OVERPAID OR UNDERPAID? PUBLIC EMPLOYEE COMPENSATION IN ALASKA Prepared for Alaska Department of Administration Prepared by Mouhcine Guettabi and Matthew Berman Institute of Social and Economic Research University of Alaska Anchorage 3211 Providence Drive Anchorage, Alaska 99508 July 2016 All ISER publications are solely the work of the individual authors. This report and its findings should be attributed to the authors, not to ISER, the University of Alaska Anchorage, or the research sponsors. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank Mali Abrahamson and Joshua Warren of the Research and Analysis Section of the Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development for their help with the statistical analysis of employment records. Also, staff of the Alaska Department of Administration provided help and useful comments. Linda Leask, ISER’s editor, and Clemencia Merrill, ISER’s graphic artist, prepared an ISER Research Summary (issued separately and also included in this report) highlighting the findings of the analysis. About This Report The Alaska Department of Administration asked us to assess whether state workers are overpaid or underpaid, compared with their counterparts in private industry. We analyzed the question in two ways, using different data sources for cash wages but the same assumptions about benefit levels.* Using two sources helped us better answer the question, and both methods of analysis reached the same broad conclusion: Alaska’s public employees are not on average paid more than those in private industry. The Research Summary at the beginning of this report summarizes the findings of both methods of analysis, then Parts I and II provide detailed discussions. Part I describes the method of analysis by Mouhcine Guettabi. He compared the pay and total compensation of all resident wage and salary employees of state and local governments and private businesses, based mainly on data from the American Community Survey (ACS) for the years 2009-2013. Part II describes the analysis by Matthew Berman, who looked at pay and total compensation of just the resident workers who actually changed jobs—from state to private, or private to state—from 2001 through 2014. Unlike the first method, this assessment did not include local government workers. *We used national average benefit levels for private and public employees in each occupation, based on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ 2014 National Compensation Survey. Although exact benefits percentages could be derived for Alaska state government workers, Alaska-specific figures are not available for private sector employees. Consequently, we determined that it would be best to use the national averages for private and public sector workers in each occupation. Research Summary No. 82 Institute of Social and Economic Research · University of Alaska Anchorage July 2016 Who Has Better Pay and Benefits—Workers in State Government or Private Industry? By Mouhcine Guettabi and Matthew Berman Are state workers better paid than their counterparts in private industry? Workers Who Moved from State to Private Jobs—or Vice-Versa That question is likely to come up more often, as the state deals with a huge budget shortfall. The answer is generally no, but there are exceptions. We analyzed the question in two ways, using different data sources for cash wages but the same assumptions about benefit levels.1 Using two sources helped us better answer the question, and each yielded the same broad conclusion: state workers are not on average paid more. That’s true, whether we consider just wages, or total compensation— wages plus benefits. But there are significant differences in pay and total compensation of public and private workers in individual occupations. We did this research for the Alaska Department of Administration (see back page). Below we summarize our findings, and inside report more details. All Resident Workers in Private and State and Local Jobs Mouhcine Guettabi compared the pay and total compensation of all resident wage and salary employees of state and local governments and private businesses, based mainly on data from the American Community Survey (ACS) for the years 2009-2013. He found: • Government workers earned 8% less on average for all occupations. • But total compensation (wages plus benefits) was not significantly different on average for all public and private workers, because government benefits were more valuable. • For occupations in the lower- and mid-ranges of the pay scale, government wages were generally lower—but more valuable benefits made government compensation equal to or higher than private. • In higher-paying occupations, both government wages and total compensation were considerably less than private pay and compensation. Matthew Berman looked at pay and total compensation of the residents who actually moved from state to private jobs—or vice-versa—from 2001 through 2014. He used data from employment records of the Alaska Department of Labor and Permanent Fund dividend applications. This summary reports just his findings about those who changed jobs but stayed in the same occupations and same communities.2 He found: • Women earned less than men in all occupations, before and after they changed jobs, and whether they changed from state to private jobs or from private to state jobs (Figure 1 and Figure 8, back page). • Workers who moved from private to state jobs saw smaller paychecks— on average 7% lower for women and 10% for men. • But the higher value of state benefits mostly erased the wage differences. On average, women moving from private to state jobs saw a gain of about 3% in total compensation and men a loss of 2.5%. • Workers moving from state to private jobs improved their total compensation, even though their benefits were less valuable—because they gained so much in wages. Women on average gained 18% in wages and men 20%. Total compensation increased 16% for women and 11% for men. • The overall pattern of workers seeing higher wages and total compensation when they moved from state to private jobs was true for most individual occupations. Notable exceptions were health-care support and protective-service jobs, where state wages and compensation were higher for those who had moved from private to state jobs. Figure 1. Average Annual Wages and Compensation of Workers Before and After They Changed Jobs* (Among Those Who Changed Jobs and Stayed in the Same Occupations, 2001 to 2014, In Thousands of 2013 Dollars) Private State Workers who left private jobs for state jobs Wages Women $42 -7% $39 Men $58 $52 -10% Total compensation (Wages plus benefits) $60 +3% $62 $82 $80 -2.5% State Private Workers who left state jobs for private jobs Wages $43 +18% Women $51 Men $64 +20% $77 Total compensation (Wages plus benefits) $63 +16% $73 $99 +11% $110 *Based on 4,617 workers who changed jobs and stayed in the same occupation and place. About 15,000 workers changed jobs from 2001-2014, but most changed occupations and some moved. Source: Evidence from Transitions Between Private Sector and Alaska State Government Employment, author’s calculations, based on data from Alaska Department of Labor Why Two Methods of Analysis? Using two data sources to compare public and private compensation gave us more information than just a single source would have. The U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey, used for one part of the study, gave us information on the race and education levels of public and private employees—and as we discuss below, those characteristics are known to affect pay. But census data can’t tell us how some other characteristics—like skill levels—might affect pay. Employment records and Permanent Fund dividend applications, used for another part of the study, don’t include information about race or education. But they allow us to follow the same person from job to job. That makes comparisons straightforward, because we know that workers bring the same characteristics to the new job as they did to the old job. Compensation of Resident Wage and Salary Employees of Private Industry and State and Local Governments, 2009-2013 • Local government workers were more diverse than private or state workers—about 39% were of races other than white, compared with around 30% among private and state workers. • State government workers were on average better educated. More than half held at least four-year degrees, compared with about 41% among local government workers and 21% among private workers. Figure 2. Composition of Workers in ACS Survey (2009-2013) 22% State/ local government 13% Federal 54% Private government industry* 11% Non-profits* Mouhcine Guettabi’s analysis is based mainly on data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (average 2009 - 2013). It *Includes wage and salary workers and self-employed compares the pay and total compensation (wages plus benefits) of resiWhich Workers Are Included in the Analysis? dent wage and salary workers employed by state and local governments • State and local government workers and private businesses. It does not include non-resident workers, em• Private wage and salary workers ployees of the federal government or non-profits, or the self-employed. Source: A Wage and Compensation Analysis of Alaska’s Public Sector Employees, author’s calculations, with data from American Community Survey, 2009-2013 In 2014, there were about 26,700 state government employees and 37,800 local government employees, for a total Figure 3. How Do Specific Characteristics of Alaska Workers Affect Their Pay? of 64,500. Figure 2 shows that on average from (All Alaska Resident Wage and Salary Workers) 2009-2013, state and local government workers Education made up about 22% of workers in the American 117% Compared with workers who didn’t Community Survey. finish high school, all those with more 95% Characteristics of Workers education are paid more 67% Age Older workers on To compare public/private compensation, the Gender and Race 48% average earn more Women are paid Workers of all other races are analysis controls for characteristics known to 41% less than men paid less than white workers 14% affect pay: gender, race, education, and experi4-year High-school Some Post-22% ence. Figure 3 shows how those influenced pay -28% -41% degree graduate -36% Other race college of all resident Alaska wage and salary workers Black AK Native (including those with jobs in government and in Source: A Wage and Compensation Analysis of Alaska’s Public Sector Employees, author’s calculations, data from American Community Survey, 2009-13 private industry) during the period 2009-2013. • Women earned on average 41% less than men. Figure 4. Characteristics of Resident Workers in Private Firms • Workers from minorities earned less than white workers—Black and State And Local Governments in Alaska workers 28% less, Alaska Natives 36% less, and workers of other (Average 2009-2013) Private races 22% less. 39 years • Compared with workers who didn’t finish high school, AlasBy Age Local Government 44 years (Average age) kans with high-school degrees earned 48% more, those with 44 years at least some college 67% more, those with four-year degrees 43% 95% more, and those with post-graduate degrees 117% more. By Gender 55% (Percent women) • Older workers earned on average 14% more than those with 56% less experience. By Diversity 30% Figure 4 shows how characteristics differed among public (Percent Races 29% and private workers during the analysis period. other than white) 39% • State and local government workers were on average five 21% By Education years older than those in private industry—44 years old, com54% (Percent with 4 or 41% pared with 39. more years of college) • Women made up a considerably larger share of public workers Source: A Wage and Compensation Analysis of Alaska’s Public Sector Employees, author’s calculations, with data from American Community Survey, 2009-2013 —55%, compared with 43% among private workers. 2 How Did Public and Private Pay Compare? Figure 5 shows how pay and total compensation—adjusted for characteristics of workers—compared among state and local government workers and private workers overall, and among workers in specific occupations, in the period 2009-2013. • Government workers on average earned 8% less than private workers. But because government benefits were more valuable, there was no significant difference in total compensation (wages plus benefits) among government and private workers overall. • For a number of occupation in the lower- and mid-ranges of the pay scale, government wages were lower than or about the same as in private industry. But government benefits were typically more valuable, so total compensation for those occupations was equal to or more than in private industry. • Health-care support jobs didn’t fit that general pattern: both wages and total compensation were significantly higher among government workers. • In higher-paying occupations—for example, physical and social sciences and management—both wages and total compensation were considerably lower among government workers. Figure 5. How Does Pay of State and Local Government Workers Compare With Pay in Private Industry? (All resident wage and salary workers in private industry and state and local government, average 2009-2013) Wages Total compensation (wages plus benefits) On average for all occupations, government workers earn 8% less. But the higher average value of government benefits means there is no significant difference in total compensation. -8% No significant difference in total compensation In many lower- and mid-pay occupations, government wages are lower, but the higher value of benefits makes government compensation equal to or higher than private. Personal care/service wages much lower -49% in government But no significant difference in total compensation Installation and repair wages lower in government -21% But no significant difference in total compensation Building and grounds maintenance wages not significantly different in government and private But total government +49% compensation higher Office and admin wages not significantly different in government and private Health-care support jobs are exceptions +16% But total government compensation somewhat higher Both government wages and total compensation much higher +52% +78% In higher-paying occupations, both government pay and total compensation are considerably less than private pay and compensation. Life, physical, social sciences -39% -36% Management -33% -29% Source: A Wage and Compensation Analysis of Alaska’s Public Sector Employees, author’s calculations, with data from American Community Survey, 2009-2013 3 Compensation of Workers Who Changed from Private to State Jobs—and Vice-Versa, 2001-2014 In his analysis, Matthew Berman compared compensation for workers who actually changed from state to private jobs—or private to state jobs—from 2001 through 2014. Unlike the analysis we just described, this assessment doesn’t need to be adjusted for characteristics of workers: it’s based on data for specific Alaskans who changed jobs, and compares what they were paid before and after their job changes. The assessment uses data—with confidential information about individual Alaskans removed—that the Alaska Department of Labor provided, from its own employment records and from Permanent Fund dividend applications. Who Changed Jobs? About 15,000 Alaskans changed either from private to state jobs or state to private jobs from 2001 to 2014. Many of those workers changed occupations when they changed jobs, and some moved to different places. About 4,600 changed jobs and stayed in the same occupations and places, and figures 6 and 7 profile those workers. • Workers were much more likely to move from private to state jobs, accounting for about two-thirds of those who changed jobs. • Women were far more likely than men to change jobs—whether they moved from private to state jobs or state to private. Women made up 66% of all those who changed jobs. Figure 7 shows details about the occupations of these workers. • Office and administrative support jobs were by far the most common occupations among women who changed jobs—whether from private to state or vice-versa. More than half the women who moved from state to private jobs, and nearly two-thirds of those who moved from private to state jobs, were in office and administrative support. • Jobs related to health care—practitioners, technicians, or support—were the next most common occupations among women who changed jobs, in either direction. They accounted for 16% of women who left state jobs and 12% who moved to state jobs. • More than one-quarter of men shifting from state to private jobs, or private to state, were in construction, repair, installation, or transport occupations. • Men in higher-paying occupations—including management, architecture and engineering, and legal—were more likely to move from state to private jobs. • Occupations in the lower- and mid-ranges of the pay scale—including administrative support and protective services—were more likely to draw men from private to state jobs. 4 Figure 6. Who Changed Jobs, 2001-2014? (Among Those Who Changed Jobs and Stayed in Same Occupation and Place*) Workers who left state jobs for private jobs: 31% Men 11% Women 46% Women 20% Workers who left private jobs for state jobs: 69% Men 23% *Based on 4,617 workers who changed jobs and stayed in the same occupation and place. About 15,000 workers changed jobs from 2001-2014, but most changed occupations and some moved. Source: Evidence from Transitions Between Private Sector and Alaska State Government Employment, author’s calculations, based on data from Alaska Department of Labor and Permanent Fund dividend applications Figure 7. Occupations of Workers Who Changed Jobs, 2001 - 2014 (Among Workers Who Changed Jobs and Stayed in the Same Occupation and Place*) Moved from state to private jobs Women (Total: 911) Management All other 5% 8.5% All other 5.5% 1.5% Architecture/Engineering Life/Physical/Social Sciences 4% 6.5% 53% Office/Admin Support Men (Total: 522) Business/Financial/Computer 5.5% Install/repair/produce/transport Management 8% 16% Business/Financial/Computer 12% Legal 9.5% Health-care practitioners /technical Construction 5.5% Health-care support 0.5% Protective service 12% 9% Architecture/Engineering 4% Life/Physical/Social Sciences 10% Office/Admin Support 0.5% Building/grounds maintenance 10% 7% 4.5% Legal Building/grounds maintenance 1.5% Health-care practitioners /technical Protective service 1% Health-care support Moved from private to state jobs Women (Total: 2,108) Men (Total 1,050) Business/Financial/Computer Management Architecture/Engineering All other 1% 2%Life/Physical/Social Sciences 5% 3% 3% Install/repair/produce/transport Community/Social services 6.5% Legal 18% 3% Health-care practitioners /technical 8% 64% Office/Admin Support 4% Health-care support 0.5% Building/grounds maintenance All other Management Business/Financial/Computer 6% 4% 10.5% 7.5% Construction 14% 16.5% Office/Admin Support Architecture/Engineering 3% Life/Physical/Social Sciences 4% Community/Social services 4% Legal 3% Health-care practitioners /technical 6% 1.5% Health-care support Protective service 2% Building/grounds/maintenance *Based on 4,617 workers who changed jobs and stayed in the same occupation and place, excluding those where the number of transitions was fewer than 4, to avoid disclosing confidential information. Overall, about 15,000 workers changed jobs from 2001-2014, but most changed occupations and some moved. Source: Evidence from