CATENA-01345; No of Pages 11 ARTICLE IN PRESS Catena xxx (2008) xxx–xxx Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Catena j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / c a t e n a Trends and controls of Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment Thomas Hoffmann a,⁎, Gilles Erkens b, Renate Gerlach c, Josef Klostermann d, Andreas Lang e a Department of Geography, University of Bonn, Meckenheimer Allee 166, 53115 Bonn, Germany Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 2, 3584 CS Utrecht, The Netherlands c Rheinisches Amt für Bodendenkmalpflege, Endenicher Straße 133, 53113 Bonn, Germany d Geologisches Landesamt, Nordrhein-Westfalen, De-Greiff-Straße 195, 47803 Krefeld, Germany e Department of Geography, University of Liverpool, L69 7TZ, United Kingdom b a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 17 December 2007 Received in revised form 25 July 2008 Accepted 2 September 2008 Available online xxxx Keywords: Floodplain sedimentation rate Human impact Climate impact Catchment size Radiocarbon dating Holocene a b s t r a c t Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment is controlled by human and climate impacts. Intricate river behaviour modifies the fluvial response to the external impacts making cause–effect analysis difficult, especially on large spatial scales. To better understand the relative importance and interdependencies of external and internal controls, temporally resolved floodplain sedimentation rates are established using three different methods: i) floodplain storage studies on the trunk stream, ii) depth/age-analysis of overbank deposits from different parts of the catchment and iii) cumulative frequency distributions of 14C-ages from floodplain deposits from various parts of the catchment. The applied methodology strongly differs with the available temporal resolution and the size of the corresponding catchment. All three methods show a strong increase in sedimentation rate for more recent periods that can be linked to increasing human impact. Evidences for climate impacts and intricate river behaviour are less clear and hindered by insufficient temporal resolution of the currently available data. © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction In fluvial systems the effects of flooding as well as the associated erosion, transport and deposition of sediments are controlled by the physiographic setting of a catchment and are moderated by climateand land cover/land use change. Even though land use and climate are not independent, they change at different spatial and temporal scales, exerting a complex driver pattern on fluvial systems. When addressing long-term interactions between past climate, human activities, and ecological processes (Dearing et al., 2007), it is of great importance to understand the spatial and temporal dynamics of erosion and sedimentation in detail. Furthermore, floodplain sedimentation is a proxy for long-term changes in flood regime; the longterm erosion of soil, sediment and organic matter; and the changing impact on coastal systems. River systems are characterised by complex behaviour with variable sediment sources, temporal gaps in downstream sediment propagation and changing trapping efficiency of sediment sinks (Erkens et al., in press; Lewin and Macklin, 2003). The most promising concept for understanding such complexities is the sediment budget approach. If available at a variety of spatial and temporal scales, sediment budgets allow unravelling of the dynamic ⁎ Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (T. Hoffmann). behaviour and thus the trajectory of river response (Dearing and Jones, 2003). Despite that there are numerous sediment budgets available for small drainage basins and longer time spans (millennia) (de Moor, 2006; Dotterweich et al., 2003; Houben, 2006; Lang et al., 2003; Rommens et al., 2006) as well as for large drainage basins and short time spans (decades) (Asselman et al., 2003; Shi and Zhang, 2005; Wasson, 2003), little is known about the response of large fluvial systems on temporal scales that match the period of human impact. Nevertheless, this knowledge is essential to integrate river based sediment fluxes in global biogeochemical cycles. On the time scales of centuries and millennia, rivers cannot be viewed as conveyor belts that just deliver eroded soil and sediment to the oceans. Within-basin storage on slopes and in floodplains is essential and often exceeds delivery (Goodbred and Kuehl, 1999; Hoffmann et al., 2007; Trimble, 1999). Floodplain storage therefore has three major implications: first, floodplains are an important recorder of river history and are commonly used to infer river response to external impacts (Brown, 1996). The advantage of floodplain sediments for paleoenvironmental reconstructions lies in their spatial ubiquity. The open-system character of rivers, however, results in a rather incomplete floodplain record (Aalto et al., 2003; Brown, 1996; Paola, 2003). Second, floodplains store sediment and therefore alter the downstream sedimentary signal in response to external changes and floodplain deposition. Floodplain storage reduces sediment in the river channel, therefore decreasing the amount of overbank deposition further downstream and the propagation of an external 0341-8162/$ – see front matter © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.catena.2008.09.002 Please cite this article as: Hoffmann, T., et al., Trends and controls of Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment, Catena (2008), doi:10.1016/j.catena.2008.09.002 ARTICLE IN PRESS 2 T. Hoffmann et al. / Catena xxx (2008) xxx–xxx signal along the