Monthly Maths I s s u e Increasing probability of success If you set yourself just a few significant goals you have a far better probability of achieving them, as this allows you to stay focused on what really is important to you to achieve. In his Whiteboard Wednesday video clip: The Probability of Getting Tasks Done, Max Pool looks at how the ability to get everything on your task list done becomes less and less probable with the number of tasks you load into your week. He uses simple mathematics of compounding probabilities as an analogy. 2 3 New Year’s Resolutions Have you set yourself any goals for 2013? Do you expect to keep to them or will they soon be a distant memory along with the Christmas pudding and tinsel? We have been researching ways in which you and your students might set attainable goals, and strategies for achieving them. Firstly, you should choose just one personal goal: something that you want to work on just for you and you alone. Secondly, consider your multiple roles in life, such as teacher, parent, spouse, employee, student, writer, etc. Focus on two of these roles, with a resolution for each. “Be very, very clear not only on how you will accomplish your resolution but also on why you want to accomplish it,” says Michael Pantalon of Yale University School of Medicine. According to Srinivasan Pillay of Harvard Medical School, for resolutions to work they have to take root in the brain, which requires more than simply saying or writing them. Don’t try to set a resolution for something that you’ve never done before or you only do rarely – make your resolutions reasonable. If you don’t run regularly at the moment, don’t set yourself a five mile run every day! It may be more attainable and sustainable to set smaller daily goals with a weekly target. Click here for the MEI Maths Item of the Month www.mei.org.uk J a n 2 0 1 3 Be specific: rather than resolving “to get fit”, set a specific target over two months and then set a new target. Instead of making a resolution to “finish a project”, set mini-goals such as realistic periods of time to work on that project, and log those hours invested, to show how realistic are your expectations of completing that project within a certain timeframe. Your goals should be set up so that they can be measured, such as by tracking yes/no ‘goal achievement’ data on a daily basis and recording weekly how many days those goals were achieved. Create a record sheet (this could be as formal as a spreadsheet or as simple as ticking days on a wall calendar). If you travel a lot, make sure to take a duplicate record. This could easily be done using a calendar on a mobile device. Telling everyone of your resolutions might not help, as some people may put you under too much pressure or chastise for your efforts, rather than support you in achieving your goal. Resolutions can be revised to enable you to stay on track. Consider making the resolution goal 90%, so that you do not abandon the resolution altogether the first time that you fail to meet a goal. This gives you 36 days on which to falter. So if you have decided to give something up for 2013 that you are currently doing every other day, that means that you will be reducing that habit from 182 days to 36, quite an achievement! A new MEI teaching resource is at the end of this bulletin. Click here to download it from our website. Disclaimer: This newsletter provides links to other Internet sites for the convenience of users. MEI is not responsible for the availability or content of these external sites, nor does MEI endorse or guarantee the products, services, or information described or offered at these other Internet sites. Balancing input and output One cookie away… In Plus Magazine’s article ‘Counting calories’ Rachel Thomas discusses Chow and Hall's mathematical analysis of weight loss as a dynamical system. “As well as describing how your weight will change over time, a dynamical system also shows when your weight will stabilise at a fixed point: where your weight will remain the same as long as you continue living the same lifestyle, in terms of diet and physical activity.” Read more Regular exercise + balanced diet = healthy body BBC GCSE Bitesize tells us that calories are a measure of the amount of energy in food. When we eat and drink, we put energy (calories) into our bodies. Our bodies then use up that energy, and the more physical activity we do, the more energy we use. A ‘kilocalorie’ is another word for a calorie, so 1,000 calories will be written as 1,000kcals. Kilojoules are the metric measurement of calories. To find the energy content in kilojoules, multiply the calorie figure by 4.18. The chemical reaction that allows cells to release energy from food is called respiration. The speed at which such chemical reactions take place in the body is called the metabolic rate, which increases as we exercise, and which varies with several factors: age gender proportion of body muscle to fat amount of physical activity genetic traits The energy we put into our bodies over a few days must be the same as the energy we use by normal bodily functions and physical activity so that overall the energy in and energy used remain balanced. The calorie content of many foods is stated on the packaging in the nutrition label and in many cases there are ‘traffic light’ indicators that tell us the proportions of fat, saturated fats, sugar, and salt contained in that food. These can be easier to understand for some than percentages of the Guideline Daily Amount (or GDA) that are