Global Ecology and Biogeography, (Global Ecol. Biogeogr.) (2008) 17, 284–296 Blackwell Publishing Ltd RESEARCH PAPER Revealing biogeographical patterns by nonlinear ordinations and derived anisotropic spatial filters Miguel D. Mahecha1,2* and Sebastian Schmidtlein3 1 Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, PO Box 10 01 64, 07701 Jena, Germany, 2Ecological Modelling, University of Bayreuth, 95440 Bayreuth, Germany, 3Vegetation Geography, Institute of Geography, University of Bonn, 53115 Bonn, Germany ABSTRACT Aim Spatial floristic and faunistic data bases promote the investigation of biogeographical gradients in relation to environmental determinants on regional to continental scales. Our aim was to extract major gradients in the distribution of vascular plant species from a grid-based inventory (the German FLORKART data base) and relate them to long-term precipitation and temperature records as well as soil conditions. We present an ordination technique capable of coping with this complex data array. The goal was also to sort out the influence of spatial autocorrelation, assuming floristic autocorrelation is anisotropic. Location Germany, at a spatial resolution of 6′ × 10′. Methods Isometric feature mapping (Isomap) was applied as a nonlinear ordination method. Isomap was coupled to ‘eigenvector-based filters’ for generating spatial reference models representing spatial autocorrelation. What is novel here is that the derived filters are not based on the assumption of equidirectional autocorrelation. Instead, the so-called ‘principal coordinates of anisotropic neighbour matrices’ build filters to test the influence of geographical vicinity in directions of high similarity among observations. Results The Isomap ordination of floristic data explained more than 95% of the data variance in six dimensions. The leading two dimensions (representing about 80% of the FLORKART data variance) revealed clear spatial gradients that could be related to independent effects of temperature, precipitation and soil observations. By contrast, the third and higher FLORKART dimensions were dominated by an antagonism of anisotropic spatial autocorrelation and soil conditions. A subsequent cluster analysis of the floristic Isomap coordinates educed the spatial organization of the floristic survey, indicating a considerable sampling bias. Conclusions We showed that Isomap provides a consistent methodical framework for both ordination and derived spatial filters. The technique is useful for tracing the often nonlinear features of species occurrence data to environmental drivers, taking into account anisotropic spatial autocorrelation. We also showed that sampling biases are a conspicuous source of variance in a frequently used floristic data base. *Correspondence: Miguel D. Mahecha, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, PO Box 10 01 64, 07701 Jena, Germany. E-mail: [email protected]. Web site: http://www.bgc.mpg.de/bgc-mdi/ Keywords Anisotropic spatial autocorrelation, floristic survey, FLORKART, Germany, hierarchical variance partitioning, Isomap, nonlinear dimensionality reduction, PC(An)NM, sampling artefacts. INTRODUCTION Over the course of the last decades, a variety of floristic and vegetation data bases have been set up comprising species occurrence data on regional to continental scales (e.g. Jalas et al., 284 1972–1999; Mucina et al., 1993; Myklestad & Birks, 1993; Chytry & Rafajová, 2003; Fridley et al., 2005; Bekker et al., 2007). Such data collections have provided an important insight, revealing how major biogeographical patterns are related to environmental determinants (e.g. Kühn et al., 2006; Whittaker et al., 2007). The DOI: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2007.00368.x © 2007 The Authors Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd www.blackwellpublishing.com/geb Spatial pattern extraction by Isomap dimensionality of macroecological data bases is typically high, ranging from several hundred to several thousand taxonomic units on spatial entities. Owing to redundancies in this information, an assessment of the underlying environmental patterns is potentiated by steps of data aggregation or dimensionality reduction. The latter is possible, for example by means of ordination methods (McCune & Grace, 2002). The most popular ordination methods are principal components analysis (PCA), classical multidimensional scaling (CMDS, also called principal coordinate analysis or PCoA), and correspondence analysis (CA, and derived algorithms), all of which are restricted to linear feature extraction (Legendre & Legendre, 1998). From a mathematical perspective, these methods follow very similar analysis schemes (Borg & Groenen, 1997): ecological data are usually organized in matrices describing observations of species occurrences or values of other variables on spatial samples. Thus, the starting point is always the construction of a matrix expressing sample distances, correlations or covariances. In biogeography this usually refers to the ecological site-to-site distances or β-diversity inferred from varying species compositions. The resulting distances are then used to represent the samples by a set of a few independent eigenvectors, permitting further direct interpretations and avoiding redundancies and collinearities. Differences between ordination methods are primarily due to different metrics of sample distances and different subsequent transformation procedures before mapping the data to the so-called ordination space (Legendre & Legendre, 1998; Cox & Cox, 2001). It was recognized early on (e.g. Kendall, 1975) that ordinations based on linear distance matrices are plagued by artefacts, often summarized as the ‘horseshoe effect.’ Especially for data sets with overall high values of β-diversity or ‘gradient length’ (McCune & Grace, 2002), linear ordinations of vegetation data, based on subsequent eigenvector embeddings as well as their derivates (e.g. DCA), are known to produce unsatisfactory results (Minchin, 1987). One problem is that sites that do not comprise common species are uniformly set to maximum distance (Williamson, 1978). This does not take into account the fact that such sites could be considered more or less similar in terms of composition: two places without actual co-occurrences may feature more or fewer taxa associated in other places. Ignoring these indirect affinities is a problem, in particular when data from large areas include distinct floras. Williamson (1978) proposed a very simple heuristic alternative to this problem. According to his approach, it is only justified to express the distance between two sites by a linear measurement if they comprise at least one common species occurrence. All other sites could be connected across shared, linked sites. The distance between two sites without common species is then represented by the smallest sum of distances across connected sites. Using this so-called ‘step-across’ approach, Williamson (1978) computed a largely nonlinear distance matrix from all shortest-path connections of the sample set, which allows two sites without common species occurrences to still be ‘close’ in terms of their β-diversity. The resulting nonlinear distance matrix is subjected to CMDS. Since CMDS finds a low-dimensional ordination space that best preserves the input metric (de Silva & Tenenbaum, 2002), Williamson found an easy way for nonlinear dimensionality reduction. The ‘step-across’ idea was later taken up and slightly modified by Bradfield and Kenkel (1987) and reformulated by De’ath (1999a) as ‘extended dissimilarities’. Unfortunately, these methodological advances derived from graph-theoretical considerations have not yet found their way into the literature