Articles Water-Use Sustainability in Socioecological Systems: A Multiscale Integrated Approach Cristina Madrid, Violeta Cabello, and Mario Giampietro Human societies and ecosystems use water in different ways and at different scales, which complicates the study of water-use sustainability in socioecological systems. We present a multiscale integrated assessment of societal and ecosystem metabolism, an innovative approach to the quantitative analysis of water use that addresses the problem of multiple scales. It builds on the concept of metabolic pattern and the flow–fund model of Georgescu-Roegen. We show how to define water resources and water use (expressed in hourly rates) for socioeconomic systems in relation to the identities of relevant fund elements (relevant categories of human activity or land use) over a time span of 1 year. Similarly, we define the limits on the human appropriation of water (aggregate withdrawal or damping per year) on the basis of the structural and functional stability of ecological funds (defined over a much longer time scale) and the related land-use pattern. Keywords: water metabolism, water-use sustainability, multiscale assessment, socioecosystems, MuSIASEM W ater scarcity is a socially driven phenomenon, fed by what Allan (2011) called a “deep social delusion” about water that manifests itself as a mismatch between physical water availability and societal water use. A clear example of this is the location of intensive-irrigation agricultural land or human settlements in deserts. The physical availability of water is determined by broadscale natural dynamics, whereas its use is determined by societal dynamics operating at a much narrower scale. Governance of water resources also has consequences at various scales (Laborte et al. 2007). As a result, quantitative analyses based on the consideration of only a single scale are unlikely to provide an input for the management of water resources that is adequate for both natural and social systems. Several quantitative methods have been proposed to link societal water use to ecosystem impact. However, none of these methods explicitly addresses the issue of scale. The problem is twofold. First, these quantitative methods are deeply rooted in a reductionist approach to the definition of water. In fact, water has different meanings for different actors and scientists in different contexts and levels of analysis. Second, these methods do not bridge the results of the analyses at different levels. An integrated assessment of water use should be able to address the shifting identity of a water mass perceived differently in different contexts. For example, a typical classification of water may define it as either blue or green, depending on its origin (evaporated from surface or groundwater or stored in the soil as moisture, respectively; Falkenmark 1995). However, it is doubtful that this characterization (1 cubic hectometer [hm3] of blue water or 1 hm3 of green water) will always be useful when moving across different contexts and levels of analysis. For example, if we need to check the number of jobs created in the paper sector per liter of water used, the origin of the water is usually not relevant. Yet, the origin of water is relevant for assessing the impact inflicted on the ecosystem. Water extracted from ecosystems can certainly be blue or green, but the potential usefulness of this classification will always depend on both the purpose of the analysis and the final use of this water. Given that social systems can control only (blue) freshwater, this has traditionally been the main indicator used to characterize water use within social systems, and there has been a systemic tendency to ignore green water. The theoretical concept of virtual water (Allan 1998), beyond its operative characterization as the amount of water needed to produce a good or a service, is a step toward the adoption of a more flexible definition of water that is able to connect different perceptions referring to different systems. In fact, by adopting this concept, one can establish a water BioScience 63: 14–24. ISSN 0006-3568, electronic ISSN 1525-3244. © 2013 by American Institute of Biological Sciences. All rights reserved. Request permission to photocopy or reproduce article content at the University of California Press’s Rights and Permissions Web site at www.ucpressjournals.com/ reprintinfo.asp. doi:10.1525/bio.2013.63.1.6 14 BioScience • January 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 1 www.biosciencemag.org Articles interpreted as the possibility of reducing two distinct scales of analysis—the distinct scales required to provide useful representations of ecosystem and societal processes, for example—into a Policy single quantitative representation. Building on the concepts of selfSelection of goals, definition organizing dissipative systems (Prigogine of priorities, 1978), autopoiesis (Maturana and Varela evaluation of results 1980), and evolutionary theory (Weber Political ecology, et al. 1988, Brooks et al. 1989, Depew policy studies, and Weber 1989), pioneers of theoscience for governance retical ecology (Margalef 1968, Odum Social multicriteria 1971, Ulanowicz 1986) have developed evaluation various methodological approaches to Conflict and analyzing, in quantitative terms, the institutional patterns of the flow exchange of matanalysis ter and energy within ecosystems. The rationales of self-organization and autopoiesis are useful for establishing a set of expected relationships between the characteristics of the various parts and subparts and those of the whole ecosystem across hierarchical levels, as is exemplified by the classic ecological representation of trophic structures. In a similar line of thinking, the concept of societal metabolism was introduced in the first half of the twentieth century as a means to study the link between energy use and the expression of societal