Pre-Harvest Implications of Growing Social Interest in How Meat is Produced in the U.S. • There is growing US and global public interest in when, where, how and by whom animals that ultimately yield or generate meat, poultry, eggs and/or milk are raised and sustained during their productive lives. G AR Y SM ITH , PH .D . , TEXAS A&M U N IVER SITY AN D C O LO R AD O S TA TE U N IV E R S ITY 68th RECIPROCAL MEAT CONFERENCE • For hundreds of years, almost no one—other than those who domesticated and, since then, supervised them— thought much about how such animals were cared for and managed. • Most folks were just grateful to have such things to eat. • Such is no longer the case. Anthropomorphism • Partially because the entertainment industry humanized almost every animal since the dinosaur, we now have individuals from four full generations of Americans who believe that father mouse talks to mother mouse about which college their offspring should attend. • Historically, farmers/ranchers raised or produced whichever meatanimals they had, under whatever circumstances they could control, and sold them to largely non-discriminating buyers. ex. “Clarabelle the Cow” 1 • About 125 years ago, the markets—responding to consumer desires—began to differentiate among kinds/classes/grades of animals and animal products, predominantly based on differences in age, weight, gender, fatness and/or other quality attributes. • That worked for about a half-century, and then there developed a much more sophisticated value-based marketing scheme. • Mick Colvin and Mel Coleman pioneered concepts of breed and position-in-Grade and raising-conditions as bases for differentiated marketing of beef. 2 Story Beef -- Value Propositions • I'm going to tell you a story about my beef. • My story consists of a number of value propositions (elements that I think are important to you). • Because I do some special things, I must recover special costs of production. Value Propositions Value Propositions can involve quality, palatability, production practices, and real or perceived safety. SOURCE: Gary C. Smith (Colorado State University) March 2006. Non-Conventional Beef Brands -- “Story” Beef • Coleman Natural, Laura’s Lean, Harris Ranch Natural, Maverick Natural•Lite and Bradley 3 Ranch Natural brands of beef demonstrated that there are consumers who are no longer just interested in taste. • A cascade of non-conventional beef brands has followed -- all based on the concept of “story beef” in which the cattle are specially raised. • Included are brands of “Natural,” “Grass-Fed” and “Organic” beef. SOURCE: Gary C. Smith (2007 TAMU Beef Cattle Short Course). What Consumers Want From Food Makers What Consumers Desire From Beef 1984 Taste Convenience Nutrition Variety Price 2009 Those plus social causes, i.e. The Environment Sustainability Animal Welfare • Control (source and story) • Choices (healthy alternatives) • Value (affordable options/attainable luxuries) • Clean (the new “green”) Labels • Information About Where Their Food Comes From • Knowledge of How This Food Was Made SOURCE: John Lundeen (Consumer Beef Index Survey) July 2009. SOURCE: Rita Jane Gabbert, meatingplace, January 28, 2015 quoting Lynn Dornblaser, director of innovation and insight at Mintel. 3 “Fresh” and “Healthy” are emerging food industry buzz words. Americans want their food to be “natural” and certainly not “genetically improved”. • Food providers need to continually reimagine, reinvent and reallocate resources to align their offerings with changing needs of consumers. They’re not much interested in 12 other “better for you” label claims: • reduced fat • light • caffeine-free • reduced cholesterol • diet • low-carb • fortified • low-calorie • organic • sugar-free • reduced sodium • The winning products of 2025 will include not only those that can legitimately be labeled as “natural” or “local,” but also those with “clean labels,” fewer ingredients, less processing and a favorable carbon footprint. • whole-grain SOURCE: Technomic Inc. (May 20, 2015) SOURCE: Prepared Foods (2015); Food Processing (2015) Issues Of Concern To Consumer—Credence Attributes • How animals are cared for and handled. • How a product’s production impacts the environment. • How a product’s production impacts societies. • The products used in the production of food items (e.g., hormones, antibiotics, GMOs, pesticides, fertilizer, etc.) SOURCE: Where Food Comes From®, February 8, 2015 Of these Issues: • which will remain of interest only to those who can afford such discernment? • which will become widespread and mainstream? • which ones will producers and processors ignore at their peril? SOURCE: Rita Jane Gabbert, meatingplace, February 2015 These are Issues currently important to consumers: • local • natural • organic • grass-fed • antibiotic-free • raised without outdoor access • hormone-free • sustainable • raised without sufficient space per animal • humanely slaughtered SOURCE: Rita Jane