FACT SHEET INTETNATIONAL TRADE: LATIN AMERICA Overview Brazil and Argentina are the region’s two largest consumers and exporters of meat. Smaller nations in South America are developing and potential markets for the US meat and poultry industry. Both Brazil and Argentina are seen as competitors of the United States in third country markets. However, Brazil and Argentina look at the US as a potential market for their meat and poultry products. Growing economies trend toward increased consumer spending on food and a variety of food selection, and Latin America is no exception. This is good news for U.S. exporters, but many barriers still stand between the United States and unbridled success in Latin America. In an attempt to regulate trade among the Americas, the United States has negotiated a number of free trade agreements, including the Colombia, Chile, Panama, Peru and Ecuador Free Trade Agreements, the Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA), and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). To succeed in this new market, exporters must: increase in 2015 due mostly to international demand and a small increase in domestic demand. The devaluation of the Brazilian currency combined with higher cattle supplies is likely to maintain Brazilian beef at competitive prices in world markets in 2015. USDA projects an increase of beef exports of five percent or more in 2015, as Brazilian beef exporters are optimistic about recovering exports to Russia. USDA also anticipates shipments to other markets such as Egypt, China, Chile, Cuba, Iraq, and Morocco. Despite the lingering issues in the European Union (EU), exporters also expect to increase exports to that market because more Brazilian cattle farms are now enrolled in the EU’s traceability program. Pork production in 2015 is expected to increase. This forecast reflects the current optimism of the pork industry with a continued recovery in export markets. However, a major factor of concern for hog producers is the recent increase in feed prices, mostly corn- • Proceed cautiously when entering these fragile economies. • Compete with price-competitive Argentine and Brazilian exports. • Overcome non-tariff trade barriers Brazil Brazil boasts the largest market economy in Latin America and continues to grow. The outlook for the Brazilian economy in 2015 calls for a small contraction as commodity prices fall, with a moderate recovery expected later in the year. Brazil exports beef and beef products to over 150 countries, with Russia and the European Union serving as the main markets. USDA forecasts an increase in cattle inventories in 2015 to 213 million head, mostly due to government financial support for cattle herd rebuilding, genetic improvements, upgrades in pasture land, and sustained cattle prices. Cattle inventories are expected to reach nearly 220 million head by the end of the decade if this trend persists. USDA forecasts that beef production will © August 2015 » North American Meat Institute » 1150 Connecticut Avenue, NW 12th Floor » Washington, D.C. 20036 » p: (202) 587-4200 » f: (202) 587-4300 » www.meatinstitute.org NAMI FACT SHEET: INTERNATIONAL TRADE: LATIN AMERICA - CONTINUED based feed. Brazilian pork exports are forecast to increase in 2015. The forecast reflects current optimism of Brazilian exporters with the devaluation of the Brazilian currency and firm demand from major importers, mostly Hong Kong, Ukraine, Angola, Argentina and Singapore. Brazilian pork exporters are also strategically focused on two new markets: China and Japan. The first pork shipments to China occurred in January 2012. Argentina Although Argentina is one of the world’s great beef producers, U.S. exports to the country have shown steady increases. Beef consumption in Argentina is very high. However, beef is facing strong competition from inexpensive poultry as over production in that industry is putting downward pressure on prices. Argentine beef production in 2015 is projected at 2.7 million tons, somewhat lower than 2014. This is a result of an expected fall in slaughter to 12..3 million head. Argentine beef exports for 2015 are projected at 200,000 tons, somewhat higher than 2014. The government monitors, controls and regulates the amount of beef that can be exported. Latin American Countries While no other Latin American countries compare to Brazil and Argentina, several of the smaller nations take the lead in importing certain categories of U.S. meat. Overall, U.S. beef, pork, poultry and variety meat exports in 2014 to the Caribbean, Central and South America totaled over $1.5 billion. Poultry and pork accounts for a majority of US meat exports to the region, but we have seen a significant increase in beef exports since the implementation of free trade agreements and changes to BSE-related policies. HELPFUL LINKS North American Meat Institute http://www.meatinstitute.org Foreign Agricultural Service http://www.fas.usda.gov © August 2015 » North American Meat Institute » 1150 Connecticut Avenue, NW 12th Floor » Washington, D.C. 20036 » p: (202) 587-4200 » f: (202) 587-4300 » www.meatinstitute.org NAMI FACT SHEET: INTERNATIONAL TRADE: LATIN AMERICA - CONTINUED United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service HS 4-Digit Exports Area/Countries of Destination and Commodities Exported Central America Total Value ($1,000) | | 2011 2012 Meat, Poultry 108,043 Meat Of Swine Meat Bovine Frozen Meat Salt/Dry/Smoke | | 2013 2014 % CHNG ‘13-’14 134,340 143,606 145,628 1% 76,218 18,844 10,155 81,671 23,087 13,724 105,967 26,689 10,143 110,785 38,005 12,366 4% 42% 22% Edible Offal Meat Bovine Fr/Ch 6,914 4,400 9,230 3,892 5,772 5,659 6,502 6,605 13 17 Meat Of Sheep/Goats 705 532 901 681 -24 1,452 304 108 129 Pig/Poultry Fat 1,562 741 699 Meat, Offal, Other 49 159 133 Source: USDA, Foreign Agricultural Service, Global Agricultural Trade System United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service HS 4-Digit Exports Area/Countries of Destination and Commodities Exported South America Total Value ($1,000) | | 2011 2012 Meat Of Swine 53,344 Meat, Poultry Meat Bovine Fr/Ch Edible Offal | | 2013 2014 % CHNG ‘13-’14 85,197 130,548 167,154 28% 76,292 21,070 19,142 95,609 51,465 28,044 107,341 61,144 23,992 122,137 63,772 17,164 14% 4% -29 Meat Bovine Frozen Meat Salt/Dry/Smoke 14,804 2,814 18,942 3,346 21,395 4,532 24,384 4,711 15 4 Meat, Offal, Other 20 428 2,624 1,537 -41 1,553 244 717 189 Pig/Poultry Fat 132 276 190 Meat Of Sheep/Goats 354 144 85 Source: USDA, Foreign Agricultural Service, Global Agricultural Trade System © August 2015 » North American Meat Institute » 1150 Connecticut Avenue, NW 12th Floor » Washington, D.C. 20036 » p: (202) 587-4200 » f: (202) 587-4300 » www.meatinstitute.org NAMI FACT SHEET: INTERNATIONAL TRADE: LATIN AMERICA - CONTINUED United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service HS 4-Digit Exports Area/Countries of Destination and Commodities Exported Carribean Total Value ($1,000) | | 2011 2012 Meat, Poultry 330,346 Meat Bovine Frozen Meat Of Swine Meat Bovine Fr/Ch | | 2013 2014 % CHNG ‘13-’14 413,124 397,020 398,189 0% 74,585 60,156 29,093 82,420 63,137 32,890 74,738 70,814 37,889 100,265 75,565 44,085 34% 7% 16% Edible Offal Meat Salt/Dry/Smoke 14,344 13,025 12,558 14,570 13,618 12,365 12,087 13,310 -11% 8% Meat Of Sheep/Goats 5,539 4,663 3,981 4,522 14% 1,281 88 6% -42% Meat, Offal, Other 2,754 769 1,209 Pig/Poultry Fat 1,247 432 152 Source: USDA, Foreign Agricultural Service, Global Agricultural Trade System © August 2015 » North American Meat Institute » 1150 Connecticut Avenue, NW 12th Floor » Washington, D.C. 20036 » p: (202) 587-4200 » f: (202) 587-4300 » www.meatinstitute.org
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