structures and functions (Zipf 1941, White 1943, Cottrell 1955). Given the growing concern with sustainability, this concept has reemerged in various forms in the more recent literature (Martinez-Alier and Schlüpmann 1987, Fischer-Kowalski 1998, Giampietro et al. 2011). In this case, a set of expected relations between the characteristics of the parts and those of the whole socioeconomic system can also be established when looking at the metabolic patterns of societies (Giampietro et al. 2012). That is, both society and ecosystems can be interpreted as complex, self-organizing, dissipative systems capable of stabilizing their own identity by reproducing a defined metabolic pattern (Giampietro et al. 2011). However, the mechanisms and processes involved in the expression of their respective metabolic patterns are operating at different scales. Therefore, it is impossible to perceive and represent in quantitative terms the process of the self-organization of SESs using a single scale and a single quantitative approach. The MuSIASEM approach has been specifically developed to deal with this impasse. MuSIASEM makes it possible to analyze the metabolic pattern of energy and material flows in society and ecosystems using different scales of analysis and to establish a bridge across these scales in the related sustainability assessments (Giampietro et al. 2011, 2012). In the quantitative analysis of the metabolic pattern of societies, we represent energy and material flows across structures and functions (e.g., houses, crop fields) on a scale that is different from the scale used for the analysis of flows across natural structures and ecological functions (e.g., lakes, aquifers). For Table 1. The different dimensions, issues, and disciplines that need to be addressed in a holistic quantitative analysis of water-use sustainability and the related role of a multiscale integrated analysis of societal and ecosystem metabolism (MuSIASEM). Ecological Social Socioeconomic Issues Water resources (ecological funds) Human appropriation of water (societal flows) Water withdrawal: Water used in the economic process Disciplines Ecology, Earth sciences Engineering, agronomy, industrial ecology Economics, sociology multiscale integrated analysis Tools MuSIASEM MuSIASEM MuSIASEM Output Ecological constraints analysis Biophysical constraints analysis Economic constraints analysis nexus among social systems and between natural and social systems (e.g., the water–food–trade nexus; Allan 2003). In this way, assessments of virtual water are extremely effective in helping people to understand the impacts that water consumption patterns do generate in ecosystems, be they near or far from the place of consumption. The problem of multiple scales is generated by the need to transfer information across levels of representation. The water flows that are relevant for the sustainability of socioecological systems (SESs) can be perceived only at different spatiotemporal scales. To solve this conundrum, we need a more complex approach to effectively integrating the representation of the biophysical, ecological, social, and economic aspects of water use, analyzed at different hierarchical levels and scales, into one coherent and holistic framework. We propose as a solution, in this article, the multiscale integrated analysis of societal and ecosystem metabolism (MuSIASEM), a heuristic method for the integration of the various dimensions, disciplines, and issues involved in such a holistic quantitative analysis (table 1). Linking the analyses of societal and ecosystem metabolism The recent gain in popularity of the notion of SESs underscores the need for a holistic approach to the analysis of the interface between socioeconomic and ecological systems (Berkes and Folke 1998, Young et al. 2006, De Aranzabal et al. 2008). The basic features of SESs, common to the many definitions and interpretations found in the literature, are that human societies are embedded in the ecological processes with which they have strong biophysical ties and that the socioeconomic system and the ecological system in which it is embedded should be considered as one complex adaptive system, which is expected to express nonlinear behavior and, therefore, is difficult to model. Although effective in conveying the need for a holistic approach, the concept of SESs may be misleading if it is www.biosciencemag.org January 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 1 • BioScience 15 Articles example, humanmade water purification systems can make a volume of water drinkable in hours, whereas the natural water cycle might take months or years to do the same. Acknowledging that the study of societal and ecosystem metabolism dictates the use of different scales does not mean that the resulting analyses must be necessarily disconnected. Whenever the same pool of resources is being used by both human societies and ecosystems, competition for its use is practically inevitable. In MuSIASEM, we purposefully establish a relationship between these two nonequivalent quantitative analyses, and therefore, a thorough study of the terms of this competition is warranted. aspects of the SES and show how it works within the society. This analysis links the overall resource consumption of society (level n) to the resource consumption by the various functions (at level n – 1) and structural elements (level n – 2) of society. Levels n, n + 1, and n + 2 describe the functional aspects of the SES and show why the water metabolism in society is possible in the first place. This analysis links society (level n) to the characteristics of its boundary conditions (level n + 1) and the processes guaranteeing the stability of these boundary conditions (level n + 2). Therefore, to check the sustainability of the metabolic pattern of a society, in MuSIASEM, we use representations belonging to two nonequivalent descriptive domains so as to simultaneously assess