Congress, Foreign Policy, and the New Institutionalism Author(s): James M. Lindsay Source: International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 38, No. 2 (Jun., 1994), pp. 281-304 Published by: Blackwell Publishing on behalf of The International Studies Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2600978 . Accessed: 13/09/2011 04:00 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Blackwell Publishing and The International Studies Association are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to International Studies Quarterly. http://www.jstor.org InternationalStudiesQuarterly(1994) 38, 281-304 Congress,Foreign Policy, and the New Institutionalism JAMES M. LINDSAY The University ofIowa New institutionalists argue that analystsare mistakento separate process frompolicy in studyingCongress's role in policymaking. Rather, Congress changes the structureand procedures of decision makingin theexecutivebranchin orderto influencethecontentofpolicy.Attempts to substantiatethis claim have examined procedural changes in domesticaffairs.This paper extendsthe argumentby assessingthe impact of five procedural changes in the area of defense and foreignpolicy: the Office of the Director of Operational Test and Evaluation, the legislativeveto on arms sales, legislativeparticipationin trade negotiations, the conditionsattached to U.S. securityassistance,and the reportingrequirementsimposed on the intelligencecommunity.The five case studies suggest that procedural changes do at times enable Congress to build its preferencesinto U.S. foreignpolicy,but the successes are partial rather than total. Procedural changes meet only partial success because of executive branch opposition and the cost of monitoringand punishing noncompliance. The findingspoint to the need to incorporatemore sophisticatedassumptionsabout Congress and the bureaucracyinto futureresearch. Does Congress matter much in the making of U.S. foreign policy? For most scholars the answer is no. On foreign policy legislation, Congress owns a rather slim track record. The Boland amendments and the sanctions against South Africa notwithstanding, the House and Senate remain reluctant to deny a president's foreign policy requests or to pass policies of their own. Even when Congress succeeds in legislating the substance of U.S. foreign policy, the results are often less than meet the eye. Legislation on foreign policy usually delegates tremendous power to the executive branch or contains loopholes that presidents can exploit to override congressional preferences. Thus, while foreign policy debates on Capitol Hill are more fractious than they were twenty-fiveyears ago, most scholars see the debates more as show than substance (see, e.g., Destler, 1986a, 1986b; Destler, Gelb, and Lake, 1984; Koh, 1988, 1990; Hinckley, 1994). Yet the conventional wisdom on Congress's role in foreign policy is challenged Author'snote:An earlier version of this articlewas presentedat the annual meetingof the American Political Science Association,Washington,D.C., 29 August-2 September 1990. I would like to thankthe membersof the Department of Political Science at the Universityof Rochester and the reviewersand editors of ISQ for their commentson earlier draftsof thisarticle. ( 1994 International StudiesAssociation. Publishedby BlackwellPublishers,238 Main Street,Cambridge,MA 02142, USA, and 108 CowleyRoad, OxfordOX4 1JF,UK. 282 Congress,ForeignPolicy,and theNew Institutionalism by the so-called new institutionalism(e.g., McCubbins and Schwartz, 1984; Fiorina,1986; McCubbins,Noll, and Weingast,1987, 1989; Calvert,McCubbins, and Weingast, 1989). Inspired by the literatureon principal-agentrelations, new institutionalists argue that traditionalstudies of Congress have erred in treatingpolicy separatelyfromprocess. In the view of new institutionalists, the extensivepowers that Congress wields over the shape of the decision-making process give it considerable say in what policy will be. As Morris Fiorina (1981:333) puts it, "The Congress controlsthe bureaucracy,and the Congress gives us the kind of bureaucracyit wants." From the vantage point of the new institutionalism, then, attentionto substantivepolicy legislationis insufficient. Even when Congress delegates authorityto executivebranchofficialsit may still structurethe decision-makingprocess so thatits preferredpolicies are chosen. My objectivesin thisarticleare twofold.The firstis to use the insightsof the new institutionalismto provide a better understandingof the role Congress plays in foreignpolicy. In the two decades followingthe end of the Vietnam War, Congress changed the structuresand procedures of decision making on defense and foreignpolicyin a host of differentways.To what extentdid these proceduralinnovationssucceed? Are some typesof proceduralinnovationmore likelyto succeed than others?The second objectiveis to contributeto the debate over the new institutionalism. Untilnow, new institutionalists have applied their insightslargelyto domestic policy issues. The rich and varied usage of procedural innovationson foreignpolicy provides an opportunityto assess both the extentand the limitsof the theoreticalinsightssuggestedbynew institutionalists. The articlebegins by outliningthe basic argumentput forthby new institutionalistsand by reviewingthe fivebasic typesof procedural innovationsfound in foreign policy. To assess the relevance of the new institutionalismto our understandingof Congress's role in foreign policy,the article then evaluates the impact of five procedural innovationsin the area of defense and foreign affairs:the Office of the Director of Operational Test and Evaluation in the Pentagon,the legislativeveto on arms sales, congressionalparticipationin trade negotiations,the conditionsattached to U.S. securityassistance,and the reporting requirementsimposed on the intelligencecommunity.Although the five case studiesare not representativein a strictsense-it is by no means clear what a representativesample of procedural innovationswould look like-each case representsa differenttypeof proceduralinnovationand involvesa differentset of policyissues and agencies. This diversityprovidessolid groundforspeculating both about Congress's influencein foreignpolicyand about the claims made by new institutionalists. The findingsfromthe fivecase studies show that procedural innovationsat times do shape the substance of U.S. foreign policy. As new institutionalists argue, the abilityto mandate structuresand procedures can give members of Congressa wayto build theirpreferencesintothe policy-makingprocesswithout having to pass substantivelegislationthat specifieshow the United States will relate to other countries.Still,the success of procedural innovationsusually is partialratherthan total.In none of the fivecases studiedhere did the procedural innovation totallyfulfillits stated aims. Procedural changes meet only partial success because of executivebranch opposition and the cost of monitoringand punishing noncompliance. Even when members of Congress want to make a procedural innovationwork,theymay findtheireffortsstymiedby administration obstructionism, by the secrecythatcloaks much of the workof the foreign policy bureaucracy,or by the difficultiesthey face in punishing agencies that refuseto comply withthe intentof an innovation. The findingspresentedhere suggesttwo general lessons forfutureresearch. First,studies of Congress's role in foreignpolicyneed to pay more attentionto JAMES M. LINDSAY 283 how members of Congress use procedural innovations to build their policy preferencesinto the policy-makingprocess. By emphasizingCongress's meager trackrecord on substantivelegislationwhile neglectingits successes with procedural innovations,scholars have underestimatedthe extentof congressional influencein foreignpolicy. Second, the findingspresentedhere point to the need forfutureresearchon proceduralinnovationsto incorporatemore sophisticatedassumptionsabout the behaviorof Congress and the executivebranch. Of particularimportanceto the study of foreign policy are the monitoringcosts and punishment costs that attend any procedural innovation. New institutionalists typicallyassume that procedural innovationsare designed to force agencies to make their activities public, which therebyallows Congress to shiftmuch of the cost of monitoring the actionsof governmentagencies onto othergroups.Althoughthisassumption is appropriatefordomesticpolicy,it is less appropriateforforeignpolicy,where there frequentlyis an unquestionable need to keep agency decisions secret. Likewise,although many new institutionalists recognize thatthe threatof punishmentis essentialto the success of proceduralinnovations,the cost of punishment tends to be higher for foreign policy than domestic policy because the courtsare much more willingto deferto executivediscretionin foreignaffairs. Because Congress often faces substantiallyhigher monitoringand punishment costs when it comes to foreignpolicy,procedural innovationsin foreignpolicy are, all otherthingsbeing equal, less likelyto succeed thanare theircounterparts in domesticpolicy. New Institutionalismand Procedural Change New institutionalists like to point out that the need to win reelectiondampens the incentivesmembers of Congress have to pursue substantivepolicies. Lawmakingis time-consuming.Major legislativeinitiativesoftentake years to reach the floor,and even then a presidentialveto and the opposition of thirty-four senators can kill the bill. Even if legislatorssuccessfullysteer a bill through Congress, the effortmay have no electoralpayoff.Constituentsmay