World Development Vol. 27, No. 3, pp. 533±550, 1999 Ó 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd All rights reserved. Printed in Great Britain 0305-750X/99 $ ± see front matter PII: S0305-750X(98)00148-X Trends, Countertrends, and Gaps in Women's Employment REKHA MEHRA and SARAH GAMMAGE International Center For Reserch on Women, Washington, DC 20036, USA Summary. Ð The factors driving global integration, namely, trade expansion, technological change, and the internationalization of production have altered production patterns and changed the composition of output in both developed and developing countries. As global patterns and modes of production have changed there has been a general shift away from agriculture toward industry and services. Along with these output changes have come signi®cant changes in regional and national employment. In developing and developed countries, these changes span divergent trends. On the one hand, there is the increased availability of more and better quality employment as workers shift out of agriculture and subsistence production and into waged employment in the expanding manufacturing and service sectors. On the other hand, there have been sectors where the trend has been away from formalization toward the informalization and semi-formalization of production activities and employment practices. Women have generally bene®ted from improvements in the world economy. This article demonstrates, however, that patterns of employment and income generation among women often diverge, however, from global trends in important ways that suggest that the forces shaping global integration eect women dierently. The article frames a policy discussion that the International Center for Research on Women led to debate the implications of recent trends in women's employment in the developing and developed world. The six articles in this section represent this discussion. They span a range of empirical and theoretical inquiry, exploring global employment trends and highlighting changes in women's participation in formal and informal economic activities. Ó 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. INTRODUCTION The factors driving global integration, namely, trade expansion, technological change, and the internationalization of production have indeed altered production patterns and promoted growth and development. Merchandise exports, for instance, have roughly doubled from 10% to 20% and the share of trade in the GDP of developing countries has risen from about 33% in the mid-1980s to 43% now. Global integration through trade has been enhanced by increased private capital ¯ows to developing countries which quadrupled during 1990±94, and in 1992± 94 developing countries' share of world foreign direct investment stood at 40% up from 23% in the mid-1980s (Qureshi, 1996). World output has grown 3% per annum since the 1980s (ILO, 1995). Patterns of production have changed and shifted from agriculture towards industry and 533 services. Agriculture now accounts for just 4% of world output. In developing countries, where there has been rapid industrialization, the share of manufacturing increased to over 20% of total output. Expansion in foreign investment and the emergence of multinational enterprises is both symptomatic and causal. In developed countries, production has also changed with a signi®cant shift toward services which now account for 65% of total output (ILO, 1995). Along with output changes have come signi®cant changes in global employment patterns. In developing and developed countries, these changes include more and better employment as workers shift out of agriculture and into waged employment in the expanding manufacturing and service sectors. The percentage of the labor force in agriculture in the developing countries fell from 72% in 1965 to 61% by 1991, while that for industry and ser- 534 WORLD DEVELOPMENT vice rose from 11% to 14% and 17 to 25% respectively over the same period (ILO, 1995). These favorable changes have been attributed largely to liberalization of trade and ®nancial markets, exchange rate deregulation, and to the adoption of country-speci®c economic reform programs that give freer play to market forces. Accordingly, recent policy prescriptions for employment promotion have tended to adopt a ``hands o'' approach that downplays direct intervention in labor markets and minimizes the role of labor market regulation (ILO, 1995; World Bank, 1995; Qureshi, 1996). Women have also bene®ted from improvements in the world economy. Patterns of employment and income generation among women often diverge, however, from global trends in important ways that suggest that the forces shaping global integration aect women dierently. Agriculture, for example, is becoming increasingly feminized as women, following global trends, move out of the sector but at a slower rate than men. Women appear to be losing ground in the manufacturing sector as well. Meanwhile, the low-wage informal sector continues to be an important employer of poor women in developing and transition economies and gender gaps in wages and occupational hierarchies persist. This paper examines these trends, countertrends and gaps. This article frames a policy discussion that the International Center for Research on Women hosted at a variety of fora to debate the implications of recent trends in women's employment in the developing and developed world. The six articles presented in this volume span a range of empirical and theoretical inquiry, exploring global employment trends and highlighting changes in women's participation in formal and informal economic activities. A constant theme is whether employment and wage dierentials will persist or erode over time; whether such dierentials are the result of labor market segmentation by gender, the higher ®xed costs of labor market participation for women, dierential investment in human capital or women's lower job tenure in the formal sector. How might the increasing globalization of product and factor markets aect such trends and what are the policy implications arising from the increasing informalization of global production? Tzannatos (1999) describes changes in women's labor market participation over time and concludes that both pay and participation differentials are eroding dramatically in the de- veloping countries. Using data from 11 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean he demonstrates that despite the narrowing male±female dierentials, nontrivial economic costs are imposed upon these economies as the result of the remaining wage gap. Calculating the eects of the elimination of occupational segregation and imposing wage equality, he concludes that there are substantial output gains which outweigh smaller male wage declines from the equalization of wages. Horton (1999) focuses attention on women's overrepresentation in certain sectors and compares occupational and sectoral measures of labor market segmentation by gender. Using Duncan Indices to measure sectoral and occupational segregation