JUST, Vol. V, No. 1, 2017 Trent University There Were Cats and Rats and Ungulates: Island Colonisation Success of Mammals Tessa Sarah McBurney Abstract Islands are particularly susceptible to the severe ecological consequences wrought from the dispersal of invasive species, and introduced mammals have exceeded other vertebrate groups when it comes to posing challenges for native populations. The purpose of this study was to determine what factors affect a mammalian species’ ability to invade islands by comparing how two taxonomically and physiologically unique mammalian orders, Rodentia and Artiodactyla, invade islands and resist eradication. Using data provided by the Threatened Island Biodiversity Database and the Database of Island Invasive Species Eradications, the results of multiple Wilcoxon rank-sum tests demonstrated that rodents and even-toed ungulates are equally capable of invading islands. However, rodent populations were found to be superior in surviving eradication attempts (W = 24, p − value < 0.05). More research is required to understand what makes a species a successful invader to assist in mitigating the negative impacts of invasive species. Keywords Rodents — Even-toed Ungulates — Artiodactyla — Invasive Species — Island Biogeography — Eradications Gzowski College 1. Introduction At a time when biological invasions have reached their highest rate in history, it is crucial to consider how alien species impact native species populations (Reaser et al. 2007). Currently, biological invasions are the second leading cause of biodiversity loss, and are a major factor in the extinctions of many species (Courchamp et al. 2003). Islands in particular have been experiencing severe ecological consequences from the dispersal of invasive species (Reaser et al. 2007), and introduced mammals have posed more challenges than any other vertebrate group (Courchamp et al. 2003). For an alien or introduced species to be considered invasive it must have established a self-sustaining population and spread rapidly, or had an impact on native organisms (Ricciardi et al. 2013). The difference between an alien and an introduced species, which are both not native to the area in question, is that the latter has dispersed via human actions. 1.1 Island Biogeography As stated in the MacArthur-Wilson Theory of Island Biogeography, immigration, speciation, and extinction are affected by two major environmental factors: isolation and area (MacArthur and Wilson 1967; Whittaker et al. 2008). MacArthur and Wilson (1967) predicted that the rate of immigration will decline as isolation, or the physical distance from the mainland to the island, increases, and the rate of extinction will decline as the area of the island increases (Whittaker et al. 2008). The relative geographic isolation of islands has allowed for the evolution of a high number of novel and en- demic species, the likes of which are not found in continental areas (Jamie et al. 2007). The physical distance from the mainland to the island, across oceanic environments, is what limits the type of species that are able to colonise an island (Jamie et al. 2007). This means few large mammals are native to isolated islands (Jamie et al. 2007). However, mammals of varying size have been both intentionally and unintentionally introduced outside of their native range by human dispersal and trade (Clout and Russell 2008). Mammals were some of the earliest animals to be introduced to islands by humans for the purpose of livestock or companionship, or accidentally through commensal relationships (a relationship that was beneficial to the animals and not adverse for the humans) (Clout and Russell 2008; Nogueira et al. 2009; Spear and Chown 2009). 1.2 Rodentia and Artiodactyla General Traits Variation of body masses between different taxonomic groups may be fundamental to explaining physiological, ecological, and phylogenetic constraints (Smith et al. 2003). Order Artiodactyla is a taxon that encompasses even-toed ungulates, or hooved animals with an even number of toes, such as deer, boar, cows, and goats. Order Rodentia is the taxonomic group for rodents and includes: mice, rats, lemmings, shrews, squirrels, and agouti, among other rodents species. Based on a dataset of taxonomic body mass created by Smith et al. (2003), members of order Artiodactyla generally have a considerably larger body mass than those of order Rodentia. As smaller organisms, rodents tend to have high reproductive output but die young (Sibly and Brown 2007). Larger mammals, such There Were Cats and Rats and Ungulates: Island Colonisation Success of Mammals — 2/5 as even-toed ungulates, have slower metabolic production per unit body mass and so produce offspring at a lower rate (Sibly and Brown 2007). In this regard, body mass is an essential factor in the invasive capabilities of mammals. Successful establishment of a new colony relies on the number of new recruits added to the population, which is in turn partially dependent on the reproductive output of the species. Considering the current impact of invasive species, especially introduced mammals, on native species populations, an important question to ask is: What factors affect a mammalian species’ success in invading islands? Being able to answer this question could lead to the discovery of more effective control measures for managing island colonisations of invasive mammals. This study sought to answer this question by comparing how effectively the members of two taxonomically and physiologically disparate mammalian orders, Rodentia and Artiodactyla, colonise islands. To assess the success of invasive colonisation, effectiveness was measured as the number of islands colonised by members of each order and the number of human-mediated eradications of alien island colonies of both orders. The objectives of this study were to determine if the orders were equally: 1. Successful at colonising islands. 