not know about the bill, may not care, or, perhaps worse, may dislike it. The pursuitof substantivepolicylegislationalso entailsopportunitycosts.The timespentbuilding a winningcoalition is time not spent in the district,on constituentservices, or holding fund-raisers.In all, many membersmayjudge the craftingof substantivelegislationto be electorallyunprofitable. Electoral incentivesalso can discourage membersfromproactive,systematic reviews of agency behavior, or what is called "police-patrol"oversight(McCubbins and Schwartz,1984; fora dissentsee Aberbach, 1987, 1990). Overseeing the executivebranch is a daunting task. Most of the time agencies comply with the intent of Congress, so oversight may not uncover abuses, leaving memberslittleto show fortheirefforts.Where a problemdoes exist,legislators to uncover.Bureaucraciesare notoriousforbeing reluctant mightfinditdifficult to provide evidence of their failures.Even when oversightuncovers noncompliance,the resultmaynot help legislatorswin reelection.The violationprobably would not harm, or interest,constituents;hence, there is no opportunityto garnercreditwithvoters.Nor is punishingan agencyan easy task.The necessary correctivemay be opposed by powerful interestsin Congress or the White House, and the agency mightretaliate. Membersof Congress,then,findthemselvescaughtin a dilemma: influencing agency behavior is difficultand often electorallyunrewarding,yet voters hold them accountable for how well the governmentperforms.Legislators cannot 284 Congress,ForeignPolicy,and theNew Institutionalism resolve the dilemma by taking on the work of the bureaucracy; delegation of authorityis inescapable in modern government.How, then,do memberssquare the need to ensure agency compliance withtheirown desire to win reelection? New institutionalists contend thatthe answerlies in structuring decision making in the executive branch in ways that promote executivecompliance withlegislative intent. "Alterationsin procedures will change the expected policy outcomes of administrative agencies byaffectingtherelativeinfluenceof people who are affectedby the policy.Moreover,because policyis controlledby participants in administrativeprocesses,politicalofficialscan use proceduresto controlpolicy withoutbearing costs themselves,or even having to know what policy is likely to emerge" (McCubbins et al., 1987:254). Procedural changes, then, constitutelabor-savingdevices. They can obviate the need for substantivelegislationor police-patroloversightby ensuring that congressionalpreferencesare builtinto executivebranch decisions. Innovations can shiftthe burden of monitoringagency behavior onto the executivebranch (e.g., officesof the inspector general) or onto interestedprivate groups (e.g., private sector advisory groups). And procedural changes can enable affected groups to seek remedies fromthe agency, the courts,or Congress itself.With procedural changes of these sortsCongress effectively creates a systemof "firealarm" oversightthat alerts members to the issues of concern to constituents (McCubbins and Schwartz,1984). This enables legislatorsto focuson issues that matterto voters,and thatthus are more electorallyprofitable.The labor-saving character of procedural changes also means that a successfulinnovation can occur alongside a decline in traditionalindicatorsof legislativeactivity(e.g., bills introduced,hearings,committeereports). In recognizingthat procedural innovationsappeal to legislators,new institutionalistsdo not claim thatall changes in structureand process seek to influence policy.Legislatorsat timesmay see procedural changes as an end in themselves (see Mashaw, 1983, 1985). There can be a psychicutilityin seeing thatdecision making is perceived as being fair. Legislators can also alter decision-making structuresand proceduresto protectthemselvesfromconstituentwrath(Fionina, 1986; Weaver, 1986). Yet, innovationsprobablyaren't used veryoftensolelyto "pass the buck" to the bureaucracy.If constituentsare intelligentand forwardlooking (as most new institutionalistsassume), they will see through blame avoidance strategies,and the incentive to use the innovation will evaporate (Horn and Shepsle, 1989:505). Conversely, if constituentsare ignorant of congressionalactions,then legislatorsdo not need the protectionthe innovation affords. It also should be said that while analytical convenience leads many new institutionalists to build models of legislativebehaviorbased on the assumption thatlegislatorsare single-mindedseekersof reelection,thatassumptionis by no means critical.As new institutionalists themselvesrecognize,memberswho want to make good public policy also have reason to preferprocedural changes and fire-alarmoversightto substantivepolicylegislationand police-patroloversight (see, e.g., McCubbins and Schwartz,1984:167). Because proceduralchanges are oftenseen as neutral,membersfindit easier to build a winningcoalitionaround a procedural change than around a substantivepolicychange. Legislatorsalso know that"an ounce of preventionis wortha pound of cure." Policybattlesare mosteasilywon ifthe disputed policycan be strangledin the cradle. And policyoriented legislatorsalso have an incentiveto shiftthe burden for monitoring the behavior of agencies to other groups: it freesthem to workon other issues. As a result,the argument that new institutionalists make about the power of procedural innovations holds regardless of whetherone believes members of JAMES M. LINDSAY 285 Congress are single-mindedseekers of reelection,dedicated public servants,or some mix of the two. Congressional Dominance, Control, and Influence How successful are procedural innovations in changing the behavior of the executive branch? Here new institutionalists disagree among themselves.The strongestpositionhas been stakedout by the "congressionaldominance" school (e.g., McCubbins et al., 1987, 1989). As the name suggests, proponents of congressional dominance argue that Congress controls agency behavior. As Terry Moe (1987) observes, however,what is meant by control is usually left undefined.Control may mean a constrainton agency behavior-Congress tells the bureaucracywhat not to do. While some worksin the congressionaldominance school use controlin this negative sense (e.g., Calvertet al., 1989), most seem to use control to mean that Congress tells agencies what to do. Fiorina's claim ("Congress gives us the kind of bureaucracy it wants") suggests the stronger,positivesense of congressionalcontrol. As Moe argues, the use of control in the positive sense is problematic. It implies that bureaucracies are empty vessels that simplyfollow congressional dictates,a tenuous assumption given what we know about executive branch behavior.Worse yet,the assumptionof a passive bureaucracyrendersany effort to assess the impact of changes in structureand process an exercise in nonIf a procedural change alters agency behavior, we have evidence falsifiability. of congressionalcontrol. If an innovationfails to change agency behavior, we stillhave evidence of congressionalcontrol since Congress never intended for the reformto work ("Congress gives us the kind of bureaucracyit wants"). Because the meaning of the termcontrolis open to multipleinterpretations, the remainder of this article speaks of congressional influence rather than congressionalcontrol. Members clearly have incentivesto change policy. PrQcedural changes can push agencies awayfromsome behaviorsand towardothers. But success is not guaranteed. The executivebranch will tryto nullifyreforms it opposes. On some occasions a procedural change may give Congress great influenceover foreignpolicy,in othersituationsmoderateinfluence,and in still othersno influence.The task then is twofold:to identifythe conditionsunder and degree to which procedural changes succeed in achievingtheirstatedaims, and to identifythe strategiesthat presidentsand agencies use to defeat the intentof legislatedchanges in the structureand process of government. Procedural Changes and Foreign Policy In arguingthatCongressuses proceduresto influencepolicy,new institutionalists largelyignore foreign policy. This neglect persistseven though Congress enacted numerous procedural changes on foreignpolicy in the 1970s and 1980s and though foreignpolicy offersto test the limitsof the claim that procedure shapes policy. Because conventionalwisdom minimizesCongress's role in foreign policy,evidence that procedural innovationsenable Congress to influence foreign policy would add substantial support to the arguments of the new institutionalists. The procedural changes Congress imposes on decision making in foreign policyfallinto fivemajor categories.The firsttypeof proceduralchange creates new institutionsinside the executive branch that will be more sympatheticto 286 Congress,ForeignPolicy,and theNew Institutionalism the preferencesof Congress. Here Congress proceeds froma simpleassumption about bureaucraticlife: policies that don't have champions in the bureaucracy are doomed. In recentyears Congress has created the Special Operations Command and the post of Undersecretaryof Defense for Acquisition to remedy perceived deficienciesin the Department of Defense (DoD), establishedan independent inspector general's officeat the Central IntelligenceAgency (CIA) to help prevent a repeat of the Iran-contraaffair,and directed the State Departmentto open a new bureau for South Asia as part of an effortto see that the United States gives greateremphasis to the Indian subcontinent. A second type of procedural innovation is the legislativeveto (see Gibson, 