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Impact of the Surge in Chinese Import on Indian Manufacturing Sector
Jitender Singh
Assistant Director
RESEARCH STUDIES
OFFICE OF THE ECONOMIC ADVISER
DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRIAL POLICY AND PROMOTION
MINISTRY OF COMMERCE & INDUSTRY
UDYOG BHAWAN, NEW DELHI
INDIA
July, 2012
Vie ws e x pre s s e d in t h is pape r are t h o s e o f t h e au t h o r(s ) an d m ay n o t be at t ribut e d t o t h e
Government of India.
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Acknowledgement
This Study w ou ld n ot h av e b ee n p os s ib le w ith ou t th e h elp of a n u m b e r of p eop le
w h o w ith th e ir k in d coop era tion , activ e s u p erv is ion an d s te ad fas t s u p p ort h a v e m ad e
th is re s e arch w ork re a lity .
I a m ex tre m e ly gra tefu l to Prin cip al Ad v is e r Dr. Man ju la Kris h n a n , w h os e k een
con tin u ou s en cou rage m e n t a n d s u gge s tion s h elp ed to com p le te th is w ork .
I a m th an k fu l to S h ri S rik ara Na ik , Econ om ic Ad v is er a n d S h ri M.C. S in gh i, S en ior
Economic Adviser for his v alu ab le com m en ts a n d e n cou ra ge m en t to com p le te th is w ork . I
a ls o ex te n d m y s in ce re gra titu d e to Ms . Ma n is h a Me en a, As s is ta n t Director for s h arin g
h er v alu ab le th ou gh ts a n d h elp in g in u n d e rs ta n d in g th e d a ta . I als o th an k Shri Purohit,
Economic Officer who p rov id ed th e d a ta s u p p ort.
Place:
Date:
Jitender Singh
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Impact of the Surge in Chinese Import on Indian Manufacturing Sector
Abstract
In d ian im p ort tre n d re p orte d a s u rge in recen t p a s t few y e ars , p os s ib ly b eca u s e
of ch e ap im p ort of Ch in e s e m a n u factu rin g good s . Th e trad e d eficit w ith Ch in a is als o
ris in g alon g w ith ris in g requ e s t for in trod u cin g an ti d u m p in g m e a s u re s aga in s t Ch in e s e
im p ort. Th es e tre n d p oin ts th e n eed to ch e ck th e p rofile of im p ort from Ch in a an d its
rela tion w ith ou r d om e s tic m a n u factu rin g p rod u ction s tru ctu re . Th e m a jor qu e s tion
a d d re s s ed in th is re s e arch s tu d y is : How a re tre n d s in im p ort from Ch in a a s s ocia te d
w ith im p ort an d m an u fa ctu rin g in s p ecific in d u s try s u b -group in India?
A con cord a n ce b e tw e e n In d ia n Tra d e Clarifica tion b a s e d on Harm on iz e d S y s te m
(ITC-HS ) Cod e an d Na tion al In d u s try Cla s s ifica tion (NIC) a t 5 d igit level is d ev elop ed for
la s t 7 y e a rs for 2 6 8 ite m s of IIP (In d ex of In d u s tria l Prod u ction ) an d im p ort, an d
s ep ara te ly w ith im p ort from Ch in a. Th e in d ice s for th e im p ort, IIP (2 6 8 ite m s ) an d
in d u s try s u b grou p s h a v e b ee n con s tru cte d . Th e exp ort in d ex (u s ed s a m e m e th od ology
a n d con cord an ce) is ta k en from a n e arlie r S tu d y b y S in gh i, M.C. 2 0 1 1 .
Th e In d ex of In d u s tria l Prod u ction (IIP) for 2 6 8 ite m s , In d ex for Im p ort from all
countries (Im p ort In d e x from n ow ) an d In d ex for Exp ort h a s grow n re s p ectiv ely b y 107.8
%, 1 7 7 3 .1 %, an d 1 4 3 .4 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 over th e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 . Th e Ch in e s e im p ort
in d ex (Ch in e s e in d ex from n ow ) for s am e ite m s h a s grow n b y 4 6 1 8 .4 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 ove r
th e b a s e 2 0 0 5 -0 6 , w h ich is m u ch h igh e r th a n th e im p ort in d ex. Th e s h are of th e im p orts
of 2 6 8 ite m s from Ch in a in tota l im p orts from Ch in a to In d ia h a s ju m p ed to 4 1 .3 % in
2010-11 from 26.3% in 2005-06.
Th ere are en ou gh ev id en ce to s u s p ect th a t im p ort to In d ia from cou n trie s oth e r
th an Ch in a are n ow in cre a s in gly b een rep la ced b y ch e a p Ch in e s e im p ort. Th erefore th e
im p ort to In d ia is p rogre s s iv e ly con cen tra tin g w ith Ch in a. B road ly th e B a s ic Good s an d
th e In te rm e d ia te Good s s ectors s eem
to b e n ega tiv e ly affecte d from th e ch e a p Ch in e s e im p ort. How e ve r, acros s
industry sub-grou p th e re are n u m b er of p rod u cts h av in g n ega tiv e ly im p acte d b y Ch in e s e
import.
Th e large im p ort from Ch in a a re n otice d in in d u s try s u b -grou p of rad io, te lev is ion
a n d com m u n ica tion equ ip m e n t , follow e d b y Mach in ery an d equ ip m e n t , office
a ccou n tin g a n d com p u tin g m ach in ery , oth e r tra n s p ort equ ip m e n t , electrical m ach in e ry
a n d ap p a ra tu s , B a s ic Me tals , Fab rica te d m e ta l p rod u cts , excep t m ach in ery ,
Ch e m ical a n d ch e m ica l p rod u cts , m otor ve h icle s , tra ilers an d s e m i-tra ilers , an d ru b b e r
a n d p la s tic p rod u cts .
***
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Impact of the Surge in Chinese import on Indian Manufacturing
INTRODUCTION
Th e t r en d in im p or t s t o In d ia s h ows a s u r ge in ch ea p Ch in es e im p or t s of
m a n u fa ct u r in g good s t o In d ia , a ccu m u la t ion in In d ia s t r a d e d eficit wit h Ch in a
a n d r is in g r equ es t for in t r od u cin g a n t i d u m p in g m ea s u r es a ga in s t Ch in es e
im p or t s p oin t s t h e n eed t o ch eck t h e p r ofile of im p or t s fr om Ch in a a n d it s
r ela t ion wit h ou r d om es t ic m a n u fa ct u r in g p r od u ct ion s t r u ct u r e. Th e m a jor
question this research study attempt to address is: How trends in imports from
China are associated with manufacturing production in India?
Th e m a s s ive d iver s ified m a n u fa ct u r in g ca p a cit y cr ea t ion in Ch in a d u r in g
r ecen t p a s t h a s r es u lt ed in d om es t ic m a r k et s u r p lu s es of m a n u fa ct u r ed
p r od u ct s . Th e h u n t for n ew m a r k et s ou t s id e t o d u m p t h is glu t p r od u ct ion is
well ca p t u r ed in t h e s t a t is t ics . Ch in a s s h a r e in wor ld exp or t s b et ween 2 0 0 0
a n d 2 0 1 0 increas ed b y 6 .5 p er cen t a ge p oin t s com p a r ed t o In d ia n just 0.8
p er cen t a ge p oin t s . Ar ou n d h a lf of t h is t ot a l in cr ea s e in th e Ch in a s share is
with em er gin g a n d d evelop in g cou n t r ies wh ile for In d ia it is on ly 6 p er cen t of
the t ot a l in cr ea s e (E con om ic S u r vey, 2 0 1 1 -1 2 ). Th e ea s y t a r get for Ch in es e
exp or t s is it s p r oxim it y t o In d ia wh er e m a n u fa ct u r in g s ect or is s t r u gglin g t o
im p r ove it s r ela t ive s t r en gt h in t h e econ om y (m a n u fa ct u r in g s h a r e in GDP is
s t a gn a n t ) a n d exp or t of m a n u fa ct u r in g good s is la d en on t h e s m a ll s ca le s ect or
or based on the use of imported raw materials. A rising input requirements for
in d u s t r y a n d m a n u fa ct u r in g good s d em a n d in In d ia is r eflect ed in in cr ea s e in
the Non-POL non-bullion imports i.e. by 29.3 per cent in 2010-11.
China h a s b ecom e t h e la r ges t s ou r ce of In d ia n im p or t s wit h a n 1 1 .7 p er
cen t s h a r e in it s t ot a l im p or t s . In d ia s low exp or t / im p or t r a t io (0 .4 5 in 2 0 1 0 1 1 ) wit h Ch in a is r es u lt in g in h u ge t r a d e d eficit . Tr a d e d eficit of In d ia wit h
China have in cr ea s ed fr om US $ 1 9 .2 b illion in 2 0 0 9 -1 0 t o US $ 2 3 .9 b illion in
2010-11 indicating the surge in imports from China.
Ch ea p Ch in es e im p or t s h a ve a ls o s u r ged in Afr ica , US a n d La t in
Am er ica n Cou n t r ies . Ch in a b eca m e b igges t t r a d in g p a r t n er of S ou t h Afr ica in
a s h or t s p a n of t im e. Th e Ch in es e exp or t s t o S ou t h Afr ica es p ecia lly in textile
sector, a r e b u llyin g loca l in d u s t r ies in S ou t h Afr ica . In Br a zil in d u s t r ia l ou t p u t
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is a ls o get t in g a d ver s ely im p a ct ed fr om im p or t s fr om Ch in a b es id es d u e t o the
sluggish global economy.
In t h is b a ck d r op t h e m os t ob viou s qu es t ion s lik ely t o b e r a is ed a r e: why
i s t h e r e a s u r g e in e x p o r t fr o m Ch i n a t o In d i a i n r e c e n t y e a r ? W h ether
Ch i n a s m a n u fa c t u r i n g i s acquiring c o m p e t i t i ve ness o ve r t h e t i m e
compared to India? The outward oriented growth in Chinese economy may be
t h e r ea s on t o b oos t t h e exp or t a n d th er efor e s u r ge of im p or t s t o In d ia . Or
W h e t h e r In d i a n manufacturing i s l o s i n g i t s c o m p e t i t i ve n e s s a g a i n s t
China? On e m a y s u s p ect a b ou t los s of com p et it iven es s of Indian
Manufacturing in past few years, primarily due to fast rising cost of production,
and infrastructure bottlenecks.
Or Is t h e r e a n y u n fa i r p l a y b y t h e Ch i n a t o d u m p t h e g l u t i n In d i a ?
Th e u n fa ir p r a ct ices s u ch a s d u m p in g of s u b s t a n d a r d glu t p r od u ct ion in to
India from China also seems to partially responsible for surge in import. In d ia s
anti-dumping in it ia t ion s in cr ea s ed t o 5 5 in 2 0 0 8 , fell t o 3 1 in 2 0 0 9 , b u t a ga in
in cr ea s ed t o 4 1 in 2 0 1 0 . The main cou n t r ies in volved in t h es e in ves t iga t ion s
a r e Kor ea RP, Ch in es e, Ta ip ei (Taiwan), etc.. Or Are i m p o r t fr o m o t h e r t h a n
Ch i n a t o In d i a i s g e t t i n g r e p l a c e d b y Ch i n e s e i m p o r t ? It m a y b e p os s ib le
t h a t t h e im p or t fr om cou n t r ies ot h er t h a n Ch in a t o In d ia is in cr ea s in g b ein g
replaced by cheap Chinese import.
Th e los s of com p et it iven es s b y t h e In d ia n in d u s t r y a n d t h e u n fa ir p la y, if
any, are the most important questions to be answered first. If the answer is yes
for on e or b ot h , t h en cer t a in ly it wou ld ca r r y t h e p ot en t ia l t o ca u s e in ju r y t o
t h e In d ia n m a n u fa ct u r in g in s h or t a n d lon g r u n . Th is s t u d y is a p r elim in a r y
investigation to look into the questions.
OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY:
(i).
To id en t ify t h e in d u s t r y s u b -group, a n d p r od u ct s wh er e t h e im p or t ,
especially form Chinese, is impacting t h e d om es t ic manufacturing
production;
(ii).
To id en t ify t h e in d u s t r y s u b gr ou p , a n d p r od u ct s wh er e t h e im p or t fr om
China is replacing the import to India from countries other than China;
DATA SOURCES & METHODOLOGY
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The data of industrial production for 268 items is sourced from the Office
of t h e E con om ic Ad vis er , Dep a r t m en t of In d u s t r ia l Pr od u ct ion & Policy (DIPP),
Min is t r y of Com m er ce & In d u s t r y. Th e d a t a on exp or t s a n d im p or t s is t a k en
from the Department of Commerce, Ministry of Commerce & Industry. The data
on im p or t , exp or t a n d d om es t ic p r od u ct ion for 2 6 8 it em s is synchronized b y a
con cor d a n ce b et ween t h e ITC (HS ) cod e and NIC Cla s s ifica t ion of in d u s t r ia l
Pr od u ct ion a t 5 Digit level. E a ch HS cod e it em for im p or t is regrouped against
it s r es p ect ive d om es t ic in d u s t r ia l p r od u ct ion a t NIC-5 d igit cod e. Th e im p or t
fr om Ch in a for t h e 2 6 8 it em s h a s a ls o b een h a r m on ized in t o t h e NIC
cla s s ifica t ion a t 5 d igit level. The s t u d y cover s a period of s even yea r s 2 0 0 4 -05
to 2010-11.
