HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 1
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Interviews: 1000 Registered Voters, including 450 respondents with a cell phone only and
46 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.
Study #16306
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Date: May 15-19, 2016
47 Male
53 Female
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.10%
The margin of error for 290 interviews among Republican Primary Voters is ±5.75%
The margin of error for 342 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±5.30%
Unless otherwise noted by a “+”, “^”, or “^^” all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +
18-24 ................................................................
10
25-29 ................................................................
9
30-34 ................................................................
11
35-39 ................................................................
8
40-44 ................................................................
7
45-49 ................................................................
7
50-54 ................................................................
9
55-59 ................................................................
10
60-64 ................................................................
10
65-69 ................................................................
6
70-74 ................................................................
4
75 and over ..........................................................
8
Not sure/refused .................................................
1
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.
Q2b
To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background? +
Yes, Hispanic ...................................................
10
No, not Hispanic ...............................................
90
Not sure/refused .............................................
-
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.
Q2c
And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? +
White ..............................................................75
Black ..............................................................12
Asian .............................................................. 2
Other .............................................................. 4
Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 5
Not sure/refused ........................................... 2
White, Non-Hispanic.......................................71
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q3
Study #16306 -- page 2
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? +
Registered ........................................
100
Not registered ................................ Not sure ..........................................-
+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
Q4
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
High
Low
4/09
61
30
9
9/14+
40
54
6
5/16+
Approve .................51
Disapprove ............46
Not sure ............... 3
4/16+
49
48
3
3/16+
49
46
5
2/16+
49
47
4
1/16+
47
49
4
12/15
43
51
6
10/2529/15
45
49
6
10/1518/15
46
49
5
9/15
47
47
6
7/15
45
50
5
6/15
48
48
4
4/15
48
47
5
3/15
46
50
4
1/15
46
48
6
12/14
45
50
5
11/14
44
50
6
10/3011/1/14+
42
52
6
10/812/14+
42
52
6
9/14+
40
54
6
8/14
40
54
6
6/14
41
53
6
4/14
44
50
6
3/14
41
54
5
1/14
43
51
6
12/13
43
54
3
10/2528/13
42
51
7
10/7-9/13
47
48
5
9/13
45
50
5
8/13
44
48
8
7/13
45
50
5
6/13
48
47
5
4/13
47
48
5
2/13
50
45
5
1/13
52
44
4
12/12
53
43
4
10/12+
49
48
3
9/26-30/12+
49
48
3
9/1216/12+
50
48
2
8/12+
48
49
3
7/12+
49
48
3
6/12
47
48
5
5/12
48
46
6
4/12
49
46
5
3/12
50
45
5
1/12
48
46
6
12/11
46
48
6
11/11
44
51
5
10/11
44
51
5
8/11
44
51
5
7/11
47
48
5
6/11
49
46
5
5/11
52
41
7
4/11
49
45
6
2/11
48
46
6
1/11
53
41
6
12/10
45
48
7
11/10
47
47
6
10/2830/10+
45
50
5
10/1418/10+
47
49
4
9/10
46
49
5
8/2630/10
45
49
6
8/5-9/10
47
48
5
6/10
45
48
7
5/2023/10
48
45
7
5/611/10
50
44
6
3/10
48
47
5
1/23-25/10
50
44
6
1/1014/10
48
43
9
12/09
47
46
7
10/09
51
42
7
9/09
51
41
8
8/09
51
40
9
7/09
53
40
7
6/09
56
34
10
4/09
61
30
9
2/09
60
26
14
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q5
Study #16306 -- page 3
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to
rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very
negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA)
Barack Obama
May 2016+ ....................................
April 2016+ ...................................
March 2016+ ................................
February 2016+............................
January 2016+ .............................
December 2015............................
October 25-29, 2015 ....................
October 15-18, 2015 ....................
September 2015...........................
July 2015......................................
June 2015 ....................................
April 2015 .....................................
March 2015 ..................................
January 2015 ...............................
December 2014............................
November 2014............................
Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ...............
October 8-12, 2014+ ....................
September 2014+ ........................
August 2014 .................................
June 2014 ....................................
April 2014 .....................................
March 2014 ..................................
January 2014 ...............................
December 2013............................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ...................
April 2013 .....................................
January 2013 ...............................
December 2012............................
October 2012+ .............................
September 26-30, 2012+ .............
August 2012+ ...............................
June 2012 ....................................
January 2012 ...............................
August 2011 .................................
April 2011 .....................................
January 2011 ...............................
December 2010............................
November 2010............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
June 2010 ....................................
May 20-23, 2010 ..........................
March 2010 ..................................
January 23-25, 2010 ....................
December 2009............................
October 2009 ...............................
February 2009 ..............................
January 2009 ...............................
High
February 2009 ..............................
Presidential Term Low
August 2014 .................................
All-time Obama Low
October 28-30, 2006+ ..................
1
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
17
18
19
18
20
21
17
17
18
20
20
21
20
21
21
21
20
22
20
18
21
20
20
19
20
21
19
17
21
16
15
15
17
19
22
20
22
23
23
21
18
20
19
19
23
21
20
21
23
10
13
10
11
11
9
12
12
14
13
13
13
12
13
10
11
12
11
11
13
13
15
15
13
11
11
13
10
11
9
8
6
8
14
10
12
14
15
14
12
12
13
15
11
14
13
11
12
17
10
14
12
11
12
14
12
13
11
14
14
13
14
12
13
11
13
12
13
14
14
13
14
14
13
11
12
15
11
14
12
11
13
11
14
14
13
14
14
13
15
15
14
14
14
15
12
9
8
31
27
31
30
30
32
31
31
29
29
27
27
29
29
31
32
32
34
33
33
31
28
30
30
33
30
28
27
26
24
31
31
30
27
25
30
23
18
24
26
27
25
24
24
20
22
21
10
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
47
21
12
9
10
1
22
18
13
14
33
-
14
17
18
5
6
40
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
32
28
28
30
27
23
27
27
28
24
25
26
24
24
24
24
23
21
22
22
20
24
21
23
22
26
28
30
31
37
34
37
31
29
28
24
28
29
25
28
29
27
28
31
29
29
36
47
43
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
Hillary Clinton
May 2016+ ....................................
April 2016+ ...................................
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015 ............................
July 2015 .......................................
June 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ......................................
March 2015 ...................................
January 2015 ................................