1992). All legislativevetoes share the same basic quid pro quo: Congress delegates authorityto the executive branch to act but reserves the right to veto executivebranch decisions by passing a simple (one-house) or concurrent(twohouse) resolution,neitherof whichis subjectto a presidentialveto.The Supreme Court's 1983 ruling in I.N.S. v. Chadha, however, sharply limited the use of simple and concurrentresolutionsas legislativevetoes. Congress responded to requirementsto the law. Chadhain many instancesby adding "report-and-wait" These requirementsstipulate that a policy may not go into effectfor some specified period of time (usually thirtyor forty-five days) after Congress is informedof the decision. In the interim,Congress may block the policy by passing a joint resolution.The shiftto a joint resolutionbenefitsthe president since it is subject to a presidentialveto. The Supreme Court, however,did not entirelyforbidlegislativevetoes. So long as theyaffectcongressionalprocedure ratherthan policy,legislativevetoes pass constitutionalmuster(Franckand Bob, 1985:942-944). The Omnibus Trade and CompetitivenessAct of 1988, for procedure forconsidering instance,allows the presidentto extend the fast-track trade agreementsas long as neitherchamberadopts a resolutionof disapproval withinninetydays of his request for an extension.PresidentBush invoked the provisionin March 1991 when he extended for two years the fast-trackprocedure forconsideringany agreementthat emerges fromthe Uruguay Round of the General Agreementon Tariffsand Trade (GATT). A third type of procedural innovation enfranchisesnew groups into the decision-makingprocess. Underlyingthisinnovationis the beliefthatthe newly enfranchisedgroups will push policy in the directionCongress prefers.Sometimes the newly enfranchisedgroups are existingagencies or private groups that share the preferencesof Congress. In 1988, Congress required DoD to solicit recommendationsfrom the Commerce Department when negotiating agreementswithforeigngovernmentson the productionof defense equipment, and the Trade Act of 1974 created privatesectoradvisorygroups to advise the executive branch during trade talks. Members also legislate themselves into decision making. Congress has mandated a formalprocess of executive-legislativeconsultationsfordrug policyand formonitoringthe HelsinkiAccord (Galey, 1985; Meyer, 1988). A fourthtype of procedural innovationinvolvesspecifyingnew procedures forthe executivebranch to follow.The premisehere is thatthe new procedures willproduce decisions more to Congress's liking.Some proceduresimpose rules the executivebranch must follow.For example, the Omnibus Trade and CompetitivenessAct of 1988 broadened the definitionof unfairtrade practicesand terminatedthe InternationalTrade Commission'sdiscretionto investigateclaims of dumping. The changes were designed to make it easier for injured groups to claim relief (Nivola, 1990:235-239; O'Halloran, 1990:13-14; King, 1991:255-257). Other procedural requirementsprovide forconditionalauthorizations. Here, Congress allows the executivebranch to proceed as it sees fitso long as certain conditions are met. Conditional authorizationsare popular on JAMES M. LINDSAY 287 human rightspolicy.The Jackson-VanikAmendment,forexample, barred the presidentfromgrantingmost-favored-nation statusto non-marketcountriesthat deny theircitizensthe rightto emigrate(Korn, 1992). Likewise,in 1981, Congressconditionedarms sales to Chile on presidentialcertification thatChile had taken steps to bring the murderersof Orlando Letelier to justice (Forsythe, 1989:104). The last major type of procedural innovationis the reportingrequirement. As a general rule,reportingrequirementsare designed to keep Congressabreast of executive branch behavior and therebygive members of Congress the opportunityto mobilize against policies they dislike. Current statutes contain roughly 600 requirements for routine reports on foreign policy (Collier, 1988:75), and in the 1980s Congress requested on average 500 reports each year fromDoD (Lindsay, 1988:61). Reportingrequirementscome in three variants (U.S. Congress, House, 1988, 1989b). Notification provisionsrequire the executivebranch to informCongress of agency actions or decisions. The War Powers Resolution, for example, requires presidentsto notifyCongress when they send U.S. troops into situationsof imminenthostilitiesand when they substantiallyenlarge the number of U.S. troops stationed overseas. Periodic reports require the executivebranch to reportthe statusof programsat specified time intervals(e.g., quarterly,semi-annually,annually) or at certainmilestones in the life of the program (e.g., end of basic research,completionof developmental testing).For instance, since 1978 Congress has required the State Departmentto report every sixtydays on the progress of effortsto resolve the Cyprus dispute, and since 1975 Congress has required DoD to submitannual arms control impact statementsfor major weapons programs. One-time reports are requests for studies of specificissues. In recentyears such one-timereports have covered topics as diverse as the help available for civiliansleftjobless by the closing of militarybases, the effectof burning oil on U.S. troops in the Persian Gulf,and the statusof any militarycooperationbetweenthe U.S.-aided resistancein Cambodia and the Khmer Rouge (Fessler, 1991b). How successfulare procedural innovationsin shaping foreignpolicy? The ideal way to answer the question is to studythe universeof innovationsor some representativesample. In practice, this strategyis impossible. Not only has Congress enacted a myriadof differentprocedural innovations,which makes the set of possible cases enormous, the innovationscover matterslarge and small, which makes it difficultto determinewhat constitutesa representative sample. An alternativestrategy,and one favoredby many new institutionalists, is to studya specificprocedural change in the hope of gleaning more general lessons. But the single case study strategyraises well-knowndifficultieswith generalizability. Faced withthese problems,I pursue a compromisestrategy.The pages that follow explore five major procedural reforms:the Office of the Director of Operational Test and Evaluation, the legislativeveto on arms sales, legislative participationin trade negotiations,the conditions attached to U.S. security assistance,and the reportingrequirementsimposed on the intelligencecommunity.Each case representsone of the five major types of procedural innovations,and each case involvesa differentset of policyissues and foreignpolicy agencies. Althoughnot strictly representative,the diversityof the cases provides some basis forspeculatingboth about Congress'sinfluencein foreignpolicyand about the claims made by the new institutionalists. Of course, assessing congressionalinfluenceis difficult. Two particularproblems presentthemselveshere. The firstis determiningwhat goals an innovation is designed to achieve. Because legislatorsmay be more interestedin blame avoidance than in affectingpolicy,the statedaims of an innovationmay not be 288 Congress,ForeignPolicy,and theNew Institutionalism what its sponsors or supporters hoped to achieve. But given the difficulty of determiningthe motives of individual members,let alone the motives of the institution, it is more reasonable to accept the public rationaleforan innovation than to riskthe post hoc, ergopropterhoc fallacyby inferringthe legislativeintent fromthe historyof the bill's implementation. The second problemlies in determiningwhen proceduralinnovationssucceed in givingCongress influenceover foreignpolicy.Many factorsbesides congressional pressureaffectexecutivebranch decision making,and these otherfactors may produce significantpolicychanges. For the purposes of thispaper, then,a proceduralinnovationis deemed successfulto the extentthatthe administration has changed its policy to comply with congressionalpreferencesand no other factorcan account for the policychange. The Office of the Director of Operational Test and Evaluation In 1983, Congress passed legislation creating an independent Office of the Director of Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E) in the Pentagon. The legislation,which passed overwhelminglyin both the House and Senate, came on the heels of highlypublicized chargesthatDoD had failedto subjectweapons systemsto realisticoperational testsand that the serviceshad manipulated test resultsto put weapons systemsin a favorablelight.Congress assigned the new testingofficefour distincttasks: (1) to prescribe policies and procedures for DoD on operational testing;(2) to advise the Secretaryof Defense on relevant budgetarymatters;(3) to review all service plans for operational testing;and, by far the most important,(4) to evaluate the adequacy of operational testing of individual weapons systems.To give DOT&E clout in its inevitablebattles withthe services,Congress stipulatedthat DoD could not proceed beyond lowrate initialproductionof a weapons systemuntilDOT&E had reportedto both Congress and the Secretaryof Defense. Congress also sought to enhance the clout of DOT&E by stipulatingthat its Director would report directlyto the Secretaryof Defense ratherthan to other DoD officials.And, leery'that career militaryofficialswould be vulnerable to pressure from their parent services, Congress directed that the Director of DOT&E be a civilian appointee (U.S. Congress, House, 1983; Gordon, 1984a). Despite overwhelmingcongressionalsupport forbetteroperational testingor perhaps because of it-DOT&E got off to a shaky startin the Pentagon. Senior