channel. To reconstruct paleoenvironmental conditions, it is of first order importance to understand how a drainage basin (e.g. via floodplain storage) smoothes climate- and humaninduced perturbations (Métivier and Gaudemer, 1999; Walling, 2006). Third, the degree of lateral erosion and channel incision strongly influence the trapping efficiency, the rate of floodplain deposition and the preservation potential (Lewin and Macklin, 2003). Therefore sedimentation rates of overbank deposits may change in response to autogenic adjustments without changes of external conditions. Also, the coupling relationships and the efficiency of sediment delivery between system components is dynamic and changes as a river basin adjusts to external triggers (Lang et al., 2003), with the buffering effect of floodplains increasing with catchment size resulting in a decreased sensitivity in larger catchments (Dearing and Jones, 2003; Walling, 1983, 2006). Many results on Holocene evolution are available from case studies of river catchments, with data for sediment transport and deposition extracted from colluvial deposits, lake sediments and floodplain sediments. This data is usually dispersed so that upscaling to derive system-wide information remains difficult. One approach to integrate case study information is by establishing databases of dated floodplain units. This has recently been established for several river systems (Hoffmann et al., in press; Lewin et al., 2005; Macklin et al., 2006; Starkel et al., 2006; Thorndycraft and Benito, 2006) and facilitates a system-wide analyses that assists to unravel important gaps in knowledge. Information stored in such databases usually includes sedimentary environment, stratigraphy and age. The main use of the data so far has been for frequency analyses in order to establish a proxy for flood recurrence and magnitude. Approaches focusing on the analysis of changing floodplain sedimentation rates based on age and depth of radiocarbon samples are reported for the Yellow and Mississippi rivers (Knox, 2006; Shi et al., 2002; Xu, 2003, 1998). In general, these show a strong increase in floodplain sedimentation rate associated with increasing agricultural activities. Here we use three differing approaches to reconstruct long-term floodplain sedimentation rates at different spatial scales in the Rhine catchment. The first approach focuses on time-dependent sediment storage of overbank deposits to estimate changing sedimentation rates in the Lower and Upper Rhine Graben and the Rhine delta. The second approach utilizes a newly compiled 14C-database from alluvial and colluvial deposits in Germany (Hoffmann et al., in press) to estimate sedimentation rates during the Holocene. In the third approach the same database is analysed and frequency distributions of 14C-ages constructed to identify phases of increased floodplain deposition. All three approaches focus on silty to clayey overbank deposits as these sediments are assumed to be closely coupled to soil erosion processes on the hillslopes and therefore show most clearly the response of fluvial systems to external impacts (cf. Erkens et al., 2006). The three methods used differ concerning their spatial scale and temporal resolution. The potential of these independent approaches to evaluate the impacts on climate and land use change at different spatial scales are discussed. We show that all approaches suggest a strong human impact on floodplain sedimentation, while climate impacts are much harder to detect. 2. Study area The River Rhine drains large parts (~ 185 000 km2) of Central Europe between the European Alps (highest elevation 4275 masl) and the North Sea (Fig. 1). The length of the main river channel is about 1320 km. The Rhine drainage basin has very heterogeneous catchment characteristics regarding climate, hydrology, geology, geomorphology and land use history. Mean annual precipitation in the Rhine catchment ranges from ~ 500 mm in Rheinhessen (west-central Germany) to ~ 2000 mm in the Swiss Alps. The hydrological regime shifts from glacio-nival in the alpine reaches, to dominantly pluvial further downstream. Mean low flow, mean annual discharge and mean flood discharge at the delta apex are 1000 m3s− 1, 2500 m3s− 1 and 6000 m3s− 1 respectively (Spreafico,1996). The modern suspended load near the Dutch–German border (at Rees) is approx. 3.3 · 106 t year− 1 (Asselman et al., 2003; Kempe and Krahe, 2005). Two large tectonic basins (i.e. the Upper Rhine Graben and the Lower Rhine Graben–Southern North Sea Basin) act as major sediment sinks in the fluvial system. The floodplain storage analysis undertaken focuses on the northern Upper and Lower Rhine Graben and the Rhine delta because the floodplain stratigraphic record is most complete in these sediment sinks (Hoffmann et al., 2007). On time scales longer than 104 years the Alps and the other upland areas in Germany (e.g. Rhenish Massif, Black Forest) and France (Vosges) are major sediment sources. Loess-covered rolling hills characterise large parts of the catchment and are prime areas for arable land use since the Neolithic onwards (Lang, 2003). Agriculture increased soil erosion and as a result the hillslopes became a main source of sediment carried downstream by Rhine tributaries during the Holocene (Bork et al., 1998; Houben et al., 2006; Lang et al., 2003; Mäckel et al., 2003). Since the Medieval period, channelization, embanking, sediment mining and dam construction have resulted in decreased sediment exchange between river channels and adjacent floodplains. In the delta, embankments influencing sediment exchange have existed since the 12th century AD (Berendsen and Stouthamer, 2001). Widespread reforestation in the last century and conservation agriculture in recent decades have counteracted the intense erosion associated with earlier agricultural practices. 