Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Weekly Cat Report August 7, 2015 Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources. Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting This Week’s Natural Disaster Events Event & Region Severe Weather U.S. Flooding U.S. APAC APAC Landslides APAC STY Soudelor APAC Wildfires U.S Fatalities Structures/Claims Econom ic Loss (USD) Specific Areas 4 Thousands 100s of millions Central Plains, Midw est, Northeast 0 407+ 15+ Thousands 361,600+ 12,000+ 100+ million 100s of millions 418+ million Florida India, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Pakistan China 90+ 120+ 100s of thousands Nepal 0 Unknow n Unknow n Marianas Islands 1 Hundreds Millions Northw est, California Severe Weather: A three-day severe weather outbreak in northern and northeastern portions of the United States claimed four lives and injured dozens of others. Damaging straight line winds, large hail, and isolated tornado touchdowns were reported from the Central Plains to New England. Details begin on page 3. Flooding: Portions of Florida were inundated this week as a low pressure system hovered over the peninsula and spawned more than 20.00 inches (508 millimeters) of rain in some areas in two weeks’ time. Hundreds of properties and vehicles were inundated in Hillsborough, Pasco and Pinellas counties. Elsewhere, flooding worsened this week for portions of South Asia and China. The death toll from recent floods in South Asia has now risen to 407 while the number of homes damaged or destroyed has exceeded 361,000. Details begin on page 4. Landslides: Nepal’s Eastern and Western Development Regions were hit by landslides this week that claimed at least 90 lives. Dozens of others were injured or listed as missing and more than 100 homes were destroyed. Details are on page 7. STY Soudelor: A state of disaster and significant emergency was declared in Saipan after Typhoon Soudelor made landfall on Sunday night. The typhoon prompted power outages for the entire island as it downed trees, power lines, and ripped the roof from the power station. Hundreds of homes were also damaged. There were no reports of any casualties or fatalities. Details begin on page 7. Wildfires: The combination of gusty winds, warm temperatures, and an exceptional drought led to continued ideal wildfire conditions this week in California. The most notable fire remains the Rocky Fire, which is burning just north of San Francisco and has destroyed 43 homes and 53 outbuildings, while charring 69,600 acres (28,166 hectares) of land. Details are on page 8. Weekly Cat Report 2 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Severe weather & flooding inundates Eastern U.S. U.S. Severe Weather Three consecutive days of severe thunderstorms impacted portions of the central Plains, Midwest, Northeast, and Mid-Atlantic from Sunday through Tuesday, killing at least three individuals and causing widespread disruption and damage. Preliminary data from the United States Storm Prediction Center (SPC), which has been filtered to remove duplicate reports, indicated there were 621 reports of tornadoes (12), damaging straight-line winds (361), and large hail (248) across the three-day stretch. Meteorological Recap The severe weather outbreak on August 2 was concentrated on the central Plains and northern Midwest as a quasi-stationary frontal boundary extended from Montana across the Dakotas and into Wisconsin. The focus of the severe weather was to the east of a low pressure center that developed on the boundary over east-central Montana. In this region, the frontal boundary drew warm, humid air at the surface northward, undercutting a layer of drier air aloft. This created an unstable environment that was ripe for severe thunderstorm development as sufficient surface heating was added throughout the day. Several convective storms developed, enhanced by a mid-level atmospheric jet, while on-going surface heating provided fuel for the storms. Ultimately, the storms organized into a squall-line that pushed southwards over eastern portions of Illinois, Lake Michigan, and much of Michigan by late evening. The worst of the severe weather on August 3 was felt by states in northern portions of the Mid-Atlantic and throughout the Northeast. A trough of low pressure moving across the region was the trigger for severe thunderstorm development. By August 4, the threat of severe storms had moved into New England, as an unstable atmosphere and daytime surface heating combined to trigger explosive thunderstorm development. A mid-level jet stream enhanced storm development ahead of a surface cold front that extended from Virginia in the south, through the northern Mid-Atlantic and Pennsylania, into New York and through the rest of New England. The outbreak ended as the front moved offshore. Damage Details Up to grapefruit-sized hail was reported in Michigan while several other Midwest states were battered by tennis and golf