.ii'hr1GllSflOl:l~""COllllflfllllcaf Federal Office of Road Safety SPEED PERCEPTION 1: DRIVERS' JUDGEMENTS OF SAFETY AND SPEED ON URBAN AND RURAL STRAIGHT ROADS ,Prepared by RACV Limited I\t4ELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA CR54 May 1987 ~. I' '~l'i.\ DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORT FEDERAL OFFICE OF ROAD SAFETY DOCUMENT Report CR 54 Title RETRIEVAL INFORMATION No. and I Date 1987 I 171 o 642 I ISBN Pages 51035 I CR=0810-770X ISSN Subtitle SPEED PERCEPTION 1, Drivers' j~dgements on urban and rural straight roads. of safety and speed Author (51 FILDES, Performing B.N., FLETCHER, M.R. and CORRIGAN, J.McM. Organisation Royal Automobile Club of Victoria (RACV) Limited, 550 Princes Highway, NOBLE PARK, VICTORIA, 3174, AUSTRALIA. Sponscr Federal Office of Road Safety, G.P.O. Box 594, CANBERRA, A.C.T., 2601, AUSTRALIA. Ava.ilable from Federal Office of Road Safety -iPrice/AvailabilitY/Pormat Abstract This project was undertaken to evaluate the role of the type of road and road width, roadside development, travel speed, driving experience and the sex of the driver on estimates, of safety and travel speed. A preliminary study showed that laboratory testing using 16mm movie film stimulus materials was suitable for testing road speed perception. Three factorial design experiments were performed using urban, rural and semi-rural road scenes in which the independent variables ,were systematically manipulated. Slash-line responses of safe operating speed and travel speed est~tes in km/h were'collected from 108 licensed. drivers, recruited as subjects. Free speed measurements were also collected at each test site where practical. The results showed that the presentation speed had the strongest effect on. the subjects' judgements. The type of road also influenced speed perception while roadside development effects were dependent upon the type,of environment (urban or rural) and the 'road category. Driver experience did not unduly affect the results, although'the sex of the driver had a slight influence on the data. Recommendations are made for further research in this area to establish potential countermeasures against speeding. Keywords SPEED, PERCEPTION, WOMAN, HIGHWAY, CARRIAGEWAY, PAVEMENT, EXPERIENCE (HUMAN), RECENTLY QUALIFIED ENVIRONMENT, DRIVER, LABORATORY, MAN, SAFETY NOTES. (1) FORS reports are disseminated in the interest of infomation exchanq8. (2) The views exprea~ed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the Commonwealth Government. ()) The Federal Office of Road Safety publiShes two series of reports (a) reports qenerated as a result of research done within FORS are published in the OR series; Cb) reports of research conducted by other organisations on behalf of FORS are published in the CR series. -~I i ! TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Executive 1. The authors are indebted to the Federa~ Office of Road Safety, Federa~ Department Of Transport, Austra~ia, for their sponsorship, interest and assistance in this project, Summary INTRODUCTION 1.1 STUDY OBJECTIVES 1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM A study Of this magnitude cou~d not have been undertaken without the he~p and co-operation Of a great number of peop~e, J, Triggs of Monash In particu~ar, Associate Professor Thomas university, Me~bourne, Austra~ia and Dr. Burton W. Stevens, Senior Research Psycho~ogist of the Federa~ Highway Administration, Virginia, USA were extreme~y he~pfu~ throughout the project. The staff at RACV Limited were a~so most Russe~~ and Mr. John Sanderson of the Traffic generous~y assisted in the project design and report, the Chief Engineer Mr. John McKenzie research vehic~e. whi~e Mr. Ron McLennan and Park Headquarters provided the ~aboratory and invo~ved in the experiment. Mr A~an Dow~ing Richardson provided a~~ the artwork. Higher Mr. Don Hausser and Education Research 3 1.3.1 Speed and the Number of Crashes 6 1.3.2 Speed and Crash Severity 1.4 POSTED SPEED LIMITS 6 7 1.4.1 The Speed Zone Index he~pfu~. Mr. Ian & Safety Department preparation Of the provided the his staff at Nob~e many of the peop~e and Ms Ji~~ Preparation of stimu~us materia~s was aided considerab~y thanks to Professor R.H. Day and the Department of Psycho~ogy staff at Monash University. In particu~ar, Mr. Ken Ha~~ and Mr. V~adimar Kohout arranged for the ~oan of the Bo~ex camera Mr. Richard HObbs, Senior Technica~ Officer, constructed the vehic~e mount used on the research vehic~e. 2 1.3 SPEED AND CRASH INVOLVEMENT 1.5 DEFINING 1.6 PREVIOUS RESEARCH IN SENSORY PERCEPTION 1.6.1 Visual Performance Studies 1.6.2 Absolu~e Judgements O~ Speed 1.6.3 Retinal Streaming 2. POSSIBLE CUES FOR SPEED PERCEPTION 2.1 DATA SOURCES 2.2 URBAN AND RURAL ENVIRONMENTS 2.3 ROAD ALIGNMENT and Mr. John Torrance of Monash university's Unit kind~y he~ped with fi~m editing. 9 10 10 11 11 13 14 14 16 2.4 ROAD CATEGORY AND LANE WIDTH 18 2.5 ROAD MARKINGS AND DELINEATION 20 2.6 SIGHT DISTANCE AND GRADIENT 21 2.7 OTHER TRAFFIC AND DENSITY 2.8 NIGHT AND DAY 22 2.9 ROADSIDE DEVELOPMENT 24 2.10 DRIVING EXPERIENCE 2.11 WEATHER 2.12 PARKED VEHICLES 2.13 SUMMARY 3. 8 SPEED PERCEPTION AND PEDESTRIANS 25 26 27 28 THE MEASUREMENT OF SPEED AND PERCEPTION 3.1 ON-ROAD STUDIES 3.2 SPEED ASSESSMENT 23 IN THE LABOROTORY 31 31 32 3.3 STATIC AND DYNAMIC DISPLAYS 33 3.4 FREE SPEED DATA ON THE ROAD 34 3.5 SPEED MEASUREMENT 35 ~------------~ IN THE LABORATORY IS ~..~~" ,"n'''_ ~~'~'H'_-' ~_"~·~O_<· __ .•• ' '·_u - » .•• -- .• 3.5.1 Physical Measures of Speed 3.5.2 Numerical Measures for Speed 3.5.3 Subjective 3.6 SUMMARY 4. RESEARCH Magnitude Scaling 4.2 STIMULUS 4.3 FREE SPEED VEHICLE DATA 36 39 40 41 FACTORS 42 SPEED 4,7 DETAILED EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN SUBJECTS DATA ANALYSIS STIMULUS MATERIALS LABORATORY VALIDATION 4.8 STIMULUS MATERIALS STUDY 42 44 8. 49 49 57 57 62 5.5 DISCUSSION 6. 55 60 THE RURAL EXPERIMENT 65 6.1 STIMULUS MATERIALS 65 6.2 EXPERIMENTAL 67 PROCEDURE 68 6.3 RESULTS 6,3.1 Safe Operating Speed Responses 6.3.2 Speed Estimation Errors 6.3.3 Free Speed Measurements 6.4 DISCUSSION 6.4.1 Presentation Speed 6.4.2 Type of Road 6.4.3 Roadside Environment 6.4.4 Driver Variables 68 70 74 83 83 87 7,3.3 Free Speed Measurements 7.4 DISCUSSION 92 7.4.1 Presentation Speed 7.4,2 Type of Road 7.4.3 Roadside Environment 94 94 95 96 97 THE URBAN EXPERIMENT 99 99 PROCEDURE 101 101 101 104 8.3.3 Free Speed Measurements 8.4 DISCUSSION 52 54 5.4.2 Speed Estimation Data 5,4,3 Free Speed Data 5.4.4 Road & Environment Effects 83 PROCEDURE 8.3.1 Safe Operating Speed Responses 8.3.2 Speed Estimation Errors 49 Speed Data 7.2 EXPERIMENTAL 7.3 RESULTS 8.2 EXPERIMENTAL 8.3 RESULTS 46 5.4.1 Safe Operating 81 81 8.1 STIMULUS MATERIALS 46 5.4 RESULTS EXPERIMENT 7.4.4 Driver Variables 44 4,10 5.2 5. ROAD 5.3 TRIALS VARIABLE TRIALS 4.9 1 4DEPENDENT ,11LABORATORY THE SEMI-RURAL 7.1 STIMULUS MATERIALS 7.3.1 Safe Operating Speed Responses 7.3.2 Speed Estimation Errors 40 VARIABLES 4.6 PRESENTATION 7. 35 39 PRESENTATION 4.5' CONTROLLED -, 35 39 EXPERIMENTATION 4.4 INDEPENDENT • 37 STRATEGY 4.1 LABORATORY , 108 110 8.4.1 Presentation Speed 8.4.2 Type of Road 110 8.4.3 Roadside 113 111 Environment 8.4.4 Driver Variables 9. GENERAL DISCUSSION 113 AND FINDNGS 9,1 THE RELEVANCE OF LABORATORY 9.2 PRESENTATION SPEED 115 TESTING 9.2.1 The Success of the Experimental 115 115 Method 9.2.2 Road Safety Consequences 9.3 TYPE OF ROAD 9.3.1 The Importance of the Road Pavement 9.3.2 The Role of Lane Width 9.4 ROADSIDE ENVIRONMENT 78 78 79 --------~ 9.4.1 The Discriminatory 9.4.2 Rural Environments 116 117 117 118 120 77 77 116 Effect of the Roadside 120 120 9.4.3 Semi-rural Environments 121 9.4.4 Urban Environments 121 9,5 DRIVER VARIABLES 122 i."'- ,...-~.9.6 9.5.1 Driver 9.5.2 The SAFETY 9.6.1 9.6.2 9.7 9.9 AND The The of the SPEED 0- "--' -, 122 124 MEASURES of Role 123 Driver Operating AND Speed -., Experience Safe LIMIT FURTHER 9.9.1 •. Estimate SPEED 9.8.1 •• - Sex PERCEPTION 9.7.1 9,8 "0 Travel FREE of Speed Response ON Perception THE 125 ROAD Additional 127 IN SPEED Variables 9.9.2 Follow-up 9.9.3 Countermeasures 9.9.4 Speed Anomalous 9.9.5 Perception Zone for Testing Findings Excessive Speed Other Driving REFERENCES A - Details ATTACHMENT B - Experimental of ATTACliMENT C - ANOVA Figure 4.0 Test by travel Research with speed, 4 Sites. Manoeuvres .•• camera in 45 128 4.l 129 Figure 5.0 Laboratory validation Figure 5.l Pilot sites Sample page from the response booklet sites road Metropolitan 131 133 Figure 5.2 150 Figure 5.3 Details Safe 165 51 laboratory operating obtained (Melbourne Area) of 53 arrangement speed in the responses laboratory validation study Figure Figure 5.4 5.5 56 Errors in travel from the Free speed at 8 of 5.6 Safe of 6.0 Rural Figure 6.1 Safe for Figure 6.2 of 6.3 in the 59 study speed judgement studied validation 58 in kro/h taken sites factors for in a the 61 study 66 operating speed roads speed interest Travel study sites experiment Figure 12 test road rural Travel validation validation laboratory Figure estimates measurements the operating range speed laboratory laboratory Figure 47 50 129 Instructions. Tables vehicle position 162 Summary Involvement rate day and night . Figure 130 Index ATTACHMENT 1.1 127 PERCEPTION Against and Figure 126 Index RESEARCH Page 125 in Driving DETERMINATION Zone OF FIGURES 124 Speed SPEED LIST 124 results of errors for for rural the roads interest 1 in experiment main 69 effects in 1 speed interactions in experiment 71 errors observed 1. for the for significant rural roads 72 Figure 6.4 Free speed variations in kro/h for type of road and roadside Figure 7.0 Figure 7.1 Figure 7.2 Figure 7.3 Figure 7.4 Semi-rural effects of interest roads in experiment for semi-rural 2 Travel for the speed errors roads in experiment 7.6 84 of 85 88 2 . 2 89 90 Free speed variations in km/h for type of rOud and roadside environment for semi-rural in experiment 2 Figure 8.0 Urban Figure 8.1 Safe operating Figure 8.2 Travel roads 93 sites 100 speed results for urban roads in experiment speed errors effects of interest in experiment 3 of interest 3 102 for the main for urban roads --------j observed 8.4 Free speed variations for 3 . 106 in km/h for for urban roads in experiment Travel speed errors for the significant 4- way interaction for semi-rural roads in experiment interaction type of road and roadside environment 2- and 3- way interactions for semi-rural Figure Figure 82 speed errors of the main significant Figure 7.5 76 Safe operating speed main effects of interest for semi-rural roads in experiment 2 Travel speed errors for the urban roads in experiment sites Safe operating speed interactions interest for semi-rural roads in experiment 2 Travel significant environment for rural roads in experiment 1 . Figure 8.3 105 i 3 .. 109 EXECUTIVE trsT OF TABLES SUMMARY Page Table 1.1 Table 2.1 Table 2.2 Relationship between involvement . Table 4.1 II 13 of crash causation studies which implicate geometry . Table 2.3 limits 6 Possible road and environment variables Summary Design speed and crash in roadside features There features road rates Summary of the effects reported of the road and environment factors reviewed is and _17 how 29 information design these and engineers that speed affect perception on research their These not different by drivers about travel automatic (less conscious) that the perceptual influence of include much speed road crash is known on the about road_ of human levels higher-order speed. and road. can perception speed characteristics evidence However. involves processing. determining road the surrounds the for various performance. features relatively 43 by considerable vehicle Speed for the used assume influence of roads decisions Detailed experimental main experiments criteria Australia as well processes cognitive as the involved in '.", sensory perception. Research involved ,! in evidence sensory improvements in The Project Research suggests perception road that on manipUlating the road may the lead visual cues to long-term behaviour. - l This evaluate speed . !I t'fo- the the road effects Judgements speed environment perception project sensory A literature ,- t: ~- research assessing of several out speed road and review human of speed, highlighted In addition. factors. were also likely on a suitable the roadside various a number road means and features }~; i i methods of to influence identified. ~ j to develop of on of testing road. the Of to of drivers. perception. and set perception sensory the A validation speed study perception experimental on was the performed road CQUld be initially to see simulated accurately The whether Main Findinqs in an laboratory. The strongest presentations Twelve road encompassed Free sites a range speed were selected Of different traffic patterns around roads were Melbourne and collected that while roadside environments. at sites. these Passengers operating of the the in a research assessments 12 sites. subjects of in speed Similar sites, taken were were laboratory from asked to estimate responses an experimental same vehicle and the also using driving to make travel in made film position environment, was result speed. to be speed limit were assessed not sex travel Judged operating unduly degree, by the for were a safe was to some and the was limit by of affected the the speed type driver by of on for slow as too area but the the road Film too and roadside occasions. at each This result findings segments of This observed speed above of what influenced, by other 16mm terms subjects. safe speed the presentations fast was effect below any an and speed was consistent confirmed perception the with need previous for moving speed stimulus estimation materials in experimentation. automobile. The The results of this study responses in the laboratory collected on the road. were was However, encouraging. almost The identical safety to responses pattern of those in with ,!l I] i the I laboratory road were feedback heightened presumably because of a reduction in type resulted in estimates function of may have research undertaken multi-factorial involving environments. The development, all travel systematically laboratory rural, role experiments semi-rural of road speed, driver evaluated on and category. urban road experience estimates were and of of is driving and eight experience were testing method sex and The data collected omega-squared speed greater and of This finding, however, greater whether the was road Roads generally speed. and safety perception. width underwas also a or not. of travel divided licensed recruited developed drivers and in with tested the varying using previous were analysed using analysis suggestion that speed the particular perception, to confirm environment under In rural as those travel degrees this lane although further finding. effects were very much dependent on the test. environments, safer, heavily and roads travel treed. without speeds This was roadside trees under-estimated especially so were mUCh for more, faster speeds. the For study. of variance their the statistics. ii some influenced were travel generally and and estimates region required environment roadside driver safety was Roadside road width, than laboratory the also perceived hundred travel influenced then speed. One higher also standard i information. Experimentation Three road design of There Laboratorv of a higher j semi-rural had effect degree less was of environments, dependent urban though. on speed influence on development the roadside perception. type of road trees Moreover, and, seemingly, on as well. - iii - - Urban roadside environments and semi-rural settings, rural commercial or perceived industrial to be settings, The effect decrease the to increase comprising safer these of than Of and safety estimates different either industrial were only industrial for 4-lane on divided settings and or road were perceptions. was 2-lane results but when roadS. travel and free to interpret they facilitate in in compliment a more speed terms the detailed measures on the of driver safe operation account of the speed role of driving. free for speed difficult However, and The to roads Of more perception small. complexes were responses commercial very and Estima~es to residential Residential differences commercial estimates safety noticeab~y developments. slightly a~though were speed type the mean of speed data generally road and values supported roadside were the perceptual environment, equal especially to or lower tttan the speed limit. This service and resu~t roads was and industrial explained by off-street complexes the increased parking, located often on major spaciousness found of This at commercial divided effective arterials. speed Driver year effects drivers in these responded suggesting that of driving experience. experiments similarly speed to perception were minimal. experienced was not on Thus, any skill way differences, these speed drivers two rather groups differences more likely than process apparent invo~ve Research The this in sex of estimates may future have the in been speed driver rural had a chance perception and effect at finding. high difference it on FOllOW-Up in variables the before both travel deserves will road when be most drivers' safe. Required safety made for additional research in road inVOlving other the anomalous findings, countermeasures against resolution and of of likely speeding perceptual is necessary can be tested. and speeds. testing are experimentation, and a range Further While perceptual further formulate researCh. estimate Other overly the novice or driving information. some areas not on perception. determined speed are countermeasures speeds amount between cognitive a fundamental sensory perceptual vehicle Recommendations on-road experienced perceptions Additional the speed and that First drivers, dependent suggests at reducing urban research is also factors involved in the a mathematica~ of travel procedure required speed zone to arrive to identify index at and all the to an unbiased speed. Findinqs The assessing consistent interpreted safe operating speed and speed perception. the simpLy results and response The from data this meaningfUlly. was a suitable Obtained teChnique was means reliable could of and I· t· r be i: ~ r: j , , .. - iv - - v - ~ 1. INTRODUCTION The Federal Office of Road Safety commissioned in April 1986 to undertake changes on drivers' identifying speed estimates. how the environment through a driver's RACV Limited a study of the effects of perceptual perception The study was aimed at influenced speed behaviour of the road ahead. The long-term aim of the study was to identify environmental countermeasures that could be used to control speed behaviour in addition to education and law enforcement. out to further increase driver perception The study also set the general understanding in speed behaviour of the role of on the road. 1.1 STUDY OBJECTIVES The three objectives specified Safety for the speed perception To establish by the Federal Office of Road project were;- which factors influence speed choice at sites representative of a variety of situations urban and rural areas in Australia. in appropriate To measure and report upon the operating speeds and other relevant traffic characteristics at the selected sites. To report upon the relationship, identified observed. if any, between the factors and the speed and traffic characteristics I·· . _~S':~ i.J ...• ,. The project was to be a preliminary of perceptual changes on drivers' to be placed on developing evaluation and testing environment factors. speed judgements. a suitable methodology of the effect Emphasis was for the of some of the more important - "-- evaluation road and 1 - ------------------------------------------ ~;1~ 1 ~--- ....,.... Hence, a minor literature possible independent review was required to highlight and dependent testing was needed to validate variables. In addition, the testing procedure prior to full experimentation. Such an approach, however, necessitates understanding the role of environmental cues and their interactions in a driver's speed decisions. To date, however, very little is known about the influence of the road and surrounding environment on a driver's 1.2 STATEMENT perception of speed. OF THE PROBLEM 1:3 SPEED AND CRASH INVOLVEMENT The role of speed in road crashes has attracted considerable debate over the years. Those sharing the enforcement view argue that road crashes would be minimised obeyed the present speed limits imposed 1984; Vulcan, 1986). point of if everyone on our roads ( McMenomy, Studies which evaluated the relationships between speed and crash involvement and severity are limited and generally refer to work undertaken in the 1960s. More recent studies have not investigated the relationships per se but have concentrated on the effects of speed limit changes. The fact is, of course, that a large proportion consistently 1980; Cowley, 1986). drive above the legal limits 1980; Elliot, 1981; Sanderson Hauer, Ahlin and Bowser of motorists (Mostyn and Sheppard, and Corrigan, (1982), Armour 1984; (1986) and Shinar and Stiebel (1986) showed that enforcement could lead to speed reductions when it was intermittent but then the effects tended to be localised. Elliot (1981) argued that a "personal limit" existed where drivers are controlled by what they perceive to be a safe speed, rather than the legal limit. claimed that motorists between exceeding are not convinced Hogg (1977) further it is necessary to keep to the posted speed involvement and speed and, in particular, the danger of large deviations in individual vehicle speed from the average speed of traffic. These relationships with an involvement drivers and with minimum above, the average take the form of a U-shaped curve rate higher for very low and very high speed involvement speed (see Figure The exact relationship rates at, or marginallY 1.1). of the road conditions. Lay was difficult initial research because estimates Research Triangle Institute by using actual measured In a submission to the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Road Safety (1984), Swann claimed that people drive to their perception by Solomon between crash and, limit. This evidence led McLea~ (1977) to suggest the need for alternative forms of speed enforcement. according for rural highways that there are relationships of any relationship the speed limit and crash involvement hence, do not believe The basic research undertaken (1964) illustrated to establish from this of speed had to be taken. The (1970) extended this early research speeds and showed the shape of the relationship was not neaYly as pronounced by Solomon. West and Dunn as that first suggested further and showed different involvement rates when inclUding and (1984), too, argued that motorists' perceptions have a primary influencm on travel speeds. If this is the case, it may be possible to change road conditions to influence the perception of what is a safe operating speed. Conceivably, this would result involvement selecting a lower travel - 2 - speed. . •• excluding turning vehicles. If there are few turning vehicles, the curve is extremely flat and there is little difference in in drivers ~ (1971) took the research one step rate for speeds up to 25 km/h from the average speed. This relationship Table 1.1. reported by West and Dunn is illustrated - 3 - in I, ME- ~----------------_.