November 2014 .............................
September 2014+..........................
June 2014 .....................................
April 2014 ......................................
March 2014 ...................................
September 2013 ............................
May 30-June 2, 2013.....................
April 2013 ......................................
January 2013 ................................
December 2012 .............................
November 2011 .............................
May 2011 ......................................
April 2011 ......................................
December 2010 .............................
January 10-14, 2010 ....................
July 2009 .......................................
February 2009 ...............................
January 2009 ................................
December 2008 .............................
September 2008+..........................
August 2008+ ................................
June 2008+ ...................................
April 2008+ ....................................
March 24-25, 2008+ ......................
March 7-10, 2008+ ........................
January 2008 ................................
June 2007 .....................................
March 2007 ...................................
December 2006 .............................
April 2006 ......................................
December 2004 .............................
July 2003 .......................................
March 2001 ...................................
January 2001 ................................
High
February 2009 ...............................
Low
April 2016+ ...................................
1
Study #16306 -- page 4
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
18
19
20
20
24
21
23
20
25
22
23
23
23
25
19
22
21
25
21
25
20
24
22
24
22
29
27
28
27
27
27
29
26
24
25
28
22
20
23
23
24
23
22
19
21
21
19
22
12
12
11
13
11
15
12
12
13
14
15
14
19
17
16
16
18
19
20
17
18
14
19
14
22
23
21
18
22
15
18
14
20
15
16
14
14
15
11
11
15
17
17
19
14
20
15
13
13
14
12
11
12
13
12
13
13
15
11
10
13
14
15
15
14
11
12
12
13
14
12
16
12
12
11
11
13
15
11
15
14
17
18
17
19
21
14
11
16
15
12
13
11
13
18
12
41
42
39
39
37
35
35
35
34
33
29
32
23
23
25
26
23
21
22
19
18
15
13
12
10
9
11
16
12
16
11
14
12
20
23
22
25
27
29
30
26
28
26
28
29
27
31
24
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
2
32
27
18
11
11
1
13
19
12
14
42
-
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
16
13
18
17
16
16
17
19
14
15
21
19
21
20
24
21
23
23
23
26
29
32
34
34
33
26
29
26
25
26
32
27
27
23
17
18
20
17
22
24
18
16
21
19
24
16
16
27
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
23
24
23
22
20
18
19
22
17
14
8
18
16
18
17
20
19
22
19
23
20
22
15
14
13
12
12
13
9
11
9
10
6
21
22
23
23
19
18
19
16
13
9
7
3
3
3
6
11
14
16
16
23
37
49
13
11
12
11
14
12
10
13
8
10
9
9
4
3
3
16
13
13
17
15
15
17
17
17
16
17
17
12
11
11
12
10
11
12
12
13
17
17
16
16
40
38
28
25
28
14
12
10
10
11
12
14
14
14
13
18
14
24
23
25
44
53
54
49
47
47
42
39
44
43
11
15
25
32
24
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
5
7
7
6
9
8
9
5
8
14
23
23
19
6
21
17
18
16
16
16
14
14
11
27
28
28
28
23
16
18
18
19
19
17
16
14
15
12
13
11
8
10
11
12
12
19
25
20
21
10
15
18
21
22
13
8
12
17
46
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
20
21
20
20
18
18
15
16
15
10
8
Donald Trump
May 2016+ ....................................
April 2016+ ...................................
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015 ............................
July 2015 .......................................
February 2011 ...............................
May 2004+ ....................................
December 1999 .............................
October 1999 ................................
July 1990 .......................................
Paul Ryan
May 2016+ ....................................
April 2016+ ....................................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
December 2012 .............................
October 2012+ ..............................
September 26-30, 2012+ ..............
August 2012+ ................................
June 2011 .....................................
Bernie Sanders
May 2016+ ....................................
April 2016+ ...................................
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+ .............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015 .............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
September 2015 ............................
July 2015 .......................................
June 2015 .....................................
Study #16306 -- page 5
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Q5 (cont'd)
The Democratic Party
May 2016+ ...................................
April 2016+ ...................................
February 2016+ ............................
October 25-29, 2015 ...................
September 2015 ...........................
July 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ....................................
January 2015................................
December 2014 ............................
November 2014 ............................
Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ...............
October 8-12, 2014+ ....................
September 2014+ .........................
June 2014.....................................
April 2014 .....................................
March 2014 ..................................
January 2014................................
December 2013 ............................
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
September 2013 ...........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ....................
February 2013 ..............................
January 2013................................
December 2012 ............................
October 2012+..............................
September 26-30, 2012+..............
August 2012+ ...............................
July 2012+ ....................................
June 2012.....................................
May 2012......................................
April 2012 .....................................
March 2012 ..................................
January 2012................................
December 2011 ............................
November 2011 ............................
October 2011................................
August 2011 .................................
June 2011.....................................
May 2011......................................
April 2011 .....................................
January 2011................................
December 2010 ............................
November 2010 ............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
October 14-18, 2010+ ..................
September 2010 ...........................
August 26-30, 2010 ......................
August 5-9, 2010 ..........................
May 20-23, 2010 ..........................
May 6-11, 2010 ............................
March 2010 ..................................
January 10-14, 2010 ....................
December 2009 ............................
High
January 2000................................
Low
July 2006 ......................................
1
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't
Know
Name/
Not Sure
11
10
16
15
16
13
12
9
12
12
12
12
11
13
13
14
10
10
15
14
13
14
18
17
21
21
21
19
17
14
17
15
15
15
9
15
12
11
13
15
12
15
9
14
16
14
15
11
11
15
11
9
11
10
27
28
24
26
25
25
26
26
25
26
24
25
25
25
23
21
27
26
22
25
27
25
23
27
23
21
21
23
23
23
22
24
23
23
23
25
25
22
25
26
26
24
28
26
23
24
22
25
22
26
26
28
27
25
20
20
21
18
23
22
24
24
22
20
19
20
22
21
24
25
22
19
21
18
22
22
22
17
19
17
17
16
20
25
19
21
24
23
25
22
19
21
21
22
22
25
20
18
17
16
20
19
22
18
19
19
20
19
19
19
17
17
16
18
17
18
17
20
20
20
20
18
19
18
20
20
18
20
20
19
17
19
16
17
17
17
17
18
21
19
18
21
23
18
20
19
19
18
18
19
18
18
19
19
20
19
18
18
18
19
18
19
22
22
21
22
19
20
19
20
22
21
23
23
22
22
18
20
20
24
22
20
18
18
19
19
19
23
22
23
23
19
19
19
18
18
19
19
22
25
20
17
21
16
23
23
23
26
22
24
26
22
24
24
23
26
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
3
2
1
1
2
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
20
30
23
15
10
2
7
25
27
22
17
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
The Republican Party
May 2016+ ...................................