3. Floodplain storage based sedimentation rates 3.1. Methodology Sedimentation rates in the Rhine delta, the Lower Rhine Graben and the northern Upper Rhine Graben were calculated based on detailed borehole data. In the Rhine delta a cross-section was constructed using 280 drill cores to determine the vertical build up of the delta during the Holocene (Cohen, 2003; Erkens et al., 2006). Time lines were drawn in the cross-section based on a radiocarbon chronology (for more details see Cohen, 2005; Erkens et al., 2006; Gouw and Erkens, 2007). Additional age-control comes from associated archaeology (Berendsen and Stouthamer, 2001) and from paleogroundwater table reconstructions (a 3D geostatistical interpolation model based on N300 index points; Cohen, 2005). This enabled us to draw time lines with a temporal resolution of 1000 years. Using the time lines, the Holocene deltaic aggradation record was subdivided into 6 sediment slices between 7000 and 1000 cal yrs BP (Erkens et al., 2006). For each sediment slice the sedimentation rate was calculated from the average thicknesses of clay deposits. In the Lower Rhine Graben sedimentation rates were calculated for three time slices: the thicknesses of overbank deposits was estimated from 3501 coring logs within the floodplains of the Lower Rhine, which were provided by the Geological survey of Nordrhein Westfalen. The temporal information was taken from the age of terrace levels as published on the geological map (scale 1:100 000) of that region. The three Holocene terrace levels are mapped and assigned ages of 8500–3500 BC, 3500–0 BC and 0 BC–1800 AD (Klostermann, 1992). In the northern Upper Rhine Graben information from 210 boreholes distributed along three cross-sections were analysed. Temporal evidence is available from OSL dating of terrace levels and pollen analysis of oxbow-lake deposits (Dambeck and Bos, 2002; Erkens et al., in press). Overbank sedimentation rates were calculated for the Early Holocene (8500–4000 BC), Middle Holocene (4000–0 BC) and Late Holocene (0–2000 AD). Please cite this article as: Hoffmann, T., et al., Trends and controls of Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment, Catena (2008), doi:10.1016/j.catena.2008.09.002 ARTICLE IN PRESS T. Hoffmann et al. / Catena xxx (2008) xxx–xxx Fig. 1. Study area with locations of corings, cross-sections and The three regions used for floodplain storage analysis correspond to sub-catchment sizes of 70 000 km2 (Upper Rhine Graben), 155 000 km2 (Lower Rhine Graben) and 185 000 km2 (entire Rhine catchment at the delta). 3 14 C-samples. with time, there is an accelerated increase in the Upper Rhine Graben that started approximately 3000 years ago. The data indicate a strong 3-fold increase of floodplain sedimentation during the Holocene in the Rhine delta and the Lower Rhine Graben, compared to a more gradual but accelerated (2-fold) increase at the Upper Rhine. 3.2. Results 4. Depth/age-analysis of Sedimentation rates calculated from sediment volumes of the Rhine delta, the Lower Rhine Graben and Upper Rhine Graben are shown in Fig. 2. All three areas show a consistent increase of sedimentation rates during the Holocene. While sedimentation rates in the Rhine delta and the Lower Rhine increase more or less linearly 14 C-ages 4.1. Methodology Based on a newly compiled 14C-database of alluvial and colluvial samples from Germany (Hoffmann et al., in press), floodplain Please cite this article as: Hoffmann, T., et al., Trends and controls of Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment, Catena (2008), doi:10.1016/j.catena.2008.09.002 ARTICLE IN PRESS 4 T. Hoffmann et al. / Catena xxx (2008) xxx–xxx Fig. 2. Holocene sedimentation rates in the Rhine delta (A) and Lower (B) and Upper (C) Rhine Graben calculated based on alluvial storage in floodplains. sedimentation rates (SR) were calculated based on the 14C-age Ti and its depth Di below the surface: SRi;obs ¼ ðDi −Di−1 Þ=ðTi −Ti−1 Þ ð1Þ 14 where Di and Ti are the depth and age of the C-sample, respectively, and Di − 1 and Ti − 1 are the depth and age of the following stratigraphic younger 14C-sample. Ti represents the mean value of the 2σ-age range given by the calibrated age. In the case of the uppermost 14C sample, i = 1 and D0 = 0 and T0 = 0. Sedimentation rates during the last 14 000 years were calculated based on 115 floodplain samples. 14C-ages not in stratigraphic order (i.e. age increase with depth) were excluded from the analysis. To increase the number of observations the database extended beyond the Rhine catchment to include data from adjacent catchments, with a similar land use history and climate regime (Fig. 1). Most sedimentation rates are calculated based on boreholes for which only one 14C-age is available (Table 1). In these cases only an average sedimentation rate since deposition of the dated sample can be calculated. This results in a strong averaging effect as changes in sedimentation rate since the deposition of the dated object can not be revealed. To evaluate the effect of averaging, which is inherent to this approach, we modelled sedimentation rates based on three different scenarios with changing sedimentation rates SRassumed (t). The 1000 BC scenario assumes a constant sedimentation rate of 0.3 mm a− 1 between 12 000 and 1000 BC and a linear increase from 0.3 to 4 mm a− 1 since 1000 BC to present. The 500 AD and 1800 AD scenarios are similar to the 1000 BC scenario, but with a later start of the linear increase at 500 AD and at 1800 AD, respectively. Based on these scenarios, we calculated the depth D of subsurface layers with different ages T: Z D¼ T 0 SRassumed ðt Þdt ð2Þ The ratio D/T gives the modelled mean sedimentation rate SRmodel, which was compared to the observed mean sedimentation rates SRmean.obs given by the 14C-ages. The SRmean.obs of each 14C-date was calculated based on its depth D and its age T by SRmean.obs = D/T independently of other 14C-ages within the same borehole. 