International Journal of Applied Science and Engineering 2006. 4, 1: 71-82 Fuzzy Reliability of a Marine Power Plant Using Interval Valued Vague Sets Amit Kumara, Shiv Prasad Yadava*, and Surendra Kumarb a Department of Mathematics, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, India b Department of Electrical Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, India Abstract: In conventional reliability analysis, the failure probabilities of the components of a system are treated as exact values. It is often difficult to obtain data for failure probabilities under changing environmental conditions. Hence fuzzy sets are used to analyze the fuzzy system reliability, where a fuzzy number represents the reliability of each component. Chen [14] analyzed the fuzzy system reliability using vague set theory. The values of the membership and non-membership of an element, in a vague set, are represented by a real number in [0, 1]. A specialist is always uncertain about the values of the membership and non-membership of an element in a set. Hence, it is better to represent the values of the membership and non-membership of an element in a set by intervals of possible real numbers instead of real numbers. In this paper a new method has been developed for analyzing the fuzzy system reliability of a series and parallel system using interval valued trapezoidal vague sets, where the reliability of each component of each system is represented by an interval valued trapezoidal vague set defined in the universe of discourse [0, 1].The developed method has been used to analyze the fuzzy reliability of a marine power plant. The major advantage of the proposed approach (the concept of interval valued vague sets) over the existing approaches [7, 8, 14] is that the proposed approach separates the positive and negative evidence for the membership of an element in a set. Also in the proposed approach the values of the membership and non- membership of an element in a set are intervals instead of a single real number. Keywords: fuzzy system reliability; vague set theory; fuzzy fault tree; interval valued vague sets. 1. Introduction One of the important engineering tasks in design and development of a technical system is reliable engineering. It is well known that the conventional reliability analysis, using the probabilities, has been found to be inadequate to handle uncertainty of failure data and modeling. To overcome this problem, the concept * of fuzzy approach has been used in the evaluation of the reliability of a system. Fuzzy set theory was first introduced by Zadeh [1] in 1965. Singer [2] presented a fuzzy set approach for fault tree and reliability analysis. Cai et al. [3, 4, 5] gave a different insight by introducing the possibility assumption and fuzzy state assumption to replace the probability and binary state assumptions. Corresponding author; e-mail:[email protected] Accepted for Publication: October 31, 2005 © 2006 Chaoyang University of Technology, ISSN 1727-2394 Int. J. Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 71 Amit Kumar, Shiv Prasad Yadav, and Surendra Kumar Mon et al. [7] presented a method for the fuzzy system reliability analysis for components with different membership functions via non-linear programming techniques. Chen [8] presented a method for fuzzy system reliability analysis using fuzzy number arithmetic operations. The collection of papers by Onisawa and Kacprzyk [9] presents many other different approaches for the fuzzy reliability. Cai [11] presented an introduction to system failure engineering. Chen [14] presented a new method for analyzing the fuzzy system reliability based on vague sets. In this paper, the concept of vague sets is extended by idea of interval valued vague sets. Also we have introduced: some definitions related to interval valued vague set, definition of interval valued trapezoidal vague set and arithmetic operations between two interval valued trapezoidal vague sets. Further, a new method has been developed for analyzing the fuzzy system reliability of a series and parallel system using interval valued trapezoidal vague sets, where the reliability of each component of each system is represented by an interval valued trapezoidal vague set defined in the universe of discourse [0,1].The developed method has been used to analyze the fuzzy reliability of a marine power plant. The proposed method can model and analyze the fuzzy system reliability in a more flexible and intelligent manner in comparison to the method given by Chen [14]. This paper is organized as follows. Sections 2, presents some definitions. Section 3, presents the arithmetic operations between two interval valued trapezoidal vague sets. Section 4, presents the fuzzy reliability calculations of a series and parallel system using interval valued trapezoidal vague sets. Section 5, presents the case study of the system. Section 6, presents the algorithm for analyzing fuzzy reliability. Section 7 presents the assumed data. Sections 8 presents the results .The conclusions are discussed in section 9. 2. Some definitions In this section, some definitions are reviewed and some other definitions are introduced. 2.1. Definitions reviewed We briefly review some definitions [6, 12, 14] here. 2.1.1 Definition An interval valued fuzzy set F(over a basic set X ) is specified by a function TF~ : X D([0,1]), where D([0,1]) is the set of all intervals within [0, 1], i.e. for all x X , TF~ ( x) is an interval [ 1 , 2 ], 0 1 2 1. 2.1.2 Definition ~ A vague set V , in a basic set X , is characterized by a truth membership function tV~ , tV~ : X [0,1], and a false membership function f V~ , f V~ : X [0, 1]. If the generic element of X i sde not e dby‘xi ’t he n the lower bound on the membership grade of xi derived from evidence for xi is denoted by tV~ ( xi ) and the lower bound on the negation of xi is denoted by f V~ ( xi ) , tV~ ( xi ) and f V~ ( xi ) both associate a real number in the interval [0,1] with each point in X ,where ~ tV~ ( xi ) f V~ ( xi ) 1. A vague set V in the universe of discourse X is shown in Fig. 1. ~ When X is continuous, a vague set V can be written as ~ tV~ (xi ),1 fV~ (xi )/ xi , xi X V X ~ When X is discrete a vague set V can be written as ~ n V tV~ ( xi ),1 fV~ ( xi ) / xi , xi X . i 1 72 Int. J . Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 Fuzzy Reliability of a Marine Power Plant Using Interval Valued Vague Sets tV~ ( X ),1 f V~ ( X ) 1 f V~ ( X ) 1 f V~ ( x i ) t V( X ) t V~ ( x i ) 0 X xi Figure 1. A vague set. 2.1.3 Definition Let A = [a1, a2] and B = [b1, b2] be two arbitrary intervals then the minimum of A and B is repr e s e nt e dby“ MI N[ A,B] ”a ndi sde f i ne d by MIN ([a1, a2]; [b1, b2]) = [min (a1, b1), min (a2, b2)] 2.1.4 Definition The complement of an interval A = [a1, a2] is denoted by A and is defined by A = [1-a2, 1-a1]. 2.2. Definitions introduced The definition of interval valued vague set and definitions related to interval valued vague set are introduced here. 2.2.1 Definition ~ An interval valued vague set V over a basic set X is defined as an object of the form ~ V [ xi ;TV~ ( xi );1 FV~ ( xi )] , xi X where TV~ : X D[0,1] and FV~ : X D[0,1] a r ec a l l e d“ Tr ut hme mbe r s hi pf unc t i on”a nd “ Fa l s eme mbe rs hi pf unc t i on”r e s pe c t i ve l ya nd where D ([0,1]) is the set of all intervals within [0, 1]. 2.2.2 Definition ~ An interval valued vague set V is said to be convex if and only if x1 and x 2 X TV~ x1 1 x 2 Min TV~ x1 , TV~ ( x 2 ) 1 FV~ x1 1 x2 Min 1 FV~ x1 ,1 FV~ x2 where [0,1] 2.2.3 Definition An interval valued vague number is an interval valued vague subset in the universe of discourse X that is both convex and normal. 2.2.4 Definition An interval valued trapezoidal vague set ~ V (over a basic set X ) can be represented by ~ V ( x , y , z , w ); [ 1 , 2 ]; [1 , 2 ] where 0 1 2 1 2 1 as shown in Fig. 2 Int. J. Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 73 Amit Kumar, Shiv Prasad Yadav, and Surendra Kumar defined by TV~ ( X ),1 FV~ ( X ) ~ V1 ( x1 , y1 , z1 , w1 );[ 11 , 12 ];[11 ,12 ] ~ V2 ( x 2 , y 2 , z 2 , w2 );[ 21 , 22 ];[21 ,22 ] 1 2 1 1 FV~ ( X ) 2 1 TV~ ( X ) where 0 11 21 12 22 11 21 12 22 1 The arithmetic operations ~ ~ V1 and V2 are defined as follows X 0 x y z w Figure 2. Interval valued trapezoidal vague set ~ V. 3. Arithmetic operations between two interval valued trapezoidal vague sets Certain arithmetic operations between two interval valued trapezoidal vague sets are developed here. Let us consider two interval valued trape~ ~ zoidal vague sets, V1 and V2 , as shown in Fig. 3 (x1 x2 , y1 y2 , z1 z 2 , w1 w2 ); ~ ~ V1 V2 [min(11, 21 ), min(12 , 22 )]; [min(11,21 ), min(12 ,22 )] (x1 w2 , y1 z2 , z1 y2 , w1 x2 ); ~ ~ [min(11, 21), min(12 , 22 )]; ( V1 ΘV2 ) > [min(11,21), min(12 ,22 )] ( x1 x2 , y1 y2 , z1 z2 , w1 w2 ); ~ ~ V1 V2 [min(11, 21 ), min(12 , 22 )]; [min(11,21 ), min(12 ,22 )] ~ V1 TV~1 ( X ),1 FV~1 ( X ) TV~2 ( X ),1 FV~2 ( X ) 4. 1 22 12 22 12 21 11 X x1 y1 z1 w1 x2 y2 z2 w2 Figure 3. Interval valued trapezoidal vague sets ~ ~ V1 and V2 . 74 ( x1 / w 2 , y 1 / z 2 , z 1 / y 2 , w1 / x 2 ); ~ V 2 [min( 11 , 21 ), min( 12 , 22 )]; [min( 11 ,21 ), min(12 , 22 )] Fuzzy reliability calculations of a series and parallel system using interval valued trapezoidal vague sets In this section, a new method has been developed for the fuzzy reliability calculation of a series and parallel system using interval valued trapezoidal vague sets, where the reliability of each component of each system is represented by an interval valued trapezoidal vague set defined on the universe of discourse [0, 1]. 21 11 0 between Int. J . Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 4.1. Series system Let us consider a series system consisting of‘ n’c ompone nt sa ss howni nFi g .4. The ~ fuzzy reliability R of the series system shown below can be evaluated as follows: Fuzzy Reliability of a Marine Power Plant Using Interval Valued Vague Sets ~ Rn ~ R2 ~ R1 Figure 4. Series system. n RR i i 1 n n n n i 1 i 1 i 1 i 1 tors G1 and G2 one located at the stern and the other at bow. Each generator is connected to its respective micro switch board-1 and micro switch board-2. The distributive switch board receives the supply from the switch boards through cables C1 and C2 and respective junction boxes D and E .The two micro switch boards are interconnected through a long cable C3 and the junction boxes A and B. The schematic diagram is shown in Fig. 6. [( x i , y i , z i wi ); n n n n i 1 i 1 i 1 i 1 ~ R1 [min(i1), min( i 2 )];[min(i1), min(i 2 )]] ~ R2 where R [( x i , y i , z i , wi );[ i1, i 2 ];[i1,i 2 ] i ~ Rn represents the reliability of the ith component. Figure 5. Parallel system. 4.2. Parallel system Let us consider a parallel system consisting of‘ n’c omp one nt sa ss howni nFi g .5. The ~ fuzzy reliability R of the parallel system can be evaluated as follows: G1 + G2 + n ~ ~ R 1 Θ (1 Θ Ri ) i 1 n n i 1 i 1 [(1 (1 x i ),1 (1 y i ), n i 1 A D C3 B E n [min( i1 ), min( i 2 )]; i 1 n MSB −2 n 1 (1 z i ),1 (1 w i )); i 1 n MSB−1 i 1 n [min( ' i1 ), min( ' i 2 )]] i 1 i 1 5. Case Study A marine power plant [13] has two genera- C1 C2 DSB Figure 6. Marine power plant. Let us assume that basic components subjected to failure are (a) Generators G1 and G2. (b) Micro switch board-1 (MSB-1) and Micro Int. J. Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 75 Amit Kumar, Shiv Prasad Yadav, and Surendra Kumar switch board-2 (MSB-2). (c) Interconnecting cable C3 and junction boxes A and B, all are treated as one unit. (d) Junction boxes D and E. (e) Distributive switch board (DSB). 5.1 Notations ~ V1 x1 , y1 , z1 , t1 ;[11, 12 ];['11 , '12 ] , represents the unreliability of generator G1. ~ V2 x2 , y2 , z2 , t2 ;[21, 22];['21 , '22 ], represents the unreliability of generator G2. ~ V3 x3 , y3 , z 3 , t 3 ; [ 31 , 32 ];[ '31 , '32 ], represents the unreliability of micro switch board-1. represents the reliability of the event that there is no power supply to micro switch board-1. ~ F3 X 3 , Y3 , Z 3 , T3 ; [31 ,32 ]; [' 31 ,' 32 ] represents the reliability of the event that there is no power supply to the junction box D. ~ F4 X 4 , Y4 , Z 4 , T4 ; [41 ,42 ]; [' 41 ,' 42 ] represents the reliability of the event that there is no power supply from the junction box D. ~ F5 X 5 , Y5 , Z 5 , T5 ; [51 ,52 ]; [' 51 ,' 52 ] represents the reliability of the event that there is no power supply through the junction boxes D and E. ~ X 6 , Y6 , Z 6 , T6 F6 ; [61 ,62 ]; [' 61 ,' 62 ] ~ V4 x 4 , y 4 , z 4 , t 4 ; [ 41 , 42 ];[ ' 41 , ' 42 ], represents the unreliability of micro switch board-2. represents the reliability of the event that there is no power supply to micro switch board-2. ~ F7 X 7 , Y7 , Z 7 , T7 ; [71 ,72 ]; [' 71 ,' 72 ] ~ x5 , y5 , z5 , t5 V5 ;[51 , 52 ];['51 , '52 ], represents the reliability of the event that there is no power supply to the junction box E. represents the unreliability of the junction boxes A and B. ~ X 8 , Y8 , Z 8 , T8 F8 ;[81 ,82 ];['81 ,'82 ] ~ x6 , y6 , z6 , t6 V6 ;[61 , 62 ];[' 61 , ' 62 ], represents the unreliability of the junction box D. ~ V7 x7 , y 7 , z 7 , t 7 ; [ 71 , 72 ]; [ ' 71 , ' 72 ] , represents unreliability of the junction box E. ~ x8 , y8 , z8 , t8 V8 ; [ 81 , 82 ]; [ '81 , '82 ], represents the unreliability of the distributive switch board. ~ X 1 , Y1 , Z 1 , T1 F1 ; [11 ,12 ]; ['11 ,'12 ] , represents the reliability of the event that there is no power supply through the junction boxes A and B. ~ X 2 , Y2 , Z 2 , T 2 F2 ; [21 ,22 ]; [' 21 ,' 22 ] 76 Int. J . Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 represents the reliability of the event that there is no power supply from the junction box E. ~ X 9 ,Y9 , Z9 ,T9 F9 ;[91,92 ];['91 ,'92 ] represents the reliability of the event that no power is coming to distributive switch board. ~ F , represents the fuzzy unreliability of the system. ~ R , represents the fuzzy reliability of the system. 5.2. Fault tree The fault tree for the marine power plant (Fig. 6) is shown in Fig. 7. Fuzzy Reliability of a Marine Power Plant Using Interval Valued Vague Sets Total Failure of the System No power coming to D.S.B D.S.B is burnt No power from junction box D No power from junction box E No power to junction box D No power to junction box E D is burnt E is burnt M.S.B-1 is burnt M.S.B-2 is burnt No power to M.S.B-1 No power to M.S.B-2 G1 is burnt G2 is burnt No supply through A and B No supply through A and B M.S.B-2 is burnt G2 is burnt G1 is burnt A and B damaged M.S.B-1 is burnt A and B damaged Figure 7. Fault tree of marine power plant. Int. J. Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 77 Amit Kumar, Shiv Prasad Yadav, and Surendra Kumar 5.3. Fuzzy fault tree Using fault tree, the fuzzy fault tree (Fig. 8) is constructed for evaluating the fuzzy reliability of the above marine power plant. It is based on fuzzy logic and can handle fuzzy arithmetic with the application of fuzzy set theory. 6. Proposed algorithm With the help of fuzzy fault tree the following algorithm is proposed for analyzing the fuzzy reliability of the above marine power plant. Step 1 ~ ~ ~ ~ F1 1Θ(1ΘV2 ) (1ΘV5 ) (1ΘV4 ) X 1, Y1, Z 1, T1 ;[11,12 ];['11,'12 ] where X 1 1 (1 x 2 )(1 x 5 )(1 x 4 ), Y1 1 (1 y 2 )(1 y 5 )(1 y 4 ), Z 1 1 (1 z 2 )(1 z 5 )(1 z 4 ), T1 1 (1 t 2 )(1 t 5 )(1 t 4 ), 11 min( 21, 41, 51 ), 12 min( 22 , 42 , 52 ), '11 min(' 21, ' 41, ' 51 ), '12 min( ' 22 , ' 42 , ' 52 ) Step 2 2 1 m in ( 1 1 , 2 1 , 4 1 , 5 1 ), 2 2 m in ( 1 2 , 2 2 , 4 2 , 5 2 ), ' 2 1 m in ( ' 1 1 , ' 2 1 , ' 4 1 , ' 5 1 ), ' 2 2 m in ( ' 1 2 , ' 2 2 , ' 4 2 , ' 5 2 ) Step 3 ~ ~ ~ F3 1Θ(1 ΘV3 ) (1 ΘF2 ) X 3 , Y3 , Z 3 , T3 ;[31,32 ];[' 31,' 32 ] where X 3 1(1x3)(1X 2 ), Y3 1(1y3)(1Y2 ), Z 3 1 (1z 3)(1Z 2 ), T3 1 (1t 3)(1T2 ), 31 min (11, 21, 31, 41, 51), 32 min (12, 22, 32, 42 , 52 ), ' 31 min ('11, ' 21, ' 31, ' 41, ' 51), 32 min ('12, ' 22, ' 32, ' 42, ' 52 ) Step 4 ~ ~ ~ F4 1 Θ(1ΘV6 ) (1ΘF3 ) ( X 4 , Y4, Z 4 , T4 );[41,42 ];[' 41,' 42 ] where X 4 1(1x 6 )(1X 3 ), Y4 1(1y 6 )(1Y3), Z 4 1(1z 6 )(1Z 3), T4 1(1t 6 )(1T3 ), where 41 min(11, 21, 31, 41, 51, 61), 42 min(12 , 22 , 32 , 42 , 52 , 62 ), ' 41 min('11, ' 21, ' 31, ' 41, ' 51, ' 61), ' 42 min('12 , ' 22 , ' 32 , ' 42 , ' 52, ' 62 ) X 2 x1 X 1 , Y2 y1 Y1, Step 5 F 2 V1 F1 X 2 ,Y2 , Z 2 , T2 ;[21,22 ];[' 21,' 22 ] Z 2 z1 Z 1, T2 t1 T1 78 Int. J . Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 ~ ~ ~ ~ F5 =1Θ(1ΘV1 ) (1ΘV5 ) (1ΘV3 ) Fuzzy Reliability of a Marine Power Plant Using Interval Valued Vague Sets ( X 5 , Y5 , Z 5 , T5 );[51,52 ];[' 51,' 52 ] ~ F where X 5 1 (1 x1)(1 x 5 )(1 x 3 ), OR ~ F ~ V Y5 1 (1 y1)(1 y 5 )(1 y 3 ), 8 9 Z 5 1 (1 z1)(1 z 5 )(1 z 3 ), AND T5 1 (1 t1)(1 t 5 )(1 t 3 ), ~ F 5 1 m i n ( 1 1 , 3 1 , 5 1 ) , 5 2 m i n ( 1 2 , 3 2 , 5 2 ) , ' 5 1 m in ( '1 1 , ' 3 1 , ' 5 1 ) , ~ F 4 8 OR ~ V ' 5 2 m in ( '1 2 , ' 3 2 , ' 5 2 ) OR ~ ~ VOR F ~ F 6 7 3 7 OR OR Step 6 ~ V F V 6 2 F5 X 6,Y6, Z6,T6 ;[61,62];[' 61,' 62] X 6 ~ V ~ F ~ F 4 2 3 6 AND AND ~ V x 2 X 5 , Y 6 y 2 Y 5 , ~ F 1 ~ V 1 Z 6 z 2 Z 5 , T 6 t 2 T 5 , 2 61 m in( 11 , 21 , 31 , 51 ), 62 m in( 12 , 22 , 32 , 52 ), ' 61 m in( ' 11 , ' 21 , ' 31 , ' 51 ), ' 62 m in( ' 12 , ' 22 , ' 32 , ' 52 ) ~ F 5 OR ~ V 2 ~ V 5 ~ V 4 OR Step 7 ~ V ~ ~ ~ F7 1 Θ( 1ΘV4 ) (1 ΘF6 ) 1 Figure 8. X 7 ,Y7 , Z 7 , T7 ;[71,72 ];[' 71,' 72 ] where X 7 1(1x 4 )(1X 6 ), Y7 1(1y 4 )(1Y6 ), Z 7 1(1z 4 )(1Z 6 ), T7 1(1t 4 )(1T6 ) 71 min(11, 21, 31, 41, 51), 72 min(12, 22 , 32 , 42, 52 ), ' 71 min('11, ' 21, ' 31, ' 41, ' 51), ' 72 min('12 , ' 22 , ' 32 , ' 42 , ' 52 ) ~ V 5 ~ V 3 Fuzzy fault tree. Step 8 ~ ~ ~ F8 1 Θ(1ΘV7 ) ( 1ΘF7 ) X 8 , Y8 , Z 8 , T8 ;[81,82 ];[' 81,' 82 ] where Int. J. Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 79 Amit Kumar, Shiv Prasad Yadav, and Surendra Kumar X 8 1(1x 7 )(1X 7 ), Y8 1(1y 7 )(1Y7 ), Z 8 1(1z 7 )(1Z 7 ), T8 1(1t 7 )(1T7 ) 81 min(11, 21, 31, 41, 51, 71), 82 min(12 , 22 , 32 , 42 , 52 , 72 ), ' 81 min('11, ' 21, ' 31, ' 41, ' 51, ' 71), ' 82 min('12 , ' 22 , ' 32 , ' 42 , ' 52 , ' 72 ) Step 9 F 9 F4 F8 X 9,Y9, Z9,T9 ;[91,92];[' 91,' 92] where X 9 X 4 X 8, Y9 Y4 Y8, Z9 Z 4 Z8, T9 T4 T8, 91 min(11, 21, 31, 41, 51, 61, 71), 92 min(12, 22, 32, 42, 52, 62, 72), ' 91 min('11, ' 21, ' 31, ' 41, ' 51, ' 61, ' 71), ' 92 min('12, ' 22, ' 32, ' 42, ' 52, ' 62, ' 72) Step 10 ~ ~ ~ F 1Θ(1ΘV8 ) (1ΘF9 ) 1 (1 x 8 )(1 X 9 ),1 (1 y 8 )(1 Y9 ), 1 (1 z 8 )(1 Z 9 ),1 (1 t 8 )(1 T9 ) ; [min(11, 21, 31, 41, 51, 61, 71, 81 ); min(12 , 22 , 32 , 42 , 52 , 62 , 72 , 82 )]; [min('11, ' 21, ' 31, ' 41, ' 51, ' 61, ' 71, ' 81 ); min ('12 , ' 22 , ' 32 , ' 42 , ' 52 , ' 62 , ' 72 , ' 82 )] analyzing the fuzzy reliability of the above marine power plant: ~ V1 < [(0.003, 0.006, 0.013, 0.92]; [0.94, 0.98]]> ~ V2 < [(0.006, 0.008, 0.015, 0.89]; [0.92, 0.97]]> ~ V3 < [(0.011, 0.022, 0.033, 0.91]; [0.93, 0.96]]> ~ V4 < [(0.012, 0.024,0 .040, 0.91]; [0.94, 0.98]]> ~ V5 < [(0.021, 0.032, 0.053, 0.92]; [0.93, 0.98]]> ~ V6 < [(0.041, 0.062, 0.093, 0.90]; [0.93, 0.99]]> ~ V7 < [(0.052, 0.083, 0.140, 0.90]; [0.92, 0.98]]> ~ V8 < [(0.111, 0.132, 0.163, 0.92]; [0.94, 0.97]]> 0.026); [0. 85, 0.028); [0. 85, 0.046); [0. 82, 0.059); [0. 84, 0.084); [0. 87, 0.134); [0. 81, 0.175); [0. 85, 0.184); [0. 86, 8. Results ~ The fuzzy unreliability F and the fuzzy re~ ~ liability, R 1 Θ F , of the above marine power plant has been computed using the above data and the proposed algorithm and obtained as the following interval valued trapezoidal vague sets ~ F < [(0.114, 0.140, 0.181, 0.217); [0. 81, 0.89]; [0.92, 0.96]]> and ~ R < [(0.783, 0.819, 0.860, 0.886); [0. 81, 0.89]; [0.92, 0.96]]> 7. Data The following data in terms of interval valued trapezoidal vague sets are assumed for 80 Int. J . Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 Interval valued trapezoidal vague sets repre~ ~ senting F and R are shown in Figs. 9 and 10, respectively. Fuzzy Reliability of a Marine Power Plant Using Interval Valued Vague Sets sets and vague sets, is that interval valued vague sets separate the positive and negative evidence for the membership of an element in a set and also the values of membership and non membership of an element in a set are intervals instead of a single real number. Interval valued trapezoidal vague sets are used which is very effective in representing the failure possibility of the basic events under fuzzy environment. TF~ (r) , 1 F F~ ( r ) 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.2 0.22 Unreliability ( r ) Lines from top to bottom: Represents supremum value of the interval 1 FF~ (ri ) for each ri r TR~ (r ) , 1 FR~ ( r ) 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 Represents infimum value of the interval 1 FF~ (ri ) for each ri r 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 Represents supremum value of the interval TF~ (ri ) for each ri r Represents infimum value of the interval TF~ (ri ) for each ri r Figure 9. An interval valued trapezoidal vague set ~ representing F . 9. Conclusion In this paper, a new method has been developed for analyzing the fuzzy system reliability of a series and parallel system using interval valued trapezoidal vague sets, where the reliability of each component of each system is represented by an interval valued trapezoidal vague set defined in the universe of discourse [0, 1]. The developed method has been used to analyze the fuzzy reliability of a marine power plant. The major advantage of using interval valued vague sets, over fuzzy 0.1 0 0.77 0.79 0.81 0.83 0.85 0.87 0.89 Reliability ( r ) Lines from top to bottom: Represents supremum value of the interval 1 FR~ (ri ) for each ri r Represents infimum value of the interval 1 FR~ (ri ) for each ri r Represents supremum value of the interval TR~ (ri ) for each ri r Represents infimum value of the interval TR~ (r ) for each ri r Figure 10. An interval valued trapezoidal ~ vague set representing R . Int. J. Appl. Sci. Eng., 2006. 4, 1 81 Amit Kumar, Shiv Prasad Yadav, and Surendra Kumar Acknowledgement The authors are thankful to the reviewers for their critical and fruitful comments. The authors also acknowledge the financial support given by the Council of Scientific and Industrial Research, Govt. of India, INDIA References [ 1] Zadeh, L. A. 1965. Fuzzy sets. Information Control; 8: 338-353. [ 2] Singer, D. 1990. A fuzzy set approach to fault tree and reliability analysis. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 34, 2: 145-55. [ 3] Cai, K.Y., Wen, C.Y., and Zhang, M.L. 1991. Fuzzy variables as a basis for a theory of fuzzy reliability in the possibility context. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 42, 2: 145-172. [ 4] Cai, K.Y., Wen, C.Y., and Zhang, M.L. 1991. Posbist reliability behavior of typical systems with two types of failures. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 43, 1:17-32. [ 5] Cai, K.Y., Wen, C.Y., and Zhang, M.L. 1993. Fuzzy states as a basis for a theory of fuzzy reliability. Microelectronic Reliability, 33, 1: 2253-2263. 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