E ven a ft er con cor d a n ce, t h e figu r e for im p or t , exp or t a n d d om es t ic
industrial production may not directly be comparable. The domestic production
figures for the 268 items are reported in different units e.g. tones, rupee crores,
m et er s et c., a n d m a y n ot b e d ir ect ly com p a r a b le wit h on e a n ot h er a n d wit h
im p or t figu r es . Th e im p or t figu r es h owever , a r e a va ila b le u n ifor m ly in va lu e
t er m s a n d t h er efor e ca r r y effect of t h e in fla t ion , wh ich m a y b e a b s en t fr om
m a n y of t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion figu r es r ep or t ed in t er m s of p h ys ica l ou t p u t .
Th er efor e t h e in d ices a r e con s t r u ct ed for t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a n d im p or t
to make these comparable.
Th e in d ex of t h e im p or t is d efla t ed wit h t h e a p p r op r ia t e p r ice in d ex
con s t r u ct ed fr om th e Wh oles a le Pr ice In d ex (WPI) t o elim in a t e t h e in fla t ion
effect on im p or t . S im ila r ly, for t h e it em s wh er e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion is r ep or t ed
in va lu e t er m s , t h e s a m e is d efla t ed wit h a p p r op r ia t e p r ice in d ices . Th e u s eb a s ed in d ices a r e d efla t ed wit h t h e over a ll WPI in d ex for t h e 2 6 8 it em s . Th e
fin a l in d ices for exp or t for 2 0 0 4 -1 1 a r e t a k en fr om a n ea r lier Res ea r ch S t u d y
b y Mr . M.C. S in gh i, S r . E con om ic Ad vis er , 2 0 1 1 , for Office of t h e E con om ic
Adviser.
Th es e 2 6 8 it em s a ccou n t for 6 0 .4 % weigh t in t h e m a n u fa ct u r in g s ect or
a n d 4 5 .6 % weigh t in t h e over a ll In d ex of In d u s t r ia l Pr od u ct ion (IIP). Th e
cover a ge of DIPP a t b r oa d gr ou p s of m a n u fa ct u r in g va r ies fr om a low of 1 .1 %
for manufacture of cok e, r efin ed p et r oleu m p r od u ct s a n d n u clea r fu el t o
100% in 15 groups (Singhi, M.C. 2011).
LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY:
Th e s t u d y cover s on ly 4 5 .6 % of t h e weigh t s of IIP, 2 6 8 DIPP it em s , for
wh ich t h e p r od u ct ion d a t a is a va ila b le wit h th e Dep a r t m en t of In d u s t r ia l
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Pr od u ct ion & Pr om ot ion (DIPP). Th er efor e a ll t h e lim it a t ion s of IIP a r e in h er en t
in the analysis.
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for 268 Items
The 268 items accounted for 23 % of the total Import to India in 2010-11
a n d 4 5 .6 % of t h e In d ex of In d u s t r ia l Pr od u ct ion . Th e in d ices of IIP (268
it em s ), Im p or t a n d E xp or t respectively h a ve gr own t o 2 0 7 .8 , 1 8 7 3 .1 , a n d 2 4 3 .4
in 2 0 1 0 -11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05 (Table-1). Th e im p or t h a s b een gr owin g
consistently above the growth of IIP and the Export. In 2010-11 there is a surge
in t h e im p or t gr owt h . Th e con s is t en t a n d r ela t ively h igh im p or t gr owt h h a s led
t o in cr ea s e in t h e s h a r e of 2 6 8 it em s im p or t in t ot a l im p or t t o 2 7 % in 2 0 0 8 -09
and 23% in 2010-11 (Table- 29 in Annexure).
Table 1. Index of Industrial Production (IIP) (268 items), Import and Export Indices and Growth
Year
IIP
Index
IMP
Index
Export
Index*
Growth
2004-05
100
100
100
IIP
Import
E xport
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
114.7
132.1
176.5
178.7
187.0
207.8
199.2
235.6
319.7
432.4
607.4
1873.1
116.5
138.2
144.8
205.2
179.3
243.4
14.7
15.2
33.6
1.2
4.6
11.1
99.2
18.2
35.7
35.3
40.5
208.4
16.5
18.6
4.8
41.7
-12.6
35.8
Index of
Chinese
Imports
100.0
2330.0
1560.4
3033.3
1235.4
4718.4
Share of 268
items in total
imports from
China
26.3
25.5
33.9
39.7
42.9
41.3
* Export Index is taken from the Research Study by Mr. M.C. Singhi, Sr. Economic Adviser, 2011, for Office of
the Economic Adviser.
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Th e in d ex of im p or t fr om Ch in a (Ch in es e In d ex fr om n ow) for 2 6 8 it em s
h a s gr own even fa s t er t o 4 7 1 8 .4 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 5 -06,
com p a r ed t o in d ex of im p or t fr om a ll cou n t r ies (Im p or t In d ex fr om n ow). Th is
m a m m ot h gr owt h in Ch in es e In d ex fr om p a s t s ix yea r s h a s b een con s id er a b ly
h igh er t h a n t h e Im p or t In d ex. Th er efor e, t h e Ch in es e im p or t s h a r e of t h es e
it em s in t ot a l Ch in es e im p or t s is ju m p ed t o 4 1 .3 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 fr om 2 6 .3 % in
2005-0 6 . Th is in d ica t es t h a t In d ia is p r ogr es s ively s ou r cin g im p or t s of t h es e
it em s fr om Ch in a t h er efor e t h e im p or t fr om cou n t r ies ot h er t h a n Ch in a a r e
now increasingly being replaced by Chinese imports in these selected items.
USE BASED CLASSIFICATION
As p er t h e Use-based cla s s ifica t ion of IIP (2 6 8 it em s ), t h e im p or t s h a r e of
t h e Ca p it a l Good s is la r ges t (8 .8 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 ), followed b y Con s u m er Good s
(6 .5 % a n d in t er m ed ia t e good s (4 .7 %), a n d Ba s ic Good s (2 .9 %) (Table 2 9 . in
Annexure).
Basic Goods
Th e va lu e of t h e IIP of Ba s ic Good s h a s gr own t o 1 6 8 .4 in 2 0 1 0 -11 over
the base 2004-05 (Table 2). Comparatively the Import Index has grown to 534.6
d u r in g s a m e p er iod . Th e Ch in es e In d ex h owever , h a s gr own even fa s t er to
4 3 0 7 .4 in 2 0 1 0 -11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 5 -06 t h a n Im p or t In d ex a n d IIP. Th e
s h a r e of t h e Ba s ic good s it em s in t h e t ot a l Ch in es e im p or t , h owever r em a in
a lm os t s t a gn a n t . Ma jor Ba s ic Good s , in t er m s of va lu e, im p or t ed fr om Ch in a
are Alu m in u m , Cop p er a n d Cop p er Pr od u ct s , Alu m in u m S h eet s / Pla t es ,
Aluminum Foils, Carbon Black, Wires (Copper), and Cement All Kinds.
The Ch in a s s h a r e in t ot a l im p or t t o In d ia for the C.I. Ca s t in gs ,
Alu m in iu m Foils , Alu m in iu m wir es & ext r u s ion s , Alu m in iu m s heets/Plates,
An ilin e, Ca r b on Bla ck , Cem en t All Kin d s , Alu m in iu m , S u lp h u r ic Acid In cl.
Oleum, Copper and Copper Products etc increased considerably in 2006-09 but
moderated thereafter. The period, 2006-09, is of high industrial growth in India
wh ich m igh t s u b s t a n t ia t e t h a t t h e h igh d om es t ic in d u s t r ia l gr owt h is
increasingly fueled by larger import of basic goods from China.
Table 2. Basic Goods
Year
2004-05
IIP Index
IMP Index
100
100
Growth
IMP Growth
Chinese Import
Index
Share
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2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
113.6
122.6
140.3
147.1
161.0
168.4
158.0
279.5
395.8
697.3
499.9
534.6
13.6
7.9
14.4
4.9
9.5
4.6
58.0
76.9
41.6
76.2
-28.3
6.9
100.0
2060.2
3515.4
2302.7
3204.0
4307.4
1.5
1.7
2.0
1.8
1.5
1.6
Capital Goods
Th e in d ex of ca p it a l good s in d u s t r y h a s gr own to 1 3 8 .6 in 2 0 1 0 -11 over
t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 com p a r ed t o Im p or t in d ex 5 6 5 .5 d u r in g t h e s a m e p er iod
(Ta ble 3 ). Th e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of t h e ca p it a l good s d eclin ed in d u r in g t h e
2008-09, the crisis time, however, the imports growth jumped to 43.4%. Later,
t h e gr owt h of t h e im p or t h owever h a s d eclin ed t o zer o in r ecen t yea r , wh er eb y
t h e Ch in es e In d ex h a s ju m p ed con s id er a b ly over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 5 -0 6 t o
10793.1 in 2010-11.
Th e h igh gr owt h in Ch in es e In d ex over Im p or t In d ex s ign a ls t h a t t h e
In d ia n im p or t of Ca p it a l Good s a r e r eloca t in g it s elf fr om r es t of th e wor ld t o
China, es p ecia lly for t h e it em s s u ch a s H.T. Insulators, Boilers, Footwear
excep t lea t h er , Refr a ct or y Br ick s , Computers, Hea t E xch a n ger s , Grinding
Wheels, Pa ck a gin g Ma ch in er y, Air Con d it ion er (Pa ck a ged ), Chillers, Electric
Welding Machines, Fibre Optic Cable, Electric Motors Phase-I, Cooling Towers,
Printers,
Com p u t er
Per ip h er a ls ,
Cranes,
Tu r b in es
&
Acces s or ies ,
Lift s / E leva t or s & Com p on en t s t h er eof, Ma gn es it e, Dea d Bu r n t , Cylinders,
Pr in t in g Ma ch in er y, S h ip Bu ild in g & Rep a ir s , In s u la t ed Ca b les / Wir es a ll Kin d ,
S ola r Power S ys t em s , Air & Ga s Com p r es s or s , Text ile Ma ch in er y, Industrial
Chains, Agr icu lt u r a l Ma ch in er y, UPS/Inverter/Converter, Construction
Machine/Equipment, In d u s t r ia l Blower s , Forklift, Tr a n s for m er s (S m all),
Loaders, DC Mot or s , Air Br ea k S wit ch es / Cir cu it , Breakers, An d
Generator/Alternator.
Table 3. Capital Goods
Years
IIP
IMP Index
2004-05
100
100
2005-06
108.2
332.8
8.2
2006-07
119.8
276.5
2007-08
127.9
2008-09
2009-10
Growth IIP
Growth of IMP
Chinese Imports
Index
Share
232.8
100.0
15.8
10.7
-16.9
4396.4
12.8
354.2
6.8
28.1
1829.7
15.2
127.7
507.8
-0.1
43.4
6091.5
14.3
131.2
565.3
2.7
11.3
1090.1
16.3
P a g e | 10
2010-11
138.6
565.5
5.6
0.0
10793.1
15.8
Ma in ca p it a l good s it em s im p or t ed fr om Ch in a , in t er m s of va lu e,
includes S h ip Bu ild in g & Rep a ir s , Com p u t er s , Text ile Ma ch in er y, Air
Con d it ion er (Pa ck a ged ), Pr in t in g Ma ch in er y, Com p u t er Per ip h er a ls , Boiler s ,
In s u la t ed
Ca b les / Wir es
a ll
Kin d ,
Ma ch in e
Tools ,
Con s t r u ct ion
Machine/Equipmen, S t a b ilis er s , Tu r b in es & Acces s or ies , Refr a ct or y Br ick s ,
Air & Ga s Com p r es s or s ,
E lect r ic Mot or s Ph a s e-I,
Lift s / E leva t or s &
Com p on en t s t h er eof, Pu m p s (in clu d in g p ower d r iven p u m p s ), Med ica l a n d
S u r gica l E qu ip m en t (excep t x-r a y), S ola r Power S ys t em s , E n gin es In cl. In t er n a l
Com b u s t ion a n d Dies el, E n gin e, Agr icu lt u r a l Ma ch in er y, Transformers (Small),
Gen er a t or / Alt er n a t or , UPS / In ver t er / Con ver t er , Pla s t ic Ma ch in er y In cl.