Gabbert, meatingplace, February 2015 4 Will Shoppers Pay More For Branded Meat? • Now, producers must make decisions regarding which, if any, of currently prevalent desires among potential customers/consumers is a whim, a fad or a likely-to-continue trend—plus, how much of such a product should be offered. Research conducted by Midan Marketing (Chicago, IL) and Shugoll Research (Bethesda, MD) reveals that: • 84% of supermarket shoppers are willing to pay up to 5% more for branded meat. • 55% are okay with paying 20% more. • Conclusion – brand matters. SOURCE: Meat & Poultry (March 2008). Do we take this literally? • 86% of consumers indicated that antibiotic-free meat should be available in their local supermarket. Did they “game” the system? • 72% “Extremely” or “Very” Concerned about overuse of antibiotics in animal feed, including the potential to create antibiotic-resistant “superbugs”. • 60% Concerned with overuse of antibiotics in animal feed on farms raising animals in crowded conditions. SOURCE: Consumers Union (August 2012). SOURCE: Consumers Union (August 2012). Should we believe results of “will-pays”? • 60% said they’d be willing to pay at least 5 cents per pound more for antibiotic-free meat. • Southwest Airlines passengers consistently praise the company for serving good food on its flights—but, in fact, the airline doesn’t serve any food at all. • 37% said they’d be willing to pay 1 dollar or more per pound for antibiotic-free meat. • Research into the accuracy of self-reported data reveals: • the fallibility of memory • the tendency to exaggerate good behavior • the tendency to under-report bad behavior SOURCE: Bopp (2015) citing David Allison, Nutrition Obesity Research Center, University of Alabama-Birmingham, International Journal of Obesity (February 2015) SOURCE: Consumers Union (August 2012). 5 I do not believe that all producers should change their production practices in response to real vs. perceived beliefs/concerns of “experts”, customers or consumers. Although I believe that all meat, poultry, egg and milk producers should follow “best practices” for care/handling of farm animals… I do not believe they all must qualify for the “American Humane Certified” designation, or any other animal welfare certification program that would increase the price of the product at retail. Price/Pound; Kroger Supermarket (College Station TX) February 2015 Ground Beef NY Strip Ribeye $10.49 $11.49 Kroger 90% lean $6.39 Nolan Ryan’sa 90% lean 6.39 11.49 12.49 Laura’s Leanb 92% lean 6.99 13.99 14.99 Laura’s Leanb 17.99 96% lean 7.29 G-Fc 85% lean 6.99 18.99 NR Grass-Fedd 85% lean 7.99 20.99 Organic & aAll Natural bNever Ever 3 cUruguayan • Not all, because meat that is “prescriptively produced” costs more, and not everyone can afford to pay a premium for it. • And, we can’t remove all of the technologies because the supply will decrease, the price will increase, and we won’t be able to help feed a hungry world. 17.99 dDomestic Cost Of Beef Production Without Use Of Modern Technology • Cow/Calf Sector Removal of growth-promotant implants, dewormers and fly control would increase the breakeven price 47%, a value of $274/calf. Estimates Of Cost To Produce “Kinds” Of Harvest Cattle Natural (withdrawal program) $60 / head • Stocking Sector Removal of growth-promotant implants, ionophores, antimicrobial therapy, dewormers and fly control would increase the breakeven price 13%, a value of $95/head. Never Ever 3 $ 110 to 190 / head • Feedlot Sector Removal of growth-promotant implants, ionophores, antimicrobial therapy, beta-agonists and dewormers would increase the breakeven price 13%, a value of $155/head. Organic $ 130 to 260 / head Grass-Fed Organic $ 230 to 300 / head SOURCE: John Lawrence (Iowa State University) September 2009. SOURCES: Five Rivers Feedlots (2006); Charlie Bradbury (2006); Roy Moore (2007); Mike Smith (2008); Larry Corah (2009); Derrell Peel (2009). 6 • I believe that industry should produce some of each commodity that qualifies to be labeled as Natural, Organic, Grass-Fed, Free-Range, Heritage, Humanely Handled, et cetera; but, not all, because we need to allow the marketplace to ration the supply. • I support the concept of advising industry to “make available to the public, a small supply of any kind of meat the public demands, and track/trend it to see if you need to increase the supply.” Kinds of US Steer/Heifer Beef Marketed in the USA • I was in a meeting with folks from Certified Angus Beef on November 12, 2014. • A question was asked—“Is the market for Natural CAB increasing?” • Mark McCully replied, “We sold 6 million pounds of it our first year; more than ten years later, we still sell 6 million pounds per year.” 2004-2007 2014 Conventional 91% 93.72% Natural 8% 4.62% Never Ever 1% 1.15% NHTC Beef <0.1% 0.40% Grass-Fed <0.1% 0.07% Organic <0.1% 0.06% SOURCE: G.C. Smith (2008); Randy Blach (2015) SOURCE: Consumers Union (August 2012). 7
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