Education for All Global Monitoring Report Policy Paper 13 June 2014 This paper shows that aid to education has been on a downward spiral since 2010, putting the achievement of existing and future global education goals at risk. Aid reductions threaten education goals Introduction T his paper reports the latest data on development and humanitarian aid to education. It is released to coincide with the Global Partnership for Education’s Replenishment Pledging Conference, which aims to raise US$3.5 billion for education over 4 years. It is vital to recognise this financing request as urgent, and that donors, new and old, see this as an opportunity to refill the funding pot for education in its time of need. The Education for All Global Monitoring Report has shown that there are 250 million children who are still not learning the basics, of which about half have spent at least four years in school. Many countries still need aid in order to deliver on their education promises, and planning for education requires the kind of predictable finance that long-term aid commitments can provide. Yet, development aid to education fell further in 2012 and the current outlook is not favourable. And the share of humanitarian aid allocated to education remains well below target. This compromises our prospects for achieving new, more ambitious global education goals after 2015. Development aid Aid to education has been declining since 2010 While total aid to education increased steadily from 2002 to 2010, it has fallen by 10% since then (Figure 1). This reduction was considerably more than the 1% reduction in total aid levels over the period, indicating that donors are giving education a lower priority within their aid budgets: the share of education in total aid has fallen to 8.7% from a high of 10.2% in 2009 (Figure 2). By contrast, the share of health increased over the period from 13% to 14%. Figure 1: Aid to education has fallen by over US$1.3 billion since 2010 Total aid to education disbursements, 2002–2012 13.9 14 13.0 Total aid to secondary education Constant 2012 US$ billions 12 Total aid to basic education 12.0 8.6 4.2 2.5 4.0 6 1.9 1.9 5.0 5.1 2007 2008 2.4 2.2 2.3 1.6 2.6 1.0 5.2 4.8 4.5 6.5 5.5 5.1 4.9 8 2 5.4 5.1 8.9 12.6 11.8 10.9 9.8 10 4 13.9 Total aid to post-secondary education 1.1 1.3 1.2 2.9 3.2 3.5 4.1 2002 2003 2004 2005 4.4 2006 6.0 6.0 5.7 5.1 0 2009 2010 Source: EFA Global Monitoring Report team analysis based on OECD Creditor Reporting System (2014) 2011 2012 Policy Paper 13 Education for All Global Monitoring Report Share of education in total aid (%) 8 7 6 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Note: Total aid excludes debt relief. Source: EFA Global Monitoring Report team analysis based on OECD Creditor Reporting System (2014) Figure 3: The share of basic education in total aid to education fell sharply in 2012 Share of basic education in total aid to education, 2002–2012 46 44 44 42 40 40 38 36 34 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: EFA Global Monitoring Report team analysis based on OECD Creditor Reporting System (2014) Figure 4: Many of the largest donors to basic education have decreased their aid levels Aid to basic education, top 15 donors in 2012, relative to 2010 800 2010 2012 700 600 500 400 300 200 AsDB Special Funds Denmark IMF Netherlands UNWRA Norway Canada Japan France Australia 0 Germany 100 World Bank The largest decline in aid to basic education has affected South and West Asia, which saw disbursements fall by 26% between 2010 and 2012 (Figure 5). The two countries with the largest reductions in aid to basic education from 2010 to 2012 were India (a fall of US$278 million) and Pakistan (US$60 million). Although both are in the lower middle income bracket, they are among the five countries with most children out of school. In both countries, aid continues to play an important role in helping governments reach out-of-school children. 8.7 9 EU Institions Aid disbursements by region: Aid to basic education in sub-Saharan Africa, which is home to over half the world’s out-of-school children, fell between 2010 and 2011 and stagnated between 2011 and 2012. Twelve countries – all but four with low income status – saw cuts in their aid to basic education of US$10 million or more between 2010 and 2012. Just between 2011 and 2012, aid to Mali fell by US$45 million and aid to Ethiopia by US$23 million. 10.2 10 United States Aid to basic education cut for countries most in need 11 United Kingdom This reduction in aid comes despite a US$26 billion annual finance gap for education, and will further postpone the achievement of education goals for many countries. Unless this negative trend is reversed, the likelihood that these countries will reach new global education goals is put at great risk, even with extended deadlines. 