Effects of 45 years of heavy road traffic and infrastructure on permafrost and tundra at Prudhoe Bay, Alaska Ala s k a G e ob ot an y C e nter AGU abstract: GC23J-1215 Buchhorn, M.1,2 ([email protected]); M.K. Raynolds1; D.A. Walker1; M. Kanevskiy3; G. Matyshak4; Y. Shur3; and J. Peirce1 University of Alaska Fairbanks, Institute of Arctic Biology, Fairbanks, AK 99775 USA; 2University of Alaska Fairbanks, Geophysical Institute, Fairbanks, AK 99775 USA 3 University of Alaska Fairbanks, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Fairbanks, AK 99775 USA; 4Moscow State University, Department of Soil Science, Moscow, Russia 1 I INTRODUCTION Vegetation change analysis III Time series of the Lake Colleen Site A from 1968 to 2013 Following the discovery of oil at Prudhoe Bay in 1968, a series of environmental changes occurred that were the result of natural longterm processes and changes caused directly and indirectly by infrastructure. Here we examine the changes associated with a road at Colleen Site A, Deadhorse, Alaska (Fig. 1). The changes in non-infrastructure-related thermokarst are thought to be due to a combination of a long-term upward trend in summer warmth and exceptionally warm summers in 1989, 1998, and 2012 when the active layer (layer of soil that thaws in summer) increased in thickness and melted the tops of ice wedges (Fig. 5, 6). An abrupt increase in the abundance of thermokarst features is evident in the time series analysis of aerial photos from 1968 to 2013 of the Lake Colleen Site A (Fig. 4). This effect has also been noted in three studies in the Prudhoe Bay area. (Jorgenson et al. 2006; Raynolds et al. 2014, Jogenson et al. 2015). 1968 1972 1977 1984 1989 1995 2000 2005 2010 V Summary of findings 2013 time series analysis • Prior to construction of the Spine Road in 1969, the Colleen site A study area had numerous scattered thermokarst pits indicating that the area had some thawing ice wedges at the intersections of polygon troughs. The pattern of thermokarst changed very little between 1949 and 1972. Prior to road construction in 1969, the north side of the road had more wet tundra and thermokarst pits than the south side of the road (Fig. 7). After the road was built, extensive deep thermokarst developed along polygon troughs on the south side of the road and aquatic vegetation increased. Other more subtle changes occurred to the species composition of the major vegetation types (Fig. 8). • The Spine Road was constructed in 1969, altering drainage patterns and introduced gravel and large quantities of dust to the tundra adjacent to the road, such that over the past 45 years the pattern of thermokarst has changed dramatically. Figure 8. Comparison of the main vegetation types between 1972 and 2013. Non-infrastructure thermokarst: 1.8x since 1990 Infrastructure thermokarst: 3.5x since 1990 North-Side Figure 1. The Lake Colleen region. False-color-infrared World View image (July 9, 2010). Note: red tones show areas of highly productive vegetation. Figure 5. Trends in thermokast for sample areas within the Prudhoe Bay oilfield 1970-2010. Most changes in landscapes along roads are caused by a combination of (a) flooding due to the elevated road beds that interrupt natural drainage flow patterns; (b) heavy road dust, which smothers the vegetation and changes the albedo of the tundra surface; and (c) snow banks that form along the edges of the elevated roads. All of these factors tend to raise soil temperatures, which in turn increase the active layer thickness near roads, leading to roadside thermokarst (Fig. 2). 