Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations The 2017 SWS Survey Review Social Weather Stations 17 March 2017 PSSC Annual General Membership Meeting PSSCenter, Diliman, Quezon City This 2017 Survey Review is based on the four quarterly Social Weather Surveys of 2016; the Feb-May 2016 Survey of Enterprises, supported by Australian Embassy-The Asia Foundation Partnership in the Philippines, United States Agency for International Development through the Integrity for Investments Initiative, in partnership with the National Competitiveness Council; The 2017 SWS Survey Review 2 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 1 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations the SWS own-account pre-election surveys of December 2015, and January, February, March, April and May 2016; and the Bilang Pilipino TV5-SWS Exit Poll, done in partnership with TV5 Network Inc. SWS gratefully acknowledges its research partners and its media partner BusinessWorld, who believe in the importance of openly-disclosed social surveys in a democratic society. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 3 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. Topics Public morale Poverty and hunger 2016 survey of businessmen on corruption The 2016 election The President Satisfaction with other officials & institutions The 2016 Report Card of the administration Foreign affairs Public safety Government campaign against illegal drugs The business climate The 2017 SWS Survey Review 6 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 2 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations 1 Public morale: very high, since 2010 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 7 HAPPINESS: PHILIPPINES, 1991 - 2016 C. AQUINO ESTRADA RAMOS 2 90 1 7 13 4 5 1 4 12 12 15 16 3 3 ARROYO 3 3 12 13 16 18 5 5 3 3 14 14 19 18 B. AQUINO 3 4 4 4 2 3 3 3 12 14 13 13 49 42 16 16 17 19 2 4 13 17 DUTERTE 1 2 2 2 9 10 11 9 13 2 2 7 80 % of adults 70 45 52 49 60 60 Not at all happy Not very happy Fairly happy 53 55 51 46 45 50 51 46 51 50 57 50 48 46 47 43 49 48 49 53 49 56 54 50 48 Very happy 40 30 40 20 10 0 24 38 26 28 30 35 33 35 37 39 28 19 26 37 34 32 34 32 29 42 43 35 30 36 37 39 46 31 35 Jun96 Mar01 Sep01 Mar02 Jun04 Aug05 Nov06 Mar08 Dec08 Nov10 Dec12 Sep14 Mar15 Apr16 Dec16 Jul91 Nov98 Jul01 Nov01 Jun03 May05 Sep06 Dec07 Sep08 Sep10 Jun11 Dec13 Dec14 Sep15 Jun16 Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know and Refused responses. Question. If you were to consider your life in general these days, how happy or unhappy would you say you are on the whole? Are you..? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 8 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 3 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations SATISFACTION WITH LIFE: PHILIPPINES, 2002 - 2016 ARROYO 9 7 8 5 8 9 6 90 19 19 80 28 32 26 5 26 24 6 B. AQUINO 4 10 9 12 9 6 12 18 20 5 15 5 7 10 18 5 5 8 9 14 12 17 16 DUTERTE 17 3 2 2 4 8 10 9 12 13 11 11 4 3 3 3 24 22 22 23 31 % of adults 70 Not at all satisfied Not very satisfied Fairly satisfied 43 48 60 42 49 42 41 46 47 48 43 48 50 40 41 47 45 45 44 49 49 46 55 51 50 44 47 51 42 45 51 49 52 Very satisfied 30 20 22 10 16 19 40 41 37 34 20 19 27 28 25 24 15 19 24 26 31 33 39 37 27 27 29 47 41 33 30 35 41 0 Sep02 Jun03 Nov03 Jun04 May05 Mar06 Sep10 Jun11 Mar12 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Sep15 Jun16 Dec16 May02 Nov02 Sep03 Feb04 Aug04 Aug05 Dec08 Nov10 Dec11 Dec12 Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Apr16 Sep16 Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know and Refused responses Question. On the whole, are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied with the life you lead? Would you say you are ..? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 9 SATISFACTION WITH HOW DEMOCRACY WORKS, NOV 1991 TO SEP 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE 86% satisfied with how democracy works % of adults 70 50 30 10 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 Q. On the whole, are you ... (VERY SATISFIED, FAIRLY SATISFIED, NOT VERY SATISFIED, NOT AT ALL SATISFIED) with the way democracy works in the Philippines? Q. Which of the following statements comes closest to your own opinion? (SHOWCARD) [Democracy is always preferable to any other kind of government; Under some circumstances, an authoritarian government can be preferable to a democratic one; For people like me, it does not matter whether we have a democratic or a non-democratic regime] The 2017 SWS Survey Review 10 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 4 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations PREFERENCE FOR DEMOCRACY, NOV 1991 TO SEP 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE 70 % of adults 62% always prefer Democracy 50 30 19% sometimes prefer Authoritarianism 10 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 Q. On the whole, are you ... (VERY SATISFIED, FAIRLY SATISFIED, NOT VERY SATISFIED, NOT AT ALL SATISFIED) with the way democracy works in the Philippines? Q. Which of the following statements comes closest to your own opinion? (SHOWCARD) [Democracy is always preferable to any other kind of government; Under some circumstances, an authoritarian government can be preferable to a democratic one; For people like me, it does not matter whether we have a democratic or a non-democratic regime] The 2017 SWS Survey Review 11 EXPECTED CHANGE IN QUALITY OF LIFE IN NEXT 12 MONTHS, APR 1984 TO DEC 2016VM MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO III DUTERTE % of adults 70 50 48% OPTIMISTS 30 10 PESSIMISTS 1984 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 3% 2010 2016 Question. Sa inyong opinyon, ano ang magiging uri ng inyong pamumuhay sa darating na 12 