~--------------------_._ _--_._.- .. TABLE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FIGURE 1.1 Involvement travel speed, rate day !l ~.~ -.\..--'- / Speed Dunn, CRASH INVOLVEMENT 1971) Involvement Rate per Including Turning Million (mph) Excluding Crashes - +- - 5.5 than +More to 10,000 vehicle miles Deviation -~ ~ AND and night 1964) -"" W'LLlON -- IN "'CC'O[IHS 100 -WIL[S L' I INVOLV[O ./ V[HICL[ tl ...., .... P["V[HICL[S !lIHIIOLII[W[NT •••••T[ 's NU•• II[ •• Of _ Of 1\. T•••••V[L \\. J ;\.. \\ ••••••.•.. 0 _NIGHTTlME 50,000 1.1 SPEED West _-._~ by and (Solomon, '" (from .. 5.5 15.5 to 15.5 5.5than to Less + Turning Crashes 42.3 6.3 2.3 .7 5,000 r.l 1.6 .8 1.5 1.0 8.5 6.9 E-t ~ E-t Z f>l ~ ..:i g Z .... 1000 Munden 500 crash (1967) rate Solomon. and Munden's however, as he relatively 100 50 20 30 40 TRAVEL SPEED. 50 60 MP 70 by these the those crash who rates (1971) supported the by the crash concluded that the lower upper involvement limit and control rate with can in Croft and relationship correlation limit that reducing people who rate curves and or three speed. and ------_._~.- _ I" - effective h crash between from the between (1971) concluded the mean rate speed. crash reviewed that of much of the there is an crash and the In addition, severity and speed __ .....__ .__ . literature on intimate speed they deviation claimed where - 5 ~Ioo.......- and speed more - 4 - in Hauer of overtaking upper times overtakings derived of overtaking rate lower drove complimentary. involvement to the by research, slowly. of traffic both be two previous still the between reported rates. Cumming vehicles involvement the of are function on highways relation that relatively crash showing a V-shaped to from drove researchers related speed differed studies also the a V-shaped similar different was than finding with traffic limits, speed, the Hauer 80 H reported compared fast Nevertheless, 10 also relative ._~---_._------------------ a severity of T increased with speed. If the objective of speed control is to fact, argued that variance, road deaths in the USA. speed. also shown that the probability of a fatality increased markedly for speeds above 70 mph (112 km/h). Bohlin (1967) reported that the relationship between injury risk and speed was curvilinear Lave (1985), in not speed, was the critical factor in with an increase in probability of the injury being greater at higher impact speed. Bohlin further showed that the relationship can be changed by the wearing of seat belts. 1.3.1 Speed and the Number of Crashes A number of countries have sUbsequently amended speed limits on rural highways and several have investigated the effect of reduced speed on crash involvement rate (Organization for 1.4 POSTED SPEED LIMITS Speed limits traditionally Economic Co-operation and Development, 1972; Johnston, White and consist of general rules that apply in discrete areas, such as urban or rural settings. Where these limits vary due to roadway, traffic or adjacent land use Cummings, 1973; Nilsson, 1977, 1981; Johnson 1980; Salusjarvi, 1981; Hearne, 1981; Christiansen, 1981; Lassare and Tan 1981). conditions, the practice Limits themselves is known as speed zoninq being the maximum observation facie, being the speed above which a driver would have to prove that the speed was not incompatible with prevailing conditions. analysis before and after speed changes, of the beforevalidity and after-crash of the effects lack of rigorous data, and questionable attributable in the total number of crashes. appears to have been a reduction speed reductions as well. Furthermore, Cleveland there (1970) and Cumming and Croft (1971) reported reductions in the number of excessively speeding vehicles when appropriate absolute limits were chosen, although the average speed was not in the level of injury with affected very much. This has not been proven yet for prima facie limits (Herbert and Croft 1979). Traditionally, be expressed of energy resulting by the relationship between from any collision can 85th percentile vehicle mass and speed. research undertaken itself. This means that increased speed increases the severity of a collision and most probably increases the associated level for vehicle occupants, although energy between vehicle and occupants severity of injuries sustained. speed limits have been set at or near the "the 85th the exchange of straight on~y drivers -6- by Witheford by and distribution set choose to travel. percenti~e approximated can also influence the be speed steep s~ope the ~ower is of 85th will violators". -7L This choice stems from (1970) who stated that: that a sf?eed ~imit. below a little to I· speed of traffic, that is, the speed at or below which 85% of motorists Wadsworth (1966) showed that kinetic energy is generated by the moving vehicle by the square of the speed rather than speed of injuries to travel, or prima Absolute maximum speed limits can exert a greater influence on the distribution of speeds than a prima facie limit. 1.3.2 Speed and Crash Severity The dissipation is permitted to speed reduction. However, the weight of evidence suggests that, where speeds have been reduced by speed limits, there has been a reduction speed at which a vehicle ,- , (NAASRA, 1980). can either be specified as absolute, Individually, these studies may be of limited value because of various shortcomings, such as relatively short periods of statistical -------- Solomon (1964) concluded that this increase was extremely rapid at travel speeds in excess of 60 mph (96 km/h). It was reduce the number of crashes, the aim should be to reduce speed variation. However, if it is to reduce crash severity, the aim then should be to reduce the absolute . -~~....--... most 8ecause the typica~ percentile. cause desirab~y of the general speed a speed a large number limit of l. 1 :;;y,'\]" construction JOscelyn, Jones and Elston (1970) undertook a national survey of practices used to establish maximum speed limits, together with a major review of the various techniques for establishing speed limits. From a screening analysis, it was Suggested that ibree methods were Worthy of further consideration for full scale implementation. These included the theory of speed distribution skewness (TaYlor, 1965), cost orientation (Oppenlander, 1966), and the 85th percentile method. and width and roadside development. index is subsequently determined The speed zon~ after assessing the existence and likely effects of these factors at a particular The speed zone index, therefore, acknowledges road site. the role of perceptual factors in speed determination on the road. This view is also shared by the National Association of Australian State Road Authorities (1980) and Lay (1984). the method adopted for arriving Unfortunately, however, at the 65th percentile speed using the spe~d zone index relies upon ·several years of Their preferred relationship technique between deviation analysis showed a strong of the speed of the crash vehicle fro_ the -ean .peed of the traffic .tream (Jo.ce'yn et a' 1970). The analysis also showed that the cumulative crash rate Was re'ative'y independent of .peed unti, the 85th percenti'e va'ue, after which it rose exponentially. The study recommended that the observed maximum speed travel limits Speeds. should be based on the 85th percentile of experience" in interpreting more objective minimise the possibility 1.5 DEFINING The word different the likely perceptual A more recent alternative is a Cost-benefit to the 85th percentile analysis. Cowley speed (1981) Suggested 'i_it. that 'peed transportation cou'd be .et at 'peed. which minimi.e overa" cost. The European Conference of Ministers of Tran.port (1977) discus ••• co.t-benefit ana'ysis with re'pect to general limits, revieWing preVious studies and discuSsing the benefit. and di.benefit. of the method. It was concluded that the Cost-benefit approach would have to be developed further before it could be effectively evaluated. 1.4.1 1be Speed Zone Ind~ A to of bias. SPEED PERCEPTION "perception" has different people and professions. of an individual interacting connotations for On one hand, perception been used to refer to the relatively approach effects. and rational approach would be desirable automatic has sensory processes with his or her environment. this sense, it is the first stage of the pSYChological In process that occurs between human stimulation and response, and can be referred to as the sensory perceptual staqe Alternatively, deliberate perception and conscious (See Figure 1.2). has also been used to describe thought processes an individual's the involved in human response, involving desires. processes Perception here involves higher order decision making where the social consequences of an action can influence the ultimate response. referred to as the coqnitive beliefs, motivations For convenience perceptual and sake, this is staqe. There are often occasion. where free .peed studie. cannot be undertaken to assess the 85th percentile ValUes. In these The speed at which a driver chooses to travel can clearly .ituation., Traffic Commi ••ion Victoria (1976) Out'ined a .ethod of estimating the likely 85th perCentile Speed, based on an evaluation of various factors that suPPOsedly influence the SUbjective assessment of speed. These factors include such things as roadway characteristics, alignment, shoulder involve both of these perceptual constructs. While sensory perception will determine from the outset what information is available to a human operator in a partiCUlar stimulus situation, the internal states or social forces can nevertheless influence the form of the ultimate response to that information. - 8 ••. "~7""'" " ., ·'r.·':':'",'!"I •. ':~fi"'l.:~'r •. - 9 ".':"1 •.•• _ •• ~ :'IJJ:,' w., w·,..v I Given that sensory perception resPonse in his or her environment, is the basis for a human manipulating the visual CUes 1.6.2 AbsQlute Judqements Of S~eed involved in sensory perC~tion on the road could lead to longterm improvements in road behaviour. This project is specifically aimed at testing sensory perceptions, There have been a few studies which investigated and ability to estimate his or her own travel speed. concentrates on the effect the driving input processes 1.6 PREVIOUS of a driver's RESEARCH jUdgement environment has on the of sPeed on the road. found that speed judgements were under-estimated responding to films and by passengers situations IN SENSORY PERCEPTION There is only a limited number of studies that have investigated the sensory aspects of Speed perception. These are summarised below, along with a theoretical account of the role of movement in the sensory perception of speed. 1.6.1 Visual Performance under-estimated in actual traffic Salvatore (1968, (1974) reported that subjects consistently speed across a 20 to 60 mph (32 to 96 km/h) velocity range in both vehicles and simulators. and Salvatore, (1963) by subjects in the medium and high speed ranges. 1969) and Reason a driver's Hakkinen furthermore, Both Hakkinen showed that errors of estimation increased sUbstantially when sensory inputs (visual, auditory, kinesthetic, tactile and vestibular) were withheld. Studies Evans (1970a, 1970b) found that slow speeds were, in fact, well under-estimated Denton (1971, 1973) reported that speed jUdgements in a driving simulator and on the road Were highly dependent on the nature of the visual pattern presented to the driver's eye. Transverse line treatments Were introduced at selected under-estimated that the perspective in the United Kingdom to induce drivers to slow down during their approach to these intersections. Evaluation studies (Denton, 1973, 1976; Rutley 1975; Helliar-Symons, 1981) reported Subsequent reductions in Speed, SPeed variation and lateral view presented tests of speed estimation judgements. roundabouts whereas high speeds were only slightly in vehicle tests on the road. was critical for replicating Any test of speed perception, take account of the absolute presentation Moreover, he found to sUbjects in laboratory therefore, road speed needs to level of speed involved and the method of moving road environments. 1.6.3 Retinal Streaminq POsition, disSipate although the speed effects of this treatment tended to somewhat with time (Denton, 1973; Rutley, 1975). The concept of "retinal streaming" was proposed by Gibson (1950, 1958, 1968) and Calvert More recently, Cairney and Croft (1985) and Cairney (1986) reported two studies which investigated the effects of various environment and road factors on drivers' speed jUdgements cues used in perceiving (1954) as an explanation speed. of the In essence, retinal streaming explains how the visual pattern presented to a moving observer varies from a stationary image at the point of fixation of the Unfortunately, these studies used static Photographs of roads and SUbjects made verbal speed limit responses; the reSUlts, eye (the fovea on the retina) to a blur of increasing magnitude therefore, are diffiCUlt to interpret oolely in term. of Oenoory PerCeptions of SPeed. Nevertheless, with slight mOdification, provides a means of interpreting the further the distance from visual stimulation from the fixation point. velocity in the periphery of the eye. theinvestigating approach adopted these studies could prove a Useful means Of road in Speed perception. - 10 - r--- ._._ _.-,¥._._.",~ ""'~"~7'~~:,-..,. .•. ~ --., .• --- Thus, it information directly 11 - i •.- ~i ~k_~ ~ ;•.•. i"... :J.. 1 _._-----------------+ ••_-----------_ .._-.._-~._ -""' ..,._."-~_ ..- :--The notion of "retinal been criticised Beverley, form of relative Crook, However, 2. has 1938; Gordon, cue for the perception 1966; Moore, and Wilkins, Gordon There are many possible Jennings and Demetsky of speed (Gibson and 1968; Lee and Lishman, variables 1977; (1968) described the consequences image on the road in terms of velocity retina of the eye. They argued gradients that the perception of variables of speed perception (1950) motion parallax are in general concept on a driver's perception that are of speed. that they claim will influence driving behaviour A detailed undertaken literature on the review was to indicate the likely effects of these for speed perception. on the TABLE 2.1 of velocity POSSIBLE on the road can be determined solely from the integration of movement information on the retinal surface. These theoretical accounts factors in the environment (1983) listed 16 road and environment road (see Table 2.1). 1980). (1966) and Moore CUES FOR SPEED PERCEPTION likely to exert some influence subsequently a moving POSSIBLE 1973; Regan and most authors agree that some coding on the retinal surface of the eye is an important Harrington in depth perception (Johnston, White and Cummings, 1978; 1982). extremely streaming" ROAD AND ENVIRONMENT & Demetsky, (from Jennings VARIABLES 1983) accord with Gibson's in depth perception. ROAD or ENVIRONMENT FACTOR time of day roadway grade radius of curvature length of curve lane and road width existing pavement markings shoulder width (if any) nature of adjacent intersecting - in curve lane roadways or driveways - before curve - after curve I" traffic volumes b, average speeds of traffic delineator spacing (if any) delineator type and number condition of delineators weather conditions sight distance - ------- -.- .. 12 - - 13 -- •...... (if any) . --_ _-~--------_..•__ ....•_ ............•.•••••••••••......••••••••............ -------------- ---"--"- .. The length of the trip and the number of passengers 2.1 DATA SOURCES vary between rural and urban journeys. Hirsch The evidence influence of road and environment speed speed perception data sources, factors likely to was drawn from three separate namely crash data, free speed data measured road, and performance data from road and laboratory The fi~st two categories involved mainly on the testing. correlational establish definitive The third category experimental causal relationships of data includes from these studies. both correlational and results and was more likely to be relevant to this study. (1966) reported that trip distance and purpose different studies. samples of drivers and environments likely to induce speed adaptation In any event, the findings with rural travel are more and driver fatigue. Mast, Jones and Heimstra (1966) showed that driver tracking error and speed control were significantly different in the last hour of a six hour continual tracking task. Safford and Rockwell (1966) reported that speed control diminished with time over a 24 hour from all three data sources were These data probably Triggs prolonged 2.2 URBAN AND RURAL ENVIRONMENTS between these two environments. different (1986) described speed adaptation exposure to vehicle practically generally reflect pure driver fatigue influences. First, is likely to speed limits are for urban and rural roads. Road design incorporates proposed speed limits and other major urban-rural environment differences. Hence, urban and rural roads differ considerably in terms of their engineering expectations (Lay, 1964). and community and Rockwell (1961) and Jennings and Demetsky (1963) noted that travel on rural roads was noticeably different from that on urban streets in that speeds were generally higher, traffic volumes were much lower and the severity of crashes increased. Sanderson and Corrigan (1984, 1966) also demonstrated that many drivers disproportionately than rural limits. - violated urban speed limits 14 - stopping when slowing down to pass through a country not necessarily occur with driver tiredness. Nevertheless, it does tend to occur only after long periods of fairly constant high speed travel (Reason, 1974) and thus is often compounded with driver fatigue effects. the role of the road and its surrounds ih speed perception, therefore, should be concerned with the influence of urban and rural environments. "urbanness" and "ruralness" Moreover, are not discrete categories, rather end points on a road environment continuum, but it would be useful to consider a range of road environments for speed perception comprising various combinations of urban and rural features. - -.------"'- It is the feeling of village, even though travel speed is still substantial. Speed adaptation differs from driver fatigue in that adaptation does Any study which addresses Hungerford as the effect where speed causes SUbjects to under- estimate their speed jUdgements. There are several reasons why speed perception .... used in these driving task, but interestingly, a rest period of only a few minutes was sufficient to offset these effects in the short-term. only used for evaluating which variables were likely to be of interest and for generating hypotheses for further testing. differ can also Joscelyn et al (1970) and significantly affected speed, although the number of passengers gave conflicting results. This may have resulted from the The longer journeys associated studies, where environmental effects were deduced from vehicle behaviour observed on the road. Hence, it is impossible to "-"" 15 - as r ~-_. ----, ~- .0· 2,3 ROAD ALIGNMENT In a review of the relationship between road geometry and single vehicle crashes, Sanderson and Fildes (1984) reported that the most consistent associated road feature was horizontal curvature (see Table 2.2). In most instances, decreasing the ... ... f"X in 0run-off-the-road > radius of curvature led rn.ous to an increase 0 ~ c ~ crashes. I1cBE:.AN W"RICHT RAFT unexpected , :tADOR Studies which evaluated Some studies although superelevation. 