Evaluation of Partitioning and Persistence of Organic Substances on Environment Canada’s Domestic Substances List A Report to Environment Canada CEMC Report No. 200105 Prepared by: David Woodfine and Donald Mackay Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre Trent University Peterborough, Ontario K9J 7B8 CANADA CONTENTS Executive Summary iii 1. Background 1 2. The Nature of Persistence 2 3. Theory 3 3.1 Environmental Volumes and Characteristics 3 3.2 Chemical Properties, namely Z values, Half-lives, Rate constants and D 4 4. DSL Classification 10 4.1 Stage I: Initial classification assessment for persistence and bioaccumulation 10 4.2 Stage II: Classification for Persistence Alone 11 4.3 Stage III: Partitioning 12 4.4 Sample Output 16 4.5 Possible inconsistencies of estimates in the database 18 5. References 19 Acknowledgment 19 -ii- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report provides an evaluation and recommendations regarding the partitioning and persistence of 11,648 organic substances on the Environment Canada Domestic Substances List. A list of these organic substances was provided by the Scientific Authority including: substance name, CAS number, molar mass, melting point, estimated water solubility, measured and/or estimated log KOW, pKa values, and the estimated air, water, soil and sediment half-lives. The estimated or measured logKOW values were compared with the Environment Canada criterion for bioaccumulation of logKOW > 5. A total of 2,812 substances or 24% of the total were found to exceed this criterion. The estimated half-lives were compared individually with the Environmental Canada criteria for persistence or half-life in the four media of air, water, soil and sediment. A total 2,999 chemicals or 26% of the total were found to exceed at least one of these persistence criteria. In total 4,061 chemicals or 35% exceed the Environment Canada Criteria due to their bioaccumulation potential as indicated by KOW or their persistence. Some chemicals exceed both criteria. The nature of persistence as an attribute of a chemical substance is reviewed, including the merits of examining persistence or half-life on a medium by medium basis, versus the overall persistence or residence time in the combined media. Level I, II and III multimedia fugacity models are reviewed briefly as a means of incorporating partitioning information into the assessment of persistence. It is concluded that a Level II model is preferred for the present purposes because there is no mode of entry information available. More advanced Level III models may be used for more detailed, later screening level risk assessments of priority substances lists. An assessment was undertaken using a Level II fugacity model of the equilibrium partitioning of the chemicals in an evaluative environment similar in dimensions and properties to those used in the EQC model. The fractions, which partition into each medium were calculated. This information was used to determine the extent to which each medium contributed to the overall persistence and to the overall degrading reactions. It was found that in many instances a substance exceeded the specified half-life criterion, but only a very small fraction of the substance actually partitioned into that medium, i.e., it is not “realistically present” in that medium. It is recommended that in such cases where the “realistic presence” of the substance in a medium is negligible there is no need to apply the half-life criterion and a hitherto “persistent” substance can be declared to be “non-persistent” because of a lack of “realistic presence”. The cut-off used to specify the fraction which determines “realistic presence” is examined, and it is concluded that a figure of 5% is justified, i.e. if less than 5% of the substance partitions into a medium, then the half-life in that medium can be safely ignored because the substance is not “realistically present” in that medium. A very conservative figure of 1% could be used, yielding similar results. The upper limit to this figure is judged to be 10% and would result in the addition of about 100 substances. Overall it is suggested that the 5% figure gives the most effective discrimination and should be used to define “realistic persistence”. This concept of “realistic presence” should be considered as one of several factors influencing decisions on chemical characterization. -iii- A computer program was written to evaluate all the chemicals and designate them as being in one of three groups: “clearly persistent” or ”non-persistent as a result of lack of realistic presence in a medium” or “clearly non-persistent”. In addition the program checks the “reasonableness” (i.e. if the chemical parameters are outside of the normal ranges observed) of the input data and flags those data, which may be suspect. An individual narrative is produced for each chemical summarizing its input and output data and the conclusions as regards persistence. If desired the 5% figure can be changed and the chemicals re-evaluated. Of the 1,299 chemicals which exceed the air criterion of 2 days, if the additional requirement is imposed that at least 5% of the substance must be in air, then 417 (32%) of these, substances are “clearly persistent” and satisfy both criteria i.e. they are persistent and realistically present in air. A further 882 (68%) are “ nonpersistent as a result of lack of realistic presence”. Of the 1,818 chemicals, which exceed the water criterion of 6 months, if the additional requirement is imposed that at least 5% of the substance must be in water, then 1,406 (77%) of these substances are “clearly persistent” and satisfy both criteria, i.e., they are persistent and realistically present in water. A further 412 (23%) are “non-persistent as a result of lack of realistic presence”. Of the 1,818 chemicals, which exceed the soil criterion of 6 months, if the additional requirement is imposed that at least 5% of the substance must be in soil, then 589 (32%) of these substances are “clearly persistent” and satisfy both criteria i.e. they are persistent and realistically present in soil. A further 1,229 (68%) are “nonpersistent as a result of lack of realistic presence”. Of the 1,818 chemicals, which exceed the sediment criterion of 1 year, if the additional requirement is imposed that at least 5% of the substance must be in air, then none of these substances are “clearly persistent” and satisfy both criteria i.e. they are persistent and realistically present in sediment. All 1818 are “non-persistent as a result of lack of realistic presence”. The reason that sediment criteria are not exceeded is that the estimated sediment half-life in all cases was four times the soil half-life, but the volume of sediment is only about 2% of the soil. At equilibrium there can never be more than 2% of the chemical in the sediment. Hydrophobic chemical which will partition appreciably to sediment will automatically exceed the soil criterion, therefore they will not escape identification as persistent. The overall result of the examination of 11,648 chemicals is that 8,649 (74%) are clearly not persistent by any criterion. There are 2,999 chemicals that exceed one of the Environment Canada single medium criteria. By applying the additional “realistic persistence” criterion of 5% a total of 2,190 are classified as persistent and “realistically present” i.e. “clearly persistent”. The number of chemicals in this class is; 417 for air, 1,406 for water, 589 for soil and none for sediment. This totals to 2,412 “exceedences” but 222 of these chemicals have more than one exceedence (i.e. they are persistent and present in both air and water or soil), therefore the total number of “clearly persistent” chemicals is 2,190. A total of 809 (27%) are classified as being nonpersistent due to a lack of “realistic presence”. The net result is that of the 2,999 chemicals, which exceed one or more of the single media half-life criteria only 2,190 can be regarded as clearly persistent. This approach has therefore been successful in removing 27% of the apparently persistent chemicals from further consideration, thus contributing to a more focused evaluation of the chemicals of greatest concern. -iv- 1. BACKGROUND The categorization and classification of substances on the Domestic Substances List (DSL) is mandated under sections 73 and 74 of the Canadian Environmental Protection Act (CEPA 1999). Section 73 obliges the Ministers of Environment and Health to categorize, within 7 years, the substances that are on the Domestic Substances List for the purpose of identifying those substances on the List that, in their opinion and on the basis of available information, a) b) may present, to individuals in Canada, the greatest potential for exposure; or are persistent or bioaccumulative within the meaning of the regulations, and inherently toxic to nonhuman organisms and to human beings, as determined by laboratory or other studies of non-human organisms. The DSL contains approximately 23,000 substances. Of these, there exist approximately 12,000 organic substances. As identified in Section 73(1)(b), the Minister of the Environment must determine, as part of this process the persistence of the 12,000 organic substances. The criteria for persistence are defined in the Persistent and Bioaccumulation Regulations under CEPA 1999. The persistence (P) criteria described in the Persistent and Bioaccumulation Regulations were selected by an expert panel of scientists, based on knowledge of the properties that are most characteristic of persistent organic pollutants. Criteria for describing substances as persistent are listed below. A substance is considered persistent if its transformation half-life satisfied the criterion in any medium as identified as follows in Table 1. Table 1: Single media persistence criteria. Medium Air Water Soil Sediment ≥ ≥ ≥ ≥ Half-life 2 days 6 months 6 months 1 year Note: a substance is considered persistent when the criterion is exceeded in any one medium. A substance may be considered as persistent in air if it is shown to be subject to atmospheric transport to remote regions such as the Arctic. A question arises when assessing individual environmental compartments to determine whether a substance is persistent under these regulations. If a substance exceeds the half- life criterion in an environmental compartment (i.e. in air, water, soil or sediment) but it is predicted to not partition (i.e. it is not likely to be present) in that environmental medium, then is the substance really persistent? The Categorization and Classification Program has sought guidance on how to address the issue of partitioning compared to presence in an environmental compartment when deciding whether or not a substance is persistent under the Regulations. -1- Accordingly, the purpose of this report is to develop an evaluation system including a fugacity model to evaluate the partitioning and persistence of the 12,000 organic substances on the DSL using physicalchemical properties of the substances. An assessment of these partitioning predictions along with estimated half-lives for each chemical in the four environmental compartments of interest was carried out in order to provide the best discrimination in terms of “realistic presence” of a substance in environmental compartments to compare with the half-lives criteria. Environment Canada provided the authors with a list of some 12,000 CAS numbers, chemical names, predicted half-lives in each environmental compartment, and predicted and measured physical chemical properties. This report describes the resulting system and makes recommendations on its implementation. In addition, while examining the input data certain potentially problematic data were identified. A complete evaluation of the entire set of chemicals is provided separately and contains a categorization and identification of potentially problematic data. A computer program (in MS Excel format) is also provided. 