Chapter 5 Reducing Tariffs versus Expanding Tariff Rate Quotas Harry de Gorter and Erika Kliauga Tariff rate quotas (TRQs) are two-level tariffs with a limited volume of imports permitted at the lower “in-quota” tariff, and all subsequent imports charged the (often much) higher “outof-quota” tariff (Ingco 1996, OECD 2001). In lieu of high bound tariffs resulting from tariffication in the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture (URAA), TRQs were adopted for commodities previously subject to non-tariff protection. They were meant to guarantee minimum levels of market access (initially 3 percent of domestic consumption and gradually expanded to 5 percent by the end of the implementation period) through “minimum access quotas, and to safeguard current levels of access through “current access quotas” (IATRC 2001b). Hence TRQs may have expanded imports during the URAA implementation period. A total of 1,425 TRQs have been notified to the World Trade Organization, by 43 countries (WTO 2002a). The implementation was envisioned to maintain or improve preferential market access for developing countries, while often continuing to maintain a managed trade regime (Abbott 2002). Since a substantial proportion of agricultural production in developed countries is protected by TRQs, there is an interest in determining what the potential effects of the different ways of liberalizing TRQs are. When demand for imports at the low in-quota tariff is greater than the level of imports allowed by the quota, imports must be rationed and so the method by which the rights to the quotas are allocated also becomes important. The rights to the quota are allocated by one of 1 several methods, each with numerous conditions that affect fill rates and efficiency. Although TRQs may have provided for more trade, a majority of the TRQs are not being filled (WTO 2002a,b,c). While market forces may be a factor, there is widespread agreement that quota under-fill is in part attributable to the administration methods employed to implement TRQs.1 The purpose of this chapter is to evaluate the relative importance of tariff reductions versus quota expansion in liberalizing agricultural trade. In doing so, the extent of quota underfill and the potential influence of quota administration methods on imports will be explored. The effects of expanding TRQs or reducing tariffs in the WTO negotiations on agriculture will depend on several key factors: which instrument is binding (the quota or the in-quota versus outof-quota tariff), whether there are imports above the quota at in-quota tariffs (“over-quota imports”), the extent if any of quota under-fill, the levels of in-quota and out-of-quota tariffs, the level of water in the tariffs and tariff binding overhang,2 the methods of administering the rights to the quotas (with or without licenses), and any government responses in changing domestic policy instruments. The rest of this chapter is organized as follows. The next section presents data showing the importance of TRQs in protecting domestic agricultural production and trade in developed countries. We then explain the economics of liberalizing TRQs by identifying four basic regimes: the first three are where the in-quota tariff, the quota and the out-of-quota tariff respectively determine imports, while the fourth regime is where the government allows for over-quota imports at the in-quota tariff (where no trade liberalization occurs initially with either 1 This and various other problems identified in the implementation of TRQs have been analysed by, for example, Skully (1999, 2001b,c) Abbott and Paarlberg (1998), and de Gorter and Sheldon (2000, 2001). 2 “Water in the tariff” and “tariff binding overhang” refers to situations where a reduction in out-of-quota tariffs will have no impact on trade initially. Water refers to situations where there are no out-of-quota imports and the domestic price is below the out-of-quota tariff-inclusive world price. Overhang refers to the gap between bound tariffs (to be reduced in the negotiations) and applied tariffs. 2 an out-of-quota tariff reduction or an increase in the quota). Data are presented on the value of trade, quota under- or over-fill and tariff levels for each of these regimes. We then evaluate the trade liberalizing effects of a 35 percent reduction in tariffs versus a 50 percent increase in quotas to obtain a glimpse of the situation regarding TRQs and the relative importance of each initial regime. Data are then presented along with an analysis of the administration methods and additional regulations for the TRQs notified to the WTO. Summary data by country and commodity are presented on tariff levels, import values and quota under-fill. We touch on some important issues that may affect the efficacy of TRQs including minimum versus current access quotas, changes in TRQ administration methods over time, dynamic rent seeking activities and domestic policy responses. The chapter ends with some concluding comments and identifies priorities for further research. The importance of TRQs As many as 43 out of the nearly 150 members of the WTO employ TRQs in agriculture and 20 percent of their agricultural tariff lines involve TRQs (Gibson et al. 2001, Wainio 2001). Table 5.1 summarizes the value of production protected by TRQs by country and commodity for developed countries for the commodities covered by the OECD. It shows that 51 percent of the total is protected by tariff quotas. This number understates the true magnitude because it omits the lightly shaded cells in Table 5.1 that refer to commodity groups that have at least some tariff quota lines and situations that are not officially a tariff quota but act like one (e.g., sugar import barriers in Japan).3 Milk, maize, eggs and other grains have a substantially larger proportion of the total value of production protected by tariff quotas than their share of the total value of 3 On the other hand, the data overestimates the level of coverage in that it includes commodities that are heavily exported (e.g., wheat for Canada). 3 production, while the opposite is true for beef and veal, rice, oilseeds and sugar. The QUAD countries have well over half of their total production in tariff quota commodities, while Korea, Poland and Norway have close to 90 percent. Using the same assumptions as in Table 5.1 on OECD commodity coverage, imports under tariff quotas represent 43 percent of total agricultural trade valued at world prices in developed countries (Table 5.2). Hence, commodities facing tariff quotas have import values disproportionately lower than their share of total value of agricultural production, perhaps reflecting the higher protection tariff quotas afford. Beef, oilseeds, wheat, dairy and maize have the highest value of trade in agriculture covered by TRQs. The share of total trade in tariff quota commodities mimics the share of total trade, except for TRQ trade in wheat, maize, rice and sheep meat where the shares are substantially higher (while that of other grains and pig meat are substantially lower). The QUAD countries excluding Canada but adding Korea have by far the largest share of the total value of tariff quota trade. The economics of trade liberalization with TRQs4 The impact of reducing tariffs versus expanding the quota will depend critically on the instrument that is binding initially, how soon a regime change will occur as a result of trade liberalization, and if under-fill occurs because of the quota administration method (Skully 2001a,b). We can identify four basic regimes: the in-quota tariff is binding (because of market conditions or by government decree); the quota is binding (resulting in some tariff equivalent level of protection less than what would otherwise be provided by the out-of-quota tariff); the out-of-quota tariff is binding (out-of-quota imports occur at the high out-of-quota tariff); and 4 See Moschini (1991), Boughner et al. (2000), and IATRC (2001a) for more detailed economics of TRQs. 4 finally the case where the quota is filled but by government decree imports occur beyond the quota level and face the in-quota tariff. Figure 5.1 depicts the in-quota tariff regime. Figure 5.1a shows the case of quota over-fill where the government has decreed that the in-quota tariff remains operative even above the quota, while Figure 5.1b depicts the case of under-fill. Figure 5.2 depicts the quota binding regime (exactly 100 percent fill rate in Figure 5.2a and the case of quota under-fill in Figure 5.2b). Figure 5.3 depicts the out-of-quota tariff regimes with exact, under- and over-fill of the quota shown in Figures 3a, 3b and 3c, respectively.5 Finally, Figure 5.4 depicts the regime where the quota is binding but there is quota overfill at the in-quota tariff rate. Reducing the in-quota tariff will only have an immediate impact in Regime 1, but can become ineffective in Figure 5.1b if the government allows the quota to become binding. Expanding the quota will only have an immediate impact in Regime 2 while a reduction in the out-of-quota tariff will have an immediate impact in Regime 3 only. Regime 4 is a situation where a reduction in either tariff or an expansion of the quota will have no immediate impact on trade. There are thus eight cases with these four regimes. Table 5.3 presents summary data for each regime on the value of trade, under- or over-fill, out-of-quota imports and tariff levels and value of tariff revenues and quota rents. The out-of-quota tariff regime has the highest value of trade ($22.7 billion, the sum of in-quota and out-of-quota imports) with Regime 4 well behind at $7.5 billion, Regime 1 (in-quota tariff operational) at $3.06 billion, and Regime 2 (quota binding) at $2.07 billion. Notice that the value of under-fill in Regime 3 with out-of-quota imports is almost four times that of Regime 2 (where the quota is binding) while under-fill is 5 Figure 5.3b shows that there can be quota under-fill and out-of-quota imports at the same time. This necessarily implies inefficiency in the quota administration method because traders are foregoing potential quota rents that, if available, they would gladly have taken. 