Reform of the British House of Lords: A Test of Lijphart and Tsebelis Paper to the European Consortium of Political Research conference, Pisa, 6-8 September 2007 Meg Russell The Constitution Unit Department of Political Science University College London [email protected] Please do not cite or quote without the author’s permission. Abstract The British House of Lords is generally seen as an unimportant political actor. It is unelected and has a formal veto over only very limited forms of legislation. According to Lijphart this gives the UK a system of ‘weak bicameralism’, and contributes to its position as a majoritarian democracy. The alternative classification system offered by Tsebelis treats the UK as essentially unicameral, with the single veto player being the governing party. But a reform in 1999, which removed the great majority of hereditary peers, seems to have given new strength to the House of Lords. It has since defeated the government almost 400 times, and become an important site for interparty negotiation. This paper evaluates the changes to the role of the House of Lords in British politics and suggests that they are signficant, but largely invisible according to these well-established theories. Recent developments in Britain may therefore help to refine the theory of bicameralism and executive-legislative relations for the future. Introduction The House of Lords is one of the longest existent parliamentary chambers in the world. The British parliament has been bicameral since the 13th century, when the representatives of shires and boroughs (collectively known as the ‘Commons’) began to meet separately from the Lords spiritual (i.e. Bishops) and Lords temporal. Since then the House of Lords has been in almost continuous existence, with the exception of the brief period 1649-60 when it was abolished following the English civil war (Owen Pike 1894; Longford 1998). By the start of the 20th century, as the chamber still comprised largely hereditary peers who inherited their right to sit in parliament, there were already lively debates about the need for reform. During the century there were a series of reforms, but none of these were seen as fundamental. The most recent, in 1999, removed the right of most hereditary peers to sit. However, given that this left a wholly unelected chamber, the Lords continues to be widely seen as ‘unreformed’. Reform debates continue, and largely focus on the question of introducing elected members. The House of Lords therefore tends to be seen as a curiosity. Amongst major Western democracies it is one of only two all-appointed second chambers (the other being the Canadian Senate). From a distance, and indeed to many in the UK, the Lords is a historical relic with little relevance to modern politics. However it is in fact far more interesting than that. Even before its reform in 1999 the chamber was playing quite an active role in negotiating policy (Shell 1992; Shell and Beamish 1993), and since this reform its role has significantly grown (Russell and Sciara 2006, 2007). It is becoming increasingly clear in Britain that the House of Lords needs to be taken more seriously. The reform of 1999 may prove to have profound implications for British politics (Russell and Sciara 2007a). But its effects also lead us to question some of the assumptions of comparative politics. In particular the writings of recent theorists who have tried 1 to explain the influence of second chambers cannot adequately account for the new assertiveness of the House of Lords following its reform in 1999. This suggests a weakness in existing theories. This paper outlines the approach of two key theorists – Arend Lijphart and George Tsebelis – to the classification of second chambers and their powers. It explains how these two theorists classified the ‘old’ House of Lords. It then describes the reform of 1999 and its apparent effects. This is followed by a review of the extent to which the established theories capture the change which has taken place. The paper concludes by suggesting the need for some developments to theory. Two Established Theories of Bicameralism Bicameralism has attracted the attention of many contemporary political theorists (e.g. Levmore 1992; Riker 1992; Sartori 1994). Many have focused primarily on the special case of the US (e.g. Hammond and Miller 1987; Heller 2001). However two scholars are particularly widely cited for their broadly comparative classifications of constitutional systems, which give substantial attention to the question of the influence of second chambers: Lijphart (1984; 1999) and Tsebelis (1995; 2002). Lijphart makes bicameralism a central feature in his ‘consensus’ rather than ‘majoritarian’ model of democracy. An ideal-type consensus democracy would include not just bicameralism but ‘strong’ bicameralism, which means an influential second chamber that ensures policy is the subject of negotiation. In order to determine whether a political system is one of strong or weak bicameralism, Lijphart classifies these systems along two dimensions. The first asks whether the two chambers of parliament have ‘symmetrical’ or ‘asymmetrical’ powers, and the second whether they have ‘congruent’ or ‘incongruent’ memberships (Lijphart 1984: 95-101; 1999: 20313). The first dimension allows for the fact that the powers of second chambers differ widely. Some second chambers, such as those in Spain and Ireland, have only a very limited power to delay legislation, while others, such as the US and Australian Senates, have a formal veto over every bill (Patterson and Mughan 1999; Russell 2000; Tsebelis and Money 1997). The formal constitutional powers of the second chamber obviously are of great importance in determining its ability to influence policy. But according to Lijphart, we must also take account here of how members of the second chamber are selected. Although the House of Lords is unusual in being wholly appointed, there are many second chambers around the world that either include some appointed members or include members who are elected ‘indirectly’ - for example by local councillors. Lijphart suggests that this aspect of composition is important in determining a chamber’s de facto power, because ‘second chambers that are not directly elected lack the democratic legitimacy, and hence the real political influence, that popular election confers’ (1999: 206). In order to be judged to have ‘symmetrical’ power to the lower house, a second chamber must therefore have ‘equal or only moderately unequal constitutional powers and democratic legitimacy’ (ibid). Few second chambers achieve this. Others are considered to have ‘asymmetrical’ powers. The second dimension focuses more substantially on the chamber’s composition. Where the two chambers are ‘elected by different methods or designed to so as to overrepresent certain minorities’, they are said to be ‘incongruent’ (Lijphart 1999: 207). Otherwise, the composition of the two chambers is ‘congruent’. Here Lijphart concentrates almost exclusively on the territorial dimension of representation, and the tendency in many second chambers to underrepresent underpopulated areas. In his 1999 book he provides data specifically on this question, and uses the Gini Index of Inequality (which captures disproportionality in the representation of areas compared to their population) as a key indicator of incongruence. He points out that according 2 to this measure the US Congress is the most incongruent, thanks to the equal representation of each state in the Senate irrespective of population and the wide diversity of these state populations. Whether a system is considered to be strongly bicameral depends on its classification along these two dimensions. Strong bicameralism, according to Lijphart, is typified by symmetrical powers and incongruent membership. A system which displays one of these characteristics but not the other has medium-strength bicameralism, while weak bicameralism describes systems where chambers have asymmetrical powers and congruent memberships. In his 1984 book Lijphart judged that systems in the last category demonstrated ‘insignificant’ bicameralism, and were in effect unicameral, while any others not judged ‘strong’ must be ‘weak’. However he revised this judgement in the 1999 version, on the basis that even the weakest second chambers have some influence on occasion. Tsebelis was critical of Lijphart’s work (1995; 2002). One of his central criticisms was that Lijphart took insufficient account of the partisan control of different institutions in the constitution. He characterised different actors as ‘veto players’, acting upon the political executive with the potential to block policy change. Veto players are ‘actors whose agreement is required for a change of the [policy] status quo’ (Tsebelis 2002: 17). A second chamber clearly has the capacity to be such a veto player. Like Lijphart, Tsebelis does not assume that a second chamber with strong constitutional powers (even if it is democratically elected) will necessarily be influential, if the two chambers are of similar composition. But Tsebelis focuses on partisan rather than territorial representation. He suggests that if the second chamber is controlled by the same political party as the executive, and therefore has the same policy preferences, it is unlikely to have a significant impact. In Tsebelis’s language such a chamber is ‘absorbed’. He suggests that ‘as a result of the absorption rule, a second chamber may have veto power but not affect policy outcomes’ (2002: 12). So a political system that on the face of it places many constraints on the executive may in fact do little of the sort if those who wield formal vetoes are in fact of the same partisan views. The number of veto players in a given system may also change over time. For example the US Senate, despite the incongruent composition demonstrated by the Gini Index, will make less use of the veto, and thus be less influential, during periods when it is controlled by the same party as the presidency. The other key element in Tsebelis’s system is the emphasis that he puts on the veto. Whereas Lijphart does not dismiss a second chamber completely just because it lacks formal constitutional powers, Tsebelis takes into account only those actors who have a real veto power.1 Most second chambers, therefore, do not even have the capacity to be veto players, while even some