2. THE NATURE OF PERSISTENCE It is useful to clarify the nature of persistence, why it is important and how it is quantified. Persistence can be considered to be the undesirably long continued presence of a chemical. It is usually quantified by a half-life. If we consider two chemicals, S with a Short half-life of 10 days and L with a Long half-life of 20 days, then after equal masses of these chemicals have been exposed to environmental degradation for 20 days, half of L will remain and a quarter of S, thus environmental exposure to L will be greater by a factor which approaches two after a prolonged time. Concern is increased accordingly. Another metric of persistence is residence time at steady state. If both S and L are emitted at a rate of 100 kg/day into a medium, then, when steady-state is reached and input rate equals output rate there will be a mass of S of 100 x 10/0.693 or 1,443 kg. This arises because the rate constant k is 0.693/half-life or 0.0693 days –1. The mass will rise until its product with k is 100 kg/day, which occurs when that mass is 1,443 kg. It follows that the residence time of the chemical is 1,443 kg / 100 kg/day or 14.43 days. This is, of course the half-life of 10 days divided by 0.693. For chemical L the corresponding rate constant is 0.0346 days-1 and the mass will be 2,886 kg. The concentration of L will thus be twice that of S and exposure will increase by this factor. We conclude that persistence can be equally well expressed by three metrics, half-life, residence time, or quantity present at steady-state in the environment. These quantities are closely related and convey the same information. An issue that has been the subject of some debate in the scientific literature is whether it is preferable to assess chemicals on a single medium basis or on an overall persistence basis. Webster et al. (1998) have discussed this issue and concluded that overall persistence is more meaningful. To obtain an estimate of overall persistence requires additional information on how the substance partitions in the environment. If all of the substance partitions into soil and the half-life is 100 days then clearly the overall half-life is simply 100 days. But if 50% partitions into water where the half-life is 25 days and 50% partitions into soil, then the overall half-life can be shown to be 40 days. It is not entirely clear how this partitioning is best calculated. It could be done from monitoring data but such data are lacking for most chemicals. The simplest approach is -2- to assume equilibrium partitioning in a defined environment. Issues then arise concerning the dimensions of this environment, i.e. the relative and absolute volumes of air, water, soil and sediment. Partitioning data are also needed. A more rigorous approach is to evaluate residence time or persistence in a non-equilibrium environment. This also requires partitioning data but in addition it requires “mode of entry” information, i.e. into which medium the chemical is discharged. This arises because the proportions of the chemical in air, water, soil and sediment depend on whether the chemical is discharged to air water or soil and how fast it migrates between the media. This type of analysis can be accomplished by a Level III model, but since the DSL database does not include mode of entry information it cannot be applied at this stage. It is more likely to be applied at later more detailed stages of chemical evaluation. We conclude that given the available data an equilibrium or Level II partitioning calculation is preferred. 3. THEORY A description is given here of the theoretical basis of Level I and II calculations. Full details are given in the text by Mackay (1991, 2001) and in a series of papers, notably Mackay and Paterson (1982). It is not necessary for the purposes of this study for the reader to appreciate the full mathematical details of these Level I and Level II calculations. For many readers, and especially those who are not familiar with fugacity models, it may be more convenient to skip the theory and go directly to the summary statement at the conclusion of this section. Both Level I and Level II calculations require three classes of information, namely those defining the environment, the chemicals properties and the quantity of chemical. 3.1 Environmental Volumes and Characteristics The environment is evaluative in nature, i.e. it is a hypothetical or designed environment consisting of four primary media, air, water, soil and sediment. The volumes and compositions (e.g. organic carbon contents) are defined. The earliest models treated an area of 1 square kilometre containing 70% water area, thus representing a microcosm of the Earth. Later models including the EQC model (Mackay et al., 1996) treated a larger area of 100,000 km2 with 10% water. Some models such as EUSES, which is used for assessment in the European Union, have a smaller water area. This is a result of the relatively few large lakes in Europe compared to North America. In this study the EQC environment is used. The volumes of the four compartments in the EQC model are given in Table 2. Table 2: The volume and area used in of each medium used in the EQC model. Compartment Volume (m3) 14 Area (m2) 11 Area (%) Depth (m) Air 1 x 10 1 x 10 100 1000 Water 2 x 1011 1 x 1010 10 20 10 90 0.10 10 as for water 0.01 Soil Sediment 9 9 x 10 8 1 x 10 9 x 10 1 x 10 -3- The soil is assigned a typical organic carbon content of 0.02 g/g and the organic content is treated as being equivalent to 35% octanol. The net effect is that each 1 m3 of soil is equivalent to 0.017 m3 of octanol in its partition properties. Similarly for sediment with a typical organic carbon content of 0.04g/g each 1 m3 is equivalent to 0.034m3 of octanol. The total volumes of “octanol equivalent” soil and sediment are thus 1.5 x108 m3 and 3.4 x 106 m3, Gouin et al. (2000) used these quantities to arrive at a set of volumes ratios in Table 3. Since the absolute quantity of chemical and the absolute environmental values are not known, it is simpler to use these ratios in the Level I and II calculations in order to calculate relative partitioning. It is noteworthy that the volume of the sediment is only about 2% of the volume of the soil Table 3: Relative volume ratios and octanol equivalent for air, water, soil and sediment used by Gouin et al. 2000. Compartment Relative ratios Octanol equivalent Air 650,000 not applicable Water 1,300 not applicable Soil 58.5 0.978 