DuPont Analysis Apex Technologies, Inc. Presented By: Anurup Upadhyay March 9, 2015 DuPont Analysis Page |2 Table of Contents Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 3 The DuPont Formula....................................................................................................................... 3 Net Profit Margin ........................................................................................................................ 4 Asset Turnover ............................................................................................................................ 5 Leverage ...................................................................................................................................... 5 Correlations & Recommendations .................................................................................................. 5 Conclusion ...................................................................................................................................... 7 References ....................................................................................................................................... 8 Appendices ...................................................................................................................................... 9 A. DuPont Formula Schedule ................................................................................................... 9 B. DuPont Components ............................................................................................................ 9 C. Rising Costs ....................................................................................................................... 10 D. Sales Revenue vs. Net Profits ............................................................................................ 10 E. Capital Structure ................................................................................................................ 11 F. Market Share ...................................................................................................................... 11 DuPont Analysis Page |3 Introduction Any company’s return on equity (RoE) is an important measure to gauge its financial performance in comparison to its competitors. This measure affects stock analysts’ and investors’ opinions on firms’ financial health, which in turn, influences stock prices in the market. Given that a company can increase its RoE in many ways, such as by ensuring a higher profit margin or by taking on more debt (increasing leverage), an assessment of the firm’s performance and level of risks undertaken solely based on its RoE trends can be misleading. Therefore, this paper discusses Apex Technologies, Inc.’s financial performance based on a DuPont analysis, a concept popularized by the chemical company in 1920s (Brealey & Myers, 2012). By breaking down RoE, it provides recommendations to the executive team for the future. The DuPont Formula Appendix A presents a schedule of Apex Technologies, Inc.’s performance so far expressed in terms of the DuPont formula, which is: RoE = Net Profit Margin * Asset Turnover * Equity Multiplier As made evident by Appendix B, Apex Technologies, Inc.’s RoE has been on a decline over the past four periods. It has declined from 14.62% in Period #2 to 4.87% at the end of Period #6, which is a 66.67% decrease. Based on the DuPont formula, any company’s RoE can decrease due to the following: A decrease in net profit margin, which can be attributed to rising costs or a decrease in price per unit of goods sold DuPont Analysis Page |4 A decrease in asset turnover, which can be attributed to decreasing sales revenue or major sales of company assets A decrease in the equity multiplier, which can be attributed to declining leverage (major debt payoffs or stock issues) and is linked with a decline in level of risk Each of the components of the DuPont formula are discussed in the context of Apex Technologies, Inc., below: Net Profit Margin Since Period #2, Apex Technologies, Inc.’s net profit margins have declined from 12.34% to 3.53% (a 71.37% decrease). As price per unit of good and services sold by the company has been on a constant increase, the decrease in net profit margin comes from increasing costs, such as: The Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) at Apex Technologies, Inc. has been increasing since Period #2. Period #6 COGS ($4.99 million) was 50.71% greater than that in Period #2 ($3.331 million). Our commitment on human resource development and the fact that the industry that we operate within is a labor intensive one have contributed to these increases, as cost of wages and fringe benefits are included in COGS (Smith et al., 2012) (Appendix C). The total SBU operating costs in Period #6 was $6.572 million, which is an 89.94% increase from the same in Period #2 ($3.46 million). This increase is linked with the company’s continued commitment on quality and product leadership, as corresponding budgets on new product research and operations technology have seen dramatic increases (Appendix C). DuPont Analysis Page |5 Asset Turnover Apex Technologies, Inc.’s asset turnover has been generally increasing due to a corresponding increase in sales revenue (Appendix D). Although the company’s total assets did increase drastically in Period #3 (from $16.796 million to $23.616 million) due to the acquisition of Venture #8 financed through debt, its asset turnover ratio only saw a slight decline, as sales revenue too increased with the acquisition. This increase in asset turnover (backed by sales revenues) in conjunction with the declining net