Mou ld in g Ma ch in er y, Cr a n es , Air Br ea k S wit ch es / Cir cu it Br ea k er s , Ch iller s ,
DC Motors, and Electric Motors(Excl. Phase-I).
Intermediate Goods
Th e va lu e of IIP for in t er m ed ia t e good s h a ve in cr ea s ed t o 3 0 3 .0 in 2 0 1 0 1 1 a t t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 , com p a r ed t o t h e im p or t in d ex va lu e of 7 8 1 .5 d u r in g
t h e s a m e p er iod (Ta ble 4 ). Th e im p or t of in t er m ed ia t e good s h a ve gr own fa s t er
t h a n t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion , a n d t h e im p or t s of in t er m ed ia t e good s fr om
China have grown even faster than the Import Index.
The import it em s wh er e t h e Ch in a is get ting its h old a r e Parts Bicycle,
Au t o An cilla r y & Pa r t s , S od iu m Hyd r os u lp h a t e/ S od iu m , Hyd r os u lp h it e, Glass
Sheet, Tou gh en ed Gla s s , Fib r e Gla s s , Dyes, Magnets, Plywood, Tin Con t a in er s ,
Weld in g
Rod s ,
Wh it en in g
Agen t s ,
Power
Ca p a cit or s ,
Graphite
Electrodes/Anodes, S t r a w An d Pa p er Boa r d s of All Kin d s , Pla s t ic Film E xcl.
Bop p Film , S t eel S t r u ct u r es , Wood Ven eer , Alu m in iu m Tu b es / Pip es , Glass
Bottles, Bea r in gs (Ba ll/ Roller ), HDPE Woven S a ck s , Ru b b er Ch em ica l, Plastic
Sheets, Adhesives, Colou r TV Pict u r e Tu b es , Len s of All Kin d s , a n d IC Ch ip s &
Transistors.
Years
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
IIP Index
100
Table 4. Intermediate Goods
IMP Index
Growth
100
IIP
IMPORT
Chinese Import
Index
Share
116.5
149.0
16.5
49.0
100.0
4.7
140.6
218.9
20.7
46.9
2234.0
5.7
P a g e | 11
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
265.0
267.0
88.5
22.0
954.8
6.3
281.1
337.2
6.1
26.3
1619.8
5.7
274.0
498.6
-2.5
47.8
1281.7
5.4
303.0
781.5
10.6
56.8
899.3
5.2
Th e m a jor im p or t s fr om Ch in a , in t er m s of va lu e, a r e Au t o An cilla r y &
Pa r t s , IC Ch ip s & Tr a n s is t or s , Bea r in gs (Ba ll/ Roller ), Pa r t s
Bicycle, S t eel
S t r u ct u r es , S t r a w An d Pa p er Boa r d s of All Kin d s , Dyes , Power Ca p a cit or s ,
Gr a p h it e E lect r od es / An od es ,
Pr in t ed Cir cu it Boa r d / Pla t e, Fib r e Gla s s ,
Ma gn et s , Colou r TV Pict u r e Tu b es , S yn t h et ic Ru b b er , Ru b b er Ch em ica l,
Weld in g Rod s , Plywood , Ad h es ives , Gea r Boxes , Tou gh en ed Gla s s , PVC Res in s ,
Newsprint, Plastic Sheets, Plastic Film Excl. Bopp Film, and Printing Ink.
Consumer Goods
Th e va lu e of t h e In d ex of Con s u m er Good s h a s gr own t o 2 0 5 .9 in 2 0 1 0 11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05 (Tab le 5 ). However , Im p or t In d ex h a s gr own
r ela t ively m u ch fa s t er t o 3 5 5 1 .7 d u r in g s a m e s even yea r s . Th e gr owt h of t h e
Im p or t In d ex h a s b een fa s t er t h a n t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of t h e con s u m er
good s . Th e va lu e of t h e Ch in es e In d ex h a s b een con s id er a b ly h igh er t h a n IIP
a n d Im p or t In d ex. Th e s h a r e of t h e Ch in es e im p or t s h a s a ls o ju m p ed t o 1 8 .8 %
in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o ju s t 4 .3 % in 2005-0 6 . Th e im p or t s of Con s u m er
Du r a b les Good s is gr owin g a t m u ch fa s t er r a t e t h a n even t h e ot h er u s e b a s ed
in d u s t r ies a n d t h er efor e p u s h in g t h e s h a r e of Con s u m er Good s in t ot a l im p or t
from China.
Th e it em s wh er e t h e Ch in a s s h a r e in t ot a l im p or t s of t h e r es p ect ive
it em s is r is in g a r e Bicycles, PVC/ Pla s t ic S u it ca s es , Ter r y Towel, Calculators,
Glucose( powder & liquid), Ru b b er Fla p s , Flu or es cen t Tu b es , Lea t h er S h oes ,
Fans, Ba t t er y Ch a r ger , Tyr e, Tr u ck / Bu s , Mixer s & Gr in d er s , Tube,
Cycle/Rickshaw, Tyr e, Cycle/ Rick s h a w, Tu b e, Tr u ck , Telep h on e In s t r u m en t s
Including, Mob ile Ph on e An d Acces s or ies , Wood Fu r n it u r e, Air Con d it ion er
(Room), Vitamins, Por cela in An d Cer a m ic S a n it a r y, Wa r es , Amplifier, Leather
Ba gs , Wa llet s , Pu r s es , Tyr e, Mot or Cycle , Pr es s u r e Cook er , Mot or Cycles ,
Lea t h er Ga r m en t s , Toot h Br u s h , Wa s h in g Ma ch in es , Apparels, Incandescent
Lamp, S p or t s Good s , Ru b b er , Ra zor Bla d es / S a fet y Bla d es , Pen s of All Kin d ,
Gla zed Tiles / Cer a m ic Tiles , Tyr e, Ca r / Ca b , Polyt h en e Ba gs In cl. Hd p e &
Ldpe, Ba gs , S coot er a n d Mop ed s , S qu a s h es , J a m s , J ellies , Ket ch u p s ,E t c.,
P a g e | 12
Ca t t le a n d Pou lt r y Feed , Refrigerators, Ma r b le Tiles / S la b s , Cock (Fa u cet s ),
Syringes, Com p u t er S t a t ion er y, Lea t h er Gloves , Condoms, Cigarettes, Fruit
Juices, PVC Pip es a n d Tu b es , E lect r ic m et er of a ll k in d s , Wa t er m et er of a ll
kinds, Clock / Wa t ch / Tim ep iece Movem en t , Food Pr oces s in g Ma ch in er y,
Antibiotics & It's Preparations, Elastic Tape, And Toilet Soap.
Ma jor con s u m er d u r a b le it em s , im p or t ed fr om Ch in a , in t er m s of va lu e,
are Telep h on e In s t r u m en t s In clu d in g Mob ile Ph on e a n d Acces s or ies , Air
Con d it ion er (Room ), Tyr e, Tr u ck / Bu s , Wood Fu r n it u r e, Wa s h in g Ma ch in es ,
Cock (Fa u cet s ), Fa n s , Pvc/ Pla s t ic S u it ca s es , Tyr e, Ca r / Ca b , Bicycles ,
Ca lcu la t or s , Por cela in An d Cer a m ic S a n it a r y, Wa r es , Clock / Wa t ch / Tim ep iece
Movement, Battery Charger, Refrigerators, Watches,
Amplifier, Books, and
Tyr e, Mot or Cycle .
Table 5. Consumer Goods
IIP
100
117.9
137.2
164.7
159.5
178.4
205.9
Years
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
IMP Index
100
151.0
209.1
308.9
377.0
713.9
3551.7
Growth
IIP
17.9
16.3
20.1
-3.2
11.9
15.4
IMP
51.0
38.5
47.7
22.0
89.4
397.5
Chinese Import
Index
Share
100.0
4.3
907.2
5.3
1362.6
10.4
1732.0
18.0
945.7
19.7
2503.1
18.8
Table 6. Correlation Coefficients of the Growth Rates
Capital
Goods
Basic
Goods
Intermediate
Goods
Consumer
Goods
Over All
Import Index
0.148
-0.230
-0.624
0.194
-0.094
Chinese Index
0.760
-0.012
-0.088
0.314
-0.229
The correlation coefficient (see Table 6) is used as to identify the direction
of t h e co-m ovem en t in t h e gr owt h r a t es of t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a n d t h e
im p or t s . Th e p os it ive s ign of t h e coefficien t in d ica t es t h a t t h e im p or t gr owt h
a n d d om es t ic p r od u ct ion gr owt h is m ovin g t oget h er in t h e s a m e d ir ect ion . On e
ca n in fer fr om t h e s a m e d ir ect ion a l co-m ovem en t of t h e gr owt h r a t es t h a t t h e
d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a n d t h e im p or t s eem t o b e com p lem en t a r y, a n d n ot
s u b s t it u t e.
Rega r d in g t h e ca p it a l good s a n d t h e Con s u m er good s t h e
cor r ela t ion is p os it ive b et ween im p or t in d ices a n d t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion
in d ices . However , t h e cor r ela t ion r ega r d in g over a ll IIP, b a s ic Good s a n d
P a g e | 13
in t er m ed ia t e Good s is n ega t ive, s h owin g t h a t t h e gr owt h of t h e d om es t ic
p r od u ct ion is m ovin g in op p os it e d ir ect ion t o t h e im p or t gr owt h . S in ce t h e
Ch in es e In d ex is h igh er t h a n t h e IIP, t h e n ega t ive cor r ela t ion coefficien t s h ows
t h a t t h e im p or t in Ba s ic Good s a n d In t er m ed ia t e Good s a r e n ega t ively
im p a ct in g t h e d om es t ic m a n u fa ct u r in g p r od u ct ion in t h es e gr ou p s . Th e
m a n u fa ct u r in g gr owt h r a t e a ls o s eem s t o b e a d ver s ely a ffect ed d u e t o a d ver s e
impact of the growth Basic and Intermediate goods.
INDUSTRY SUB-GROUPS
Manufacture of food products and Beverages
Th e IIP value of food Pr od u ct s & Bever a ges h a s gr own t o 1 6 7 .7 in 2 0 1 0 11 over th e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 com p a r ed t o Im p or t In d ex to 9 6 3 5 .7 a n d exp or t
in d ex 1 4 8 .3 d u r in g t h e s a m e p eriod (Ta b le 7 ). Th e va lu e of t h e Ch in es e In d ex
h a s b een s ign ifica n t ly gr own t o 1 2 7 9 1 .3 in 2 0 1 0 -11 over 2005-0 6 b a s e,
com p a r ed t o IIP a n d t h e Im p or t In d ex. Th is in d ica t es t h a t t h e im p or t fr om
Ch in a in t h is s u b gr ou p of in d u s t r y h a s in cr ea s ed t r em en d ou s ly in p a s t s even
yea r s . Th e it em s m a in ly s ou r ced fr om Ch in a , in t er m s of s h a r e in t ot a l im p or t s
of t h e it em in In d ia , a r e Glucose (powder & liqu id ), S qu a s h es , J a m s , J ellies ,
Ketchups, etc., Cattle and Poultry Feed, a nd Fruit Juices.
Top five it em s im p or t ed fr om Ch in a , in t er m s of t h eir va lu e, a r e
Industrial Alcoh ol(Rect ified / Den a t u r ed S p ir it ), Ca t t le a n d Pou lt r y Feed ,
Glu cos e(p owd er &liqu id ), Fr u it J u ices , In d ia n m a d e For eign Liqu or , S qu a s h es ,
Jams, Jellies, Ketchups,Etc..
Table 7. Manufacture of food products and Beverages
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EXP Index
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
113.6
151.6
109.5
13.6
51.6
9.5
100.0
2006-07
126.2
190.4
111.3
11.1
25.6
1.6
5713.1
5613.1
0.45
2007-08
144.9
364.9
148.3
14.8
91.6
33.2
7693.2
34.7
0.25
2008-09
149.6
360.8
148.9
3.3
-1.1
0.4
5191.8
-32.5
0.18
2009-10
159.2
1468.8
129.0
6.4
307.1
-13.4
3444.8
-33.6
0.20
2010-11
167.7
9635.7
148.3
5.3
556.0
15.0
12791.3
271.3
0.22
Manufacture of Tobacco Products
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
Index
Growth
Share
0.31
P a g e | 14
Th e IIP of Tob a cco in cr ea s ed t o ju s t five p er cen t in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o
2004-0 5 , wh ile exp or t h a s gr own b y fift y five p er cen t a n d im p or t b y m or e t h a n
fou r t im es in p a s t s even yea r s (Tab le. 8 ). Th e im p or t of Tob a cco fr om Ch in a is
on a decline during past six years. Cigarette is the main item in this category of
import from China.