35 1998 South-Side 2012 SWI (°C months) 30 July 15, 1972, U.S Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory (CRREL), black & white, 1:6000 July 29, 1968, PB Alaska, color, 1’’ = 1000’ July 24, 1977, PB Alaska, B/W, 1’’ = 1500’ Aug 30, 1984, PB Alaska, color, 1’’ = 1500’ Aug 22, 1989, PB Alaska, CIR, 1’’ = 500’ Aug 8, 1995, PB Alaska, CIR, 1’’ = 600’ June 30, 2000, PB Alaska, color, 1’’ = 1500’ Aug 3, 2005, PB Alaska, color, 1’’ = 1500’ July 9, 2010, PB Alaska, color, digital, 1 foot pixel 2013 BP Alaska, digital, color, 0.75-foot resolution 25 20 15 • Trough-to-polygon topographic contrast of Transect T2 is nearly double that of T1 (Fig. 14a). 10 Figure 6. Time series of summer warmth. Summer warmth index (SWI) = sum of monthly mean temperatures > 0ºC. Summer warmth index 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Figure 7. Classification of the main vegetation types of the aerial photos from 1972 and 2013. Interpretations of ice-wedges sections based on borehole profiles IV Transect Analysis A visualisation of all collected geo-ecological parameters along the transects T1 (north) and T2 (south) at 1 m intervals within 100 m of the road and at 5 m intervals from 100 to 200 m from the road can bee seen in Figure 9. Planar view of transects with plot and borehole locations d Jorgenson, M.T.; Shur, Y.L.; Pullman, E.R. (2006), Abrupt increase in permafrost degradation in Arctic Alaska. Geophysical Research Letters, 25, L02503. Jorgenson, M. T.; Kanevskiy, M.; Shur, Y.L. et al. (2015), Role of ground ice dynamics and ecological feedbacks in recent ice-wedge degradation and stabilization, J. Geophys. Res. Earth Surf., n/a–n/a, doi:10.1002/2015JF003602. Raynolds, M. K.; Walker, D.A. et al. (2014), Cumulative geoecological effects of 62 years of infrastructure and climate change in ice-rich permafrost landscapes, Prudhoe Bay Oilfield, Alaska, Glob Chang Biol, 20(4), 1211–1224, doi:10.1111/gcb.12500. Walker, D.A.; Everett, K.R.; Webber, P.J.; Brown, J. (eds.) (1980), Geobotanical Atlas of the Prudhoe Bay Region, Alaska, CRREL Report 80-14. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, Hanover. Acknowledgements NSF Arctic Science, Engineering and Education for Sustainability (ArcSEES) grant no. 1263854 with partial support from the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) and the Department of Interior (DOI) and NASA Land Cover Land Use Change (LCLUC) Program, Grant No. NNX14AD90G. Moreover we thank BP Alaska Prudhoe Bay Unit and Aerometric Inc. for providing GIS, aerial-photo data, and analysis of the regional infrastructure. 0m 50m 150m 100m 200m 14.5 m 14.5 m 14.0 m 14.0 m 13.5 m 13.5 m 13.0 m 13.0 m 12.5 m 12.5 m 12.0 m 12.0 m © M.Buchhorn 11.5 m 190 m 200 m 270 m 280 m 290 m 300 m 310 m B U4d B U4d HC M2d R WT HC U4d E1d M2d WT HC M2d HC RB Microrelief Type RB Vegetation Type 50m 330 m 340 m 350 m 360 m 370 m 380 m 390 m 400 m R R U4d R LC U4d R WT E1d R WT R U4d E1d LC M2d R DT R LC R R LC M2d M2d M2d R P W1 R FC U4d R WT R U3d E1d LC 150m R U4d WT R LC R E1 11.5 m 410 m NE 100m M2d E1d E3d HC R 0m E1d B P 320 m Transect T1 U4d E1d U4d 260 m WT B 250 m M2d B HC DT B 240 m M2d U4d B P W1 B U4d HC DT 0m E1d B HC E1d M2d F E1d U4d F HC M2d F U4d F DT F HC F HC HC U4d M2d WT HC M4d R U4d M2d DT HC U4d HC U4d M2d LC HC B R WT U4d R M4d LC HC R WT R U4d LC U4d R 50m 100m M4d R WT 230 m Spine Road E1d 150m M4d 200m 220 m U4d Transect T2 SW 210 m U3 LC U3 R WT E1 R LC M2 R 200m DT 180 m R DT R WT R LC P LC R WT E1 170 m DT LC 160 m M2 150 m DT 140 m DT 130 m U4 120 m U4 110 m U3 100 m U4d 90 m U4d 80 m U3d 70 m U3d 60 m M2d 50 m DT 40 m LC 30 m M2d 20 m FC 10 m Caaq Salova 0m U4 E1 U3 E1 U3 U4 E1 M2 U4 Relative profile (superelevation 1:10) Surface height measurement (m) Vegetation height measurement (m) Thaw depth in August 2014 (m) Water level (m) Vegetation layer Water / ponds Unfrozen soil Frozen soil Frost boil W1 E1 E3 M2 E1 100 cm 100 cm LAI 2.0 1.5 75 cm 75 cm 1.5 M4 U3 U4 B 1.0 50 cm 50 cm 1.0 0.5 25 cm 25 cm 0.5 0 0 cm 0 cm 150m 50m 100m 0m 0m 50m 0 150m 100m 200m 15.0 m 15.0 m 14.5 m 14.5 m 14.0 m 14.0 m 13.5 m 13.5 m 13.0 m 13.0 m Comparison of topo profile extracted from Lidar data and archived by field survey 12.5 m 12.5 m Topo profile archived by field survey (m) Lidar profile (highest hit) - 2014 survey (m) Lidar profile (bare earth model) - 2014 survey (m) 12.0 m 10 m 20 m 30 m 40 m 50 m © M.Buchhorn 60 m 70 m 80 m 90 m 100 m Microrelief type Vegetation layer Water / ponds Unfrozen soil Frozen soil Frost boil c d Surface and soil temperatures were warmer on the south side (transect T2) than the north side (transect T1), particularly in winter. (Fig. 13). Figure 14. Differences in (a) trough-polygon center contrast, (b) thaw depth, (c) vegetation height, and (d) Leaf Area Index (LAI) between the transects T1 and T2. Figure 12. Soil plug from center of an ice-wedge polygon. Note the 13-cm thick mineral surface horizon, which is the dust layer above the original organic surface horizon. Figure 11. Estimates of percent live plant cover for different lifeforms on 1-m2 plots. Dark outline - polygon troughs (T); North side on right. Thaw depth - Dust - LAI Chart Thaw depth in August 2014 (cm) Dust layer in August 2014 (cm) LAI (Leaf Area Index) in August 2014 A Suerface temperature profiles Temperature profiles B Soil temperature profiles (-40 cm) Thermokast pit Wet trough Dry trough Frost boil 110 m 120 m Rim High-centered polygon center Low-centered polygon center Flat-centered polygon center Road side berm 130 m 140 m 150 m 160 m 170 m 180 m 190 m 200 m Vegetation type B Dry Saxifraga oppositifolia, Juncus biglumis forb barren Dry Carex aquatilis - Salix ovalifolia Barren Barren Disturbed sites (indicated by a ‘d’ in vegetation code) 210 m W1 E1 E3 M2 220 m 230 m 240 m 250 m Lakes & ponds Aquatic Carex aquatilis sedge tundra Aquatic Scorpidium scorpioides moss tundra Wet Carex aquatilis, Drepanocladus brevifolius sedge tundra 260 m 270 m M4 U3 280 m 290 m 300 m 310 m Wet Carex aquatilis, Scorpidium scorpioides sedge tundra Moist Eriophorum angustifolium, Dryas integrifolia, Tomenthypnum nitens, Thamnolia subuliformis sedge, dwarf shrub tundra 320 m 330 m U4 340 m 350 m 360 m 370 m Moist Carex aquatilis, Dryas integrifolia, Salix arctica, Tomenthypnum nitens sedge, dwarf shrub tundra 380 m 390 m 400 m Comparison of topo profile extracted from Lidar data and archived by field survey Topo profile archived by field survey (m) Lidar profile (highest hit) - 2014 survey (m) Lidar profile (bare earth model) - 2014 survey (m) 11.5 m Thaw depth - Dust - LAI Graph Thaw depth in August 2014 (cm) Dust layer in August 2014 (cm) LAI (Leaf Area Index) in August 2014 Sep14 1 Information from the Colleen Site A studies, combined with the rich record of historical aerial photographs provide an excellent basis for examining the changes to this region. 2 There have been substantial changes to the vegetation, soils, microtopography, permafrost and ice wedges due to both climate change and infrastructure effects. VI CONCLUSIONS 3 Vegetation composition studies on these transects documented major reductions in lichen cover over 24 years, reduction in mosses, increase in shrub cover adjacent to the road & overall decrease in diversity. 