Measuring Metropolitan Government Structure and Its Impact on Income Distribution in Metropolitan Areas Anja Kurki Department of Government and Politics University of Maryland 3140 Tydings Hall College Park, MD 20742 Phone: (301) 405-8269 E-mail: [email protected] Paper prepared for presentation at the American Political Science Association Annual Meeting in Atlanta, Georgia, September 2-5, 1999. Abstract This paper provides a preliminary analysis of the importance of metropolitan area government structure on socioeconomic inequality in approximately 70 metropolitan areas in the United States. This study particularly focuses on meaningful classification of metropolitan areas according to their government structure and its possible relationship to measures of inequality, such as the Gini coefficient, the dissimilarity of poor index and the isolation of poor index. Cluster analysis and data from the 1987 Census of Governments are applied in order to classify metropolitan areas according to their government structure and OLS regression analysis is used to test if the created test variable ‘metropolitan area government structure’ has a significant relationship to socioeconomic inequality in metropolitan areas. The results show that government structure should not be ignored when income inequality and dissimilarity of poor are considered. However, due to the small size of the data set and the explorative nature of the classification of the metropolitan areas, these results must be considered preliminary. Key words: metropolitan area government structures, income inequality, social inequality Introduction This paper has two goals. The first one is to offer a sensible classification of metropolitan areas according to their government structure. The second goal, closely related to the first one, is to test if different metropolitan government structures are systematically related to different levels of socioeconomic inequality in metropolitan areas. The models applied are cross sectional and thus the more methodologically appropriate research question “do changes in metropolitan government structure cause changes in economic inequality” cannot be answered in the framework of this paper. However, the models presented in this paper will provide a preliminary analysis concerning the importance of government structure when inequalities in metropolitan areas are studied. The structure of the paper is as follows. First the theoretical background concerning inequality and its potential consequences, as well as research themes related to the often assumed importance of government structures are discussed. Second, classification of metropolitan areas according to their government structure is explored in a more detailed manner. Then regression models testing the created test variables are examined and finally the results are briefly discussed. Theory Why metropolitan level analysis? There are several reasons why a study of the impact of government structures on socioeconomic inequalities could use entire metropolitan areas as the level of analysis. In the United States an increasing percentage of the population lives in metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs). In 1970, 69 percent and in 1990, 77 percent of the U.S. population lived in metropolitan statistical areas. Increasing numbers of metropolitan area residents are located in suburbs (in 1990 about 45% of the U.S. population lived in suburbs while about 37% resided in central cities). Using metropolitan statistical areas as the level of analysis will include most of the population in the United States, and will also make it possible to test the importance of different governance structures: several types of metropolitan government structures exist. Perhaps more importantly, central cities and suburbs do not form two isolated entities. They are dependent on each other and form a regional economy with common housing, land, and labor markets (on the exact relationship between central cities and suburbs see for instance Hill et al. 1995, Bingham and Kalich 1996, Savitch et al. 1993, Voith 1998). If the premise that metropolitan areas form a regional or metropolitan wide economy is accepted1, problems that central cities and suburbs are experiencing are regional problems. The specific way different markets, such as housing or labor markets, function depends in part on the government structure of the metropolitan area. For instance, in a fragmented metropolitan area housing markets may further segregation based on race and income, because the political jurisdictions may form identifiable areas which can be represented by differences in housing prices. Poverty, crime, and segregation based on race and income will not only increase direct costs for the city and the surrounding suburbs but may also have a lasting impact on a region’s reputation and attractiveness for economic investments. (Hill et al 1995.) A final reason for using metropolitan areas as the unit of analysis is availability of data. Many relevant variables measuring how well an average individual is succeeding socioeconomically in the United States are available for the metropolitan statistical areas. The official standards for metropolitan statistical areas used by the Bureau of the Census at least partly capture the idea of regional economy. The definition of a metropolitan area and particularly standards considering combination of adjacent metropolitan statistical areas are not only based on the size of population and population density measures, but also consider dependence in the form of work related commuting (State and Metropolitan Area Data Book 1997-98). Why would government structure matter? Metropolitan area government structures are a result of historical processes and vary widely from one metropolitan area to another. Therefore it is surprising that theorizing about the importance of metropolitan government structures for service provision, economic development, and equity has mostly reflected two points of view. The first one emphasizes the importance of fragmented metropolitan areas, capitalist markets, competition between jurisdictions, economic growth, the role of individuals, and exit as a political choice. (Tiebout 1956, Ostrom et al 1961, Peterson 1981). The second approach emphasizes the importance of a unitary metropolitan area government as a way to increase not only efficiency but also equity of service allocation, economic development, and redistribution of resources within metropolitan areas (Lyons and Lowery 1989b, Hawkins et al 1991). Next I will discuss the importance of different government structures in metropolitan areas and how different government structures can influence individuals’ opportunities for socioeconomic advancement. The main idea is that different kinds of metropolitan governance structures will create, together with capitalist markets and a political system, systematic differences in individuals’ life chances/opportunities and consequently in socioeconomic advancement. Different government structures will also affect how the existing distribution of opportunities can be changed. Some government structures may be better suited for exit, while others may be more suitable for political participation. The historical process of creating different institutions for local governance may help us to understand the relationships between types of government structures, politics, and regional economy. According to Miller (1981) and Burns (1994) the movements for incorporated municipalities and special districts were and are often organized by business actors, while Feiock and Carr (1997) point out the importance of academic and public policy actors in city-county consolidation attempts. To put it briefly and generally, the government structure of the metropolitan area will influence the functioning of markets and political processes and vice versa. For instance, it has been argued that a metropolitan area with numerous independent jurisdictions creates a less restricted environment for markets to work. It has also been pointed out that such a metropolitan area may experience greater economic development while increasing differences in individuals’ socioeconomic advancement. (Logan and Schneider 1982.) It is not enough to theorize and hypothesize about the general differences between more or less unified governance structures. It is also important to understand how certain institutions, such as special districts, could influence the distribution of opportunities. The increasing popularity of special districts emphasizes the interactive connection between economic and political systems. Special districts can be seen either as a result of how the capitalist system changes political arrangements, or of how political actors can use markets for their own benefit. Fragmented Metropolitan Areas Fragmentation in the context of metropolitan areas refers to a government structure that includes several independent jurisdictions. A fragmented metropolitan area government structure results from a historical process in which communities around the core city were incorporated, often as a response to an annexation threat (Burns 1994, Miller 1981). As a result, fragmentation in metropolitan areas seems to be particularly related to ‘old’ metropolitan areas that have used all