on ordination in applied ecological studies. Tenenbaum (1998) and Tenenbaum et al. (2000) developed ‘isometric feature mapping’ (Isomap), which can be seen as a generalized reinvention of Williamsons’ method, as it relies on similar assumptions. Although there are no cross-relationships documented in the literature, Isomap can be classified a successor of ‘step-across’ ordination by providing the natural extension to any distance metric in arbitrary fields of applications. This general formulation implies several advantages in terms of mathematical elegance and convergence (Bernstein et al., 2000). The strengths of Williamson’s method are preserved: the method is non-iterative and based on a spectral decomposition of the estimated nonlinear distance matrix. Isomap has proved to be very useful for analysing highdimensional vegetation data at the site level (Mahecha et al., 2007). The primary goal of this study is to investigate the potential of Isomap in the context of a typical macroecological problem: to extract and to relate major patterns from both biogeographical and environmental data bases. Throughout this analysis it is crucial to take into consideration that the target data (which are species occurrences here) are spatially autocorrelated. This effect is partly induced by the spatially structured environment and partly an intrinsic property due to space-dependent biotic strategies (Legendre, 1993, Dray et al., 2006). Separating the fraction related to known environmental determinants from other sources of spatial variation deserves special attention (Borcard & Legendre, 2002; Diniz-Filho & Bini, 2005; Wagner & Fortin, 2005; Kühn, 2007). For this, the spatial structure of the analysed data collection needs to be specifically addressed in all data-driven modelling tasks to avoid both an overestimation of the explanatory power of environmental determinants and insufficient model performance inducing spatially autocorrelated model residuals (Griffith & Peres-Neto, 2006). One successful method for generating such reference filters for biogeographical data is ‘principal coordinates of neighbour matrices’ (PCNM; Borcard & Legendre, 2002), also known as ‘eigenvector-based spatial filters’ (Diniz-Filho & Bini, 2005). PCNM and recent extensions (e.g. Dray et al., 2006; Griffith & Peres-Neto, 2006) make use of CMDS (or PCoA), which performs the dimensionality reduction in Isomap. The PCNM method assumes that the intensity of intrinsic autocorrelations acts independently of geographical directions; this assumption is referred to as ‘isotropic’. Instead, we propose here a novel way of constructing eigenvector-based spatial filters by deriving them from a preceding Isomap ordination. This extended PCNM variant is capable of capturing the spatial anisotropy of autocorrelation. This means that the derived filters are not merely based on distances between neighbouring observations but on distances in the direction of maximum © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd 285 M. D. Mahecha and S. Schmidtlein similarity among observations. Together with the Isomap ordination, the method provides a coherent methodical framework for biogeographical data analysis. DATA AND METHODS Data The present study investigates the FLORKART data base, which is the outcome of a cumulative mapping project involving literature reviews and thousands of voluntary surveyors in several organizational subunits (Haeupler & Schönfelder, 1989). FLORKART contains grid-based vascular plant species counts for Germany, which have proved to be of significant value for biogeographical analyses in terms of derived attributes (e.g. Kühn et al., 2004; Schmidtlein, 2004; Kühn et al., 2006). The floristic records include species data at all taxonomic levels, including subspecies and aggregates. For this study, the data base was completely revised and records were considered at the species level. The resulting data contained presence–absence data for 3917 vascular plant species recorded between 1950 and 2000. The majority of the data were collected between 1980 and 1990. The array is denoted here as an (S × N) matrix X, where S is the number of spatial elements and N is the number of species. The vectors Xi represent spatial polygons, covering Germany at a resolution of 6′ × 10′. For our purposes, cells with less than 50% of their area within Germany or fewer than 100 records were considered insufficiently mapped and therefore excluded. The remaining 2762 cells contained 1,794,758 records, each indicating the presence of one species in a polygonal cell. We used the so-called CRU–PIK climate data for obtaining long-term records of temperature and precipitation. These data rely on a data set from the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia, UK (CRU; New et al., 2002) and were adjusted in order to remove temporal inconsistencies at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK; Österle et al., 2003). The spatial resolution of the data is 0.5° × 0.5° in space. For each spatial grid cell, the data comprise monthly mean air temperatures and monthly mean precipitation for the period 1900 – 2003. The CRU–PIK data were transformed to zero mean and unit variance. A soil data matrix on the FLORKART grid was derived from the digital version of the German soil map 1:1,000,000 (Hartwich et al., 1995), which differentiates 72 categorical soil–landscape units characterized by individual combinations of soil types. Fractions of spatial cover of these units were derived for each FLORKART grid cell. Isometric feature mapping: Isomap Tenenbaum (1998) and Tenenbaum et al. (2000) introduced Isomap as a nonlinear generalization of CMDS. As already established by Williamson (1978), CMDS preserves a given input metric in the course of reduction of dimensionality. Thus, the derivation of an appropriate distance matrix from the original data array is pivotal. In accordance with the ‘step-across’ method of Williamson (1978), the basic idea in Isomap is that the 286 relationship between similar points can be described by their linear distances, whereas that between faraway points connected by underlying nonlinearities cannot. Consequently, the initial step in Isomap is to construct a matrix of linear interpoint (X) distances, here denoted as D(X) = { di , j } (Fig. 1a,b). These initial (X) distances di , j are normally the Euclidean interpoint distances, e.g. for the environmental data sets in the present case. However, when dealing with binary data such as the FLORKART species records, it is customary in ecology to use the square-root of a Sørensen-based distance function defined by (X) di , j = 1 − 2a . 