4 Ice-wedge degradation has halted on some of the polygons on the south side of the road. Enhanced productivity due to wetter, more nutrient-rich conditions has produced insulating vegetation and litter. • Despite the effects of road construction and heavy traffic on the stability of upper permafrost, ice-wedge degradation has halted on some degraded wedges. • Initial degradation of ice wedges along T2 was probably related to the flooding of the south side of the Spine Road due to road construction, but at present even the wedges under deep, water-filled troughs are more stable than the wedges along T1, which have not been affected by flooding. • Species composition of the dominant moist and wet vegetation changed due to dust deposition. 410 m Figure 9. (a) Overview of the transects T1 and T2. Note: red line mark the location of the transects NE and SW from the Spine Road. Position of center and trough permanent vegetation plots are marked as squares, and boreholes as white dots. (b) relative profiles of the transects T1 and T2. Note the 10x vertical exaggeration (c) Microrelief and vegetation along the transects. (d) Graph showing the thaw depths, dust depths, and LAI measurements along the transects. (e) Comparison of the topo profile extracted from the LiDAR dataset (highest hit and bare earth model) and field survey. • Most (35 of 43) boreholes drilled in icewedge troughs and surrounding rims encountered massive-ice bodies (mostly ice wedges at various stages of degradation and recovery). • Major vegetation changes occurred over 45 years: aquatic vegetation and water increased on both sides of the road, but most dramatically on the south side which is regularly flooded during spring snow melt. 12.0 m 11.5 m 0m Compared to polygon centers, troughs had almost no shrub cover, high graminoid cover and higher moss cover (often below water). Moss cover increased with distance from road, and total plant cover increased with distance from road on north side (transect T1), but not on south side (Transect T2) (Fig. 11). Soils within about 50 m on both sides of the road now have mineral surface horizons composed largely of road dust and gravel that overlie the original organic soil horizons (Fig. 12). Vegetation and soil studies Lakes & ponds Aquatic Carex aquatilis sedge tundra Aquatic Scorpidium scorpioides moss tundra Wet Carex aquatilis, Drepanocladus brevifolius sedge tundra Wet Carex aquatilis, Scorpidium scorpioides sedge tundra Moist Eriophorum angustifolium, Dryas integrifolia, Tomenthypnum nitens, Thamnolia subuliformis sedge, dwarf shrub tundra Moist Carex aquatilis, Dryas integrifolia, Salix arctica, Tomenthypnum nitens sedge, dwarf shrub tundra Dry Saxifraga oppositifolia, Juncus biglumis forb barren Dry Carex aquatilis - Salix ovalifolia Barren Barren Disturbed sites (indicated by a ‘d’ in vegetation code) • Vegetation heights are taller (Fig. 14c) and leaf-area-index is greater (Fig. 14d) on the south (wetter) side of the road. b Microrelief type Thermokast pit Wet trough Dry trough Frost boil Rim High-centered polygon center Low-centered polygon center Flat-centered polygon center Road side berm • Thaw depths are greater for all plant communities on the south (wetter) side of the road (Fig. 14b). a Vegetation type LAI 2.0 Surface height measurement (m) Vegetation height measurement (m) Thaw depth in August 2014 (m) Water level (m) References 0m NE 15.0 m Relative profile (superelevation 1:10) Figure 3. Drilling of cores in ice-wedge polgon center and troughs. 