of those that do may have this power neutralised as a result of their partisan control. Given that only seven of the 36 countries considered by Lijphart have second chambers with anything like coequal power, this clearly leaves a very small population of such chambers that meet the veto player criterion. The ‘Old’ House of Lords Before its reform in 1999, the House of Lords continued to be dominated by hereditary peers. None of the members of the chamber were elected, although a reform in 1958 created the ability to appoint members as ‘life peers’, who did not pass their titles to their offspring. From this point on few new hereditary peers were created, and most new members entered the chamber as life peers. By the time of its reform the chamber included 759 hereditary members, 477 life members, Tsebelis does note that ‘it would be incorrect to assume that second chambers without a veto power do not affect legislation’ (2002:144). However he chooses to ‘focus on cases fulfilling this veto requirement’ (ibid). 1 3 and 26 Church of England Bishops. The reform removed all but 92 of the hereditary members, leaving a chamber dominated by life peers.2 The House of Lords originally possessed an absolute veto over all legislation. This power was, however, reformed during the course of the 20th century. The 1911 and 1949 Parliament Acts limited the Lords’ power over most legislation, leaving it with a delaying power of approximately 1 year over ordinary legislation starting in the House of Commons.3 In comparative terms, this was still a significant power, since few governments can afford to see their legislation delayed for this long on a regular basis. However, in the 20th century the House of Lords only very rarely used its powers. This can be explained by two principal factors. First, the large number of hereditary peers came to be seen as increasingly indefensible in a modern democracy, meaning that government in the House of Commons could effectively claim that it was unconstitutional for the chamber to consider using its powers. Second, in practice, those hereditary peers that subscribed to a political party overwhelmingly supported the Conservative Party. This meant that tensions between the chambers were minimised in times of Conservative government, while intervention by the second chamber was seen as anti-democratic when the left was in power. After Labour won a landslide victory in 1945, a convention was established that the chamber would not block bills seeking to implement government manifesto commitments. However, in practice the chamber’s self-restraint was actually far greater than this. In his 1984 book Lijphart classified the United Kingdom as being only weakly bicameral. The basis for his judgement was that the two chambers had incongruent compositions (as he put it, ‘the overrepresented minority in the British House of Lords is, of course, the nobility’ (1984: 98)), but extremely asymmetrical powers, on account of the chamber’s lack of veto combined with its unelected membership. In his later book Lijphart had created a finer gradation of categories, and classified the United Kingdom as having ‘between medium-strength and weak bicameralism’ (1999: 212). To describe the House of Lords as weak or even very weak seemed to be a fair assessment of the situation, given its track record, and this judgement was uncontroversial. Tsebelis was similarly able to dismiss the House of Lords as not being a serious policy actor. This was a more straightforward judgement, since he needed to look no further than the chamber’s lack of veto power. His judgement that the United Kingdom had only a single veto player (the governing party in the House of Commons) was consistent with the general view that the Westminster Model concentrated excessive power in the hands of the single party executive (Lijphart 1984, 1999; Wilson 1994). In fact in one place he seemed to suggest that the United Kingdom was effectively unicameral (Tsebelis 2002: 78), a conclusion which chimed with that of some British constitutional experts that Britain had ‘in effect a unicameral system of government but with two chambers of parliament’ (Bogdanor 1997: 119). The 1999 Reform and its Consequences The reform of the House of Lords in 1999 did not change any of the fundamentals as seen by Lijphart and Tsebelis. Even the politicians that proposed the reform presented it as a temporary step. The Labour Party’s 1997 manifesto proposed that Lords reform would be a two-stage process, with the first stage being the removal of the hereditary peers. This reform was enacted in a short bill which passed through parliament during 1998-99. The result was that the new House of Lords which met for the first time in November 1999 had been stripped of 655 members, and was consequently much smaller. The largest group by far remaining were the life peers. The original intention was to remove all hereditary peers, but a compromise resulted in 92 being retained (see Shell 2000). 3 The Parliament Acts did not affect its power over legislation starting in the Lords, where it retains a veto. Around one third of bills, mostly those which are relatively uncontroversial, begin their passage in the Lords. 