April 2016+ ..................................
February 2016+ ...........................
October 25-29, 2015 ....................
September 2015 ..........................
July 2015 .....................................
April 2015 ....................................
January 2015...............................
December 2014 ...........................
November 2014 ...........................
Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ..............
October 8-12, 2014+ ...................
September 2014+ ........................
June 2014.....................................
April 2014 .....................................
March 2014 ..................................
January 2014................................
December 2013 ............................
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
October 7-9, 2013 ........................
September 2013 ...........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ....................
February 2013 ..............................
December 2012 ............................
October 2012+..............................
September 26-30, 2012+.............
August 2012+ ..............................
July 2012+ ....................................
May 2012......................................
April 2012 .....................................
March 2012 ..................................
January 2012................................
December 2011 ............................
November 2011 ............................
October 2011................................
August 2011 .................................
May 2011......................................
April 2011 .....................................
January 2011................................
December 2010 ..........................
November 2010 ..........................
October 28-30, 2010+ ..................
October 14-18, 2010+ ..................
September 2010 ...........................
August 5-9, 2010 ..........................
June 2010.....................................
May 20-23, 2010 ..........................
March 2010 ..................................
January 23-25, 2010 ....................
January 10-14, 2010 ....................
December 2009 ...........................
June 2009....................................
April 2009 ....................................
February 2009 ..............................
High
December 2001 ............................
Low
October 25-28, 2013 ....................
1
Study #16306 -- page 7
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
19
20
23
22
21
21
22
19
23
23
22
21
22
23
19
20
19
20
16
17
21
24
21
21
21
24
24
23
23
22
24
23
21
21
22
24
24
24
27
27
23
22
23
23
18
24
23
25
25
23
23
19
22
19
25
21
21
26
24
26
26
27
24
23
23
21
26
24
29
27
28
22
24
21
27
26
24
23
20
18
18
22
23
23
23
24
23
23
21
21
22
24
24
23
24
24
25
25
28
26
26
24
27
27
27
29
25
24
24
23
23
20
21
22
20
23
22
18
23
25
20
22
22
21
22
26
23
24
23
18
20
18
18
18
16
18
19
19
19
19
23
18
18
23
21
22
21
17
20
18
19
21
24
23
21
20
18
24
24
23
22
25
25
28
23
24
24
22
23
23
23
25
24
25
21
23
22
24
25
25
30
29
21
23
26
27
25
25
29
25
24
24
24
25
25
26
26
23
23
22
19
20
19
23
23
22
22
19
19
23
20
18
19
21
22
22
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
2
3
2
1
2
1
2
2
3
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
3
1
2
2
2
3
21
36
18
13
9
3
6
16
24
23
30
1
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
5
7
10
7
8
7
8
6
7
9
7
6
9
6
6
7
5
6
6
7
7
8
8
9
15
14
12
11
9
11
8
8
6
9
11
8
8
7
7
11
11
12
8
8
6
6
10
6
7
7
5
6
7
7
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q5 (cont'd)
Vladimir Putin
May 2016+ ....................................
October 15-18, 2015 .....................
August 2014 ................................
March 2014..................................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
2
2
2
2
6
5
2
3
Study #16306 -- page 8
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
22
16
14
16
21
18
16
22
38
48
52
41
11
11
14
16
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE)
TOTAL
TOTAL
D/S
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
Barack Obama .......................................
49
41
6
Bernie Sanders ......................................
43
36
7
Paul Ryan ..............................................
29
29
The Democratic Party ............................
38
41
-3
Hillary Clinton .........................................
34
54
-20
The Republican Party.............................
24
49
-25
Donald Trump ........................................
29
58
-29
Vladimir Putin .........................................
8
59
-51
Thinking some more about one of these people…
Q6
If the Constitution allowed presidents to be elected to a third term in office, would you consider voting for
Barack Obama in November's presidential election, or not? +*
Yes, Consider ................................................................................................
39
No, Not Consider ................................................................................................
59
Not sure ................................................................................................
2
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
September 2000 Bill Clinton Trend+
Yes, Consider ..................................................
No, not Consider ..............................................
Depends (VOL) ..............................................
Not sure .........................................................
34
62
3
1
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 9
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Now, thinking about something else…
Q7
Let me list some issues that have been proposed for the federal government to address. Please tell me
which ONE OR TWO of these items you think should be the top priority for the federal government. (READ
AND RANDOMZE LIST. ACCEPT UP TO TWO RESPONSE AND RECORD FIRST AND SECOND
CHOICE) (IF ONLY ONE CHOICE GIVEN, THEN ASK) And, which of these issues do you think should be
the second highest priority for the federal government to address? +
MAY 2016 – AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST 1ST CHOICE PERCENTAGE
1
Choice
26
21
16
15
8
6
5
1
1
1
St
Job creation and economic growth ......................................
National security and terrorism ............................................
The deficit and government spending ..................................
Health care ..........................................................................
Climate change .....................................................................
Immigration ...........................................................................
Religious and moral values ...................................................
Other (VOL) .......................................................................
All equally (VOL) ................................................................
None of these (VOL) ..........................................................
Not sure .............................................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
2
Choice
24
22
15
12
8
14
4
1
nd
DECEMBER 2015 – AMONG ALL ADULTS
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST 1ST CHOICE PERCENTAGE
1
Choice
40
23
11
9
7
5
3
1
1
St
National security and terrorism ............................................
Job creation and economic growth ......................................
The deficit and government spending ..................................
Health care ..........................................................................
Climate change .....................................................................
Immigration ...........................................................................
Religious and moral values ...................................................
Other (VOL) .......................................................................
All equally (VOL) ................................................................
None of these (VOL) ..........................................................
Not sure .............................................................................