5 significantly lower in the other two regimes. But net quota under-fill (under-fill minus overquota imports at the in-quota tariff) is slightly negative in Regimes 1 and 4. Using the simple average of bound tariffs, the implied total value of tariff revenues is $26.0 billion (in-quota plus out-of-quota tariffs) and quota rents are $16 billion. Data using tradeweighted tariffs indicate that tariff revenues are significantly lower at $19.6 billion using IDB data (see last column of Table 5.3). Notice that the simple average bound in-quota tariff is lowest in Regime 3, where out-of-quota imports occur, and is highest where the in-quota itself is binding in Regime 1. Notice also that the total value of quota under-fill is 48 percent of the total value of the quota, which has implications for how the quota is administered (see below). Approximately 45 percent of all tariff quotas are minimum access quotas, representing a lower share of total value of TRQ trade (41.7 percent – see the third column in Table 5.3) that have increased from 3 to 5 percent of consumption by the end of the implementation period as per the URAA. Note that the highest share of minimum access quota trade is in regimes that have lower trade liberalization effects with quota expansion, namely Regimes 1b and 2b. Quotas do not matter in Regime 1, but quota under-fill in 2b and over-fill in 4 lower the impact of quota increases. This would be disconcerting if only minimum access quotas were to be expanded in the negotiations, as in the URAA. The other 55 percent of the quotas are current access quotas which were implemented to continue preferential access to developing countries (e.g., the European Union) or to maintain historical access in cases where imports are a large proportion of domestic consumption (e.g., wheat in Japan). An empirical assessment of trade liberalization The effect on the total value of TRQ imports of a 35 percent reduction in tariffs and a 50 percent expansion in import quotas is presented in Table 5.4. A 35 percent reduction in the out- 6 of-quota tariffs has a larger impact, expanding trade by $18.3 billion which is a 51.5 percent increase in the value of total TRQ trade. Most of the increase in trade with a reduction in out-ofquota tariffs comes from changes in imports under Regime 3, but very little from Regime 2. The relative increase in imports from Regimes 2 to 4 with a decrease in the out-of-quota tariff depends on the level of trade initially in each regime and on the level of the in-quota and out-ofquota tariffs. The trade liberalization effects also depends critically on the amount of water in the tariff for Regimes 2 and 4 (assumed here to be 50 percent of the gap between the out-of-quota and in-quota tariff levels, as assumed by in Bouet, Fontagne and Jean 2005). We also assume the elasticity of excess demand is -4.63 and world prices do not change.6 These assumptions affect the results (the most critical assumption relating to water in the tariff), but a sense of the relative impacts of tariff reductions versus quota expansion is nonetheless obtained. Expanding quotas by 50 percent, on the other hand, results in a 14.5 percent increase in the value of total TRQ imports ($5.1 billion). The increase in trade comes from Regimes 2, 3, and 4, the latter case where the quota is not binding initially. Note that quotas up to a 105 percent fill rate were included in Regime 4 (instead of assuming the out-of-quota tariff is automatically binding for fill rates between 100 and 105 percent). This means over-quota imports are lower in many instances in Regime 4, so a quota expansion has a relatively large impact. Three key factors determine the relative amount of trade expansion with an increase in quotas: the level of initial trade in each regime; the degree of under-fill in Regimes 2b and 3b, and the level of over-fill in Regimes 3c and 4. If there is significant quota over-fill, then an increase in quotas will have no effect on trade. The impact of under-fill on trade liberalization 6 This estimate of the import elasticity is the average of the elasticities used in the Linkage model for agriculture in Chapter 12 of this volume. 7 with a quota increase (Regimes 2b and 3b) will depend on the assumption one makes as to how the fill rate changes (de Gorter and Boughner 1999). Here we assume the fill rate remains constant so an increase in the quota has a proportionate increase in observed imports. But one could consider two other plausible scenarios: the under-fill has to disappear first before trade changes (so a quota expansion initially has no impact on trade), or the absolute level of the under-fill is fixed such that the initial change in trade equals the change in the import quota. Which of the three assumptions one makes in analyzing the impact of quota expansion rests heavily on one’s view as to why there is under-fill in the first place, a topic we take up below with our discussion of the importance of administration methods on quota under-fill. It is possible for imports to expand in Regimes 2 to 4 if the quota expands substantially (but less likely in Regime 3), but the in-quota tariff puts a brake on the effectiveness of the quota increase. Hence, it is important to emphasize the benefits of a simultaneous reduction in in-quota tariffs, even though these tariffs directly impact imports in Regime 1 only. A decision will have to be made as to whether the negotiations will require having an increase in both current and minimum access quotas (say 50 percent) or having minimum access quotas increase to 10 percent of consumption (current consumption or that in the base year 1986-88).7 Average in-quota tariffs are still very high, even compared to non-tariff quota tariffs, so room for either increasing imports or increasing quota rents remains substantial. However, trade weighted tariffs are lower: 53.5 percent compared to 59 and 115 percent for in-quota and out-ofquota simple average tariffs, respectively (Table 5.3). Using the simple average tariff may not be so misleading though, because bound tariffs are to be negotiated and with the average cut in 7 For example, a minimum access quota of 5 percent of baseline consumption is equivalent to 8 percent of current rice consumption in Japan today. 8 tariff formula it is possible tariff peaks will remain, imparting protection to domestic production. Average tariffs need to be interpreted with care because production-weighted tariff equivalents of import barriers as calculated by the OECD are not directly comparable to the average of tariffs. This is because there are so many tariff lines and associated imports that do not directly protect domestic production. Take the U.S. dairy case as an example – there are many different cheeses and other dairy products imported (with over half the value of U.S. dairy imports being non-quota and so not directly competing with domestic production) such that the average applied tariff (however weighted or a simple average) will be far less than the level of protection of domestically produced dairy products. The last column of Table 5.4 gives the minimum increase in value of trade across the two possible instruments to liberalize for each of the eight cases presented. The change in total value of trade under the minimum is $2.8 billion, significantly less than the increase with either the quota expansion or the out-of-quota tariff reduction scenarios. This emphasizes the importance of not allowing countries to choose the option of reducing tariffs or expanding quotas, as has been proposed. The reduction of out-of-quota tariffs holds much promise in liberalizing trade as the simulations earlier indicated. The outcome depends heavily on what level of tariff reduction versus quota expansion one assumes, but also on the level of water in the tariffs. Table 5.5 provides some estimates of water in the tariff for selected countries and commodities. Estimates of the tariff equivalent of the binding quota are given (taken from nominal protection coefficients given in OECD 2003), alongside the implied tariff equivalent with our assumption of the water to be 50 percent of the difference between the out-of-quota and in-quota tariff levels. We present two possibilities: using the average out-of-quota tariff, or the maximum tariff line for that quota. 9 The actual and assumed water in the tariff are then compared, with the last two columns of Table 5.5 indicating the error in our assumption using the average and the maximum out-of-quota tariffs, respectively. We overestimate the water and hence underestimate the trade liberalizing effects of an out-of-quota tariff reduction when using average tariffs but overestimate water and so underestimate trade liberalization effects assuming a maximum tariff protects domestic production. Hence, substantial reductions in out-of-quota tariffs may be needed in Regimes 2 and 4 before trade liberalization occurs, especially with the high number of tariff peaks and tariff dispersion. Finally, one has to allow for the possibility of tariff binding overhang for both in-quota and out-of-quota tariffs, where the applied tariff is below the bound tariff (the latter is more likely to be disciplined in the negotiations). This would make tariff reductions in Table 5.4 even more muted, given that bound rates are assumed to be affecting trade levels in our analysis. Jean, Laborde and Martin (2005) present estimates of the binding overhang. They find that the average applied tariff is about half of the bound tariff in several developed countries and even less in developing countries. Assessment The most effective means to liberalize trade seems to be out-of -quota tariff reductions, the same result as that of the OECD found. However, our conclusion is heavily dependent on the level of water assumed in the tariffs. Also, we do not know what would happen if all three liberalizations occurred simultaneously. Reducing the in-quota tariff for those cases where the in-quota tariff is binding and there is no in-quota tariff binding overhang has limited effects (as shown in Table 5.4), because the in-quota tariff is binding initially for so little trade in TRQ commodities. However, in cases where the in-quota tariff is not binding, an increase in quota 10 rents will occur, perhaps providing more political pressure to maintain the status quo by domestic firms and reduce efficiency, depending on the quota administration method (see below). Reductions in out-of-quota tariffs will be more effective only if water in the tariffs can be eliminated and where fill rates are less than 100 percent due to administration methods and additional regulations. The interests of developing countries will depend critically on who obtains the quota rents. Reductions in out-of-quota tariffs can reduce rents while expansion of the quota can increase rents, even when the per unit rent falls. Methods of quota administration and additional regulations TRQ administration involves