Risk Factors for Pseudomonas aeruginosa to Guide Empiric Therapy for Gram-Negative Infections Contact Information: [email protected] Krutika N. Mediwala, PharmD1; W. Cliff Rutter, PharmD, MS1,2; Donna R. Burgess, RPh1,2; Craig A. Martin, PharmD, MBA1,2; Katie Wallace, PharmD, BCPS1,2, David S. Burgess, PharmD, FCCP2 1. University of Kentucky HealthCare Department of Pharmacy Services, Lexington, KY; 2. University of Kentucky College of Pharmacy, Lexington, KY Abstract (Revised) Results Table 1. Baseline Characteristics Variable Age, Median (IQR) Male Gender, n (%) Comorbidities, n (%) Diabetes Mellitus Coronary Artery Disease Chronic Kidney Disease End Stage Renal Disease Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Liver dysfunction Solid tumor Liquid tumor Charlson Comorbidity Index, median (IQR) Immunosuppression composite, n (%) Immunosuppressive agent exposure Immunosuppression Parenteral nutrition, n (%) Neurological disease, n (%) Prosthetic device, n (%) Fungal colonization/infection, n (%) Elderly Severity of illness – increasing APACHE II score, ICU admission Immunosuppressed – dialysis, cirrhosis, malignancy Previous multi-drug resistant infection 117 (32) 108 (29) 100 (27) 32 (9) 45 (12) 14 (4) 58 (16) 31 (8) 5 (3-8) 53 (14) 51 (14) 2 (0.5) 1 (0.3) 0 (0) 13 (4) 10 (3) 0.93 0.89 0.0003 0.001 0.015 0.007 0.57 0.002 0.0002 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.78 1 0.96 0.55 0.09 E. aerogenes K. oxytoca P. mirabilis 80 70 53.9 50 ENT PSA 37.9 40 p-value 0.0005 0.0005 0.0002 2145 (89) 341 (14) 170 (7) 180 (8) 371 (15) 372 (16) 48 (2) 338 (14) 262 (11) 73 (3) 487 (20) 311 (84) 64 (17) 20 (5) 45 (12) 81 (22) 82 (22) 13 (4) 79 (21) 30 (8) 26 (7) 137 (37) 0.002 0.14 0.27 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.09 0.0004 0.12 0.0002 <0.0001 Male gender Receipt of antibiotics prior to the 48 hours preceding culture Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥5 Hematological malignancy Liver dysfunction Hospital-acquired infection PSA positive culture within 30 days Pulmonary source Immunosuppression and corticosteroid use 30 Figure 4. Risk Score distribution in patients 20 10 C. freundii PSA 266 (67) 15 (8-32) 6 (2-13) Variable 90 60 ENT 1027 (58) 13 (6-26) 4 (1-9) Table 3. Pseudomonas aeruginosa Risk Score 100 S. marcescens Points 2 3 3.5 2.5 -3.5 -2 10 3 2.5 Max = 26.5 Min = -5.5 Figure 5. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve 0 0 To identify risk factors for PSA infections in order to guide empiric therapy To create a risk-factor score based on comparison between patients with PSA vs Enterobacteriaceae (ENT) infections Variable Hospital-acquired, n (%) Length of stay in days, Median (IQR) Time to culture collection in days, Median (IQR) Survival at discharge, n (%) Invasive device, n (%) Urinary indwelling catheter, n (%) Central Venous Catheter, n (%) Mechanical ventilation, n (%) Circulatory shock composite, n (%) Circulatory shock Vasopressor exposure Invasive procedure, n (%) Bronchiectasis, n (%) Corticosteroid exposure, n (%) Figure 2. Previous Antibiotic Exposure* E. cloacae Objectives Yes 20 40 60 80 100 Percentage of ENT cultures *p < 0.0001 Exposure Figure 3. Sources of Culture Collection 100 80 Percentage This was an IRB-approved single-center, case-control study Patients admitted from January 1st, 2010 - December 31st, 2014 at UK HealthCare were screened Inclusion Criteria: •Case: Patients ≥ 18 years who had a POSITIVE culture for PSA •Control: Patients ≥ 18 years who had a NEGATIVE culture for PSA, but were CULTURE-POSITIVE for ENT Exclusion Criteria: Cystic Fibrosis patients and polymicrobial infections Data Collection: Center for Clinical and Translational Science (CCTS) Enterprise Data Trust •Patient demographics, comorbidities, severity of illness, vital signs, medication administration data, laboratory data, microbiological data, previous and current visit details Statistical Analysis: Descriptive statistics were calculated using the student’s t test and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Chi-squared test was utilized for categorical data. Variables were identified using a multivariate regression model. A risk-score was constructed using the corresponding model betacoefficients. Various point cutoffs were assessed with a receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve, with the point closest to maximum sensitivity and specificity being selected. All tests were two-tailed with a predefined alpha of 0.05. 