New England’s Energy Markets, Policies and Politics American Nuclear Society CT Section April 4, 2012 Dominion’s Footprint New Generating Stations Planned/Under Development ~28,000 MW of electric generation 6,300 miles of electric transmission Coal/Biomass Natural Gas Wind Solar 11,000 miles of natural gas transmission, gathering and storage pipeline 947 billion cubic feet of natural gas storage operated Cove Point LNG Facility 2.4 million electric customers in VA and NC 1.3 million natural gas customers in OH & WV 2.1 million non-regulated retail customers in 15 states Generating Stations in Operation Coal Natural Gas/Oil Nuclear Hydro Biomass Wind Coal/Oil/Gas Coal/Biomass Pending Sale Dominion New England Generation Assets: 4,751 MW Salem Harbor 150 Mw Coal (1 Unit) 431 Mw Oil (1 Unit) Dominion is the largest supplier and provides the most balanced generation portfolio in New England Brayton Point Manchester Street 465 Mw Gas CC (3 Units) Millstone 2,116 Mw Nuclear (2 Units) 1,154 Mw Coal (3 Units) 435 Mw Oil/gas (1 Unit) ISO New England Wholesale Electricity Markets The New England wholesale electricity markets are comprised of three markets: 1. Energy Market - System for purchasing and selling electricity using supply and demand to set the price 2. Capacity Market - Market where resources receive compensation for having invested in capacity to deliver in the capacity commitment period(s) 3. Ancillary Services Market - Services that ensure the reliable production and transmission of electricity Energy Markets Day-Ahead Energy Markets •Produces financially binding schedules for the production and consumption of electricity the day before the operating day •Allows Load Serving Entities (LSE’s) and Generators to lock in price day-ahead and avoid volatility of Real-time prices. Real-Time Energy Markets •Balances differences between the Day-Ahead scheduled amounts of electricity and the actual real-time requirements oFluctuations in load oTransmission and Generation outages Energy Market Clearing Mechanism “Bid Stack” Allows ISO to Compare Resource Offers; Establishes Single Price for Resources Used to Meet Demand on the System Supply Stack Bid Each resource submits an offer that specifies its incremental cost of producing energy and represents the price at which it is willing to run. These offers are stacked from lowest to highest. $100/MWh System Demand $80/MWh Energy Clearing Price $60/MWh $40/MWh $20/MWh Regional Electricity Use (MWs) The energy clearing price for the region is set at the point where the offers from supply intersect with the demand levels to serve the next expected megawatt of electricity use. Energy Markets – Locational Marginal Price (LMP) While there is a single System Clearing Price, prices across the region actually vary by location based on the amount of congestion and losses experienced on the transmission system. This localized price is called the Locational Marginal Price (LMP) and it is what LSEs pay for energy in their area and what generators are paid for their electricity in that area. LMP = Generation Marginal Cost Transmission + Congestion + Cost Cost of Marginal Losses System energy price for entire region ignoring congestion and losses. The Cost impact, due to transmission constraints, to operate one or more expensive, local resources to meet local demands. The added cost due to the energy that is lost as power flows across the transmission system . Capacity Markets Forward Capacity Markets • The ISO-NE’s Forward Capacity Market (FCM) is a locational capacity market whereby the ISO will project the needs of the power system three years in advance and then hold an annual auction to purchase capacity resources to satisfy the region's future needs Objectives of a Forward Capacity Market • Procure enough capacity to meet forecasted Demand approximately three years in advance • Provide compensation for the capacity cost of an existing Generation, Import of external gen, or Demand Resource • Incentivize new resource construction to constrained regions through an additional source of income • Implement a penalize-for-non-performance approach for not providing capacity during a capacity deficiency Ancillary Services Markets In addition to Energy and Capacity, RTOs operate Ancillary Services Markets to acquire particular generator services that are needed for the reliable transmission of electricity to serve load. Some ancillary services provided by generators are simply tariff rates and not market-based. Operating Reserves Regulation Service • Reserves needed to cover for the sudden loss of a large generator or a major transmission line. • Types of operating reserve vary based on time to respond (10 minutes or 30 minutes), and whether the reserves are synchronized (already online) or not. • Compensation varies by RTO but generally will pay a reserve clearing price or a make-whole payment to cover the difference between a resources offer price and the LMP. • Also known as automatic generation control (AGC). Allows the system operator to physically balance supply and demand and maintain frequency as close to 60 Hz as possible. • Approved generators submit offers to provide regulation similar to energy offers. • If accepted in the market, units are paid a regulation clearing price and are eligible for Lost Opportunity Costs as a result of not being able to sell energy. Voltage Support • Volt Ampere Reactive (VAR) support which allows the system operator to maintain transmission voltages. • Payment is usually a cost-based rate in addition to a Lost Opportunity Cost Payment. Black Start • Payment to generators interconnected to the transmission or distribution system that supports the restarting of the transmission system following a system-wide or partial blackout. • Payment is a cost-ofservice based rate to compensate for the incremental costs to provide this service. Competitive Market is Working 18,000,000 16,000,000 16,072,918 15,958,349 14,000,000 12,000,000 Net Gen (mwh) 10,000,000 8,000,000 M1 - Retired 870 M1 M2 - Retired M2 M3 - 877.7 - 1170 M3 - 1218.0 -----------------Total 2040 M1 - 660 M2 - 870 M3 - 1154 -----------------Total 2684 Total 2095.7 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 1986-1995 Timeframes 2000-2010 Electric Generation: New England Market Hub Prices (*) * Average energy price provided by ISO-NE Transmission: Regional Network Service (RNS) Rate Actual and Projected (*) ISO-NE Pool Transmission Facilities (PTF) investment has grown from $2.6 billion in 2005 to $6.7 billion in 2010. The forecast assumes $6 billion in new additions by 2015. * Forecast by the Participating Transmission Owners Administrative Committee Rates Working Group State Electricity Residential Prices (as of January 2012) Cents/Kwh Hawaii Alaska Connecticut New York Vermont New Hampshire New Jersey California Maine Massachusetts Rhode Island Michigan Delaware Pennsylvania Wisconsin Maryland D.C. Florida U.S. Average 36.25 17.98 17.33 16.83 16.65 16.19 16.09 15.5 15.21 15.21 14.75 13.48 13.07 12.92 12.77 12.59 11.77 11.59 11.43 0 5 10 15 20 Cents/Kwh 25 30 35 40 13 DOE/ EIA: http://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/pdf/epm.pdf Electric Generators Tax • To our knowledge, no state has imposed a tax on electric generators – until now. • Connecticut adopted an electric generators tax as part of its biennial budget last spring. •The tax went into effect July 1, 2011. •The tax applies to all coal, oil, natural gas and nuclear generating facilities in Connecticut. Each facility is taxed $2.50 per Mwh of production. •The tax is expected to generate approximately $70 million annually: oApproximately $40 million from Dominion’s Millstone Power Plant oMillstone’s new state and local tax liability are almost $80 million a year, or $1.5 million a week •The tax is scheduled to expire on June 30, 2013 via a “Sunset” provision •This production tax is a consumer issue that will raise Connecticut’ already high electric rates if it remains in effect. Contact Information Kevin Hennessy Director – Federal, State & Local Affairs – New England Dominion Resources, Inc. Rope Ferry Road Waterford, CT 06385 860.444.5656 (office) 860.912.5124 (mobile) [email protected] Conclusion • Our value keeps growing • Our creativity is rising • Our business skills are sharpening Questions? For additional information, visit us at www.dom.com
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