ball-sized hail prompting widespread reports of damage. An EF-1 tornado touched down in the village of Owendale, Michigan, damaging several buildings, including a school and restaurant. Weekly Cat Report 3 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting The most damaging aspect of Sunday’s storms however, were the straight-line winds, with gusts exceeding 60 mph (95 kph) reported widely over eastern Illinois, Michigan, and northern portions of Indiana and Ohio. One individual died and 15 others were injured at a festival in Wood Dale, Illinois, as the strong winds caused a tent to collapse. Another individual was injured near Lincolnwood, Illinois, as a tree was downed by the gusts. Downed trees and power lines were widely reported in the affected areas. There were also reports of strong wind gusts up-ending vehicles and causing sailboats to capsize. At the height Waterspout on Lake Michigan (Source: Chicago NWS) of Sunday’s storms, more than 230,000 customers were without power. The storms also prompted the brief evacuation of tens of thousands of concert-goers at the Lollapalooza festival at Chicago’s Grant Park, but the storm eventually stayed just north of downtown. Strong winds associated with Monday and Tuesday’s storms over New England claimed at least three lives in Connecticut and New Hampshire. One individual was killed in Connecticut as a falling tree struck his vehicle early on Tuesday morning while two individuals were killed in Lancaster, New Hampshire, as a circus tent collapsed on Monday night. Dozens of others were treated for injuries following the incident in New Hampshire. The wind gusts downed trees and power lines across the Northeast leading to power outages to more than 150,000 customers at the peak of the storms. Widespread damages to property and vehicles were also reported as a result of egg to tennis ball-sized hail throughout Pennsylvania and New England. The greater Boston, MA metro area was also impacted by winds gusting to 60 mph (90 kph) and isolated reports of hail. Total economic and insured losses were expected to reach well into the millions of dollars (USD). Tampa, Florida Flooding Relentless rainfall led to widespread flash flooding and river flooding across the greater Tampa Bay metro region in Florida on Monday, August 3. The rain, which was persistently heavy for a two-week stretch ending on August 5, were enhanced by a meandering area of low pressure that hovered near the Florida peninsula. The floods caused extensive damage in some parts of Hillsborough, Pasco and Pinellas counties. Hundreds of homes and even more vehicles were inundated by floodwaters as mandatory evacuation orders were issued for residents in lowlying areas. As seen on the graphic to the right, some areas of northern Pinellas and western Pasco counties received more than 20.00 inches (508 milimeters) of rain in a two-week span. Total economic losses are preliminarily and tentatively 14-Day Rain Total ending Aug. 5 (Source: NOAA) expected to approach USD100 million. This estimate is subject to change. Despite Florida having the highest number of NFIP policies in the U.S., many of the residents impacted by the recent floods were uninsured. Impact Forecasting, which currently has the only Florida flash flood model available on the market, is in the process of creating an event footprint. Weekly Cat Report 4 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Further flooding for South Asia and China India More than 172 lives were claimed in India last week as a result of torrential monsoon rainfall and ensuing flooding. Worst affected were West Bengal, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Mandipur, and Odisha (Orissa) states. As of August 2, seven of the subdivisions that the Indian Meteorological Department divides the country into for the purpose of weather forecasting, were reporting “excess” monsoon rainfall. That means more than 20% above average for the season to date. West Rajasthan topped the table with 114% above average rainfall. Gangetic West Bengal reported 60% above average rainfall, West Madhya Pradesh reported 41% above average, while Saurashtra & Kutch reported 39% above average. Jammu & Kashmir, East Rajasthan, and Jharkhand also reported “excess” monsoon rainfall to date. As of August 4, the death toll from recent floods and landslides across India stood at 178. More than 70 fatalities were reported in Gujarat while a further 48 were reported in West Bengal where approximately 215,000 residents were evacuated. A further 28 casualties were reported in Rajasthan where some 1,000 residents were evacuated. A landslide in Chandel district, Manipur, claimed 21 lives as it swept away 10 homes. It was estimated that 250,000 homes throughout India were damaged or destroyed. Myanmar Agencies undertaking disaster relief work in Myanmar announced this week that at least 69 individuals had been killed as of August 5 as a result of widespread flooding that has