2. Able to withstand human-mediated eradications of alien island colonies. The hypothesis for the first objective was that the two mammalian orders were not equally successful at colonising islands. It was predicted that members of order Rodentia would be more effective at colonising islands than members of order Artiodactyla, due to small body size and generalist tendencies in diet and habitat. The hypothesis for the second objective was that the orders were not equally able to withstand eradications of alien island colonies. It was predicted that invasive colonies of order Artiodactyla species would be less able to withstand eradication attempts than alien colonies of order Rodentia species, due to a generally larger body size and more specialist dietary tendencies. If both predictions were supported, members of order Rodentia would be considered more effective islands invaders. 2. Materials and Methods The number of islands that have been colonised by rodents and even-toed ungulates were recorded from the Threatened Island Biodiversity Database (Invasive Species Specialist Group 2016; Appendix: Table 1; Table 2). Only species in each order that were found to invasively colonise islands were included in the analysis. Before addressing the first objective, the data were explored to ensure the assumptions of normality and homogeneity of variance were met. If one of these assumptions was not met, then the data were natural log-transformed before running a statistical test. An independent two sample t-test was used to determine if there was a difference in the number of islands colonised by rodents and even-toed ungulates. If the natural log-transformation did not help the data to meet the assumptions, then a non-parametric Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used in place of the t-test. The second objective was evaluated by comparing the failure rates and success rates for human-mediated island eradications of invasive rodents and even-toed ungulates. The number of successful and failed eradications of island invaders were collected from the Database of Island Invasive Species Eradications (Invasive Species Specialist Group 2016; Appendix: Table 3; Table 4). These were each divided by the total number of eradication attempts that took place for each species in both orders to ensure that success and failure rates were correctly measured. Although successes and failures can typically be compared without using rates, because they sum to the total number of attempts, this is not the case in this study. The database included more eradication attempt statuses than those coded as successes and failures because many eradication attempts were still ongoing or the results were unknown. While the database did not provide a definition for success or failure, this study assumes that a successful eradication is one where the island has hitherto remained free of the eradicated organism after the eradication attempt, in accordance with Courchamp et al. (2003). A failed eradication is one where the eradication attempt did not work or where the island was recolonised by the invasive species. Eradication attempts that were not listed as successes or failures were not counted in this study and only species that have island populations where eradications have been attempted were included in the data set. The data were tested against the same assumptions as the first objective, and then depending on the results, either independent two sample t-tests or Wilcoxon rank-sum tests were used to compare both the failure and success rates of island eradications between the two mammalian orders. All data were analysed using RStudio (Version 0.00.903; Allaire 2016). Island size data were examined in order to rule out island size as a confounding variable before either the island or eradication data were analysed (Appendix Table 5; Table 6). For each rodent and even-toed ungulate species that invaded an island, the median island area was calculated using the area of the largest and smallest islands invaded by each particular species. Then these data were explored to see if they met the assumptions of homogeneity of variance and normality. If the data did not meet these assumptions they were natural log-transformed prior to statistical analysis. Based on these results, an independent two sample t-test or a Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used to verify that there was no difference between the areas of islands colonised by Rodentia species and those colonised by Artiodactyla species. An a priori significance level of 0.05 was used for all of the statistical analyses. 3. Results The prediction that members of order Rodentia would be more effective at colonising islands than members of order Artiodactyla was not supported by the results of the Wilcoxon There Were Cats and Rats and Ungulates: Island Colonisation Success of Mammals — 3/5 Figure 1. A boxplot of the average size of islands invasively colonised by orders Artiodactyla (red) and Rodentia (blue). The median average island size, represented by the black line, is not significantly different between the two orders. Whereas the Artiodactyla data is fairly symmetrical, the Rodentia data is skewed right with a large interquartile range. There are also outliers present in the Artiodactyla data. rank-sum test. The prediction that invasive colonies of order Artiodactyla species would be less able to withstand eradication attempts than order Rodentia species was not statistically supported by the Wilcoxon rank-sum test for success rate, but was statistically supported for failure rate. First, the effect of island size as a covariate was tested. The p-value was found to be greater