Sediment 0.65 0.022 3.2 Chemical Properties, namely Z values, Half-lives, Rate constants and D values The chemical reactivity data are reported as half-lives in days. The corresponding rate constant k is 0.693/(half-life). The D value or fugacity transformation rate parameter is VZk, where V is the compartment volume and Z is the Z value (fugacity capacity) for that compartment. For air the ZA is calculated as 1/RT where R is the gas constant (8.314 Pa m3/mol K) and T is the temperature at which the data apply, i.e. 25 oC or 297K For water , Zw is calculated for a non-ionizing substance as Cs/Ps where Cs is solubility (mol / m3) and Ps is the vapor pressure (Pa). This ratio is also 1/H where H is the Henry’s Law constant. The air water partition coefficient KAW is H/RT or ZA/ ZW or Ps/ CsRT. Note that the units of CS are mol/ m3 not g/m3. If the solubility (S) is given in g/m3 then KAW can be calculated as PSM/SRT where M is the molar mass (g/mol). For soil and sediment the partition coefficients with respect to water are calculated as KSW = 0.35 N KOW ρ/1000 Where, N is organic carbon content, ρ is the density kg/ m3 and KOW is the octanol-water partition coefficient. Z values can then be calculated as ZWKSW. Later, soil and sediment are treated as consisting of equivalent volumes of octanol, namely 1 m3 is treated as (0.35 N ρ/1000) m3 of octanol. -4- Ionizing substances When an organic acid ionizes, in a simple one-stage process the ratio of ionized (I) to non- ionized (NI) is given by I/NI = 10 ( pH - pKa ) A typical environmental pH is 6.0 i.e. slightly acid therefore if pKa exceeds 8.0 ionization occurs to 1% or less of the substances and can be ignored. For a substance that contains a functional group that ionizes twice in sequence (as occurs with sulfate or carbonate) there are two sequential pKa values and: I/NI = 10 ( pH – pKa1) [1 + 10 ( pH – pKa2)] Where pKa1 and pKa2 are the two dissociation constants. The lower of the two is pKa1, and this is the most readily released proton. In the database this is flagged as MA i.e. most acid. A similar approach can be applied to the higher degrees of ionization. For a substance, which has two distinct functional groups i.e. a di-hydroxy compound, the two extents of dissociation simply add and the equation becomes: I/NI = 10 ( pH – pKa1) + 10 ( pH – pKa2) A similar approach can be applied to the higher degrees of ionization. The effect of ionization is to increase ZW above that of the parent compound but not other Z values i.e. the water has an increased capacity for the chemical. The factor increase is (NI + I)/ NI or 1+ I/NI where I/NI is calculated as above. This “correction” can be applied when needed, but any pKa exceeding 8 can be ignored. The solubility in water reported in the database is that of the neutral or non-ionic species. A correction for ionization was therefore included. For bases such as amines a pKa or pKb can be defined such that pKa is (14 pKa). An acid with a low pKa (e.g. 4) ionizes appreciably as does a base with a high pKb (e.g. 10). In the interest of simplicity the bases are treated using a pKa equation. The same equation is thus applied to bases since they are also characterized by pKa. Level I Calculations The chemical properties required for Level I are molar mass, solubility in water, vapor pressure, octanol-water partition coefficient (KOW ) and if applicable, the pKa of dissociating substances. For Level I the total quantity of chemical present is required, usually 1000 kg. The equilibrium distribution of this quantity of chemical is calculated including masses, concentrations and percentages. A common fugacity applies. There is no input or output of chemical. The fugacity f (Pa) is calculated as follows: f = M ΣVZ -5- Where M is total amount (mol), V is medium volume (m3), Z is the chemical’s Z value or fugacity capacity in each medium (mol/m3 Pa). Concentrations (C mol/m3) are calculated as Zf and amounts (m mol) as CV or VZf. The sum of amounts m must equal M. Level II Calculations For Level II the equilibrium distribution of the amount resulting from a steady-state input balanced by output by reaction is calculated. The percent distribution on Level I and II are equal but the absolute amounts differ. Output rates are expressed as D values (mol/Pa h) defined as VZk where k is the reaction rate constant or 0.693 / half-life. The fugacity is calculated from: f = E ΣD Where E is the emission rate (mol/h) usually set at 1,000 kg/h. A separate D is deduced for each medium. The amounts present in each medium and in total are calculated as before. The rates of reaction are Df mol/h. An invaluable quantity is the overall persistence or residence time τO = M E or f ∑ VZ E The corresponding overall half-life is 69.3% of this residence time. For the purposes of this study it is useful to expand on the factors influencing the contribution of each medium to the overall persistence. The overall rate constant k0 = 1 τ O or E . Substituting for both E and M yields: M k0 = fΣ D ΣVZk ΣD = = fΣVZ ΣVZ ΣVZ For example if there are two media, 1 and 2 k0 = where, F1 = (V1Z1k1 + V2 Z 2 k 2 ) = F1k1 + F2 k 2 (V1Z1 + V2 Z 2 ) V1Z1 V2 Z 2 and F2 = V1Z1 + V2 Z 2 V1Z1 + V2 Z 2 -6- Fi is the fraction of the amount of chemical present in each medium. Therefore, the rate constants are weighted by the mass fractions to give the overall rate constant, which in turn can be used to calculate the overall persistence. Clearly if F1 is zero, the reaction rate constant, k1 is irrelevant because none of the chemical will be subjected to this reaction. It is unlikely that k1 could be measured because of the difficulty of creating an amount in medium 1 with which to measure a rate or half-life. A more difficult issues which arises when only a very small quantity is present in medium 1, e.g. F1 = 0.01. It is then very unlikely that reaction in this medium is important. The exception could occur when k1 is 100 times faster than other media rate constants. Intuitively it seems unwise to declare a substance persistent on the basis of k1 being small (half-life long) if virtually none of the chemical is present in medium 1. It is clearly a