6 last posters 26-09-2001 10:08 Page 3 “MORE CARE” ADVICE FOR SECURE OPERATION OF ISOLATED POWER SYSTEMS WITH INCREASED RENEWABLE ENERGY PENETRATION & STORAGE N. HATZIARGYRIOU, G. CONTAXIS, NTUA, GREECE G. KARINIOTAKIS, D. MAYER ARMINES, FRANCE M. MATOS, J.A. PECAS LOPES INESC, PORTUGAL J. HALLIDAY, G. DUTTON CCLRC-RAL, UK P. DOKOPOULOS, A. BAKIRTZIS AUTH, GREECE J. STEFANAKIS, A. GIGANTIDOU PPC, GREECE P.O’DONNELL, D. McCOY ESB, IRELAND M.J. FERNANDES, J.M.S. COTRIM, A.P.FIGUEIRA EEM, PORTUGAL THE OBJECTIVE MORE CARE DEVELOPMENT OF AN ADVANCED CONTROL SYSTEM TO ASSIST THE OPERATORS OF A LARGE ISOLATED POWER SYSTEM TO : MAXIMIZE THE INTEGRATION OF RENEWABLES MAINTAIN A HIGH LEVEL OF SECURITY IN THE GRID SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE CASE STUDIES PILOT CONTROL SYSTEM INSTALLED IN CRETE (GR) IN 1999. PEAK LOAD : 360 MW, INSTALLED POWER : 555 MW. Steam:104MW Diesel: 48MW GAZ : 185MW Comb. Cycle: 132MW WIND (*) : 82 MW PV (projected): 5MW (*) Projected power for year 2000. Actually installed 17 MW. UNIT COMITMENTS SECURITY ASSESSMENT IT PROVIDES AN OPERATION SCENARIO* FOR THE NEXT 8-48 HOURS * (SWITCHING ACTIONS FOR THE CONVENTIONAL UNITS,, MAX LIMITS FOR RENEWABLE PENETRATION) REAL TIME SECURITY EVALUATION OF OPERATING SCENARIA OR CURRENT STATES : DETAILED SIMULATION OF THE POWER SYSTEM OPERATION WARNING ON INSECURE STATES IN CASE OF PRE-SPECIFIED DISTURBANCES PRODUCTION COSTS, INDEPENDENT PRODUCERS ASPECTS, TECHNICAL CONSTAINTS OF THE POWER UNITS… 2 3 ALTERNATIVE METHODS START ALTERNATIVE MODELS : DECISION TREES (NTUA) KERNEL REGRESSION TREES (INESC) NEURAL NETWORK (INESC) Load & renewable power forecasts (H hours ahead) GENETIC ALGORITHMS (INESC) A COMBINATORIAL TECHNIQUE (NTUA) G as2 Unit Commitment (H hours ahead) 160 Steam1 Steam5 140 Steam6 120 Diesel 1 Dynamic Security Assessment Every t1 hours G T4 180 Diesel 4 (MW) 100 Diesel 3 POWER 80 Diesel 2 60 Steam2 Steam3 Load & renewable power forecasts (h hours ahead) ECONOMIC DISPATCH OPTIMIZES THE UNIT COMMITMENT SOLUTION IN ORDER TO PROVIDE THE SET-POINTS OF THE CONVENTIONAL UNITS FOR THE NEXT TIME-STEP (20 MINUTES AHEAD). 3 ALTERNATIVE MODELS : 40 Steam4 20 W P2 0 W P1 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 T IM E (hou rs) Unit Commitment (h hours ahead) 45 Load Economic Dispatch IMPLEMENTATION FRIENDLY MAN-MACHINE INTERFACE MODULAR (MODELS REDUNDANCY) GENERIC SYSTEM DESCRIPTION (TRANSFERABILITY) Dynamic Security Monitoring Every t2 minutes W P3 EVOLUTIONARY PROGRAMMING (INESC) GENETIC ALGORITHMS (AUTH) CONSTRAINED LINEAR PROGRAMMING (NTUA) THE MODELS CONSIDER : SECURITY CONSTRAINTS FOR THE GENERATION & TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS, POWER LOSSES, COSTS... Set Points of Power Units FORECASTING GENERATION OF FORECASTS FOR THE POWER SYSTEM LOAD AND THE PRODUCTION OF THE RENEWABLES FOR THE NEXT PLANNING PERIOD OF 8-48 HOURS. LOAD FORECASTING 3 METHODS DEVELOPED : FUZZY NEURAL NETWORKS (Ecole des Mines) LINEAR ARMA MODELS (RAL) WINTER METHOD (NTUA) WIND POWER FORECASTING 3 METHODS DEVELOPED : FUZZY NEURAL NETWORKS (Ecole des Mines) LINEAR ARMA MODELS (RAL) MODEL BASED ON GEOGRAPHICALLY DISTRIBUTED INFORMATION (AUTH) References : ERK5-CT1999-00019
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