profit margins is concerning for the company in a strategic sense. As a differentiator in the industry, we vie to achieve higher net profit margins rather than a high market share. However, the trend, as shown in Appendix D, is alarming to us, as it resembles one that a cost differentiator would have, and begs the question whether we are stuck in the middle (Porter, 1985). Leverage The equity multiplier and the debt to equity ratio have been on a general decline since the end of Period #3 after their uptick during that period due to the purchase of Venture #8, which was financed by a combination of bank loan and bond issue (leading to an increase in total liabilities) (Appendix E). While this general decline in leverage has pushed the level of risk that can be attributed to Apex Technologies, Inc. downward, it has also caused the decline in the company’s RoE to a certain extent (a positive correlation of 19.23%, see ‘Correlations’ section below). Correlations & Recommendations The following table outlines the varying levels of correlations seen between RoE and the three components of the DuPont formula in the context of Apex Technologies, Inc.: DuPont Analysis Page |6 Correlations between RoE and DuPont Components Net Profit Margin Asset Turnover Equity Multiplier & Debt to Equity 97.33% -81.03% 19.23% From the table above, one can clearly see that the RoE for Apex Technologies, Inc. is strongly correlated with the net profit margin due to the common variable of net profit. Although the asset turnover ratio can greatly influence the RoE if there are drastic changes in sales revenue or the amount of total assets, in our company’s context, this measure does not seem to have a coherent relationship with RoE. Finally, the financial leverage indicators (equity multiplier as well as debt to equity ratio) seem to a slight positive correlation with RoE. With the analysis of these correlations and the understanding that companies can influence their RoE through the aforesaid three components, the following recommendations must be shared with the executive team of Apex Technologies, Inc.: The company’s RoE is suffering greatly due to the plummeting net profit margins. The executive team must review its budgets to control costs in areas where the point of diminishing returns have been reached/crossed or in areas that do not directly impact the company’s differentiation basis – product leadership. The company’s sales revenue is rising and net profits are declining. While the most recent decline in net profit margin can be partially attributed to the one-time costs of export market initiation, it is still crucial for the executive team to review pricing to control market share (Appendix F) and push net profit margins upward. DuPont Analysis Page |7 While it is true that high leverage can elevate the risks for the company, it, at the same time, can prevent the dilution of shareholder value (due to frequent stock issuances for capital) and positively influence RoE, with the support of the other components of the DuPont formula. Therefore, as long as Apex Technologies, Inc. continues to achieve strong results in term of net profits and net profit margins, the executive team need not expedite the payment of debts. Rather, it can use excess cash to buy back stock and issue dividends in order to return some of the gains back to our stockholders. Provided that Apex Technologies, Inc. seeks to expand in the future, it is ideal for the executive team to take on more debt to finance the expansion rather than issue stock. Conclusion The DuPont analysis conducted for Apex Technologies, Inc. has directed the executive team’s focus toward such aspects of operations that have not been considered effectively: rising COGS, market share increase issues, and cost control in areas where increasing investments have begun to produce negative returns (example: marketing) or in areas that do not directly impact the company’s differentiation basis. Moving forward, the executive team will further delve into these issues in order to prevent any sort of misalignment between corporate strategy and period to period decision making. DuPont Analysis Page |8 References Brealey, R., & Myers, S. (2012). Measuring Corporate Performance. In Fundamentals of corporate finance (7th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin. Porter, M. E. (1985). Competitive Strategy: The Core Concepts. In M. E. Porter, Competitive Advantage. Unites States: The Free Press. Smith, J., Golden, P. & Deighan, M. (2012). Corporation: A Global Business Simulation. Interpretive Software, Inc., Charlottesville, VA. DuPont Analysis Page |9 Appendices A. DuPont Formula Schedule B. DuPont Components DuPont Components 3.0000 2.5000 2.0000 Net Profit Margin Asset Turnover 1.5000 Equity Multiplier Return on Equity 1.0000 0.5000 1 2 3 4 5 6 DuPont Analysis P a g e | 10 C. Rising Costs Rising Costs (in thousands) $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 Cost of Goods Sold $4,000 Total Operating Costs SBU Operating Costs $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 1 2 3 4 5 6 D. Sales Revenue vs. Net Profits Sales Revenue vs. Net Profits (in thousands) $16,000 $14,000 $12,000 $10,000 Net Profit $8,000 Sales Revenue $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 $1 2 3 4 5 6 DuPont Analysis P a g e | 11 E. Capital Structure Capital Structure (in thousands) $30,000 $25,000 Total Assets $20,000 Total Liabilities $15,000 Total Stockholders' Equity $10,000 $5,000 $1 2 3 4 5 6 F. Market Share Market Share (%) 13 12.5 12.8 12.3 12.2 12 12 12 11.5 Market Share 11 10.5 10.5 10 1 2 3 4 5 6
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