distributing the rights to import at the in-quota tariff. Whoever obtains such rights can make a risk-free profit from the difference between the domestic price and the world price inclusive of the in-quota tariff (Skully 1999; 2001b). Therefore, governments need to ration or administer the TRQ. We summarize the definitions of the alternative tariff quota administration methods in Table 5.6. Applied tariffs are by far the most used method, representing 39.3 percent of the total number of TRQs (but only 14.4 percent of the total value of TRQ trade). Licenses on demand, first come first served, and historical importers are the next most commonly used methods in descending order of importance, representing 27, 12 and 9 percent of total TRQs (but each having 16-18 percent of the total value of trade). Auctions are the next most commonly used method, representing only 5.4 percent of the total number of TRQs and less than one percent of the total value of trade. Other administration methods are state trading enterprises, producer groups and mixed methods (a combination of at least two administration methods), with their share of trade being much higher than the corresponding share of TRQs. 11 First come first served is the third most widely used administration method in terms of trade value. This has several implications, one of which is that farmers do not benefit as much from such a trade barrier through rent appropriation by consumers or middlemen (Chau, de Gorter and Hranaiova 2003). Furthermore, there is the likelihood of rent dissipation in rent seeking as firms try to mitigate the negative impacts of first come first served on prices when imports are hurried. Approximately 36 percent of all tariff quotas are filled, with quota over-fill in the applied tariff, state trading enterprise and mix categories. A total of 341 quotas were overfilled (at the inquota tariff) and 129 quotas exactly filled at 100 percent fill rate. There is a bi-modal distribution of fill rates, with 339 TRQs having a fill rate of less than 20 percent (with a simple average fill rate of only 4 percent, but the trade weighted average is significantly higher). The simple average fill rates as reported by the WTO and cited by many academic studies give the same picture as the trade-weighted fill rates developed in this paper. The average fill rate as reported in this paper is 60.6 percent excluding over-quota imports, while the trade-weighted fill rate is 60.9 percent. Indeed, there is quota over-fill for the applied tariff, state trading enterprise and mix categories, amounting to $3.1 billion. Under-fill net of over-quota imports, on the other hand, is $13.7 billion, with license on demand, first come first serve and historical importer categories having the largest under-fill levels. Each of these three administration types have the highest share of trade and so are important to analyze. As we show later, these three administration types are prone to inefficiency. Finally, the value of quota under-fill is estimated to be $16.8 billion, approximately 48 percent of the value of the quota when filled (assuming world prices do not 12 change), thereby representing a huge amount of trade and rents foregone.8 This lost potential value of tariff revenues and quota rents may be to a large extent dissipated (or appropriated by other countries or groups), so further analysis of tariff quota administration methods and additional regulations is warranted (see below). Average in-quota tariffs are highest for applied tariffs and auctions while the average outof-quota tariffs are also high for these same methods, as well as for the state trading enterprise method. Reducing in-quota tariffs will only have an impact on trade for cases described by Regime 1. Even then, the benefits of some reductions in the in-quota tariff will end when it causes a regime change to a binding quota, thereby generating quota rents. Either way, the reduction of in-quota tariffs increases quota rents and hence political opposition to trade liberalization. As we will show below, the increase in per unit rent can have very different impacts on efficiency, depending on the quota administration method in place. There are several key additional regulations that can also affect the fill rate, such as time limits, past trading performance (applied to methods other than historical importers), license limits per firm, seasonal quotas (quarterly or semi-annual), domestic purchase requirements, and taxes for licenses and non-use. Table 5.7 summarizes the number of quotas, countries, commodities and filled quotas for each regulation. These additional conditions imposed on firms are very significant, affecting many quotas, countries and commodities. The total value of trade affected by each regulation is very high, with time limits affecting $7.6 billion of trade. Fill rates are particularly low for seasonal, export certificates, license fees and provision for unused licenses. For example, less than 10 percent of the seasonal quotas are filled, while the “provision 8 This ignores the fact that in many cases, out-of-quota imports replace the quota under-fill so the actual value of trade at observed prices attributed to quota under-fill is even lower. 13 for entry” has the second highest proportion of filled quotas. License fees have one of the highest proportions of TRQs filled and we show below how fees can increase efficiency. Note that “useit-or-lose-it” (domestic purchase requirement has the highest. It did not change compare to The Hague) has the highest trade-weighted fill rate, implying that firms perhaps import when it does not pay in order to hold the valuable asset for later use, thereby adding to inefficiencies. The next step is to match each additional regulation with the principal quota administration method (Table 5.8). Analysis of this table reveals a high number of additional regulations for licenses on demand, historical importers, first come first served and state trading enterprise administration methods. The implications of additional conditions are manifold. For example, one cannot automatically assume “applied tariffs” are represented by Regime 1 (inquota tariff binding) because one of several additional conditions associated with applied tariffs (e.g., domestic purchase requirements) may increase the costs of importation (or act as a nontariff barrier) so rents are created. On the other hand, methods other than applied tariffs are not necessarily precluded from Regime 1 being the outcome either, especially if there are no additional conditions and the quota is not binding. Notice that the value of trade affected by additional regulations for the license auction method is higher than the value of trade under auctions, implying that no trade may occur under a basic auction system so favored by economists. Additional regulations impose costs to the classic textbook case of efficiency with auctions. A note on TRQ fill rates Fill rates do not give a complete picture as to the efficacy of a tariff quota regime. A fill rate of less than 100 percent may not imply inefficiency if demand and supply conditions are such that the in-quota tariff is binding. But a fill rate of 100 percent does not mean efficiency 14 either, because the lowest cost supplier may not have been used or imports could otherwise have been even higher. Average fill rates as reported by the WTO and academic studies can be misleading due to aggregation problems: a subset of some commodity or country groupings may have zero fill rates and others a 100 percent fill rate. Trade-weighted fill rates would be more indicative of import performance (OECD 2002). Data published so far do not take into account imports above the quota but at the in-quota tariff rate, biasing the fill rates downwards. Furthermore, some countries only report imports up to the quota level (ignoring imports at the in-quota tariff that are over the quota), while others simply report the number of import licenses issued which may not be fully used. To overcome these difficulties, we need present both the number and the value of trade corresponding to the simple average (truncated) fill rate reported by the WTO as well as the trade-weighted fill rates in the attached tables. Fill rates weighted by value take into account over-quota imports at the in-quota tariff. TRQs by country and commodity group The number of tariff quotas by country and commodity group is given in Tables 5.9 and 5.10, respectively. The total value of in-quota plus out-of-quota trade is $35.4 billion while net quota under-fill (subtracting over-quota imports) is $13.7 billion, or 39 percent of the total TRQ trade. Countries with the highest levels of in-quota trade are Canada, China, Colombia, the EU, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Mexico, Switzerland, the United States and Venezuela. Notice countries with high levels of over-quota imports (in absolute terms and even more so in relative terms) are predominantly developing countries. Countries with high levels of out-of-quota imports are China, the EU, Japan, Korea, Venezuela and the United States. Quota under-fill is 15 dominated by four countries: China, the EU, Poland, Venezuela and the United States. The simple average in-quota and out-of-quota bound tariffs are also presented in Table 5.9, along with the trade-weighted average applied tariffs (including both the in-quota and out-of-quota tariffs that were actually applied). The simple average fill rates and trade-weighted fill rates for each country also are presented in Table 5.9. Corresponding data by commodity in Table 5.10 show that the value of in-quota trade and the quota are evenly distributed within each of two categories: high and low levels of trade. The high level group of commodities is cereals, dairy, fruit & vegetables, meat, oilseeds and sugar. The low level of trade category includes beverages, coffee & tea, eggs, fibres, ‘other’ and tobacco. Over-quota imports are highest for cereals and oilseeds. Out-of-quota imports are high for cereals, sugar, fruit & vegetables and meat products. Net quota under-fill is highest for beverages, cereals, fibres, fruit & vegetables, and oilseeds. Trade weighted fill rates are below average for beverages, cereals, eggs, fibres, fruit & vegetables, and ‘other’. Notice that the tradeweighted fill rate is substantially higher that of the simple average for coffee & tea, dairy and meat. In-quota tariffs are above average for cereals, fruit & vegetables, meat, ‘other’ and tobacco. The same commodities have a below average out-of-quota tariff except for cereals (cereals, meat, tobacco, fruit & vegetables and ‘other’ have out-of-quota tariff above average) which is now slightly below average. Average tariffs for quotas with several tariff lines that differ may be misleading because of aggregation problems. A simple or trade-weighted average does not overcome the impact of a few high tariffs protecting most of domestic production. 