12 Basic education as share of total education (%) Compared with 2010, 28 out of 42 donors allocated less to basic education in 2012. The Netherlands, for instance, disbursed almost US$200 million less in 2012 compared to 2010. Of the donors who were among the top ten funders in both 2010 and 2012, only two – the United Kingdom and the United States – increased the amounts they have disbursed to basic education over the period (Figure 4). Figure 2: Donors have given less priority to education in recent years Share of education in total aid, 2002–2012 Constant 2012 US$ millions Aid to basic education: Despite 57 million children and 69 million adolescents still remaining out of school, the basic education sub-sector witnessed a fall of US$627 million between 2011 and 2012, bringing total levels of aid to basic education back to 2008 levels. The share of basic education in total aid to education fell from 44% to 40% (Figure 3) between 2011 and 2012. Source: EFA Global Monitoring Report team analysis based on OECD Creditor Reporting System (2014) 2 Education for All Global Monitoring Report Figure 5: Aid to basic education has fallen most in sub-Saharan Africa and South and West Asia Total aid to basic education by region, 2010 and 2012 7 Constant 2012 US$ billions 6 5 4 Unallocated by region or country 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 3 1.3 0 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 Latin America and the Caribbean East Asia and the Pacific Arab States South and West Asia Sub-Saharan Africa 0.9 2 1 Other regions 1.8 1.6 2010 2012 Source: EFA Global Monitoring Report team analysis based on OECD Creditor Reporting System (2014) Aid disbursements by income group: Following the large decline in aid to basic education in low income countries between 2010 and 2011, there was a slight recovery between 2011 and 2012. However, aid to basic education in 2012 was still 6% below its 2010 level (Figure 6). Most of the increase between 2011 and 2012 was concentrated in a handful of countries, such as Bangladesh, the United Republic of Tanzania and Zimbabwe, leaving 22 low income countries with less aid to the sub-sector than in 2010. For nine of these 22 countries, this was the second consecutive annual decrease (Figure 7). Figure 6: Aid to lower middle income countries fell the most mainly due to large cuts to India Total aid to basic education by country income group, 2010 and 2012 7 Unallocated by income Upper middle income countries Constant 2012 US$ billions 6 1.0 5 0.6 4 3 2.3 0.8 Lower middle income countries 0.7 Low income countries 1.8 2 1 2.0 1.9 2010 2012 0 Source: EFA Global Monitoring Report team analysis based on OECD Creditor Reporting System (2014) Policy Paper 13 As economies have grown over the past 15 years, the total number of low income countries has fallen from 64 in 1999 to 36 in 2012. The share of total aid to basic education for the 64 countries classified as low income in 1999 has fallen from 71% in 2002 to 57% in 2012. The share of total aid to basic education for the 36 countries currently classified as low income has remained relatively constant but these countries received only 37% of total aid to basic education in 2012, which is low considering that these are among those furthest from EFA. Aid to basic education in lower middle income countries decreased by 25% between 2010 and 2012 largely due to the heavy falls in disbursements to India and Pakistan, but also in Palestine and Viet Nam. Decreasing levels of aid to education suggest that donors may be questioning its importance. Yet many low income countries still rely heavily on aid to support their education systems. While national spending still provides the most important contribution, donor spending – whether on or off budget – accounted for approximately two-fifths of public spending on education in countries such as Liberia, Afghanistan and Malawi. In 12 countries, donors fund a quarter or more of public spending on education (Figure 8). Current indications for the future of education aid are also worrying. According to OECD preliminary data, total aid increased by 6% between 2012 and 2013 but aid is projected to stagnate from 2014 onwards. The increase in the medium term is expected to be primarily for middle income countries in East, South and Central Asia (such as China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Uzbekistan and Viet Nam), largely through concessional loans from multilateral institutions and bilateral donors. For many of the poorest countries, primarily those in sub-Saharan Africa, the projections point to a reduction in aid, of about US$500 million. Assuming that the share of total aid allocated to education remains similar to the share allocated since 2010, falls in overall aid levels pose a considerable risk to the possibility of reaching current and new global education goals. 3 Policy Paper 13 Education for All Global Monitoring Report Humanitarian aid Figure 7: Aid to basic education fell in 22 low income countries between 2010 and 2012 Total aid to basic education in low income countries, 2010 and 2012 316 247 Bangladesh Burkina Faso Nepal Kenya Zimbabwe South Sudan Myanmar Somalia Niger Cambodia Guinea Kyrgyz Republic Chad Gambia Aid to basic education increased or remained the same in 14 countries. 