DoD officialshad opposed the legislationcreatingDOT&E, arguing that an independent testingofficewas unnecessary.Having failedto stop the testing officeat the proposal stage, DoD officialssought to derail it at the implementationstage by definingoperationaltestingso narrowlythatDOT&E would have a limitedrole in weapons acquisition (Gordon, 1984a, 1984b). DOT&E's advocates on Capitol Hill eventuallyforced DoD to relent. Proponents of DOT&E met with much less success, however,in convincingthe Pentagon to embrace the testoffice.It took untilthe springof 1985, eighteenmonthsafterCongress created DOT&E, for the Secretaryof Defense to appoint a Director,and the appointmentcame onlyafterCongressconditionedappropriationof $40 million for developmental testing(which is handled by a differentofficein DoD) on the selection of a Director of DOT&E (Gordon, 1984a). Even then, the first several Directors of DOT&E hardly fitthe profileof the 'junkyard dog" that many in Congress envisionedwhen theycreated the post.John Krings,the first Director of DOT&E, sparked particularanger on Capitol Hill. An Air Force aircraftforMcDonnell Douglas forthirty veteranwho had test-flown years,Krings JAMES M. LINDSAY 289 saw his job as workingwith the services"and not to catch them when they're wrong" (quoted in Morrison, 1987:943). In August 1985 the testingofficeseemed to fulfillthe hopes of its sponsors when DoD canceled the Sgt. York Division Air Defense (DIVAD) gun. Only three days before the decision was announced, DOT&E had criticizedDIVAD for its poor test performances.It turned out, however,that pressure to cancel DIVAD had come fromotheragencies withinDoD; DOT&E took a tough stance only when it became clear the program would be canceled. Congressional disappointment with DOT&E grew furtherin February 1986 when the testing officesigned offon a Pentagon decision to move the Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-AirMissile (AMRAAM) into production even though half of the test missiles had malfunctionedseverelyenough to warrantbeing returnedto the manufacturer(Morrison, 1986). Then in early 1987, legislatorslearned that DOT&E had glossed over problems withthe avionic systemsof the B-lB in its reportsto Congress. The Directorof DOT&E laterexplained whythe $3-billion problem withthe avionic systemsmeritedonly fivelines in the middle of a 145page report: "What the hell are you going to tell them [membersof Congress] for?There would have been a hell of a lot of hullabaloo. Do you thinkby telling them theywould have been more understanding?"(quoted in Gross, 1987:8). The DIVAD, AMRAAM, and B-lB episodes led Congress to ask the General AccountingOffice (GAO) to study the work of DOT&E. GAO's findingsconfirmedlegislativefears. In March 1987, GAO reported that DOT&E officials had witnessed few operational tests firsthandand that "DOT&E's analysis of operational tests is primarilybased on militaryservice test reports with little assessmentof actual testreports"(U.S. General AccountingOffice,1987:2). A July 1988 GAO report reviewed six weapons programs and concluded that "operationaltestand evaluation under DOT&E oversighthas fallenshortof the objectivessought by the Congress when it establishedthe office"(U.S. General Accounting Office, 1988:2). Among other shortcomings,GAO cited DOT&E for using shoddy test methodologies, failing to keep adequate records, and providingCongress with incomplete and inaccurate information.A May 1990 GAO reportconcluded that DOT&E "has made littleprogressin assuring that earlier OT&E [operational testand evaluation] is planned and conducted. The militaryservices generallyare not conducting or planning to conduct OT&E untilafterproductionstart-up"(U.S. General AccountingOffice,1990a:2). If DOT&E has not lived up to the expectationsof its supporterson Capitol Hill, ithas not been a totalfailure.DOT&E has convincedthe servicesto improve theirtest planning, although it has not convinced the servicesto initiateoperational testingbefore low-rateinitialproductionbegins (U.S. General Accounting Office,1987). The improvementsin testplanninghave influencedtheconduct of tests. In itsJuly 1988 study GAO found evidence of a discernibleDOT&E impactin four of the six weapons systemsexamined. DOT&E also has enlarged its professionalstaffdespite a decline in defense spending. Whereas DOT&E had only sixteenprofessionalstaffmembersin 1987, in 1991 the number stood at thirty-six (U.S. General AccountingOffice,1987; Gottschalk,1991). Still,none of these successescan obscure the factthatDOT&E has largelyfailedin itsmain mission of improving operational testing. Arms Sales and the Legislative Veto In the 1960s, U.S. weapons exports grew dramatically.Concerned that arms sales had become a major policy tool that lay beyond congressional control, 290 Congress,ForeignPolicy,and theNew Institutionalism Congress passed several laws designed to give itselfa say in arms sales policy (see, e.g., Sciarra, 1988; Warburg,1989; CongressionalQuarterly,1990; Gibson, 1992). In 1976 the various statuteswere incorporatedinto the ArmsExport and Control Act. The provisionsstipulatedthat the presidentmust notifyCongress of all major arms sales proposals and that Congress could block any sale by passing a concurrentresolutionwithinthirtydays of the notification.The law furtherprovided that the president could waive the thirty-daynotice, and therebyskirtCongress, by invokingnational securityreasons. Presidentshave invoked the waiver only twice(Kegley and Wittkopf,1991:415). Congress has never vetoed an arms sale. The firstmajor effortto invoke the legislativeveto against an arms sale package came in 1981 when the Reagan administrationproposed selling five AWACS aircraftto Saudi Arabia. The House voted to halt the sale, but the Senate fell three votes shortof blocking the plan. When the Supreme Court ruled in 1983 that legislativevetoes are unconstitutionalin most instances,Congress replaced the legislativeveto provisionin the Arms Export and ControlAct witha report-and-wait requirement. The presidentstillmust notifyCongress of all major arms sales, and Congress has thirtydays to pass a joint resolutiondenyingthe sale. Even withthe changes mandated by Chadha, the legislation governing arms sales did not become a dead letter.In 1986, Congress came withinone vote of overridinga presidential veto of a resolutiondenyingan arms sale to Saudi Arabia. The Reagan administrationwon a narrow victoryeven though it deleted the most controversial weapons fromthe package and though it sliced the dollar value of the original proposal by two-thirds(Crabb and Holt, 1989:118). Although Congress has never vetoed an arms sale, it does have a say in U.S. arms sales policy. As the evolution of the 1986 arms package to Saudi Arabia illustrates,Congressexercisesitsinfluencemostlythrough"anticipatedreactions" (Friedrich,1941:589-591). Examples abound of administrations withdrawingor modifyingproposals to forestallcongressionalopposition.Ford and Cartermodifiedseveralarms packages to bluntcriticismon Capitol Hill (Gilmourand Craig, 1984:375-376). Three timesbetween 1983 and 1985 the Reagan administration proposed selling arms to Jordan, and all three times it withdrewthe proposal because itjudged the package would not pass musterin Congress (Congressional Quarterly,1990a:79-80). In 1987 the Reagan administrationwithdrewa proposal to sell arms to Saudi Arabia. The deal was subsequentlyapproved, but only after the administrationdeleted the most contentiousitems (Kegley and Wittkopf,1991:416). Following the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait the Bush administrationpostponed another plan to sell weapons to Saudi Arabia (Stanfield, 1991:79). Without the report-and-waitrequirementand the prospect of a legislativeveto (howeverremote),manyof these arms deals would have proceeded. But is Congress's influenceover arms sales real? Afterall, presidentsmight pad their initial proposals anticipatingthe need to scale down the package to placate opponents on Capitol Hill. Yet the intensityof White House lobbying on arms sales, the extensiverevisionsmade to manyproposals,and the factthat public decisions to revamp arms deals strainrelationswith the client state all suggest that the changes Congress forces in arms packages are real and not merelythe product of executivebranch gamesmanship. What of the fact that Congress routinelyapproves arms sales to countries outside the Arab world? Does this mean that the legislationon arms sales is irrelevant?Domestic politics clearly figuresin Congress's opposition to arms sales toJordanand Saudi Arabia. Yet self-interested behaviordoes not disqualify the realityof congressionalinfluence,nor should it obscure the factthatthe bulk of Americanarms sales are to the Middle East. Moreover,Congress'squiescence on arms sales to other regions is no more evidence of congressionaldeference JAMES M. LINDSAY 291 to the presidentthan it is evidence of presidentialdeferenceto Congress. The silence of Congress on arms sales outside the Middle East more than likely signifiescongressionalagreementwiththe president. Legislative Participation in Trade Negotiations The Trade Act of 1974 created a formal role for members of Congress in internationaltrade talks.The Act stipulatesthatat the beginningof each session of Congress fivemembersof the Senate Finance Committeeand fivemembers of the House Ways and Means Committeebe designated officialcongressional advisers to U.S. trade negotiations.The congressionaladvisers are entitledto consultregularlywithU.S. negotiatorsand to participatedirectlyin trade talks. Committeestaffalso are entitledto monitorthe talksand to attend negotiating sessions. To remedy potential informationalimbalances between the executive and Congress, the Act furtherdirects the administrationto keep the Senate Finance Committee and the House Ways and Means Committee "currently informed"on the statusof trade talks.Officiallegislativeparticipationin trade negotiationsis now standard practice,having occurred in the Tokyo Round of GATT, the U.S.