Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism Supply Chain Security Threat - Egypt The Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism (C-TPAT) program is one layer in U.S. Customs and Border Protection’s (CBP) multi-layered cargo enforcement strategy. Through this program, CBP works with the trade community to strengthen international supply chains and improve United States border security. To enhance communication with its members, C-TPAT routinely highlights security matters for the purpose of raising awareness and renewing Partners’ vigilance, and recognizing best practices implemented to address supply chain security concerns. The purpose of this C-TPAT Alert, generated in cooperation with BSI Supply Chain Solutions, is to highlight a convergence of factors tied to weakened political stability in Egypt that have significantly increased the threat that terrorist groups will carry out an attack against critical supply chain elements in the country and its surrounding waterways, including the Suez Canal - an artificial waterway connecting the Mediterranean Sea to Gulf of Suez, and then to the Red Sea. The Suez Canal is 163 Km. long; its width varies but it is only 60 meters at its narrowest. The canal is used extensively by modern ships, as it is the fastest crossing from the Atlantic Ocean to the Indian Ocean. Page Additionally, decreased rule of law throughout Egypt since the ouster of President Morsi has created an extremely unstable security environment in the nation, highlighting the possibility that terrorist groups could exploit supply chains in the country to perpetrate an attack abroad. 1 The repeated targeting of container ships and pipelines by terrorist groups in Egypt since July 2013 illustrates their determination to strike the supply chain, while an increase in arms smuggling into the country, including the trafficking of more sophisticated weaponry, underscores the heightened capabilities of these groups in recent months. C-TPAT Alert – Supply Chain Security Threat – Egypt – May 2014 Increased Number and Distribution of Terrorist Attacks - BSI has recorded a significant increase in both supply chain and general terrorist attacks in Egypt since President Morsi was forcefully removed from office on July 4, 2013. The rate of terrorist attacks has increased most significantly in Egypt’s sparsely populated Sinai Peninsula, a large desert expanse separating mainland Egypt from Israel, where more than 300 attacks have occurred since last summer. But attacks have also occurred in Cairo, the country’s capital, where at least eight successful terrorist bombings and assassinations have taken place over just the past four months. In the nine months since President Morsi’s ouster, terrorist groups in Egypt have demonstrated a heightened intent to attack international supply chains in the country. Terrorists in Egypt have not traditionally threatened these types of targets, and this trend represents a worrying development for international supply chain security and the global economy. An attack on a cargo ship transiting the Suez Canal represents the most high-profile and potentially damaging supply chain terrorist attack from a global perspective. Such an attack has the ability to disrupt the approximately eight percent of world trade that passes through the waterway each year. This figure includes nearly 30 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of containerized cargo, roughly equal to the amount of freight that transits the world’s largest seaports annually. In late July 2013, an obscure Islamic jihadist terrorist group known as Al Furqan Brigades claimed responsibility for an alleged rocket attack against a ship in the Suez Canal. The group released a video of the attack the following week, but the Egyptian government and media did not confirm the incident. More notably, Al Furqan Brigades terrorists fired two rocket-propelled grenades (RPG) at the MV Cosco Asia container ship as it was sailing through the Suez Canal en route to Europe on August 31, 2013. Though the Egyptian government maintained that the ship and its cargo suffered no damage as a result of the attack, at least one foreign source indicated that an RPG did strike the ship and tore a hole in one of its containers. Page 2 Terrorist groups have attacked other supply chain targets in Egypt in recent months as well. Most notably, another jihadist group known as Ansar Jerusalem (“Protectors of Jerusalem”) has been extremely active in targeting a natural gas pipeline in North Sinai Governorate in the Sinai Peninsula. The pipeline transports gas from the mainland eastward to Israel and to a major cement factory complex with links to the Egyptian military in North Sinai about 30 miles south of the city of El Arish. Terrorists bombed the pipeline twice in 2013 following President Morsi’s ouster and have so far attacked the structure four times in 2014. C-TPAT Alert – Supply Chain Security Threat – Egypt – May 2014 In addition to the recent increases in supply chain terrorist attacks in Egypt, BSI has noted both a marked rise in the range of targets attacked by terrorist groups in the country and a strengthening in the capabilities of these groups. In the immediate months following President’s Morsi’s removal from the presidency, terrorist attacks in the country consisted almost exclusively of small arms attacks against soldiers at checkpoints in North Sinai and bombings and assassinations targeting security officials in the Peninsula and occasionally on the mainland. However, over the past four months, jihadist terrorist groups for the first time threatened to strike civilian targets, bombing a tourist bus in South Sinai Governorate in February and killing three passengers and the bus driver. Terrorists have also carried out increasing numbers of attacks on the mainland, underscored most notably by the bombing of four targets in Cairo, including the headquarters of the Egyptian police services, on the same day in January. The