by gender, she concludes that men and women face a more gender segmented labor market in Latin America than in Asia, with Europe and North Africa falling between these poles. Despite the overall trend toward greater equality of participation across sectors and occupations, women are not distributed equally throughout the labor market in proportion to their overall levels of participation. On average, 39% of the Latin American labor force and 19% of the Asian labor force would need to change sectors in order that men and women be represented proportionately in each sector. While the wage gap may be narrowing, persistent and unexplained dierentials remain that may belie the expectation that investments in female education alone may be sucient to close the remaining wage gap. Standing (1999) revisits the discussion of the feminization of ¯exible labor, characterizing the decade spanning the late 1980s and 1990s as one of heightened labor insecurity and ¯exibility. He hypothesizes that it is the spread of more ¯exible and informal employment that accounts for much of the upward trend in the female share of the labor force. This may be a result of increasing globalization in manufacturing and industry, where the rigors of competition have made wage and labor costs more important in determining the location of ®rms and the mode of production. In industries where pro®t margins are protected by reducing labor costs, extending hours and decreasing the numbers of formal production workers, women predominate. Standing notes that in countries in Asia where the female share of employment is rising rapidly and the manufacturing sector has grown most rapidly, the male±female wage dierentials remain the greatest. TRENDS, COUNTERTRENDS, AND GAPS IN WOMEN'S EMPLOYMENT Chen, Sebstad and O'Connell (1999) highlight the case of homeworkers to explore the informal sector linkages to the formal sector and draw attention to the need to re®ne existing survey instruments to better document women's labor market participation and the terms and conditions of their employment. Homeworkers, de®ned as either dependent or independent workers who carry out remunerative work within their homes, comprise a large and growing portion of the workforce in many countries. These authors argue that homework does not emerge as a subsector of the informal economy solely because some workers prefer to combine reproductive and productive activities, but also because employers choose employment contracts with homeworkers because they are cost-minimizing or revenue-maximizing. The article stresses that workers in the informal sector are not concentrated in stagnant undynamic subsectors, but also in dynamic, exportoriented subsectors. Furthermore, that in these subsectors, informal sector workers actually subsidize capitalist growth by providing infrastructure, tools, equipment and often working below minimum wages in highly insecure and contingent employment. In conclusion, Elson (1999) reviews the articles in this volume stressing that labor markets are gendered institutions and should be seen as markets structured by practices, perceptions, norms and networks which are ``bearers of gender.'' She argues that most labor market institutions are constructed on the basis that the burdens of the reproductive economy will be borne largely by women. She draws attention to the fact that rising rates of female participation are a statistical artifact representing improvements in accounting practices which enable some of women's unwaged and informal economic contributions and activities to be better measured. Despite such improvements in survey instruments, documentation and calibration, much of women's work remains invisible. In response, Elson suggests that there is a very real need to distinguish between labor force and labor market participation. Elson is critical of the notion raised by Tzannatos and Horton that the reported rise in female earnings relative to those of men is a result of ``harmonizing upwards,'' since the indicators employed do not capture the movement of average male wages over time. She also cautions against the conclusion that there has been a faster reduction in occupational segregation in the developing countries than in in- 535 dustrialized countries. She emphasizes that it is quite possible for the distribution of women across sectors and occupational categories to become more like those of men, without challenging the gender stereotyping of jobs and the segregation of men and women into dierent status employment, with consequences for remuneration, tenure, bene®ts and job quality. Our paper examines some of these trends, countertrends and gaps and argues that dierent and more direct policy responses are needed to improve women's employment than are currently popular. 2. ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AMONG WOMEN During 1970±90, economic activity among women increased in all regions shown in Figure 1, except sub-Saharan Africa and East and South-East Asia, in both of which they were already high. In developing regions, the largest increases were in South Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean. The large jump in southern Asia (from 25% in 1970 to 44% in 1990), however, may have been mostly due to changes in de®nitions in women's economic activity rates. The most signi®cant drop occurred in sub-Saharan Africa where women's labor force participation fell from 57% in 1970 to 53% in 1990 (United Nations, 1995). In 1990, economic activity rates among women averaged more than 50% in all the developed regions, in the Newly Independent States, Sub-Saharan Africa and in East, and South-East Asia.1 The regional aggregations mask the some of the within-region variations, close to half of all adult women were economically active in the Caribbean and Oceania, and 30% in West Asia.2 Lower rates prevailed in Latin America parts of South Asia, and the lowest in northern Africa (21%). Higher rates of economic activity among women no doubt re¯ect expansion of the global economy. Moreover, in regions where women's activity rates fell as in sub-Saharan Africa and, to a lesser extent in parts of Eastern Europe, economic contraction was most likely responsible.3 It is important to note, however, that increases in women's activity rates cannot always be assumed to result from economic growth. Other social factors such as falling fertility rates and improvements in education also play a role. More important, activity rates 536 WORLD DEVELOPMENT Figure 1. Women's economic activity rates, 1970±90. among women may increase as a result of economic downturns. The experience of sub-Saharan Africa serves to underscore that the data used to calculate economic activity rates may underestimate the economic participation of women, particularly across periods of economic instability and decline. Much of sub-Saharan African experienced negative or barely positive rates of GDP growth during the 1980s. Investment fell by approximately 50% during 1980±89 and gross domestic savings rates were