1 EGOBUEZE ANTHONY PG/Ph.D/05/40129 THE ROLE OF THE RIVERS STATE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY IN CONFLICT MANAGEMENT, 1999-2011 DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE FACULTY OF SOCIAL SCIENCES Chukwuma Ugwuoke Digitally Signed by: Content manager‘s Name DN : CN = Webmaster‘s name O= University of Nigeria, Nsukka OU = Innovation Centre i 2 THE ROLE OF THE RIVERS STATE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY IN CONFLICT MANAGEMENT, 1999-2011 BY EGOBUEZE ANTHONY PG/Ph.D/05/40129 A THESIS SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF REQUIREMENTS FOR THE AWARD OF THE DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY IN GOVERNMENT, DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE, UNIVERSITY OF NIGERIA, NSUKKA SUPERVISOR: PROFESSOR OKECHUKWU IBEANU JUNE, 2013 3 CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1.1. BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY Sections 4(1) and 4(7) of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria provide for the law-making function of the legislature at both the Federal and State levels. Consequently, there is a bi-cameral National Assembly made up of the Senate and House of Representatives at the Federal level, and the 36 unicameral State Houses of Assembly, all legislating for peace, order and good governance of the Federation and States respectively (Egobueze, 2010:4). Since the return to democracy in Nigeria in 1999, four Legislative Assemblies have been elected at both the Federal and State levels. These are 1999-2003, 2003-2007, 2007-2011 and 2011-2015. In each of these elections, thirty two legislators were elected to the Rivers State House of Assembly. This is in conformity with Section 91 of the 1999 Constitution of Nigeria which states, inter alia: Subject to the provisions of this Constitution, a House of Assembly of a State shall consist of three or four times the number of seats which that State has in the House of Representatives divided in a way to reflect, as far as possible nearly equal population: Provided that a House of Assembly of a State shall consist of not less than twenty-four and not more than forty members (FGN, 1999). The Rivers State House of Assembly is a unicameral legislature with thirty – two Members. The 1999-2003 Assembly was composed of three political parties viz; the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), All Peoples Party (APP), later All Nigerian Peoples Party (ANPP) and Alliance Democracy (AD), while all the others have had only members of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) without an opposition party member in the House. The House currently has the following Officers: the Speaker, Deputy Speaker, House Leader, Deputy House Leader, House Whip and Deputy House Whip. Worthy to note is that all other 4 Members of the House are Chairmen of Committees and each of them is a member of not less than four Committees. The legislature is the yardstick for measuring the views of the people in a democracy. It is also the watch dog of public funds in that it not only appropriates for the State but scrutinizes how the funds so appropriated are spent. Finally, the legislature is constitutionally mandated to direct investigations into the conduct of the affairs of State, institutions, organizations and individuals within the State. In other words, the legislature has the right to summon any public or private organization or individual to appear before it to answer questions based on petitions received and or motions made. The Rivers State House of Assembly as a legislative body upholds these mandates. The tripartite functions of the legislature namely, Representation, Legislation and Oversight are central to this research because they manifest in the intervention of the legislature in conflict management. It is important to note that the political landscape of Nigeria particularly in the Niger Delta has been characterized by one conflict or the other. Most of these conflicts have either been for economic, political, religious and or other social reasons. Executive, Legislative and Judicial means have been adopted in the resolution of these conflicts. From 1966 when Isaac Adaka Boro formed the Delta Volunteer Force (DVF) to confront the Nigerian State against perceived oppression and marginalization till date, the oil rich Rivers State has witnessed several conflict situations that have to do with oil, economic wealth, politics and the misapplication of the huge resources that come with them. Some of these conflicts were the Ogoni crises which resulted to the death of prominent Ogoni leaders including the environmentalist, Ken Saro Wiwa in the 1995, the Umuechem crisis; and the Ogbakiri crises. Since the return to civilian rule in 1999, the State has witnessed not less than forty five conflicts that culminated in the loss of many lives and properties. Prominent among these are Emuoha Civil Disturbances 1999, 2001, 2002, 2010; Ogbakiri communal crisis 1999, 2011; 5 Choba-Wilbros crisis 1999; Okrika crisis 2002-2003, 2007; Tombia crisis 2002-2003; Omuma crisis 2003, 2007-2011 among others. The above conflicts in the oil rich State have majorly been between the government forces and some militant elements on one hand and inter or intra communal on the other hand. The conflicts have been mainly attributed to economic and political factors, that is, quest for economic wealth as well as political power. Conflict is not only a threat to human rights, but also a barrier to development. Violent conflicts can reverse decades of development gains. The costs of preventing conflicts are far lower than the costs associated with recovery. Effective and responsive programming in the field of democratic governance can be a major component of work to prevent violent conflict and support post-conflict peace building. Through their everyday work of representing constituents, law-making, oversight of government activities, and the process of political contests, Legislative Houses have a critical role to play in conflict prevention and resolution. Legitimately, elected Houses provide a forum for the concerns of diverse societal groups to be aired and incorporated into processes of dialogue, reconstruction and conflict resolution. The legislature is a natural place for mediation, where competing points of view can be represented. By providing a forum to debate contentious issues peacefully, the House helps prevent violent political conflicts. Such dialogue can help to prevent conflicts by generating an understanding of the challenges facing society, and a consensus on how to address them. In this way, the legislature can mitigate the divisions caused by conflicts by developing an inclusive vision for society, based on commonly held values and goals. For democratic governance to peacefully manage conflicts, Executive bodies must function efficiently and effectively. This requires ‗Legislative oversight of the Executive‘, a core Legislative function. The Legislature connects citizens with the State and holds governments to account for their actions or inactions on critical issues that have bearing on conflicts. For instance, the Legislature can ensure that government works to resolve a conflict 6 between the University Unions and the Executive by providing in the Appropriation Law, good remuneration for the University workers. Also, in order to check restiveness of youths, it could eradicate the seeds of conflicts by advocating for pro-poor policies, monitoring the implementation of poverty reduction strategies, and by ensuring that the appropriation — and its implementation — respond to popular needs and expectations. The Legislature also promotes dialogue on budgetary issues and communicates the reasons behind the allocation of resources, to ‗manage‘ constituents‘ expectations and minimize conflicts that result from competition for scarce resources. Legislative oversight of the security sector is a crucial element of the balance of power within a democracy. Legislators have a critical role to play in monitoring the use of the State budget for security sector expenses and in reviewing draft laws on security issues. As citizens‘ representatives, they could relay citizen‘s concerns and priorities to be incorporated into security laws and policies. It is essential to state that the Executive has always been a dominant player in conflict resolution and creating political stability. However, the role of the Legislature has most often been considered tangential. More studies have been done on the Executive in general and the Legislature at the Federal level than the State, but none of these studies featured the role of the Legislature in conflict management. Okoosi-Simbine (2007:9) avers that a logical study of the Legislature in contemporary Nigeria is the National Assembly, where empirical indications of a malfunctioning Legislature are regularly featured in Nigerian dailies. Some major studies on the Legislature in Nigeria and germane to our research are (Alabi and Egbowole, 2010; Olusanya & Akindele, 1986; Ayodele, 2002:12-24; Ayua, Guobadia and Adekunle, 2000; Bello Imam, 2004:406-426; Dunmoye, Njoku and Aluba, 2007; Egobueze, 2010; Egwu, 2005; Guobadia and Azinge, 2007; Ogwu and Alli, 2007; Mbah, 2007; Nwabueze 2007; Nzeribe, 2004). 7 It is therefore important to the discipline of political science that more empirical research be produced on the contributions of the Legislature to conflict management and political stability generally. Mishler and Hildreth (1984:26-27) are correct about studies of the Legislature when they note that: …the available research tends to be impressionistic and based on case studies of one or at most a small group of nations having typically similar legislative systems, political cultures, regime types, and levels of economic and political development. Even then, the conclusions are inconsistent and contradictory. Consequently, we still may not understand whether, to what extent, and under what conditions legislatures contribute to political stability or its breakdown. The question still is, as Wahlke (1971:165) posed it, "how do representative bodies contribute to the generation and maintenance of support? In what respects and for what particular aspects of the task are they superior to non-representative institutions?" This work attempts to redress this neglect by examining the critical role that the Legislature plays in conflict management focusing on the Rivers State House of Assembly between 1999 and 2011. This covers the period between the reintroduction of democratic rule on 29th May, 1999 to 29th May, 2011 when the 6th Assembly came into being. That is, it covers the 4th, 5th and 6th Assemblies. The period is associated with years of uninterrupted civil rule, based on the presidential system at all tiers of government in Nigeria. In a nutshell, this is a study of the role of the legislature in creating political stability through its role in conflict management in Rivers State. 1.2. STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM It is generally assumed by both political scientists and policy makers that conflict management is principally the role of the Executive and Judicial arms of government. The role of the Legislature in conflict management is assumed to be incidental, often limited to enactment of legislations to give effect to negotiated agreements or curb the proliferation of 8 conflicts. This is assumed to be the case for both international and domestic conflicts. In international conflicts, the executive arm of government takes the lead in foreign policy, especially in treaty making and implementation. Although in some jurisdictions like Nigeria, the Legislature is required to domesticate international treaties before they come into effect, in reality, once treaties have been entered into, their domestication becomes almost a routine exercise. On the other hand, in domestic conflicts, it is assumed that the Executive and Judiciary take the lead. This is so for a number of reasons; first, it is principally in the process of implementing government policies that most domestic conflicts arise and the Executive arm, as the policy implementation arm of government, is at the fore of managing these conflicts. Secondly, as the arm of government which principally incarnates the capacity and authority of the state, the Executive arm has responsibility to manage conflicts and create political order and stability. Thirdly, the Judiciary is central to conflict management because of its role as the interpreter of policies and legislation. Finally, the role of the Legislative arm in conflict resolution is subdued because as a body, it incarnates the diversities of society and it is precisely such diversities that create the fault lines of conflicts in the first place. Some scholars however argue that: Recognizing the minimal role played by most legislatures in the lawmaking and policy processes, scholars increasingly have attempted to account for the prevalence, persistence, and apparent regenerative capacity of legislative institutions in terms of their putative contributions to political stability. The argument usually advanced is that by providing an institutional forum for the representation of societal diversity and the expression of dissent, legislatures contribute to the integration of society and the legitimation of both government and regime. In so doing, legislatures are credited with reducing levels of political conflict, rendering conflict more manageable, and mitigating the effects of conflict on government and regime (Mishler and Hildreth, 1984:25-26). In support of the above school of thought, Loewenberg and Patterson (1979, 65-67) are careful to point out that: 9 Legislatures are not the only or even the most important institutions that perform these functions. They also note that some legislatures perform these functions better than others and that in some circumstances legislatures may even exacerbate political conflict and undermine stability. Nevertheless, they conclude that when political leaders collectively deliberate on political issues in public, that they do so, how they do so, and to what effect they do so have profound consequences for the survival of political system. In countries divided by conflicts, and where the management of conflicts by the executive and judicial branches of government have been ineffective, there is an urgent need for reconciliation to enable all communities to work together towards a common vision of a peaceful future. The Legislature can exercise a leadership role in a broad reconciliation process by building relationships across party lines and by bringing to bear its oversight functions. Also, they can use their legislative role to promote reconciliation, for example by drafting laws that address grievances in representation (e.g. electoral or constitutional reforms), human rights legislation or minority rights legislation that lessens animosities between communities. By participating in the legislative process in a spirit of co-operation to produce such laws – and by strengthening judicial independence to support their implementation – parliaments can play a key role in supporting conflict prevention. In all, the role of the legislature in conflict management could be linked to the concept of Alternative Dispute Resolution (ADR). This research examines the role of the Legislature in conflict management in a conflict prone emerging democracy like Nigeria. It seeks to explain the rising role of the legislature in conflict management in Nigeria. Dominant paradigms frozen in the assumption that the Legislature only makes laws completely ignore the dynamic and changing role of that organ of government, particularly in situations where traditional institutions of conflict management are either underdeveloped or ineffective. The legislature as the creator of institutional rules and the collective democratic will of the people increasingly plays a role in 10 conflict management in such contexts. In fact as Meny (1993:186) suggests, the role or state of the legislature is a crucial indicator of the state of health of democratic government. The nature and dynamics of conflict and the processes of conflict management differ from one institution to the other and from sector to sector in a society. However, the driving forces for conflictual relationships remain largely the same. Nieuwmeijer and Cloete (2001:4) opine that: The driving forces for conflictual relationship consist of the perceptions by one or more individuals or groups of conflicting or diverging values, aspirations, needs or interests in society, that hamper the full realisation or fulfilment of one‘s own values, aspirations, needs or interests. If these perceptions are intense enough, they are transformed into actions to redress the perceived problem by mobilising resources to promote one‘s own interests at the cost of others, resulting in an escalation of tension among the parties concerned. The specific issues around which conflict revolves, the manifestations of the conflict and the conflict management strategies and processes, however, are different in the social, cultural, organizational, economic, technological and political sectors of society. It is instructive to state that the management of conflicts falls basically with the responsibilities traditional to the executive and the judiciary. However, it is sad to note that these institutions have not been able to adequately stem conflicts. Instead, conflicts have deepened in Nigeria and indeed Rivers State. As a result of this perceived inefficiency, Legislative bodies as the broadest representatives of the people have been inundated with petitions from the public about conflicts. The implication of this is that there is the growing trust and confidence by the people in the ability of the Legislature to resolve conflicts. Therefore, the relevant question is not whether Legislatures contribute to political stability or change: some undoubtedly facilitate stability; others promote change; still others have little effect on either; and all are susceptible to reciprocal influences from their environments, that is, the political system. Nonetheless, the important question, rather, is under what conditions are Legislatures likely 11 to contribute to stability as measured by conflict management and to what extent is this feasible? What combination of legislative structures and procedures is most conducive to political stability, under what circumstances, in what social, economic, and political settings are citizens more likely to trust the Legislature with conflict management than they would with the Executive and the Judiciary? To this end therefore, this research seeks to answer the following questions: 1. Does the direct interest of members of the Legislature in conflicts lead to increased involvement of the Legislature in conflict management? 2. Does the failure of the Executive and Judiciary to reduce conflicts increase the involvement of the legislature in conflict management? 3. Does the involvement of the Legislature in conflict management enhance political stability? 1.3. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY The general objective of this study is to explain the rising role of the Legislature in conflict management and, therefore, in creating political stability in emerging democracies like Nigeria. More specifically, this study seeks to: 1. Investigate whether the direct interest of the members of the Legislature in a conflict would lead to the increased involvement of the Legislature in conflict management. 2. Ascertain whether the failure of the Executive and Judiciary to reduce conflicts would increase the involvement of the legislature in conflict management. 3. Determine whether the successful management of conflict by the Legislature would enhance political stability in Rivers State 4. Make recommendations that would engender peace and stability capable of stemming conflicts and promoting good governance in the State. 1.4. SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY 12 The empirical significance of this study is that it treats a current and socially relevant subject. It is important to state that the Legislature not only represents the masses, but also enacts laws and conducts oversight especially on the Executive branch of government, which implements the laws made. Through its power of the purse, motions/resolutions as well as bills, the legislature could stem the tide of bad governance and redirect the focus of government to be transparent and very accountable to the people, this the World Bank argues, is relevant in modern democracy. There is dearth of empirical theoretical knowledge on the Legislature in Nigeria‘s politics, because of the long period of military rule, which invariably was characterized by the sack of the Legislature and its replacement with military (decrees) making structures with different nomenclatures at different times in our political history. These antidemocratic forces were features of governance in Nigeria till the rebirth of democracy in May, 29, 1999, when all democratic institutions were restored with Chief Obasanjo as the President and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. Most literature dwelled essentially on the Executive which had fully evolved ignoring the position of the Legislature, study on the Legislature is currently agitating the mind of scholars and provoking discourse in social science. Furthermore, the major theoretical significance of the studies lie essentially in filling a major theoretical gap on the rising role of the Legislature in conflict management. 13 14 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK This study critically looks at the legislature and conflict management in Rivers State. In order to establish our work within the context of others related to this study, we would critically examine the contributions of some scholars on conflict, political stability and the legislature. Therefore, this research seeks to review the legislature and conflict management, and legislative/executive relations, conflict management and political stability. Political Stability The concept of political stability is nebulous. It can refer among many other things to the level of domestic political order or violence, the continuity of the government in power, the persistence of the basic constitutional framework, or the public's feelings of support, opposition, or apathy toward their country, its institutions, or political leaders (Mishler and Hildreth, 1984:33). Political stability is the level of domestic political order or violence, the continuity of the government in power, the persistence of the basic constitutional framework, or the public's feelings of support, opposition, or apathy toward their country, its institutions, or political leaders. Sharma, (1989) sees stability as synonymous with endurance equilibrium, viability and durability. That is, political stability to him refers to endurance of political system. The equilibrium is a resultant condition of the political system in the wake of socioeconomic cultural changes to maintain viability of the regime and durability of the government or administration. Moreover, Loewenberg and Patterson (1979:299) as cited in Mishler and Hildreth remind us, ―stability in some of these respects can be accompanied by instability in others. Urban guerrillas may create violence in the midst of stable institutions; the nation may continue to exist although the central institutions of government change, some members of the public may defy government decisions without fomenting violence.‖ At a minimum, following Easton's (1965:177, 194, 213) cited in Mishler and Hildreth that 15 distinction of the community, government authorities, and the regime as separate objects of political support, it is important to distinguish three general types of stability: mass stability or the absence of political violence and disorder; regime stability or the continuity of basic political institutions; and government stability or the continuity of government leaders, political parties, and public policies. Many reasons have been adduced in the literature as causes of instability in Nigeria and indeed the Third World, the most outstanding is the absence of good governance, interpreted variously as lack of competitive democratic practice, accountability and absence of rule of law. These hydra headed factors mentioned above, lead to crack of the political system and crystalline to political instability. Ojo (2006:1) holds that: Those who studied new democracies such as ours tell us that many of them do face threats of illegal or pseudo-democratic overthrow by anti-democratic force. Many faces more faceless spectacular changes but contend with the more insidious dangers of decay, more incremental and less transparent forms of regression that usually lead to a fuzzy semi-democracy, a hybrid regime somewhere between liberal democracy and dictatorship. Zachariah (1997) views this scenario as ―a permanent agile illiberal democracy‖. Thus, there is democratic erosion at all levels of Nigeria‘s political life. The basic principles of popular sovereignty, participation and accountability which entail selecting government and making them accountable to the citizens which Mayo (1960) asserts: Popular control of policy makers, political equality of all adult citizens, effectiveness of popular control and building majority decision if and when the representatives are divided on an issue are invisible in our democratic process. There is also the subversion of the Rule of Law, which simply means limitation of the powers of the rulers. For Ojo (2006:2) election and accountability to the electorate are defining characters of democracy. Indeed, the dilemma of democracy is that free and fair elections may produce racists, fascists, ethnic jingoists, separatists and religious bigots. Or government produced by free and fair elections may be inefficient, corrupt, shortsighted, 16 irresponsible, dominated by special interest, and incapable of adopting policies demanded by the public good (Agbakoba, 1999). To prevent tyranny, liberal constitutionalism emphasizes separation of powers, checks and balances in the power of each branch of government, equality under the law and impartial courts/tribunals. The challenge to good governance which enhances political order is associated with the dominance of the executive over the other branches of government, most importantly the legislature. The Executive arm of government has been a constant factor as the prime mechanism for governing Nigeria (Robert, 2002) and (Benjamin, 1999). It has remained a dominant ‗power house‘ of government operations and has orchestrated corruption and incapacity to manage effectively the polity. The inefficiency of the Executive arm of government to effectively manage the polity has incarnated crisis which has led to economic, social and political instability. From the President through the thirty-six State Governors to the Seven Hundred and Seventy-Four Local Government Chairmen, the executive has arrogated to itself absolute and enormous powers inconsistent with modern Constitutions (Egobueze, 2009:3). They see themselves as infallible and men and women of absolute wisdom, thus, continuing with the centralization of authority of the military era, despite widespread cry for reversal. Just like the President and the State Governors, the Local Government Chairmen have continued to usurp the powers and rights of other branches of government, most importantly, the Legislature. The Legislature which is empowered to check and control Executive excesses, has failed to do so either because of fear of retaining their tickets (getting re-elected) or desire for personal aggrandizements. Instead of guarding against the Legislature‘s powers vis-à-vis the executive, legislators have extensively fallen prey to the ageless tradition of divide and rule introduced by our colonial masters and entrenched by successive regimes in Nigeria (Egobueze, 2009:6). The horizontal executive encroachment on other branches of government, visibly the Legislature, has devastating effects on our democracy. It not only 17 defeats the spirit and letter of the principle of Separation of Powers, but it undermines the philosophy of good governance. The absence of good governance leads to disaffection among various groups in the polity. The effects of this therefore, are acrimonious contestation and political upheaval that have defined our political life. Omololu (2007:32) asserts that one of the major factors responsible for political instability is the failure of the political class to sufficiently adhere to the basic tenets of democracy and constitutionalism. As Harriman (2006:2) has rightly noted, this situation ―has given rise to abuse of power, brazen corruption, disregard for due process and the rule of law, intolerance of political opposition, abuse of the electoral process and the weakening of institutions.‖ This contradicts the tenet of governance, which presupposes ―the process of social engagement between the rulers and the ruled in a political community‖ (Adejumobi, 2004). Political stability and or instability has occupied a central stage in social science research. Prominent contributions are those of Studies in political development in ‗new states‘ by Huntington (1965), Ake (1975), Nnoli, Shill (1966), Almond et al (1960), Lars Rudebeck et al (1998), O‘Daniel and Schimitter (1986), Folola and Ihonvbere (1985), Callage (1984), Clapham (1985) among others were conducted from different theoretical perspectives. These studies were of modernization, to the strains of liberal, neo-liberal and radical perspectives. Studies predicated on modernization perspective locate socio-economic factors ‗and the rise of strong middle class‘ to explain political in (stability) and democratic evolution in new states. In his contribution, Fukuyama, while in a foreword to Samuel Philip Huntington‘s book as cited in Huntington (2006: xii) observes that modernization theorists placed a strong normative value on being modern, and in their view, the good things of modernity tended to go together. Economic development, changing social relationships like urbanization and the 18 breakdown of primary kinship groups, higher and more inclusive levels of education, normative shift towards values like‘ achievement‘ and rationality, secularization, and the development of democratic political institutions were all seen as interdependent whole. Economic development would fuel better education, which would lead to value change, which would promote modern politics, and so on in a virtuous circle. Leading this school of thought is Huntington. Huntington (1968:32) describes modernization as a multifaceted process involving changes in all areas of human thought and activity. He stresses the importance of modern political institutional structures as guarantors of political stability in society. He argues that ‗political decay‘ entails instability in the society, that is, political order depends to a large extent on the relationship between the development of political institutions and the modernization of new social forces into politics (Huntington, 1968:vii). Huntington believes that the prevalence of political instability in ‗developing societies‘ stem largely from rapid social change and rapid modernization of new groups into politics, coupled with slow development of political institutions (Huntington, 1968:4). He sees the absence of broad participation of the citizens in politics as a source of instability. For Huntington, political instability was rife in twentieth-century Asia, Africa, and Latin America in large part because the rate of modernization was so much faster than it had in the earlier modernizing countries. Mishler and Hildreth (1985) hold the view that Modernization theory assumed that conflicts in developing societies were borne out of the fact that the peoples who constituted these societies originated from varied cultures that engaged themselves in bloody duels before the advent of the ‗civilisers‘. Modernization theory was based on the premise of existentialism, the theorist advanced charismatic national leadership, national parties, national youth movements, national political institutions, western education, advances in communication and transportation, and urbanization – indeed modernization – as catalysts for 19 integration. However, in a major critique of modernization theory, Melson and Wolpe (1971:3) asserted that, ―inter-group conflict is seldom a product of simple cultural diversity and, in the Nigerian case there is little that is ‗traditional‘ about the contemporary pattern of political divisions. On the contrary, Nigeria‘s political crisis is traceable directly to the widening of social horizons and to the process of modernization at work within the national boundaries‖. On the other hand, radical scholars like Ake, Nnoli, David and Schimitter, Folola and Ihonvbere among others locate the role of classes, the dynamics of their incessant struggle, and centre periphery issues and political instability in excolonies as the causes of instability in new states. Ake (1975:273) argues that, the regularity of the flow of political exchanges; the more regular the flow of political exchanges, the more stability. Although, we may state that there is political stability to the extent that members of the society restrict themselves to the behavioral patterns that fall within their political expectations. Any act that deviates from these limits is an instance of political instability. Ake therefore visualizes political stability as an absence of structural change, or conversely, or presence of continuity and patterns. According to Ake as cited in (Shama, 1989) a political system is stable when the inputs and output between its component unit… and between it… and its environment are regular enough to make possible the persistence of the main structural patterns of the system. He continues, we may say the political system is stable when the impact on the system of the dysfunctional processes generated by the system and environment are neutralized to the extent of keeping them from altering the structure of the political system. To Ake, the system that is capable of neutralizing the dysfunctional process are authoritarian, paternal, identific and consensual. If any of these attributes is missing, then, the system will tend to be instable. Political instability in one form or the other has been a recurring phenomenon in the history of mankind. Its occurrence has often coincided with the rise and fall of political 20 system/regimes. Political science has consistently puzzled itself with the problem of political instability, its causes, characteristics, consequence and cures. Changing notions about the State, new formed governments, the relationship between the state and the individuals, economic rights, individual right and liberty, rising expectations for freedom and society are all indices for the search for a durable form of government. As this idea for a perfect form of government has not yet been found, no government can be totally immune from instability (Sharma, 1989). The nature and patterns of political instability have changed considerably due to historical acceleration process of modernization, development in technology and communication in the last century (Sharma, 1989). Both old and new states have experienced massive disorder, violent change and sometimes even total breakdown of their political system. Since after the Second World War, many nations have witnessed upheavals; the most current being the wind of change in the Arab world popularly known as ‗Arab Spring‘, the London civil disturbances, the Oslo carnage, the Niger Delta upheaval, the Buko Haram phenomenon in several parts of Nigeria to mention but a few. Studies show that substantive efforts have been made to ascertain some fundamentals requisite of political stability. Some of these are: distribution of wealth, geographical location, attitude towards the state, experience with revolution, class structure, appropriate political institutions, presence of independent political groups, role of elites and racial capacity. In his contribution, Hurwitz (1973:450) itemized the following as approaches to political stability: the absence of violence; governmental longevity; the existence of a legitimate constitutional regime; the absence of structural change and a multifaceted social attribute. Usman (2000) opines that the political stability of any form of government has to involve the stable realisation of the political essence of that form of government. The political 21 stability of a communal gerontocracy in villages and small towns headed by elders under an age grade system means the continuation of the exercise of power by those who have reached the appropriate age at various levels of the system. The political stability of a feudal monarchy means the continuation of the exercise of power by the heirs of the dynasty or dynasties who produce the monarch. The political stability of the type of democracy provided for in our constitution means the continuation of the exercise of power by those freely elected by the people of this country for specific periods with definite mandates which conform to the Fundamental Objectives and Directive Principles of State Policy clearly defined in chapter II of the 1999 Constitution of Federal Republic of Nigeria as amended. While explaining political stability, it is difficult to avoid normative conditions; it is the extent of effectiveness in the maintenance of political order in a society. This implies stability of the political system, viability of political regime and durability of government. That is, the components of political stability are society, regime and government. The extent of stability depends on them. The first property, which is the society, implies that demands in the society are processed in an orderly and peaceful manner. The use of violence to further political ends is not justified against norms associated with domestic polity. However, mild violence may be adopted sometimes but this depends on the political culture of the state. Political regime or government and its personnel are good measure of political stability. Longevity of certain government breaches stability. The revolution in the Arab world which claimed dozens of lives is an indicator of this. Moreover, as Loewenberg and Patterson (1979: 299) remind us, "stability in some of this respect can be accompanied by instability in others. Urban guerrillas may create violence in the midst of stable institutions; the nation may continue to exist although the central institutions of government change, some members of the public may defy government decisions without fomenting violence. It is important to distinguish three general types of 22 stability: mass stability or the absence of political violence and disorder; regime stability or the continuity of basic political institutions; and government stability or the continuity of government leaders, political parties, and public policies. In all, to determine the extent of political stability of a polity, we must be able to systematically identify both regularities and irregularities in the flow of political exchanges. Political behavior or act of exchange is regular if it does not violate the system or pattern of political exchange; it is irregular if it violates that pattern. Political instability in Nigeria stems from the inability of its ‗bourgeoisie‘ to take control over other classes in the struggle ‗to create a viable hegemony in the social formation (Folola and Ihonvbere, 1985: 234). A close examination of political instability in Rivers State indicates that both the modernization and the radical scholars have been unable to provide solutions to the persistent conflicts in the state in particular and Nigeria at large. They are yet to address the roots of the problem. Questions about why, how and when the instability evolves are yet to be addressed. Conflict and Conflict Management It is a well known fact that neighbours are our biggest assets as they most often stand by us whenever we need them. Let us take the example of Akwa Ibom and Cross Rivers states in Nigeria or at international level, India and Pakistan. The duo are twin sisters as there is hardly any difference in the culture, religion, climatic conditions, eating habits of the people staying in both states and the countries, but, the two states and countries are always at loggerheads. Small issues between the two sister states and countries have triggered a conflict between them which has now become a major concern for both the states and countries. Conflict is inherent in all societies and arises when two or more groups believe their interests are incompatible. ‗Conflict‘ is not, however, interchangeable with ‗violence‘. Nonviolent resolution is possible when individuals and groups have trust in their governing 23 structures, society and institutions to manage incompatible interests. Conflict becomes a problem when this trust and respective conflict management capacities are absent and conflicting parties choose instead to resort to the use of force to secure their goals. While no single definition of conflict exists, most definitions confluence around two broad views: that there are at least two independent groups, the groups perceive some incompatibility between themselves, and the groups interact with each other in some way. Two example definitions are, ―process in which one party perceives that its interests are being opposed or negatively affected by another party" (Wall & Callister, 1995:517), and ―the interactive process manifested in incompatibility, disagreement, or dissonance within or between social entities‖ (Rahim, 1992:16). Conflict occurs with two or more people who, despite their first attempts at agreement, do not yet have agreement on a course of action, usually because their values, perspectives and opinions are contradictory in nature. Thus, conflict is the ―process in which one party perceives that its interests are being opposed or negatively affected by another party" that is, it is ―the interactive process manifested in incompatibility, disagreement, or dissonance within or between social entities‖. Conflict is a clash between individuals arising out of a difference in thought process, attitudes, understanding, interests, requirements and even sometimes perceptions. Conflict results in heated arguments, physical abuses and definitely loss of peace and harmony. A conflict can actually change relationships; persons, communities, states and countries that were hitherto friends may become foes as a result of conflict. A small conflict not controlled at the correct time may lead to a large war and rifts among countries leading to major unrest and disharmony. Conflicts can be of many types like verbal conflict, religious conflict, emotional conflict, social conflict, personal conflict, organizational conflict, community conflict and so on. 24 Conflict management is the implementation of strategies to limit the negative aspects of conflict and to increase the positive aspects of conflict at a level equal to or higher than where the conflict is taking place. That is, conflict management aims at the enhancement of learning and group outcomes and effectiveness in organizational setting. It is not concerned with eliminating all conflict or avoiding conflict, but limiting conflicts. Conflict management normally aims at the settlement or regulation of disputes (peaceful or violent) about conflicting relevant values, interests or preferences; and about the general access to resources at governmental level in society. Poor conflict management remains a major source of political instability in countries the problem of good governance like Nigeria. The Legislature and Conflict Management The legislators, not only have the capacity to represent their people, but also legislate for peace and good governance of the State. This involves in the main, having a say in translating preferences into policy through the enactment of high impact laws that would engender peace and security of the lives and properties of the citizens. Good legislations check conflicts and this is very essential in every stable democracy. This, Johnson and Nakamara (1999) say requires reconciling differences once articulated, as well as pressing the legislature‘s claim to power against the executive and other power holders such as political parties. Thus, law making is important to the Legislature, just as policy implementation is to the Executive, and interpretation of laws, to the Judiciary. The three arms of government must work in coordinate relationship in order to maintain peace and security and provide the dividends of democracy to the people. Conflict has remained a dominant feature of modern democracies because of lack of service delivery by the State to the citizens, and unhealthy rivalry of the ruling elites for access to political and economic power and wide spread corruption. Nations are almost sliding to self destruction as a result of conflicts; USAID (2004:1) argues that: 25 ‗Civil‘ conflict has become the dominant mode of violence in the post-Cold War era. In 2001, all but one of the world‘s wars was internal, and widespread, deadly violence now affects nearly 60 percent of the countries of the world. While conflict can be an inherent and legitimate part of social and political life, in many places the costs and consequences of conflict, crisis, and instability have become unacceptably high. Internal conflict causes tremendous human suffering with a disproportionate share of the costs falling on civilian victims. In today‘s wars, civilians are nine times more likely to be killed than combatants. By the year 2000, internal conflict and repression had generated 14.5 million asylum seekers worldwide and nearly 25 million persons were displaced within their own countries. Child soldiers, gender-specific atrocities, and the targeting of aid workers are all part of ―new war‖ scenarios. The word ‗conflict‘ (Latin, conflictus) means ‗fighting or a struggle for mastery‘; ‗a quarrel‘. It means therefore a combat; a striving to oppose or overcome active opposition. Many scholars have defined the word in different ways, but for the purpose of this study, we would look at the usefulness of some of these definitions to our study. Conflict arises as a result of frustration of important life goals or profound disruption of life cycles and methods of coping with life stressors. Huggett (1999) in Uchendu (2007: 10) see ‗conflict as a struggle, a strong disagreement, a clash between contradictory wishes, to be incompatible, to oppose‘. That is, it is opposing interest that occurs in relationship. Thomas (1992: 891) visualizes conflict as 'the process which begins when one party perceives that another has frustrated, or is about to frustrate, some concern of his'. Conflict is an expressed struggle between at least two inter dependent parties who perceive incompatible goals, scarce rewards and interferences from the other part in achieving their goals. Finally, it is a situation in which people, group or countries are involved in a serious disagreement or argument; this could be a violent or fighting, or a situation where there are opposing ideas, opinions, feelings or wishes, a situation where it is difficult to choose. Conflict management normally is the settlement or regulation of disputes (peaceful or violent) about conflicting relevant values, interests or preferences; and about the general 26 access to resources at governmental level in society (Burgess & Burgess 1997:77 and Miall, Ramsbotham & Woodhouse 1999:21). According to Ifesinachi in Ikejiani-Clark (2009:104) conflict management is the operationalization and responses to the enforcement of the strategic provisions, goals and ideals of conflict resolution agenda. Conflict Management is the complementary role of process and structural interventions, and some diagnostic questions to help practitioners identify key intervention targets. Once conflict has broken out, prevention is obviously not an option any more, and the next best strategy is the need to resolve it. Acceptance and regulation only becomes an option once resolution is also not possible. As stated above, resolution implies a primary focus on the deep-seated roots of the problem, as well as the creation of conditions within which such attempts at resolution can be implemented and pursued relatively effectively (Burgess & Burgess 1997:76). It therefore means both a short term focus on a de-escalation of the conflict into more peaceful and rational and less violent and emotional interaction among the conflicting parties, and a longer term focus on the elimination of those trigger factors that led to the eruption of the conflict, i.e. to bring about structural changes that will eliminate the conflict. Conflict resolution is a complex, multidimensional process that can be costly and time-consuming, but if it succeeds in transforming destructive energies in society into constructive energies, it can bring about sustainable peace. External interventions are in some situations necessary in order to achieve these outcomes. Violent conflict dramatically disrupts traditional development. It discourages investment, erodes and weakens the institutions needed for political and economic reform, redirects resources to non-productive uses, and causes a dramatic deterioration in the quality of life. In the past fifty years as a nation, Nigeria has spent billions of Naira on development programmes. Prominent among these are the unending Ajaokuta Steel Company, the EastWest road truncated by the Niger Delta upsurge and other roads across the nation. Many of 27 these projects may never come to fruition due to conflicts. The consequences of conflicts are not limited to the country where they are prevalent; they also have sub-regional and transnational implications. It also has a damaging effect on global stability. Transnational criminal organizations and terrorist cells have found refuge and profit in fragile states and have used war torn societies, such as Somalia, Sudan, Afghanistan, Yemen, Iraq, and on a lighter note Nigeria as bases from which to target the interests and citizens of other countries. The botched terrorist attack on the United States Delta Airline by the young Nigerian Mutallab is a case in point. A peaceful and stable world order is a key foreign policy priority for many nations of the world, and foreign assistance has a critical role to play in achieving this goal. Many of the most important causes of violence such as a stagnant or deteriorating economy, weak or illegitimate political institutions, or competition over natural resources already lie squarely at the heart of traditional assistance. Although development and humanitarian assistance programmes are increasingly implemented in situations of open or latent violence, most still do not explicitly incorporate a sensitivity to conflict in their design or execution. The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) were designed over ten years ago to check basic issues that may lead to conflict. With less than five years away to the expiration of the targeted period of the visions of the founding fathers of these goals, how ready is Africa and indeed Nigeria for the realization of these goals? USAID (2004:3) observes that there are different causes of conflict; thus, there is an emerging consensus that certain broad clusters or categories of causes need to be in place for conflict to emerge. These are: 1) incentives or motives for participation in violence; 2) causes that facilitate the mobilization and expansion of violence; 3) institutional capacity to manage and respond to violence; and 4) regional or international causes. 28 The first category looks at motives or incentives for participating in violence. Ethnic or religious tensions, political exclusion and repression, population pressures, poverty, and competition over access to valuable natural resources all fit into this category. Many of these factors feed into a strong sense of grievance, and without a widespread sense of anger it will be difficult to move large numbers of people to fight. However, greed and selfishness are major reasons for turning to violence. Some groups and individuals, loosely termed ‗conflict entrepreneurs‘, stand to gain a great deal of power and wealth from instability and conflicts. These are a particularly pernicious and difficult set of incentives to address, and they require a very different set of solutions than those that have traditionally focused on redressing grievance. The second category looks at whether individuals or groups with an incentive for violence have the means at their disposal to organize and execute conflict on a wide scale. Do they have the organizational capacity necessary to sustain violence? Do they have access to money and weapons and on what scale? Are there pools of recruits they can draw from? Without these resources, no matter how deeply felt a grievance or overwhelming the desire for economic or political gain, widespread violence cannot be sustained. Causes in this category are critical for determining whether violence will remain at a relatively low, sporadic level or whether violence will scale-up to more dangerous levels that can lead to the widespread loss of life and property and ultimately trigger state failure. The third category looks at whether the opportunity exists for conflict to emerge. Essentially, state institutions are the filter through which all other causes of violence must pass. Institutions can either work to address grievances and be responsive to the needs of their citizens, or they can fuel discontent through repression, poor governance, corruption, and inefficiency. They can block access to conflict resources by crafting policies that limit the flow of arms or find economic alternatives for potential recruits, they can fail to do so, or 29 they can actively contribute to conflict by providing these resources to different factions. Perhaps most important, institutions can either constrain the behavior of opportunistic elites who see violence as an effective strategy for gaining power and wealth, or they can create the conditions that foster their emergence, appeal and room for maneuver. While these three categories are at the heart of internal conflicts, forces at the regional and international level have become increasingly important. National borders in most parts of the world are extremely porous and many of the networks that sustain conflicts are transnational in scope. The boko haram case in Northern Nigeria in the early part of 2010, the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) and all other militant Groups in the Niger Delta before the Amnesty Programme are worthy of note. The ease with which rebel movements sell oil, diamonds and gold on global markets; arms flows, refugee flows, and trans - boundary extremist groups have all had a significant impact on violence occurring within a country and indeed Nigeria. If all of these causes are in place, there will be certain events, such as elections or natural disasters, economic shocks, religious extremism or riots to trigger the outbreak of full-scale violence. The legislature, as the representative body of government, has the potential to be an extremely effective institution for conflict management. Legislatures are the guarantors of pluralism and can play a significant role to ensure the proper workings of government while protecting the interests of minorities (Taylor, 2005: 105) or disenfranchised groups. Stakeholders can transfer their grievances from the battlefield to the political sphere, and power-sharing mechanisms can be adopted to bring all segments of society into the political framework (Sisk, 2001:789). In addition, stakeholders can pursue compromises and participate in making difficult decisions on contentious issues of national policy through the legislative and committee processes in the legislature. An effective legislature can exercise 30 oversight over the executive, acting as a check on an authority, which if unfettered, could ignore or abuse minority interests. Managing conflict between competing groups is an essential function of legislatures in all democracies (IPU, 2006:1). The very process of democratization hinges on the development of ‗tolerance, bargaining, and compromise among rival political groups‘ (Barkan, 1995:3). This function is especially critical in post-conflict and fragile states. In these contexts, where there is recent precedent for the use of violence to settle disputes and grievances, government institutions must reconcile divergent interests and build effective compromises. The importance of compromise creation in conflict management is tremendous. In its absence, the legislature could become an ineffective institution where legislative activity is paralyzed; alternatively, it could produce decisions that are unacceptable to a wide array of social groups or individuals. Either outcome can lead to the breakdown of legislative legitimacy, as governmental inefficacy or systematic exclusion from decisionmaking processes lead important groups to lose faith in democratic governance structures. Democratic consolidation becomes impossible under such circumstances, for democratization is complete only when key societal stakeholders view the democratic process as the only legitimate way to pursue group interests. Legislatures can function either in a ‗transformative‘ manner or act simply as ‗arenas‘. Transformative legislatures possess the independent capacity to mold and transform proposals from whatever source into laws. Arenas, in contrast, serve as formalized settings for the interplay of significant political forces in the life of a political system (Polsby, 1975:277). A metamorphosis from ‗arena‘ to ‗transformative legislature‘ needs to occur to equip legislatures in conflictual states with the capacity to manage conflicts and build compromises. Legislatures need to serve not merely as forums for the airing of disagreements, but as creative bodies capable of producing policy solutions that a broad 31 variety of societal actors can support. Such an outcome requires the establishment of suitably designed institutional sub-structures and regulations (Polsby, 1975:291), with the goal of reducing the likelihood that policy creation will become deadlocked or that key groups will be excluded from the policy creation process. Legislatures that are organized to conduct investigations, negotiation and compromise processes in small groups like committees tend to manage conflicts more successfully. The committee system appears to be the most useful instrument by the legislature in conflict management. When self-governance mechanisms exist to ensure that these sub-structures are allowed to fulfill their designated roles and that regulations protecting opposition party participation are respected, the effectiveness of these sub-structures and regulations can be significantly enhanced. Moreover, using super-majoritarian or consensual modes of decisionmaking to settle particularly critical questions can create incentives for majority parties to engage and negotiate with minority parties to achieve super-majoritarian support. Legislative restructuring alone cannot accomplish the conversion of legislatures from arenas to transformative bodies, however. Executives must be prevented from interfering in legislative compromise-building efforts. Strong parties can help ensure that legislators have the legitimacy, resources and information needed to negotiate credibly with each other, but strong parties can also weaken legislative conflict-management mechanisms if undemocratic party governance and rigidly hierarchical methods of organization prevent legislators from negotiating freely. Most legislatures in recent times play significant roles in the lawmaking, policy formulation, or resource allocation processes, their durability and resilience as institutions are widely assumed to be consequences of the contributions they make to the maintenance of political order and stability. Some legislatures are credited with promoting stability by providing forums for symbolic representation. This is achieved through its role in 32 representativeness and effectiveness in policymaking and resource allocation and oversight function. There is no gain saying the obvious that genuinely, effective and responsive legislatures enhance the stability of democratic regimes but legislatures in authoritarian regimes have little impact on stability and may even exacerbate political disorder and violence. Mishler, (1984:26) argues: That by providing an institutional forum for the representation of societal diversity and the expression of dissent, legislatures contribute to the integration of society and the legitimation of both government and regime. In so doing, legislatures are credited with reducing levels of political conflict, rendering conflict more manageable, and mitigating the effects of conflict on government and regime. The legislature promotes integration, mobilizes support for the government and its policies, and legitimizes regimes. In several countries confronted by serious political, economic, ethnic, religious, class, or other social cleavages, the legislature provides a forum where representatives of politically salient subcultures can interact and compromise group differences (Crow, 1973; Hoskin, 1975; Musolf and Springer, 1979). In several other countries, individual legislators are credited with building support for the government and its policies through constituency outreach and by serving as linkages between center and periphery, articulating constituent concerns to government, and explaining government policies to constituents. Even where social cleavages defy compromise and where individual legislators play minimal roles in resource allocation or linkage, the inclusion in the legislature of representatives from diverse subcultures can be of symbolic value, if only by promoting the appearance of representation (Packenham, 1979; Stauffer, 1979; Mezey, 1972; Sisson and Shrader,1977). Conflicts are persistent in Rivers State in particular and the Niger Delta at large. Ibeanu (2006:1) argues that there persists today a myth of a Hobbesian Niger Delta. Gang wars, cult killings, kidnapping of oil workers, hijacking of oil tankers, violent occupation of 33 oil installations, armed robbery, election violence and communal conflicts are the raw materials for this mythology of the Niger Delta. This myth, in turn, feeds into stereotypes of a Niger Delta that is peopled by groups that are prone to conflicts, criminality and violence. The sources of conflicts in Rivers State and other Niger Delta States are control over the oil wealth, quest for political power, chieftaincy crises amongst others. The effects of these on the citizens and communities whom the resources are located in their land are multifarious. Ekpebu (2008: 7-8) summarized the causes of conflict and factors that sustain and inflame conflict in the Delta to include: a) Lack of development due mainly to the long period of neglect of the Region by successive supervisory Governments, both Regional and Federal. b) Unemployment, particularly of the youths. c) Near absence of empowerment of the elders resulting in their inability to meet the most basic needs which the youths ordinarily expect of their elders, leading to general youth disrespect for their elders. This scenario explains the general ineffectiveness of elders in their efforts to contribute meaningfully to the solutions to the problems in the Niger Delta. d) Resource diversion both real and perceived from the sub-region to other parts of the country, resulting in the lopsided development between the Niger Delta and other parts of the country. e) Lack, particularly of sound and adequate educational facilities for generally highly intelligent youth. f) Low funding for Federal Government‘s development initiatives like the NDDB, OMPADEC, and NDDC. The Niger Delta contains most of Nigeria‘s hydrocarbon deposits. By implication, the Delta holds the bulk of the economic resources that sustains the public treasury in Nigeria. Yet, 34 years of neglect and ecological devastation have left much of the Niger Delta despoiled and impoverished. This contradiction of riches is a constant refrain in most conflicts in the Delta. A myriad of specific factors is often adduced for the protracted conflicts in the Niger Delta. Among them are neglect by government and oil companies, unemployment, military rule, the minority question, and a badly structured Nigerian federalism, especially as it concerns finances (Ibeanu, 2010). While these factors singly or jointly bear on the conflict dynamic in the region, what has been lacking is their integration into an explanatory system to enable us to make sense of empirical data and support effective policy intervention. Thus, it is not often clear if all the factors are causal or only mediatory. If they are all causal factors, are they principal, secondary, or tertiary? It is also not clear if the factors are trigger, pivotal, mobilizing, or aggravating. Perhaps, the most commonly cited reason for conflicts in the Niger Delta is the dissatisfaction of oil-bearing communities with monetary compensation paid by oil companies and government for exploitation rights and ecological damage with minimal or no development. The oil-bearing communities are then portrayed as greedy and unpatriotic. This explanation is popular in government and petrobusiness circles (Ibeanu, 2000). Surely, this explanation is simplistic and reductionist for it explains everything in terms of money. Without doubt, compensation is important in understanding what is happening in Nigeria‘s oil belt, but it conceals more than it reveals. The root of conflict in the Niger Delta rests in the different meanings of security. On the one hand, local communities see the current pattern of petroleum exploitation, which devastates the environment, as a threat to security of livelihoods. State officials and petrobusiness, on the other hand, see security in terms of uninterrupted production of petroleum irrespective of environmental and social impacts. The long rule of the military failed to forge the consensus necessary for a peaceful management of this conflict of securities. Instead, the military ought through state violence to impose the interests of petrobusiness. This practice made the Niger Delta ungovernable. A spiral of violence enveloped the area in the last ten years as local populations mobilized to confront state violence. Repression failed. It failed precisely because it excluded the people (Ibeanu, 2000). 35 There is a huge amount of money being directed by the Nigerian Federal Government to the Niger Delta Region and the oil companies are desperately paying protection money. Within the Region, local politicians are fighting it out for the control of this money and violence protest has become an orchestrated part of political rent seeking, grievance has evolved over the curse of a decade into greed (Watt 2007:637-8). So far, eleven years of civilian rule have shown that the rhetoric of rights, whether as resource control or as resource management, is conducive to conflicts. While it has failed to resolve pre-1999 conflicts by substituting resource control for human rights, communal livelihoods and environmental protection, it has created new interwoven trajectories of conflict (Ibeanu, 2006:11). ‗Resource‘ from a Niger Delta perspective means primarily the land, waters, forests, and all other resources within /around them, whether physical or spiritual. A ‗control‘ of these is one of the struggles that most nations have been involved at one point or the other. Thus, resource control is now a term used to describe the desire and determination of the communities and people whose resource and or source of survival have been taken away undemocratically and possibly, violently and therefore unjustly (Okonta, and Douglas, 2001:17). Ibeanu (2008:104) submits that a remarkable feature of environmental injustice in the Niger Delta is that renewable resources like land, forests and underground aquifers are destroyed in the process of extracting non-renewable resources like crude oil and gas. Worse still is the fact that little of the wealth generated from this process gets back to local communities Consequently, there is the persisting conflict between local communities and security, counterinsurgency and surveillance forces, which has led to many deaths, as in the widely publicized Mobile Police invasion of Umuechem in 1990 which Ibeanu (2010:7) argues led to the indiscriminate razing down of the community, killing over 80 inhabitants, including the traditional ruler of the town, and destroying more than 400 houses. Odi in Bayelsa State was razed down by the Nigerian army, acting on the orders of 36 President Obasanjo. Indeed, many communities in the Niger Delta still live under heavy military surveillance operating under different nomenclatures such as Swift Operation Squad, Joint Military Task Force (JTF) and so on. Military patrols have summarily killed hundreds of people, ostensibly in trying to dislodge armed gangs that steal crude oil and abduct oil workers. More recently, the emergence of the many militia groups like Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND), acclaimed by many government officials as an underground group specializing in the abduction of oil workers for ransom, has raised the tempo of secret military operations in which many local people are tortured and summarily executed in remote creeks and mangrove. It is important to note that development associated with petroleum extraction and revenue distribution therein are the primary source of conflicts in Rivers State in particular and the Niger Delta at large. Ibeanu (2010:10-14) opines that petroleum, particularly the distribution of revenue accruing from it, is therefore not just a trigger factor in Niger Delta conflicts (in that it sets them off), but a pivotal factor (in that it is always present in them). He further itemizes six paradoxical reasons for conflicts in the area as a result of oil-led development; these are: Those who have it don‘t use it and those who use it don‘t have it; Those who have it can‘t extract it and those who can extract it don‘t have it; It protects the livelihoods of those who don‘t have it and destroy the livelihoods of those who have it; It makes the labour of those who have it irrelevant and makes the labour of those who don‘t have it relevant; those who control it don‘t work and those who work don‘t control it; and money for nothing and nothing for money. The above scenario therefore led to militancy, militarization and destruction of oil formations in Rivers State and indeed the Niger Delta especially, between 2007 and 2009; this action 37 practically retarded oil extraction activities and drastically reduced Nigeria‘s foreign exchange earnings and her OPEC quota. It also led to increase in world demand for crude oil as Nigeria is the sixth largest producer of the ‗black gold‘ in the world. There are also conflicts associated with politics; especially conflicts linked to party politics. Contest for political power, which is expected to be free, fair and open in a democracy, has become a major source of violent conflicts in the Rivers State in particular and Nigeria at large. A good illustration is the spate of violent conflicts that engulfed the State in particular and the Niger Delta at large following the 2003 and 2007 elections, which are believed to be linked to young gangs recruited and armed by politicians to fight their perceived political opponents during the elections. The conflict in Rivers State has been exacerbated by emerging issues of gross distortion of Nigerian federalism in respect to resource control; citizenship rights and environmental degradation and access to political power. Unfortunately, the external manifestation has been mainly that of violent agitations and criminal activities by some elements taking advantage of the bad situation. In fact, the former Managing Director of Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC) in Nigeria, Mr. Basil Omiyi, tried to summarize the crisis in the state by identifying three factors; these are: 1) Inter-ethnic and intra-ethnic rivalries; 2) Perceived neglect by government over the years; and 3) Economic depression laced with lack of empowerment of the people. His analyses are impeccable as the combinations of these factors are directly responsible for the mayhem in Port Harcourt particularly, and some parts of the Niger Delta, in general (See The Guardian, January 7, 2008). The seriousness of the Rivers State‘s debacle made Soyinka, (2007) to state that: "I consider that Nigeria is on the verge, on the brink of a massive implosion that will make what's happening in the Sudan child's play...‖. The analysis above and the crisis in the state, 38 brought about by disagreement over the use of oil seems to confirm the research conducted by the World Bank on the economics of civil war, crime, and violence in oil producing countries that: (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (iii) ―the key root cause of conflict is the failure of economic development such that many of the world‘s poorest countries are locked in a tragic vicious circle where poverty causes conflict and conflict causes poverty‖; ―countries that have low, stagnant, and unequally distributed per capita incomes, and that have remained dependent on primary commodities for their exports, face dangerously high risks of prolonged conflicts‖; and ―once a country has had conflict, it is in far greater danger of further conflict. Commonly the chief legacy of a civil war is another civil war‖ (Shakleman, 2006:11). Legislative-Executive Relations, Conflict Management and Political Stability The relations between a country‘s governing institutions differ depending on whether a country has a presidential, parliamentary or hybrid political system. Although each country has its own variance on these political typologies, some conclusions have been drawn about the characteristics of each of these systems and their relationship with conflicts. Nigeria runs a presidential system which, in structure and theory of operations, is almost identical to that of the United States (Aminu, 2006). While the Constitution provides for equality between the three branches of government, viz; the executive, the legislative and the judiciary, the president as head of the executive actually enjoys first-among-unequals status. In the presidential system, policy-making is characterized as a product of Separation of Powers and often times, by a separation of purpose – different parts of the government are motivated to seek different goals but with common unity of purpose. This separation of purpose arises when separate elections result in different partisan groups controlling the two (executive-legislative) branches produce ―divided government‖. Difference of purpose may also exist because presidents are elected by a national constituency, whereas parliaments and 39 legislators usually stem from a smaller ballot (Shugart/Haggard in Haggard/McCubbins, 2001). The direct consequence of this separation of purpose is a conflict that may place the whole of the legislative powers on one side, and those of the executive on the other, the latter aiming to get its initiatives through a series of parliamentary reactive tools. From the presidential side the main variety of proactive/reactive powers include decree, veto, late release of funds, implementation of legislations and agenda setting powers. Presidentiallegislative powers are particularly significant in crucial instances when residential and legislative interests diverge openly and sometimes when legal speed is required. However it is not a sine qua non clause that a divided government forcefully has to lead to gridlock, indecisiveness or slow motion in policy approval. Magar (1999:19) argues that Separation of executive and legislative powers gives each branch of government a veto of some sort over the actions of the other: change in policy requires simultaneous acceptance by both branches. The increased risk of executive‐legislative conflict has been presented as one of the disadvantages of presidentialism. According to Lijphart (1984:15) the problem of executive legislative conflict ―is the inevitable result of the co‐existence of the two independent organs that presidential government creates and that may be in disagreement‖. In fact, unlike the mechanism of legislative no‐confidence in parliamentary systems, there is no institutional means of resolving a confrontation between the executive and the legislative branches of government, which may lead to deadlock and paralysis. In some cases, the president may resort to formal or informal powers to overcome the institutional paralysis. Laski (1940) contends that presidential systems alternate between normal situations of deadlock and crisis situations marked by presidential activism. However, the use of these presidential powers and prerogatives may increase, rather than defuse, the level of confrontation between the President and the Congress or National Assembly. The problem of executive‐legislative 40 conflict is aggravated by the temporal rigidity of presidential systems. The fixed term in office of the president and the fixed duration of the legislative period do not leave room for the readjustments that political events may require (Linz, 1990:51). Mainwaring (1990:157) argues that presidential systems and multipartism are ―difficult combination‖ which is inimical to stable democratic governance for three main reasons. First, the risk of executive‐legislative deadlock is more acute because the president is likely to lack stable support in the legislature in a fragmented system with many relevant parties. Second, in multiparty system, competition tends to be centrifugal, which makes compromise and cooperation between the different parties (and between the different branches of government) more difficult to achieve. Finally, the formation of interparty coalitions to deal with these problems is difficult in presidential systems. On the one hand, the commitment of individual legislators to support an agreement negotiated by the party leadership is not assured. While on the other, in multiparty presidential systems party leaders have incentives to distance themselves from the president in office when elections approach, which increases the likelihood of executive‐legislative deadlock. Another institutional factor that may have an impact on executive‐legislative conflict is the electoral cycle. Several studies show that the share of seats obtained by the president‘s party tends to decline when elections are held later in a President‘s term (Carey and Shugart 1995; Shugart and Carey 1992). The victory of the Republicans over the Democrats in the mid-term election in the United States of America is a point of reference. Hence, when presidential and legislative elections are not concurrent, the likelihood of an opposition majority in Congress significantly increases. On the one hand, when elections are concurrent, legislators from the winning presidential candidate tend to benefit from coattail effects (Calvert and Ferejohn, 1983:407). This helps the party of the president to gain more seats in Congress. On the other hand, when elections are held later in the president‘s term, many 41 disillusioned voters defect to the opposition to show their dissatisfaction with the incumbent administration. This is the well-known ―midterm decline‖ phenomenon in the United States (Kernell, 1977:44; Tufte, 1975:812). In sum, the support for the party of the president in the Congress tends to be lower when elections are non‐concurrent. As mentioned above, when the President is supported by a minority in the legislature the likelihood of executive‐legislative conflict increases. In Nigeria, midterm elections do not hold, and the President‘s party – the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has continued to maintain majority at the National and State level. The electoral system may affect the level of confrontation between the two branches of government. In a highly representative system, a relatively high number of parties obtain seats in the legislature. In such a system therefore, the president is less likely to garner majority support in the legislature, which may increase the risk of executive‐legislative conflict (Payne, Zovatto and Díaz 2007). However, the disproportionality of the electoral system is often linked to a low district magnitude (Lijphart 1992). Carey and Shugart (1995:327) argue that when the district magnitude is low legislators have incentives to cultivate a personal vote. Thus in such systems the cooperation between the executive and the legislative branch may become more difficult because political parties in Congress lack the ability to impose discipline to their own legislators. A split in the president‘s party can also increase the level of confrontation between the executive and the legislative branches of government. When the presidential party is divided, the different factions have conflicting incentives. While they may want to cooperate on certain issues, they also have incentives to attack the other factions in order to attract voters to their own faction (Katz, 1986:85; Morgenstern, 2001:235). This is especially true when elections approach if the electoral system allows or encourages different factions to participate in the race as happened in Uruguay or Colombia until recent electoral reforms. 