2a + b + c Here a denotes the number of species that occur at both sites i and j, b is the number of species that occur only at site i, and c is the number of species that occur only at site j. The introduction of the square root is necessary to obtain a fully Euclidean distance metric (Legendre & Legendre, 1998). Now, because linear distances underestimate the ‘true’ sample distance in the presence of nonlinearities, the main goal is to approximate the distance on the underlying manifold. For this, a threshold parameter is introduced that can be a number of nearest neighbours (k-NN) or a radius (ε) in the Euclidean space. Two points are connected linearly only if one is considered a nearest neighbour of the other or if their distance is equal to or less than ε. The identified locally linear connectivities are stored in an S × S adjacency matrix E (where ei,j = 1 indicates a firstorder link between the points (i and j) and ei,j = 0 the opposite; Fig. 1c). Interpoint distances that are not directly linked through an edge ei,j are subsequently connected across other samples. Isomap sets up an undirected graph were the edges are (X) weighted by the locally linear distances, di , j . The final distance (G) (G) matrix D = { di , j } is computed as shortest-path connections on the constructed neighbourhood graph, usually identified by Dijkstra’s algorithm (Dijkstra, 1959). Figure 1(d) shows how the distance between two points (n, m) in a sample data set produced by a one-dimensional manifold (nonlinearly embedded in a two-dimensional space) might be drastically underestimated if the points are linearly connected. It can be seen that the shortest path on the respective Isomap graph could provide an acceptable proxy for the ‘geodesic’ distance. The geodesic distance matrix (D(G); Fig. 1d) is subjected to CMDS to map the data points to a low-dimensional ordination space. CMDS double-centres the distance matrix and decomposes the new matrix to its eigenvalues and eigenvectors. The ordination axes Yi, also called ‘principal coordinates’, are determined as eigenvectors scaled by the square root of their corresponding (non-negative) eigenvalues (Borg & Groenen, 1997; Cox & Cox, 2001). The critical step in Isomap is the heuristic setting of the above-mentioned threshold parameter ε or k. A trade-off has to be made between a small threshold value, reducing connectivity between entities (and maximizing nonlinearity), and a sufficiently large value to warrant the overall graph connection. The optimal threshold parameter emerges as a maximum of explained variance when the threshold parameter is varied systematically © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd Spatial pattern extraction by Isomap Figure 1 The k-Isomap method visualized as a methodological flow chart. (a) The initial data array is denoted here as an S × N matrix X, where S is the number of spatial elements and N is the number of species. Based on the matrix X a symmetric S × S distance matrix D(X) is constructed (b). The introduction of a nearest-neighbour (NN) parameter k then allows constructing an undirected k-NN graph, where the edges E are shown in (c). The graph weights are set to the linear interpoint distance. Finding the shortest path of all point-wise connections, (d), creates a new matrix of geodesic interpoint distances D(G). Based on this nonlinear distance structure, a low-dimensional representation of the data metric in the ordination space is found by means of classical multidimensional scaling (CMDS). The ordination space is spanned by the Isomap coordinates Yi, where the index i indicates the rank order of the sorted (non-negative) eigenvalues (e). from its minimum to maximum (Mahecha et al., 2007). The choice of the scale invariant k is usually easier than identifying a good ε, and was also used here. Note that during this parameter identification, the special cases k = S – 1 or ε = max (di,j), respectively, are included, where Isomap equals conventional CMDS. The established criterion for estimating the explanatory power of the low-dimensional modes on the ambient space is given by R2(D(G), D(Y )), where R is Pearson’s product–moment correlation coefficient and D(Y ) are the Euclidean interpoint distances in the low-dimensional embedding space (Tenenbaum et al., 2000). For computing the Isomap embedding, Tenenbaum included a free Matlab® code in the accompanying original publication (Tenenbaum et al., 2000), which is available at http:// isomap.stanford.edu/. Integrating Isomap and PCNM The connectivity structure of spatial samples obtained by an Isomap ordination can be used to construct anisotropic eigenvector-based spatial filters. For a better explanation, the original PCNM approach is first summarized as a ‘how-to’ recipe (Borcard & Legendre, 2002; Dray et al., 2006): I. Compute a matrix of geographical distances of the georeferenced sampling points, D(PCNM). This is the space-explicit equivalent to the Isomap step in Fig. 1(b). II. Set a threshold value for interpoint connections; analogous to Isomap, this is usually a defined distance radius ε or a k-NN value (comparable to Fig. 1 c). The edges of this graph E(PCNM) can also be defined using other criteria. III. Calculate the weights of the edges by a point-wise product of the connectivity matrix Ε(PCNM) and the matrix of spatial interpoint distances, D(PCNM). All further analyses are based on this weighted graph. IV. Set interpoint distances beyond the threshold value to an (arbitrarily chosen) maximum value. This step is known as ‘matrix truncation’, where it has been established empirically that a ‘truncation’ value set to four or more times the maximum distance or higher provides reasonable results (Borcard & Legendre, 2002). © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd 287 M. D. Mahecha and S. Schmidtlein V. Compute a CMDS embedding of this truncated distance matrix, where the leading coordinates corresponding to nonnegative eigenvalues are representations of the spatial structure at varying spatial scales (analogous to Fig. 1e). As anticipated above, we would like to stress that this approach (particularly when based on an ε threshold) includes one critical assumption: the created spatial filters only model equidirectional (isotropic) spatial autocorrelation. However, we see that there is no reason to assume that spatial autocorrelation in biogeography is described well by assuming isotropy, since both induced and intrinsic causes of spatial correlation are directed processes (an example is seed dispersal along nonlinear trajectories). In order to take relevant spatial anisotropies into account, PCNM can be linked directly to Isomap. Recall that Isomap establishes first-order links (E(Isomap); Fig. 1c) for nearby points expressed through short distances, measured in terms of βdiversity. Replacing the conventional PCNM connectivity structure (the matrix E(PCNM) in step II) by Isomap edges (E(Isomap)) constructs the desired anisotropic filters. In the following, this procedure will be referred to as ‘principal coordinates of anisotropic neighbour matrices’ or PC(An)NM. In Step III this means that the Isomap adjacency matrix is weighted by the spatial interpoint distances. The emerging graph is anisotropic in geographical space if species resemblances are anisotropic. Steps IV and V in PCNM are preserved. The extracted set of spatial filters represents space as it matters to plant distributions at different spatial scales. For example, barrier effects causing different floras in close vicinity will be represented by filters and the lack of connectivity between both sides of the barrier is preserved. Applying such filters will check for the influence of geographical neighbourhood only where autocorrelation effectively occurs. This may be interpreted as a modification of the truncation procedure used by the original PCNM approach, where only distances between neighbouring spatial units are included in the derivation of spatial filters. In the PC(An)NM, distances are truncated based on autocorrelation itself. partitioning of four explanatory variables considers a set of 24 = 16 multiple regression models (MRM). These are set up in a nested manner, so that four levels of complexity are obtained. The first hierarchical level considers each explanatory variable individually, while the second hierarchical level constructs MRMs out of all possible combinations of two predictors. Similarly, higher levels contain more predictors (in all combinations) until the entire set of predictors is combined into one MRM at the highest level. The hierarchical partitioning theorem (Chevan & Sutherland, 1991) states that it is possible to estimate independent effects of a particular variable by averaging the additional explanatory power induced by this predictor on the MRMs across all hierarchical