IDIA Submission Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food 2020 Strategy 31 March 2010 IDIA The Irish Dairy Industries Association (IDIA) represents the Irish primary and secondary Dairy Processing Industry. A member of the Irish Business and Employers Confederation (IBEC), it is affiliated to Food and Drink Industries Ireland (FDII) and at European level to the European Dairy Association (EDA). Basis of Preparation This submission to the DAFF 2020 Strategy Consultation is based on consultation with the IDIA membership and prepared on the assumption that it will form the basis of a genuine review of the Irish legislative and policy environment to improve national competitiveness. Technology Led Growth The Irish dairy industry has ambitious growth plans. There are real opportunities to increase the value of Irish output through the exploitation of new technologies and research within the industry. Government policy must ensure that the commercial environment in Ireland is sufficiently attractive so that these will be commercialised in Ireland. This will be the acid test of Irelands’ competitiveness. Volume Led Growth The phasing out of milk quotas by 2015 presents growth opportunities for the industry. This expansion can be fulfilled through increased output per animal, increased herd size and new entrants. This additional product will be exported increasing Irelands dairy export orientation above 90%. Processing efficiency expressed as cost, Carbon (GHG) and product utilisation will be a key element of Irish export competitiveness. This submission focuses on the environment in which this industry operates; the factors of processing rationalisation are outside the scope of this 2020 Strategy submission. Interdepartmental Collaboration In this submission, IDIA makes many recommendations which require the involvement of many other Government departments. For instance Departments of Trade, Health and Children, Environment are but some of the Departments that lead many of the policy actions required. It is therefore necessary that there is collaboration between all relevant Government agencies and departments to avoid duplication and expedite the required recommendations. In calling for interdepartmental collaboration, IDIA is not to be interpreted as calling for additional state bodies or other costly entities that reduce our competitiveness. We are simply stating that all relevant policy bodies are included in communications, meetings and policy direction of relevance to the dairy industry. Implementation Finally, the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food must take responsibility for the implementation of all recommendations contained in the 2020 Strategy. We recommend that the Minister chairs two meetings per year with the relevant industry sectors to ensure achievement of these recommendations. 1 IDIA Submission Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food 2020 Strategy 31 March 2010 The Competitive Environment to 2020 It is not possible to plan strategy without informed assumptions of the likely changes to the environment in which the dairy industry operates. These assumptions do not indicate IDIA agreement or acceptance of such possible changes nor do they suggest likely timing for many factors. They are however material in nature and cannot be ignored. Evolving Trade Policy to 2020 1. Trade between developed and developing countries will be more liberalised resulting in increased trade flows. This will be the result of either a conclusion of the WTO Doha multilateral trade round or through the conclusion of bilateral agreements negotiated by major trading blocks with countries or groups of countries. 2. Certification of dairy products will diverge with the trend towards harmonised export standards between many countries contrasting with export standards becoming effective non-tariff barriers to trade between others. Evolving Dairy Policy to 2020 3. CAP reform will impact on EU market management reducing its influence on EU dairy prices. US Farm Bill reform will have a similar effect. 4. The absence of EU market management and reduced trade barriers will lead to convergence of EU and world prices. 5. Production growth is likely to lag behind demand growth in developing countries. 6. The absence of institutional market management results in increased global and local price volatility. Evolving Consumer Trends to 2020 7. Global demand for dairy proteins continues to grow while demand for dairy fats decline in developed countries on a per capita basis. 8. The demand in developed countries for credible, value added, smarter foods will increase driven by innovations in dairy ingredients. 9. The demand for dairy proteins and fats grows in developing and less developed countries. 10. Development in the area of Foods for Particular Nutritional Uses (PARNUTs), such as clinical nutrition, elderly nutrition and sports nutrition presents a significant market opportunity. 11. The need to scientifically substantiate claims and benefits associated with food products will become the standard. 2 IDIA Submission Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food 2020 Strategy 31 March 2010 Evolving Supply Base to 2020 12. The effects of EU prices converging towards world prices and the increased frequency of extreme price volatility will result in restructuring at farm level. 13. EU milk quotas be abolished from 2015 and price competitiveness at farm level will determine EU supply levels. 14. Return on capital, labour costs and regulatory constraints will dictate investment at farm level. 15. The trend towards harmonised export certification will erode the possibility for national differentiation on quality attributes. 