1198 Sanderson vertical suggested The results dependent in Victoria further and Fildes between (Raff 1953). curvature effects were a relationship for gradient, with road however, were mixed, technique employed. More on. (1984) analyzed single vehicle crashes 1978 and 1982 and found that 47 per cent on bends and 53 per cent on straights. crashes have also been reported They concluded on curves were over-represented in the statistics, crashes on straight significant problem in this Australian roads were still a State. Similar results for other Australian 1970; Peter Casey and Associates, States (Cowl and 1979). YES The performance differences sections ~ ~ :2 was found for camber or on the measurement that while single vehicle Fairlie, ~ 1, no relationship will be said of gradient occurred - ... there was some suggestion that an sharp curve may be crash inducing inconclusive. seemingly "" j c;;"--z0"~ "~ c-- - (UBI z"--~~ z" " ...::! ". 0 .•a"" ~ 3::! z u ~::! M '" YES SOM.E HO ... SOM.!: HO YES YES ... Z f-HO ... ~>> ...1980) 0 ~< >u "' fu... ~< xu Of0 uYES fZ SOM.!: HO YES YES SOM.!: YES SOM.E YES ,f19821 HO SOM.E YES (19S)I (1'81) 7S1 ((19 ;;;<5~ The frequency of{19'OI curves did not appear to influence C;UPTA JArH COOPER KALL COWL'" ,, IADOR t"AIRLl£ ACOlT DEDi crash rates, although contour, """"""'" bu, in driving of roadway. and Shinar, McDowel1 differences literature between and Rockwell relat'ionship I, ! (1975) (1977) all reported significant in driver eye movements between Table 2 _2 Summary of accident cilusation studies \·,hich implicate road geometry with crashes (from Sanderson & Fildes,1984). straight roads and curves. They noted that visual fixations for straights was much more static and generally involved longer distance fixations. ••~." ~·~"""'_~'4'· ~"'~1:'_1;,?"~",, no straight and curved (1966b), Blaauw and Riemersma - NO "" confirmed also suggests considerable performance Gordon r-elationsh'ip 16 - - L _. __ 17 - T .-'-". - ... ~-,"- ! Triggs, Harris and Fildes (1979). Fildes (1979) and Triggs, Meehan and Harris (1980) reported differences in delineation had a strong crash effect. requirements likely relationship involvement. for roads of differing perceptual vertical and horizontal curvatures. They argued that these differences reflect differing visual requirements between crests and sags in the road. Fildes (1987), in fact, demonstrated geometry as a vehicle differences approached in the perspective effects relationship the visual demands in the approach zone of a road curve (straight section) are noticeably different to those in the curve itself. on driving Straight needs to take account sections of differing appear to be visually and would be a logical starting data here is much more relevant. in several studies (Oppenlander, Appleyard, Moreover, 1981). road alignments. less complex for drivers direct relationship point for research in this area. which encompasses The crash data on the role of the number of lanes and lane Mc Lean and Hoffman different crash rates on two-lane (1970) suggested curves in the USA, although he failed to Peter Casey and Associates evidence lanes on straight suggestion concerning sections of an increase (1979), however, relative Evans found no A correlation Solomon and four-lanes head-on no consistent collisions, relationship although ... .• ~.'.::.;':~~ their However, this is probably than street length per se. (Oppenlander, McLean 1966; McLean, 1980; related The smoothness related to vehicle 1982) but not crashes (Raff, (1982) also reported mean free speeds about roads than on equivalent 15-20 paved evidence then of an association between road category and lane width with free speed and crash involvement. Given that variations in lane width and the number or absence of a median - 18 '~~\O'.~ (1981). There is considerable between median width and the presence et al speed and (Leong, 1968; Loder and Bailey, km(h lower on unpaved two-lane surfaces. less than 15 feet (5.4m) wide were twice as likely to have a head-on crash than four-lanes greater than 15 feet (5.4m) wide. He reported Joscelyn roads adjusted speeds in the slower parallel of the road surface was found to be directly tended to have roads had a head-on crash sections, for narrow lanes at high speeds lane widths and speeds. was also suggested between vehicle more to sight distance speed (1964) found that two-lane surrounding (a perceptual feature). with vehicle Smith and Appleyard, 1953). rate five times that of four-lane speed and "apparent width" of the immediate that drivers in multi-lane street or block length However, there was some and motorways road (1981) report a lane, although they only reported data from other studies to support this claim. in fatal crashes on straight narrow roads of sub-standard rural widths, less fatals than other highways. for 11'3" (1972) found that drivers adopted strategies speed in accordance safety and number of in Australia. steering than for more moderate (1985) argued that fatality rates in the USA differ by a factor of four or more depending on the type of road involved. conclusive between drivers' the influence of a geometric widths reveals some interesting trends. Raff (1953) reported that wide pavements and shoulders were associated with lower More recently, 1966; Smith and (1968) found greater smith and Appleyard on the actual road surface interpretation on tangents. 1966; Leong, Vey and Ferrari and less speed and headway variance bridges in Philadelphia. AND LANE WIDTH find any strong association A positive (3.4~) lanes over 9'9" (3.0m) lanes across two comparable influence environment 2,4 ROAD CATEGORY and crash was reported between vehicle speed and street width speed, less headway Hence, any study of the likely road or environment to ascribe because of the between lane encroachment The performance road a road curve and claimed that It is very difficult from these data, however, ~ 19 - I L t, 1 •... . -~,---- t ~ . '. , ...• - --- -,.. .-_ ... I i and type of lanes has a marked perspective view presented is quite probable influence would appear that the major benefit for edge lining on straight on the geometric to a driver moving along the road, it that these features will also influence speed sections of two-way 1986; Cottrell, perception, rural roads is for maintaining position within the lane itself 1985). Evidently, edgelines While define AND DELINEATION road markings lane width, improving and delineation are normally used to of the road ahead. (1979) and Godthelp, Milgram Gordon and Blaauw Fildes, (1966), (1984) argued 1979; Triggs, Meehan and Harris, and Smith, 1985), night-time that the edgelines of the road are used by drivers to control 1983) and curve negotiation vehicle 1980). of line marking speed and travel path. may well influence perception Thus, the type of the road ahead. influence straight witt and Hoyos (1976) reported in the approach adopting a more suitable in a vehicle reported simulator. speed profile Rockwell, that novel pavement with time may be site specific (Hungerford in drivers while negotiating Malecki markings speed and roadway width on curves, influences that a varying pitch broken to a road curve resulted and Shinar a curve (1974) also can influence perceived although they noted these and might not necessarily and Rockwell, found which specifically Symons Denton transverse (Hungerford and Rockwell, However, evaluated (Godthelp and there were no studies the effects of guideposts time curve negotiation performance. Nevertheless, the relative movement characteristics of guideposts in a driver's view of a roadway, influence suggest it could be worthwhile of guideposts on the perception speed could be modified AND GRADIENT Road design assumes that sight distance by in setting speed limits stripes across the road in the approach zone to markings, then, seem to influence speed judgements road sections and at intersections. were for curved Leong and sight distance Schneider distance Lum (1984), however, found no effect of narrow longitudinal pavement markings (with raised pavement markers) on either the on straight residential sites. on straight roads for wide edgelines sections of road at Others also have shown no difference in mountainous areas (Cottrell, in speed 1985) or special (Garber and Saito, 1985). It is a critical (Joscelyn et al 1970, NAASRA (1968) reported a positive correlation while Olson, Cleveland, between and crashes. However, therefore, 1980), Fancher, Kostyniuk and sight this latter study did not control (Galin 1981) and, the results must be treated cautiously. In his review of the spot speed literature, (1966) placed sight distance important factor spot speed (1984) also noted a similar relation between for other speed factors like traffic density treatments testing the of speed. (19BO) and Helliar- intersections. However, only the speed variation reductions still evident at sites 18 months after installation. Road mean speed or speed distributions on 19BO). (1974), Agent (1981) found that perceived 1985). (Neissner, posts and post height can road guidance at night 1982; Blaauw, 2.6 SIGHT DISTANCE As noted earlier, strategy crashes vehicle performance during the day, presumably because these delineation treatments are mainly reserved for improving night- moving hold 1980; Nemeth, Rockwell run-off-the-road Under some circumstances, Riemersma, edgeline view of the road to the driver. heading direction, sections Guideposts with reflectors have been shown to have a marked influence on curve detection (Triggs, Harris & Fildes, 1979; they are also adopted more generally for the visibility Riemersma presented 1979; Triggs, on straight do not really add very much to the perspective 2.5 ROAD MARKINGS a safe (Triggs and Wisdom, variables, compared claimed that sight distance - 20 - to traffic density. restrictions - 21 ..,._.--, .. Qppenlander amongst the significant ~-,.,-------~-_._", but less McLean induced a small (1982) .. reduction in the speed adopted by the faster travelling drivers, but had little, if any, effect on the speeds of other drivers. However, he argued that it is difficult distance effects from other effects in the study. to separate sight Traffic volume, however, does seem to exert a marked effect of the changing road on the speed behaviour of drivers on the road and is likely to have some influence on a driver's perception of the road ahead. geometry. In an early crash data studY in the USA, Raff (1953) found no correlation between grade and crashes. looked at a range of geometric accurately controlled variables for gradient This study, however, speed by Oppenlander effects alone in road crashes. (1966), but Troutbeck differentiate it is difficult sight distance it from sight distance to separate observed spot not able to (1976) was effects. The National In short, the effects of qradient alone from Association (NAASRA, 1980) suggested influence and could not have Road gradient was cited as a factor in influencinq clearly This may have been due to minimum traffic volume levels observed speed. there was no relationship on free speed of commercial State Road Authorities the nature of the traffic mix can However, heavy vehicle volumes percentage of Australian vehicles observed for (Duncan, 1974), or for the on crash rates (Raff, 1953). Generally, there appears to be a lack of conclusive evidence on the effects of the traffic mix and further research is needed for clarification. in the speed literature. 2.8 NIGHT AND DAY All things considered, there does appear to be some evidence that the amount of sight distance speed judgements, relative although and gradient may be a factor in there is some dispute over its importance. 2.7 OTHER TRAFFIC Night and day driving conditions represent extremes driver's visual information continuum. The illumination at night are some 200 times less under headlamps than daylight conditions and background information is almost completely absent (Fildes, 1979). AND DENSITY higher at night speed. varying Traffic vehicle 1974; Armour, traffic volume and density, and in the opposite spot-speeds 1983). be a compounding have been associated (Oppenlander, In general, leads to reduced both in the direction direction, travel 1963, Rankin increasing (OECD, 1980; Joscelyn of with drivers (Drummond, flow density can volume on straight 1979). However, roads with increasing (Raff, 1953; Peter Casey traffic & Associates, these studies did report a threshold et al 1970) and those involving young 1985). effect at OECD (1980) reported large speed differences at night in bad abnormally accurate Triggs and Berenyi judgements crashes on freeways in Melbourne ceiling. road delineators. supporting - 22 - I \ speed at night. They attributed this to the increased angular speed of elements visible to the driver which, under headlights, are much closer increase, any threshold I· (1982) found that subjects made more of rural road travelling than normal and form streaming he did not observe with different during night conditions. high volumes, presumably because traffic flows became severely restricted. Worsey (1985) also found a similar crash rate although and driving performance weather. increased speeds tend to be Co-operation A number of factors have been associated factor here. Crash rates generally though, driving for Economic & Hill, the amount of speed, although Interestingly (Organization Development, 1980). This may help to explain the high propensity of fatal and serious injury crashes that occur during darkness The Australian Road Design Handbook (NAASRA 1980) states that the volume of traffic will influence a driver's chosen travel in a levels Sanderson patterns (1985) reported no difference in that were both lit and unlit, the notion of perceptual - 23 ~_. produced by reflectorized narrowing - at night. T Elliot (1981) surveyed to formulate hypotheses found that drivers various regarding were actually groups of Australian drivers their speeding behaviour. encoura~ed He ".-.-.... -.""~""differing results on the significance and condition of road shoulder, width, in speed determination. to travel at higher speeds at night because the road somehow seemed safer. verbal reports are inherently unreliable for perception However, studies Early resear.ch such as that cited in Joscelyn and Leong correlated et al (1970) (1968) found shoulder width and condition to free speed. In reanalysing to be Leong's data, Troutbeck as many of these influences occur without the driver's knowledge. The role of night driving in speed perception, then, requires further investigation, although initially, perhaps not as and claimed Leong's result was spurious. important crash rates and shoulder paving was found by Turner, Fambro and as the effects 2.9 ROADSIDE of the road geometric variables. (1976) however, was unable to find any effect for these factors A correlation Rogness (1981) when they applied 4 more rigorous categorization of variables than that used in the earlier studies. The DEVELOPMENT rationale used by Turner et al was that road shoulders Roadside development can be broadly defined as any aspect of the environment close enough to the roadway to influence driving. NAASRA (1980) claimed that the roadside environment will influence traffic speed and this has particular traffic engineering and planning (Brindle, importance 1980). for and perceptual effects and pedestrian environment. Jaenichen, Ernest (1984). occur in such a variety of types that careful classification is necessary. However, care must be taken when using shoulder crash studies to assess speed as different so on may have different types of shoulders, crash potential paved, gravel and in themselves. The "Woonerf" (building total environment) in the Netherlands, for instance, uses benches, different pavings, winding vehicle paths and other physical between to reduce vehicle speed in a car (Refer also Boeminghaus Bever- Rural roads with no prominent side features have been associated with lower speed judgements than similar treelined roads (Shinar, McDowell & Rockwell, 1974). Triggs (1986) suggested that this effect may be due to either increased peripheral stimulation or motion parallax effects. Whatever the case, it is apparent that this variable needs to be considered Wilson (cited in Joscelyn culture and establishments et al 1970) found that roadside resulted in lower spot-speeds on four- fully in any investigation of speed perception. back would also seem to warrant Building further study, although set- the lane highways. Smith and Appleyard (1986) also reported that house setback distance was positively correlated with urban car evidence to date does not suggest the same for shoulder width. speeds. 2.10 DRIVING EXPERIENCE operating important They hypothesized that an urban ·walled in" effect was on the driver and considered building type to be an consideration in urban speed behaviour. I Evans and Wasielewski (1983) reported a direct relationship between the amount of acceptable headway and youth, while Cowley Rankin and Hill (1974) did not find land use alongside their test roads to affect travelling speed, although it was noted (1983) linked speeding with young males. Free speed surveys by Seal and Ellis (1979) and Wasielewski (1984) in the USA show that worthy of more detailed younger drivers tend to travel at faster speeds. investigation. land use to be a significant variable due to the very broad based categories control for factors variable Part of the failure of in this study may have been used and the failure to such as traffic volume. This lack of control was, in fact, noted in explaining their was not observed (Johns, 1981) or Victoria drivers are constrained this (Manders, 1983) where inexperienced to lower maximum speed limits. these results are not directly Thus, comparable with the overseas findings. - 24 - However, for first year drivers in South Australia - 25 - \ '-- Driving perception experience has been found to influence the of rOad hazards drivers also responded (McKeown, differently 1985). These differences Inexperienced the road conditions (slower) to dangerous nature, it is difficult situations strategies (Quimby and Watts, 1981) and adopted less safe visual (Mourant and Rockwell, 1972). In controlling deviations in straight line driving, Riemersma (1982) explained observed differences as due to the use of different strategies cues. young and experienced drivers in making use of lateral Speed braking and cornering by experience may have perceptual consequences for Speed assessment on the road. It would be worthwhile including this variable in any SUbsequent Speed perception experimentation. quantitatively on the on slippery roads. Inclement weather may also interact with other road conditions (such as night vision) leading to an increase in road crashes for night driving in wet (OECD, 1980). Overall then, there is some suggestion that weather conditions may unduly influence a driver's although weather needs to be carefully experimental 2.11 WEATHER to measure weather of By its road. Hence, the results could reflect reduced visibility as well as altered handling characteristics of the vehicle when conditions These results then suggest that the amount of driving may be due, in part, to the variability examined by these researchers. investigations. speed perception, controlled It is conceivable in any that the perceptual image may be adversely influenced by the amount of light available during inclement weather and this relationship needs to be tested further. Morris, Mounce, had a substantial a rain simulator Button and Walton effect on the visual during both daYlight (1977) reported that rain performance of drivers in 2.12 PARKED VEHICLES The degradation in performance was a function of the rain rate, drop size and vehicle speed but not affected by wiper speed above 50 cpm. Unfortunately, it is difficult to interpret this study behaviour. in terms of the likely on-road effects of weather on speed The evidence (1977) found that SUbjects assessed Poor weather conditions as less safe for driVing on a SUbjective scaling test. This result has instinctive validity and is Supported by the higher proportion of fatal crashes recorded during wet Weather on highways in New South Wales Over the periOd 1968 to 1977 (Peter Casey & ASsociates 1979). However, these effects may not be wholly Speed related. Oppenlander (1966) reviewed studies which found inclement weather in aSSOciation with lowered Spot-speeds, although Olson et al (1984) found no significant differences between Speeds at selected sites on wet and dry days. available on the effects of parked vehicles pedestrians on speed behaviour convincing. Loder and Bayly parked cars and the presence safety. Levin AND PEDESTRIANS and night time Conditions. However, (1980), for instance, of pedestrians they only presented Smith and Appleyard correlated strongly influenced Joscelyn that a small amount of evidence (1981) showed that vehicle of how I speed was with "apparent width" which they argued was by the presence of parked vehicles. However, et al (1970) claimed that Objects on road shoulders had little effect on free speed unless the lane width in total was less than 20 feet (6.2 m). Howarth Surprisingly, Thompson, (1985) reported that driving behaviour marginally modified in the presence children had no effect on vehicle reductions were observed Nottingham in the UK. Fraser and was only of pedestrians. speed, although Roadside small for large groups of pedestrians - 26 - 27 ........ suggested are a major threat to showing an increase in the crash rate and no suggestion these factors influence vehicle speed. positively and and crashes is not particularly in I 1 Samdahl (1986) evaluated the effectiveness of a neighbourhood road safety campaign in New South Wales, Australia. He reported instances of minor speed reductions in particular local streets following the intensive campaign to reduce pedestrian casualties. However, they acknowledged that these speed changes may have been due to other factors such as weather or parking which were outside the control of the survey. More alarmingly though, they also reported drove closer to the children after the programme required to determine SUMMARY OF THE EFFECTS REPORTED than before, futher confirming that the presence of pedestrians little influence on driver behaviour. More work is clearly TABLE 2.3 instances where drivers ROAD AND ENVIRONMENT seems to have some some unsure unsure some some med low med low A unsure B high h igh high yes Cunsure some yes some unsure environment P riority yes category yes yes yes (light & pedestrians conditions) yes alignment cars posts) experience (guide density Factor j, the likely effects of parked vehicles and pedestrians on a driver's speed on Weather Traffic mix Gradient Delineators Parked markings Lane width Road Day and night vision Roadside Slight distance development Driving the road, and especially whether the two interact in the perception of Speed. Urban/rural \ 2.13 SUMMARY The review of the literature environment factors on crashes some interesting findings. on the effects of road and and speed behaviour Table 2.3 summarises has produced these effects and assigns priorities to those factors likely to exhibit sensory effects in the perception of speed. There are TEN road ~r environment factors of immediate prime interest: Urban and rural enVironments, as well as combination environments of urban and rural features. Road alignment Road category inClUding straight such as freeways, Lane width, especially or wide travel lanes. and curved sections. arterials, local streets. Sealed and unsealed inclUded for rural environments. Collectors or roads Could also be roads that have exceptionally A crash statistics B performance C perceptual studies studies narrow - 28 '>.~"'~-~'-'+ r - 29 - --.-_. ~--', ""'f"'"",,~~'n •... '~, "'_.~., ..•..••• ~ « ~.~U_ OF THE FACTORS REVIEWED 3. Roadside development comprising in" and spacious effects. Driving SPEED AND PERCEPTION those offering both "walled As noted previously, have attempted experience year of driving experience. THE MEASUREMENTQF and, in particular, the effects of first compared to those with considerable only a handful of studies published to measure the sensory perception majority of speed studies in the literature assessing vehicle behaviour of speed. concentrated on the road which compounds effects with decision making processes. The on sensory Thus, it is difficult to interpret these studies solely in terms of sensory perception. Traffic density travel speed. below levels that severly restrict free A review of the literature, and problems associated Sight distance headway. in relation to road geometry and traffic perception, was undertaken testing speed perception Parked vehicles and pedestrians of all ages. involving the various methods with the measurement of speed and to arrive at a suitable means of for this project. 3.1 ON-ROAD STUDIES Day and night vision. On-road measures generally have the advantage of high face validity in road experimentation because they evoke normal driving stresses. They are, nevertheless, perceptual explore. The former, in particular, could offer a relatively inexpensive and quick solution to particular hazards for the difficult to assess using dynamic output measurement. perception of speed, if shown to be an effective countermeasure. Except for particular installations, road markings, the type of traffic mix and gradient effects by themselves are less interesting variables for the perception of speed on the road. investigations disadvantaged Other factors, such as guidepost delineators, the weather and the amount of daylight may also be useful variables to driving skill responses. Moreover, In other words, input relations in a particular trial is much more difficult to achieve on the road with differences traffic. in light, weather, and Hence, on-road tests are always more likely to give spurious findings in perceptual studies. and Forbes (1972) discuss many of the advantages associated with both laboratory Many researchers, in a laboratory behaviour in the laboratory 1977). Chapanis (1967) and problems and field experimentation. then, have opted to study road perception environment, (McRuer and Klein, Noguchi, are control of the various factors likely to influence driving performance surrounding in in that visual effects are mixed with and have found that certain can predict behaviour 1975; Witt and Hoyos, on the road 1976; Evans, Of course, any experimental 1970b; research needs to be ultimately validated on the road using driver performance 'studies of some kind. In this respect, the laboratory experiment can be - 30 - - 31 - -----..~--------~--~-~_._-.<-_.~----- an important first step in understanding perception driving and, therefore, for improvedinroad safety. 3.2 SPEED ASSESSMENT Denton laboratory perceptual experimental (1979) argued that simulation is a suitable means of investigating aspects in driving. Denton found that road could be accUrately belt with the subject possible, providing care is taken to ensure the road perspective view is accurately presented to the subjects. In any event, it would be worthwhile conducting preliminary trials on the road and in the laboratory to validate any IN THE LABOROTORY (1971) and Watts and Quimby deceleration conveyor the role of sensory has practical applications represented Watts and QUimby further reported that a car body response capsule with movie film presentation gave identical risk assessments of The choice of whether to use static or dynamic materials in laboratory dependent on the particular presentations particular realistic simulator. road sites as those obtained road noise and vibration in road vehicles when were also included in the While the car body would no doubt help to create a realistic driving atmosphere, neither of these two authors showed for tasks. any their real need for this elaborate and expensive Subject console direction Wierwille (1975) and Noguchi judgements (Triggs, Harris and Fildes, (Fildes and Triggs, (Fildes and Triggs, judgements (1977) all investigated made on the road, providing the effects care was taken to replicate the perspective road view (Salvatore, 1969; Evans, 1970b). When aUditory and vibration inputs were withheld in some of these studies, over-estimation tended to increase (Salvatore, 1969; Evans, 1970a; NogUChi, 1977). MCLane and Wierwille (1975), however, did not find any statistical are based predominantly in the laboratory 1979; Fildes assessment on two-dimension amenable static to static (Fildes, 1987). (1985) and Cairney the speed distributions road would validate perception. in a driving simulator when the stationary However, was necessarily on the road. they believe (1986) argued that of judgements of static road with free speed distributions presentation on the method for speed one would never know if the laboratory represent~tive of the way drivers perceive It may be that subjects are just responding is required of them in the laboratory perfectly for other pSYChological data speed to what environment. there is no reason to expect sensory perceptions speed to correlate of with free speed data on the road, given that drivers may moderate their speed behaviour on the road or social reasons. These studies, then, suggest that laboratory presentation may be a suitable method for investigating sensory speed It was argued earlier that the perception perception. While a full simulation involving realistic road noise and vibration would be preferable to replicate road predominantly processes conditions perfectly, a less realistic r- It was argued that these on the road, and therefore, Cairney and Croft matching Besides, differenceCues withwere their aUditory not speed given.estimates Static 1980), curve exit angle 1982) and curvative 1983, 1985). scenes in the laboratory and estimates task employed. (1970a, 1970b), McLane and of laboratory simUlation on speed estimates. In general, high consensus was found between movie film jUdgements in the laboratory experimental stimulus is ultimately of road curves has been used for road curve assessments simulation (1968, 1969), Evans based road experiments 1979; Triggs, Meeham and Harris, glimpses Salvatore in speed perception. 3.3 STATIC AND DYNAMIC DISPLAYS by a moving road seated in a car simulator. method simulation may also be of speed involves motion parallax and other dynamic (see section 1.4). Speed assessment account the implicit motion cues available 32 - 33 - retinal needs to take into on the road. Indeed, I I ',= in a reCent review of the SPeed esti.ation literature, Trigg, 3.5 SPEAD MEASUREMENT found that al,ost all of the studies reported involved a moving rOad environment. It seems inconceivable, then, that a IN THE LABORATORY (1986) single static presentation the reali,tic assess.ent of road scene, Would be 'Ufficient of speed perCeption fo, in the laboratory. 3.4 FREE SPEED DATA ON THE RO~ There are at least three different for assessing criticised earlier as a means of validating their static slide presentation method, it is still Useful for highlighting perceptual necessary and behavioural to review briefly speed differences. the i,portaot Thus, it is C1984, 1986) particular Shinar, Riemersma, for cOllecting free sPeed data on the road 1982). circumstances, needs to enSUre ContinUity of road characteristics along the road Section of interest and should be free from any SUbstantial roadside Obstructions. In addition, there should also be Sufficient length between major intersections fo, free Speed, to be achieVed. FOllowing identification of Potential Sites, the actual measurement location is finally determined by safety considerations to both operator and passing traffic. his or her judgement of a 3.5.2 Numerical Salvatore have considerable they are expensive compound perceptual Measures Speed responses kilometres 1975; Witt and Hoyos, While these measures in driving, r- or a steering (Denton, 1971; Rockwell, Malecki 1974; McLane and Wierwille, validity The criteria stimulus event laboratory The subject is provided device such as an accelerator wheel or moves a lever to represent aspects of cOllecting free SPeed data 00 the rOad. Sanderson and Corrigan describe a method often USed by traffic engineers. is the method of adjustment. with a responding responses of_S~eed By far the most common method of eliciting responses used These include physical and direct subjective responses; speed limit r~ponses of speed or safety. 3.5.1 PhYs~~al Measures While the technique adoPted by Cairney and Croft (1985) of matching laboratory jUdgements with free sPeed road data Was types of measures speed in the laboratory. and 1976; face to set up and in some and driving skill effects. for Speed in terms of estimated per hour) have been collected (1969) and Evans (1970b). travel speed by Hakkinen This approach (miles or (1963, is preferable for speed perception as it does not require a driving response. However, subjective number continua have been shown to be nonSpeed the rear of measurements an unmarked are not warned can be vehicle. taken with the radar located in parked In this way, motorists of the pre'ence Parking is not available, the .eter vehicle should be However, if should be located on the nature strip and ca.ouflaged by adjacent trees or shrubs. each location, 100 speed measurements of cars or their derivatives are recorded (Anderson, 1970, 1981; McBride, introduce undesirable response in the appropriate At I Cairney and Croft (1985) asked subjects for three variations of speed limit responses for each road site they presented. These included what the speed limit should be, what their maximum operating speed would be, and what the speed of the other traffic would be. traVel direction. In addition, they asked their subjects for jUdgements While this was a particularly r . . - 35 -- --- in 60, 75, 90 or 100 km/h. restrictive - 34 - .-'~ can bias in speed level data. terms of only four response categories; -- 1982) and, therefore, of the radar and do not change their speed. Wherever Possible, the stationary placed where motorists expect parked vehicles. adjacent linear set of responses, it I I was also likely to evoke a sOcially acceptable experimental of sOmething resPonse. Levine The envirnnoent and the nature of a per'onal a.se'.ment rather contentious in our society (the number repreSenting the speed limit for a particular road in Victoria) could moderate a Subject's speed jUdgement. A more Subtle assessment (1977) used a similar technique degree of safety a subject felt for a particular speed and road environment in a simulated driving task. Watts and Quimby (1979), too, used a mechanical technique for assessing derivation SUbjective construct and is most suitable Furthermore, there is some doubt about a driver's ability assess speed limits accUrately. Moslyn and Sheppard (1980) to repnrted that many mntnri.t. (especi",y oomen, ynung drivers .n' those driving low distances annually) were not aWare of how to reCognise which speed limit applied to a particular stretch of road. limit jUdgementsdata. under these circumstances are not Hence, likely speed to yield meaningful 3.5.3 SUbiective Maqnitude environment on a driver's of the line-mark risk in a variety of road situations in a vehicle simulator. of sPeed is less likely to be biased in this manner. to indicate the This technique for assessing perception is simple to the effects of the of speed. 3.6 SUMMARY This review of the literature and perception on the measurement of speed shows that: On-road measures are not appropriate for sensory perception studies as they tend to compound input effects with driving Scalinq skill responses. A third approach experiments USes SUbjective rate the magnitude Subjective for eliciting scaling teChniques of sensation impression. responses Numbers in perceptual Where Subjects have been Used for magnitude taken to simulate driver. carefully the validity of the Power law has been challenged (Trie.man, 1964, Anderson, 1970, 1981, MC8ride, 1982). These authors stre.s the need for magnitUde SC"e. to be free of numbers. A slash line resPonse was developed where SUbjects mark across a line between two extreme values to repre'ent a particUlar senSation of an eVent. A validation to the road and laboratory tests would when setting up a new study teChnique to any likely differences in the results between study between illustrate both methods. Moving stimulus materials for speed estimation dynamic retinal presentations displays. than nUmber Comparing are preferred over static scenes because of the likely reliance processes and cues. on Movie film have some minor advantage over other dynamic free speed data with perceptual behavioural . ~- •..._--._~-~ care is be worthwhile highlighting - providing the image presented The data u.in9 this resPnnSe .cale1981; has McBride, been shoon1982). to be less bi"ed Scales (Anderson, - 36 can be useful for highlighting aspects of driving, adapted from techniques developed by Stevens {1961, 1962, 1974, as fLire~physical measuresandofPsychological sensation When establishing his Power law between eVents. however, experimentation visual perception e.ti •• tion Of rO'd curvature (Filde., '987, Filde. and Trigg., 1983, 1985) and cross model matching ha. been 'Pplied for 'pee, assessment (Riemersma, 1984). Both of these measures were More reCently, Laboratory in terms of a scale of their differences between consequences. - - 37 - data is useful for sensory perceptions and I 4. While three methods of speed measurement in the laboratory are available, a Subjective measure not involving numbers appears to be the best technique available for comparing relative effects of the environment on speed perception. The preceding RESEARCl:LuS'1'R1I,TEGY introduction cues and assessment methods detailed description and literature review of possible for speed perception of.a research enabled a strategy. However, an estimate of travel speed may also be necessary to compare sUbjective and objective Speed. 4.1 Speed limit responses are not particularly desirable dependent variables socially acceptable because they are likely to eVoke a response bias. LABORATORY EXPERIMENTATION The literature review suggested that speed perception be well simulated in a relatively simple laboratory could I environment. The degree of simulation will depend on the accuracy of the view presented to the sUbject as well as the amount of non-visual driving information presented and lateral acceleration). experimentation, (notably vehicle sound, vibration As a pre-test a validation accuracy of the laboratory presentation 4.2 STIMULUS to detailed study was required to confirm the It method. PRESENTATION ,; \ Two choices were considered materials stimulus to the subjects, namely static or dynamic road scenes. While stationary presentations laboratory seemingly for presenting experimentation, important presentations are simple and more controlled for the perception were preferred of speed. Hence, dynamic for this research. Moving road environments can be generated from either movie film, video or computerised geometric category requires expensive graphics and high resolution for presentation. inexpensive productions. The last screens video filming was the most simple and means of reproducing a moving road environment was limited in terms of the size of presentation, fine road details and difficulty image size. in controlling Thus, moving road scenes were subsequently but resolution automobile. side of a car positioned generated using left of the centreline of the road. - r- .. of a This means from the right-hand - 38 - -- of for perspective 16 mm colour films taken from close to the driving position typical Australian for they do not provide the motion cues 39 - '-"~':'.{'l". =-------- 4.3 fREE SPEED VEHICLE DATA 4.5 CONTROLLED FACTORS Free sPeed data Was collected behaviour difference •. to highlight perceptual and Free .peed. were •••• Ured u.ing • e.t.o Mini (.crn •• the rO'd) r.d.r by .0 ob.erver seated in an u".rked vehicle at the 'ide of the road. Thi. method wa. shown to have least influence on the speed of vehicles being measured (Sanderson and Corrigan, 1984, 1986). The factors not manipulated for experimental remaining variables Procedures for collecting with the methodology and preSenting recommended levels of the consisted of flat, straight road sections. the data were by the Advisory Co•• ittee on Road U.er Performance and Tr.ffic Code. (ACRUPTC) Sample sizes of around 100 vehicles were adoPted. 4.4 INDEPENDENT The following in Table 2.3 were adopted in this research programme. Road alignment compatible in this study were held constant control purposes. Zero traffic density was adopted. This meant a minimum of 5 seconds free headway in either direction was required for both film and on-road tests. VARIABL~ Sight distance at least twice the presentation time for each stimulus scene was maintained. This includes both the road Fifteen rOad or environment likely to influence factors were identified as the .en'ory perception Of .peed to .ome degree (.ee Table 2.3 on page 2,). Of the.e, the effect, of the first 5 variables Were considered here, namely;_ Urban and rUral environments, Road category, Lane width, Roadside development, Driving experience. ahead and headway distance same direction. Wherever possible, vehicles or pedestrians. only had spasmodic for any vehicle travelling in the sites were selected with no parked Road tests were included instances of parked vehicles if they and movement of people. and All sites were filmed during daylight hours with good light to ensure that any texture effects were accurately in the stimulus materials. represented These factors seem to eXert consistent effects on free 'peed. on the rOad and were noted •• having been involved in rO'd cra.he •. Further.ore, they con.titute a b•• e .et of v'ri'ble. 00 at a later time. which the influence Of .o.e of the re•• ining f.ctor. c.n be .dded Filming only occurred on days of fine weather with no visible All sites contained minimum treatments levels of road delineation (centreline and edgelines were permitted, roadside posts were removed where they interfered filming or testing). I -'~"'T'"'~-~ ~-'----- signs of rain or fog. - 40 - .,_,~ - 41 - but with ~. 4.6 PRESENTATION SP~D TABLE 4.1 DETAILED The literature review showed EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN FOR THE MAIN EXPERIMENTS that the absolute level of speed tested was likely to influence the Subjects' jUdgements. It is not uncommon for movement experiments on the road to include mUltiple speed levels to minimise any chance of response constant estimate. bias and speed to ensure that Subjects do not simply respond with a While it would be more desirable presentation speeds for each site to have a range of (absolute speed would then be ulD 1. RURAl. 