available land for development. A fragmented metropolitan area structure is often discussed from two opposite points of view: public choice (broadly defined) and the social stratification-government inequality approach. While the public choice approach sees metropolitan fragmentation to be useful because it induces competition among local jurisdictions, the social stratification-inequality approach sees jurisdictional fragmentation as harmful, because it induces or furthers class and race-based segregation. According to the public choice approach, a fragmented metropolitan area forms an environment in which free markets, individual choice, and responsible local governments (due to their small size and ‘closeness’ to citizens) will thrive. The fragmented government structure offers alternatives for both citizens and businesses to choose from, and forces local governments to compete against each other. The competition is assumed to be beneficial, improving efficiency in both economic development and service production. Economies of scale, management of negative spillover effects, and decreases in transaction costs could be achieved by voluntary cooperation such as creating special districts. (Petersen 1981, Tiebout 1956, Ostrom et al 1961, Ostrom 1983.) The focus is clearly on economic growth and efficiency, rather than equality. The focus, according to the social stratification-inequality approach, should be on equality instead of efficiency, when fragmented metropolitan areas are considered. Segregation based on income and race is not based on individuals’ free choices or preferences over publicly provided services, as the public choice approach would claim. Individuals’ choices are restricted by many different factors, the most important ones being wealth, race and exclusionary policies created by independent political jurisdictions (Logan and Schneider 1982, see also Ostrom’s criticism 1983). Residential segregation and unequal economic development are considered to be harmful, because they will impact the well-being of local jurisdictions and communities as well as the whole metropolitan area. Fragmented metropolitan areas with independent jurisdictions can enhance the unequal distribution of individual opportunities in a metropolitan area, because individuals’ opportunities are closely related to their residential location. Urban sprawl, together with independent local jurisdictions have contributed to persistent differences in residential communities over time. The flight of mostly white middle class residents to suburbs has concentrated poorer people in the cities. This together with structural changes in the economy (decreasing manufacturing jobs, an increase in service jobs more often located in suburbs) has caused large differences in jurisdictions’ tax bases and consequently in service provision. Once inequality has been established, competition between jurisdictions may have the tendency to further existing inequalities. Jurisdictions with stronger tax bases, better services, and good reputations attract more economic development and better off individuals. Jurisdictions with weaker tax bases may have to accept projects funded by federal grants and aid, and may end up, for instance, with a larger share of subsidized housing. Fierce competition between local governments may result in unequal and uncoordinated economic development in a metropolitan area. (Goetz and Kaysen 1993.) Both approaches have gained empirical support in testing the so-called sorting hypothesis which states that individuals with similar characteristics will concentrate in the same political jurisdiction. While the public choice approach emphasizes individual choice and income, the social stratification-government inequality thesis highlights the importance of factors which limit choice, such as race and discrimination. In addition, the public choice approach has tested the efficiency assumption that local government competition could limit local government inefficiency (See for instance Logan and Schneider 1982, Lowery and Lyons 1989, Dowding and John 1996, Hoyt 1990, Eberts and Gronberg 1981, Percy and Hawkins 1992 ). Unified Government (City-County Consolidation) The need for unified government can be backed up with several economic and political arguments which are often related to the idea of competition and cooperation. Supporters of unified government often see lack of coordination and cooperation as costly: a larger government unit could take advantage of economies of scale related to service production and decrease transaction costs. However, it has been pointed out that other means for achieving these goals exist, such as the creation of special districts for service production (Feiock and Carr 1997). Therefore, not surprisingly, many supporters of unified government also see it as a means to more equitable local governance (Williams 1971, Marando 1974, Logan and Schneider 1982, Hawkins et al. 1991). Because jurisdictional fragmentation is assumed to further inequalities, a unified metropolitan government is seen as a solution. I will briefly lay out the most important points arguing that a unified government could influence individuals’ opportunities. Basic services such as police, fire, garbage collection, and infrastructure maintenance are important for individuals’ health, safety, and socioeconomic success. Run-down neighborhoods do not attract business and do not often offer opportunities for self-improvement. Supporters of a unified government often assume that centralized service production could decrease the differences in quality of services provided to all individuals living in the jurisdiction. This point of view does not acknowledge differences in political influence among constituencies within the unified government. The idea behind ‘better and more equally distributed services’ is the common sense belief that unified metropolitan government would have a stronger tax base and consequently is able to provide more/better quality services. The question is whether this is actually the case. The assumed benefits from economies of scale and decreased transaction costs might be partly offset by the cost of larger, more bureaucratic government (Bolmquist and Parks 1995, Miller et al. 1995). In addition to service production, a unified government could equalize economic development and decrease residential segregation based on race or income. It has been argued that in fragmented metropolitan areas numerous independent jurisdictions are engaged in unhealthy competition concerning economic development. The process of unplanned economic development may increase the existing differences between different jurisdictions: well-developed jurisdictions with strong tax bases can choose what kind of economic development is needed, if any. A unified government, the argument goes, would have a stronger position in planning and coordinating economic development, and could distribute it more equally. A unified government could also have an active role in decreasing residential segregation. Harmonization of zoning, abandoning restrictive architectural demands, and more equal distribution of public as well as subsidized housing could create more diverse neighborhoods. As forcefully argued by Wilson (1987, 1996), Jargowsky (1997) and Sugrue (1996) residential segregation is clearly related to the self-perpetuating nature of urban poverty. Residential location is an extremely important factor determining individuals’ opportunities in metropolitan areas. Residential location is related to security, health, availability and location of jobs, and quality of services such as schools (Downs 1973). A unified government could potentially create more equal opportunity structures in metropolitan areas. However, creating a fully unified metropolitan government is not considered politically feasible, because it would cause a radical redistribution of resources. And even if a unified government could potentially decrease inequalities, it is very plausible that the existing political system would leave this potential largely unused. A unified government, by creating access, simultaneously increases the importance of politics in allocative decisions (Williams 1971). Political decision making within a unified government can allocate money, services and economic development (and consequently socioeconomic opportunity) unequally. A unified government structure emphasizes the importance of voice or political participation. How economic inequality transfers into political inequality in capitalist democratic systems has been widely theorized and studied (Dahl 1982, 1985; Gaventa 1992). Special Districts The number of special districts in metropolitan areas has increased rapidly. In 1992 there were 13,343 special districts in 312 metropolitan areas, the number of districts ranging from 0 (Monroe, LA) to 665 (Houston, TX). Because special districts can play an important role in service production in metropolitan areas, their role should be acknowledged when the influence of metropolitan area government structures on socioeconomic inequalities is considered. Creation of special districts is often initiated by a business-related actor or, in the case of service producing districts with taxation rights, by municipalities and cities. According to Foster (1997) special districts are often created to in order to avoid tax and debt limits created and enforced by the state. In addition to being politically feasible, creation of special districts has also been backed up by economic efficiency arguments. Special districts can cover several political jurisdictions and consequently can take advantage of economies of scale and decrease transaction costs in fragmented metropolitan areas (Feiock and Carr 1997). But the efficiency of special districts has also been questioned. Foster (1997) argues that some types of special districts, particularly those in charge of system maintenance policies, tend to have higher per capita expenditure than if the services were provided by a general purpose government. In addition, she argues that metropolitan areas which rely on special districts in service provision, tend to allocate less money to welfare services than metropolitan areas which have general purpose governments. This could imply that certain groups of individuals would be worse off in metropolitan areas where service providing special districts are common. The reality, however, is not this simple. Some ’regionalizing’ special districts may actually equalize distribution of services, and allow jurisdictions to receive more services than they could afford by themselves. However, these regionalizing special districts are often coordinating and financing system maintenance policies, such as sewage and water treatment, instead of lifestyle policies which would more clearly equalize opportunity structures. (Williams 1971.) Need for a More Comprehensive Understanding of Local Governance Structures It is clear that in reality the U.S. has neither unitary metropolitan governments with wide redistributive powers nor totally non-coordinated fragmented metropolitan areas; rather, several types of overlying metropolitan government institutions coexist. Therefore theories and empirical models focusing on the number of independent jurisdictions in the metropolitan area regardless of their responsibilities, geographical coverage or history cannot give an adequate picture of metropolitan area governance, or the influence of governance institutions on persistent differences in metropolitan areas. An empirical model measuring the influence of metropolitan government structure should not be based only on the number of independent jurisdictions, but must more fully capture the complex, layered institutional structure of metropolitan areas. In this paper, as a first step in the process of creating a better measure for metropolitan area government structures, I have classified metropolitan areas according to their government structure. The classification is based on the existence of different government institutions in metropolitan areas, including the number of municipalities, townships, special districts, and school districts. Based on the cluster analysis dummy variables measuring metropolitan area government structure were created. The main task of this paper is to test the popular ideas developed above: government structures should matter and particularly, more fragmented metropolitan areas might experience not only higher levels of economic competition and growth, but also higher levels of economic and social inequalities. Because testing both the economic and inequality aspects would be a far too large project to accomplish in this paper, I will focus on the potential relationship between metropolitan government structure and the levels of socioeconomic inequalities metropolitan areas are experiencing. Hence, the hypotheses to be tested are: H0 = The government structure is not associated with the level of economic and social inequality in metropolitan areas. HA = More fragmented metropolitan areas are associated with higher levels of economic and social inequality. In the regression models dummy variables are used to measure different kinds of government structures. Therefore in the actual statistical model I am mostly interested in the signs and significance of these dummy variables. Other factors related to economic inequality In order to properly address the potential relationship between government structures and socioeconomic inequality it is important to understand what other factors can influence the levels of economic inequality in metropolitan areas. The most important factors that should be considered are economic and social ones. The economic structure of a metropolitan area may influence the level of socioeconomic inequality. Metropolitan areas with a significant manufacturing base may experience lower levels of income inequality, because manufacturing jobs are more often unionized and pay higher salaries, while metropolitan areas with a high percentage of service jobs could have higher levels of economic inequality. If a metropolitan area is economically successful, it may have a higher income level that is often assumed to be inversely related to income inequality. In addition, metropolitan areas with thriving economies are more likely to experience lower unemployment and stronger pressure to raise salaries. These factors could decrease the level of economic inequality, particularly if a thriving economy especially helps individuals who previously were unemployed. (See for instance Chakravorty 1996, Levernier 1999.) The social factors related to economic inequality that are also closely related to the economic success of metropolitan areas are social and human capital. It is clear that family structure has an impact on economic well-being; single-parent families, particularly those with female heads of household, are often economically worse off. The education level of a metropolitan area population might not only be related to the economic success of the metropolitan areas, but may also be an indication about the level of social capital in the area. Similarly, the percentage of poor families can function both as an indication of economic success and availability of social and economic resources in metropolitan areas. Another social factor that requires consideration is the position of minorities. It is a well-known fact that minorities, especially African-Americans and Native Americans, due to historic and present discrimination, are on average economically worse-off than the white population. Race is also related to levels of economic and residential segregation in metropolitan areas. Hence metropolitan areas with a large percentage of minorities may experience greater income inequality. (Kovandzic et al 1998, Levernier 1999). In addition to economic and social factors, regional differences must be considered. Regional differences, most noticeably larger consentration of African-Americans in the South and older metropolitan areas in the Northeast and the Midwest. Regional dummy variables could also control for other phenomena such as economic success of metropolitan areas in the Sunbelt. Methods The Data The data set includes 74 metropolitan areas in the United States. The metropolitan areas were selected based on the availability of data concerning inequality2. The included metropolitan areas included are listed in Table 1. The main sources of data in this study are the 1987 Census of Governments and the 1990 Census of Population. In addition, I have used two measures, dissimilarity and isolation of poor (based on 1990 Census of Population poverty statistics), calculated by Abramson et al (1995) as my dependent variables.3 The third dependent variable, the Gini coefficient, was calculated from the 1990 Census data concerning family income.4 **Table 1 about here** Cluster Analysis The goal of cluster analysis is to recognize patterns in data. Hence its usefulness as a classification procedure. Cluster analysis categorizes cases (in this paper metropolitan areas) according to variables included in the model, increasing objectivity of the classification. Although cluster analysis is a useful tool in creating categories, it has several potential drawbacks. The results of cluster analysis depend on the variables included in the model, the format of the variables (unstandardized vs. standardized variables), the measure of similarity/dissimilarity, and the applied clustering algorithm. Different measures of similarity/dissimilarity and clustering algorithms can give different results even when the same data set and variables are used. Therefore it is very important that the results of cluster analysis are carefully analyzed. In addition, the consistency of the results should be established by using the same model in two subsets of a larger data set (Aldenderfer and Blashfield 1984). In the clustering analysis I applied unstandardized variables (numbers of different kinds of government institutions), the squared Euclidean distance and Euclidean distance as dissimilarity measures, and the Ward and K-means methods as the clustering algorithms. I used unstandardized variables, because all grouping variables I am using are in the same scale, i.e. the number of government institutions in metropolitan areas. The Ward method can be problematic. It is designed to optimize the minimum variance within clusters and works very well when multivariate normal distributions are used. However, it can lead to misclassifications, especially if the grouping variables are correlated within a cluster. (Kaufman