42 Moreover, intraparty rivalries often result from ideological differences. According to Morgenstern (2001:243) ―the factions are ideologically disposed to competition‖. Hence, when the president‘s party is divided into factions, the administration is less likely to obtain support from its own party for key bills, increasing the likelihood of institutional deadlock. The popularity of the president is another factor that can have an impact on the likelihood of executive‐legislative confrontation. Scholars of American politics have shown that declines in the level of presidential approval may create hurdles in executive‐legislative relations. This is the scenario in the majority of Sates in Nigeria. Presidential popularity influences the success of presidential policy initiatives (Rivers and Rose, 1985:183). In fact, Congress tends to be more reluctant to support bills proposed by an unpopular president (Neustadt 1964). Presidential approval also affects the response of the legislature to presidential vetoes. There are two possible explanations for this impact of presidential approval on Congressmen‘s behaviour. On one hand, legislators may see themselves as representatives of a popular mandate, hence, some Congressmen see reflecting public opinion as part of their role. On the other hand, legislators may be concerned about re-election and decide whether they support the president based on the latter‘s approval ratings (Edwards 1976). Since the return to democracy in May 29, 1999 in Nigeria, the country has witnessed conflicts between the legislature and the executive on a number of issues. Oyewo (2007:2) argues that the operation of the Constitution was characterized by conflicts, confrontations, feuds and deadlocks between the executive and legislative arms of government especially at the federal level, that usually centered on the question of the existence, scope, and efficacy of the legislature‘s independence and oversight function in the constitutional scheme. He further contends that: The connection between the independence and performance of oversight functions of the legislature (as an essential legislative 43 role in the practice of separation of powers) and constitutionalism (as requiring that government be conducted through constitutionally established institutions and impersonal bureaucratic procedures and processes) is evidently understandable against the background of the absence of effective institutional checks and limitations on the exercise of executive powers under the preceding military administration and the ―carry-over‖ of ―military personnel‖ into the executive (especially, the Executive President, Gen. Olusegun Obasanjo (rtd)) and the frequent resort to certain undemocratic practices‖ in the operation of the 1999 Constitution (Oyewo, 2007:2). Budgetary processes at all levels of government cause a serious conflict between governmental institutions. Obasanjo (2000) argues: ‗it was perhaps expected that at the beginning of our search for the meaning and the form of a true republican democracy, mistakes would be made, and extreme positions will be taken by those involved in the search‘. At the centre of this conflict is the timing of budget presentation and its eventual passage as well as assent and implementation. It is worthy to note that public sector budgetary process is divided into four phases, namely; budget drafting, legislating, implementation and auditing. Typically, the role of the legislature and executive is clearly spelt out in each phase (Izedonimi, 1997). Most constitutions empower the President or cabinet to prepare a draft of the budget. Section 81 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999 requires the President to lay before each Chambers of the National Assembly at any time in each fiscal year estimates of the revenues and expenditure of the Federation for the next fiscal year. In Britain, the tradition of requesting for a budget draft from the cabinet was codified in the 1713 standing order, today known as No. 48 standing order of the House of Commons (Joachim, 2001: 58). A review of some African constitutions indicates that most of the constitutions assign the budget drafting function to the executive arm of the government. Perhaps, this derives from the technical and the time consuming nature of drafting a modern budget. Some constitutions assign the function to the President, while others to the Cabinet. 44 The examples of constitutions that assign the function to the President are Kenya, Ghana, Zambia and Nigeria; those that assign it to the cabinet are Malawi and Namibia etc. A survey of some European constitutions also reveals that in Germany and France the budget drafting functions are assigned to the executive. However, there are some exceptions to this rule. The most interesting example is the US 1787 Constitution, which assigned the budget drafting function to the Congress. This system truly represents the wishes of the people as each representative will have to consult its constituency in determining preferences. Thus, the national budget can truly represent a consolidation of the decisions of the people. In addition, the system enhances the popular participation required under culture governance. However, since 1921, this power has been ceded to the President. This was as a result of the increasing technical nature of modern budgeting. Nevertheless, the draft budget of the President remains an advisory draft, implying that the Congress has an ultimate power to alter the budget (Bowles, 1998: 46). The major issue arising from the drafting of the budget by the executive is the timing of the presentation of the draft estimates to the parliament and the period within which legislative action ends. A survey of several constitutions identified two traditions. First, is a tradition in which the budget is presented to the parliament before the commencement of the fiscal year. For instance, in Germany, the budget is presented to the parliament four months before the commencement of a new financial year (Heller, 1997:486). Other examples include the Republic of Congo, whereby the budget is tabled before the parliament seventyfive days before the commencement of a new financial year. In Madagascar, the constitution provides for sixty days before the commencement of a financial year for the President to present the draft budget. This tradition gives enough time for the parliament to consider and debate on the budget. In Nigeria, the President is granted the latitude to present the budget at 45 any time. This causes delay in its passage by the National Assembly leading to a lot of institutional conflicts. On the other hand, the second tradition requires the budget to be submitted after the commencement of the financial year. This tradition is practiced by some countries with parliamentary system of government; examples are India, South Africa, and Zambia. The main reason behind this practice is the belief that economic conditions are not static. Thus, budget approvals before the new financial year are usually based on those previous economic conditions which are likely to change in the New Year. Another issue of conflict between governmental institutions is presentation of supplementary estimates by the executive in most financial year. In most systems, supplementary estimates require the approval of the parliament as in Nigeria, Egypt, Malawi, Uganda, and India. With respect to timing and approval of the estimates, three practices were identified. First, some constitutions require that the supplementary estimates must be approved before spending, e. g. Nigeria and the USA. Second, some constitutions provide for retrospective approval of the supplementary estimates as in Zambia. Third, some constitutions grant power to the Finance Department to approve such requests but subject to an upper limit provided by the parliament during the main budget approval, as in Germany. The source of disagreement in Nigeria is usually, the money for the proposed estimate may have been spent before supplementary is presented by the executive. This practice is not in tandem with constitutional provisions and causes frictions by the institutions of government. Virement has also been identified as a source of conflict between the Executive and the Legislature. In the cause of performing oversight functions by the Legislature and during budgetary legislations at all levels of government in Nigeria, empirical evidence suggests that most projects executed are not appropriated for. However, they are executed by Executive 46 fiat. This is unacceptable and causes unhealthy rivalries between the Executive and the Legislature. Although the legislature is not involved in the implementation of the budget, nevertheless, many constitutions provide for its supervision over budget implementation. This is to ensure accountability, transparency and orderly implementation of the approved budgets. However, the degree of parliamentary oversight function differs widely among different systems. In some cases, its oversight function is weak while in others it is strong. For instance, US Congress exercises a strong oversight function over budget implementation and more stringent over defense appropriations. The constitution provides that no defense commitment will be entered into by the President without the approval of the Congress (USA Constitution, 1778). In addition, to ensure transparency, the constitution clearly makes it necessary for the Executive to publish at regular intervals, the statement of income and expenditure. But in Nigeria, oversight function is perceived either as a witch hunt exercise or an avenue for the Legislators at all levels to enrich themselves. Beside the budgetary process, some other feud that arise in Executive-Legislative relations are in the appointment/ratification of Ministers, Ambassadors, High Commissioners and Commission Chairmen /Members, ratification of treaties, election of Principal Officers of the legislature, impeachment, recall amongst others. Between 1999 and 2007, there was an overwhelming dictatorship of the Executive in the democratic process. Just as the President held sway in the Executive, he most often interfered and did not allow the Legislature to commence legislative action before taking full implementation. Similarly, at the State and Local Government levels, the situation is not different, (Fawole, 2000:28) has this to say: In the realm of foreign policy, though the Constitution grants the President wide latitude within which to act, his policies and actions are subject to the dictates of the laws made by the National Assembly. The National Assembly technically controls the 47 President in the formulation and conduct of foreign policy in the sense that it controls the national purse, ratifies the appointment of ministers, ambassadors and other diplomatic agents. It also ratifies treaties and agreements before they can become an integral part of the laws of the land, approves/disapproves deployment of the armed forces of the nation for combat duties outside the country, approve/disapproves a declaration of war by the president, and exercise oversight functions. A President can be impeached and removed from office if he grossly violates the constitution. The implication, judging by the constitution, is that Obasanjo does not enjoy the latitude to do things as he pleases. The President sometimes undermined the prescription of Baron de Montesquieu, to the risk of abuse of powers and arbitrariness. The doctrine of Separation of Powers posits that the guarantee against abuse lies in established mutual checks among the legislature, executive and judicial arms of government. Such checks become more meaningful where these functions are performed by distinct people or organs. The union of power is a recipe for arbitrariness and abuse; this has been poignantly demonstrated by the dictatorship of the military in the political affairs of Nigeria. The negation of the doctrine of Separation of Power as enshrined in the 1979 and preceding constitutions are well known. Obviously, the doctrine of Separation of Powers is a cardinal feature of the 1999 constitution, which like the repealed 1979 constitution, prescribes a bicameral Legislature at the centre, with unilateralism at the sub-natural level, with the President vested with the Executive powers and the Chief Judge of the Federation vested with Judicial powers. The framers of the constitutional were careful to provide linkages in the distribution of power. Thus, section 4 of the 1999 constitution recognizes and vests law making functions with the National Assembly; while Section 5 gives the president the leverage for the execution of the laws made, and interpretations are vested in courts as provided for in section 6. Section 47 of the 1999 constitution establishes the National Assembly which shall consist of the Senate and House of Representatives (FGN; 1999; Sec.4). Section 62 guarantees the establishment of committees of the National Assembly. The Senate or the House of Representative may 48 appoint a committee of its members for such special or general purpose as in its opinion would be better regulated and managed by means of such a committee, and may by resolution, regulation or otherwise, as it thinks fit, delegate any of its functions exercisable by it to any such committee. Consequent upon the above, Order 98 of the Standing Rules of the Senate 2003 and Order XIV of the Rules of the House of Representatives 2003 establish committees to manage the affairs of the National Assembly. While the Senate had about 34 Standing Committees (Standing Rule of the Senate, 2003), the House of Representatives had 46 Standing Committees (Rules of the House of Representatives, 2003). These Committees assist in strengthening the third major function of the parliament – oversight. Oversight function has been misconstrued by many people; it is seen by some as a legislative instrument for witch hunt; but others view it as major tool for checking Executive inadequacies. (Egobueze, 2008:1) defines committee as a part of the larger group appointed to perform a specialized service at one time or on a continuous basis. Committees are subdivisions of the legislature that prepare legislation for action by the respective Houses or that makes investigations as directed by the respective Chambers. Legislative committees are saddled with studying policies and programmes and reporting its findings and appropriate recommendation to the general House for deliberation. Committees no doubt are the back bone and indeed heart beat of the legislature. No wonder Shannon (1995) describes committees thus: Around the world, there is a trend to move towards more reliance on committees to conduct work of parliament and the greater reason for this trend is a concern for efficiency. The demands on modern parliament are numerous and it is not possible for the whole House to consider all the details necessary for performing the proper functions of a legislature. Oversight functions of the legislature are most often achieved through the use of committees. The term ‗oversight functions‘ is not expressly employed in our constitutional lexicon, 49 neither is it defined or described by the 1999 Constitution. However, it is a concept or principle that is conventionally adapted as a check on executive excesses. ‗Oversight‘, according to Egobueze (2011:11), is ‗the exercise of constitutional powers by the legislature to check, control, or subject the exercise of the constitutional powers of the other arms of government to scrutiny‘. More specifically, it is the ability of the Legislature to check or control the exercise of executive powers or to make the executive accountable and be responsible to the electorates. It involves monitoring the activities of the executive to ensure that they are carried out legally, efficiently and according to legislative intents. It is not surprising that executives at all levels of governance in Nigeria are not ready and willing to partner with the legislature in this regard. It is an instrument of ensuring accountability and transparency in government. Sections 88 and 89 of the Constitution of Nigeria guarantee the National Assembly the power to conduct investigations as well as to obtain evidence. Through these sections, the Senate or House of Representatives could summon anybody to appear before it or its committee(s) to make representations on issues they are investigating. Similarly, section 67(2) of the constitution states: A minister of the Government of the Federation shall attend either House of the National Assembly if invited to explain to the House the conduct of his Ministry, and in particular when the affairs of the Ministry are under discussion (FGN 1999:5). As part of its oversight function, Oyewo (2007:14) argues that: The Senate Committee on Public Accounts in 2001 investigated the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), and National Electric Power Authority (NEPA) the most alarming finding was the controversy surrounding the N2.3 billion NEPA Fund that could not be properly accounted for by NEPA Officials. The resultant threats of impeachment of President Obasanjo by the National Assembly, led then by Senator Anyim Pius Anyim and Rt. Hon Ghali Umar Na‘Abba respectively as President and Speaker of the Senate and House of Representatives for constitutional violations and ―unconstitutional actions‖ can be seen as desperate responses by the legislature 50 to assert its independence and oversight the executive. The Presidency made concerted efforts to remove these presiding officers of the National Assembly but to no avail. Also, the Senate conducted investigations into the Presidency‘s handling of the Petroleum Trust Development (see Daily Trust, March 30, 2007 and Vanguard, March 26 2007). The findings of the Committee were revealing as both the President and the Vice President were indicted in one form or the other. The saga threw the whole nation into turmoil. The situation at the State level was not different. Governors were indiscriminately removed from office. Alamieyeseigha of Bayelsa State, Ladoja of Oyo State, Dariye of Plateau State, and Fayose of Ekiti were impeached by the respective State Houses of Assembly where they governed. However, the Supreme Court invalidated these impeachment processes based on non compliance with constitutional provisions on the removal of Governors. Thus, in these conflicts, the role of the Judiciary in conflict management was brought to the fore. A decade of experience on intergovernmental relations between the executive and the legislature at the state level has been varied by various factors including the dominance of the same political party in the legislature and the executive of the state, external influence, leadership tussle, intra governmental conflicts, among other factors. The extreme example of such conflict leading to a divided and failed government is Oyo and Plateau States, where the legislatures were factionalized, the Governors were impeached by a faction of the legislature, and even when the impeachment of the Governors were invalidated by the Supreme Court, the legislature never functioned as an arm of government. Similarly, the Ogun State experience, within the same geo-political zone of the south west with Oyo State was not different. First under Governor Segun Osoba‘s Alliance for Democracy (AD) Party led government (1999-2003) and most recently under Governor Gbenga Daniel‘s PDP led government (2003-2007) the intergovernmental relations between the executive and 51 legislature revealed cooperative approach dictated by the predominance of one party in the executive and legislature and the effectiveness of the State majority party in conflict resolution between the two arms of government. However, the tendency towards consensus building approach to the discharge of legislative powers may be read as the supremacy of the executive over the legislature, and the weakness of the legislature in asserting its independence and oversight over the executive in Ogun State. This factor continued to permeate the State till 2011. Other States that had serious rift; this includes Anambra and Abia. Treaty making is another source of conflict between the executive and the legislature, Treaty refers to a consensual engagement which subjects of international law have undertaken towards one another, with the intent to create legal obligations under international law. That is, it is a written agreement between two or more states or sovereigns. Such agreement could be related to trade, peace, ceding of territory, tax or some others. Treaties are the main source of international law and whenever there is a dispute between actors, the international court or tribunal looks into any existing treaty between the two disputing states for the determination of the case. In Nigeria, the Executive initiates treaty-making, thus accounting to a large extent for the many treaties that have been entered into, but with no legislative backing. Treaty ratification is the main political mechanism through which States get their consent to create new rules of international law (Struett, 2009:1). It is the primary mechanism for creating institutions of global governance such as the United Nations, the World Trade Organization, and International Criminal Court, among others. Treaty ratification process varies from State to State. For any treaty to have full legal backing in Nigeria, it must be enacted into law by the National Assembly; thus Section 12(1) of the 1999 Constitution states inter alia: 52 No treaty between the Federal government and any other country shall have the force of law except to the extent to which any of such treaty has been enacted into law by the National Assembly. This is one area where the National Assembly participates in the pursuit of Foreign Policy objectives of the Nigerian State. The implication of the above therefore is that treaties entered into by the Executive and other countries remains a nullity to the extent to which it has been ratified by the National Assembly. The Green Tree Agreement between Nigeria and Cameroon caused a serious conflict between the National Assembly and the Presidency. While the Presidency said it was not a treaty, the National Assembly insisted it must therefore be ratified by the legislature. GAPS IN THE LITERATURE Part of what emerged from existing review is that the existing knowledge and previous works relating to our study have provided an analysis of conflict and conflict management as well as inter institutional conflicts that exist between the arms of government, namely, the Legislature, the Executive and the Judiciary. However, the studies have tended to neglect the rising role of the Legislature in conflict management. In other words, what emerged from the review is that, there appears to be a dearth of knowledge on the relevance of the legislature in conflict management which has implications for political stability in contemporary time. As indicated earlier, the objective of this study is to fill this gap. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK What we seek to explain is the rising involvement of the Legislature in conflict management in Rivers State, a function hitherto seen as belonging to the Executive and the Judiciary by the discipline of political science. We theorize the role of the legislature in conflict management in the context of the contemporary capitalist state and the interpenetration of governmental rather separation of powers. To begin with, we locate our explanation in the doctrine of separation of powers. In his famous work, ‘Second Treatises of 53 Government’ the English philosopher John Locke examined governance in England and stated that the legislative and executive powers should not reside in the same person or governmental body, otherwise corruption and tyranny would result. Power, according to him, should be divided between the king and the parliament in England of his days. Half a century later in 1748, Montesquieu published the Spirit of the Laws (Esprit de Lois) in which he reformulated this ancient idea in political theory that has become a touchstone in modern liberal constitutionalism namely, the idea of separation of powers and the cognate principle of checks and balances. In Book XI of Spirit of the Laws, Montesquieu ascribed liberty in England to the separation of legislative, executive and judicial powers, and to the balancing of these powers against each other. However, long before Montesquieu, the idea of a mixed state had also appeared in Plato‘s Laws. It was later used by Polybius to explain the stability of Roman government. In Medieval Europe also, the idea of division of powers came to be a principle in constitution-making as a counter to the divine sovereign powers claimed by monarchs. And in England, the long struggle between the Crown, parliament and courts of common law, which climaxed in the Glorious Revolution of 1688, underscored the importance of separation of powers and checks and balances. The genius of Montesquieu lay in reformulating an idea connoting a political balancing of economic and social interests or sharing of powers by corporations, communes and municipalities, into a system of legal checks and balances between parts of a constitution. Montesquieu proposed that all political functions are necessarily classifiable into legislative, executive or judicial. To safeguard liberty, each of these sets of functions must be separate and act as checks and balances on one another. American Federalists later adopted the propositions of Montesquieu, especially Madison, as the organizing framework of the American Constitution. Although the idea of separate and co-ordinate powers of the three arms of government has been a major principle of liberal democratic constitution making for over three centuries, 54 political scientists often overlook what has become its organic connection to competitive capitalism. Many political scientists have noted the progressive changes in the original formulation of the idea of separation of powers, particularly the increasing fusion of functions among the three arms of government. Today, there is delegated legislation (a law making function) as well as power to grant prerogative of mercy (Judicial function), conferred to the Executive arm of government, and through oversight functions too, the legislature is increasingly involved in executive function, finally judicial review places the Judiciary in fore with law making and executive functions. This therefore leads to interpenetration of governmental power rather than separation of power as previously conversed by theorist like Locke, Montesquieu and other notable scholars in political science. Yet, they have superficially attributed these changes to specific historical experiences of countries. Consequently, there is no attempt to theorize a general and fundamental basis for these changes, particularly the relations between executive power and the legislature. Such an understanding has to be sought in historic changes in capitalist production and the capitalist state. Being a market-oriented, commodity-driven system, the capitalist society invariably evolves an executive force seemingly standing above society and appearing as the guarantor of the collective interests of the people-nation. The principles of separation of powers, checks and balances, and rule of law are the political equivalents of the market ethics of division of labour and collective subordination of commodity bearers to the impartial forces of demand and supply. In the West, separation of powers was particularly important during the phase of competitive capitalism for it served to balance the competing interests of fractions of capital, for these interests were usually inscribed in the arms of government. At the same time, by concurrently limiting and balancing the arms of government, the liberal state, which corresponds to competitive capitalism, appears as non-arbitrary, impartial and therefore 55 capable of guaranteeing both the interests of the dominant and dominated classes. As a result of this position of the liberal state, which corresponds to the competitive stage of capitalism, its political function, consisting of exercise of legitimate violence and the reproduction/inculcation of the dominant ideology, becomes accented and takes precedence over its economic functions. In turn, the Legislature, as the symbol of universal Reason, popular representation and popular power, tends to be dominant over the Executive and administration. This dominance arose because parliament as the law-making organ incarnated general norms whose universal and formal character constituted the essential feature of modern law. By extension of this fact, parliament expressed public opinion, protection of the people-nation from executive arbitrariness (as represented by the monarchy in Europe of the Middle Ages), supremacy of law and the reign of universal reason (Poulantzas, 1980). At the stage of monopoly capitalism, the liberal State is superseded by a monopoly capitalist State, a process marked by a progressive movement away from separation of powers of the arms of government to an interpenetration of powers of the arms of government. This condition is explained by an unprecedented rise in the direct involvement of the capitalist state in the economy and the extraordinary expansion in the state‘s economic apparatuses. Consequently, rather than the role of maintaining and reproducing the ‗external conditions‘ of production, this state is at the very heart of directing the economy. In the process, the political function of the state recedes progressively in favour of its economic functions. The Executive and administration expand to meet the demands of the economic functions of the state. By implication, increasingly the executive arm becomes directly involved in social conflicts (state violence/aggression). Concomitantly, there is a fundamental shift in the basis of the state‘s legitimacy. In place of the legitimacy based on universal rationality, general norms represented by the legislature, what emerges is a new legitimacy based on instrumental rationality expressed as efficiency and authority. 56 Increasingly therefore, the Executive becomes less democratic and more repressive of underprivileged groups. Consequently, it is increasingly less able to manage conflicts and, in the words of Engels, keep them within the bounds of order. Still, the collective role of government in capitalist states is to maintain the long-term domination of the ruling classes. Thus, the legislature increasingly steps in as a moderating force in conflicts. We can then make the following conceptual propositions regarding the rising role of the legislature in conflict management: 1. The principal role of the present-day state, particularly its governmental apparatuses, is to establish and maintain the general long-term interests of the dominant classes. 2. The long-term interest of the dominant classes is principally expressed in political stability, that is to say, maintenance of economic, political and ideological dominance of these classes. 3. In contemporary times, this role is marked by both harmony and contradictions in the interest of the dominant classes which the state apparatuses and branches try to balance. 4. This balancing act is underlined by the interpenetration rather than separation of powers among the three arms of government. 5. Following Poulantzas (1980,134), we theorize that the overall role of maintaining the long-term interests of the dominant classes and its necessary expression in the distribution and balancing of functions among the branches of government and state apparatuses produce the following hallmarks of the contemporary capitalist state: a) A structural mechanism whereby an apparatus filters the information given, and the measures taken, by other apparatuses. The process of selection is implied by the particular materiality and history of each apparatus (army, school system, judiciary, and so on), by its specific internal representation of 57 given interest, and, more generally, by its position in the configuration of the relationship of forces. b) A contradictory movement of the decisions, and ‗non-decisions‘ – that is, a certain systematic lack of state action – are not a conjunctural phenomenon, but are inscribed in the contradictory structure of the state and are one result of the contradictions discussed above. They are just as essential to the unityorganization of the power bloc as the positive measures that it undertakes. c) The determination of priorities, and counter-priorities, within the organizational structure of a given state apparatus or branch, according to its specific materiality and the specific interest it represents. The order is different for each apparatus and branch, and each network or level thereof, according to its place in the configuration of the relationship of forces: there is thus, a series of mutually contradictory priorities and counter-priorities. d) A system graded by branch and apparatus, and located within the decision making process, whereby measures proposed by other branches and apparatuses are filtered and the measures which they have already adopted are selected for various modes of practical execution. e) A set of conjunctural, conflictual and compensatory measures responding to the problems of the hour. The policy of the State is thus established through a real process of intra-state contradictions and harmony within the arms of government. The following three explanatory statements are derivable from our conceptual propositions: (i) As a result of increasing interpenetration rather than separation of powers of government, the failure of the executive and judicial arms of government in managing conflict generates increased involvement of the legislature in conflict management. 58 (ii) This involvement is shaped by the specific interests of the legislature and legislators. (iii) Successful involvement of the legislature in conflict management correlates positively with political stability. Fig. 2.1: Explanatory Framework Source: government publications, text books and internet materials As indicated in figure 2.1 above, the role of the state in capitalist society is to defend the interests of the class that owns the means of production by suppressing any threat to its 59 domination and by ideologically integrating the exploited classes. The capitalist state differs, however, from all previous forms of class rule due to the unique character of capitalist relations of production. As a result of the social conditions and the competition generated by generalized commodity production on the basis of private property, the interests of the capitalist class as a whole cannot be represented by individual capitalists, even the richest. The capitalist state therefore requires certain autonomy in order to represent the collective interests of the capitalist class. A system in which the vast majority of people have no control over the most important decisions and actions of the government, the economy, their material well-being, or the course of their lives, cannot be considered genuinely democratic. In reality, it is a dictatorship of the capitalists disguised by democratic forms. This leads to unhealthy rivalries which culminate to political instability and indeed conflicts between classes and institutions in the state. However, these dislocations are expressed in the State apparatuses with the arms of government struggling to maintain stability in the polity. To achieve balance in the system, the specific role played by each arm is as outlined in item 4 of the fore going figure. Thus, the failure of both the Executive and the Judiciary in conflict management leads to the rising role of the Legislature in conflict management. 60 Fig. 2.2: Schema of conceptual propositions CONFLICT CONFLICT MANAGEMENT If high interest of Legislators: Principal responsibility of: LEGISLATURE If unsuccessful: THE EXECUTIVE AND THE JUDICIARY If unsuccessful: If successful: If successful: POLITICAL STABILITY Source: government publications, text books and internet materials In figure 2.2 above, the diagram illustrates conflict management matrix. It highlights that conflict management basically is the role of the Executive and the Judiciary. It shows that if these organs are successful in conflict management, there would be political stability, but the failure of these two organs to successfully manage conflicts would lead to political instability and conflict. However, the role of the Legislature is basically to make law, represent the constituents and oversight the other arms of government especially the Executive. It therefore acts as a watch dog over the other organs. The failure of these organs to curb conflicts leads to the increasing role of the Legislature in conflict management. 