Safety Nets in Somalia on 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report Introduction Adeso and Save the Children are jointly implementing a 30-month pilot safety net project in the Sanaag and Karkaar regions of Somalia, which provides cash grants and skills training for 2,200 households. As the project nears completion, Save the Children and Adeso convened a workshop in Nairobi to engage some of the key stakeholders (donors, other NGOs, UN agencies) in a discussion about lessons learnt from the programme about the feasibility of implementing safety nets in Somalia. Forty people participated in the workshop, including donor representatives from USAID, DFID, the EC, ECHO, Swedish Government, AusAid, and Embassy of the Netherlands, other international NGOs, UNICEF, World Bank and FAO (list of participants in Annex 1). This report summarises the issues presented and discussed at the workshop. Expectations Participants wrote the key issues they’d like to see addressed on cards. The following categories emerged: Scale: how to scale up safety net provision from a small-scale pilot to reach larger numbers of households. Government: to what extent is it possible for safety net approaches to link with different levels of government that are emerging in different parts of Somalia? Where: Is it feasible for a safety net approach to be implemented in south-central Somalia even in areas controlled by Al-Shabaab? Sustainability / Graduation: How can the concept of sustainability be addressed in Somalia, given low levels of governance capacity and how can future projects encourage households receiving support to ‘graduate’ to more resilient livelihoods so support is no longer needed? Linking Relief and Development: What scope exists to move from the current large-scale emergency cash relief in south-central Somalia to longer-term approaches incorporating safety net dimensions? Complementary Interventions: What types of interventions are most effective and needed to complement safety net provision? Targeting: How can targeting work when it is extremely difficult to distinguish between the most vulnerable and the slightly less vulnerable and when constraints to access and insecurity make intensive engagement with communities in participatory approaches to targeting difficult? Safety Nets in Somalia – 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report 2: Social protection in fragile states The workshop began with a presentation and discussion of the broader international debate around the feasibility of expanding social protection provision in fragile states. Social protection is increasingly seen as a crucial component of development strategies to tackle poverty. As a Chronic Poverty Report argues, ‘there is now a wealth of evidence that social protection is a cost-effective means of reducing poverty and chronic poverty; that it is affordable and that it can be scaled up even in relatively poor countries’. The growing interest in social protection has stemmed in part from the positive experience with conditional cash transfers in Latin America which has resulted in increased children’s enrolment in education, improved health and a reduction in the poverty gap for participating households. There has also been renewed interest in the positive impacts of pensions in South Africa and Namibia which have played an important role in poverty reduction and enabling old people to bear some of the burden of the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Developments in Africa have included the introduction of universal pensions in Lesotho, pilot cash transfer social assistance in Zambia, Kenya and Malawi, the Productive Safety Net Programme in Ethiopia and the Hunger Safety Net in Kenya. In Asia, India has introduced the National Rural Employment Guarantee and there are long running social assistance programmes such as Samurdhi in Sri Lanka and the IGVGD programme in Bangladesh. Social protection has been presented as an agenda that can strengthen the legitimacy of the state by allowing it to re-shoulder responsibilities for ensuring the basic survival of its citizens. Social protection instruments implemented by the state, such as pensions, can be seen as a central part of the political contract between a state and its citizens. Experience with social protection in conflict and post-conflict contexts, however, remains thin on the ground, with humanitarian aid often continuing to act as an inadequate instrument of last resort even in protracted crises. Conflict and post conflict affected fragile states are by definition contexts where delivering any services is difficult; ‘where the government cannot or will not deliver core functions to the majority of its people.’ Social protection is often one of a list of basic services that are largely absent along with access to basic health care and education. Often social protection is largely absent from the agenda because it is seen as just too difficult to deliver and the aim of government owned and delivered social assistance as just too distant a long-term prospect. The ways in which state fragility make social protection more difficult in conflict and post-conflict contexts can be grouped as follows: Ongoing conflict, the risk of a return to conflict and high levels of insecurity make implementation of social protection programmes more difficult and achieving predictable and regular transfers particularly problematic. Weak state capacity – meaning that the ability of governments to develop policy and plan and implement programmes is limited In some contexts governments’ may themselves be abusive and predatory making it difficult for international actors to work with them. Donors may have restrictions on working directly with governments with which they have political differences. Low revenues – fragile governments may have a particularly low revenue base making the affordability of social protection especially challenging Delivering social assistance in fragile states is always going to be difficult but that is too often serving as an excuse for inaction. The admirable focus on the ideal of government owned and financed social