Transitions Between Private Sector and Alaska State Government Employment, author’s calculations, based on data from Alaska Department of Labor 5 Figure 8. Average Annual Wages and Compensation of Workers Before and After Job Changes, Selected Occupations* (Among Those Who Changed Jobs and Stayed in the Same Occupations, 2001 to 2014, In Thousands of 2013 Dollars) Private State Workers Who Left Private Jobs for State Jobs Wages Total compensation (Wages plus benefits) Management $79 Women $67 -15% $86 -12% Men $76 $115 $99 -14% (No significant difference in private/public compensation) Life/Physical/Social Sciences $84 $59 Women $49 -17% $73 -13% (No significant difference $64 Men in private/public compensation) $56 -12% Legal Occupations $76 Women $66 -13% Men $95 $74 -22% $109 $97 -11% $135 $109 -19% Health-Care Support Women (No significant difference in private/public wages) Men $30 +37% $41 $50 $61 +22% $40 +77% $71 Office and Administrative Support $35 $51 +6% Women $32 -8% $54 (No significant difference $36 Men in private/public compensation) $33 -8% State Private Workers Who Left State Jobs for Private Jobs Wages Total compensation (Wages plus benefits) Architecture and Engineering $56 +37% Women $77 $76 +25% Men $95 Life/Physical/Social Sciences $50 +44% $72 +21% $68 Men $82 Women $83 +32% $110 $113 +19 $135 +39% $103 $100 +17% $117 $74 Protective Services $83 Women (No significant difference $51 -39% in public/private wages) Men $74 $129 -26% $73 -43% $55 Building/Grounds Maintenance $54 Women (No significant difference $33 -39% in public/private wages) $58 Men (No significant difference $37 -36% in public/private wages) Office and Administrative Support $35 +14% (No significant difference Women $40 in public/private compensation) +24% (No significant difference $37 Men in public/private compensation) $46 *Based on 4,617 workers who changed jobs and stayed in the same occupation and place. About 15,000 workers changed jobs from 2001-2014, but most changed occupations and some moved. Source: Evidence from Transitions Between Private Sector and Alaska State Government Employment, author’s calculations, based on data from Alaska Department of Labor Pay and Compensation in Individual Occupations Figure 1 (front page) shows average changes in pay and compensation for workers who moved from public to private jobs—or private to public—in the analysis period. Figure 8 shows changes in some occupations. • In any given occupation, women who changed jobs earned less than men in the same occupation, before and after they changed jobs. That includes office and administrative support jobs, where a big share of the women who changed jobs were concentrated—although the gap was smaller than in other occupations. • The overall pattern of lower pay for workers (men and women) moving to state jobs—and higher pay for those moving to private jobs—held for most individual occupations. Exceptions are health-care support jobs, where those moving to state jobs were better compensated, and protective services, where those moving to private jobs lost pay and had reduced total compensation. About the Study The study summarized here, Overpaid or Underpaid? Public Employee Compensation in the State of Alaska, was prepared for the Alaska Department of Administration. It is in two sections: I. A Wage and Compensation Analysis of Alaska’s Public Sector Workers, by Mouhcine Guettabi, and II. Evidence from Transitions Between Private Sector and Alaska State Government Employment, by Matthew Berman. The study is available on ISER’s website, www.iser.uaa.alaska.edu. Mouhcine Guettabi is an assistant professor of economics at ISER. If you have questions about his analysis, get in touch with him at 907-786-5496 or [email protected]. Matthew Berman is a professor of economics at ISER. If you have questions about his analysis, get in touch with him at 907-786-5426 or [email protected]. Endnotes 1. We used national average benefit levels for private and public employees in each occupation, because figures specifically for Alaska’s private sector aren’t available. 2. Figures reported here are based on just the 4,617 workers who changed jobs and stayed in the same occupation and same place. Roughly 15,000 workers changed jobs—from private to state or vice-versa—from 2001 through 2014. Many of those changed occupations, and some moved to different places. The full study (see adjacent box) includes information on changes in pay and compensation for those workers. 6 www.iser.uaa.alaska.edu Editor: Linda Leask • Graphics: Clemencia Merrill Part I. A Wage and Compensation Analysis of Alaska’s Public Sector Employees By Mouhcine Guettabi All ISER research is solely the work of the individual authors. The findings should be attributed to the authors, not to ISER, the University of Alaska Anchorage, or the sponsors of the research. For more information about this section of the report, please contact: Mouhcine Guettabi, assistant professor of economics. E-mail: mguettabi@alaska,edu • Phone: 907-786-5496 Executive Summary, Part I. Given the importance of the public sector in Alaska, it is paramount to understand how resources are allocated and if the compensation of government employees is appropriate. Levels of compensation help assess both the competence and the efficiency of governmental services. On the one hand, overpayment wastes resources, restricting the government’s opportunity to address other objectives or to reduce the burden on taxpayers. On the other hand, insufficient pay makes it very difficult to recruit and retain qualified workers who can provide the quality services demanded by citizens. The data analysis in this section of the report indicates that in general public employees, including both state and local government workers, are not overpaid compared with their counterparts in private industry. Comparability with pay in the private sector is the most generally accepted standard by which economists and compensation specialists judge whether the processes for determining compensation in the public sector are working. In this report we define “compensation” to include both wages and salaries and the value of benefits. Comparisons controlling for the effects of education, experience, gender, race, and ethnicity on compensation reveal no significant overpayment among public sector workers. There is, however, considerable variation across occupations, with some public sector jobs paying more than the private sector and others less. In this section of the report, we use publicly available data primarily from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey, but also from the Alaska Department of Labor and the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics. We rely on established methodology, used by researchers since the 1970s, to compare earnings and benefits across and between the private and the public sectors, with the public sector including both state and local government employees. The analysis finds that: The public and private workforces in Alaska differ in important ways. Employees in state and local sectors are twice as likely as their private sector counterparts to have a college or advanced degree. They are also older, more diverse, and more likely to be women. Across the educational spectrum, average wages in the public sector are lower than those in the private sector. After accounting for individual characteristics, we find that public employees typically earn 8 percent less than their private sector counterparts. Benefits (for example, pensions and health insurance) make up a greater share of total employee compensation in the public sector. Once we account for benefit differences, there are no significant differences overall in full compensation among public and private employees. But our disaggregated analysis across occupations shows considerable variation. In most occupations, the public sector premium benefit differential offsets the wage discount. Management and life physical occupations show considerable public sector penalties, even after we correct for benefit differences. Building and grounds maintenance occupations, health-care support occupations, and office-support occupations show considerable public sector premiums, even after accounting for benefit differences. Analysis across the wage distribution shows that public sector wage penalties are most pronounced in higher paid occupations. I-1 Introduction This report investigates whether state and local public employees are overpaid or underpaid relative to their private sector counterparts. As the big budget shortfall continues to worry the legislature, it is important to understand if excessive public compensation is an area of concern—in which case some remedies would be freezing pay, reducing benefits, or taking other measures. The data analysis in this section of the report indicates that in general public employees—including both state and local government employees—are not overpaid. Comparisons controlling for the effects of education, experience, gender, race, and ethnicity reveal no significant overpayment. On average, full-time state and local employees earn wages that are 8% lower than those of private-sector workers. But once we account for differences in benefits of public and private employees, there is no statistically significant difference in total compensation. Our more disaggregated analysis does show considerable differences across occupations, with compensation penalties or premiums persisting even after the benefit correction. Our results are based solely on applying standard statistical and economic methods to available data, requiring few subjective judgments. The numbers themselves tell a compelling a story. They also confirm intuitive judgments about public-sector compensation. Literature Review The fundamental question is whether public and private sector workers receive about the same compensation. This issue is difficult to parse, for a couple of reasons. First, the human capital (education, training, experience) of public and private sector workers may differ. For example, if public sector employees are more educated than their private sector counterparts, then higher wages would be justified. The second reason why public-private comparisons are complex is that compensation consists of more than just wages. Pension benefits comprise an important part of compensation, so comparisons of just wages and salaries may be misleading. Previous empirical evidence suggests that the inflationary forces on public sector wages prevail. The U.S. literature is rich with public–private sector wage comparisons. Smith (1976, 1997a, b, 1981), Quinn (1979), and Bellante and Long (1981), to name a few, have studied public sector wage premiums using various definitions of public sector and of compensation. More recently, Poterba and Rueben (1994) showed that the wage distribution was wider in the private sector and that state and local government workers enjoyed a wage premium at the lower tail of the distribution, but a wage penalty at the upper tail. When comparing the pay of two different groups, the economics literature has typically followed one of two paths (Moulton 1990; Belman and Heywood 2004b). One approach is the “opportunity wage definition” of comparability, sometimes also called the “people approach,” in which workers with given characteristics in the government sector should be paid the same as they would be in the private sector. The alternative is a “positions approach,” in which one would search the private sector for positions that match the descriptions of those in the public sector and then compare compensation, ignoring the characteristics of those who actually hold the positions. As Moulton (1990) has observed in the case of federal/non-federal comparisons, the two approaches need not provide an answer of the same sign, let alone similar magnitudes. Our approach is somewhat hybrid but leans more heavily towards the people approach. The U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community survey, which is a household survey, lets us account for the respondents’ characteristics in addition to their class of work. Additionally, we use disaggregated regressions at the occupational level, thereby comparing wages and compensation at a more homogenous level. The Employer Costs for Employee Compensation dataset, from which we obtain benefit information, however, is a sample of jobs rather than of individuals. Thus, when we use these data, we are primarily examining the characteristics of positions. Characteristics of the Alaska Economy TotalAlaskanon-farmemploymentin2014,asestimatedbytheU.S.BureauofEconomicAnalysis,and includingnon-wageandsalaryemployment,was463,970(Figure1).ThesixlargestAlaskaindustriesin I-2 2014,asmeasuredbyemployment,werehealth-careandsocialassistance,retailtrade,localgovernment, accommodationandfoodservices,federalmilitary,andstategovernment.Thepublicsectoraswedefineitis comprisedofstateandlocalgovernmentemployment.Thesetwosectorstogetheraccountedfor64,470jobs in2014,oralmost14%oftheAlaskaworkforce. Figure 1. Employment by sector for Alaska in 2014 49,939 Health care and social assistance Retail trade 45,135 Local government Accommodation and food services 37,786 33,765 State government 26,684 Military 26,347 Construction 25,084 Professional, scientific, and technical services Transportation and warehousing 24,953 23,642 Mining 22,406 Other services, except public administration 21,150 Administrative and waste management services Manufacturing 17,758 17,145 Real estate and rental leasing 15,873 Federal, civilian 14,921 Forestry, fishing, and related activities Finance and insurance 13,007 11,406 Arts, entertainment, and recreation 10,691 Wholesale trade 7,480 Information 7,316 Educational services Management of companies and enterprises 5,958 3,313 Utilities 2,211 0 Overall Nonfarm employment was 463,970 in 2014 with state and local government employment being almost 14% of that total. 10,000 20,000 30,000 Employment 40,000 50,000 The role of state and local government has always been important in the state’s economy. The current budgetary shortfalls could potentially mean significant changes in the near future. Looking back, we can see that state government employment has grown at an average of 1.3 % (Figure 2) per year over the last decade. There has not been year-over-year negative growth since 2004, when the state experienced two straight years of decline. Local government employment, however, declined in both 2013 and 2014, at an average of 1.295% per year. 2005 year Employment 2010 Growth Rate 2015 3% 2% Growth Rate 0% 1% 38,000 37,000 -2% -1% 36,000 35,000 Local government employment 4% 0%Growth Rate 2% 2000 Local government employment 39,000 State government employment 2000-2015 -2% 22,000 23,000 24,000 25,000 26,000 27,000 State government employment Figure 2. 2000 2005 Employment year 2010 2015 Growth Rate I-3 Data Description The data for this section of the report are from the pooled 2009-2013 American Community Survey (ACS) microdata samples, obtained from IPUMS (Ruggles et al 2010). The microdata are composed of individual records containing information collected on persons and households. We restrict the data to people who lived in Alaska during the years of interest. To generate a representative dataset, we apply person-weights to obtain the underlying population. The ACS includes data on the individual’s sex, age, race, highest level of education completed, annual earnings, hours worked, and weeks worked. The data also include occupational, industrial codes, and class of the worker (state, local, private). The data analysis is further restricted to people ages 16-64 and excludes the selfemployed. We identify people as “public sector workers” if they are employed in either state of local government and private sector workers if they are wage and salary employees at private firms. Public sector workers made up 22.4% of total employment in the IPUMS sample for 2009-2013. Table 1. Characteristics of the labor force Self-employed Wage/salary, private Wage/salary at non-profit Federal gov’t employee State gov’t employee Local gov’t employee Wage Age Male Black Native Other $75,748 50 70% 2.3% 2.8% 8% $48,230 39 57% 6.8% 6.8% 16.4% $45,048 42 35.5% 5.9% 16.2% 13.2% $54,956 36 70.7% 16.7% 5.4% 8.4% $50,463 44 45.4% 8.7% 11.4% 9% $44,814 44 44.3% 4.2% 23.7% 11.4% In analyzing public- and private-sector compensation, it is tempting to simply compare average salaries, and it is not uncommon to see such comparisons in the media. But a simple comparison of average salaries will be misleading without taking into account differences in skills among workers. We start in Table 1 by examining the characteristics of workers employed across different sectors. It is clear that the demographics of the two labor forces (state/local versus private) differ substantially, with public-sector workers on average older (44 years versus 39 years), more likely to be women (56% versus 43%), and more diverse, with the percent White smaller (64% versus 70%). Looked at the other way, private sector workers are more likely to be White, younger, and men. These demographic differences make it clear that simply comparing wage averages may be misleading. The differences are relevant because there are significant earning differences between men and women, Whites and other races, and older versus younger workers. Table 2 and Figure 4 show there are also significant education differences between private and public workers. Employees with a college degree or more represent half of the state government’s workers but only 21% of the private workforce. Another significant difference is how much each sector relies on those with just high-school educations—a third of the private sector’s workforce but only 1.3% and 4.7% of the state and local government’s workforces. People with a bachelor’s degree or more represent 46.07% of the state government’s labor force but only 19% of the private labor force. Education is an important driver of earnings. State government employees are less likely to be high-school dropouts or just high-school graduates, and more likely to have college or graduate degrees. These differences could be either driven by the educational requirements of positions in the respective sectors or self-selection. This means that the public sector may require more education I-4 than the private, or that more educated people are drawn to the public sector. This self-selection could be due to nonpecuniary aspects of the work environment, more flexible hours, or the general match between skills and job requirements. Table 2. Education by Type of Worker Self-employed, not incorporated Self-employed, incorporated Wage/salary, private Wage/salary at non-profit Federal gov’t employee State gov’t employee Local gov’t employee Unpaid family worker Less than High School High School Some College College degree Post College 6.5% 30.4% 34.5% 16.7% 10.7% 2.7% 7.8% 3.1% 1.5% 1.3% 4.7% 23.2% 21% 32.1% 17.5% 18.7% 13.9% 20.1% 12.4% 38.3% 38.8% 39% 51.9% 30.3% 34% 48.4% 19.6% 15% 24.9% 17.6% 30.2% 22.7% 13% 18.3% 5.1% 15.4% 10.2% 24.2% 18.1% 3% College or more 21% 54% 41% Figure 4. 