4.2. Results The majority of the 115 14C-samples originate from floodplain deposits in catchments between 1 and 1000 km2. The minority of the data derive from very small (b1 km2) and very large catchment (N1000 km2) (Table 1). The largest number of ages (45) was obtained on locations where only one sample was available. Furthermore, 26 Please cite this article as: Hoffmann, T., et al., Trends and controls of Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment, Catena (2008), doi:10.1016/j.catena.2008.09.002 ARTICLE IN PRESS T. Hoffmann et al. / Catena xxx (2008) xxx–xxx Table 1 Distribution of 14 C-samples in drillings (left) and catchments of different sizes (right) # 14C-samples per drilling Number of drillings Catchment size [km2] # 14 1 2 3 4 5 6 45 16 4 5 0 1 – b 0.1 0.1–10 1–10 10–100 100–1000 1000–10 000 12 1 5 27 28 35 7 C-samples samples originate from locations, which were analysed in great detail and for which two or more samples per location were available (Table 1). The spatial distribution of the 14C-data is shown in Fig. 1. The data are not evenly distributed throughout the Rhine catchment but show strong clusters i) around Freiburg in the Southern Upper Rhine Graben (Mäckel et al., 2002, 2003; Seidel, 2004; Seidel and Mäckel, 5 2007), ii) around Frankfurt in the Wetter catchment (Andres et al., 2001; Houben, 1997; Kalis et al., 2003; Nolte, 1999), iii) at the Danube river close to Regensburg (Hilgart, 1995; Nolte, 1999), iv) at the Weserbergland (Mäusbacher et al., 2001) and v) at the Lippe valley (Herget, 2000). The Danube river and the Weserbergland are not part of the Rhine catchment (Fig. 1). Sedimentation rates calculated from 14C-samples using Eq. (1) (Fig. 3A) are between 0.1 and 1 mm a− 1 prior to 0 BC/AD and show a strong scatter after 0 BC/AD. While in a number of places sedimentation rates remain constant after 0 BC/AD, in other places maximum floodplain sedimentation rates increase up to 8 mm a− 1 during the last 2000 years. The scatter plot shown in Fig. 3A can best described by a power law increase with: SRmax ¼ 222:5T − 0:7 where SRmax = sedimentation rate in mm a before 2000 AD (black line in Fig. 3A). ð3Þ −1 and T = time in years Fig. 3. A) Changing floodplain sedimentation rates based on 115 14C-ages from floodplains of German rivers. Symbols indicate the size of the corresponding catchment. B) Effect of averaging due to sedimentation rate calculation using the 14C-ages and sample depths. The three scenarios differ in the onset of increased sedimentation at 1000 BC (1, blue line), 500 AD (2, green line) and 1800 AD (3, red line). The broken lines show the apparent sedimentation rates for the three scenarios. C) Comparison of measured sedimentation rate from the 14 C-ages and apparent sedimentation rates calculated from 1000 BC, 500 AD and 1800 AD scenarios. (For interpretation of the references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) Please cite this article as: Hoffmann, T., et al., Trends and controls of Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment, Catena (2008), doi:10.1016/j.catena.2008.09.002 ARTICLE IN PRESS 6 T. Hoffmann et al. / Catena xxx (2008) xxx–xxx Due to the large scatter and the low number of samples, no significant difference between sedimentation rates calculated for differently sized catchments can be observed. The general increase of floodplain deposition is visible at all catchment sizes larger than 1 km2 (Fig. 3A). For catchments smaller than 1 km2, this trend is not observed because there are no 14C-samples older than 2500 years. Based on three different scenarios, applied for the reconstruction of Holocene sedimentation rates, the averaging effect inherent in the calculations was evaluated assuming a stable Early and Middle Holocene sedimentation rate of 0.3 mm year− 1 and a linear increase of 4 mm year− 1 in the Late Holocene, starting at 1000 BC, 500 AD or 1800 AD (Fig. 3B). In general, the averaging effect results in sedimentation rates (modelled rates in Fig. 3B) which are at any time higher than the assumed values. The comparison of modelled sedimentation rates with the upper limit of the observed mean sedimentation rates SRmean,obs (Fig. 3C) shows the best fit with the 500 AD scenario (a linear increase of floodplain deposition since 500 AD) while the 1000 BC and 1800 AD scenarios result in much too high and much too low sedimentation rates, respectively. The fit of the 500 AD scenario to the upper limit of the mean observed sedimentation rates takes into account that a number of estimated sedimentation rates are obtained from study areas that are not affected by human impact and therefore show no increase in floodplain sedimentation. 