the desirability of the resource flows for the maintenance of the societal functions and structures (internal triadic reading; levels n, n – 1, n – 2)—the view from the inside—and the feasibility of the metabolic pattern in terms of the compatibility between the structural and functional characteristics of society and the biophysical constraints imposed by the embedding ecosystems (external triadic reading; levels n, n + 1, n + 2)—the view from the outside. Using hierarchy theory to integrate the metabolic pattern across multiple scales Hierarchy theory is the branch of complexity theory dealing with the epistemological implications of multiple scales (Grene 1969, Pattee 1973, Salthe 1985, Allen and Starr 1988, O’Neill 1989). According to hierarchy theory, the same system expresses different identities, depending on the scale at which we observe it. The identity of an observed system can be defined as each of the researcher’s perceptions of the investigated system as an entity distinct from Two additional epistemological problems in the its background and from other systems with which it is assessment of water-use sustainability interacting (Giampietro 2004). Therefore, the identity of There are two additional epistemological predicaments a system depends on the set of selected relevant qualities plaguing the assessment of water-use sustainability and (observable attributes) that are chosen to reflect both the perception and the n n +2 n−2 n−1 n +1 representation of the system. Each system’s identity has an associWater use by society Consumption ated descriptive domain, the domain of (life water) Households reality delimited by the interactions of Surface (blue water) interest (Kampis 1991). This is where Rain we frame our representation of the identity of the observed system. The Agriculture descriptive domain determines the corresponding scale, which is defined as Effluents the extent of the temporal or spatial Soil (green water) boundaries of the description and its Industry resolution (or grain). Therefore, the Percolation coexistence of multiple scales implies Taken from Production ecosystems Services the unavoidable coexistence of non(economy Aquifers Underground water) equivalent descriptive domains that (blue water) transfers cannot be reduced to each other with a formal system of inference (Mandelbrot 1967, Rosen 1985). Triadic reading 1: The external view Triadic reading 2: The internal view Applying these basic concepts to Figure 1. Hierarchical levels establishing a link between the external and the analysis of an SES, we distinguish internal views of societal water metabolism. The semantically open definition five hierarchical levels of organization, of water is shown by the changing role it acquires in the levels of each triadic which are represented in figure 1 as two reading. The labels blue and green water correspond to the water’s origin contiguous triadic readings. The triadic (i.e., evaporated from surface or ground water or stored in the soil as moisture, reading on the right refers to society; respectively). Economy water and life water correspond to the end use that the one on the left refers to the embedwater is given (i.e., the water used for the economic sectors and the water used ding ecosystems. Hierarchical levels n, for drinking and personal care, respectively; Arrojo 2006). n – 1, and n – 2 describe the structural 16 BioScience • January 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 1 www.biosciencemag.org Articles limiting the usefulness of conventional quantitative methods of analysis: (1) how to define a volume of water (the quantity to be measured) as a legitimate flow belonging to a given category (e.g., what should be considered drinking water?) and (2) how to include the external limit represented by ecosystem integrity in the assessment of the maximum flow of water that can be used by society. MuSIASEM employs a semantically open definition of water as a resource. In relation to the first point, the literature on water studies abounds with definitions of the chemical compound water. Depending on the underlying narrative, water is a public good, a cultural element, a trade nexus, or an ecological niche. However, each of these definitions is semantically closed—meaning that each term has a single fixed definition that is related to the narrative and one that is restricted to the scale of the corresponding descriptive domain. Therefore, if we are to analyze water use across different hierarchical levels of organization and scales, we must define in nonequivalent ways what water is and what water does in different descriptive domains. Indeed, Zimmermann (1951) claimed that resources cannot be defined in substantive terms: “Resources are not, they become” (p. 15). A certain amount of an element becomes a resource only when it is able to provide a service to a specified end user. Therefore, a certain volume of water becomes a resource only if its characteristics allow it to do so. For example, for the end use of drinking water, only the volume of water that possesses the set of attributes required for this purpose qualifies as water resource. In line with this thinking, we employ a semantically open approach in our analysis in order to give an identity to volumes of water while moving across hierarchical levels and scales. This means that for different levels of analysis and different potential end users, we must expect to find different definitions of water. This approach allows for a cultural or context-dependent definition of water resource. For example, in Europe, the water of the Ganges River would not meet the safety standards for qualifying as drinking water, but in India, cultural practices or a lack of alternatives create a different picture. In the analytical framework of MuSIASEM, the attributes characterizing a given volume of water as a water resource are therefore defined by the identity of the structural