broadly negative (Moghadam, 1994; ILO, 1995; World Bank, 1997). As government de®cits grew, so too did the burden of foreign debt. By 1995, external debt as a percentage of GNP in sub-Saharan Africa was an average of 137% (World Bank, 1997). With public sector downsizing, the dismantlement of the parastatals and decreased foreign direct investment, formal employment in the modern sector contracted, registering a decline from 10% of the total labor force in 1980 to 8% in 1990 (Moghadam, 1994; World Bank, 1997). Yet as the population increases and economic necessity grows, the informal sector is expanding, absorbing almost 63% of the total labor force in 1990 (ILO, 1993). It was estimated that approximately 35% of all informal sector workers in sub-Saharan Africa were women in 1990, demonstrating an increase of almost 10% since 1980. It is possible therefore, that the observed decline in economic activity rates for women is a result of the increasing informalization of women's employment as their economic activity goes largely undocumented and unquanti®ed. Certainly, women's economic activity rates increased in Latin America and the Caribbean where women's labor force participation increased steadily throughout the 20-year period, and even during the debt-induced recession of the 1980s. Part of the explanation may be that the 10-year period included both crisis and recovery. There was a demonstrable ``added worker'' eect as women increased their economic participation to help families weather the economic crisis.4 This added worker eect is illustrated most clearly by Chilean data from the 1974±75 economic crisis which show that, despite a longterm decline in women's labor force participation, women's activity rates in the lowest quintiles of household income distribution increased sharply, from 18% to almost 23%. The reverse happened with women in the upper quintiles of household income, and both trends reverted back to their pre-crisis levels with the end of the recession (Rosales Villavicencio, TRENDS, COUNTERTRENDS, AND GAPS IN WOMEN'S EMPLOYMENT 1979). Added worker eects for women in response to the economic downturns of the early 1980s have been documented for Argentina, Brazil, Costa Rica, Mexico, and Uruguay (ICRW, 1992; Moser, Herbert and Makonnen, 1993). In fact, there may have been ``added worker'' eects in sub-Saharan Africa as well which are not immediately obvious because they are masked by a shift from formal to informal sector work which is not well documented. These trends demonstrate that the steady global increase in women's economic participation rates do not uniformly re¯ect economic growth and prosperity. Rather, the regional evidence suggests that short-term increases in women's activity rates can be fueled by the need to compensate for declining household incomes during recession. This fact, moreover, is not always picked up in ocial data because the increased participation often occurs in the unrecorded informal sector. Sectoral trends in women's employment parallel the global trends and re¯ect improvements in employment patterns suggested by the broad shift from agricultural to nonagricultural employment. The gender disaggregated trends, however, also dier from the global trends in 537 important ways that paint a very dierent picture of the nature and quality (both earnings and terms of employment) of women's work. 3. SECTORAL TRENDS IN WOMEN'S EMPLOYMENT Globally, with increasing industrialization and the expansion of services, employment in agriculture has diminished in importance from accounting for 57% of the workforce in 1965 to 48% in 1995 (ILO, 1995). This trend holds for both developing and industrial economies, and is likely to intensify with policies that favor export promotion and provide impetus for technological growth and ®nancial liberalization. In particular, the removal of capital import restrictions coupled with ®nancial deregulation have been prime determinants of the shift toward more capital intensive production and expansion of service sector employment. The trend away from agriculture holds as well for women. As illustrated in Figure 2, the percentage of the total female labor force employed in agriculture has fallen or remained static in all regions except for East and South- Figure 2. Percentage of total female labor force in agriculture. 538 WORLD DEVELOPMENT east Asia. Although many of the within-regional trends are downward, in the developing countries as a whole, agriculture accounted for approximately 62% of total female employment in both 1980 and 1990, and remains the most important sector for female employment throughout much of Africa and Asia (United Nations, 1995, various years). Again re¯ecting global trends, the share of total female employment in the manufacturing sector increased in the developing countries, and particularly in Asia. In parts of sub-Saharan Africa, the Western Asia and the OECD where the proportion of the total female labor force absorbed by manufacturing fell, the decline was largely compensated by increases in service sector employment. In fact, the overall increase in women's activity rates was absorbed primarily by a growing share of women employed in the service sector, de®ned here as clerical, sales and services. Women's representation in services grew signi®cantly in the Newly Independent States where the share of total female employment in services increased from 27% in 1970 to 38% in 1990. The percentage of women in the service sector in this period increased from 47% to 56%, with the most dramatic increase occurring in Eastern Europe where almost 73% of the service sector was dominated by women (Table 1; Moghadam, 1992). Service sector employment also grew in North Africa and West Asia, and in East and Southeast Asia. In 1970 clerical, sales and services commanded 26% of the total female labor force in North Africa and West Asia, by 1990, 35% of the total female labor force was employed in services. Lesser increases may be observed in South Asia, and Latin America. Even in Latin America where women's participation in the service sector is extremely high, there has been a slight increase in the feminization of this sector (Figure 3). As the nonagricultural sectors generally oer higher-wage and more stable and secure employment, these trends re¯ect broad improvements in the quality of women's employment. Thus, the forces of global integration and the associated macroeconomic developments have had a generally bene®cial eect on women's employment. The broader sectoral trends, however, mask other more interesting trends, particularly in the agricultural and manufacturing sectors. (a) Countertrends in agriculture Although, as noted above, the importance of the agricultural sector is diminishing in importance for women as well as for men, women are moving out of agriculture at a slower pace than men. As a result, women's representation in the agricultural labor force of developing countries is increasing. During 1980±90, for the developing countries as a whole, it rose from 41.6% to 