40% Education level, Private Sector versus State & Local Public Employees 39% 32% 30% 32% 26% 20% 21% 17% 10% 15% 0% 5% Private Public High School College Some College Post College I-5 Table 3. Average earnings in Alaska by Education Level: Private Sector Employees Compared with State and Local Government Employees Public Private Compare Penalty Less than high school High school Some college Associate's degree Bachelor's degree Master's degree Professional Degree Doctoral degree 19,623 34,484 40,094 46,306 53,484 59,662 80,331 74,813 24,251 39,543 43,272 52,113 68,986 91,635 128,682 114,431 -4,628 -5,059 -3,178 -5,807 -15,502 -31,973 -48,351 -39,618 -19.08% -12.79% -7.34% -11.14% -22.47% -34.89% -37.57% -34.62% Total 47,641 48,230 -589 -1.22% One interesting way to compare the public and private sectors is earnings by degree across classes of workers. This comparison examines average earnings by level of education in the public/private sectors. It is very clear that there are wage discounts in the public sector. A wage discount means that similarly educated workers earns less in the public sector than their counterparts in the private sector. For example, a person with an associate degree earns on average $46,306 in the public sector but $52,113 in the private. State and local governments pay college-educated labor on average 22.47% percent less than private employers do (Table 3). The earnings differential is greatest for those with advanced degrees. The differences are less pronounced for lower-wage workers. Empirical Strategy Our results are based solely on applying standard statistical and economic methods to available data, requiring few subjective judgments about one state relative to another. The numbers themselves tell the story. The empirical strategy is to estimate the Mincer’s earning equation (Mincer 1974), in which worker's wage is a function of worker's demographic, human capital, and socioeconomic characteristics. The model is specified as log (𝑊!" ) = 𝑋!" + 𝑃𝑢𝑏!" +ε The dependent variable is the logarithm of yearly wage for worker i in year t. In order to investigate the relative importance of worker characteristics we include vector 𝑋!" , which includes the usual worker's demographic and socioeconomic characteristics— gender, race, education, and age. We use gender as a dummy variable that takes the value of 1 for men and zero for women. To account for race, we use three race categories (Black, Native, Other) with the omitted category being White. We use four education categories (High school, some college, college degree, post-college degree), with the omitted category being less than high school. We also include a worker’s age, to reflect experience, and age square to account for the life cycle wage differential. The variable of interest in this estimation is 𝑃𝑢𝑏!" ; which is a dummy variable that takes the value of 1 if the worker is employed in either state or local government and zero for those in the private sector.1 Controlling for these characteristics allows us to determine how the sector of employment affects workers’ earnings. 1 We also estimate regressions with the omitted variable including the federal government and non-profits (results not shown but available on request.) I-6 Table 4. Regression Analysis VARIABLES (1) Wages (2) Full compensation Public -0.081*** 0.018 (0.027) (0.028) 0.41*** 0.42*** (0.025) (0.025) -0.28*** -0.28*** (0.077) (0.079) -0.36*** -0.35*** (0.047) (0.048) -0.22*** -0.22*** (0.035) (0.036) 0.48*** 0.49*** (0.069) (0.069) 0.67*** 0.68*** (0.067) (0.067) 0.95*** 0.96*** (0.071) (0.071) 1.17*** 1.16*** (0.076) (0.076) 0.14*** 0.14*** (0.006) (0.006) -0.0015*** -0.0015*** (7.82e-05) (7.86e-05) 6.35*** 6.66*** (0.141) (0.142) Observations 10,339 10,339 R-squared 0.327 0.330 Male Black Native Other High School Some College College Post College Age Age^2 Constant I-7 Figure 5. Public sector 8.1% Male Black 41% 28% Experience 14% Exp(squared) Native Other 0.015% 36% 22% High School 48% Some College 67% College 95% Post College 117% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% Wage premium or penalty associated with specific attributes Notes: For “0/1” variables, the bars represent the relationship between the characteristic and wages; for continuous variables, the bars represent the impact of a one-unit change on the wage. All coefficients are significant at the 1percent level. Source: Authors’ calculations from IPUMS (2009-2013). What do we mean by statistical significance? We would like to determine if the data contains enough evidence to enable us to conclude that the computed relationships observed between variables can be interpreted as being true statements, or if the results observed in our sample data are simply due to chance. More technically, it means that if the Null Hypothesis is true (which means there really is no difference), there's a low probability of getting a result that large or larger. This provides a “pvalue” representing the probability that random chance could explain the result. Base Estimation Results While the descriptive statistics we show from Tables 1-3 are informative about the different characteristics of the labor force, the regression analysis above (Table 4 and Figure 5) accounts for all those characteristics and estimates the premium and or discount earned as a result of being employed in the public sector. Column 1 assesses the wage differentials after accounting for the effects of gender, race, education, and experience. The coefficient on the public sector (Table 4, column 1) shows that on average public sector employees in Alaska earn 8.1% less than their private sector counterparts, after accounting for the effects of demographic and education characteristics. To be clear, these differences are wage differentials after accounting for individual-level characteristics. We also find that men earn about 41% more than their female counterparts, and college-educated people earn 95% more than people with less than a high school education. Additionally, the age effect is positive and highly significant, with a non-linear effect reflecting the wage’s lifecycle pattern. I-8 What about Benefits? Given that there are differences in benefits between the private and public sectors, we augment wages by what we call benefit markups, from Table 11 in the appendix. These are obtained from the National Compensation Survey, which produces comprehensive data on the incidence (the percentage of workers with access to and participation in employer provided benefit plans) and provisions of selected employee benefit plans. The detailed benefits across the public and private sectors are provided in the appendix in Table 10. State and local government employees receive a higher portion of their compensation in the form of employerprovided benefits, and the mix of benefits is different from the private sector. Some benefits are more generous in the public sector, but it is a serious error to imagine that comparability requires that each and every element of compensation is the same. It is the total cost of compensation package—not the mix of cash and benefits—that is important in making a comparison. Public employers contribute on average 35.6% of employee compensation expenses to benefits, whereas private employers devote between 26.5% and 34.5% of compensation to benefits, depending on the employer’s size. Public employers provide better health insurance and pension benefits. Health insurance accounts for 6.3% to 8.3% of private-sector compensation but 11.2% of state and local government employee compensation. Retirement benefits also account for a substantially greater share of public-employee compensation, 8.1% compared with 2.8% to 4.8% in the private sector. Most public employees also continue to participate in defined-benefit plans managed by the state, while most private-sector employers have switched to defined-contribution plans, particularly 401(k) plans. On the other hand, public employees receive considerably less supplemental pay and vacation time, and public employers contribute significantly less to legally mandated benefits. We present these augmented results, which account for benefits2 in Table 4, column 2. Once we account for the full compensation, the public/private differences are no longer statistically significant—which means that the benefit advantages in the public sector offset the wage discount. While the average differences are obviously informative and important, the market for different occupations is substantially heterogeneous which renders an analysis at a more disaggregated level (occupational level in this case) more informative and therefore more conducive to decision-making. Occupational Groupings The market for different occupations is substantially heterogeneous, which renders an analysis at a more disaggregated level (occupational level in this case) more informative and therefore more conducive to decisionmaking. Below, we conduct more disaggregated analyses by focusing on two-digit occupational codes. The Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) system is used by federal statistical agencies to classify workers into occupational categories for the purpose of collecting, calculating, or disseminating data. To facilitate classification, detailed occupations are combined to form 461 broad occupations, 97 minor groups, and 23 major groups (the ones we use). Detailed occupations in the SOC with similar job duties, and in some cases skills, education, and/or training, are grouped together. We group occupations at the two-digit level, which allows us to estimate the premium or discount at this level rather than just averages. Before delving into the estimation that accounts for personal- level characteristics, Table 5 presents wages by occupation in both the public and private sectors. This allows us to compare wage earnings at the two-digit level for both private and public workers. It also allows us to generate in column 4 what we call “Public benefit premium/discount necessary for the full compensation across sectors to be equal.” It is calculated as wages in the private sector minus the wage in the public sector for a specific occupation. It becomes apparent as we compare wages that the differential varies considerably from one occupation to the next. Some of these differences can be explained by education, experience, and the demographic characteristics of the workers. In order to fully account for such differences, we estimate the same regression from Table 4 at each of the two-digit codes. The result can be interpreted as a “wage differential (penalty/premium)” that is due to employment in the public sector after accounting for gender, race, education, and age. 2 We use benefit differentials obtained from the BLS, derived from a national survey. I-9 Table 5. Wages by occupation Two digit codes Two-digit names Public wages Private wages Size of the public benefit differential necessary for the full compensation to be the same3 11 Management occupations 65,913 93,299 27,386 13 Business operations/Financial specialists Computer and Mathematical occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical and science Occupations 50,554 76,143 25,589 60,078 66,841 6,763 78,132 98,184 20,052 54,639 77,157 22,518 Community and Social occupations Legal occupations 51,364 45,839 -5,525 75,684 89,090 13,406 Education, Training, and Library occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 45,757 37,984 -7,773 47,182 52,757 5,575 67,111 80,222 13,111 31 Healthcare Support Occupations 32,188 27,146 -5,042 33 Food Preparation and Serving Occupations 65,280 42,750 -22,530 35 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 25,669 22,371 -3,298 37 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 28,900 26,190 -2,710 39 Personal Care and Service Occupations 15,412 27,433 12,021 41 Sales Occupations 42,323 42,513 190 43 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 40,004 36,940 -3,064 45 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 12,377 44,869 32,492 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 3 This calculates the amount by which the public sector’s benefits would need to exceed those of the private sector’s for the full compensations to be equal. I-10 47 Construction, Extraction and maintenance occupations 52,450 66,001 13,551 49 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 52,805 61,049 8,244 51 Production Occupations 40,887 41,416 529 53 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 44,390 49,825 5,435 Occupational Estimation Results Wage Estimations Figure 6 shows the coefficient on the public sector dummy variable (indicator variable that identifies public sector employment). It can be interpreted as the percent wage difference due to public sector employment. We find statistically significant differences in five occupations. In the rest of the occupations, those differences are not statistically significant, which means that the likelihood of those differences being a result of chance is high. We turn our attention to the occupations where the differences are real—that is, statistically different. There are large penalties to public sector employment in management occupations, life physical science occupations, personal care service occupations, and installation and repair occupations. We find wage premiums in health-care support occupations. For example, a person working in a management occupation in the public sector earns almost 33% person less than a person with similar characteristics (age, gender, race, and education) in the private sector. Figure 6 shows these coefficients for each of the occupations and has accompanying percentages for categories that are significantly different across the sectors. Compensation Estimations A pressing question is whether these differences are still important, once we account for the public sector’s more generous benefits. An employer typically thinks of the overall compensation, which is comprised of both wages and benefits. In order to make comparisons including both wages and benefits, we use benefit markups obtained from the National Compensation Survey to augment wages with the benefits typically earned in each of these occupations( see Table 11 in the appendix). We re-estimate the occupational regressions with the full compensation as the dependent variable and summarize the results in Figure 7 and Table 12 (in the appendix). These full compensation estimations show that there are still penalties in the management and life science occupations of 2% and 36% respectively. We also find that there are premiums in maintenance occupations, office administration occupations, and health-care support occupations of 48.6%, 15.7%, and 78% respectively. I-11 Figure 6. Public wage penalty/premium at the occupational level Architecture and Engineering Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Business operations/Financial specialists Community and Social occupations Computer and Mathematical occupations Construction, Extraction and maintenance occupations Education, Training, and Library occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 52.1% Healthcare Support Occupations 21.1% Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Legal occupations Life, Physical and science Occupations Management occupations 39.1% 32.8% Office and Administrative Support Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations 48.6% Production Occupations Sales Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations Not statistically significant Wage premium Wage penalty -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Public wage penalty/premium Source: Authors’ calculations IPUMS (2009-2013) I-12 Figure 7. Compensation premium/penalty of public employees by occupation Architecture and Engineering Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 48.6% Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Business operations/Financial specialists Community and Social occupations Computer and Mathematical occupations Construction, Extraction and maintenance occupations Education, Training, and Library occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 78% Healthcare Support Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Legal occupations Life, Physical and science Occupations Management occupations -35.7% -29.4% 15.6% Office and Administrative Support Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Production Occupations Sales Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations Not statistically significant Compensation penalty Compensation premium -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% Compensation premium/penalty of public sector employees Source: Authors’ calculations IPUMS (2009-2013) I-13 Estimation by Wage Quintile Table 6. Regressions by Wage Quintiles Wage Quintiles 11 to 26,000 dollars -0.0191 26,100 to 43,200 -0.0101 43,300 to 68,000 0.0229*** Larger than 69,000 -0.258*** Figure 8. Public wage penalty/premium by quintile Not statistically significant Wage premium Wage penalty 11,000 to 26,000 26,100 to 43,200 2.29% 43,300 to 68,000 Larger than 69,000 25.8% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% Wage premium/penalty by quintile Source:Authors’calculationsfromIPUMS(2009-2013). I-14 To provide some sense of the heterogeneity of the wage penalty by type of worker, we re-estimated the wage equation was by wage quintile. That is, a separate wage equation was estimated from the lowest paid one-fifth to the highest paid one-fifth. The results confirm what other studies have found.4 Public employees in the lowest one-third of the wage distribution are paid more than their private sector counterparts. Those in the middle third are paid about the same. And those state-local workers in the top one-third are paid about 20 percent less than private sector workers. Despite the variation by wage level, the message from the wage analysis is clear: state-local workers as a group are paid less than their private sector counter-parts. So far, researchers have no real disagreements. Conclusion: Are state and local public employees overpaid? No, there is no consistent evidence that state and local government employees are overcompensated. In this section of the report, we investigated if public sector employees (state and local) are over/undercompensated relative to their private sector counterparts. We specifically assessed wage/compensation differentials between public and private sector workers in Alaska, both on average and across occupations. Our general findings are consistent with the national research, which agrees that wages of similarly situated workers are lower in the state-local government sector than in the private sector. The disagreement hinges on the extent to which benefits offset the wage penalty. Our re-estimation of the much-used wage equation, plus adjustments for valuation of benefits, indicates that the two balance out on average. There are, however, significant differences across occupations. In most occupations, we find no differences between the sectors once we account for benefits. This indicates that workers in these occupations are paid a similar package to one that can be obtained in the private sector. Management occupations and science occupations are considerably undercompensated in the public sector relative to the private sector—which means attracting and keeping employees may be challenging. Maintenance, health-care support, and office and administrative occupations have a higher compensation in the public sector than in the private. In general, benefits play a bigger role in the compensation package of lower-wage workers, which means that the public sector is less competitive as we move up the ladder. The variation across occupations makes it clear that one needs to be careful in comparing public and private sector compensation. 4 See Borjas (2002); Fogel and Lewin (1974); Katz and Krueger (1991); Poterba and Reuben (1994); and Schmitt (2010). I-15 References Asher, Martin, and Robert Defina. 