16 Can TRQ administration methods and regulations impact trade? Data provided earlier showed that there are five major quota administration methods (or combinations thereof) and a host of additional conditions that have the potential to impact not only efficiency but also the fill rates (Monnich 2003, Skully 2001b). The most preferred method of administrating quotas in terms of maximizing economic efficiency is either applied tariffs (the most commonly used method but representing only 14 percent of trade) or auctions (one of the least-used methods and representing less than 1 percent of total trade). The former is preferred because there are no limits to imports and the latter because the most efficient supplier (trading firm and exporting country) receives the importing licenses. All other methods and the many additional regulations invite many possibilities for inefficiencies and potentially impacts fill rates. At first glance, one would expect that applied tariffs, the most commonly used administration method, would allow for unrestricted levels of imports at the in-quota tariff. But several applied tariff quotas have time limits, past trading performance, volume limits per firm, domestic purchase requirements and license fees. These are the regulations that are in the notifications (several may be unreported) and can all reduce fill rates. The significance of these regulations, given by the number of cases for each additional regulation for the applied tariff method, is shown in Table 5.8. License fees may be such that it does not pay to import, and that clearly affects fill rates. The domestic purchase requirement adds costs to importation and so can affect fill rates too. 17 The next most commonly used administration method is licenses on demand (in terms of both the number of TRQs and value of trade). In this case licenses are allocated on a prorated basis whereby requests for licenses are reduced proportionately if they exceed the quota. Inefficiency is incurred because licenses are allocated to high-cost firms away from low cost firms (Hranaiova, de Gorter and Falk 2003). The higher the firm’s costs, the closer the allocated quantity to its desired allocation and the higher the probability that it will receive its desired allocation. Quota expansion causes high-cost firms to decrease their bids, and so reduces inefficiency. The entry of a new firm causes all incumbent firms to increase bids or bid the quota. How that affects efficiency depends on whether high-cost or low-cost firms enter. The number of firms bidding for the quota never decreases. Not penalizing firms for the non-use of licenses will almost guarantee quota under-fill, which also increases with the heterogeneity of cost structures across firms. In-quota tariff reductions causes per unit rent to increase and so provides incentives for high-cost firms not to exit (or to enter), causing inefficiency to increase.9 When a limit on the licenses received by each firm is imposed, inefficiency increases because the limit will be more binding on low-cost firms. First come first served is the next most commonly used method, resulting in a race to the border with imports not occurring in the optimal time of year, resulting in waiting in line inefficiencies (Chau, de Gorter and Hranaiova 2002). Time limits are very common with this method (see Table 5.8). Countries with a geographic advantage will benefit, and uncertainty as to whether the quota will be filled upon arrival at the border is increased. More-perishable commodities will reduce rents, to the disadvantage of importing firms, exporting countries and 9 This has the opposite effect of introducing a license fee. 18 producers in the importing region. The degree of “rent appropriation” (rather than “rent dissipation”) depends critically on, inter alia, the ratio of the import quota volume to free trade levels. Given that first come first served represents 16.8 percent of the total value of TRQ commodities traded, the scope for rent appropriation is very large indeed. It reduces the effectiveness of quotas in protecting domestic producers in the importing country, but aids domestic consumers. Furthermore, some of the rents may be dissipated in rent seeking where firms try to get around the consequences of hurried-up imports and reduced domestic prices in the interim. They may do so by changing the timing of domestic production, or storing the product. Although these latter practices increase profits for the firms involved, they increase social costs compared to a situation where property rights to the import licenses are clearly defined. License allocation on the basis of historical imports is the next most commonly used method of quota administration. The effects of this trade liberalization on efficiency are opposite to that of licenses on demand. For example, a decrease in the in-quota tariff will increase inefficiency in the case of licenses on demand, but with historical shares, efficiency increases unless high-cost firms have a disproportionate share of the quota licenses. Meanwhile, an increase in the quota, holding per unit rents constant, will increase efficiency with licenses on demand because high-cost firms are at their desired level of licenses anyway because additional imports are allocated to lower-cost firms only. The decline in per unit rent resulting from the quota increase will reinforce this increase in efficiency effect with high-cost firms exiting. With historical shares, on the other hand, an increase in the quota will unambiguously reduce efficiency (and hence potentially fill rates), except in the unlikely event that the historical share to each firm corresponds exactly to optimal shares with an auction. This example emphasizes the 19 potential importance of quota administration methods on trade patterns and how tradeliberalizing effects can have opposite effects, depending on the method in use. State trading enterprises (STEs) can also have significant impacts on efficiency and fill rates, because it is immune to some degree from market forces and so may not provide the incentive to fill the quota. If the STE represents producers’ interests, it may choose to limit the quota to lower-valued imports within the category or to pay exporters lower prices for the good in question, as compared to a situation of competition among private traders. STEs also have been alleged to price discriminate and deliberately allocate export quotas to higher-cost exporters for political reasons. If the quota rents are blended with revenues from domestic production, domestic production expands beyond efficient levels for a given domestic price determined by the import quota. The impact of the STE on efficiency and fill rates depends on its objective function (maximize producer profits, stabilize prices, etc.) and the degree of control it has over imports and the domestic market. Part of the import quotas with STEs is now typically given to private traders, and the control of domestic market prices and production varies by country and over time. The outcome also depends on whether the STE feels obligated to fill the quota or take the option to destroy the product. The effect of the STE also depends on what the initial regime of the tariff quota would be under perfect competition (quota binding versus in-quota tariff versus out-of-quota tariff) while the effects of trade liberalization in terms of tariff reductions and quota expansion will depend on what instrument is binding under the initial STE equilibrium. Imperfect competition can result in higher quota fill rates. It can also alter the effects of liberalization because of monopoly or monopsony “water” in the tariff and the interaction effects between the two tariffs and the quota (Hranaiova and de Gorter2002, de Gorter and Hranaiova 20 2004). The effectiveness of market power increases with the tariff, but trade liberalization may not increase social welfare. Regime switches may occur, with the possibility of losses in efficiency and social welfare. Trade liberalization outcomes depend on the initial optimal solution for the imperfect competitor (i.e. which tariff quota instrument is binding), the level of the binding instrument, and the type and degree of trade liberalization (McCorriston and Sheldon 1994). The import quota fill rate is not necessarily an indicator of economic efficiency. A quota may be under-filled under perfect competition, yet can be fully filled under a monopoly solution. For a monopsonist, there is no partial under-fill of the quota. A decrease in the in-quota tariff may induce a switch in regimes from a price taker to a monopsonist. Import quotas may be superior to a tariff in achieving the same level of protection in the case of monopsony. This is because the domestic buyer can exercise full monopsony power at low levels of tariffs, while an introduction of a quota increases welfare. The decrease in economic efficiency due to a switch to a monopsonistic solution when sufficiently high tariffs are introduced may offset any efficiency advantages of tariffs over quotas. For a monopolistmonopsonist, the outcome is further complicated by the possibility of two discrete changes in the optimal solution and two supply curves to choose from. The role of dynamic rent seeking The widespread use of additional regulations in combination with each other and with major quota administration methods can potentially impact trade in a dynamic rent seeking context as well. For example, the rules governing entry of new firms can either increase or decrease efficiency, depending on the administration method, the level of out-of-quota tariffs and the regulations determining entry. Some firms, either high or low cost, may import at a loss to 21 build up an historical import level to then receive license under the historical share allocation method or qualify to be either a bona fide importing firm (potentially relevant to all administration methods) or fulfill the additional condition “past trading performance” requirements for non-historical administration methods. Use it or lose it rules imply access to the quota in the following year so firms may import – even