and functional compartments of society using that water. For example, the relatively high heat capacity of water (the attribute) and the need for efficient cooling processes (the end use) define a given waterflow as a resource for thermal power stations (the functional or structural compartment). Within the multiscale analysis, we discover that water resources are used in the process of reproduction by societal functional structures (at one scale), but they are also ecosystem functional structures (at a broader scale). Therefore, our conceptualization of water use does not refer to the use of a given quantity of the chemical element water but to the services that a given volume of water provides for the maintenance of the metabolic pattern of observed systems (either a society or an ecosystem). www.biosciencemag.org Including ecological integrity in the analysis. In relation to the second epistemological problem, Aguilera Klink (1995) proposed that water is an ecosocial asset, because it provides services not only for socioeconomic systems but also for ecosystems. Indeed, there is a wide range of ecohydrological processes that rely on water’s presence (Brauman et al. 2007). As part of these processes, water flows through ecosystems guarantee the integrity of these systems by maintaining their structural and functional relationships, from habitat provision to evapotranspiration. There is no ecosystem on Earth capable of reproducing itself without using water. Indeed, it is the pattern of water availability that delimits the boundary conditions for the maintenance and reproduction of various ecosystem types. The water used by ecosystems is often qualitatively transformed (e.g., in terms of its quantity, quality, temperature, or geographical and temporal reference) in a way that increases its value for human end uses (e.g., drinking, irrigation, regulation of flows, hydroelectric power), thus making it a resource for social purposes. This process allows the provision of water’s ecosystem services (Willaarts et al. 2012). Therefore, the interaction between the water cycle and ecosystems contributes to the supply of water resources to society and is crucial to water-use sustainability. Georgescu-Roegen’s flow–fund model to frame the quantitative analysis of water use in MuSIASEM As was argued above, the simultaneous adoption of nonequivalent descriptive domains demands the use of semantically open definitions of useful water. For dealing with these scale issues, Georgescu-Roegen (1971) proposed the flow–fund model for the quantitative analysis of the biophysical processes underlying the functioning of a modern economy. MuSIASEM uses this flow–fund model to provide both a semantic criterion to define the identities of the elements of the system across scales and a formal criterion to represent the relationships among them (Giampietro et al. 2011). A semantic criterion to define the identity of elements across scales In the MuSIASEM approach, fund elements are those elements of the observed system that remain the same across the duration of the analysis (the extent of the chosen scale). They represent what the system is and what the system is made of. The idea of sustainability implies that these elements are reproduced in the metabolic process. Flow elements, on the other hand, are those elements that appear or disappear over the duration of the analysis (outputs that are generated, inputs that are consumed). They tell us what the system does with regard to the interaction with the context (at the large scale) and that among its internal components (at the local scale) (Giampietro et al. 2011). The question of whether a given element, in this case water, should be classified as a fund or as a flow in the analytical representation of societal metabolism depends on January 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 1 • BioScience 17 Articles the chosen scale (i.e., the extent and grain) of the analysis (Georgescu-Roegen 1971). When the required property of a given volume of water is compromised during the time scale of the analysis by its use, it must be considered a flow; otherwise, it is a fund. Normally, social uses of water belong to the category flow, because one or more water attributes are lost in order to create economic value or to maintain the social funds (e.g., water losing gravitational energy in a hydroelectric plant, water becoming polluted because of its use for cleaning, water evaporating or percolating away after irrigation). However, there are rare cases in which water can be considered a fund for social systems, such as ponds and artificial lakes used for cultural or recreational purposes. Given that the distinction between fund and flow is semantic, the same water volume can be perceived as a fund or as a flow depending on the attributes and scale considered. For example, a volume of water drawn from a river for irrigation is a flow that explains what the agricultural system of a society does (narrow scale). On the contrary, the water of that same river is a fund that expresses the identity of a lotic ecosystem (broad scale). This semantic ambiguity in the definition of fund and flow elements makes it possible to study the competition for the use of water between the two systems. Indeed, in the analysis of the metabolic pattern of ecosystems, the predictable flow regime of water in a river is a fund for the ecosystem that needs that water to express the ecosystem’s functions and preserve its biodiversity. A stable identity of the ecological fund elements (e.g., rivers, lakes, aquifers) does require a regulation of the input (e.g., affluents) in relation to the output (e.g., effluents). At the global scale, this regulation is enforced by the water cycle in its interaction with ecosystems. It determines the set of ecological water funds from which humans can derive their water flows. Formal criteria and quantitative indicators to