43% (United Nations, 1995). A signi®cant proportion of the total female labor force in developing countries is engaged in agriculture Ð 62% in 1990. In 1990, more Table 1. Women as a percentage of the labor force in each sector Africa Sub-Saharan Africa North Africa 1970 1980 1990 Agricul- Manu- Services ture facture Agricul- Manu- Services ture facture Agricul- Manu- Services ture facture 30 5 Asia South Asia 17 East & Southeast Asia 34 China N/A Latin America and the 12 Caribbean Middle East 12 Newly Independent States 50 OECD 25 a 18 11 28 9 36 10 28 25 30 15 37 20 28 23 36 17 12 41 N/A 29 9 33 N/A 43 20 37 46 15 18 42 44 29 11 35 35 44 32 34 47 16 41 44 43 36 15 41 38 48 12 38 27 12 47 40 14 49 31 12 43 28 16 53 45 12 45 33 10 43 29 17 56 48 a N/A Not Available. Source: United Nations, various years. TRENDS, COUNTERTRENDS, AND GAPS IN WOMEN'S EMPLOYMENT 539 Figure 3. Percentage of the total female labor force in services. than half of the female labor force in China and sub-Saharan Africa was employed in agriculture. Even in South Asia, which registered a decrease in the total female labor force absorbed in agriculture from 65% to 44%, it remained the most signi®cant sector for women. In the 20-year period from 1970±90, moreover, women's share of the farm labor force increased in ®ve of the eight developing regions shown in Table 1. These data suggest that the agricultural labor force is becoming increasingly feminized. Various factors account for women's growing representation in agriculture, the relative importance of one or more of these explanations varying with the region, subregion and country. In some cases, it re¯ects expanding opportunities for men outside agriculture as globalization and industrialization oer higherwage o-farm work. Or men may be compelled to seek o-farm work because land degradation, drought and other factors reduce farm yields and incomes and necessitate supplementation of farm with o-farm incomes. Women are often left behind, and de facto become heads of households and farm managers. This has occurred in places as diverse as Honduras, Nepal, Southern and Eastern Africa, and Ye- men (Horenstein, 1989; Islam and DixonMueller, 1991; Casey and Paolisso, 1996; and Warnken and Nicholson, 1989). An extensive literature developed over the past 20 years documents the constraints faced by women farmers, their lack of access to resources such as credit and farm implements, and their neglect by agricultural extension services (Berger, DeLancey and Mellancamp, 1984; Buvinic and Mehra, 1990; Kossoudji and Mueller, 1983; Saito and Weidemann, 1990; Staudt, 1982; Quisumbing, 1993). In light of growing concerns about global food security, the need is clear to design and implement policies that direct resources and services to the rising proportion of women farmers to enable them to enhance their productivity and incomes. In other situations, the feminization may be due to growing wage labor opportunities for women as, for example, in nontraditional agricultural exports. While the majority of these opportunities are for low-skilled, low-paid work, they nevertheless provide better job options for women workers and can serve to raise the price of female labor. This seems to have been the case in Chile where rising demand for female labor in agricultural exports resulted in 540 WORLD DEVELOPMENT a shortage of and increased wages for female domestic workers (Vial, 1992). In this case, too, policies are needed to support women's work and improve their wages and working conditions. Particular problems include long hours, intermittent and seasonal work, exposure to pesticides and other chemicals, and the diculties associated with organizing labor within the agricultural sector. (b) Countertrends in manufacturing The forces of global integration have also had a salutary eect on women's employment in manufacturing which has grown substantially in the 20-year period. Women now represent more than a third of the manufacturing labor force in developing countries, and almost one-half in some Asian countries. The greatest increases occurred in countries that adopted export-oriented development strategies, and especially those that set up Export Processing Zones (EPZs), where women comprise on average about 70% of the labor force (Joekes and Weston, 1994; Wood, 1994). As a result, the share of women in manufacturing increased signi®cantly in countries as diverse as the Dominican Republic, Egypt, Honduras, Malaysia, Mauritius, Sri Lanka, Thailand, and Tunisia. In Sri Lanka, for instance, women's share in manufacturing increased from 32% in 1975 to 61% in 1992, while in Mauritius it increased from 19% in 1970 to 60% in 1992 (Standing, 1989, 1999). Much of the growth in women's employment in export-oriented manufacturing is concentrated in industries such as textiles, garments, shoes, and electronics, although in the Newly Industrializing Countries (NICs) of East Asia, women are increasingly employed outside manufacturing in export-oriented services such as information processing, tourism, and ®nancial services. In textiles and clothing manufacture where women remain the majority of employees, employment has grown dramatically. In Mauritius where women represented 70% of the clothing and textiles workforce in 1990, employment had grown by 344% since 1980. Similarly in Morocco and Tunisia where estimates are that almost 60% of the clothing and textiles workforce are women, employment has tripled since 1980 (ILO, 1995). For the vast majority of women who have fairly recently entered manufacturing, however, the shift in employment is from unwaged, less secure employment in agriculture and the informal sector and, therefore, the relatively more regular waged employment in the formal sector represents an advance. This improvement is generally acknowledged by women newly entering the sector (New York Times, 1996; Financial Times, 1996). Within the manufacturing sector, however, women are concentrated in assembly line and production work that is semi-skilled, low-wage, contingent and short-term in that the labor force tends to be young unmarried women who are replaced when they marry or within a few years by younger cohorts. Standing (1989) has termed this phenomenon ``the feminization of ¯exible labor.'' Women appear to be willing to work under these conditions, presumably because the alternatives are not much better. For these very reasons, employers seeking to gain and maintain competitiveness in global markets, are inclined to substitute female for male workers. In fact, in many cases, these conditions are perpetuated because governments seeking the employment and foreign exchange gains from EPZs exempt them from labor regulations. Often, because unions are not permitted in EPZs, women have little bargaining power to improve their wages and working conditions (Joekes and Moayedi, 1987). Even when unions are permitted, issues aecting women are not in many cases a high priority within them (Mulders and van Osch, 1994). There are recent indications that these trends may once again