2 4 The House remained wholly unelected, and could still be described as ‘unreformed’, particularly given that the government had promised a second stage – which by 2007 has still failed to be implemented. The detail of the second stage was never specified, though it was expected that this would include the addition of elected members. Since then, there have been continual arguments about the merits of introducing such members, with many fearful that such a reform would make the chamber far more assertive by giving it democratic legitimacy (Kelso 2006; Mclean, Spirling and Russell 2003; Norton 2004). These arguments remain unresolved, and there are significant splits in both main political parties about the future of reform. Despite appearing unreformed however, there has been much change in the chamber’s behaviour since 1999. The most visible evidence comes in terms of defeating government legislation. Since its reform in 1999 the House of Lords has inflicted almost 400 defeats on government bills - an average of roughly 49 per year. Comparisons with earlier periods are difficult. During the period 1979-97 the chamber defeated the government on average 13 times per year, but this was a period of Conservative government, and therefore subject to less Lords’ resistance than periods of Labour government. There is little data available for periods before this, but the highest number of Lords defeats on record for a parliamentary session was for 1975-76, when the Labour government suffered 126 defeats. On the face of it the Lords’ behaviour since 1999 may therefore be seen as simply a reversion to type: it always defeated Labour governments more, and continues to do so. But it is not only the quantity, but also the nature of Lords defeats that are changing. In the 1970s Labour governments may have been defeated frequently by the Lords, but these defeats were relatively easily overturned in the House of Commons. In Britain the system for resolving differences between the chambers is simply for a bill to shuttle back and forth until a mutually acceptable form of words can be agreed (or, in the event of a deadlock, the House of Commons can pass a bill alone after a delay of roughly a year). When such disagreements occur on there has conventionally been great pressure on the House of Lords to submit to the will of the elected house. Under the Labour government 1974-79 there were only four bills on which the House of Lords sought to insist on its amendments through sending them back to the House of Commons a second time. On all other occasions the Lords accepted the primacy of the Commons and backed down, and on no occasion did the government have to force a bill through without the Lords’ consent. In contrast, in the first full parliament since the 1999 reform (2001-05) there were 17 bills on which the Lords insisted on its amendments. In two cases elements of a bill were rejected by the Lords four times, and one bill (the Hunting Bill 2004) was passed in the end without the Lords’ consent. A detailed study of the impact of defeats in the chamber since 1999 shows that the government now frequently compromises with the House of Lords in order to get its legislation through parliament (Russell and Sciara 2007b). Although formally Lords’ defeats can be easily overturned in the House of Commons, in practice this happens in only around four out of 10 cases. In the remainder the House of Lords wins some policy concessions, and in four out of 10 cases the final outcome is closer to the Lords’ position than to the original position of the government.4 Lords’ defeats therefore now have a significant impact on policy. But perhaps more importantly (and 4 There are various reasons why the government may choose to compromise with the Lords rather than asking the House of Commons to reverse Lords defeats outright. The most obvious is that parliamentary time is lost if bills shuttle back and forth and are repeatedly debated in each chamber. The government will naturally prefer to use this time for the discussion of other bills. In addition, opposition by the Lords to certain clauses will draw attention to policy controversies in the media and amongst pressure groups. The government will often prefer to avoid such attention. 5 less measurably) the government often compromises at an earlier stage of the legislative process in order to avoid Lords defeat. The greater assertiveness of the House of Lords in pressing its amendments on the government has therefore in turn changed the government’s behaviour and made it more receptive to the demands of the upper house. This change on the part of government is visible, for example, through the increasing number of informal consultation meetings that are being held with peers. Other responses by government to the new situation have included changes to the way in which Labour peers are appointed, to place more emphasis on attending and voting reliably, and changed attitudes to the power of the House which have acted as a brake on reform. It is very clear that following the 1999 reform members of the House of Lords feel more confident and therefore more assertive. When the reform took place the government stated that it would make