5. Cumulative frequency distributions of floodplain 14 C-ages 5.1. Methodology Statistical analyses of 14C-ages have long been used to unravel environmental change (Geyh, 1980). More recently, cumulative frequency distributions (CFD) of 14C-ages obtained on alluvial deposits have been used to provide a framework to analyse and compare Holocene river sequences in Europe in a systematic manner (Gregory et al., 2006; Macklin et al., 2006). This approach is applied by Hoffmann et al. (in press) to the German 14C-database of alluvial and colluvial 14C-ages to reconstruct phases of increased geomorphic activity in Germany. The 14C-ages are classified to represent activity, stability and transitional phases based on the depositional environment of the dated sample. It is assumed that calculated probability frequencies of activity ages are a proxy for Holocene geomorphic activity (Hoffmann et al., in press). To compare the calculated floodplain sedimentation rates with the CFD-analysis only 14C-ages of overbank deposits from floodplains were used in this analysis. However, cumulative frequency distributions are biased as a result of the shape of the calibration curve, the higher preservation potential of younger materials and higher sampling probability of shallower sediments. Therefore the frequency distribution of the activity ages was normalized on the frequency distribution of the entire colluvial and alluvial 14C-database (Hoffmann et al., in press) and probabilities are given as relative probability curves. Due to the spatial distribution of the 14C-samples, which mainly result from catchments smaller than 1000 km2, the analysis of changing sedimentation rates and the CFD of alluvial 14C-ages focus on the response of fluvial systems at the medium to small spatial scale (Table 1). 5.2. Results The cumulative frequency distribution of 51 floodplain 14C-ages (Fig. 4A) shows increased floodplain deposition at the Late Glacial– Holocene transition (11000 BC to 9000 BC), stable floodplain environments during the Early and early Middle Holocene (9000 BC to 5000 BC) and increased floodplain deposition in the Late Holocene (most notably since ~1500 BC). The time between 5000 BC and 1500 BC is characterised by phases of increased floodplain deposition, which should be treated with care due to their low statistical significance. Due to the applied normalization procedure, it is assumed that the increased frequency during the last 3500 years is not biased by the better preservation potential of younger ages, but results from increased floodplain deposition during that time. However, the high temporal resolution of the cumulative frequency distribution reveals not a steady increase since 1500 BC but rather phases of higher probabilities at 1000 BC, 300 BC and 1100 AD interrupted by phases of lower probabilities at 700 BC, 200 AD and 1400 AD. To compare the differential responses of hillslopes and rivers, the cumulative frequency distribution of colluvial 14C-ages is given in Fig. 4B. In contrast to floodplains, 14C-ages from slopes do not show a general trend since ~8000 BC. The cumulative frequency distribution Fig. 4. Normalized cumulative probability density (CPD) of A) 51 floodplain 14C-ages and B) 62 colluvial slope 14C-ages (Hoffmann et al., in press). Gray shaded areas mark phases were the CPD is larger than the mean probability of the corresponding CPD. Please cite this article as: Hoffmann, T., et al., Trends and controls of Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment, Catena (2008), doi:10.1016/j.catena.2008.09.002 ARTICLE IN PRESS T. Hoffmann et al. / Catena xxx (2008) xxx–xxx of colluvial ages shows phases of increased activity that are more equally distributed since 8000 BC, with stronger peaks around 7000 BC, 5500 BC, 2500 BC and the most recent past (since 1200 AD). 6. Discussion 6.1. Advantages and disadvantages of methods The three approaches used in this study are characterised by different output parameters and their different temporal resolutions (Table 2). The floodplain storage and depth/age-analysis of the 14C-database result in floodplain sedimentation rates with dimension length per time (e.g. mm a− 1). Through measurements of the density of floodplain deposits, sedimentation rates can be transferred to mass balances, which are of major interest in the study of sediment flux in river systems. In this way the numbers obtained can directly be compared to other geomorphological processes or with different regions. The possibility of correlating the time-dependent sedimentation rates with time series of external impacts is, however, limited by the low temporal resolution. In the case of the Rhine delta, the exceptionally large number of 14C-ages allowed establishing floodplain storage with 1000 year resolution (Berendsen and Stouthamer, 2001). However, in the Upper Rhine and Lower Rhine Graben the low temporal resolution (three time slices, on average each approx. 3000 years long) results from pedological information and a limited number of OSL and 14C-ages. Based on the floodplain storage, only general trends of system behaviour become evident. The temporal resolution of the depth/age-analysis of 14C-ages varies depending on the 14C-age due to the averaging effect: the longer the period averaged (that is the greater the age) the lower the temporal resolution and therefore the lower the sensitivity. To test the sensitivity of the depth/age-analysis two further scenarios were designed based on the 1800 AD scenario: one with a long (2000 years) moderate (4 mm a− 1) increase (Fig. 5A) and another with a short (400 years) but intense (7 mm a− 1) increase (Fig. 5B). The timing of the increase was chosen arbitrarily. As shown in Fig. 5A, only the longlasting phase (e.g. longer than 2000 years) of increased sedimentation will significantly alter the overall graph. Short term phases (e.g. 400 years) of increased sedimentation will not be significantly reflected in the observed sedimentation rate, even if sedimentation increases by a factor of 14 (Fig. 5B). Using such a depth/age-analysis of 14 C-ages, short term changes of sedimentation rates will be hard to Table 2 Overview on the different methods used: temporal resolution, spatial