buwan? Masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]? Optimists : “Bubuti” Pessimists: “Sasama” The 2017 SWS Survey Review 12 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 5 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations EXPECTED CHANGE IN THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY, SEP 1998 TO DEC 2016 70 ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO DUTERTE % of adults 51% it will improve 50 30 10 8% it will deteriorate 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 Question. Sa darating na 12 buwan, ano sa palagay ninyo ang mangyayari sa ekonomiya ng Pilipinas? Masasabi ba ninyo na ito ay... [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 13 CHANGE IN QUALITY OF LIFE OVER PAST 12 MONTHS, APR 1983 TO DEC 2016 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE % of adults 70 LOSERS 50 GAINERS 37% 30 21% LOSERS GAINERS 10 1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 Kung ikukumpara ang uri ng inyong kasalukuyang pamumuhay sa nakaraang 12 buwan, masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [MAS MABUTI NGAYON KAYSA NOON, KAPAREHO NG DATI, MAS MASAMA NGAYON KAYSA NOON] Gainers : “Mas mabuti ngayon kaysa noon” Losers: “Mas masama ngayon kaysa noon” The 2017 SWS Survey Review 14 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 6 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations 2 Poverty and Hunger: declining since 2014 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 16 SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES WHO ARE “MAHIRAP”, PHILIPPINES, APR 1983 TO DEC 2016 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE % of families 70 50 44% 30 22.3% PSA-NSCB: “Unrefined” pre-2011 “Refined” in 2011 10 “Refined” w/o Leyte and Batanes 1983 1986 1992 21.1% 18.8% 20.0% 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 POVERTY.PRS Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor) *Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 17 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 7 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations ANNUAL AVERAGE OF FAMILIES WHO ARE “MAHIRAP”: PHILIPPINES, 1983 TO 2016 74 70 67 66 62 68 67 68 66 65 63 59 59 62 63 61 61 55 57 60 % of families 51 50 53 54 47 50 53 49 48 49 52 52 54 50 44 30 10 '85 '90 '95 '00 '05 '10 '15 Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor) *Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 18 DEGREE OF HUNGER IN HOUSEHOLDS, PHILIPPINES: JUL 1998 TO DEC 2016 ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO DUTERTE Total Hunger % of households 20 15 13.9% Moderate 10.9% 10 5 3.0% Severe 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 Note: Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 20 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 8 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations ANNUAL AVERAGE OF HUNGER IN HOUSEHOLDS, PHILIPPINES: 1998 TO 2016 % of households 20 17.9 18.5 19.1 19.1 19.9 19.9 19.5 18.3 16.7 15 14.3 11.0 10 10.8 10.1 8.3 12.6 7.0 5 6.2 7.3 7.0 5.8 4.1 '98 15.1 15.8 16.1 15.6 15.9 14.8 14.4 14.6 11.0 11.2 11.2 8.7 7.6 5.5 4.6 2.6 '99 13.4 13.3 11.8 11.4 '00 4.2 '01 2.5 1.5 3.0 3 4 3.4 4 4 3.3 3.7 4.3 '02 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '03 3.6 3.5 '13 '14 2.2 2.1 '15 '16 Note: Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 21 SWS JOBLESSNESS RATE* AND NSO UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, PHILIPPINES, DEC 1993 TO DEC 2016 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO SWS joblessness: 18 yrs+ 35 % of adults in labor force AQUINO 25.1% 25 PSA unemployment (15 yrs+ ) 15 PSA unemployment (new definition) 6.6% 5 (as of Jan 2017) 1993 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * % without a job at present and looking for a job. Source: Social Weather Surveys and NSO. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 22 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 9 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations 3 Surveys of businessmen about corruption: less under Pnoy than under PGMA (latest, Feb-May 2016) The 2017 SWS Survey Review 23 EXTENT OF CORRUPTION IN THE PUBLIC SECTOR, 2000 - 2016 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO None A little Some A lot Q50. How much corruption do you think there is in the PUBLIC SECTOR? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 24 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 10 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations LAST TIME WITH PERSONAL KNOWLEDGE OF PUBLIC SECTOR CORRUPTION IN OWN SECTOR OF BUSINESS, 2005 - 2016 Base: Total Who Say There Is Corruption in the Public Sector/Government ARROYO B. AQUINO >1 yr ago 7-12 mos. ago 4-6 mos. ago 2-3 mos. ago Last month Q53. When was the last time you had personal knowledge of a corrupt transaction with government by a company in your sector of business? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 25 NUMBER OF COMPANIES IN OWN LINE OF BUSINESS THAT GIVE BRIBES TO WIN PUBLIC SECTOR CONTRACTS, 2000 - 2016 Base: Total Who Say Companies in Their Sector Allot a Percentage for Bribes to Win Public Sector Contracts ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO None Hardly any Few Most Almost all Q54. In your line of business, how many companies do you think give bribes to win public sector contracts? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 26 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 11 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations VERY GOOD NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 GMA '13 '15 '16 BSA +63 +70 +55 +55 +50 +30 +10 0 -10 Securities and Exchange Commission -30 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 27 GOOD NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 1/2 '05 GMA '06 '07 '08 +50 +59+58 +51 +42 +38 +43 '12 GMA BSA +70 +54 '09 +43 +38 '13 '15 +80 BSA +77 Office of the President GMA BSA +61 +53 +54 +37 +30 '16 +40 +37 +32+30 +26 +37 +28 +10 +10 0 -10 Dept. of Trade and Industry -30 Dept. of Labor and Employment -3 Dept. of Health -15 -27 -37 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 28 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 12 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations GOOD NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 2/2 '05 GMA '06 '07 BSA '08 '09 GMA '12 '13 BSA '15 '16 GMA BSA GMA BSA +70 +50 +57 +52 +52 +46 +38 +40 +51 +49 +43 +41 +35 +32 +48 +45 +40 +40 +42 +37 +36 +30 +39 +30 +30 +24 +11 +10 +7 +3 +10 0 -10 +30 +23 +22 +9 +5 +4 0 Supreme Court Social Security System Dept. of Education Civil Service Commission +36 -8 Office of the Ombudsman -30 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 29 MODERATE NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 1/2 '05 GMA '06 '07 BSA '08 '09 GMA '12 '13 BSA '15 '16 GMA BSA GMA BSA +70 +52 +50 +37 +36 +30 +10 0 -10 -30 +29 +23 +20 +5+5 +26 +24 +22 +8 Commission on Audit +27 +19 +14 +13 +21 +15 +21 +13 +5 +8 +5 Dept. of Social Welfare and Development +35 +34 +27 Sandiganbayan -5 -12 Gov’t Service Insurance System +20 +13 -5 -17 -20-19 Dept. of Justice The 2017 SWS Survey Review 30 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 13 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations MODERATE NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 2/2 '05 GMA BSA +31 +30 +19 +18 '06 '07 GMA +35+35 +27 +26 +22 '08 '09 '12 BSA '13 '15 GMA '16 BSA GMA BSA +21+23 +14 +12 +12 +10 +10 +6 +7 +10 +4 0 -10 -6 -8 -9 -13 -19 -30 -50 Armed Forces of the Philippines -27 -36 City/Municipal government Barangay government -38 Commission on Elections -59 -70 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 31 NEUTRAL NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 1/2 '05 GMA '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 BSA '13 GMA '15 '16 BSA GMA BSA +70 +50 Dept. of Finance +30 +15 +15 +9 +10 0 -10 Presidential Commission on Good Government+15 Governance Commission for GOCCs +12+9 +8 +5 -4 Trial Courts +10 +11 +3 +5 +9 +6+6 -5 -13 -19 -30 -28 -32 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 32 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 14 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations NEUTRAL NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 2/2 '05 GMA '06 BSA '07 GMA '08 +36 '09 '12 BSA '13 '15 GMA '16 BSA GMA BSA +30 +30 +20 +10 +9 +6 +1 0 -4 -10 -1 -3 -7 -6 -8 -2 -3 -7 -17 -23-25 -30 Senate -39 -44 -24 Dept. of Interior and Local Government Dept. of Agriculture Dept. of Environment and Natural Resources -70 -10-9 -17-19 -18 -23-25 -32 -34 -50 -8 -17 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 33 POOR NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 1/2 '05 GMA +30 +24 '06 '07 BSA '08 '09 '12 GMA '13 BSA +23 +10 0 '16 GMA BSA Dept. of Public Works and Highways +9 +5 '15 0 -10 -7 -7 -17 -10 -23 -30 Dept. of Budget and Management -50 -18 -17 -12 -16-13 -21 -22 -21-22 -24 -36 -42 Philippine National Police -55 -66 -66 -63 -65 -70 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 34 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 15 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations POOR NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 2/2 '05 GMA '06 '07 BSA '08 '09 '12 GMA '13 '15 '16 BSA GMA BSA +30 Bureau of Internal Revenue +10 +8 +10 House of Representatives 0 -2 -10 -4 -30 -6 -10 -13 -20 -22 -27 -25 -30 -27 -28 -40 -50 -70 Dept. of Transportation and Communications -28 -32 -25 -34 -28 -41 -49 -59 -58 -56 -57 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 35 BAD AND VERY BAD NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 '16 VERY BAD BAD +30 GMA BSA GMA BSA Bureau of Customs +10 0 -10 -30 -26 -31 -32 -38 -50 -26 -32 -39 -45 -46 -47 -55 -70 Land Transportation Office -68 -75 -74 -63 -72 -69 -68 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 36 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 16 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations ENTERPRISES SOLICITED FOR ANY OF SEVEN LISTED BRIBES, 2005 – 2016 ARROYO B. AQUINO Q77-83. In which of the following transactions has your company been asked for a bribe by anyone in government during 2015? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 40 NUMBER OF COMPANIES IN THE SAME LINE OF BUSINESS THAT GIVE BRIBES TO WIN PRIVATE SECTOR CONTRACTS, 2000 - 2016 Base: Total Who Say There is Corruption in the Private Sector ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO None Hardly any Few Most Almost all Q62. In your sector of business, how many companies do you think give bribes to win private business sector contracts? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 41 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 17 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations “TO PROSPER IN BUSINESS IN THE PHILIPPINES TODAY, ONE HAS TO BE CORRUPT,” 2006 - 2016 ARROYO B. AQUINO Disagree Undecided Agree Q8. Do you agree or disagree with this statement: “To prosper in business in the Philippines today, one has to be corrupt”? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 42 4 The 2016 election: clear win for Duterte; VP race uncallable ; the debates mattered The 2017 SWS Survey Review 46 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 18 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations VOTER PREFERENCES FOR PRESIDENT, PHILIPPINES, SWS FACE-TO-FACE SURVEYS, JAN 8-10 TO MAY 1-3, 2016 40% Jan 8-10 (8N) [VV] [n=1,200] Feb 5-7 (7N) [VV] [n=1,200] Mar 4-7 (6N) [VV] [n=1,800] 30% Apr 18-20 May 1-3 (6N) (6N) Mar 30[VV] [VV] Apr 2 [n=4,500] [n=1,800] (6N) [VV] Duterte [n=1,500] (33%) Poe (22%) Roxas (20%) 20% Invalid marks (6%) 10% Binay (13%) Und ++ (4%) Santiago (2%) 1/10 1/17 1/24 1/31 2/7 2/14 2/21 2/28 3/6 3/13 3/20 3/27 4/3 4/10 4/17 4/24 5/1 Note: Respondents: VV = Validated Voters; Lists: #N = Number of names in the list. Figures in brackets are sample sizes. Votes for Roy Seneres (0.08%) are not shown. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 47 VOTER PREFERENCES FOR VICE-PRESIDENT, PHILIPPINES, SWS FACE-TO-FACE SURVEYS, JAN 8-10 TO MAY 1-3, 2016 40% Jan 8-10 (19N) [VV] [n=1,200] 30% Feb 5-7 (6N) [VV] [n=1,200] Mar 4-7 (6N) [VV] [n=1,800] May 1-3 Apr Mar 30(6N) 18-20 Apr 2 [VV] (6N) (6N) [n=4,500] [VV] [VV] [n=1,500] [n=1,800] Marcos (29%) Robredo (28%) 20% Escudero (15%) Cayetano (13%) 10% Invalid marks (4%) Und ++ (5%) Honasan (3%) Trillanes (3%) 1/10 1/17 1/24 1/31 2/7 2/14 2/21 2/28 3/6 3/13 3/20 3/27 4/3 4/10 4/17 4/24 5/1 Note: Respondents: VV = Validated Voters; Lists: #N = Number of names in the list. Figures in brackets are sample sizes. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 48 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 19 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations Comparison of the COMELEC FINAL OFFICIAL TALLY (Final canvass report, 20 May 2016) and TV5-SWS Exit Poll: FOR PRESIDENT 38.99 40.07 Duterte, Rody 23.43 23.04 21.37 18.96 Roxas, Mar "Daang Matuwid" Poe, Grace 12.72 13.94 Binay, Jojo Defensor Santiago, Miriam Señeres, Roy COMELEC TV5-SWS 3.42 3.14 0.06 0.08 10 20 30 40 Average Absolute Difference: 0.90 * SWS Exit Poll 2016 data as of May 11, 2016. Sample of 71,380 voters from 802 out of 802 sampled voting centers. Excludes Can't Answer/Refused (0.76%). The 2017 SWS Survey Review 49 Comparison of the COMELEC FINAL OFFICIAL TALLY (Final canvass report, 20 May 2016) and TV5-SWS Exit Poll: FOR VICE-PRESIDENT* Robredo, Leni “Daang Matuwid” 35.11 32.5 Marcos, Bongbong 34.47 34.9 14.38 15.3 Cayetano, Alan Peter 12.01 10.7 Escudero, Chiz Honasan, Gringo 2.11 2.1 Trillanes, Antonio IV 1.92 2.2 10 COMELEC TV5-SWS 20 30 40 Average Absolute Difference: 0.91 * SWS Exit Poll 2016 data as of 5:00 pm, May 9, 2016, broadcast on 6:15 pm. Sample of 18,116 voters from 501 out of 802 sampled voting centers. Excludes Can't Answer/Refused (2.32%). The 2017 SWS Survey Review 50 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 20 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations RANKS OF SENATORS: TV5-SWS 2016 EXIT POLL VS. FINAL OFFICIAL COMELEC TALLY, PHILIPPINES 12 OUT OF 12 WINNERS Pearson rankorder correlation r = 0.978** ** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). The 2017 SWS Survey Review 51 IS PLATFORM OR PERSONALITY THE MAIN REASON FOR YOUR CHOICE OF CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT? Final sample of 72, 821 voters, 10:00 p.m., May 18, 2016 Platform 57.3 Personality Can’t say/Refused 40.4 2.3 10 20 30 40 50 60 Question: PLATAPORMA po ba o PAGKATAO ang inyong pangunahing dahilan sa pagpili ng kandidato sa pagka-Presidente? [Is PLATFORM or PERSONALITY the main reason for your choice of candidate for President?] The 2017 SWS Survey Review 53 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 21 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations WHEN DID YOU DECIDE ON YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT? Final sample of 72, 821 voters, 10:00 p.m., May 18, 2016 18.4 Only now 14.8 May 1-9 12.2 In April 8.1 In March 45.8 In February or earlier Can’t say/Refused 0.7 10 20 30 40 50 Question: Kailan po kayo nakapagdesisyon sa inyong boto sa pagka-Presidente? [When did you decide on your vote for president?] The 2017 SWS Survey Review 54 DID THE PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES HELP YOU IN CHOOSING YOUR PRESIDENT? Final sample of 72, 821 voters, 10:00 p.m., May 18, 2016 Can't answer/refused 1.2 Have not watched 14.3 No 11.8 72.7 Yes Question: Ang mga debate po ba ng kandidato sa Presidente ay nakatulong o hindi nakatulong sa inyong pagpili ng PRESIDENTE o hindi po kayo nakapanood ng alinmang debate? [Did the Presidential debates help you in choosing your PRESIDENT or were you not able to watch any debate?] The 2017 SWS Survey Review 56 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 22 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations DID THE VICE-PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES HELP YOU IN CHOOSING YOUR VICE-PRESIDENT? Final sample of 72, 821 voters, 10:00 p.m., May 18, 2016 Can't answer/refused Have not watched 1.2 17.9 No 12.2 68.7 Yes Question: Ang mga debate po ba ng kandidato sa Bise-Presidente ay nakatulong o hindi nakatulong sa inyong pagpili ng BISE-PRESIDENTE o hindi po kayo nakapanood ng alinmang debate? [Did the VicePresidential debates help you in choosing your VICE-PRESIDENT or were you not able to watch any debate?] The 2017 SWS Survey Review 57 5 The President: a normal honeymoon so far The 2017 SWS Survey Review 59 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 23 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations PRRD AND PNOY: DIFFERING RACES, SIMILAR OUTCOMES THE 2010 ELECTION RACE Nov 4-8 Dec 5-10 Dec 27-28 Jan 21-24 Feb 24-28 Mar Mar Apr 19-22 28-30 16-19 May 2-3 May 11 Aquino III (43%) 40% 30% Estrada (26%) 20% Villar (15%) Teodoro (10%) Villanueva (3%) Gordon (1%) 10% THE 2016 ELECTION RACE Sept 2-5 Nov 26-28 Dec 12-14 Jan 8-10 Feb 5-7 Mar 4-7 Mar 30Apr 2 Apr 18-20 May 1-3 May 18 40% Duterte (40%) 30% Poe (19%) Roxas (23%) Binay (14%) 20% Invalid marks (6%) 10% Und ++ (4%) Santiago (3%) The 2017 SWS Survey Review 60 HOW MANY OF HIS PROMISES WILL THE PRESIDENT KEEP? PHILIPPINES, SEP 2010 AND JUN 2016 PRES. NOYNOY AQUINO Sep 2010 90 4 PRES. RODY DUTERTE Jun 2016 1 32 % of adults 70 Almost none/none A few of them 50 50 Most of them 41 30 35 22 10 All/nearly all 9 Q. Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni [Pang. Noynoy Aquino/Pang. Rody Duterte] ang posibleng matutupad? (SHOWCARD) [LAHAT O HALOS LAHAT SA MGA PANGAKO, KARAMIHAN SA MGA PANGAKO, MGA ILAN SA MGA PANGAKO, HALOS WALA O WALA SA MGA PANGAKO] The 2017 SWS Survey Review 61 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 24 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations SWS TERMS FOR SATISFACTION OR TRUST NET RATING EXCELLENT +70 VERY GOOD +50 GOOD +30 MODERATE +10 NEUTRAL -10 POOR -30 BAD VERY BAD -50 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 62 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS, PHILIPPINES, MAY 1986 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO 1998 2004 B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 +50 +30 +10 -10 -30 -50 1986 1992 2001 2010 2016 *% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Dont Know and Refused to Answer responses. Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 63 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 25 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations “Pres. Rodrigo Duterte’s habit of publicly cursing foreign or international officials whom he does not like is harmful to the relations of the Philippines with the countries or institutions of those officials,” PH, DEC 2016 % of adults Strongly disagree Strongly agree 18 DISAGREE 33% Somewhat disagree 27 AGREE 51% 15 24 17 UNDECIDED Somewhat agree *% Agree minus % Disagree correctly rounded. Ignores Dont Know and Refused to Answer responses. Q19. Gaano po kayo sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito: “Ang nakagawiang pagmumura sa publiko ni Pang. Rodrigo Duterte ng mga banyagang opisyal na hindi niya gusto ay nakakasama sa relasyon ng Pilipinas sa ibang bansa o institusyon ng mga opisyal na ito.” The 2017 SWS Survey Review 64 NET* TRUST RATINGS OF PRESIDENTS, PHILIPPINES, SEP 1989 TO DEC 2016 AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE B. Aquino Duterte +90 +70C. Aquino Estrada Ramos +50 +30 +10 -10 Arroyo -30 -50 -70 1989 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * NET trust = % Much trust minus Little trust correctly rounded. Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q. MAAARI PO BANG SABIHIN NINYO KUNG ANG PAGTITIWALA NINYO KAY (PERSONALITY) AY NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN TUNGKOL KAY (PERSONALITY)? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 65 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 26 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations 6 Satisfaction with other officials and institutions: VP, SP, Spkr, CJ – fair; Senate, Hrep, SC, Cabinet – more similar to Pnoy time The 2017 SWS Survey Review 66 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF VICE-PRESIDENTS, PHILIPPINES, OCT 1986 TO DEC 2016 +90 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 +50 Robredo +37 Estrada +30 Guingona De Castro 10 Binay Laurel Arroyo -10 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 67 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 27 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SENATE PRESIDENTS, PHILIPPINES, APR 1990 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS +70 Gonzales Salonga Angara +50 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Enrile Fernan Maceda Drilon Drilon Ople +30 Pimentel Villar +30 Drilon Gonzales Gonzales N. Pimentel +10 -10 1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 68 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SPEAKERS OF THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, PHILIPPINES, FEB 1990 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 +50 Villar De Venecia Mitra +30 Belmonte De Venecia Alvarez +10 +10 Nograles Fuentebella -10 1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 69 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 28 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF CHIEF JUSTICES OF THE SUPREME COURT, PHILIPPINES, OCT 1986 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Teehankee +50 Fernan Narvasa Davide +30 Carpio** Sereno Panganiban +16 Puno +10 -10 -30 Corona -50 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. ** As Acting Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of the Philippines. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 70 NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SENATE AND HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, PHILIPPINES, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Senate +50 +48 +30 House of Rep. +36 +10 -10 1988 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. (Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys). The 2017 SWS Survey Review 71 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 29 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SUPREME COURT AND THE CABINET AS A WHOLE, NOV 1990 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 +50 Supreme Court +30 +38 +32 Cabinet +10 -10 1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 72 7 Report Cards of the national administration: PNoy time the best of the past 5 admins; PRRD time following suit The 2017 SWS Survey Review 73 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 30 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations AVERAGE SATISFACTION WITH THE PERFORMANCE OF 5 NATIONAL ADMINISTRATIONS, 1986-2010 Administration Performance issue Eradicating Helping Graft & The Poor Corruption -8 (c) (d) Neutral Overall Performance Fighting Inflation Foreign Relations Fighting Crime 1 Cory Aquino +5 (a) Neutral -23 (b) Poor (d) -11 (e) Poor 2 Ramos +14 Moderate -32 Bad -19 Poor +13 Moderate +23 Moderate -7 Neutral 3 Estrada +15 Moderate -24 Poor -7 Neutral +32 Good +28 Moderate +4 Neutral 4 Arroyo -2 Neutral -24 Poor -23 Poor +9 Neutral +21 Moderate -3 Neutral 5 Noynoy Aquino +47 Good +2 Neutral +15 Moderate +46 Good +43 Good +20 Moderate Notes: (a) started 1989; (b) started 1991; (c) started 1987; (d) no surveys; (e) started 1990. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 743 NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, FEB 1989 – DEC 2016 C. AQUINO +70 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +61 +50 +30 +10 -10 -30 -50 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 75 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 31 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations ISSUES WITH EXCELLENT AND VERY GOOD GRADES IN REPORT CARDS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2016 Apr16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Campaign against illegal drugs +76 +77 Excel- lent (1) Helping the poor +35 +51 Promoting the welfare of OFWs +63 +66 +62 Promoting Human Rights +31 * +63 +56 Defending the country's territorial rights +28 +45 +53 +54 Developing Science and Technology Very Good (9) +54 Distributing lands to deserving tillers under land reform Providing jobs Fighting crimes +23 +40 +53 +46 +51 +4 +31 +58 +50 +54 +49 +50 Developing Science and Technology The 2017 SWS Survey Review 76 ISSUES WITH GOOD GRADES IN REPORT CARDS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2016 Apr16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Ensuring an efficient transportation system Foreign relations Eradicating graft and corruption Restoring peace to Mindanao Fighting terrorism +39 +48 +36 +48 +39 +46 +2 +27 +57 +45 +16 +43 +7 +55 +41 Solving the problem of extra judicial killings Good (9) +40 Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry +3 +25 +37 +34 Reconciliation with Muslim rebels +4 +25 +42 +33 Reconciliation with communist rebels -2 +25 +39 +30 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 77 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 32 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations ISSUES WITH MODERATE AND NEUTRAL GRADES IN REPORT CARDS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2016 Apr16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Protecting consumer rights +29 Planning programs of government +27 Fighting inflation -3 +19 Recovering the “hidden wealth” stolen by Marcos and his cronies +33 +25 Moderate (4) +24 Rehabilitation of areas damaged by conflict with Muslim rebels in Mindanao Neutral (1) +4 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 78 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON HELPING THE POOR, DEC 1993 – DEC 2016 RAMOS +70 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +66 VG +50 +30 +10 -10 -30 1993 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 79 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 33 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON PROMOTING HUMAN RIGHTS, MAR 1987 – DEC 2016 C.AQUINO +50 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +56 VG +30 +10 -10 -30 1987 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 81 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON FIGHTING CRIMES, NOV 1990 – DEC 2016 C. AQUINO +50 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +50 Net* Satisfaction VG +30 +10 -10 -30 1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 85 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 34 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, SEP 1992 – DEC 2016 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* +50 Satisfaction +46 G +30 +10 -10 -30 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 88 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON ERADICATING GRAFT AND CORRUPTION, MAR 1987 – DEC 2016 C. AQUINO +70 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +50 +45 G +30 +10 -10 -30 1987 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 89 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 35 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON FIGHTING TERRORISM, NOV 2002 – DEC 2016 ARROYO +50 B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +41 G +30 +10 -10 -30 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 90 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON ENSURING THAT NO FAMILY WILL BE HUNGRY, DEC 2004 – DEC 2016 ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +50 +34 G +30 +10 -10 -30 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 91 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 36 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON RECONCILIATION WITH MUSLIM REBELS, SEP 1998 – DEC 2016 ESTRADA +50 ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +33 +30 G +10 -10 -30 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 92 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON RECONCILIATION WITH COMMUNIST REBELS, SEP 1998 – DEC 2016 ESTRADA +50 ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +30 G +30 +10 -10 -30 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 93 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 37 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON FIGHTING INFLATION, NOV 1991 – DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +50 +30 +25 M +10 -10 -30 -50 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 94 NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, by AREA, FEB 1989 – DEC 2016 C. AQUINO +70 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction MIN: +78 VIS: +58 BAL LUZ: +56 NCR: +53 +50 +30 +10 -10 -30 -50 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 95 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 38 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations 8 Foreign affairs: Support for the WPS case against China; still much trust in the US, trust in China and Russia turn positive neutral The 2017 SWS Survey Review 96 “DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH OUR GOVERNMENT’S FILING OF A CASE AGAINST CHINA IN AN INTERNATIONAL COURT IN ORDER TO RESOLVE THE DISPUTE ABOUT THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA?” MAR 2016 Strongly agree Somewhat agree SomewhatStrongly Neither disagree disagree INTRO STATEMENT: Ang Pilipinas ay nagpasyang dalhin ang isyu sa isang independiyente at internasyunal na hukuman, ang United Nations Permanent Court Of Arbitration (Arbitral Tribunal), para sa mapayapang resolusyon ng pagtatalo sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina ukol sa West Philippine Sea nang naaayon sa batas internasyunal. Tutol naman ang Tsina sa ginawa na ito ng Pilipinas. Q202. Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon sa pagsasampa ng ating pamahalaan ng kaso laban sa Tsina sa isang independiyente at internasyunal na hukuman upang maresolba ang pagtatalo tungkol sa West Philippine Sea? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 97 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 39 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations “HOW CONFIDENT ARE YOU THAT THE PHILIPPINES WILL WIN IN ITS CASE AGAINST IN THE INTERNATIONAL COURT AGAINST CHINA OVER THE DISPUTED ISLANDS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA?” MAR 2016 Very confident Somewhat confident Not too Not confident confident at all INTRO STATEMENT: Ang Pilipinas ay nagpasyang dalhin ang isyu sa isang independiyente at internasyunal na hukuman, ang United Nations Permanent Court Of Arbitration (Arbitral Tribunal), para sa mapayapang resolusyon ng pagtatalo sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina ukol sa West Philippine Sea nang naaayon sa batas internasyunal. Tutol naman ang Tsina sa ginawa na ito ng Pilipinas Q203. 203. Gaano po kayo nagtitiwala na ang Pilipinas ay mananalo sa kaso nito sa internasyunal na hukuman laban sa Tsina tungkol pagtatalo tungkol sa West Philippine Sea? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 98 NET* TRUST IN THE UNITED STATES, AUSTRALIA, CHINA, RUSSIA, AND JAPAN: PHILIPPINES, DEC 1994 TO DEC 2016 RAMOS ESTRADA +90 ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE United States +70 USA, +59 +50 AUS, +37 JPN, +37 Japan +30 RUS, +9 CHN, +9 Australia +10 -10 -30 Russia China -50 1994 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 * NET trust = % Much trust minus Little trust correctly rounded. Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 99 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 40 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations 9 Public safety: Long-term decline in crime victimization; recent rise in fears for personal security The 2017 SWS Survey Review 100 CRIME VICTIMIZATION OF ANY FAMILY MEMBER WITHIN THE PAST 6 MONTHS: PHILIPPINES, FEB 1989 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE % of families 15 10 Pickpocket/ Robbery, 3.4% Break-in, 1.8% Physical violence, 0.7% Carnap, 0.5% 5 1989 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 Question. Nais po naming malaman ang karanasan ninyo at ng iba pang miyembro ng inyong pamilyang nakatira dito, tungkol sa krimen. Kayo po ba o kahit na sinong miyembro ng inyong pamilya ay naging biktima ng… (SHUFFLE CARDS)? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 101 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 41 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations NEIGHBORHOOD FEARS, JUN 1985 TO DEC 2016 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE % FEARFUL 70 63% Fear of burglary 60 54% 52% 50 40 Unsafe streets 30 1986 1992 Many drug addicts 1998 2001 2004 2010 2016 Percentage of those who agree with the statement "In this neighborhood, ... * “people are usually afraid that robbers might break into their houses.”; ** “people are usually afraid to walk in the streets at night because it is not safe.”; *** “there are already very many people addicted to banned drugs.” The 2017 SWS Survey Review 102 10 Government campaign against illegal drugs: Great worries about EJKs; satisfaction with the admin so far The 2017 SWS Survey Review 103 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 42 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations EXTENT OF WORRY THAT SOMEONE FROM ONE’S FAMILY WILL BE A VICTIM OF EXTRA-JUDICIAL KILLING OR EJK, DEC 2016 % of adults Not worried at all Not too worried Very worried Somewhat worried Q145: Gaano po kayo nangangamba na kayo o sino mang kilala ninyo ay maging biktima ng ‘Extra Judicial Killing o EJK’? Kayo po ba ay.. (SHOWCARD)? TALAGANG NANGANGAMBA, MEDYO NANGANGAMBA, MEDYO HINDI NANGANGAMBA, O TALAGANG HINDI NANGANGAMBA The 2017 SWS Survey Review 104 IMPORTANCE OF KEEPING ILLEGAL DRUG TRADE SUSPECTS ALIVE, SEP AND DEC 2016 Somewhat important % of adults Very important Somewhat not important Not at all important Note: % Refused is not shown. Q140: Sa pagtupad ng kapulisan ng kanilang tungkulin sa kampanya laban sa illegal na droga, gaano ka-importante na mahuli nila nang buhay ang mga taong pinaghihinalaang kasabwat sa illegal na droga? Ito po ba ay… (SHOWCARD) TAGALANG IMPORTANTE, MEDYO IMPORTANTE, MEDYO HINDI IMPORTANTE, O TALAGANG HINDI IMPORTANTE? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 105 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 43 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations SERIOUSNESS OF THE EXTRA-JUDICIAL KILLINGS OR EJK PROBLEM IN THE PRESENT ADMINISTRATION, DEC 2016 % of adults Somewhat not serious Undecided Not serious at all Very serious Somewhat serious Note: % No answer is not shown. Q143: `Extra-Judicial Killing o EJK' ang tawag sa pagpatay sa isang tao na walang pahintulot ng batas. Kadalasan itong ginagawa ng mga di-kilalang taong naka-motor; posible ding ginagawa ng mga pulis o militar para takpan ang kanilang pagkasangkot sa mga KRIMINAL na gawain. Gaano ka-seryoso, sa palagay ninyo, ang ‘EJK’ sa kasalukuyang administrasyon? (SHOWCARD) TALAGANG SERYOSO, MEDYO SERYOSO, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SERYOSO O HINDI SERYOSO, MEDYO HINDI SERYOSO, O TALAGANG HINDI SERYOSO. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 106 OPINION ON WHETHER THE POLICE ARE TELLING THE TRUTH THAT THE SUSPECTS THEY KILLED REALLY RESISTED ARREST, DEC 2016 % of adults Definitely not the truth Probably not the truth Definitely the truth Probably the truth Undecided Note: % No answer and Refused are not shown. Q141: Sa kampanya ng gobyerno laban sa illegal na droga, ang kapulisan po ba ay … (SHOWCARD) nagsasabi ng totoo na ang napapatay nilang suspect ay talagang nanlaban sa kanila? TALAGANG NAGSASABI NG TOTOO, MALAMANG NAGSASABI NG TOTOO, HINDI TIYAK KUNG NAGSASABI NG TOTOO O HINDI, MALAMANG HINDI NAGSASABI NG TOTOO, O TALAGANG HINDI NAGSASABI NG TOTOO The 2017 SWS Survey Review 107 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 44 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations SATISFACTION WITH THE PERFORMANCE OF THE ADMINISTRATION IN ITS CAMPAIGN AGAINST ILLEGAL DRUGS, SEP AND DEC 2016 Somewhat satisfied Undecided Net* % of adults Very satisfied +76 +77 Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied *% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Note: % Refused is not shown. Q139: Maaari po bang pakisabi ninyo kung gaano kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa kasalukuyang kampanya ng ADMINISTRASYON laban sa illegal na droga. Kayo ba ay… (SHOWCARD) LUBOS NA NASISIYAHAN, MEDYO NASISIYAHAN, HINDI TIYAK KUNG NASISIYAHAN O HINDI, MEDYO HINDI NASISIYAHAN, O LUBOS NA HINDI NASISIYAHAN? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 108 AGREEMENT WITH THE TEST STATEMENT: “FROM THE TIME WHEN RODY DUTERTE BECAME PRESIDENT, THERE HAS BEEN A DECREASE IN THE DRUG PROBLEM IN MY AREA,” DEC 2016 % of adults Somewhat Strongly disagree disagree Undecided Somewhat agree Strongly agree Note: % Don’t know and Refused are not shown. Q142. Gaano po kayo sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito: “Mula noong naging Pangulo si Rody Duterte, nabawasan na ang problema ng illegal na droga sa aming lugar” … (SHOWCARD) LUBOS NA SANG-AYON, MEDYO SANG-AYON, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SANG-AYON O HINDI SANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SANG-AYON, O LUBOS NA HINDI SANG-AYON. The 2017 SWS Survey Review 109 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 45 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations SERIOUSNESS OF THE ADMINISTRATION ON SOLVING EXTRAJUDICIAL KILLINGS OR EJK CASES IN THE COUNTRY, DEC 2016 % of adults Somewhat not serious Undecided Not serious at all Very serious Somewhat serious Q144: Sa inyong palagay, SERYOSO ba o HINDI SERYOSO ang pamahalaan na masolusyunan ang problema ng “Extra-Judicial Killing” o EJK sa bansa? (SHOWCARD) TALAGANG SERYOSO, MEDYO SERYOSO, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SERYOSO O HINDI SERYOSO, MEDYO HINDI SERYOSO, O TALAGANG HINDI SERYOSO The 2017 SWS Survey Review 110 11 The business climate, according to businessmen – Since 2012, very good for business The 2017 SWS Survey Review 111 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 46 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations BUSINESSMEN’S SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL GOVERNMENT IN PROMOTING A GOOD BUSINESS CLIMATE, 2007 – 2016 ARROYO B. AQUINO Dissatisfied Undecided Satisfied Q136. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the National Government’s performance in promoting a good climate for business in the Philippines? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 112 BUSINESSMEN’S EXPECTATIONS IN THE NEXT 2 YEARS, 2000 – 2016 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO Very Poor Poor Fair Good Excellent Q138. In the next 2 years, do you expect that business conditions will be…? The 2017 SWS Survey Review 114 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 47 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations SUMMARY-1 1 Public morale: very high, since 2010 2 Poverty and Hunger: declining since 2014 3 Surveys of businessmen about corruption: less under Pnoy than under PGMA (latest, Feb-May 2016) 4 The 2016 election: clear win for Duterte; VP race uncallable; the debates mattered 5 The President: a normal honeymoon so far The 2017 SWS Survey Review 115 SUMMARY-2 6 Satisfaction with other officials and institutions: VP, SP, Spkr, CJ – fair; Senate, Hrep, SC, Cabinet – more similar to Pnoy time 7 Report Cards of the national administration: PNoy time the best of the past 5 admins; PRRD time following suit 8 Foreign affairs: Support for the WPS case against China; still much trust in the US, trust in China and Russia turn positive neutral The 2017 SWS Survey Review 116 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 48 Copyright © 2017 Social Weather Stations SUMMARY-3 9 Public safety: Long-term decline in crime victimization; recent rise in fears for personal security 10 Government campaign against illegal drugs: Great worries about EJKs; satisfaction with the admin so far 11 The business climate, according to businessmen: Since 2012, very good for business The 2017 SWS Survey Review 117 The SWS Annual Survey Reviews 2017 Edition containing the full presentations of the SWS Survey Reviews from 2001 to 2017 is available in CDROM at the SWS Survey Data Archives and Library. Inquire with Leo Laroza <[email protected]> at 924-4456 or 924-4458. www.sws.org.ph #52 Malingap Street, Sikatuna Village, Quezon City Tels: 926-4308, 924-4456, 924-4458, 924-4465 The 2017 SWS Survey Review E-mail: [email protected] 49
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