and Rousseeuw 1990). The Ward method is also a hierarchical clustering method and once a case is assigned to a certain cluster it cannot be reassigned. The K-means method applies Euclidean distance as a dissimilarity measure. The K-means method divides the data set in original cluster centers and assigns cases to their closest centers, recalculates the centers and reassigns cases until no changes could be made that would minimize the variance within each cluster. I applied a K-means method that updates the cluster centers after the complete data set has been allocated. The K-means method overcomes the problem of wrong initial assignments which can take place with hierarchical clustering methods, but can also give misleading results if the initial cluster centers are not appropriate. The purpose of the cluster analysis was to categorize metropolitan areas according to their fragmentation. It has been hypothesized that fragmented metropolitan areas can be related to a higher level of socioeconomic inequality. Independent jurisdictions in metropolitan areas could offer more choices, be easier to identify and thus further economic and racial segregation. In addition, the existence of independent jurisdictions may offer opportunities for discriminatory zoning and building codes. Fragmented metropolitan areas could also experience more competition concerning economic development that could further ‘quality of life’ differences within metropolitan areas: jurisdictions with high tax bases may have more choices when service provision and options for economic development are considered. In the ideal case metropolitan areas would not be classified only according to their formal government structure, but the classification would include measures for other factors that may influence economic inequality, such as the level of economic cooperation between political jurisdictions in metropolitan areas, the economic success of metropolitan areas over time and more detailed information concerning metropolitan wide institutions and their policies. However, because of the lack of easily available data and the purpose of this paper as the first step in exploring how metropolitan areas could be classified ( if such classification by applying cluster analysis is possible), I wanted to limit the number of variables to those describing the formal government structure of the selected metropolitan areas. The grouping variables for the cluster analysis were created by adding together different kinds of government organizations from county level data to match the 1990 metropolitan area boundaries (the Census of Governments 1987). The following variables were selected to measure the government structure in metropolitan areas: number of municipalities, special districts, special districts with the right to collect taxes, school districts, townships and total governments. Cluster analysis applying the Ward method with nonstandardized grouping variables created four categories of metropolitan areas that can be described as least fragmented, somewhat fragmented, very fragmented and extremely fragmented (hereafter also called Model 1). The category of least fragmented metropolitan areas includes 43 cases that have constantly smaller values in all grouping variables than other categories. The category of somewhat fragmented metropolitan areas includes 28 cases. It differs from the least fragmented ones particularly by having higher numbers of school and special districts. The very fragmented metropolitan areas in turn, though having higher numbers of all government institutions, have especially a higher number of special districts. This category includes 13 metropolitan areas. The last category, extremely fragmented metropolitan areas, includes only 5 cases. These cases are characterized by a very high number of government institutions and high numbers of total governments. **Tables 2 and 3 about here** The results were quite different when the K-means method was applied. Instead of creating a clear classification based on the degree of fragmentation, the cluster analysis identified three levels of fragmentation, and divided a class ‘more fragmented’ metropolitan areas to two sub-groups; one with a high number of special districts and one with high numbers of municipalities and townships (hereafter also called Model 2). **Tables 4 and 5 about here** The descriptive statistics tables show that there are substantively significant differences between the created clusters. Particularly Model 1 concerning government structure seems to capture the levels of fragmentation more accurately. However, it can be seen from Table 3 that the distinctions between different categories are not clear-cut. Many clusters are overlapping when it comes to the minimum and maximum numbers of specific kinds of government institutions. When the K-means method is applied, metropolitan areas also clustered according to the levels of fragmentation, but perhaps also more clearly according to certain types of government institutions. The differences in classification could be at least partly explained by the Ward method’s sensitivity to profile elevation. I have included the different categories of metropolitan areas as dummy variables in the regression model. In order to apply both classifications I will have two sets of test variables, Model 1 and Model 2, both including three dummy variables. The category of most fragmented metropolitan areas in both models is applied as the base line, i.e., taking the value of the intercept. Therefore, when the results of regressions are interpreted, the null hypothesis will be rejected if the dummy variables measuring government structure are significant and have negative signs. Model 1: categories created by applying the Ward method 1. Dummy: Least Fragmented 2. Dummy: Somewhat Fragmented 3. Dummy: Very Fragmented Model 2: categories created by applying the K-means method 1. Dummy: Least Fragmented 2. Dummy: Fragmented; Municipalities and Townships 3. Dummy: Fragmented; Special Districts The Regression Model The level of economic inequality is modeled as follows: Income inequality = b0 +b1x1 + ... + bnxn + u, where economic inequality for metropolitan areas is measured by three inequality indices: the Gini coefficient, the dissimilarity and isolation indices. All the dependent variables take values between 0 and 100. In the case of the Gini coefficient 0 represents no income inequality (X percentage of population will receive X percentage of the income for all values of X), while 100 would represent an extreme inequality (one person receiving all the income). The interpretations of the dissimilarity and isolation of poor indices are somewhat similar. The dissimilarity index shows what percentage of the poor would have to move in order to gain an even distribution of poor in a metropolitan area while the isolation index indicates how poor the neighborhood of an average poor person is. For instance, a value of 75 indicates that 75% of individuals in a certain geographical area are poor (Abramson et al. 1995). All dependent variables applied in the regression analysis are measures of income inequality which are often applied as proxies for more general phenomena such as differences in quality of life or opportunity structures for individuals. While the Gini coefficient strictly measures income inequality, the dissimilarity and isolation indices seem to capture the idea of broader socioeconomic inequality better. Isolation and concentration of the poor, economic and/or racial residential segregation in metropolitan areas, have had severe consequences for economic and social well-being. High and extreme poverty neighborhoods may not only be lacking in services such as good quality schools, but high concentration of poverty is often related to lack of other resources for advancement such as social capital. Although the Gini coefficient has been widely applied in inequality studies, it has its drawbacks. The Gini coefficient fulfills several principles considered to be compelling for inequality measures such as ‘income scale independence’, ‘principle of population’, and ‘weak principle of transfer’. According to the income scale independence principle the value of an inequality measure should not change if all individuals’ incomes increase by the same proportion. The principle of population simply states that if the number of individuals in the society increases but the distribution of the income remains the same, the value of the inequality measure should remain the same. The weak principle of transfers refers to the idea that redistribution form a wealthier individual to a poorer one, if the redistributed amount of money is less than half of the difference between these individuals’ incomes, should cause a decrease in the value of the inequality measure. However, the Gini coefficient does not meet the principles of decomposability and strong transfers. The Gini coefficient for a nation cannot be derived from a subsets of the nation, such as the states in the United States. For instance, it is possible that the Gini coefficient for every states increases, but the value of the Gini coefficient for the whole nation decreases. According to the principle of strong transfers the value of the inequality measure, when income is redistributed