-Canada Free Trade Pact, the North American Free Trade Agreement,and the Uruguay Round of GATT negotiations. The designation of officialcongressionaladvisers to trade talks is part of a series of provisions embedded in the Trade Act of 1974 for the purpose of increasing congressional influence over the content of trade agreements. Although the Constitutionvests in Congress the power "to regulate Commerce withforeignNations," the Smoot-Hawleydebacle persuaded Congress to delegate authorityfor negotiatingtariffadjustmentsto the president.The preference for delegating authorityto the president persisted into the 1960s and culminatedin the substantialtariffreductionsof the Kennedy Round. But the agreementsreached at the Kennedy Round also stirredcomplaintsin Congress that presidentswere too willingto sacrificedomesticeconomic interestsfor the sake of diplomaticobjectives.Congress's ire was reflectedin its repudiation of twoagreementsnegotiatedduringthe Kennedy Round thatwould have reduced non-tariff barriers(O'Halloran, 1993). Does designating members of Congress as trade advisers mean that trade agreementsbetterreflectcongressionalpreferences?Tojudge bytheconventional wisdom on who mattersin U.S. trade policy, the answer is no. Although no extended research has been done on the workof the congressionalnegotiators, most of the major studies of U.S. trade policy minimizeCongress's role as a player (see, e.g., Destler, 1986a, 1986b; Goldstein, 1988; Haggard, 1988). As evidence that Congress has littlesay in the contentof trade agreements,studies typicallypoint to the lopsided votes on the legislationthat implementstrade agreements.The Senate approved the implementinglegislationfor the Tokyo Round, forexample, bya vote of 90 to 4, and the House approved the legislation by a vote of 395 to 7. As appealing as the conventionalwisdommaybe, it suffersseveralflaws.One is thatfloorvotes say nothingabout the balance of power betweenCongress and the president.The implementingagreementsfor the Tokyo Round may have passed overwhelminglyeither because Congress deferred to the president or because the agreementsreflectedcongressionalpreferences.A second problem is thatif,as I. M. Destler (1986b) suggests,the Trade Act of 1974 and subsequent trade legislationfunctionmerelyto insulate Congress fromblame and not to influencepolicy,then why don't interestgroups see throughthe ruse? And, if protectionistsentimentincreased substantiallyin the United States in the 1970s, 292 Congress,ForeignPolicy,and theNew Institutionalism as virtuallyeveryone agrees, why did the Tokyo Round elicit less controversy than did agreementsreached during the Kennedy Round? Doubt about the conventionalwisdom does not establishthat congressional negotiatorsinfluencedtradeagreements.Recenttradenegotiationsprovidesuch evidence. During the Tokyo Round, the Carteradministrationtook the congressional advisersseriously.The administrationgave them and theirstaffaccess to all cable trafficwith the trade delegation. Administrationofficialsalso listened to Congress. Robert Strauss (1987:vii) writes: "During my tenure as Special Trade Representative,I spent as much time negotiatingwithdomestic constituents (both industryand labor) and members of the U.S. Congress as I did negotiatingwith our foreign trading partners."Other participantssay, "The dialogue between Congress and the administrationleft the trade negotiators witha clear idea of the political parameterswithinwhich theywere working" (Cassidy, 1981:273; see also Twiggs, 1987:107-108). The behavior of Congress during and afterthe Tokyo Round also suggests thatlegislativeparticipationinfluencedthecontentofthefinalagreement.Several of the congressionalnegotiatorswere involvedin the nitty-gritty of the negotiations (Twiggs, 1987:107). Despite increased protectionistsentiment,Congress made the administrationrenegotiateonly one of the agreementsreached at the Tokyo Round (and a minorone at that). Many memberssingledout the quality of legislative-executive consultationsas the main reason whyCongressapproved the implementinglegislation for the Tokyo Round (U.S. Congress, House, 1980:137; Twiggs, 1987:30-31; Gorlin, 1990:69-70). Tangible evidence of congressional satisfactionwith the process came when Congress extended the procedures prescribedin the 1974 Act for eight more years. Congressional involvement in the talks on the U.S.-Canada Free Trade Agreementhad more mixed results.When negotiationsstalled in late 1986, a meeting between Canadian negotiatorsand congressionalnegotiatorsrevived the talks (Congressional Record, 1988:S12783; U.S. Congress, Senate, 1988:5). When negotiations faltered again in 1987, "congressionalsuggestions to the negotiators helped to break the impasse, and agreement [in principle] was reached" (U.S. Congress, House, 1989a: 102). Even withthese successes, many legislatorslatercomplained thatthe Reagan administrationhad failedto consult Congress adequately during the finalphase of the negotiations.Congress retaliated by forcingthe administrationto give it an extra six monthsto reviewand shape the implementinglegislationfor the agreement.Congress also sought to ensure greaterexecutive-legislative consultationsin the futureby insertinglanguage in the Omnibus Trade and CompetitivenessAct of 1988 thatbroadened the role of the congressionaladvisersand imposed substantiallygreaterreporting requirementson the executivebranch (Gorlin, 1990:67). None of the foregoing proves that congressional participationaffectsthe course of trade talks. Administrationofficialsmight exaggerate the role of Congress to placate legislatorsand membersmightpraise the process because it insulatesthem fromblame. On balance, though,participationdoes appear to give legislatorsinfluenceover trade agreements.That is not to say thatCongress makes trade policy-congressional participationappears to tell the administration (and America's negotiatingpartners)which proposals to avoid ratherthan whichones to make. Human Rights and Section 502B In a bid to give human rightsgreaterprominencein U.S. foreignpolicy,Congressamended Section 502B of the Foreign AssistanceAct on several occasions JAMES M. LINDSAY 293 in the 1970s to stipulate that U.S. securityassistance should be linked to the human rightspracticesof recipientcountries(see Cohen, 1982). Today Section 502B holds that "no securityassistance may be provided to any countrythe governmentof which engages in a consistentpattern of gross violations of internationallyrecognized human rights"(quoted in Forsythe,1987:383). The statutealso bars the export of crime control equipment to gross violatorsof human rights.The only exception to the blanketprohibitionis a provisionthat allows the presidentto waive Section 502B under "extraordinary circumstances." To ensure compliance with Section 502B, the Secretaryof State is required to reportto Congress each year on the human rightsrecordsof aid recipients.By simple resolution the House and Senate, as well as the Foreign AffairsCommitteeand the Foreign RelationsCommittee,mayrequire the State Department to provide additional informationon individual countries.If the Secretaryof State fails to provide the required informationwithinthirtydays, the aid is automaticallyterminated.Congress may also limitor halt securityassistanceby passing a joint resolutionto that effect. The impact of Section 502B on U.S. policyis mixed. Neitherthe Carter nor Reagan administrationever declared any country to be a gross violator of human rights,though a half-dozenor so states (e.g., El Salvador, Guatemala, Indonesia) seemed to fitthe bill. Nor did Carter or Reagan ever invoke the extraordinarycircumstancesprovisionto exempt a countryfromthe reach of Section 502B. If anything,both presidentssaw the statuteas impeding diplomacy. "Accordingto several State Departmentofficialsand documents,neither the Carter nor Reagan Administrationswished to publiclylabel any countryas a consistentand gross violatorof human rightsbecause it would be too difficult to clear a countryof such a label once given" (U.S. General AccountingOffice, 1986:3-4). The similaritiesin the approaches the Carter and Reagan administrations took to observing the letterof Section 502B disappear when it comes to the spiritof the law. Section 502B had some influenceon the Carteradministration's decisions on securityassistance (Cohen, 1982:35; Forsythe,1987:383; Broder and Lambek, 1988:124). Despite its public rhetoricon human rights,the administration'scompliance with the essence of Section 502B was far fromcomplete. Indonesia, for instance, continued to receive securityassistance despite ample evidence of its human rightsabuses in East Timor. Yet the fear that Congress would enact country-specific legislationif Section 502B were ignored entirelyapparentlyconvincedthe administrationto terminatesecurityassistance to Argentina,Bolivia, El Salvador, Guatemala, Haiti, Nicaragua, Paraguay, and Uruguay. The Carter administrationalso barred the export of crime control equipment to several countries,includingIran and the Soviet Union. The record of the 1980s is anotherstory.The Reagan administrationrefused to