21aneUID 9uvel an independent variable in its own right), this manipulation of less importance here compared with the five independent variables. However, avoid guessing. a minimum I ,..... ..... ,.I aparce •• l.ane cent of the posted limit. for each site, and speed were arbitrarily U/D .,.. SPACIOUS 1 Experi_nt VehiCle Travel Speed of Melb. • peelS BJMllld evaluation , trees trees .etb.clt setback: £HI_RURALldi., Inarr- ., .. ••• 7 divided 3. URBAN a single presentation narrtJW •• lane UID :2 lane sites Were selected 4.7 DETAILED EXPERIMENTAL Three categories urban) were included. speed was held to of environment (rural, semi-rural and RUral and urban environments comprised settings in a built up area, such as on the outskirts of a major city with Overhead lighting and speed restrictions. narrow UID speed lilllit residen. speed li_it wide residen. :-:--- OF SU'£S 16 -- NUMBER or SIT:::; 16 • 20 J Wide ~ B 16 • 2C 3 m. J Ill. Rural divided Sparcc rural Treed rural Setni-rural roads or lIrterials roadside refer mainly to country freeways develoPJllent means open country ",i thout trees roadsicl.e develOp1llent is typically divided Trees for semi-rural roads or arteriOlls roadside refer ..- -~- near highway. D.road !>ll.ssing t.hrough a forest. JIIll.inly to urbOln freewllys. lIlay inclUde shnlbs ll.MJ.other - 43 - I 16 PRESENTI''1'lON~ • 1 &qual nufl\bers of ••ale ano feJllale first year Olndfully licenced drivers in ellch elCperi....ent; 'j ••ale elCperienced. !l felllOllc elC.pC!riencccl,!l male first year, t1ncl!l [emOlle fIrst. year driverB. :: Narrow ~ , 8 TO'J'~L NUHIlEJI. or DIl"FEItENT FI~ - 42 - ~ 16 _ n +/- 15 , +/- 15 , speed H.-it +/- 15 , residen. wide As it was difficult to generalise across these environments, (rural, semi-rural and Urban) was constrained to a seperate . :=....:... ~.. _. -- NUMBER wide experiment. The variable combinations and factor levels used in each experiment are described fUlly in Table 4.1. r 16 DESIGN country and city settings and were relatively clear cut. Semirural environments, on the other hand, were defined as rural each liJIit +j- 15 , +/- 15 ~ +/- is ~ speed li_it +/- is , speed H_it +/- is , 1'·<hOck 'tOTAL the SpeedSpeed limit. with posted differing limits and presentation 16 15 , speed l1alt :2 lane UID narrow wide lane UID vide study, +/- 15 , liait +/- 'I'O'l'AL N\JIllIeR OF SITES 'I'O'l'AL For the laboratory rr •• entationa 12 for •• eh J speed It..-it , •• speed was used because of the road trials, Road Sit •• tall within :2hr.. of drive INUllber type ofofsit.e1 Nu.l:MIr w.u.un speed. liait. 15 per 0( Roadside DevelOt-ent was by the speed limit set at plus and minus width ~e tree. tree • aparce narrow n&1'1'Olof wide vide divlded2 aparce aparce narrow J wide of two speeds was necessary to These speeds were determined ....• ,.,... &xperi_nt low lying foliage. '0 " FIGURE 4.0 4.8 STIMULUS MATERIALS Research Vehicle with Camera in position The stimulus materials for each site consisted of a 5 second sequence of 16 mm film, taken from the driving position of an automobile left of the centreline. Figure 4.0 shows the camera \ in place on the experimental vehicle. A 10 second section of blank film was inserted between each test scene to allow the subject sufficient time to respond in a semi-paced A pseudo-random separate of stimulus within order of presentation rolls of film, each containing scenes, were prepared. each film was consistent of presentation \ manner. was adopted, where a discrete fixed sequence Thus, the presentation for all subjects, of each film was systematically and instructions order but the order varied between subjects. Practice materials preceded the main experiment to ensure the subjects were familar with the task. 4.9 SUBJECTS The subject pool consisted drivers of equal numbers of first year and full license holders. level of driving experiments, experience yielding Eighteen were recruited sUbjects of each for each of the 3 a total of 108 subjects. The subjects were drawn from within RACV Limited and from specific populations possible, of young drivers sUbject pools were matched experience and exposure. participating Subjects' outside RACV. As far as for sex, years of driving In all cases, sUbjects were paid for in the experiment. vision was screened at the start of the experiment to ensure they had normal vision (1.0 Snellen or better). included spectacles driving people with and without population. - 44 - r- This to match the normal ""'~-'~~""',,-""~'~'.~. ",.,,,,,,,"'-,,,. ~==:::::::::::;;;;;;=-'i.,....---=.,....-=._~_._---, - 45 - 4.10 DEPENDENT FIGURE 4.1 VARIABLE SAMPLE PAGE FROM THE RESPONSE BOOKLET The laboratory only a visual method adopted simulation response measure variable here. in this research comprised of the driving task. was not an appropriate Thus, a vehicle or desirable dependent W E-<' o E-< tn:tl objections However, it estimate response effectively to using speed limit responses is essentially a relative overcomes E-< o 8~ WH P<E-< A magnitude 1 I ......- tn -r '" p.. W for this task. speed measure and may not provide data that can be directly compared with the free speed data from the road. Thus, subjects were asked to make TWO responses to each road scene presented. The first response was a slash across a 150 mm line, labelled at each end as either too fast or too slow. A mid-point was also provided but not labelled. The second response was an estimate of what speed the subject believes he or she is travelling at. These responses were used to compare with the free speed data collected at each site. Figure 4.1 shows a sample page from the response booklet used in the experiment. Each jUdgement was on a separate page to minimise carry-over effects from one jUdgement to the next. 4.11 DATA ANALYSIS Statistical analysis of the experimental data involved parametric statistics. Keppel (1982) noted that the most robust test of experimental data is analysis of variance. He also 0:: r.u co :<: :::> z r.u recommended the use of the omega-squared statistic for assessing the relative strength of effect of each of the variables. Both of these omnibus tests of significance were used for data analysis, along with appropriate necessary. H UJ oo E-< .L::: o ....:I tn simple effects analysis where - 46 - -----------".--- ----.---_-o---"-:-:~ r- E-< - 47 - These techniques precise form of analysis available for these experimental Free speed data were summarised analysis package and presented percentile 5. allow the full effects of each experimental variable to be measured, as well as any interactions that may occur between the variables. This is considered to be the most and standard data. using a standard free speed in the form of mean, 85th deviation for each variable combination. could not be collected at all sites A preliminary LABORATORY VALIDATION study was undertaken STUDY to validate the method proposed of measuring speed perception in the laboratory. As well as helping to establish a valid experimental procedure, this 'study would also provide valuable drivers' perceptions of speed. insight and practice in testing 5.1 STIMULUS MATERIALS Free speed measurements Twelve urban road sites in the Melbourne Metropolitan area for a number of reasons (eg: sites were by-passed between filming and free speed measurement). In addition, there were variations in the numbers of vehicles at some sites due to the lack of were selected as typical examples of a range of road sites to be traffic movements 5.1 for complete details of the sites selected analysis and time of the year. of these data therefore a descriptive here. analysis A full statistical was not possible and hence only of the free speed responses was attempted used in the main experiment (see Appendix A-1 and Figures 5.0 and for the validation study). These sites offered a variety of road categories, speed limits and road environments and in all cases, there was a minimum of 30 seconds unobstructed sight distance. A 5 second road segment was selected study and free speed measurements at each site for the were made at each of these 12 experimental segments (details are listed in Appendix A-1). A film sequence at the posted speed limit was taken at each site and sUbsequently spliced into a 5 second segment as described earlier. This film sequence was later used for the laboratory assessment. Road trials were conducted at the same road site. 5.2 ROAD TRIALS Six fully licensed drivers (3 male and 3 female) with no prior knowledge of the project were recruited from within RACV staff and driven around a pre-determined course encompassing the 12 chosen road sites (see Figure 5.1). Each subject sat in the passenger side front seat and was instructed procedure from a cassette tape, prior to arrival at the first site (Appendix B-1 lists the experimental the road experiment). - 48 - - 49 - in the experimental instructions used for ::P. tu 0. n tu ~ ::l c'"'£' 0' tu ~ I ~~, "3 .':4;'~<;:~~:::~; '£' t'~~:i; r c[ ::l 0. (fl 0:. <' (t) t:u:l -0 '-l tu -l>ero -~ ," 00 ~ oz C::V1 )-m <~ -<c ;:oC') O:!! ~ o;:0 OJ r)- As each site approached, adjusted the driver of the experimental his speed to the posted speed limit and positioned vehicle to maximise free headway headway was adopted as a minimum car the (as a rule, a 5 second free trial requirement, although no 00 traffic was always aimed for at each site). w The subject was '" o •... asked to look down at the response and to look up only when instructed the back seat. shielded The speedometer from the subject's through the vehicle's noises. As the vehicle w booklet on his or her knees by the experimenter of the experimental vehicle was entered each experiment~l site, the subject time, the subject was then After 5 seconds of viewing asked to look down again and make his or her assessments safety and estimated oW 0:1: "'''' [8]00 '" travel speed. After ll]J ~ lZ1 :2 u.J l..l Z 10 seconds, the was given before the first experimental the subject with the task. number of subjects involved for the experimental '" '" o trials for the laboratory conditions trial to Because of the minimum in this study, a fixed route was used (a fixed presentation presentation order was also of the 12 movie film All road trials were conducted 5.3 LABORATORY == ~ « :>< 00 •..• Z o during Off-peak and with dry roads and good light conditions. lUJ >,~ TRIALS '" used for off-road of the road trial method. •... Z "'w II II 1\ C1. )( I I W I I I \ I I I I -' w wz ~~ and natural of the laboratory of the RACV in a light and only had one access door). arrangement zzw ~::: I \ , :l:C1.'" II I ~~~i -0-' \ II w I __ \ l:u_-- I __ __- -'< ~:I: \ (/)c: --- ---\-.... , l-----·~ - 53 - _---~--- w -, t UJ : w N ..... ~ ~I i3 t:: If) LU 0:: @)~~ t; ;~\ :; 0 " _ Details ._._ .. _ .. :>000 -'wo =a::m <eO ...Ja:: \ are shown in Figure 5.2. - 52 - ~ : 4: lw •... w <00 •... I I \~\~ \::1 ow I , (the room was without CO II :I: A laboratory was quiet works area .« 11 w testing was a close at the Noble Park Headquarters and relatively ~ .~ o 1\ I1 w z~\ The procedure :0 01 ~ oot; •...w windows CID Z«~ -' •... -,ID u..w isolated lJ zo ~ <w W ID l..l Practice established Z u.J :l: of and traffic. replication I- CID experimenter instructed the subject to relax and engaged him or her in casual conversation to distract attention from the road traffic [j" :1: •... iii otherwise. segments). l..l z ahead until instructed adopted -' < u;~ view and loud white noise was played was asked to look up and view straight familiarise w '" >wlD NOO seated in stereo system to mask engine and wind ~ :I: IJ,.. An experimental constructed, along with another sites for practice. recruited tested film sequence The speed estimate responses were SUbsequentlY of the 12 road sites was film of 6 additional and novel Six new subjects (3 male and 3 female) were from within RAC V headquarters and were individually in the laboratory. converted error scores (positive or negative differences in km/h into estimate and the actual travel speed) and also 1 of between the analysis of variance and omega-squared. The analysed using of these results is also shown in Table statistical summary APpendiX C-1. Each subject experimental practice listened instructions to a tape recording (see Appendix describing B-2 for details). the 5.4.1 ~fe The operatina Speed Data film was then loaded and the subject was given practice at making responses. experimental The practice sequence speeds to prevent The main effect for road site shown in Figure 5.3b was film was identical with the but used different significant sites and different (F(11,110)=9.7, considerable differences learning. 12 road sites used in this experiment. The experimental film was then run. manipulation Each road site was presented in the same manner as the road trials. Subjects viewed the road scene until the onset of the 10 second blank, then looked down and made their assessments travel experiment, treatment variance of the experiment, about their impressions This variable effect observed for almost one-third in this of the total in this experiment. There was also a significant analysis, At the conclusion expressed of safety across the of safety and estimated speed as previously. questioned was the strongest accounting subjects p<.001, w2=.292). in their judgements shown in Figure main effect observed 5.3a (F(1,10)=21.1 , p<.001, in this w2=.165). The mean estimates of safety in the laboratory were approximately subjects were equal to the mean scale value, whereas the road estimates were significantlY slower. This variable accounted for approximatelY 17 per cent of the experimental variance, but even 50, was only of the task and strategies they used when making their estimates. one-half the strength of statistical 5.4 RESULTS association as that of road site. The safe operating speed responses for each site in both the A significant interaction road and laboratory experiment were measured and converted to a distance in millimetres from the left hand "Too Slow" anchor experiment point. 2.3, p<.05, w2=.042). Thus, any number between 0 and 75 represented response while numbers between a slow and site variables, was practical 75 and 150 indicated a fast was observed between the shown in Figure 5.3c (F(11,1101= The pattern of responses occurred in the results for site 2. The response and analysed numbers were then structured using the ANOVALEE and omega-squared statistics program 12 values of a within-subject of variance into a data base for analysis of variance (Fildes, 1987). and 2 values of a between-subject analysis (albeit at a higher overall level of safety) except for the reversal response. assumed in the laboratory identical to that of the road responses variable variable The analysis for "road site" for "experiment". summary tables are shown in Appendix The C-1. - 55 - - 54 - that 5.4.2 SpeedE~timation A significant (a) (b) SS z 7sr·---'\. 95 w site tested. ./'-" :lE " w 1..""-. __ Q :) .., type of experiment W D. SLOW Cl) '---ctB· Z j: R~D TOO SLOW TYPE OF E-XPERIMENT TOO L1 , , , , , , • a: (c) , , '-, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 TEST SITES Cl: FAST effect captur~ng almost eight per cent of the interaction observed between and site shown in Figure 5.4c (F(11,110l=2.3, p<.05, wZ=.005l. A simple main effects analysis performed on these data shows that the only significant differences were at TOO " This variaple was again the strongest observed in this analysis, total variance. There was also a significant Q W main effect for site was observed as shown in Figure 5.4b (F(11,110l=2.B, p<.01, wZ=.007l. The accuracy of the subjects' speed estimates was dependent on the particular Fl~~1 '-./ •••• Data EXPERIMENT X SITE sites 5 and 7 (F(1,10l=6.6, p<.05 and 9.B, p<.01, respectivelYl. None of the other sites were significant at the 5 per cent level of probability. W D. o There was no significant W IL .-. Cl: 1'''., _. Lab Sale ~im~\. ·""x ..... '\,,,.--0." "',- / I1' __ / Cl) 55 '--".---/Road "'_;0- Safe Estimate analysis, wZ in this = Ol. Subjects' speed estimates were not noticeably d~fferent in the laboratory to those made during the road experiment, even though the trend was similar to that observed for the safe operating speed data (Figure 5.3al. TOO main effect for experiment shown in Figure 5.4a (F(1,10l=<1, p>.25, Moreover, the lack of a significant main effect for site for either laboratory SLOW Lt I I t I I I I ; f I-L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 TEST SITES confirms the uniformity speed estimates. or road testing in the response pattern for both types of 5.4.3 Free Speed Data FIGURE 5.3 Safe operating speed responses obtained in the laboratory validation study. Free speed data was collected at B of the test sites and is summarised in Appendix B-1 with the site definition In addition, information. the mean speed values observed at each site, along with the posted speed limits, are plotted in Figure 5.5. reasons previously these data. explained, For no formal analysis was performed on Hence, the report of these results will be confined to a descriptive analysis only. - 56 - 57 - -------. I , FASTER (a) FASTER +10 (b) + 10 .: •... E :. a: o a: FREE SPEED X LIMIT ZERO ZERO . ----------10 -10' ./' a: III III t- L I 1 LAB ROAD TYPE OF EXPERIMENT FASTER Q , 2 , 3 I 4 I 5 I 6 I I 7 8 I I • /'\ a. / Cl) ZERO • I/\ \\ I "", :: -'-"'-'Free .5peed 5pe LI~~ls (mean) Do Cl) 40 TEST SITES III III a: 30 IL. 20 10 /'\ '. L \. o U 51 ~'I\ ~ X•. I '0_ III 50 I 9 10 11 12 Lab Speed Estimate +10 -10 I 1 (c)EXPERIMENT X SITE III , III SLOWER-l ~ '" . 0'60 E 70 :lE III III -= ... t 100r_\~~ \. ~ SLOWER ee t: en 90 / j"- /.-",'.'1'-·'-. . I 52 I 53 I 54 t 55 I 56 I 57 J 511 SITE NUMBER /'>\l:; .-. \ SLOWER -" 1 V , 2 / .- , 3 , 4 ~ad , 5 , 6 , 7 Speed Estimate , 8 FIGURE 5.5 Free speed measurements in kmlh taken at 8 of the 12 test sites in the laboratory validation study. , , , , 9 10 11 12 TEST SITE FIGURE 5.4 Errors in the travel speed estimate results from the laboratory validation study. l i I - 58 - r:--'~ _=---~~~=~=====~. ::===::.:. -:-.;:.",::;.';;;;.",~"!;~!'~~-::!E:-==::-;:a>!'''!''!''...,.,.,,==---- ------ - 59 - 65 85 (b) (a) The mean travel speed was approximately speed limit at sites 1, 2, 3 and 11. speed limits ranging from 60 to 100 km/h. -~ equal 85to the posted These sites encompassed FAST TOOl 65 75 I F~~~\ 75l However, the mean travel speeds at sites 4, 5, 6 and 7 were all approximately 10 km/h faster than the 60 km/h posted speed limit. In addition, sites was between limit, depending environment. & 5.4.4 Road the 85th percentile on the posted speed level and type of roadside jUdgements. variables variable Z III TOO SLOW of the validation A restricted combinations evaluation study was to test the for eliciting road speed range of road and environmental to the main experiments were not exhaustive. Nevertheless, and the a of these effects was still possible, providing care was taken not to interpret too much from these results. estimates Figure 5.6 shows the plots of the safe operating speed for the road and environment factors included. Several :) ., DU) "Z- assessed to be a safe operating slower than divided et a: III 65 D- O III ~ 65 TOO SLOW s;:g~ DIVIDED UNDIVIDED ARTERIAL (e) FAST 85 .- roads were generally roads, while for divided roads, 8- 75 Thi~ result was independent of whether the 65 road was a major arterial or a freeway. On undivided roads, 4lanes were assessed much slower than 2-lanes The main reason for this, strangely enough, appears to be 4-lane collector and local roads, rather than similar arterials. TOOL SLOW I ' ' Residential SemioruralResidential LSPACIOUSJ ' Commercial LWALLED INJ ROADSIDE ENVIRONMENT FIGURE 5.6 Safe operating speed judgements for a range of road factors studied in the laboratory validation study. - 61 - - 60 - --.--=--------------_ ..~~-----~ COLL/LOCAL ROAD TYPE (4-Lane Undivided) ROAD TYPE lanes were jUdged slower than 6-lanes and 6-lanes were judged slower than 4-lanes. 75 to- speed when the data was Undivided 85 ----. 75 TOO across experiment. (d) TOO FAST et First, all roads were judged slower than that normally collapsed 2·L NUMBER OF LANES (undivided) 85 Q 1&1 III U) considered 4-L 4-L (c) TOO FAST U. points can be made from these figures. 