between two individuals, should only depend on the income difference between these two individuals, not their location within the income distribution. The Gini coefficient is more sensitive to income transfers at the middle of the income distribution than at the ends of it. (Cowell 1995, Chakravorty 1998.) Test and Control Variables The test variable ‘metropolitan government structure’ has been created by applying cluster analysis. I am going to use two different models of metropolitan government structure. The first cluster analysis created four categories that can be ordered from the least fragmented to the extremely fragmented. Three dummy variables will be included (least fragmented, somewhat fragmented and very fragmented) in the regression models to account for government structure. The second cluster analysis applying the K-means algorithm also created four clusters, but these clusters cannot be as clearly ordered according to the level of fragmentation. However, I chose to include three dummy variables in the model (least fragmented, fragmented: municipalities and townships, fragmented: special districts) to measure the government structure. Therefore, in both cases the category of most fragmented metropolitan areas will take the value of the intercept. It is important to control for other factors that may influence economic inequality in metropolitan areas. As mentioned above, social, economic and regional differences between metropolitan areas should be acknowledged. I have included the following independent variables to control for differences in economic structure and success: 1. %MANUFACTURING: Percent of manufacturing firms that have 20 or more workers (1987). Individuals working in manufacturing may be receiving higher salaries due to higher levels of unionization. Because larger firms are more likely to be unionized, I have included this variable instead of the more commonly used ‘percentage of working force in manufacturing’. I will hypothesize that this variable is negatively associated with inequality measures. 2. MEDIAN: Median income (1990). A higher level of median income has been assumed to indicate a higher level of economic success in metropolitan areas. Therefore it is assumed that median income will be negatively associated with the inequality measures. 3. %UNEMPLOYED: Unemployment level (1990). Unemployment rates will have an impact on the aggregate level of income and measures of income inequality. The unemployment rate variable should have a positive relationship with inequality measures. The following variables were selected to control for social factors influencing economic inequality: 1. %BACHELOR: Percentage of individuals with bachelors degree (1990). This variable is used as an indicator of the quality of the labor force. Because individuals with higher education levels tend to receive higher salaries and are also more capable of moving to suburban communities, it is assumed that this variable will be positively related to the inequality measures. 2. %MINORITIES: Percentage of minorities, calculated here as percentage of nonwhites (1990). Metropolitan areas with higher percentage of minorities may have higher levels of socioeconomic inequality due to immigration, ongoing discrimination, historical discrimination and race and income based residential segregation. Therefore this variable should be positively related to the inequality measures. 3. %FEMALE: Percentage of poor families that are headed by a female (1990). This variable is also used as a proxy for the existence of social capital. Single-headed families often have lower levels of income. The erosion of stable family structure has been associated with many problems faced in extremely high poverty neighborhoods, such as inner cities in many metropolitan areas in the United States. Therefore it is assumed that this variable is positively associated with inequality measures. I have also included three dummy variables to account for regional differences: 1. DSOUTH. A dummy variable including states in West South Central, East South Central and South Atlantic census regions. 2. DWEST. A dummy variable including states in Pacific and Mountain census regions. 3. DMIDWEST. A dummy variable including states in West North central and East North Central census regions. The percentage of poor families and other poverty statistics are often included as control variables. I decided not use the percentage of poor families as one of my control variables because two of the inequality indices are based on poverty statistics. However, I included the percentage of poor families that are headed by a female as a control variable. This could cause model specification problems if the percentage of female headed poor families is highly correlated to the number of poor families/individuals. But this is not the case. The correlation coefficient between the percentage of female headed poor families and the percentage of individuals below the poverty level or the families below the poverty level is -.25 and -.27 respectively. Results The regional dummy variable for the South is somewhat correlated with the government structure variables assigned to least fragmented metropolitan areas (Pearson’s correlation of .46). In addition, some of the control variables were also moderately correlated among themselves and with the regional dummy variable for the South. For instance, as could be expected, median income and percentage of individuals with Bachelor’s degree and unemployment rates and median income are moderately correlated (Pearson’s correlation values of .684 and -.578 respectively). The VIF values do not exceed 10 (often considered as the critical threshold value) for any of the models. However, auxiliary regressions showed that the dummy variable for South can be almost as well predicted by other independent variables in the model as the dependent variables implying a potential problem with multicollinearity. Therefore I ran four different models regarding each dependent variable: two regressions with Model 1 government structure dummies with and without dummy variables for regions, and two regressions with Model 2 government structure dummies with and without dummy variables for regions. Tables 6 and 7 show the results of six regressions, two for each dependent variable. In Table 6, Model 1 dummy variables for metropolitan government structure are included while Table 7 includes Model 2 dummy variables for the government structure. In both tables the regional dummy variables were included in the regressions. Tables 8 and 9 show results of regressions which are otherwise similar to the ones described above, but are lacking the regional dummy variables. Next I will briefly discuss the results regarding each dependent variable. Gini coefficient It is clear that the strongest results regarding the importance of the government structure concern the Gini coefficient measuring income inequality. All models described below explain quite large proportions of variance of the Gini coefficient. The value of the R2 ranges from .646 to .70 depending on the included test and control variables. In the case of Model 1 (Table 6) all other dummies except the one measuring ‘somewhat fragmented’ government structure are significant, and all the dummy variables have negative signs as expected: less fragmented metropolitan areas would have lower levels of income inequality. It should also be noticed that the significance of the dummy variables measuring government structure decreases the less fragmented the structure is. This is interesting, because the categories of very fragmented and extremely fragmented metropolitan areas do not include many cases and it is possible that an influential case in these categories could easily skew the results. However, the only case that could be considered as an influential case was El Paso and deleting the case did not change the results substantially. Some of the control variables did not turn out to be significant while others have the expected relationships. For instance, an increase in the median income for a metropolitan area would decrease the value of the Gini coefficient, while an increase in the unemployment rate would increase the value of the Gini coefficient. Also, the percent of individuals with bachelors degree is positively and significantly associated with the dependent variable. This could imply that the income distribution is even more skewed in metropolitan areas with better educated labor force. When the Model 2 dummy variables for government structure were included in the regression models the results were quite similar (Table 7). All dummy variables measuring metropolitan government structure, except the dummy for ‘fragmented; special districts’, were significant and the coefficients also had the expected directions. This is interesting, because it is often theoretically hypothesized that fragmentation in the form of independent general governments is associated with higher levels of economic and social inequality. As before, variables ‘median income’ and ‘unemployment rate’ were significant and had negative and positive signs respectively. To get a better sense of the substantial (non)importance of the results I calculated expected values for the Gini coefficient when all the control variables took their