though it does not pay – in order to have access to excess rents in the future. The costs to firms of a limit in the number of licenses it can receive (in foregoing economies of scale) may be mitigated by rent-seeking activities. For example, firms will incur costs to split their firms into smaller entities. Seasonal licenses are very common (quarterly or semi-annual) and do not allow for the exploitation of seasonality in the gap between world and domestic prices. This may be particularly important for developing countries where harvest seasons are often different to that of countries in the North. Time limits, once a license is allocated, introduce uncertainty and transactions costs. The resulting inefficiency will also be depending on whether or not more conditions are required (such as, the license will be lost and not reallocated later). Domestic purchase requirements may result in consolidation of the importing and domestic production sectors so rents are being dissipated and perhaps in an increase in the domestic price. Rents can either increase or decrease. No information is given in the notifications as to whether the licenses are permanent or on an annual basis, or whether license trading to other firms within a year is allowed. These two features can have significant impacts on the efficiency of quota administration methods. Furthermore, Mexico has issued quarterly import permits (cupos) that were for imports into 22 specific regions of the domestic market. These and other undocumented regulations may have a significant impact on efficiency and fill rates.10 Changes in administration methods There have been significant increases in the level of the quotas for each administration method category, especially for applied tariffs and licenses on demand, probably reflecting relatively more minimum versus current access quotas designated in these administration categories (WTO 2002c). Table 5.11 provides summary data on the number of tariff quotas that changed away from one administration method to another. A total of 64 applied tariffs were switched to other methods with most becoming historical importers or licenses on demand. The highest number of net increases were registered in historical importers (6 away from but 44 added), licenses on demand, mixed, producer groups and auctions (the net increase in the latter was only one). Tunisia and Venezuela have changed their applied tariffs to historical importers for 100 per cent and 28 per cent of their quotas, respectively. Guatemala and Poland have registered the highest number of changes from applied tariffs to licenses on demand. First come first served has not registered any increases since 1995. Potential domestic policy responses to TRQ liberalization Import quotas give domestic firms, STEs or domestic governments more latitude in fixing domestic prices and hence reducing the volatility of domestic prices. This means world prices are more volatile except in some circumstances (Tyers and Anderson 1992). Imperfect competitors can charge higher prices with a quota compared to tariffs, while STEs and producer 10 Mexico has also taken preliminary steps to initiate safeguard actions on dry beans and white corn. In addition, Mexico alludes to suspending the issuance of import licenses for white corn except in times of short supply. Administration methods are very often in a state of flux. 23 groups that control import licenses can do likewise. At the same time, governments often try to stabilize domestic prices (albeit at levels sometimes much higher than world prices) through several mechanisms, depending on the country and commodity. Both an expansion of the quota and reductions in out-of-quota tariffs are the preferred methods of reducing the ability of governments to use a quota to stabilize the domestic price at the expense of increased volatility of world markets. It is also possible that inefficiency increases with domestic policy responses to trade liberalization (Schmitz, de Gorter and Schmitz 1995). In almost all cases, government employs domestic policy price supports and other instruments in tandem with a TRQ. Canada has supply management schemes while the European Union employs acreage restrictions, production quotas, stockpiling and export subsidies. The US sugar program has the loan rate as the target farm price and allocates “flexible marketing allotments” to farmers and accepts bids from processors to obtain defaulted loans in exchange for reducing their production of sugar. The European Union allocates production quotas and uses export subsidies to stabilize their domestic prices for sugar. So the benefits of liberalizing TRQs can be at least partially offset by adjusting domestic policy parameters. To illustrate, consider Japan’s rice TRQ and domestic policy instruments. Not only in Japan but in other Asian rice markets with TRQs, several domestic policy instruments are used simultaneously to stabilize domestic prices. Mandatory acreage set-aside, purchase limits by the STEs (or marketing controls), the importation of low quality rice (sometimes fed to livestock and even destroyed in one country – see Choi and Sumner 2000) by that proportion of the TRQ controlled by the STE, an increase in stocks year to year, and the use of exports as food aid represent the portfolio of policy instruments used to stabilize prices. An example of this is given 24 in Table 5.12. Although imports increased substantially (from zero prior to the URAA), the increase in supply to domestic markets has often been less than half the increase in imports. Exports as food aid have increased over the years, and stock changes have been always positive. Acreage reduction requirements have been ratcheted upwards as well. Imports by private traders represent a growing share of the import quota, but rents remain high for the STE. All of these actions illustrate the potential for government policy responses to mitigate the positive liberalization effects of TRQs. Concluding comments This chapter shows that TRQs protect over 50 percent of agricultural production and approximately 43 percent of agricultural trade of developed countries, even though the total number of tariff lines under TRQs is relatively low. Using applied tariffs, total tariff revenues and quota rents are estimated to be in the order of $19.6 billion. We identify four key TRQ regimes associated with the in-quota tariff, quota, out-of-quota tariff and over-quota imports that determine the market equilibrium. There are a total of eight cases under these four regimes, depending on whether there is exact fill, under-fill or over-fill of the TRQ. Data show that the out-of-quota regime has the largest value of trade at $22.7 billion, followed by the over-quota import regime at $7.5 billion and the quota binding regimes at $2 billion. The value of trade for the in-quota tariff regime is $3 billion. A reduction in out-of quota tariffs has the largest impact on trade liberalization. Our analysis shows that out-of quota reductions increase the value of trade by $18.2 billion while a quota expansion increases trade by $5.1 billion. But the outcome also depends critically on the level of water in the tariff assumed, the relative values of tariff reduction versus quota expansion (assumed to be 35 percent versus 50 percent, respectively) and the level of under- and over-fill in 25 each case. We also assume simple average bound tariffs are reduced (rather than trade-weighted applied tariffs). The analysis shows that in-quota tariffs may stifle trade liberalization in the quota expansion and out-of-quota tariff reduction scenario, the extent to which was not analyzed empirically. Nevertheless, this highlights the importance of including in-quota tariff reductions in the WTO negotiations, even though they are not officially bound and no in-quota tariff reductions were required in the URAA. Furthermore, if countries were allowed to choose the least-liberalizing of the two trade liberalization options, we show empirically that it is possible that the increase in the total value of trade would only be 40 percent of that under the quota expansion case for all countries and 25 percent of the trade expansion if all countries followed the out-of-quota tariff reduction case only. The trade-weighted fill rates were calculated by administration method and additional regulation. Although applied tariffs represent 39 percent of total administration methods, it represents only 14 percent of trade. Auctions, on the other hand represent 5.4 percent of total administration methods but only 0.5 percent of the total value of trade. The importance of licenses on demand, historical importers, first come first served and state trading enterprises were highlighted with the latter actually having quota over-fill on average. There is a sharp bimodal distribution on fill rates, with many below 20 percent and many at 100 percent or above. The average fill rate is 60.5 percent like that reported by the WTO (2002a,b) and the calculated trade-weighted fill rate in this chapter is almost identical at 61.1 percent. We discuss how licenses on demand and historical importer methods allow high-cost importers to operate; and how first come first serve results in prices being lower earlier in the season, allowing for rent appropriation by consumers and middlemen, or rent dissipation through producers trying to circumvent the price declines. State trading enterprises can affect inefficiency as well, depending 26 on their objective function, constraints such as international obligations, and control of domestic market parameters such as marketings, stocks or prices. The interaction of additional regulations with each of these major administration methods are also shown to be important in terms of their effects on either the fill rates or efficiency. Time limits affect $7.6 billion of trade, past importing performance affects $3.7 billion, export certificate affects $3.5 billion,, and $1.9 billion of trade requires domestic purchases as well. Each of these regulations and others (including seasonal licenses and limit per firm) increase the costs of importing and so inevitably impact on fill rates. Even applied tariffs have significant regulations associated with them, resulting in a situation where pure tariff regimes do not exist in many cases. More analysis is required on the extent to which additional regulations are pervasive in either out-of-quota or an in-quota tariff regime before firm conclusions can be made as to how much they limit the effects of trade liberalization. We also present summary data on the levels of out-of-quota and over-quota imports and quota under-fill by commodity and country. These data can be cross referenced to administration type, additional regulation, minimum versus current access and other relevant indicators in analyzing various aspects related to the factors that may impact TRQ fill rates. The total value of TRQ trade is $35.4 billion, with net quota under-fill (after adjusting for over-quota imports) at $13.7 billion or about 39 percent of total TRQ trade. Quota under-fill by itself totals $16.8 billion, amounting to 48 percent of the quota itself. The average applied tariff is 53.5 percent, considerably lower than the average bound in-quota tariff of 59 percent and out-of-quota tariff of 115 percent. But this trade-weighted applied average tariff for TRQ commodities is much higher than the average applied tariff for all of agriculture (World Bank 2003, Ch. 3). 