Table. 8 Manufacture of Tobacco Products
Years
2004-05
IIP Index
100
IMP Index
100
EX Index
100
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
Index
Growth
Share
2005-06
2006-07
104.8
107.7
48.8
67.7
97.3
114.7
4.8
2.7
-51.2
38.7
-2.7
17.9
100.0
0.5
-99.5
0.01
0.00
2007-08
98.8
84.7
118.0
-8.2
25.0
2.9
29.6
5713.0
0.00
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
103.9
104.2
105.5
353.4
483.8
427.2
140.8
140.5
155.7
5.2
0.2
1.3
317.3
36.9
-11.7
19.3
-0.2
10.8
38.9
32.7
96.8
31.6
-16.0
196.0
0.00
0.00
0.00
Manufacture of Textiles
Th e Text ile is exp or t or ien t a t ed in d u s t r y. Th e va lu e of IIP for t ext iles h a s
grown almost equal to the E xport Index in 2010-11 over the base of 2004-05 to
155 (Table 9). However, the Import Index surged during the crises year of 200809, t o 2 4 8 , a lt h ou gh it h a s d eclin ed t h er ea ft er t o 1 4 9 .3 . Th e Ch in es e In d ex
a ls o ju m p ed t o 9 6 0 8 .1 in 2 0 0 8 -0 9 a lon g wit h t h e s h a r e of in d u s t r y in t ot a l
im p or t s fr om Ch in a t o 0 .0 3 %. However , t h e im p or t fr om Ch in a h a s d eclin ed
fr om 2 0 0 9 -1 0 on wa r d s . Ma in im p or t it em s , in t er m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e
Terry Towel and Elastic Tapes.
Table 9. Manufacture of Textiles
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
118.4
131.9
162.6
18.4
31.9
62.6
100.0
2006-07
127.7
68.8
161.8
7.8
-47.8
-0.5
259.6
159.6
0.00
2007-08
133.7
137.5
167.7
4.7
99.7
3.7
915.6
252.7
0.01
2008-09
130.3
248.4
186.6
-2.6
80.6
11.3
9608.1
949.4
0.03
2009-10
145.3
137.6
180.6
11.5
-44.6
-3.2
357.9
-96.3
0.00
2010-11
155.5
149.3
154.1
7.0
8.5
-14.7
225.6
-37.0
0.00
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
Index
Growth
Share
0.01
Manufacture of wearing Apparel; Dressing and dyeing of fur
Th e va lu e of t h e IIP for wea r in g Ap p a r el; Dr es s in g a n d d yein g et c. h a s
in cr ea s ed t o 1 2 0 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05 (Tab le 1 0 ). Th er e is a
P a g e | 15
d eclin e in t h e p r od u ct ion s in ce 2 0 0 8 -0 9 in t h is s egm en t . Th is is m a in ly on
accou n t of t h e d eclin e in t h e exp or t gr owt h in t h is s ect or d u r in g p a s t t h r ee
yea r s excep t 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . At t h e s a m e t im e va lu e of t h e Im p or t In d ex h a s gr own to
489.8 over the base of 2004-05. The Chinese import are growing at much faster
r a t e t h a n r es t of t h e cou n t r ies , Ch in es e In d ex in cr ea s ed t o 6 9 0 .3 in 2 0 1 0 -11
over the base of 2005-06. The declining domestic production may be the cause
of t h e d eclin e in t h e exp or t . Bu t t h e s u r ge in im p or t fr om Ch in a is cer t a in ly a
ca u s e of con cer n . Th e Ch in a s im p or t s h a r e in t ot a l im p or t of Ap p a r els a n d
Lea t h er Ga r m en t s h a s ju m p ed t o 3 9 % a n d 4 3 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o ju s t 1 7
% a n d 1 8 % r es p ect ively. Th is in d ica te s th a t th e Ch in ese im p ort h a s b ee n
rep lacin g th e im p ort from oth er cou n trie s over th e tim e in th e s e s u b grou p
com m od itie s .
Table 10. Manufacture of wearing Apparel; Dressing and dyeing of fur
Years
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
106.5
160.9
108.7
6.5
60.9
8.7
100.0
2006-07
117.6
195.4
103.1
10.4
21.5
-5.2
188.5
88.5
0.0
2007-08
129.7
317.5
101.9
10.3
62.5
-1.2
255.2
35.4
0.0
2008-09
121.5
414.1
141.4
-6.3
30.4
38.8
365.6
43.2
0.0
2009-10
119.6
307.2
129.9
-1.6
-25.8
-8.2
371.1
1.5
0.0
2010-11
120.2
489.8
108.2
0.5
59.5
-16.7
690.3
86.0
0.0
Index
Growth
Share
0.0
Tanning and Dressing of Leather
Th e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of lea t h er In d u s t r y is gr owin g a t a s low p a ce
s in ce 2 0 0 4 -0 5 , a n d it h a s d eclin ed d u r in g 2 0 0 8 -10 (Tab le 1 1 ). Th e gr owt h of
domestic production of this sector seems to be correlated to the export growth.
Table 11. Tanning and Dressing of Leather
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
97.4
182.1
97.0
-2.6
82.1
-3.0
100.0
2006-07
115.7
246.4
103.3
18.9
35.3
6.5
345.1
245.1
0.2
2007-08
125.3
297.2
98.5
8.3
20.6
-4.6
415.2
20.3
0.1
2008-09
116.1
305.0
115.6
-7.4
2.6
17.4
405.2
-2.4
0.1
2009-10
112.2
714.0
105.6
-3.4
134.1
-8.7
214.6
-47.0
0.1
2010-11
126.4
472.4
112.7
12.7
-33.8
6.7
340.2
58.6
0.2
Index
Growth
Share
0.2
P a g e | 16
Com p a r ed t o d om es t ic p r od u ct ion t h e im p or t in t h is s ect or h a s b een
gr owin g a t a r ela t ively h igh er r a t e excep t in r ecen t yea r . Th e im p or t fr om
Ch in a h a s d eclin ed d u r in g 2 0 0 8 -1 0 followin g t h e d eclin e in t h e d om es t ic
production. Ma in it em s of im p or t , in t er m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e Foot wea r
excep t lea t h er , Lea t h er S h oes , Ta n n ed or Ch r om e S k in s a n d Lea t h er s , Lea t h er
Ba gs , Wa llet s , Pu r s es , and Leather Gloves.
Manufacture of wood and wood products
Th e va lu e of t h e IIP for Wood s & Wood s p r od u ct s h a s in cr ea s ed t o 1 3 9 .6
in 2 0 1 0 -11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 com p a r ed t o shrinking E xport Index of
ju s t 5 7 .7 d u r in g t h e s a m e p er iod (Tab le 1 2 ). Th e gr owt h of IIP has d eclin ed
during past three years. The growth of the export is also declining continuously
during p a s t fou r yea r s . Th e Import In d ex h owever , h a s r is en t o 4 8 6 .3 a n d its
gr owt h h a s been ver y h igh a n d p os it ive in a ll s even yea r s excep t 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e
Ch in es e In d ex h a s b een even h igh er t h a n t h e Im p or t In d ex. Th e d om es t ic
p r od u ct ion m igh t b e u n d er s t r es s d u e t o en vir on m en t a l r egu la t ion et c.. Main
items of Import from China are Plywood, Wood Veneer and Particle Boards.
Table 12. Manufacture of wood and wood products
Years
2004-05
IIP Index
100
IMP Index
100
EX Index
100
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
Index Growth Share
2005-06
103.9
166.4
106.9
3.9
66.4
6.9
100.0
2006-07
117.0
215.9
129.6
12.6
29.7
21.3
215.2
115.2
0.1
2007-08
134.9
297.0
122.1
15.3
37.6
-5.8
229.4
6.6
0.1
2008-09
140.3
339.0
111.4
4.0
14.1
-8.7
211.3
-7.9
0.0
2009-10
142.6
350.3
78.8
1.6
3.3
-29.3
295.9
40.0
0.1
2010-11
139.6
486.3
57.7
-2.1
38.8
-26.8
614.5
107.7
0.1
0.1
Manufacture of paper and paper products
The IIP for p a p er & p a p er p r od u ct s h a s gr own b y 3 6 % in 2 0 1 0 -11
com p a r ed t o 2 0 0 4 -05, and annual gr owt h of IIP h a s b een low es p ecia lly d u r in g
2007-0 9 a n d n ega t ive in 2 0 0 9 -10 (Tab le 1 3 ). S u r p r is in gly th e b eh a vior of t h e
expor t gr owt h in t h is s ect or h a s b een qu it e con t r a s t in g t o t h e gr owt h of t h e
d om es t ic p r od u ct ion . Th e Ch in es e im p or t s a r e con t r a ct in g d u r in g p a s t t wo
years. Ma jor it em s of im p or t fr om Ch in a a r e S t r a w a n d Pa p er Boa r d s of All
Kin d s , News p r in t , Wr it in g & Pr in t in g Pa p er , Cr a ft Pa p er (Kr a ft Pa p er ), Pu lp
Rayon Grade, Computer Stationery.
P a g e | 17
Table 13. Manufacture of paper and paper products
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
107.0
143.5
103.7
7.0
43.5
3.7
100.0
2006-07
116.4
208.1
119.0
8.8
45.1
14.7
2311.4
2211.4
0.8
2007-08
121.6
184.4
103.0
4.4
-11.4
-13.4
1998.0
-13.6
0.6
2008-09
124.5
237.6
120.6
2.4
28.8
17.1
3508.6
75.6
0.7
2009-10
124.2
365.3
139.6
-0.3
53.7
15.8
1477.5
-57.9
0.5
2010-11
136.0
160.3
104.1
9.5
-56.1
-25.4
844.8
-42.8
0.4
Index
Growth
Share
0.3
Publishing, printing and reproduction of recorded media
The value of the IIP of this industry sub group has grown to 132 in 201011 at the base of 2004-05, and the growth has been quite low during past three
con t in u ou s yea r s (Ta b le 1 4 ). Th e va lu e of t h e E xp or t In d ex in t h is s ect or h a s
gr own t o 1 7 5 .4 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 . Th er e is h owever , con t in u ou s d eclin e in t h e im p or t
s in ce 2 0 0 4 -0 5 excep t 2 0 0 9 -1 0 in wh ich t h er e is a s u d d en r is e in im p or t . Th e
gr owt h of im p or t fr om Ch in a h a s b een qu it e h igh excep t 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e im p or t
surge in 2 0 0 9 -1 0 s eem s t o b e fr om cou n t r ies ot h er t h a n Ch in a . Th e on ly it em
imported from China under this category is Books.
Table 14. Publishing, printing and reproduction of recorded media
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
112.4
71.1
118.5
12.4
-28.9
18.5
100.0
2006-07
119.4
82.9
140.1
6.2
16.6
18.3
187.9
87.9
0.0
2007-08
133.4
70.3
146.4
11.7
-15.3
4.5
259.4
38.1
0.0
2008-09
133.9
73.3
179.4
0.4
4.2
22.5
620.0
139.0
0.0
2009-10
129.3
2349.0
161.5
-3.4
3106.1
-10.0
346.0
-44.2
0.0
2010-11
132.4
175.4
2.4
-100.0
8.6
377.5
9.1
0.0
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
Index
Growth
Share
0.0
Manufacture of Coke, refined petroleum products and nuclear fuel
Ca r b on Bla ck is t h e on ly p r od u ct con s id er ed for t h e a n a lys is u n d er t h is
subgroup of in d u s t r y a n d wh ich is a p a r t of 2 6 8 DIPP it em s (Tab le 1 5 ). Th e
d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of t h e p r od u ct h a s in cr ea s ed ju s t b y 1 5 % in la s t s even
yea r s . However , t h e exp or t h a s in cr ea s ed b y 9 2 % a n d im p or t b y 7 4 %
respectively in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed over 2 0 0 4 -0 5 . Th e m a s s ive im p or t fr om
P a g e | 18
Ch in a s eem s t o p u t ch a llen ge b efor e t h e d om es t ic in d u s t r y. Bla ck Ca r b on
m a r k et b ein g oligop olis t ic in In d ia s eem s t o b e fa cin g p r ob lem of d u m p in g of
the cheap product from China.