protection also seems to be inhibiting a focus on what is possible in fragile states. Recognition of the Safety Nets in Somalia – 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report ideal shouldn’t prevent engagement in the messy and difficult reality of trying to improve people’s access to some form of social assistance in fragile states. The majority of people in need of basic assistance to maintain lives and livelihoods in fragile states don’t receive much. Humanitarian aid is too unreliably funded and delivered to achieve adequate coverage and long term social assistance is even thinner on the ground. There is therefore much to be done and a humanitarian imperative, a rights based argument and a development priority to do better. The ultimate goal, as in other contexts, is widely agreed upon and consists of a responsive state able to provide long-term, reliably delivered and tax financed social assistance to its most vulnerable citizens as part of broader social protection and development strategies. Fragile states have even further to go in moving towards this goal than in other contexts but that doesn’t mean that the need for social assistance in these contexts should be ignored or that incremental improvements can’t be made. 3: The pilot safety net project in Puntland, Somalia The next session of the workshop focused on Adeso and Save the Children pilot safety net project. The project was described, initial monitoring results on impact were presented and the main challenges faced in implementation discussed. The Social Safety Nets (SSN) Project is being led by Adeso in consortium with Save the Children in Sanaag and Karkaar regions of Somalia. The project is supported by the European Commission and the Government of Sweden with funds of €3.7 million Euros provided over a 30 month period (June 2010 to November 2012).Adeso and Save the Children have coordinated the project with the government in Puntland including the Ministries of the Environment, Agriculture and Planning and International Cooperation. There are 2,240 beneficiaries households. They have received the following forms of support: 1,200 households have received Cash Relief--with over 84% of the direct recipients being women. The Cash Relief component provides grants of USD $85 per month. This was planned to cover the full minimum expenditure basket (MEB) but increases in the cost of living mean that it now covers slightly less than 50% of the MEB. 1,000 households have received skills training in alternative livelihoods, improving pastoral livelihoods and basic literacy and numeracy. 40 community members have been trained in Disaster Risk Reduction and contingency planning. There are four expected results of the project: Result 1: Targeted households are able to meet their basic needs throughout the year. Result 2: Households’ access to livelihood opportunities within their own community has increased. Result 3: Community capacity and resilience to livelihood related shocks have improved. Result 4: Project is monitored effectively & learning is documented & shared with other actors. Impact Results Data indicates that since the baseline, the average household monthly income has increased from US$50 to an average of $91. This is mainly due to the cash transfer provided by the Social Safety Net project, which provides a monthly transfer of US$85. At the time of the baseline, households reported debts of more than US$250 – a figure more than five times their reported monthly income. Many households had used their maximum allowable credit and were in a weak buying-position. Buying on credit is an important coping strategy for poor households, Safety Nets in Somalia – 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report as it allows them to purchase food even when income is scarce. Over the course of the project, households have managed to pay down much of this debt, which would allow them to extend or reopen credit lines in future. The most recent project data indicates that the average household debt now stands at US$73. Figure 1: Household income and debt In addition to paying down their debts, more than 20% of households have taken the opportunity of regular income to start new income generating activities – including teashops, petty trading and other small businesses. Some households are now able to give Zakat or Sadaaqa (community support) instead of receiving it, and therefore have increased their social standing (capital) within the community. Figure 2: Coping strategies employed At baseline, among other coping strategies used, high proportions of households were buying food on credit, asking family members for money, selling productive assets or migrating in search of work. The household employing these more severe coping strategies has decreased over time, highlighted on the figure above, indicating that food security has improved. Another food security indicator that has improved over time is the percentage of households reporting food shortage in the last three months. The project baseline was conducted in July, during the Gu season, which is usually the best season of the year. Even so, 25% of households at baseline reported that they had faced food shortage in the previous three months. This has decreased to less than ten percent of households by February 2012 even during the Jilaal season, which is typically the harshest season for pastoralist communities. Safety Nets in Somalia – 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report Figure 3: Household reporting food shortage in the last 3 months Households were asked to give an estimate of how much food they have available in their home. This is a proxy indicator for household food security status, with those having more food being more food secure. Figure 4: Household food availability At baseline, most households had enough for 2 days – 1 week (46.7%) or less than 1 day (34.1%). Over the course of the project, the proportion of households having only “enough food for less than one day has decreased. A greater percentage of households now report having more food in the home indicating an improvement in food security. The improvement