27 We also determined that 41.7 percent of TRQ trade is under minimum access quotas, which were required to expand during the URAA implementation time period. But the majority of these are in regimes where a quota increase has no immediate impact on imports. We also found significant number of changes in the TRQ administration methods away from applied tariffs and towards licenses on demand and historical importer categories, both methods of which are deemed fraught with inefficiencies (along with historical importers and state trading enterprises). Consideration was given to the existence of several key additional regulations and the ways in which some administration methods are implemented that can lead to dynamic rent seeking and further inefficiencies of the quota administration system. Finally, we consider potential domestic policy responses to TRQ liberalization that mitigate the effects of trade liberalization, using the example of Japan’s state trading enterprise’s response to the introduction of a TRQ for rice imports. The data and analysis in this chapter cannot come to any definitive conclusion as to how well the TRQs liberalized trade in agriculture, not least because of the assumptions that had to be made and the further work required in analyzing the extensive database that has been developed. In particular, analysis of a combination of tariff reductions and quota expansion is warranted, along with an analysis of how in-quota tariffs stifle quota expansion. But more data and information are required to get a better understanding of TRQs, especially on the exact levels of water in the tariffs and tariff binding overhang. The impact of preferential tariffs also requires investigation, as does the distribution of rents between importers and exporters. The analysis here also does not analyze non-WTO TRQs, nor does it compare our results to non-TRQ imports and tariffs. 28 References Abbott, P. 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(2001b), ‘Economics of Tariff Rate Quota Administration’, ERS Technical Bulletin Number 1893, Economic Research Service, USDA, Washington DC. Tyers, R. and K. Anderson (1992), Disarray in World Food Markets : A Quantitative Assessment, Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press. Wainio, J. (2001), ‘Market Access: Tariffication and Tariff Reduction’, ERS issues series, Economic Research Service, USDA, Washington DC. Wainio, J., P. Gibson and D. Whitley (2001), ‘Options for Reducing Agricultural Tariffs’, Background for Agricultural Policy Reform in the WTO: The Road Ahead, ERS-E01-001, Economic Research Service, USDA, Washington DC. World Bank (2003), Global Economic Prospects 2004: Realizing the Development Promise of the Doha Agenda. Washington DC: World Bank. WTO (2002a), ‘Tariff Quota and Other Quotas’, Background Paper TN/AG/S/5, Geneva: World Trade Organization, 21 March. 32 WTO (2002b), ‘Tariff Quota Administration Methods and Tariff Quota Fill’, Background Paper TN/AG/S/6, Geneva: World Trade Organization, 22 March. WTO (2002c), ‘Changes in Tariff Quota Administration and Fill Rates’, G/AG/NG/S/20, Geneva: World Trade Organization, 8 November. 33 Figure 5.1: In-quota imports with and without quota fill (a) In-quota tariff with over-quota imports Regime 1a PW + t2 PW + t1 t1 revenues PW Over-quota imports quota ED imports (b) In-quota tariff with quota under-fill Regime 1b PW + t2 PW + t1 t1 revenues PW quota under-fill imports ED quota 34 Figure 5.2: Imports with quota full or under-filled (a) Quota filled Regime 2a PW + t2 water in tariff Pd quota rents PW + t1 t1 revenues PW ED Quota = imports (b) Quota under-filled Regime 2b PW + t2 water in tariff Pd quota rents Pod PW + t1 t1 revenues PW under fill Imports ED Quota 35 Figure 5.3: Out-of-quota imports with and without quota fill (a) Out-of-quota imports with quota filled Regime 3a t2 revenues quota rents PW + t2 PW + t1 PW out-of-quota imports t1 revenues quota ED imports (b) Out-of-quota imports with quota under-fill Regime 3b t2 revenues quota under-fill quota rents PW + t2 PW + t1 t1 revenues in-quota imports PW out-of-quota imports quota ED imports 36 Figure 5.3: Out-of-quota imports with and without quota fill (continued) (c) Out-of-quota and over-quota imports Regime 3c t2 revenues quota rents PW + t2 PW + t1 PW Over quota imports t1 tariff revenue quota implied quota ED imports out-of-quota imports 37 Figure 5.4: Over-quota imports Regime 4 PW + t2 water in tariff quota rents Pd PW + t1 PW t1 tariff revenue Over quota imports quota ED implied quota 38 Table 5.1: Value of Production for TRQ versus non-TRQ Commodities in OECD Countries (year 2000 in mil. $US) United States European Union Japan Korea Canada Mexico Turkey Australia Poland New Zealand Switzerland Hungary Czech Republic Norway Slovakia Total Production TRQ Share Milk Beef & Veal Pigmeat Poultry meat Rice Wheat Maize Oilseeds Eggs Other Grains Sugar 20,677 34,659 6,058 1,206 2,798 2,715 1,974 1,643 2,103 2,281 1,513 523 524 622 199 79,496 40.6% 31,226 15,959 5,388 2,085 3,660 2,061 1,418 3,320 252 832 675 93 203 283 68 67,522 80.7% 10,791 21,222 4,346 1,852 2,271 1,462 0 450 1,639 67 617 679 462 231 212 46,301 58.1% 16,861 7,906 1,900 644 1,088 2,098 918 617 327 100 114 426 165 77 76 33,318 38.4% 1,061 627 19,827 9,323 0 73 257 169 0 0 3 0 0 0 31,340 95.0% 5,848 11,533 938 1 2,297 531 2,684 2,533 1,005 37 245 363 323 76 101 28,517 59.6% 18,441 4,834 2 31 592 2,840 315 36 96 18 62 448 30 0 34 27,779 29.7% 12,549 2,676 173 251 1,642 23 269 352 178 0 32 83 133 1 40 18,403 4.2% 4,347 3,694 3,589 538 337 1,301 547 213 477 51 89 197 156 57 54 15,648 3.4% 1,557 6,002 267 172 798 773 952 899 700 29 83 89 121 181 39 12,660 2.8% 2,129 4,755 126 0 31 1,283 1,414 389 307 0 98 48 70 0 21 10,671 79.4% Total Sheepm TRQ share Production eat 357 3,616 61 31 240 812 703 9 798 36 24 3 82 2 6,774 55.2% 125,845 117,482 42,676 16,103 15,546 15,399 11,562 11,325 7,092 4,213 3,563 2,975 2,190 1,611 847 378,429 42.9% 60.0% 63.3% 89.2% 63.3% 43.8% 0% 0% 90% 0% 43.1% 68.4% 47.3% 100% 47.1% 51.6% Source: OECD (2003) http://ninetta.sourceoecd.org/vl=4320355/cl=54/nw=1/rpsv/statistic/s1_about.htm?jnlissn=16081056 Note 1: The darkly shaded cells represent tariff quotas while the lightly shaded cells have few tariff quota lines and so are not included as 'TRQs' in this table. Note 2: The commodities are those covered by the OECD Annual Monitoring Report http://www1.oecd.org/publications/e-book/5103081E.PDF 39 Table 5.2: Value of Trade for TRQ versus non-TRQ Commodities in OECD Countries (year 2000 in mil. $US) Japan European Union United States Mexico Korea Canada Turkey Poland Switzerland Australia Norway New Zealand Czech Republic Slovakia Hungary Total Imports TRQ Share Oilseeds Beef & veal Pig meat Milk Maize Wheat Poultry meat Sugar Other Grains Rice Sheep meat Eggs 1,993 4,347 378 1,144 410 213 233 45 42 58 96 14 24 14 19 9,031 28.6% 2,667 1,093 2,551 783 736 524 0.0 2.1 76 9 13 20 5.8 10 6.6 8,496 59.3% 3,502 172 1,040 338 263 187 0.1 56 72 87 29 23 29 20 32 5,849 11.5% 744 1,217 1,351 630 147 261 33 129 190 157 20 18 60 26 48 5,031 49.8% 1,887 466 174 548 933 170 147 59 10 0.1 3.1 1.7 10 31 11 4,453 45.4% 1,030 634 295 340 471 13 126 95 49 0.6 26 30 3.4 6.6 0.2 3,120 85.2% 1,400 773 48 285 80 221 1.0 15 109 1.0 0.9 13 24 12 5.9 2,989 47.4% 305 863 552 11 293 210 0.9 14 38 1.7 47 51 14 15 2.3 2,419 59.6% 556 49 261 511 56 5.0 8.4 61 17 0.1 6.9 10 12 6.8 9.2 1,569 4.0% 265 419 210 101 46 113 108 25 29 29 10 15 16 8.2 12 1,408 58.4% 68 713 238 46 5.1 48 0.003 0.2 61 0.7 6.5 4.8 0.6 0.0 0.4 1,193 60.4% 20 6.8 2.1 1.4 0.8 3.1 0.3 0.6 11 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0 47 1.5% Total Imports TRQ Share 14,438 10,752 7,099 4,739 3,441 1,967 658 502 704 346 259 201 200 149 146 45,603 27.9% 47.7% 62.7% 25.0% 87.0% 51.8% 0% 88.0% 28.0% 0% 77.6% 0% 41.8% 37.4% 46.7% 43.7% Source: FAO Statistics, Rome http://apps.fao.org/faostat/collections?version=ext&hasbulk=0&subset=agriculture Note 1: The darkly shaded cells represent tariff quotas while the lightly shaded cells have few tariff quota lines and so are not included as 'TRQs' in this table. Note 2: The commodities are those covered by the OECD Annual Monitoring Report http://www1.oecd.org/publications/e-book/5103081E.PDF 40 Table 5.3: Value of Trade by Regime (mil $US) In-Quota Imports Regime # Total % min. Over- Underaccess quota* quota* Tariff** Out-ofquota imports In-quota Out-ofquota Tariff Revenue In-quota Out-ofquota Quota Rents Tariff Revenue Trade (applied tariffs) weighted applied tariffs In-quota Tariff Regime 1a Regime 1b Total 1,953 1,104 3,057 15.4 75.0 1,161 0 1,161 0 846 846 0 0 0 138% 193% - 177% 233% - 1,146 587 1,733 0 0 0 0 0 0 73.7% 50.9% - 2,003 842 2,845 362 1,706 2,068 3.1 70.4 0 0 0 0 3,064 3,064 0 0 0 29% 40% - 98% 126% - 189 248 438 0 0 0 66 233 299 40.6% 42.1% - 147 716 863 27.5 51.6 15.5 492 1,784 6,029 926 8,739 0 0 206 206 0 12,014 0 12,014 5,487 7,515 988 13,990 24% 27% 41% - 132% 111% 198% - 82 773 194 1,049 5,622 12,999 796 19,417 3,827 6,873 810 11,510 82.0% 36.1% 11.8% - 5,967 4,887 233 11,086 87 7,560 36.9 1,735 821 0 62% 176% 3,411 0 4,182 64.7% 4,888 21,424 41.7 3,102 16,744 13,990 59% 115% 6,631 19,417 15,991 53.5% 19,682 216 224 440 Quota Binding Regime 2a Regime 2b Total 16 86 102 Out-of-quota Tariff Regime 3a Regime 3b Regime 3c Total 74 386 32 Over-quota Imports Regime 4 Total 1,121 Sources: WTO notifications and International Data Base (IDB) http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/agric_e/agric_e.htm Agricultural Market Access Database (AMAD) http://www.amad.org/ * Over-quota imports are defined as in-quota imports minus quota while under-quota imports equal quota minus in-quota imports. ** This column and the next column refer to simple average official in-quota tariffs and bound out-of-quota tariffs. 