Table 15. Manufacture of Coke, refined petroleum products and nuclear fuel
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
102.8
85.8
77.9
2.8
-14.2
-22.1
100.0
2006-07
107.8
124.0
64.5
4.9
44.6
-17.2
605.5
505.5
0.0
2007-08
115.6
177.9
79.8
7.2
43.5
23.7
812.7
34.2
0.0
2008-09
107.3
197.6
88.1
-7.1
11.1
10.4
1210.6
49.0
0.0
2009-10
112.7
174.3
171.1
5.0
-11.8
94.2
1137.3
-6.1
0.1
2010-11
115.2
186.4
192.0
2.2
6.9
12.2
1103.6
-3.0
0.0
Index
Growth
Share
0.0
Manufacture of Chemical and chemical products
The IIP in t h is s egm en t of in d u s t r y h a s gr own con s is t en t ly d u r in g p a s t
s even yea r s . Th e va lu e of t h e IIP h a s gr own t o 1 4 2 .8 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o
2004-05 (Table 16). During the same years the Export Index reached to highest
5 0 1 .8 in 2 0 0 8 -0 9 , b efor e it d eclin ed t o 4 5 6 .9 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 . Th e Im p or t In d ex
h owever , is gr owin g a t fa s t er r a t e a n d r ea ch ed 4 5 6 .9 levels in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 . Th e
growth of the Chinese Index seems to be even faster than the Import Index. The
m a jor it em s imported, in t er m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e Dyes , Vit a m in s ,
S yn t h et ic Ru b b er , Ru b b er Ch em ica l, Ad h es ives , PVC Res in s , Pr in t in g In k ,
Aniline, and Sodium Hydrosulphate/Sodium Hydrosulphite.
Table 16. Manufacture of Chemical and chemical products
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
Index
2005-06
109.0
139.9
111.8
9.0
39.9
11.8
100.0
2006-07
119.3
232.6
124.7
9.5
66.3
11.5
192.6
92.6
1.2
2007-08
125.3
272.4
151.4
5.0
17.1
21.4
379.7
97.2
1.2
2008-09
127.9
501.8
192.6
2.1
84.2
27.2
306.8
-19.2
0.8
2009-10
135.4
416.5
182.3
5.8
-17.0
-5.4
566.1
84.6
0.9
2010-11
142.8
456.9
194.5
5.5
9.7
6.7
654.2
15.6
0.8
Manufacture of rubber and plastic products
Growth
Share
1.3
P a g e | 19
The IIP of Ru b b er & Pla s t ic in d u s t r y gr ou p has in cr ea s ed b y 7 4 .5 % in
2010-1 1 com p a r ed t o 2 0 0 4 -0 5 , wh er ea s t h e E xp or t In d ex h a s gr own b y 4 8 %
and Import Index by a massive 3155 % during the same period (Table 17). The
gr owt h of exp or t h a s b een n ega t ive in 2 0 0 7 -0 8 a n d 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e Ch in es e
In d ex is gr owin g a t m or e t h a n 2 0 0 % a n d 3 0 0 % in 2 0 0 6 -0 7 a n d 2 0 0 7 -08
r es p ect ively, followin g a d eclin e t h er ea ft er . S om e of t h e m a jor it em s im p or t ed
fr om Ch in a a r e Tyr e, Tr u ck / Bu s , PVC/ Pla s t ic S u it ca s es , Tyr e, Ca r / Ca b ,
Plastic Sheets, Plastic Film Excl. Bopp Film, Rubber Transmission And V Belts,
HDPE Woven Sacks, Tyre, Motor Cycle, Tube, Truck , a n d Plastic Bottles.
The it em s m a in ly s ou r ced fr om Ch in a a r e Pvc/ Pla s t ic, S u itca s es , Ru b b er
Fla p s , Tyr e, Tr u ck / Bu s , Tu b e, Cycle/ Rick s h a w, Tyr e, Cycle/ Rick s h a w, Tu b e,
Tr u ck , Tyr e, Mot or Cycle , Tyr e, Ca r / Ca b , Pla s t ic Film E xcl., Bop p Film ,
Polythene Bags, Incl. Hdpe & Ldpe, Bags, and HDPE Woven Sacks.
Table 17. Manufacture of rubber and plastic products
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
Index
Growth
Share
2005-06
113.3
128.8
120.9
13.3
28.8
20.9
100.0
2006-07
126.8
172.8
131.9
11.9
34.1
9.1
339.1
239.1
0.6
2007-08
139.7
205.4
124.5
10.1
18.9
-5.6
1398.9
312.5
0.8
2008-09
141.0
207.5
150.2
0.9
1.0
20.7
657.9
-53.0
0.6
2009-10
162.2
258.7
135.6
15.0
24.7
-9.7
515.8
-21.6
0.8
2010-11
174.5
3255.1
148.1
7.6
1158.1
9.2
570.3
10.6
0.8
0.5
Manufacture of other Non-metallic Mineral Products
The IIP of n on -m et a llic m in er a ls h a s in cr ea s ed t o 1 3 8 .7 in 2 0 1 0 -11
compared to 2004-05 (Tab le 1 8 ). The IIP has grown at average of 8.0 %, except
2008-1 0 , wh en t h e gr owt h of IIP d eclin ed t o les s t h a n on e p er cen t . Th e
s lu ggis h gr owt h in t h e IIP h a s a ls o led t o d eclin e in t h e exp or t of t h is s egm en t .
Vis ib le lin k a ge of p r od u ct ion a n d exp or t of t h is s ect or r ein for ces t h e exp or t
d ep en d en cy. Th e Im p or t In d ex h a s gr own t o 6 5 0 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05
com p a r ed t o Ch in es e In d ex 2 1 3 0 2 .9 in 2 0 0 8 -0 9 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 5 -06.
Rela t ively h igh gr owt h of t h e Ch in es e im p or t over r es t of t h e cou n t r ies s ign a ls
that the Chinese import is replacing the import of non-metallic minerals.
Th e it em s wh er e Ch in a is r ep la cin g ot h er cou n t r ies a r e H.T.Insulators,
Refr a ct or y Br ick s , Gla s s S h eet , Tou gh en ed Gla s s , Por cela in a n d Cer a m ic,
P a g e | 20
S a n it a r y Wa r es , Fib r e Gla s s , Ma gn es it e, Dea d Bu r n t , Gla zed Tiles / Cer a m ic,
Tiles, Glass Bottles, and Marble Tiles/Slabs. Major items imported, in terms of
value, fr om Ch in a a r e Refr a ct or y Br ick s , Fib r e Gla s s , Tou gh en ed Gla s s ,
Por cela in An d Cer a m ic S a n it a r y Wa r es , Ma gn es it e, Dea d Bu r n t , Cem en t All
Kinds, Glass Sheet, Glass Bottles, H.T.Insulators, Marble and Tiles/Slabs.
Table 18 Manufacture of other Non-metallic Mineral Products
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
Index
Growth
Share
2005-06
107.7
175.8
101.6
7.7
75.8
1.6
100.0
2006-07
115.9
314.1
118.3
7.6
78.7
16.5
15097.9
14997.9
1.0
2007-08
125.9
336.3
103.1
8.6
7.1
-12.9
2448.4
-83.8
0.8
2008-09
124.6
580.8
103.6
-1.0
72.7
0.5
21302.9
770.1
0.8
2009-10
126.4
1203.4
92.7
1.5
107.2
-10.5
768.9
-96.4
0.9
2010-11
138.7
650.2
103.2
9.7
-46.0
11.3
35071.6
4461.0
0.8
0.9
Manufacture of Basic Metals
Th e IIP for t h e b a s ic m et a ls h a s gr own t o 1 4 7 .6 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o
export in d ex of 4 0 1 .4 a n d im p or t in d ex of 3 9 4 .1 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05
(Tab le 1 9 ). Th e s h r in k in g exp or t of t h e b a s ic m et a ls in 2 0 0 7 -08 is followed b y
d eclin e in t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion in 2 0 0 8 -0 9 . Th e gr owt h of t h e im p or t h a s
a ls o b een ver y h igh excep t 2 0 0 7 -08. Th e im p ort of B a s ic Me ta l form Ch in a is
grow in g a t m u ch fa s te r ra te th a n th e im p ort from oth er cou n trie s , w h ich is
a n oth er in s ta n ce of Chinese imports replacing the imports from other countries.
Table 19. Manufacture of Basic Metals
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
Index
Growth
Share
2005-06
117.8
169.1
140.1
17.8
69.1
40.1
100.0
2006-07
131.5
199.1
234.1
11.6
17.7
67.1
543.3
443.3
1.6
2007-08
140.2
202.0
201.3
6.6
1.5
-14.0
1547.2
184.8
1.9
2008-09
132.7
228.8
147.2
-5.3
13.3
-26.9
2465.9
59.4
1.7
2009-10
140.3
249.3
143.5
5.7
9.0
-2.5
3484.5
41.3
1.3
2010-11
147.6
394.1
401.4
5.2
58.1
179.7
4608.1
32.2
1.5
1.4
P a g e | 21
The items which are increasing sourced from China are Aluminium Foils,
Alu m in iu m wir es & ext r u s ion s ,
Alu m in iu m S h eet s / Pla t es , Alu m in iu m
Tu b es / Pip es , Alu m in iu m , An d Cop p er a n d Cop p er Pr od u ct s . The m a jor it em s
of im p or t , in t er m s of va lu e fr om Ch in a are a lu m in iu m , Cop p er a n d Cop p er
Pr od u ct s , Alu m in iu m S h eet s / Pla t es , Alu m in iu m Foils , Wir es (Cop p er ),
a luminium Tubes/Pipes, and C.I. Castings.
Manufacture of Fabricated metal products, except machinery
Th e im p or t of Fa b r ica t ed m et a l p r od u ct s , excep t m a ch in er y h a s gr own
fa s t er t h a n t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a n d exp or t . Th e gr owt h in t h e d om es t ic
p r od u ct ion h a s b een d eclin in g d u r in g 2 0 0 5 -0 6 t o 2 0 0 8 -09. However, t h e
gr owt h of t h e im p or t has in cr ea s ed t ill 2 0 0 7 -08 (Tab le 2 0 ). Th e im p or t fr om
Ch in a d u r in g t h is p er iod h a s in cr ea s ed by 3 8 0 5 % over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 5 -06.
Th e correla tion b e tw e e n im p orts a n d th e d om e s tic p rod u ction in d ica te s s om e of
th e n ega tive im p a ct of th e im p ort from Ch in a on d om e s tic p rod u ction of th is
sector.
The main imported items, in terms of value, from China are Boilers, Steel
S t r u ct u r es , Cock (Fa u cet s ), Cylin d er s , Ra zor Bla d es / S a fet y Bla d es , Tin
Con t a in er s a n d S t a m p in gs & For gin gs . Th e it em s wh er e t h e im p or t s fr om
Ch in a a r e in cr ea s in g r ep la cin g t h e im p or t s fr om ot h er cou n t r ies a r e Boilers,
Tin Con t a in er s , Ra zor Bla d es / S a fet y Bla d es , Cylin d er s , S t eel S t r u ct u r es , An d
Cock (Faucets).
Table 20. Manufacture of Fabricated metal products, except machinery
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
120.0
152.0
122.6
20.0
52.0
22.6
100.0
2006-07
139.0
189.1
146.6
15.9
24.4
19.6
9466.4
9366.4
0.5
2007-08
149.8
468.3
178.3
7.7
147.7
21.6
852.3
-91.0
2.3
2008-09
147.8
608.9
191.9
-1.3
30.0
7.6
3905.6
358.2
2.3
2009-10
174.7
694.8
157.1
18.2
14.1
-18.1
4030.1
3.2
1.8
2010-11
191.9
2055.9
159.3
9.8
195.9
1.4
2264.9
-43.8
1.2
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
Index
Growth
Share
0.4
Manufacture of Machinery and equipment
The IIP for Ma ch in er y a n d equ ip m en t h a s gr own con s is t en t ly a t a r ou n d
2 0 % p er yea r s in ce 2 0 0 4 -0 5 , excep t 2 0 0 8 -09 (Ta b le 2 1 ). Th e exp or t s h a ve a ls o
gr own a t r ela t ively h igh er r a t e t h a n IIP d u r in g t h e s a m e p er iod , excep t a
P a g e | 22
n ega t ive gr owt h in b ot h t h e s ect or s (im p or t s & exp or t s ) in 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e
Ch in es e In d ex h a s gr own b y 5 2 0 4 % s in ce 2 0 0 5 -0 6 . Th e gr owt h of t h e Ch in es e
im p or t s h a s d eclin ed over t h e t im e t ill 2009-1 0 wh ich h a s s u r ged by 250.7% in
2010-11.
Table 21. Manufacture of Machinery and equipment
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
Index
Growth
Share
2005-06
124.1
151.6
117.6
24.1
51.6
17.6
100.0
2006-07
153.0
235.0
136.1
23.3
55.0
15.7
1590.3
1490.3
6.3
2007-08
209.9
294.0
164.8
37.2
25.1
21.1
1859.2
16.9
6.5
2008-09
196.1
448.9
237.9
-6.6
52.7
44.3
1546.4
-16.8
6.9
2009-10
221.8
344.7
181.7
13.1
-23.2
-23.6
1512.6
-2.2
8.4
2010-11
274.9
458.1
242.1
23.9
32.9
33.2
5304.0
250.7
8.0
6.1
Th e it em s im p or t ed fr om Ch in a wh ich ca r r y va lu e of m or e t h a n Rs .