affected the country. Worst affected were Sagaing and Magway regions and Chin and Rakhine states which were declared national disaster zones on August 2. Approximately 526,000 acres (213,000 hectares) of land were inundated and 17,000 homes were destroyed. An estimated 200,000 individuals were affected by the floods. In Rakhine state, 4,751 homes, 37 schools and Source: Reuters three bridges were destroyed as residents from ten townships were evacuated. Some 45 villages in Sagaing region were inundated forcing 7,700 residents into evacuation centers. As well as being inundated by floodwaters, Myanmar was also impacted by severe weather for a time on July 29 when a tornado touched down in Ayeyawady region. The twister touched down at approximately 1:45 PM local time in Nandawayun village where it destroyed 30 homes and one religious building. There were no reports of any casualties or fatalities. As of this writing, disaster surveys were still on-going in Myanmar so there are no available estimates of economic losses at this time. Local authorities in Mandalay region made MMK133 million (USD108,000) available for rescue and relief efforts. Weekly Cat Report 5 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Bangladesh Rainfall was enhanced over Bangladesh by Cyclone Komen – a weak tropical-storm strength system that brought torrential rainfall to the northern Bay of Bengal – from July 26 through July 29. Selected 24-hour rainfall totals from Bangladesh for the period are given in the table below. Location & Date Teknaf, July 26 Kutubdia, July 26 Sandwip, July 26 Chittagong, July 26 Coxs Bazar, July 26 24-hour rainfall (mm) 363.0 272.0 249.9 227.3 213.1 Location & Date Sitakundu, July 26 Rangamati, July 26 Maijdicourt, July 27 Feni, July 26 Teknaf, July 29 24-hour rainfall (mm) 156.7 138.7 131.1 130.0 107.7 Nearly half a million residents were evacuated on Thursday, July 30, as the storm made its way ashore between Hatiya and Sandwip. At least six individuals – four in Coxs Bazar, and one each in Noakhali and Patuakhali – were killed while four others were officially listed as missing. Almost 89,000 homes were damaged, the majority of which were in Noakhali (87,400). The remaining damaged homes were in Bhola (1,500). Additionally, early on Saturday morning, a landslide triggered by the torrential rainfall in Bandarban district, claimed six lives as it destroyed five homes. Pakistan Further heavy rainfall in Pakistan last week raised the death toll in the country from recent floods to 154. Forty-eight hour rainfall totals of 600.0 millimeters (23.62 inches), 579.1 millimeters (22.80 inches), and 429.0 millimeters (16.89 inches) were reported on July 27 through 28 at Rohri, Pad Idan,and Nawabshah respectively. More than 101 individuals have been injured as of August 5. Approximately 5,629 homes were destroyed or damaged throughout 2,276 villages rendering 66,361 residents homeless. Worst affected were Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Punjab provinces with 80 and 32 fatalities reported respectively. China Heavy rainfall and severe weather across China claimed at least 15 lives last week as Chongqing, Gansu, Guizhou, Hebei, Henan, Hubei, Inner Mongolia, Jiangsu, Qinghai, Shaanxi, Shandong, Sichuan, and Yunnan provices were all impacted. Huimin and Lingxian, both in Shandong province, reported a 72-hour rainfall total of 421.4 millimeters (16.59 inches) from August 2 through 4 and a 48-hour rainfall total of 254.8 millimeters (10.03 inches) on August 3 and 4 respectively. Seven fatalities were reported in Shaanxi, four in Inner Mongolia, two in Yunnan, and one each in Henan and Qinghai. At least Y unnan (Source: MCA) four others were listed as missing. More than 7,000 residents were evacuated as 400 homes were destroyed and a further 11,600 sustained damages. Heavy losses were also reported in the agricultural sector as 20,500 hectares (50,650 acres) of crops, including corn, rice, fruits, and tobacco amongst others, were destroyed. As of this writing, China’s Ministry of Civil Affairs listed combined economic losses at CNY2.6 billion (USD418 million). The heaviest losses were incurred in Shandong which accounted for approximately one third of the total. Weekly Cat Report 6 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Landslides kill dozens in Nepal Heavy rainfall last week prompted numerous landslides in the Western and Eastern Development Regions of Nepal that claimed dozens of lives. Pokhara, the capital of the Western Development Region, reported 116.6 millimeters (4.59 inches) of rainfall on July 30 and a further 80.5 millimeters (3.17 inches) on July 31. Kaski district, Western Development Region, and Taplejung, Eastern Development Region, were worst affected by the landslides. At least 90 individuals were killed and 48 more were injured. At the time of this writing, a further 38 were officially listed as missing. At least 34 of the victims were from the villages of Lumle, Bhadure