mean values and the values of dummy variables were alternated to match different combinations of regions and government types. For instance, when Model 1 (government structure) was applied, the expected value for the Gini coefficient in the case of extremely fragmented metropolitan areas located in the Northeast is 41.64, while the expected value for metropolitan areas with the least fragmented metropolitan government structure would be 40.56. These values would be 40.77 and 39.70 respectively, if the metropolitan areas would be located in the West. In the case of Model 2 (government structure), the expected value for extremely fragmented metropolitan areas in the Northeast is 41.62 and for the least fragmented government structure it is 40.42. If these metropolitan areas would be located in the West, the values would be 40.72 for extremely fragmented metropolitan areas and 39.52 for the least fragmented ones. It is difficult to address the statistical or substantive importance of these differences because of the limited size of the data set at this time. Because of the possible multicollinearity among independent variables I decided to run the same regressions without the regional dummy variables. The results of these regressions (Table 8) were different from the earlier ones. Importantly, when the Model 1 dummy variables are included, the dummy variable for ‘least fragmented metropolitan areas’ is not significant while the dummy variable for ‘somewhat fragmented metropolitan areas’ changes to be significant. These changes could be related to the multicollinearity among the dummy variable for the South, the percentage of minorities, and the dummy variable for least fragmented metropolitan areas. For instance, the percentage of minorities turns out to be significant when regional variables are omitted. Otherwise the results concerning control variables are very similar to those given by the model that included regional dummy variables. When the Model 2 (Table 9) is applied, all dummy variables measuring government structure turn out to be significant, even though ‘least fragmented’ and ‘fragmented: special districts’ only barely so. Again, the results concerning control variables have not changed. Dissimilarity of Poor While the regression results concerning the Gini coefficient give somewhat strong support to the idea that metropolitan area government structures matter when income inequality is studied, the regression results concerning the dissimilarity of poor index are more mixed. As above, it is possible that multicollinearity among test and control variables have had an impact on the results, particularly when the regional dummies are included in the regressions. The regression explained more of the variation in the dependent variable than I expected. The value of R2 ranges from .544 to .615. When Model 1 variables together with all control variables are included, none of the dummy variables measuring government structure turn out to be significant (Table 6). However, at least the test variables have negative signs as assumed. In addition, surprisingly few control variables are significant, even though the R2 had a value of .615, implying a possible problem with multicollinearity. The percentage of individuals with bachelor’s degree and the percentage of poor families that are headed by a female have positive significant coefficients as expected, while the coefficients for the median income, the percentage of minorities, and the percentage of firms with more than 20 employees are not significant. The regional dummy variable South is also statistically significant at the 0.1 level. The results did not change very much when Model 2 variables were used (Table 7). None of the dummy variables measuring government structure are significant. The results regarding control variables have changed. Now the percentage of firms with more than 20 employees is significantly (barely) and positively related to the dissimilarity of poor index, while both the regional dummies for South and West are negatively related to the dissimilarity of poor index. When the regression models were rerun without the regional dummy variables, the results changed quite radically. When the Model 1 variables were included, the dummy variables for the least fragmented metropolitan areas and for the somewhat fragmented metropolitan areas turn out to be statistically significant (Table 8). Both variables had negative coefficients implying that the less fragmented metropolitan areas would have lower values of dissimilarity of poor. In addition, some of the control variables – the median income and the percentage of firms with more than 20 employees – also became statistically significant. It is surprising that an increase in median income would increase the value of the dissimilarity index. It is often assumed that an increase in income is negatively associated with inequality. However, it is possible that residential segregation is positively associated with an increase in median income which could explain the positive relationship. All these changes and the fact that the value of R2 changed slightly (from .615 to .591) are supportive of the idea that some multicollinearity was present in the earlier model applying Model 1 variables. The results, when Model 2 variables were included in the regression, are less clear. Only the intercept (that stands for the extremely fragmented metropolitan areas located in the Northeast) turns out to be significant. In addition, the median income becomes positively and significantly related to the dissimilarity of poor, while the percentage of individuals with bachelor’s degree becomes statistically insignificant. Again, to address the potential substantive importance of the results I have calculated expected values for the dissimilarity of poor index when the control variables are kept constant at their mean values while the dummy variables for government structures and regions take different values. I decided to use the Model 1 both when the regional dummy variables are included and omitted. When the regional dummy variables are included in the regression, the expected value for extremely fragmented metropolitan areas located in the Northeast is 40.24, while for the least fragmented metropolitan areas it is 37.34. If the metropolitan areas would be located in the West, the expected values would be 37.34 and 33.84 respectively. When the dummy variables for regions are omitted, the expected value of the dissimilarity index is 39.62 for the extremely fragmented metropolitan areas, 37.47 for the very fragmented metropolitan areas, 34.62 for the somewhat fragmented metropolitan areas and finally, 35.17 for the least fragmented metropolitan areas. Isolation of Poor The regression models explaining ‘isolation of poor’ gave the clearest results regarding the lack of importance of metropolitan government structures: all four regressions unfailingly showed no statistically significant association between government structure (regardless of how metropolitan areas were classified) and the isolation of poor index. However, all the control variables in every model are statistically significant and have the hypothesized directions, except for the variable measuring economic structure of the metropolitan area which has a positive sign (% of manufacturing firms with more than 20 workers). It is possible that manufacturing is more concentrated in older metropolitan areas in Northeast and Midwest that also have a higher degree of residential segregation. This could explain the positive relationship between larger manufacturing establishments and the isolation index. The median income is negatively associated with the isolation of poor while the unemployment rate, the percentage of individuals with bachelor’s degree, the percentage of minorities, and the percentage of poor families headed by a female are positively associated with the isolation index. Conclusion The aim of this paper was to classify metropolitan areas according to their government structure in a meaningful way, and to test if the created categories of metropolitan government structures are related to socioeconomic inequalities in metropolitan areas. The null hypothesis tested was a simple one – the government structure is not associated with the level of economic and social inequality in metropolitan areas – while the alternative hypothesis more specifically claimed that more fragmented metropolitan government structures are associated with higher levels of socioeconomic inequality. In this paper I used three different indices as a proxy for socioeconomic inequalities. The Gini coefficient is a measure of income inequality, while the isolation and dissimilarity of poor indices that are partially based on the number of poor more closely match the idea of residential segregation based on income, and consequently more closely capture the idea of high and extreme poverty neighborhoods. The metropolitan areas were classified by applying a cluster analysis. More specifically, the metropolitan areas were categorized according to the number of total governments, municipalities, special districts, special districts with taxation rights, school districts, and townships. Because the result of a cluster analysis is not only sensitive to the grouping variables, but also