If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson? Green Party candidate Jill Stein? Or one of the other candidates? Party Affiliation 1251 Likely November Voters All Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.8% Party Affiliation Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con Ideology Somewha Moderat Somewha Very Lib t e t Donald Trump (R) 45% 93% 77% 85% 37% 5% 8% 4% 85% 48% 6% 79% 72% 38% 8% 4% Hillary Clinton (D) 48% 5% 17% 8% 43% 83% 90% 96% 11% 39% 93% 16% 23% 55% 85% 92% Gary Johnson (L) 2% 0% 3% 3% 7% 6% 0% 0% 2% 5% 0% 0% 2% 2% 4% 1% Jill Stein (G) 1% 0% 0% 1% 5% 3% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% Other 3% 1% 3% 2% 7% 1% 2% 0% 2% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% Undecided 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Voters 100% 16% 16% 13% 12% 9% 18% 15% 32% 34% 33% 19% 23% 30% 14% 12% Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Party Affiliation 564 Trump Voters All Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% Party Affiliation Ideology Somewha Moderat Somewha Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con Very Lib t e t For Trump 67% 81% 66% 59% 52% ** ** ** 74% 57% ** 74% 67% 58% ** ** Against Clinton 31% 18% 33% 40% 43% ** ** ** 25% 41% ** 25% 32% 39% ** ** Not Sure 2% 0% 1% 1% 4% ** ** ** 1% 3% ** 1% 1% 3% ** ** Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 32% 27% 25% 10% 1% 3% 1% 59% 36% 4% 32% 38% 25% 2% 1% Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations? Party Affiliation 564 Trump Voters All Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7% Party Affiliation Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con Ideology Somewha Moderat Somewha Very Lib t e t Enthusiastically 74% 86% 72% 66% 65% ** ** ** 79% 66% ** 83% 73% 64% ** ** With Reservations 24% 14% 28% 33% 28% ** ** ** 20% 32% ** 17% 27% 32% ** ** Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 1% 7% ** ** ** 0% 2% ** 0% 0% 4% ** ** Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 32% 27% 25% 10% 1% 3% 1% 59% 36% 4% 32% 38% 25% 2% 1% Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Party Affiliation 602 Clinton Voters All Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8% Party Affiliation Ideology Somewha Moderat Somewha Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con Very Lib t e t For Clinton 67% ** 39% ** 60% 60% 67% 83% 40% 59% 75% 80% 63% 67% 64% 74% Against Trump 31% ** 57% ** 38% 39% 31% 16% 57% 40% 24% 18% 31% 32% 36% 26% Not Sure 2% ** 4% ** 2% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 6% 1% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 2% 6% 2% 11% 15% 33% 31% 7% 28% 64% 6% 11% 34% 24% 22% Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations? Party Affiliation 602 Clinton Voters All Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8% Party Affiliation Ideology Somewha Moderat Somewha Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con Very Lib t e t Enthusiastically 69% ** 47% ** 60% 55% 64% 90% 54% 55% 77% 95% 64% 67% 57% 78% With Reservations 29% ** 53% ** 37% 43% 34% 8% 45% 42% 21% 4% 35% 32% 38% 21% Not Sure 2% ** 0% ** 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 5% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 2% 6% 2% 11% 15% 33% 31% 7% 28% 64% 6% 11% 34% 24% 22% In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle? Party Affiliation 8 Protest Voters All Margin of Sampling Error: ± 35.6% Party Affiliation Ideology Somewha Moderat Somewha Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con Very Lib t e t Republican 57% 100% ** 69% ** 0% 54% 0% 100% 35% 30% ** 81% 41% ** 0% Democrat 36% 0% ** 0% ** 100% 46% 100% 0% 49% 70% ** 0% 59% ** 100% Split 6% 0% ** 31% ** 0% 0% 0% 0% 16% 0% ** 19% 0% ** 0% Not Sure 0% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Total 100% 100% 0% 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% 0% 100% Composition of Protest Voters 100% 30% 0% 22% 0% 22% 14% 12% 30% 44% 26% 0% 38% 36% 0% 12% Is your opinion of Donald Trump ... Party Affiliation 1314 Registered Voters All Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.8% Party Affiliation Ideology Somewha Moderat Somewha Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con Very Lib t e t Extremely Favorable 23% 66% 35% 30% 17% 4% 4% 4% 50% 19% 4% 49% 34% 17% 4% 4% Favorable 19% 26% 35% 44% 17% 0% 6% 0% 31% 23% 3% 28% 32% 18% 4% 0% Unfavorable 9% 2% 10% 10% 19% 9% 13% 4% 6% 13% 9% 6% 12% 12% 10% 1% Extremely Unfavorable 46% 5% 17% 12% 45% 85% 74% 90% 12% 42% 82% 16% 21% 49% 82% 93% Not Sure 2% 0% 2% 4% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 0% 2% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 15% 16% 13% 13% 9% 18% 15% 31% 34% 32% 18% 23% 30% 14% 11% Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton... Party Affiliation 1314 Registered Voters All Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.8% Party Affiliation Ideology Somewha Moderat Somewha Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con Very Lib t e t Extremely Favorable 21% 3% 5% 1% 11% 18% 34% 68% 4% 9% 50% 12% 8% 20% 28% 53% Favorable 23% 3% 13% 6% 21% 58% 47% 25% 8% 25% 37% 6% 13% 30% 42% 34% Unfavorable 10% 7% 9% 12% 23% 13% 8% 2% 8% 16% 6% 6% 10% 10% 19% 5% Extremely Unfavorable 45% 88% 73% 80% 43% 9% 9% 4% 80% 49% 7% 76% 68% 37% 11% 7% Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 15% 16% 13% 13% 9% 18% 15% 31% 34% 32% 18% 23% 30% 14% 11%
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