increased capabilities of terrorist groups in Egypt were illustrated most predominantly on January 25, when Ansar Jerusalem released a video purporting to show its members shooting down an Egyptian military helicopter with a man-portable surface-to-air missile. The government confirmed that one of its helicopters had crashed, but it did not state that the incident was caused by a terrorist attack. Contributing Risk Factors - The significant increase in supply chain and general terrorist attacks in Egypt over the past nine months can largely be attributed to a convergence of factors relating to the persistent state of political instability the country has faced since last July. Most predominantly, political instability since President Morsi’s ouster has significantly weakened rule of law in the country, as military and police forces around the nation largely withdrew to Cairo to support the transitional government. The Sinai Peninsula, which is separated from mainland Egypt by the Suez Canal, has witnessed the most dramatic decrease in security following last summer’s political unrest, contributing to the dramatic uptick in terrorist attacks in this region. Page 3 Further contributing to the heightened terrorist threat in Egypt has been a major rise in the smuggling of small arms in the nation. While arms smuggling in the country subsided to some degree from 2012 to 2013 as the Egyptian military regained control of the country following the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak, the most recent troop withdrawal from the Sinai Peninsula has enabled smugglers to increase their activities over the past several months. C-TPAT Alert – Supply Chain Security Threat – Egypt – May 2014 Though the illegal arms trade in the Sinai has historically been dominated by secular anti-government tribesmen, it is very likely that terrorist groups are playing an increasing role in facilitating and even participating in this trade. Israel’s March 5 seizure of a load of Iranian long-range rockets that were destined for transport through the Sinai Peninsula to Gaza demonstrates that anti-Western regimes view security in the Sinai to be so lax that they are willing to attempt to smuggle fully assembled rockets overland across the Peninsula. Global Supply Chain Terrorism Threat The increased threat of terrorism targeting supply chains in Egypt in recent months comes at a time when terrorist groups throughout the world are increasingly targeting supply chain targets in an attempt to disrupt global trade and international security. Over the last decade, BSI has identified more than 600 separate acts of supply chain terrorism worldwide, with BSI recording an average of approximately one attack per week over the past several years. The increased proliferation of these attacks on a global scale underscores the necessity of maintaining proper security over international supply chains to protect against such disruptions. Page 4 A number of security weaknesses in the supply chain in Egypt exacerbate the risk of a terrorist attack against or through supply chain elements in the country. Major gaps in physical security along the Suez Canal provide numerous opportunities for terrorists to easily access the canal itself, as well as smaller boats operating in the waterway. Al Furqan Brigades’ video of the August 31 Cosco Asia attack highlights the ability of terrorist operatives to access the banks of the canal in order to fire RPGs or other weaponry at a passing cargo ship. International security sources continue to lament the ease of access to other areas of the canal as well, such as bridges, passenger ferry terminals, and private boat launches. The latter represents an extremely worrying point, as smaller boats could be used to carry out a waterborne bombing of a cargo vessel similar to the attack on the USS Cole in 2000 or the MV M Star in 2010. An attack of this type is much more likely to sink an entire ship, likely causing severe disruptions to cargo transit through the Suez Canal. Other supply chain security weaknesses in Egypt exacerbate the risk that materials used to perpetrate a terrorist attack will be imported into the country and highlight the possibility that such items may be exported from the nation to carry out an attack abroad. Criminals routinely exploit the reduced customs checks at Egypt’s 10 free trade zones, especially those at the ports of Said and Alexandria, to smuggle a variety of contraband items, including weapons, illegal drugs, and consumer goods, through the country. Furthermore, the breakdown of stability in the nation has enabled corrupt officials involved in the supply chain to operate with much greater impunity, an issue highlighted in early February when authorities arrested the chairman of a shipping agency group in Suez Governorate for attempting to import 150 kilograms of heroin into the country aboard a cargo ship. C-TPAT Alert – Supply Chain Security Threat – Egypt – May 2014 Recommendations - C-TPAT makes the following recommendations to its Partners in light of the current situation in Egypt: Re-assess risk factors for shipments originating in Egypt or transiting through Egypt. Review current supply chain security protocols to include: Minimizing container drop times Using C-TPAT certified or compliant carriers and consolidators Conducting a robust risk assessment and ensuring chain of custody gaps are addressed Using ISO 17712 high security seals beginning at the point of stuffing Considering using dedicated containers versus consolidated shipments Conducting thorough seven-point container inspections Performing or renewing security and threat awareness training for shipping and receiving personnel and encouraging and rewarding suspicious activity reporting C-TPAT Program CBP.GOV/CTPAT 1300 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20229 Page 5 (202) 344-1180 [email protected] C-TPAT Alert – Supply Chain Security Threat – Egypt – May 2014
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