the chamber ‘more legitimate’, due to the anachronistic presence of hereditary legislators being ended.5 In its aftermath members of the chamber freely admit to feeling so: a survey of peers in 2005 found that 78% believed the chamber to be ‘more legitimate’, while a survey in 2007 found that 81% believed peers have ‘more confidence to demand policy change’ and 85% that the chamber ‘has become more assertive’ since 1999.6 The reasons that this may be so are several. The most straightforward is that the 1999 reform removed most of the hereditary members of the chamber, and that the appointment method for the remaining members - though not democratic - is more easily defensible.7 Even if no changes had occurred this would have been likely to boost the chamber’s sense of its own legitimacy to some extent. But the removal of the hereditary members had significant knock-on implications for the composition of the House, and each of these in turn had potential to boost the chamber’s sense of legitimacy further still. For example most hereditary peerages were handed down through the male line, and the proportion of women amongst the hereditary peers was only 2%. This extreme male dominance ended as a result of reform, and the current proportion of women amongst life peers is 23% (slightly higher than that amongst members of the House of Commons.) In addition, hereditary peers were almost exclusively white, but particularly after a number of appointments in recent years, there are significantly more ethnic minority members of the Lords than of the Commons. The removal of the hereditaries also left a body of members had entered the chamber in their own right, many of them having reached the top of their professions. The reformed chamber was therefore more of an ‘expert’ house than that which had preceded it. Despite its unelected nature, the House of Lords can therefore be seen as more representative in some respects than the lower house. The most important dimension in which this is the case is that of party. The old House of Lords was dominated by the Conservative Party. Lijphart described the House as having ‘a permanent Conservative majority’ (1984: 98) - this was strictly speaking incorrect, as the chamber contained a large number of independent members who took no party whip at all, but the Conservatives were by far the largest party. The removal of the great majority of hereditary peers ended this situation. Immediately before reform the chamber included 471 Conservative members, but this was overnight reduced by more than half. Since 1999 the Conservatives, the Labour Party, and the independent ‘Crossbenchers’ have each held roughly 200 seats in the House, with the third Then Leader of the House of Lords Margaret Jay, House of Lords Hansard, 14 October 1998, col. 925. Research carried out by the Constitution Unit and funded by the ESRC. For 2005 survey n= 374, for 2007 survey n= 353, 369. 7 Responsibility for appointing members of the House of Lords continue to rest with the Prime Minister. In practice since 2000 the Prime Minister has chosen only appointees for his own party, and allowed other party leaders to choose the representatives of their parties - although the Prime Minister continues to decide how many appointees there will be from each party. In 2000 a House of Lords Appointments Commission was established, which vets party nominations for propriety and also chooses independent members of the House. 5 6 6 party, the Liberal Democrats, holding around 70, and the Bishops and assorted others around 40 collectively. No party therefore commands a majority, and to win a vote in the chamber the government must gain support from others outside its own party group. In this sense (if not in Lijphart’s sense, which we will return to) Lords reform has therefore pushed Britain in the direction of consensus democracy. Extremely importantly, though ironically, the party balance in the House of Lords now more closely reflects the balance of votes cast at general elections than does that in the House of Commons. This is the most major sense in which the House can be considered more representative than it was. It is a sense which the Liberal Democrats in particular are keen to draw attention to. It is they, along with the independent members, who in practice hold the balance of power in the reformed chamber. This gives them the leverage that they lack in the House of Commons, which continues to be elected by a plurality system that the party has long campaigned to reform. As a Liberal Democrat spokesperson pointed out in the House of Commons in March 2006 ‘the government may have a majority of members in this place, but it has a lower share of the vote than any majority government since 1832. It has no justification for complaining that the House at the other end of the corridor should not do its job’.8 The Liberal Democrats therefore seek to draw attention to the illegitimacy of the House of Commons, contrasted to the relative representativeness of the unelected House of Lords. It is this in particular which has given them an increased confidence to use the Lords to press for policy concessions, in allegiance with the main opposition party the