shown on other food labels. This year, the government is introducing a consistent system of front-of -pack food labelling in the UK. A combination of guideline daily amounts, colour coding and "high, medium or low" wording will be used to show how much fat, salt and sugar and how many calories are in each product. Eat well, Move more, Live longer The NHS Change4life website states: “These days, ’modern life’ can mean that we’re a lot less active. With so many opportunities to watch TV or play computer games, and with so much convenience and fast food available, we don’t move about as much, or eat as well as we used to.” Resolution Booster The Change4life ‘Resolution Booster’ has been devised to boost your chances of success, so that you can look forward to a healthier New Year. We are reminded that our chances of success are far greater when we change just one thing at a time. Small steps are easier to achieve than big leaps. Choose one resolution from those listed on the website and start it by January 7. Change4life will be in touch to help you kick it off. Over 28 days the Resolution Booster will help you keep track of what you've achieved and support you with relevant tips and tools. New Year sales savvy shopping Cheers! In October 2012 Tesco shoppers were able to buy six bottles of wine, usually worth £59.94, for less than the price of one bottle. The problem began when the supermarket launched a wine discount promotion offering three bottles of selected wine for £12. This promotion included bottles of ‘Ogio’ brand, normally selling for £9.99 each. However, Tesco was also running another promotion on Ogio, giving shoppers 25% off the original price of the wine when they bought six or more bottles. This meant that the £24 wine bill was reduced by a further £14.99, leaving just £9.01 to pay! Comparing special offers Calculating percentage reductions Be careful of sales discounts when you go shopping. For example, which is better - ‘Buy one get one half price’ or ‘A third off’? If customers find it confusing, take heart in the fact that some retail websites don’t always get it right. For sites allowing the use of more than one discount the order in which the discounts are applied makes quite a difference. There are several ways of calculating percentages; here are two examples of calculating the new value of an item following a percentage reduction. For example, you may wish to calculate the sale price of a TV normally priced at £360.00 that has been reduced by 15%. Before Christmas, Marks and Spencer offered 30% off ladies’ nightwear; additionally they were offering ‘buy one get one half price’. The extra bargain for online shoppers was that the BOGOHP discount was deducted off the pre-sale price, but the 30% discount was also deducted off the pre-sale price, e.g. Two items were ordered at a pre-sale price of £6 each. Find 10% (360 ÷ 10 = £36), halve it to get 5% (£18) and then add them together to get 15% (£54). Deduct this from the original price to find the sale price: £360 - £54 = £306 Another method is to calculate the percentage of the original price you are now paying for the item: 100% (full price) - 15% (discount) = 85% (discounted price) This value is multiplied by the original price. Percentages can also be expressed as fractions or decimals, 85% being the same as 85/100 or 0.85. So: Had the BOGOHP discount been applied after the 30% discount the total would have been different, e.g. 2 x £6.00 30% off Nightwear: Subtotal 2x £4.20 BOGOHP Nightwear: Total for this order: One method is to use mental strategies to calculate the amount that the item has been reduced by: £12.00 - £3.60 £8.40 - £2.10 £6.30 0.85 x £360 = £306 The result (£306) is the same whichever method you use. How many other ways can you think of to solve a percentage reduction problem? Calculating commuting costs Better than average The Passenger Focus table (see opposite) reveals that the rises aren’t as bad for some commuters. If you travel between Aylesbury and London, your season ticket will have increased by a whopping £112, but this is a smaller percentage increase (3.2%) of the 2012 price of £3520 than the national average price increase. And now for some good news… Rising rail fares Rail fares have gone up again - season tickets have increased by an average of 4.3%. Find out how much fares have gone up by route and how much they cost per mile. A table provided by Passenger Focus shows rail fare rises, comparing the price of a 12-month season ticket bought in January 2012 with one bought today. Suppose that you travel between Bath Spa and Bristol Temple Meads station. A Bath Spa - Bristol Temple Meads season ticket has increased in price by 4.3% since January 2012, when it cost £1400. How much will it cost you in January 2013? You could calculate the actual amount by which the price of your season ticket has increased using this method: 1% of £1400 = £14 4.3% of £1400 = £14 x 4.3 = £60.20 and add this to the original ticket price: £1400 + £60.20 = £1460.20 Or you could calculate the percentage of your original price you now have: 100% + 4.3% = 104.3% The season ticket for those travelling between Shenfield and London has decreased by 0.6% since January 2012. In order to make decisions as to whether to travel by train or by car, several factors need to be considered. These include: and multiply this by the original (2012) price of your season ticket: 1.043 x £1400 = £1460.20 How many other ways can you think of to solve a percentage increase problem? Cost per mile of train/car travel between