matter of judgment what fraction F1 is deemed to be insignificant. A major task of this project is to shed light on this issue. One approach could be to decree that if degradation in a specific medium (as dictated by Fi and ki) is found to contribute negligibly to the overall persistence then that medium could be ignored in the evaluation. This will occur when Fi is small. Now the overall persistence can be expressed as: τ0 = 1 M Σm ΣVZf ΣVZ = = = = k 0 ΣVZk ΣVZkf fΣ D E Therefore for the two- medium system: τ0 = m1 m 2 MF1 MF2 + = + = τ1 + τ 2 E E E E Where τ1 = F1 τ0 and τ2 = F2 τ0 Each medium contributes to the total persistence in proportion to the mass fraction in that medium. This applies even if there is no reaction in the medium, i.e. even if ki and Di are zero. Persistence is thus derived from the mass present at steady state and each medium contributes to the total persistence regardless of whether or not reaction occurs in it. It is then possible to assert that, for example, if a medium contains 5% of the chemical mass or less, it must contribute 5% or less to the persistence. It is important to discriminate between contributions to persistence or overall half-life and contributions to reaction or degradation rate. The overall degradation rate can be expressed as -7- k0 = ΣVZk = ΣFk ΣVZ Therefore for a two compartment system k 0 = F1k1 + F2 k 2 The individual rate constants ki add in proportion to their mass fractions in each medium to give the total or overall rate constant k 0. We designate the contribution of each medium to the total reaction rate as R percent where Ri = 100 × Fi ki 100 Fi 100 Fiτ O = = τi k0 τi (1 / τ 0 ) Here J is the reciprocal of k. Since half-lives are 0.693 / k, R can also be calculated directly from half-lives as follows where T is half-life and is 0.0693 J. Ri = 100 Fi / Ti 100 Fi × TO = ΣF / TO Ti It is important to note that the percentage contribution of a medium to persistence, designated here as P is 100 Fi as stated above. The percentage contribution to the overall reaction rate (R) is 100 Fi τ0/τi. Thus Ri is Pi( τ0/τI). A medium will have a large R and a small P when it has a short half- life compared to the overall halflife. For a dominant medium responsible for much of the reaction and persistence R and P will approach a common value. These concepts are best illustrated by an example, which is the result of a Level II calculation, which yields the data in Table 4. Here the air criterion of 2 days is exceeded, but other media satisfy the criteria. The air contains only 2% of the chemical. The overall rate constant k0 is 0.0066 days –1 and the overall residence time is the reciprocal of 151 days. The overall half-life is 105 days. The overall half-life consists of contributions as follows: Air, 2 days; Water, 8 days; Soil, 84 days; Sediment, 11 days. Ignoring air reduces the persistence by only 2 days or 2%, thus air contributes little to the persistence. But air is responsible for 30% of the chemical loss, thus removing it as a reaction medium results in an increase in overall persistence or residence time to approximately 217 days. This is probably not a particularly persistent substance because in the course of a year (which is 3.5 half-lives) the amount of chemical surviving will be 1 / 23.5 or 9.0%. -8- Table 4: An example of a calculation of R and P for a multimedia chemical. T (days) τ (days) F k (day-1) Fk(day-1) F/T R(%) P (days) P(%) Air 6.9 10 0.02 0.1 0.002 0.0029 30 2 2 Water 139 200 0.08 0.005 0.0004 0.00058 6 8 8 Soil 139 200 0.80 0.005 0.004 0.00575 61 84 80 Sediment 278 400 0.10 0.0025 0.0002 0.00036 3 11 10 0.0066 0.00959 100 105 100 Total 1.0 T is half-life, F is fraction in each medium, k is the rate constant (i.e. 0.693 / T), τ = persistence or residence time Overall rate constant (kO) = 0.0066 days –1 Overall residence time (τO) = 1 / 0.0066 = 151 days Overall half-life (TO) = 0.693 / 0.0066 or 105 days Note: overall half-life is also = 0.693 * 151 days = 105 days or = 1 / 0.0096 = 105 days Ri = 100 * Fi ki / ko , This is the percentage contribution to the overall rate of reaction. Peri = FiTO and is the absolute contribution (days) that each medium has to the overall half-life P the percentage contribution to persistence is simply 100 F and is also 100 Peri / TO Note that the contribution of each fraction to overall persistence is equal to the medium’s mass fraction of chemical. Summary Using the physical chemical properties and assumed (EQC) environmental volumes and properties it is possible to calculate the equilibrium partitioning of a substance between the media of air, water, soil and sediment. These fractions or percentages are designated F. Using the Level II model, which involves the four half-life estimates, it is possible to calculate an overall persistence (τ), which proves to be a weighted mean of the individual media persistences. The fraction or percentage of the overall persistence attributable to the chemical’s presence in each medium designated P can also be calculated. The value of P for each media proves to be equal to 100 F, i.e. persistence can be assigned directly on the basis of the fraction present in a medium. Another percentage R can be defined as the percentage of the total (overall) reaction, which occurs in each medium. This value R is closely related to P because both depend on F, but P and R are not equal. -9- These quantities F, P, and R and the overall persistence (τ) can be used to explore how partitioning can be taken into account when evaluating persistence against the criteria. The approach, which is taken in the next section is to explore “cut-off” values for P and F below which the substance can be considered to be “not realistically present”. For example, if this “cut-off” is set at 5% and the substance is declared persistent because it exceeds the criteria in only one medium, but P for the medium is 4%, then that half-life can be discounted and the substance can be declared to be “realistically not persistent” because so little of it resides in the medium in which the exceedence occurs. 4. DSL CLASSIFICATION Given the theory presented earlier the DSL list was screened in several stages. 