MARCH 2016 WHEN IS THE LOBSTER MEAT MARKET GOING TO DROP? CK, TCK and CKL have been at all-time highs, 50% ABOVE their highest prices ever recorded. This is fueled by a large scale increase in demand for lobster meat in the US food service market. Lobster is now on the menu in 34% of all full service, midscale and casual dining restaurants, and 55% of all fine dining restaurants in the US. Expansion of the food truck lobster roll concept has gone national. It is no longer a New England regional item. Limited service concepts such as Luke Lobster have enjoyed rapid expansion, focusing primarily on cooked lobster meat as a sales driver. There has been significant expansion of demand for lobster products in Europe and Asia. The imbalance of demand has pushed lobster meat pricing to historic highs while lobster tails remained at historic norms. WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN WHEN MOST OF CANADA OPENS FOR LOBSTERING IN THE LAST WEEK OF APRIL? With record warm winter temperatures throughout New England and the Canadian Maritime Provinces, live lobsters are going to be much more active on the ocean floor than last year. This means that catches should be higher right from the start of the season. Another positive development towards lower lobster prices is the new labor policy. Last year the percentage of freight workers in each plant was restricted but those restrictions have been lifted for this summer. So each plants’ capacity to produce picked lobster meat should be greater than last year. Since the lobster processing business is an equation that a lobster is equal to the sum of its parts, picked lobster meat prices will continue to subsidize the glut of lobster tails on the market. You see for every pound of CK you get TWO POUNDS of lobster tails. Currently all major producers are hung on major inventories of lobster tails. So much so the banks are unwilling to lend many processing houses any money until they liquidate some of their inventory on tails. In 2015, Lobster Meat exceeded historic highs and Conventional wisdom would dictate that continued to climb, pushed by heavy demand. Lobster the price of lobster meat would be based on tails remained within normal range. the price of live lobsters but that's not the case now. Yes, raw material prices (live lobster) has been high over the last 12 months but the excess demand for picked lobster meat has thrown the equation all out of whack. In the rush to satisfy their orders for CK, producers have frozen more lobster tails than they could sell. Look for tail prices to fall even more this summer. Lobster tails will be the real value in 2016. The following chart summarizes some of the different aspects of the lobster industry. WHY ARE SALMON PRICES JUMPING DRAMATICALLY GREAT WICOMICO OYSTERS El Nino this year has had profound effects throughout the seafood industry. El Nino is a phenomenon of unusually warm ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific, occurring irregularly every two to seven years. The warm temperatures have caused massive algal blooms in the salmon growing regions of Chile. Problems arise when the algae die and the decomposition of the algae create zero dissolved oxygen areas (dead zones). Farmed Atlantic salmon mortality has been massive, 24 million fish so far, representing 15 percent of Chile's production. Chile is the world's second largest producer of farmed salmon, right behind Norway, accounting for approximately 33% of all farmed salmon imported annually. Chile's salmon problems don't end there. Juvenile salmon (smolts) are scheduled to be "seeded" (transferred from the mountain lakes to the ocean cages) very soon. These fish will be of harvestable size in late 2017. So as the seafood industry is the classic case of the law of supply and demand, Chile's 15% reduction in supply will cause an immediate increase in price next week. Supply disruption will last at least 90 days. The next generation of fish should start to come on line after that. Hopefully, things will return to "normal" soon after. Pan Seared Royal Bass with Shiitake and Asparagus Tips Ragout Recipe from David Fye, Corporate Chef Serves 2 Ingredients: 2-6 oz. Filet Royal Bass, Skin Scored Salt and Pepper to taste 1 Tbs Olive Oil Directions: 1) Lay fish on paper towel and make sure it is dry. 2) Heat medium size fry pan to medium high heat. 3) Season fish on both sides. 4) Sear fish, skin side down, for 3-4 minutes until skin is crispy and golden brown. 5) Flip over and cook appox. 2-3 minutes more, until done. 6) Pour ragout onto plates and place fish crispy skin side up on top. Ragout Ingredients: 1/2 Tbs Olive Oil 1 Clove Garlic, Minced 2/3 Cup Shiitake Mushrooms, Stems Removed, Cleaned and Sliced 1/2 Cup Chicken Stock 1/4 Cup White Wine 1/2 TSP Fresh Thyme, Chopped 1 TBS Minced Chives 2/3 Cup Asparagus Tips 4 TBS Butter, Unsalted Chilled and cut into small chunks Directions: 1) In a large fry pan heat oil to medium high heat. 2) Add garlic, thyme and mushrooms and sear for 3 minutes. 3) Bring wine and chicken stock to rolling boil, add asparagus and cook until liquid is reduced by half. 4) Whisk 1 cube of butter until incorporated. Repeat process until all butter is used. 5) Add chives and season with salt & pepper to taste. *NOTE: Make Ragout and set aside before you cook Royal Bass CONGRESSIONAL IS NOW ACCEPTING BLUECART ORDERS ! BlueCart is a free app that saves restaurants hours by allowing them to place all their orders to all their suppliers in one click. With BlueCart, you can place orders to not only Congressional, but also your alcohol supplier, paper supplier, produce supplier, and more--all in one click. Since BlueCart is free for both buyers and suppliers, we are now inviting all our restaurants to join the platform. Many Congressional customers are already using BlueCart. To get started yourself, simply let your Congressional sales rep know you'd like to use BlueCart, or email [email protected] for more information. ORDERING MADE SIMPLE www.bluecart.com. CALENDAR 2016 March Virginia Food & Beverage Expo Wednesday, March 23 Good Friday Friday, March 25 Easter Sunday, March 27 National Clams on The Half Shell Day Thursday, March 31 April Blue Crab Season Begins April Fool’s Day Friday, April 1 Taste of the Nation Monday, April 4 Earth Day Friday, April 22 National Shrimp Scampi Day Friday, April 29 Coming Up : RAM Gala May 1 NMSF Ocean Awards Gala June 7 RAMMYS June 12 IN SEASON Albacore Tuna Amberjack Baramundi Black Bass (RI) Black Cod Blue Catfish (VA) Catfish, Cod (East Coast) Crab (Venezuela) Fluke (RI) Halibut (East Coast) Halibut (West Coast) Year of Hire: John Dory (Domestic) 2000 Mahi (South America) Monk Role at Congressional: Sales Oysters (Chesapeake) Pollock Favorite Fish: Dover Sole, for its great flavor Razor Clams Sea Bass (Chilean) Favorite Sport: Kayaking Shad Snapper Dream vacation: Fishing in the Florida Keys Striped Bass (Rockfish) Sword (Domestic) Tilapia Tuna (Yellowfin) Name of Employee: Liam Forristal Congressional Seafood Co. March 2016 Newsletter Produced by KSM Marketing Contributing Writers: Tim Sughrue, David Fye March 6 & 7 2016 ORP Names Congressional Seafood one of their Top 10 Oyster Shell Recycling Contributors in 2015! The Oyster Recovery Partnership's Shell Recycling Alliance (SRA) collected a record 26,000 bushels of oyster shell from 300 member establishments in 2015, a number that reflects an accelerated commitment by restaurants and other businesses to restore the Chesapeake Bay oyster population.
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