41 Table 5.4: Effects of Trade Liberalization on Value of Trade (mil. $) Regime 35 % reduction in out-of quota tariffs % ∆ value 50% increase in quota ∆ value Minimum # of TRQs Value of Trade 216 224 440 1,953 1,104 3,057 493 426 919 9.1 13.4 - - - 16 86 102 362 1,706 2,068 149 97 246 14.8 2.1 - 680 920 1,600 67.8 24.1 - 149 97 74 386 32 492 7,271 13,543 1,914 22,729 5,274 9,128 1,468 15,870 26.2 24.3 27.7 - 85 1,115 129 1,329 1.2 8.2 6.8 - 85 1,115 129 87 7,560 1,215 5.8 2,203 29.1 1,215 1,121 35,414 18,249 51.5% 5,132 14.5% 2,789 % In-quota Tariff Regime 1a Regime 1b Total Quota Binding Regime 2a Regime 2b Total Out-of-quota Tariff Regime 3a Regime 3b Regime 3c Total Over-quota Imports Regime 4 Total Sources: WTO notifications and International Data Base (IDB) http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/agric_e/agric_e.htm Agricultural Market Access Database (AMAD) http://www.amad.org/ 42 Table 5.5: Estimates of Water in the Tariff for Selected TRQs Tariffs (%) TRQ # Canada 2 Canada 3 Canada 1 European U 83 European U 84 European U 38 European U 7 European U 11 European U 64 European U 69 European U 70 Hungary 38 Hungary 41 Hungary 43 Hungary 42 Hungary 46 Hungary 52 Hungary 7 Hungary 2 Hungary 4 Hungary 3 Hungary 5 Hungary 11 Hungary 13 Hungary 16 Hungary 37 Hungary 14 Hungary 30 Hungary 32 Hungary 65 Hungary 45 Iceland 80 Iceland 82 Iceland 83 Iceland 81 Iceland 84 Iceland 87 Japan 14 Japan 1 Japan 2 Japan 3 Japan 4 Korea 42 Korea 41 Korea 63 Korea 1 Korea 10 Korea 12 Korea 15 Korea 19 Korea 49 Korea 21 Norway 224 Norway 173 Norway 228 Norway 91 Norway 93 Poland 69 Poland 27 Slovak Rep 17 Switzerlan 9 Switzerlan 17 United Sta 21 United Sta 2 United Sta 4 United Sta 5 United Sta 8 World Price $/unit Chicken, live, meat and produ 1.65 Turkey, live, meat and produc 2.86 Broiler hatching eggs and chic 2.27 Husked (brown) rice 859 Semi-milled or wholly milled 412 Raw cane sugar, for refining 633 Meat of bovine animals, froz 1,828 Meat of sheep or goats, fresh 3,578 Poultry cuts and offal other th 2,134 Eggs yolks 2,069 Egg albumin 1,893 Wheat 338 Maize (corn) 2,311 Cereal grains 280 Rice 279 Sunflower-seed oil 538 Other sugars 788 Milk and cream 1,488 Bovine animals and meat 1,217 Sheep and goats 3,476 Swine 1,416 Poultry 482 Eggs not in shell 1,178 Potatoes, fresh or chilled 139.89 Cabbages 105.91 Pepper 2,192.12 Tomatoes 357 Grapes 507 Apples, pears 311 Extracts, essences and concen na na Locust beans, seaweeds ..., su Meat and edible offal of bovine animals Meat and edible offal of sheep 0.00 Meat and edible offal of sheep 0.00 Meat and edible offal of swin 0.00 7.00 Meat and edible offal of poult Eggs 16 Wheat, meslin, triticale and th 187.88 2 Skimmed milk powder (schoo Skimmed milk powder (other 2 Milk powder na Evaporated milk 2 Grain sorghum (For seeds) 168 Rice in the husk - ST-Annex 5 0.32 Oil-cake and other solid resid 155.80 Milk cows (Pure-bred breedin 101.04 Other milk and cream, (Evapo 649.00 Birds' eggs (Not in shell/Not d 1,801 Silkworm eggs 0.00 Potatoes (Excluding seed pota 0 Potato Starch... 0 Garlic (Fresh or chilled)... 1 Meat and edible offal of swin 2 Other preserved meat - of turk 4,750.00 4.36 Meat and edible offal of duck Apples, pears and quinces, fre 722.08 Apples, pears and quinces, fre 722.08 Locust beans, seaweeds and o 15,807.31 Tomatoes, fresh or chilled. 654.35 Other sugars 0.00 Śufs en coquille 1.33 Trois phases - Pommes, poire 0.92 Raw cane sugar 0.41 Milk and cream, fluid or froze 1.34 Dried milk, whether or not co 1.95 Dried milk and dried cream, w 2.25 Milk and cream, condensed o 1.01 In-quota 4.3 5 0.3 31.1 0 0 20 0 0 19.34 11.6 10 3 50 25.0 8 60 30 18 18 20 25 35 10 12 40 12 40 25 60 30 32 32 32 32 32 32 19 0 20 30 30 3 5 5 0 20 30.0 8 30.0 8.0 50.0 137 65 160.0 0.7 1 68 20.0 50.0 25.7 6.4 4.0 0.0 1.5 4.5 2.9 Tariff Equivalent teQ Out-of-quota Actual Max 246 161 238 73.7 123 118 153 92.3 83 38.7 24.1 30.1 26.0 38.4 58 31.6 61.5 51.2 56 26.5 47.2 36 38.3 44.2 32.0 44 46 48 49 51 30 511 372 0 470 529 406 201 174 198.0 0.0 388.3 779 0 63 89 50 42 18 304.0 325.2 360 363 330.5 425 94.3 94.3 148 224.3 28.3 191 86 94 0 40 72 37 298 200 283 73.7 133 118 153 92.3 83 84 79 38.4 32.0 38.4 63.4 39.1 63.8 51.2 72 26.5 51.9 39.0 38.3 44.2 32.0 44 46 51 49 51 30 511 372 220 470.00 529 460 692.50 174.0 198.0 388.3 779 63 89 176 89 18 304 320 360 363 331 425 188 188.0 96.0 40.0 60.0 244 145 94 58 44 72 49 Actual 0.01 0.01 0.2 0.53 0.53 0.87 5.45 1.17 0.84 0.06 0.06 0 -0.2 -0.07 0.00 -0.11 0.10 0.3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.13 0.13 0.18 4.36 2.14 2.80 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.39 4 1 1.82 1.82 0.14 0.14 0 0 0.28 0.2 1.72 1.72 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.00 0.39 3.28 0.00 1.32 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.93 Assumed Average Max 1.25 0.83 1.19 0.52 0.62 0.59 0.86 0.46 0.42 0.29 0.18 0.20 0.15 0.44 0.41 0.20 0.61 0.41 0.37 0.22 0.34 0.30 0.37 0.27 0.2 0.42 0.29 0.44 0.37 0.56 0.30 2.7 2.02 0.16 2.51 2.81 2.19 1.10 0.87 1.09 0.15 2.09 3.91 0.03 0.34 0.45 0.35 0.36 0.13 1.67 1.67 2.05 2.50 1.98 2.93 0.48 0.48 1.08 1.22 0.39 1.08 0.46 0.49 0.00 0.21 0.38 0.20 1.51 1.02 1.42 0.52 0.67 0.59 0.86 0.46 0.42 0.52 0.45 0.24 0.18 0.44 0.44 0.24 0.62 0.41 0.45 0.22 0.36 0.32 0.37 0.3 0.2 0.42 0.29 0.46 0.37 0.56 0.30 2.71 2.02 1.26 2.51 2.81 2.46 3.56 0.87 1.09 0.15 2.09 3.91 0.03 0.34 0.45 0.98 0.60 0.13 1.67 1.64 2.05 2.50 1.98 2.93 0.94 0.94 0.82 0.30 0.55 1.35 0.76 0.49 0.29 0.23 0.38 0.26 Water in the Tariff Actual Average Max 2.45 1.6 2.18 0.2 0.7 0.32 -3.92 -0.25 -0.01 0.33 0.18 0.31 0.42 0.45 0.58 0.43 0.52 0.25 0.42 0.43 0.69 0.24 -1.14 0.2 0.3 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.49 0.51 0.30 4.11 3.59 -0.13 4.52 0.94 1.92 -0.79 -1.01 -0.77 -2.75 1.13 5.40 -4.09 0.01 -0.93 -1.33 0.27 0.04 3.04 3.25 3.32 3.39 1.58 2.53 0.94 0.94 0.53 2.24 -0.11 -1.37 0.86 -0.38 -0.93 -0.54 -0.22 -0.56 2.97 1.98 2.63 0.2 0.8 0.32 -3.92 -0.25 -0.01 0.78 0.73 0.40 0.48 0.45 0.63 0.50 0.54 0.25 0.57 0.43 0.73 0.27 -1.14 0.2 0.3 0.44 0.46 0.51 0.49 0.51 0.30 4.11 3.59 2.07 4.52 0.94 2.46 4.13 -1.01 -0.77 -2.75 1.13 5.40 -4.09 0.01 -0.93 -0.06 0.75 0.04 3.04 3.20 3.32 3.39 1.58 2.53 1.88 1.88 0.01 0.40 0.21 -0.83 1.45 -0.38 -0.36 -0.49 -0.22 -0.44 Error Assumed Average Max 1.21 0.78 1.19 0.21 0.62 0.59 0.66 0.46 0.42 0.10 0.06 0.10 0.12 -0.06 0.16 0.12 0.01 0.11 0.19 0.05 0.14 0.05 0.02 0 0 0.02 0.17 0.04 0.12 -0.04 0.00 2.39 1.70 -0.16 2.19 2.49 1.87 0.91 0.87 0.89 -0.15 1.79 3.88 -0.03 0.29 0.45 0.15 0.06 0.05 1.37 1.59 1.55 1.13 1.33 1.33 0.47 0.47 0.40 1.02 -0.11 0.83 0.40 0.45 0.00 0.19 0.34 0.17 1.47 0.97 1.42 0.21 0.67 0.59 0.66 0.46 0.42 0.32 0.34 0.14 0.15 -0.06 0.19 0.16 0.02 0.11 0.27 0.05 0.16 0.07 0.02 0 0 0.02 0.17 0.06 0.12 -0.04 0.00 2.39 1.70 0.94 2.19 2.49 2.14 3.37 0.87 0.89 -0.15 1.79 3.88 -0.03 0.29 0.45 0.78 0.30 0.05 1.37 1.56 1.55 1.13 1.33 1.33 0.94 0.94 0.14 0.10 0.05 1.09 0.70 0.45 0.29 0.21 0.34 0.23 Average Max -1.24 -0.82 -0.99 0.01 -0.08 0.28 4.58 0.71 0.42 -0.23 -0.12 -0.21 -0.31 -0.51 -0.41 -0.31 -0.51 -0.14 -0.22 -0.39 -0.55 -0.18 1.16 -0.1 -0.2 -0.42 -0.29 -0.44 -0.37 -0.56 -0.30 -1.72 -1.89 -0.03 -2.33 1.55 -0.05 1.70 1.88 1.66 2.60 0.66 -1.52 4.07 0.28 1.37 1.47 -0.21 0.01 -1.67 -1.67 -1.77 -2.26 -0.25 -1.20 -0.48 -0.48 -0.13 -1.22 0.00 2.19 -0.46 0.83 0.93 0.73 0.55 0.73 -1.50 -1.01 -1.22 0.01 -0.13 0.28 4.58 0.71 0.42 -0.46 -0.39 -0.25 -0.34 -0.51 -0.44 -0.35 -0.52 -0.14 -0.30 -0.39 -0.57 -0.20 1.16 -0.1 -0.2 -0.42 -0.29 -0.46 -0.37 -0.56 -0.30 -1.72 -1.89 -1.13 -2.33 1.55 -0.32 -0.76 1.88 1.66 2.60 0.66 -1.52 4.07 0.28 1.37 0.84 -0.45 0.01 -1.67 -1.64 -1.77 -2.26 -0.25 -1.20 -0.94 -0.94 0.13 -0.30 -0.16 1.93 -0.76 0.83 0.65 0.70 0.55 0.67 43 Table 5.6: Value of In-quota Trade and Fill Rates by TRQ Administration Method (mil. $US) Administration Method Applied Tariff Licenses on Demand First-Come, First-Served Historical Importers Auctioning State Trading Enterprises Mixed Allocation Non-Specified Total # of TRQs Share (%) # value Quota fill < 20 # Value Quota fill ≥100 Fill Rate (%) Simple Weighted # Value Weighted fill rate (%) Total In-quota Imports Value Fill Rate (%) Truncated Weighted Quota underfill (Net) Tariffs (%) In-quota Out-ofquota 440 310 138 105 60 29 11 28 39.3 27.7 12.3 9.4 5.4 2.6 1.0 2.5 14.4 18.1 16.8 18.8 0.5 12.2 4.6 14.9 104 129 56 18 24 3 0 5 91 94 145 14 1 0 0 39 5.0 3.8 3.8 4.7 4.2 1.1 0 5.5 12.1 1.3 3.7 1.0 5.6 1.1 0 8.6 230 63 37 44 8 10 8 7 1,982 2,340 878 2,927 7 1,028 945 885 241 141 107 146 120 897 114 100 3,057 3,874 3,581 4,026 116 2,585 985 3,200 68 48 52 73 46 79 91 65 111 34 46 85 75 152 111 56 -315 7,635 4,151 679 39 -886 -96 2,545 166 35 20 37 56 31 40 23 206 110 72 143 210 286 200 150 1,121 - 100 339 384 4.0 - 407 10,993 - 21,424 60.6 60.9 13,753 59 115 Note 1: "Simple" refers to the simple average fill rate defined as the average of the ratios of the value of in-quota imports over the value of the quota (can be > 100 percent if over-quota imports dominate under-fill) Note 2: "Truncated" is the simple average fill rate as defined above except it takes a maximum value of 100 percent (ignores over-quota imports) Note 3: "Weighted" refers to the trade weighted fill rate defined as the sum of the value of in-quota imports divided by the sum of the value of the quota (can be > 100 percent) Sources: WTO notifications and International Data Base (IDB) http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/agric_e/agric_e.htm Agricultural Market Access Database (AMAD) http://www.amad.org/ 44 Table 5.7: Value of In-quota Trade and Fill Rates by TRQ Additional Regulation (mil. $US) Additional Regulation Time Limit Past Trading Performance Limit per Firm Seasonal Domestic Purchase Requirement Provision for entry Use it or Lose it Export Certificate License Fee Provision for Unused Licenses Non-Use Penalty Refundable Down Payment No Description None of Above were Identified Total # of TRQs 247 170 133 101 44 30 35 26 26 23 13 4 422 173 1,447 Share (%) # Value 17.1 11.7 9.2 7.0 3.0 2.1 2.4 1.8 1.8 1.6 0.9 0.3 29.2 12.0 Quota fill < 20 Fill Rate (%) # Value Simple Weighted 25.7 12.9 2.4 0.5 6.6 4.1 1.6 12.0 2.