Available Online at http://ircconferences.com/ Book of Proceedings published by (c) International Organization for Research and Development – IORD ISSN: 2410-5465 Book of Proceedings ISBN: 978-969-7544-00-4 IRC-2015 Istanbul-Turkey. The oligopolistic foundation for the prime rate: A price-setting game in banking Shigeru Nishiyama Kyushu International University, [email protected]; [email protected], Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, Japan Abstract First, the optimization of interest rate charged by banks on their lending is formulated as a price-setting game. Second, the prime lending rate and its pricing is analytically investigated under a set of reasonable assumptions, by means of applying the equilibrium properties of Bertrand and Stackelberg games. The goal of this paper is to clarify how, by which bank and with which property the prime lending rate is offered in the duopolistic banking market, as well as to grasp the strategy in the market, consistent with the most-favored-customer pricing policy, under which the prime lending rate is offered. © 2013 European Journal of Research on Education by IASSR. Keywords: Prime rate, bank loans, commercial banks; Stackelberg game, Bertrand game, duopoly. 1. Introduction The aim of this paper is to study the prime lending rate and its pricing from the perspective of an oligopolistic price-setting game. It is well known that the prime lending rate has been received a considerable interest in financial research as a benchmark on bank loans, as a close tracker with monetary policy instruments and as an indicator of several other credit conditions. On the other hand, the prime lending rate has such a distinctive feature that it is typically uniform across banks in the banking market of advanced economies. Although it is possible that individual banks determine and change their prime lending rate at any time depending on credit conditions, the rate tends to behave closely in line with market interest rates. This feature strongly suggests that the determination of the prime rate is influenced by the relationship between banks (the interbank relationship), more specifically their strategic interdependence with respect to lending rate, in the banking market. In spite that explanations for the prime lending rate have pointed out a variety of its leading characteristics including its asymmetries in upward and downward changes (Dueker, 1998, 2000; Dueker and Thornton, 1994, 1997; Thompson, 2006), the relationship the rate has with the cost of bank liabilities (Goldberg, 1982; Hafer, 1983), and the frequency and effect of prime rate changes (Mester and Saunders, 1995; Slovin, Sushka and Waller, 1994), they have paid little attention to the interbank relationship and its significance for the prime rate. This paper provides analytical evidence on the prime lending rate and its pricing in the light of strategic interdependence between duopolistic banks, with the intention to examine the effect of interbank relationship on the determination of the rate. In detail, it focuses on the equilibrium properties of Bertrand and Stackelberg games to clarify the essential characteristics of the prime lending rate as a market price under strategic interdependence. Thereby, the paper investigates how, by which bank and with which property the prime lending rate is offered in the duopolistic banking market. To apply the equilibrium properties of Bertrand and Stackelberg games, the notion of the prime rate is referred to as the original indication of the lowest interest rate charged by banks under their most-favored-customer pricing policy in the paper, without loss of generality. Shigeru Nishiyama 2. Duopolistic Banks and Their Price-Setting Games 2.1. Payoff Function Let there be two banks with negligible cost of funds (the deposit rate). Bank i ’s payoff (profit) function is i i ri , rj ri yi ri , rj i, j 1,2 ; i j , (1) where yi : R2 R is the demand function of funds that bank i faces, and ri denotes the interest rate on bank i ’s lending. yi is assumed to be twice continuously differentiable. 