scales and controlling factors Region, or controlling factor, res. Output parameter Temporal resolution URG LRG Delta Catchment area URG LRG Delta Onset of increasing URG sedimentation rates LRG Delta Magnitude of URG sedimentation rate LRG increase Delta Controlling factor Human impact Climate impact Catchment size Floodplain storage Frequency distribution Sedimentation Probability rate density of 14 C-ages 3300 a 50–200 a 3300 a 1000 a 1–103 km2 70 000 km2 155 000 km2 1–103 km2 180 000 km2 b 10 000 km2 ~1000 BC 1300 BC Variable Variable ~3 – ~2.5 ~3 Strong Strong Not evident Evident Evident Evident URG = Upper Rhine Graben, LRG = Lower Rhine Graben. Temporal resolution given in years (a). Depth/ age-analysis Sedimentation rate Variable (decreasing with age) 1–103 km2 1–103 km2 b10 000 km2 500 AD 8–16 Strong Not evident – 7 detect unless high resolution chronologies are available at a large number of sites. At present, as shown in Table 1, the number of locations with more than two 14C-ages is currently very limited, which is especially problematic for the Early and Middle Holocene. Based on the floodplain storage approach and the depth/ageanalysis of 14C-samples a general increasing trend in floodplain sedimentation is observed that coincides with the general increasing pressure of humans on the Rhine system (Hoffmann et al., in press). This trend may well be overprinted by climate change-induced signals, but due to the limited temporal resolution of the floodplain storage and the depth/age-analysis, climate-driven short term variations cannot be observed. Compared to these approaches the CPD-analysis (Fig. 4) has a much higher temporal resolution. Single peaks of the CPD-plot show widths of approximately 50 years and longer phases of increased probability rapidly rise and fall within short periods of time. The CFD are a combination of 14C-dates from various locations, some which are situated hundreds of km apart. It is well possible that one site experienced increased SR during a specific period and that for this period more 14C-dates are available but that this is not a general trend within the whole catchment. Furthermore, the analysis of single narrow peaks should be treated with care due to their low statistical significance (Hoffmann et al., in press). Despite the high temporal resolution of the CPD-analysis there are two major methodical drawbacks: (1) the CPD-analysis results in probability frequencies of 14C-ages, which can not by transferred into sediment volumes or fluxes. Therefore, direct comparison of the CPD-analysis with floodplain storage and depth/age-calculations from 14C-samples is not possible; (2) low probabilities of the CDP-plot do not necessarily suggest low fluvial activity. Low probabilities may just result from a lack of dating evidence for times with high fluvial activity. To obtain a more detailed picture of the floodplain sedimentation history at large spatial scales a better spatial data representation and an improved chronological framework is needed that provides higher temporal resolution. 6.2. Sensitivity of fluvial systems to external impacts Despite the limitations of each of the methods used, the combination of these three methods allows new insights into the fluvial history of the Rhine catchment at large spatial and long temporal scales. In fact, these are the first reported basin wide floodplain sedimentation rates for the non-alpine Rhine catchment. All three independent approaches show an accelerating increase of sedimentation rates during the Late Holocene, especially after a major increase of soil erosion during the Bronze Age (Lang, 2003; Lang et al., 2003). The magnitude of this increase is unmatched by any climate change and clearly suggests the importance of human interference for increasing riverine sediment fluxes during the last 3000 years (Hoffmann et al., in press). In the delta, sea level forms a base level for the river and provides accommodation space for sedimentation. Especially during the Early Holocene, relative sea level rise is strongly influencing Holocene deltaic sedimentation (Berendsen and Stouthamer, 2001; Gouw and Erkens, 2007; Tornqvist, 1993). However, after ~5000 cal yrs BP, eustatic sea level rise ceased and the remaining lower relative sea level rise is driven by land subsidence only (Cohen, 2005). This implies that sedimentation thereafter is only controlled by locally formed accommodation space and upstream sediment delivery (Gouw and Erkens, 2007). The cross-section used in this study to reconstruct sedimentation rates is located half-way upstream the delta to minimize the strong pre-5000 BP sea level impact, but at the same time to comprise the longest possible sedimentation record. During the last 5000 years, the decrease in relative sea level rise in the Rhine delta causes a gradual decrease in accommodation space, but sedimentation rates nevertheless increased during this period. This indicates that floodplain sedimentation overruled the available Please cite this article as: Hoffmann, T., et al., Trends and controls of Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment, Catena (2008), doi:10.1016/j.catena.2008.09.002 ARTICLE IN PRESS 8 T. Hoffmann et al. / Catena xxx (2008) xxx–xxx Fig. 5. Implication of averaging effect in depth/age-analysis of 14C-samples. A) The 1800 AD scenario is superimposed by a 2000 year increase of sedimentation of 4 mm a− 1 between 3000 and 1000 BC. B) The 1800 AD scenario is superimposed by a 400 year increase of sedimentation of 7 mm a− 1 that occurs between 3000 and 2600 BC. accommodation space, which supports our conclusion of strongly increased sediment delivery from upstream during