16. Differentiation on environmental attributes will require validation with GHG per unit saleable product as the key metric. “Green” claims will require substantiation. 17. Differentiation on welfare attributes will increase in line with the increase in farm scale and production intensity. Evolving Operations to 2020 18. Demand for more innovative consumer products and dairy ingredients will require substantial investment in research, development and process technology. 19. Retail consolidation will continue with an increased prevalence of global retail outlets employing global procurement strategies for branded and private label products. 20. Consolidation will intensify within the branded consumer foods sector with increased prevalence of global brands 21. Increased adoption of harmonised food standards will facilitate global procurement policies. 22. Operational cost competitiveness, product innovation, scale of operation and security of supply will become determinants of global supply contracts. 23. Product quality standards will become more stringent and become pre-requisites for consideration in supply contracts. 24. Environmental operating standards will become normal elements of procurement policies with all GHG emissions being included in Cap and Trade schemes. Waste management and recycling will become more complex. 25. A greater strategic use of processing facilities will be required to manage the increased milk production following the abolition of quotas. 3 IDIA Submission Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food 2020 Strategy 31 March 2010 IDIA Recommendations Regulatory Environment The regulatory environment has a direct impact on the competitiveness and export orientation of the Irish dairy industry. Regulatory objectives are seldom a difficulty for parties as regulation tends to lag market reaction. However the way in which regulation is implemented and interpreted can have a significant impact on the relative competitiveness of industries . Recommendations a. All relevant government departments must, in conjunction with industry, initiate a regulatory cost impact assessment to assess the regulatory burden on the Irish dairy industry. This must extend throughout the entire supply chain from farms through to exporters. b. Ireland must immediately initiate benchmarking of regulatory costs initially against EU Member States and global competitor jurisdictions to assess the efficiency of Ireland’s regulatory processes. This should be extended in a later phase to include strategic export countries. c. Interdepartmental collaboration must be improved to eliminate duplication, uncertainty and over regulation of the industry. Response time by regulatory authorities is a key factor in export competitiveness but is hampered by interdepartmental division and poor communication. The development, implementation and management of government policy must involve representatives from all relevant government departments to speed up the process. d. A Clearing House must be developed, housed within the Department of An Taoisech and meeting twice yearly to oversee the main policy implementation areas for the industry. This process is already working effectively within other industry groups and has yielded direct benefit by ensuing implementation of agreed actions across government departments. Common Agricultural Policy Significant growth can be achieved in Ireland’s dairy industry if supported by the right policy environment. Supply constraints, in the form of milk quotas, are being removed and the existing investment in technology and strategic supply partnerships between primary and secondary processors can enable this growth potential to be realised. However, this industry requires policy management with specific focus on export competitiveness and security of supply. Recommendation Ireland must take the European lead in arguing for the maintenance of a strong CAP to provide a meaningful safety net by with sufficient finance for strategic market management mechanisms. 4 IDIA Submission Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food 2020 Strategy 31 March 2010 A strong CAP will include o o o the maintenance of adequate public buffer stocks through schemes such as intervention purchasing; a provision for seasonal processing through schemes such as the Private Storage Aid; a recognition that 3rd country trade is integral to the EU dairy industry and the retention of the export refund scheme which can be triggered when required DAFF must adopt a proactive approach to the CAP Post 2013 discussions by drafting a detailed strategy position agreed with the Irish dairy industry which can be promoted by all stakeholders at EU level. New Market Instruments CAP reform and the increasing globalisation of markets will mean that new market instruments will become more relevant to Ireland’s export oriented dairy industry. Instruments such as futures and margin insurance schemes will become more common place amongst competitors and Irelands industry will need to develop competence in these new areas to assess if they are appropriate for the Irish dairy industry. Recommendations a. The evaluation of these tools and the potential requirement for their regulation needs to be assessed at a national level to ensure appropriate controls exist to regulate them. As these tools are predominately financial instruments for the dairy industry an inter-agency collaboration (including DoF, DETI, DAFF) will be required to assist the traditional food and trade competencies. b. There is a requirement for the development of market