6·L NUMBER OF LANES (Divided) Q of the laboratory 8.L " Effects was used here compared preliminary TOO SLOW to- :i III Environment The main purpose suitability speed at each of these 12 5 and 38 per cent greater than the posted speed '- Walled roadside environments above a safe operating which were assessed in walled speed, compared generally residential resulted to spacious environments as too slow. environments The free speed data showed that speed l~~~ros'were generallY in judgements at or In particular, appeared speed much too fast on not adhered to at the test sites, especiallY limits. those with 60 km/h The average speed for these lower limit sites was approximatelY 10 km/h above the posted limit and B5th percentile average when viewed at the posted speed limit. speeds were up to 22 km/h (37 per cent) faster than the legal level. This result needs further testing in both rural, semi- 5.5 DISCUSSION rural, and urban environments and has important the role of perception in driving. The results of the validation appropriateness simulation While the safe operating for eliciting road speed average was operating speed jUdgements generally observed and speed estimates. from laboratory consistent across method in each condition laboratory significant trials), of road and environment without placing too much and emphasis on these results, they nevertheless suggest that a travel Systematic evaluation of these variables will uncover new important reasons for understanding at the speeds they do. why drivers choose to The interaction with onlY a small number of (n=6 for both the road and the results obtained confirm pattern of results speed testing. judgements observed the safe operating slightly more sensitive in the results and speed estimates. from both these measures although and the highly that the effects are robust There was not a lot of difference safe operating measures speed estimates to the independent The was quite similar, may have been variable manipulations. It should be noted though that the experimental not orthogonal (each variable of the other variables). was not represented Moreover, a single example of a particular is still necessary to collect travel speed judgements design was at each level in some cases, there was only variable combination. Thus, it both safe speed estimates and in any future testing. - 63 - 62 - ~ factors findings. and test sites was minimal the use of repeated and negate the need for additional between examination some interesting from only one of the sites used in this study. While this result was achieved subjects has been trials and measures. between presentation and resulted In other words, presentation The preliminary highlighted higher for laboratory presentations than road trials, the pattern of results obtained was similar at each test site for both safe the loss of reality for study confirm the of using laboratory speed perceptions. ramifications , 6. THE RURAL_EXPERIMENT The pilot study confirmed that the laboratory method elicited similar speed responses to those taken on the road. addition, the preliminary substantial variations speed estimates. in the safe operating Thus, the laboratory to be a suitable means of evaluating changes on drivers' single experiment replicated the variables and urban in each of these environments needed. Hence, separate environments. for each of these environments separately. However, draw general conclusions and a in terms of the were designed for the three different The experiments described and seemed and their levels would have been unmanageable number of stimulus presentations experiments method the effects of perceptual for rural, semi-rural was not possible; were not perfectly speed responses presentation speed estimates. A single experiment environments In site data from the pilot study showed will be the final chapter will attempt to that can be made for all environments. 6.1 STIMULUS MATERIALS In line with the research strategy outlined twenty-eight Melbourne which encompassed particular in chapter 4, rural road sites were located within 2 hours of the range and levels of the road and environment factors of interest. Appendices A-2 to A-5 detail the 28 sites selected and Figure 6.0 shows typical sites used in the rural experiment. The independent divided-wide wide (D/W), variables (2L/W), 2-lane-narrow narrow (GIN), repetitions included seven road types, divided-narrow (DIN), 4-lane (2L/N), gravel-wide two roadside environments (4-L), 2-lane- (G/W), gravel- (spacious, walled), two (different sites with the same characteristics) and two film speeds (15 per cent above and below the posted limit). This yielded 56 road scenes in a fully crossed factorial design experiment. --, -- ------:: - 65 - A suitable road segment was identified FIGURE 6.0 RURAL ensured a minimum SITES at each site that of 5 sec film time with specified distance requirements. sight Each site was then filmed from the research vehicle providing the two film segments, 15 per cent ~bove and below the posted speed limit. Sites were filmed using a Bolex H16 reflex movie camera on 16mm Kodak colour negative daylight film (64 ASAl, processed subsequently into work prints and edited into 5 sec sequences. Four experimental films were then produced, each containing selected road scenes followed by 10 sec of blank Care was taken to ensure that road scenes with similar 14 randomly film. characteristics (repetition sites or the same site at different speeds) were on different reels or were spaced as far apart as possible. The order of presentation structured across subjects to ensure that each film was presented of the four reels was equally in every serial position. Site 9 - Undivided. 4-Lane, Spacious road. 6.2 EXPERIMENTAL Thirty-six the experiment. groups PROCEDURE licensed drivers were recruited as sUbjects Nine sUbjects were allocated (male-experienced, female-experienced, f,"male-1st yearl to test for experience perception. male-1st participation. in a session 40 min and were paid for their The laboratory used in the validation year, or sex effects in speed SUbjects were tested individually lasting approximately for to each of four study set up was identical with that (see Figure 5.3 in the previous Chapterl. Each subject was played a pre-recorded experimental instructions appendix B-2 for detailsl. .~ was then presented requirements at the start of the session for practice. Questions about task were answered prior to commencing the main 2-Lane, Gravel wide, Walled road. - 66 - 67 - the (see The film used in the previous experiment. Site 24 - Undivided, tape describing study ~/ (b) (a) A The experimental procedure TOO' 95 FAST __ was similar to that used •.......••.....•... 75 FAST previously. For each experimental trial, subjects 95viewed the 75\-- The subject moving scene for 5 sec until the screen went blank. then looked down at the response assessment, repeated followed by an estimate until the film ran out. of travel speed. trials were completed. experimenter highlight discussed strategies This was SUbjects were encouraged rest while the film was changed and any questions purpose of the experiment mo~ book and made his or her safety were deferred to relating to the l- At the end of the session, the the experiment or difficulties 55 55 until the experimental with the subject to associated with the task. Z u.I ~ TOOL SLOW l'DIW DIN, 4L, 2UW, 2UN , G/W ' GIN , TOO SLOW SLOW FAST PRESENTATION SPEED TYPE OF ROAD u.I o Q ~ 6.3 RESULTS ., As before, the safe operating judgement were converted and 150 = too fast. estimates, into millimetres These responses, were computed, of variance speed responses these two analyses will be described standard deviation and 85th percentile measurements were also computed between 0 = too slow and analysed using analysis statistics. For ease of reporting, separately. D- UI o -l- Z Cl: a: The mean, 75 75 55 55 u.I D- of the free speed and reported 95 u.I u.I along with the speed error unscrambled and omega-squared 95 Q for each in a later section. (d) TOO FAST (c) TOO FAST O TOO SLOW' TOO SLOW u.I SPACIOUS u.. ROADSIDE FEMALE WALLED DRIVER ENVIRONMENT Cl: 6.3.1 Sa~e Operatinq UI Speed Responses Appendix 2-way interaction described 95 C-2 lists the summary table of the analysis of variance of the safe operating speed data while Figure 6.1 shows the effects of interest. There were four main effects and one that warrant close attention in order of their strength and these are of effect (l)SPEED X ROADSIDE TOO FAST (e) TOO FAST MALE SEX 95 ·Spacious 75 75 ranking) . 55 55 Presentation effect speed shown in Figure 6.1b was a significant (F(1,32)=118.3, pC.001, w2 =.0895). Subjects estimated slow speeds to be too slow while fast travel speeds were judged too fast. This variable was the strongest effect recorded =.0895) and captured more than half the variance independent variable manipulations. - 68 - (W2 TOOl.SLOW " TOO,SLOW l' EXPERIENCED DRIVING ' NOVICE EXPERIENCE due to the FIGURE 6.1 Safe operating speed results of 'Interest for rural roads in exper"lment 1. - 69 - SLOW PRESENTATION ' FAST SPEED (b) Type of road in Figure 18.7, p<.001, w2=.0484). 6.1a was also significant Subjects (F(6,192)= estimates varied from too slow +~ for major arterial roads through to too fast for minor and gravel roads. This variable was the second strongest effect ( w2=.0484) and accounted Roadside for almost environment (F(1,32)=40.2, of spacious variable p<.001, w2 =.0165). film segments were assessed effect as presentation too fast. l" ZERO /.-- to be safe, whereas walled With w2=.0165, this only one-fifth as strong an ---. shown in Figure 6.1d almost reached (F(1,32)=3.9, was a between-subject p=.055, w2 ,.,,,, ZERO ./". .---------- . ----. - 20 I - " SLOWER , DIW DIN .c , , , , , 4L 2L1W2L/N GIW GIN SLOWER effect. This variable accounted presentation for 5 per cent of the variance the strength of effect as ~ a: oa: a: + 20 +20 ZERO c:[ ~ t/) -20 -20 L&I Q L&I between speed and roadside shown in Figure SLOWER-I' sites were judged slower than walled sites p<.001), while for fast presentations, much faster than spacious however, sites walled sites were assessed was not a particularly only 1 per cent of the variance treatment manipulations. ROADSIDE t/) SLOWER MALE ENVIRONMENT (e) FASTER (F(1,32) = 38.7, (F(1,32) = 65.1, p<.001). capturing ' WALLED SPACIOUS L&I Do 6.1f was also significant (F(1,32)=6.3, p<.05, w~.0014). Simple effects analysis showed that for slow presentations, spacious interaction, (d) FASTER ZERO ••• ••• speed. The interaction +20 This strong effect, attributed to the ZERO -20 6.3.2 Speed Estimation Errors To provide a meaningful travel speed estimates, scores by subtracting Appendix FAST SPEED L&I factor, data here could result in sex being a significant and was less than one-tenth -~--- SLOW PRESENTATION FASTER (c) L&I additional _~, TYPE OF ROAD E at the 5 per cent level As this variable _ 20 L estimated the speeds speed. The sex of the subject =.007). Subjects was ranked third, although significance ""'''I 30 per cent of the treatment variance . shown in Figure 6.1c was also significant environment environments +~ and comparable analysis of the the raw data were converted SLOWER ••.. L ----',-----EXPERIENCED DRIVING into error NOVICE EXPERIENCE the actual speed level from each estimate. C-3 lists the analysis of variance these error scores while Figures summary table of FIGURE 6.2 Travel speed errors for the main effects of interest for rural roads 'm experiment 1, 6.2 and 6.3 show the effects of - 71 - 70 - FEMALE DRIVER SEX " I r I ' r . J f' prime interest here. Three main effects and four interactions are described in order of the strength of effect. Presentation .I FASTER - (a)ROADS X ROADSIDE I (F(1,32)=285.4, FASTER (b)SEX X SPEED +20 ZERO a: a: a: -20 ~ o • •.........• ~ 7·~led us /, __ •• / ._===-.~__ .""," ;;-._. Spacio Type of road in Figure 6.3a was significant et SLOWER -L '£ ;: en f , -20 , I f I SLOWER FASTER "~'Male " under-estimated .• Female FAST PRESENTATION p<.001, accounting also In general terms, subjects w2=.1041). the speed of major arterial estimates became more accurate This variable SLOW (c)SEX X ROADS (F(16,192)=59.4, '-----'. DIN w Q W W D. en , 4L 2l1W 2l1N G/W GIN TYPE OF ROAD D/W .~ ZERO w w l- The speed of slow w2=.1398). strongest effect observed, capturing 50 per cent of the variance attributed to the variable manipulations. ... E p<.001, presentations was judged accurately, while fast presentation speeds were under-estimated. Once again, this variable was the +20 .c: speed, shown in Figure 6.2b, was significant roads while their as the road category was the second strongest reduced. effect observed again, for 37 per cent of the factor variance. SPEED FASTER (dISPEED X ROADS An interaction +20 was observed roadside environment, + 20 between type of road and shown in Figure 6.3a (F(6,192)=15.9, p<.001, w2=.0146). Simple main effects analysis confirms that the source of this interaction was for divided wide ZERO • .._, -20 __ • ...•.•.•......• __ e__ Female /---x:-,.'" ---Male ./ ZERO _'Slow .",.--.-./ / -20 •••...... SLOWER L I D/W I , DIN I I 1 r 4L 2l1W 2l1N G/W GIN --.- ---_/ /.- (F(1,32)=9.05, lane narrow •.•.•• Fast _.- (F(1,32)=35.0, SLOWER TYPE OF ROAD ~ D/W p<.001). narrow p<.01), two- None of the other road categories at the 1 per cent level. interaction accounted With w2=.0146, were this for 5 per cent of the treatment variance. "---, DIN 4L 2l1W 2l1N G/W GIN TYPE OF ROAD There was also a significant subject's interactions 6.3 Travel speed errors for the significant observed for rural roads in experiment 1. significant w2= .0107). and 22.7, p<.001 respectively) I _I road type the for 4 per cent of the treatment analysis. I - 73 - showed a and female subjects but no significant (F(1,32)=2.0, 3.8, 2.5, 0.6 and 0.4, p<.05 respectively). accounted between Simple effects analyses type of road main effect for ~ale (F(6,192)=16.9 I I interaction sex and type of road, shown in Figure 6.3c (F(6,192)= sex effect for any particular - 72 - (F(1,32=8.4, p<.001) and gravel narow roads significant 7.0, pC.001, FIGURE p<.01), divided (F(1,32)=133.2, 2.6, 3.4, This interaction variance in this The grand mean free speed across all measured The interaction between sex of the subject and presentation speed, shown in Figure 6.3, was significant (F(1,32)=8.7, P<.01, w2=.0038) Simple effects analysis, however, did not reveal any further information; speed was significant for both male and female drivers (F(1,32)=22.1 and 44.3, P<.001 respectively), but sex was not significant for either slow or fast presentations (F(1,32)=0.5 and 2.7, P>.05 respectively). This interaction accounted for only 1 per cent of the treatment variance. than the mean posted speed limit km/h). sites was less (96.7 km/h compared with 100 The mean standard deviation for these sites was 11.4 giving a mean 85th percentile value of 108.6 km/h or B.6 km/h above the posted speed limit. It is unclear whether these values are statistically different from the posted speed, given the uneven nature of the sites measured standard deviations obtained. and the relatively large Figure 6.4 shows the plots of the mean free speed deviations The interaction between presentation Speed and tYPe of road, around the speed limit for the available roadside environment shown in Figure 6.3d, was also significant (F(6,192)=5.5, P<.001, W2=.0025). Simple effects analysis revealed a significant main effect for type of road at both slow and fast presentation speeds (F(6,192)=36.6 and 53.4, P<.001 respectively) as well as a These figures significant free speed seemed to reduce as the type of road and number of speed effect for each road type (F(1,32)=163.2, 145.5, 118.8, 169.9, 86.7, 119.5 and 53.2, P<.001 respectively). This interaction captured less than 1 per cent of the total treatment variance in this experiment. also include a plot of the 85th percentile show that walled environments lanes reduced effect (omega-squared (F(1,32)= However, sex was a between-subject factor and did have a noteworthy strength of values greater than .001 deserve detailed attention; Triggs, Harris and Fildes, 1979; Fildes, 1979, 1987; and need to be tested more stringently in any future experimentation, Keppel, 1982). comparing the effects of type of road with and divided roads had mean free speeds around the posted speed limit, while 2-lane (and especially 2-lane-wide bypassed between filming and collection of speed measurements, while for the gravel sites, only site 22 had sufficient traffic to enable free speed measurement). The mean speed, 85th environment influences With the exception of roadside environment of 2-lane-narrow these values were consistently - 75 ":':=- - .. -::::::-, '::::.:::::::::::::::=::;.,===~.......", ~d :::::.. :::;::;::,. _ and type roads, however, above the posted speed limit maximum value of 113 km/h was recorded sites) . - 74 - . dO,:=:"" ..2=.~"-'=-""" free speeds on the road. plots show similar trends to the mean percentile and standard deviation of the free speed records taken at each site are listed in Appendices A-2 to A-5 . 12.5 km/h results for roads suggests there may be some optimum value at which roadside of road. Free speed data were collected at 20 of the 28 selected road (at site number 10, the road was realigned and the site narrow roads) appeared noticeably less than the speed limit (approximately below). The difference between spacious and walled plots in terms of the influence sites to result in (Figure 6.4a) while shown in Figure 6.4c suggests that 4-lane The 85th percentile 6.3.3 Free Speed Measurements appeared (Figure 6.4b). Moreover, There was no main effect for sex of the subject The main effects values at each level. slower free speeds than spacious environments roadside environment 1.2, P>.05, w2=.002). again in this analysis and their interaction. and type of road variables at the divided narrow (a 6.4 DISCUSSION The results ABOVE' ABOVE. - "-- + 10 0 -- comprehensive .,..."""- ....•.. --.\ that were tested. in terms \ 'BELOW WALLED ROADSIDE ENVIRONMENT \ 85th The findings to provide from a account of the role of these factors in a driver's of speed. 6.4.1 Presentation Speed •............• BELOW ABOVE SPACIOUS perception \ ....•...--0 ·Mean 1&1 Cl)LIMIT ~ variables the three sets of data can now be assimilated SPEED LIMIT ~ SPEEDr ZSPEED + 10 -10 a. > et :er::!; j:!: ~ Q (b) LIMIT ~ 1&1 of the independent --.85th .c E from this experiment will be discussed (a) ./ The presentation speed of the stimulus materials strongest effect on both the subjects' judgements and speed estimates L r D/W I DIN t I 4L 2L1W 1-----1. 2UN G/W TYPE OF ROAD (c)ROAD X ROADSIDE had the • Mean presentation speeds were generally environments safe operating speed in the rural experiment. Slow (15 per cent below the posted speed limit) judged to be too slow for safety in these and subjects' Fast presentation speeds speed estimates were quite accurate. (up to 115 km/h), on the other hand, evoked a too fast response and subjects consistently under- estimated these travel speeds. \" :/ -10 This result demonstrates "-\ Mean .", • Spacious \ L , D/W , DIN , , the importance that sUbjects placed when making their estimates safety and travel speed of these road scenes. \ BELOW on the speed of presentation variables Mean ~Wal,led 4L 2UW 2L/N G/W TYPE OF ROAD such as type of road, roadside environment of the driver were significant this experiment, treatment for considerably than did presentation the need for moving stimulus materials FIGURE 6.4 Free speed variations in km/h for type of road and roadside environment for rural roads in experiment 1. responses or the sex main effects or interactions they accounted variance of While other speed. in less of the This confirms when eliciting perceptual of safety and travel speed in the laboratory. This result is not too surprising, given the relative lack of critical visual features in rural environments. It will be interesting to compare the trends reported above from the rural experiment with those for semi-rural the slower posted speeds and the different environments may have a marked effect on this result. - 76 .~ • .•• <-1'0"" ••. and urban scenes. Conceivably, _...-,..., - 77 - roadside f 6.4.2 TYpe of Road The overall collector type of walling normally encountered in rural environments (roadside trees and forests) does not unduly influence a driver's particular type of road. feelings of safety on anyone finding was that road category or gravel) (arterial, and width of the road surface was critical for a driver's perception of speed. Type of road was the second strongest effect in both analyses, accounting for a sizeable proportion of the experimental variance. Speed estimates, on the other hand were particularly accurate for spacious environments This was not influenced on 2-lane narrow rural roads. by presentation a function of the sex of the driver. The safe operating this result would influence speed data showed that as the road speed, but may have been It is unclear, speed perception however, how or behaviour on the road. category and number of lanes reduced, subjects' jUdgements tended towards the less safe end of the scale. For the error data, reducing road category and the number and width of the lanes resulted in less error when estimating travel speed. In short, the more major the road, the greater the feeling of safety and the greater the tendency to under-estimate travel speed. There was also a suggestion from the free speed data collected at these sites that a walled environment had some effect on travel speed for 2-lane highways. interesting as it is not really reflected (there was some sign of a difference The number of lanes on divided jUdged less safe than the same type of road with only two lanes. Moreover, the speed estimates on these wide roads appeared more accurate significant). Moreover, while there was a significant in accuracy at estimating reduction travel speed for these sites, it is not clear how this relates to performance on the road. This is another aspect of the rural results that needs further examination. than those on 2-lane divided roads, and free speeds recorded at wide-divided sites were, on average, krn/h less than at narrOW-divided rural sites. 