the last millennia. However, in the case of the Upper and Lower Rhine Graben, the progressive incision of the River Rhine during the Holocene may have an important impact on long-term floodplain sedimentation rates (Erkens et al., in press). Due to the progressive incision, the floodplain area decreased during the Holocene, resulting in a smaller accumulation space available and therefore possibly in higher sedimentation rates. Until now, the importance of this fact is, however, not known because the incision also reduces the trapping efficiency of the floodplains and may therefore counteract the tendency towards increasing sedimenta- tion rates. Furthermore, the fact that floodplain sedimentation rates increase in the aggrading Rhine delta (even under increasing floodplain area; Cohen, 2005; Gouw and Erkens, 2007) clearly indicates increasing sediment input into the River Rhine during the last 3000 years. Due to methodical differences and the large data scatter, which results from the spatial lumping at the regional scale, the exact timing of the accelerated increase is difficult to determine. The latest phase of increased probability of floodplain 14C-ages starts 3300 years ago (Fig. 4) and is in good agreement with the floodplain storage analysis, which suggests an accelerated increase in the northern Upper Rhine Graben approximately during the last 3000 years (Fig. 2). In contrast, the depth/age-analysis of Fig. 6. Sensitivity analysis of the start of increased floodplain sedimentation. The 0 AD scenario starts at 0 AD and reaches maximum sedimentation rates of 3.5 mm a− 1, the 500 AD scenario has maximum sedimentation rates of 4 mm a− 1 and the 1000 AD has maximum sedimentation rates of 6 mm a− 1. Please cite this article as: Hoffmann, T., et al., Trends and controls of Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment, Catena (2008), doi:10.1016/j.catena.2008.09.002 ARTICLE IN PRESS T. Hoffmann et al. / Catena xxx (2008) xxx–xxx 14 C-ages in combination with the modelling of 14C-sedimentation rates indicates an accelerated increase only during the last 1600 years. The strong temporal differences of approximately 1500 years between the start of increased probability and the accelerated sedimentation as given by the floodplain storage of the northern Upper Rhine may indicate differential fluvial response depending on catchment size. As shown in Table 1, the CPD is dominated by 14C-samples taken from catchments smaller than 1000 km2 and therefore mainly represents the sensitivity of small to medium sized catchments. In contrast, the Upper Rhine has a catchment size of ~70 000 km2 suggesting a delayed response of the large Rhine River to the increased human pressure since the Iron Age in Central Europe (Lang et al., 2003). These results, therefore, support the hypotheses of the relative stability of large fluvial systems as a consequence of their higher capacity to buffer the effects of forcing and the longer residence time of sediment within the system (Dearing and Jones, 2003; Hoffmann et al., 2007; Lang et al., 2003; Métivier and Gaudemer, 1999; Richards, 2002; Rommens et al., 2006; Walling, 2006). Compared to the Upper Rhine, the even larger catchment sizes of the Lower Rhine (155 000 km2) and the Rhine delta (185 000 km2) may have caused a stronger impact. This 9 fact may also explain the linear rather than the exponential increase in the Lower Rhine and the Rhine delta compared to smaller catchments. The delayed response of larger fluvial systems, however, is not obvious in the depth/age-analysis (Fig. 3). The acceleration is observed at all catchment sizes smaller than 10 000 km2. Taking the scenarios of assumed sedimentation rates into account, this approach indicates a much later start of accelerated floodplain deposition, than both the CPD- and the floodplain storage approaches. The difference of 1500 years between the depth/age-analysis and the other methods may still not be significant due to the very simple assumptions underlying the sedimentation scenarios. For instance, the best fit of the different scenarios in Fig. 3 changes depending on the maximum (modern) sedimentation rate. Assuming a maximum sedimentation of 3.5 mm a− 1 yields an apparent start of accelerated sedimentation at 0 BC/AD, whereas a sedimentation rate of 6 mm a− 1 will best fit a scenario that starts at 1000 AD (Fig. 6). The maximum floodplain sedimentation rates of the depth/ageanalysis are well within the range of modern sedimentation rates in Europe estimated based on 210Pb and 137Cs (Rumsby, 2000). At the River Ouse (Yorkshire, UK), for example, Walling et al. (1998) estimated Fig. 7. Comparison of 14C-based depth/age-sedimentation rates of A) the Yellow River (Shi et al., 2002), B) the Mississippi catchment (Knox, 2006) and C) the Rhine catchment (this study). Please cite this article as: Hoffmann, T., et al., Trends and controls of Holocene floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment, Catena (2008), doi:10.1016/j.catena.2008.09.002 ARTICLE IN PRESS 10 T. Hoffmann et al. / Catena xxx (2008) xxx–xxx overbank sedimentation rates ranging from 0.08 to 5.2 mm a− 1 (mean ≅ 1.6 mm a− 1) that corresponded to 39% of the suspended sediment yield of the River Ouse. Floodplain sedimentation rates in response to the fast and intense increase of agricultural disturbance in the “New World” (USA and Australia) are generally higher than those reported from the “Old World”. 