Conservatives. As already stated, many such concessions are won. The two opposition parties are strengthened in their resolve by the knowledge that the public are relatively supportive of Lords intervention. An opinion poll commissioned by the Constitution Unit in 2005 found that two thirds of respondents believed it was justified for the House of Lords to defeat the government on policy, where that policy lacked popular support.9 Theory and Reality The fact that the reform in 1999 significantly strengthened the House of Lords is becoming gradually more widely recognised in the UK. It has already been clearly acknowledged by the UK government, and is one reason for many ministers’ reluctance to press ahead with further reform to introduce elected members to the chamber. As Leader of the House of Commons Jack Straw said in March 2007 ‘The changes we have already made to the Lords – to remove most hereditary peers, and to ensure no party can ever have a majority – have already made the Lords more assertive. A reformed House would be even more active’.10 It is generally accepted that a second stage of reform to introduce elected members would result in even greater boost of confidence, and willingness by the chamber to use its powers. However without such a change the chamber remains ‘unreformed’ not only in the eyes of the British public, but also our two theorists. Starting with Lijphart, the House of Lords retains the same formal powers it always had. Nonetheless, in his definition of power ‘symmetry’ or ‘asymmetry’ Lijphart recognises that de facto power depends also to some extent on composition, so it is not inconceivable that a compositional change could have strengthened the chamber. Had it moved from being unelected to elected, it would in Lijphart’s eyes have gained additional legitimacy that would have enabled it to make greater use of its powers. It is clear however that his reasoning which assigns legitimacy to directly elected chambers, but not to others, is too crude. Indeed Lijphart himself notes that Simon Hughes, House of Commons Hansard 13 March 2006, col. 1259. Research conducted by MORI in May 2005. N = 1007. 10 The Independent, 8 March 2007. 8 9 7 the German Bundesrat has been described as ‘one of the strongest second chambers in the world’ (Edinger, quoted in Lijphart 1999: 207), but the German second chamber is not directly elected rather, its members are appointed by state governments. This already makes his assumptions look decidedly shaky. It is a fair conclusion that legitimacy affects a chamber’s ability to use its powers, but what the German case shows is that legitimacy can be found in different places, and is not straightforwardly correlated with degree of democratic participation. Recent developments in the House of Lords offer further illustration of this fact. The chamber has gained in legitimacy, or at the very least a sense of its own legitimacy, as a result of changes not flowing directly from a democratic process, but which have increased its representativeness on various dimensions. In arguments with the government it also benefits from other features which strengthen its resolve. These include the fact that it is now difficult for the government to complain about the intervention of an unelected chamber, given that this same government has made no move to democratise the chamber after more than 10 years in power.11 Indeed, as the Liberal Democrats have sought to do, it is possible to raise questions about the legitimacy of the House of Commons as a result of its electoral system. Such concerns play on the prevailing culture of ‘democratic disengagement’ and decline of deference which pervades most Western democracies. In such a climate it may be possible for a representative and ‘expert’ chamber to gain legitimacy as a check on an elected lower house. In terms of Lijphart’s other dimension, the ‘congruence’ or ‘incongruence’ of the two chambers’ memberships, there has been some change. In fact in some respects the House of Lords has become more similar to the House of Commons in its membership. As Lijphart pointed out, it formerly performed a classic second chamber function in representing a particular minority: the traditional upper-class. This is no longer the case, and the chamber is made up of members of the professional classes of a not dissimilar kind to the lower house. As noted above, Lijphart paid little attention to the partisan makeup of a second chamber and concentrated instead primarily on territorial representation. However, clearly there have been important changes in the House of Lords in partisan terms. The overwhelming preponderance of Conservative peers has been ended, and therefore with Labour in power the two chambers are also more similar in terms of party control. On this basis one British scholar, seeking to assess whether the recent constitutional reform programme in the UK has moved it towards ‘consensus democracy’ on Lijphart’s scales, has concluded that ‘Britain has, therefore moved from a system of medium to weak bicameralism to one which could now be better described as simply weak bicameralism’ (Flinders 2005: 81). This is a correct interpretation of Lijphart, but bears little