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 13.3 17.9 76 53 48 49 4 5 14 6 8 10 3 1 109 46 66 174 30 39 1 0 2.7 5.2 17 1.4 0 0 131 20 5.1 5.6 4.5 3.7 7.4 0.0 2.5 3.5 10.0 6.2 6.2 3.6 4.7 2.6 100 432 489 4.0 1.84 2.72 0.92 0.99 3.26 0.00 6.02 0.45 1.35 10.87 17.61 0.00 6.37 2.52 # Quota fill ≥100 Weighted Value fill rate (%) 78 36 14 8 25 16 15 6 14 1 3 0 205 63 4,865 1,050 148 28 1,692 942 468 2,782 347 0 44 0 1,349 2,643 484 16,361 127 131 134 100 207 100 119 136 207 0 113 0 372 147 Tariffs (%) Total In-quota Imports Quota Fill Rate (%) under-fill In-quota Out-of-quota Value Truncated Weighted 7,686 3,783 851 150 1,946 1,203 479 3,519 654 111 45 25 3,886 5,256 60.9 56.9 52.7 40.6 78.5 75.7 54.3 59.6 68.6 40.3 64.2 53.9 64.4 63.2 69.5 37.4 17.6 3.6 143.8 92.2 106.5 77.4 36.5 46.1 111.2 0.0 54.7 93.2 3,313 6,336 3,330 3,992 -593 102 -29 1,025 1,141 129 -5 22 3,222 380 20.5 23.9 31.3 26.8 86.6 21.8 20.7 13.3 37.6 239.6 31.1 30.0 169.4 35.0 129.6 105.1 101.6 49.8 183.9 193.0 94.7 128.9 92.3 400.5 55.8 49.5 212.4 93.3 29,592 60.6 60.9 22,365 59 115 Note 1: "Simple" refers to the simple average fill rate defined as the average of the ratios of the value of in-quota imports over the value of the quota (can be > 100 percent if over-quota imports dominate under-fill) Note 2: "Truncated" is the simple average fill rate as defined above except it takes a maximum value of 100 percent (ignores over-quota imports) Note 3: "Weighted" refers to the trade weighted fill rate defined as the sum of the value of in-quota imports divided by the sum of the value of the quota (can be > 100 percent) Sources: WTO notifications and International Data Base (IDB) http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/agric_e/agric_e.htm Agricultural Market Access Database (AMAD) http://www.amad.org/ 45 Table 5.8: Fill Rate by Administration Method and Additional Regulation (most recent year reported) (mil. $) Additional Regulation time limit past trading performance limit per firm seasonal domestic purchase requirement provision for entry use it or lose it export certificate license fee provision for unused licenses non-use penalty refundable down payment no description none of above were identified Total # of TRQs # 247 170 133 101 44 30 35 26 26 23 13 4 422 173 0 11 7 0 1 0 0 0 11 6 1 0 369 41 1,447 Applied Tariff Weighted Value fill rate (%) 723 37.6 19.0 0 16.9 0 0 0 37.6 1.6 44.0 0 1,402 851 447 3,132 97.9 145 96.1 0 110 0 0 0 145 18.5 113 0 124 108 Licenses on demand Weighted # Value fill rate (%) 85 104 75 100 30 3 26 18 0 4 1 4 22 22 2,321 963 197.8 149.7 729.9 5.7 229.7 1,299 0.0 101.2 0.7 24.8 150.7 217.8 494 6,392 49.0 22.8 5.8 3.6 121.0 81.2 97.0 48.1 0 46.9 82.7 0 13.1 44.4 First-come, first-served Weighted # Value fill rate (%) 46 18 17 1 1 0 1 5 0 0 0 0 1 59 200 260 184 0.1 44 0 0.1 238 0 0 0 0 1 2,830 49.3 7.9 75.8 1.1 98.2 0 1.1 55.0 0 0 0 0 0 81.1 149 3,758 # Auction Weighted Value fill rate (%) 4 0 22 0 1 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 11 22 0.4 0 14.8 0.0 1.4 0 0 0 0 4.8 0.0 0.0 6.5 93.1 70 121 13.2 0 60.1 0.0 100 0 0 0 0 41.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.0 Historical importer Weighted Value # fill rate (%) STEs and producer groups Weighted fill Value # rate (%) 71 32 10 0 0 23 8 3 15 3 11 0 3 18 3,224 1,022 272.7 0 0 291.6 249.3 1,981 616.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 101.2 435.8 14 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 98.9 1,497 0 0 396.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 592.0 197 8,198 29 2,585 83.1 96.5 88.9 0 0 74.6 120.5 140.7 34.9 77.1 44.0 0.0 148.7 102.5 121.0 99.7 0 0 2,164 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 607.8 Note 1: "Simple" refers to the simple average fill rate defined as the average of the ratios of the value of in-quota imports over the value of the quota (can be > 100 percent if over-quota imports dominate under-fill) Note 2: "Truncated" is the simple average fill rate as defined above except it takes a maximum value of 100 percent (ignores over-quota imports) Sources: WTO notifications and International Data Base (IDB) http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/agric_e/agric_e.htm Agricultural Market Access Database (AMAD) http://www.amad.org/ 46 Table 5.9: Value of TRQ Trade by Country (mil. $) Country # of TRQs In-quota Out-of-quota Quota under-fill (net) Fill Rate % Imports Truncated Weighted Tariffs % In-quota Out-of-quota Australia 2 90.0 100 65.7 86.1 0.3 9 25 Barbados 5 80.0 69 0.6 0.0 0.3 125 125 Brazil 1 100.0 2,824.8 177 0 -170 13.5 29 Bulgaria 62 40.2 37.1 115 46.2 196 25.9 71 Canada 20 85.0 106.5 703 183 -42.6 4.0 179 Chile 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 China 10 29.5 29.7 2,338 214 5,533 0 0 Chinese Taipei 22 60.6 72.1 98 56.6 37.9 0 0 Colombia 56 74.9 187 952 40 -444 133 135 Costa Rica 10 29.5 184.6 14.8 1.8 -6.8 47.5 111 Croatia 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 Czech Rep. 24 54.5 49.1 72 93.9 75.0 28.4 49.1 Dominican Rep. 7 73.8 140 65 0 -18.6 0 0 European Union 72 56.0 71.9 4,500 7,710 1,759 15 67 El Salvador 11 67.0 44 52.3 4.2 66 34.1 68.4 Ecuador 8 53.1 14.9 10.2 52.3 58.2 28.6 42.0 Guatemala 22 81.9 149 146 15.3 -48.2 31 121 Hungary 65 47.6 2 81 391 3,619 25.3 40.1 Iceland 49 82.8 66.5 21.4 4 10.8 32.4 187.0 65 185 Indonesia 2 100 584 659 0 -546 Israel 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Japan 18 69.6 89.5 1,851 415 218 20.2 536 Korea 67 68.1 78.7 1,807 1,746 488 19.8 277 Latvia 3 33.4 7.9 0.2 0.5 1.8 25.0 47 Lithuania 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Malaysia 16 40.4 53 107 16.0 93.4 103 233 Mexico 11 87.4 122 887 0 -158.4 45.5 152 Morocco 3 100.0 100 185 1.2 0.0 115 115 New Zealand 3 33.7 1.7 1.1 0.0 65.6 0 6.1 Nicaragua 8 91.5 0 52 0 -51 42.5 66.9 219 63.7 96.2 194 111.0 7.8 296 319 Norway Panama 19 49.4 88.2 29.0 3.7 3.9 15.0 84 Philippines 13 65.6 45.8 0.4 296 0.4 34.6 35.4 Poland 36 26.4 4.7 61 267 1,244 37.0 81 Romania 7 9.6 4.5 2.0 0.9 41.9 97 249 Slovak Rep. 24 33.4 28.9 19.0 131 46.9 28.2 41.9 Slovenia 20 37.9 112 46 38 -5.1 18 67 South Africa 42 66.6 85.5 217 77 37 20 60.2 Switzerland 27 89.4 105.6 1,581 10 -83.5 41 205 Thailand 23 40.3 166 688 68.8 -273 28.4 97.9 Tunisia 13 58.5 82.0 186 106 40.8 25.9 99.6 United States 41 70.1 79.6 2,508 1,075 613 7 64 Venezuela 60 58.7 40.9 929 727 1,345 36.9 101 1121 60.6 60.9 21,424 13,990 13,753 59 115 Total Sources: WTO notifications and International Data Base (IDB) http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/agric_e/ agric_e.htm and Agricultural Market Access Database (AMAD) http://www.amad.org/ 47 Table 5.10: Value of Trade by Commodity (mil.$) Commodity Fill Rate (%) # of TRQs Truncated Weighted Tariffs (%) Under-fill In-quota Quota Overquota Out-ofquota Total Net In-Quota Out-of-Quota Beverages Cereals Coffee, tea … Dairy products Eggs and egg products Agricultural Fibers Fruit and Vegetables Meat products Other agricultural products Oilseeds products Sugar and sugar products Tobacco 27 185 44 144 19 12 281 205 45 106 42 11 43 58 62 63 34 41 66 52 55 67 67 76 16 53 92 78 21 48 64 76 55 75 89 78 536 5,420 128 2,402 77 932 3,160 3,900 70 2,775 1,574 451 3,283 10,197 138 3,048 359 1,950 4,937 5,099 128 3,689 1,771 579 0.5 1,027 31 318 10 78 309 270 21 882 72 84 90 4,372 101 715 8 246 2,903 4,153 79.7 288 961 72 2,747 5,804 41.2 964 293 1,096 2,086 1,469 78 1,796 269 212 2,746.8 4,777 10.1 646 283 1,018 1,777 1,199 57 915 197 128 66 91 48 57 75 17 110 105 145 46 55 110 114 155 121 152 126 101 170 174 255 115 104 337 Total 1121 60.6 60.9 21,424 35,178 3,103 13,990 16,856 13,753 59.0 115.0 Note 1: "Simple" refers to the simple average fill rate defined as the average of the ratios of the value of in-quota imports over the value of the quota (can be > 100 percent if over-quota imports dominate under-fill) Note 2: "Truncated" is the simple average fill rate as defined above except it takes a maximum value of 100 percent (ignores over-quota imports) Note 3: "Weighted" refers to the trade weighted fill rate defined as the sum of the value of in-quota imports divided by the sum of the value of the quota (can be > 100 percent) Sources: WTO notifications and International Data Base (IDB) http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/agric_e/agric_e.htm Agricultural Market Access Database (AMAD) http://www.amad.org/ 48 Table 5.11: Changes in Administration Methods Away From (1995) To (most recent) # of TRQs Applied tariffs (AT) Historical Importers Licenses on Demand Mixed Allocation Auctioning Total 36 20 7 1 64 Licenses on demand (LD) Applied Tariff Historical Importers Auctioning Mixed Allocation Other 10 3 2 2 2 Producer Groups Total 2 21 Historical Importers (HI) Applied Tariff Producer Groups Mixed Allocation Licenses on Demand Total 3 1 1 1 6 Other (OT) Historical Importers Total 5 5 Mixed (MX) Applied Tariff Licenses on Demand Total 1 3 4 State Trading (STE) Licenses on Demand Total 3 3 Auction (AU) Licenses on Demand Total 2 2 Producer Group (PG) Licenses on Demand State Trading Enterprises Total 1 1 2 Not specificed (NS) Applied Tariff Licenses on Demand Total Applied Tariff Total 1 1 2 1 1 First come first served (FC) Total number of changes 110 Increases in Administration Methods Method Historical Importers Licenses on Demand Applied Tariff Mixed Allocation Producer Groups Auctioning Other State Trading Enterprises Non-Specified First-Come, First-Served Total Number of increases in 44 31 16 10 3 3 2 1 0 0 110 Sources: WTO notifications and International Data Base (IDB) http://www.wto. org/english/tratop_e/agric_e/agric_e.htm Agricultural Market Access Database (AMAD) http://www.amad.org/ 49 Table 5.12: STE, Domestic Policy Responses and Rice Tariff Quota in Japan Year 1995-96 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 Minimum Access Imports Rate2 Quantity Rate1 (1000 tonnes) (%) (%) 43 51 60 68 72 77 77 77 4.0 4.8 5.6 6.4 6.8 7.2 7.2 7.2 4.2 5.0 5.9 6.9 7.3 7.9 8.0 8.1 Supply to Domestic Markets Private Total (1000 tonnes) 12 31 23 38 34 37 34 25 STE Exports as Food Aid EndingStock Flow Period Stocks Quota Rents3 Total Private4 Acreage Control % of quota (1000 tonnes) (1000 tonnes) (1000 tonnes) (1000 tonnes) (1000 tonnes) mil. $ (%) (%) 27.9% 60.8% 38.3% 55.9% 47.2% 48.1% 44.2% 32.5% 1 1 5 12 12 12 10 10 11 30 18 26 22 25 24 15 0 12 34 28 26 21 23 20 31 8 3 2 12 19 20 32 31 39 42 44 56 75 95 127 33.7 27.9 47.2 60.8 70.8 78.7 77.5 75.8 8.4 9.7 28.8 74.8 56.3 47.6 37.9 36.3 24.3 28.5 28.7 34.8 35 35.2 37.2 37.4 1. Rate of base period consumption 2. Rate of current period consumption 3. In-quota and out-of-quota tariffs are zero 4. Rents to private traders are higher than share of import quota because of higher quality imports that have higher margins Source: Takayuki Kimura 50 51
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