1999. The impact of changing union density on earnings inequality: Evidence from the private and public sectors. Journal of Labor Research.Vol XVIII, Number 3. Summer. Belman, Dale and John Heywood. 1993. “The Truth About Public Employees: Underpaid or Overpaid?” Washington, DC: Economic Policy Institute. http://www.epinet.org/briefingpapers/1993_bp_truth.pdf Bender, Keith A. and John S. Heywood. 2010. “Out of Balance? Comparing Public and Private Sector Compensation over 20 Years.” Center for State and Local Government Excellence and National Institute on Retirement Security. April. Blanchflower, David G. 2006 A Cross-Country Study of Union Membership. Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). Discussion Paper No. 2016. Bonn, Germany, March. Borjas, George J. 2002. “The Wage Structure and the Sorting of Workers into the Public Sector.”Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. Johnson, Simon, and James Kwak. 2010. 13 Bankers: The Wall Street Takeover and the Next Financial Meltdown. N.Y.: Pantheon. King, Miriam, Steven Ruggles, Trent Alexander, Donna Leicach, and Matthew Sobek. 2009. Integrated Public Use Microdata Series, Current Population Survey: (IPUMS CPS) Version 2.0. (Machine-readable database). Minneapolis, Minn.: Minnesota Population Center (producer and distributor). Krueger, Alan B. 1988. “Are Public Sector Workers Paid More Than Their Alternative Wage?Evidence from Longitudinal Data and Job Queues,” in Richard B. Freeman and Casey Ichniowski (eds.), When Public Sector Workers Unionize, Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Lav, Iris J. 2010. “Property Tax Cap Wouldn’t Improve State and Local Policies: A Response to the Manhattan Institute.” Washington, D.C.: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. June. Lee, David S. 1999. Wage inequality in the U.S. during the 1980s: rising dispersion or falling minimum wage? Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 114(3), pp. 941–1023. McNichol, Elizabeth, and Nicholas Johnson. 2010. “Recession Continues to Batter State Budgets; State Responses Could Slow Recovery.” Washington, D.C.: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. May 2010. Miller, Michael A. 1996. “The public-private pay debate: what do the data show?” Monthly Labor Review 119(5):18-29. Munnell, Alicia H., and Mauricio Soto. 2007. “State and Local Pensions Are Different from Private Plans.” Cambridge, Mass.: Center for Retirement Research, Boston College. Schmitt, John. 2010. “The Wage Penalty for State and Local Government Employees.” Washington, D.C.: Center for Economic and Policy Research. May. Troske, Kenneth. 1999. Evidence on the employer size-wage premium from worker-establishment matched data. The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 81(1): pp. 15–26. February. U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2014. National Compensation Survey: Employee Benefits in the United States. U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (U.S. DOL), 2014 Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW). I-16 Appendix We use the Employer Cost of Employee Compensation data to calculate full compensation costs. Given the expensive nature of the survey, the Bureau of Labor of Statistics does not provide state-level estimates. While public sector benefits are available for Alaska, there is no equivalent information for the private sector. Therefore, we use national estimates for both private and public benefits as shown in the tables below. We did the adjustment by calculating the relative markup for each private sector employee based on his or her occupation. We also adjusted state and local government worker wages using occupation-specific weights, with the same data. (See Table 11 for the occupation markups.) Table 10. Role of benefits Distribution of compensation cost for private sector and state and local workforce (2014) Private employers Employees 1 to 99 Employees 100 to 499 Employees 500+ State and Local Government workers Total Compensation 100% 100% 100% 100% Wages and Salaries 73.5 68.8 65.5 64.4 Total Benefits 26.5 31.2 34.5 35.6 Paid Leave 6 7.2 8.4 7.3 Vacation 3 3.8 4.4 2.7 Holiday 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.1 Sick 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.9 Other 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 Supplemental pay 2.1 2.8 4.1 0.8 Overtime 0.7 1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.3 1.6 2.8 0.3 6.9 9.2 9.7 11.9 Life 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 Health 6.6 8.7 9.1 11.7 Short Term disability 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 long term disability 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.7 3.8 5.6 9.6 1 1.6 2.8 8.8 1.7 2.2 2.9 0.9 8.8 8.1 7.1 6 6 5.8 5.6 4.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6 1.7 1.4 0.9 1.2 Shift Differential Nonproduction bonuses Insurance Retirement and savings Defined benefit Defined contribution Legally required Social security/Medicare Federal Unemployment insurance State Unemployment insurance State Workers' compensation I-17 Table 11. Benefit Markups Occupational name Private Public Management Occupations Two digit code 11 1.44 1.49 Business Operations/Financial Specialists 13 1.44 1.49 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 15 1.43 1.48 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 17 1.43 1.48 Life, Physical and science Occupations 19 1.43 1.48 Community and Social occupations 21 1.43 1.48 Legal occupations 23 1.43 1.48 Education, Training, and Library occupations 25 1.43 1.48 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 27 1.43 1.48 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 29 1.43 1.48 Healthcare Support Occupations 31 1.32 1.71 Protective Service Occupations 33 1.32 1.71 Food Preparation and Serving Occupations 35 1.32 1.71 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 37 1.32 1.71 Personal Care and Service Occupations 39 1.32 1.71 Sales Occupations 41 1.4 1.67 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 43 1.45 1.67 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 45 1.45 1.67 Construction Trades 47 1.43 1.56 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 49 1.43 1.56 Production Occupations 51 1.43 1.56 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 53 1.43 1.56 I-18 Table 12. Regressions by occupation The regressions below show the premium and or penalty for the public sector in each of the following occupations: Code Wages By occupation* -0.328*** Compensation Management occupations Business operations/Financial specialists 11 13 -0.107 -0.0724 Computer and Mathematical occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Life, Physical and science Occupations 15 -0.145 -0.111 17 -0.176 -0.142 19 -0.391*** -0.357*** Community and Social occupations 21 0.0316 0.066 Legal occupations 23 0.156 0.19 Education, Training, and Library occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 25 -0.0725 -0.0382 - 27 0.167 0.201 29 -0.0922 -0.0578 Healthcare Support Occupations 31 0.521*** 0.780*** Food Preparation and Serving Occupations 35 0.0326 0.291* Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 37 0.212 0.471*** -0.294*** I-19 Personal Care and Service Occupations 39 -0.486*** -0.227 Sales Occupations 41 -0.0793 0.0971 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 43 0.0151 0.156*** Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 45 -0.385 -0.244 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 49 -0.210** -0.123 Production Occupations 51 -0.0178 0.0693 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 53 -0.0327 0.0543 *All the regressions contain Education, age and age squared, gender, and race Robust standard errors in parentheses *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1 Table 13. Detailed occupational codes Management Occupations (code 11) Chief Executives General and Operations Managers Legislators Advertising and Promotions Managers Marketing and Sales Managers Public Relations Managers Administrative Services Managers Computer and Information Systems Managers Financial Managers Human Resources Managers Industrial Production Managers Purchasing Managers Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers I-20 Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers Farmers and Ranchers Construction Managers Education Administrator Engineering Managers Food Service Managers Funeral Directors Gaming Managers Lodging Managers Medical and Health Services Managers Natural Sciences Managers Postmasters and Mail Superintendents Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers Social and Community Service Managers Managers, All Other Business Operations Specialists/Financial Specialists (13) Agents and Business Managers of Artists, Performers, and Athletes Purchasing Agents and Buyers, Farm Products Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm Products Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm Products Claims Adjusters, Appraisers, Examiners, and Investigators Compliance Officers, Except Agriculture, Construction, Health and Safety, and Transportation Cost Estimators Human Resources, Training, and Labor Relations Specialists Logisticians Management Analysts Meeting and Convention Planners Other Business Operations Specialists Computer and Mathematical Occupations (15) Computer Scientists and Systems Analysts Computer Programmers Computer Software Engineers Computer Support Specialists Database Administrators Network and Computer Systems Administrators Network Systems and Data Communication Analysts Actuaries Mathematicians Operations Research Analysts Statisticians Miscellaneous mathematical science occupations I-21 Architecture and Engineering Occupations (17) Architects, Except Naval Surveyors, Cartographers, and Photogrammetrists Aerospace Engineers Agricultural Engineers Biomedical Engineers Chemical Engineers Civil Engineers Computer Hardware Engineers Electrical and Electronics Engineers Environmental Engineers Industrial Engineers, Including Health and Safety Marine Engineers Materials Engineers Mechanical Engineers Mining and Geological Engineers, Including Mining Safety Engineers Nuclear Engineers Petroleum engineers Petroleum, Mining and Geological Engineers, Including Mining Safety Engineers Engineers, all other Miscellaneous Engineers, Including Agricultural and Biomedical Drafters Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters Surveying and Mapping Technicians Life, Physical and Social Science Occupations (19) Agricultural and Food Scientists Biological Scientists Conservation Scientists and Foresters Medical Scientists Astronomers and Physicists Atmospheric and Space Scientists Chemists and Materials Scientists Environmental Scientists and Geoscientists Physical Scientists, All Other Economists Market and Survey Researchers Psychologists Sociologists Urban and Regional Planners I-22 Miscellaneous social scientists and related workers Miscellaneous Social Scientists, Including Sociologists Agricultural and Food Science Technicians Biological Technicians Chemical Technicians Geological and Petroleum Technicians Nuclear Technicians Other life, physical, and social science technicians Miscellaneous Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians, Including Social Science Research Assistants and Nuclear Technicians Community and Social Service Occupations (21) Counselors Social Workers Miscellaneous Community and Social Service Specialists Clergy Directors, Religious Activities and Education Religious Workers, All Other Legal Occupations (23) Lawyers Judges, Magistrates, and Other Judicial Workers Paralegals and Legal Assistants Miscellaneous Legal Support Workers Education, Training, and Library Occupations (25) Postsecondary Teachers Preschool and Kindergarten Teachers Elementary and Middle School Teachers Secondary School Teachers Special Education Teachers Other Teachers and Instructors Archivists, Curators, and Museum Technicians Librarians Library Technicians Teacher Assistants Other Education, Training, and Library Workers I-23 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations (27) Artists and Related Workers Designers Actors Producers and Directors Athletes, Coaches, Umpires, and Related Workers Dancers and Choreographers Musicians, Singers, and Related Workers Entertainers and Performers, Sports and Related Workers, All Other Announcers News Analysts, Reporters, and Correspondents Public Relations Specialists Editors Technical Writers Writers and Authors Miscellaneous Media and Communications Workers Broadcast and sound engineering technicians and radio operators Broadcast and Sound Engineering Technicians and Radio Operators and Other Media and Communication Equipment Workers Photographers Television, Video, and Motion Picture Camera Operators and Editors Media and Communications Workers, All Other Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations (29) Chiropractors Dentists Dietitians and Nutritionists Optometrists Pharmacists Physicians and Surgeons Physician Assistants Podiatrists Registered Nurses Audiologists Occupational Therapists Physical Therapists Radiation Therapists Recreational Therapists Respiratory Therapists Speech-Language Pathologists Therapists, All Other Veterinarians Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners, All Other I-24 Clinical Laboratory Technologists and Technicians Dental Hygienists Diagnostic Related Technologists and Technicians Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioner Support Technicians Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses Medical Records and Health Information Technicians Opticians, Dispensing Miscellaneous Health Technologists and Technicians Other Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations (31) Nursing, Psychiatric, and Home Health Aides Occupational Therapist Assistants and Aides Physical Therapist Assistants and Aides Massage Therapists Dental Assistants Medical Assistants and Other Healthcare Support Occupations Protective Service Occupations (33) First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Correctional Officers First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Police and Detectives First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Fire Fighting and Preventions Workers Supervisors, Protective Service Workers, All Other Fire Fighters Fire Inspectors Bailiffs, Correctional Officers, and Jailers Detectives and Criminal Investigators Fish and Game Wardens Parking enforcement workers Miscellaneous Law Enforcement Workers Police officers Police and sheriff's patrol officers Transit and Railroad Police Animal Control Workers Private Detectives and Investigators Security Guards and Gaming Surveillance Officers Crossing Guards Lifeguards and Other Protective Service Workers I-25 Food Preparation and Serving Occupations (35) Chefs and Head Cooks First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Food Preparation and Serving Workers Cooks Food Preparation Workers Bartenders Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food Counter Attendants, Cafeteria, Food Concession, and Coffee Shop Waiters and Waitresses Food Servers, Non-restaurant Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants, Bartender Helpers, and Miscellaneous Food Preparation and Serving Related Workers Dishwashers Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop Food Preparation and Serving Related Workers, All Other Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations (37) First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers Janitors and Building Cleaners Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners Pest Control Workers Grounds Maintenance Workers Personal Care and Service Occupations (39) First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Gaming Workers First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Personal Service Workers Animal Trainers Nonfarm Animal Caretakers Gaming Services Workers Motion Picture Projectionists Ushers, Lobby Attendants, and Ticket Takers Miscellaneous Entertainment Attendants and Related Workers Funeral Service Workers Barbers Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists Miscellaneous Personal Appearance Workers Baggage Porters, Bellhops, and Concierges Tour and Travel Guides Transportation Attendants Child Care Workers Personal and Home Care Aides Recreation and Fitness Workers Residential Advisors Personal Care and Service Workers, All Other I-26 Sales Occupations (41) First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Non-Retail Sales Workers Cashiers Counter and Rental Clerks Parts Salespersons Retail Salespersons Advertising Sales Agents Insurance Sales Agents Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents Travel Agents Sales Representatives, Services, All Other Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing Models, Demonstrators, and Product Promoters Real Estate Brokers and Sales Agents Sales Engineers Telemarketers Door-To-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Related Workers Sales and Related Workers, All Other Office and Administrative Support Occupations (43) First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office and Administrative Support Workers Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service Telephone Operators Communications Equipment Operators, All Other Bill and Account Collectors Billing and Posting Clerks and Machine Operators Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks Gaming Cage Workers Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks Procurement Clerks Tellers Brokerage Clerks Correspondence Clerks Court, Municipal, and License Clerks Credit Authorizers, Checkers, and Clerks Customer Service Representatives Eligibility Interviewers, Government Programs File Clerks Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks Interviewers, Except Eligibility and Loan Library Assistants, Clerical Loan Interviewers and Clerks New Accounts Clerks I-27 Order Clerks Correspondence Clerks and Order Clerks Human Resources Assistants, Except Payroll and Timekeeping Receptionists and Information Clerks Reservation and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks Information and Record Clerks, All Other Cargo and Freight Agents Couriers and Messengers Dispatchers Meter readers, Utilities Postal Service Clerks Postal Service Mail Carriers Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators Production, Planning and Expediting Clerks Shipping, Receiving, and Traffic Clerks Stock Clerks and Order Filers Weighers, Measurers, Checkers, and Samplers, Record keeping Secretaries and Administrative Assistants Computer Operators Data Entry Keyers Word Processors and Typists Desktop Publishers Insurance Claims and Policy Processing Clerks Mail Clerks and Mail Machine Operators, Except Postal Service Office Clerks, General Office Machine Operators, Except Computer Proofreaders and Copy Markers Statistical Assistants Office and Administrative Support Workers, All Other Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations (45) First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers Agricultural Inspectors Animal Breeders Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products Miscellaneous Agricultural Workers Miscellaneous Agricultural Workers, Including Animal Breeders Fishing and Hunting Workers Fishers and Related Fishing Workers Hunters and Trappers Forest and Conservation Workers Logging Workers I-28 Construction, Extraction and maintenance occupations (47) First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers Boilermakers Brickmasons, Blockmasons, and Stonemasons Carpenters Carpet, Floor, and Tile Installers and Finishers Cement Masons, Concrete