represent expected relationships between flows and funds. The relationship between flows and funds has to be defined in qualitative and quantitative terms. In relation to the qualitative aspects, the flow–fund model indicates that in any metabolic system, the identity of a flow depends on its end use, which is fund specific. This expected relationship determines which water flows are admissible in the accounting. For example, drinking water (flow) for humans (fund) must satisfy certain criteria (e.g., the absence of toxic substances and harmful micro organisms) and so must irrigation water (flow) for crop plants (socioeconomic fund elements; e.g., salinity level). In relation to the quantitative aspects, the nature of metabolic systems allows us to define admissible values for the flow:fund ratios that will guarantee the survival or reproduction of the fund elements included in the analysis (e.g., humans, plants, rivers). For example, humans must consume, on average, about 2 liters of drinking water per day per person—not much more and not much less; different types of crops require different quantities of irrigation water per hectare; a freshwater ecosystem in a river needs a minimum flow of water going through it. 18 BioScience • January 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 1 Therefore, a sound analysis of water-use sustainability requires us to make informed preanalytical choices of relevant qualitative semantic attributes (e.g., what we mean by economically “cheap” water) and related formal quantitative attributes (e.g., the cost of 1 cubic meter [m3] of water expressed in a given currency) to be used as indicators that will make it possible to properly track qualitative and quantitative changes in the flow and fund elements within a given metabolic pattern. Indeed, within the analytical framework of MuSIASEM, sustainability is closely related to the maintenance of the characteristics of the water flows within their admissible ranges (qualitative check) and the flow:fund ratios within the viable and feasible limits (quantitative check). A flow extraction should not cause a permanent reduction (i.e., a quantitative change) in or damage (i.e., a qualitative change) to the fund elements that it feeds. Therefore, the flow–fund model allows us to visualize, quantify, and explain the nonequivalent roles that water plays in the metabolic pattern of society and ecosystems across scales and, therefore, to better explore the nexus and competition between socioeconomic and ecological processes. Making the flow–fund model operational within MuSIASEM. The preanalytical choice of defining a given volume of water as either a flow or a fund determines the selection of the indicators of water use that will be included in our MuSIASEM. These indicators consist of a system of measurable benchmarks that are able to characterize changes in the relevant system structures and functions. For the indicators to be defined, we must therefore properly identify the fund elements that describe the end uses of water and the semantic qualitative criteria that delineate what kind of water should be considered a water resource to those ends. The identification of these criteria allows us to assign relevant semantic attributes to the flow elements. The formal quantitative criteria that define how much water is needed for stabilizing the societal and ecological metabolic patterns and that thus allow us to establish the relative size of the fund elements in the form of indicators, such as hours of human activity devoted to maintain a certain social function or cultivated area, should also be identified. With all this said, the preanalytical choice of qualitative criteria, attributes, and indicators obviously depend on the purpose of the study and the specific characteristics of the investigated SES. In figure 2, we give an example of how to proceed with these preanalytical choices using a multicriteria approach. Here, an integrated set of criteria, semantic attributes, and quantitative indicators of water-use sustainability is shown in the form of a radar diagram organized around two perpendicular axes. To the left of the vertical axis, we have information about the metabolic pattern of the embedding ecosystems; to the right, we have information about the metabolic pattern of the socioeconomic system. Above the horizontal axis, we have the qualitative aspect of the www.biosciencemag.org Articles Figure 2. Definition of a set of formal attributes and indicators in the preanalytical step of a multiscale integrated analysis of water-use sustainability. The location in the radar indicates the desirability of the situation. analysis (the choice of attributes and indicators); below it is the quantitative aspect (the resulting assessment of quantities). The indicators shown have been assigned a value (the black squares in the radar diagram) and a related meaning (depending on its position in the viability domain: The further from the center it is, the better its performance is). In the lower part of figure 2, we see that the preanalytical definition of fund elements (either human activity on the right or water bodies on the left) allows us to formalize the considered situation in quantitative terms. For instance, in this example, we see that water withdrawal from rivers is excessive (the indicator shows a negative effect on this fund element), water use by the residential sector satisfies the needs, and the agricultural sector has plenty of water for irrigation. In this particular example (figure 2), the value taken on by the various indicators is characterized according to the flag model (Gomiero and Giampietro 2005). In this model, for each one of the chosen attributes, we select an indicator or proxy variable (e.g., for the semantic attribute nutrient concentration, we select the formal attribute nitrogen concentration) and define the related viability domain (the minimum or maximum