in food security seen above by the change in household food availability is confirmed by a reported improvement in the number of meals consumed each day. At baseline, adults were eating two meals a day and children slightly more. This improved to three meals a day by May 2011 and has stayed around that level since. Even during the Jilaal season (January-March), the harshest season for pastoralists, households have been able to consume three meals a day. Safety Nets in Somalia – 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report Figure 5: Number of meals consumed per day 4: Critical debates Throughout the workshop participants engaged in vigorous discussion around various critical issues. This section summarises the key themes that emerged from these debates. Relief and Development: The current cash relief in Somalia has demonstrated the feasibility of implementing large-scale cash transfers. Cash Voucher Monitoring Group (CVMG) partners have reached 136,673 households with over $50 million worth of cash and vouchers between September 2011 and April 2012. This was seen as presenting opportunities to explore links between emergency cash grants and longer term approaches. As the second phase of the emergency relief programme starts to reach completion there is an urgent need for discussions about what, if anything, will replace it. Will all assistance be abruptly cut off only to be restarted when another crisis develops or is there scope to put in place a longer term approach to assisting the most vulnerable which could be expanded in times of crisis? Scale, coverage and location: The challenges of moving from a small-scale pilot to a larger scale were a recurrent theme. What is meant by ‘large-scale’ also needs further debate. Would an expansion from the current 1,200 households to 10,000 households be enough of a scale-up or is there a need for both donors and implementing agencies to be more ambitious? The current pilot has focussed on districts in Puntland and there was also debate around the feasibility of safety net approaches in South-Central Somalia. Should safety net approaches focus on areas where it is possible for agencies to work with local level governments and security is relatively good or is there a need to tackle the difficult challenges of south-central Somalia? Governance: There was general agreement that it would be desirable to build more of a governance dimension into future programmes but how this would be done, at what levels and what sort of role government and local authorities could play all needs further thinking. On the one hand agencies are understandably careful about limiting the ability of local authorities to influence how is targeted and sensitive to risks of diversion of taxation of social assistance benefits. On the other hand, if safety net approaches are to fulfil their hoped for role of strengthening the social contract between a state and its citizens then there is a need to start thinking about ways in which it might be possible to involve local authorities in positive ways. Targeting: In contexts where the majority of the population lives below the poverty line, is chronically food insecure and prone to periodic shocks then it is always extremely difficult to choose who receives support and who does not. Somalia is no exception to this rule and distinguishing between the more or Safety Nets in Somalia – 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report less vulnerable is clearly extremely difficult. These difficulties are compounded by insecurity and restrictions to access which make intensive engagement with communities in participatory approaches to targeting problematic. Scaling up safety net approaches will also make intensive community based approaches more difficult. The workshop didn’t come up with any brilliant new ideas to solve these dilemmas which are perennial but future programme design will need to give them careful attention. Grant Size: There are also dilemmas around the question of how much money to provide to people. The current project set out to provide the full minimum expenditure basket to the most vulnerable households ($85 per month). In the event the rise of the MEB to over $180 per month meant that the grant covered less than 50% of the MEB so was more of a top-up to households existing livelihood and coping strategies. Nevertheless the current grant size is relatively generous compared to for instance the roughly $240 per year provided in the Hunger Safety Net programme in Kenya. Given limited budgets there is a choice to be made between supporting larger numbers of people with smaller grants or smaller numbers of people with larger amounts. For example, you could provide 10,000 households with $1000 a year or 50,000 households with $200 per year given the same budget. More debate and analysis is needed to decide on the appropriate grant size in future programmes. Gender, rights and downwards accountability: Various participants highlighted the need to ensure continuing and perhaps expanded attention to issues of gender, rights and downwards accountability in future programmes. 5: Moving forward A final session considered the way forward for safety nets in Somalia. A presentation from Adeso and Save the Children noted that the pilot project has helped 2,200 households to improve their livelihoods, demonstrated the feasibility of safety provision and suggested some principles for expanding safety net provision. Adeso and Save the Children noted the following challenges in taking this agenda forward: Scaling up: how to move beyond small pilot projects. Targeting: the current method is good, but how to do it at scale in an area with great needs and limited resources Engagement with government: what could be possible in these areas knowing that capacity and revenue are limited Downwards accountability: the complaints mechanism is a start, but how could SSN be more pro-actively accountable? Integration with other social services / complementary activities: this has been the biggest gap mainly due to funding constraints; is it possible to make connection to other initiatives (e.g. other NGO