departure point and destination Additional costs incurred by each method of travel, e.g. car parking; road toll charges; road tax; car insurance (may change for business use) depreciation on value of car through wear and tear and additional mileage Number of passengers travelling together to same destination Cost of public transport/taxi/private car/bicycle to and from station/ destination Total journey time Benefits/drawbacks of different methods of transport, e.g. working/ reading/sleeping on train; carrying bulky items in car; paying up front for rail season ticket; public transport strikes and delays; traffic delays and diversions Availability of different methods of transport; convenience of connection locations and times; availability of parking Rail fare data is provided, including how much commuters are paying per mile, on this spreadsheet. The data provides several opportunities as a basis for extension and enrichment activities. More data is provided on the This is Money website and the BBC News website. Healthy Living: problems for the classroom • BMI calculator (using formulae) • Eat well, move more, live longer (real life calculations) BMI Calculator • Body Mass Index (BMI) is one of the measures that doctors and others use to help determine how healthy a person is. • It simply uses the person’s height and mass . • Although the calculation is the same for adults and children, the interpretation is different. • For normal adults the healthy range for BMI is considered to be 19 to 25. This changes if the person is particularly fit and muscular. • It is calculated using the formula: where mass is in kg and height is in m. 𝐵𝐵𝐵 = 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻 2 Using the BMI calculator Using the formula 𝐵𝐵𝐵 = 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻𝐻 2 answer the following: What is the BMI for each of the following people: • A man of height 1.84 m and mass 86kg? • A woman of height 165cm and mass 62kg? • A man of height 192cm and mass 68kg? What is the healthy range of masses for a woman of height 165cm? If a normal healthy man has a mass of 80kg, what height might he be? Many people still work with imperial measures; what would be the BMI of a person height 5 foot 7 inches, weight 10 stone 3 pounds? Eat well, move more, live longer The NHS has a campaign called change4life to encourage people to adopt healthier lifestyles… … but how much more should a person move to balance excess calorie intake? A 100g bar of chocolate is approximately 500 kcals and a 35g bag of crisps is approximately 200 kcals. How much exercise might a person need to do to balance each of these? Eat well, move more, live longer The table on the next slide gives the amount of calories burned for various forms of exercise. Calories burned when exercising are also dependent on body mass; figures given are for a 70kg person, exercising for an hour. • If a person ‘over-ate’ 1400 calories a week (equivalent to 2 chocolate bars and 2 bags of crisps) what exercise might they do during the week to burn off exactly the 1400 calories? • Devise a varied exercise plan for the week. • You might like to think about putting together an inexpensive plan that anyone could follow. Eat well, move more, live longer Exercise Calories Exercise Calories Aerobics 457 Hockey (field) 563 Badminton 317 Horse riding 281 Basketball 422 Housework 246 Bowling 210 Martial arts 704 Cycling (slow) 281 Mowing a lawn 387 Cycling (fast) 704 Roller blading 844 Fishing 176 Running (5mph) 563 Football 493 Skateboarding 352 Golf 317 Swimming 493 Gymnastics 281 Walking (brisk) 267 Teacher Notes BMI calculator • It is important to stress that BMI is just one indicator for assessing health and fitness – and that the 19 to 25 range does not apply to children Answers: 1.84 m and mass 86kg: 25.4 165cm and mass 62kg: 22.8 192cm and mass 68kg: 18.4 Range of masses for a woman of height 165cm: 51.7kg to 68.1kg Mass of 80kg, what height might he be: 1.78m to 2.05m BMI if they are 5 foot 7 height and weigh 10 stone 3 pounds: equivalent to 1.70m and 65 kg so BMI is 22.5 Teacher Notes Eat well, move more, live longer It should be stressed that we all need a certain amount of calories, but that healthy living is about balancing what a person eats with how much exercise they do. This activity is designed for students to devise their own exercise plan, so there are no definitive answers, but the extra table given in these notes can be used as a quick reference guide. On slide 5, students might make guesses about how much exercise is required to burn off a chocolate bar or bag of crisps, this can then be ‘checked’ with the information on later slides. To find exercises to burn of exactly 1400 calories, students will need to calculate to the nearest minute. You might like to add restrictions such as ‘There must be 4 different activities and the total exercise time should be between 3 and 4 hours” Teacher Notes The table below shows how many minutes it takes to burn 100 calories for each of the forms of exercise. Exercise Time Exercise Time Aerobics 13 Hockey (field) 11 Badminton 19 Horse riding 21 Basketball 14 Housework 24 Bowling 29 Martial arts 8.5 Cycling (slow) 21 Mowing a lawn 15.5 Cycling (fast) 8.5 Roller blading 7 Fishing 34 Running (5mph) 11 Football 12 Skateboarding 17 Golf 19 Swimming 12 Gymnastics 21 Walking (brisk) 22 Sources • BMI calculator • Reference graphs for children’s BMI • Calories in various foods • List of calories burned by exercise
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