acceptable values) and a range of desirable values, represented here by the different gray circles at the center. As a result, we test the desirability of the actual supply of water flows in relation to the various end uses in a society www.biosciencemag.org (a check on the internal constraints) in qualitative (upper part) and quantitative terms (lower part). The feasibility of this metabolic pattern of water use in relation to the external constraints imposed by the ecosystem metabolism can be verified by assessing the impact of water withdrawal (defined in quantity and quality) by society on the stability of the ecological funds. This integrated characterization is useful for studying whether human water withdrawal compromises the integrity of the ecosystem. For the water used in the economic process, the attributes defining its role as an input flow are determined by preferences and regulations set by social institutions (such as laws or market transactions). Because water is used in different economic sectors and within these sectors for many different purposes and functions, it is often impossible to define in substantive terms its optimal use, even when considering only societal meta bolism. The consideration of water as a resource for ecosystems hinders a consensus on it even more, because it is virtually impossible to achieve full agreement on the quantification of the biophysical limits of water appropriation by society, on the damage that human water use causes, or on the desirability of the preservation of the identity (i.e., the key characteristics) of ecological funds (e.g., lakes, rivers, aquifers). Therefore, a proper multicriteria frame, as is shown in figure 2, requires us to carefully go through the following January 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 1 • BioScience 19 Articles steps: selection of relevant criteria, identification of relevant attributes, choice of indicators, gathering of data, definition of viability and desirability, evaluation of trade-offs, and iteration of the whole process to increase its quality (Nijkamp et al. 1990, Vincke 1992, Allen et al. 2003). Carrying out this kind of analysis in a technocratic way by experts alone is not possible. The effort requires participatory approaches to handle the unavoidable presence of legitimate but contrasting perceptions and of large doses of uncertainty in relation to the quantitative representation (Funtowicz and Ravetz 1990, Checkland and Scholes 1999, Munda 2008). A bridge between nonequivalent representations of water metabolism on different scales We show here the steps of constructing a multiscale integrated assessment of the water metabolism of SESs on the basis of two nonequivalent representations of the metabolic pattern of water at two different scales: societal metabolism and ecosystem metabolism. Adopting the small scale: The water metabolism of society seen from the inside. In figure 3, we bring in focus the water metabolism of society, adopting the internal view. The data presented refer to the Catalonia region of Spain in 2007. This view corresponds to a socioeconomic taxonomy of relevant fund and flow categories for the accounting. The time span of this representation is 1 year (extent), and the resolution (grain) for the analysis of flows across fund elements is 1 hour. The total water appropriated by society (at level n) is extracted from water funds and amounts to 2956 hm3 per year. This indicator is useful for studying the compatibility between internal and external constraints because it lies on the interface of the internal and external triadic reading. This same volume of water can also be expressed, within the internal triadic reading, as a rate of water use of 51 liters (L) per hour of human activity per year (equivalent to 1224 L per capita per day); this is the flow sustaining the human population. To establish a relationship between the overall flow of water at level n and the water flows at lower levels n – i, we map the water flows onto the fund element human activity. This fund element provides the structural frame of our assessment of the internal view. It serves this purpose well, because a structural and functional subdivision of society on the basis of human activity corresponds accurately to the various socioeconomic Figure 3. The internal view: Water withdrawal and use in the Catalonia region of Spain in 2007 by economic sectors. The data are from water-use surveys of the Spanish National Statistics Institute. Abbreviations: AGR, agriculture; HH, households; hm3, cubic hectometers; IND, industry; L, liters; m3, cubic meters; PW, paid work; SG, services and government. The economic productivity of labor is represented in black. The water-use rate is in gray. 20 BioScience • January 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 1 www.biosciencemag.org Articles end uses of water. In our example (figure 3), the total number of hours of human activity per year of the whole society are split between the household sector and the paid work sector at level n – 1. The human activity in the paid work sector is then further divided at level n – 2 among the agricultural, industrial, and service and government sectors. The empirical data of figure 3 show that the total flow of water use is largely determined by the water use in the paid work sector and only marginally affected by the household sector. Of the paid work sector, the agricultural sector accounts for the lion’s share— more than 70% of the total water use. This representation of the societal water metabolism is focused on the direct uses of water under human control and is therefore limited to the withdrawal of water from superficial and subterranean water, the reuse of water, and water from desalination. As part of this internal view, we can also simultaneously assess flows of water and money (defined over the same fund elements) so as to provide information on the