Population Notes A look at the demography and geography of Wisconsin After 15 years away, the APL Newsletter is back! Volume 1, Issue 1 June 2006 DEMOGRAPHIC STUDIES INFORM OUTDOOR RECREATION PLANNING What does demography have to do with fishing, hunting planners and school administrators. We encourage ing, or boating? Because population characteristics you to browse through your region’s profile online at impact demand for rechttp://www.dnr.state.wi.us/planning/scorp/rePercent Seasonal Housing reational amenities, the ports/demog_profiles/index.htm. By Block Group Applied Population Laboratory has been working One goal of the SCORP is to help identify with Wisconsin DNR staff areas with high recreation potential that are to support the developgood candidates for federally funded acquisiment of Wisconsin’s State tion and/or development. The APL worked Comprehensive Outdoor with recreation planners at the DNR to assess Recreation Plan (SCORP places across the state based on demographic, 2005-2010). This plan is economic, and ecological data. meant to guide recreation resource management over As a starting point we used 229 special places the next five years. The lab’s that were identified through a prior study con0% - 9.9% 10.0% - 24.9% 25.0% 44.9% role in this project has been ducted by the DNR (Land Legacy study). To 45.0% - 59.9% 60.0% - 71.2% to provide information on estimate potential visitors we conductpast, current, and projected ed a GIS network analysis of the numPercent Seasonal Housing By County population composition. ber of people living within an hour’s drive of each place. To gauge potential The APL generated demodevelopment pressure, we examined graphic profiles for each of the 8 projected population density change. SCORP regions and one profile As a proxy for affordability, we used tax 0.2% 2.9% at the state level that compares assessed data on value of undeveloped 3.0% - 9.9% the regions. The profiles include land. The DNR provided assessment 10.0% - 24.9% 25.0% - 39.9% several maps, tables, and charts of the “neat” recreation and significant 40.0% - 56.2% that describe population characconservation features of each place. SCORP Regions teristics and changes over time Finally, we combined these measures for counties, municipalities, and to prioritize the 229 places at the state Census block groups. level and within regions. SCORP Region 1 Although these reports are oriented toward outdoor recreation, they cover a wide variety of topics and have proven helpful to varied constituencies, includ- Wisconsin’s SCORP (2005-2010) is in the final revision stages. It will be published this fall. See next page to find out more. 1 Continued from Page 1 We used network Which Land Legacy Places have the most potential visitors? analysis to analyze 1- Create drive potential visitors to time buffer Land Legacy places. Estimate Ideally, places prebuffers using Network served for outdoor Analyst and recreation offer roads data with 1-hour drive relatively easy access time costs for a large number 2Estimate of people. Most of potential us recreate within visitors an hour’s drive from Sum estimated our home, so we 2003 population for analyzed the numall ber of people living municipalities Above: Example shows three Legacy (MCDs) that within 1 hour drivPlaces in colored dots and their intersect the ing distance from corresponding 1-hour drive time buffer. buffer. Buffers extend following major roads. each Legacy Place. AROUND WISCONSIN: Clients frequently ask APL staff about the availability of peak population data for areas with large numbers of tourists and seasonal residents. Such information would be of great value for planning local government services like fire and police, for traffic engineers, and for businesses that cater to tourists and seasonal visitors. However, there really is not a ready resource for data that captures the daily, weekly, or monthly ebbs and flows of population. 2 Many years ago, the Recreation Resources Center at UWExtension prepared peak population estimates for Wisconsin counties. The estimates relied on data from a variety of sources including the Wisconsin Dept. of Tourism (lodging and camping data), local survey data, and census data. Estimating the number of “day trippers,” folks who come to a recreation area but don’t stay overnight, was the most difficult piece of the puzzle. As evidenced by several statistics and maps included in this issue, there are some data that help us to understand the presence and impact of recreation and seasonal populations on Wisconsin communities. Census data on seasonal residences (second homes) and employment in tourism related industries or occupations, and Dept. of Tourism data on tourist expenditures can reveal patterns and clusters related to tourism. If you are interested in learning more about seasonal populations or in doing some analysis for your own community, the Applied Population Laboratory can help. Even better, if you have local data relating to seasonal population in your county or community and you would like to combine it with data from other sources, we can help steer you toward appropriate data sources and offer suggestions on how to develop proxies for seasonal and peak population figures. On the Map Google Maps…Yahoo Maps…Windows Live Local…Mapquest… It seems that everyone is getting “map crazy” these days. Given the power of maps to tell a story and answer questions, this really isn’t surprising. An easy way to get your data on the map is through geocoding. Address geocoding is the process of matching address records to corresponding addresses on a GIS road network in order to identify geographic positions. The APL has recently delved into desktop geocoding. We’ve applied this to numerous projects already, from health studies to community mapping. Once data has been geocoded, census information can be appended to the data at the appropriate level of detail to provide a rich background for any dataset. Geocoding puts your data “on the map,” enabling everything from mapping of the points to statistical spatial analysis. If you are interested in the potential of geocoding email me (Bill) at wrbuckin@ wisc.edu. FEATURE FACTS: SUMMER RECREATION IN WISCONSIN The U.S. Census Bureau frequently releases collections of statistics celebrating particular holidays and seasons (Facts for Features). Our Feature Facts section of the newsletter is meant to be a Wisconsin version of the Census’s Facts for Features. 