2
Choice
21
21
18
15
8
10
4
1
2
nd
APRIL 2015 – AMONG ALL ADULTS
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST 1ST CHOICE PERCENTAGE
1
Choice
Job creation and economic growth ............................................ 29
National security and terrorism .................................................. 21
The deficit and government spending ........................................ 17
Health care ................................................................................ 13
Climate change ........................................................................... 8
Immigration ................................................................................. 6
Religious and moral values ......................................................... 6
Other (VOL) ............................................................................. All equally (VOL) ...................................................................... None of these (VOL) ................................................................ Not sure ................................................................................... St
2
Choice
24
18
16
15
5
15
4
1
1
1
nd
Combined
Choice
50
43
31
27
16
20
9
1
1
1
-
Combined
Choice
61
44
29
24
15
15
7
2
1
1
Combined
Choice
53
39
33
28
13
21
10
1
1
1
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 10
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
I’d like to ask you a question about the November 2016 presidential election…
Q8
Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a
"ten" means that you are very interested in November's elections and a "one" means that you are not at all
interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.")
5/16+
10, very interested .......................
60
9 ..................................................
9
8 ..................................................
11
7 ..................................................
6
6 ..................................................
3
5 ..................................................
6
4 ..................................................
1
3 ..................................................
2
2 ..................................................
1, not at all interested ..................
2
Cannot rate................................
-
2/16+
61
9
13
6
3
4
1
1
2
-
9/15+
56
8
13
9
3
5
1
1
1
2
1
4/15+
53
7
15
8
4
7
1
1
2
2
-
10/12+
69
8
9
4
2
5
1
2
-
9/2630/12+
65
8
10
5
3
5
1
1
2
-
9/1216/12+
64
8
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
1
-
8/12+
62
6
13
6
3
5
1
1
1
2
-
7/12+
62
6
11
7
4
5
1
1
3
-
6/12+
60
8
12
7
3
5
2
1
1
1
-
5/12+
62
7
12
6
4
5
1
1
1
1
-
4/12+
61
6
12
7
3
5
2
2
1
2
-
3/12+
48
11
14
9
5
6
2
1
1
2
1
1/12+
57
10
11
7
3
6
2
2
1
1
-
10/45/08+
72
7
10
4
1
3
1
2
-
9/1922/08+
70
8
9
5
2
3
1
1
1
-
9/68/08+
69
10
10
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
-
8/08+
65
8
11
5
2
3
1
1
1
3
-
7/08+
64
8
12
5
3
4
1
1
2
-
6/08+
67
7
11
5
2
4
1
1
2
-
4/08+
65
9
11
4
3
3
1
2
2
-
3/08+
67
8
10
5
2
3
1
1
2
1
1/08+
66
10
10
4
3
4
1
1
1
-
12/07+
65
8
12
5
2
4
1
1
2
-
10/04+
74
8
9
3
2
2
1
1
-
9/04+
71
7
9
5
2
4
1
1
-
8/04+
63
10
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
-
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
11/07+
62
9
11
6
3
5
1
1
2
-
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q9
Study #16306 -- page 11
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
How much difference do you think it will make in the lives of you and your family who wins the upcoming
presidential election--a great deal, quite a bit, just some, or very little?
A great deal of difference ....................
Quite a bit of difference .......................
Just some difference ...........................
Very little difference .............................
Not sure .............................................
5/16+
48
23
17
11
1
10/2529/15+
42
19
20
17
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
10/12+
55
21
13
9
2
10/04+
45
27
16
10
2
10/96+
21
19
28
29
3
7/96
19
17
25
34
5
5/92
28
18
25
26
3
Moving on…
Q10
Putting aside for a moment the question of who each party's nominee might be, what is your preference for
the outcome of this year’s presidential election––that a Democrat be elected president or that a Republican
be elected president? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) And do you strongly prefer a
(Democrat/Republican), or is your preference not that strong?
5/16+
Democrat
47
Strongly ......................
39
Not strongly ................8
Republican
43
Not strongly ................9
Strongly ......................
34
Other (VOL) ..............4
Not sure ....................6
4/16+
46
36
10
45
9
36
4
5
3/16+
46
37
9
42
7
35
4
8
2/16+
45
36
9
45
9
36
3
7
8/08+
Democrat
46
Strongly ......................
36
Not strongly ................
10
Republican
37
Not strongly ................
13
Strongly ......................
24
Other (VOL) ..............
6
Not sure ....................
11
2008 Election Trend
3/77/08+ 6/08+ 10/08+ 11/07+
48
51
50
49
43
44
44
41
5
7
6
8
36
35
37
39
8
8
8
8
28
27
29
31
4
4
4
2
12
10
9
11
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1/16+
46
33
13
43
10
33
5
6
12/15+
44
34
10
44
12
32
5
7
9/07+
47
40
7
38
9
29
4
11
6/07
52
42
10
31
8
23
5
12
10/2529/15+
43
33
10
44
9
35
6
7
4/07
49
39
10
31
6
25
6
14
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q11A
Study #16306 -- page 12
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
In thinking about the next president that we'll be electing, which of the following two statements comes
closer to your point of view? (IF "BOTH," ASK:) I understand that you feel that they are both important, but if
you had to choose the ONE statement that comes closer to your point of view, which would you choose?
Statement A: This is a time to have a president who will focus on progress and help move America forward.
Statement B: This is a time to have a president who will focus on protecting what has made America great.
Statement A/focus on progress/moving forward ...............
Statement B/focus on protecting what has made
America great ....................................................................
Neither (VOL) ..................................................................
Not sure ...........................................................................
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q11B
5/16+*
58
9/15+
60
9/1922/08+
63
8/08+
60
6/08+
59
3/08+
57
11/07+
50
38
3
1
38
33
35
37
39
46
2
4
5
4
4
4
In thinking about the next president that we’ll be electing, which of the following two statements comes
closer to your point of view? (IF "BOTH," ASK:) I understand that you feel that they are both important, but if
you had to choose the ONE statement that comes closer to your point of view, which would you choose? +**
Statement A: Someone who will bring major changes to the way government operates even if it is not
possible to predict what the changes may be
Statement B: Someone who will bring a steady approach to the way government operates even if it means
fewer changes to how things are now
Statement A/bring major changes.....................................
Statement B/bring a steady approach...............................
Neither (VOL) ..................................................................
Not sure ...........................................................................