Tamagi, and Dhikur Pokhara, Kaski district, while a further 39 were killed in Taplejung. A total of 117 homes and one school were destroyed in the affected districts while numerous other schools and temples sustained damages. Four bridges and five suspension bridges were also destroyed. In addition, one landslide in Kaski district caused the disruption of the water supply to at least 400 homes. The Nepali government announced relief payments of NPR140,000 (USD1,400) to each of the victims’ families and NPR15,000 (USD150) to each of those displaced by the landslides. Super Typhoon Soudelor strikes Saipan, targets Taiwan A state of disaster and significant emergency was declared in Saipan after Super Typhoon Soudelor tore through the Northern Mariana Islands on Sunday night and Monday morning. Super Typhoon Soudelor was the thirteenth named storm, the ninth typhoon, and the fifth super typhoon so far this season in the North West Pacific. It also became the strongest storm on record globally this year with maximum sustained wind speeds of 290 kph (180 mph), overtaking Cyclone Pam which attained a maximum strength of 270 kph (165 mph) in March. Super Typhoon Soudelor tracked across Saipain at typhoon-strength on Sunday, August 2, at approximately 11:30 PM local time (13:30 UTC) with maximum sustained winds of 170 kph (105 mph) – the equivalent of a Category 2 system on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. The weather station at Saipan International Airport recorded wind speeds of 87 kph (54 mph) and gusts up to 146 kph (91 mph) just shortly before 11:00 PM local time on Sunday before it stopped reporting. Damage was described by relief workers in Saipan as “extensive” as Soudelor knocked out power supplies to the entire island as it crossed the island late on Sunday night and early on Monday morning. It ripped the roof from and flooded the island’s power plant while downing power lines and trees across the island. Local media shared photos of cars that had been upturned and numerous buildings with their roofs torn off. There were also reports of a major fuel spillage in Saipan’s port as a fuel tank was damaged by flying debris resulting in the spill of approximately 120,000 gallons of fuel discharged into a Source: American Red Cross containment area. Three vessels were also grounded after being blown ashore by the high winds and waves. As of Monday afternoon, 350 residents were in emergency shelters but there were no reports of any fatalities. Ten individuals sustained minor injuries. As of this writing, Soudelor was a Category 2 storm located in the Philippine Sea. It is forecast to make landfall in Taiwan on Saturday morning before making a second landfall in China on Saturday evening. Impact Forecasting is sending regular updates prior to landfall and will have a full recap next week. Weekly Cat Report 7 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Wildfires rage in California The combination of gusty winds, warm temperatures, and an exceptional drought led to continued ideal wildfire conditions this week in California. Dozens of fires burned as more than 10,000 firefighters across the state struggled to contain several of the blazes. The most notable fire remains the Rocky Fire, which is burning just north of San Francisco. The fire has destroyed 43 homes and 53 outbuildings, while charring 69,600 acres (28,166 hectares) of land. Containment was listed at just 40 percent. Cal Fire estimated that 6,959 homes remained at risk in Lake, Yolo, and Counties as evacuation orders remained in place. State-wide, at least 142,000 acres (57,465 hectares) of land have burned. A study released by the U.S. Forest Service this week reported that the agency spends at least half of its budget on preparing for and fighting fires. This is up from 16 percent in 1995. Ten years from now, the agency’s expenditures for fighting wildfires is projected to increase from just under USD1.1 billion in 2014 to nearly USD1.8 billion. Natural Catastrophes: In Brief Drought, Botswana The government of Botswana announced late last week that emergency funds of USD44 million were allocated in response to the worst drought conditions to affect the country in three decades. Flooding, Guinea Heavy rainfall in northwestern Guinea from July 22-28 prompted flooding throughout the region, including in the capital dity, Conakry. At least four people were killed. Several roads and homes were damaged. Miscellaneous, Austria Austria’s Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics reported on Friday that July was the hottest month for the country for the past 248 years. Temperatures across the country were 3.0°C (5.4°F) warmer than the long-term average for July. The number of sunshine hours was also 20% above average while the amount of rain was 20 percent lower than average. Flooding, Peru Heavy rainfall in northeastern Peru prompted floods last week that destroyed almost 1,200 homes in Lambayeque