219 284 161 Afghanistan Ethiopia Tanzania Mozambique Malawi D.R. Congo Haiti Mali Uganda Liberia Benin Rwanda Tajikistan Madagascar Burundi Sierra Leone Eritrea C.A.R. Togo Guinea-Bissau Korea, Dem. Rep. Comoros 2010 Aid to basic education decreased in 22 countries. 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 The following section considers trends in humanitarian aid, looking at information from the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) process of consolidated appeals and flash appeals (Box 1). Humanitarian aid is vital to help countries rebuild after crises 2012 0 Humanitarian aid is designed to save lives, sustain access to vital services and alleviate suffering both during and immediately after emergencies. It is different from development aid in that it is intended to be short-term; in practice it is often difficult to decide when the aftermath of an emergency ends and other types of assistance begin. 140 150 350 Constant 2012 US$ millions Half of the world’s out-of-school children live in conflict-affected countries (2013/4 EFA Global Monitoring Report). Many others live in countries devastated by natural disasters. These countries, which are the furthest offtrack in efforts to achieve EFA, urgently need both long-term development assistance and short-term humanitarian aid to overcome their crises. Many have been subject to a United Nations consolidated appeals process for a number of years for an effective humanitarian response. Source: EFA Global Monitoring Report team analysis based on OECD Creditor Reporting System (2014) Figure 8: Aid is a major source of education funding for poor countries Donor spending as a share of total public spending on education, 2012 Liberia Afghanistan Malawi Comoros Guinea-Bissau Gambia Burkina Faso C.A.R. Haiti Mozambique Cambodia Sierra Leone Uganda Bangladesh Nepal Rwanda Burundi Niger U.R. Tanzania D.R. Congo Benin Ethiopia Madagascar Mali Tajikistan Togo Kenya Domestic spending Donor spending 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Share of total public expenditure (%) Source: EFA Global Monitoring Report team analysis based on OECD Creditor Reporting System and Development Finance International (2014) 4 Policy Paper 13 Education for All Global Monitoring Report Box 1: Flash and consolidated appeals Flash appeals are launched immediately after a humanitarian disaster, based on early assessments. Typically they cover funding for three to six months. These are often meant to assist countries that are not in long-term conflict but have suffered from a catastrophic natural disaster. Consolidated appeals are the single largest tools for raising humanitarian aid. They provide a consolidated budget drawing on information transmitted through national processes. Consolidated appeals are typically directed towards longer-term complex emergencies, such as those in the Democratic Republic of the Congo or Somalia. Contrary to a common perception that humanitarian aid acts as a short-term gap filler, it often represents a large share of aid. In 2012, humanitarian aid made up 23% of external financing in the 21 countries with consolidated humanitarian appeals. In Somalia, where a civil war has been going on for over two decades, humanitarian aid made over 60% of external financing in 2012 (Figure 9A). However, humanitarian aid makes up only a small share of the external financing for education. In 2012, humanitarian aid made up only 8% of external financing for the sector in the 21 countries that appealed for humanitarian aid for education. In Niger, where 45% of the country’s external financing comes from humanitarian aid, those funds made up only 5% of its total external financing for education, as education continues to be a low priority in these appeals (Figure 9B). Humanitarian aid appeals neglect education needs In 2011, the UN Secretary-General’s Global Education First Initiative (GEFI) set a target for education to receive at least 4% of short-term humanitarian aid. As yet, the sector has not come close to this target, receiving just 2% of humanitarian appeals that were funded in 2013. Although this is a small improvement on the 1.4% share recorded in 2012, it is still a long way from the target (Figure 10). Education is suffering a double disadvantage because it is not only receiving the smallest proportion of humanitarian appeals, but it is also receiving one of the smallest proportions of the requests that it makes for funding: in 2013 the sector received 40% of what it had requested from humanitarian aid. This compares with 86% for the food sector and 57% for the health sector (Figure 11). Figure 9: Humanitarian aid is a significant form of financing for many conflict-affected countries but less so for education Share of humanitarian aid in total aid, selected countries and country groups, 2012 Development Humanitarian A. Total aid All developing countries 5 All 21 appeal countries 23 D.R. Congo 25 Niger 45 South Sudan 52 Somalia 62 0 20 40 60 80 100 Share of total aid (%) B. Total aid to