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
53
43
2
2
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 13
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Moving on…
Q12
Many states have already had a presidential primary or caucus with only a handful of states left who have
not. How about you? Did you already vote or participate or do you plan on voting or participating in your
state’s… (ROTATE) Democratic or… Republican presidential primary or caucus or are you waiting to vote
in the general election in November? +
Voted/Plan to vote in the Democratic primary or caucus ...
Voted/Plan to vote in the Republican primary or caucus ....
Wait until the general election ............................................
Neither/other (VOL) ..........................................................
Not sure ...........................................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
33
28
35
3
1
Previous Trend: Now, if there were a presidential primary election in your state, would you vote in the
Democratic primary, the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November?
10/254/16+ 3/16+ 2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 29/15+
Have Voted/Will Vote in Democratic Primary...........
34
34
32
28
33
28
Have Voted/Will Vote in Republican Primary ...........
31
34
31
33
33
32
Wait until the general election ..................................
34
30
35
37
33
40
Do not plan to vote at all (VOL)..............................
1
1
1
Not sure ..................................................................
1
1
2
1
-
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q13
10/1518/15+
31
31
34
1
3
9/15+
31
28
38
3
7/15+
30
30
39
1
6/15+
30
28
38
1
3
4/15+
32
29
35
1
3
3/15+
30
25
40
2
3
And, if the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following
candidates would you favor? (READ LIST. ROTATE. IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean?
(ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.)
5/16^^
Hillary Clinton ................................ 53
Bernie Sanders ................................ 45
Martin O’Malley ................................ Jim Webb ..................................................
Lincoln Chafee ................................ Other (VOL) ................................ None (VOL) ................................ 2
Not sure .................................................
-
4/16^^
50
48
NA
NA
NA
2
3/16^^
53
44
NA
NA
NA
1
2
2/16^^
53
42
NA
NA
NA
1
4
1/16^^
59
34
2
NA
NA
3
2
12/15^^
56
37
4
NA
NA
2
1
10/2529/15^^
62
31
3
NA
NA
1
1
2
10/1518/15^^
58
33
1
2
3
3
9/15^^
53
38
1
1
1
2
4
7/15^^
59
25
3
3
1
1
4
4
6/15^^
75
15
2
4
1
2
1
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have voted/will vote in the
Democratic Primary
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q14
Study #16306 -- page 14
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
It now appears that the contest for the Democratic nomination between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders
may continue at least through the end of the primary season in June. Do you feel that this is good for the
Democratic Party or bad for the Democratic Party in their efforts to win the general election in November, or
will it not make a difference either way?
Good for the Democratic Party ..........
Bad for the Democratic Party ............
No difference either way .................
Not sure ..........................................
Dem
PV^^
40
22
36
2
Dem/
Lean Dem2
37
21
38
4
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say
they have voted/will vote in the Democratic Primary
2
Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say
they are Democratic or Lean Democratic
2008 Trend Among Democratic Primary Voters
It now appears that the contest for the Democratic
nomination between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama
may continue at least through the end of the primary
season in June. Do you feel that this is good for the
Democratic Party or bad for the Democratic Party in their
efforts to win the general election in November, or will it
not make a difference either way?
Good for the Democratic Party ..........
Bad for the Democratic Party ............
No difference either way .................
Not sure ..........................................
Q15
4/08
21
37
38
4
3/710/08
25
38
31
6
If Hillary Clinton becomes the Democratic nominee for President will you be very satisfied, somewhat
satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?
Democratic
Primary Voters
5/16^^ 4/16^^ 3/16^^
Satisfied
71
73
78
Very Satisfied................................
42
41
44
Somewhat Satisfied .........................
29
32
34
Dissatisfied
28
27
22
Somewhat Dissatisfied.....................
16
15
11
Very Dissatisfied ..............................
12
12
11
Not Sure................................ 1
-
Dem/
Lean Dem
5/162
70
40
30
29
19
10
1
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they
have voted/will vote in the Democratic Primary
2
Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they are
Democratic or Lean Democratic.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q16
Study #16306 -- page 15
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
If Bernie Sanders becomes the Democratic nominee for President will you be very satisfied, somewhat
satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?
Satisfied
Very Satisfied ...................................
Somewhat Satisfied .........................
Dissatisfied
Somewhat Dissatisfied .....................
Very Dissatisfied ..............................
Not Sure ........................................
Dem
PV^^
77
39
38
23
12
11
-
Dem/
Lean Dem2
78
42
36
21
12
9
1
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say
they have voted/will vote in the Democratic Primary
2
Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say
they are Democratic or Lean Democratic
Q17
If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee for President will you be very satisfied, somewhat
satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?
Satisfied
Very Satisfied ...................................
Somewhat Satisfied ..........................
Dissatisfied
Somewhat Dissatisfied .....................
Very Dissatisfied ...............................
Not Sure ........................................
Republican
Primary Voters
5/16^
4/16^
3/16^
71
63
53
32
31
24
39
32
29
28
36
46
10
9
15
18
27
31
1
1
1
GOP/
Lean GOP
5/161
71
32
39
27
12
15
2
^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they have voted/will
vote in the Republican Primary
1
Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they are Republican or
Lean Republican
2012 MITT ROMNEY SATISFACTION TREND
Satisfied ..............................................
Dissatisfied ..........................................
Not Sure ............................................
3/12^
72
24
4
^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters
who say they would vote/have voted in the Republican
Primary
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 16
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Thinking again about the 2016 presidential election…
Q18
(And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican
candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump....................
Hillary Clinton ....................
Depends (VOL) ..............
Neither/other (VOL) ........
Not sure ..........................
10/255/16+ 4/16+ 3/16+ 2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 29/15+ 9/15+
43
39
38
40
41
40
42
39
46
50
51
50
51
50
50
49
9
9
9
9
6
8
6
10
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q19
(And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican
candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump ...................
Bernie Sanders .................
Depends (VOL) ..............
Neither/other (VOL) ........
Not sure .........................
5/16+
39
54
5
2
3/16+
37
55
7
1
10/252/16+ 29/15+ 9/15+
37
41
36
53
50
52
8
6
8
2
3
4
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 17
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Talking just about a general election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump…
(ASKED OF CLINTON VOTERS)
Q20A Would you say your vote is more FOR Hillary Clinton or more AGAINST Donald Trump?
More for Hillary Clinton .....................
More against Donald Trump .............
Some of both (VOL) .......................
Not sure..........................................
Reg Voters
More for Democrat ............................
More against Republican ..................