region. There were no reports of any casualties or fatalities as a result of the flooding. Volcano, Papua New Guinea The volcanic island of Manam, in Papua New Guinea’s Madang province, erupted on Friday after lying dormant for eleven years. The eruption sent a column of ash up to 19 kilometers (12 miles) into the atmosphere. Two individuals were injured while dozens of homes and food gardens were destroyed. Water resources were also damaged and two of the island’s three schools were closed indefinitely. Flooding & Landslides, Macedonia Heavy rainfall prompted flash floods and landslides in Tetovo region of Macedonia early on Tuesday morning that claimed five lives and injured 13 others. Several villages were cut-off from the rest of the region as landslides blocked roads while the river Pena burst its banks. Flooding, Philippines Flooding on the Philippine island of Mindanao on Wednesday claimed at least five lives in the cities of Malaybalay and Valencia. Floodwaters were “waist-deep” prompting the evacuation of 880 residents. At least five homes were destroyed and a further 36 were damaged. Weekly Cat Report 8 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Current Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (°C) Select Global Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies Location of Buoy Eastern Pacific Ocean (555 miles SW of San Salvador, El Salvador) Tropical Atlantic Ocean (1,590 miles ESE of Trinidad) Western Gulf of Mexico (60 miles SE of Corpus Christi, TX) Eastern Gulf of Mexico (130 miles ESE of Pensacola, FL) Carolinas Coastline (45 miles SE of Charleston, SC) Northeastern United States (15 miles SE of Portland, ME) Tem p (°C) 29.1 27.9 29.3 30.2 28.1 17.1 Departure from Last Year (°C) +1.4 +0.4 -0.1 -0.2 +0.5 -2.4 Sources: NOAA, NESDIS, National Data Buoy Center El Niño Update El Niño conditions are present. Positive equatorial sea surface temperature anomalies continue across most of the Pacific Ocean. There is a greater than 90% chance that El Niño conditions will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter (Southern Hemisphere summer) 2015-2016, and approximately an 80% chance El Niño conditions will last through Northern Hemisphere spring (Southern Hemisphere fall) 2016. Source: Climate Prediction Center Weekly Cat Report 9 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Current Tropical Systems Location and Intensity Information Nam e* Location Winds Center of Circulation Motion** TY Soudelor 21.3° N, 127.5° E 105 mph 600 kilometers (375 miles) S of Okinawa, Japan W at 12 mph TS Guillermo TS Hilda 21.8° N, 154.6° W 12.8° N, 132.3° W 40 mph 40 mph 160 miles (260 kilometers) NNE of Hilo, Hawaii 1,630 miles (2,620 kilometers) WSW of Baja California W at 12 mph W at 13 mph * TD = Tropical Depression, TS = Tropical Storm, HU = Hurricane, TY = Typhoon, STY = Super Typhoon, CY = Cyclone ** N = North, S = South, E = East, W = West, NW = Northwest, NE = Northeast, SE = Southeast, SW = Southwest Sources: National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center Weekly Cat Report 10 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Global Tropics Outlook Source: Climate Prediction Center Weekly Cat Report 11 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Earthquake Activity: July 31 – August 6 Significant EQ Location and Magnitude (≥M6.0) Information Date Location Magnitude Depth Epicenter Source: United States Geological Survey Weekly Cat Report 12 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting U.S. Weather Threat Outlook Potential Threats A stalled cold front will bring heavy rain chances to portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast coastline early next week. Given recent storms, some areas may see elevated flood threats. A building ridge of high pressure across the central and eastern U.S. will allow temperatures to soar to well above normal levels across parts of the southern Plains, Mississippi Valley and the Southeast over the weekend into next week. Severe drought conditions persist for most of the West and select parts of the Carolinas and south Florida. No significant drought relief is expected in California this week, which is dealing with dozens of wildfires as of this writing. Source: Climate Prediction Center Weekly Cat Report 13 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Current U.S. Watches, Warnings and Advisories Source: NOAA Weekly Cat Report 14 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Current U.S. River Flood Stage Status Top 5 Rivers Currently Nearing or Exceeding Flood Stage Location Flood Stage Current Stage % of Full Capacity 8.00 10.37 130% Steinhatchee River near Cross City, Florida Anclote River near Elfers, Florida Little Manatee River near Wimauma, Florida 12.20 20.00 11.00 15.22 24.72 13.36 125% 124% 121% Wabash River at Riverton, Indiana 15.00 16.42 109% Cypress Creek at Worthington Gardents, Florida Source: United States Geological Survey Weekly Cat Report 15 