Current avalanche advisory for: Craigieburn Range
Issued at 29/10/2015 1:25pm. Valid till 1/11/2015 6pm
High Alpine
Above 2000 meters
Alpine
1000 to 2000 meters
Sub Alpine
Below 1000 meters
Primary Avalanche Danger
Dangerous Aspects
Likelihood
Certain
Size
Largest
Likley
Unlikely
2
Trend
Time of day
Increasing
No change
Small
Decreasing
All day
Description:
There is a MODERATE danger from wind slab
avalanches at upper elevations just below
ridgelines. The danger from wind slabs will
increase from Thursday into Friday but will
steadily abate as warmer temperatures help
settle any new snowfall. Watch spots where new
wind loading has occurred and look for signs of
instability such as recent avalanches.
High Alpine: Above 2000m
Alpine: 1000 to 2000m
Low Alpine: Below 1000m
Highest Danger Rating
Secondary Avalanche Danger
Dangerous Aspects
Likelihood
Certain
Size
Largest
Likley
Unlikely
1
Trend
Time of day
Increasing
No change
Small
Highest Danger Rating
Decreasing
All day
Description:
There is a LOW danger from loose wet
avalanches. Watch steep slopes at upper
elevations as the freezing level rises into the
weekend. Look for signs of increasing danger
like rollerballing or small sluffs occurring in new
snow. The danger from loose wet avalanches
will be highest the first warm day after any new
snowfall occurs.
High Alpine: Above 2000m
Alpine: 1000 to 2000m
Low Alpine: Below 1000m
Current Snowpack Conditions
Some new snow has fallen at upper elevations in recent days. This new snow has not affected the stability of our snowpack significantly. Recent
rain and warm temperatures have decimated the snowpack at middle elevations. The best bet for finding snow to play on will be E through S
aspects especially towards the N end of the Craigieburn Range at elevations above 1800m. New snowfall over the next few days could make
some tramping tracks difficult to negotiate but it is unlikely to create dangerous avalanche conditions.
Recent Avalanche Activity
No new avalanches have been reported in recent days.
The final forecast of the 2015 season will be issued on the 31st of October. A big thank you goes out to all of those that took the time to read the
forecast and to those who contributed observations to the forecast this season. A big thanks goes out to all of the professional observations that
came in from Craigieburn Valley Ski Field, Broken River Ski Field, Mount Cheeseman Ski Field, Mount Olympus Ski Field, and Porters Ski Field.
Thanks to other private guiding operations that contributed and have a happy and safe summer everyone! We will see you in the new year!
Mountain Weather
Unsettled spring weather will continue over the next few days. Be prepared for changing conditions. Expect a frosty start Thursday and Friday
morning with a warming trend into the weekend. The freezing level will gradually rise to above 2000m by Saturday afternoon. Light accumulations
(5-10cm) of new snow are forecast but be prepared for heavier falls. Towards the end of the weekend expect increasing NW winds.
For more information go to: http://www.metservice.com/mountain/index
Sliding Danger
Cold overnight temperatures will give the surface of any snow covered slope a slippery and icy surface. Watch any slope where snow still exists
and carry crampons and an ice axe if you plan on traveling over snow covered slopes.
Forecast by Brad Carpenter