137Cs-measurements on the Upper Mississippi River resulted in larger values ranging from 4.4 mm a− 1 up to 14.4 mm a− 1 with a mean of 12.5 mm a− 1 (Benedetti, 2003). These values were compared to long-term mean values of 1.4 mm a− 1 at the same locations. In the Lake Burragorang catchment (Australia) sedimentation rates of up to 16.4 mm a− 1 were determined for the period of European settlements in Australia (Rustomji and Pietsch, 2007). Pre-European impact rates vary between 0.06 mm a− 1 and 0.15 mm a− 1 and are a factor of 100 lower than during European impact. The pre-European-impact rates in the Lake Burragorang catchment are in the same order of magnitude as our estimates based on 14C-ages in the Rhine catchment before 7000 years BP. Comparing maximum sedimentation rates during the period of human impact reveals considerably higher sedimentation rates in rivers of the “New World”. Besides the natural setting with lower rainfall variability the humid regions of Europe also experienced a more gradual development and expansion of agricultural activities. The importance of catchment size on the buffer capacity of fluvial systems is also shown by the comparison of depth/age-analysis of 14C-ages from the Rhine catchment with data of the Yellow River (Shi et al., 2002) and the Mississippi River (Knox, 2006) (Fig. 7). The results from the Upper Mississippi River confirm the importance of catchment size. In this catchment human impacts result in strongly increasing floodplain sedimentation in the smaller tributaries, while the impact on the main trunk is less clear (Fig. 7B). While the increasing trend of floodplain sedimentation of the tributaries of the Mississippi is in general agreement with the data from the Rhine catchment (Fig. 7C), there is a considerable difference concerning the importance of catchment size. As shown in Fig. 3A the increase in floodplain sedimentation in the Rhine catchment is independent on the catchment scale. The differences between the Mississippi and the Rhine may result from strong contrast in catchment sizes in the case of the Mississippi. The ratio of catchment sizes at the Mississippi River (trunk stream 160 000–180 000 km2 and tributaries 5–700 km2) is very different to our study where catchment areas are more evenly distributed and the majority of analyses originate from 1–1000 km2 large catchments (Table 1). While it is generally accepted that increasing sedimentation in the Rhine catchment during the last 1600 years results from increasing agricultural activities at local scales, climate impacts may also be a factor at the regional scale. However, the evidence available to date is not unambiguous. In the case of the Yellow River significant accelerated sedimentation rates are shown despite its large catchment (752 000 km2). Xu (1998) argues that the increased rates are caused by the direct impact of the artificial levee constructions (starting already between 475 and 221 BC) that reduce deposition space on the floodplain. Furthermore, the steep topography and the large amounts of highly erodible sediments on the Loess plateau also render the Yellow River highly sensitive to human impact, resulting in a good correlation between sediment yield and population density (Shi et al., 2002). 7. Conclusions All three different techniques used to unravel trends in Holocene floodplain sedimentation on large spatial scales show a strong recent increase of floodplain sedimentation rates probably due to human impact. The different spatial scales and temporal resolutions of the applied methods result in different times for the onset of accelerated sedimentation. With the floodplain storage approach accelerated sedimentation is first detected between 1000 BC and 0 BC. A similar picture is obtained from the frequency distribution analysis, with a start of acceleration at 1300 BC. Compared to the floodplain storage approach the frequency distribution analysis offers high temporal but limited spatial resolution. Sedimentation rates derived from depth/ age-analysis show a contrasting pattern and accelerated sedimentation starts much later at about 500 AD. This is mainly related to the simplification (e.g. linear sedimentation) in the underlying sedimentation scenarios that is necessary due to limited data availability. As more data becomes available and databases are built up further, much more detailed reconstructions of past sediment flux will be possible. Based on the current dataset only the high temporal resolution cumulative frequency distributions of 14C-ages display a climatic impact on floodplain sedimentation. The floodplain storage approaches and the depth/time-analysis of 14C-ages do not show significant trends that can be directly linked to climate impacts. The impact of catchment size on derived sedimentation rates is also ambivalent. Floodplain sedimentation, however, did not start before 1300 BC after a major increase of soil erosion during the Bronze Age. The magnitude of this increase is dependent on catchment size: the floodplain storage analysis for which the corresponding catchment sizes are 70–180 · 103 km2 show a smaller increase (factor 2.5–3) than the depth/time-analysis with corresponding catchment sizes smaller than 10³ km2 (factor 8–16). This pattern may still be significantly biased as the depth/time-analysis is often based on single measurements. In summary, the data on Holocene floodplain sedimentation rates suggest only limited impacts of climate change and catchment size but a strong human impact during the last 3000 years. Acknowledgements The authors thank the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) for funding the study: “Modelling the Holocene sediment budget of fluvial system” (DI414/15-2), which is part of the IGBP PAGES focus 5 activity LUCIFS (Land Use and Climate Impacts on Fluvial Systems during the Period of Agriculture). 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