analysis capabilities at national level that can collect, interpret and report market information on a weekly reporting basis. DAFF must establish market reporting capabilities that can provide weekly market data to all dairy processors. The USDA system which delivers weekly price data is a good example of the role of national government in providing unbiased, timely market data. Global Trade Policies Ireland is a global exporter of dairy products. Global trade policies are therefore more relevant to Ireland than most other EU member states. Ireland must therefore adopt a more proactive approach to trade policy. Trade policy is more than a focus on the WTO Doha discussions: the increasing number of bi-lateral trade agreements will have direct impact on Irelands export abilities. Recommendation Ireland’s trade negotiators must engage more intensely in EU trade discussions with regard to EU bilateral and multilateral agreements to maximize Ireland’s offensive interests. Specifically, Irish negotiators must be able to accurately appraise the benefits of market concessions against the market opportunities for the Irish industry based on detailed cost analysis. It is not sufficient for an export oriented country not to have highly advanced modelling that outlines Ireland’s offensive interests in all trade negotiations. 5 IDIA Submission Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food 2020 Strategy 31 March 2010 Export Orientation Increasing trade liberalisation will give advantage to exporters with the quickest reaction and adaptation to new market requirements. This means a change in prioritisation from Ireland’s current domestic orientation to that of an aggressive exporter seeking offensive trade interests. For example: current Irish discussion and analysis on WTO is focused on market protection; little analysis has been undertaken by trade negotiators to exploit news market opportunities arising from reduced tariffs in export destinations. Recommendations a. A simplified system of export certification must be developed comprising of a single certificate that covers all requirements of the export destination. This would involve the creation of an integrated, electronic system and replacing the current requirement for numerous certificates such as Veterinary Certificate, Dairy Hygiene Certificate, etc. b. As an export oriented industry Ireland must take a proactive role in Codex to initiate discussions on a global health certificate. DAFF must immediately engage in discussions with the IDIA dairy export trade group to inform this process and minimise the impact of nontariff technical barriers. c. The exploitation of new, emerging markets requires the input of all relevant state agencies to address certification, customs and trade credit issues. It is not sufficient to agree trade protocols/agreements without consideration of all trade aspects and requires input from DAFF, DFA, DETI, Customs and Revenue. d. Development of new export markets requires the provision of state backed trade credit insurance to facilitate initial trade with these important tentative markets. e. Animal health programmes must recognise and assign higher priority to the certification requirements of export markets. Disease programmes must be sufficiently robust to enable export certification. f. Our increasing dependency on export markets means there is an urgent need for an official national programme to manage Johne’s Disease. Finance should be available to manage disease reduction at producer level. Research and Innovation Ireland has become a high cost economy. Productivity gains and economic rebalancing will improve Ireland’s relative competitiveness but this alone will not drive export growth. Ireland must differentiate on product and process innovation which will require well funded, targeted and commercially driven research and innovation programmes to exploit growth opportunities arising from quota abolition. Current expenditure on food research is small relative to other industry sectors and is dispersed amongst many research and innovation centres. Recommendations a. Ireland must develop a single, coordinated approach to agri-food research to maximize the return to industry. This requires the creation of a singularly controlled research entity to implement and manage the industry led strategic research agenda. 6 IDIA Submission Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food 2020 Strategy 31 March 2010 b. The development of a specific dissemination and knowledge transfer programme is required. The singularly controlled research entity recommended in the above point should be responsible for the development and management of this programme to ensure the protection of IP. This programme should deliver the commercially viable results from research activities at an appropriate, useable level to pertinent participants. c. The strategic direction of Irish dairy research and innovation should not be compromised by the direction of animal and plant biotechnology, as it risks undermining the reputation of the Irish dairy industry, including the infant nutrition sector, with little opportunities for gain. d. Government expenditure in research and development should be prioritized for companies with the existing capacity and ability to leverage the funds and research to its full potential. The Consumer As an exporter, Ireland’s dairy industry must meet consumer needs and address consumer concerns in diverse markets. Irish consumers empathise with its food industry due to our low population and large agricultural base. However consumers in export markets are different and commonly require assurances and