982,155—Acres of water in Wisconsin. Wisconsin contains over 15,000 lakes (compared to Minnesota’s 11,842), of which 6,022 are named. The largest inland lake, Lake Winnebago, covers 137,708 acres alone (State Cartographer’s Office). With summer approaching fast and minds turning to thoughts of relaxation and the great outdoors, we thought it fitting to take a closer look at the figures and statistics surrounding Wisconsin tourism, seasonal housing, and recreational amenities. 84.4%—Percent of Wisconsin adults who engage in walking for pleasure, the most popular outdoor recreation activity. Other popular activities include swimming (60.6%), bicycling (47.9%), and hiking (46.4%) (Wisconsin DNR). 8th—Wisconsin’s rank nationally for percent of seasonal homes, at 6.1%. Maine ranked first at 15.6%. Within our state, Vilas Co. ranked first, with 56.2% of homes used seasonally (Census 2000). 43—Number of state parks in Wisconsin, total- 37th—Wisconsin’s rank nationally for percent of workers employed in the tourism industry. 7.3% of Wisconsin workers fall into this category. Nevada led the United States with 26.3%. Menominee Co. ranked first in Wisconsin at 25.8% (Census 2000). 1.2 Million—Number of visitors (estimated) ing 60,570 acres of land. Overall, Wisconsin has almost 5.8 million acres of public lands for outdoor recreation (Wisconsin DNR). to Devil’s Lake State Park annually, making it the state’s most visited park (Wisconsin DNR). $11.781 Billion—Estimated number of dollars Tourism Expenditures By County 2005 spent by travelers in Wisconsin each year. Over $8.4 billion of this was spent on pleasure travel. Expenditures are highest in Milwaukee Co., comprising 13% of state tourism dollars (Wisconsin Dept. of Tourism). $8,035,216 - $165,000,000 37.5%—Percent of land in Wisconsin covered in forest, making forest the most prominent land cover in the state. By contrast, urban areas make up only 1.6% of land area (Wisconsin DNR). WEB SERVICES GetFacts: the New Tool for Downloading TIGER and Census Data Do you ever ask yourself, “Why can’t there be a one-stop shop for downloading TIGER and Census data?” Well, now there is. The Applied Population Lab has just released a new online mapping site GetFacts (http://www.getfacts.wisc.edu) that allows users to do just that. GetFacts looks like many other mapping sites, but it’s much more. It is a thematic mapping and data downloading site wrapped into one. Users can create thematic maps and download the data for further analysis. GetFacts enables the user to select the geography of interest (e.g., counties, minor civil divisions, tracts, block groups) and append attribute data from the Census table that they select. Geographies can be downloaded by county or by the extent of the map the user is viewing. Give GetFacts a try and tell us what you think. Send comments to Jim Beaudoin: [email protected] $165,000,001 - $415,000,000 $415,000,001 - $665,000,000 $665,000,001 - $1,545,029,176 On the Horizon August 7-11: ESRI International User Conference to be held in San Diego, CA. August 10: Release date for preliminary population estimates (1/1/2006) for WI municipalities and counties from the Demographic Services Center at DOA. August 12-14: Rural Sociological Society annual meeting to be held in Louisville, KY. Sign up now with the APL for fall school enrollment projections. Contact Sarah Kemp at (608) 265-6189 Sept. 17-19: Annual Conference of the Wisconsin Counties Association to meet in La Crosse, WI. 3 STAFF SPOTLIGHT Those of you who have done mapbased work with the APL in the last nine months have probably noticed that our maps have a new look. We owe our newfound sense of style to our cartographer and GIS specialist, Bill Buckingham. Bill joined our staff last fall, replacing the much loved Nick Fisher. Bill brings a hard working, can-do attitude to the lab and has inspired us all to take on new challenges. He has a wealth of cartographic and GIS knowledge, having earned an MS in Geography at UW-Mad- ison and having worked with the U.S. Geological Survey for 3 years. Bill is eagerly acquainting himself with Census data and demographic methods. Bill hopes to expand his knowledge and bring new skills and research methods to the APL by starting a PhD program in Geography this fall. He will continue to work in the lab, juggling not only his coursework, but an addition to his family as well. Next time you have a mapping or GIS need, send Bill an email: [email protected]. Trivia Question: Which of the Great Lakes States has the most inland lakes? Answer: It depends on how you classify “lakes.” Wisconsin lists the most lakes at 15,081, but some of these are 1-2 acre ponds. Looking only at lakes of 10 or more acres, Minnesota has 11,842, compared to Wisconsin’s 6,050. Michigan has about 11,037 lakes (including small ones). Minnesota has about 2.5 million acres of inland water, while Wisconsin has almost 1 million. Michigan has the most recreational boats of any state, while Minnesota has the most boats per capita. Director Dan Says... We’re baaack. I’m tempted to call this the inaugural issue of Population Notes but the truth is that we are reviving a newsletter series of the Applied Population Laboratory that was left for dead in the early 1990s. Much has changed at the APL and in terms of information technology since the last issue (1991 by my quick search) – my guess is that I don’t need to catch you up on all that. Our goal is to use Population Notes not only as a way to highlight the projects and research being done in the APL but also as a vehicle for letting you know about important and interesting population trends in Wisconsin, mapping, and GIS innovations coming out of the APL, and emerging data and methods from the Census Bureau and other sources. We hope that you will find this and future issues of Population Notes to be useful and compelling (ok, at least we’ll always have pictures and maps in case the stories don’t grab you). If you have any suggestions for topics or issues that you would like to see covered in the future, please let me know. Regards, Dan Applied Population Lab UW-Madison/Extension 316 Ag Hall 1450 Linden Dr. Madison, WI 53706 (608) 265-9545 www.apl.wisc.edu 4
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