SeamlessEarthSystemPredic1on/
Representa1onofScaleInterac1ons
BreakoutGroup1
Howdidwegethere?
•  Advancesinourscien4ficunderstanding
•  Improvementsofmodern
computerarchitectures
•  Increasesinsophis4catedobserva4ons
Scien1ficUnderstanding
•  Improvementsintherepresenta4onofunresolvedprocesses.
Baueretal.[2015]
Scien1ficUnderstanding
•  Improvementsintherepresenta4onofunresolvedprocesses.
Baueretal.[2015]
Scien1ficUnderstanding
•  Also,theinclusionofaddi4onalEarthsystemcomponents.
hFps://www2.ucar.edu/climate/faq
Computa1onalAdvancements
Giga-Flops
•  Fasterandfastercomputers.
hFps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TOP500
Computa1onalAdvancements
•  Fasterandfastercomputers–Allowsforhigherresolu4on
Computa1onalAdvancements
•  Moreefficientscien4ficcodesandsoRwareengineering.
Baueretal.[2015]
EnhancedObserva1ons
•  Moreandimprovedobserva4ons
WMO-SeamlessPredic1onoftheEarthSystem:fromMinutestoMonths
Whatdoesthismean?
•  Improvedscaleinterac4ons
Baueretal.[2015]
Whatdoesthismean?
•  Improvedscaleinterac4ons
WMO
Whatdoesthismean?
•  Improvedscaleinterac4ons:hFps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cNyRYdjt-Q
Wehneretal.[2014]
Thefuture?
Whatarethemainstepstowardsseamlessenvironmental
predic4ons?
Whatarethemainprocesstobetackled?
Whatarerequirementsofoberva4onaldata?
Howcandevelopingcountriescontributetoseamless
predic4ons?
…...…...….....
Roadmap!
•  Createroadmaptowardsseamlessenvironmental
predic4ons.
•  Twofuture4mesteps:
-2020
-2030
High
resolution
modelling
observations
….....
….....
Seamless
environmental
predictions