education All developing countries 2 All 21 appeal countries 8 D.R. Congo 8 5 Niger South Sudan 23 Somalia 27 0 20 40 60 80 100 Share in total aid to education (%) Source: EFA Global Monitoring Report team analysis based on OECD Creditor Reporting System (2014) and Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (2014) 5 Policy Paper 13 Education for All Global Monitoring Report Figure 10: Humanitarian funding peaked in 2010 but has since been on the decline Consolidated and flash appeal requests and funding for the education sector, 2000–2013 600 5.0 4.7% Unmet requirements 4.5 Funding received 4.0 Education’s share of funding (Right axis) US$ millions 400 3.5 3.4% 3.2% 3.0 2.8% 300 2.4% 2.0% 2.2% 1.7% 200 1.1% 2.0 1.9% 1.6% 2.5 1.6% 1.5 1.4% 1.1% 1.0 Education as a share of total appeal funding (%) 500 100 0.5 0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (2014) Figure 11: Education receives a small share of humanitarian aid requests – and fewer of those requests get funded Humanitarian aid consolidated appeals requests and funding by sector, 2013 100 Unmet requirements 2.0% Funding received 2,500 86% 90 % of request funded (Right axis) US$ millions 80 Education received 2.0% of funding in 2013 74% 70 2,000 60 57% 1,500 50 46% 40% 40% 1,000 29% 40 31% 29% 30 Share of funding request met (%) 3,000 20 500 10 0 0 Food Health Coordination & support services Water & sanitation Shelter & non-food items Source: Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (2014) When looking in detail at the 19 consolidated humanitarian appeals made to the OCHA in 2013, only four of the 16 countries with requests for education financing received funds equal to 4% of humanitarian aid: Somalia (4%), the Syrian Arab Republic (4%), Sudan (6%) and the Central African Republic (8%) (Figure 12). In the case of the Central African Republic, 81% of the resources received for education were for school feeding programmes. Of the 28 consolidated humanitarian and flash appeals to the OCHA in 2014, 13 have proposed that 4% or more of total humanitarian Agriculture Protection Education Economic recovery & infrastructure funds requested should be earmarked for the education sector. Unfortunately aid agencies often work in parallel, meaning that many of the needs of the education sector specific to a conflict setting fall through the gaps. Mali is an example of a conflict-affected country that has suffered from this lack of coordination: its development aid to education fell from US$136 million in 2008 to US$40 million in 2012, and only 6% of its requests for education funding from humanitarian aid were met in 2012, compared with 61% of its requests for nutrition. 6 Policy Paper 13 Education for All Global Monitoring Report Figure 12: Conflict-affected countries received only a tiny share of their requests for humanitarian education funding in 2013 Consolidated appeal requests and funding for education, 2013 6% 100 1% 90 US$ millions 4% 4% Unmet requirements Of the total available funds from the appeal, just 1% was for the education sector. 80 70 In the D.R. Congo, only 9% of requests for the education sector were met. Funded % of total humanitarian funding to education 60 50 3% 40 3% 8% 1% 1% 30 1% 3% 20 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% Philippines Niger Kenya Mauritania 10 0 Syrian A.R. Sudan South Sudan Somalia Palestine C.A.R. D.R. Congo Mali Yemen Afghanistan Burkina Faso Chad Source: Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (2014) Conclusion As we showed in the 2013/4 EFA Global Monitoring Report, many of the countries furthest from the EFA goals do not sufficiently tap their tax base or devote an adequate share of their revenue to education. If countries raised 20% of their GDP in taxes – the level judged necessary to reach the Millennium Development Goals – and allocated at least 20% of their budget to education, they could go a long way towards bridging the education financing gap. But many of the poorest countries will still need education aid for some years to come. When the Education for All goals were established in 2000, donors and governments promised that “no countries seriously committed to education for all will be thwarted in their achievement of this goal by a lack of resources.” Not only have donors failed to keep that pledge, but now many are backing away from education as a development priority. With 57 million children of primary school age still out of school and 250 million children not learning the basics, it is crucial that donors recommit themselves to education. EFA Global Monitoring Report c/o UNESCO 7, place de Fontenoy 75352 Paris 07 SP, France Email: [email protected] Tel: +33 (1) 45 68 10 36 Fax: +33 (1) 45 68 56 41 www.efareport.unesco.org Developed by an independent team and published by UNESCO, the Education for All Global Monitoring Report is an authoritative reference that aims to inform, influence and sustain genuine commitment towards Education for All. © UNESCO 2014/ED/EFA/MRT/PP/13 REV. 7
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