levels. In a complementary way, the joint effect of a certain variable with its covariables can be estimated (MacNally, 2000; Walsh et al., 2004). The independent effects are thought to exclude all ‘explanatory’ power, which can be attributed to collinearities between and redundancies in the sets of explanatory variables and allows identification of the origin of a fraction-explained variance (MacNally, 2000). In contrast, the rest of the spatial autocorrelation (biotic effects and effects of environmental variables not included in the driving variables) is represented by the independent effects of the PC(An)NM filters. In the present study, we encounter the situation that each factor considered in the hierarchical portioning is multivariate, being set up by its leading Isomap modes (for details on the selection of Isomap modes see Appendix S1 in Supplementary Material) or spatial filters. In MRMs, where the PC(An)NM filters are considered, further test statistics are required in order to warrant that the model residuals are not significantly autocorrelated in space (Griffith & Peres-Neto, 2006). A detailed description of the application of hierarchical variance partitioning to a mixed set of several (multivariate) environmental predictors and anisotropic spatial filters including test statistics is given in Appendix S1 in Supplementary Material. RESULTS Dimensionality reduction Relating environmental determinants to biogeographical patterns: hierarchical variance partitioning The recovered modes, which represent floristic pattern, environmental drivers or structures of anisotropic spatial autocorrelation, provide the basis for data-driven modelling. In the present case we were less interested in creating predictive models than gaining insight into how the biogeographical patterns can be traced back to environmental determinants and intrinsic spatial autocorrelation. Exploring the relation between the different factors is possible by means of hierarchical variance partitioning (Chevan & Sutherland, 1991; see also Appendix S1 in Supplementary Material). This allows estimating the independent, joint and overall effects of each explanatory variable on a dependent structure. Here, we tried to analyse the impact of the four predictors (temperature, precipitation, soil and the PC(An)NM filters) on each leading FLOKART Isomap dimension. Hierarchical variance 288 The variation of the Isomap threshold parameter k for identifying an optimal low-dimensional embedding space is shown in Fig. 2(a) for the FLORKART data. Highest values of explained variance were achieved by setting k = 13. The cumulative amount of explained variance in higher dimensions then converged to 93% in the sixth mode and 95% in the ninth mode (Fig. 2b). Linear CMDS (Isomap k = S – 1) was clearly inferior to Isomap, with k = 13 recovering only 70% in the first 10 dimensions. In contrast, the optimal embedding dimension for the CRU–PIK temperature–time series was identified to be exactly k = S – 1, which leads to a linear embedding. Recall that the time series were transformed to zero mean and unit variance. In this particular case, CMDS becomes equivalent to PCA (cf. Gámez et al., 2004, for a comprehensive derivation). The explanatory power of the CMDS/PCA embedding of the temperature records exceeds the floristic data where the values of explained variance converged to 99% after a clear cut-off in the third dimension (Fig. 2b). The © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd Spatial pattern extraction by Isomap ‘envelope’ of the very low-dimensional climate data (two or three), the higher-dimensional manifold of the soil data (around nine) indicating a data set of intermediate intrinsic dimensionality. Pattern visualization Figure 2 (a) Cumulative explained variances for the first eight Isomap coordinates extracted from the FLORKART data base for a varying threshold parameter k. After a critical k-value is reached, all consecutive parameter choices lead to a decreasing explanatory power of the Isomap modes. Here, k = 13 was identified as the optimal parameter. The nonlinear ordination approach explained 70% of the variance in the first dimension, 78% in the second dimension and 85% in the third dimension. The amount of explained variance converged in the subsequent dimensions to 93% in the sixth dimension and 94% in the ninth. (b) The explained variances for all analysed data bases (species data in FLORKART, CRU–PIK temperature and precipitation, soil data) after the optimal k-parameter was identified. precipitation data were again best represented by a highly nonlinear Isomap embedding with k = 11, where the first two dimensions together explained more than 98% of variance. The pedological embedding was found to be optimally represented by Isomap k = 10. While the major patterns of the precipitation data were well expressed by two dimensions, the pedological data required many more dimensions in order to achieve a similar explanatory power on the input data (Fig. 2b). The overall view suggests that we are dealing with a set of variables with varying dimensionality of their respective manifolds. It might be worthwhile mentioning that the floristic data lie precisely in the Following Perry et al. (2002), the very first approach for an effective evaluation of spatial analysis in ecology is to provide meaningful visualizations. After recovering the independent principal coordinates, score values for each of the sites were available. Hence, visualizations of the extracted coordinates can be provided by projecting them directly onto the geographical space. Figure 3(a)–(l) shows how the first three recovered dimensions derived from the different data sets behave in geographical space. A clear north-north-west to south-south-east gradient was found on the first modes of all data sets. The second axis shows a curved east–west gradient for all data except in the representation of the soils. Generally, the climate data show much smoother gradients than the floristic and pedological data. The spatially more differentiated structures found in the representations of the floristic data can also be found in the soil Isomap modes, which produced the most heterogeneous picture. The latter confirms the findings of the explained variances in the course of dimensionality reduction, suggesting a far more complicated set of patterns inherent in the soil data compared with the other data sets. At the given spatial scale, climate data features simpler patterns and less regional individuality than floristic data and soil regions. The soil data tend to be unable to be explained by coarse-scale trends. These differences may in part be attributed to the phenomena themselves, and in part to differences in sampling schemes and spatial resolutions. Plotting the Isomap interpoint connections in geographical space provides an impression of the local spatial orientation of β-diversity (see Fig. 4a). As expected from methodological considerations, the FLORKART graph indicates that the biogeographical similarity structure is highly anisotropic in the geographical space where areas of dense site connectivity are found (e.g. the southernmost Alpine regions) and also lacking connectivity at some neighbouring sites (e.g. central Germany). Figure 4(b)–(g) shows examples of anisotropic spatial filters derived by means of PC(An)NM from the georeferenced Isomap graph. It can be seen that PC(An)NM uncovers a whole range of highly anisotropic spatial structures, including steep local gradients. Relating biogeographical patterns and environmental determinants Hierarchical variance partitioning confirmed that the leading FLORKART Isomap coordinates can be associated with both environmental drivers and anisotropic spatial