linksecurityassistanceto human rightspractices.It also manipulatedexportcontrol regulations to circumventSection 502B's ban on the private sale of defense items to gross violators.In 1981, for example, the administrationapproved the sale of militarycargo trucksto Guatemala a week afterthe trucks had been removed from the list of controlled exports (Broder and Lambek, 1988:130). The administration'scontempt for Section 502B was reflectedin congressionalbehavior; as the 1980s wore on, legislatorswho wanted security assistance conditioned on human rightsturned their effortstoward enacting country-specific legislation(Forsythe,1987:385; Broder and Lambek, 1988:132143). Despite its disdain for the core provisionsof Section 502B, the Reagan administrationdid implementthe provisionsregardingthe exportof crimecontrol equipment.In fact,"interviewstowardthe end of the firstReagan administration 294 Congress,ForeignPolicy,and theNew Institutionalism indicatedthat in a given year Reagan's people at the State Departmentblocked more crimecontrolequipment in the name of human rightsthan Carter'sstaff' (Forsythe, 1987:386). On several occasions where the State Department approved the exportof crimecontrolequipmentto countriesthatpracticedtorture, as happened with both South Africa and South Korea, news coverage of the violationsof Section 502B combined withcongressionalpressureled the administrationto rescind its approval (Forsythe,1987:386). Reporting Requirements and Covert Operations Withthe passage of the Hughes-RyanAmendmentof 1974 and the Intelligence OversightAct of 1980 Congress provided thatthe presidentmust issue a "finding" authorizingeach covertoperation and thathe must notifythe appropriate congressionalcommitteesof the operation "in a timelyfashion"(see, e.g., Johnson, 1985; Paterson, 1987; Crabb and Holt, 1989; Schmittand Shulsky,1989; Smist, 1990; Treverton, 1990). The reportingrequirementwas intended to improvecongressionaloversightof intelligence.AlthoughneitherHughes-Ryan nor the Intelligence OversightAct required the president to notifyCongress beforelaunchinga covertoperation,proponentsbelieved the factthatCongress would be informed eventuallywould discourage the intelligencecommunity frompursuingquestionable operations.(The presidenthas givenCongressprior notificationof covert operations in all but a half-dozencases since 1974; see Schmittand Shulsky, 1989.) Failing that, proponents believed the reporting requirementwould provide an opportunityto debate the wisdom of a covert operation. The Iran-contraaffairraises doubt about the effectivenessof the reporting requirement.The traditionalreading of the affairis that William Casey and a small group of supportersbypassed the CIA entirely,and, as a result,Congress as well. In thisversionof the story,the CIA did not fulfillthe reportingrequifement because most of its officialswere unaware that a covert operation was under way. A less benign view of CIA involvementcontends that CIA officials helped to plan and administerthe arms sale and then lied to Congress about theiractivities.Whicheverversionof Iran-contrais accurate,in thisspecificcase the reportingrequirementfailed to preventa rogue operation, a failure that led Congress in 1991 to tightenthe reportingrequirementeven further(see Fessler, 1991a, 1991c). Yet in many respects Iran-contra suggests that the reportingrequirement does affectcovert operations. Notificationthat the United States was assisting the contrasled the intelligencecommitteesto prohibitU.S. aid frombeing used to overthrowthe governmentof Nicaragua. This ban evolved into the Boland Amendments,which in turnfueled WilliamCasey's desire foran "off-the-shelf' covert operations team that would circumventcongressionaloversight.When the deputy director of the CIA learned that a CIA officialhad helped ship Hawk missilesfromPortugal to Israel, he insistedthata presidentialfindingbe issued. This demand eventuallyled PresidentReagan to sign a retroactivefinding authorizingthe CIA's involvement(Tower CommissionReport, 1987:162-175; U.S. Congress, 1987:175-186). The Iran-contraaffairaside, it is impossible to know how many covert operations die at birth because of anticipated reactions. As Loch Johnson (1989:101) argues, it is likelythat "the veryrequirementof reportingon these operations serves as a deterrentagainst madcap proposals like those that surfaced withinthe intelligencebureaucracymore easily in the past." Presidents JAMES M. LINDSAY 295 occasionallygive credence to this view when theycomplain, as PresidentBush did when explaining why the United States did not support a coup attemptin Panama in October 1989, that congressionaloversightdiscourages covert operations(Congressional Quarterly,1990b:601-604). Of the plans thatreach Congress,most stirlittleoppositionin the intelligence committees.But some do. Members can use privatecommunicationswith executive branch officials,threatsto expose classifiedinformation,votes in committeeon the operation (though no vote is required), and theircontrolof the purse stringsto convince the administrationto change its plans. Sometimes thesestepsstop an operation. In 1978 the Senate IntelligenceCommitteedeleted fundsforone covertoperation, therebykillingit (Johnson,1989:100). In 1983 the intelligencecommitteespersuaded PresidentReagan to rescindapproval for a plan to fund the overthrowof the governmentof Suriname (Taubman, 1983). In 1988, opposition by the Senate IntelligenceCommitteereportedlyderailed a CIA plan to fund the overthrowof General Manuel Noriega (Congressional Quarterly,1990b:603). And, in the late 1980s, the Senate IntelligenceCommittee forced the CIA to stop a covert program that funneled money to political candidates in Haiti who opposed Jean-BertrandAristide(Bowens, 1993). The reportingrequirement,then, has had considerable success in achieving its avowed goals of preventingrogue operations and making the intelligence communitymore attentiveto the views of Congress. To quote Robert M. Gates (1987/88:224-225), then deputy directorof the CIA: "[T]he CIA today finds itselfin a remarkable position, involuntarilypoised equidistant between the executiveand legislativebranches.The administrationknowsthatthe CIA is in no position to withhold much informationfrom Congress and is extremely sensitiveto congressionaldemands; the Congress has enormous influenceand informationyet remains suspicious and mistrustful." Perhaps Gates overstates how attuned the CIA is to congressionalopinion in order to appease legislators angered by Iran-contra.Even so, the legacy of Iran-contrano doubt has been to make the intelligencecommunityeven more sensitiveto sentimenton (iapitol Hill. Explaining the Mixed Success of Procedural Innovations The fivecase studiessuggestthatproceduralinnovationscan injectcongressional preferencesinto U.S. foreign policy. Yet none of the procedural innovations was a complete success. Moreover,the impactof each innovationvaried. While the legislativeveto on arms sales and the intelligencereportingrequirement affectedpolicysignificantly, the creationof DOT&E promptedat best marginal improvementsin operational testing.The impact of legislativeparticipationin trade talksand of Section 502B lies between these two extremes. Why do procedural innovationshave a mixed record of success? One set of explanations popular withmany foreignpolicy scholarsand some new institutionalistspoints to Congress itselfas the culprit.As mentioned earlier, procedural innovationsmight fail because they were enacted to shield members of Congressfromblame ratherthanto influencepolicy.A second Congress-centered explanation argues that procedural innovationshave a mixed record of success because memberssometimesfudge keydetailsin legislationin order to assemble a winning legislativecoalition. Administrationslater exploit the ambiguityto defeat or blunt the intentof a procedural change. The thirdCongress-centered explanation is more charitable to members than the firsttwo. It argues that whateverthe motivesof the originalsupportersof a proceduralinnovation,the 296 Congress,ForeignPolicy,and theNew Institutionalism composition of Congress, hence the nature of congressional preferences, changes over time. As congressionalpreferenceschange, so does the likelihood thata procedural innovationwill affectthe behavior of the executivebranch. Explanations that attributethe failureof procedural innovationsto Congress have some merit.Blame avoidance playsan unquestionablerole in congressional deliberationson foreignpolicy. In an institutionwith 535 members there will alwaysbe some memberswho value formover substance.Likewise,a good deal of legislationis imprecise. Definitionalproblems,for instance,plague the War Powers Resolution (Katzmann, 1990:49-52). And congressional preferences change over time. The 1980 Senate elections,for example, saw several leading proponents of congressional activismin foreign policy replaced by senators hostileto the procedural innovationsintroducedin the 1970s. As illuminatingas Congress-centeredexplanations may be, there are good reasons to doubt that they fullyexplain the success and failureof procedural innovations.First,the logic underlyingCongress-centeredexplanations is not entirelycompelling.The blame avoidance argument,forinstance,assumes that constituentsare intelligentwhen it comes to demanding congressionalaction but ignorant when it comes to assessing the consequences of congressional action.Althoughsuch an assumptionmightfitthe average voter,it hardlyseems to describeinterestgroups, whichhave both the incentivesand the resourcesto distinguishbetween