Finishers, and Terrazzo Workers Construction Laborers Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators Pile-Driver Operators Operating engineers and other construction equipment operators Miscellaneous Construction Equipment Operators Drywall Installers, Ceiling Tile Installers, and Tapers Electricians Glaziers Insulation Workers Painters, Construction and Maintenance Paperhangers Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters Plasterers and Stucco Masons Reinforcing Iron and Rebar Workers Roofers Sheet Metal Workers Structural iron and steel workers Iron and Steel Workers Helpers, Construction Trades Construction and Building Inspectors Elevator Installers and Repairers Fence Erectors Hazardous Materials Highway Maintenance Workers Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators Septic Tank Servicers and Sewer Pipe Cleaners Miscellaneous Construction and Related Workers Derrick, rotary drill, and service unit operators, oil, gas, and mining Derrick, Rotary Drill, and Service Unit Operators, and Roustabouts, Oil, Gas, and Mining Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas Explosives Workers, Ordnance Handling Experts, and Blasters Mining Machine Operators Roof Bolters, Mining Roustabouts, Oil and Gas Helpers -- Extraction Workers Miscellaneous Extraction Workers, Including Roof Bolters and Helpers Other extraction workers I-29 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers (49) First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers Computer, Automated Teller, and Office Machine Repairers Radio and Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers Avionics Technicians Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment Electrical and electronics repairers, industrial and utility Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Industrial, Utility, and Transportation Equipment Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles Electronic Home Entertainment Equipment Installers and Repairers Security and Fire Alarm Systems Installers Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians Automotive Body and Related Repairers Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists Heavy Vehicle and Mobile Equipment Service Technicians and Mechanics Small Engine Mechanics Miscellaneous Vehicle and Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers Control and Valve Installers and Repairers Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers Home Appliance Repairers Industrial and Refractory Machinery Mechanics Maintenance and Repair Workers, General Maintenance Workers, Machinery Millwrights Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers Telecommunications Line Installers and Repairers Precision Instrument and Equipment Repairers Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and Repairers Commercial Divers Locksmiths and Safe Repairers Manufactured Building and Mobile Home Installers Riggers Signal and Track Switch Repairers Helpers--Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Other installation, maintenance, and repair workers Other Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers, Including Commercial Drivers and Signal and Track Switch Repairers I-30 Production Occupations (51) First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Production and Operating Workers Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers Electrical, Electronics, and Electromechanical Assemblers Engine and Other Machine Assemblers Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters Miscellaneous Assemblers and Fabricators Bakers Butchers and Other Meat, Poultry, and Fish Processing Workers Food and Tobacco Roasting, Baking, and Drying Machine Operators and Tenders Food Batchmakers Food Cooking Machine Operators and Tenders Computer Control Programmers and Operators Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Milling and Planing Machine Setter, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Machinists Metal Furnace and Kiln Operators and Tenders Model Makers and Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic Molders and Molding Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Tool and Die Makers Welding, Soldering, and Brazing Workers Heat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Lay-Out Workers, Metal and Plastic Plating and Coating Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners Metalworkers and plastic workers, all other Other Metal Workers and Plastic Workers, Including Milling, Planning, and Machine Tool Operators Bookbinders and Bindery Workers Job Printers Prepress Technicians and Workers Printing Machine Operators Laundry and Dry-Cleaning Workers Pressers, Textile, Garment, and Related Materials Sewing Machine Operators Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers Shoe Machine Operators and Tenders I-31 Tailors, Dressmakers, and Sewers Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders Textile Cutting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Textile Knitting and Weaving Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Textile Winding, Twisting, and Drawing Out Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers Fabric and Apparel Patternmakers Upholsterers Textile, apparel, and furnishings workers, all other Miscellaneous Textile, Apparel, and Furnishings Workers, Except Upholsterers Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters Furniture Finishers Model Makers and Patternmakers, Wood Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing Woodworkers, all other Miscellaneous Woodworkers, Including Model Makers and Patternmakers Power Plant Operators, Distributors, and Dispatchers Stationary Engineers and Boiler Operators Water and Liquid Waste Treatment Plant and System Operators Miscellaneous Plant and System Operators Chemical Processing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Crushing, Grinding, Polishing, Mixing, and Blending Workers Cutting Workers Extruding, Forming, Pressing, and Compacting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal Workers Medical, Dental, and Ophthalmic Laboratory Technicians Packaging and Filing Machine Operators and Tenders Painting Workers Photographic Process Workers and Processing Machine Operators Semiconductor Processors Cementing and Gluing Machine Operators and Tenders Cleaning, Washing, and Metal Pickling Equipment Operators and Tenders Cooling and Freezing Equipment Operators and Tenders Etchers and Engravers Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Tire Builders Helpers--Production Workers Production workers, all other Other Production Workers, Including Semiconductor Processors and Cooling and Freezing Equipment Operators I-32 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations (53) Supervisors, Transportation and Material Moving Workers Aircraft Pilots and Flight Engineers Air Traffic Controllers and Airfield Operations Specialists Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians Bus Drivers Driver/Sales Workers and Truck Drivers Taxi Drivers and Chauffeurs Motor vehicle operators, all other Miscellaneous Motor Vehicle Operators, Including Ambulance Drivers and Attendants Locomotive Engineers and Operators Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters Subway, Streetcar, and Other Rail Transportation Workers Sailors and Marine Oilers Ship and Boat Captains and Operators Ship Engineers Bridge and Lock Tenders Parking Lot Attendants Service Station Attendants Transportation Inspectors Other transportation workers Miscellaneous Transportation Workers, Including Bridge and Lock Tenders and Traffic Technicians Conveyor Operators and Tenders Crane and Tower Operators Dredge, Excavating, and Loading Machine Operators Hoist and Winch Operators Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand Machine Feeders and Offbearers Packers and Packagers, Hand Pumping Station Operators Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors Shuttle Car Operators Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders Material moving workers, all other Miscellaneous Material Moving Workers; Including Conveyor Operators and Tenders; Shuttle Car Operators; and Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders I-33 Part II. Evidence from Transitions between Private Sector and Alaska State Government Employment By Matthew Berman All ISER publications are solely the work of the individual authors. This report and its findings should be attributed to the authors, not to ISER, the University of Alaska Anchorage, or the research sponsors. For more information about this section of the report, please contact Matthew Berman, professor of economics. E-mail: [email protected] • Phone: 907-786-5426 Introduction Every year since 2001, about 800 workers transitioned from year-round employment in the private sector in Alaska to year-round employment in Alaska state government (Figure 1). About half that number moved each year from year-round Alaska state government jobs to year-round private sector jobs in Alaska each year (Figure 2). About 50 percent more women than men moved from private sector to state jobs, while 50 percent more men moved to private sector jobs from state government jobs. The number of job transitions by gender has been relatively stable over time. Figure 1. Figure 2 II-1 These job transitions offer an opportunity to examine directly whether private sector workers obtain higher pay when moving to jobs in Alaska state government, and vice versa. Individual job transitions represent an especially good opportunity to examine pay differences because they control completely for individual differences, including those that might be difficult or impossible to observe—such as personality, appearance, and reputation. Methods and Data Because relatively few people in a given occupation moved across sectors in any given year, we examine transition wages over a relatively long period: 2000 through 2014. Since we want to exclude seasonal jobs, and therefore need a full year on each side of the transition to determine whether both the previous job and the current job involve year-round employment, the analysis examines job transitions that took place between 2001 and 2013. We estimated annual wages by multiplying earnings for the last full quarter before the transition by four, comparing it to four times earnings for the first full quarter after the transition. Estimated annual salaries before and after the transition were adjusted for inflation to constant 2013 dollars, with the Anchorage Consumer Price Index. The salary data for this analysis came from employment records maintained by the Alaska Department of Labor and Workplace Development (ADOLWD). The employment records provided the occupation for the worker’s jobs before and after the transition. Occupations represent the “major groups” of the U.S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics Standard Occupation Classification (SOC) system (http://www.bls.gov/soc/major_groups.htm). We anticipated that there may be differences in labor market conditions by gender as well as by occupation. Analysts with ADOLWD's Research and Analysis Section with access to confidential individual records were able to link employment records with Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD) applications by the worker’s social security number. The PFD applications provided the worker’s gender, age, and place of residence. The record linkage to PFD applications meant that only Alaska residents were included in the analysis. State employment records do not include federal civilian employees or active-duty military service men and women. We also ignored local government jobs. Consequently, the analysis focuses on transitions between Alaska state government and private sector employment, and vice versa. ADOLWD analysts tabulated the individual records and performed various statistical analyses with the confidential data under the general direction of ISER staff. The first analysis compares estimated inflation-adjusted annual wages before and after the job transition across sectors. Since a given job transition might be associated with a promotion to a position requiring more experience and expecting greater responsibility, we analyze transitions from state to private employment separately from those from private to state employment. We summarized the estimated annual inflation-adjusted salaries by gender and by occupation before and after the transition, and performed t tests for the significance of the paired salary differences. The t test estimates the probability that the average difference in salary could be due to random variation. The second analysis is similar to the first, but examines the estimated total annual compensation, including benefits before and after the transition. Benefits were estimated as a fixed percentage of salary, using national averages for public sector and private II-2 sector workers in each occupation, based on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ 2014 National Compensation Survey. Although exact benefits percentages could be derived for Alaska state government workers, Alaska-specific figures are not available for private sector employees. Consequently, we determined that it would be best to use the national averages for private and public sector workers in each occupation. Results: Estimated Average Annual Wages Over the past 15 years, workers leaving private sector jobs for jobs in Alaska state government, without changing occupations, on average found jobs that paid lower salaries than the private sector jobs they left behind. Overall, wages were 7.3 percent higher in the private sector jobs than in the state jobs. Wage differentials for women were less than for men. On average, private sector wages were about six percent higher for women and nine percent higher for men (Figure 3). Over the same 14-year period, workers leaving Alaska state government jobs to take private sector jobs in the same occupation saw large salary gains on average. Wages were almost 20 percent higher in the private sector jobs taken than in the state jobs left behind, with the differentials for men about two percent higher than those for women. Percentage wage differential, private over state Figure 3. Average Private Over State Wage Differentials for Workers Moving Between Alaska State Government and Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation 25.0% 20.9% 19.9% 18.6% 20.0% 15.0% 9.3% 10.0% 7.3% 5.9% 5.0% 0.0% Female Private to state transitions Male All Workers State to private transitions Workers taking state jobs in most—but not all—occupations saw wage losses. Wage differentials for workers varied by occupation, in some cases substantially. Table 1 shows that the largest wage accrued to workers in business operations/financial specialists, management, and legal professions. Men in construction trades also took large wage losses on average. Workers taking state jobs in computer and office and administrative support occupations lost pay as well, but in lesser amounts. Women in health-care support and life sciences positions, and men in engineering and maintenance/repair positions, also took jobs with lower wages than their previous private sector jobs. On the other hand, women in community and social service positions and food preparation and serving jobs and male transportation workers saw significant wage II-3 gains from taking state jobs. Wage differentials for transitions in other occupations were not systematically positive or negative and could not be distinguished statistically from zero change. The last column of the table shows the probability that the change was due to chance, given the variation in wage changes among individual job transitions, with bold font highlighting changes that are less than 10 percent likely if the differences were random. II-4 Table 1. Average Annual Wages in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Female Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average Probability annual difference wage due to change chance 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 53 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Sales and Related Office and Administrative Support Transportation and Material Moving 2,389 71 62 16 26 52 157 70 33 20 197 104 14 24 15 5 6 1,501 5 $41,795 78,089 59,460 54,239 61,139 55,782 41,663 75,794 44,419 32,045 63,833 38,268 41,588 24,219 25,802 31,474 30,627 34,940 32,731 $39,321 ($2,473) 66,772 (11,317) 53,805 (5,656) 51,293 (2,945) 58,707 (2,432) 48,598 (7,184) 45,281 3,618 65,620 (10,174) 49,442 5,024 38,682 6,638 62,994 (839) 35,212 (3,056) 44,579 2,991 28,842 4,623 26,200 398 29,167 (2,307) 33,869 3,242 32,189 (2,751) 35,733 3,002 0.0% 0.1% 8.4% 46.7% 69.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.5% 19.7% 20.8% 64.5% 7.6% 41.6% 5.7% 86.9% 88.1% 52.2% 0.0% 82.0% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 43 47 49 53 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 1,199 46 25 104 85 42 50 49 19 15 34 19 84 24 26 7 195 160 150 58 $56,649 85,731 72,041 56,492 74,583 59,568 43,649 94,796 47,238 47,560 78,661 31,814 45,321 39,291 28,542 44,557 35,491 73,382 57,191 44,045 $51,363 76,283 54,505 52,202 67,145 54,202 43,327 73,696 53,184 48,364 81,096 39,004 47,547 36,997 30,959 41,835 33,142 56,294 50,274 53,900 ($5,286) (9,448) (17,536) (4,290) (7,438) (5,366) (322) (21,100) 5,946 804 2,434 7,191 2,226 (2,294) 2,417 (2,723) (2,349) (17,088) (6,917) 9,854 0.0% 8.4% 3.8% 1.0% 8.4% 17.7% 89.1% 0.0% 39.0% 81.8% 79.4% 12.3% 34.1% 49.3% 18.1% 69.4% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% Total All Occupations 3,588 $46,759 $43,345 ($3,413) a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. 0.0% Male II-5 Table 2 further refines the results by including only those workers who took jobs in the same occupation without moving their residence to another community. About 12 percent of the workers making transitions from private to state government employment moved in association with the change of jobs. The requirement that the worker not move insures that the state position actually taken corresponds geographically to the private sector labor market measured by the wage in the previous private job. Limiting the comparison to jobs in the same community produces very similar results. If anything, the wage losses are slightly larger and the wage gains in the few occupations with gains are slightly smaller when physical moves are excluded. II-6 Table 2. Average Annual Wages in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation and Same Place, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Female Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average Probability annual difference wage due to change chance 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 53 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Sales and Related Office and Administrative Support Transportation and Material Moving 2,117 65 59 11 23 42 138 59 25 18 174 88 12 21 14 5 5 1,345 4 $41,843 79,573 59,258 54,867 58,586 58,771 41,293 76,011 45,004 30,641 63,847 38,047 42,992 24,745 26,115 31,474 30,254 35,017 29,533 $39,154 ($2,688) 66,856 (12,717) 53,367 (5,891) 52,303 (2,564) 59,183 596 49,919 (8,852) 44,540 3,246 65,824 (10,187) 47,191 2,187 38,201 7,560 62,570 (1,277) 35,537 (2,510) 45,354 2,362 28,821 4,076 26,718 603 29,167 (2,307) 31,666 1,412 32,123 (2,894) 40,273 10,740 0.0% 0.1% 8.1% 64.7% 92.4% 1.1% 0.4% 1.2% 63.3% 18.8% 51.7% 18.9% 57.6% 12.4% 81.7% 88.1% 80.4% 0.0% 42.5% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 43 47 49 53 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 1,054 43 25 86 78 34 42 45 18 11 31 15 62 22 24 6 174 145 140 49 $57,536 86,386 72,041 56,709 75,490 64,141 46,041 94,533 48,101 43,240 76,566 30,147 47,233 38,374 28,890 42,562 36,062 71,669 57,516 46,348 $51,667 76,336 54,505 51,636 68,590 56,086 43,477 73,841 49,620 46,853 81,533 41,285 48,321 37,075 31,426 40,974 32,935 55,933 49,717 54,724 0.0% 8.1% 3.8% 0.6% 13.5% 7.7% 27.9% 0.0% 77.7% 33.9% 61.5% 3.6% 70.2% 71.5% 19.6% 84.