economic performance of water flows. This latter indicator is an essential piece of information for a holistic assessment of the water metabolism of SESs and for economic policymaking. In figure 4, which shows the metabolic pattern of water use in Catalonia for the period of 2000–2008, we illustrate how to obtain this information. On the vertical axis, we have the water-use rate (in m3 per hour of human activity), and on the horizontal axis is the economic labor productivity (in euros []) of gross value added per hour of human activity). We see here again that water resources are used at markedly different rates by the various economic sectors (be aware that the graph has a logarithmic scale). We also see that the sector with the highest hourly water-use rate (agriculture) has the lowest economic productivity per hour. Indeed, the economic Water-use rate (cubic meters per hour) 100 10 1 0.1 0.01 0.001 0 HH 5 10 15 20 25 30 Economic productivity of labor (gross value added, per hour) CAT AGR PW IND SG Figure 4. Metabolic performance of different societal functions in the Catalonia region of Spain in 2007. The data are from water-use surveys of the Spanish National Statistics Institute. Abbreviations: AGR, agriculture; CAT, the entire Catalonia region; HH, households; IND, industry; PW, paid work; SG, services and government. www.biosciencemag.org performance of water use in the agriculture sector is a mere 1 /m3, whereas the industrial and service and government sectors reach values of, respectively, 224 and 916 /m3 (also see figure 3). Note that the water resources used by the various economic sectors shown are defined in different ways. For instance, water used at the household level has different attributes from water used in the agricultural sector. Adopting the large scale: View of society interacting with the embedding ecosystems. The price to pay for seeing the dynamics of the water metabolism within the society (the internal socioeconomic perception) is the adoption of a scale that does not allow us to see the water dynamics of the embedding ecosystems or the relationship between the local ecosystems and the larger water cycle. In figure 5, we focus on the water metabolism of the ecosystems embedding society, adopting the external triadic reading (also see figure 1). Ecological fund elements, such as lakes, rivers, and aquifers, form the structural and functional compartments of the ecological processes operating at levels n + i. Accordingly, in this representation, water volumes are mapped and accounted for in spatial terms (instead of in hours of human activity). The time extent of this representation is necessarily much broader than 1 year—from decades to thousands of years, depending on the type of ecosystem under analysis—and it is required to define a stable identity of the ecological funds. Therefore, the temporal resolution (grain) of the analysis of ecosystem metabolism must also be much higher than the one used for the analysis of societal metabolism. In order to establish an interface between the two quantitative analyses and their corresponding scales, we set the resolution for the analysis of ecosystem metabolism at 1 year so that it matches the extent of the analysis of societal metabolism. In this way, the total amount of water required or used by society in 1 year (defined at level n, the interface; see figures 1, 3, and 5) can be represented at the larger scale as an appropriation rate from ecological fund elements (figure 5). On this larger scale, we prefer to define water use as the amount of water appropriated by humans, rather than simply as the amount of water withdrawn (figure 5). This is to emphasize the analogy with the concept of human appropriation of net primary productivity suggested by Vitousek and colleagues (1986). Indeed, human appropriation of water from the fund elements of the ecosystem may have serious consequences on the water cycle at the larger scale if it destabilizes the integrity of local ecosystems (e.g., extensive deforestation, severe river decline). The stabilization of favorable boundary conditions for the expression of both societal and ecosystem metabolism ultimately depends on the global water cycle. The global water cycle is essential for the regulation of the temperature on Earth and for the stabilization of aquifers, rivers, lakes, and seas. It is undoubtedly one of the most important metabolic patterns expressed by our planet. Indeed, the maintenance of the water cycle requires a huge flow January 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 1 • BioScience 21 Articles Figure 5. The external view: The effects of the human appropriation of water in Catalonia in 2007 over the Ebro Basin and the Internal Basins of Catalonia (CIC). The data are from water surveys of the Spanish National Statistics Institute and the Catalan Water Agency. The white arrows represent the water use for refrigeration. Abbreviations: AGR, agriculture; HH, households; hm3, cubic hectometers; IND, industry; popul., population; SG, services and government. A darker color indicates the water’s loss of an ability to provide services. The water cycle renews the water resources that arrive to the ecological funds. of energy—44,000 terawatts (TW), or one-third of the total solar energy reaching Earth (Taube 1985)—to keep in motion and to thereby recover the water resources degraded by the social system. This quantity is 2750 times the total amount of energy controlled by humankind in 2010, which was around 16 TW, or 504 exajoules per year (BP 2012). This enormous difference between the amount of energy used by nature for the water cycle and that used (i.e., controlled) by societies for their own metabolism explains why the vast majority of the processes determining the supply of freshwater for societal uses are beyond direct human control. In fact, only desalination and water treatment for reuse take place within the metabolic