guarantees for factors that Irish consumers accept without question. For example terms such like “green” and “natural” have different meanings in different markets. The quantification of these terms exists in many competitor countries. For example, both Dutch an Danish Ministries can show detailed analysis of their GHG per unit of product. Their system is so advanced that technological changes at farm level are evaluated against their GHG emissions. Ireland has not reached this level of competency and is therefore at a disadvantage to its competitors. Recommendations a. Ireland needs to adopt a more strategic approach to branding, positioning and communications relating to the Irish food industry. There is an urgent need to substantiate the “clean, green” image of Irish food products. Government policy must prioritise the development of competencies in Ireland to validate and substantiate the “green, clean” claims which are sufficiently robust to counter claims to the contrary. b. Growth opportunities exist within the wider category of foods for nutritional purposes building on the experience and critical mass of the infant nutrition sector. To realise this, food policy and health strategies will have to become more closely aligned with Ireland taking a more factual and proactive role in defending industry from ill informed, emotive interest groups at national, EU and International level. Supply Base The dairy supply base can be the strength or weakness of a dairy industry. Ireland’s natural advantages in dairy production do not become export advantages unless supported by quality standards and safeguards at least at the level of our competitors. Recent certification changes for some export destinations have challenged Ireland’s ability to meet new standards. Given the 7 IDIA Submission Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food 2020 Strategy 31 March 2010 nature of dairy processing, it is not efficient to collect from different quality bands of suppliers. A general improvement at farm level will result in greater improvements at processing level. Recommendations a. Crucial improvements in raw milk quality need to be achieved to support Ireland’s export ambitions to high value markets. Ambitious targets are required such as the achievement of a national somatic cell count level of 200,000 by 2020. b. Residue monitoring is required to ensure unacceptable residues are not present in the food and feed chain. However monitoring procedures must not conflict with the primary requirements of export certification implementing standards beyond those applied in other countries. Residue monitoring programmes must be operated in consultation with the government department responsible for export certification. c. The focus of the farm advisory service must be updated to reflect the new market orientation of dairy farming as a result of CAP reform. This advice must recognize the market reality that a guaranteed market for dairy products no longer exists through the CAP schemes. The advice must now reflect and acknowledge changes in demand, changes in consumer preference and processing capacity. Farm advisory services should allow for agricultural scientific research to be maximised at farm level. d. The phasing out of milk quotas by 2015 presents real opportunities for growth. However the nature of dairy farming means that time is required to scale up production at farm level. For Ireland to realise its true dairy potential, it must immediately implement measures that allow for productive capacity to be developed from 2010 to a scale that it can fully realise its potential by 2015. Operations Quota abolition provides significant expansion potential for the Irish dairy industry. An expansion in dairy processing at plant level will deliver the same economic benefits to the national economy as an equivalent investment from foreign direct investments (FDI). New operational challenges are emerging such as carbon reduction which will result in the introduction of new cost line items for dairy processing operations. Operational efficiency will become more important. Recommendations a. The expansion potential of the dairy industry resulting from quota abolition, offers huge benefit to the Irish economy. Accordingly, planned expansion must be awarded the same enterprise support, investment and mentoring benefits as currently awarded to FDI. b. Dairy processing is energy intensive and rural based. Ireland needs to develop energy infrastructure to facilitate the decarbonisation of food processing. This means providing natural gas pipelines and renewable energy systems to dairy processing sites without levy for infrastructural costs. c. Ireland’s energy policy must focus on the development of technologies for converting food processing waste to renewable energy. This serves to reduce waste costs and to provide green energy to the dairy processing industry. 8 IDIA Submission Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food 2020 Strategy 31 March 2010 d. There is a need for government agencies to develop a manufacturing centre of excellence with responsibility for optimizing food processing technologies. This would extend to the provision of manufacturing efficiency programmes specifically developed for the food industry to drive continuous improvement and productivity. The programme should draw on the experiences and expertise beyond the agri-food sector by focus specifically on dairy processing efficiency. For further information, please contact: Michael Barry [email protected] Claire McGee [email protected] Marie Larby [email protected] 9
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