61 HYPOTHESES Based on the foregoing conceptual scheme, we can hypothesize as follows: 1. If the interest of legislators in a conflict is high then the legislature is more likely to intervene in its management. 2. If the Executive and Judiciary fail to manage conflicts effectively, then the involvement of the legislature in conflict management is likely to increase. 3. If the involvement of the Legislature in conflict management is successful, then political stability is likely to increase 62 CHAPTER THREE METHODOLOGY 3.1. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION This research utilized both primary and secondary data. Primary data are data observed or collected from first hand source by the researcher. That is, it is information about the results of an experiment or observation. It could be likened to an eyewitness testimony at a trial which no one has tarnished or spun the information by adding their independent opinions or biases; therefore, it can form the basis of objective conclusion. Kelly (2005) describes it as data that you collect yourself using such methods as direct observation, surveys, interviews and logs. White (1989:176) notes that for many political issues, the most obvious way to test hypotheses is simply to ask people questions or observe what is happening and what people are doing. Questionnaire and observation give researchers more control over the data they are collecting. Secondary data on the other hand are data collected from external sources such as research articles, journals, text books, verbatim reports, magazines, newspapers, internet publications, television, radio, stories told by people, etcetera. Data here could be assumed as pre- processed information, and originality may have been lost and may not be totally verified in its initial content. White (1989:233) refers to secondary data as ‗data that has already been collected‘. Thus, we made extensive use of both primary and secondary data; that is direct and indirect gathering methods. For the purpose of this research, we used three major conflicts and some others relevant to our study. These conflicts were mitigated upon by the Rivers State House of Assembly and they are germane in proving our hypotheses. 63 Primary Data We adopted two primary sources of data collection; these are interviews and questionnaires. Interview We interviewed seventy persons; these were mostly past and present Chairmen and members of the Rivers State House of Assembly Committees on Public complaint & Petition, Education, Energy & Natural Resources, Environment, Youth & Employment Generation, Finance, other Members of the House and some Legislative Staff of House involved in the above mentioned Committees; the Commissioners of Youth Affairs & Employment Generation, Environment, Energy & Natural Resources and Education. In addition, the Permanent Secretary of the Ministry of Environment, the Special Adviser to the Governor of Rivers State on Conflict Management, fifty petitioners and members of Public knowledgeable in these conflicts, Civil Society Organizations especially involved in conflict related activities were interviewed. We achieved these using tape recorders. We adopted structured and unstructured interview methods. The former assisted us to maintain uniformity and sequence of questions during interview sessions, while the latter enabled us to ask the interviewees questions which do not restrict their answers, such that they are encouraged to express their views freely and elaborately. One essential element of all interviews is the verbal interaction between the interviewer(s) and the interviewee(s). Hitchcock and Hughes (1989:79) stress that ‗central to the interview is the issue of asking questions and this is often achieved in qualitative research through conversational encounters.‘ Consequently, it is important for the researchers to familiarize themselves with questioning techniques before conducting interviews. Questionnaire This is another primary source of data collection adopted for this study. Two hundred and fifty (250) copies of a questionnaire were distributed to fifty former and current members of the Rivers State House of Assembly, twenty Legislative Staff of Rivers State House of 64 Assembly, twenty Members of the State Executive Council, Executive institutions involved in conflict management like the Special Adviser to the Governor of Rivers State on conflict management, twenty judicial officers especially Magistrates, Judges and Registrars, eighty petitioners, and thirty Civil Society Organizations involved in conflict related activities, lawyers, opinion leaders and social commentators. Sample of Respondents We adopted a purposeful sample of two hundred and fifty persons (250) respondents. The essence of this was to ensure that all critical groups related to the conflicts were covered. Purposefully, we allocated numbers of respondents to the groups based on our perception on how knowledgeable they are to the conflicts. A detail of the breakdown is as presented below: I. 50 elected former and present Members of Rivers State House of Assembly Committees on Public Petition, Education, Energy & Natural Resources/Environment and Employment; II. 20 Committee Staff of Rivers State House of Assembly; III. 20 Members of the Executive; IV. 20 Judicial Officers; V. VI. VII. 30 Academic/None Academic Union Members 80 Petitioners/ Members of Communities with consistent conflicts ; 30 members of Civil Society Organizations. The Validity and Reliability of Measuring Instruments Validity is central to effective research. If a piece of research is invalid, then it is not reliable. Validity is thus a requirement for both quantitative and qualitative research. A valid measure provides useful information about the concept in question. Reliability, on the other hand, means the measures rather than the concept. A reliable concept gives the same result no matter who does the measurement or what the circumstances are (White, 1999:148). Consequently, the issue of data utilized for this analysis bothers on validity and reliability. 65 For this purpose therefore, we consulted with experts and practitioners to evaluate the validity of the interview schedule. For the reliability of the schedule, about 250 potential respondents were interviewed. For the questionnaire, we appreciate the importance of validity and checking the reliability in a multi-facet process, therefore, we were interested in the internal consistency of the instrument. In furtherance of this, we included questions to check the consistency of the respondents. Additionally, combining the interview schedule, questionnaire and personal observation offer us suitable means of validating our data. Ibeanu in Mbah (2007:64) states that for secondary data, reliability can only be established by vigorous logic of content analysis. For expressive documents for example, the following checks could be employed to test their dependability: 1. If the truth of the statement is a matter of indifference then the author's account is likely to be unbiased. But it must be noted that his indifference or disinterestedness may have affected the reliability of his observation when it was made. 2. If the statement is prejudicial to the information or his interest, it is likely to be truthful. But we must guard against exaggerations and self immolations, which may occur. 3. If the statement is common knowledge, then the author is not likely to lie. 4. If part of the statement is of tangential interest to the informant, the statement is probably true. 5. A statement is likely to be true when it is contrary to what is widely expected from the information. It is significant to note that the dependability of some secondary data may be difficult to establish. However, a rigorous use of the technique of content analysis helped us select what is dependable from what is not. Mbah (2007:62) notes that there are other types of documents such as well researched texts, instruments, official statistics, and verbatim reports 66 among others, which tend to be more credible. We tried as much as possible to concentrate on these materials for this research. 3.2. METHOD OF DATA ANALYSIS Data analysis according to Cohen, Manion and Morrison (2009:183-184) involves organizing, accounting for, and explaining the data. In short, it entails making sense of data in terms of participants‘ definitions of the situation, noting patterns, themes, categories and regularities. We adopted multiple data analysis strategies in order to fully deal with the complex nature of the research problems. Thus, we relied on descriptive statistical techniques like frequency tables, charts, percentages, and diagrams to analyze our primary data. Our choice of such tool is to categorize and order some of the data in both our questionnaire and interview schedules. For our secondary data, we used research articles, journals, text books, Legislative documents like verbatim reports, votes and proceedings, order paper. Others are, government publications, magazines, newspapers, internet publications, television and radio stories, etcetera to clarify our analysis. To deal with some of the hypotheses which entail nominal data and which have expressed association/relationships, we relied on the chi-square test. Chi-square as statistics summarizes the extent of the difference between observed (real) and expected (chance) data. It is a measure of ‗goodness of fit‘ between an expected and an actual result or sets of results (see Cohen, et‘al, 2006) .This strategy was used to see if there is any relationship between the proposed independent variables and the role of Rivers State House of Assembly in conflict management in Rivers State. The formula for Chi – square is thus: ∑ (O –E² ) X ² = _________ E Where O = E = observed frequency expected frequency 67 ∑ = sum of or summation Hence, if the calculated Chi – square value is large compared with what might be expected under the null hypothesis, it will be held to be significant. For a concise summary of the work, refer to the logical data framework is presented in the appendix. 68 CHAPTER FOUR HISTORICAL OVERVIEW OF CONFLICTS IN RIVERS STATE This chapter seeks to give a background of conflicts in Rivers State with a synopsis of conflicts in Nigeria as a precursor to Rivers State. Furthermore, explanation would be made on three major conflicts mitigated upon by the Legislature in Rivers State which form part of our case study. In an attempt to situate the role played by the legislature in conflict management, it is imperative we give a theoretical background of Rivers State, its people, culture and economy. This would provide a background to the persistent conflicts in the state. Background of Conflicts in Nigeria Nigeria like many other African states has a chequered history of conflicts. Smyth and Robinson as cited in Osaghae and Suberu, (2005) opine that ‘Nigeria is usually characterized as a deeply divided state in which major political issues are vigorously – some would say violently – contested along the lines of the complex ethnic, religious, and regional divisions in the country‘. The issues that generate the fiercest contestation include those that are considered fundamental to the existence and legitimacy of the state, over which competing groups tend to adopt exclusionary, winner-take-all strategies. The cause of these conflicts could be traced to primordial factors associated with ethnic chauvinism, religious bigotry, structural imbalance of its federalism and bad governance. These factors are played out in quest for the control of state power, resource allocation, and citizenship. As a consequence, deeply divided states tend to be fragile and unstable because almost by definition, there are fewer points of convergence and consensus among the constituent groups than are required to effectively mitigate or contain the centrifugal forces that tear the society apart (Osaghae and Suberu, 2005). Thus, disintegration, secession, civil strife, civil war, minority agitation, and violent conflicts, all of which would normally be considered aberrant to ‗normal‘ state formation, are quite common 69 threats or actual occurrences in divided states. It is not surprising therefore that divided states have devised some of the most innovative and delicate systems of government. Most states practice some variant of the federal solution, with the emphasis on political accommodation and inter-segmental balance. This emphasis has made it necessary and expedient to adopt instrumentalities that mitigate the effects of majoritarianism, as well as promote inclusion, equity, and distributive justice between the different salient groups (Osaghae and Suberu, 2005). Yet, despite the precautions taken, divided states remain perennially unstable and many survive on the brink of collapse and disintegration (Rabushka and Shepsle 1972). By virtue of its complex web of politically salient identities and history of chronic and seemingly intractable conflicts and instability, Nigeria can be rightly described as one of the most deeply divided states in Africa. From its inception as a colonial state, Nigeria has faced a perennial crisis of territorial or state legitimacy, which has often challenged its efforts at national cohesion, democratization, stability and economic transformation (Dudley 1973; Herbst 1996; Kirk-Greene 1971; Maier 2000; Melson and Wolpe 1970; Post and Vickers 1973; Soyinka 1997). The high point of the crisis seems to have been the civil war in the late 1960s, which ensued shortly after independence in 1960. However, rather than abate, conflicts have become more or less pervasive and intense in the post-civil war period, and disintegration continues to be contemplated by aggrieved segments of society as one of the possible ways of resolving the ‘National Question‘. This means that the consequences of Nigeria‘s diversity in an unstable political context remain as dire as ever (Osaghae and Suberu, 2005). Kesselman et al (1996) in their survey, blamed this on three principal factors- scarce resources, weak legitimacy and patron-client or what is commonly known in Nigeria as ―godfather‖ politics, thus they assert that: Scarce resources engender poverty, inequality and a weak position in the international economic system‘. State control of the limited 70 resources provide the leeway for officers, political and bureaucratic, to manipulate government spending to advance their personal fortunes. This led to weak legitimacy, as the citizens lack faith in their political leaders, and, by extension, the political system. Participation in government is low because the citizens perceive it as irrelevant to their lives. In the absence of the support of the civil society, the effective power of government is eroded. Patron-client relationships take the primacy over the formal aspects of politics such as the rule of law, well-functioning political parties, and a credible electoral system. Consequently, Ake (1995) describes the gloomy nature of African States argues thus: ‗decades of efforts have yielded largely stagnation, regression or worse. The tragic consequences of this are increasingly clear: a rising tide of poverty, decaying public utilities and infrastructures, social tensions and political turmoil, and now, premonition of inevitable drive into conflict and violence‘. These problems could be located in the inclement political and social conditions in the developing countries. This manifests in poor planning and implementation, lack of entrepreneurial abilities, the stifling of market forces, falling commodity prices and unfavourable terms of trade, poverty of ideas, the dependency syndrome, corruption and indiscipline. Nigeria, like many other countries in Africa and the third world, confronts a number of internal conflicts. It is a country characterized by intense ethnic polarization and conflict. Mustapha (2004) argues that: ‗Since independence in 1960 it has survived a civil war, countless religious conflicts and series of inter- tribal wars. It has also survived a series of military regimes that have exacerbated many conflicts rather than resolving them‘. The upshot of the policy of suppression became clear when Nigeria returned again to civilian rule. Conflicts that had festered under the preceding military regimes, becoming more venomous and difficult to process with the passage of time, burst into the open shortly after the emergence of Chief Olusegun Obasanjo to the Nigerian presidency on May 29, 1999. Ojukwu (2012:121) opines that: 71 Problems of communal violence had confronted the Obasanjo government since its inception. Since May 29, 1999 when Nigeria began her current experiment on democracy (after many years of military rule), the nation has been bedeviled by a series of social crises. The array of conflicts that greeted his arrival is bewildering and the intensity of the violence often stunning. Since the return to civil rule, armed confrontations have erupted throughout the country over such issues as: religion; economic power and opportunities; political power and offices; division of wealth known colloquially as ―the federal cake‖ derived from subsurface nonrenewable resources – principally petroleum in the Niger Delta and neighboring areas – and controlled by the federal government; land; renewable natural resources, including livestock forage, food stocks, and fisheries; environmental damage; labor–management relations; urban ―turf‖ disputes among youth gangs; disputes among youth of rural communities; and Police-related violence. Some of these conflicts occur along ethnic lines and therefore have a potential to spread to other areas, whereas other sorts of conflicts are more localized and less threatening to the broader Nigerian political system. Thousands of people have died in violent interactions tied to incompatible visions of religion within the context of a state whose constitution is ambiguous as to whether the state is to be secular, and in battles between ethnic groups over control of markets and other incomegenerating enterprises such as slaughterhouses. Ethnicity is generally regarded as the most basic and politically salient identity in Nigeria. This claim is supported by the fact that both in competitive and non-competitive settings, Nigerians are more likely to define themselves in terms of their ethnic affinities than any other identity. Indeed, according to the authoritative 2000 survey on ―Attitudes to Democracy and Markets in Nigeria‖, ethnicity ―is demonstrably the most conspicuous group identity in Nigeria‖ (Lewis and Bratton 2000:27). In other words, ―Nigerians tend to cluster more readily around the cultural solidarities of kin than the class solidarities of the 72 workplace‖ (Lewis and Bratton 2000:25). What is more, ―religious and ethnic identities are more fully formed, more holistic and more strongly felt than class identities‖ as evidenced in the fact that ―whereas those who identify with religious and ethnic communities are almost universally proud of their group identities…those who see themselves as members of a social class are somewhat more equivocal about their pride‖ (Lewis and Bratton 2000: 26). Yet, in spite of the salience of ethnicity, and the large number of studies that have been devoted to the subject, the exact number of ethnic groups in the country is not known. Different estimations have been given, notably, including: 248 (Coleman, 1958), 394 (Hoffman, 1974), 62 (Murdock, 1975), 161 (Gandonu, 1978), 143 (Odetola, 1978), 619 (Wente-Lukas, 1985), and 374 (Otite, 1990). A recent ethnic mapping project puts the number at over 500 (PEFS 2001). The wide variation is largely explained by the different criteria used by the authors. Matters are not helped by the fact that ethnic identities and differentiations are intricately linked with other identities like religion, and furthermore they do not exist in pure forms. With over four hundred (400) ethnic groups, belonging to several religious sects, Nigeria since independence has remained a multi-ethnic nation state, which has been grappling and trying to cope with the problem of ethnicity/religion on the one hand, and governance on the other. Nnoli (1980) produced empirical examples linking socio-economic factors to ethnic conflict in Nigeria. According to J.S. Furnival, cited in Nnoli (1980:72-3), "the working of economic forces makes for tension between groups with competing interests." This is because over the years the phenomena of ethnicity and religious intolerance have led to incessant recurrence of ethno-religious conflicts, which have given birth to many ethnic militias like the O'dua People Congress (OPC); the Bakassi Boys; the Egbesu Boys; the Ijaw Youth Congress (IYC); and the Igbo People Congress (IPC). Others include the Arewa Peoples Congress (APC) the Movement for the Actualization of the Sovereign State of Biafra (MASSOB); and the Ohanaeze N'digbo (Daily Trust; 20/8/2002:16). With the 73 emergence of these ethnic militias and the deep divides between the various ethnic groups, religious intolerance has become more violent and bloody with more devastating results using the ethnic militias as the executors of ethno-religious agenda; further to this is governance challenge bridled with corruption. While it is true that it is not possible to know the exact number of ethno-religious conflicts that has erupted since independence due to lack of adequate statistical data on this issue, it is interesting to note that about forty percent (40%) of ethno-religion based conflicts are credited to the fourth Republic of Nigeria; the period covered by this study. Also, because of the violent nature of ethno-religious conflicts, which often take the form of riots, sabotage, assassination, armed struggles, guerilla warfare and secession in Nigeria, they no doubt have implications for the political and economic development of the country and thus making it an important issue for discussion. A major cause of what we now see as conflict in Nigeria has to do with the accusations and counter accusations of neglect, oppression, domination, exploitation, victimization, discrimination, marginalization, nepotism and bigotry. In every nation (Nigeria inclusive), there is no complete agreement on how wealth, power and status are to be shared among individuals and groups. There is also no agreement on how to effect necessary changes and reforms. This is because, different groups and individuals have diverse interests in which case, some groups will have their aims met, while others will not. What this means is that conflicts usually occur when deprived groups and individuals attempt to increase their share of power and wealth or to modify the dominant values, norms, beliefs or ideology. Thus, in Nigeria, and going by the various conflicts that have occurred, there seems to be a divisive interplay of politics, economic wealth, ethnicism and religions, which has consequently led to the rising nationalism and militancy of various ethnic and religious movements. It is interesting to note that the overall consequence of this is the escalation of 74 various conflicts that are witnessed all over the country today which are meant to correct any perceived form of marginalization, oppression or domination. It is important to note here too that the failure of the Nigerian leaders to establish good governments forge national integration and promote what can be called real economic progress, through deliberate and articulated policies, has led to mass poverty and unemployment. This has resulted into communal, ethnic, religious and class conflicts that have now characterized the Nigerian nation. Poverty and unemployment have therefore served as nursery bed for many conflicts in Nigeria because the country now has a reservoir of poor people who are determined to make money through illegal sources; thus they try to achieve this through serving as mercenary fighters, bunkerers and kidnappers. What this means theoretically is that poverty and unemployment increase the number of people who are prepared to kill or be killed for a given course at token benefit. This explains why all crises that ever occurred in Nigeria have a large turnout of people (including the under-aged) as fighters. A very important cause of conflicts in Nigeria is the breakdown of such vehicles of social control that characterized the traditional African societies such as the family; education, law, religion and political system that cared for the well-being of all citizens. Indeed, the malfunctioning of all these important institutions has actually increased conflicts in Nigeria. For instance, the inability of many homes to make the ends meet with the family income tends to increase immorality, broken fatherless/motherless homes, divorces and drunkenness, leading again to a large army of youths who could be employed for execution warfare. It is also important to note that the school system in Nigeria today is in shambles and may not impart even sound knowledge, let alone instill discipline and desired type of morality. Not less than one hundred and eight cult groups exist in our universities, these cult groups have permeated secondary and primary schools as well as communities. Some 75 members of these groups are hired by politicians to launch attacks on perceived opponents in order to acquire political powers. So our universities and other institutions, instead of retaining their status as ivory towers and centres of excellence have degenerated into training grounds for militia forces. The religious institutions are not left out; they have departed from effectively imparting morals; while the law enforcement agents indulge in crimes, demand bribes and collect illegal levies from motorists openly and, shamelessly. The Judiciary is part of the corruption spoil; jurists collude with politicians to obtain judgments in their favour. The legislature, on the other hand, is not left out. Instead of oversighting other institutions of government to unearth corruption, the legislators greedily are involved in the celebration of brazen corruption. They squander state resources through over bloated allowances and constituency projects, receive financial rewards from corporate bodies and highly placed individuals. The electricity power probe led by Hon. Ndudi Elumeu, the Capital Market by Hon. Herman Hembe and lastly, the Petroleum Downstream Subsidy by Hon. Farouk Lawan are key examples. The spate of corruption in Nigeria is well known globally. The scenario above presents a wrong signal to the social development of the state and encourages social vices in the society thereby laying the foundation for conflicts in general. Furthermore, the uncontrolled arms supply has quickened the outbreak of conflicts, and encouraged fighting rather than peaceful settlement to disputes. Finally, conflicts in Nigeria have some historical antecedents; many governmental actions during the colonial rule and after independence encouraged, to a large extent, the sowing of the seeds of conflicts that are found to be rampant in the Nigerian nation today. As noticed by Ikejiani-Clark cited in Olu-Adeyemi (2006) that over the years, many events in Nigeria have led to the politicization of mistrust, intolerance, violence and acrimonious relations between the mainly Moslem north and the Christian south of Nigeria. To this extent, Ikejiani-Clark contended that there has been an unfortunate insertion of ethno-religious 76 discrimination and incompatibility in the structures of the Nigerian State since the colonial period. In 1931 for instance, the colonial administration under the leadership of Governor Donald Cameroun did not encourage intermingling of religions. Advice given by the governor is indicative of this. The Governor advised the Christian missions to thread softly in Moslem areas so as to maintain the stability of indirect rule. The political events of the January 15, 1966 coup and the July 1966 counter-coup further entrenched ethno-religious configuration in Nigeria. This is because the killings and counter-killing that follow the coups which took ethnic and religious colorations as the Muslim dominated tribes in the north were set against the Christian dominated tribes of the southern region. These events later led to the bloody civil war. The insurgencies in the nation today especially the Boko Haram phenomenon leave social science scholars with no option but to suggest that the nation is sick and requires a good surgeon to diagnose the ailment. Rivers State and Conflicts Rivers State was created by Degree No. 19 of 1967 under the military administration of General Yakubu Gowon (RSG). This State, created alongside eleven others, had a total land area of about 7,008 square miles. Rivers State was divided into five political divisions, namely; Port Harcourt Division, Ahoada Division, Brass Division, Ogoni Division and Degema Division PABOD (Nemieboka, 2005:37). In October 1996, Bayelsa State was created out of the present Rivers State (Nyewusira, 2010:57). The State currently has twenty three (23) Local Government Areas and according to the 2006 population census, it is inhabited by about five million (5,000,000) people. 77 Fig. 4.1: A map of Rivers State Source: Rivers State website 78 LGA Name Area (sq.km) Port Harcourt 109 Obio-Akpor 260 Okrika 222 Ogu/Bolo 89 Eleme 138 Tai 159 Gokana 126 Khana 560 Oyigbo 248 Opobo/Nkoro 130 Andoni 233 Bonny 642 Degema 1,011 Asari-Toru 113 Akuku-Toru 1,443 Abua/Odual 704 Ahoada West 403 Ahoada East 341 Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni 969 Emohua 831 Ikwerre 655 Etche 805 Omuma 170 Census 2006 population 541,115 464,789 222,026 74,683 190,884 117,797 228,828 294,217 122,687 151,511 211,009 215,358 249,773 220,100 156,006 282,988 249,425 166,747 284,010 201,901 189,726 249,454 100,366 Administrative capital Port Harcourt Rumudumanya Okrika Ogu Eleme Sakpenwa Kpor Bori Afam Opobo Town Ngo Bonny Degema Buguma Abonnema Abua Akinima Ahoada Omuku Emohua Isiokpo Okehi Eberi Postal Code 500 500 500 500 501 501 501 502 502 503 503 503 504 504 504 510 510 510 510 511 511 512 512 Source: Rivers State web site Rivers State is located in the south-south part of Nigeria and bounded in the North by Imo, Anambra and Abia States, the East by Akwa Ibom State, the West by Bayelsa and Delta States and on the South by the Atlantic Ocean. Like the other Niger Delta States, Rivers State has topography of relatively flat plain netted in a web of rivers, creeks and tributaries; creating what Okonny (2002:18) refers as ‗a water environment‘. The inland part of Rivers state consists of tropical rainforest; towards the coast of the typical Niger Delta environment features many mangrove swamps. 79 Rivers State is multi ethnic and is composed of various ethnic groups such as Abua, Andoni, Ekpeya, Engenni, Etche, Ikwerre, Ibani, Kalabari, Ndoni, Ogba, Ogoni, Okrika and etcetera. These ethnic groups have been existing centuries before the creation of the State in 1967 (Rivers State Government Bulletin, 2003). It is worthy of note that each of these ethnic group represents a language or dialect group. Presently, the State has about twenty four recognized languages. Rivers State is the Oil capital of Nigeria (Obianime, 2010:1), a nerve centre of oil and gas activities in the federation (Amachree, 2010:10), a center stage of oil and gas in Nigeria (Bipi, 2012). The State is famous and indeed leading in the production of oil and gas in Nigeria. With enormous reserves of crude oil and natural gas, Rivers State accounts for about 40% of Nigeria crude oil production (Obiechine, 2010:43). Apart from this, there are many petrochemical related industries in the state. The State is blessed with a plethora of industrial activities; thus, it harbours two petroleum refineries in Nigeria, Nigeria's gigantic Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) project; located in Bonny Island of the state, a number of multinational Exploration and Producing (E & P) Companies namely Shell Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria Ltd (SPDC), Nigeria Agip Oil Company Ltd (NAOC), Total E & P Ltd, Chevron Nigeria Ltd, Mobil Unlimited amongst others. Besides these multinational companies involved in (E&P) activities, other indigenous companies participate actively in exploration, drilling and or production activities. Some of these are Monopulo Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria Ltd, Petrolog Group, Lonester Drilling Ltd, Drillog Petrodynamics Ltd, Siscon Services Ltd, Weltec Ltd among others It is important to state that the economy of the State is shaped predominantly by hydrocarbon industrial activities. This strongly accounts for the persistent conflicts in the State because studies indicate that ‗States blessed with enormous natural deposits are most often theatres of conflict‘ because of the quest for survival on who gets what, when and how. 80 Globally, several States are engulfed in one conflict or the other as a result of their natural endowment in oil, gas, gold, diamond, precious stones among others. Besides the oil economy, the State prides itself in agriculture; fishing and farming are the main occupation of the local people. The State is also becoming a tourism destination in Nigeria, the annual cultural carnival – CARNIRIV is a new word in tourism lexicon in Nigeria. This carnival has greatly enhanced the growth of the hospitality industry in the State and further stimulated commerce and industrial activities in a state that was once becoming pariah as a result of the out - loose of criminality typified in wanton kidnap of prominent business moguls, family members, or cronies, foreign and local oil company staff and politicians of all sorts. This act of criminality is becoming a trade because in exchange for the release of the kidnapped, the kidnappers ask for fabulous ransoms which are paid in millions of Naira. The passage of anti kidnap Law by the state legislature in 2010 stemmed the tide of kidnap of all forms. At the core of the conflicts are primordial factors – namely unhealthy competition for the control of resources of our land characterized by inter and intra class competition between the haves and the have-nots or the bourgeoisie and the proletariats. The foregoing review reverberates the issue why the peripheral capitalist state could be regarded as a site of intra-class conflict over accumulation. To be sure, the capitalist state has historically been a site of intra-class conflicts among fractions of capital (Poulatzas, 1980). It is this fact that lies at the heart of one of the most central principles of political science - separation of powers. Central to the emergence of the capitalist state in the West was the separation of the producer from the means of production and consequently the separation of the state from the economy (accumulation). The economy becomes the site for class struggles over accumulation, while the state incarnates these struggles as the site for setting the grand rules for economic management and balancing the interests of fractions of capital. In the West, separation of powers was very central to competitive capitalism and the 81 liberal state because it served to balance the competing interests of fractions of capital, since these interests were usually strongly expressed in the various arms of government. At the same time, by concurrently limiting and balancing the arms of government, the liberal state appears as non-arbitrary, impartial and therefore capable of guaranteeing the interests of all fractions of capital (i.e. fractions of the bourgeoisie). As a result of this, the political functions of the liberal state, which consist of setting and enforcing the ground rules of accumulation, both through force and through inculcation of the dominant ideology, become preeminent over its direct intervention in accumulation. Although this position is slightly modified under monopoly capitalism, with increased role of the state in the economy, the liberal state generally remains a force standing over the process of accumulation and deftly balancing the interests of the various fractions of capital and not a direct intervener in accumulation (see Ibeanu, 2007: 299-300). The peripheral capitalist state presents a different logic. Unlike the liberal state of the Centre (―developed capitalist state‖), this state is a very important site for intra-ruling class struggles over accumulation in a very direct way. As a result of the enormous wealth and resources that are directly controlled by this state, and because autonomous accumulation outside the state is either weak or non-existent, control of this state is the basis of wealth for fractions of the ruling class. This has led to the description of this state variously as ―a means of production‖ (Ekekwe, 1986), ―patrimonial‖ (Menard, 1982), built on ―primitive accumulation‖ (Iyayi, 1986), ―parcelled out‖ to class fractions (Ibeanu, 1999) and generating ―prebendal politics‖ (Joseph, 1987). Consequently, rather than a state that reconciles the contradictory interests of fractions of the ruling class, its structures, institutions and processes, including those of policy making and implementation, are objects of bitter struggles by these class fractions. As such, relations in the State do not consist of 82 ―reconciling‖ the interests of fractions of the ruling class, which is the major ember that fans conflicts but a struggle for spoils among them. From 1999 - 2007, Rivers State witnessed no fewer than sixty major conflicts which claimed many lives. See in the appendix, a table that contains some of these conflicts. The table justifies the response generated from the sixth question on the questionnaire which sought to know if the community in which the respondents live have been or is currently in crisis; the response were as follows: 180 (82%) was in affirmative, 30 (13%) said ‗no‘, while 10 (5%) had no answer to the question. From the response therefore, we could see that over 80% of the communities have experienced one form of conflict or the other. The causes of the conflicts were basically quest for economic and political wealth as well as chieftaincy, land, youth restiveness/cultism and communal matters. This is as generated in a bar chart below: Fig 4.2: Bar chart showing causes of conflict in Rivers State Source: Data from framework 83 Most of the conflicts were as a result of oil led development and most of which are currently on-going till date and many new ones have erupted. This is better represented on the diagram below. Fig 4.3: Shows the causes of conflict in Rivers State Source: Data from framework Ibeanu, (2010) itemizes six paradoxical reasons for conflict in the area as a result of oil-led development; these are: - Those who have it don‘t use it and those who use it don‘t have it; - Those who have it can‘t extract it and those who can extract it don‘t have it; - It protects the livelihoods of those who don‘t have it and destroy the livelihood 84 of those who have it; - It makes the labour of those who have it irrelevant and makes the labour of those who don‘t have it relevant; - those who control it don‘t work and those who work don‘t control it; and - money for nothing and nothing for money. The above scenario therefore led to militancy and destruction of oil formations in Rivers State and indeed the Niger Delta, especially between 2007 and 2009. This action practically retarded oil extraction activities and drastically reduced Nigeria‘s foreign earning and her OPEC quota. It also led to increase in world demand for crude oil as Nigeria is the sixth largest producer of the ‗black gold‘ in the world. Commenting on the state of conflict and wanton kidnaps of persons, a youth from Ishukwa-Ndoni community said ‗in many cases, state officials and oil companies either generate or fuel these conflicts in their antics of divide and rule. It is a known fact that some oil companies have local chiefs and notables on their payrolls in return for cultivating favourable public opinion on behalf of oil companies. However, the oil companies increasingly divulge their names to restive youths, thus fueling anger that stimulates inter and intra communal conflict (Ada, 2011). In his contribution, Engr. Akpan, the Managing Director Green Ocean Petroleum indigenous oil, gas and Power Company in Port Harcourt observes: Almost all the Local Governments in Rivers State and indeed the Niger Delta have experienced one form of conflict or the other. The conflict basically could be attributed to the oil-led development. Communities experience Chieftaincy as well as communal problems because of oil royalties and contracts; politician struggle to win election because of interest in the oil companies for contracts and employment of their people; oil companies employ divide and rule to cause confusion in communities so they would not be united to make legitimate demands; the end result of all is the application of divide and rule principle as adopted during the colonial era. That was the reason why the Niger Delta boiled especially between 2007 and 2009 and pockets of the conflicts still persists till date. 85 Also, there are conflicts associated with politics; especially conflicts linked to party politics. Contest for political power, which is expected to be free, fair and open in a democracy, has become a major source of violent conflicts in the Rivers State. A good illustration is the spate of violent conflicts that engulfed the State in particular and the Niger Delta at large following the 2003, 2007 and 2011 general elections, which are believed to be linked to young gangs recruited and armed by politicians to fight their political opponents during the poll. Some of the criminal cult groups recruited were ‗the Bush Boys‘, ‗Dey Gbam‘, ‗Dey Well‘, ‗Icelander‘, ‗Elegemface‘, ‗KGB‘, White ‗Bishop‘, ‗Dolphine‘, to name but a few. These cult groups were used to perpetrate harm, maim, and even assassinate perceived opponents. Within the period under review in Rivers State, Marshal Harry was the first victim consumed and he was brutally murdered on 23rd March, 2003; he was followed by A. K. Dikibo on 5th February 2004. Both were former Deputy National Chairmen of Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) South – South. Others that fell to the weapons of the assassins and hired killers were Dr. Nzeoma Nwachukwu, a brilliant medical doctor and a perceived Chairmanship aspirant in Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Local Government election 2006; Mr. Obenade Joseph Ihenacho, father of a Chairmanship aspirant in Tai Local Government Council in 2007; Hon. Charles Nsiegbe – a former Member of Rivers State House of Assembly and a perceived aspirant for Nigeria‘s House of Representatives on 23rd November, 2009; Chief Ignatius Ajuru – former Ambassador, Chairman and Pro-Chancellor University of Jos and a perceived aspirant for Senate on 23rd December, 2009; Chief A.E Egobueze; the father of the researcher, the Chairman Rivers State Civil Service Commission till his brutal assassination on 11th June, 2010; two men were shot dead in Assemblies of God Church on 13th June, 2010 in their attempt to protect the kidnapping of Eze Sunday Njoku, Ochimba 1 of Umuebulu. After them, three other killings suspected to be politically motivated were recorded in the state; the victims were Soboma George; a king militant of MEND extraction on 25th August, 2010; Mr. 86 Paago, a perceived aspirant from Gokana Local Government Area Chairmanship election; Mrs. Lucy Ukabunwa Wokocha, mother of Hon. Augustine Wokocha, Commissioner of Power, Rivers State joined her ancestors 29th October, 2010 through the bullet of assassins. It is worthy to note that the killers and the accessories to these crimes are yet to be ascertained by the Law Enforcement Agencies, especially the Nigeria Police. Most of these killings were perpetrated either in election years or close to an election year. Beside these perceived political assassinations; there were some extra judicial killings. During the period under review, especially between 2006/2008, the spate of conflict and violence in the state got to a crescendo; militants fought with government forces, sabotaged oil installations, kidnapped foreign and local oil workers and took them hostage for different kinds of ransom. They also embarked on car bombings and wanton destruction of properties. They almost overran Government House, Port Harcourt. There was a state of anarchy; the military completely took over Port Harcourt and its environs. Mrs. Cecilia Omehia, mother of the erstwhile Governor of Rivers State, Sir Celestine Omehia; the Vice Chancellor of Rivers State University of Science and Technology, Professor B.B. Fakae; A Catholic Priest, Monsignor Dr. Pius Kii; Agip Oil Company Ltd Divisional Manager Public Affairs, Naaman Feyi Deinyi; the wife of High Chief O.G Lulu Briggs the oil magnate Seinyi; the wife of Chief Humphrey Idisi CEO, Lone Star Drilling - Margaret and not less than three hundred other foreign and local residents were at one time or the other kidnapped. In 2007, about eight foreigners were killed and 172 taken hostage (The Telegraph, 19th April, 2008). Lately, a militant king – Osisikankwu and his gang from Abia State held Omuma Local Government Area of Rivers State on captive. Innocent and unsuspecting travelers going and returning from Aba, along the Port Harcourt-Aba Express way and villagers in the Local Government were kidnapped and some killed. As noted above, at the root of the problem is a crisis of poverty, political power, oil and gas activities, neglect and 87 underdevelopment. Beside the frequent spates of kidnapping, demand for ransom and show of power by militants in the region, the state has lately witnessed war-like confrontations between the militants and the Joint Task Force (JTF) on one hand and the Police on the other. The Police has in fact seemingly become the whipping boy of the militants, who raid police stations at will and kill policemen randomly. See appendix three, a table that illustrates the issues raised above. Given the above, the State increasingly became conflict-ridden, this, in turn, heightened competition over control of resources through the acquisition of political power, oil bunkering and wanton kidnap of innocent citizens for ransom which are seen as a means to the wealth. At the institutional/organizational level, there were incessant strike action embarked upon by the educational Institution‗s Unions. Also, as a result of the struggles and conflict relations in the State, the various arms of government have constituted themselves as arbiters for the resolution of conflicts. This has occasioned conflictual relations between them, and has increasingly weakened the process of attaining peace in Rivers State in particular and Nigeria at large. A synopsis of three conflicts in Rivers State Ogu Crisis Ogu is the head quarter of Ogu/Bolo Local Government Council of Rivers State. The Local Government shares boundary with Okrika, Elema and Gokana Local Government Areas of Rivers State and it has a population of about 74, 683 persons, (2006 Census). Like other Local Government Areas in the State, Ogu people are predominantly fisher men and some of them are engaged in the public and private services in the State. Ogu was a peaceful community before the return of Nigeria to Civil rule in 1999. As the bell for political activities rang in 1999, the struggle for the control of the Local Government politics was between Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and All Peoples Party 88 (APP). Ogu/Bolo Local Government Area eventually fell under the control of then All Peoples Party (APP), later All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) with Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in control of Rivers State. The conflict in Ogu was political. It was as a result of control of the political machinery in the Local Government Area between the APP (ANPP) controlled Council and the PDP led government at the State. The principal parties were Mina Tende (then Chairman of Ogu/Bolo Local Government Council) and George Thompson Sekibo (then Special Adviser to the Governor, Rivers State on Special Projects, presently and a Senator of the Federal Republic of Nigeria). The PDP led by George Thompson Sekibo wanted to unseat the APP led government of Mina Tende. Tende resisted and conflicts ensued. Each of the warring factions gathered boys loyal to them, armed them with powerful guns and weapons and started to unleash mayhem on the other. The effects were therefore, the burning of houses and destruction of properties by both parties. People were forced to flee their homes to nearby communities and towns. The House was quickly informed of the scenario by Hon. Adokie Oruwari (APP) representing Ogu Constituency through a motion. The House passed a Resolution condemning the act, suspended the two principal actors and setting up an Ad – hoc Committee to look into the matter. The Committee was charged to look at the remote and immediate cause(s) of the matter, conduct public hearing, reconcile the warring parties and report back to the House. Accordingly, the Committee acted as directed by the House and resolved the matter. Aggah Egbema Crisis Aggah is the most populous Egbema village in Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Local Government Area of Rivers State. The Community is oil rich and its people are predominantly farmers. The Community had no previous history of major conflict till 2003 when one of its prominent 89 sons Chief Joseph Omuegbe elicited the support of some chief and he was made Ochioha of Aggah, whereas the official paramount ruler Eze-ali existed. The installation of Omuegbe as Ochioha led to division in Aggah and unhealthy rivalries. Besides being a Chief, Omuegbu was also a Pastor and founder of Koinanion Ministries with head quarter in Aggah. In 2003, with his assumed position as Ochioha, he acquired land which belonged to Community Girls Secondary School Aggah to build the head quarter of his church. The acquisition of the land sparked-up conflict in the community as boys loyal to the Eze-ali resisted the building of the church. The both camps were armed with modern guns and ammunitions and engaged each other. The crisis left many houses burnt and no fewer than ten persons dead. The Member Representing Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Local Government Constituency II raised the issue as a matter of urgent public importance and it was referred to the House Committee on Public Complaints and Petitions. The Committee after an investigation turned in its report with far reaching recommendations. Finally, the House resolved that Koinonian Ministries do vacate the premises of the School and any other illegal occupant should vacate the school premises. Trade Unions in Tertiary Institutions Crisis The Rivers State Government is the proprietor of seven tertiary Institutions namely: The Rivers State University of Science and Technology, Ignatius Ajuru University of Education, The Rivers State Polytechnic, The Rivers State College of Arts and Science, The Rivers State School of Nursing, The Rivers State College of Health Technology. These Institutions have academic and non academic Unions, and almost all of them had conflicts with their management and indeed the State Government. Some of the crises were as a result of none implementation of agreement reached with the Tertiary Institution‘s Unions with the Federal Government, especially, increase in salary or arrears to such 90 increase. There were also some industrial unrest as a result of perceived over bearing attitude of management on critical issues. Some of these were on officer‘s promotion, inducement allowances, attendance to conferences, welfare, amongst others. Critically, the Rivers State University of Science and Technology and Ignatius Ajuru University of Education, had running battles with their Vice Chancellors and Governing Councils over the above mentioned issues. The University Unions declared industrial actions over nonimplementation and payment of the arrears or increase in their salaries and allowances in 2010. They petitioned the Speaker, Rivers State House of Assembly on the matter. The intervention of the House Committee on Education made the House Leadership to meet with the Executive arm of government, and a supplementary Appropriation was made for that year which addressed part of their demands. Beside, series of meetings were held between the Governing Council, the Vice-Chancellor and the University Unions especially ASUU of Rivers State House of Assembly. These meetings were midwife by the House Committee on Education, Rivers State House of Assembly. 91 CHAPTER FIVE INTEREST OF LEGISLATORS AND THE ROLE OF THE RIVERS STATE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY IN CONFLICT MANAGEMENT In this chapter, we seek to test the hypothesis that the legislature is likely to intervene in a conflict if the interests of its members are affected. One salient question that needs to be asked is ‗why does the legislature intervene in a particular conflict when other conflicts exist?‘ The answer to this question would be unravelled in this chapter. Democracy is based on the notion that a people should be self-governing and that the representatives of the people should be held accountable for their actions by the people. The legislature unquestionably occupies the most important place as it formulates and expresses the will of the state. The legislature, which represents the people and acts as their agent, is therefore at the core of the Western democratic tradition. Although the legislature is known primarily as a lawmaking body, it is important to recognize that this institution has many other important responsibilities. The foremost function of the legislature is law making, which is achieved through representation. Mill (1862) states that ‗in a representative democracy, the legislature acts as the eyes, ears, and voice of the people‘. Representation provides the basis for legislative behaviour. In the capacity of representatives, legislators participate in law-making and other legislative business and the represented generally accept legislative decisions as authoritative. As the elected representatives of the people, legislators provide legitimacy to the government. In the many decades of military rule in Nigeria, the Legislature was completely sacked, while the Executive and Judicial institutions were still functional, this accounts for while the legislature is regarded as the symbol of democracy. Certain Legislative actions are determined by the specific interest of the Legislators. Interest is defined as a feeling that makes you to pay attention to something or to find out more about it (Della, 2003:742). It is a state of curiosity or ‗curiosity about, or intellectual or emotional involvement in something‘. It is a feeling of having one's attention, concern, or 92 curiosity particularly engaged by something; that connotes the engagement of attention to excite emotion or passion in, on behalf of a person or thing. Interests of legislators therefore are very paramount in legislative actions and decisions; such interest most often affects the voting pattern of the House and the final House Resolution on specific matters. The following are some of the reasons why the Legislature intervenes in conflicts: Conflicts that directly affect Member’s constituents or cut across many constituencies Unlike other branches of government, constituents have greater access to the legislators; they are often more likely to feel that they have a claim on a representative than on other government officials. Legislative proceedings are often organized to maximize public attention to particular controversies and to offer participation opportunities ranging from contacting individual representatives to organized hearings to getting information at the constituency office of the Members of the Legislature amongst others. Commenting on constituents‘ access to the legislature, Sir Ogele Emmanuel, Clerk, Rivers State House of Assembly states: Relations between constituents and their representatives differ from other citizen-government relationships. Compared to the executive, the legislative branch is usually more equal in its membership, diverse in composition, and expected to be more accessible to all citizens. In addition, the Legislature is far more likely than the executive to do at least part of its business in public, making it easier for constituents to learn what their representatives are doing, and why? This accounts for why most often, legislative bodies be it at the Federal, State and Local Government Level are involved in conflict management. More so, the Legislators realizing that they are nearest to their constituents would seek for re-election or contest other elections, therefore, they are more likely directly to intervene in conflicts that affect these constituents. Representation requires that representatives express the interests of their constituents, or take positions on issues that they think are best for their constituents or the larger public interest. Activities associated with representation include introducing legislation on behalf of constituents, proposing motions on issues bothering on their constituent, presenting petitions 93 on matters of utmost importance to their constituents, voicing constituents' views and interests through speeches and other public statements, and meeting with constituents and interest groups to hear their concerns. Thus, legislators can represent their constituents in many was without actually passing new legislations. In this vein therefore, constituents‘ interest is most often propagated by the legislator because his views are likened to the views of his constituent. Contributing to the fore-–going, the Member representing Ogu/Bolo Constituency in Rivers State House of Assembly, Hon. Bipi Evans asserts: An effective legislator represents constituents, influences law and policymaking, and acts as a constraint on executive power by exercising a degree of oversight. Member-constituent relations can affect each of these functions by shaping member motivations and incentives, by providing local content and human context to decisions, and by providing a way for constituents to measure performance of legislators and to assess government actions. The Member representing Ogu/Bolo in that Assembly seeing the carnage and arson and spate of hostility in the crisis that rocked the peaceful community – Ogu, had no choice but to raise the issue as a matter of urgent public importance; the 4th Assembly then did not waste time but, intervene in the crisis. The intervention of the House to me led to the timely resolution of the crisis, so if you say that the interest of a Member on a particular matter may lead to the timely intervention of the House in that conflict, you may not be wrong. As indicated in annexure 1, the motion on Ogu crisis was proposed by Hon. Adokye Oruwari, member representing Ogu/Bolo constituency in the House on 9th May, 2001. In an interview with Hon. Oruwari, he states as follows: Who sent the motion on Ogu crisis to the House? I represented that constituency, but am from Bolo Community, it is the interest of the constituents that motivated my personal interest and my colleagues saw nothing sectional on the matter. Not only did the House set up a committee to investigate, but she went further to suspend the two primary parties to the conflict. You remember, I represented All Peoples‘ Party APP later All Nigerian Peoples‘ Party ANPP and the Peoples‘ Democratic Party PDP was the dominant party in the House‘. My basic interest in the matter was because most of my constituent lost their houses, means of livelihood, and many others were displaced as a result of the conflict. Based on the motion, the House resolved as follow: 94 i. ii. iii. iv. v. vi. That a Committee of the House be appointed to investigate the crisis in Ogu, in Ogu/Bolo Local Government Area. That, the Chairman of Ogu/Bolo Local Government Council, Hon. Clever Mina Tende, pursuant to Section 64 of the Rivers State Local Government Law, 1999, stands suspended from office, until the resolution of the crisis in Ogu. That the Vice Chairman, Ogu/Bolo Local Government Council, Hon. Anidikima Alabo, do act as the Chairman of Council during the period of suspension of the Chairman. That His Excellency, the Executive Governor of Rivers State, be requested to direct Mr. George Sekibo, Special Adviser on Projects, to step aside, until the Committee of the House concludes its assignment. That all vigilante groups in Ogu be ban forthwith That the Commissioner of Police do beef up security in Ogu town (See annexure 1). Party Interest and Party Politics Another critical reason that stimulates the Legislature‘s intervention in conflict is party interest or political consideration. A member of the seven- man Ad-hoc Committee set up to investigate the Ogu conflict Hon. (Prince) Oforji, Precious (Oyigbo Constituency) in an interview states: If you look at the conflict in Ogu, you would realize that it was a war over the control of the political future of that Local Government. You will recall that at the advent of the new democracy in 1999, APP later ANPP won Okrika and Ogu/Bolo Councils respectively, the victory of the party could be linked to Chief Rufus Ada George, a former Governor who hails from there and a chieftain of the opposition party ANPP. As PDP fully got entrenched at the Federal and State levels, there was a strategic plan to take over the control of States and Local Governments lost in 1999 to opposition parties, AD in the West and the ANPP in most parts of the North and the South. When you critically look at the two principal parties in the conflict – Mina Tende ANPP and George Thompson Sekibo PDP, you would understand what I just said that the conflict at Ogu was a build up to 2003 elections. This underpins the party interest and politics associated with the conflict. Commenting on the House Resolution, another member of the seven-man Ad-hoc Committee on Ogu conflict, Hon. Prince Azubuike Odum (Emohua Constituency) states: In every profession, there is comradeship; the forces say espirit de corp, we in the legislature are not different. We look at issues and consider them in their merits; just like the Rotary Club will ask few 95 questions in their creed; ‗is it the truth? Is it fair to all concerned? Will it build good will and better friendship? and will it be beneficial to all concerned?‘. Therefore, as peoples‘ representatives, our responsibility first is to the people; we consider first the interest of our people. In the case of the Ogu crisis, our colleague convinced the House then with facts; especially the outcry from his people, the House therefore took decisions based on its findings. I was particularly interested in the matter because I was the minority Leader and the sponsor of the motion who was from my party APP, and the Chairman of Council then Mina Tende my party man too. You can see beyond other factors why I was interested. The contributions above from Hon. Odum indicate that two principal reasons activated his interest on the matter; the first and most significant was party interest and secondly, comradeship. He was the Minority Leader of the ANPP and the sponsor of the motion and the Chairman of Council were members of ANPP, consequently, he saw the conflict as a war between the ANPP controlled Council and the PDP controlled State with the PDP struggling to capture the Local Government in the next election. This is in alignment with the contributions of Hon. (Prince) Precious Oforji Table 5.1: Opinion of Respondents ‘why the legislature intervenes in conflict?’ S/N RESPONSE FROM QUESTION NO. OF RESPONSE 1. When the interest of its Member is 150 affected 2. Because it is its constitutional 51 responsibility 3. Because of its zealousness as a law 9 making House 4. No response 10 TOTAL 220 Source: Data from framework % 68 23 4 5 100 Respondents‘ response to question 24 as presented in Table is instructive, 150 (65%) hold the view that the legislature intervenes very fast in conflict when the interest of their members are affected. Contributing to the above subject, Dr. Ken Nweke, a lecturer at Ignatius Ajuru University of Education and public affairs commentator asserts: 96 The intervention of Rivers State House of Assembly in conflict management is sectional; the House most often intervenes in conflicts when the interest of their Member is affected. From 1999 till date, Rivers State has been engulfed in so many conflicts; how many of them did the House intervene? If you look critically to those ones they intervened in, either that they were directly involved or their relation or crony was involved. So many other conflicts that did not have any body linked to the House, citizen had to look up to the executive that was ambivalent to consider these issues. This actually is the state of affair. We look forward to a House that without prejudice and without any personal interest will go into the conflict and tirelessly resolve it because the House is a peoples‘ Assembly paid from the tax payers money and other appropriation from the Federation and other accounts. We must move away from sentimentalism and be broad in our thinking and action, the House must legislate for peace and good governance as set out in section 4 (7) of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria as amended. Implicit in the above interview is that the Legislature intervenes greatly in conflicts that affect their Members. One other person interviewed, who wished to remain anonymous, cited the case of the Aggah-Egbema conflict. The House in its Resolution at the 133 Legislative Sitting held on 17th January, 2001 on Aggah-Egbema conflict resolved as follows: (1) That Rev. Joseph Omuegbu and the Koninonia International Ministries should, forthwith, stop encroaching into the land belonging to Community Girls Secondary School, Aggah, ONELGA; (2) That government do survey and fence up the land occupied by Community Girls Secondary School Aggah, ONELGA; (3) That Aggah Community including other Communities in the State, be held responsible for any harm or threat to life sustained against government officials posted to serve there (RVHA, 2001:1). See annexure 2 for details. However, some other arguments in support of the House not being sectional in conflict management were put forward by Hon. Nelson Singer, a member representing Onelga Constituency II (2003-2007) he states inter alia: The House may be accused of being sectional, but in reality, it is not. That is the sentiment of people that do not understand the workings of the legislature. In Aggah-Egbema crisis, my predecessor Hon. Elemchukwu Ogbowu raised the matter on the floor of the House, he is not from Aggah, but he represented them; 97 he had to raise the matter for the immediate attention of the House because the lives and properties of our constituents were involved. You must always have the good, the bad and the ugly in every constituency, should the good not enjoy the benefits and fruits of their labour?‘ Asked if they thought that the interest of a member influenced the State Assembly to make timely interventions in conflicts, 82% of our respondents strongly agreed, while only 5% strongly disagreed. Fig 5.1: A pie chart showing respondents view on a question ‘Interest of Legislators lead to timely intervention in conflict’? Source: Data from framework A review of the submission as presented in the pie chart shows that an overwhelming majority strongly agreed and agreed to the assertion that the legislature would be timely in the conflict management when the interest of their Member is involved; while only about 7% strongly disagreed and disagreed to the assertion and 2% had no comment. A look at Tables 5 and 6 above on motions and bills proposed and passed on the floor of the House shows that, 98 in Ogu crisis, as explained earlier, the Member representing the community from All Peoples‘ Party (APP) Hon. Oruwari presented the motion to the House, the House suspended the two principal parties to the conflict Mina Tende and George Sekibo and swiftly set up an Ad-hoc Committee to investigate the matter. The House was careful in the selection of Members of the Committee, the Committee had four Members including the Chairman from the PDP and three from the opposition parties- the ANPP and the AD. The Committee organized public hearing and made a fact finding visit to the affected Community. Finally, the Committee made far reaching recommendations that resolved the matter and restored peace in the Community. Fig 5.2: Bar Chart showing respondents’ response to a question ‘do you see conflict management as one of the responsibilities of the Legislature?’ Data from framework Finally, the bar chart above shows response to question 23 of the questionnaire, it indicates that 180 representing 82% of the respondents answered ‗yes‘, that conflict 99 management is part of the responsibilities of the Legislature, 9% answered ‗no‘ while 9% others did not provide any response to the question. Commenting on the foregoing, Ojirika Callistus, a former Clerk to the House Committee on Public Complaints & Petitions states: In a democracy, there is inter dependence in the functions of all the organs of government. A concept known as ‗inter penetration of power‘ has evolved. Conflict management is a responsibility of all the organs of government in a State. But, it falls principally within the ambit of the Executive and the Legislature. The inefficiency of those two organs to resolve the conflicts leads to the increasing role of the Legislature in conflict management. As a former Clerk to the House Committee on Public Complaints & Petitions, we were inundated with series of petition; the people believed so much in our ability to solve their problems instead of the courts and Public Complaints Bureau and other Executive Departments, I am glad we did our best and we delivered on our set goals. Table 5.2: Chi – Square Tests Chi-Square Tests Pearson Chi-Square Likelihood Ratio Linear-by -Linear Association N of Valid Cases Value 295.963a 348.675 238.614 4 4 Asy mp. Sig. (2-sided) .000 .000 1 .000 df 440 a. 0 cells (.0%) hav e expect ed count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 6.50. From the Chi-square distribution table, we find that at d.f. = 4 and at α = 0.05 level of significance, then X2.05 = 9.4877 Since the Test statistics, X2 ( = 295.9637), is GREATER than X2.05 (= 9.4877); also since p (= 0.000) < α (=0.05), we reject the null hypothesis (H0) and conclude that: H1: There is a significant association between interest of the Legislature and its intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State. Strength of Relationship: The high value of 0.634 for the test statistics, contingency coefficient, indicates that there is a strong relationship between the two variables. In conclusion, it is important to note that the three conflicts identified as our case studies have great implications for our research and the government of the day, led by the 100 Peoples‘ Democratic Party (PDP). In Ogu conflict for instance, it was principally a war over the political control of Ogu/Bolo by the PDP from the ANPP, The Aggah-Egbema conflict showed the inaptitude and lackadaisical attitude of the Executive and the Judiciary towards conflict management in the state, while the Labour Union of Tertiary Institutions in the State‘s conflict reveals the insensitivity of the Executive to honour agreements and the Judiciary‘s inaptitude. Other critical factors worthy of note as indicators for the timely intervention of the Legislature in conflicts are: where the conflicts have direct implications for the Legislature, Executive biases or particular conflicts and delay in justice delivery by the Judiciary on some conflicting matters in the State among others. The failure of the Executive and the Judiciary in conflict management led to the increasing role of the Legislature in conflict management. Legislative interventions are seen through increased involvement of Members in the sponsorship of conflict management related Bills and motions, invitation of persons connected with the conflicts to brief the House or a Committee of the House, timely attendance of Members to Sitting and Committee meetings to contribute to debates on the conflicts, timely dispensation of debate on conflict related Motions or Bills, regular presentation of petitions on conflicting matters to the House in plenary and Committees of the House by members of the Legislature, conduct of public hearing on the conflicts, example the Ogu conflict, regular Press briefing by the Legislature especially on the conflicts it is or has mitigated upon, constituency outreach programmes and town hall meetings to educate the people on Legislative actions and intervention on the conflicts and other related matters. The result from our chi square test indicates that there is a strong relationship between the two variables. The results from our primary and secondary data indicate that the legislature often times intervenes in conflicts when the interests of its members are affected. This is as indicated mostly in the Ogu, the Egbema and the Labour Unions in Tertiary 101 Institutions conflicts which constitute our case study. Interest in this circumstance does not connote parochial interest, but the public interest of the State, when the constituency where the legislator represents is in turmoil or at the verge of being in conflicts. Finally, the result to the first hypothesis tested by this study was positive. 102 CHAPTER SIX EXECUTIVE, JUDICIARY AND THE ROLE OF RIVERS STATE HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY IN CONFLICT MANAGEMENT Our major focus in this chapter is to validate the result from our primary and secondary data on the increasing role of the Legislature in conflict management vis-à-vis the Executive and Judiciary in whose primary constituency conflict management resides. Hypothetically, we stated that ‗if the Executive and Judiciary fail to manage conflicts effectively, then the involvement of the legislature in conflict management is likely to increase.‘ The major indicators of failure of the Executive and the Judiciary to manage conflicts are: Insensitivity of the Executive and the Judiciary towards the management of conflicts in Rivers State As identified in Appendix 2, there were not less than sixty (known) conflicts in Rivers State, there has been no intervention on most of the conflicts till date by any of the organs of government. A study of the table would indicate that most of the conflicts have persisted from 1999 till date. The question that may agitate our minds is ‗why has there not been known solution to these conflicts?