pattern of society. Nonetheless, because of their huge energy and capital cost, these activities account for only a negligible fraction of the water consumed by society. How bridging scales can make a difference. The gap between the time horizons at which we are able to visualize the effects of water use on the economy (the shorter horizon) and on the 22 BioScience • January 2013 / Vol. 63 No. 1 embedding ecosystems (the longer horizon) often makes it difficult to conduct a comprehensive evaluation of policies with a national or regional scope having influence on water use. An analysis of the relationships between the water funds providing the identity of the ecological systems (figure 5) and the water flows used by society (figure 3) can be extremely helpful in this regard. We illustrate this with an example from “vegetable factory” greenhouses located close to the Tabernas Desert in the province of Almeria, in southern Spain. In this area, the high percentage of agricultural lands irrigated with groundwater (around 80%; Consejería de Agricultura y Pesca 2011) is a consequence of the low average rainfall in the region (around 190 millimeters per year; AEMET 2012). A shortterm, technical analysis of water use as a productive factor has led local greenhouse producers and managers in Almeria to achieve the highest efficiency in irrigation in Europe (Contreras 2002). However, the long-term effect of this technological improvement has been shown to be a classic case of the Jevons paradox (Polimeni et al. 2008): In the case www.biosciencemag.org Articles of Almeria, it has indeed led to a rapid expansion of greenhouses in the region and a concomitant increase in total water use with disastrous effects for local water funds and ecosystems. The enhanced economic performance of water use in agriculture has marginalized its role in reproducing ecosystem funds (i.e., ecological structures and functions) with the result that, now, most of the rivers and aquifers in that region are declared to be in a situation of risk under the regulations of the European Water Framework Directive (see supplemental material, available online at http://dx.doi. org/10.1525/bio.2013.63.1.6). The MuSIASEM approach can help avoid a situation like the one in Almeria by bridging the two scales mentioned. This means that the flows of water use in society are mapped against relevant categories of land uses in addition to relevant categories of human activity. Given that water availability has a quite fixed geographical reference, the geographical link between the water funds and water flows provided by the analysis of the land-use patterns becomes crucial in avoiding such situations. Within the MuSIASEM approach, we can distinguish between the natural landcover, which uses water as a fund, and the human-driven land uses, in which human colonization defines the role of water as a flow. The study of the bridged triadic readings proposed here would have shown the unsustainability of the increment on irrigation land for greenhouse production and would have led to policy advice against this option. Conclusions The analysis of the metabolic pattern of water allows us to handle nonequivalent definitions of water as a resource for the reproduction of socioeconomic fund elements and ecosystem fund elements. The chemical element water per se does not possess any attributes that permit us to define its usefulness for either society or ecosystems. It is the definition of water as “becoming a resource” in relation to a specified end use that makes it possible to describe a set of expected characteristics for water flows for different types of autopoietic processes. By adopting this approach, the qualitative and cultural aspects of societies can be included in the definition of water resources and, for that reason, in the quantitative assessment of water use. An integrated quantitative characterization of the pros and cons of water use should always address the societal metabolic pattern and the corresponding desirability of societal water use: How and why is a society using water (as a flow element) inside the economic process? The ecosystem metabolic pattern and the corresponding viability of societal water use must be addressed: How and why do the embedding ecosystems (as fund elements) and other biophysical conditions impose external constraints on the societal use of water? These two metabolic patterns must be studied at different scales. When water is considered as a resource for society (a flow element used to reproduce societal funds), the attributes of performance defining its quality depend on www.biosciencemag.org the functions or end uses that are essential or desirable for society. The resulting quantitative analysis corresponds to a descriptive domain with a time span of 1 year (because of statistical constraints) and a grain of 1 hour. However, when water is considered as a resource for ecosystems (a fund needed for guaranteeing the stability of ecosystem metabolism), the preservation of the identity (i.e., the key characteristics) of the ecological funds (e.g., lakes, rivers, aquifers) is the criterion that determines the biophysical limits to water appropriation by society. The resulting quantitative analysis corresponds to a descriptive domain with a much larger time span (e.g., decades, centuries) and a grain of 1 year. An integrated analysis of SESs necessarily employs indicators that are defined across nonequivalent descriptive domains. As a consequence, we cannot rely on reductionist models and protocols (of the one-size-fits-all variety). 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Mario Giampietro’s primary affiliation is with the Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies (ICREA). Violeta Cabello is affiliated with the Department of Human Geography at the University of Seville, Spain. www.biosciencemag.org
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