in rare taxa, the chances of multiple specimens of rare taxa from a single time being preserved are low. If this is the case, the baseline information represented by the related taxon may be incorrect and not relevant to the taxon of interest (Fig. 7c, mismatch). Common taxa represent the baseline conditions during the life of the target organism and also that of additional time slices. Where both the Author's personal copy 144 M.M. Casey, D.M. Post / Earth-Science Reviews 106 (2011) 131–148 target organism and the related taxon are common components of the assemblage, option 3 will be appropriate but will have the same high variation as option 2. Collecting and analyzing as many target organisms as possible may provide a way to minimize this discrepancy in amount of time averaging. The most conservative way of avoiding the errors caused by applying time averaged baselines would be to choose only localities with exceptional preservation for analysis, thus minimizing or entirely eliminating time averaging. Archeological shell middens (Bernstein, 2002) and catastrophic death accumulations, such as vertebrate ashfall deposits (Mead, 2000), offer snapshots of fossilized communities that formed over relatively short time periods (1+ years to hours, respectively), thus avoiding the problems of long-term time averaging. Extensively dated fossil collections, like those produced using amino acid racemization dating techniques (e.g., Krause et al., 2010), may supply an additional means of overcoming the problems of time averaging by providing important information regarding the amount of time averaging present and the ages of individual specimens. Until more is known about the nature of baseline variation over time scales comparable to that of time averaging (hundreds to thousands of years), the types of questions that can be addressed or the scope of inferences that can be made in typical, time averaged deposits may be limited due to the increased uncertainty surrounding fossil estimates of trophic position and diet. This is not to say that stable isotopic methods will never be useful in these instances, just that the types of questions that can be answered with these methods will be restricted. Questions related to trophic level, e.g., whether an organism is a predator or an herbivore, require less isotopic resolution than questions of trophic position, such as those related to degree of omnivory. The other alternative is seeking deposits in which time averaging is minimized, or the amount of time averaging is known. 4. Conclusions There are a number of factors that combine to determine the stable isotopic composition of fossil animals including diet, trophic position, lipid content, diet to tissue effects, isotopic routing, diagenetic alteration, and isotopic baseline. No single factor can be identified as most important and failure to account for any of these factors may result in discrepancies wrongly attributed to changes in baseline or unreliable findings depending on the natural history of the system and the nature of the scientific question posed. Baseline concerns are of particular importance when comparing the trophic position of organisms from different locations or times. Differences in the isotopic signature of the baseline cause disagreement between the raw δ15N value of an animal and its relative trophic position, so an animal with a lower δ15N value may still occupy a higher trophic position. Based on what is known about the causes of baseline variation in modern terrestrial (Table 1) and aquatic (Table 2) environments, factors that change in concert with sequence stratigraphy (e.g., depth, distance from shore, and lake size) or astronomical climate forcing (e.g., rainfall, temperature, and humidity) are of the greatest concern in the fossil record. Failure to account for baseline results in increased variability and adds to our uncertainty regarding the true trophic position or diet of a fossil organism. This error may be acceptable when expected isotopic differences are large due to the scale of the animal's change in behavior or the intensity of the signal strength. The amount of uncertainty introduced by baseline may be problematic where the signal strength is low (e.g., in aquatic systems), where the observed isotopic shift is small (≥ 1‰), or where the anticipated behavioral change is small (e.g., a 10% shift in dietary composition versus a 50% shift in dietary composition or examining changes in the degree of trophic omnivory). The most practical way to account for isotopic baseline is by measuring the isotopic carbon and nitrogen signatures of additional taxa from the same deposit. These taxa should have well constrained diets and be ecologically similar to the organism of interest in order to serve as a good baseline proxy. Stable isotope methods are an extremely powerful tool for estimating diet or trophic position, determining food chain length, and resolving energy flow through ecosystems. The application of these methods in the fossil record provides an opportunity to reconstruct the diet and trophic position of extinct animals (Ostrom et al., 1993) or evaluate various aspects of trophic ecology before anthropogenic disturbance or in response to rapid climate change (Fox-Dobbs et al., 2008). Given the numerous factors that affect the value of isotopic baseline, it is extremely important to account for the resultant differences in baseline by incorporating estimates of baseline into multiple end member mixing models. Our review highlights gaps in our knowledge which represent critical research needs that must be addressed before baseline proxies and mixing models can be reliably applied in the fossil record. Foremost amongst these is the need to constrain the magnitude of temporal variation in baseline on timescales relevant to time averaging (i.e., hundreds to thousands of years). Such data will necessarily have to come from extensive measurement of fossil and sub-fossil proxy taxa such as mussel or snail shells. Long term data on baseline variation from terrestrial, lacustrine, and marine ecosystems are required before we can properly evaluate different methods of accounting for baseline in time averaged fossil assemblages. Acknowledgements We would like to thank Gerry Olack for laboratory assistance; Daniel Casey, Jo Wolfe, Úna Farrell and Emily Einstein for help with field collecting; the Geological Society of America Graduate Student Research Grant and the Paleontological Society Richard Osgood Student Research Award for funding this research; and Erik Sperling, Marc Laflamme, Adam Behlke, Donald Phillips, and one anonymous reviewer for thoughtful comments. 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