766 (32) 687 (29) 451 (19) 109 (5) 196 (8) 188 (8) 407 (17) 106 (4) 4 (2-8) 165 (7) 146 (6) 20 (0.8) 10 (0.4) 4 (0.2) 104 (4) 33 (1) K. pneumoniae Recent susceptibilities for common empiric agents at the University of Kentucky HealthCare range from 69-72% for PSA. Thus, it is important to differentiate between patients at risk of developing these infections. Methods p-value 0.995 <0.0001 E. coli Microorganism Current literature highlights several risk factors for Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PSA) infections:1,2,3,4 PSA (n=371) 59 (49-68) 224 (60) Figure 1. Microbiological breakdown for ENT Background Table 2. Inpatient Visit Details ENT (n=2399) 59 (46-70) 1125 (47) Percentage of patients Background: Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PSA) is associated with high morbidity and mortality, and there is no PSA-specific risk factor score to guide empiric therapy. The objective of this study was to identify risk factors and develop a PSA-risk score. Methods: This was a retrospective, case-control study where clinical data from 1/1/2010 through 12/31/14 were obtained from the University of Kentucky Center for Clinical and Translational Science Enterprise Data Trust. Cases were defined as adults with PSA-positive cultures, while controls had Enterobacteriaceae (ENT)-positive cultures. Exclusion criteria included cystic fibrosis and polymicrobial infections. Basic descriptive statistics were performed and multivariable logistic regression was utilized to identify risk factors for PSA infections. Results: 2770 patients were evaluated (2399 ENT vs. 371 PSA). Male gender (60% vs. 40%, p<0.0001) and comorbidities including CKD, ESRD, COPD, immunosuppression and hematologic malignancies were significantly more prevalent in the PSA group. Patients with prior history of PSA cultures (p<0.001) and antibiotic exposure were more likely to have PSA infections (54% vs. 38%, p<0.0001). They were also more likely to have central-lines, mechanical ventilation, and circulatory shock (12% vs 7%, p=0.003; 22% vs. 15%, p=0.002; 22% vs. 16%, p=0.002 respectively). Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score and frequency of hospital-acquired infections were higher in PSA group [median(IQR) 4(2-8) vs. 5(3-8) p=0.002 and 67% vs. 58%, p=0.0005, respectively]. Prior antibiotic exposure or PSA culture, hematological malignancy, immunosuppression, CCI ≥ 5, and pulmonary source were independent predictors for PSA in our population. A risk-factor score cutoff of 5.5 had the most optimal combination of sensitivity (64.2%), specificity (76%), accuracy (74.4%), negative predictive value (93.2%), and positive predictive value (29.2%). Conclusions: A score cutoff of 5.5 was optimal in our population. Score distributions for ENT and PSA patients were remarkably similar, making it difficult to distinguish between them in order to direct antibiotic therapy. Previous antibiotic exposure Prior hospitalization Invasive device – catheter, tracheostomy Respiratory source of bacteremia Contact Information Email: [email protected] Phone: (210) 269-7885 ENT 60 39.1 40 20 46.0 PSA 29.4 11.8 11.3 18.0 10.6 7.0 13.6 13.2 0 Blood Pulmonary Urine Wound Other Pathogen site Conclusions At our institution, characteristics of patients with PSA infections included male gender, renal dysfunction, respiratory disease such as COPD, hematological malignancy, greater risk of mortality, higher rate of mechanical ventilation, presence of central venous catheters and vasopressor and corticosteroid use. A score cutoff of 5.5 was optimal in our population. This provided 64% sensitivity, 76% specificity and 74.4% accuracy. Score distributions for ENT and PSA patients were remarkably similar, making it difficult to distinguish between them in order to direct antibiotic therapy. With current susceptibilities in the lower-70 percentile, this may warrant thorough evaluation of empiric regimens and possible double-coverage with aminoglycosides. References 1. 2. 3. 4. Al-Hassan et al. Clin Microbiol Infect. 2013; 19:948-954 Cheong et al. Am J Med 2008; 121:709-714 Osih et al. Antimicrob Agents Chemother. 2007; 51(3):839-844 Schechner et al. Clin Infect Dis. 2009; 48:580–586 The project described was supported by the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences, National Institutes of Health, through grant number UL1TR000117. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the NIH. IDWeek 2016, New Orleans, LA. October 26-30, 2016
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