1 0 0 0 0 la cs in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 a r e Text ile Ma ch in er y, Air Con d it ion er (Pa ck a ged ),
Pr in t in g Ma ch in er y, Air Con d it ion er (Room ), Bea r in gs (Ba ll/ Roller ), Ma ch in e
Tools , Con s t r u ct ion Ma ch in e/ E qu ip m en t , Tu r b in es & Acces s or ies , Air & Ga s
Com p r es s or s ,
Wa s h in g Ma ch in es , Lift s / E leva t or s & Com p on en t s t h er eof,
Pu m p s (in clu d in g p ower d r iven p u m p s ), S ola r Power S ys t em s , E n gin es In cl.
In t er n a l Com b u s t ion a n d Dies el E n gin e, Fa n s , Agr icu lt u r a l Ma ch in er y, Pla s t ic
Ma ch in er y In cl. Mou ld in g Ma ch in er y, Cr a n es , and Chillers. Th e in cr ea s in g
imports of these items probably impacting negatively the domestic production.
Th e im p or t fr om Ch in a is r ep la cin g t h e im p or t fr om ot h er cou n t r ies in
t h e it em s s u ch a s Fa n s , Air Con d it ion er (Room ), Hea t E xch a n ger s , Packaging
Ma ch in er y, Air Con d it ion er (Pa ck a ged ), Ch iller s , E lect r ic Weld in g Ma ch in es ,
Cr a n es , Tu r b in es & Acces s or ies , Lift s / E leva t or s & Com p on en t s t h er eof,
Pr in t in g Ma ch in er y, S ola r Power S ys t em s , Air & Ga s Com p r es s or s , Text ile
Mach in er y, In d u s t r ia l Ch a in s , Agr icu lt u r a l Ma ch in er y, Con s t r u ct ion , a n d
Machine/Equipment.
Manufacture of office, accounting and computing machinery
The IIP h a s gr own b y 2 6 3 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o exp or t in d ex b y
1 9 3 % a n d im p or t in d ex b y 1 2 2 % over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05 (Tab le 2 2 ). However
t h e gr owt h of d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a ft er 2 0 0 7 -0 8 h a s n ot b een ver y im p r es s ive
P a g e | 23
a n d d ip p ed t o -1 1 .6 % in 2 0 0 9 -1 0 .
increased in past two years.
Th e gr owt h of t h e Ch in es e im p or t h a s
Ma in it em s im p or t ed fr om Ch in a a r e Com p u t er s , Com p u t er Per ip h er a ls ,
Ca lcu la t or s a n d Pr in t er s . Com p u t er s a n d ca lcu la t or s a r e in cr ea s in gly s ou r ced
from the China compared to other countries.
Table 22. Manufacture of office, accounting and computing machinery
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
123.0
146.3
147.9
23.0
46.3
47.9
100.0
2006-07
136.6
212.1
172.8
11.1
45.0
16.8
90.7
-9.3
3.9
2007-08
365.9
192.6
170.5
167.9
-9.2
-1.3
138.6
52.8
4.2
2008-09
382.4
169.0
212.0
4.5
-12.3
24.3
115.3
-16.8
2.7
2009-10
338.0
196.5
241.4
-11.6
16.3
13.9
159.7
38.6
3.5
2010-11
363.0
222.8
293.5
7.4
13.4
21.6
206.9
29.6
3.5
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
Chinese Imports
EX G
Index
Growth
Share
6.7
Manufacture of electrical machinery and apparatus
Th e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of t h e elect r ic m a ch in er y a n d a p p a r a t u s h a s
in cr ea s ed b y 2 6 3 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o exp or t b y 1 8 2 a n d im p or t b y 1 7 1
% over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 . Th e gr owt h of t h e im p or t s h owever , h a s b een
h igh er in t h os e yea r s wh er e t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion gr owt h h a s b een low,
except 2009-10 when the growth of the import, export and domestic production
h a s b een n ega t ive. Th e gr owt h of im p or t fr om Ch in a h a s b een ver y h igh d u r in g
three years, 2005-06 to 2008-09, however, declined in 2009-10.
Table 23. Manufacture of electrical machinery and apparatus
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
2004-05
100.0
100.0
100.0
2005-06
123.0
593.9
149.8
23.0
493.9
49.8
100.0
2006-07
136.6
242.3
244.1
11.1
-59.2
63.0
239.8
139.8
2.5
2007-08
365.9
241.9
246.7
167.9
-0.2
1.1
537.0
124.0
3.4
2008-09
382.4
313.1
337.9
4.5
29.4
37.0
1066.4
98.6
3.6
2009-10
338.0
226.4
267.1
-11.6
-27.7
-21.0
562.6
-47.2
2.9
2010-11
363.0
271.4
282.7
7.4
19.9
5.9
641.2
14.0
2.4
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
Index
Growth
Share
2.5
Ma in it em s im p or t ed , in ter m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e Insulated
Ca b les / Wir es a ll Kin d , Stabilisers, E lect r ic Mot or s Ph a s e-I, Graphite
P a g e | 24
Electrodes/Anodes, Tr a n s for m er s (S m a ll), Magnets, Generator/Alternator,
UPS/Inverter/Converter, Weld in g Rod s ,
Air Br ea k S wit ch es / Cir cu it
Breakers, DC Mot or s , E lect r ic Mot or s (E xcl.Ph a s e-I),
Flu or es cen t Tu b es ,
E lect r ica l S wit ch b oa r d , Ba t t er y Ch a r ger , In ca n d es cen t La m p , Rela ys , Fu s es
An d S wit ch gea r s , Fib r e Op t ic Ca b le, Tr a n s for m er s (P.D.T & S p ecia l Typ e), a n d
Cable, Rubber Insulated.
Th e it em s in cr ea s in gly s ou r ced fr om Ch in a a r e Flu or es cen t Tu b es ,
Ba t t er y Ch a r ger , Ma gn et s , Fib r e Op t ic Ca b le, E lect r ic Mot or s Ph a s e-I,
Incandescent Lamp, Insulated Cables/Wires all Kind, UPS/Inverter/Converter,
Transformers (S m a ll), DC Mot or s , Air Br ea k S wit ch es / Cir cu it , Br ea k er s ,
Gen er a t or / Alt er n a t or ,
S t a b ilis er s ,
Rela ys ,
Fu s es
An d
S wit ch gea r s ,
Tr a n s for m er s (P.D.T & S p ecia l Typ e), E lect r ic Mot or s (E xcl.Ph a s e-I),
An d
Electrical Switchboard.
Manufacture of radio, television and communication equipment
Th e gr owt h of IIP for r a d io, t elevis ion a n d com m u n ica t ion equ ip ment h a s
d eclin ed over t h e yea r s (Tab le 2 4 ). Th e exp or t growth has b een b et t er excep t in
2005-0 6 a n d 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e im p or t is gr owin g a t m or e t h a n 3 5 % a ver a ge excep t
a d ip in 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e Ch in es e In d ex has gr own t o a r ela t ively h igh er level in
past six years, although the growth has moderated over the years.
Th e s h a r e of im p or t of r a d io, t elevis ion a n d com m u n ica t ion equ ip in t h e
t ot a l t h e Ch in es e im p or t h a ve im p r oved con s id er a b ly fr om ju s t 3 .1 % in 2 0 0 5 0 6 t o 1 6 .5 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 . Th is in d ica t es t h a t t h e gr owt h of t h e im p or t of r a d io,
t elevis ion a n d com m u n ica t ion equ ip fr om Ch in a h a s b een m u ch h igh er t h a n
the total imports growth from Chinese.
Table 24. Manufacture of radio, television and communication equip
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
122.1
132.7
98.8
22.1
32.7
-1.2
100.0
2006-07
238.1
180.3
139.5
94.9
35.9
41.2
221.1
121.1
3.6
2007-08
418.9
257.1
181.4
75.9
42.6
30.0
514.3
132.6
8.5
2008-09
492.0
405.2
1211.9
17.5
57.6
567.9
717.3
39.5
16.5
2009-10
542.5
370.4
895.3
10.3
-8.6
-26.1
801.2
11.7
18.1
2010-11
616.0
467.1
1641.5
13.5
26.1
83.3
1014.2
26.6
16.5
Index
Growth
Share
3.1
P a g e | 25
Main im p or t ed it em s fr om Ch in a a r e Telep h on e In s t r u m en t s In clu d in g
Mob ile Ph on e a n d Acces s or ies , IC Ch ip s & Tr a n s is t or s , Power Ca p a cit or s ,
Printed Circuit Board/Plate, and Colour TV Picture Tubes.
Manufacture of medical precision and optical instruments
The IIP h a s gr own ju s t b y 1 9 % in 2 0 1 0 -11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05
(Tab le 2 5 ). Th e exp or t a lt h ou gh is s h r in k in g d u r in g p a s t t wo yea r s , wh ile
im p or t h a s gr own well d u r in g p a s t s even yea r s excep t 2 0 0 8 -0 9 . Th e Chinese
In d ex on ot h er h a n d is gr owin g a t m u ch fa s t er r a t e t h a n Im p or t In d ex a n d IIP.
Th is s ign a ls t h a t t h e d om es t ic d em a n d of t h e p r od u ct is fu lfilled b y t h e ch ea p
import from China.
Ma in im p or t ed items , in t er m s of va lu e, a r e Med ica l a n d S u r gica l
E qu ip m en t (excep t x-r a y), Clock / Wa t ch / Tim ep iece Movem en t , Wa t ch es , Len s
of All Kinds, and Syringes
Table 25 Manufacture of medical precision and optical instruments
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
110.2
160.9
96.3
10.2
60.9
-3.7
100.0
2006-07
115.0
255.3
106.1
4.3
58.7
10.1
138.1
38.1
0.3
2007-08
121.6
338.9
106.2
5.8
32.8
0.1
367.9
166.4
0.3
2008-09
120.1
307.1
125.2
-1.2
-9.4
17.8
521.1
41.7
0.3
2009-10
110.0
350.3
122.5
-8.4
14.1
-2.1
542.4
4.1
0.4
2010-11
119.1
685.6
47.0
8.3
95.7
-61.6
654.5
20.7
0.3
Index
Growth
Share
0.3
Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers
Ther e is a s u r ge in t h e im p or t of t h e m ot or veh icles , t r a iler s a n d s em it r a iler s in t h e cou n t r y con s is t en t ly during p a s t s even yea r s (Tab le 2 6 ). Th e
im p or t s a r e gr owin g a lon g wit h t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of t h is in d u s t r y s u b group, except in 200 8 -09.
Th e im p or t fr om Ch in a h a s b een ver y h igh d u r in g 2 0 0 6 -0 8 a n d 2 0 1 0 -11.
Its share in total Chinese import has also doubled in past six years.
P a g e | 26
Main im p or t ed it em s , in t er m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e Au t o An cilla r y &
Pa r t s , Gea r Boxes a n d Ut ilit y/ Mu lt i-Purpose Vehicles. Th e Au t o An cilla r y &
Parts are increasingly been imported from China.
Table 26. Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
Index
Growth
Share
2005-06
113.9
450.8
118.2
13.9
350.8
18.2
100.0
2006-07
134.3
737.5
128.7
17.9
63.6
9.0
261.2
161.2
0.7
2007-08
147.3
1458.1
160.1
9.7
97.7
24.4
464.4
77.8
0.6
2008-09
132.1
2054.9
444.7
-10.3
40.9
177.7
485.2
4.5
0.6
2009-10
153.4
2362.0
488.6
16.2
14.9
9.9
433.5
-10.6
0.7
2010-11
198.5
3692.0
909.0
29.4
56.3
86.1
1150.0
165.3
0.8
0.4
Manufacture of other transport equipments
Th e im p or t of t h e ot h er t r a n s p or t equ ip m en t has in cr ea s ed b y 2 6 7 9 % in
2010-11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05, com p a r ed t o IIP in cr ea s ed b y 1 0 5 % a n d
exp or t b y 4 5 5 % (Ta b le 2 7 ). Th e im p or t a n d t h e exp or t gr owt h of t h e t r a n s p or t
equ ip m en t is m ovin g m or e or les s in op p os it e d ir ect ion to the IIP d u r in g p a s t
seven years. However, there are positive correlation between import growth and
t h e exp or t gr owt h of t h e t r a n s p or t equ ip m en t s . Th is in d ica t es t h a t eit h er t h er e
a r e a la g b et ween d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a n d t r a d e or t h e im p or t is u s ed a s a n
in p u t in t h e exp or t . Gr owt h of im p or t of ot h er t r a n s p or t equ ip m en t s fr om
China has been very high during 2007 -08, and 2010-11.