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% Male ($5,870) (10,050) (17,536) (5,073) (6,900) (8,055) (2,564) (20,693) 1,519 3,613 4,967 11,138 1,089 (1,300) 2,535 (1,587) (3,127) (15,735) (7,799) 8,376 Total All Occupations 3,171 $47,059 $43,313 ($3,746) a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-7 0.0% Tables 3, 4, and 5 show the same comparisons as Table 2 but consider only job transitions for residents of Anchorage, Fairbanks, and Juneau, respectively. The results for Anchorage (Table 3) roughly parallel those of the state as a whole. However, for Anchorage residents, women taking protective service and arts/entertainment/media positions earned more in the state jobs than in their previous private sector jobs. On the other hand, Anchorage men in food preparation and serving jobs took large pay cuts taking state jobs. Because there are fewer state employees in Fairbanks and a narrower private sector economic base in Juneau, there were far fewer sector job transitions in these communities to compare. In general, the wage differentials overall were somewhat smaller, with the same occupations showing positive and negative differentials generally as in the statewide results. II-8 Table 3. Average Annual Wages in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation in Anchorage, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Female Count Average annual wage, state Average Probability annual difference wage due to change chance 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 43 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support 1,011 40 33 7 18 23 56 47 11 9 83 37 7 8 5 616 $43,336 85,976 60,340 48,533 59,320 64,655 41,150 79,019 49,299 31,457 62,496 36,417 34,769 23,186 34,008 34,387 $40,260 ($3,076) 71,502 (14,474) 59,188 (1,152) 51,191 2,659 57,063 (2,257) 55,520 (9,134) 41,965 815 64,455 (14,563) 51,890 2,592 42,328 10,871 64,384 1,888 37,898 1,481 42,518 7,748 28,639 5,453 31,347 (2,661) 31,005 (3,382) 0.0% 0.6% 70.2% 73.8% 77.0% 6.2% 57.0% 0.2% 69.6% 2.9% 42.7% 46.8% 7.8% 21.6% 34.8% 0.0% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 43 47 49 53 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 492 24 15 50 41 16 15 34 8 5 22 9 30 9 13 88 35 53 21 $58,530 87,465 76,481 54,276 81,393 83,129 50,866 101,345 31,468 42,705 73,673 29,048 44,964 48,532 31,500 35,919 68,872 53,919 38,457 $52,612 71,515 55,426 48,787 69,082 61,108 43,432 74,747 43,521 44,766 86,984 46,246 47,853 36,701 34,910 32,609 59,921 48,168 52,018 ($5,918) (15,950) (21,055) (5,489) (12,311) (22,020) (7,434) (26,599) 12,052 2,061 13,311 17,199 2,889 (11,831) 3,410 (3,310) (8,950) (5,751) 13,562 0.0% 4.7% 11.2% 0.4% 8.3% 0.6% 10.3% 0.0% 26.1% 78.0% 26.7% 0.1% 50.8% 0.5% 28.8% 2.5% 18.9% 1.8% 0.5% 1,503 $48,310 $44,303 ($4,006) 0.0% Male Total Occupations Average annual wage, private All Occupations a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-9 Table 4. Average Annual Wages in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation in Fairbanks, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average Probability annual difference wage due to change chance Female 11 19 21 23 29 31 33 35 37 43 All Occupations Management Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support 348 11 7 29 4 23 9 4 4 6 234 $38,727 65,324 55,824 38,772 51,411 63,969 31,537 51,480 28,815 24,410 34,793 $37,875 56,700 43,413 47,488 80,921 54,379 31,768 50,892 34,056 22,046 33,657 ($852) (8,625) (12,411) 8,715 29,510 (9,590) 231 (588) 5,241 (2,365) (1,136) 34.3% 15.6% 24.2% 0.6% 9.1% 13.3% 97.4% 94.7% 42.5% 60.2% 18.6% Male All Occupations Management Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Protective Service Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 170 7 15 19 9 6 4 7 6 25 31 25 5 $58,272 93,009 65,237 68,653 50,629 37,856 74,828 49,635 23,629 32,145 78,347 54,587 52,555 $53,727 91,886 55,139 67,875 53,047 42,364 70,473 59,763 27,561 36,950 57,440 50,758 44,072 ($4,544) (1,123) (10,098) (778) 2,418 4,507 (4,355) 10,129 3,932 4,805 (20,907) (3,829) (8,483) 2.4% 95.0% 12.5% 91.1% 64.9% 28.1% 61.4% 18.2% 24.7% 13.8% 0.2% 43.7% 59.5% All Occupations 518 $45,141 ($2,064) 2.1% 11 15 17 19 21 23 33 37 43 47 49 53 Total $43,078 a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-10 Table 5. Average Annual Wages in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation in Juneau, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average annual Probability wage difference change due to chance Female 11 13 19 21 23 29 31 43 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support 296 8 19 6 12 6 7 18 211 $40,136 69,165 58,743 46,425 38,584 72,979 57,816 54,591 35,049 $37,215 62,205 47,861 40,885 42,896 63,407 57,473 37,814 33,392 ($2,921) (6,960) (10,883) (5,540) 4,313 (9,572) (343) (16,777) (1,656) 0.3% 32.1% 14.9% 48.2% 31.8% 16.3% 97.0% 0.1% 7.9% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Community and Social Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Protective Service Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 135 9 8 14 9 12 6 6 38 8 8 5 $52,492 80,942 67,379 51,743 86,154 43,368 43,686 52,581 36,074 69,534 68,653 48,982 $46,976 70,449 52,355 57,054 61,950 41,758 48,592 42,375 31,787 52,660 51,641 52,732 ($5,516) (10,493) (15,025) 5,311 (24,205) (1,610) 4,906 (10,206) (4,287) (16,874) (17,012) 3,750 0.3% 41.0% 19.1% 17.9% 0.4% 74.9% 31.5% 25.1% 8.5% 25.7% 8.0% 61.8% 431 $44,006 $40,272 ($3,733) 0.0% 11 13 15 17 21 27 33 43 47 49 53 Total All Occupations a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-11 Tables 6 through 10 show the analogous set of results for wages of workers making transitions from jobs in Alaska state government to jobs in the private sector. On average, workers transitioning from state jobs to private sector jobs experienced significant wage gains in most occupations. However, there were some exceptions. Women’s earnings in food preparation and serving in the private sector were substantially less—about 40 percent lower— than in their previous state food preparation jobs. However, only 13 workers in 15 years made this transition, so it is not clear that this figure represents the labor market overall. For men, protective service and transportation workers made substantially less in the private sector. The overall pattern of results (Table 6) changes little when job transitions associated with moves between communities are excluded (Table 7). II-12 Table 6. Average Annual Wages in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, state Average annual wage, private Average Probability annual difference wage due to change chance Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 41 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Sales Office and Administrative Support 1,053 $43,532 51 70,504 42 56,472 12 55,132 13 55,948 43 50,412 38 48,460 92 55,224 30 43,908 4 44,832 100 58,736 60 32,764 8 43,644 13 39,468 5 31,520 5 31,904 531 35,060 $51,636 82,804 69,464 61,764 76,896 73,320 46,836 89,124 48,236 52,712 64,776 32,760 36,340 21,080 25,332 38,488 39,672 $8,104 12,300 12,988 6,632 20,948 22,908 (1,624) 33,900 4,332 7,880 6,040 (4) (7,304) (18,388) (6,188) 6,584 4,612 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 50.8% 4.5% 0.0% 55.9% 0.0% 39.9% 2.1% 7.8% 99.9% 67.2% 0.9% 45.6% 28.9% 0.0% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Production Transportation and Material Moving 649 $63,084 48 80,476 17 65,828 60 56,760 62 74,880 29 64,004 13 52,772 87 60,012 8 63,000 4 39,944 27 93,648 9 45,800 52 71,488 5 34,076 9 33,552 52 36,932 67 65,836 48 62,644 21 55,588 27 64,624 $76,280 99,320 72,056 80,352 95,056 77,460 55,396 92,972 49,580 43,888 104,720 44,280 55,216 44,316 28,932 46,072 84,484 78,184 58,536 54,288 $13,196 18,844 6,228 23,592 20,180 13,452 2,628 32,960 (13,420) 3,944 11,072 (1,520) (16,272) 10,244 (4,624) 9,140 18,648 15,540 2,948 (10,336) 0.0% 0.0% 44.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 59.7% 0.0% 43.9% 19.7% 29.7% 79.9% 0.0% 60.3% 54.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 37.5% 8.4% 1,707 $50,980 $61,100 $10,120 0.0% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 43 47 49 51 53 Total All Occupations a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-13 Table 7. Average Annual Wages in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation and Same Place, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, state Average annual wage, private Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 41 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Sales Office and Administrative Support 917 $43,285 46 70,502 39 56,795 11 56,148 13 55,948 37 50,336 30 45,984 59 57,551 26 40,143 4 44,830 88 58,681 50 32,483 7 48,828 12 40,009 5 31,519 4 29,702 480 35,170 $51,186 83,964 69,337 67,287 76,896 71,804 47,467 94,899 44,688 52,711 65,178 32,496 38,507 21,523 25,331 32,026 39,852 $7,901 13,462 12,542 11,139 20,948 21,469 1,483 37,347 4,545 7,880 6,497 13 (10,321) (18,486) (6,189) 2,325 4,681 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 25.9% 4.5% 0.0% 61.0% 0.0% 40.8% 2.1% 6.1% 99.6% 60.4% 1.5% 45.6% 57.4% 0.0% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Production Transportation and Material Moving 529 $64,466 42 81,661 15 65,817 47 57,507 55 76,260 23 67,748 11 48,590 52 67,003 6 37,018 23 97,939 6 47,087 36 73,576 5 34,074 8 34,036 46 37,503 61 66,709 41 63,980 20 54,553 25 64,193 $77,454 100,678 70,615 80,373 94,691 81,556 52,508 102,020 41,221 112,482 44,394 55,068 44,317 28,261 46,287 86,006 79,000 56,436 57,075 $12,988 19,017 4,798 22,866 18,432 13,808 3,918 35,017 4,204 14,543 (2,692) (18,508) 10,243 (5,776) 8,784 19,297 15,020 1,883 (7,117) 0.0% 0.0% 59.6% 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 46.1% 0.0% 77.6% 22.7% 41.8% 0.0% 60.3% 50.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 56.6% 21.5% 1446 $51,034 $60,796 $9,762 0.0% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 29 31 33 35 37 43 47 49 51 53 Total All Occupations a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-14 The wage gains after moves from state employment to the private sector become even more consistent when considering only transitions for residents of communities with the largest labor markets: Anchorage (Table 8), Fairbanks (Table 9), and Juneau (Table 10). Male residents of Anchorage in protective service occupations and female residents of Juneau in management jobs earned significantly less in the private sector, but all other transitions were associated with either a significant wage gain or a change that was not statistically distinguishable from no change. The largest gains were found in Anchorage, the community with the largest and most robust private sector labor market. On average, Anchorage residents gained $13,000 from the move to a private sector job, a wage gain of 25 percent. II-15 Table 8. Average Annual Wages in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation in Anchorage, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average Average Average annual annual annual wage, wage, wage state private change Probability difference due to chance Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 29 31 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support 468 34 25 5 7 18 17 50 8 46 23 227 $45,771 $56,971 70,317 89,007 56,664 71,363 60,413 73,568 59,745 67,058 56,704 81,662 46,118 47,811 57,276 98,683 42,995 38,124 63,035 67,877 37,483 35,164 34,314 40,672 $11,200 18,690 14,699 13,155 7,313 24,958 1,692 41,406 (4,871) 4,841 (2,319) 6,358 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 58.1% 1.9% 63.5% 0.0% 62.7% 35.5% 60.0% 0.0% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Protective Service Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Production Transportation and Material Moving 255 26 11 21 33 13 4 37 5 14 16 4 18 11 15 11 12 $66,160 $83,345 76,584 99,046 64,937 76,818 56,740 78,041 78,468 94,773 58,832 83,186 51,042 52,626 67,497 109,252 37,747 48,574 102,616 144,044 75,037 58,997 28,416 26,785 40,396 48,799 65,874 72,862 65,295 83,620 55,123 51,959 60,745 57,878 $17,185 22,462 11,880 21,300 16,304 24,354 1,584 41,754 10,828 41,428 (16,040) (1,632) 8,402 6,989 18,325 (3,164) (2,867) 0.0% 0.3% 7.1% 0.0% 1.9% 2.7% 87.7% 0.0% 50.6% 0.2% 2.9% 86.9% 13.3% 36.4% 0.1% 12.7% 44.1% 723 $52,962 $66,273 $13,311 0.0% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 29 33 37 43 47 49 51 53 Total All Occupations a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-16 Table 9. Average Annual Wages in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation in Fairbanks, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Female 11 13 17 19 21 23 25 29 31 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support Male All Occupations Management Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Legal Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 11 15 17 23 29 43 47 49 Total All Occupations Count 142 4 4 5 8 5 4 11 7 9 69 76 7 10 5 5 4 6 17 7 218 Average annual wage, state Average annual wage, private $41,353 $46,308 71,482 99,492 58,578 68,662 54,395 92,863 42,265 70,159 39,675 44,227 70,111 79,144 33,604 51,958 61,146 56,847 27,541 24,926 36,111 37,196 Average Probability annual difference wage due to change chance $4,955 28,011 10,084 38,468 27,895 4,552 9,033 18,354 (4,299) (2,615) 1,085 1.5% 25.3% 10.7% 6.2% 0.5% 32.0% 56.8% 1.1% 70.6% 62.3% 65.6% $69,275 $78,152 $8,877 101,934 121,705 19,770 68,934 82,157 13,223 73,829 96,834 23,005 65,228 53,682 (11,546) 109,549 72,370 (37,179) 29,765 29,260 (505) 69,809 89,843 20,035 65,408 81,093 15,686 8.7% 2.4% 11.7% 14.4% 30.3% 42.2% 94.4% 28.2% 32.2% $51,087 $57,410 $6,322 a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-17 0.5% Table 10. Average Annual Wages in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation in Juneau, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Female 11 13 19 29 31 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Life, Physical and Social Science Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support Male All Occupations Management Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Office and Administrative Support Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 11 15 17 43 49 Total All Occupations Count Average annual wage, state Average annual wage, private Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance 116 6 10 5 5 5 75 $42,064 76,044 56,408 48,531 60,045 30,181 36,548 $43,814 53,423 64,543 74,258 54,464 37,807 38,353 $1,750 (22,621) 8,135 25,727 (5,581) 7,626 1,805 34.7% 2.2% 32.5% 1.8% 54.8% 44.0% 35.1% 60 7 7 8 12 6 $55,377 76,179 55,729 75,410 33,659 49,280 $67,827 77,279 95,184 93,795 45,396 51,383 $12,450 1,100 39,455 18,386 11,736 2,102 0.9% 86.7% 0.3% 22.2% 8.4% 86.2% 176 $46,603 $52,000 $5,398 0.8% a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-18 Results: Estimated Average Annual Total Compensation Using the national average multipliers for the value of employee benefits, we compared changes in total annual compensation in the private sector to annual compensation in state employment of workers moving from state jobs to private sector jobs and those moving from private to state jobs. On average over the past 15 years, total compensation of workers leaving private sector jobs for jobs in Alaska state government in the same occupation rose by an average of two percent after the transition. Men experienced a two percent loss in the value of wages and benefits from transition to state jobs, but women saw compensation gains of 3.5 percent. On the other hand, both men and women leaving Alaska state government jobs to take private sector jobs in the same occupation experienced large gains on average in the value of wages plus benefits. Total compensation was 9 percent higher in the private sector jobs taken than in the state jobs left behind. Differentials for men were again larger than for women. Private over state compensation differentials were 11 percent for men and 6 percent for women leaving state jobs for private sector jobs (Figure 4). Figure 4. Percentage wage plus benefits differential, private over state Average Private Over State Compensation Differentials for Workers Moving Between Alaska State Government and Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation 15.0% 10.8% 10.0% 8.6% 6.4% 5.0% 1.9% 0.0% Female -5.0% Male All Workers -1.3% -3.5% Private to state transitions State to private transitions When we considered the compensation differentials separately by occupation, the results, shown in Table 11, present a decidedly mixed picture. Women and men both received substantially less compensation in management, legal, science, and business and financial operations jobs, although variation among individuals meant that the change was not statistically significant for women in business and financial jobs and for men in science occupations. However, protective service, health-care support, food service, building and grounds maintenance, office, and male transportation workers earned higher salary and benefits in state jobs than in their previous private sector jobs. Workers in community service, and education-related occupations, also earned somewhat more in wages plus benefits after taking state government jobs, but the differences were statistically significant only for women in community service occupations. II-19 Table 11. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 41 43 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Sales and Related Office and Administrative Support 2,451 68 61 16 29 55 173 72 32 21 204 107 14 23 14 4 1,546 $60,276 119,080 83,840 77,560 89,808 80,292 60,780 110,280 62,892 45,976 91,168 50,612 54,896 33,560 34,168 45,224 50,492 $62,376 101,224 76,764 75,460 86,936 71,496 67,116 97,588 71,912 57,000 92,544 59,764 75,388 49,940 47,704 53,568 53,292 $2,100 (17,856) (7,076) (2,104) (2,872) (8,796) 6,336 (12,688) 9,020 11,024 1,376 9,152 20,492 16,380 13,536 8,348 2,796 0.0% 0.1% 13.4% 71.6% 73.7% 2.9% 0.0% 1.2% 12.2% 12.9% 59.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 45.8% 0.0% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 1,228 47 27 106 89 40 50 51 19 16 35 22 89 24 28 6 202 166 159 50 $80,864 128,572 102,876 81,048 105,512 84,796 62,200 134,700 67,552 69,272 113,632 44,428 58,972 51,864 37,272 56,180 50,988 105,972 80,292 62,708 $79,316 113,716 80,132 77,108 98,060 80,704 63,584 108,224 78,548 72,248 117,848 65,752 80,824 63,060 52,892 69,440 54,480 87,160 77,196 86,748 ($1,552) (14,856) (22,740) (3,936) (7,452) (4,092) 1,388 (26,476) 10,996 2,976 4,220 21,324 21,848 11,196 15,620 13,256 3,492 (18,812) (3,096) 24,040 19.4% 6.0% 4.1% 9.3% 21.6% 47.3% 68.2% 0.1% 27.9% 52.4% 75.4% 0.2% 0.0% 2.7% 0.0% 28.7% 2.9% 0.0% 24.3% 0.0% All Occupations 3,685 $67,140 $68,004 $864 11.4% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 43 47 49 53 Total a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-20 In general, the results by occupation showed compensation gains for workers moving from private to state jobs in most lower-wage occupations and losses in compensation for workers taking state jobs in higher-wage occupations. Limiting the comparisons to workers remaining in the same community when changing sectors (Table 12) makes little difference in the results, but slightly reduces the net public sector advantage. Overall, the average compensation gain from moving to state jobs was 1.4 percent. Another way to look at local labor markets is to consider transitions where both jobs are in the same community, although the workers might have moved or be working remotely. Table 13 shows the same results as Table 12, but controlling for place of work rather than place of residence. Although the magnitude of the average wage changes were similar and the pattern of occupational differences were similar, there were some differences from the place of residence table in the magnitude of wage changes. In particular, wage gains from moving to state jobs in health-care support and office occupations were lower in the same place of work than controlling for place of residence. Men working in private sector transportation jobs who took state jobs located in the same community experienced much smaller gains than men taking state jobs who did not move to a different community, apparently due to lower earnings in the private sector for workers holding transportation jobs away from their place of residence. II-21 Table 12. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation and Same Place of Residence, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 53 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Sales and Related Office and Administrative Support Transportation and Material Moving 2,117 65 59 11 23 42 138 59 25 18 174 88 12 21 14 5 5 1,345 4 $60,064 114,585 85,332 78,460 83,779 84,043 59,050 108,696 64,355 43,817 91,301 50,222 56,749 32,663 34,471 41,546 42,355 50,775 42,232 $62,413 99,615 79,516 77,409 87,591 73,880 65,919 97,419 69,842 56,538 92,603 60,769 77,555 49,283 45,688 49,876 52,881 53,646 62,826 $2,349 (14,969) (5,815) (1,051) 3,812 (10,162) 6,869 (11,276) 5,487 12,721 1,302 10,546 20,806 16,621 11,216 8,330 10,526 2,871 20,593 0.0% 0.4% 23.2% 89.5% 67.4% 3.8% 0.0% 4.8% 40.8% 12.9% 64.6% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 1.0% 73.1% 24.6% 0.0% 33.4% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 1,054 43 25 86 78 34 42 45 18 11 31 15 62 22 24 6 174 145 140 49 $81,908 124,396 103,739 81,094 107,951 91,721 65,838 135,183 68,784 61,834 109,489 39,794 62,347 50,654 38,135 56,181 52,290 102,486 82,249 66,277 $80,088 113,741 81,212 76,421 101,513 83,007 64,346 109,285 73,438 69,343 120,669 70,597 82,629 63,398 53,738 70,066 55,001 87,256 77,559 85,370 $(1,819) (10,656) (22,527) (4,672) (6,438) (8,714) (1,492) (25,898) 4,654 7,509 11,180 30,803 20,282 12,744 15,603 13,885 2,711 (15,230) (4,690) 19,092 15.6% 19.5% 6.2% 7.2% 32.9% 17.1% 65.9% 0.1% 55.2% 17.6% 44.7% 0.1% 0.0% 2.1% 0.0% 26.9% 12.4% 0.1% 9.4% 0.1% Total All Occupations 3,177 $67,314 $68,258 $945 a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. 10.7% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 43 47 49 53 II-22 Table 13. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation and Same Place of Work, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 41 43 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Sales and Related Office and Administrative Support 2,113 58 51 12 22 40 146 60 27 17 161 89 11 23 12 4 1,372 $59,892 121,844 79,664 79,608 95,064 84,500 61,228 111,992 60,152 45,956 93,484 53,588 58,784 33,560 34,116 45,224 50,116 $62,040 102,072 79,228 74,448 85,060 74,052 66,864 99,280 64,080 56,304 91,872 62,052 78,728 49,940 48,864 53,568 53,408 $2,152 (19,772) (440) (5,160) (10,004) (10,448) 5,636 (12,716) 3,928 10,348 (1,612) 8,464 19,944 16,380 14,744 8,348 3,292 0.0% 0.1% 90.7% 16.8% 30.3% 3.5% 0.1% 2.4% 52.7% 19.4% 56.9% 0.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1% 45.8% 0.0% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 937 34 27 88 69 28 41 43 16 12 30 18 49 20 25 6 179 105 116 30 $79,480 122,144 102,876 80,804 107,704 89,116 63,912 131,236 67,068 67,076 114,556 45,444 59,776 51,056 37,376 56,180 50,152 101,664 82,812 51,888 $77,824 112,688 80,132 77,688 98,476 81,596 62,636 105,216 70,388 70,312 122,372 70,076 80,020 62,568 54,108 69,440 54,332 84,620 76,380 84,756 ($1,656) (9,456) (22,740) (3,116) (9,228) (7,520) (1,276) (26,016) 3,320 3,240 7,816 24,632 20,244 11,512 16,732 13,256 4,180 (17,044) (6,432) 32,868 21.5% 18.6% 4.1% 23.7% 17.9% 29.3% 70.6% 0.2% 69.9% 60.9% 59.2% 0.1% 0.0% 3.0% 0.0% 28.7% 0.9% 0.3% 3.1% 0.0% 3,055 $65,880 $66,860 $980 8.4% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 43 47 49 53 Total All Occupations a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-23 The mixed pattern of wage differentials persisted when we considered the communities with the largest number of state employees. Women and men living in Anchorage earned significantly less in state management and legal positions compared with their previous private sector jobs (Table 14), but significantly more in health-care support, protective service, and building and grounds maintenance jobs. Male transportation workers earned more in state government, but computer workers and scientists earned less. Female food preparation, office, and arts and entertainment workers earned more in state jobs. Declines in compensation for workers changing from private to state legal jobs located in Anchorage (Table 15) were substantially greater than declines for legal workers living in Anchorage but not necessarily working there (Table 14). Men working in Anchorage private sector transportation jobs who took state jobs also experienced much smaller compensation gains than Anchorage resident men taking state jobs who did not move. II-24 Table 14. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation, Anchorage Residents, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 43 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support 1,011 40 33 7 18 23 56 47 11 9 83 37 7 8 5 616 $62,220 123,805 86,890 69,401 84,828 92,456 58,845 112,997 70,497 44,984 89,369 48,070 45,895 30,606 44,891 49,861 $63,746 106,538 88,190 75,763 84,454 82,170 62,109 95,394 76,798 62,646 95,289 64,806 72,705 48,973 53,604 51,779 $1,526 (17,267) 1,301 6,362 (374) (10,286) 3,264 (17,603) 6,301 17,662 5,919 16,736 26,810 18,367 8,713 1,918 10.0% 2.2% 76.7% 58.2% 97.3% 13.4% 11.7% 0.7% 51.0% 1.7% 8.4% 0.0% 0.3% 1.9% 3.0% 8.2% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 492 24 15 50 41 16 15 34 8 5 22 9 30 9 13 88 35 53 21 $83,306 125,950 110,133 77,615 116,392 118,874 72,738 144,924 45,000 61,069 105,352 38,343 59,352 64,062 41,580 52,083 98,486 77,103 54,993 $81,264 106,558 82,584 72,205 102,242 90,441 64,279 110,625 64,411 66,254 128,736 79,081 81,829 62,759 59,696 54,457 93,478 75,141 81,149 $(2,042) (19,393) (27,548) (5,410) (14,150) (28,434) (8,459) (34,299) 19,411 5,186 23,384 40,739 22,477 (1,303) 18,116 2,374 (5,009) (1,962) 26,155 30.5% 8.5% 14.4% 4.8% 15.9% 0.9% 18.8% 0.1% 22.2% 62.6% 19.4% 0.0% 0.1% 79.0% 0.3% 28.3% 61.1% 57.9% 0.0% 1,503 $69,123 $69,481 $358 69.1% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 43 47 49 53 Total All Occupations a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-25 Table 15. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs Located in Anchorage in the Same Occupation, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average Probability annual difference wage due to change chance Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 43 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support 1,100 39 29 9 17 28 69 48 13 8 93 45 7 8 6 675 $61,608 132,616 84,616 73,796 85,240 90,240 59,120 117,488 70,416 42,432 90,860 49,800 53,544 28,684 40,752 48,384 $63,212 107,996 84,092 70,680 82,344 78,496 62,136 97,752 75,156 62,076 95,044 65,228 74,780 48,216 51,588 51,532 $1,604 (24,624) (524) (3,116) (2,896) (11,748) 3,012 (19,740) 4,736 19,644 4,184 15,428 21,236 19,532 10,836 3,148 4.5% 0.4% 90.5% 43.3% 77.0% 5.6% 15.7% 0.2% 55.3% 1.3% 20.6% 0.0% 4.0% 1.1% 1.9% 0.0% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 521 21 19 55 35 16 16 34 8 6 27 15 29 7 15 96 36 65 18 $81,512 118,900 105,336 78,360 123,292 112,196 68,288 138,284 45,000 71,680 110,132 40,028 56,500 62,092 40,308 51,808 95,660 79,632 50,988 $79,572 107,064 81,028 74,052 103,896 87,580 62,352 105,952 64,016 69,348 126,712 67,804 77,860 62,328 58,824 53,648 85,052 78,164 83,260 ($1,940) (11,836) (24,308) (4,312) (19,396) (24,612) (5,940) (32,332) 19,016 (2,332) 16,580 27,776 21,360 232 18,516 1,840 (10,608) (1,468) 32,272 30.7% 13.9% 10.0% 10.1% 11.3% 1.9% 32.5% 0.2% 23.1% 84.2% 28.0% 0.2% 0.2% 97.1% 0.1% 36.0% 29.4% 66.4% 0.0% 1,623 $67,956 $68,424 $468 56.6% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 43 47 49 53 Total All Occupations a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-26 In Fairbanks (Table 16), male construction workers lost ground when they took state jobs, but female office workers gained compensation. Comparing compensation changes for place of work to change by place of residence, it appears that compensation gains for women changing from private to state jobs located in Fairbanks (Table 17) gained more compared to Fairbanks resident women changing sectors in the same occupations, while male state to private wage differentials were generally lower for Fairbanks jobs than for jobs held by Fairbanks residents. In Juneau labor markets, male residents of Juneau taking state engineering jobs earned less than they had earned from private sector employers, but men taking computer jobs and women taking office jobs earned more from the state (Table 18). Because most people living in Juneau worked there, there is little difference in the pattern of differentials between the results tabulated by place of work (Table 19) and results tabulated by place of residence (Table 18). II-27 Table 16. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation, Fairbanks Residents, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average Average Average Probability annual annual annual difference wage, wage, state wage due to private change chance Female 11 19 21 23 29 31 33 35 37 43 All Occupations Management Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support 348 11 7 29 4 23 9 4 4 6 234 $55,624 94,067 79,828 55,445 73,517 91,475 41,628 67,954 38,036 32,222 50,450 $60,972 84,482 64,252 70,282 119,763 80,481 54,323 87,025 58,235 37,698 56,208 $5,348 (9,584) (15,577) 14,837 46,245 (10,995) 12,694 19,071 20,200 5,476 5,758 0.0% 26.7% 30.1% 0.2% 7.6% 22.6% 24.7% 17.8% 11.2% 42.8% 0.0% Male All Occupations Management Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Protective Service Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 170 7 15 19 9 6 4 7 6 25 31 25 5 $83,024 133,933 93,289 98,174 72,400 54,135 107,004 65,518 31,190 46,610 112,036 78,059 75,154 $83,192 136,911 81,605 100,456 78,509 62,698 104,300 102,195 47,129 61,706 89,606 79,182 68,753 $168 2,977 (11,684) 2,282 6,110 8,563 (2,704) 36,678 15,940 15,096 (22,430) 1,123 (6,401) 95.4% 90.9% 21.0% 82.1% 42.6% 17.1% 82.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 1.7% 87.4% 78.9% All Occupations 518 $64,616 $68,264 $3,648 0.6% 11 15 17 19 21 23 33 37 43 47 49 53 Total a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-28 Table 17. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in Fairbanks in the Same Occupation, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average Average Average annual annual annual wage, wage, state wage private change Probability difference due to chance Female 11 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 43 All Occupations Management Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Office and Administrative Support 345 8 6 30 5 4 5 22 8 4 235 $57,356 101,332 86,276 60,536 78,124 49,564 38,996 92,364 39,172 67,952 52,292 $61,204 85,612 61,864 69,620 115,648 43,016 41,096 80,412 50,420 85,636 56,284 $3,848 (15,720) (24,412) 9,084 37,524 (6,552) 2,100 (11,952) 11,248 17,684 3,992 0.8% 16.0% 11.2% 1.8% 8.5% 86.5% 76.5% 21.7% 36.3% 22.1% 0.9% Male All Occupations Management Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Protective Service Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 150 6 15 19 9 7 4 8 7 23 21 20 $78,192 124,668 97,660 84,176 60,488 56,888 107,004 72,328 32,744 42,644 108,376 81,904 $80,780 137,796 84,612 97,200 74,564 63,144 102,724 98,736 48,196 59,648 84,920 76,128 $2,588 13,128 (13,048) 13,028 14,076 6,256 (4,280) 26,408 15,452 17,004 (23,456) (5,776) 38.2% 54.4% 17.7% 11.0% 7.0% 26.0% 71.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 8.2% 44.0% All Occupations 495 $63,668 $67,136 $3,468 1.0% 11 15 17 19 21 23 33 37 43 47 49 Total a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-29 Table 18. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in the Same Occupation, Juneau Residents, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average Probability annual difference wage due to change chance Female 11 13 19 21 23 29 31 43 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Life, Physical, and Social Science Community and Social Services Legal Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support 296 8 19 6 12 6 7 18 211 $57,565 99,598 84,591 66,388 55,175 104,360 82,676 72,060 50,820 $60,236 92,685 71,312 60,510 63,487 93,843 85,060 64,661 55,765 $2,671 (6,913) (13,278) (5,878) 8,312 (10,517) 2,383 (7,398) 4,944 5.9% 49.0% 22.0% 60.3% 19.2% 26.0% 85.7% 25.6% 0.1% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Community and Social Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Protective Service Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 135 9 8 14 9 12 6 6 38 8 8 5 $74,997 116,557 97,026 73,992 123,201 62,016 62,472 69,406 52,307 99,434 98,174 70,044 $72,665 104,969 78,008 84,439 91,686 61,802 71,916 72,461 53,085 82,150 80,560 82,262 $(2,332) (11,588) (19,018) 10,447 (31,515) (215) 9,445 3,054 778 (17,284) (17,614) 12,218 37.5% 52.8% 24.7% 7.4% 0.6% 97.7% 19.5% 77.5% 82.5% 40.5% 17.5% 30.8% 431 $63,025 $64,129 $1,104 38.5% 11 13 15 17 21 27 33 43 47 49 53 Total All Occupations a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-30 Table 19. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Private Sector to Year-Round Alaska State Government Jobs in Juneau in the Same Occupation, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, private Average annual wage, state Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance Female 11 13 21 23 29 31 43 All Occupations Management Business and Financial Operations Community and Social Services Legal Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support 314 8 16 14 5 7 20 231 $57,084 99,596 79,436 54,812 101,488 79,128 72,960 50,104 $59,732 92,108 73,772 65,272 93,148 82,324 59,680 55,136 $2,648 (7,488) (5,664) 10,460 (8,344) 3,200 (13,280) 5,032 4.9% 45.5% 48.8% 2.8% 45.7% 80.9% 2.7% 0.0% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Community and Social Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Protective Service Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Transportation and Material Moving 141 7 8 16 13 12 6 5 42 8 6 5 $72,300 129,712 97,024 70,984 104,684 62,016 62,472 55,800 48,696 103,792 93,056 74,032 $72,744 108,040 78,008 84,416 88,376 61,380 71,280 69,224 54,204 83,912 77,024 90,156 $444 (21,672) (19,016) 13,432 (16,308) (636) 8,808 13,428 5,508 (19,880) (16,036) 16,124 85.9% 32.7% 24.7% 1.8% 7.6% 93.0% 23.3% 16.6% 5.5% 34.8% 36.4% 25.0% 455 $61,800 $63,764 $1,968 10.2% 11 13 15 17 21 27 33 43 47 49 53 Total All Occupations a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-31 The mixed pattern of compensation differentials by occupation continued when we looked at transitions from state jobs to private sector jobs (Table 20). With state to private transitions, however, the balance tilts more toward higher private sector pay. The results show significant gains in total compensation for both women and men who moved from state to private jobs in management, engineering, science, and legal occupations. Private sector jobs offered less compensation in health-care support and building and grounds maintenance occupations. Women earned more in private business operations and financial jobs and less in food service jobs. Men earned more in private sector computer, construction, transportation, and installation and maintenance jobs. Male health-care practitioners earned less in the private sector. Compensation differentials by occupation are not consistently different between men and women. Nevertheless, a higher share of men are concentrated in management, engineering, computer, and legal occupations, where the private sector pay is considerably higher than in state government, leading to larger overall compensation differentials for men. II-32 Table 20. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 41 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Sales Office and Administrative Support 1,106 53 43 12 14 45 38 93 33 4 109 61 7 14 6 5 563 Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Production Transportation and Material Moving 682 48 18 64 73 28 13 89 8 4 28 9 54 6 9 52 76 50 21 30 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 43 47 49 51 53 Total All Occupations 1,793 Average annual wage, state $68,824 106,080 84,404 81,596 81,172 75,184 72,792 82,008 65,448 65,920 85,404 57,856 73,480 69,060 47,680 53,580 59,092 Average annual wage, private Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance $73,252 119,420 98,944 86,940 107,260 102,752 66,948 126,600 68,792 74,316 91,380 44,224 46,300 30,276 37,944 53,660 56,932 $4,428 13,340 14,540 5,344 26,088 27,568 (5,844) 44,592 3,344 8,396 5,976 (13,632) (27,180) (38,784) (9,736) 80 (2,160) 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 54.3% 2.5% 0.0% 9.1% 0.0% 60.7% 29.0% 10.3% 0.0% 19.1% 0.0% 23.1% 99.2% 1.9% $96,832 $107,280 123,692 144,268 97,964 105,196 81,928 111,552 109,424 128,936 95,476 111,856 77,832 78,784 88,020 130,948 93,240 70,296 59,120 62,760 137,808 147,292 80,920 57,764 121,800 72,628 58,960 54,780 57,376 37,912 61,556 65,724 101,004 117,860 96,868 111,216 86,720 82,440 97,404 73,588 $10,448 20,576 7,232 29,624 19,512 16,384 952 42,932 (22,944) 3,640 9,484 (23,156) (49,172) (4,184) (19,464) 4,168 16,856 14,348 (4,276) (23,816) 0.0% 0.4% 24.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 89.7% 0.0% 45.6% 82.8% 60.6% 1.4% 0.0% 72.8% 4.0% 42.8% 0.4% 0.0% 48.2% 0.0% $6,832 0.0% $79,492 $86,324 a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-33 The patterns of occupational differences noted in Table 20 persisted when we limited the analysis to transitions where workers remained in the same community when they changed jobs (Table 21), and transitions where workers took new jobs in the same community (Table 22). Private sector compensation was substantially higher in management, engineering, science, and legal occupations for both women and men. Private sector jobs offered less compensation in building and grounds maintenance occupations. Women earned more in private business operations and financial jobs and less in food service jobs. Men earned more in private sector computer, construction, and installation and maintenance jobs, and less in transportation jobs. The main difference between the tabulations where the place of residence did not change and those where the place of work stayed the same is that the negative private sector compensation for female office and administrative support workers is larger and statistically significant by place of work. II-34 Table 21. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation and Same Place of Residence, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Average annual wage, state Average annual wage, private Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance Occupation Code Occupations Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 41 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Sales Office and Administrative Support 917 46 39 11 13 37 30 59 26 4 88 50 7 12 5 4 480 $68,330 105,048 84,624 83,099 82,803 74,497 68,056 85,176 59,411 66,349 86,848 55,546 83,496 68,415 53,898 49,602 58,735 $73,398 120,909 99,846 96,220 109,961 102,680 67,878 135,705 63,903 75,376 93,204 42,895 50,829 28,411 33,436 44,837 57,785 $5,068 15,861 15,221 13,121 27,158 28,183 (178) 50,529 4,492 9,027 6,356 (12,651) (32,667) (40,004) (20,462) (4,765) (950) 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 18.3% 2.9% 0.0% 96.1% 0.0% 51.6% 24.2% 12.3% 0.1% 7.0% 0.1% 0.2% 61.3% 33.9% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Production Transportation and Material Moving 529 42 15 47 55 23 11 52 6 23 6 36 5 8 46 61 41 20 25 $99,042 121,675 98,067 85,111 112,864 100,267 71,913 99,164 54,786 144,950 80,518 125,815 58,267 58,202 62,630 104,066 99,809 85,103 100,141 $110,365 144,977 101,686 114,934 135,409 116,625 75,086 145,888 58,946 160,850 58,600 72,690 58,498 37,304 67,116 122,989 112,971 80,704 81,618 $11,323 23,301 3,618 29,823 22,544 16,358 3,174 46,724 4,160 15,899 (21,918) (53,125) 231 (20,898) 4,486 18,923 13,162 (4,399) (18,523) 0.0% 0.3% 62.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 64.7% 0.0% 74.6% 47.7% 2.7% 0.0% 98.8% 5.4% 44.2% 0.8% 0.3% 47.5% 0.8% 1,451 $79,546 $87,039 $7,493 0.0% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 29 31 33 35 37 43 47 49 51 53 Total All Occupations Count a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-35 Table 22. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation and Same Place of Work, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Average annual wage, state Average annual wage, private Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance Occupation Code Occupations Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 41 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Sales Office and Administrative Support 926 $68,540 42 $104,512 42 84,736 8 88,916 12 79,776 34 75,448 30 69,540 78 82,684 28 60,840 4 65,920 89 83,040 51 59,744 4 82,248 12 72,948 4 55,912 5 53,580 479 59,228 $72,584 $117,488 98,972 90,096 100,056 98,592 67,288 130,716 67,616 74,316 92,320 45,380 44,868 29,392 28,228 53,660 55,776 $4,044 $12,976 14,236 1,184 20,280 23,144 (2,248) 48,032 6,776 8,396 9,280 (14,360) (37,380) (43,556) (27,684) 80 (3,448) 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 90.2% 11.7% 0.1% 46.4% 0.0% 34.8% 29.0% 1.4% 0.0% 28.8% 0.0% 0.1% 99.2% 0.1% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Service Food Preparation and Serving Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Production Transportation and Material Moving 491 41 15 47 55 17 11 71 7 21 4 24 5 8 41 38 37 19 25 $96,828 129,164 101,176 82,312 112,532 102,248 71,592 88,480 82,064 150,628 85,712 118,652 54,348 58,204 64,564 98,180 94,064 86,604 94,796 $108,720 146,908 105,016 105,924 129,824 116,504 74,572 133,652 65,972 155,536 65,028 69,940 48,676 36,992 68,572 122,576 109,624 78,140 75,212 $11,892 17,748 3,840 23,612 17,292 14,256 2,980 45,172 (16,092) 4,908 (20,684) (48,712) (5,672) (21,208) 4,008 24,396 15,560 (8,464) (19,584) 0.0% 1.9% 57.9% 0.0% 0.1% 25.7% 66.8% 0.0% 62.2% 83.8% 11.3% 0.0% 67.8% 5.1% 51.2% 0.0% 0.1% 18.6% 0.7% 1,421 $78,280 $85,132 $6,852 0.0% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 29 31 33 35 37 43 47 49 51 53 Total All Occupations Count a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-36 For residents of Anchorage who moved from state government to private sector jobs in the same occupation (Table 23), men and women both earned significantly more wages plus benefits in management, business operations/finance, computer, science, and legal service positions. Women earned less in private sector health-care support positions than in the state jobs they gave up. Men also earned more in private engineering and installation and maintenance jobs, but less in protective service work. Overall, moving from state to private sector jobs in the state's largest labor market resulted in substantial compensation gains for both men and women. Private sector jobs paid men on average 18 percent more than the state jobs left behind. Women earned 14 percent more in the private sector. The overall higher private sector compensation and occupational differences noted for Anchorage residents changed relatively little when looking at transitions in jobs located in Anchorage (Table 24) instead of jobs held by Anchorage residents. A notable difference, however, is that there were many fewer women who moved from state to private computer jobs located in Anchorage than female Anchorage residents who moved from state to private computer jobs in general. The small number of transitions in Anchorage workplaces meant that the positive private to state compensation differential was not statistically significant. II-37 Table 23. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation, Anchorage Residents, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, state Average annual Probability wage difference change due to chance Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 29 31 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support 468 34 25 5 7 18 17 50 8 46 23 227 $81,754 128,171 102,763 105,203 95,893 116,777 68,369 141,116 54,518 97,063 46,416 58,974 $10,259 23,398 18,333 15,791 7,470 32,855 114 56,347 (9,116) 3,771 (17,680) 1,670 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 70.2% 1.0% 97.4% 0.0% 36.9% 54.5% 0.4% 25.8% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Protective Service Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Production Transportation and Material Moving 255 $100,836 $118,875 26 114,111 142,626 11 96,757 110,618 21 83,976 111,598 33 116,133 135,525 13 87,071 118,955 4 75,542 75,255 37 99,896 156,230 5 55,865 69,461 14 151,872 205,983 16 128,313 77,877 4 48,592 35,356 18 67,461 70,758 11 102,763 104,193 15 101,860 119,576 11 85,991 74,301 12 94,762 82,766 $18,039 28,516 13,861 27,622 19,392 31,884 (287) 56,334 13,596 54,111 (50,437) (13,236) 3,296 1,430 17,716 (11,691) (11,996) 0.0% 0.4% 9.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 94.8% 0.0% 41.4% 13.5% 0.0% 19.2% 79.5% 82.9% 3.0% 15.1% 29.1% 723 $13,003 0.0% 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 29 33 37 43 47 49 51 53 Total All Occupations $71,495 104,772 84,429 89,412 88,423 83,921 68,255 84,769 63,633 93,292 64,096 57,304 Average annual wage, private $81,843 $94,846 a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-38 Table 24. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Anchorage Year-Round Alaska State Government to Anchorage YearRound Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Count Average annual wage, state Average annual wage, private Average Probability annual difference wage due to change chance Female 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 29 31 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support 521 33 27 6 7 22 18 63 10 55 29 243 $70,421 104,612 84,131 81,564 85,513 80,477 69,962 82,945 63,157 84,639 63,993 57,406 $79,972 $9,551 126,597 21,985 102,168 18,037 96,375 14,811 94,776 9,264 100,605 20,129 65,040 (4,922) 135,296 52,350 62,691 (465) 98,820 14,180 44,819 (19,173) 56,635 (771) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.9% 65.0% 5.5% 14.7% 0.0% 96.5% 0.5% 0.0% 59.9% Male All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Protective Service Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers Production Transportation and Material Moving 300 28 12 23 43 10 4 58 6 14 11 16 15 23 11 19 $99,131 $117,777 $18,646 126,049 147,102 21,053 98,443 111,932 13,490 79,129 103,691 24,563 112,991 129,949 16,959 88,652 120,836 32,184 74,666 74,636 (29) 87,572 142,790 55,218 54,786 58,143 3,357 153,357 190,205 36,849 132,679 67,398 (65,282) 68,039 74,065 6,025 101,229 111,718 10,489 97,267 116,060 18,793 86,962 73,132 (13,830) 96,945 85,619 (11,326) 0.0% 2.1% 6.8% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 99.6% 0.0% 79.4% 29.6% 0.1% 66.4% 7.2% 0.4% 9.7% 15.4% 824 $80,788 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 29 33 43 47 49 51 53 Total All Occupations $93,807 $13,020 0.0% a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-39 Gender differences were also apparent in Fairbanks and Juneau. Table 25 shows that Fairbanks resident women gained compensation from taking private sector positions in management, engineering, science, and education occupations, but lost ground when taking private jobs in health-care support occupations. Fairbanks men earned more wages plus benefits in computer and installation and maintenance occupations. Viewing transitions for jobs located in Fairbanks (Table 26), the higher private sector compensation for men in computer occupations is no longer statistically significant. However, the positive differential for men working in Fairbanks construction jobs is large and significant. Other occupational patterns are generally the same, except that there were too few management transitions for women to report a differential by place of work. Women living in Juneau gained compensation from taking private jobs in management and science occupations, but lost when moving from state to private office jobs (Table 27). Male residents of Juneau, on the other hand, earned significantly more wages and benefits by moving from state to private jobs in office occupations, as well as by taking private sector computer and engineering positions. The patterns were broadly similar for transitions from state to private jobs located in Juneau (Table 28). But there were too few science transitions for women to report a differential by place of work. Considering all occupations as a whole, the gender differences in Juneau were particularly striking. Women experienced on average a loss in compensation of 10 percent when moving from state to private sector jobs in Alaska's capital city. Men, on the other hand, experienced on average a compensation gain of 10 percent. II-40 Table 25. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation, Fairbanks Residents, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Female 11 13 17 19 21 23 25 29 31 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and Social Science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support Male All Occupations Management Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Legal Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 11 15 17 23 29 43 47 49 Total All Occupations Count 142 4 4 5 8 5 4 11 7 9 69 76 7 10 5 5 4 6 17 7 218 Average annual wage, state $65,775 106,508 87,282 80,505 62,552 58,718 103,765 49,734 90,496 47,095 60,305 Average annual wage, private Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance $66,304 143,269 98,873 132,794 100,328 63,244 113,177 74,300 81,291 32,902 53,934 $529 36,761 11,592 52,289 37,776 4,526 9,412 24,566 (9,205) (14,193) (6,370) 82.4% 5.4% 15.0% 2.1% 0.0% 69.6% 58.0% 3.6% 60.0% 4.9% 2.5% $105,461 $111,761 151,882 175,255 102,023 117,485 109,267 138,473 96,538 76,765 162,133 103,489 49,707 42,427 108,902 128,476 102,036 115,964 $6,300 23,372 15,463 29,205 (19,772) (58,644) (7,280) 19,574 13,927 30.9% 37.5% 2.4% 27.1% 15.7% 35.1% 54.5% 19.5% 6.1% $2,541 38.6% $79,611 $82,151 a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-41 Table 26. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Fairbanks Year-Round Alaska State Government to Fairbanks Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Average annual wage, state Occupations Female 13 17 19 21 23 25 29 31 43 All Occupations Business Operations/Financial Specialists Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical and science Community and Social Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support Male All Occupations Management Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Legal Protective Service Office and Administrative Support Construction Trades Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 11 15 17 23 33 43 47 49 Total All Occupations Count 136 5 4 6 5 7 10 8 8 66 63 7 10 4 5 4 4 11 4 199 $65,818 90,460 73,716 62,174 58,718 89,537 50,524 83,262 46,263 61,124 Average annual wage, private Average annual Probability wage difference change due to chance $64,796 95,768 112,210 102,197 63,244 108,796 78,272 78,143 31,566 52,992 $(1,022) 5,307 38,494 40,023 4,526 19,259 27,748 (5,119) (14,697) (8,132) 66.8% 42.0% 10.4% 0.4% 69.6% 11.4% 3.6% 75.9% 7.0% 0.4% $106,979 $111,870 151,882 173,932 100,803 106,247 116,239 122,320 96,538 76,765 99,575 70,455 52,617 59,051 100,391 138,096 106,931 142,389 $4,891 22,050 5,444 6,081 (19,772) (29,120) 6,434 37,705 35,457 44.8% 40.1% 47.5% 84.9% 15.7% 47.3% 65.3% 0.2% 0.8% $850 77.1% $78,849 $79,699 a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-42 Table 27. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Year-Round Alaska State Government to Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation, Juneau Residents, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Female 11 13 19 29 31 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Life, Physical and Social Science Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support Male All Occupations Management Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Office and Administrative Support Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 11 15 17 43 49 Total All Occupations Count Average annual wage, state Average annual wage, private Average annual Probability wage due to change chance 116 6 10 5 5 5 75 $67,264 113,305 84,049 71,826 88,867 51,610 61,036 $62,983 $(4,281) 76,929 (36,377) 92,942 8,893 106,189 34,363 77,884 (10,983) 49,905 (1,705) 55,612 (5,424) 7.7% 4.6% 36.8% 1.4% 40.3% 87.1% 1.2% 60 7 7 8 12 6 $84,923 113,507 82,479 111,606 56,211 76,877 $96,859 $11,936 111,282 (2,225) 136,113 53,635 134,127 22,521 65,824 9,613 73,478 (3,400) 0.4% 85.0% 0.0% 5.9% 8.7% 62.7% 176 $73,284 $74,532 56.6% $1,247 a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-43 Table 28. Average Annual Wages plus Benefits in Constant 2013 Dollars for Workers Moving from Juneau Year-Round Alaska State Government to Juneau Year-Round Private Sector Jobs in the Same Occupation, 2001-2014, with Test for Paired Differencesa Occupation Code Occupations Female 11 13 31 43 All Occupations Management Business Operations/Financial Specialists Healthcare Support Office and Administrative Support Male All Occupations Management Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Office and Administrative Support Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 11 15 17 43 49 Total All Occupations Count Average Average annual annual wage, state wage, private Average annual wage change Probability difference due to chance 116 5 10 4 81 $66,561 110,125 83,502 48,453 61,715 $60,188 $(6,373) 66,571 (43,555) 91,942 8,440 50,250 1,797 55,171 (6,545) 0.8% 5.6% 39.8% 89.2% 0.2% 60 5 8 8 13 7 $83,589 118,860 76,600 108,219 58,049 77,984 $92,805 120,231 120,867 132,898 64,949 70,812 $9,217 1,371 44,267 24,680 6,900 (7,172) 6.2% 93.2% 0.0% 5.7% 22.8% 27.5% 176 $72,366 $71,308 $(1,058) 65.0% a Occupations with fewer than four transitions are included in the totals but not shown separately, to avoid disclosing confidential information. II-44 Summary of Evidence from Private Sector-State Employment Transitions More often than not, a job transition from one sector to the other was associated with an increase in earnings. As noted above, however, men moving from private to state jobs did not see any significant earnings gain, and women lost considerable earnings when moving from state to private jobs in Juneau. On average, compensation differentials from transitions in one direction were about 12 percent higher across the board than the same differential for transitions in the other direction. Averaging the results from transitions since 2000 in both directions, the results showed that on average, private sector wage scales were 14 percent higher than state wage scales for the occupations most prevalent among state employees. Employee benefits offered in government jobs are typically greater than those offered by private sector employers. However, after accounting for the difference in benefits, we estimate that private sector compensation was on average still 4 percent higher than compensation in state jobs. The figures cited above are averages for all state employees. Underlying these averages, we found significant differences by gender as well as by occupation. Private over state differentials were 2-3 percent higher for men than for women on average when considering wages alone, and 4-5 percent higher when estimated benefits were included. We therefore estimate that private sector wage levels were about 12 percent higher for women and 15 percent higher for men than public sector wage levels. Including benefits, we estimate that total compensation was about 1.5 percent higher in the private sector for women, and about 6 percent higher for men. The fact that private sector compensation generally exceeded compensation in similar state jobs does not necessarily mean that private sector jobs are more attractive overall. The fact that there were many more transitions from private to state employment than the reverse suggests that there are likely other benefits from state jobs that offer a more attractive working environment but do not show up in compensation levels. For example, job security is likely higher in state employment, and other working conditions associated with the represented work force may differ, as far fewer private sector jobs are governed by collective bargaining agreements. The persistently greater private over state compensation differentials for men than for women suggest that these noncompensation employee benefits of state employment may be particularly important to women. Although private sector compensation was on average somewhat higher than compensation in state government positions, we noted important differences among occupations. Positive private sector pay differentials were the most prevalent and largest in management, business and finance, computer, engineering, science, and legal positions. Many more men than women are employed in these professions, tending to reinforce the higher private sector compensation differentials for men. Compensation offered by the State of Alaska for health-care support and food service jobs— occupations with more women than men—was more often higher than in the private sector. The state also offered a compensation advantage for women, but not men, in office occupations. On the other hand, private employers generally paid less than the state for positions in protective service, building and grounds maintenance, and transportation occupations, where most of the workers are men. Many of the occupations with higher state compensation were relatively low paying occupations, while those occupations with the largest private sector advantage were among the highest paid. II-45 Results for state-to-private and private-to-state transitions that did not involve a geographic move uncovered relatively few important geographic differentials. In general, however, private over state pay differentials were higher in Anchorage—where the private sector labor market is the largest and most robust—than in other Alaska communities. The differences by gender showed up most strongly in Juneau, where women fared better in state positions than in private sector positions, while men earned more in the private sector. II-46
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