Some of both (VOL) ........................
Not sure ..........................................
Obama/
Romney
6/12+
72
22
4
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.
Among
Clinton Voters
44
52
4
Likely Voters
Obama/
McCain
Kerry/
Bush
11/12/08+
10/04+
81
37
11
47
7
14
1
2
(ASKED OF TRUMP VOTERS)
Q20B Would you say your vote is more FOR Donald Trump or more AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
More for Donald Trump ............................
More against Hillary Clinton ......................
Some of both (VOL)................................
Not sure ..................................................
Reg Voters
More for Republican..........................
More against Democrat.....................
Some of both (VOL) ........................
Not sure ..........................................
Romney/
Obama
6/12+
35
58
5
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.
Among
Trump Voters
42
54
3
1
Likely Voters
McCain/
Obama
Bush/
Kerry
11/12/08+
10/04+
61
76
29
14
9
10
1
-
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q21
Study #16306 -- page 18
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
There has been some speculation about a third-party or independent candidate. Without naming the
specific candidate, if the major party candidates were Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, would you
definitely consider, possibly consider, probably NOT consider, or definitely NOT consider voting for an
independent or third-party candidate?
5/16+
Consider
47
Definitely consider ............................................................ 19
Probably consider ........................................................... 28
Not Consider
50
Probably not consider ...................................................... 14
Definitely not consider ...................................................... 36
Not sure............................................................................ 3
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
2012 & 2008 TREND
4/121
Definitely consider .............................................................. 13
Probably consider .............................................................. 27
Probably not consider ......................................................... 20
Definitely not consider ........................................................ 38
Not sure ............................................................................ 2
1
In April 2012, the candidates were Barack Obama and Mitt Romney.
3/16+
46
20
26
51
15
36
3
1/082
16
22
12
44
6
2
In January 2008, the candidates were Barack Obama and John McCain.
In 2012 & 2008, the question read: “There has been a lot of talk about a thirdparty or independent candidate…”
(ASKED OF FORM C – QUARTER SAMPLE)
Q22A And suppose for a moment that Donald Trump is elected President in November, what word or short phrase
best describes how you feel when you hear the words President Donald Trump?
SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE
(ASKED OF FORM E – QUARTER SAMPLE)
Q22B And suppose for a moment that Hillary Clinton is elected President in November, what word or short phrase
best describes how you feel when you hear the words President Hillary Clinton?
SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 19
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Thinking again about some of the candidates for President…
(ASKED OF TRUMP VOTERS)
Q23A Which one or two, if any, of the following are the main reasons why you support Donald Trump for
president? (RANDOMIZE)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
Among
Trump Voters
He is a successful businessman and will shake things up in Washington ................................................32
He is not Hillary Clinton ............................................................................................................................28
He will be good for the economy and creating American jobs ................................................................ 23
He will take a strong stance on immigration and protecting America’s borders ................................
23
He will restore the United States’ position of strength in the world ...........................................................17
He will protect the United States from terrorism .......................................................................................13
None of these (VOL) ............................................................................................................................... All of these (VOL) ................................................................................................................................ 11
Not sure ..................................................................................................................................................1
(ASKED OF CLINTON VOTERS)
Q23B Which one or two, if any, of the following are the main reasons why you support Hillary Clinton for president?
(RANDOMIZE)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE
Among
Clinton Voters
She is not Donald Trump ..........................................................................................................................33
She has the right temperament and experience to handle national security ................................
31
She will build on the progress made by President Obama ................................................................
29
She will be a president who respects the rights of all Americans .............................................................24
She will work to provide more security and opportunity for the middle class ................................
15
She will be good for the economy and creating American jobs ................................................................11
None of these (VOL)...............................................................................................................................1
All of these (VOL) ................................................................................................................................ 6
Not sure ..................................................................................................................................................1
(Q24A-B ROTATED)
Q24A Which statement best describes your reaction to Donald Trump’s campaign statements…(ROTATE TOP TO
BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)
I like his approach and style and agree with him on most issues ...........................................................
19
I like his approach and style, but disagree with him on most issues ......................................................
5
I dislike his approach and style, but agree with him on most issues.......................................................
26
I dislike his approach and style and disagree with him on most issues ..................................................
48
Not sure................................................................................................................................................
2
Q24B
Which statement best describes your reaction to Hillary Clinton’s campaign statements…(ROTATE TOP TO
BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)
I like her approach and style and agree with her on most issues ...........................................................
28
I like her approach and style, but disagree with her on most issues ......................................................
9
I dislike her approach and style, but agree with her on most issues ......................................................
15
I dislike her approach and style and disagree with her on most issues ..................................................
45
Not sure................................................................................................................................................
3
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q25
Study #16306 -- page 20
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress
controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?
4/16+
45
47
8
10/2510/3029/15+ 11/1/14+
45
42
45
46
10
12
10/812/14+
42
46
12
9/14+
45
43
12
8/14+
44
43
13
6/14+
43
45
12
4/14+
45
45
10
3/14+
44
43
13
1/14+
43
45
12
12/13+
44
42
14
10/2528/13+
41
45
14
10/79/13+
39
47
14
9/13+
43
46
11
7/13+
44
44
12
6/13+
42
45
13
10/12+
43
45
12
9/2630/12+
43
47
10
8/12+
42
47
11
7/12+
45
46
9
6/12+
44
45
11
5/12+
43
44
13
4/12+
44
46
10
3/12+
41
46
13
1/12+
41
47
12
12/11+
43
45
12
11/11+
43
46
11
10/11+
41
45
14
8/11+
47
41
12
6/11+
44
44
12
10/2830/10+
46
44
10
10/1418/10+
44
46
10
9/10+
44
44
12
8/2630/10+
43
43
14
8/59/10+
42
43
15
6/10+
45
43
12
5/2023/10+
44
43
13
5/611/10+
44
44
12
3/10+
42
45
13
1/2325/10+
42
44
14
1/1014/10+
41
41
18
12/09+
41
43
16
10/09+
38
46
16
9/09+
40
43
17
7/09+
39
46
15
4/09+
39
48
13
11/08+
36
48
16
10/08+
36
49
15
9/08+
37
50
13
8/08+
36
47
17
7/08+
36
49
15
6/08+
33
52
15
4/08+
34
49
17
3/08+
35
49
16
11/07+
37
46
17
9/07+
35
47
18
10/06+
37
52
11
9/06+
39
48
13
7/06+
38
48
14
6/06+
38
49
13
4/06+
39
45
16
3/06+
37
50
13
1/06+
38
47
15
12/05+
38
46
16
11/05+
37
48
15
10/05+
39
48
13
7/05+
40
45
15
5/05+
40
47
13
10/04+
43
44
13
9/04+
42
46
12
6/04+
42
44
14
5/04+
41
44
15
3/04+
42
45
13
1/04
42
43
15
12/13/03
42
42
16
10/02+
43
42
15
9/02
42
42
16
7/02
43
41
16
6/02
42
41
17
1/02
44
40
16
12/01
42
40
18
12/99
40
44
16
10/99
39
41
20
7/99
39
43
18
6/99
42
41
17
4/99
41
40
19
3/99
37
43
20
10/98+
41
43
16
9/98
40
39
21
7/98
41
40
19
6/98
39
40
21
2/98
41
37
22
1/98
40
42
18
12/97
41
37
22
9/97
41
39
20
7/97
45
39
16
4/97
44
38
18
5/16+
Republican-controlled Congress ...........44
Democrat-controlled Congress .............48
Not sure ................................................ 8
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 21
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Talking now about the economy…
Q26
As you may know, the American economy was in a deep recession six or seven years ago. How much is
the Great Recession impacting you today – a lot, just some, not much, or not at all? (ROTATE TOP TO
BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)
A lot ...................................