4.1 Stage I: Initial classification assessment for persistence and bioaccumulation The list was first screened to determine what fractions are: (1) persistent according to the criteria, but not bioaccumulative (2) bioaccumulative according to a log KOW of 5 criterion, but not persistent (3) are both persistent and bioaccumulative (4) are neither persistent or bioaccumulative This was done by simple comparison with the criteria. No model was needed. All 11,649 chemicals were “scored” as follows: If the estimated log Kow $5.0 score = 1 If the measured log Kow $5.0 score= 1 If the half-life in air was $2 days score = 1 If the half-life in soil/water $ 182 days score = 1 If the half-life in sediment was $ 365 days score = 1 TOTAL SCORE sum of scores maximum 5 The results of this assessment are shown in Table 5. -10- Table 5: Number and percentage of the chemicals screened that exceed bioaccumulation and/or persistence criteria. TOTAL number of chemicals with Number of chemicals Percentage 2,803 24.1% 136 1.2% SCORE OF 5 3 <0.1% SCORE OF 4 64 0.5% SCORE OF 3 864 7.4% SCORE OF 2 1,019 8.8% SCORE OF 1 2,973 25.5% SCORE OF 0 6,724 57.7% TOTAL number of chemicals 11,648 100.0% Est. log KOW >5 Meas. log KOW >5 There were 6,725 or 58% of the chemicals from the list would be unlikely to exceed either the bioaccumulation and/or persistence criteria. These were eliminated from further consideration. 4.2 Stage II: Classification for Persistence Alone Chemicals were screened for persistence using the following criteria: If the half-life in air was $2 days score = 1 If the half-life in soil/water $ 182 days score = 1 If the half-life in sediment was $ 365 days score = 1 The results are shown in Table 6. Table 6: The total number of chemicals with half-lives that exceed the persistence criterion for each medium. TOTAL number of chemicals with Number of chemicals Percentage AIR T1/2 $2 1299 11.2% SOIL or WATER T1/2 $182 1818 15.6% SED T1/2 $365 1818 15.6% 118 1.0% 2999 25.6% OVERLAP (number of chemicals that exceed both soil and air T1/2) TOTAL chemicals that exceed one or more persistence criteria *Note: 2999 is 1299+1818-118 because 118 chemicals appear in both totals. -11- Conclusions There were 2,999 chemicals that exceeded one or more of the persistence criteria. This is 26% of the total number of chemicals. Air, water/soil and sediment half-lives appear to be approximately equal in importance. Some 74% of the chemicals are rated as being non-persistent. 4.3 Stage III: Partitioning The physical-chemical properties were used to estimate the equilibrium (Level I and II) partitioning into air water, soil and sediment. The volume fractions used were those suggested by Gouin et al. 2000 and based on the EQC fugacity model mentioned earlier. The fraction in each medium can then be calculated as follows; the subscript being A –air, W-water, E-soil and S-sediment. FA = (650000×KAW) / [(650000× KAW)+(1300×KWW)+(0.978×KOW)+(0.022×KOW)] FW = (1300×KWW) / [(650000×KAW)+(1300×KWW)+(0.978×KOW)+(0.022× KOW)] FE = (0.978×KOW ) / [(650000×KAW)+(1300×KWW)+(0.978×KOW)+(0.022× KOW)] FS = (0.022×KOW ) / [(650000×KAW)+(1300×KWW)+(0.978×KOW)+(0.022× KOW)] In order to include the effect of ionization KWW was calculated as 1+ I/NI as described earlier, using a pH of 6, which is regarded as typical of environmental conditions. An overall degradation rate constant (ko) can be calculated as ko = FAkA + FWkW + FEkE + FSkS An overall persistence (JO) can then be calculated using the following equation that assumes equilibrium partitioning: JO = 1/ ko The contribution, as a fraction, of each medium to the overall persistence is equal to the mass fraction in that medium. The contribution in days for each medium (Peri) is Peri = Fi JO and P, the percentage contribution to persistence is P = 100 Fi The contribution of each medium to the overall degradation rate (R as a percentage) can also be calculated using the following equations: RA = 100 FA kA / ko RE = 100 FE kE / ko RW = 100 FW kW / ko RS = 100 FS kS / ko -12- Note that R is largest i.e. degradation is the most important for a medium when the F is large (i.e. much of the chemical mass resides in the medium) and the rate constant in the medium is a large proportion of the overall rate constant. The Chemicals were then “binned” into various ranges of R as shown in Table 7. Table 7: Number of chemicals in each range of R values in air, water, soil and sediment. Number of chemicals by medium Contribution to overall reaction rate (R%) Air Water Soil Sediment >90% 213 1,224 383 0 50-90% 111 73 85 0 10-50% 124 72 76 0 5-10% 33 29 35 0 2-5% 60 37 33 0 1-2% 38 13 20 0 0-1% 720 370 1,186 1,818 1,299 1,818 1,818 1,818 TOTAL Clearly sediment reaction rate contributes negligibly to the total degradation. This is because of the relatively low volume of the sediment compared to the soil and the typically slow degradation rates. Water degradation rates are the most important determinants of the overall degradation, thus it can be argued that water degradation half-life is a critical parameter. There are 1,224 (67%) chemicals for which the water degradation contributes over 90% to the overall reaction rate. Soil degradation is less important with 544 (30%) substances having soil degradation rates that contribute 50% or more of the total degradation rate. For over half (65%) of the chemicals the reaction rate in soil contributes less than 1% to the overall reaction rate. Air is similar to soil with 448 (34%) of the chemicals having an air degradation rate contributing 50% or more to the overall reaction rate. As was the case for soil over half (55%) of the chemicals do not contribute appreciably (<1%) to the overall reaction rate. The fractional or percentage contribution of each medium to the overall persistence (P) was calculated using the following equations: PA = 100 FA PE = 100 FE PW = 100 FW PS = 100 FS Note that P is largest i.e. degradation is the most important for a medium when the Fi is large (i.e. much of the chemical mass resides in the medium). It does not depend on the half-life. -13- The Chemicals were then “binned” into various ranges of P as shown