50m Transect T1 15.0 m 200m e Spine Road 100m DT c 150m U4d b 200m WT Vegetation plots along two transects were set up in polygon centers and troughs at 5, 10, 25, 50, 100 and 200 m from both sides of the heavily-traveled Spine Road at Colleen Site A to analyze road effects. Differential GPS and a robotic TotalStation were used to survey the transects (Fig. 9). Soil and vegetation data were collected at 1 m intervals within 100 m of the road and at 5 m intervals from 100 to 200 m from the road (Fig. 9, 11, 12). Fifty-seven boreholes were drilled in ice-wedge polygon centers and troughs (Fig. 10). One hundred and thirty Thermochron® Temperature Data Loggers (iButtons) were installed to monitor air and ground temperatures and determine ice-wedge stability (Fig. 13). Transect T2 SW Thaw depth / Dust / LAI Chart This study, initiated in 2014, builds on baseline data collected in the same area by Walker et al. 1980. A time series of aerial photographs of Colleen Site A was used to show the transition of the landscape between 1968 and 2013 (Fig. 4). Aerial photographs of 1972 and 2013 were used to produce a vegetation change map (Fig. 7, 8) (aerial photograph of 1968 was not available to the time of the analysis). Relative profile (superelevation 1:10) II METHODS Microrelief & Vegetation Characterization Figure 2. Roadside disturbances related to dust and thermokarst. © BP, true color aerial photo of 2014 Comparison Lidar topo profile to survey profile (superelevation 1:10) Combined vegeta.on and ecosystem effects of dust and thermokarst a Figure 10. Examples for drilling profiles for transect T1 and T2. Borehole drilling encountered massive ground ice, including wedge ice (WI), thermokarst cave ice (TCI) and composite (ice/soil) wedges (CW) (Fig. 10). In detail, aerial photography from 2014 is shown at the top of Fig. 9, with cross-sectional transect of surface elevation, vegetation height, thaw and water depth (b); surface geomorphology and vegetation type (c); probed thaw depth, LAI, and depth of surface dust layer (d); and comparison of the field survey to LiDAR data (e). The interpretations of ice-wedge cross-sections based on borehole profiles is seen in Figure 10. Climate-‐related thermokarst away from infrastructure transects analysis Exceptionally warm summers occurred in 1989, 1998, and 2012. 5 Figure 4. Colleen Site A study area (as in Figure 1) time series 1968-2013, showing progression of change. Notes: The Spine Road was constructed in 1969 so does not appear on the 1968 image. Most of the thermokarst pits that are present in 1972 (shortly after construction of the road) are also visible on the 1968 image. Greatly expanded thermokarst is seen beginning in 1989. Roadside dust Roadside thermokarst 1989 • Thermokarst is now deepest and most extensive on the southwest side of the road, which is periodically flooded. Historical climate data and photos indicate that between 1989 and 2012 a regional thawing of the ice-wedges occurred, increasing the extent of thermokarst on the both sides of the road. Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Figure 13. (a) Comparison of the average daily surface temperature at polygon centers (C) and troughs (T) at Colleen Site A for the time August 2014 to August 2015. (b) Comparison of the average daily soil temperature at -40 cm at polygon centers (C) and troughs (T) at Colleen Site A for the time August 2014 to August 2015. 5 There is a need to examine the consequences of these changes to other components of the ecosystem, including fish, birds and insects. 6 Many of the recorded impacts are recent and rapid. Continued monitoring will help industry and regulators apply these findings to management and development issues. • Moss cover decreased and bare soil cover increased with road proximity. • The effect of the road embankment is visible in the soil temperature regime, showing warmer soils on the south-side transect. • LiDAR data with >8 points per m2 can be used for the production of high resolution relative profiles (SD was ±16 cm compared to our survey with a TotalStation).
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