By party affiliation, ideology (opens PDF)

If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot
right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary
Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson? Green Party candidate Jill Stein? Or one of the other
candidates?
Party Affiliation
1251 Likely November Voters
All
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.8%
Party Affiliation
Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con
Ideology
Somewha Moderat Somewha
Very Lib
t
e
t
Donald Trump (R)
45%
93%
77%
85%
37%
5%
8%
4%
85%
48%
6%
79%
72%
38%
8%
4%
Hillary Clinton (D)
48%
5%
17%
8%
43%
83%
90%
96%
11%
39%
93%
16%
23%
55%
85%
92%
Gary Johnson (L)
2%
0%
3%
3%
7%
6%
0%
0%
2%
5%
0%
0%
2%
2%
4%
1%
Jill Stein (G)
1%
0%
0%
1%
5%
3%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
2%
Other
3%
1%
3%
2%
7%
1%
2%
0%
2%
4%
1%
4%
2%
2%
2%
1%
Undecided
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Likely November Voters
100%
16%
16%
13%
12%
9%
18%
15%
32%
34%
33%
19%
23%
30%
14%
12%
Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
Party Affiliation
564 Trump Voters
All
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%
Party Affiliation
Ideology
Somewha Moderat Somewha
Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con
Very Lib
t
e
t
For Trump
67%
81%
66%
59%
52%
**
**
**
74%
57%
**
74%
67%
58%
**
**
Against Clinton
31%
18%
33%
40%
43%
**
**
**
25%
41%
**
25%
32%
39%
**
**
Not Sure
2%
0%
1%
1%
4%
**
**
**
1%
3%
**
1%
1%
3%
**
**
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Trump Voters
100%
32%
27%
25%
10%
1%
3%
1%
59%
36%
4%
32%
38%
25%
2%
1%
Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
Party Affiliation
564 Trump Voters
All
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%
Party Affiliation
Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con
Ideology
Somewha Moderat Somewha
Very Lib
t
e
t
Enthusiastically
74%
86%
72%
66%
65%
**
**
**
79%
66%
**
83%
73%
64%
**
**
With Reservations
24%
14%
28%
33%
28%
**
**
**
20%
32%
**
17%
27%
32%
**
**
Not Sure
1%
0%
0%
1%
7%
**
**
**
0%
2%
**
0%
0%
4%
**
**
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Trump Voters
100%
32%
27%
25%
10%
1%
3%
1%
59%
36%
4%
32%
38%
25%
2%
1%
Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
Party Affiliation
602 Clinton Voters
All
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%
Party Affiliation
Ideology
Somewha Moderat Somewha
Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con
Very Lib
t
e
t
For Clinton
67%
**
39%
**
60%
60%
67%
83%
40%
59%
75%
80%
63%
67%
64%
74%
Against Trump
31%
**
57%
**
38%
39%
31%
16%
57%
40%
24%
18%
31%
32%
36%
26%
Not Sure
2%
**
4%
**
2%
2%
1%
1%
3%
2%
1%
1%
6%
1%
0%
0%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Clinton Voters
100%
2%
6%
2%
11%
15%
33%
31%
7%
28%
64%
6%
11%
34%
24%
22%
Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
Party Affiliation
602 Clinton Voters
All
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%
Party Affiliation
Ideology
Somewha Moderat Somewha
Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con
Very Lib
t
e
t
Enthusiastically
69%
**
47%
**
60%
55%
64%
90%
54%
55%
77%
95%
64%
67%
57%
78%
With Reservations
29%
**
53%
**
37%
43%
34%
8%
45%
42%
21%
4%
35%
32%
38%
21%
Not Sure
2%
**
0%
**
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%
2%
1%
2%
5%
1%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Clinton Voters
100%
2%
6%
2%
11%
15%
33%
31%
7%
28%
64%
6%
11%
34%
24%
22%
In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More
often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the
middle?
Party Affiliation
8 Protest Voters
All
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 35.6%
Party Affiliation
Ideology
Somewha Moderat Somewha
Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con
Very Lib
t
e
t
Republican
57%
100%
**
69%
**
0%
54%
0%
100%
35%
30%
**
81%
41%
**
0%
Democrat
36%
0%
**
0%
**
100%
46%
100%
0%
49%
70%
**
0%
59%
**
100%
Split
6%
0%
**
31%
**
0%
0%
0%
0%
16%
0%
**
19%
0%
**
0%
Not Sure
0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Total
100%
100%
0%
100%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
100%
100%
0%
100%
Composition of Protest Voters
100%
30%
0%
22%
0%
22%
14%
12%
30%
44%
26%
0%
38%
36%
0%
12%
Is your opinion of Donald Trump ...
Party Affiliation
1314 Registered Voters
All
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.8%
Party Affiliation
Ideology
Somewha Moderat Somewha
Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con
Very Lib
t
e
t
Extremely Favorable
23%
66%
35%
30%
17%
4%
4%
4%
50%
19%
4%
49%
34%
17%
4%
4%
Favorable
19%
26%
35%
44%
17%
0%
6%
0%
31%
23%
3%
28%
32%
18%
4%
0%
Unfavorable
9%
2%
10%
10%
19%
9%
13%
4%
6%
13%
9%
6%
12%
12%
10%
1%
Extremely Unfavorable
46%
5%
17%
12%
45%
85%
74%
90%
12%
42%
82%
16%
21%
49%
82%
93%
Not Sure
2%
0%
2%
4%
2%
1%
3%
2%
1%
3%
2%
2%
2%
3%
0%
2%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Registered Voters
100%
15%
16%
13%
13%
9%
18%
15%
31%
34%
32%
18%
23%
30%
14%
11%
Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton...
Party Affiliation
1314 Registered Voters
All
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.8%
Party Affiliation
Ideology
Somewha Moderat Somewha
Strong R Republic Indy Lea Independ Indy Lea Democrat Strong D Republic Independ Democrat Very Con
Very Lib
t
e
t
Extremely Favorable
21%
3%
5%
1%
11%
18%
34%
68%
4%
9%
50%
12%
8%
20%
28%
53%
Favorable
23%
3%
13%
6%
21%
58%
47%
25%
8%
25%
37%
6%
13%
30%
42%
34%
Unfavorable
10%
7%
9%
12%
23%
13%
8%
2%
8%
16%
6%
6%
10%
10%
19%
5%
Extremely Unfavorable
45%
88%
73%
80%
43%
9%
9%
4%
80%
49%
7%
76%
68%
37%
11%
7%
Not Sure
1%
0%
0%
1%
2%
2%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
1%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Composition of Registered Voters
100%
15%
16%
13%
13%
9%
18%
15%
31%
34%
32%
18%
23%
30%
14%
11%