autocorrelation. The leading FLORKART dimensions were strongly related to independent effects of temperature, precipitation and soil data as well as intrinsic spatial autocorrelation (Fig. 5a). Each of these variables had an independent effect of c. 20 –30% of the first FLORKART Isomap dimension, where the climate data depicted © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd 289 M. D. Mahecha and S. Schmidtlein Figure 3 The leading Isomap coordinates of the analysed data set projected onto the geographical space. The images (a), (b) and (c) show consecutively the first three Isomap coordinates extracted from the species data Y1–3(sp) with their respective values of explained variances. The panels (d), (e) and (f) show the values of the first three Isomap coordinates for the long-term temperature records Y1–3(T) spatially resampled on the grid of the FLORKART data in space. Similarly, (g), (h) and (i) show the first three Isomap coordinates for precipitation time series, Y1–3(P). Finally, (j), (k) and (l) are the first three dimensions extracted from the soil survey, Y1–3(soil). The colour code was adjusted to the range of the respective Isomap coordinates. the strongest statistical influence. For higher FLORKART coordinates (Y3+), the independent ‘contributions’ of climate declined, which could be expected since these data are almost entirely represented by very few dimensions, precipitation being explained by two and temperature by three dimensions (Fig. 2b). In contrast, higher-dimensional representations of soil conditions with strong local variability (Figs 2b, 3j–l) maintained a stable independent ‘contribution’ of c. 20% in all five leading FLORKART dimensions. The independent effects of the anisotropic spatial autocorrelation instead increased systematically with each FLORKART coordinate. Thus, we maintain that the leading dimensions and the most fundamental patterns of FLORKART can be ascribed to environmental drivers, whereas the remaining spatial autocorrelation in high dimensions is attributable to intrinsic biotic factors or unconsidered external drivers. However, these higher Isomap coordinates (Y3+) are of sub- 290 ordinate meaning, allocating only a very small fraction of the biogeographical data variance (< 2% each, Fig. 2b). An estimate of overall variation attributed to the environment and intrinsic autocorrelation (Fig. 5b), which is the sum of independent and joint ‘contributions’ of the different variables, completes this picture: here, the first FLORKART mode appears to be similarly related to climate, soil and anisotropic spatial effects, each achieving more than 85% of explained variance. The overall variance ‘explained’ by environmental variables decreases in higher FLORKART dimensions. Again, in the third and higher dimensions, no precipitation effects are detectable; from the fifth dimension onward, temperature also does not appear to be related to the uncovered biogeographical patterns. The decrease in the higher floristic dimensions is less prominent for soil data than for climate variables. Thus, the relatively coarse climate data can be related to the first two FLORKART modes representing © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd Spatial pattern extraction by Isomap Figure 4 The Isomap graph, weighted by and projected onto the geographical space is shown in (a). This graph provided the basis for constructing spatial filters by means of principal coordinates of anisotropic neighbour matrices, PC(An)NM. Examples of the derived anisotropic spatial filters are shown in (b)–(g), which are the PC(An)NM modes Yi: i = 4, 8, 12, 16, 20, 24. The colour code was adjusted to the range of the respective filter Yi. Figure 5 The hierarchical variance partitioning traces biogeographical patterns back to environmental determinants and intrinsic spatial autocorrelation. Bars in (a) show the independent effects of the leading Isomap modes extracted from temperature time series (T), precipitation time series (P), the soil data (soil) and the anisotropic spatial filters (PC(An)NM) on the respective FLORKART Isomap dimensions. The overall explained variance by the driving sets of variables is shown in (b). variation at high-scale levels; additional FLORKART dimensions instead can be related to a mixture of autocorrelation and soil effects, which are generally found at lower spatial scales. All these findings are visually anticipated in Figs 3 and 4: a clear relationship can be seen between the broad biogeographical gradients and climate, whereas soil structures and spatial PC(An)NM filters express local gradients. The estimates of the independent and overall effects are instructive because they separate out redundancies from individual explanatory powers of the variables. The hierarchical partitioning was performed to obtain a broad view of the variance allocation of the FLORKART data. This does not mean that one cannot find MRMs of higher explanatory power than found by the summarized variance allocation of the individual variables. Indeed, some of the 16 MRMs provided very high explanatory powers on the respective floristic patterns, exceeding 95%. Yet, as stated above, the goal was not to find an optimal regression model. Instead, we extracted rules of influence of the environmental drivers on the floristic pattern by averaging across all scales of MRM complexity. DISCUSSION Isomap in the context of nonlinear ordination methods Linear relationships in ecological data may occur as special cases of underlying nonlinearities, but they cannot be expected to be a standard in real-world data. As shown here, optimal Isomap performance on three of four data bases was achieved by highly nonlinear embeddings (low threshold parameters). This was particularly true for the floristic data. At this point, the methodological innovation of Isomap renders the method superior to Williamson’s (1978) original © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd 291 M. D. Mahecha and S. Schmidtlein ‘step-across’ method. The latter would have produced an entirely linearly linked species space (and thus been indistinguishable from CMDS), since many common species like Plantago major are found throughout the whole area. Thus, the application of Williamson’s (1978) method might be suitable for studies on sampling units with very distinct characteristics, but it counteracts the goal of adjusting the nonlinearity to the inherent properties of a continuous macroecological data set. The search for improved nonlinear ordination methods has a strong tradition in ecology. In this context ‘non-metric multidimensional scaling’ (NMDS; Shepard, 1962; Kruskal, 1964), which has recently been extended in an analogous way to Isomap by coupling it to a geodesic distance matrix (NMDS-G; Mahecha et al., 2007), has become widely acknowledged. Although this new NMDS-G variant appears to be able to achieve an embedding success similar to Isomap, it has some intrinsic problems, for example because of its iterative learning strategy, it does not allow an accurate reproduction of an ordination result. In fact, NMDS is currently often replaced by self-organized maps (SOMs; Kohonen, 2001; for an example application in ecology see, e.g., Hopton & Mayer, 2006). Nevertheless, comparative studies found few advances provided by the neighbourhood-preserving SOMs with respect to NMDS: both methods lack trustworthiness when dealing with highdimensional manifolds (De Backer et al., 1998; Giraudel & Lek, 2001) and require pre-definition of the embedding space. Another example for nonlinear dimensionality reduction was introduced to ecology by De’ath (1999b), who explored the potential of principal curves (Hastie & Stuetzle, 1989) for ordination tasks in vegetation