2.2. Bertrand Game Each bank i ( i 1,2 ) determines its lending rate such that first the order condition i y yi ri i 0 ri ri i 1,2 (2) is satisfied. In order to have (2) for any ri 0, , yi 0. ri (A3) The second order condition 2 i y 2 y 2 i ri 2i 0 2 ri ri ri i 1,2 (A4) is assumed to be satisfied. Solving (2) with respect to ri , I obtain bank i ’s reaction function ri i rj arg max ri yi ri , rj ri 0 i, j 1,2 ; i j , (5) where yi i rj rj ri 2 yi ri rj yi 2 y 0 ri 2i 2 ri 0 ri as yi 2 yi ri rj ri rj 0 . 0 (6) At a Bertrand equilibrium, bank i ’s interest rate ri B is specified as ri B i rjB , i, j 1,2 ; i j , then its payoff iB is iB i ri B , rjB i, j 1,2 ; i j . (7) As a common stability condition to assure the uniqueness of the Bertrand equilibrium, assume now that 2 If i rj , rj R , then 0 i rj 1 . i, j 1,2 ; i j . 2 (A8) The oligopolistic foundation for the prime rate: A price-setting game in banking 2.3. Stackelberg Game In the Stackelberg game, bank i determines its lending rate, taking account of bank j ’s reaction function. Bank i thus maximizes its payoff (profit) i i ri , j ri with respect to ri . The first order condition to be satisfied is y y d i yi ri i i j ri 0 dri ri rj i, j 1,2 ; i j . (9) Assume that the second order condition y y 2 y 2 d 2 i 2 yi 2 y 2 i i j ri ri 2i 2 j ri 2i j ri 0 2 ri rj dri r r r r i j j i (A10) holds. Hence the Stackelberg leader’s payoff (profit) is specified as iL iL ri i ri , j ri ri yi ri , j ri i, j 1,2 ; i j , (11) which is assumed to be a strictly concave function under the assumption (A10). At the Stackelberg equilibrium, the lending rate of bank i as a Stackelberg leader, ri L , and the rate of bank j as a follower, ri F , are specified as ri L arg max iL ri (12) rjF j ri L . (13) ri 0 and as 3. The Prime Rate in the Duopolistic Banking Market From (9), (A10) and (11), obviously d iL dri 0. (14) ri riL Taking account of the first order condition for the Bertrand equilibrium (2), I obtain d iL dri ri B ri ri B yi j ri B . rj (15) 3 Shigeru Nishiyama Since (A10) holds, iL ri is a strictly concave function, ri L ri B if d iL dri 0, ri L ri B if ri riB d iL dri 0. (16) ri riB Assuming identical demand functions between two banks to advance the analysis, yi y j ri rj i, j 1,2 ; i j . Consider the two cases based on the sign of (A17) yi ( i, j 1,2 ; i j ). r j yi 0 rj (Case I) i, j 1,2 ; i j (18) From (15), (16) and (18) ri L ri B ri L ri B j ri B 0 as i, j 1,2 ; i j . j ri B 0 (19) Under the assumption of identical demand functions, ri B rjB r B i, j 1,2 ; i j . (20) from (2) and (A17). On the other hand, as yi y j rj ri i, j 1,2 ; i j (A21) holds under identical demand functions, I have, from (9), ri L rjL r L i, j 1,2 ; i j . (22) Though the reaction function of bank i as a Stackelberg leader does not exist, the assumption of identical demand functions leads to rjF j ri L ri F r F i, j 1,2 ; i j . (23) Thus, in the light of (A8), (19), (20), (22) and (23), rB rF rL rL rB rF as j ri 0 j ri 0 i, j 1,2 ; i j . 