SUNFLO 3/24 TIMES ■ SUNDAY, MARCH 24, 2002 * * * * PER SA LL’S CA PR SS ED IDY ICT CO ’S P ION NT S EST REDI CT CO P ION RE NT DIC S EST YO TIO FA UR NS V O VO RIT TE ES 10F BLK CYAN MAGENTA YELLOW 10F Nikki 8222 ✖ ✖✖ ✖ ✖✖✖ ✖ ✖✖ ✖✖ OSCARS BALLOT ABOUT THE BALLOT: Not so long ago, pundits were saying there were few clear favorites for Academy Awards this year. But our experts and readers who entered our Oscar contest were remarkably consistent in their picks. Here’s how St. Petersburg Times film critic Steve Persall, academy member Ed. Cassidy and readers voted. (Readers predicted the winners and picked their own favorites in 10 categories. As you can see, they generally think the academy will like the same movies they did.) We’ll announce the winners of our Oscar contest in Thursday’s Weekend. BEST PICTURE SOUND A Beautiful Mind Gosford Park In the Bedroom The Lord of the Rings Moulin Rouge Amelie Black Hawk Down The Lord of the Rings Moulin Rouge Pearl Harbor ✖✖ ACTOR Russell Crowe, A Beautiful Mind Sean Penn, I Am Sam Will Smith, Ali Denzel Washington, Training Day Tom Wilkinson, In the Bedroom ✖ ✖✖✖✖ ✖✖✖✖ ACTRESS Halle Berry, Monster’s Ball Judi Dench, Iris Nicole Kidman, Moulin Rouge Sissy Spacek, In the Bedroom Renee Zellweger, Bridget Jones’s Diary Jim Broadbent, Iris Ethan Hawke, Training Day Ben Kingsley, Sexy Beast Ian McKellen, The Lord of the Rings Jon Voight, Ali ✖✖✖✖ A.I. Artificial Intelligence, John Williams A Beautiful Mind, James Horner Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone, John Williams The Lord of the Rings, Howard Shore Monsters, Inc., Randy Newman ORIGINAL SONG If I Didn’t Have You from Monsters, Inc.,Randy Newman ✖ ✖ ✖✖ SUPPORTING ACTRESS Jennifer Connelly, A Beautiful Mind Helen Mirren, Gosford Park Maggie Smith, Gosford Park Marisa Tomei, In the Bedroom Kate Winslet, Iris ✖✖ DIRECTOR ✖ Ron Howard, A Beautiful Mind Ridley Scott, Black Hawk Down Robert Altman, Gosford Park Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings David Lynch, Mulholland Drive ✖ ✖ ✖ Jimmy Neutron: Boy Genius Monsters, Inc. Shrek ✖ ✖ Artists and Orphans: A True Drama Sing! Thoth FILM EDITING ✖ Amelie, France Elling, Norway Lagaan, India No Man’s Land, Bosnia and Herzegovina Son of the Bride, Argentina ✖ ADAPTED SCREENPLAY ✖✖ Akiva Goldsman, A Beautiful Mind Daniel Clowes and Terry Zwigoff, Ghost World Rob Festinger and Todd Field, In the Bedroom Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson, The Lord of the Rings Guillaume Laurant and Jean-Pierre Jeunet, Amelie Julian Fellowes, Gosford Park Christopher Nolan and Jonathan Nolan, Memento Milo Addica and Will Rokos, Monster’s Ball Wes Anderson and Owen Wilson, The Royal Tenenbaums Amelie Gosford Park Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone The Lord of the Rings Moulin Rouge A Beautiful Mind Black Hawk Down The Lord of the Rings Memento Moulin Rouge MAKEUP A Beautiful Mind The Lord of the Rings Moulin Rouge ANIMATED SHORT FILM ✖✖ Fifty Percent Grey For the Birds Give Up Yer Aul Sins Strange Invaders Stubble Trouble LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM ✖ ✖ ART DIRECTION ✖ ✖ Children Underground LaLee’s Kin: The Legacy of Cotton Murder on a Sunday Morning Promises War Photographer DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY ✖ The Affair of the Necklace Gosford Park Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone The Lord of the Rings Moulin Rouge DOCUMENTARY FEATURE Ted Elliott & Terry Rossio and Joe Stillman and Roger S.H. Schulman, Shrek ✖✖✖ May It Be from The Lord of the Rings, Enya, Nicky Ryan and Roma Ryan There You’ll Be from Pearl Harbor, Diane Warren Until from Kate & Leopold, Sting Vanilla Sky from Vanilla Sky, Paul McCartney COSTUMES FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM ✖✖ Monsters, Inc. Pearl Harbor ✖✖ ANIMATED FEATURE ✖✖✖✖ ✖ ORIGINAL SCORE SUPPORTING ACTOR ✖✖✖✖ SOUND EFFECTS EDITING The Accountant Copy Shop Gregor’s Greatest Invention A Man Thing (Meska Sprawa) Speed for Thespians VISUAL EFFECTS ✖✖ A.I. Artificial Intelligence The Lord of the Rings Pearl Harbor CINEMATOGRAPHY Academy Award winners previously announced this year: Amelie Black Hawk Down The Lord of the Rings The Man Who Wasn’t There Moulin Rouge Gordon E. Sawyer Award (Oscar statuette): Edmund M. Di Giulio. Jean Hersholt Humanitarian Award (Oscar statuette): Arthur Hiller. Honorary Awards (Oscar statuettes): Sidney Poitier and Robert Redford. VOTING TRENDS from the Academy Awards since 1982 Best Picture race Best Actress race Best Supporting Actress race ■ The film with the most nominations (This year, that’s Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring, with 13 nods) has won the past 18 of 19 races. ■ The Directors Guild Award winner (which would be A Beautiful Mind) has won the past 14 of 19 races. ■ Twelve Best Picture winners since 1982 were released after September (that’s all the nominees except Moulin Rouge). BUT: Since 1982, the lowest-grossing nominee (that’s In the Bedroom) hasn’t won. ■ The winner usually (18 for 19) has at least one pre-Oscar award (which is true of Halle Berry of Monster’s Ball, Sissy Spacek of In the Bedroom and Nicole Kidman of Moulin Rouge). ■ The Best Actress usually (11 for 19) stars in a Best Picture nominee (favoring Nicole Kidman and Sissy Spacek). ■ In a reverse of the Best Actor race, 11 Best Actress winners have had prior Oscar nominations (Sissy Spacek and Judi Dench of Iris). BUT: Only one winner since 1982 has appeared in the lowest-grossing movie (which could be bad news for Judi Dench). ■ First time nominees usually (18 for 19) win (favoring Jennifer Connelly of A Beautiful Mind). ■ Nominees with at least one pre-Oscar award usually (17 for 19) win (that applies to Connelly, Helen Mirren of Gosford Park and Kate Winslet of Iris). BUT: Only one of the past 19 winners has been in the lowest-grossing film (Sorry, Kate). Best Actor race ■ The Best Actor usually (14 for 19) is the star of a Best Picture nominee (This year, that’s either Russell Crowe of A Beautiful Mind or Tom Wilkinson of In the Bedroom.) ■ The winner usually (12 for 19) has previously won at least two awards for his performance (Russell Crowe has won both the Screen Actors Guild and Golden Globe awards). ■ Eleven of 19 winners have been first-time nominees (that favors either Will Smith of Ali or Tom Wilkinson). BUT: Since 1982, the winner has not appeared in the lowest-grossing film (Sorry, Tom). Best Supporting Actor race ■ The nominee with at least one pre-Oscar award usually (14 for 19) wins (favoring Jim Broadbent of Iris). ■ The winner usually (11 for 19) was in a film released before October (in this field, that’s just Ben Kingsley of Sexy Beast). BUT: The youngest nominee has won only once since 1982 (this year’s baby is 31-year-old Ethan Hawke of Training Day). Best Director race ■ The winner usually (16 for 19) has won the Directors Guild of America award, favoring Ron Howard for A Beautiful Mind. ■ The film with the most nominations usually (15 for 19) wins the Best Director prize (a plus for Peter Jackson for Lord of the Rings). ■ Films based on true stories have won 12 of the past 19 director prizes (another plus for Howard, as well as Ridley Scott for Black Hawk Down). BUT: Movies that weren’t nominated for Best Picture have not won the director award in the past 19 years (that trend hurts Scott, and David Lynch of Mulholland Drive). SOURCE: ACNielsen EDI’s Academy Awards Guide
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