3 This finding was not expected and, if robust, has important connotations for the perception of speed. However, it is 6.4.4 Driver Variables The subject pool consisted of equal numbers of experienced (full driving license) and inexperienced (first year, provisional license) drivers as well as males and females. necessary first to establish the full extent of this rural anomaly in other environments. possible Hence, it was to evaluate the effects of these two driver variables the perception 6.4.3 Roadside data in the safety estimate between walled and spacious 2-lane sites but this was not roads, however, was an exception to this finding. For this road category, wide roads (more than two standard width lanes in each direction) were slightly This result is in the perceptual in of speed. Environment The amount of driving experience did not have any This variable had more effect on drivers' than on their ability to jUdge travel speed. generally assessed fast presentation between roadside much safer than walled speeds. safety responses Spacious sites were sites , especially for There was no sign of any interaction environment and type of road suggesting that the significant effect on the results of this experiment. experienced and inexperienced drivers responded the same way, and this variable has practically any other factor in the experiment sign of any experience and roadside - 79 - on The only sex, speed in the speed estimate analysis, - 78 - ---,.'--------=~.-------- no influence in both analyses. effect was in the experience, interaction Both in essentially but then with very little power consideration. performance ( w2=O) While driver variable for the perception and not worthy of serious experience may be a significant 7. on the road, it is clearly not so important THE SEMI-RURAL EXPERIMENT of speed on rural roads. A semi-rural environment was defined as a rural setting in a The sex of the driver, however, these data. the safe responses addition, showed signs of influence Sex was close to being a significant as a between-subject manipulation. it did interact with roadside environment as well as with type of road and presentation estimate error data. on main effect in In in these data speed in the speed built-uP area. These environments can be found on the outskirts of towns and cities where urban design requirement, such as kerbing and overhead lighting, are included on otherwise rural roads. In addition, urban roads near some golf courses and those that travel through undeveloped areas, such as riverines, also constitute semi-rural environments. These environments are often subject to speed restrictions, although usually not less than 75 In general terms, female responses tended towards the less safe end of the scale than male responses, tended to under-estimate Interestingly, the range of female responses than males for both the safe operating estimates suggesting less certainty result was not expected (Fildes, in these responses. from previous studies It should be stressed manipulations fewer data points than the road and roadside manipulations. under certain effects While Poulton circumstances, in repeated measures and Freeman 6 SUbjects designs, that more subjects are normally This in road perception 1979). that the driver variables were between-subject in this would provide reliable they nevertheless always desirable stated Moreover, in these it would be interesting to compare (different sites with the same characteristics) and two Each site was filmed in a similar manner to that described would be desirable. the free speeds of male and female drivers on the road which, unfortunately, possible with the experimental design adopted here. wide, divided-narrow, 4-lane, 2-lane-wide, 2-lane-narrow), two roadside environments (spaciOUS, walled), two repetitions presentation speedS (15 per cent above and below the posted limit). This yielded forty different road scenes in a fully crossed factorial design experiment. in each driver variable in any future experimentation From the research strategy outlined in Chapter 4, twenty semi-rural road sites were located within 2 hours of Melbourne that encompassed the range and levels of the independent variables of interest. Appendices A-6 to A-B describe the 20 sites selected for the semi-rural experiment, and Figure 7.0 shows some typical examples of these sites. The independent variables included five road types (divided- within-subject (1966) argued that condition in the rural experiment, these findings must be considered more tentative than the other results and further testing 7.1 STIMULUS MATERIALS with considerably experiments. As there were only 9 subjects A divided semi-rural arterial can include urban freeways by this definition. tended to be larger speed and travel speed 1979; Triggs, Harris and Fildes, experiment and this subject group speed more than their male counterparts. km/h. was not in the previous experiment. Four experimental films were then constructed, each containing ten random, 5 sec road sequences followed by 10 sec of blank film. Presentation order was again structured to ensure that each film was presented equally in every serial position. - 81 - 80 - "," FIGURE 7.0 SEMI-RURAL SITES 7.2 EXPERIMENTAL PROCEDURE An additional thirty-six licensed drivers were recruited as subjects for the semi-rural experiment (nine subjects qualified in each of the four driver groups, male-experienced, femaleexperienced, male-1st year and female-1st was tested individually in the laboratory year). Each subject used previously. 7.3 RESULTS Statistical omega-squared, analyses, involving analysis of variance and were performed on the safe operating responses and the travel speed estimate speed data was once more confined to a descriptive These analyses Site 35 - Divided, Narrow, Walled road. again will be discussed 7.3.1 Safe Operatinq separately Free analysis only. for uniformity. Speed Responses Appendix C-4 lists the statistical analysis of variance speed errors as before. performed summary table of the on these data, while Figures 7.1 and 7.2 show the plots of the results of interest. There were two main effects and three interactions that warrant close inspection and these are described effect ranking). (w2 Presentation significant =.1678). speed shown in Figure 7.1b was again for the semi-rural SUbjects in order of their strength of sites (F(1/32)=82.8, jUdged slow presentations p<.OOl, w2 as too slow, compared to what they considered to be a safe operating speed and fast presentations as either safe or slightly too fast. As in the rural experiment, the analysis, the independent Site 45 - Undivided, this variable was the strongest accounting effect in for 79 per cent of the variance variable manipulations. 2-Lane, Narrow, Spacious road. - 82 - 83 - due to ., 85 65~ Z a: Q ~ i= Cl o Do W U) ,DIN SPACIOUS TOO SLOWSLOW 2LfN 2LfW 4L .,FAST , SLOW ENVIRONMENT FEMALE WALLED MALE (e) (d) (c) 85 SLOW I DIW ,I,ROADSIDE 75 (b) (a) 65 TOO TOO FAST 65r DRIVER SEX TOO,PRESENTATION SPEED TYPE OF F~~~I ROAD 751 85r 65 TOO,Fl~~1 TOOl 85 TOO FAST (a) SPEED X ROADSIDE (b) TOO FAST ROADS X ROADSIDE t i 85 85 ••• Z Walled w :lE w ....• ,oSpacious Spacious 75 75 4Walled -- ~.:~ /.:::-=- <---. Cl Q ., :::J :;;-- 65 65 Q w TOO TOO W SLOW " ' FAST Do SLOW U) PRESENTATION ! ••• TOO FAST w 85 ~ a: SLOW -" , D/W DIN SPEED , 4L , 2L/W TYPE OF ROAD (c) Slow F\~~I (d) Fast 85 ,.Spacious Do ~Walled o W u. , 2LfN SPEED X ROADS X ROADSIDE Cl 75 751~ -------- :..-- ~ U) 65 /0_ .'" o TOO~ SLOW I, ..•__ , D/W 75 65 .:>-<:...:7"-/.spacious ~Walled ' ' DIN 4/L 2LfW TYPE OF ROAD , TOO~ SLOW " 2LfN D/W , DIN FIGURE 7.2 Safe operating speed interactions of interest semi-rural roads in experiment 2. I EXPER;ENCED DRIVING FIGURE NO~ICE EXPERIENCE 7.1 Safe operating for semi-rural speed main effects of interest roads in experiment 2. - 84 - I - 85 - , 4L , 2LfW TYPE OF ROAD 65 TOO SLOW • for , 2LfN ""'- The main effect for type of road shown in Figure 7.1a was also significant (F(4,128)=24.0, P>.001, w2 =.034). While no road type was assessed as unsafe in this experiment, subjects did jUdge the speeds on major roads to be more safe than on minor roads. This variable experiment was the second strongest effect in the and captured 16 per cent of the treatment variance. There was a significant interaction (F(1,32)=4.5, P<.05), two-lane wide roads (F(1,32)=16.0, P<.001), and two-lane narrow roads (F(1,32)=7.7, P<.01). This interaction attracted 4 per cent of the treatment variance. environment, between shown in Figure presentation Speed and roadside 7.2a was also significant (F(1,32)= 10.8, P<.01 w2 = .0015). Simple effects analysis showed that the effect of roadside environment was significant for slow presentations (F(1,32)=20.9, P<.001), Errors Appendix C-5 lists the statistical summary table of the error score data while Figures 7.3 to 7.5 show the plots of the results of interest. Three main effects and three interactions are subsequently described in order of their strength of effect. between type of road and roadside environment, shown in Figure 7.2b (F(1,32)=8.3, P<.01, w2=.0076). Simple effects analysis showed that the only significant roadside differences were for divided wide roads The interaction 7.3.2 Speed Estimation but not for fast The strongest effect in this analysis, main effect of presentation 140.7, p<.001, w2=.1293). The travel speed of the slow the variance attributed to the independent variables. Type of road shown in Figure 7.3a was the second strongest significant effect (F(4,128)=25.4, pC.001, w2 =.0426). Subjects' estimates of speed were under-estimated much more for divided and 2-lane-wide roads than they were for any other road category. variance captured 20 per cent of the treatment in the analysis. The third strongest effect was the significant The triple interaction road and roadside also significant between environment, presentation speed, type of shown in Figures 7.2c and d, was (F(4,128)=2.9, P.<.05, w2 = .0014). A simple between type of road and roadside differences roads only (F(1,32) = 13.3, 12.6 and 103, P<.001 respectively). Further analyses for the significant interactions revealed that any other road type the effect of the roadside was significant speeds However, (F(1,32) = 9.9, p<.01 and 32.4, p<.001 respectively) (F(1,32) = Speeds respectively). This variable combination cent of the total treatment variance. (F(1,32) = 14.9, P<.001). This interaction was not a particularly strong effect, accounting for only one-half a per cent of the treatment variance. - BG - but not for 1.2, 0.6 and 0.6, p>.05 roadside was only for 4-lane roads at slow presentation interaction shown in Figure for both divided wide and divided narrow roads (F(1,32) = 4.3, and 5.4, P<.05, 25.3, P<.001 and 9.0, P<.01 respectively). significant for 2-lane roads for environment, 7.4c (F(4,128)=8.7, p<.001, w2 =.0128). Simple effects analysis revealed that there were significant roadside environment interaction effects analysis showed a significant speed by roadside interaction for 4-lane, 2-lane wide and 2-lane narrow both presentation (F(1,32)= presentation scenes was judged accurately, while faster speeds were under-estimated. This variable accounted for 61 per cent of This variable manipulation presentations (F(1,32)~9.2, P>.05). This variable combination captured less than 1 per cent of the treatment variance. once again, was the speed shown in Figure 7.3b - 87 - accounted for 6 per --./ +20 III a: I0 aIII ~a: ~ U) W Q j:: ..4L SLOWER-L---.J. SLOWER , FEMALE .,FAST (d) (a) MALE (b) 2UW 2UN SLOW PRESENTATION DIN ZERO DRIVER SEX (c) OF ROAD +20 SPEED (e) SPACIOUS +20 . WALLED FASTER. . TYPE FASTER· . D/W FASTER. FASTER, -20 ROADSIDE ENVIRONMENT ZERO SLOWER\... -20 r---~ ZERO SPEED X ROADS X ROADSIDE (b) Fast FASTER FASTER (a) Slow +20 +20 --- -- ..... .c - .' ZERO E .. SpaciouS ZERO~ .::t. a: o a: a: -20 1&1 SLOWER -20 L' DIW ' DIN I~ ~ SLOWER'-, ' ' • 4/L 2UW 2UN TYPE OF ROAD 1&1 .Walled .•.••..•• r,;" Walled .~~/.spacious /' .' I DIW • ' ' DIN 4/L 2UW TYPE OF ROAD (c)ROADS X ROADSIDE FASTER IU) 1&1 Q +20 1&1 1&1 Q, U) ZERO .--- Walled -20 SLOWER '-,.\ 1 D/W FIGURE -20 SLOWER I I EXPERIENCED DRIVING FIGURE I I DIN 4L 2L/W TYPE OF ROAD I 2UN 7.4 Travel speed errors for the significant 2- and 3- way interactions for semi-rural roads in experiments 2. I NOVICE EXPERIENCE 7.3 Travel speed errors of the main effects for semi-rural roads in experiment 2. of interest - 89 - - 88 - ~_ .. I 2LfN -~.;. .. Roadside main effect environment in Figure 7.3c was also a significant (F(1,32)=14.2, p<.001, =.0064). w2 Spacious road speeds were slightly under-estimated while the speeds for walled scenes were substantially under-estimated. This effect was the SPEED X ROADS X ROADSIDE(EXPERIENCED) FASTER (a) Slow FASTER +20 fourth strongest (b) Fast +20 The interaction :c- S .lI: a: o a: a: ~~ Spacious _.--~~~~Walled significant ZERO ',/~ I • spacious~~ -20 Z I t DIW ~ er ~ j: -20[ ~ SLOWER FASTER I I I 4L 2LIW DIN TYPE OF ROAD I 2L1N SLOWER I •... I DIW / -..;/ ~/' Walled I I I DIN 4L 2LIW TYPE OF ROAD FASTERI analysis shown in Figure 7.4a and b was also (F(4,12B)=7.0, revealed speed, type of road and pC.001, w2= .005B). Simple effects that the source of this effect was a significant roadside environment difference for divided narrow roads at slow presentation speeds (F(1,32)=20.5, pc.001) and for divided wide, divided narrow and two-lane narrow roads at fast I 2UN presentation speeds pC.01 respectively). SPEED X ROADS X ROADSIDE(NOYICE) (c) Slow for 3 per cent of the factor between presentation roadside environment, .•~ ZERO ILl o effect, accounting variance. (F(1,32)=22.5 with per cent of the treatment and 15.4, pC.001, and 4.9, w2=.005B, this interaction attracted 3 variance. (d)Fast In ILl Q The four-way +20 +20 presentation ILl ILl Q, In ••...~.•.•.•.•.-Walled ZERO ..~ -20 SLOWER I DIW -20 DIN 4'L 2L/W 2L/N SLOWER TYPE OF ROAD I I DIW /' ...- ...- I DIN ~ ••.....•.. I 4L ,~ I • Walled /.Spacious FIGURE 7.5 Travel speed errors for the significant 4· way interaction for semi-rural roads in experiment 2. - 90 - environment, shown environment interaction was only significant for novice drivers (F(4,64)=12.0, pC.001) . Additional simple effects analyses pin-pointed the source of this interaction to divided wide, divided narrow and two-lane narrow 1_ 2L1W 2L1N TYPE OF ROAD speed, road and roadside roads for fast presentation speeds and B.6, pC.01 respectively). was no significant 1_- between driver experience, in Figure 7.5 was significant too (F(4,12B)=4.9, pC.01, w2=.0038). Further analysis here revealed that the previous Spacious ZERO interaction speed, type of road and roadside (F{1,16)=19.5 and 37.6, pC.OOi By contrast here, however, road and roadside interaction there for slow presentation speeds (F(4,46)=1.5, pC.05). This variable interaction captured less than 2 per cent of the total treatment variance. - 91 - 7.3.3 Free Speed Measurements Free speed data were collected in the semi-rural and standard experiment. deviation of the free speed records obtained at each site are listed in Appendices previous data. format, at all 20 selected road sites The mean speed, 85th percentile, A-6 to A-8. no statistical analysis In keeping with was performed on these +10 +10 --- Figure 7.6 shows the plots of the mean and 85th percentile speed deviations as well as their apparent The overall mean free speed for all sites was 79.1 km/h or roads. speed. On average, above the posted environments. Walled overall was roughly equal to the posted the 85th percentile speed was roughly 9 km/h speed limit for the semi-rural speed, compared environmentsl. road environments, shown in Figure 7.6a (the sites was roughly to the -4 km/h differential varied SPEED\LIMIT E zo ~·::~=--"'_=:::=.;;M;;;e;a;;-n- __ ~ a: for walled from +13 km/h to +5 km/h above the BELOW-' BELOW SPACIOUS Type of road shown in Figure > In contrast free speeds less ~ VI +10 . SPEED LIMIT <- __ ."--. "', ••.....•.... ,.':::-...-_. '" "'- I I '-./ ea n M Walled .Mean Spacious -10 I I -: I 1 1 I DIN 41L 2L1W 2L1N FIGURE 7.6 Free speed variations in kmfh for type of road and roadside environment for semi-rural roads in experiment 2. in - 93 - ~~-~_~_= _ I 41L I 2UW TYPE OF ROAD there does not effect for road category - 92 •••• 1 DIN 7.Gb appears to have influenced with the rural findings, appear to have been any systematic these semi-rural environments. __ J DIW (clROAD X ROADSIDE to- ABOVE BELOW than the speed limit and narrow road speeds slightly above the •••• WALLED ROADSIDE ENVIRONMENT ca: ~ C III III ' •.••85th '-Mean TYPE OF ROAD mean free speed, where wide roads had average _ '- '.'/ / -10 DIW W---;;pIiiii:-iii.-iii."- /-', '" values for limit. speed limit. . .// ./ SPEED LIMIT -10 3 km/h above the This meant that the 85th percentile both environments posted 85th :E sites, again, appear to have had slower free speeds than spacious mean free speed at spacious posted --. to- In other words, the average speed across the 20 sites used in this experiment ~ ~ 0.6 km/h lower than the average posted speed limit for these semi-rural ---- around the posted speed limit for the roadside environment and type of road variables, interaction. (b) ABOVE (a) ABOVE I r..'."",., ..• r The apparent environment, interaction between type of road and roadside shown in Figure 7.6c, SUggests that the effect for walled environments was more pronounced for divided-narrow, 4- lane, and 2-lane-wide sites. This result is consistent with the previous rural finding, except for the divided road result. Walling effects again were more obvious for 2-lane wide roads, adding further SUPPort to the notion of an optimum value between road (or walling) width and free speed. responses were consistently laboratory responses. the laboratory different judged much slower than were the Nevertheless, a shift towards more safe in is also likely on the road itself, albeit of a (perhaps larger) magnitude. This result, then, suggests that some of the speed limits currently applying of drivers' in semi-rural perceptions zones may be too slow in terms of what is an appropriate travel speed. Indeed, the number of instances where mean free speeds were above 7.4. DISCUSSION the posted speed limit in this experiment further demonstrate that drivers tend to travel in excess of the speed limit in these These results factors of interest sets of data. I will again be discussed in this experiment, situations. in terms of the drawing from the three An increased speed limit in some of these semi-rural zones (especially divided and spacious roads) would be justified to produce a uniform perception environments. 1,•. 7.4.1 Presentation I; Speed Naturally, can be demonstrated disbenefits. The speed of presentation of the stimulus materials again exerted mast influence on the subjects' jUdgements in the semirural experiment. This variable manipulation was the strongest significant effect observed in both the safety and speed estimates, capturing between 61 and 79 per cent of the treatment variance. This result was almost identical with the previous rural findings. that there are no potential Once again, this variable of safe operating that many of the semi-rural sites included in this experiment posted speeds of 75 km/h (only sites 31, 35, 43 and 44 had For these restricted had unrestricted 100 km/h limits). sites, the presentation unrestricted Speeds were 21 to 29 km/h slower overall than their rural counterparts. the subjects' In general estimates terms, the of safety shown by the subjects to these Speed estimates were less systematic wide roads produced greater under-estimates in that of speed than narrow roads, but road category had little systematic effect on these responses. For both analyses, type of road was the second strongest effect observed behind presentation speeds, capturing a sizable proportion of the total treatment variance. By contrast with the rural result for this variable, divided wide roads were jUdged more safe than divided narrow roads (c.f. Figure's 6.1a and 7.1a). In fact, the semi-rural with the hypothesis roadwidth are critical result is much that road category and factors in a driver's perception of a safe It was shown earlier that laboratory responses were Slightly less sensitive measures of a driver's perception of safety on the road. The validation study in Chapter 5 showed that road operating speed. This result casts doubt on the previous finding that divided-narrow rural roads are somehow more safe than - 94 - - 95 - .. :-,',.~~·7~i.--:'_:·~"I:(;;::~\S~~Ir:·;!'1i.!L~:~\~Z'~'.!1:,~.!!i.~~!,!"t;~l'l .. f·- road safety higher the road category and the greater the number of lanes, the more in accordance -'~-_.- influenced speed and travel speed. higher the perception Figure 7.1b shifted further towards the too slow end of the scale over that observed in Figure 6.1b. This could reflect the fact rural 7.4.2 Type of Road moving road scenes. There was some Suggestion of a general increase in safety for semi-rural sites, compared with rural sites. The plot in of safety across comparable this action should only be taken if it ~~.Ii\l ..~~'ll. ~;~:II. \P,,~"~l",.~,mt:'_!l~!l'~"', '"~. !II~~.~"''''~''''~ __ ''''''!