Table 27. Manufacture of other transport equipment
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
Chinese Imports
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
105.6
345.8
158.4
5.6
245.8
58.4
100.0
2006-07
120.3
750.3
178.8
14.0
117.0
12.9
499.3
399.3
1.3
2007-08
123.1
1155.0
211.2
2.3
53.9
18.1
3558.3
612.6
1.8
2008-09
127.2
1778.9
433.7
3.3
54.0
105.4
4903.3
37.8
1.4
2009-10
174.5
1611.5
351.5
37.2
-9.4
-19.0
956.0
-80.5
1.9
2010-11
205.9
2779.6
555.2
18.0
72.5
58.0
2378.1
148.7
3.3
Index
Growth
Share
1.4
Th e s h a r e of t h e Ch in es e im p or t of oth er t r a n s p or t equ ip m en t s in t ot a l
Ch in es e im p or t s h a ve d ou b led in p a s t s ix yea r s . Ma in it em s im p or t ed fr om
Ch in a a r e S h ip Bu ild in g & Rep a ir s , Pa r t s
Bicycle, Bicycles , S coot er a n d
P a g e | 27
Mop ed s a n d Mot or Cycles . Ch in a is b ecom in g a n im p or t a n t s ou r ce of th e
imports for Bicycles , Pa r t s
Bicycle, Mot or Cycles a n d S h ip Bu ild in g &
Repairs.
Manufacturing of furniture
The IIP for fu r n it u r e h a s gr own u p b y 4 2 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 , wh ile exp or t h a s
been declining a ft er gr owin g b y 6 7 % in 2 0 0 8 -09 over b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05 (Table
28). Th e im p or t gr owt h is m ovin g t oget h er wit h t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion
gr owt h . Th e gr owt h of t h e im p or t fr om Ch in a is a ls o m ovin g a lon g t h e gr owth
of Import Index.
Ma in it em s of im p or t , in t er m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e Wood Fu r n it u r e,
Pen s of All Kin d , Toot h Br u s h , a n d Gem s a n d J eweller y. Wood fu r n it u r e is
increasingly sourced from China.
Table 28. Manufacturing of furniture
Years
IIP Index
IMP Index
EX Index
2004-05
100
100
100
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
106.8
106.1
120.9
131.4
134.8
142.2
111.9
111.8
131.3
144.1
122.3
137.5
102.8
108.6
92.2
167.2
138.2
108.1
IIP Gr.
IMP Gr.
EX G
6.8
-0.6
14.0
8.7
2.6
5.4
11.9
-0.1
17.5
9.8
-15.1
12.4
2.8
5.7
-15.1
81.3
-17.3
-21.8
Chinese Imports
Index
Growth
Share
100.0
107.3
147.6
152.3
145.7
156.8
7.3
37.5
3.2
-4.4
7.6
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.4
CONCLUSION
The trends in imports to India shows a surge in cheap Chinese imports of
m a n u fa ct u r in g good s t o In d ia , a ccu m u la t ion in In d ia s t r a d e d eficit wit h Ch in a
a n d r is in g r equ es t for in t r od u cin g a n t i d u m p in g m ea s u r es a ga in s t Ch in es e
im p or t s p oin t s t h e n eed t o ch eck t h e p r ofile of im p or t s fr om Ch in a a n d it s
r ela t ion wit h ou r d om es t ic m a n u fa ct u r in g p r od u ct ion s t r u ct u r e. Th e m a jor
qu es t ion of t h is r es ea r ch s t u d y is : How t r en d s in im p or t s fr om Ch in a a r e
associated with domestic manufacturing production in India?
A con cor d a n ce b et ween ITC (HS ) Cod e for t h e im p or t s a n d NIC
cla s s ifica t ion of in d u s t r ies a t 5 d igit level is d evelop ed for la s t 7 yea r s for 2 6 8
it em s of IIP a n d im p or t s , a n d s ep a r a t ely wit h im p or t s fr om Ch in a . Th e in d ices
for t h e im p or t , IIP (2 6 8 it em s ) a n d in d u s t r y s u b gr ou p s h a ve b een con s t r u ct ed .
The export index is taken from an earlier Study by Singhi, M.C. 2011.
P a g e | 28
Th e in d ices of IIP (2 6 8 it em s ), Im p or t for a ll cou n t r ies (Im p or t in d ex fr om
now) and Export have grown by 107.8 %, 1773.1 %, and 143.4% respectively in
2010-1 1 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 . Th e Ch in es e in d ex for s a m e it em s h a s
gr own b y 4 6 1 8 .4 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 over t h e b a s e 2 0 0 5 -0 6 , wh ich is m u ch h igh er
t h a n t h e im p or t in d ex. Th e s h a r e of t h e im p or t s of 2 6 8 it em s fr om Ch in a in
t ot a l im p or t s fr om Ch in a t o In d ia h a s ju m p ed t o 4 1 .3 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 fr om 2 6 .3 %
in 2005-06.
Th er e a r e en ou gh evid en ce t o s u s p ect t h a t im p or t s t o In d ia fr om ot h er
t h a n Ch in a a r e n ow in cr ea s in gly b een r ep la ced b y ch ea p Ch in es e im p or t s .
Th er efor e t h e im p or t s t o In d ia a r e in cr ea s in g con cen t r a t ed wit h Ch in a . Br oa d ly
the Basic Goods and the Intermediate Goods sectors are seems to be negatively
a ffect ed fr om t h e ch ea p Ch in es e im p or t s a lon g wit h s om e item s in t h e Ca p it a l
goods and the Consumer Goods sectors.
Th e la r ges t im p or t s fr om Ch in a a r e n ot iced in in d u s t r y s u b -gr ou p of
r a d io, t elevis ion a n d com m u n ica t ion equ ip m en t , followed b y Ma ch in er y a n d
equ ip m en t , office a ccou n t in g a n d com p u t in g m a ch in er y , ot h er t r a n s p or t
equ ip m en t , elect r ica l m a ch in er y a n d a p p a r a t u s , Ba s ic Met a ls , Fa b r ica t ed
met a l p r od u ct s , excep t m a ch in er y , Ch em ica l a n d ch em ica l p r od u ct s , m ot or
vehicles, trailers and semi-t r a iler s , a n d r u b b er a n d p la s t ic p r od u ct s .
***
P a g e | 29
Annexure
Table 29. Share in Total Imports
201011
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
20.0
23.0
23.6
26.5
27.6
25.3
23.0
Basic
3.1
3.6
3.4
3.3
3.6
3.1
2.9
Capital
9.4
11.6
11.7
13.3
11.8
10.7
8.8
4.3
4.2
4.5
4.7
5.1
4.7
4.7
Consumer
3.2
3.5
4.0
5.3
7.1
6.8
6.5
Consumer NON
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.5
Consumer Durable
2.5
2.8
3.3
4.6
6.5
6.1
6.0
IIP (268)
Intermediate
P a g e | 30
Table 30. Share of imports from China in Total Imports to India
NIC5d
26915
35921
25204
35923
17296
Item group
H.T.Insulators
Bicycles
Pvc/Plastic Suitcases
Parts - Bicycle
Terry Towel
0.10
95.25
65.66
82.50
82.57
85.00
93.90
79.24
89.66
67.98
86.30
91.00
86.04
92.96
46.65
200809
93.94
94.22
93.14
88.34
76.40
28133
34300
19201
30003
Boilers
Auto Ancillary & Parts
Footwear except leather
Calculators
24.02
61.73
76.39
69.58
54.84
80.45
85.74
38.84
86.24
80.49
89.28
57.84
93.17
80.70
84.47
63.79
92.01
82.81
76.88
80.37
88.36
82.77
82.23
80.43
15209
Glucose(powder&liquid)
1.56
60.11
66.05
30.42
35.29
79.68
25119
Rubber Flaps
61.99
45.86
44.08
42.39
96.14
79.63
31503
Fluorescent Tubes
40.86
52.85
58.99
73.59
80.90
78.07
19201
Leather Shoes
57.18
55.10
54.84
55.24
59.60
74.48
29303
Fans
66.06
65.53
74.68
63.60
74.29
73.96
31109
Battery Charger
59.50
0.14
61.26
87.98
78.96
72.25
25111
Tyre, Truck/Bus
78.06
77.80
88.94
80.88
78.52
71.74
29308
Mixers & Grinders
43.66
39.36
66.41
68.19
74.58
68.72
26921
Refractory Bricks
46.44
64.67
59.41
55.11
69.61
68.49
25113
Tube, Cycle/Rickshaw
21.19
99.78
66.09
25113
Tyre, Cycle/Rickshaw
16.64
26.96
37.49
45.15
6.40
65.50
30006
33.81
32.63
36.45
43.52
62.25
65.47
32.04
80.00
54.16
94.91
31.19
94.62
58.23
98.83
67.03
97.26
64.20
60.91
32204
36101
29192
Computers
Sodium
Hydrosulphate/Sodium
Hydrosulphite
Tube, Truck
Telephone Instruments
Including Mobile Phone And
Accessories
Wood Furniture
Air Conditioner (Room)
13.97
38.96
48.03
20.23
43.78
42.88
41.41
48.89
62.34
55.46
47.22
53.99
61.81
53.41
54.72
59.66
59.15
57.99
26101
Glass Sheet
82.23
79.54
74.15
61.70
53.45
57.86
24232
Vitamins
47.23
57.42
55.52
62.70
58.46
57.72
26101
17.12
36.54
34.87
37.84
41.31
57.40
26911
Toughened Glass
Porcelain And Ceramic
Sanitary Wares
43.37
52.95
53.74
57.74
63.59
55.63
32309
Amplifier
42.24
45.70
39.97
39.91
42.37
55.37
29198
Heat Exchangers
8.97
20.81
41.71
19.87
9.07
55.18
26993
Grinding Wheels
15.45
39.53
35.00
26.23
1.62
54.35
29195
14.89
9.36
39.68
37.19
27.01
54.35
19122
Packaging Machinery
Leather Bags, Wallets,
Purses
38.11
34.66
33.27
29.15
53.63
53.85
25111
Tyre, Motor Cycle
41.42
29.83
19.87
29.37
33.13
53.41
28997
Pressure Cooker
57.37
39.37
20.64
58.69
12.75
52.85
24117
25111
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
71.10
200910
30.15
95.18
93.54
92.11
83.22
201011
98.17
95.06
94.07
94.03
90.09
P a g e | 31
26102
Fibre Glass
27.03
34.73
48.56
53.45
54.50
50.38
29192
Air Conditioner (Packaged)
37.91
40.50
54.42
44.97
45.88
49.24
27310
C.I. Castings
1.00
33.32
66.81
46.14
93.08
48.07
24114
Dyes
43.60
41.95
44.50
37.86
43.25
47.20
35911
Motor Cycles
6.66
16.57
90.74
83.02
12.99
46.68
31904
Magnets
32.23
32.57
36.09
30.88
42.88
45.88
29306
Chillers
15.53
27.67
22.38
18.19
26.87
44.91
29199
Electric Welding Machines
6.24
27.92
17.15
34.06
49.48
44.31
31300
Fibre Optic Cable
51.72
38.24
2.65
47.96
57.99
43.60
18104
Leather Garments
18.66
28.43
23.40
26.36
62.77
43.17
20211
Plywood
42.97
49.94
39.48
37.34
33.73
43.03
28129
Tin Containers
0.33
69.29
11.18
57.02
4.04
42.67
31103
Electric Motors Phase-I
20.91
23.80
30.68
31.88
31.01
42.50
36997
Tooth Brush
77.14
85.44
73.15
40.11
42.80
41.32
29308
Washing Machines
12.63
16.99
17.51
20.94
27.19
40.50
33130
Cooling Towers
23.91
21.95
19.35
60.68
41.82
40.21
31908
Welding Rods
4.13
11.65
9.48
19.68
28.77
39.76
27203
Aluminium Foils
20.77
34.21
46.63
57.91
29.95
39.46
18101
Apparels
17.85
28.20
23.79
25.36
24.11
39.29
31501
Incandescent Lamp
24.96
24.05
26.95
25.38
31.28
38.57
24243
Whitening Agents
32.31
32.39
32.73
30.81
38.55
38.24
30007
Printers
17.86
7.81
34.25
10.41
4.31
37.83
30007
Computer Peripherals
36.57
19.60
37.78
33.30
24.44
37.53
32102
Power Capacitors
25.00
24.52
34.21
15.01
31.18
37.16
31908
Graphite Electrodes/Anodes
10.06
23.04
29.65
59.78
34.15
37.15
29151
Cranes
10.86
26.05
35.62
50.76
12.44
37.14
36934
Sports Goods, Rubber
13.28
39.34
43.51
51.54
48.07
37.09
28931
Razor Blades/Safety Blades
13.21
15.42
22.14
11.99
38.30
36.88
29119
Turbines & Accessories
12.93
11.71
20.63
32.40
58.69
36.71
36991
30.24
37.43
39.23
35.68
36.28
36.09
2.83
8.73
45.86
63.75
42.51
35.50
29151
Pens of All Kind
Aluminium wires &
extrusions
Lifts/Elevators &
Components thereof
15.77
16.52
30.15
35.03
48.90
35.45
26922
Magnesite, Dead Burnt
58.53
59.31
47.64
39.99
25.79
34.78
28121
Cylinders
21.61
28.12
23.64
43.94
54.05
34.45
29294
Printing Machinery
26933
Glazed Tiles /Ceramic Tiles
35119
Ship Building & Repairs
25111
21015
Tyre, Car/Cab
Straw And Paper Boards of
All Kinds
25202
Plastic Film Excl. Bopp Film
27203
6.53
9.94
19.55
25.10
26.78
34.41
66.28
74.33
79.45
76.35
51.98
34.37
3.96
3.67
7.88
6.39
12.51
34.10
26.85
37.25
35.86
34.16
38.47
33.22
14.78
19.15
27.14
24.67
27.60
33.03
8.36
16.87
12.70
10.89
12.40
31.68
P a g e | 32
31200
Polythene Bags Incl. Hdpe
& Ldpe Bags
Insulated Cables/Wires all
Kind
29305
Solar Power Systems
7.84
6.12
5.78
6.61
13.69
30.30
29121
Air & Gas Compressors
12.08
16.02
7.76
8.36
29.16
30.18
29262
Textile Machinery
16.59
19.13
19.01
30.67
36.01
30.16
27203
Aluminium Sheets/Plates
20.83
26.78
38.36
38.97
28.08
29.97
35912
Scooter and Mopeds
38.08
83.69
81.93
87.76
55.96
29.64
29131
Industrial Chains
21.31
29.78
22.96
22.46
30.75
28.61
29211
Agricultural Machinery
19.86
15.13
18.65
20.92
45.20
28.04
31104
20.53
13.02
27.54
25.09
28.79
27.96
29119
UPS/Inverter/Converter
Construction
Machine/Equipment
3.44
11.87
13.43
18.38
23.11
27.54
29303
Industrial Blowers
28.55
1.61
23.49
14.84
37.18
26.80
28112
Steel Structures
26.56
31.21
59.09
38.25
54.21
26.71
29191
Forklift
2.76
4.72
9.44
25.36
19.47
26.57
20211
Wood Veneer
4.31
9.80
10.12
7.19
15.11
26.51
31102
Transformers (Small)
52.29
63.26
53.39
59.99
55.54
26.28
27203
Aluminium Tubes/Pipes
15.51
30.12
29.70
35.46
34.73
26.07
26103
13.99
21.90
22.37
20.00
21.37
25.74
15135
Glass Bottles
Squashes, Jams, Jellies,
Ketchups,Etc.