sciences. The method searches an optimal one-dimensional curved manifold in the high-dimensional data set as good proxy for the analysis. Several different approaches were developed for finding optimal curved solutions for dimensionality reduction and manifold approximations, which are suitable for dealing with nonlinear problems. Despite this progress, Hadid and Pietikäinen (2003) found that principal curves run into complex analyses due to the fact that they require several free parameters, which in turn implies a lack of convergence. For practical purposes, this means that principal curves (like NMDS and SOMs) are limited to manifolds of extremely low dimensionality (Saul & Roweis, 2003). However, a comparative study of advanced principal curve-related methods and Isomap showed that ‘very experienced users’ are able to tune curvilinear distances in such a way that they might outperform Isomap (Lee et al., 2004). The argument against this finding is that the mathematical elegance of Isomap simply circumvents problems of sophisticated parametrization procedures. The mathematical advances of Isomap were demonstrated by Bernstein et al. (2000), who provided proof of convergence showing that the geodesic metric found by the single threshold parameter leads to a proper approximation of the ‘true’ underlying distance structure. Similar theoretical foundations are lacking for the other methods of nonlinear dimensionality reduction. The advantages of Isomap, being non-iterative, fast, mathematically sound and easy to apply, might be reasons for its successful application, for example in the related field of climate time series (Gámez et al., 2004) or hyperspectral data analysis 292 (Bachmann et al., 2005). Furthermore, the integrated PC(An)NM approach presented here provides further justification for using Isomap, since we found that spatial models in these contexts rely on fewer (regression) parameters than their respective linear equivalents, depicting higher explanatory powers on the ambient space. Extracted patterns We found that the relevant floristic patterns can be summarized in very few components, of which only two are directly linked to climate data, whereas higher modes are related to a mixture of pedological structures and (intrinsic or induced) effects of anisotropic spatial autocorrelation. As already mentioned, these findings may in part be attributed to the phenomena themselves, and in part to differences in sampling schemes and techniques. For example, topographic effects on climate are not represented in the coarse climate data, while existing coarse-scale features are not adequately reflected in soil data. The latter are based on a categorical map that emphasizes individual characteristics of soil landscapes rather then general gradients. The first floristic Isomap component (Fig. 3a) was found to be dominated by the antagonism between lowland and upland or northern and southern Germany. Typical for the lowland is the occurrence of species preferring more temperate climates. We observed high point-biserial correlation coefficients with this axis for Hydrocotyle vulgaris, Hottonia palustris, Carex arenaria, Sium latifolium or Ornithopus perpusillus (nomenclature according to Wisskirchen & Haeupler, 1989). Other species, such as Daphne mezereum, Colchicum autumnalis, Luzula luzuloides or Ranunculus nemorosus, avoid coastal plains. The most extreme antagonists in this gradient are the North Sea islands and the Bavarian Alps. The second Isomap component (Fig. 3b) reflects an east–west gradient. Species with a more continental distribution have high correlation coefficients with this axis (such as Helichrysum arenarium or Peucedanum oreoselinum); others are more inclined to the west (such as Digitalis purpurea and Ilex aquifolium). The most extreme values are found in the north between the Lower Rhine valley and the border to Poland. The third axis (Fig. 3c) differentiates a cluster of grid cells including the Alps (in the very south) and the Schleswig-Holstein area (the northernmost parts). This group of grid cells is determined by a lack of data in Schleswig-Holstein and a corresponding lack of species in the Alps. Only the latter is caused by real distribution gaps. Neophytes such as Robinia pseudoacacia, which are rare in the Alps, were not considered in the mapping scheme for Schleswig-Holstein. Plants like Linaria vulgaris, with sparse occurrence in the Alps, are not recorded at the taxonomic species level in Schleswig-Holstein. There are further examples for sampling biases recovered by the Isomap embedding. Figure 6(a,b) features distributions of Tripleurospermum perforatum, which is highly correlated with the second Isomap coordinate, and Tripleurospermum maritimum, which coincides well with the third coordinate. It can be seen that while T. perforatum has been recorded everywhere in western Germany, it only occurs in the southern part of eastern Germany (Saxony). In contrast, T. maritimum seems to appear exclusively © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd Spatial pattern extraction by Isomap Figure 6 The figure shows the occurrences of Tripleurospermum perforatum (a) and of Tripleurospermum maritimum (b) in the FLORKART data base across Germany. The distribution patterns reflect political boundaries, which are at the same time the boundaries of organizational units of the mapping project. In western Germany, T. perforatum was interpreted as a species in its own right; in eastern Germany it was apparently considered a subspecies of T. maritimum. Clustering eight Isomap components of FLORKART resulted in the pattern shown to the right (c), where the grid cells are colour coded according to their cluster affiliation. The map is overlaid with the state boundaries of Germany (white lines). This figure shows that in many cases both the clusters and the state boundaries coincide. in eastern Germany. From a botanical point of view, this is odd, since T. perforatum can be interpreted as a subspecies of T. maritimum (Tripleurospermum maritimum subsp. inodorum [K. Koch] Var.). However, it can also be described as a species (T. perforatum [Mérat] Lainz) in its own right. Apparently, the last variant was the predominant taxonomical concept in western Germany, where T. maritimum was rarely reported at the species level. Artefacts like this emerge even more frequently if additional Isomap components are considered. Clustering eight components resulted in the striking pattern shown in Fig. 6(c). The diagram was overlaid with the state boundaries of Germany. This figure shows that in many cases, both the clusters and the state boundaries coincide. It has to be mentioned that the state borders are often identical with the spatial organizational units of the floristic survey and rarely reflect landscape unit boundaries. One could make the criticism that we identified these patterns by setting two parameters (the Isomap k and the number of clusters) based on heuristic decisions. However, we argue that the existence of one parameter combination that identifies this data structure is enough to cause one to be suspicious of the data base. It is clearly discernible that the ‘Iron Curtain’, which divided East Germany from the capitalist West, is one central property of the recovered structure. An east–west gradient in German floras is well known in plant geography (Ellenberg, 1988), but species reach their limits at different positions along this gradient. Thus, a more or less continuous transition should be expected. In the data base, taxonomic inconsistencies similar to those previously mentioned instead cause coinciding boundaries that are identified by the applied data mining techniques as false gradients or as the most prominent