blame avoidance and serious legislativework. At the same time, presidents have proven skillfulin skirtingthe intent of even precisely craftedlaws. The Reagan administration,for example, refusedto impose sanctions that were mandatoryunder U.S. law on Japan when Japanese fishermen violated the InternationalWhaling Commission's limitson whaling. The Supreme Court upheld the Reagan administration's refusalto impose the sanctions in the 1985 case of Japan Whaling Association v. American Cetacean Society (see Silverstein,n.d.). Second, Congress-centeredexplanationsfail to explain whysome procedural innovationsfall short of their stated objectivesdespite vigorous congressiotial effortsto the contrary.The armed servicescommittees,for example, went to considerablelengthsto make DOT&E work-even going so far as to condition fundingfor developmental testingon the appointmentof a directorfor operational testing.Likewise, the House Foreign AffairsCommittee made a concertedeffortthroughoutthe 1980s to oversee executivebranchcompliancewith Section 502B (Forsythe,1987:404; U.S. General AccountingOffice,1990b). In both cases the legislationwas preciselywritten.Indeed, advocates of DOT&E beat back the effortto definethe testingofficeout of existencebecause the law creating DOT&E specificallygave it broad powers (Gordon, 1984b:122). If congressionalpreferencesalone mattered,then both DOT&E and Section 502B should have influencedpolicy far more than theydid. Third, Congress-centeredexplanations assume that the executive branch merelyresponds to congressionalpressure. Yet everythingwe know about the executivebranch makes thisassumptionuntenable,especiallyin foreignpolicy. The president's policy goals often diverge sharply from those of Congress. Foreign policy bureaucracies have a clear sense of theirown mission,and they frequentlyuse their superior informationand expertiseto resistlegislativeeffortstheydeem undesirable (see, e.g., Aspin, 1973; Fox, 1974; Halperin, 1974; Smith, 1988). As a result,when Congress enacts procedural changes, the executive branch usually moves to counter the effort. Any effortto explain the success and failureof proceduralinnovations,then, needs to look beyond Capitol Hill and to recognize the factorsthat limitthe abilityof members of Congress to use procedural innovationsto shape policy. The fivecases studied here suggest that three factorsare crucial: the intensity JAMES M. LINDSAY 297 of executive preferences,the cost of monitoringthe executivebranch,and the cost of punishing noncompliance. The Intensity of ExecutivePreferences.Procedural changes are least likely to succeed when the executive branch vehementlyopposes them. The reporting requirementsfor covertoperations failed to preventthe Iran-contraaffairbecause the Reagan administrationwilfullyfloutedthe law. DOT&E stumbledin its mission because senior DoD officialsfiercelyresistedCongress's conception of operational testing.The intensityof executivebranch preferencesalso helps to explain whythe success of a procedural change may varyover time. Section 502B had a greater effecton the Carter administrationthan on the Reagan administrationbecause some (but not all) senior officialsin the Carter administrationsympathizedwithCongress's objectives. Presidentsand theirsubordinateshave ample opportunitiesto bluntthe intent of a proceduralchange. At the extreme,the executivebranchmay simplyrefuse to obey the law, as the Reagan administrationdid withits end run around CIA reportingrequirementsduring the Iran-contraaffair.Far more often,officials complywiththe letterbut not the spiritof the law (see, e.g., Aspin, 1973; Fox, 1974; Halperin, 1974; Smith, 1988). There are countless ways agencies can legallycircumventthe law. One popular tacticis to tell Congress bad news in a voice so low that most memberswon't hear, as DOT&E did withits report on the B-lB. Another tacticis to writean implementingregulationthat guts the intentof the legislation.The Reagan administrationused just this ploy when it rewrotethe list of controlledexports to evade the restrictionson militaryassistance to Guatemala. Still another tacticused by the executivebranch to blunt the effectof procedural change is to distortthe informationgiven to Congress. DoD is particularlywell known for its occasionallyimaginativeuse of information; indeed, it was the perceptionthat the serviceswere playingfastand loose withtestdata that prompted the legislationcreatingDOT&E. The CostofMonitoringtheExecutiveBranch. The willingnessof the executive branch to blunt procedural change means that members of Congress must monitor the executive branch if an innovation is to succeed. But monitoring comes at a cost. As it becomes more costlyto detectand prove noncompliance, membersare less inclined to engage in monitoringand the executivebranch is more inclined to ignore congressionalpreferences. As a general rule, it is more costlyfor Congress to detect noncompliance in foreignpolicythan in domesticpolicybecause secrecyis so much more extensive. Yet among foreign policy issues the costs of detectingnoncompliance differ greatly.Some types of executive behavior are relativelyeasy to track. It is difficult,for instance,to hide a shipmentof F-15s; hence, memberscan easily see if the administrationhas observed the thirty-day notice on arms sales. Likewise,the factthatthe administrationultimatelymustrevealthe contentsof trade agreementsmakes it relativelyeasy formembersof Congress to detectnoncompliance. Other types of executive behavior, however, are costly to monitor. Covert operations pose the greatest obstacles to detection because they are designed to be secret. If the cost of detectingnoncompliancevaries fromissue to issue, so does the cost of proving that noncompliance has occurred. On some issues, assessing The reportingrequirementsfor arms sales and compliance is straightforward. covert operations, for instance, impose clear responsibilitieson the executive branch.Failures to notifyCongress of an arms sale or a covertaction are beyond dispute when found, and memberscan move directlyto debatingthe appropri- 298 Congress,ForeignPolicy,and theNew Institutionalism ate response. The prospect of punishmentin turn deters the executive from evading congressionalintent. The cost of provingnoncompliance rises sharply,however,when procedural innovationshinge on subjectivejudgments. Where reasonable people can disagree over whether an agency is complying,congressional energies will be consumed by debates over compliance ratherthan over punishment.Thus, as long as DoD observes the letterof the law on operational testingand the State Departmentdoes likewisein its reportson human rights,theydeny theircritics the ammunitionneeded to marshal support forsanctionsagainst the agency or fornew legislation. The Cost ofPunishing Noncompliance. The success of any effortto forceagency compliance depends ultimatelyon a crediblecommitmentby membersof Congress to punish noncompliance. As Murray Horn and Kenneth Shepsle (1989:502) argue: "[N]either specificityin the enabling legislation,denial of agent flexibility, nor participationby interestedpartiesis necessarilyoptimal or self-fulfilling; therefore,theydo not ensure agent compliance. Ultimately,there must be some enforcementfeature-a credible commitmentto punish." Of course,in manyinstancesthe Supreme Court could requirethe executivebranch to abide by a procedural innovationeven if Congress refusedto act. In practice, however, the Court gives great deference to executive branch discretion in foreignpolicy,oftengoing so faras to refuseto rule on foreignpolicydisputes betweenCongress and the presidenton the grounds thatpoliticaland not legal questions are at stake (Pritchett,1990; Uhlmann, 1990; Franck, 1991, 1992; Silverstein,n.d.). As a result,no matterhow tightlydrawn or finelycrafted, proceduralinnovationsin foreignpolicywillflopin the face of executivebranch hostilityif Congress refusesto punish instancesof noncompliance. Although the prospect of punishmentis crucial to the success of procedural innovations,the cost of enforcingprocedural innovations(and, as a result,the likelihood they will succeed) varies across issues. In some situationsthe very nature of the issue makes it relativelyeasy for Congress to punish noncompliance. In the case of the intelligencereportingrequirements,for example, a single leak may derail a covertoperation. As a result,the CIA has good reason to anticipatethe mood on Capitol Hill in designingits proposal. The costs of punishmentare also likelyto be low where the administrationneeds congressional consent. In the case of trade talks,for instance,no trade agreementcan go into effectwithoutthe approval of Congress. The fact that a majorityof either house can derail a trade agreement gives the executivebranch a strong incentiveto listento congressionalnegotiators. In other situationsthe nature of what membersof Congress want to accomplish may make enforcementcostly.Justas compellance is farharderto achieve than deterrence,enforcementcosts tend to be much higher when Congress wants agencies to adopt new policies rather than to stop existingones. The armed servicescommitteeswere hampered in theireffortto forceDoD to place more emphasis on operational testingbecause the traditionalpunishmentcuttingoffthe program'sfunding-was useless; the Pentagon would have been happy to do withoutDOT&E. The committeesinstead tried to pressure DoD by holding hostage the funding for developmental testing.As a general rule, however,threatsto hold other programshostage are difficultto make credible. They frequentlystumbleover