in Table 8. Table 8: Number of chemicals in each range of persistence (P) values in air, water, soil and sediment. Number of chemicals by medium Persistence (P)% Air Water >90% Soil Sediment 186 1,226 394 0 50-90% 81 72 87 0 10-50% 109 76 75 0 5-10% 41 32 33 0 2-5% 74 35 32 399 1-2% 35 12 17 91 0-1% 773 365 1,180 1,328 1299 1818 1818 1818 TOTAL The proportions in Table 7 and 8 are generally similar because both depend heavily on F. Water is the most important with 1,298 chemicals or (71%) contributing over 50% of the persistence. If a 1% criterion cut off criterion is used 365 chemicals or (21%) are rejected. For sediment 1,328 (73%) are below 1% and all are well below 10%. Finally for air, only 376 chemicals are responsible for greater than 50% of the persistence. If the 1% criterion is applied 773 (60%) are such that air contributes negligibly to persistence. Table 9: Number of chemicals that are persistent (P>5%) and non-persistent due to lack of realistic presence (P<5%) in air, water, soil and sediment and all media combined. Number of Chemicals Reaction rate (P%) Air Water Soil Sediment All Media 5-100% 417 1,406 589 0 2,190* <5% 882 412 1,229 1,818 809 1,299 1,818 1,818 1,818 2,999 TOTAL *Note: Total is not sum of all values because some chemicals have multiple exceedences. Table 9 shows that by applying the 5% criterion for realistic presence, 417 chemicals are clearly persistent in air 1,406 chemicals are clearly persistent in water and 589 are clearly persistent in soil giving a total of 2,410 -14- exceedences. This represents only 2,190 chemicals because some chemicals have multiple exceedences. A total of 809 chemicals are classified as non-persistent by virtue of lack of “realistic presence”. The net effect of the 5% criterion is to reduce the total of 2999 chemicals to 2190, a “loss” of 27% and a retention of 73%. The most convenient method of categorizing is to assign the chemicals to one of three groups using a computer program to evaluate all the chemicals and designate them as being “clearly persistent” or “”non-persistent as a result of lack of realistic presence in a medium” or “clearly non-persistent”. A figure of 5% was used but If desired the 5% figure can be changed and the chemicals re-evaluated. From an evaluation of the effects of changing the cut-off criterion for “realistic presence”, a figure of 5% is judged to be reasonable for the following reasons: A value of 5% or 1 in 20 is generally viewed in scientific circles as representing a probability on the boundary between accidental and improbable. An event, which occurs but has an inherent probability less than 5% is unlikely to be accidental and is significant. Confidence limits are often expressed at the 95% level, which is an acceptance that one point in 20 may be outside these limits as a result of random events. In environmental science, errors in quantities such as half-lives are probably factors of 2 or 3 and thus much larger than 5% by an order of magnitude or more. The additional error introduced by neglecting a process, which contributes 5% of the total persistence is thus swamped by this much larger error. A 5% figure is thus regarded as having some basis in scientific usage and is conservative. An examination of Table 8 shows that in the cut-off range 2% to 10% the numbers of chemicals included or excluded do not change greatly. The 5% figure thus lies in a “valley of sensitivity” region where there is relatively little movement from one category to another, i.e. it is a region of low sensitivity and it would not matter greatly if the selected figure was 2% or 10%. In our judgment a figure of 1% is too low and is close to a sensitive region. There is no possibility that a 1% error is influential in this assessment. A value of 2% is a feasible limit but is also low. With 10%, a considerable number of substances is eliminated, but it too is feasible. A value of 50% would be unacceptably high given that there are only four media. It thus seems reasonable to adopt a figure of 5%. It is, however, emphasized that this is ultimately a matter of judgment and Environment Canada can readily change this number in the spreadsheet program. It is unlikely that a chemical will escape control as a result of applying this criterion because the most persistent substances will be identified in the most critical media. The sediment numbers require some discussion. If a 5% figure is used, no single chemical is deemed persistent by virtue of its sediment half-life. The sediment volume is about 1/44th of the soil volume in octanol equivalents thus the contribution of the sediment to the overall persistence is a maximum of 1/44 or 2.3% of the soil value. It can never exceed the 5% value. The estimation program always predicts a sediment half-life four times that of soil and water (which are equal). As a result the maximum sediment reaction rate is 1/(4 x 44) or 1/176th of the soil rate and is negligible. This arises because of the equilibrium assumption. In reality sediment is more important in situations where it has become an “in-place “ contaminant. Such substances of potential future concern will be identified using this process. They will not escape identification because they will be identified as present in soil. -15- A computer program was written which accepts the database as input then evaluates the chemicals for all the relevant properties as discussed above and gives a categorization. The result is either printed out on the screen or on paper. In addition the program checks the reasonableness of the input data and flags those data which may be suspect. An individual narrative is produced for each chemical summarizing its input and output data and the conclusions as regards persistence. Those that rank highly in water tend to have a low KAW and high solubility in water (or miscibility with water) and low values for KOW. Those that rank highly in soil tend to be hydrophobic and involatile. 