4 (24) The oligopolistic foundation for the prime rate: A price-setting game in banking Taking account that iL ri is a strictly concave function, by definition, iL r L L iL r B B regardless of the sign of j ri i, j 1,2 ; i j . (25) i, j 1,2 ; i j . (26) As identical demand functions are being assumed, rjF y j j ri L , ri L rjF y j rjF , ri L r F yi r F , r L iL r F F In view of (6), (A11), (12), (24), (25) and (26), B F L yi 2 yi ri 0 rj ri rj as F B L i, j 1,2 ; i j . yi 2 yi ri 0 rj ri rj (27) To obtain the equilibrium lending volume, the reaction functions must be classified into two cases: upward sloping and downward sloping. First, the case of j ri 0 . Using the mean value theorem, yi r L , r F yi r F , r L r L r F yi y r F r L i ri rj i, j 1,2 ; i j y y yi r , r r r i i j r r j i F L L (28) F (28) coupled with (A3), (18) and (24) yields yi r L , r F yi r F , r L i 1,2 . (29) In the same way as (28), yi r L , r F yi r B , r B r L r B yi y r F r B i ri rj (30) y y yi r B , r B r L r B i i j r r j i and yi r F , r L yi r B , r B r F r B yi y r L r B i ri rj i, j 1,2 ; i j . y y yi r B , r B r L r B i j i r rj i 5 (31) Shigeru Nishiyama Now, from (30) and (31), in the light of (A3), (A8), (18), (24), (29) and j ri 0 , yi ri yi r B , r B yi r L , r F yi r F , r L if 0 yi r L , r F yi r B , r B yi r F , r L if j yi r L , r F yi r F , r L yi r B , r B if 1 j yi ri yi j , rj yi 1 j , rj yi ri yi , rj i, j 1,2 ; i j . (32) Second, the case of j ri 0 . Since (A3) and (18) holds, dyi yi yi j ri 0 dri ri rj i, j 1,2 ; i j (33) is satisfied. Thus, from (24), yi r F , r L yi r B , r B yi r L , r F (Case II) yi 0 rj i 1,2 . (34) i, j 1,2 ; i j (35) In the same way as the case of (18), from (16), rL rB rL rB as j ri B 0 j ri B 0 i, j 1,2 ; i j . (36) Thus, rL rF rB rF rB rL as j ri 0 i, j 1,2 ; i j . j ri 0 (37) Hence, B F L F B L as yi 2 yi ri 0 rj ri rj yi 2 yi ri 0 rj ri rj i, j 1,2 ; i j . (38) Moreover, in the case of j ri 0 , dyi yi yi j ri 0 dri ri rj i, j 1,2 ; i j 6 (39) The oligopolistic foundation for the prime rate: A price-setting game in banking holds, which, coupled with (37), leads to yi r B , r B yi r F , r L yi r L , r F i 1,2 . (40) In the case of j ri 0 , taking account of the following classification, yi ri yi r L , r F yi r F , r L yi r B , r B if 0 yi r F , r L yi r B , r B yi r L , r F if j yi r B , r B yi r F , r L yi r L , r F if 1 j yi j , rj yi ri yi 1 j , rj yi ri yi , rj i, j 1,2 ; i j . Let us summarize the analysis up to here. In the market where demand for loans is substitutive ( (41) yi 0 ), if banks rj act coordinately with respect to their lending rates ( j ri 0 ), the Bertrand rate ( r B ) is accepted as the prime lending rate, in which case the relative volume of lending varies based on the slope of the reaction function and the size of profit is smaller than at the other duopolistic rates. Under substitutive demand, if banks act reversely with respect to their lending rate ( j ri 0 ), the Stackelberg leader rate ( r L ) is accepted as the prime lending rate, at which the largest volume of lending is provided and the largest profit is obtained among the duopolistic rates. On the other hand, in the market with complementary demand ( yi 0 ), if banks act coordinately, the Stackelberg rj leader rate is accepted as the prime rate, which makes the both volumes of lending and profit largest. If banks act reversely, the Stackelberg follower rate ( r F ) is accepted as the prime rate, where the relative volume of lending varies based on the reaction function’s slope with the smallest profit. 4. Conclusion This paper has formulated and analyzed the prime lending rate and its pricing as a price-setting game, by means of applying the equilibrium properties of Bertrand and Stackelberg games. Its main results are given in (24) and (37), as well as in (27), (32), (34), (38), (40) and (41). These results provide one plausible explanation for that the prime lending rate is typically observed as uniform across banks: the prime rate is offered through Bertrand strategy by banks with positive reaction functions, facing substitutive demand for loans. Acknowledgements The research for this paper has been supported by JSPS Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), No. 24530381. References Dueker, Michael J. (1998). 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