to the similarity/dissimilarity measure and the algorithm used in clustering, I decided to use two different methods. As a result I have two different classifications: Model 1 that more clearly categorized the metropolitan areas according to their fragmentation, and Model 2 that made more clear cut distinctions between the types of government institutions. The regression analyses gave mixed results and the analyses should be redone with a data set including all metropolitan areas. The smallness of the data set used for this paper somewhat undermines the results; partly because some of the categories created by the cluster analyses included only five cases, and also because of multicollinearity problems which may very well be related to the small size of the data set. However, even when the drawbacks are known, the preliminary results of the regression analyses are encouraging. According to the regression analyses more fragmented metropolitan areas are likely to have higher Gini coefficient values. Even though these results look statistically more robust than the ones for the dissimilarity or isolation of poor, the substantive importance can be questioned. After all, the expected values for the Gini coefficient are quite similar when different government structures are applied. When the dissimilarity of poor is used as a dependent variable, the results are more mixed. The variables measuring government structures are not significant when the regional dummy variables are included as control variables. However, when the regional dummy variables are omitted (and it is quite clear that there is a moderate multicollinearity problem among the test and control variables), the Model 1 dummy variables for least fragmented and somewhat fragmented metropolitan areas become significant. These variables also have negative signs: less fragmented metropolitan areas tend to have lower values for the dissimilarity of poor index when variables controlling for unknown regional factors were omitted. The results are also substantively intriguing: the expected values for the dissimilarity index varied quite a lot depending on the government structure. The most disappointing results are related to the isolation of poor index. None of the dummy variables measuring government structure turn out to be significant in any of the regression models. Even though it cannot be concluded that the metropolitan government structure as defined in this paper is clearly related to different forms of socioeconomic inequality, it can be concluded that it should not be ignored when inequalities in metropolitan areas are explained. A better classification for the metropolitan areas, a data set including all metropolitan areas, and a more careful model specification will better reveal if metropolitan government structures have an impact on socioeconomic inequalities. APPENDIX 1: TABLES TABLE 1. Metropolitan areas included in the study Metropolitan area Akron, OH Albany-Sch-Tro, NY Albuquerque, NM Allento-Beth-East, PA Atlanta, GA Austin, TX Bakersfield, CA Baltimore, MD Baton Rouge, LA Birmingham, AL Buffalo, NY Charleston-etc, SC Charlotte-Gastonia, NC Chattanooga, TN-GA Chigago, IL Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cleveland, OH Columbia, SC Columbus, OH Dallas-Fort Wort, TX Dayton, OH Denver-Boulder, CO Detroit, MI El Paso, TX Flint, MI Fort Laud-Hollywood, FL Fresno, CA Gary-East Chicago, IN Grand Rapids, MI Greensboro-etc, NC Greenville-etc, SC Harrisburg, PA Hartford, CT Honolunu, HI Houston, TX Indianapolis, IN Jacksonville, FL Johnson City, TN-VA Kansas City, MO-KS Knoxville, TN Lancaster, PA Lansing-etc, MI Las Vegas, NV Los Angele-Long B, CA Louisville, KY Memphis, TN-AR-MS Miami, FL GINI . 40.00 43.00 39.00 41.00 44.00 42.00 40.00 45.00 45.00 42.00 41.00 41.00 44.00 42.00 42.00 42.00 40.00 40.00 42.00 40.00 41.00 . 44.00 42.00 . 44.00 . 38.00 42.00 41.00 38.00 39.00 39.00 43.00 40.00 41.00 43.00 41.00 44.00 37.00 40.00 41.00 . 42.00 45.00 45.00 ISOL 22.90 15.60 22.00 14.30 22.40 24.80 23.70 24.30 29.20 25.20 24.90 23.50 17.00 21.80 28.70 27.60 29.90 20.10 26.20 21.70 23.00 19.50 29.10 35.40 26.70 17.00 29.60 24.90 17.30 15.90 18.10 16.50 25.70 14.00 23.70 19.10 20.00 18.80 19.80 21.20 15.30 23.70 16.10 23.10 25.80 33.40 26.20 DISSIM 39.70 34.00 34.00 34.50 39.60 37.60 32.30 46.00 36.10 35.50 44.80 32.00 31.90 30.10 49.80 43.00 51.40 33.10 43.60 37.30 40.20 39.20 50.10 30.40 40.10 32.00 32.90 43.50 37.50 29.30 30.30 35.70 52.80 33.50 36.00 39.90 32.50 19.60 39.60 27.30 32.70 35.00 28.50 34.90 39.30 42.90 31.30 Metropolitan area GINI Milwaukee, WI 40.00 Minneapolis-St Paul, MI 39.00 Mobile, LA 45.00 Nashville-etc, TN 42.00 New Haven-West H, CT 41.00 New Orleans, LA 47.00 New York, NY-NJ . Newark, NJ . Oklahoma City, OK 42.00 Omaha, NE-IA 40.00 Orlando, FL 40.00 Philadelphia, PA-NJ 42.00 Phoenix, AZ 41.00 Pittsburgh, PA 44.00 Portland, OR-WA 40.00 Providence-etc, RI 41.00 Raleigh-etc, NC 41.00 Richmond, VA 40.00 Riverside-etc, CA . Rochester, NY 40.00 Sacramento, CA 40.00 St Louis, MO-IL 41.00 Salt Lake-etc, UT 38.00 San Antonio, TX 43.00 San Diego, CA 41.00 San Francisco-etc, CA 40.00 San Jose, CA . Seattle-Everett, WA . Springfield-etc, MA-CT 41.00 Stockton, CA 41.00 Syracuse, NY 40.00 Tacoma, WA . Tampa-etc, FL 42.00 Tucson, AZ 44.00 Tulsa, OK 43.00 Vallejo-etc, CA . Washington, DC-MD-VA 38.00 West Palm-etc, FL 44.00 Wichita, KS 40.00 Wilmington, DE-NJ-MD 43.00 Youngstown-etc, OH 42.00 ISOL 32.30 19.50 32.30 21.10 19.10 35.20 29.40 20.70 21.80 19.90 16.10 25.40 21.70 21.10 14.70 17.10 18.50 23.30 16.40 21.60 18.30 23.90 15.10 30.00 18.10 16.50 12.30 13.10 25.30 22.50 23.20 18.90 19.10 25.90 19.40 10.10 14.00 16.60 18.40 15.50 24.80 DISSIM 55.10 39.90 35.50 33.40 46.00 22.00 43.00 48.20 32.60 40.30 27.20 47.90 36.50 34.40 27.10 36.20 35.30 44.00 24.70 42.00 31.00 43.60 30.00 37.60 31.90 36.00 31.30 29.80 41.60 31.50 41.30 27.80 31.00 34.50 29.20 25.50 38.10 34.40 33.90 34.60 37.10 Note: Please notice that all these cases were included in the classification of the metropolitan areas. However, because of missing data the actual number of cases in regression analysis is 73, when the dependent variable is the Gini coefficient and 74 when the dependent variable is the isolation or dissimilarity indices. TABLE 2. Results of the Cluster Analysis, Model 1 Least Fragmented Somewhat Fragmented Very Fragmented Extremely Fragmented Akron, (OH) Albuquerque, (NM) Baltimore, (MD) Baton Rouge, (LA) Birmingham, (AL) Buffalo, (NY) Charleston, (SC) Charlotte-Gastonia etc (NC) Chattanooga, (TN-GA) Columbia, (SC) El Paso, (TX) Flint, (MI) Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood (FL) Gary-Hammond, (IN) Grand Rapids, (MI) Greensboro-Winston- etc. (NC) Honolunu, (HI) Jacksonville, (FL) Johnson City-Kingsport-etc. (TN-VA) Knoxville, (TN) Lancaster, (PA) Lansing-East Lansing, (MI) Las Vegas, (NV) Memphis, (TN-AR-MS) Miami, (FL) Mobile, (LA) Nashville, (TN) New Haven, (CT) New Orleans, (LA) Orlando, (FL) Raleigh-Durham, (NC) Richmond, (VA) San Antonio, (TX) San Jose, (CA) Springfield, (MA-CT) Tacoma, (WA) Tampa, (FL) Tucson, (AZ) Vallejo-etc., (CA) Washington DC West Palm Beach-etc. (FL) Wilmington, (DE-NJ-MD) Youngstown-Warren, (OH) Allentown etc, (PA) Atlanta, (GA) Austin, (TX) Bakersfield, (CA) Cincinnati, (OH-KY-IN) Cleveland, (OH) Columbus, (OH) Dayton, (OH) Fresno, (CA) Greenville-Spartanburg, (SC) Harrisburg-etc. (PA) Hartford-New Britain, (CT) Indianapolis, (IN) Louisville, (KY) Milwaukee, (WI) New York, (NY-NJ) Newark, (NJ) Oklahoma City, (OK) Phoenix, (AZ) Providence, (RI) Rochester, (NY) Salt Lake City, (UT) San Diego, (CA) Stockton, (CA) Syracuse, (NY) Tulsa, (OK) Wichita, (KS) Albany etc, (NY) Dallas, (TX) Denver, (CO) Detroit, (MI) Kansas City, (MOKS) Los Angeles-Long Beach, (CA) Minneapolis-St. Paul, (MN) Newark, (NJ) Omaha, (NE-IA) Portland, (OR-WA) Sacramento, (CA) San Francisco, (CA) Seattle, (WA) Chicago, (IL) Houston, (TX) Philadelphia, (PA) Pittsburgh, (PA-NJ) St. Louis, (MO-IL) Notes: The variables used in the cluster analysis were the number of total governments, school districts, special districts, special districts with right to tax, municipalities, and townships. The Ward method with squared Euclidean distance and non-standardized variables was applied. TABLE 3. Descriptive Statistics for Government Structure (Model 1) CATEGORIES N Least Fragmented Total Governments Municipalities Townships School Districts Special Districts Special Districts with Taxation 43 Somewhat Fragmented Total Governments Municipalities Townships School Districts Special Districts Special Districts with Taxation 28 Very Fragmented Total Governments Municipalities Townships School Districts Special Districts Special Districts with Taxation 13 Extremely Fragmented Total Governments Municipalities Townships School Districts Special Districts Special Districts with Taxation 5 Min. Max. Mean Std. Dev. 4 1 0 0 2 0 152 80 48 37 61 34 70.48 23.13 7.06 9.83 25.74 6.9 35.49 16.16 13.47 10.81 16.40 8.43 112 6 0 3 23 0 282 129 117 102 124 91 190.92 46.53 32.14 39.71 69.53 30.07 56.59 31.20 22.72 22.59 28.64 23.03 236 15 0 19 32 2 450 178 115 129 320 227 340.76 87.07 27.93 71.69 154.92 87.69 64.68 55.11 43.46 32.29 76.02 54.04 633 75 0 45 246 0 844 208 199 220 577 410 728.2 156 89 126.8 353.4 168.2 84.71 51.41 74.77 70.26 129.56 165.39 TABLE 4. Results