relation to reality. In fact far from becoming weaker, events in Britain over the past eight years have demonstrated that bicameralism is becoming stronger. Lijphart’s system therefore does not offer us any help in explaining recent events. Tsebelis may perhaps have more to offer. One of the strengths of his veto player analysis is that it takes account of partisan control of different institutions, and recognises that ‘partisan’ veto players as well as ‘institutional’ veto players can play a role. Tsebelis would therefore recognise that the move from a chamber dominated by one political party to a chamber where no party can secure a majority without the support of others results in an increase in the number of veto players. Given the current constellation of parties in the House of Lords, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, independent Crossbenchers, and even rebellious members on the Labour benches (or indeed Bishops) have the capacity to make the difference and ensure that legislation is blocked (Russell and Sciara 2007). This creates a far more complex situation for government, and results in negotiations between various party blocs on a far greater level than before. In this respect, Tsebelis’s analysis describes the situation far better than Lijphart’s notion of ‘incongruence’. 11 For further discussion see Russell and Sciara (2006a). 8 The weakness of Tsebelis’s analysis is that pointed out earlier: the dependence on the veto. The House of Lords has gained in de facto power without being given any more formal constitutional power. But in Tsebelis’s terms, it was not a veto player before, and is not a veto player now, as in normal circumstances it simply doesn’t have a veto. The subtlety of Tsebelis’s analysis with respect to partisan control is not matched by subtlety when it comes to describing formal powers. Just as Lijphart is crude with respect to legitimacy, Tsebelis is crude with respect to power. The changes to the House of Lords, unless its powers were reformed to restore the veto, simply do not feature on his radar at all. Conclusion There is clear evidence that following its reform in 1999 the British House of Lords is becoming stronger. As a result, policy making in the British parliament is becoming more consensual, with greater requirements for the government to consult with the opposition, minor parties, and independents. This is a potentially important change. But it isn’t captured by the analysis of either Lijphart (1984, 1999) or Tsebelis (1995, 2002), to whom the recent changes would simply appear invisible. This shows up a clear weakness in both of these theories. The weaknesses in Lijphart are twofold. First, while he correctly recognises that legitimacy is important in determining a second chamber’s de facto power, his assumptions about what underlies legitimacy are too crude. Arguments about the nature of legitimacy are well-established in the political science literature (Barker 1990; Beetham 1991; Saward 1991). In particular it is a matter of controversy whether legitimacy can be objectively defined, or whether it is more appropriate, as Weber (1947) did, to conclude that legitimacy is principally a matter of perception. The case of the House of Lords illustrates that perceived legitimacy can increase even without democratic reform, and that one unelected chamber may be considered more legitimate than another. Particularly in an age of democratic disengagement, it may also be possible for unelected institutions to challenge the decisions of elected ones. The second difficulty with Lijphart is the way in which he constructs the dimension of congruence/incongruence. Here his principal interest is territorial representation, which fits neatly with his inclusion of bicameralism on the ‘federal-unitary’ dimension which is used to determine whether a system is a majoritarian or consensus democracy.12 But in modern partydominated parliaments territorial issues are usually less important than partisan control. This has been recognised by other authors. For example Sartori notes that the de facto power of second chambers depends on the degree of similarity-differentiation between the memberships of the two houses, but that what matters in terms of similarity is ‘the extent to which a government obtains consonant majorities in both Houses’ (1994: 185). Partisanship is also, of course, made central by Tsebelis. In Lijphart’s terms it could be said that modern bicameralism belongs on the executivesparties dimension rather than the federal-unitary dimension. Tsebelis fares rather better in terms of understanding the importance of party. But his analysis takes no account at all of legitimacy, and the fact that the de facto power of a second chamber may vary according to how legitimate it feels, and is felt to be. The biggest weakness of the analysis is that it fails to register institutions (or partisan actors) that do not have a literal veto power. Although Tsebelis admits that this is a simplifying assumption, it means that a great deal of detail is lost, because there are many institutional or partisan actors who wield considerable power, short of a veto. 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