features of true gradients. CONCLUSIONS AND OUTLOOK The presented Isomap ordination and derived anisotropic spatial filters provide an effective approach for extracting the main patterns of high-dimensional macroecological data bases. We found further evidence that attention has to be paid to the strong influence of sampling biases. This also changes the interpretation of the unexplained spatial autocorrelation, which is usually attributed to biotic effects and missing environmental data. Steep local gradients in the spatial filters may partly be attributed to sampling bias (Fig. 4b–g). The present approach, coupling dimensionality reduction and clustering, was well suited to the identification of the effect of the latter; however, the bias could not be quantified. This problem cannot be completely solved unless accurately sampled data are available for validation. The astonishing coincidence of political and floristic boundaries, which can also be observed in other data bases such as the Atlas Florae Europaea (Jalas et al., 1972–1999, results not shown), underscores the need for more consistent sampling schemes for future data collections (for further discussions see Roleèek et al., 2007). We showed that it is very important to perform crosscalibrations of the involved mapping projects, establishing consistent and traceable taxonomical concepts. Although difficult to realize in the case of volunteer surveyors, a randomized sampling approach would be useful to ensure a spatially equalized level of expertise. The limitations discussed above are in no way meant to downgrade the obvious merits of FLORKART or similar data bases: the biases are well known in the scientific community, and in most analyses, a great deal of effort is made to cope with the problem. For instance, the use of derived attributes such as © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd 293 M. D. Mahecha and S. Schmidtlein relative proportions of plant functional groups (Schmidtlein & Ewald, 2003; Schmidtlein, 2004; Kühn et al., 2006) is thought to be largely unaffected. One reason is that these derived attributes are insensitive to sampling intensity and taxonomic confusion, which is apparently one major factor in the sampling bias. The technique applied here allows checking geodata like FLORKART for areas of consistent sampling. In the southernmost part of Germany (Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg), for example, no administrative frontiers were reflected in the visualization of the ordination space. In these areas, cluster limits follow known landscape boundaries, which can also be seen very nicely in the leading modes of the soil data (Fig. 3j–l). The overall findings of this study indicate that the application of modern machine-learning methods is very effective for the recovery of the global nonlinear properties of biogeographical data. We showed that nonlinear dimensionality reduction is a powerful tool for the detection of both biogeographical and environmental gradients as well as sampling artefacts. In other biogeographical surveys, Isomap and related algorithms could be applied for similar evaluations. This is especially important now that there are extensive data bases either already available or still being compiled (Dirzo & Loreau, 2005) and computers are fast enough to put new developments in the area of nonlinear dimensionality reduction into practice (Hinton & Salakhutdinov, 2006). ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors are indebted to the thousands of volunteers mapping the flora of Germany and to the German Federal Agency for Nature Conservation (Bundesamt für Naturschutz) for providing the FLORKART data, in particular Rudolf May. We would also like to thank Hermann Österle and his colleagues at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) for providing the CRU–PIK data. We gratefully acknowledge Michael Hauhs, Holger Lange and Gunnar Lischeid for their methodological comments. The quality of the manuscript was substantially improved following suggestions by Rebecca van Dyck, the editors David Currie and José Alexandre Felizola Diniz-Filho, and the anonymous referees. Finally, M. D. Mahecha would like to thank the Max Planck Society for supporting the independent junior group on ‘Biogeochemical Model Data Integration’. REFERENCES Bachmann, C.M., Ainsworth, T.L. & Fusina, R.A. (2005) Exploiting manifold geometry in hyperspectral imagery. IEEE Transactions on Geosciences and Remote Sensing, 43, 441–454. Bekker, R.M., van der Maarel, E., Bruelheide, H. & Woods, K. (2007) Long-term datasets: from descriptive to predictive data using ecoinformatics. Journal of Vegetation Science, 18, 458– 462. Bernstein, M., de Silva, V., Langford, J.C. & Tenenbaum, J.B. (2000) Graph approximations to geodesics on embedded manifolds. Stanford University, Stanford, CA (available at http://isomap.stanford.edu/BdSLT.pdf ). 294 Borcard, D. & Legendre, P. (2002) All-scale spatial analysis of ecological data by means of principal coordinates of neighbour matrices. Ecological Modelling, 153, 51–68. Borg, I. & Groenen, P. (1997) Modern multidimensional scaling: theory and applications. Springer, New York. Bradfield, D.E. & Kenkel, N.C. (1987) Nonlinear ordination using flexible shortest path adjustments of ecological distances. Ecology, 68, 750–753. Chevan, A. & Sutherland, M. (1991) Hierarchical partitioning. The American Statistician, 45, 90 –96. Chytry, M. & Rafajová, M. (2003) Czech National Phytosociological Database: basic statistics of the available vegetation-plot data. Preslia, 75, 1–15. Cox, T.F. & Cox, M.A.A. (2001) Multidimensional scaling. Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, FL. De Backer, S., Naud, A. & Scheunders, P. (1998) Non-linear dimensionality reduction techniques for unsupervised feature extraction. Pattern Recognition Letters, 19, 711–720. De’ath, G. (1999a) Extended dissimilarity: a method of robust estimation of ecological distances from high beta diversity data. Plant Ecology, 144, 191–199. De’ath, G. (1999b) Principal curves: a new technique for indirect and direct gradient analysis. Ecology, 80, 2237–2253. Dijkstra, E.W. (1959) A note on two problems in connexion with graphs. Numerische Mathematik, 1, 269–271. Diniz-Filho, J.A.F. & Bini, M.L. (2005) Modelling geographical patterns in species richness using eigenvector-based spatial filters. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 14, 177–185. Dirzo, R. & Loreau, M. (2005) Biodiversity science evolves. Science, 310, 943. Dray, S., Legendre, P. & Peres-Neto, P.R. (2006) Spatial modelling: a comprehensive framework for principal coordinate analysis of neighbour matrices (PCNM). Ecological Modelling, 196, 483–493. Ellenberg, H. (1988) Vegetation Ecology of Central Europe, 4th edn. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. Fridley, J.D., Peet, R.K., Wentworth, T.R. & White, P.S. (2005) Connecting fine- and broad-scale species-area relationships of Southeastern US Flora. Ecology, 86, 1172–1177. Gámez, A.J., Zhou, C.S., Timmermann, A. & Kurths, J. (2004) Nonlinear dimensionality reduction in climate data. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 11, 393–398. Giraudel, J.L. & Lek, S. (2001) A comparison of self-organizing map algorithm and some conventional statistical methods for ecological community ordination. Ecological Modelling, 146, 329–339. Griffith, D.A. & Peres-Neto, P.R. (2006) Spatial modeling on ecology: the flexibility of eigenfunction spatial analysis. Ecology, 87, 2603–2613. Hadid, A. & Pietikäinen, M. (2003) Efficient Locally Linear Embeddings of Imperfect Manifolds. Machine learning and data mining in pattern recognition (ed. by J.G. Carbonell & J. Siekmann), pp. 188–201. Springer, Berlin. Haeupler, H. & Schönfelder, P. (1989) Atlas der Farn- und Blütenpflanzen der Bundesrepublik Deutschland. Ulmer, Stuttgart (in German). © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd Spatial pattern extraction by Isomap Hartwich, R., Behrens, J., Eckelmann, W., Haase, G., Richter, A., Roeschmann, G. & Schmidt, R. (1995) Bodenübersichtskarte der Bundesrepublik Deutschland 1 : 1,000,000. Karte mit Erläuterungen, Textlegende und Leitprofilen. Bundesanstalt für Geowissenschaften und Rohstoffe, Hannover (in German). Hastie, T.J. & Stuetzle, W. (1989) Principal curves and surfaces. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 84, 502 – 516. Hinton, G.E. & Salakhutdinov, R.R. (2006) Reducing the dimensionality of data with neural networks. Science, 313, 504–507. Hopton, M.E. & Mayer, A.L. (2006) Using self-organizing maps to explore patterns in species richness and protection. Biodiversity and Conservation, 15, 4477 – 4494. Jalas, J., Suominen, J., Lampinen, R. (Vol. 11ff.) & Kurtto, A. (Vol. 12) (eds) (1972 –1999) Atlas Florae Europaeae, Vols 1–12. Akateeminen Kirjakauppa, Helsinki. Kendall, D.G. (1975) Review lecture: the recovery of structure from fragmentary information. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series A, Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 279, 547 – 582. Kohonen, T. (2001) Self-organized maps, 3rd edn. Springer, Berlin. Kruskal, J.B. (1964) Multidimensional scaling by optimizing goodness of fit to a nonmetric hypothesis. Psychometrika, 29, 1–27. Kühn, I. (2007) Incorporating spatial autocorrelation may invert observed patterns. Diversity and Distributions, 13, 66 – 69. Kühn, I., Durka, W. & Klotz, S. (2004) The flora of German cities is naturally species rich. Evolutionary Ecology Research, 6, 749– 764. Kühn, I., Bierman, S.M., Durka, W. & Klotz, S. (2006) Relating geographical variation in pollination types to environmental and spatial factors using novel statistical methods. New Phytologist, 172, 127 –139. Lee, J.A., Lendasse, A. & Verleysen, M. (2004) Nonlinear projection with curvilinear distances: Isomap versus curvilinear distance analysis, Neurocomputing, 57, 49 – 76. Legendre, P. & Legendre, L. (1998) Numerical ecology. Elsevier Science, Amsterdam. Legendre, P. (1993) Spatial autocorrelation: trouble or new paradigm? Ecology, 74, 1659 –1673. MacNally, R. (2000) Regression and model-building in conservation biology, biogeography and ecology: the distinction between – and reconciliation of – ‘predictive’ and ‘explanatory’ models. Biodiversity and Conservation, 9, 655 – 671. Mahecha, M.D., Martínez, A., Lischeid, G. & Beck, E. (2007) Nonlinear dimensionality reduction: alternative ordination approaches for extracting and visualizing biodiversity patterns in tropical montane forest vegetation data. Ecological Informatics. 2, 138 –149. McCune, B. & Grace, J.B. (2002) Analysis of ecological communities. MjM Software Design, Glenden Beach, OR. Minchin, P.R. (1987) An evaluation of the relative robustness of techniques for ecological ordination. Vegetatio, 69, 89 –107. Mucina, L., Rodwell, J.S., Schaminée, J.H.J. & Dierschke, H. (1993) European vegetation survey: current state of some national programmes. Journal of Vegetation Science, 4, 429–438. Myklestad, A. & Birks, H.J.B. (1993) A numerical analysis of the distribution patterns of Salix L species in Europe. Journal of Biogeography, 20, 1– 32. New, M., Lister, D., Hulme, M. & Makin, I. (2002) A highresolution data set of surface climate over global land areas. Climate Research, 21, 1– 25. Österle, H., Gerstengarbe, F.W. & Werner, P.C. (2003) Homogenisierung und Aktualisierung des Klimadatensatzes der Climate Research Unit of East Anglia, Norwich. Terra Nostra, 6, 326–329 (in German). Perry, J.N., Liebhold, A.M., Rosenberg, M.S., Dungan, J., Miriti, M., Jakomulska, A. & Citron-Pousty, S. (2002) Illustrations and guidelines for selecting statistical methods for quantifying spatial pattern in ecological data. Ecography, 25, 578–600. Roleèek, J., Chytry, M., Hájek, M., Lvonèík, S. & Tichy, L. (2007) Sampling design in large-scale vegetation studies: do not sacrifice ecological thinking to statistical purism! Folia Geobotanica, 42, 199–208. Saul, L.K. & Roweis, S.T. (2003) Think globally, fit locally: unsupervised learning of low dimensional manifolds. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 4, 119–155. Schmidtlein, S. & Ewald, J. (2003) Landscape patterns of indicator plants for soil acidity in the Bavarian Alps. Journal of Biogeography, 30, 1493–1503. Schmidtlein, S. (2004) Coarse-scale substrate mapping using plant functional response types. Erdkunde, 58, 137–155. Shepard, R.N. (1962) The analysis of proximities: multidimensional scaling with an unknown distance function. II. Psychometrika, 27, 219–246. de Silva, V. & Tenenbaum, J.B. (2002) Global versus local methods for nonlinear dimensionality reduction. Advances in neural information processing systems (ed. by S. Becker, S. Thrunand & K. Obermayer), pp. 705–712. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. Tenenbaum, J.B. (1998) Mapping a manifold of perceptual observations. Advances in neural information processing systems (ed. by M. Jordan, M. Kearnsand & S. Solla), pp. 682 – 687. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. Tenenbaum, J.B., de Silva, V. & Langford, J.C. (2000) A global geometric framework for nonlinear dimensionality reduction. Science, 290, 2319–2323. Wagner, H.H. & Fortin, M.J. (2005) Spatial analysis of landscapes: concepts and statistics. Ecology, 86, 1975–1987. Walsh, C.J., Papas, P.J., Crowther, D., Sim, P.T. & Yoo, J. (2004) Stormwater drainage pipes as a threat to a stream-dwelling amphipod of conservation significance, Austrogammarus australis, in southeastern Australia. Biodiversity and Conservation, 13, 781–793. Whittaker, R.J., Nogués-Bravo, D. & Araújo, M.B. (2007) Geographical gradients of species richness: a test of the waterenergy conjecture of Hawkins et al. (2003) using European data for five taxa. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 16, 76– 89. Williamson, M.H. (1978) The ordination of incidence data. Journal of Ecology, 66, 911–920. Wisskirchen, R. & Haeupler, H. (1989) Standardliste der Farn-und Blütenpflanzen Deutschlands. Eugen Ulmer, Stuttgart (in German). © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd 295 M. D. Mahecha and S. Schmidtlein SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL BIOSKETCHES Miguel D. Mahecha is a PhD candidate at the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry in Jena, Germany. He is interested in learning from ecological data by means of empirical pattern extraction and data-driven modelling. He has worked with biogeographical and hydrological data in the past, and now focuses on biogeochemical fluxes. Sebastian Schmidtlein is Professor of Vegetation Geography at the University of Bonn. He is interested in vegetation ecology, macroecology, biogeographical modelling and in the remote sensing of vegetation patterns. The following supplementary material is available for this article: Appendix S1 From multiple regressions to hierarchical variance partitioning. This material is available as part of the online article from: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ j.1466-8238.2007.00368.x (This link will take you to the article abstract.) Please note: Blackwell Publishing is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supplementary materials supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing material) should be directed to the corresponding author for the article. Editor: José Alexandre F. Diniz-Filho 296 © 2007 The Authors Global Ecology and Biogeography, 17, 284–296, Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz