CLIMATE SUMMARY MARCH 2017 Samoa Meteorology Division Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment W: www.samet.gov.ws Ph: (685) 20855/20856 F: www.facebook.com/Samoa Meteorological Services HIGHLIGHTS ISSUED: APRIL Rainfall in March 2017 was Figure 1: SPCZ Position in March 2017 Figure 2: Normal Position of SPCZ in March generally ‘average to below average’. Pg 1 & 2 ITCZ March 28th recorded the warm- SAMOA est day time temperature of 34.8oC at Apia. The coolest night time temperature of 17.20C at Afiamalu on the 6th. GLOBAL SCALE OBSERVATIONS Pg 3 In March 2017, the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) was evidently suppressed near and Generally, easterlies wind was east of the International Dateline (~180oW longitude) in relation to its normal position as registered throughout the is- shown in Figure 1 and Figure 2. It was enhanced to the east of the Philippines. Additionally, land in March 2017. Pg 4 the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) was displaced southwest of its long term average location east of the Solomon Islands and extended further southeast of its normal position in Neutral phase of El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) March. LOCAL SCALE OBSERVATIONS persists in the Pacific with increased chance of El Nino in second half of 2017. Pg 5 Continuous warming of the far eastern, south of the Pacific Precipitation in March 2017 was relatively drier than average as rainfall stations observed ‘average to below average’ precipitation. Statistically, 12 stations recorded ‘below average’ rainfall, 9 stations observed ‘average’ and 6 stations registered ‘well below average’ precipitation. The wettest station with the highest total of 403.8mm recorded at Matautu Falelatai in the western part of Upolu. The second highest total was Falelima in the western region of Savaii island with 330.0mm of rainfall. Conversely, Lefagaoalii station observed the and western Pacific sea sur- lowest total of 42.8mm followed by Aopo station with 56.4mm. Generally, most of March face waters were observed in monthly totals across rainfall stations were within the range of 100mm - 295.0mm. The top March. The equatorial region maximum rainfall in 24 hours of 131.2mm was observed at Falelima on the 29 th followed by on the other hand was near average. Cooler sub-surface 84.6mm at Tuasivi on the 13th. Other stations registered their 1-day fall on various days fall within the range of 10mm –80mm which is classified as ‘light rain to heavy rain’. March 2017 is recorded to be drier than March 2016 as indicated by Figure 7 in Appendix. In fact, it waters were recorded in the was the third (3rd) driest March in history of Apia and Nafanua stations since establishment in eastern the year 1905 observing 91.9mm and 135.1mm respectively. region with warm anomalies in the western area. Climate Summary March 2017 Page 2 Table 1: Rainfall Statistics in March 2017 This table displays the rainfall status of all stations in the country in March 2017 Stations March Rainfall (mm) March 30 Year Long Term Average % of Average 1 day fall (mm) Date # of Rainy Days Rainfall Status UPOLU Afiamalu 219.5 528 42 40.5 7th 28 Below Average Alafua 143.2 348 41 52.6 22nd 22 Below Average Apia 91.9 354 26 19.0 22nd 18 Well Below Average Faleolo 141.3 250 57 28.8 8th 18 Below Average Laulii 224.1 427 52 43.2 22nd 22 Below Average Leauvaa 145.4 463 31 66.4 22nd 20 Well Below Average Lepa 249.2 247 101 27.4 13th 26 Average Lotofaga 239.1 231 104 64.4 13th 25 Average Matautu Falelatai 403.8 513 80 72.8 8th 27 Average Nafanua 135.1 392 35 32.2 22nd 25 Well Below Average Nuu 126.6 252 50 45.0 22nd 17 Below Average Nuusuatia 271.6 243 112 77.8 13th 19 Average Salani 221.6 231 96 27.2 18th 28 Average Saleilua 263.1 331 80 49.4 17th 17 Average Saoluafata 200.2 295 68 52.0 22nd 23 Below Average Savalalo 148.3 354 42 36.0 31st 13 Below Average Tiavea 171.8 289 59 27.0 17th 25 Below Average Togitogiga 295.0 305 97 56.0 1st 31 Average Vailoa Aleipata 152.2 277 55 28.2 13th 22 Below Average Aopo 56.4 375 15 12.4 4th 16 Well Below Average Falelima 330.0 484 68 131.2 29th 24 Below Average Lefagaoalii 42.6 249 10 15.6 16th 20 Well Below Average Letui 111.0 375 30 33.6 4th 21 Below Average Salailua 212.8 231 92 42.8 15th 20 Average Maota 113.0 292 39 50.0 10th 6 Well Below Average Tuasivi 189.2 373 51 84.6 13th 18 Below Average Vaiaata 304.0 331 92 50.4 17th 23 Average Page 3 Climate Summary March 2017 Figure 3: Rainfall Status Map in March 2017 This rainfall map is generated using