than the a priori set 0.05 significance level, so the null hypothesis that there was no difference between the average sized islands colonised by the two orders was accepted (n=74; W=647.5, p-value=0.7284; Appendix: Fig.4). After ruling out island area as a confounding variable, the first objective, to determine if the orders are equally successful at colonising islands, was addressed. The F test to compare two variances found the variances to be unequal and the Shapiro-Wilk normality test also indicated the data were non-normal (n=74; Artiodactyla: W = 0.4188, p-value = 2.113x10−11 ; Rodentia: W = 0.4544, p-value = 4.096x10−10 ) . The data were natural log-transformed and the natural logtransformed data were found to have equal variances. However, the data were still not normal, so a Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used in place of a t-test with the non-normal natural log-transformed data. The results of the Wilcoxon rank-sum test indicated the null hypothesis should be accepted (W=707, p-value=0.7684). Therefore, there was no evidence that there was a significant difference between the number of islands colonised by rodents and even-toed ungulates (Fig. 1). For successful island eradications of invasive even-toed ungulates and rodents, the data were found to have equal variances, however, the order Artiodactyla data were found to be non-normal. As a result, the data were natural logtransformed, which made the data from both orders nonnormal. Thus, a Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used as a nonparametric test with the original non-transformed data. Based on the results of the Wilcoxon rank-sum test there was no difference in the success rate of island eradications between members of order Rodentia and order Artiodactyla (n=22; Figure 2. A boxplot of the number of islands invasively colonised by orders Artiodactyla (red) and Rodentia (blue). The median number of colonised islands, represented by the black line, is not significantly different between the two orders. The interquartile range is small for both orders, although there are outliers present in both the Artiodactyla and Rodentia data. Figure 3. A boxplot of the success rate of eradications on islands invasively colonised by orders Artiodactyla (red) and Rodentia (blue). The median number of colonised islands, represented by the black line, is not significantly different between the two orders. The interquartile range is large for order Artiodactyla, and there is an outlier present in the Rodentia data. W=52, p-value=0.6805; Fig. 2). The same statistical methods were used to test the difference between failed island eradications of invasive even-toed ungulate and rodent species. The variances were found to be unequal and the data were not normally distributed. After natural log-transforming the data, the variances were improved, but still not equal, and neither the order Rodentia nor the order Artiodactyla data were normal. A Wilcoxon rank-sum test was conducted using the natural log-transformed non-normal data. Rodents had a higher mean eradication failure rate (0.2244) than even-toed ungulates (0.0108), a difference which is statistically significant (n=22; W=24, p-value=0.0084; Fig. 3). 4. Discussion The hypothesis for the first objective, that members of orders Rodentia and Artiodactyla were not equally successful at colonising islands, was not supported by the statistical analysis. The hypothesis for the second objective, that the orders were not equally able to withstand eradications of alien island colonies, was supported by the analysis of the eradication There Were Cats and Rats and Ungulates: Island Colonisation Success of Mammals — 4/5 is possible that particular rodent species are more effective at invasively colonising islands than even-toed ungulate species. Figure 4. A boxplot of the failure rate of eradications on islands invasively colonised by orders Artiodactyla (red) and Rodentia (blue). The median number of colonised islands, represented by the black line, is significantly different between the two orders, with order Rodentia having a higher rate of failed eradications. The interquartile range is small for order Artiodactyla, and there are outliers present in the data for both orders. failure rate data, but not the eradication success rate data. Rodents were found to have a higher average failure rate than even-toed ungulates, which suggests that species from order Rodentia are at least somewhat better able to withstand island eradications than order Artiodactyla species. Although there are no differences between the two orders in terms of island colonisation ability and the island eradication success rate, this suggests that overall order Rodentia is more successful at invasive colonisation of islands than order Artiodactyla. Even though rodents were found to be better overall island invaders than even-toed ungulates, the results for the first objective were surprising based on the existing literature. Rats, including Norway rats (Rattus norvegicus), Black rats (Rattus rattus), and Polynesian rats (Rattus exulans), are cited to be among the most successful invasive mammal species having invaded 80% of islands in the world (Caut et al. 2008). Additionally, House mice (Mus musculus) are considered to be one of the most far-reaching invasive mammals on the planet (Angel et al. 2009). However, a list of the most successful introduced mammals, measured by the number of introductions and the risk posed to native populations, includes: three rat species, one mouse species, rabbits, cats, goats, pigs, and cattle (Courchamp et al. 2003). This cites both rodents and even-toed ungulates as top mammalian invaders, and is supported by the results of the first statistical test of this study which indicates that the orders were equally