be changing. First, there is an emerging trend that suggests the defeminization of labor. In some middle-income and developed countries, the demand for women's labor appears to be declining as export production is restructured and becomes more technologized. More specialized skills are required and this often translates into an increased demand for male labor and a reduced demand for female labor. This has happened, for instance, in Korea where female employment in manufacturing nearly doubled in the early 1980s from 1.16 million to 2.05 million, only to fall over 1989± 93 (Kim and Kim, 1995). During the 1970s and early 1980s production was dominated by low technology consumer items such as radios, televisions, garments and shoes. When production shifted in the 1980s to more capital intensive and sophisticated semi-conductor communications and computer products, the composition of the workforce changed. The total number of production workers fell during 1987±92 but female workers were shed faster than male workers Ð female workers decreased TRENDS, COUNTERTRENDS, AND GAPS IN WOMEN'S EMPLOYMENT 35.3% and male workers dropped by just 13.6% (Kim and Kim, 1995). Similarly, in the maquiladoras of Mexico, the proportion of female workers fell from 77% of the total labor force in 1982 to just under 60% in 1990 (Shaiken, 1993). The trend has been noted as well in the metal industry in Buenos Aires and the textile and garment industries in Catalonia, Spain, and as a result of the upgrading of production methods across all sectors in Singapore (Beneria, 1996; Joekes and Weston, 1994). If the trend re¯ects a pattern for long-term changes in the sector, it suggests that the gains women have made so far may be short-lived. The issue deserves further research. Second, there is an opposite trend that appears to be reinforcing the feminization of ¯exible labor but not in the direction that oers women better employment in the waged sector. Rather, the trend is toward the intensi®cation of ¯exibility, particularly for female employees. Producers appear to be relying more on casual or temporary workers, and reducing the numbers of permanent employees. This increased outsourcing of production work is re¯ected in a rise in homebased work in both developed and developing countries. Wherever statistics are available, moreover, they show that more women than men are employed in homework Ð as much as 95% of homeworkers are women in places such as Greece, Ireland, Italy and the Netherlands (Chen, 1996; Chen, Sebstad and O'Connell, 1999). In developing countries, too, women appear to predominate in homebased work. For instance, surveys in three east Javanese villages in Indonesia showed, homeworking in the production of embroidered garments was entirely a female occupation (Wijaya and Santoso, 1993).5 A signi®cant proportion of those women employed in clothing and textile manufacture are homeworkers (Chen, Sebstad and O'Connell, 1999). In Palestine, 90% of all homebased workers in the textile and clothing industry were women, 35% of whom were unwaged (Hindiyeh-Mani, 1996). In the Philippines, 82% of the 500,000 homeworkers that produce garments for the textile industry are also women (ILO, 1993). An important point to note is that homebased work contributes a considerable share to the production of goods such as clothing, textiles, shoes, carpets and even electronics Ð key formal sector industries. The outsourcing of such work represents a ``semi-formalization'' of the labor market. As the work is done by individuals in their own homes, producers can 541 lower their costs and avoid labor regulations which apply only to factory-based work. In fact, workers are paid piece rates which tend to be low and, in some cases, yield earnings below the minimum wage. Bene®ts are nonexistent. Because workers are dispersed, it is dicult for them to organize and assert demands for better pay and working conditions. 4. THE INFORMAL SECTOR A persistent gap in the literature on women's employment is in the lack of recognition given to the informal sector (Chen, Sebstad and O'Connell, 1999; Elson, 1999). Factors contributing to the persistence of this gap are the lack of data availability and perceptions that the sector represents a residual category and that it does not contribute signi®cantly to either the national or global economies. Research done over the past 20 years shows the informal sector is vital for the economic survival of poor women (Berger and Buvinic, 1989). It provides more employment more consistently for women than the formal sector and, in fact, for the majority of the labor force in most developing countries. More than 80% of workers in low-income countries and 40% of those in middle-income countries are employed in the informal sector, both urban and rural. As the low and middleincome countries between them account for 85% of the world's population, it is clear that a majority of the world's workers 61% are employed in the informal sector (Chen, 1996). Of these, women represent a signi®cant share. The data in Table 2 show that in every country listed a larger percentage of women than men are employed in nonwage employment. Since the majority of nonremunerated workers are also in the informal sector, nonwage employment provides a useful metric to gauge the size of the informal sector. Virtually all women workers in low-income countries such as Tanzania and Ghana are concentrated in informal sector employment. Even in ``middle-income'' countries, a large proportion of women are in the informal sector, notably, 76% in Thailand and as much as 80% in Turkey. There is evidence, too, that the informal sector is becoming increasingly important in the transition economies, especially for women retrenched from the formal labor force (Aslanbeigui, Pressman and Summer®eld, 1993; Kuehnast, 1993; Moghadam, 1994). 542 WORLD DEVELOPMENT Table 2. Shares of men and women in nonwage employment Country Year Men Women Income level Bolivia Cape Verde Egypt El Salvador Ghana Indonesia Korea, Rep. of Pakistan Peru Tanzania Thailand Tunisia Turkey 1991 1990 1989 1991 1989 1989 1991 1992 1991 1988 1989 1989 1991 42 42 46 28 69 70 38 66 39 84 71 36 55 70 54 74 48 92 79 43 77 55 95 76 51 80 Middle Middle Low Middle Low Middle Middle Low Middle Low Middle Middle Middle Source: World Bank (1995). Furthermore, employment in the sector has either been stable or has grown during the 1980s in many parts of the developing world. ILO data show that formal sector employment has grown rapidly only in East Asia; it has grown more slowly in South Asia (e.g., 1.6% per annum in India). In sub-Saharan Africa, waged employment fell during the 1980s at the rate of 0.5% per annum, while in Latin America, employment in the urban informal sector increased from 13.4% of the labor force in 1980 to 18.6% in 1992. As noted above, even formal sector enterprises are becoming informalized as they rely more on homebased work or on a variation of it, on-site contractual work outside factory boundaries. Such work quali®es as ``informal'' because