observation data from Table 1 TEMPERATURE Table 2: Air Temperature Statistics This table displays the temperature statistics recorded across stations in March 2017 Temperature (Degree Celsius) Stations Mean Daily Temperature Extreme Temp Max Date Extreme Temp Min Date Afiamalu 23.5 30.5 26th 17.2 6th Alafua 27.7 34.0 26th 20.6 8th Apia 29.7 34.8 28th 24.2 17th Faleolo 28.7 33.9 8th 23.3 13th Maota N/A N/A N/A 24.0 3rd Nafanua N/A N/A N/A 22.0 27th Saoluafata 27.5 32.8 6th 22.3 4th Salailua 27.7 33.3 26th 21.6 27th Togitogiga 26.4 34.6 9th 20.0 20th Vaiaata 27.1 33.0 14th 21.2 4th N/A = Data Not Available Apia recorded the warmest day time temperature of 34.80C on March 28th followed by 34.60C registered at Togitogiga on the 9th. Conversely, Afiamalu station observed the coolest night time temperature of 17.2 0C on the 6th with the second coolest temperature of 20.00C registered at Togitogiga on the 20th. Mean daily temperatures range from 23.50C to 29.70C with Apia recording the highest. The mean daily temperature of Apia is 2.5 0C warmer in comparison to its 30 year long term average. Climate Summary March 2017 Page 4 ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE Table 3: Atmospheric Pressure at Mean Sea Level (MSL) This table displays the atmospheric statistics recorded across two stations in March 2017 Station Highest MSL Pressure (hPa) Date Lowest MSL Pressure (hPa) Date Average MSL Pressure (hPa) Apia 1014.6 21st 1001.1 1st 1010.5 Faleolo 1014.9 21st 1005.6 2nd 1010.8 Faleolo recorded the highest MSL pressure of 1014.9hPa on March 21st . On March 1st the lowest MSL pressure of 1001.1hPa was recorded at Apia. The average MSL Pressure for Apia is 0.7hPa higher than the 30 year long term average of 1009.0hPa. (Note: High pressure systems associate with good weather conditions whereas low pressure systems associate with bad weather conditions) WIND Figure 4: Wind Speed and Directions The following diagrams show the different wind speed and direction that recorded daily at 9am across the country in March 2017. Figure 4a : Apia Station Figure 4b: Faleolo Station Figure 4c: Afiamalu Station Figure 4d: Togitogiga Station Figure 4e: Vaiaata Station Figure 4f: Nafanua Station Generally, easterlies to south east winds prevailed over Samoa in March 2017 dominating the wind recorded across the stations exceeding 40% of the time. All stations experienced light winds (0-10km/hr) with some gentle winds (10-20km/hr) at times. Significant calm conditions were also observed at Nafanua station. Page 5 Climate Summary March 2017 EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) CURRENT ENSO STATUS Atmospheric Indicator of ENSO The current status of ENSO is still in “Neutral” phase with signs of an increase possibility of Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) El Nino to develop in 2017. Climate models being surveyed are The 30 day SOI value to 9th April was +3.8 with 90 day forecasting value of +1.0. The SOI has been within neutral range steady warming of the tropical pacific ocean is likely to continue and 7 out of 8 models pre- since mid-October 2016. dicting SST will exceed El Nino thresholds during the second half of 2017. (Sustained positive values of the SOI above +7 indicate La Nina. Whereas sustained negative values below –7 indicate Oceanic Indicator of ENSO El Nino. Values within –7 and +7 shows neutral conditions.) Figure 5: Sea Surface Temperature in March 2017 Figure 5 shows the sea surface temperature anomalies in which warmer conditions were experienced in the far eastern Pacific, across most of the Pacific south of the equator and the western Pacific just east of the Australian region. The equatorial region was mainly close to average in March. The March values for the NINO3, NINO3.4 and NINO4 regions were +0.5 °C, +0.2 °C and 0.0 °C, respectively. The Nino 3 remained the same from February and the other two regions have increased by +0.20C and +0.10C respectively. Figure 6: Sub-surface Temperature The sub-surface temperature water anomalies for March 2017 shows the sub-surface of the central to the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean was cooler than average. These cool anomalies were similar in strength to those observed for February. Areas of weak warm anomalies were present in the top 150 m of the tropical Pacific west of 160°E. Page 6 Climate Summary March 2017 APPENDIX Figure 7: Graphically representation of total monthly rainfall in March 2016 vs March 2017 in all rainfall stations.
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