supported programmes in the area?) Strengthening traditional safety nets: what traditional safety nets can be revived or strengthened through the intervention? There is a need to shift the dialogue on safety nets in Somalia from a short term, humanitarian focus to that of a predictable safety net more in line with the objectives of social protection. The former only addresses immediate suffering and is short term and direct. The latter takes on a boarder, longer term view with a focus on national ownership and political and development processes. The Adeso and Save the Children vision is that vulnerable households are able to provide for their basic needs throughout the year. To reach this vision we would require a programme that is multi-year, multi-donor and multi-sector. Key elements of SSN moving forward would include: Seasonality: support to communities needs to be better connected to the seasonal needs and gaps. Safety Nets in Somalia – 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report Flexibility: the activities and budget should not be static, but rather be flexible to account for changes that may occur due to shocks; this could include a “crisis modifier” funding element. Resilience: the area of intervention is chronically food insecure with periodic acute food insecurity; trends show that livelihoods are changing and programming should help communities to be better prepared for those changes. Range of actors: safety nets in Somalia are not just about Adeso and SC; other actors and stakeholders can play a role in the project. Continued evidence building: there is still a lot of be learned especially if the project is able to be more robust. Capacity building: though government has a very limited capacity to date there has been good support. Moving forward a more meaningful engagement of the government within its limitations needs to be explored. Save the Children and Adeso are in the process of planning a second phase of the social safety net project and will design this based on further rigorous analysis of the lessons learned from the pilot phase. This will include: Rigorous analysis of all data sets: there is a massive amount of data collected under SSN and analysis against seasonality and other sources needs to be done to clarify trends and impact. Collecting missing livelihood zone information: data for part of Sanaag do not exist; Adeso is discussing with FSNAU to complete these. Outcome analysis: with the livelihood zone information modeling will be done to see the effects of different types of transfers on different wealth groups; this will help to understand the seasonal needs as well as the budgetary implications of different interventions. End of project evaluation: this is expected to be completed in the next three months Discussions with stakeholders: this will include the communities, regional, district and local governments, beneficiaries, non-beneficiaries, IOs, UN agencies and donors. Lessons & project monitoring of at-scale cash response in Somalia: the upcoming report on cash and vouchers project implementation in Somalia may give some insight on how a scale up of SSN could be possible. Adeso and Save the Children propose to target approximately 10,000HH in the next phase of SSN. The annual budget for this target would range from US$6 to 20 million depending on the size of grants and the complementary services. We see the need to have these entitlements be as flexible as possible; they should account for economic and natural shocks that may occur during the project period. “Graduation” is an area that will need further consideration. We know that if “graduation” is possible it will only be achieved with a greater focus on complementary activities such as income generation. Lastly, greater political buy in and accountability will be essential to achieve these project aspirations. Safety Nets in Somalia – 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report 6. Conclusions This workshop provided a useful starting point for discussion of the possible role of safety nets in Somalia but there is a clear need for further debate and for this to include more Somali stakeholders as well as international aid actors. Some concrete next steps will include: Adeso and Save the Children are commissioning an evaluation of the pilot safety net project in August 2012 and will share results of this with the workshop participants. Based on this evaluation, further rigorous analysis of the monitoring results and further discussions with key stakeholders, Adeso, Save and possibly other aid actors will present a second phase of the social safety nets programme to donors for support towards the end of 2012. There is a clear need for greater discussion within the Cash Voucher Monitoring Group (CVMG) and other coordination forums about possible transitions from emergency cash relief in south central Somalia to longer term social assistance. Adeso and Save the Children will push for this to take place. Safety Nets in Somalia – 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report Annex 1 – List of participants Agency AUSaid AUSaid EC EC EC EC SIDA SIDA SIDA ECHO ECHO ECHO USAID USAID USAID DFID DFID DANIDA Dutch Embassy World Bank World Bank FAO UNICEF DRC DRC NRC Oxfam Independent Independent Independent Independent Kenyan Red Cross SATG Save the Children Adeso Name Shannon Ryan Solomon Ngari Mohamed Sabul Ernesto Njoroge Felix Rembold Isabel Faria de Almeida Mathias Kruger Erik Petterson Lilian Kilwake Aldo Biondi Morten R. Petersen Sapenzie Ojiambo Pete Mohan Sureka Khandagle Mark Wilt Chris Porter Chris Price Betina Gollander Jensen Rogier Nouwen Endeshaw Tadesse Sarah Coll-Black Julie Lawson McDowall Claire Mariani Betty Kweyu Kate Ashton Opio Peter Patrick Imeje Zacharia Elung'at Sophie Dunn Jane MacAskill Glenn Hughson Paul Harvey leila Chepkemboi Aurs Scek Ben Foot; Holly Radice; Suleiman Ahmed; Rosie Jackson; Marion McKeone, Brian Kiswii Degan Ali; Gurudatta Shirodkar; Helen Haltshul; Jean-Christophe Saint-Esteben; Agnes Shihemi; Mercy Chahilu Safety Nets in Somalia – 22nd May 2012 - Workshop Report
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