~'~' ""' _ L "-. divided wide rural roads, suggesting that the anomaly reported for these rural roads may have been site specific. This warrants further investigation. on driving performance and width had a direct was reported Oppenlander (1966), Leong and Hoffman (1972) and Smith and Appleyard reported and, in particular, contention environment The results with the performance encompassing has a special effect on driver's However, road width, rather than roadside surrounds, most critical from the data collected here. Spacious environments had their greatest further evidence speed. seem to be influence on safe for 2-lane wide roads, especially For travel speed estimates, at spaciousness was more influential on divided roads, again, at the faster presentation speeds. A walled environment appeared to safety on particular the immediate in both data sets has interesting for speed perception. influence the perception support Smith and Appleyard's that "apparent width" surrounding (1968), McLean (1981). implications operating speed judgements fast presentation speeds. earlier by (1966), Vey and Ferrari here are in general agreement findings, !I I The finding that road category influence f road and roadside environment environment, of speed by reducing the degree of semi-rural in conjunction a countermeasure roads at higher of the potential speeds. This is for a walled roadside with other road variables, against excessive to act as speeding on these roads. 7.4.4 Driver Variables Moreover, the results from this study further suggest that the sensory perceptual behind the proposed driver's speed. system of drivers relationship between may be the mechanism apparent width and If this is so, then drivers of the effect that the road and surrounding their driving performance. scope for unobtrusive using engineering This suggests manipulation are probably unaware environment There was not very much evidence of any driving experience effect in speed perception. have on there is considerable main effect or interaction had practically no strength of statistical safe operating For the speed estimates, countermeasures. Environment speed responses was not a particularly capturing in semi-rural on the Of interest, interactions Roadside environment, however, strong effect in this experiment, variance. environment, in this experiment. The speed, type of road and as well as the interaction - 96 - was not a significant environment. speed, For fast presentation judgements of experienced drivers. While this was a robust effect, it should not be over argued that with emphasised. Keppel (1982) and others have the chance of a multiple testing involving many variables, significant effect increases substantially and one should be guarded against placing too much importance on these single occurrences. Moreover, the consequences of this finding in terms though, was the effect that roadside presentation experience of as well as slower free speeds at had on the other variables between in these speeds and on divided roads only, novice drivers under-estimated travel speed for walled roadside environments, contrary to the accurate environments. at best only 3 per cent of the experimental environment roadside environment walled sites did result in greater under-estimates most of these sites on the road. association it did interact with presentation type of road and roadside travel speed in the laboratory, as a speed data, and of travel speed on the road and environmental There was no main effect for roadside However, was not significant responses. main effect, although 7.4.3 Roadside Experience in the safe operating between type of of the experimental hypotheses of the problem in interpreting are difficult to determine the speed estimate data. Additional testing may show whether the amount of driver experience is important in the perception - 97 - of speed. because Unlike the rural semi-rural responses. finding, the sex of the subject in the experiment had no statistical effect on the subjects' Female mean estimates of safe operating Speed and travel speed were essentially the same as those of males, and the range of females responses was not noticeably different either. In short, the earlier sex differences observed in rural environments were not observed suggesting either that females rural environments for semi-rural environments, respond differently to males in only, or that the earlier particularly robust. this anomaly. Further testing findings are not is necessary to clarify 8. THE URBAN EXPERIMENT The third and final experiment settings. Urban environments containing residential, consist of built-up commercial and, for this experiment, in this series involved urban comprised or industrial areas establishments suburbs of Melbourne. Spacious and walled urban roadside environments noticeably different to rural and semi-rural spacious rural setting consisted developments, (a minimum residential of 3.5m was required edge of the road to the nearest building Walled urban settings comprised or industrial treed conditions Urban areas, too, are subject to considerable While areas from the line) and low fences. commercial developments compared to the equivalent and semi-rural environments. restriction. Whereas a of areas lacking in trees or urban spacious settings comprised with wide nature strips were settings. in rural speed some sites are posted at 75 and 90 kmlh, travel'Sl)eeds in the vast majority of urban areas are limited to 60 km/h. Thus, there were substantial differences in the factors and levels between urban and rural or semi-rural environments. 8.1 STIMULUS MATERIALS Using the research strategy outlined in Chapter 4, twenty urban road sites were located in the Melbourne Metropolitan area that encompassed variables the range and levels of the independent of interest. Appendices selected for the urban experiment, A-9 to A-11 detail the sites while Figure 8.0 shows some typical examples of the urban sites used. The independent wide D/W variables , divided narrow 2-lane narrow 2-L/N), roadside two repetitions and two speeds limit). five road types (divided environments (spacious, walled), (different sites with the same characteristics) (15 per cent above and below the posted This produced in a fully crossed - included 4-lane 4-L, 2-lane wide 2-L/W, DIN, forty different factorial design experiment. 98 - 99 - speed road scene presentations ~ FIGURE 8.0 URBAN SITES Filming procedures and sequences in the urban experiment were similar to those described for the rural and semi-rural experiments. films were again constructed, Four experimental each containing ten random 5 sec road sequences, followed by 10 sec of blank film. Presentation order of the films again was structured to ensure that each roll of film was presented roughly equally in each serial position. 8.2 EXPERIMENTAL PROCEDURE A further thirty-six licensed drivers were recruited subjects for the urban experiment. subjects allocated experienced, As previouslY, as there were 9 to each of the four driver groupS, male- female-experienced, male-1st year, and female-1st year. Each subject was tested individually in the laboratory described earlier using the same procedure as before. 8.3 RESULTS Undivided, 2-Lane, Wide, Walled road. Statistical omega-squared analysis, statistics, involving analysis of variance was performed and on the safe operating speed responses and the travel speed estimate errors. Free speed data was again not analysed statistically and, therefore, only described described in general terms. separately. 8.3.1 Safe Operatino These three sets of results are Speed Responses The analysis of variance data is detailed in Appendix statistical C-6, summary table of these while Figure 8.1 shows the plots of interest here. There were three main effects and one interaction that will be described in order of their strength of statisical association ( w2. ranking) . Site 54 - Divided, Narrow, Spacious road. - 100 - - 101 - (a) 75 (b) F1~~1 The main effect of presentation o~o~o' 85 significant (F(1,32=115.8, speed shown in Figure 8.1b p<.001, w2=.1014). Slow presentations were judged to be too slow while fast presentations were assessed as being too fast. This variable, again, had the strongest effect in this experiment, the treatment variance. 65 capturing 56 per cent of all 65 I- Z TOO 1&1 SLOW I D/W .L DIN == " 1&1 Q ::) ., I 4L I 2LIW Type of road shown in Figure 8.1a was also a significant TOO SLOW _ 2lJN SLOW TYPE OF ROAD TOO FAST Q main effect '-----...L FAST PRESENTATION (c) TOO FAST operating SPEED lane were equivocal 85 1&1 " 75, . a: o 65 p<.001, TOO SLOW L 1&1 LL. ce U) for 25 per cent of A significant interaction was observed between type of road and roadside environment, shown in Figure 8.1f (F(4,128=9.3, 65 1&1 D. effect, accounting This variable 75 l- ce The safe for 2-lane and divided roads. had the second strongest the treatment variance. D. U) Z p<.001, w2=.0448). than on 4-lane roads, while both were judged to be faster than on 2-lane roads. The results for the number and size of the travel (d) 85 1&1 (F(4,128)=21.1, speed for divided roads was assessed to be much faster I SPACIOUS ROADSIDE .J WALLED ~LE ENVIRONMENT DRIVER TOO FAST (e) / 65 ....•.. 65 sites /Walled / 75 ••.... (F(1,32)=2.0, p>.05). cent of the treatment This interaction variance accounted for 9 per in the urban experiment. .Spacious './ There was a small but significant environment, w2 DRIVING (F(1,32)= 8.2, p<.01 ~0019). main effect for roadside shown in Figure 8.1c (F(1,32)=4.3, Spacious environments p<.05, were assessed to be safer than I -L--...L EXPERIENCED showed that for and 49.8, p<.001 respectively). There was no significant difference observed for roadside environment for 2-lane wide (f)ROADS X ROADSIDE 85 TOO SLOW A simple effects analysis judged to be less safe than spacious sites TOO FAST 0_ = .0165). spacious sites (F(1,32)=8.08, p<.01 and 5.9, p<.05 respectively) while for 4-lane and 2-lane narrow roads, walled sites were FEMALE SEX 85 75/ w2 divided roads, walled sites were assessed to be more safe than TOO SLOW NOVICE TOO SLOW walled environments, L-l DIW EXPERIENCE DIN I 4L I 2L/'U TYPE OF ROAD .1 I although neither were judged to be unsafe. In terms of its strength of effect, this variable per cent of the treatment variance captured only and was considerably smaller than either of the other two main effects in this experiment. FIGURE 8.1 Safe operating speed results of interest urban roads in experiment 3. for - 102 - 103 - .~": " .,; 8.3.2 Speed_Estimation Appendix C-7 details~the analysis summary of the speed estimate 8.3 show the findings two-way interactions statistical +20 +20 error scores, while Figures 8.2 and of interest. Three main effects and four require detai~ed in order of their strength of variance of effect attention ZERO ,0 0 ./'" \ ranking). (W2 for presentation was again significant -20 (F(1,32)=147.0, and the strongest p<'001, SLOWER-. SLOWER effect in this analysis DIw while fast presentations variable captured tended to be under-estimated. although strongest experimental - only 3 per cent stronger manipulation. This variance DiN in this than the next In short, the strength of a: o a: a: 4'L 2L1w __ 2LIN FASTER FASTERI (c) ...•. , SLOW '---FAST PRESENTATION TYPE OF ROAD E JII: or slightly over-estimated, 36 per cent of the treatment analysis, .c The speed of slow .0191). w2= was judged correctly .~ speed shown in Figure 8.2b ....• presentations ZERO! and are described -20 The main effect (b) FASTER (a) FASTER £~rors SPEED (d) +.20 +20 1&1 1&1 this variable observed was reduced in the previous substantially, compared to that ••• Cl sets of results. :E ••• The type of road in Fignre effect in this analysis 8.2a was also a significant (F(4,128)=66.3, main p<.001, w2 = .0988). The en wide roads was under-estimated, for 2-lane narrow roads, speeds were over-estimated. correctly. while Q 1&1 All other This variable captured -20 -20 1&1 1&1 travel speed for divided road speeds were estimated ZERO ZERO D. en SLOWER-, SLOWER-L-I __ ....• , SPACIOUS ROADSIDE 33 than in previous experiments and was also noticeably MALE DRIVER ENVIRONMENT (e) FASTER per cent of the factor variance -'- __ WALLED stronger and analyses. +20 There was a significant roadside environment, p<.001, w2=.0775). more than spacious interaction shown in Figure Walled between type of road and 8.3c speed estimates speed estimates for divided 123.2 and 46.8, p<.001 respectively), ZERO (F(4,128)=80.5, were under-estimated roads (F(1,32)= but were relatively estimated for 4-lane and 2-lane roads (F(1,32)=56.5, p<.001; 58, p<.05 and 17.5, p<.001, respectively). This variable combination accounted for 26 per cent of the treatment much stronger effect in this analysis reported in the earlier experiments. - 104 - . --~_.-._ _._--.. -20 overSLOWER'-" EXPERIENCED DRIVING variance and is also a ' NOVICE EXPERIENCE than that previously FIGURE 8.2 Travel speed errors for the main effects of interest for urban roads in experiment 3. - 105 - FEMALE SEX The interaction between presentation speed and type of road shown in Figure 8.3a was the next strongest and significant effect observed w2 =.004). in this analysis (F(4,128)=5.2, The speed for fast presentations p<.001, roads were under- estimated more than the speeds of slow presentations FASTER (a)SPEED X ROADS FASTER (b) SPEED X ROADSIDE (F(1,32)=106.7, with w2=.004, +20 +20 •... 76.9, 82.5, 30.3 and 54.9, p<.001 respectively). this variable combination per cent of the total treatment captured between 1 and 2 variance. .c E ZERO •_ ___..... •••.••••••••.•.•• Slow "- a: a: a: o w w I- / SLOWER •.Fast ~Spacious Walled -20 DIW DIN 4L 2UW 2UN SLOWER-~ 9.8, p<.01, w2=.0016). (F(4,128)=36.6 SLOW (c)ROAD X ROADSIDE FASTER +20 .·Walled / --"'-==-"'-=-"- -. Female =--=====Male responses p<.05). l I I I I DIW DIN 4L 2L/W , SLOWER 2L/N This variable variance and was not (F(1,32)=5.2, affected revealed that walled p<.05), whereas by roadside female estimates environment were not (F(1,32)= 0.8, This result, too, was not a particularly strong effect value and ranking. WALLED ROADSIDE ENVIRONMENT Sex of the subject shown in Figure 8.2d and the interaction between driver experience FIGURE 8.3 Travel speed errors for the significant interactions observed for urban roads in experiment 3. too (F(1,32)=4.5, more than spacious sites for the male in terms of its omega-squared L--...l SPACIOUS TYPE OF ROAD for sex of the subject and roadside Simple effects analysis sites were under-estimated significantly -20 between in Figure 8.3d was significant p<.05, w2=.0014). •• ZERO Spacious -20 sites were more accurate and 60.3, p<.001 respectively). The interaction a. ZERO (F(1,32)= showed that than walled estimates attracted only 0.5 per cent of the treatment an especially strong effect. environment SLOWER Simple effects analysis (d)SEX X ROADSIDE +20 U) speed and roadside FAST PRESENTATION SPEED U) between presentation shown in Figure 8.3b was also significant travel speed estimates at spacious TYPE OF ROAD FASTER environment, both slow and fast presentations L-..I _ W W W - /-," •.•.. .-"" :lE Q ~_ -20 oCI: t: ••••••__ The interaction ZERO .lII: and sex were not significant effects (F(1,32)= 1.5 and 13, p).05, w2 = .0041 and .0026, respectively). However, they both attracted noteworthy amounts of the treatment variance (ie. previously, w2 values with only 9 subjects relatively greater these two variables than .001). As mentioned were both between-subject in each condition. factors Thus, even with less data points than the within-subject manipUlations, they still attracted total treatment variance. - 106 - - 107 - sizable proportions of the 8.3.3 Free Speed Measurements Free speed data were again collected selected urban road sites. standard deviation and of the free speed records obtained at each site are listed in Appendices analysis at each of the 20 The mean speed, 85th percentile was again performed A-9 to A-11. on these data and the results are once more in terms of apparent trends. shows the plots of the mean and 85th percentile variables, as well as the interaction between these two factors. .c This was approximately speed limit (the arithmetical limits for all sites). speed were approximately 4 km/h above the average posted average On average, 12 km/h value of the posted speed the 85th percentile free (roughly 20 per cent) above the posted speed limit for the range of urban sites included in this study. free speeds than comparable 8.4a. zo -l- spacious The mean free speed value to yield slower mean sites, as shown in Figure LIMIT LIMIT itce > I- to the +8 km/h mean speed for ' WALLED SPACIOUS BELOW~I"" ROADSIDE ENVIRONMENT DfW DIN ~ +10 III III D. In /"".-~ ,. /---.- I SPEED LIMIT I -10 --\ Mean • Spacious \ \ I \ Mean ·Walled spacious sites. The 85th percentile values were +8 and +17 km/h respectively for these urban road sites. BELOW The type of road, shown in Figure have influenced free speeds in urban areas. speeds and 2-lane narrow speeds were slightly posted speed limit, while divided narrow roads were all faster than the posted percentile 8.4b, again appeared to I 1 DfW I I DIN 4L t 2L1W I 2UN TYPE OF ROAD Divided wide road less than the 4-lane and 2-lane wide speed limits. The 85th FIGURE 8.4 Free speed variations in km/h for type of road and roadside environment for urban roads in experiment 3. speed was above the speed limit in all cases, varying from a minimum of +5 km/h to a maximum noted that the speed limit on divided of +18 km/h. - 108 - It should be roads was between 33 and 67 per cent higher (i.e., 100 km/h compared for other urban road sites. 4L 2LfW TYPE OF ROAD (c)ROAD X ROADSIDE ABOVE for walled urban sites was close to the posted speed limit, compared _Mean -10 ce BELOW~" ::; Q Walled urban road sites again appeared '.85th SPEED Mean SPEED , E ~ The overall mean free speed for the urban sites was 67.9 km/h. •..•......•..• 85th values and posted •... __ III/ /.--. --.\ \ ..•....•..•... + 10 Figure 8.4 speed limits for the type of road and roadside environment (b) •...•.. •..•.....•.... described I---~ \\ ABOVE (a) ABOVE No statistical to 75 or 60 km/h) than - 109 - , 2UN There was some suggestion of an interaction between the type of road and roadside environment, shown in Figure 8.4c. The 63.8 km/h on average). effect of a walled different range of travel speeds between experiments. As there were no apparent shifts between the functions reported for the roadside environment appears to be more pronounced for 4-lane and 2-lane sites than for divided road sites. While this result was reported previously in the earlier rural and semi-rural experiments, it is likely to be influenced here to a large degree by the large differences speed limits within in the posted One would have expected a difference, therefore, in the absolute safe operating level of each function because speed and travel speed data in all 3 experiments, it seems likely that there may have been some task influence work within each experiment. the urban areas tested. of the some slight attenuation of the laboratory This is a further suggestion at of in absolute road safety terms as a result method. 8.4 DISCUSSION 8.4.2 Tvpe of Road For consistency, the discussion of these results will be structured once again around the independent from the three sets of urban data collected. 8.4.1 Presentation variables, drawing The type of road, again, exerted a strong influence safe operating Speed the earlier findings, increasing environments in a SystematiC perception The presentation exerted most influence judgements, speed. speed of the moving on the sUbjects' and to a lesser degree, As found in the previous presentation two experiments, speeds tended to be over-estimated. safe operating This is further speed faster Slow presentation speeds, on to be much slower that the ideal speed, and their speeds were under-estimated. support of the importance One aspect of these results, experiments of safety, and a tendency with in urban increase in the subject's to under-estimate travel speed. In addition, free speeds measured at these sites showed substantial variations around the speed limit depending on the Several aspects of this result, however, need to be road type. discussed further. of movement for the however, found that slow travel more) were either was a little puzzling. that previous speeds laboratory judged correctly (100 km/h or or slightly over-estimated fast and slow presentations within each experiment. higher than in the urban experiment - 110 - However, the was roughly 65 per cent (100 km/h compared to only of these more recent major arterialS. the particular stimulus materials could have of the discrepant urban environments trend for wide divided roads in supports the proposition in road geometry may be influencing operating (Hakkinen, 1963; Salvatore, 1968; 1969; Evans, 1970a; Reason, 1974). Indeed, this relationship was also found here between mean posted speed in the rural experiment It was argued that this induced this result for reasons not readily apparent. Confirmation (around 60 km/h) were while fast travel speeds roads was reported earlier for environments. may have been the result of subtle changes in the design specifications Alternatively, in the introduction under-estimated, First, the finding that wide divided roads were perceived less safe than narrow divided rural, but not semi-rural, of speed on the road. It was reported generally safe operating on their estimates of travel resulted the road category on the Consistent speeds were judged too fast for safety and their the other hand, were perceived perception road scenes again speed and travel speed estimates. drivers' that subtle changes perceptions of safe speedS on these roads. It should also be noted that when filming these roads, the in the lane that provided roughly an equal vehicle was positioned view of the road, left and right of the camera, in the direction As the camera was aligned with the driver's view (the of travel. - 111 -
© Copyright 2025 Paperzz