Just some..........................
Not much...........................
None at all .........................
Not sure ..........................
5/16+*
25
36
21
18
-
8/141
24
40
19
16
1
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
1
June 2014 trend language read: And, still thinking
about the recession that started five or six years
ago, how much is this still impacting you today – a
lot, just some, not much, or not at all?
+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
Q27
Now I'm going to read you some things that you might learn about some of the candidates running for
president. For each one, please tell me whether (A) you are enthusiastic about the candidate having this
attribute, (B) you are comfortable with it, (C) you have some reservations about it, (D) you are very
uncomfortable with it, or (E) it makes no difference to you.
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC ABOUT OR COMFORTABLE WITH THIS ATTRIBUTE
Hillary Clinton would be the
first woman president
May 2016+ .............................................
June 2014 ...............................................
November 2007 ......................................
March 2007 .............................................
Bernie Sanders would be the first
president to be a Democratic Socialist.
May 2016+ .............................................
Hillary Clinton is married to Bill Clinton
May 2016+ .............................................
November 2007 ** ...................................
March 2007 .............................................
Donald Trump would be the first
president without experience in
government or serving in the military.
May 2016+ .............................................
(A)
Enthusiastic
About This
Attribute
(B)
Comfortable
With This
Attribute
(C)
Have Some
Reservations
About This
Attribute
(D)
Very
Uncomfortable
With This
Attribute
(E)
Makes No
Difference
Not
Sure
22
24
26
27
19
19
20
21
4
7
8
8
16
11
18
15
38
38
27
29
1
1
1
-
11
18
14
37
19
1
7
12
11
20
21
21
10
11
10
19
21
18
44
34
40
1
-
5
15
19
42
19
-
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q28
Study #16306 -- page 22
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Now I'd like you to compare Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on a few issues. For each one, please tell me
whether you think that Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would be better on that issue. If you think that both
would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular issue, just say so. Who do you think
would be better when it comes to (READ ITEM) (ROTATE) -- Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you
think that both would be equally good or neither would be good? (RANDOMIZE)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY DONALD TRUMP BETTER
Donald
Hillary
Both Would
Neither
Trump
Clinton
Be Equally
Would Be
Depends
Better
Better
Good
Good
(VOL)
Changing business as usual in Washington
May 2016+ .........................................................
55
22
3
19
Protecting America’s interest on trade
issues
May 2016+** .......................................................
Not
Sure
1
48
38
3
9
-
2
48
27
6
17
-
2
47
36
6
10
-
1
May 2016+* ........................................................
46
32
12
10
-
-
Dealing with immigration
May 2016+ ...........................................................
42
45
2
11
-
-
34
47
6
10
-
3
43
4
19
-
1
43
4
22
-
1
56
4
11
-
-
26
36
5
31
-
2
16
63
5
15
-
1
Dealing with Wall Street
May 2016+** .......................................................
Dealing with the economy
May 2016+* ........................................................
Standing up for America
Making appointments to the Supreme Court
May 2016+** .........................................................
Being a good commander-in-chief
May 2016+ .............................................................. 33
Looking out for the middle class
May 2016+ ............................................................. 30
Handling foreign policy
May 2016+** ............................................................ 29
Having the ability to unite the country
May 2016+* ..........................................................
Dealing with issues of concern to women
May 2016+* ..........................................................
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 23
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Changing topics…
Q29
Which of the following statements comes closer to your feelings about the way our society deals with people
who are transgender, that is, someone who does not identify with their birth gender, like a person born as a
man who now identifies and is living as a woman. (ROTATE STATEMENT A AND B)--A) we have gone too
far in accepting transgender people, B) we have not gone far enough in ending discrimination against
transgender people, or C) we have reached a reasonable balance when it comes to this issue?
A--have gone too far ......................................
B--have not gone far enough ........................
C--have reached a reasonable balance .........
Neither (VOL) ..............................................
Mixed (VOL) ................................................
Not sure .......................................................
5/16+
33
33
28
1
1
4
6/151
24
35
34
1
1
5
The June 2015 introduction read: Which of the following statements
comes closer to your feelings about the way our society deals with
people who are transgender, that is, someone who does not identify
with their birth gender.
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
1
Comparative Data On How Our Society Deals
With Homosexuality - April 2015
Which of the following statements comes closer to
your feelings about the way our society deals with
homosexuality (ROTATE STATEMENT A AND B)-A) we have gone too far in accepting homosexuality,
B) we have not gone far enough in ending
discrimination against homosexual people, or C) we
have reached a reasonable balance when it comes
to this issue?
A--have gone too far ......................................
B--have not gone far enough ........................
C--have reached a reasonable balance .........
Neither (VOL) ..............................................
Mixed (VOL) ................................................
Not sure .......................................................