‘ the answer is simple, there has not been serious interest from governmental institutions to resolve the conflicts. In Rumuekpe crisis for instance, the whole Community was sacked, there was arson and wanton destruction of lives and properties, yet, no known solution has been canvassed. The Community is still deserted. The Executive and the Judiciary from 1999 to date have not provided any solution to the problem. What was the cause of the problem? – ‗oil led development‘. The Legislature as it were in the current Assembly has put structures in place to resolve the conflict through its House Committee on Energy & Natural Resources. Recently, meetings were held between a section of the Community and Total E&P, the Committee made a Resolution which all parties have endorsed. (See annexure 4 for details). Also, the House Leader who incidentally represents 103 the Community is making efforts to resolve the matter. Therefore, the intervention of the Legislature is mostly related to the lackadaisical attitude of both the Executive and the Judiciary to intervene in the conflict. Commenting on the matter, the Chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Natural Resources Hon. Bipi Evens states: The Rumuekpe conflict is age long. From the Petition as well as the Committee Resolution, you will notice that the people had been in court with the oil companies for a long time and no clear resolution has been reached, so, the family that met us decided on an out of court settlement, the Committee has been able to mitigate on the matter and the conflict almost completely resolved. From the Resolution, it is noteworthy to note that all the parties signed, it shows the acceptance of the Legislative option to conflict management by the people. From what we have achieved, we can attribute the intervention of the Legislature on the conflict to the inaction of both the Executive and the Judiciary. Similarly, in an interview with a Petitioner, Mr. Anthony from Rumuekpe Community, he states that: The Rumuekpe conflict could be attributed to both the failure of the Executive and the Judiciary in the State. In America and other known democracies in the world the lost of properties and lives is almost considered a sacrilege, In Israel for instance, because of the release of one citizen in captivity, the Country released hundreds of Palestinians, these are societies that have value for human lives. The Rumuekpe conflict is age long, many lives and properties worth millions had been lost and the community devastated. I have not been to my community for over a decade, we are refugees in many neighboring communities, yet, we have government. We went to court and have been in court all the while before a Legislator advised us to seek Legislative intervention. Initially, we had no confidence in the Legislature, but, today, I can say that the failure of the Executive and the Legislature has led to the success which we can celebrate from this Committees‘ verdict. Indeed, we are delighted with the Legislature‘s effort. Further to this, in the three conflicts under study; viz: the Ogu conflict, AggahEgbema conflict and Labour Unions in Tertiary Institutions, the insensitivity of the Executive and the Judiciary was very prominent. In Ogu conflict for instance, the Executive at the State level feigned ignorant of the conflict because of its interest to recapture the control of the Council from the ANPP. The ruling PDP had a prominent son of the Local Government, 104 Chief George Sekibo, then Special Adviser to the Governor on Special Project as its Leader. In a sane society, should Sekibo not report the matter to the Governor who then would set up a Judiciary panel of inquiry and other far reaching conflict resolution mechanisms put in place? Commenting on the above, Mr. Samuel Angar, a victim of the conflict states: I lost my two-story building and other personal effects to the conflict. It was a war of survival by the ruling PDP at the State level and the ANPP at the Local Government level. When we saw the war coming, we wrote petitions to the Commissioner of Police and the State Governor, but no action was taken by the Executive until the war ensued. It was not easy. This action is tantamount to Executive lousiness. If the Legislature had not intervened, may be, the conflict would have persisted. You can see that when the Executive is interested on a matter, they have a way of driving home there point. I schooled in the United Kingdom and I know how responsive a government could intervene on matters that concern the citizens. Indeed, we do not have a government in Nigeria, all these points to one factor; Nigeria appears to be a failed State. Similarly, a closer examination of the conflicts that have consistently engulfed the Labour Unions of Tertiary Institutions in the State shows no clear departure from the ineptitude of the Executive and the Judiciary in conflict management. In an interview with Engr. Ekulor, Secretary of the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU), Rivers State University Chapter, he states as follows: The problem in RUST and indeed all the other higher Institutions with the Rivers State Government as their proprietor is that of insensitivity. Insensitivity of the government on one hand, and the management team on the other hand. You will agree with me that the Ivory Tower is not expected to be associated with politics. In RUST where I lecture, government plays lip – service and politics with everything. The appointment of the Vice Chancellor for instance was flawed with irregularities and did not go through due process; ASUU protested, but the Visitor apologized. ASUU then requested that the right thing should be done, but the Visitor rebuffed ASUU‘s request. ASUU then sought judicial option to the matter in 2008. From 2008 when ASUU went to court, the Judiciary in the State failed to deliver judgment on the matter till five years later, after twenty two adjournments had been made on the suite. Even when judgment was delivered, the Judiciary ruled it was out of its jurisdiction to hear the matter, thus, referred it to the National Industrial Court for arbitration. The Judiciary is expected 105 to be the last hope of the common man, but the Judiciary in the State is arm-twist and in support of Executive actions. The Sixth Assembly through its Committee on Education led by Hon. Maureen Tamuno intervened in the crises in the University, upon an overture by the Committee, the University Unions in the Institution listened to the Legislature and suspended the Industrial action they embarked upon and accepted the olive tree as proposed by the House; apart from the financial benefits which were paid after the House had prevailed on the Executive to propose a Supplementary Appropriation Bill which received accelerated hearing, no other decision as directed by the Committee was honoured by the Council and Administration, this to me is insensitivity. The Government should under normal circumstance realize that any contribution to education is not a waste but a service for the growth and development of the society. From the submissions of by the ASUU Secretary, RUST, we can deduce that insensitivity of the Executive and the Judiciary lead to the exacerbation of conflicts in the State, this is as demonstrated in the Legal tussle between ASUU and the University Management, Council and the Visitor which lasted for about five years with twenty two adjournment before justice delivery and none invitation of ASUU for dialogue by the Executive till the intervention by the Legislature. The table below clearly describes respondents view on the matter: Table 6.1: Opinion of the respondents’ on a leading role played by the Executive and the Judiciary in conflict resolution in Rivers State SN RESPONSE FROM QUESTION 1 Strongly agree 2 NO. OF RESPONSE % 15 7 Agree 7 3 3 Strongly disagree 130 59 4 Disagree 60 27 5 No response 8 4 220 100 Total Source: Data from framework 106 Table 6.1 shows that the respondents disagreed in strong terms that the Executive and the Judiciary have been active in conflict resolution. The table indicates that 59% and 27% making a total of 86% were vehement in their resolve. Only 10% of the population agreed that the two Institutions are active in conflict management. Commenting on the foregoing, Barr. Ikenga Uzo, a staff of the Ministry of Justice interviewed states: ‗As legal officers of the Ministry of Justice, we handle so many cases, as a person, so many matters have been handled by me, some we win, others we lose. The Ministry of Justice in Rivers State has been very active in conflict management; almost every day, we go to court and the magistrates and judges are up to their responsibility. However, you know that an oil economy is a vector to conflicts; there abound so many conflicts in the State. The impact of what we are doing may not be extremely significant‘. Contributing to the foregoing, a Magistrate in the Rivers State Judiciary who chooses to remain anonymous opines that ‗we in the judiciary have resolved so many matters. Many litigants come with different cases and almost every day of the working week when courts are in session, we trash cases, we are not idle at all; we are very busy. The adjournments that you are talking about are not caused by us, but the lawyers. All the same, the legal system in Nigeria is still evolving.‘ Growth of Criminal Violence Another indicator of Executive and Judiciary failure is the growth of criminal violence. As the State becomes criminal in its oppression of its citizens, so lawlessness becomes more apparent. Criminal gangs take over the streets of the cities and villages. Arms and drug trafficking become more common. Kidnapping for ransom is almost institutionalized as the order of the day, incessant armed robbery of home, banks, business premises and commuter almost a daily occurrence. Ordinary, anomic behaviors become the norm. The Police Force set up to protect lives and properties become paralyzed and 107 ineffective. For protection, citizens naturally turn to warlords like Ateke Tom, Boy Loaf, late Soboma George, Asari Dokubo and other strong figures who express or activate ethnic or clan solidarity as well as ‗masters of town‘, thus offering the possibility of security at a time when all else, and the State itself, is crumbling. High rates of urban crime and the rise of criminal syndicates testify to an underlying anarchy and desperation. That was the Rivers State at the period covered by this study and beyond. The spate of conflicts rose to crescendo in the State during the period under review, especially between 2006 and 2008, anarchy was let loose and there was the militarization of Port Harcourt the State capital and its environs. It is important to note that in most of the conflicts that engulfed the State, the executive and judiciary were more interested in conflict management than conflict resolution. While conflict management is interim, conflict resolution is permanent. In an interview with Dumnu, the Clerk, House Committee on Public Complaint and Petitions (2004-2007), he states: The House Committee on Public Complaint and Petitions within the period I served as Clerk was very active. Many Rivers State people had confidence in the ability of the Legislature to resolve their problems. We received cases like unlawful dismissal, termination or retrenchment of Staff, oil spill/pollution with no adequate clean-up/remediation activity or compensation, company ineptitude to honour memorandum of understanding with host communities, chieftaincy wrangling, youth restiveness, land disputes among others. While some of the matters predated the Committee, others were fresh. The conflicts were very numerous and it showed a systemic failure of the primary institutions viz the executive and judiciary which in a presidential system hold strong jurisdiction over conflict resolution. The legislature is expected to play a quasi role and not a full role, but, the reverse became the case, thus, we mediated, arbitrated and resolved many of the cases and united people that once saw themselves as enemies. Prominent in our score card were the Aggah-Egbema conflict, the Ishukwa chieftaincy and youth conflict over the nomination of contractor for a project by Nigerian Agip Oil Company, the Kpor internal crisis, among others. The response from Dumnu flows with the respondents answer to question 24 of the questionnaire: 108 A follow up question was asked, ‗to what extent has the effects of the Executive and Judiciary been on conflict management in the State?‘ The response is as represented in the table below. Table 6.2: A table showing respondents’ view on the question ‘to what extent has the efforts of the Executive and Judiciary been on conflict management in the State? SN RESPONSE FROM QUESTION NO. OF RESPONSE % 1 Very meaningful 130 59 2 Meaningful 60 27 3 Very unmeaningful 15 7 4 Not meaningful 7 3 5 No response 8 4 220 100 Total Source: Data from framework Respondents were disenchanted with the efforts made by the Executive and the Judiciary in conflict management in the State. This is as demonstrated in their response. Out of the 220 persons that returned their questionnaire, only 10% believed in the ability of the Executive and the Judiciary to resolve conflict, while 86% do not have confidence in the ability of these two institutions to manage conflicts. From the table above, you can see the reason for the increasing role of the Legislature in conflict management. There is general peoples‘ apathy towards the second and third institutions of government, this stems from previous experiences as highlighted by a petitioner, Mr. Onisofien: Over the years, were taught and we believed on the role of both the Executive and the Judiciary in conflict management. We thought from what we got from our teachers that like other developed societies, conflicts would reduce, but we are surprise to realise that conflicts are exacerbating. The two institutions that have the primary domain for managing conflicts have failed Nigerians. We now sleep with our eyes open because you do not know what may happen to you in the next minute. Hoodlum steal, kidnap, maim and kill innocent citizens without recourse to the law. You can see where we are, there is a complete state of insecurity in the land. May I use this medium to commend the Legislature in the State for 109 the passage of two high impact bills targeted at restoring peace in the State, namely – ‗the Secret Cult and Similar Activities Prohibition Law‘ and the ‗Anti-kidnap Law‘. Contrary to the above, Amadi, a magistrate in the State Magistracy opines that ‗the Judiciary has been very active in conflict resolution, we have resolved so many cases, however, the basic challenge is, the population of our country is very large, how would you feel the impact of pouring a litre of oil in a river? Therefore, it is difficult to clearly feel the impact of what we have done and are still doing, given that so many conflicts and crises abound in the State in particular and the nation at large. But, is it possible for us to have a conflict free society? The right answer is yours‘. Question 26, which is a follow-up to question 25, sought to know ‗in a scale of 100, the response from respondents was alarming. The respondents were asked ‗in a scale of 100%, how would you rank the effort of the executive and the judiciary in conflict resolution?‘ The answer elicited from the respondents is as presented in the graph below: Fig. 6.1: A graph showing respondents’ view to a question ‘in a scale of 100%, how would you rank the efforts of the Executive and Judiciary in conflict resolution?’ 70 60 50 40 Y-Values 30 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 Source: Data from framework 100 120 140 110 Respondents‘ responses show a total discontent of people with the role of both the executive and judiciary in conflict resolution. An overwhelming 86% were disenchanted with the role of the two arms of government and whose jurisdiction conflicts are expected to be resolved. In view of the glaring failure of these two organs of government to speedily resolve conflict and enhance political stability, the legislature in the growing political lexicon – ‗inter penetration of power‘ advertently intervenes in conflict management which in the words of Hon. Wokocha is ‗quasi judicial function‘. Thus question 27 of our questionnaire as reflected in the table bellow illustrates the feelings of the people on the reason why the legislature intervenes in conflict management. Table 6.3: Opinion of the Respondents’ on ‘what motivates the legislature to be involved in conflict management? SN RESPONSE FROM QUESTION NO. OF RESPONSE % 1 Because the executive and judiciary have failed to permanently resolve conflicts in the State 160 73 2 Because the legislature is one of the arms of government, thus has the power to resolve conflicts 20 9 3 Because the legislature managing conflicts likes 10 5 4 Because it is constitutionally guaranteed for legislature to intervene 5 2 5 No response 18 8 Total 220 100 Source: Data from framework The table above shows that 73% of the population interviewed hold the opinion that the failure of both the executive and judiciary to resolve conflicts leads to the increasing role of the legislature in conflict management. In an interview with Zaga Phimia, a former Clerk, House Committee on Public Complaint and Petition (2007 -2008), he states: 111 Conflict management is not a primary role of the legislature but an acquired function due to the representative function of the legislature because, constituents may at any point raise petitions to their Representatives to resolve. In this process, the Representatives are obliged to hear such matters as either motion on the floor of the House or petition referrals to Committees. Most often, the issues raised are conflictual in nature. This accounts for why the legislature is inundated with petitions. It is important to note that governmental institutions saddled with such responsibility at both the executive and legislative divides like the Courts, Public Complaints Commission, Consumer Protection Council and Federal Environmental Protection Agency among others are weak in the dispensation of justice. Therefore, the legislature is the willing window for conflict management, which is why the ordinary man in the street rushes to the House for conflict management. Table 6.4: Respondents’ responses to the question ‘Do you think that the failure of the Executive and Judiciary to reduce conflicts in communities in the state could stall good governance and increase the role of the legislature in conflict management?’ SN 1 2 3 RESPONSE FROM QUESTION NO. OF RESPONSE Yes 180 No 20 No response 20 Total 220 Source: Data from framework % 82 9 9 100 An analysis of the figure generated from the above table explains the reason for the increasing role of the Legislature in conflict management because the legislature is the direct representative of communities; therefore, once there is conflict, they would likely be aware. Importantly, unlike the executive and the judiciary, the legislature dispenses conflicts and reconciles parties faster than the other two institutions. Consequently, warring parties prefer Legislative action where no money is spent for filing of suits, hiring of lawyer to name but a few. Commenting on the foregoing, Amini-Philip in an interview states: Development cannot take place in conflictual environment, which is why people must be at peace for development to strive. Government has everything in its hand- power, authority and money; therefore, it can stop conflict because it is one of its cardinal functions to maintain law and order. So, for any society where government fails to stop conflict, it is not a responsive government. Conflicts stiffen development and government is 112 rattled whenever it occurs. In 2007, all activities were almost put on hold in Rivers State and indeed the Niger Delta, anarchy was let loose because of the militancy, government had to look for a way to nip the causes of the conflict on the bud, the Rivers State House of Assembly rose to its responsibly by legislating on cultism and kidnapping, the House also waded on some prominent conflicts like the ‗cotton channel‘ that engulfed the three Calabari Local Government. The Legislature has actually been on the fore front in conflict management and be commended for that. Executive and Judicial actions are always slow, most often, before the conflicts are resolved, lives and properties may have been lost, the Judiciary took over twenty years to conclude a land dispute between Nwebiara and Baraku in Gokana Local Government of Rivers State, the conflict still persist because the judgement appears questionable, this accounts for the increasing role of the legislature in conflict management. Table 6.5: What would be your ideal outcome on the role of the legislature in conflict management? SN 1 2 3 4 5 6 RESPONSE FROM QUESTION NO. OF RESPONSE Increased political stability and 18 deepening of democratic values Respect for rule of law 20 Increased political awareness and 10 participation of the people in governance All of the above 160 None of the above Nil No response 20 Total 220 Source: Data from framework % 8 9 5 73 Nil 9 100 The respondents‘ responses to question in table 14 were fascinating, with the exception of 9% that had no comment to the question, about 91% have confidence in the ability of the legislature to resolve conflict. This is an indication that most of the citizens are disenchanted in the style of both the Executive and the Judiciary to conflict management. Finally, the last question in our questionnaire sought to know the opinion of the respondents on ‗if the involvement of the legislature in conflict management would engender political stability and foster a better relation with other branches of government?‘ 113 Fig. 6.2: A bar chart showing responses to a question ‘if the involvement of the legislature in conflict management would engender political stability and foster a better relation with other branches of government?’ Source: Data from framework The response as presented in the bar chart above reveals that government is one, and therefore works in co-ordinate relationship. As demonstrated in the results from the questionnaire, about 180 representing 82% strongly agreed and agreed that the involvement of the legislature in conflict management would engender political stability and foster a better relation with other branches of government. Only about 14% strongly disagreed and disagreed and about 4% had no contribution. In support of the respondents‘ view, the Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Environment, Dr. George Nweke in an interview states; ‗government is one, there are differences in function of organs of government, but the central goal is to ensure political stability. Therefore, there is no water tight separation of powers by governmental institutions in conflict management‘. In the sixth Assembly of Rivers State House of Assembly, the Hon. Commissioner for Energy & Natural Resources wrote the House Committee on Energy & Natural Resources to intervene on a face-off between the 114 Ministry and (Bourmbom Inter Oil) – a logistic company involved in oil and gas over the refusal of the Company to honour the invitations of the Ministry to a meeting. The Committee intervened and resolved the matter and went further to reconcile the relationship between the Ministry and the company. The House Committee on Education has in like manner intervened in conflict between some of the Tertiary Institutions and contractors handling projects in those Institutions over contract failures. Similarly, the committee waded into conflicts between the Post - Primary Schools‘ Board and some developers of property over illegal encroachment and development of properties in government land. Some of the request letters and Committee Resolutions are attached as appendices to this research. Table 6.6: Chi – Square Tests Chi-Square Tests Pearson Chi-Square Likelihood Ratio Linear-by -Linear Association N of Valid Cases Value 11.015a 11.308 3.444 4 4 Asy mp. Sig. (2-sided) .026 .023 1 .063 df 440 a. 0 cells (.0%) hav e expect ed count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 5.00. From the Chi-square distribution table, we find that at d.f. = 4 and at α = 0.05 level of significance, then X2.05 = 9.4877 Since the Test statistics, X2 ( = 11.015), is GREATER than X2.05 (= 9.4877); also since p (= 0.026) < α (=0.05), we reject the null hypothesis (H0) and conclude that: H1: There is a significant association between failure of executive/judiciary and intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; Strength of Relationship: The low value of 0.156 for the test statistics, contingency coefficient, indicates that there is a weak relationship between the two variables In conclusion, this chapter reviewed the efforts of the Executive and Judiciary vis-àvis the role of Rivers State House of Assembly in conflict management. The review established that the Executive and Judiciary actually are involved in conflict management and have resolved many conflicts in the State, but the legislature, symbolized by the Rivers State 115 House of Assembly, is increasingly becoming involved in conflict management. The reasons for these are: high cost and delayed litigation processes with so many pending matters in court without determination, lackadaisical attitude of the executive over conflict issues, conflict management rather than resolution approach of the two arms of government among others. However, matters that are sent to the legislature are dispensed with without much delay and without any filing cost. Parties in the conflicts are reconciled and made to continue to cohabit and live in harmony with one another. These factors account for why many petitioners prefer legislative options for conflict management, and it accounts also for the increasing role of the legislature in conflict management. The study further establishes that the involvement of the legislature in conflict management would engender political stability and foster better relationship between the legislature and other arms of government. The chi square test result shows a significant relationship with the hypothesis tested. Thus, the high value of 0.626 for the test statistics, contingency coefficient, indicates that there is a fairly strong relationship between the two variables. The submissions above therefore affirm the position of our second hypothesis which is ‗If the Executive and Judicial arms of government fail to successfully manage conflicts, then the involvement of the legislature in conflict management is likely to increase‘. Therefore, the hypothesis tested positive. 116 CHAPTER SEVEN THE LEGISLATURE, CONFLICT MANAGEMENT AND POLITICAL STABILITY IN RIVERS STATE In this chapter, we shall explore the link between the Legislature, conflict management and political stability in Nigeria with particular reference to Rivers State. The role of Rivers State House of Assembly in conflict management will be given adequate attention. The Rivers State House of Assembly, Conflict Management and Political Stability Stability requires a commitment by everybody to fairness, rule of law, fair and equitable representations in a plural society. To achieve this, we must embrace fiscal federalism, develop our economy so as to provide jobs for our army of unemployed youth and the older population and reduce poverty. Political stability is seen as a government‘s forced or coerced exaction of compliance to its wishes by people. Conceived in regime stability, political stability is seen as the personal survival of people in power. This leads to the conflation of personal security and state security, leading to what Ibeanu (1997:1) describes as ―a paradox of security,‖ the fact that national security comes into contradiction with the security of nationals. Importantly, political stability deals with the overall stability of the state, irrespective of the life span of a government. ‗An important component of stability is legitimacy, for it is the level of feeling of empathy to the State by the people that determines whether compliance is willingly given or is forcefully extracted (Hart, 2011)‘. For such empathy to exist, the political system must show itself to be capable of responding to the needs of the people, in regulating political behavior, and in welding the populace into an integrated people-nation. ‗Political stability deals with economic responsiveness and rebuilding of social capital among the numerous component parts of the country, which many years of military rule have destroyed (see Anderson, 2011)‘. The task of political 117 stability in Nigeria today has three major components, namely, economic recovery, social regeneration and democratic consolidation. Political stability according to Babangida (2010) is the continuation of the exercise of power by those freely elected by the people of the country for specific periods with definite mandates which conformed with the fundamental objectives and directive principles of states policy clearly defined in chapter 11 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999 (as amended).―There, it is clearly stated that the Federal Republic of Nigeria shall be a state based on the principles of democracy and social justice.‖ To him, Nigeria is still in evolution but, to mature, it needs commitment on the part of the political leadership, who would do the right thing and put the national interest above sectarian and ethnic interests. According to him, ―leadership is the most important element needed to build a nation. Nigerian politicians must demonstrate the seriousness of purpose needed to build a virile nation. Our country, according to him, needs clear-headed, public-spirited leaders at every level to propel this country to a higher stage of development than is presently the case.‖ He stated further that putting the wrong people in leadership positions was one of the banes of political stability, stressing that ―if we had the right calibre of people at the helms of affairs, then it would be much easier to practise democracy in truth and in deed. The meaning of democracy is no longer in doubt. Democracy is the government of the people by the people and for the people. So, there is no midway house to democratic government.‖ Commenting on the foregoing, Ajibola (2010) said that ‗if the nation must have a stable polity, we must work towards a parliament that is truly representative of the people and continue to have an independent judiciary, which would continue to serve as the bastion of hope. We must ultimately have an executive that will endear itself to the populace through responsiveness and astute governance. The citizenry are quick to express their acceptance or rejection of a government over the attitude of its executive arm. Nonetheless, the three legs of the tripod, 118 the executive, legislature and judiciary, based on Montesquieu‘s philosophy, must remain firm at all times‘. The achievement of all these would guarantee accountability and transparency, which are the major indicators of good governance. Good governance would in the long run engender political and economic stability, which would discourage conflict in the final analysis. Increase in the number of resolved matters on conflicts by the Legislature The symbol of the legislature in Rivers State is the Rivers State House of Assembly. The structure and composition of the Rivers State House of Assembly has been analyzed in the background studies. Within the period under review, the Rivers State House of Assembly passed so many Bills and made Resolutions. These Bills and Resolutions have been catalysts for engendering political stability in the State. Table 4 and 5 of the appendix illustrate the number of Bill and Resolutions that the House passed from 1999 to 2011 with respect to conflict management. A review of the Bills passed and Resolutions on motions presented as indicated in Tables four and five of our appendix shows the commitment of a House desirous of maintaining peace and order which are basic indices for good governance. In table four for instance, the House Resolved the Ogu and Aggah-Egbema conflicts among others. Many other conflicts were resolved at the Committee level. The Labour Unions in the tertiary Institutions‘ conflicts were resolved at the Committee stage. It is instructive to note that increased interest in the ability of the Legislature to resolve conflicts is as a result of renewed confidence and the failure of the Executive and the Judiciary to effectively manage conflicts in the State. As indicated in the tables above, the Rivers State House of Assembly has been very active in conflict management. Commenting on the above, Elder Martins Amabebe, a member of the 9th Governing Council of RUST states: 119 The Rivers State House of Assembly has not done badly on conflict issues that were brought to its notice. One of such critical issues was the lingering conflicts that bedeviled the Rivers State University of Science and Technology. The Council, University Authority and the Executive could not provide solutions to the conflict, but, the intervention of the Legislature made the difference. It is important for us to note that conflict management is not a direct responsibility of the Legislature, but, as major stakeholders in the political process, they are increasingly getting involved in conflict management. You will agree with me that the role of the Judiciary is to intervene in disputes between parties, but the judicial system we have is not effective in conflict management rather, it creates bottlenecks that prolong the conflict. The Executive has often times been political in the handling of the conflicts; the RUST situation is a case study. Executive actions have often time precipitated further conflicts. In all, I give kudos to the Legislature, because its intervention which stems from its oversight functions have greatly deepened our democracy and enhanced political stability. The nature and dynamics of conflict and the processes of conflict management differ from sector to sector in society. However, the driving forces for conflict relationships remain largely the same. These forces consist of the perceptions by one or more individuals or groups of conflicting or diverging values, aspirations, needs or interests in society, that hamper the full realisation or fulfilment of one‘s own values, aspirations, needs or interests. If these perceptions are intense enough, they are transformed into actions to redress the perceived problem by mobilising resources to promote one‘s own interests at the cost of others, resulting in an escalation of tension among the parties concerned (Anstey 1991:4). The specific issues around which conflict is generated, the manifestations of the conflict and the conflict management strategies and processes, however, are different in the social, cultural, organisational, economic, technological and political sectors of the society. However, the most important thing is, at the end, how do the conflicting parties accept the Resolution of the House? Within a democratic system for instance, conflict refers to those disputes that cannot be resolved according to the rules of the democratic game. Democratic conflict resolution 120 consists of an application of the existing rules of the democratic game, either through the clarification, interpretation and enforcement of these rules and policies by the existing organs of government, or through a process of peaceful discussions and consensus-building among different stakeholders around an outcome that is acceptable to all parties concerned. If this is not possible, policy-making bodies can amend the rules of the game in an attempt to mobilize the support of the main stakeholders to the conflict. In contrast to democratic political conflict management, conflict management in authoritarian or totalitarian states frequently comprise a reliance on more unilateral, top-down enforcement actions by the bureaucracy, police or military forces, rather than attempts to mobilize popular support and consent for a specific outcome (Louise & Fanie, 2001). This study identifies four major approaches to conflict management; these are conflict suppression, conflict avoidance or prevention, conflict regulation and conflict resolution. Conflict suppression As mentioned above, conflict management in authoritarian and totalitarian systems frequently takes the form of conflict suppression through bureaucratic rule enforcement by the police or armed forces (Miall, Ramsbotham & Woodhouse 1999:220). Conflict suppression as a democratic strategy of conflict management can only work in the short term, because it does not change attitudes or address the root causes of the initial outbreaks of conflict, but can only address the most extreme manifestations of underlying disagreements and/or frustrations that spill over into violent interactions among stakeholders in the dispute (Louise & Fanie, 2001). Conflict suppression can only be a lasting conflict management approach if it is applied in conjunction with other strategies that address longer term root causes (Miall, Ramsbotham & Woodhouse‘s ‗deep prevention measures‘ - 1999:97). Nigeria just emerged from a draconian military government; conflict suppression method was applied in Umuechem crisis, Ogoni crisis and many other conflicts in Rivers State then. Commenting 121 on this, the Deputy Speaker of Rivers State House of Assembly states inter alia: ‗we from Ogoni witnessed the brutality applied by the Abacha military regime on the Ogonis. Their mission then was to exterminate our leaders, gauge us, so we will not have any body to speak for us again and we would be put in disarray. They tried, they suppressed us but democracy came and UNEP Report was published, we are laughing last, that is Nigeria for you. The Ogoni case is a microcosm of other oil bearing communities in our dear state (Leyii, 2012)‘. Conflict prevention The most ideal democratic conflict management approach is probably conflict avoidance or prevention. This approach to conflict management assumes the existence of good governance practices and foresight of political elites in order to steer away from potential future conflict situations by enacting rules, implementing pragmatic policies and strategies that will avoid violent or other outbursts of dissatisfaction. In an interview with Rt. Hon. Amachree, Speaker, Rivers State House of Assembly, he stated as follows: A basic conflict management strategy adopted by the Legislature in Rivers State is conflict prevention model. This involves the Working on high impact Bills predicated on conflict prevention like the Rivers State employment Bill, 2000; Rivers State Land Use (Prohibition of Extortion) bill, 2010; the Secret Cult and Similar activities (prohibition) Bill 2004, the Anti Kidnap Law; among others. We have also created Standing Committees especially on Public Complaints and petitions and line Committees on special areas of activities within the jurisdiction of the State. Finally, we propose motion and make resolutions that are germane to conflict prevention in the State. These are critical things we can do to restore things we can do to restore the confidence of our constituents on us. From the feedback I get from Members, I am satisfied that those involved in conflicts mitigated by us go back home satisfied. An analysis of the statement above by the Speaker of the Rivers State House Assembly shows that the House is mindful of the nature of conflicts in the State, and has positioned itself for conflict management. Also, Mr. Speaker‘s statement indicates that the parties in conflicts brought to the House accept the Resolutions of the House. It also flows with the 122 response derived from (Section B, No. 11) of the questionnaires on the subject ‗In your opinion, is the Rivers State House of Assembly aware of the various conflicts in the State?‘ Out of 220 questionnaires retrieved, 180 representing 82% affirmed that the Rivers State House of Assembly is aware of the various conflicts in the State. Conflict prevention also assumes a more explicit distinction between interests and needs, and a more explicit focus of governments on real need satisfaction than interest satisfaction (Burton 1990:242). ‗Conflict prevention‘ according to Miall, Ramsbotham & Woodhouse (1999:48) connotes a proactive capability within societies to predict and avoid destructive conflict by the spread of the problem-solving method and philosophy throughout all relevant institutions, discourses and practices. In practice, however, it is impossible to predict in advance all conflicts that may erupt in society and implement policy strategies to avoid them. The best any government can do is to apply the principles of good governance as judiciously and pragmatically as possible, but to accept that some conflicts are hard to prevent, and that they have to be dealt with in another way once they erupt. Find attached as annexure 4, the Secret Cult and Similar Activities (Prohibition) Law, 2004 as well as the Anti Kidnap Law for ease of reference. Conflict regulation Many observers find it difficult to understand why some conflicts seem to be intractable; an example of such is (the Niger Delta crisis and the Boko Haram insurgence). If the differences among the participants are so big that agreement is impossible, the conflict will obviously continue. Most violent conflicts cause massive costs on the societies concerned, so there is usually a large segment of the population which will benefit from the conflict ending. In essence, a simple cost-benefit calculation lies behind decisions to stop or continue a conflict. If the participants either individually or collectively assess the comparative advantages of stopping such conflict and adopting more peaceful ways of settling their differences, to be less than the prevailing benefits accruing from the conflict, they will be 123 reluctant to stop the conflict. In other words, if they perceive the costs of continuing with the prevailing conflict to be less than the costs they will incur in stopping the conflict and entering into a different mode of interaction, they will decide to continue with the conflicts status quo, the ‗Boko Haram‘, the Jos as well as the Niger Delta insurgences are worthy of note. Zartman, (1994) states explicitly that if the commitments of one or more of the participants to a negotiated settlement are absent (eg because a mutually hurting deadlock does not exist, or if they are not persuaded that the benefits of a settlement outweigh the costs of maintaining or relinquishing the status quo), then clearly, conflict will continue. In support of the above argument is Heywood, (1997:4) as he states that ―…the heart of politics is often portrayed as a process of conflict resolution, in which rival views or competing interests are reconciled with one another. However, politics in this broad sense is better thought of as a search for conflict resolution than as its achievement, as not all conflicts are, or can be, resolved.‖ Conflicts that cannot be prevented, have to be accepted and regulated as effectively as is possible if they prove to be protracted and even insoluble, and cannot be resolved. Political conflict management for instance does not always result in a full resolution of the conflict. It frequently results only in a partial resolution or a de-escalation of the scope and intensity of the conflict from a wide-spread, violent confrontation among stakeholders to a more limited, less violent interaction (Burgess 1997:77). A case in point is the Niger Delta conflict. Although conflicts are not fully resolved in this way, this approach can transform destructive violent conflicts into much more constructive non-violent conflicts and even into democratically acceptable levels of political interaction (Miall, Ramsbotham & Woodhouse 1999:12). 