4.4 Sample Output Figure 1 illustrates the output of the calculation performed in a printed form for two chemicals. The input data are reproduced in their entirety including any pKa values. Half-lives are given in days, vapour pressure in mm Hg and water solubilities in mgL-1. The Henry’s law constant H was calculated in units of Pa.m3mol-1 and KAW is H/RT. The ratio I/NI (ionic to non-ionic) is calculated from the pKa values. The variable KWW cor is the “corrected” water partition coefficient and is (1+ I/IN). The percentages in each medium are calculated (100F). This value is also the percentage contribution to persistence. The contribution to reaction R in each medium is also calculated, as is the overall persistence and overall half-life. The chemical is the classified as to its exceedence of the criteria. With regard to persistence in each medium the chemical is identified as clearly persistent (Yes), not persistent due to lack of “realistic presence” (No due to RP) or clearly not persistent (No). CAS# 58866 NAME D-Xylose Molmass 150.13 KOW 1.05E-02 R%air (C) 0.0 pKa1 15.53 pKa9 Est.logKOW -1.98 KOC 1.00E+01 R%water (C) 100.0 pKa2 14.63 pKa10 H (C) 1.92E-08 R%soil(C) 0.0 pKa3 13.67 pKa11 12.46 pKa12 Mes.logKOW t1/2air 0.1 KAW (C) 7.74E-12 R%sed (C) 0.0 pKa4 t1/2 soil,water 8.67 %inair (C) 0.0 t1/2overall (C) 8.67 pKa5 pKa13 t1/2sed 34.68 %inwater (C) 100.0 pKa6 pKa14 pKa7 pKa15 Persistence(C) EstVP 9.59E-07 %insoil (C) 0.0 EstWatsol 1.00E+06 %insed (C) 0.0 EstlogBAF -2.67 KWWcor (C) 1.00E+01 12.5 pKa8 I:NI (C) 3.71E-07 Exceed any Criteria No Persistent in Air No Log KOW >5 No Persistent in Water No Persistent in Soil No -16- CAS# 58899 NAME Cyclohexane, 1,2,3,4,5,6-hexachloro-, (1a,2a,3B,4a,5a,6B)- Molmass 290.83 KOW 1.82E+04 R%air (C) 49.7 pKa1 pKa9 Est.logKOW 4.26 KOC 3.38E+03 R%water (C) 3.4 pKa2 pKa10 Mes.logKOW 3.72 H (C) 7.51E+00 R%soil(C) 46.6 pKa3 pKa11 t1/2air 18.7 KAW (C) 3.03E-03 R%sed (C) 0.3 pKa4 pKa12 t1/2 soil,water 180 %inair (C) 9.2 t1/2overall (C) 101.18 pKa5 pKa13 t1/2sed 720 %inwater (C) 6.1 pKa6 pKa14 pKa7 pKa15 Persistence(C) EstVP 7.83E-04 %insoil (C) 82.9 EstWatsol 4.04E+00 %insed (C) 1.9 EstlogBAF 4.06 KWWcor (C) 1.00E+01 146.0 pKa8 I:NI (C) 0.00E+01 Exceed any Criteria Yes Persistent in Air Yes Log KOW >5 No Persistent in Water Yes Persistent in Soil Yes CAS# 58902 NAME Phenol, 2,3,4,6-tetrachloro- Molmass 231.89 KOW 1.23E+04 R%air (C) 1.4 pKa1 Est.logKOW 4.09 KOC 2.00E+03 R%water (C) 26.1 pKa2 pKa10 Mes.logKOW 4.45 H (C) 5.86E-01 R%soil(C) 72.1 pKa3 pKa11 t1/2air 38.7 KAW (C) 2.36E-04 R%sed (C) 0.4 pKa4 pKa12 t1/2 soil,water 60 %inair (C) 0.9 t1/2overall (C) 60.43 pKa5 pKa13 t1/2sed 240 %inwater (C) 25.9 pKa6 pKa14 pKa7 pKa15 Persistence(C) 87 5.63 pKa9 pKa8 EstVP 3.39E-04 %insoil (C) 71.6 EstWatsol 1.79E+01 %insed (C) 1.6 EstlogBAF 3.79 KWWcor (C) 3.34E+00 I:NI (C) 2.34E+00 Exceed any Criteria Yes Persistent in Air No due to RP Log KOW >5 No Persistent in Water No Persistent in Soil No Figure 1: Sample output for chemicals 58866, 58899 and 58902 -17- 4.5 Possible inconsistencies of estimates in the database When examining the physical chemical properties in the database we became aware that many entries appeared to be outside the normal ranges of values, which are expected for chemicals of this type. It was decided to flag these chemicals, with the suggestion that they be scrutinized in more detail. This was not part of the contract and our exploration of this issue is only preliminary. It may be useful to conduct a separate evaluation of this issue. In addition there are a number of zero values, which are also flagged. Most serious is a zero half-life, which implies an infinitely fast reaction and is not feasible. It may be that this represents a zero rate constant or infinite half-life. Three parameters were selected. First, if KAW exceeded 30, the chemical was flagged. With the exception of freons, most volatile organic chemicals have KAW values in the range 0.1 to 1.0. Oxygen has a KAW of about 30 and is of course very volatile. Any organic chemical, which has a KAW exceeding 30, is therefore flagged. A high value is likely attributable to a very low estimate of solubility in water and/or a high estimate of vapor pressure. 172 chemicals were flagged. Second, are log KOW values exceeding 8, which is close to the highest measured values. The reason is probably the addition of numerous fragment contributions to large molar mass molecules. Such molecules tend to become sparingly soluble in both water and octanol, thus KOW tends to “plateau” at about 8 or 9. A total of 956 chemicals were flagged. Third, few solubilities less than 0.001 mg/L have been measured. For example DDT is about 0.003 mg/L. Solubilities in this range can only be measured with extreme difficulty thus estimates in this range are flagged. A total of 1,702 chemicals fell into this class. In addition, if a solubility is estimated to exceed 100,000 mg/L (which is 10%) the substance is very soluble and probably totally miscible, as is the case with ethanol. The calculation of KAW from such solubilities is very suspect. A total of 1,427 chemicals fall into this class. These flags are given in the spreadsheet and in the printout. The results are summarized in Table 11. Table 11: Summary of results. Parameter Number of Chemicals KAW > 30 172 Log KOW > 8 956 Estimated Water solubility < 10 -3 1,702 Estimated Water solubility > 10 5 1,427 Total number of Exceedences 4,257 * Total number of Chemicals 3,136 * *Note that some chemicals are included in more than one criterion -18- 6. REFERENCES Webster, E., Mackay, D., Wania, F.1998. Environ. Toxicol. Chem 17: 2148 Mackay, D. 1991. Multimedia Environmental Models: The Fugacity Approach. Lewis Publishers Inc. Boca Raton, Florida. Mackay, D. 2001. Multimedia Environmental Models- The Fugacity Approach. 2nd Edition Lewis Publishers Inc. Boca Raton, Florida Gouin,T., Mackay, D., Webster, E., Wania, F. 2000. Environ. Sci. Technol. 34:881-884 Mackay, D., Paterson, S. 1982. Fugacity Revisited. Environ. Sci. Technol.16: 654a-660a Mackay, D., Paterson, S., DiGuardo, A., Cowan, C.E. 1996. Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 15(9): 1627-1637 Acknowledgement The authors wish to thank their colleagues at the Canadian Environmental Modelling Centre for their help in preparing this report. -19-
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