31.80
39.22
54.06
36.12
38.54
25.73
29244
Loaders
40.12
67.90
77.54
9.42
10.97
25.50
15331
Cattle and Poultry Feed
20.67
16.10
20.88
22.14
23.09
24.78
24111
Aniline
16.81
9.69
60.97
22.96
28.34
24.60
29131
Bearings (Ball/Roller)
10.14
11.97
15.07
15.37
20.20
24.33
25202
HDPE Woven Sacks
15.39
24.42
34.13
35.88
27.36
24.14
31103
DC Motors
9.65
18.27
15.27
15.20
21.12
23.90
24219
Rubber Chemical
19.44
24.47
28.42
25.85
25.03
23.88
25209
Plastic Sheets
28.85
23.18
15.67
18.74
16.08
23.83
29306
8.68
6.86
13.44
17.68
28.40
23.78
31200
Refrigerators
Air Break Switches /
Circuit Breakers
24.70
23.99
33.28
30.85
20.19
23.08
24295
Adhesives
10.24
9.19
0.00
0.00
19.61
22.53
31901
Generator/Alternator
2.16
13.71
51.95
26.70
37.76
21.34
26960
7.79
6.10
17.09
20.91
31.93
20.58
25192
Marble Tiles/Slabs
Rubber Transmission And V
Belts
6.09
8.68
9.02
17.55
17.79
19.62
29254
Sugar Machinery
0.56
0.75
0.38
2.46
1.36
19.56
28994
Cock (Faucets)
4.35
7.35
7.25
10.82
16.79
18.99
23109
Carbon Black
31901
Stabilisers
32101
25202
1.42
86.31
62.10
33.04
20.12
31.55
25.30
25.45
26.44
38.89
33.54
30.84
3.70
15.50
14.49
19.41
20.66
18.76
12.55
13.70
18.52
23.23
21.40
18.57
Colour TV Picture Tubes
8.89
16.80
22.90
17.85
17.80
18.25
Steel
4.93
11.53
16.08
16.97
9.09
18.12
P a g e | 33
33201
Lens of All Kinds
33112
Syringes
32105
IC Chips & Transistors
21098
7.85
7.44
5.04
16.00
14.25
17.81
6.52
0.66
1.30
12.31
2.63
17.17
12.36
8.79
13.14
17.18
21.74
17.14
Computer Stationery
1.69
3.16
6.28
8.67
12.39
16.03
19129
Leather Gloves
7.98
29.12
34.64
23.50
13.97
15.70
25193
Condoms
1.08
2.67
0.05
22.58
32.00
15.69
26942
Cement All Kinds
19.98
34.82
6.47
7.84
24.35
15.39
16003
Cigarettes
12.49
0.05
6.05
5.34
5.29
15.32
15134
Fruit Juices
13.41
20.75
31.05
9.71
12.06
14.80
25202
21.77
15.50
13.00
9.39
11.42
14.54
29121
Plastic Bottles
Pumps (including power
driven pumps)
7.31
6.74
9.64
14.05
14.98
14.50
32109
Printed Circuit Board/Plate
7.03
9.01
11.39
11.75
13.61
14.41
29229
5.52
7.60
10.61
9.71
12.79
14.40
10.95
8.54
15.21
17.91
14.52
14.38
31102
Machine Tools
Relays, Fuses And
Switchgears
Transformers (P.D.T &
Special Type)
2.42
22.08
36.11
31.59
10.36
14.25
25209
PVC Pipes and Tubes
3.24
8.86
28.83
18.09
12.80
14.13
29142
7.92
6.35
11.51
19.19
22.20
14.12
22.17
16.73
11.11
16.90
2.74
14.02
31103
Furnaces
Corrugated and Other
Paper Boxes
Electric Motors(Excl.PhaseI)
2.90
6.36
12.64
11.78
13.51
13.43
33122
Electric meter of all kinds
29.80
31.97
17.01
42.05
32.23
13.40
33122
29.80
31.97
17.01
42.05
32.23
13.40
33301
Water meter of all kinds
Clock/Watch/Timepiece
Movement
18.97
20.01
17.09
13.79
24.88
12.76
29258
Food Processing Machinery
5.28
5.17
5.16
10.73
13.77
12.67
25191
0.97
4.21
79.36
45.30
18.52
12.65
17.68
20.26
26.79
19.43
12.00
12.50
24232
Hose Pipe
Plastic Machinery Incl.
Moulding Machinery
Antibiotics & It's
Preparations
5.49
20.60
13.76
7.69
4.23
12.33
29251
Dairy Machinery
0.01
4.08
3.93
1.58
2.96
11.69
27203
Aluminium
9.36
10.34
16.57
17.34
11.72
11.63
24112
Sulphuric Acid, Incl. Oleum
0.00
0.00
0.38
0.03
1.03
11.29
29299
Driers
3.47
0.06
18.52
0.02
0.00
11.26
24223
Printing Ink
21.54
23.14
29.77
18.56
31.24
10.95
17297
Elastic Tape
1.34
7.25
25.62
41.72
22.74
10.81
24241
5.39
6.55
3.09
2.48
1.60
10.74
4.48
6.91
7.00
7.47
8.43
10.48
33112
Toilet Soap
Copper and Copper
Products
Medical and Surgical
Equipment (except x-ray)
3.62
4.27
5.13
6.76
7.14
10.10
24248
Agarbattis and Dhoop
17.60
12.43
13.15
16.44
21.37
9.88
33301
Watches
0.88
1.24
12.00
10.35
14.25
9.39
31103
21022
29291
27201
P a g e | 34
29211
Tractors (complete)
24.33
53.09
17.36
7.33
8.84
8.93
31200
3.04
14.27
14.85
11.78
18.38
8.19
24297
Electrical Switchboard
Leather Finishing
Chemicals & Auxiliaries
0.00
0.00
8.55
19.17
0.01
7.47
28910
Stampings & Forgings
2.02
5.79
2.71
6.19
1.76
7.01
24241
Washing Soap
3.35
2.68
2.91
4.13
6.61
6.82
34300
3.99
6.68
4.40
3.41
4.17
6.73
29112
Gear Boxes
Engines Incl. Internal
Combustion and Diesel
Engine
2.58
4.44
3.19
4.77
5.92
6.48
22110
Books
1.68
3.04
4.12
9.22
7.75
6.30
33121
Valve
4.04
4.02
1.75
2.14
0.28
6.19
15531
Beer
0.01
0.35
1.12
1.46
1.81
6.00
29242
Drilling Equipment
3.57
3.68
2.58
9.62
7.40
5.97
24222
Paints of All Kinds
1.67
3.10
5.19
6.47
5.98
4.95
29249
Mining Equipment
2.51
0.66
27.07
41.43
6.80
4.79
24241
Synthetic Detergents
1.05
0.28
2.74
2.78
1.64
4.40
21012
1.23
0.99
1.49
1.28
2.04
4.10
15519
Writing & Printing Paper
Indust.
Alcohol(Rectified/Denatured
Spirit)
7.01
7.31
5.26
4.50
3.86
4.02
24134
Synthetic Rubber
24132
PVC Resins
27201
5.52
2.18
2.36
1.50
1.91
3.77
11.04
46.28
45.40
17.21
10.82
3.46
Wires (Copper)
1.32
1.77
2.59
3.11
3.04
3.39
20213
Particle Boards
5.36
8.63
4.51
3.08
2.03
3.25
24111
Dissolved Acetylene Gas
0.11
0.07
1.02
0.00
5.71
2.97
24301
Viscose Staple Fibre
10.89
11.42
21.89
3.09
44.95
2.97
21014
Craft Paper(Kraft Paper)
1.48
1.99
3.02
3.11
2.11
2.83
16006
Zarda/ Chewing Tobacco
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.63
31300
Cable, Rubber Insulated
0.11
0.60
1.84
28.62
10.75
2.44
24111
Oxygen
Tanned or Chrome Skins
and Leathers
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.00
0.49
2.38
2.73
2.83
2.31
1.50
1.50
2.36
13.29
16.23
26.37
11.72
8.43
2.25
1.24
0.39
0.07
12.82
0.80
2.17
0.12
15.85
14.72
16.71
10.12
2.07
85.02
85.32
15.51
30.81
2.07
19119
34101
15433
Commercial Vehicles
Instant Food Mixes (Ready
to eat)
21013
Newsprint
25111
Tyre, Tractor Front
15532
Indian made Foreign Liquor
0.04
28.68
0.01
0.39
0.12
1.99
24118
Glycerine
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.83
15412
Biscuits
2.12
5.93
15.70
5.71
1.61
1.68
17223
Woollen Carpets
Aerated Waters & Soft
Drinks
Utility/Multi-Purpose
Vehicles
2.64
0.00
23.24
28.21
0.11
1.65
3.52
0.65
1.97
0.00
0.26
1.59
0.69
2.33
2.59
3.17
0.90
1.58
15541
34104
P a g e | 35
25111
Tyre, Tractor, Rear
20.63
5.27
0.88
18.71
3.08
1.51
24246
15494
Tooth Paste
0.09
2.70
3.63
0.51
0.05
1.47
Malted Foods
0.21
0.75
1.67
1.66
3.53
1.47
24118
Fatty Acid
1.44
1.46
0.66
0.54
2.01
1.22
15432
Chocolate
3.68
10.06
16.52
3.93
0.62
0.87
36911
Gems And Jewellery
0.49
0.29
0.15
0.39
0.79
0.86
19201
Shoe Uppers (Leather)
6.05
41.24
30.27
61.27
0.00
0.81
21012
Pulp Rayon Grade
2.82
4.32
0.30
0.01
1.28
0.80
15321
Starch
0.02
1.61
4.09
0.39
0.24
0.73
24112
Phosphoric Acid
0.26
0.26
0.25
0.72
0.26
0.63
15311
Bran
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.57
Petrolium Product
1.43
2.04
1.50
1.17
0.39
0.57
33111
X-ray equipment
1.26
0.13
0.21
0.11
0.33
0.42
24233
Ayurvedic Medicaments
2.00
0.45
0.88
1.14
0.12
0.25
26960
Granites
0.97
0.81
0.00
3.11
0.68
0.20
15493
Cashew Kernels
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.20
34103
Passenger Cars
0.04
0.00
0.02
0.01
0.00
0.13
24245
Tooth Powder
Fasteners (Excl. ZipFastener)
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.00
0.13
0.06
1.70
0.00
2.38
4.68
1.79
0.04
28991
***