employers are able to circumvent labor regulations. The informal sector in many developing countries is large, and diverse. The term ``informal'' actually describes a range of activities that, in rural areas, include farming, cottage industries, tool-making and garment-making, and in urban areas, petty trading (viz., fruit and vegetable selling) and small-scale manufacturing enterprises. Although informal sector work can be both paid and unpaid, much of the work women do in this sector is paid. Women's earnings in the informal sector, however, are low and often uncertain and working conditions are poor. Increasingly, with homebased work, informal sector activities re¯ect activities in the formal sector and are directly tied into them. Informal sector activity also includes self-employment. Thus, 55% of women in the urban informal sector in Bolivia were self-employed, 37% in Guatemala, and 24% in Brazil in activities such as commerce, food production and retail, and personal services (United Nations, 1993). Self-employment for women can take the form of dead-end survival activities to more stable enterprises that have potential for expansion and development. This range poses dicult challenges for policy and programs. The 1995 World Development Report that focused on employment paid little attention to the informal sector, regarding it primarily as a residual whose role in the adjustment and globalization processes was to absorb workers temporarily displaced from the formal labor market. The reasoning was that as adjustment occurred and economies expanded the displaced workers would ®nd employment in the formal sector and that there was no need to directly address issues in the informal sector. We have argued, however, that the reality among women is that employment in the informal sector is not transitory. While a share of this employment may be temporary in countries experiencing recession and or adjustment, for the most part, women's participation in the informal sector re¯ects long-term trends such as women's lack of occupational mobility due to low education and skill levels; poverty, that limits women's access to product and factor markets; and more recently, shifts in employer preferences resulting in the informalization and semi-formalization of labor. Institutional factors such as the constraints posed by women's reproductive roles are also at work. Direct policy interventions are needed in the short term to improve women's incomes and working conditions within the informal sector and in the TRENDS, COUNTERTRENDS, AND GAPS IN WOMEN'S EMPLOYMENT longer term to enable them to better access employment in the formal sector. 5. PERSISTING GAPS IN WOMEN'S EMPLOYMENT Other persistent gaps in women's employment are those having to do with gender differences in occupations, wages and unemployment rates. Once again, information on wages and unemployment rates, especially in developing countries, is very scanty but the trends are fairly consistent, as we show below. (a) Occupational segregation Women and men work essentially in dierent occupations, although the speci®c jobs they do vary both by region and over time. Worldwide, women are concentrated in clerical, sales and service jobs traditionally regarded as ``female'' occupations. They are signi®cantly underrepresented in production and transport and in administrative and managerial jobs in which men predominate. Nearly half of all working women in developed countries are in clerical, sales or service jobs and just a fourth in professional and managerial jobs (Table 3). By contrast, men are concentrated in production and transport jobs. In developing countries, too, a much higher proportion of men than women hold production jobs Ð 21% of men compared with 9% of women in sub-Saharan Africa, and in Southern Asia, 26% of men relative to 19% of women. In East and South- 543 eastern Asia, during 1970±90, the percentage of women employed in production fell as they shifted into clerical and service occupations (Table 3). Women represent a very small proportion of administrative and managerial workers in all regions, although their representation has been growing since 1980 everywhere except in South Asia (United Nations, 1995). Women are, however, better represented as a percentage of the workforce in professional and technical jobs, although less so in Africa than in the other regions, see Table 4. In the developed regions and in Latin America/Caribbean, women represent almost half of all professional and technical workers. This category, however, includes teachers, nurses, and other professions traditionally regarded as women's occupations. Data for Latin America in fact show that although women represent from 37% to 60% of professionals in countries such as Argentina, Chile Colombia, Ecuador, Panama, Paraguay, Peru and Venezuela, most such women work as teachers and nurses and only a small proportion are lawyers, medical doctors, administrators, and managers (Buvinic and Lycette, 1994). As noted earlier, women in most developing regions have been shifting out of agriculture and into the services. While this is a positive trend, it is important to note that they are concentrated in the lower-paying jobs in community, social and personal services and in trade, restaurants, and hotels. Only a very small proportion of women are employed in the higher-paying ®nance, insurance and business services (Table 5). Table 3. Distribution of the female labor force by major occupational group, developing countries, 1970 and 1990 (percentage) Professional and technical; administrative and managerial Developed regions Northern Africa and Western Asia Sub-Saharan Africa Latin America and Caribbean Eastern and Southeastern Asia Southern Asia Oceania Source: United Nations (1995). Clerical, sales and service Production and transport workers and laborers 1970 1990 1970 1990 1970 1990 13 25 23 21 49 26 48 35 20 9 15 9 5 13 8 4 16 6 15 9 11 17 27 54 31 8 22 23 55 38 12 37 7 15 20 21 3 9 14 14 19 13 544 WORLD DEVELOPMENT Table 4. Women's share in the major occupational groups, 1980 and 1990 percentage women Professional, technical and related workers Administrative and managerial workers 1980 1990 1980 1990 Clerical and related workers; service workers Sales workers Production and transport workers and labourers 1980 1990 1980 1990 1980 1990 Developed regions Eastern Europe Western Europe Other developed 57 42 46 56 50 44 22 12 16 33 18 32 64 62 65 73 63 69 69 48 43 66 48 41 25 15 17 27 16 22 Africa Northern Africa sub-Saharan Africa 24 30 29 36 7 8 9 15 18 29 22 37 3 43 10 52 11 13 10 20 Latin America and Caribbean Latin America Caribbean 47 51 49 52 15 22 23 29 52 62 59 62 39 57 47 59 14 18 17 21 Asia and Paci®c Eastern Asia Southeastern Asia Southern Asia Western Asia Oceania 35 42 30 30 38 43 48 32 37 41 7 13 8 4 10 11 1 6 7 18 41 40 15 19 42 48 48 20 29 52 40 45 8 6 37 42 53 8 12 53 32 25 26 4 6 30 21 16 7 17 Source: Prepared by the Statistical Division of the United Nations Secretariat from Women's Indicators and Statistics Database (WISTAT), Version 3, CD-ROM (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.95.XVII.6). Table 5. Female service employment by subsectors, selected developing countries Year Africa Botswana Egypt Kenya Malawi Asia Bahrain Hong Kong Indonesia Republic of Korea Philippines Singapore Sri Lanka Thailand Latin America Barbados Colombia El Salvador Uruguay Venezuela Trade restaurants Transport storage Finance, insurance, real Community, social and and hotels and communications estate business services personal services 1986 1983 1986 1985 25.7 19.7 8.5 20.6 2.3 3.0 3.9 7.6 6.9 4.2 6.1 8.8 63.2 63.6 78.9 58.8 1982 1986 1985 1986 5.4 40.6 61.6 60.9 10.2 5.2 0.3 2.1 10.9 12.2 0.6 6.9 70.1 40.0 36.3 27.7 1985 1986 1984 1984 45.1 35.2 39.9 47.6 1.0 7.8 5.0 2.3 3.3 16.8 32.7 ÿ 50.1 37.1 11.0 46.1 and the Caribbean 1986 33.3 1986 35.0 1983 45.3 1986 20.2 1986 26.8 4.2 2.4 7.2 2.7 2.2 4.8 8.0 16.6 6.0 8.4 55.8 53.2 23.0 70.0 60.9 Source: United Nations (1989). TRENDS, COUNTERTRENDS, AND GAPS IN WOMEN'S EMPLOYMENT In general, jobs in which women predominate are less desirable and lower status occupations. Such jobs pay less. Studies show that there is a strong relationship between occupational segregation and lower pay for women. In urban Peru, a study showed that women were concentrated in occupations with the lowest average earnings and the largest male±female dierences. In the former Soviet Union, industries where women represented more than 70% of the work force had the lowest average wages (United Nations, 1995). Generally, women are concentrated in jobs that are less desirable not only because they pay less but they also lack or have fewer bene®ts, the type of work and the hours are unfavorable, employment is often contingent, and promotion opportunities are limited. (b) Wage dierentials Worldwide, there are persistent gaps between women's and men's earnings. There is a widely held belief that the persistent male±female earnings dierentials are a function of women's lower levels of education and/or experience. Since statistical data generally refute this belief, as women in equivalent occupations and sectors often have higher levels of education than men, other explanations must be sought. A variety of theories exist that cast doubt on market-clearing analyses of the labor market, many of which would instead support the notion of a sex-segmented labor market (Arriagada, 1994; Cox, Edwards and Edwards, 1991; Psachoropoulos and Tzannatos, 1992; United Nations, 1993). Controlling for age, education and labor market tenure persistent dierentials remain between rates of remuneration for men and women (Hotchkiss and Moore, 1996; Seguino, 1994; Tam, 1996; Barros, Ramos and Santos, 1995). The United Nations (1995) found that in none of the 37 countries for which data were available did women's wages in manufacturing equal that of men (Table 6). In ®ve countries, women's average earnings were less than 60% than those of men, including Japan, Korea and Singapore. Women's wages were closer to men's (ratios higher than 80) mostly in developed countries such as some of the Nordic countries, Italy and Australia, and in a few developing countries such as El Salvador, Myanmar, and SriLanka. During 1970±90, the OECD countries made some progress in reducing the gap between male and female wages. Tzannatos (1996) also 545 found relative increases in female earnings in six developing countries during the 1980s. These improvements were largely due to improvements in women's wages in manufacturing. In other countries, however, recent data show that the male±female wage dierential is widening, most notably in Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore, the latter two being places in which women's employment in manufacturing is high. This may be attributed to increasing labor market segmentation as within sector hierarchies become more pronounced and occupations more starkly partitioned between men and women. Analysis of Duncan Indices6 in global trends in women's employment revealed that while gender inequality in participation across all sectors initially falls in many developing countries, the transition to more marketoriented economies and global integration of product and factor markets appears to be associated with a consequent rise in sectoral and occupational segmentation by sex (Gammage, 1996). As the workforce becomes more divided, pronounced dierentials in skills and wages emerge that are indicative of an erosion of the terms and conditions of female employment, and respond to the dual trends we observe in the manufacturing sector of recapitalization Table 6. Women's average wages in manufacturing as percentage of men's, developing countries, 1980 and 1990 1980 1990 62 62 55 68 74 54 73 Latin America and Caribbean Costa Rica El Salvador Netherlands Antilles Paraguay 70 81 51 79 74 94 65 66 Asia and the Paci®c Cyprus Guam Hong Kong Korea, Republic of Myanmar Singapore Sri Lanka 50 50 78 45 86 62 75 58 51 69 50 97 55 88 Africa Egypt Kenya Swaziland Zambia a From Standing (1989). Source: United Nations (1995). a 546 WORLD DEVELOPMENT and informalization. As the transition from low-income to high-income economy progresses, the skill mix of men and women changes, the wage gap narrows and the Duncan Index falls. The speed of the adjustment depends acutely, however, on the level of human capital investment undertaken by states and by ®rms and the availability of new higher-skilled labor market entrants of both sexes. Other evidence on manufacturing sector wages comes from the EPZs. It, too, is contradictory and shows that wages in EPZs can be both higher and lower than those in the surrounding economy. Explanations include a ``salary life cycle'' in which EPZ wages are at ®rst high, but decline over time and, in 10±15 years, end up lower than in the local area (Joekes and Weston, 1994). Wage dierences may also arise from the shift noted above towards high-technology, higher-value added (and hence, presumably, higher wage) industries in which the share of women workers is declining. Overall, women earn less than men everywhere. Although there are signs in some places that the wage gap may be lessening, in others, it has been increasing (Horton, 1999). Part of the explanation, as noted above, is that women work in lower-paying occupations and because they hold lower-level positions. They also are more likely to be employed in part-time work than men. But a study in Latin America where on average men earn 30% more than women found that dierences in human capital such as education, years of job experience, and hours worked per week accounted for only 20% of male/female wage dierentials. The unexplained remainder they attributed to discrimination (Psachoropoulos and Tzannatos, 1992). (c) Unemployment In many countries, in both developed and developing regions, women represent a disproportionately high share of the unemployed. In developed regions unemployment rates were higher among women than men in two thirds of the countries for which data were available. Rates tended to be about 50±100% higher for women than men. In the developing countries shown in Table 7, in 22 countries for which unemployment data were available in Latin America and the Caribbean, only in one (Puerto Rico) were rates for men signi®cantly higher than for women, they were about equal in seven and higher for women than men in 16. In Asia, the industrialized NICs (Hong Kong, Korea, Macau, and Singapore) show rates slightly lower for women than men, but in the poorer countries rates for women are consistently higher than for men Ð twice as high in Sri Lanka and four times as much in Pakistan. 6. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS Globally, women's participation in economic activities is growing. Paralleling trends in overall employment, women's employment in wage work is increasing. But improvements in women's employment as judged by shifts from agriculture to manufacturing and from lowerwaged to higher-waged employment lag behind global trends. Women tend to be retained longer in less desirable employment as, for example, in agriculture. They also tend to be absorbed faster in lower-paying and less secure work as in the ``semi-formal'' production sector, and to be displaced faster when work becomes more skilled and technologized. Their wages are generally lower and ``stickier'' than those of men, their working conditions poorer, and their bargaining power more limited. Some of these dierences can be explained by structural factors that include underinvestment in women's human capital, others by social and institutional norms that assign reproductive responsibilities almost exclusively to women and underplay their economic roles. It is important to note that these factors do not just aect the long-term trends in women's employment. Rather, they permeate the nature and conditions of women's work on a daily basis contributing, for instance, to gender-differentiated ®ring and hiring practices, terms of employment, and bene®ts policies. Thus, while adjustment and trade liberalization are necessary, in most cases, to set the preconditions for improvements in women's employment, they are not sucient to change the underlying conditions aecting women's employment and incomes. More direct policy actions are required on a broad set of issues pertaining to women's employment, wages and working conditions. Types of policies needed are as follows: Greater investments are needed in girls' and women's human capital, including both schooling and job-speci®c skills development, both to improve women's access to employment overall and to facilitate women's occu- TRENDS, COUNTERTRENDS, AND GAPS IN WOMEN'S EMPLOYMENT 547 Table 7. Unemployment rate by sex, developing countries, 1991 and 1992 (percentage) Women Latin America and Caribbean Argentina a 7.7 Bahamas 12.5 Barbados 25.7 Bolivia 7.8 3.4 Brazil b Chile 5.6 Costa Rica 5.4 8.5 Ecuador c El Salvador 7.2 17.6 French Guiana d Guadalupe 34.0 Jamaica 23.1 3.1 Mexico e f 20.9 Netherlands Antilles Nicaragua 19.4 Panama 21.2 4.7 Paraguay g 10.7 Peru h Puerto Rico 12.9 Trinidad and Tobago 23.4 11.6 Uruguay c Venezuela 9.4 Men 6.6 11.0 20.4 6.9 3.8 4.1 3.5 4.1 8.4 11.7 16.0 9.3 2.5 13.1 11.3 10.0 5.4 6.0 19.0 15.7 7.2 9.6 Asia and Paci®c China Hong Kong Israel Korea, Republic of Macau Pakistan Philippines Singapore Sri Lanka Syrian Arab Republic Thailand Turkey Women Men 1.1 1.9 13.9 2.1 2.5 16.8 9.9 2.6 21.0 14.0 2.4 7.2 0.8 2.0 9.2 2.6 3.0 4.5 7.9 2.7 10.6 5.2 2.1 8.1 Source: United Nations (1995). Greater Buenos Aires only. Excluding some rural areas. c Urban areas. d Cayenne and Kourou. e Metropolitan areas of Mexico City, Monterey and Guadalajara. f Curacßao only. g Metropolitan area. h Lima. a b pational mobility. Policies are also needed to encourage ®rms that provide training to ensure equal access for both women and men. In order to make women's work more visible and to facilitate better tracking of trends and developments, improvements are needed in data collection through national censuses and employment surveys. Survey instruments should be made more sensitive to women's work in the informal and semi-formal sectors and to obtain more and better data on wages and incomes. In agriculture, policies are needed that acknowledge women's roles as farmers, and thereby, eligible on an equal basis for services and resources available to male farmers Ð agricultural extension, credit, training, information and new technologies. Women also need access to land in their own right. In addition to ®nancial market reform, policies needed to improve women's work in the informal sector include those that address women's production constraints (lack of access to capital, technology, training and information, and markets) as well as provide social services health services and social security. Labor laws and standards should be extended to encompass and protect informal sector workers and policies designed to facilitate organization among them to enable them to advocate in their own behalf. Similar policies are needed to address women's employment in the semi-formal sector. Finally, gender neutral bene®ts policies are needed to ensure that the intention of protective labor legislation such as that pertaining to maternity leave, hours of work is not used to undermine the terms and conditions of employment of women workers.7 Worker bene®ts should be made conditional upon the outcome or need (child-birth, skill dierentials, unemployment) and not the gender of the worker. 548 WORLD DEVELOPMENT NOTES 1. The Newly Independent States (NIS) are de®ned here as all those former Soviet or Socialist Republics in Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Although this regional subgrouping did not exist before 1989, we have aggregated and taken weighted averages of employment statistics from the following countries: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Czechoslovakia, Georgia, Hungary, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Poland, the Republic of Moldovia, Romania, the Russian Federation, Slovakia, Slovenia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan. 2. West Asia comprises Bahrain, Cyprus, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syrian Arab Republic, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. 3. In sub-Saharan Africa 18 out of 47 countries experienced negative rates of growth over 1980±90 with a further ®ve experiencing barely positive rates of growth between zero and 0.5. In the Newly Independent States (NIS) growth rates have been resoundingly negative over the last ®ve years as prices are freed and markets created for formerly non-traded domestic inputs and highly subsidized outputs (United Nations, 1995, WISTAT). 4. A similar trend was observed in the United States (and other developed countries) during the Great Depresssion of 1929±32 as women took jobs to compensate for household income losses due to the displacement of male workers. 5. Homework does oer women greater ¯exibility to combine their reproductive and productive tasks. 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