124 Acceptance of Legislative Resolutions on conflicts matters by the conflicting parties Conflict resolution This is the last stage in conflict management; once conflict erupts, prevention is obviously not an option anymore; the best strategy is to try and resolve the conflict. Acceptance and regulation only becomes an option once resolution is also not possible. Resolution implies a primary focus on the deep-seated roots of the problem, as well as the creation of conditions within which such attempts at resolution can be implemented and pursued relatively effectively. It therefore means that a short term focus on a de-escalation of the conflict into more peaceful, rational, less violent and emotional interaction among the conflicting parties as well as a long term focus on the elimination of those trigger factors that led to the eruption of the conflict, that is, to bring about structural changes that will eliminate the conflict may be required. This approach to conflict resolution conceptualizes the phenomenon as a comprehensive and rational social engineering exercise, especially in cases of intractable or protracted conflict with deep-seated, multiple and complex causes. Conflict resolution in this sense is also closely identified with peaceful, democratic strategies of social and political transformation in society. This may necessitate a total transformation of the context within which the conflict takes place, and/or a structural, functional, cultural, psychological, economic, or technological transformation regarding the stakeholders and/or the issues involved. This conceptualization of conflict resolution inevitably also implies that it may frequently turn out to be a time consuming and costly exercise (the Niger Delta and Jos crisis as well as the Boko Haram insurgence). A comprehensive assessment of conflict resolution, indicates that ―most cultures handle conflict in an authoritative, coercive and if necessary, violent manner as was the case in Odi, Bayelsa State and Zaki Biam, Benue State among others under President Obasanjo. 125 Conflict resolution can be applied by the conflictual parties themselves without external facilitation or mediation, or it can be applied with the assistance of impartial mediators or facilitators. International and local experiences with intractable and violent conflicts show that conflicts cannot be resolved without internal and external intervention at some or other stage of the process: In the Ogu crisis, Educational Institution‘s conflicts and many oil company activities - led conflicts in Rivers State, example Ishikwa crisis, the Rivers State House of Assembly had to set up Ad-hoc Committees as well as directed the Standing Committees of the House on Education, Public Complaints and Petition, Energy and Natural Resources to name but a few, to resolve these conflicts. The primary and main responsibility for preventing, managing and transforming violent internal conflict lies with the domestic populations of the countries in question. But many of these conflicts have external as well as internal causes, and in protracted wars, indigenous resources for peacemaking are often much debilitated, if not deliberately targeted by those with an interest in prolonging the violence. Nearly all commentators agree that outside assistance is usually essential for bringing the fighting to an end and ensuring that there is no subsequent relapse into war, and is more often than not also necessary for helping to prevent the slide into war in the first place. These external interventions can take the form of changing mutual perceptions or interactions in various indirect or direct ways. These interventions include individual or collective attempts at persuading conflicting parties to settle, pressurizing them in various direct or indirect ways (sanctions, embargoes, boycotts) as indicated in Malian coup d‘être case 2012, holding joint educational or training conferences or workshops, bringing the parties together for the first peace talks, advising, initiating, organizing and guiding peace talks or involvement in and even control of the whole resolution process. Organizing public hearing as was the case in Ogu crisis, committee meeting with the parties – the case applied in Tertiary Institution Industrial Unions and Management as well as Isikwa matter. Globally, special envoys have 126 been appointed for this purpose, (Tony Blair UN- Middle East, Kofi Anan – UN Syria, Adulsalami Abubakar AU Daffur Region among others). In an interview with Hon. Tamuno, former Chairman of House Committee on Education on the spate of conflicts in Rivers State and the models adopted by the Committee under her headship as Chairman in 2007 – 2011, she states inter alia: The 1999 Constitution empowers the House to use Committees; committees are used to resolve most conflicts brought before the House and this forms part of the oversight function of the House. The House Committee on education under me as Chairman treated many petitions from all the Labour Unions in the tertiary institutions in Rivers State as well as Nigeria Union of Teachers NUT against their Governing Councils and the Executive arm over the payment of emoluments and outstanding arrears as a result of wage increases and other agreements as negotiated and arrived at the national level for implementation by States. As we noticed that the education industry was almost grounded in the State as a result of the breakdown of negotiation between the executive and the affected Unions, we made sure that as a House and a Committee on Education, we met with the Unions, the Governing Councils and prominent heads of the MDA on Education; our series of meetings and consultations made Unions suspend strike actions embarked upon by them. On our part, we were able to include in a supplementary appropriation for 2008 the outstanding areas of remuneration and allowances owed the unions by the government, we also reconciled Governing Councils with Management as well as the Ministry of Education. Through that means, we were able to resolve the conflicts and all the parties honoured our Resolution. The statement from Hon. Tamuno above shows the willingness of the Legislature to manage conflicts and the parties to honour the Committee Resolution. The Committee Resolution on the Industrial Action by Trade Unions of Tertiary Institutions owned by the Rivers State Government is attached as annexure 5. In view of the forthrightness of the Committee, the Industrial Unions accepted the Committee Resolution and call off their strike. Commenting on the why the Unions honoured the overture from the Committee, the Chairman of ASUU, RUST Dr. Igwe states; Conflict management is a multifaceted in nature. It depends on the parties involved. Any conflict that involves the Executive and 127 other parties, the Legislature stands tallest to resolve it. Most of the conflicts have to do with laws and the laws are enacted by the Legislature. From my finding, the Legislature appears to be the best institution to manage and resolve conflicts because of its composition; men and women with diversity in representation, because of this; they are better equipped to know the primordial factors that precipitate the conflicts. The ability of the Legislature to effectively resolve conflicts determine to a large extent the zeal and confidence of the people to continue to sent conflicting matters to it. There have been a lot of mixed feelings on the ability of the Executive to timely resolve conflict. Most of the respondents for instance, said the Executive has both party and personal interest to protect. This interest overrides the general goal. This accounts for its failure in intervening in RUST conflict. On the other hand, the Judiciary is regarded as the last hope of the common man, how effective has the Judiciary demonstrated this? What we have is numerous delayed judgments with series of adjournments on salient matters. The industrial dispute that was resolved by the House Committee on education between our union, employers and proprietor was as a result of the integrity we have on the House. That House resolution was honoured by all parties. Therefore, the involvement of the House in conflict management would greatly engender political stability in the State. On his part, the Chairman of House Committee on Local Government Hon. Odili Lucky avers that ‗the oversight function of the House over Tertiary Institutions in the State through the House Committee on Education and Local Government Councils especially resolved debilitating conflicts that beclouded the Institutions and Councils over impeachment of Chairmen and the payment of severance allowances to former political appointees and Councillors‘. The answer from the two Chairmen above flows with the responses generated from question 12 of the questionnaire which seeks to know the role played by the House in these conflict. 128 Fig 7.1: What role has the legislature played on these conflicts? Source: Data from framework From the responses generated from the questionnaire, out of the 220 questionnaires received, 150 (68.%) respondents confirmed that the Rivers State House of Assembly has played the role of mitigation and reconciliation of parties, 50 (23%) respondents aver that the House has been indifferent and 20 (9%) said that they are not aware of any role played by the House. The answer elicited from the question therefore suggests the obvious fact that the Rivers State House Assembly is active in conflict management. A follow-up question was asked on what the Legislature in Rivers State has done to promote awareness on conflict management; the response from those interviewed was as follows: Publicity of its activities through the mass media had 50 (23%) responses; 20 (9%) responses were akin to the hosting of Legislative/Civil Societies dialogue; 160 (73%) respondents answered ‗all of the above‘; while 10 answered ‗none of the above. An analysis of the above subject shows that only about 5% of the respondent said that the Legislature in Rivers State has nothing on ground to promote awareness on conflict management, while the rest 95% were sure of the activities of 129 the legislature predicated on conflict management. Commenting on the foregoing, Amadi Emeka, Clerk House Committee on Agriculture as well as Education avers: The Rivers State House of Assembly most often publicizes its activities in a popular Television programme the ‗Assembly Watch‘. The programme is used to chronicle the activities of the House both in plenary and Committees. Conflicts resolved or at the verge of being resolved are brought to the fore in the programme. Beside the Assembly Watch, the other media houses in the Press Corp also air the activities of the House. Public hearings are organized by Standing Committees as well as Ad-hoc Committees on conflicts matters and others, the last being the one organized by the House Committee on Education on ‗perceived deplorable condition of academic programmes in the Rivers State University of Science and Technology‘; the hearing was held pursuant to petitions by the University Unions and a motion thereafter. Public hearing was also organized on the Ogu crisis. I am aware that through this processes the House publicizes its activities especially conflict managed by it and it deepens the people‘s confidence on the House. Table 7.1: How effective is the role of Rivers State House of Assembly in conflict management? SN 1 2 3 4 RESPONSE FROM QUESTION NO OF RESPONSE Very effective 130 Effective 44 Very ineffective 30 Ineffective 20 Total 220 Source: Data from framework % 59 19 13 9 100 Those who see the role of the legislature as very effective were 50%, followed by effective 27%, then very ineffective 14% and ineffective 9%. An analysis of the table reveals that about 77% of the respondents are satisfied with the effectiveness of the legislature in conflict management; only 23% was not satisfied. This therefore shows the acceptability of the role of the legislature in conflict management. Commenting on this, a Community leader in Ishukwa Community states ‗We have been having problems with Nigerian Agip Oil Company NAOC, we went to the Ministry of Chieftaincy and Community Affairs, they could not resolve the matter, we went to court, no solution, but when we tried the House of 130 Assembly, we had justice, NAOC not only conceded to our request, but updated our Memorandum of Understanding MOU with them; therefore, the House of Assembly is very apt in conflict management‘. A follow-up question was asked thus ‗will you accept the assertion that the Rivers State House of Assembly has been successful in conflict management‘. The respondents answered in this order: Table 7.2: Would you accept the assertion that the Rivers State House of Assembly has been successful in conflict management? SN 1 2 3 4 5 RESPONSE FROM QUESTION NO OF RESPONSE Strongly agree 120 Agree 50 Strongly disagree 25 Disagree 15 No response 10 Total 220 Source: Data from framework % 54 23 11 7 5 100 Table 7.2 above shows that about 77% of the responses generated could attest to the fact that the Rivers State House of Assembly has been successful in conflict management, while 18 % do not believe in the assertion, 5% were indifferent. Commenting on the success of the House in conflict management, Ho. Brown Onari the Chairman of the House Committee on Information and Training, states: Right from inception in 1999 to date, a study of the activities of the House reveals that so many matters of urgent public importance related to conflict management were presented and resolutions taken immediately, also, motions predicated on conflict management were proposed and resolutions immediately taken. A good example is a motion on Ogu conflict. Others are Suspension of some Chairmen of Councils, Oil industry operations related conflicts, Chieftaincy and communal conflicts, Choba–Wilbros crises and a number of others. In Ogu crisis, the House had to suspend the sitting Council Chairman, Mr. Mina Tende and the Special Adviser to the then Governor on Special Project now Distinguished Senator of the Federal Republic; Senator George Thompson Sekibo and finally, NUT Rivers State wing suspended its industrial action due to the intervention of the House Committee on Education. Same applies to all the Tertiary Institution‘s Union in 2010; we made a supplementary appropriation to provide 131 payment of the arrears of their salaries. Bills aimed at managing conflicts were presented and passed after due legislative action, some of the Bills are the Secret Cult and Similar activities prohibition Bill, Anti Kidnap Bill, Rivers State employment Bill amongst others. The office of the Clerk is open for you to verify these claims; this is the age of freedom of information. Indeed, the House has been very pro-active in conflict management. That is why many petitioners have confidence in the House and have been very willing to present their matters to the House‘. A follow-up question on how sensitive is the Legislature in conflict management received the response of the respondents thus: Highly sensitive 120 (55%), Sensitive 50 (23%), highly insensitive 30 (17%), Insensitive 10 (5%), No comment 10 (10%). The above figure flows with the responses generated in question 16. On the question; ‗would you agree to the fact that the intervention of Rivers State House of Assembly in conflict management is likely to increase political stability? Respondents‘ response to question 19 of the questionnaire was intriguing; the question sought to know ‗if the legislature is successful in managing conflicts, then political stability is likely to increase?‘ The response generated is presented in a table below: Table 7.3: If the legislature is successful in managing conflicts, then political stability is likely to increase? SN 1 2 3 4 5 RESPONSE FROM QUESTION NO. OF RESPONSE Strongly agree 130 Agree 60 Strongly disagree 15 Disagree 7 No response 8 Total 220 Source: Data from framework % 59 27 7 3 4 100 The above table shows that 86% of the respondents believe that if the Legislature is successful in managing conflict, then political stability is likely to increase. Commenting on the foregoing, David, a lecturer in Ignatius Ajuri University of Education and active member of ASUU states: 132 The intervention of the Legislature in conflict management has actually deepened peace and political stability; let us look at the University Unions and Government over the payment of the arrears of salaries as a result of wage increase, the Unions wanted to go on strike, but the House Committee on Education intervened, the House caused the Executive to come up with a supplementary Appropriation Bill, the arrears were included for Rivers State University of Science and Technology, my Institution, Rivers State Polytechnic and Rivers State College of Arts and Science. Before this time our Unions wrote series of petition to the Executive but no definite effort was put in place until the House intervened. The House has also intervened in many other conflicts, a few I can vividly remember are the Ogu crisis, Choba–Wilbros crisis, Rumuekpe crisis, the crisis that rocked some Local Government Councils over impeachment as well as payment of severance allowance to elected and appointed political office holders in the Councils and many others. In all, I can score the House a ‗B‘ for conflict management in the State. Respondents‘ responses to a follow up question which seeks to know if the intervention of the Legislature in conflict management could engender peace and political stability in the State was intriguing, 160 respondents representing 73% aligned themselves with the view that the intervention of the Legislature in conflict management has deepened peace in the State, while 29 (13%) alluded to the claim that the intervention of the Legislature in some conflicts in the State had exacerbated conflicts in the State, and 30 (14%) had no comment. Commenting on the above, one of the respondents from Rumuekpe Community Chief Odigiri, who incidentally was a petitioner, explains: The Rivers State House of Assembly has been assisting to stem the tide of hostility in the State. The haul mark of this was the passage of Employment Law in 2002 and many motions that were in respect of the implementation of the Law. The House through its oversight activities has brought the international oil companies IOCs as well as other companies operating in the State to bow to pressure by host communities. Before this time, most of our people are not in the employ of the companies, but now the House has made it possible by bringing us together to draft Memorandum of Understanding MOU with the companies. This MOU clearly defines issues of employment, Corporate Social Responsibility and host community contracts. This effort of the Assembly has assisted us to address those issues that hitherto caused conflicts in our community. You know that many of our land had been polluted by oil spillage, but the House has assisted our community to compel 133 Total E&P Nig. Ltd for instance to embark on clean – up and remediation activities; this was achieved through a meeting convoked by the House Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. The Total example is a microcosm of other companies. In conclusion therefore, I will say that the House is trying but more needs be done because most of our communities are in one form of conflict or the other with these IOCs. Other critical indicators of the involvement of the Legislature in conflict management are the withdrawal of cases from courts, willingness of conflicting parties to take conflicts to the Legislature and greater public perception of the ability of the Legislature to resolve conflict. Table 7.4: Chi-Square Tests Chi-Square Tests Pearson Chi-Square Likelihood Ratio Linear-by -Linear Association N of Valid Cases Value 19.714 22.140 1.945 4 4 Asy mp. Sig. (2-sided) .001 .000 1 .163 df 440 From the Chi-square distribution table, we find that at d.f. = 4 and at α = 0.05 level of significance, then X2.05 = 9.4877 Since the Test statistics, X2 (= 19.714), is GREATER than X2.05 (= 9.4877); also since p (= 0.001) < α (=0.05), we reject the null hypothesis (H0) and conclude that: H1: There is a significant association between RSHA Conflict Mgt Role and RSHA Intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; Strength of Relationship: The low value of 0.207 for the test statistics, contingency coefficient, indicates that there is a weak relationship between the two variables. This chapter shows that the Legislature in Rivers State has been actively involved in conflict management and its involvement has greatly enhanced political stability in the State. However, in the words of Mitchell and Banks, (1996) ‗no single universal model of conflict resolution currently exists, but different problem solving clusters of approaches, techniques, methods, strategies and tactics have been developed and used with varying degrees of success in different settings over time‘. Therefore, there are still pockets of conflicts in the State 134 which demand the attention of the government. However, it is important to note that from the analysis of the submissions generated from the primary data; viz interview and questionnaire methods, that our third hypothesis - ‘If the legislature is successful in conflict management, then political stability is likely to rise’ tested was positive. This means that the involvement of the legislature in conflict management in the State has reduced conflict and increased political stability. This could be observed from the activities of the House as highlighted in tables 4 and 5 of our appendix. 135 CHAPTER EIGHT SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 8.1. SUMMARY Over the years, the legislature has not often been seen as a principal organ of government in conflict management. This study therefore explores the rising role of the legislative arm of government in conflict management and its implications for political stability, focusing attention on the role of the Rivers State House of Assembly in conflict management. The specific objectives of the study were to: (i) investigate the effects of increased involvement of the legislature in conflict management for political stability; (ii) analyze the impact of the direct interest of legislators in specific conflicts on the role of the legislature in conflict management; and (iii) evaluate the link between the failure of the Executive and Judiciary to reduce conflicts and the rising involvement of the Legislature in conflict management in Rivers State. We adopted both qualitative and quantitative survey methods; thus, we adopted both primary and secondary methods in data collection. Primary data for the study came from questionnaire and interviews with key informants knowledgeable in the areas of our interest. A total of 250 questionnaires were distributed and 220 copies of the questionnaire were returned, giving us a high response rate of nearly 90%. In addition, key informant interviews were conducted with legislators, some key staff of the Rivers State House of Assembly, and a sample of the executive and judicial arms of government. Secondary data came from official documents, textbooks, journals, conference papers, government gazettes, magazines, news papers and internet materials. We analyzed the data using both qualitative and quantitative/statistical methods, mainly descriptive statistics, including frequency tables, charts, percentages, graph and diagrams. Chi-square test was conducted to explore the 136 association between some of the variables. The study was based on the broad analytic framework of separation and interpenetration of governmental powers. The three hypotheses tested positive. Over 75% of the respondents agreed that the intervention of the legislature in conflicts management, especially the three conflicts used as our case study, stabilized the situation and created opportunities for negotiations between the parties involved. Find below, summary data of the statistics of the three hypotheses tested. Table 8.1: Chi –square summary data SUMMARY OF STATISTICS ON THE THREE HYPOTHESES Level of significance (α) = 0.05 S/N Dependent Independent Variable Variable (X2) Chi Statistics Intervention 1. 2. 3. Interest Failure of Executive/ Judiciary RSHA Conflict Mgt Role PValue 295.963 (X2.05) Critical Value 9.4877 0.000 Contingency Coefficient (Strength) Significant 0.634 Intervention 11.015 9.4877 0.000 Significant 0.156 RSHA Intervention 19.714 9.4877 0.001 Significant 0.207 Sig. Remark Strong association Weak association Weak association Source: SPSS Output Window ver. 15 Our chi-square test showed a strong association between intervention of the legislature and reduction of conflict at 95% level of confidence, by reducing the level of actual and potential violence and therefore increasing political stability. The impact of the direct personal interests of legislators in the conflicts was to increase the involvement of the State House of Assembly in the management of the conflict. However, the frequency distributions and chi-square test showed that the intervention generally stabilized the situation. There is a strong link between the zero sum approaches of the Executive and Judicial arms of government to conflict management and their failure to manage conflicts effectively, leading to a more prominent role by the Legislature. The bargaining and balancing approach of the legislature served to provide more varied options and outcomes to 137 the parties in conflict and increased the likelihood of amicable resolution of the issues at stake leading to increased political stability. Finally, the causes, sector, symptoms and strategies for conflict management is as summarized in the diagram below: Fig 8.1: summary data of causes and management of conflicts Source: Data from text books and internet materials 8.2. CONCLUSION The legislature is not often seen as a principal organ of government in conflict management. This is regarded as the primary role of the Executive and Judiciary. In Nigeria, and particularly Rivers State, the legislature is becoming increasingly involved in conflict management and therefore in creating political stability. The legislature‘s role in conflict management is defined by its ability to enact and oversee conflict prevention policies implemented by the executive, thus, its oversight of the executive is a sine qua non to its relative strength. Oversight refers to several procedures where the legislature brings the 138 executive to account for its action and inaction, and this is most often achieved through the use of committees. However, a measure of a strong legislature goes beyond oversight of government activities. A strong legislature is one that is able to act independently of the executive, with its own budget. It can, if not initiate legislation, then at least amend it or send it back to the executive for revision. With such structures in place, executive dominance does not preclude a legislature‘s activism or its ability to shape solutions to conflict-prone situations. The increasing role of the legislature in conflict management therefore is a step in the right direction. This was the focus of this thesis. 8.3. RECOMMENDATIONS Each chapter in this study raised issues germane to this research, therefore, our recommendations stem from these overarching ideas that have propelled the study. Understandably, all recommendations might not be very feasible at the immediate but futuristic. The extent to which each recommendation applies to any given State, as well as the phasing or prioritization of some recommendations before others, is highly context-specific because our case study was the Rivers State House of Assembly. These recommendations reflect what are needed to help legislatures mature and increase in capacity to manage conflicts, bearing in mind the failure of the executive and judiciary to positively resolve conflicts in States. This study therefore provides a fulcrum to strengthen the legislature in view of its great potential to contribute to conflict management. Conflict management is an exercise in building trust between factions whose previous interactions were often marked by tension and violence. The Legislative arm of government allows factions to build relationships and make different compromises in less public settings. They deal with the broader issues necessary to run the State, not only the issues that sparked the conflict, but, bringing opposing factions together to take responsibility for the management of the State, as opposed to focusing on their conflict grievances. Where regional 139 and ethnic chauvinism are strong, legislative committees can bring together legislators with diverse identities to work together on issues. Where political party divisions override regional divisions, regional-based groups can encourage legislators from deadlocked national parties to build compromises on less divisive local issues on which they have shared interests. In either structure, it is important to devise and enforce rules that ensure that opposition and minority parties have a strong role in the policy-making processes as was observed in the 4th Assembly of the Rivers State House of Assembly, 1999 - 2003. Therefore, it is imperative we propagate the strengthening of the committee system in the legislature because it enhances oversight that supports conflict management; it also guarantees accountability and transparency that are indices for the evaluation of good governance. The committee system is also a valuable vehicle for conflict management, because petitions are treated, public hearings are conducted on conflict matters by these committees, the Ogu, the Aggah-Egbema saga and the Labour Unions of Tertiary Institution‘s conflicts is a case study. Conflict management requires critical and sensitive government policies, for which the accountability of executive decision-making and its impact on peace building is vital. In conflict-prone States, the legislature is often a disempowered institution in conflict management. A stronger legislature can ensure that broader views are injected into the executive and judiciary conflict management agenda, but this depends on several factors. First, opposition parties must be cognizant of their role to check executive actions and to give voice to minority concerns. Second, the legislature must have the autonomy, especially budgetary autonomy, and the informational resources to engage in credible and meaningful political dialogue with the executive branch especially on the issues fueling conflict. The legislature must be included in the larger conflict management, democracy and national development agenda. Government and other Agencies‘ interventions in several sectors, such as the security sector or the media, should include the legislature to build its political 140 legitimacy and capacity to participate in the country‘s conflict management efforts. Consequently, it is significant to develop the capacity of legislators and the legislative clerks and other support staff to address conflict effectively. Human recourse development is a desideratum to the attainment of this goal. Executive resources tend to dwarf those of the legislature; the control over its own purse then, is a centerpiece of its independence. The degrees of budgetary control range from the ability to draft the budget to the ability to consider it in detail as well as amend and approve it. The power to control internal budgets is recognized in guidelines for effective legislatures (IPU 2006, CPA and World Bank Institute 2006), because it affects the autonomy of the legislature. Budgetary autonomy is key to improving the legislature‘s capacity to discharge its sundry functions. It enables the legislature to recruit competent staff, develop an independent research capacity, invest in human resource development and implement its oversight initiatives that command a greater degree of accountability from the executive. The availability of budget alone will not contribute to the effectiveness of legislature in conflict management, if the legislature does not allocate the budget to the activities that are designed to improve its institutional capacity like the Committee system, research and statistics and sundry others. A further alteration of the 1999 Constitution is on- going and it should emphasis financial autonomy for the legislature. The independence of the legislature at the second and third tier level of government could be further enhanced, especially in ensuring that in the forth coming constitutional review, the accounts of the legislature at these levels mentioned above are put as first charge just like we have at the national level. This would prevent it from executive dictatorship of its budget and guarantee its independence; it will also enable it to dictate and direct its programme especially, institutional development that would include conflict management. 141 Constituents must have confidence in legislators and the role of the legislature in the political system as the primary mode of communication and compromise between political forces. If legislators do not bring their constituents‘ views to the bargaining table, these grievances, particularly minority views frequently excluded from government processes, often erupt into violence. Learning about constituent interests allows legislators to manage existing tensions and produce policies that can more effectively deal with those needs that were not met and which could result in emerging or renewed conflicts. Good communication is essential and can be fostered by programmes such as constituency outreach programs, town hall meetings, the legislature‘s civic education programs or partnerships with media outlets and civil society organizations. Government and Donor Agencies need to recognize the delicate balance for legislators between faithfully representing their constituents‘ explicit desires, and exercising leadership to build compromises with opposing factions. Programmes strengthening representation must be particularly sensitive to political context to ensure legislators‘ adequate flexibility for conflict management. In view of this therefore, it is necessary to improve communication between the legislature, legislators and their constituencies to ensure that interests underlying current or future conflicts are represented. Further to this, Legislators are encouraged to establish constituency offices that would assist them to transmit intended and on-going government programmes as well as elicit imputes from their constituents on their views on Local, State and National issues, including conflicts. Strengthening the linkages between a legislature and the people is a necessary step for promoting peace and stability in a fragile democracy like Nigeria‘s. The legitimacy of such democracy rests on the ability of legislators to give voice to the expectations and interests of their constituents; the population must see these tangible democratic dividends for the political system to be sustainable. Representatives must be able to disseminate information about their actions to their constituents, educate them on the political process, gather 142 constituent feedback and act upon suggestions. This enables them to manage constituents‘ expectations of the role, scope and constraints of legislative power, thereby ensuring that people do not lose faith in their representatives, the legislature or peaceful forms of conflict management when contentious issues are not satisfactorily addressed in the short term, therefore, setting up of constituency offices is very imperative for the Legislators. The representative function of legislatures is especially important in countries polarized by ethnic chauvinism like ours, where certain minority groups and marginalized individuals are frequently excluded from the governmental process. Effective representation allows disputes to move from the battlefield to the political arena. When citizens feel that their views are represented in government, and that their representatives will try to resolve conflict with constituents‘ interests in mind, they are less likely to turn to violence to resolve conflicts. Politics then becomes the primary mode of communication and compromise between divergent social views. This function gains even greater urgency as unresolved conflicts have a greater potential to degenerate rapidly into renewed violence. Effective representation strengthens the rule of law by building the legitimacy of the legislature and the government. As violent conflict is marked by the breakdown of the rule of law, its proper restoration is a centerpiece for the conflict management ability of the governance institutions. When citizens feel that their views are represented in governing institutions, they are more likely to accept the legislature‘s authority to enact legislation to resolve conflict and the executive‘s authority to implement and enforce it. 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Vanguard Newspaper reports of March 26, 2007 titled ―Nigeria: PTDF: Group Urges National Assembly to Impeach Obasanjo, Atiku. http://allaftica.com/Stories/200703260530.html 152 INTERVIEWS Akpan Adolphus Dumnu Lekie Odigiri Anthony Amadi Emeka Ekwulor Odum Azubuike Amachree Otelemaba Esiegwu Ethelberth Oforji Precious Amadi Emeka Evans Bipi Ogele Emmanuel Amini Philip Ikenga Uzor Ojirika Callistus Brown Onari Igwe C Oruwari Adokye Chioma Golden Nweke George Singerr Nelson David Onwuchekwa Nweke Ken Zaga Phimia 153 APPENDIX Appendix 1. Table One: LOGICAL DATA FRAMEWORK SN Hypotheses Variables 1. If the interest of Legislators in a conflict is high then the Legislature is more likely to intervene in its management 1. Interest of Legislators in a conflict 2. Legislative Intervention in conflict management Main Indicators Data Sources 1. The Legislators is interested in a conflict where the conflicts directly affect their constituencies or it cuts across their constituencies. 2. The Legislators are interested in a conflict where the conflicts impact their political future. 3. The Legislators are interested in a conflict where the conflicts have implications for the ruling party. 4. The Legislators are interested in a conflict where the conflicts have implications for the Assembly. 5. Insensitivity of the Executive and the Judiciary towards the management of most conflicts in the State. 6. Poor implementation of Judicial decisions on conflicts in the State by relevant Executive bodies. 7. None implementation of agreements reached with Trade Unions, Institutions and Organizations and Communities in the State by the Executive. 8. Executive biases or particular interest on some conflicts in the State. 9. Delay in justice delivery by the Judiciary on conflictual matters in the State. 10. The conflicts are of major public interest 1. Records of the Clerk, Rivers State House of Assembly 2. Discussions with Hon. Members RVHA 3. Discussions with some Staff, RVHA 4. Civil society Organizations 5. Petitions 6. Government Gazettes 7. Libraries 8. Textbooks, Journals and Magazines 9. Resolutions 10. Bills/Laws assented to 11. Hansards 12. Questionnaire response by public 1. Increased participation of Members in sponsorship of conflict management related Bills. 