successful at colonising islands. This is a point of interest because the most successful introduced mammals include various species from several different orders which suggests that at least initial colonising ability may be species dependent rather than a trait at the taxonomic level of order. This is further supported by a study conducted by Clout and Russell (2008) where only 1.8% of rodent species were classified as successful invaders, but 13% of the genus Rattus were included in this category. This could explain the far outliers found in the order Rodentia data in this study. While order Rodentia in its entirety may not be more effective at invading islands than order Artiodactyla, it The results of the second objective, which established that the two orders were not equally able to withstand eradication of alien island colonies, are supported by studies which demonstrate that rodents are among the most widespread island-colonised invasive species (Shiels and Drake 2011). Additionally, invasive rodents are challenging to manage effectively (Shiels and Drake 2011), which is partly attributable to the risk of reinvasion posed by rodent species (Clout and Russell 2007). While there have been many successful eradications of rodents from islands, there have also been several reinvasions that have occurred up to ten years after the eradication, particularly with rats (Clout and Russell 2007). This is thought to be due to the high dispersal ability of order Rodentia species (Clout and Russell 2007). This supports the results of both the eradication success and failure rate analyses, as dispersal ability would not affect how susceptible a species is to being eradicated, which would account for even-toed ungulates and rodents having the same average success rate of eradications. However, it could impact the average eradication failure rate as dispersal ability would allow rodents to recolonise islands that have already undergone eradication attempts, which may account for why rodents were found to have a higher average number of failed eradication attempts than even-toed ungulates. The recolonisation of islands by rodents has been observed several times, including the recolonisation of Italian islands by Black rats post eradication attempts (Capizzi et al. 2010). In this way, members of order Rodentia may be better able to withstand human mediated eradication attempts, and thus, be more successful overall at invasively colonising islands. Some possible limitations of this study include the availability of data concerning the details of the invaded islands. Due to the importance of island size and isolation when it comes to immigration and establishing populations (Whittaker et al. 2008), it was determined that these factors should both be ruled out as potential cofounding variables when attempting to isolate the island invasion abilities of rodents and even-toed ungulates. Island size was eliminated as a confounding variable early in the study when no difference was found in the median island areas colonised by species in order Rodentia and Artiodactyla. However, a better method may be to determine whether there is a difference between the average island size colonised by each species in each order, and although this was not considered in the current study, it is recommended that it be accounted for in future research. Unlike island size, the potential effect of isolation could not be ruled out as a confounding variable because data on the relative isolation of the islands were not included in the database (Invasive Species Specialist Group 2016). While island isolation could be a potential confounding variable in this study, it can be argued that it does not necessarily apply to all invasive species. This is because many invasive species are introduced to islands through human-mediated dispersal, which can oc- There Were Cats and Rats and Ungulates: Island Colonisation Success of Mammals — 5/5 cur over large distances. Many species are limited in which islands they can invade by the distance between the island and the mainland, but this is not the case for humans who have invented other means for travel, such as ships. As both rodents and even-toed ungulates have travelled with humans on ships as humans colonise islands, island isolation may not greatly affect the invasive abilities of these mammalian species. In this way, humans contribute to the invasiveness of species by facilitating the initial island colonisation and by enabling the persistence of introduced domestic populations. The purpose of this study was to determine if traits belonging to a specific taxonomic order affect a mammalian species’ success at invading islands by comparing the invasive ability of two distinct mammalian orders that colonise islands. The results were mixed, as there was no evidence that members of order Rodentia and order Artiodactyla had differing success at colonising islands or island eradication success rates, but it was found that rodents are better able to withstand humanmediated eradications of island colonies based on failure rates of eradication attempts. This gives at least partial evidence that members of order Rodentia possess particular traits that generally make them more effective island invaders than eventoed ungulates. However, it is more likely to be genus specific, or even species specific, traits than an order-wide ability that make particular members of order Rodentia more efficient colonisers. There are also other unaccounted for factors at play, primarily the effect humans have on which mammalian species are introduced to islands. Island species are particularly susceptible to the negative impacts of invasive species, and as a result many endemic populations are going extinct. 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