of the Cluster Analysis, Model 2 Least Fragmented Fragmented Akron, (OH) Albuquerque, (NM) Austin, (TX) Bakersfield, (CA) Baltimore, (MD) Baton Rouge, (LA) Birmingham, (AL) Buffalo, (NY) Charleston, (SC) Charlotte-Gastonia etc (NC) Chattanooga, (TN-GA) Columbia, (SC) Dayton, (OH) El Paso, (TX) Flint, (MI) Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood (FL) Fresno, (CA) Gary-Hammond, (IN) Grand Rapids, (MI) Greensboro-Winston- etc. (NC) Greenville-Spartanburg, (SC) Hartford-New Britain, (CT) Honolunu, (HI) Jacksonville, (FL) Johnson City-Kingsport-etc. (TN-VA) Knoxville, (TN) Lancaster, (PA) Lansing-East Lansing, (MI) Las Vegas, (NV) Memphis, (TN-AR-MS) Milwaukee, (WI) Miami, (FL) Mobile, (LA) Nashville, (TN) New Haven, (CT) New Orleans, (LA) New York, (NY-NJ) Oklahoma City, (OK) Orlando, (FL) Phoenix, (AZ) Providence, (RI) Raleigh-Durham, (NC) Richmond, (VA) Salt Lake City, (UT) San Antonio, (TX) San Diego, (CA) San Jose, (CA) Springfield, (MA-CT) Stockton, (CA) Syracuse, (NY) Tacoma, (WA) Tampa, (FL) Tucson, (AZ) Tulsa, (OK) Vallejo-etc., (CA) Washington DC West Palm Beach-etc. (FL) Wilmington, (DE-NJ-MD) Youngstown-Warren, (OH) Fragmented: Special Districts Fragmented: Townships Albany etc, (NY) Allentown etc, (PA) Atlanta, (GA) Cincinnati, (OH-KY-IN) Cleveland, (OH) Columbus, (OH) Dallas, (TX) Detroit, (MI) Harrisburg-etc. (PA) Indianapolis, (IN) Louisville, (KY) Minneapolis-St. Paul, (MN) Newark, (NJ) Portland, (OR-WA) Rochester, (NY) Wichita, (KS) Denver, (CO) Kansas City, (MO-KS) Los Angeles-Long Beach, (CA) Omaha, (NE-IA) Sacramento, (CA) San Francisco, (CA) Seattle, (WA) Extremely Chicago, (IL) Houston, (TX) Philadelphia, (PA) Pittsburgh, (PA-NJ) St. Louis, (MO-IL) Notes: The variables used in the cluster analysis were the number of total governments, school districts, special districts, special districts with right to tax, municipalities, and townships. The K-means method with Euclidean distance and non-standardized variables was applied. TABLE 5. Descriptive Statistics for Government Structure (Model 2) CATEGORIES N Least Fragmented Total Governments Municipalities Townships School Districts Special Districts Special Districts with Taxation 60 Fragmented: municipalities & townships Total Governments Municipalities Townships School Districts Special Districts Special Districts with Taxation 16 Fragmented: special districts Total Governments Municipalities Townships School Districts Special Districts Special Districts with Taxation 7 Extremely Fragmented Total Governments Municipalities Townships School Districts Special Districts Special Districts with Taxation 5 Min. Max. Mean Std. Dev. 4 1 0 0 2 0 187 80 56 67 124 91 93.56 25.26 9.0 17.23 38.03 15.76 49.64 17.32 16.12 18.71 28.58 20.22 196 39 0 12 26 0 450 178 117 115 121 89 281.25 83.62 60.25 56.69 75.56 28.75 67.75 46.33 38.76 28.90 30.83 28.36 242 15 0 19 135 64 415 133 33 95 320 227 331.57 68.57 7.0 56.71 206.42 112.51 58.36 47.80 12.19 28.19 61.07 55.91 633 75 0 45 246 0 844 208 199 220 577 410 728.2 156 89 126.8 353.4 168.2 84.71 51.41 74.77 70.26 129.56 165.39 TABLE 6. Determinants of Income Inequality, Model 1 Government Structure (N=74)a Independent variable Dependent variables GINI Isolation of Poor Dissimilarity of Poor CONSTANT 44.774 (17.029)*** 2.302 (.360) -1.663 (-.172) %MANUFACTURING -2.599E-02 (.374) .173 (2.452)*** .152 (1.425) %BACHELOR .133 (2.972)*** .503 (4.611)*** .384 (2.322)** MEDIAN INCOME -2.417E-04 (-4.608)*** -5.662E-04 (-4.434)*** 2.064E-04 (1.068) %MINORITIES 2.198E-02 (1.299) .151 (3.686)*** 8.789E-02 (1.149) 1.750 (.850) 17.014 (3.432)*** 26.738 (3.564)*** .536 (4.517)*** 2.018 (6.993)*** .750 (1.716)* DUMMY: Least fragmented -1.080 (-1.898)* -.520 (-.376) -2.893 (-1.382) DUMMY: Somewhat fragmented -1.052 (-1.509) -1.225 (-.724) -3.927 (-1.533) -1.247 (-2.175)** .504 (.362) -.979 (-.465) DUMMY: South .506 (1.058) -.624 (-.479) -3.374 (-1.709)* DUMMY: West -.863 (-1.309) -2.297 (-1.463) -3.468 (-1.460) DUMMY: Midwest -.617 (-1.427) .879 (.834) 1.121 (.703) F 15.516 18.312 10.722 R2 .708 .740 .615 %FEMALE %UNEMPLOYED DUMMY: Very fragmented Note: t values are in parenthesis * = p < .1; ** = p < .05; *** = p < .01 a N=73 in a model in which the GINI coefficient is the dependent variable TABLE 7. Determinants of Income Inequality, Model 2 Government Structure (N=74)a Independent variable Dependent variables GINI Isolation of Poor Dissimilarity of Poor CONSTANT 44.860 (17.086)*** 1.439 (.221) -4.243 (-.422) %MANUFACTURING -2.993E-02 (-1.031) .185 (2.561)** .189 (1.696)* %BACHELOR .130 (2.879)*** .502 (4.509)*** .363 (2.107)** MEDIAN INCOME -2.413E-04 (-4.506)*** -5.649E-04 (-4.264)*** 2.452E-04 (1.197) %MINORITIES 2.353E-02 (1.426) .156 (3.927)*** .101 (1.643) 1.842 (.882) 16.527 (3.275)*** 23.906 (3.063)*** %UNEMPLOYED .541 (4.499)*** 2.053 (6.937)*** .848 (1.852)* DUMMY: Least fragmented -1.197 (-2.147)** .424 (.341) -.439 (-.229) DUMMY: fragmented; municipalities & townships -1.029 (-1.676)* -.599 (-.-320) -667 (-.230) DUMMY: fragmented; special districts -986 (-1.188) .652 (.469) -.913 (-.425) DUMMY: South .634 (1.179) -1.007 (-.768) -4.346 (-2.143)** DUMMY: West -.893 (-1.355) -2.412 (-1.574) -4.274 (-1.803)* DUMMY: Midwest -.650 (-1.489) .821 (.760) .894 (.534) F 15.478*** 17.386*** 9.453*** R2 .707 .729 .582 %FEMALE Note: t values are in parenthesis * = p < .1; ** = p < .05; *** = p < .01 a N=73 in a model in which the GINI coefficient is the dependent variable TABLE 8. Determinants of Income Inequality, Model 1 Government Structure (N=74)a Independent variable Dependent variables GINI Isolation of Poor Dissimilarity of Poor 45.239 (18.532)*** -1.829 (-.327) -11.850 (-1.383) %MANUFACTURING 9.384E-04 (.033) .231 (3.583)*** .208 (2.099)** %BACHELOR .183 (4.005)*** .511 (4.886)*** .295 (1.841)* MEDIAN INCOME -3.020E-04 (-6.087)*** -5.669E-04 (-4.991)*** 3.616E-04 (2.076)** %MINORITIES 2.874E-02 (1.9)* .125 (3.615)*** 1.527E-02 (.228) 1.771 (.877) 21.324 (4.613)*** 33.781 (4.766)*** .457 (3.686)*** 2.052 (7.246)*** .989 (2.277)** -.812 (-1.387) -1.068 (-.795) -4.456 (-2.166)** DUMMY: Somewhat fragmented -1.465 (-2.050)** -2.123 (-1.312) -5.004 (-2.017)** DUMMY: Very fragmented -1.362 (-2.293)** -.229 (-.168) -2.157 (-1.034) F 16.378*** 23.007*** 12.710*** R2 .658 .731 .591 CONSTANT %FEMALE %UNEMPLOYED DUMMY: Least fragmented Note: t values are in parenthesis * = p < .1; ** = p < .05; *** = p < .01 a N=73 in a model in which the GINI coefficient is the dependent variable TABLE 9. Determinants of Income Inequality, Model 2 Government Structure (N=74)a Independent variable Dependent variables GINI Isolation of Poor Dissimilarity of Poor CONSTANT 45.878 (18.510)*** -3.972 (-717) -18.140 (-2.066)** %MANUFACTURING -3.702E-03 (-.126) .242 (3.659)*** .257 (2.448)** %BACHELOR .187 (4.042)*** .492 (4.638)*** .238 (1.416) MEDIAN INCOME -3.243E-04 (-6.466)*** -5.442E-04 (-4.746)*** 4.676E-04 (2.573)** %MINORITIES 3.445E-02 (2.310)** .131 (3.860)*** 1.657E-02 (.307) 2.468 (1.197) 21.038 (4.453)*** 31.139 (4.157)*** .420 (3.346)*** 2.053 (6.937)*** 1.223 (2.706)*** DUMMY: Least fragmented -1.049 (-1.805)* 2.235E-02 (.018) -1.748 (-.899) DUMMY: fragmented; municipalities & townships -1.783 (-2.082)** -.920 (-.498) -.693 (-.236) DUMMY: fragmented; special districts -1.186 (-1.803)* .533 (.379) -1.312 (-.588) F 15.618*** 21.790*** 10.680*** R2 .646 .719 .544 %FEMALE %UNEMPLOYED Note: t values are in parenthesis * = p < .1; ** = p < .05; *** = p < .01 a N=73 in a model in which the GINI coefficient is the dependent variable Endnotes 1. It is assumed that metropolitan areas form regional economies which are distinct enough from the national/state economy as a whole. Some authors see an especially distinctive role for large metropolitan cities and metropolitan areas as growth centers (Pierce 1993, Voith 1998). 2. The author did not want to use all metropolitan areas in the United States in order to test the reliability of the created classifications. During my dissertation research I will classify metropolitan areas according to a larger set of variables including land area and population. 3. I apply the dissimilarity and isolation indices calculated by Alan J. Bramson, Mitchell S. Tobin and Matthew R. VanderGoot in Housing Policy Debate, volume 6, issue 1. They calculated these indices for the 100 largest metropolitan areas using data from the Under Class Data Base developed at The Urban Institute. The dissimilarity index can be calculated from n D= ti pi − P ∑ 2TP(1 − P) i =1 where n is the number of areal units, ti is the total population in the areal unit and pi is the proportion of poor people of an areal unit of i; T is the population of the whole geographical unit (i.e. metropolitan area) and P is the proportion of poor in the whole geographical area. The isolation index can be calculated from the following formula n I= xi xi ∑ X ⋅ t i =1 i where n is the number of areal units, xi is the number of poor and ti is the total population of the areal unit i; X is the number of poor of the whole geographical unit (i.e. metropolitan area). 4.The Gini Index was calculated from the 1990 Census data by using a variable ‘family income’ that included 25 categories. The last category was open-ended. Therefore I assumed a mean value of $200 000 for the last open-ended category. 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