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Source Information Severe weather and flooding inundates the Eastern U.S.: Severe Storm Cleanup Across Chicago Area; Grayslake Hit by Tornado, ABC New s Father, 6-Year-Old Daughter ID'd as Circus Accident Victims, ABC New s United States National Weather Service United States Storm Prediction Center Weather Underground Further flooding for South Asia and China: Monsoon Rains Kill More Than 100 People in India, The Associated Press 20 Feared Dead in India Landslide, Agence France-Presse Myanmar Flooding Leaves Dozens Dead, BBC Heavy Rain Floods over 120,000 Hectare Farmland Across Myanmar, Xinhua New s Agency Severe Flooding Hampers Rescue Efforts in Myanmar, at least 27 dead, Agence France-Presse Landslides Kill at Least Six in Southeastern Bangladesh, Xinhua New s Agency 7 Killed, Two Missing in NW China Flood, Xinhua New s Agency Numerous articles published by The Times of India Numerous articles published by New Light of Myanmar Government of Bangladesh Government of Pakistan China’s Ministry of Civil Affairs Landslides kill dozens in Nepal: Death Toll from Floods, Landslides Hits 90: Govt, eKantipur Toll from Nepal Landslides Climbs to 36: Police, Agence France-Presse WeatherObs United Nations Emergency Response Coordination Centre Super Typhoon Soudelor strikes Saipan, targets Taiwan: Typhoon Plows Through Saipan, Variety New s Typhoon Smashes into Saipan, Pacific Daily New s United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center United States National Weather Service Natural Catastrophes: In Brief: Botswana Tackles Worst Drought in 30 Years, Agence France-Presse Austria Sees Hottest July on Record in Nearly 250 Years, Xinhua New s Agency PNG Volcano Awakens to Destroy Crops and Homes, Radio New Zealand 5 People Die, 13 Injured in Macedonia due to Heavy Rains, Xinhua New s Agency 5 People Killed in Floods in Macedonia, Novinite Five Dead, Three Missing in Southern Philippines Floods, Agence France-Presse United Nations Emergency Response Coordination Centre Government of Peru Philippines’ National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council Weekly Cat Report 16 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting Contact Information Steve Bowen Associate Director (Meteorologist) Aon Benfield Analytics Impact Forecasting +1.312.381.5883 [email protected] Claire Kennedy Senior Analyst (Meteorologist) Aon Benfield Analytics Impact Forecasting +65.6645.0110 [email protected] Weekly Cat Report 17 Aon Benfield Analy tics | Impact Forecasting About Aon Benfield Aon Benfield, a division of Aon plc (NYSE: AON), is the world’s leading reinsurance intermediary and fullservice capital advisor. We empower our clients to better understand, manage and transfer risk through innovative solutions and personalized access to all forms of global reinsurance capital across treaty, facultative and capital markets. As a trusted advocate, we deliver local reach to the world’s markets, an unparalleled investment in innovative analytics, including catastrophe management, actuarial and rating agency advisory. Through our professionals’ expertise and experience, we advise clients in making optimal capital choices that will empower results and improve operational effectiveness for their business. With more than 80 offices in 50 countries, our worldwide client base has access to the broadest portfolio of integrated capital solutions and services. To learn how Aon Benfield helps empower results, please visit aonbenfield.com. Copyright © by Impact Forecasting® No claim to original government works. The text and graphics of this publication are provided for informational purposes only. While Impact Forecasting® has tried to provide accurate and timely information, inadvertent technical inaccuracies and typographical errors may exist, and Impact Forecasting® does not warrant that the information is accurate, complete or current. The data presented at this site is intended to convey only general information on current natural perils and must not be used to make life-or-death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property, as the data may not be accurate. Please listen to official information sources for current storm information. This data has no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances. Cat Alerts use publicly available data from the internet and other sources. Impact Forecasting® summarizes this publicly available information for the convenience of those individuals who have contacted Impact Forecasting® and expressed an interest in natural catastrophes of various types. To find out more about Impact Forecasting or to sign up for the Cat Reports, visit Impact Forecasting’s webpage at impactforecasting.com. Copyright © by Aon plc. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise. Impact Forecasting® is a wholly owned subsidiary of Aon plc. Weekly Cat Report 18
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