policyobjections(the programbeing held hostage is needed) or parochial concerns (don't take a program that employs my constituentshostage). An objection that mightbe raised at this point is that members themselves JAMES M. LINDSAY 299 set the costs of monitoringand punishing the executive branch. (It is hard to argue that membersof Congress determineexecutivepreferences.)The objection has some merit. Monitoringcosts are partlya functionof the kinds of reportingrequirementschosen and of how preciselythe legislationis written. And whethermembersdelegate authorityto the executivebranch or hold it for themselvesinfluencesthe cost of punishingnoncompliance.Until the Supreme Court ruled legislative vetoes unconstitutional,for instance, members could reduce the cost of punishing noncompliance by opting for a one-house rather than a two-houseveto. Nonetheless,the costs of monitoringand punishingthe executivebranch are to a greatextentbeyond congressionalinfluence.The need forsecrecyin foreign policylimitsthe abilityof membersto lowerthe costsof detectingnoncompliance by shiftingthe burden of oversightonto privatesectorgroups. (While in theory memberschoose secrecyand the higherdetectioncosts it entails,the nature of world politics makes deciding between secrecy and openness somethingof a Hobson's choice, and constitutionalpracticeseverelyrestrictsCongress's ability to compel an administrationto disclose matterspertainingto diplomacy.)Some policy goals simplyare incompatiblewithobjectivemeasures of compliance no matterhow preciselythe law is written.And memberswillalwaysfindit harder to compel the executive branch to adopt new policies than to block existing ones. Conclusion New institutionalists argue that traditionalstudiesof Congress have mistakenly treated the substance of governmentpolicy separatelyfrom the process that produces policy. According to the argumentadvanced by new institutionalists, members of Congress can use their say over the structureand procedures of governmentto ensure that the policies that emerge fromthe executivebranch will reflecttheirpolicy preferences.In short,delegation is not necessarilyabdication because membersof Congress may have used procedural innovationsto structurethe decision-makingprocess in the executivebranchin waysthatmake it likelythat theirpreferredpolicies are chosen. have focused theirattentionalmost solely on Although new institutionalists domestic policy issues, the fivecase studies presented in this articleshow that theirargumentapplies to foreignpolicy as well. To be sure, procedural innovations are not perfectinstrumentsof congressionalinfluence.In none of the five cases studied here did the procedural innovation totallyfulfillits stated aims. Nonetheless, the case studies do show that procedural innovationscan bringexecutive branch behavior more closelyinto line withthe preferencesof Congress. The findingspresented here suggest that the traditionalliteratureon Congress and foreign policy understatesthe extent of congressionalinfluence in foreignpolicy making. Because most scholars have focused theirattentionon Congress's relativelymeager trackrecord on substantivelegislation,they have overlooked the successes that members of Congress have had in using procedural innovationsto inject theirpolicy preferencesinto the policy-makingprocess. This is not to say that foreign policy in the United States is made by Congress, as many administrationofficialsand their sympathizersclaimed in the 1980s (see, e.g., Rodman, 1985; Crovitzand Rabkin, 1989; Rostow, 1989). The case studies presented here clearlyshow that the executive branch is well positioned to blunt (if only partially)the impact of procedural innovationsit 300 Congress,ForeignPolicy,and theNew Institutionalism dislikes.Still,procedural innovationsremain an importanttool which members of Congress have used successfullyin theireffortsto make U.S. foreignpolicy reflecttheirpolicy preferences. The findingspresented here are also relevantto the literatureon the new institutionalism. In particular,theysuggestthat futureworkon Congress's use of procedural innovations,whether on foreign or domestic policy, needs to employmore sophisticatedassumptionsabout executiveand legislativebehavior. Three such assumptionsstand out. First,futurestudiesneed to recognizemuch more explicitlythat the relativeintensityof executive and congressionalpreferences mattersas much as the content of those preferences.On any given issue, Congress and the executive branch may differin the intensityof their preferences,and these differentintensitieswill have predictableconsequences for the success of procedural innovations.Procedural change is most likelyto succeed where executive branch opposition is low and least likelyto succeed where executive branch opposition is high. Second, futurestudies need to recognize that the cost to Congress of monitoringthe executive branch is not fixed; rather,it varies across policydomains and issue areas. Most new institutionalists assume that "agency decisions are a matterof public record" and that "administrativeprocedures are typicallydesigned to force maximum revelation of the informationand actions of an agency" (Calvert et al., 1989:599). Although both statementsmay be true for much of domestic policy,quite the opposite is the case withmany defense and foreignpolicyissues. In many (but by no means all) areas of foreignpolicy,the need for secrecy limitsthe abilityof members of Congress to compel agency disclosureand therebyto shiftthe cost of detectingand provingnoncompliance onto othergroups. Afterall, no one would seriouslysuggestthatthe CIA should be compelled to make public its intelligenceoperations or that DoD should be required to disclose the complete resultsof its weapons testing.Again, as the cost of detectingand proving noncompliance rises,the likelysuccess of a procedural innovationdiminishes. Recognizingthat monitoringcosts varyacross policydomains and issue areas does not deny the claim that membersof Congress have a greaterincentiveto acquire informationabout executive branch behavior when the politicalstakes in question make it worthwhileto do so. The crucial point here, however, is thatthe enthusiasmwithwhich memberswant to acquire informationdoes not determine the cost of acquiring that information.Indeed, while it is almost certainlytrue that members of Congress will bear greatercosts to monitorthe executive branch when the political stakes are high, these are precisely the situationsin which the executive branch has the greatestincentiveto increase Congress's monitoringcosts by misrepresentingor disguisinginformation.Indeed, on issues that are normallycloaked in great secrecy (e.g., intelligence operations), the executive branch enjoys a tremendousinformationadvantage over even the most intenselymotivatedmembersof Congress. Third, futurestudies need to pay greaterattentionto the cost to Congress of punishing instances of agency noncompliance. New institutionalists have explored in considerable detail the relativeefficacyof ex ante and ex post controls on executivebranch behavior. But, as already mentioned,ex ante controlswork only to the extentthat executive branch officialsbelieve that membersof Congress are willingto punish instancesof noncompliance. If officialsbelieve that transgressionswill go unpunished, they are free to ignore congressionalpreferences. Yet the case studies presented here show that the cost of punishment is not fixed; rather,the cost of punishing noncompliance,like the cost of detectingit, varies across policydomains and fromissue to issue. Of course, the cost of punishingagency transgressionsis partlyset by mem- JAMES M. LINDSAY 301 bers of Congress themselves;for example, the cost of punishmentdepends to some extenton whethermembersdelegate authorityto the executivebranch or hold it for themselves.Yet much of the cost of punishmentlies beyond the direct control of Congress. For example, the cost of punishment is greatly influenced by the attitudes of the courts. Over the past several decades the Supreme Court has tended to read congressionallegislationfar more narrowly, and presidentialprerogativefarmore broadly,in foreignaffairsthanin domestic affairs(Silverstein,1993). Because the courtsare much more reluctantto curb executivediscretionin foreignpolicythan theyare in domesticpolicy,Congress is farless able to shiftthe costs of enforcingits procedural innovationsonto the judiciary when it comes to foreignpolicy. At the same time,the cost of punishmentalso depends on the specificstructure of executive-legislativeinteractionson an issue. Thus, in some cases Congresscan punish a transgressiononlyby overcomingits own inertiaand passing legislation(e.g., the War Powers Resolution); in other instances Congress can punish transgressionssimply by withholdingits approval (e.g., trade agreements),and in stillother instancesCongress can punish transgressionsthrough non-legislativemeans (e.g., by leaking secrets).Likewise,it is far more difficult forCongress to compel executivebranch behaviorthan to deter it. Because the structureof executive-legislativeinteractionlies beyond congressionalcontrol, the ability to render punishment costless does as well. And, as the cost of punishingthe executivebranchincreases,membersof Congress findthemselves less able to inject theirpreferencesinto the decision-makingprocess. On a finalnote, futureresearchinto Congress'srole in foreignpolicymaking needs to avoid becoming bogged down in a steriledebate over whetheror not Congress controlsforeignpolicy. 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