Q30A
20
44
32
1
1
2
Now, North Carolina recently passed a law that PREVENTS transgender people from using public restrooms
that match the gender with which they identify and instead requires them to use public restrooms based
upon their gender at birth. Do you believe transgender people should be allowed to use the public restroom
of the gender with which they identify or should they be legally prevented from doing so or do you not have
an opinion one way or the other? +**
Should be allowed to use public restroom of the gender with
which they identify..........................................................................
Should be legally prevented from doing so ....................................
No opinion......................................................................................
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q30B
40
31
29
The U.S. Department of Justice has notified North Carolina this law violates the federal civil rights law. If
North Carolina or any other state enforces a law like this, the Justice Department could file a lawsuit to block
the law and that state’s public schools could lose millions of dollars in federal funds. Would you support or
oppose the Justice Department taking these actions or do you not have an opinion one way or the
other? +**
Support Justice Department taking these actions ..........................
Oppose Justice Department taking these actions ..........................
No opinion....................................................................................
** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
28
49
23
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q30C
Study #16306 -- page 24
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Now, North Carolina recently passed a law that PREVENTS transgender people from using public restrooms
that match the gender with which they identify and instead requires them to use public restrooms based
upon their gender at birth. Do you think state governments should pass laws … (ROTATE) … allowing or
preventing … transgender people to use the public restroom that matches the gender with which they
identify … or … should state governments pass no laws at all on this issue or do you not have an opinion
one way or the other about this issue? +*
State governments should pass laws allowing transgender people
to use public restrooms that matches the gender with which they
identify ................................................................................................................................
19
State governments should pass laws preventing transgender
people to use public restrooms that matches the gender with which
they identify ................................................................................................
22
State governments should pass no laws at all on this issue ................................
38
No opinion ...............................................................................................21
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Q30Dx Now, not thinking about people you may have seen, read, or heard about, but only whom you know, do you
PERSONALLY know or work with someone who is transgender, that is, someone who does not identify with
their birth gender like a person born as a man who now identifies and is living as a woman or a person born
as a woman who now identifies and is living as a man? +
Yes ....................................... 39
No ........................................ 59
Not sure ............................. 2
+ Results shown reflect responses
among registered voters.
Related June 2015 Trend: And, do you personally know or work with
someone who is transgender, that is, someone who does not identify
with their birth gender?
Yes ...............................................................................................
29
No ................................................................................................
69
Not sure .....................................................................................
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Comparative Data on Gay or Lesbian
Do you personally know or work with someone who is gay or lesbian?
10/2529/15
Yes ................................ 72
No ................................
26
Not sure ................................
2
3/15
77
22
1
4/13
79
20
1
12/12
65
33
2
5/12
67
30
3
3/12
64
33
3
3/04
62
35
3
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Q30E
Study #16306 -- page 25
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Is that person yourself, a member of your family, a close friend, a co-worker, or an acquaintance? (ACCEPT
MULTIPLE RESPONSES)
Self ........................................................................
Family member ......................................................
Close friend ...........................................................
Co-worker ..............................................................
Acquaintance .........................................................
Other (VOL) .........................................................
Not sure/refused ..................................................
Do not know or work with anyone who is
transgender or not sure (Q35Dx) ..........................
5/16+
4
8
10
22
1
-
6/15
4
6
6
14
1
1
61
71
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
Comparative Data on Gay or Lesbian
Is that person yourself, a member of your family, a close friend, a co-worker, or an acquaintance?
Self ........................................................................
Family member ......................................................
Close friend ...........................................................
Co-worker ..............................................................
Acquaintance .........................................................
Other (VOL) .........................................................
Not sure/refused ..................................................
Do not know or work with anyone who is gay or
lesbian or not sure .............................................
3/15
4
24
29
29
31
1
1
4/13
3
22
29
31
32
1
1
12/12
2
16
24
24
23
1
-
5/12
3
16
27
28
24
1
3/12
3
15
23
26
22
1
1
3/04
1
12
18
20
25
-
23
21
35
33
36
38
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 26
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) For whom did you vote––Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +
Voted for Barack Obama ...............................
Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................
45
34
7
1
12
1
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
QF1d
And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +
Yes, voted ...............................................................
No, did not vote .......................................................
Not sure ..................................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
QF2
63
32
5
Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? +
Currently Employed
Professional, manager ............................
White-collar worker .................................
Blue-collar worker ...................................
Farmer, rancher ......................................
Not Currently Employed
Student ....................................................
Stay at home mom/dad ...........................
Retired ....................................................
Unemployed, looking for work .................
Other .......................................................
Not sure ................................................
30
18
17
3
4
24
3
1
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
QF3
Study #16306 -- page 27
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +
Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate ..............................................
Some college, no degree.........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree ..............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree.............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree ......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree.........
Doctoral/law degree ................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
QF4
Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something
else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") +
Strong Democrat ...............................
Not very strong Democrat .................
Independent/lean Democrat ..............
Strictly Independent...........................
Independent/lean Republican ............
Not very strong Republican ...............
Strong Republican .............................
Other (VOL).....................................
Not sure...........................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
QF5
4
24
17
3
12
22
2
11
4
1
25
9
10
13
9
8
21
3
2
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +
Very liberal .........................................................
Somewhat liberal ...............................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative ..............................................
Not sure ...........................................................
14
14
32
20
16
4
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
May 2016
Study #16306 -- page 28
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR
"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? +
Labor union member ........................................
Union household ..............................................
Non-union household .......................................
Not sure ..........................................................
13
9
78
-
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
QF7
Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and
living with a partner? +
Married .............................................................
Widowed ...........................................................
Separated ........................................................
Divorced ...........................................................
Single/never been married ................................
Unmarried and living with a partner ..................
Refused ..........................................................
53
7
1
11
21
7
-
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
QF8
How often do you attend services at a church, synagogue, mosque, or other place of worship? (READ
LIST.) +
Never .......................................
Once a year .............................
A few times a year ...................
Once a month ..........................
About twice a month ................
Once a week or more often .....
Not sure .................................
23
7
19
6
10
33
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
QF9
If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand
dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and
forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand
dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, or would the total be more than that? +
Less than $10,000 ...............................................
Between $10,000 and $20,000 ...........................
Between $20,000 and $30,000 ...........................
Between $30,000 and $40,000 ...........................
Between $40,000 and $50,000 ...........................
Between $50,000 and $75,000 ...........................
Between $75,000 and $100,000 .........................
More than $100,000 ............................................
Not sure/refused .................................................
3
8
9
9
9
16
14
26
6
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.