2. Increase in the sponsorship of motions related to conflict management by 1. Records of the Clerk, Rivers State House of Assembly 2. Discussions with Hon. Members RVHA 3. Discussions Method(s) of Data Collection Interview Questionnaire Documentary Method Method(s) of Data Analysis Interview Questionnaire Documentary Method Graphs, Tables, Cross- Tabs and Percentages Chi – square Content Analysis 154 2. If the Executive and Judiciary fail to manage conflicts, then the involvement of the legislature in conflict management is likely to increase The failure of the Executive and Judiciary to reduce conflict Legislators. 3. Invitation of persons connected with the conflict to brief the House. 4. Timely attendance of Members to Sitting to contribute to debates on the conflicts. 5. Timely dispensation of debate on the conflictual motion or Bill 6. Timely attendance to Committee meetings scheduled to resolve the conflicts. 7. Regular presentation of petitions on conflictual matters to House in plenary. 8. Organization of public hearing on the conflicts. 9. Regular Press briefing by the Legislature especially on the conflicts 10. Constituency outreach programme to educate the people on Legislative actions on the conflict. 11. Regular town hall meetings to educate the people on Legislative actions on the conflicts, with some Staff, RVHA 4. Civil society Organizations 5. Petitions 6. Government Gazettes 7. Libraries 8. Text books/Journals and Magazines 9. Resolutions 10. Bills/Laws assented to 11. Hansards 12. Questionnaire response by public 1. 1. Records from press 2. Protest by Labour Unions and Members of the Public 3. Discussions with some Civil Society Organizations 4. Petitions 5. Government Gazettes 6. Libraries 7. Text books/Journals and Magazines 8.House Resolutions 9. Bills/Laws assented to 10. Hansards 11. Questionnaire response by public 12. Petitions Interview Questionnaire Documentary Method Chi – square Content Analysis 1. Records of the Interview Graphs, Tables, 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 2. Increase in Loss of lives and properties by citizens. Mass protest by the citizens against the government. Increased cases of strike and industrial disputes. Persistent cases of land and other forms of disputes in the State. Increased communal rift in the State. 6. Persistent cases of kidnap and armed robbery and other social vices. 7. Increased unemployment as a result of loss of jobs by citizen especially in conflict prone areas in the State. 8. Suspension of further investment in capital social infrastructure projects in conflict affected areas. 9. Low service delivery in the conflict affected areas in the State. 1. Increased participation of 155 the involvement of the Legislature in conflict management 3. If the involvement of the Legislature in conflict management is successful, then political stability is likely to increase If the involvement of the Legislature in conflict management is successful, then political stability is likely to increase 2. 2. Increase in political stability Members in sponsorship of conflict management related Bills. 2. Increase in the sponsorship of motions related to conflict management by Legislators. 3. Invitation of persons connected with the conflict to brief the House. 4. Timely attendance of Members to Sitting to contribute to debates on the conflicts. 5. Timely dispensation of debate on the conflictual motion or Bill 6. Timely attendance to Committee meetings scheduled to resolve the conflicts. 7. Regular presentation of petitions on conflictual matters to House in plenary. 8. Organization of public hearing on the conflicts. 9. Regular Press briefing by the Legislature especially on the conflicts 10. Constituency outreach programme to educate the people on Legislative actions on the conflict. 11. Regular town hall meetings to educate the people on Legislative actions on the conflicts 1. Increase in the number of resolved matters on conflicts by the Legislature. 2. Acceptance of Legislative Resolutions on conflicts matters by the conflicting parties. 3. Willingness of conflicting parties to take conflicts to the Legislature. 4. High level of cases withdrawal from courts 5. Greater public perception of the ability of the Legislature to resolve conflict. 1. Obedience of Laws by the citizens 2. Reduction on the number of motions on conflict related matters on the floor of the House. 3. Reduction on the number of petitions to the House on conflict and other related matters. 4. Reduction in communal Clerk, Rivers State House of Assembly 2. Discussions with Hon. Members RVHA 3. Discussions with some Staff, RVHA 4. Civil society Organizations 5. Petitions 6. Government Gazettes 7. Libraries 8. Text books/Journals and Magazines 9. House Resolutions 10. Bills/Laws assented to 11. Hansards 12. Questionnaire response by public Questionnaire Documentary Method Cross- Tabs and Percentages 1. Office of the Clerk, Rivers State House of Assembly 2. Hon. Members RVHA 3. Some Staff, RVHA 4. Civil society Organizations 5. Petitioners 6. Government Gazettes 7. Libraries 8. Text books/Journals and Magazines 1. Records from press 2. Commendation of government by Labour Unions and Members of the Public 3. Discussions with some Civil Society Organizations Interview Questionnaire Documentary Method Chi – square Content Analysis Interview Questionnaire Documentary Method Graphs, Tables, Cross- Tabs and Percentages 156 and social rifts. 5. Implementation of agreement reached by parties in conflicts by the Executive. 6. Fast dispensation of justice. 7. Relative peace in the State 4. Government Gazettes 5. Libraries 6. Text books/Journals and Magazines 8. House Resolutions 9. Bills/Laws assented to 10. Hansards 11. Questionnaire response by public 12.Petitions Source: government publications, text books and internet materials 157 Appendix 2. Table Two: SELECTED CONFLICTS IN RIVERS STATE (1999-2011) S/N CONFLICT LOCATION 1. Emuohua 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. TYPE DATE Communal, cultism, politics, oil Pre 1999, 2001, wealth 2002, 2010 Choba/Wilbros Oil wealth 1999, 2000 Ogbakiri Chieftaincy, cultism, oil wealth 1999, 2010 Abua Cultism, politics 1999, 2002, 2003, 2007 Abua/Odual Legislative Politics, leadership 2006 and Executive Council over leadership/finance Buguma Politics, cultism, oil wealth 1999, 2003 Ogoni/Okrika Communal (land) 2000 Rumuji Chieftaincy, oil wealth, youth 2001, 2010 restiveness/cultism Eleme/Okrika Inter communal, land 2000 Abuloma/Okuru Cultism, oil wealth 2001 Akuku Toru Legislative/ Politics, leadership 2001 Executive Council Akuku Toru Legislative/ Oil wealth, youth restiveness/ 2003, 2007 Executive Council cultism Yeghe/Bori Land 2002, 2003 Mogho/Kpor Youth restiveness, land 2002 Kpor Youth restiveness, chieftaincy 2005 Okrika Cultism, politics 2002, 2003, 2005, 2007, 2008 Omoku Youth crises Youth restiveness/cultism, politics, 2002, 2003, 2007, oil wealth 2008 Rumuekpe Chieftaincy, youth 2002, 2003, 2010 restiveness/cultism, oil wealth Tombia Chieftaincy, cultism 2002, 2003 Kula Chieftaincy, cultism, oil wealth 2003 Kaa/Bile Oil wealth 2003 Egi youth Oil wealth, leadership, youth Pre 1999, 2003, restiveness/cultism 2004 Ogu Politics 2001 Odemenenyi Chieftaincy, youth 2003 Ozochi Oil wealth 2003 Kani Politics 2003 Aggah-Egbema youth Youth restiveness/cultism, politics, 2003, 2007, 2010 crises oil wealth Okwuzi-Egbema youth Youth restiveness/cultism, politics, 2003, 2007, 2010 crises oil wealth Mgbede-Egbema youth Youth restiveness/cultism, politics, 2003, 2007, 2010 crises oil wealth 158 30. Omuma 31. 32. 33. 34. Cultism, politics Nwebara/Baraku Land Kpor Youth restiveness Ataba (Andoni) Chieftaincy Akuku-Toru, Asari- Toro Cotton – channel and Degema LGAs 35. Rumuodogo Youth restiveness/cultism, oil wealth 36. Oyigbo Legislative/ Leadership, politics Executive Council 37. Opobo/Nkoro Legislative/ Politics Executive Council 38. College of Arts and College Unions/ Management Science 39. Rivers State Polytechnic Polytechnic Unions/ Management 40. Rivers State College of University Unions/ management Education (Ignatius Ajuru University of Education) 41. Rivers State University of University Unions/ Management Science and Technology, Port Harcourt 42. Nigeria Union of Teachers The Union & Rivers State (NUT) Rivers State Wing Government over Teachers Salary Structure and others 43. Soku Oil wealth, youth restiveness/ cultism 44. Ishukwa, Ndoni Oil Wealth 45. Eveku Youth Restiveness/Cultism 46. Abonnema Youth Restiveness/Cultism, Politics 47. Bodo/Mogho Politics, Youth Restiveness/ Cultism 48. Ogbogolo Chieftaincy, Youth Restiveness/ Cultism 49. Deeyor/Beghe Land 50. Obrikom Youth Restiveness/Cultism, Oil Wealth 51. K.Dere Cultism 52. Bomu Cultism 53. Ogbo Chieftaincy, youth Restiveness 54. Ihugbogo Youth Restiveness/ Cultism, Politics 55. Erema Oil wealth, Youth Restiveness/Cultism 56. Umudioga Communal, Chieftaincy 57. Obele Communal, Chieftaincy 58. B. Dere and K.Dere Youth Restiveness 59. Barako/Nwibiara Inter Communal 2003, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010 1950s to date 2004 2004 2004 2005 2006, 2010 2006 2000, 2011 2000, 2007, 2011 2000, 2007, 2011 2000, 2007, 2011 2007, 2008 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007, 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009, 2010 2009, 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010, 2011 2010 159 60. Ibaa Cultism/Chieftaincy 2010 Source: This table was constructed with data from Institute of Human Rights and Humanitarian Law, the Rivers State Government, Rivers State House of Assembly, and news papers / internet materials. 160 Appendix 3, Table 3: SOME HOSTILITIES/KIDNAP CASES IN RIVERS STATE SN 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Conflict Location Port Harcourt Type/Casualty Baker Hughes top executive shot and killed Port Harcourt regional Norwegian rig offshore attacked and water 16 crew members kidnapped Port Harcourt region SPDC Personnel attacked Port Harcourt regional MEND attacked Nigerian soldiers and water killed 10 of their men Okochiri (Okrika) 9 Nigerian soldiers were killed in an ensuing battle with militants Port Harcourt 1 Nigerian soldier killed in an attempt to rescue oil workers kidnapped Creeks MEND seized 6 expatriate from Chevron facility Creeks MEND held 8 foreigners hostage from an offshore vessel Off Shore Port MEND attacked three major oil pipe Harcourt lines belonging to NAOC Port Harcourt About 30 innocent citizens killed in a ceaseless attack unleashed by masked gun men, the hoodlum destroyed many public institutions including NNPC Mega station in Agree road Creek A Naval war ship attacked, one personnel killed and five injured by MEND. The ship was on hand to protect SPDC facility offshore Soku JTF clashed with elements of MEND Port Harcourt Militants committed mayhem as they attacked two Police Stations at Trans Amadi and Borokiri; 11 persons including the Police loss their lives Port Harcourt MEND attacked Petroleum tanker ship that bused into flames at NPA premises Port Harcourt Militant attacked a gun boat belonging to the Navy Kalaibiama Channel Militants attacked Total Oil Nigeria Ltd‘s MV Patience Adamakri MEND fighter crippled SPDC facility(flow station) Soku-Buguma MEND‘s ‗operation cyclone‘ attacked two major pipe lines belonging to SPDC Kula MEND attacked and sabotaged an SPDC pipe line Date 10th May, 2006 2nd June,2006 2nd June, 2006 2nd October, 2006 4th October, 2006 22nd November, 2006 1st May, 2007 3rd May, 2007 8th May, 2007 August, 2007 30th October, 2007 25th November, 2007 31st December, 2007 11th January, 2008 11th February, 2008 11th February, 2010 19th April, 2010 21st April, 2008 24th April, 2008 161 Source: The table was constructed with data derived from Internet materials and news papers. 162 Appendix 4. Table Four: MOTIONS IN RELATIONS TO CONFLICT MANAGEMENT S/NO 1 DATES 20/7/99 2 23/8/99 3 12/10/99 4 28/10/99 5 9/11/99 6 11/11/99 7 12/1/00 8 28/6/01 9 4/7/01 10 24/7/01 11 2/11/01 12 13/01/02 13 22/01/02 14 4/02/02 15 4/4/02 16 29/10/02 17 8/9/04 18 2/7/03 19 3/7/03 20 21/7/03 21 4/8/03 22 1/9/03 TITLE OF MOTIONS SPONSORS The immediate review and or outright revocation of contract between the Rivers State Government and Hotel Presidential, Port Harcourt Revocation of right of occupancy of the filling stations at Omoku Street, D-Line, Diobu, Port Harcourt. Declaring Port Harcourt City a disaster area as a result of over flooding during heavy rainfall and blockage of drains. Demolition of illegal market under the fly-over around Isaac Boro Park Suspension of all youth activities and illegal street processions Attitude of traditional rulers over chieftaincy crisis in the state Restraining all Local Government Council Chairmen in Rivers State from preparing/implementing budget 2000 until the Local Government Bill is signed into law Illegal blocking of access road to Borikiri sand field Hon. J.George area Fuayefika Inadequate funding of Local Government Councils Rescinding the House Resolution suspending the Chairmen, Akuku-Toru L. G. A. Rescinding the House resolutions suspending the Chairman, Ogu-Bolo L. G. A. Hon. Mina Clever Tende and the special Adviser Mr. George Sekibo Increase in transport fare in the state Inviting the commissioner for Economic and Employment Generation on employment of Rivers State indigenes by companies operating in the state. Inviting the Managing Director/General Manager and Operation Manager of Briston Helicopters on the training programmes of the company Saving the soul of Opobo Kingdom Motion to control the construction of illegal structures on government land in Port Harcourt and its environs. Multinational companies and development projects initiated for their host communities Proliferation of illegal schools in Rivers State Hon. G. B. Pidomson Risonpalm management and private mill owners Hon. Okey C. Amadi Construction of a fuel station in a residential areas Hon. Jaja T. G Removal of fuel stations from Rivers State indigenes Hon. Lloyd J. C Motor cycle riders safety campaign Hon. Sam- 163 23 14/4/04 Indiscriminate sitting of fuel stations in residential areas 24 24/8/04 The operations of commercial motor cyclist (Okada) in Port Harcourt and its environs Curbing the menace of Highway hawkers Encroachment of government lands by some churches, traders and individuals in Rivers State Summoning the Executive Director, H. I. S Engineering, tax and finance manager, Total Fina Elf to appear before the House Secret recruitment exercise by Shell Petroleum Development Company in Rivers State Implementation of the meat (inspection and sale) law, 1978 Rivers State Education (Return of schools) Matters of urgent public impotence Impeachment of the Chairman, Oyigbo Local Government Area, Hon. Sunday Chukwudi Kanu Compelling cooperate bodies and business concerns in Rivers State to erect sign posts for identification Transport committee on the report on the enforcement of Ministry of Transport (MOT) test Highlighting the obnoxious provision of Decree No. 13 of 1997 Impeachment and suspension of the chairman of Opobo/Nkoro L. G. A, Hon. Christopher Ogolo Investigating the chairman, Abua/Odual L. G. A Shell at it again 25 20/10/04 26 16/2/05 27 7/3/05 28 9/3/05 29 21/3/05 30 4/4/05 31 7/7/05 32 8/8/05 33 7/9/05 34 21/9/05 35 25/01/06 36 11/5/06 37 30/5/06 38 29/8/07 39 15/10/07 40 6/11/07 41 19/11/07 42 19/11/07 43 20/11/08 44 8/01/09 45 9/01/09 46 30/1/09 47 14/7/09 Local Government investigations Matters of urgent public importance: De-registration of some students of Marketing Department by the Rivers State University of Science and Technology Port Harcourt. Let‘s prepare for Local Government Elections Students on Rivers State Government in Malaysia (Third Batch) Assessment and collection of revenue on behalf of Rivers State Government by tax consultants Diversion of public interest by an Italian Multinational Company Non-compliance with the Rivers State employment law, 2000 by companies operating in Rivers State Inviting the caretaker committee chairmen and the commissioner for finance on the activities of the councils Rivers State employment law 2000, with particular Sam E. Hon. Bazia J N. Hon. Lloyd Hon. Nsiegbe Hon. Lloyd C. Hon. A. Wokocha Hon. Leyii K. Hon. Okeah A. Hon. Ogiri H. Hon. Lloyd J. C. Hon. Ewoh N. Hon. Lloyd J. C. Hon. Ogiri H. Hon. Ordu C. Hon. Okeah A. Hon. Tamuno M. 164 reference to Intel and its host communities 48 3/11/09 Motion to investigate the activities of the 23 L. G. A. Chairmen of Rivers State in pursuant to section 7 of the 1999 constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 49 9/3/10 Motion on the ongoing dualization of Elekahia/Rumuosi Road, walling off of inhabitants and blockage of preconstruction drainage network. 50 24/11/10 Matter of urgent public importance: Suspension of the Chairman of Andoni Local Government Council 51 25/11/10 Suspension of the Chairman of Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni LGC Source: Office of the Clerk, Rivers State House of Assembly, House Leader Hon. Jones Ogbonda House Leader House Leader 165 Appendix 5. Table Five: BILLS: 1999 to 2010 S/NO DATES TITLE OF BILLS SPONSORS 12/6/01 Reconsideration of the Rivers State Parastatals 1. Unified Pension Scheme Bill, 2000 13/6/01 Road Traffic (Amendment) bill, 2001 2. 20/6/01 Rivers State Physical Planning and Development House Leader 3. Bill, 2000 25/6/01 Public and Political Holders Salaries, Allowances House Leader 4. and Fringe Benefits Bill, 2001 05/07/01 Street Begging and Hawking (Prohibition) Bill, 5. 2001 Hon John Bazia 17/7/01 Noise Pollution Control Bill, 2001 6. 01/8/01 High Court (Amendment) Bill, 2001 House Leaer 7. 08/8/01 Marine Transport (Safety) Bill, 2001 8. 19/8/01 Rivers State Registered Bound Bill, 2001 House Leader 9. Rivers State Appropriation Bill, 2002 House Leader 10. 26/11/01 Dehumanization and Harmful Traditional Practices Hon. Nwogu 11. 30/10/02 Bill 2002 E. Magistrate Courts (Amendment) Bill, 2002 House Leader 12. 18/03/02 Local Government (Amendment) Bill, 2002 House Leader 13. 10/4/02 Rivers State Road Safety Commission Bill, 2002 14. 06/5/02 Primary Schools (Teaching of Indigenous Hon Anthony 15. 06/5/02 Languages) Bill, 2005 Wali Passengers Welfare Scheme Bill, 2002 16. 15/05/02 Environmental Sanitation (Amendment) Bill, 2002 House Leader 17. 15/05/02 Review of the Local Government (Amendment) House Leader 18. 15/05/02 Law Bill, 2002 Rivers State Environmental Protection Agency, House Leader 19. 24/9/02 (Amendment) Law, Bill, 2002 Rivers State Ecology Endowment Fund Bill, 2002 House Leader 20. 25/9/02 Rivers State Appropriation Bill, 2003 House Leader 21. 06/12/02 Reproduction of Health Services Bill, 2003 House Leader 22. 04/3/03 Pension (Governor and Deputy Governor) Bill, House Leader 23. 15/7/03 2003 Rivers State Revenue High Court Bill, 2003 Hon. Lloyd 24. 28/10/03 Tourism Promotion Fund Bill, 2003 Hon. Ogiri H. 25. 04/11/03 Rivers State Education (Return of Schools) Bill, Hon. Pie Noah 26. 17/02/04 2004 Land Development (Provision of Roads) Bill, 2004 Hon.Wokocha 27. 01/3/04 Prevention of Transmission of AIDS (through Hon. 28. 02/3/04 Blood Transfusion) Bill, 2004 Wokocha A. Contract Drafting and Vetting Fees Bill, 2004 Hon. Lloyd 29. 08/3/04 Rivers State Roads (Tolls) Bill, 2004 House Leader 30. 17/3/04 Rivers State Local Government (Amendment) Bill, House Leader 31. 07/4/04 2004 Secret Cult and Similar Activities (Prohibition) Rt. Hon. 32. 08/6/04 Bill 2004 Amaechi R. 166 33. 25/8/04 Physical Planning and Development (Amendment) Bill, 2004 Property Tax Bill, 2004 Agricultural Development Fund Bill, 2004 Real Property Tax Bill, 2004 Rivers State Appropriation Bill, 2005 Anti-Social Behavior (Prohibition) Bill, 2005 Hon. Kichner I. House Leader 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 18/10/04 19/10/04 25/10/04 16/11/04 03/01/05 39. 40. 41. 08/01/05 28/2/05 16/6/05 42. 43. 20/6/05 09/8/05 School Rights (Parents and Students) Bill, 2005 HIV/AIDS (Non-Discrimination) Bill, 2005 Rivers State Universal Basic Education Board Bill, 2005 Skill Acquisition Bill, 2005 Child Rights Bill, 2005 44. 45. 46. 14/9/05 26/9/05 07/11/05 Sand Dealing and Dredging Operation Bill, 2005 Supplementary Appropriation Bill, 2005 Block Molding Regulation Bill, 2005 Hon. Lloyd House Leader 47. 48. 49. 50. 51. 52. 08/11/05 14/11/05 15/11/05 22/11/05 08/12/05 08/1/08 Hon. Lloyd Hon. Lloyd 53. 22/01/08 54. 03/6/09 55. 16/8/09 56. 26/8/09 57. 02/9/09 58. 59. 60. 28/9/09 12/10/09 14/10/09 61. 62. 22/10/09 23/10/09 63. 09/11/09 64. 65. 09/11/09 23/11/09 Infrastructures Maintenance Agency Bill, 2005 Customary Court Law (Amendment) Bill, 2005 Limitation Law (Amendment) Bill, 2005 Rivers State Fisheries Bill, 2005 Rivers State Appropriation Bill, 2006 Rivers State Sustainable Development Agency Law (Amendment) Bill, 2008 College of Health Science and Technology Law (Amendment) Bill, 2008 Rivers State Traffic Management Authority Bill, 2009 Rivers State Political and Public Office Holders Remuneration Law (Repeal and Re-Enactment) Bill, 2009 Rivers State Finance (Control and Management) Bill, 2009 Rivers State Public Private Participation in Infrastructural Development Bill, 2009 Rivers State Hotel Licensing Bill, 2009 Rivers State University of Education Bill, 2009. Rivers State Contributory Pension Scheme for Employees in the Public Services Bill, 2009 Rivers State Child Right Bill, 2009 Rivers State Office of the Public Defender Bill, 2009 Rivers State Prohibition of Smoking in Public Places Bill, 2009 Rivers State Arbitration Bill, 2009 Rivers State University of Science and Technology (Amendment) Bill, No. 1, 2009 Hon. Chuku G. House Leader House Leader Rt. Hon. Amaechi R. House Leader House Leader Hon. Ikiriko H. Hon. Okey A. Hon. Membere A. Hon Pidomson Gabriel Hon Wokocha Hon. Kitchner House Leader Hon. Kitchner Hon. Inimgba I. House Leader House Leader Hon. Chidi Lloyd House Leader Hon. Chidi L. Hon. Chidi L. Hon. Brown O. House Leader Hon Okeah A. House Leader House Leader House Leader 167 Rivers State Multi-Door Court House Bill, 2009 Rivers State Appropriation, Bill, 2010 Rivers State Statistics Bill, 2010 Rivers State Public Procurement Law, (Amendment) Bill, 2010 Rivers State Land Use (Prohibition of Extortion) 70. 13/4/10 Bill, 2010 Rivers State Primary Health Care Management 71. 14/4/10 Agency Bill, 2010 Rivers State Law of Property and Conveyance Bill, 72. 20/5/10 2010 Source: Office of the Clerk, Rivers State House of Assembly 66. 67. 68. 69. 30/11/09 25/1/09 08/3/10 12/4/10 House Leader House Leader House Leader House Leader House Leader House Leader House Leader 168 Appendix 6: QUESTIONNAIRE Department of Political Science University of Nigeria Nsukka Dear Respondent, This questionnaire is designed for research purposes to assess the role of the legislature in conflict management in Rivers State. It covers the period 1999-2011. The research is in partial fulfillment of the conditions for the award of the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D) in Political Science of the University of Nigeria, Nsukka. To ensure that your response in completely anonymous, you are not required to indicate your name. I wish to assure you that your response will be treated with utmost confidence and is purely for research purpose. Please note the success of this study depends very much on your willingness to offer an unreserved answer to questions raised in an objective and truthful manner. We appreciate your kind co-operation in this regards. Thank you. Anthony Egobueze Researcher. 169 Please mark (√) against your choice from the responses provided. Kindly be as brief as possible where your responses entail making some statements. Name of Community/Institution --------------------------------------------Office Address------------------------------------------------------------------1. Are you engaged by any organization or Institution in the State? ------------------------------2. Department/Section/Unit?----------------------------------------------------------------------------3. What is your present rank?----------------------------------------------------------------------------4. How long have you been in the present position?-------------------------------------------------5. Are you a citizen or resident in Rivers State? Yes { } No { }? --------------------------------SECTION A In this section, we are interested in the causes, nature and effects of conflict in Rivers State. 6. Has your Community or the Community in which you reside been bridled with or is currently engulfed in conflict? Yes [ ] No [ ] 7. What in your opinion is or are the causes of conflict in Rivers State? Oil wealth [ ], Chieftaincy [ ], Political [ ], Communal [ ], others, please state. 8. What in your opinion is the nature of the conflict? 9. What current knowledge do you have regarding conflict? No knowledge [ ], Full knowledge [ ], No response [ ] SECTION B 11. In your opinion, is the Rivers State House of Assembly aware of the various conflicts in the state? Yes [ ], No [ ], No response [ ] 12. If yes, what role has the State Legislature played in the conflict? Mitigation/Reconciliation [ ], Indifference [ ], Not aware of any role [ ] 13. What has the legislature done to promote awareness on conflict management? Publicity of its activity through the mass media [ ], Hosting of Legislative Civil Societies Dialogue [ ], No good measure has been put in place to create awareness on conflict management [ ] 14. What actions if any, has the Rivers State House of Assembly taken with regards to conflict management? Passage of high impact Bills and Resolutions on conflict related matters [ ], Conducting of Public Hearing on conflictual matters [ ], Reconciling of parties involved in conflict related issues [ ], All of the above [ ], None of the above [ ] 170 15. How effective is the role of the Rivers State House of Assembly in conflict management? Very effective [ ], Effective [ ], Ineffective [ ], Very ineffective [ ], No response [ ] 16. Will you accept the assertion that the Rivers State House of Assembly has been successful in conflict management? Strongly agree [ ], Agree [ ] strongly disagree [ ], Disagree [ ], No response [ ] 17. How sensitive is the Legislature in conflict management in Rivers State? Highly sensitive [ ], sensitive [ ], highly insensitive [ ], insensitive [ ], No response [ ] 18. Would you agree to the fact that the intervention of the Rivers State House of Assembly in conflict management in the State is likely to increase political stability? Strongly agree [ ], Agree [ ], strongly disagree [ ], Disagree [ ], No response [ ] 19. Do you think that if the Legislature is successful in managing conflict, then political stability is likely to increase? Strongly agree [ ], Agree [ ], Strongly disagree [ ] Disagree [ ], No response[ ] 20. Has the intervention of the Legislature in conflict management engendered peace and political stability in the State? The intervention of the Legislature in conflict management has deepened peace [ ], The intervention of the Legislature has exacerbated conflict in the State [ ], No response [ ] SECTION C 21. What in your opinion makes the Legislature to intervene in conflict? When the interest of its member is affected [ ], Because it is its constitutional responsibility [ ], Because of its zealousness as a law making body [ ] 22. In your view, do you think that because the interest of a member of the legislature is affected by conflictual situation, the legislature would be timely in the management of the conflict? Strongly agree [ ], Agree [ ], strongly disagree [ ], Disagree [ ], No response [ ] 23. Do you see conflict management as one of the responsibilities of the Legislature? Yes [ ], No [ ], No response [ ] SECTION D 24. In your opinion, the Executive and the Judiciary has played leading roles in conflict resolution in Rivers State? Strongly agree [ ], Agree [ ], strongly disagree [ ], Disagree [ ], No response [ ]. 25. To what extent has the effort of the Executive and Judiciary been on conflict management in the State? Very meaningful [ ], Meaningful [ ], Very Un-meaningful [ ], Not Meaningful [ ], No response [ ]. 26. In a scale of 100%, how would you rank the efforts of the Executive and Legislature in conflict resolution? 171 27. What in your opinion motivates the legislature to be involved in conflict management? Because the executive and the judiciary have failed to permanently resolve the conflicts [ ], Because the Legislature is one of the Institutions of government [ ], Because the Legislature likes managing conflicts [ ], No response [ ] 28. Do you think that the failure of the executive and the judiciary to reduce conflicts in communities in the state could stall good governance and distort the provision of social services and increase the role of the legislature in conflict management? Yes [ ], No [ ], No response [ ]. 29. What would be your ideal outcome in terms of the role of the legislature in conflict management? Increased political stability and deepening of democratic values [ ], Respect for rule of law [ ], Increased political awareness and the participation of the people in governance [ ] All of the above [ ], None of the above [ ], No response [ ]. 30. Would you agree that the involvement of the legislature in conflict management could engender political stability and foster a better relation with other branches of government? Strongly agree [ ], Agree [ ], Strongly disagree [ ], Disagree [ ], No response [ ] 172 Appendix 7: INTERVIEW QUESTIONS: 1. In your opinion, do you think that Rivers State is bridled with conflicts? 2. If yes, what in your opinions are the causes for these conflicts? 3. How would you rate the relations between the Rivers State House of Assembly and its constituents? 4. Do you see the Legislature being a true representative of the citizens? 5. What in your opinion led to the Ogu, Egbema and Tertiary Institutions Union‘s conflict in Rivers State? 6. Which organ(s) of Government is or are responsible for conflict management? 7. Do you see the intervention of the Legislature in conflict management as a result of the failure of the Executive and the Judiciary? 8. Do you see personal interest of the Legislators as the reason for the intervention of the Legislature in the conflict? 9. Beside personal interest, what other reasons motivate the Legislature to intervene in conflicts? 10. In your opinion, has the Rivers State House of Assembly been result oriented in the management of conflicts in the State? 11. Do you not think that the State Legislature has been sectional in conflict management? 12. What in your opinion are the reasons why the citizens go to the Legislature instead of the Executive and the Judiciary to resolve conflicts? 13. What basic measures have the Legislature adopted in conflict management in Rivers State? 14. Has the intervention of the Legislature in conflict management engendered political stability? 15. What indicators could we see to evaluate the success of the Legislature in conflict management? 173 Appendix 8: CHI-SQUARE ANALYSIS Variables: Interest and Intervention Hypothesis: H0: There is no significant association between interest and intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; H1: There is a significant association between interest and intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; Crosstabs [DataSet1] D:\Data Files\Customers\Tony\Ana-Tony-Chi=30Jan13A.sav Issue for Hyp 1 * Level of Response Crosstabulation Issue f or Hy p 1 Interest Interv ention Total Count Expected Count Residual Count Expected Count Residual Count Expected Count Strongly Agree 180 97.5 82.5 15 97.5 -82.5 195 195.0 Agree 20 13.5 6.5 7 13.5 -6.5 27 27.0 Lev el of Response Strongly Disagree Disagree 10 5 70.0 32.5 -60.0 -27.5 130 60 70.0 32.5 60.0 27.5 140 65 140.0 65.0 No Response 5 6.5 -1.5 8 6.5 1.5 13 13.0 Total 220 220.0 220 220.0 440 440.0 Issue for Hyp 1 * Level of Response Crosstabulation % of Total Issue f or Hy p 1 Total Interest Interv ention St rongly Agree 40.9% 3.4% 44.3% Lev el of Response St rongly Agree Disagree Disagree 4.5% 2.3% 1.1% 1.6% 29.5% 13.6% 6.1% 31.8% 14.8% No Response 1.1% 1.8% 3.0% Total 50.0% 50.0% 100.0% 174 Chi-Square Tests Value 295.963a 348.675 Pearson Chi-Square Likelihood Ratio Linear-by -Linear Association N of Valid Cases 4 4 Asy mp. Sig. (2-sided) .000 .000 1 .000 df 238.614 440 a. 0 cells (.0%) hav e expect ed count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 6.50. Symmetric Measures Nominal by Nominal N of Valid Cases Contingency Coef f icient Value .634 440 Approx. Sig. .000 a. Not assuming the null hy pothesis. b. Using the asy mptotic standard error assuming the null hy pothesis. Source: SPSS Output Window ver. 15 Computation Using the formula for Chi-square (X2) test for independence, we have: X 2 i j (fij e ij )2 e ij = 295.963 Where: fij = observed frequency for each category in row i and column j eij = expected frequency for each category in row i and column j n = number of rows = 5; m = number of columns = 2 d.f. = (n – 1)(m – 1) = (5 – 1)(2 – 1) = 4 p = 0.000 Interpretation: From the Chi-square distribution table, we find that at d.f. = 4 and at α = 0.05 level of significance, then X2.05 = 9.4877 Since the Test statistics, X2 (= 295.9637), is GREATER than X2.05 (= 9.4877); also since p (= 0.000) < α (=0.05), we reject the null hypothesis (H0) and conclude that: H1: There is a significant association between interest and intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; 175 Strength of Relationship: The high value of 0.634 for the test statistics, contingency coefficient, indicates that there is a strong relationship between the two variables Variables: Failure of Executive/Judiciary and Intervention Hypothesis: H0: There is no significant association between failure of executive/judiciary and intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; H1: There is a significant association between failure of executive/judiciary and intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; Crosstabs [DataSet1] D:\Data Files\Customers\Tony\Ana-Tony-Chi=30Jan13A.sav Issue for Hyp 2 * Level of Response Crosstabulation Issue Failure of Count f or Hyp Executive/Judiciary Expected Count 2 Residual Interv ention Count Expected Count Residual Total Count Expected Count Very meaningful 15 13.5 1.5 12 13.5 -1.5 27 27.0 Meaningf ul 7 9.0 -2.0 11 9.0 2.0 18 18.0 Level of Response Very unmeaningful Unmeaningf ul 130 60 142.5 50.0 -12.5 10.0 155 40 142.5 50.0 12.5 -10.0 285 100 285.0 100.0 No Response 8 5.0 3.0 2 5.0 -3.0 10 10.0 Total 220 220.0 220 220.0 440 440.0 Issue for Hyp 2 * Level of Response Crosstabulation % of Total Very meaningful Issue f or Hy p 2 Total Failure of Executiv e/Judiciary Interv ention Meaningf ul Lev el of Response Very unmeaningf ul Unmeaningf ul No Response Total 3.4% 1.6% 29.5% 13.6% 1.8% 50.0% 2.7% 6.1% 2.5% 4.1% 35.2% 64.8% 9.1% 22.7% .5% 2.3% 50.0% 100.0% 176 Chi-Square Tests Value 11.015a 11.308 Pearson Chi-Square Likelihood Ratio Linear-by -Linear Association N of Valid Cases 4 4 Asy mp. Sig. (2-sided) .026 .023 1 .063 df 3.444 440 a. 0 cells (.0%) hav e expect ed count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 5.00. Symmetric Measures Nominal by Nominal N of Valid Cases Contingency Coef f icient Value .156 440 Approx. Sig. .026 a. Not assuming the null hy pothesis. b. Using the asy mptotic standard error assuming the null hy pothesis. Source: SPSS Output Window ver. 15 Computation Using the formula for Chi-square (X2) test for independence, we have: X 2 i j (fij e ij )2 e ij = 11.015 Where: fij = observed frequency for each category in row i and column j eij = expected frequency for each category in row i and column j n = number of rows = 5; m = number of columns = 2 d.f. = (n – 1)(m – 1) = (5 – 1)(2 – 1) = 4 p = 0.026 Interpretation: From the Chi-square distribution table, we find that at d.f. = 4 and at α = 0.05 level of significance, then X2.05 = 9.4877 Since the Test statistics, X2 (= 11.015), is GREATER than X2.05 (= 9.4877); also since p (= 0.026) < α (=0.05), we reject the null hypothesis (H0) and conclude that: H1: There is a significant association between failure of executive/judiciary and intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; 177 Strength of Relationship: The low value of 0.156 for the test statistics, contingency coefficient, indicates that there is a weak relationship between the two variables. 178 Variables: RSHA Conflict Mgt Role and RSHA Intervention Hypothesis: H0: There is no significant association between RSHA Conflict Mgt Role and RSHA Intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; H1: There is a significant association between RSHA Conflict Mgt Role and RSHA Intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; Crosstabs [DataSet1] D:\Data Files\Customers\Tony\Ana-Tony-Chi=30Jan13A.sav Issue for Hyp 3 * Level of Response Crosstabulation Issue f or Hyp 3 Total RSHA Conflict Mgt Role Count Expected Count Residual RSHA Intervention Count Expected Count Residual Count Expected Count Strongly Agree 130 130.0 .0 130 130.0 .0 260 260.0 Agree 40 50.0 -10.0 60 50.0 10.0 100 100.0 Level of Response Strongly Disagree Disagree 20 30 17.5 20.0 2.5 10.0 15 10 17.5 20.0 -2.5 -10.0 35 40 35.0 40.0 No Response 0 2.5 -2.5 5 2.5 2.5 5 5.0 Total 220 220.0 220 220.0 440 440.0 Issue for Hyp 3 * Level of Response Crosstabulation % of Total Issue f or Hy p 3 RSHA Conf lict Mgt Role RSHA Interv ention Total Strongly Agree 29.5% 29.5% 59.1% Lev el of Response Strongly Agree Disagree Disagree 9.1% 4.5% 6.8% 13.6% 3.4% 2.3% 22.7% 8.0% 9.1% Chi-Square Tests Pearson Chi-Square Likelihood Ratio Linear-by -Linear Association N of Valid Cases Value 19.714 22.140 1.945 440 4 4 Asy mp. Sig. (2-sided) .001 .000 1 .163 df No Response 1.1% 1.1% Total 50.0% 50.0% 100.0% 179 Symmetric Measures Nominal by Nominal N of Valid Cases Contingency Coef f icient Value .207 440 Approx. Sig. .001 a. Not assuming the null hy pothesis. b. Using the asy mptotic standard error assuming the null hy pothesis. Source: SPSS Output Window ver. 15 Computation Using the formula for Chi-square (X2) test for independence, we have: X 2 i j (fij e ij )2 e ij = 19.714 Where: fij = observed frequency for each category in row i and column j eij = expected frequency for each category in row i and column j n = number of rows = 5; m = number of columns = 2 d.f. = (n – 1)(m – 1) = (5 – 1)(2 – 1) = 4 p = 0.0001 Interpretation: From the Chi-square distribution table, we find that at d.f. = 4 and at α = 0.05 level of significance, then X2.05 = 9.4877 Since the Test statistics, X2 ( = 19.714), is GREATER than X2.05 (= 9.4877); also since p (= 0.001) < α (=0.05), we reject the null hypothesis (H0) and conclude that: H1: There is a significant association between RSHA Conflict Mgt Role and RSHA Intervention in conflict management in the Rivers State polity; Strength of Relationship: The low value of 0.207 for the test statistics, contingency coefficient, indicates that there is a weak relationship between the two variables. 180 SUMMARY OF STATISTICS ON THE THREE HYPOTHESES Level of significance (α) = 0.05 Independent Variable (X2) Chi Statistics Intervention Interest 5. Failure of Intervention Executive/ Judiciary 6. RSHA Conflict RSHA Mgt Role Intervention Source: SPSS Output Window ver. 15 S/N 4. Dependent Variable PValue 295.963 (X2.05) Critical Value 9.4877 0.000 Contingency Coeff. (Strength) Significant 0.634 11.015 9.4877 0.000 Significant 0.156 19.714 9.4877 0.001 Significant 0.207 Sig. Remark Strong association Weak association Weak association 181 Contingency coefficient. A measure of association based on chi-square. The value ranges between 0 and 1, with 0 indicating no association between the row and column variables and values close to 1 indicating a high degree of association between the variables. The maximum value possible depends on the number of rows and columns in a table.
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